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Jeffrey Chiu Daniel Druger Sarvesh Gupta ●●
Presentation Outline
1. Executive Summary
2. Situation Analysis
3. Market Analysis
4. Proposed Program
5. Benefit & Vision
Executive Summary
Executive Summary
Large drop in video subscribers
Root cause: Competition
Need to build stronger customer connection
Recommendations
Executive Summary
Create Customized Retention Program
Rollout in the Greater Los Angeles
Area
Customize Content for Providers
and Customers
Increased Retention
Economic trends are systematic
Why not Economy?
Recent drop in per capita disposable
income
Corresponding drop in coaxial
cable subscriptions
Similar drop in satellite TV
revenues
Situation Analysis
Why not Internet?
59%+ in each demo cite “home TV system” as the viewing choice for their favorite TV shows
Small percentage of total market is cord cutting, only about 1% (1.7M)
Source: Deloitte, “The State of the Media Democracy: Game Changing”, Feb 1, 2011Experain Simmons “New Media Study”, June 1, 2011Nielsen, “Nielsen Estimates Number of US Television Homes to be 114.7 Million
Nielsen data demonstrates internet used by consumers to supplement cable content, not replace it
Situation Analysis
DirecTV and Dish Network have captured 25% of the cable market
Why Competition?
Situation Analysis
Key Competitors
Situation Analysis
38% market share (746K HH)
Los Angeles County TWC Coverage Area
Current Market Coverage
41,800 subscribers lost
Market Analysis
Segmentation Breakdown87K
(11.7%)
176K(23.6%)
483K(64.7%)
Family Households
HH Income $150K+$160/Video Subscriber
4,885 Customers Lost = $781,600 Revenue
Market Analysis
Segmentation Breakdown87K
(11.7%)
176K(23.6%)
483K(64.7%)
Young ProfessionalsHH Income $75K-$150K$129/Video Subscriber
9,854 Customers Lost = $1,271,166 Revenue
Market Analysis
Segmentation Breakdown87K
(11.7%)
176K(23.6%)
483K(64.7%)
Non Family Professionals HH Income below $75K$99/Video Subscriber
27,015 Customers Lost = $2,674,485 Revenue
$4,744,890 TOTAL REVENUE LOST
Market Analysis
Why are they leaving?
Market Analysis
Current Retention Programs
Market Analysis
Free Membership
Three Level Membership
Points on Dollar Amount
Redemption Options: Gifts, Discount Outlet & Auction
Limited Membership
One Level Membership
Points on Dollar Amount
Redemption Options: Online Store Purchase Discounts
Rewards Program Launched in 1998
11% Drop - Disconnect Rate (Annual)
10% Reduction - Service Downgrade (Annual)
20% Increase – Revenue per Household (Annual)
Source: http://directmag.com/mag/marketing_tci_turns_around/
Past Successful Programs
Market Analysis
Proposed Program
CONNECT!
“A program designed to engage the customer with unique rewards through active involvement”
Proposed Program
SILVER
•$129 or less Monthly Spending on TWC Services
•1 point on every dollar
GOLD
•$130-$159 Monthly Spending on TWC Services
•2 points on every dollar
PLATINUM
•$160+ Monthly Spending on TWC Services
•3 points on every dollar
Proposed Programs
Proposed Program
Proposed Program
Provide Promotions on Content
Promote New products and Assess
Potential
Bonus Points on Enrollment
Points on Monthly Expenditure
Points on Other Services (VOD)
Points on Selective Promotions
Initial Enrollment
Monthly Bill
Orders VOD
Seeks Other ways to Earn Points
Retain Customer through engagement
Realize Value in Product
Targeted Marketing Initiatives
Develop Strategic Partnerships
Proposed Program
Home
Earn Points
For Premium Support Call 1.800.000.00
00
CONNECT!
3000Redeem
Reach Out
Today’s Trivia!What is the price of the latest Carl’s Jr. Burger? (200 points)
Sample Webpage
Welcome Mr. Tim Warner!
