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Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org May, 2015 [email protected] Jerusalem Key Figures & Challenges eir Kraus erusalem Institute or Israel Studies
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Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

May, 2015

[email protected]

Jerusalem Key Figures & Challenges

Meir KrausJerusalem Institutefor Israel Studies

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

Jerusalem Institutefor Israel Studies

Our Contribution

• Assessment - From data collection to trend analysis and evaluation

• Policy planning - Formulating alternatives, cooperating with policy makers

• Dissemination - Policy papers, conferences, roundtable discussions, and briefings

www.jiis.org

[email protected]

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

3

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Social

Urban

Geo-politicalWorld City

Economic

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

4

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Social - Demographic

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

5

Society and DemographyKey Population Figures

• Total: 830,000(10% of Israel's population)

– Thereof:63% Jews (522,000)37% Arabs (308,000)

– Ultra-orthodox Jews: 39% (205,000) of the Jewish population

• Largest City in Israel

• Largest Arab community

• Largest Ultra-orthodox

community

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

6

WhereDo the Communities Live?

• Arab population – mainly East Jerusalem

• Jewish population – West Jerusalem and satellite neighborhoods– Ultra-orthodox – mainly

north

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Heterogeneous Cities

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Society and Demography Population Projection

1967 2013 2020

Jews 74% 63% 59%

Arabs 26% 37% 41%

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

9

Society and Demography Diversity in Age Structure

Median Age• Arabs: 20.0• Jews : 25.7

Median Age• Ultra-orthodox: 18.1• Secular and Religious: 29.2

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

10

Society and Demography Diversity in Religiousness

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Society and Demography Migration

Metropolitan centers:

• Jerusalem –7,400

• Tel Aviv –1,900

• Haifa –1,300

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

12

Society and Demography Students in the Jerusalem Education System 2014/15

• Total – 266,700 students in system

• 1/3 of the city's residents

• Size enables diversity. Schools include: Jewish-Arab; Religious-secular; Science & art; Democratic; Waldorf; and many more

State and

State-Reli-gious Educa-

tion88,600(26%)

Ultra-Orthodox Ed-ucation92,700(38%)

Arab Educa-

tion84,200(36%)

• The education system

in Jerusalem is approx. 4 times

larger then the one in Tel Aviv

• It is larger than the entire

population of the 4th largest city in

the country (Rishon Lezion)

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

13

Society and Demography Trends in Education

• Growing UO and Arab systems

• State &state religious - stable

• Balance is unstable

• Changes are rapid

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

Students in The Municipal Education Systemin Jerusalem by Sector, 2000-2014

Ultra-or-thodox

Arab

State andState-religious

Students

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

Students in the Municipal Education Systemin Jerusalem by Sector, 2000-2014

Ultra-or-thodox

Arab

State andState-religious

Students

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Society and Demography Higher Education

Higher Education Students in Jerusalem:• The Hebrew University: 20,600• Academic Colleges: 11,400• Colleges of Education: 5,700

• Total number of students in academic institutes: 37,700

• Leading non-academic colleges and schools are based in the city - schools of photography; drama; film and many more

Jerusalem is home to a University, 6 Academic Collegesand 4 Colleges of Education:

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

15

JIIS’ ContributionProjects:

• Population projection for 2040

• Migration study – to find the reasons for migration from and to Jerusalem, and produce policy recommendations

• Policy paper for making Jerusalem attractive for well-established population

• Policy for attracting students to the city

JIIS Project

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

16

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Social - Demographic• Three separate communities: general Jewish

population; ultra-orthodox Jews; Arabs• Large population in a low socio-economic

status• Demographic trends and negative migration

balance• Large and complex education system• Higher education• Culture

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

17

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Urban

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Planning