Sign Out
Submit
Current Points Balance
Redeem for Merchandise!(350 points)
Proposed Program
Time Warner Cable Connect! Enrollment 1,000 points
Two (2) Movies On Demand 40 points
Correct Trivia Answer 200 points
$133 Monthly Spend 266 points
1,506 points
Tim Warner
Sample Customer
Proposed Program
Assumptions:• 10% Annual retention increasing at 1% y/y• Revenue/Customer=$113.64 growing at 3% y/y• Program cost =1% of Revenue =$847K• No gains accounted for from service upgrades
5-Year Revenue Increase:
$6.5 millionPayback Period:
17 Months
Short Term Benefits
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
$475,015
$1,448,654
$2,875,419
$4,626,964
$6,491,261Five Year Cumulative Revenue Growth
Year
Rev
enu
e
Benefit & Vision
Rollout Plan
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12+
Months
Website Development
Bill Redesign to Include Rewards Points
Train Call Center Agents
Market to Existing Customer (Direct mail, e-mail, bill inserts)
Plan On-Screen Homepage
Contact Partners for Branded Rewards/Sponsorship Opportunities
PlanAdditional
Rollouts in SC
Benefit & Vision
Risk AnalysisSlower than expected adoption of the program
• Low initial investment• Los Angeles test market
Competition adopts similar practices
• Leverage existing relationships with content providers and current customers
Perceived narrow focus of program
• Increased service upgrades and decreased service downgrades
• Improved customer satisfaction
Benefit & Vision
Long Term Vision
Tailor Rewards and Content to Individual Customer Preferences
Continue to Develop New Partnership Opportunities
Benefit & Vision
THANK YOU!
AppendixDVR Household Trend
Cord-Cutting
TV Still Preferred Method
General TWC Market Profile
Family Household Segment
Young Professional Segment
Aging Population Segment
Customer Pyramid
Viewing Habits by Demo
TV Consumption for Internet Users
Live and Playback by Demo
TWC Sub Gains/Losses
LA Coverage Statistics – 1
LA Coverage Statistics – 2
TWC Revenue Breakdown
HH Cable Connection by Income
Sub Losses by Segment
Gains from Retention Program
Sample On-Screen Display
Competitor Comparison – 1
Competitor Comparison - 2
TV sets per household has increased: Opportunity to take advantage of potential service-adds leading to revenue gains.
DVR Household Trend
Small percentage of total market that is cord cutting, only about 1% (1.7M)
Cord-Cutting
TV Still Preferred MethodTelevision still preferred
method of watching favorite TV shows across
all demos
Male: 50% / Female: 50% Mean Age: 36.51 Average HH Income: $86,056 Average HH Size: 2.91 Key Consumers: A25-64 (55%) P2-19 make up 33% of consumers
General TWC Market Profile
Customer Segments
Family Households P25-49 (37% of market) High income HH HH has multiple cable set-top-
boxes Majority of P2-19 universe
within HH (33% of market) Heavy DVR and on-demand
usage TV viewing is a shared
experience
Customer Segments
Young Professionals P20-34 (21% of market) College graduates No children Income growth potential Future family household Heavy DVR and on-demand
usage High price sensitivity Most likely to switch/cancel
video subscriptions
Customer Segments
Aging Population P50+ (29% of market) Stable customers, low churn Heavy users of traditional
services: 40+ hours/week spent watching traditional TV
TV watching is done live TV viewing is a personal
experience
IRON
GOLD
PLATINUM
Family Households: Multiple set-top-boxes, high usage of services, low price sensitivity, access to future consumers, bundle services (3)
Young Professionals: Use full-range of services, high earning potential, bundle services (2)
Aging Population: Low usage of broad services, low earning potential, below average revenue per subscriber
Non-family Professional: Use full-range of services, less price sensitive, bundle services (2), low growth potential
Customer Segmentation
Viewing Habits by Demo
Most consumers, in all age groups, watch TV shows on a TV set to some degree.
Most at risk are P18-34 & P35-44
TV Consumption for Internet Users
Live & Playback by Demo
Video2Q10 Subscribers 2Q11 Subscribers Gain/Loss
12,056,604 94.70% = 11,417,604 (639,000)
2Q10 rev/cust 2Q11 rev/cust
$ 108.44 104.80% = $ 113.64
2Q10 Sub Revenue 2Q11 Sub Revenue % Rev Loss $ Rev Loss
$ 1,307,418,113 $ 1,297,496,493 -0.76% (9,921,620)
Internet2Q10 Subscribers 2Q11 Subscribers Gain/Loss
9,291,188 104.40% = 9,700,000 408,812
Phone2Q10 Subscribers 2Q11 Subscribers Gain/Loss
4,314,477 104.30% = 4,500,000 185,523
TWC Subscriber Gains/Losses
Coverage Area HH UE Male Female Median Age HH IncomeAlhambra 31,910 48% 52% 38.55 $ 73,503 Burbank 28,156 49% 51% 38.27 $ 70,272
East San Fernando Valley 134,810 50% 50% 33.67 $ 66,779 Glendale 54,859 48% 52% 39.66 $ 88,552 Hollywood 99,367 51% 49% 33.79 $ 53,479 Los Feliz 63,655 51% 49% 33.15 $ 61,361 Pasadena 36,166 48% 52% 38.52 $ 104,005
South Pasadena 8,804 47% 53% 40.54 $ 146,276 South San Fernando Valley 40,263 48% 52% 41.18 $ 133,279
West San Fernando Valley 141,972 50% 50% 36.15 $ 84,590
Westside/Beverly Hills 106,090 49% 51% 39.67 $ 135,477
TOTAL 746,052 369,786 376,266 36.51 $ 86,056
64.4% of HH w/ children 480,457 49.6% 50.4%
Average HH size 2.9 33.50 $75,363 Market Weekly time spent watching traditional TV
2010 Total HH in LA footprint 1,957,778Current Market Share 38%
Total Subscribers 2Q11 12,056,604 LA Subscribers as % of Total 6%
Total 2Q11 y/y loss 639,000 Total 2Q11 y/y loss (%) -5.3%Estimated LA 2Q11 y/y loss 41,754
2Q10 HH UE 787,806
Avg 2Q11 rev per sub $ 113.64 LA revenue lost $ 4,744,890.72
LA Coverage Statistics
Coverage Area HH UE A2-19 A20-24 A25-34 A35-49 A50-64 A20-64 A65+
Alhambra 31,910 26% 6% 13% 23% 18% 54% 14%
Burbank 28,156 31% 6% 14% 24% 18% 56% 13%
East San Fernando Valley 134,810 37% 8% 15% 23% 15% 53% 10%
Glendale 54,859 31% 6% 12% 24% 19% 55% 14%
Hollywood 99,367 35% 8% 17% 23% 15% 55% 10%
Los Feliz 63,655 38% 8% 15% 22% 15% 52% 10%
Pasadena 36,166 27% 6% 13% 23% 24% 60% 13%
South Pasadena 8,804 30% 5% 12% 25% 20% 57% 13%
South San Fernando Valley 40,263 28% 5% 13% 25% 20% 58% 14%
West San Fernando Valley 141,972 36% 7% 13% 23% 17% 53% 11%
Westside/Beverly Hills 106,090 27% 8% 16% 23% 19% 58% 15%
TOTAL 746,052 246,312 53,771 107,758 172,767 128,695 409,221 88,604
64.4% of HH w/ children 480,457 33% 7% 14% 23% 17% 55% 12%
Average HH size 2.9 37% 8% 16% 38% 53% 10%
Weekly time spent watching traditional TV 23:00 24:17 28:08 32:58 41:04 46:16
Time Warner Cable 2010 2009% Change 2010 2009% Change
Subscription: Programming tiers $ 7,227 $ 7,188 0.5%
Video $ 10,995 $ 10,760 2.2% Premium channels $ 865 $ 875 -1.1%
High Speed Data $ 4,960 $ 4,520 9.7%Transactional video-on-demand $ 366 $ 367 -0.3%
Voice $ 2,032 $ 1,886 7.7%
Video equipment rental and installation charges $ 1,308 $ 1,195 9.5%
Total Subscription $ 17,987 $ 17,166 4.8% DVR service $ 582 $ 510 14.1%
Advertising $ 881 $ 702 25.5%Franchise and other fees $ 493 $ 476 3.6%
Total $ 18,868 $ 17,868 5.6% Other $ 154 $ 149 3.4%
Total $ 10,995 $ 10,760 2.2% 2010 2009% ChangeResidential video 12,257 12669 -3.3%Commercial video 165 160 3.1%Residential high-speed data 9469 8994 5.3%Commercial high-speed data 334 295 13.2%Residential Digital Phone 4385 4153 5.6%Commercial Digital Phone 111 67 65.7%Primary service units 26721 26368 1.3%
TWC Revenue Breakdown
HH Cable Connection by Income
Income % of Pop. Subs lost y/y
<$75K 64.7% 27,015 $ 99.69
$75K-$150K 23.6% 9,854 $ 128.99
$150K+ 11.7% 4,885 $ 159.99
Total 100.0% 41,754
Avg Rev/Cust $ 113.66
Sub Losses by Segment
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total Video Subscriber Loss 41800 37620 29301.8 17467 3362
Target Retention Rate 10% 11.00% 12% 13% 14%
Total customers retained 4180 8318.2 11834.416 14105.17592 14575.88505
Revenue per Customer $113.64 $117.05 $120.56 $124.18 $127.90
Target Revenue Return $475,015 $973,639 $1,426,765 $1,751,545 $1,864,297
SG&A
Costs
EBIT (in billions) $475,015 $973,639 $1,426,765 $1,751,545 $1,864,297
Cumulative Revenue $475,015$1,448,654 $2,875,419 $4,626,964 $6,491,261
Total Revenue$84,781,349.28
Total Cost of Program$847,813.49
Gains From Retention Program
(500 points) (500 points) (750 points) (1000 points) (500 points) (1200 points)
Points Balance
3000
Redeem Now!
Today’s Trivia!What is the price of the latest Carl’s Jr. Burger? (200
points)Submit
In a universe as vast as it is mysterious, a small but powerful force has existed for
centuries. Protectors of peace and justice, they are called the Green Lantern Corps. A
brotherhood of warriors sworn to keep intergalactic order, each Green Lantern
wears a ring that grants him superpowers.
Watch Today! (1200 points or $14.95)
Select Merchandise(350 points each)
CONNECT!
Sample Rewards Screen
Benefit & Vision
DirecTV Choice Choice Xtra Ultimate PremiereChannels 150 210 225 285
Price$29.99 ($60.99) $34.99 (65.99) $39.99 ($70.99)
$83.99 ($114.99)
Free HD Service No Yes Yes YesFree HD DVR Yes Yes Yes Yes
Free NFL Sunday Ticket No Yes Yes YesDirecTV Cinema No Yes Yes YesFree HBO/Showtime/Starz(3 months)
No (Showtime) Yes Yes Yes
HBO Go/Cinemax Go No Yes Yes Yes
Dish Network
DishFAMILYAmerica's Top 100
America's top 200
America's top 250
Channels 55 120 200 250
Price$19.99 ($24.99) $29.99 ($44.99) $39.99 ($59.99) $44.99 ($69.99)
Competitor Comparison
AT&T Uverse Basic Premium Channels 130 360 Price $89.00 $114.00
Starz/Encore/Showtime No Yes
Verizon FIOS Prime HD Extreme HD Ultimate HD Channels 195 285 350 Price $64.99 $74.99 $89.99
HBO/Cinemax (50% off) Yes Yes Yes
Time Warner Cable (TV and Internet) Basic Midtier Premium Channels 200 200 200 Price $79.99 $99.99 $139.99 Free local HD Yes Yes Yes HD DVR No Yes Yes
Movies/Free on Demand Yes Yes Yes HBO/Cinemax No No Yes
Competitor Comparison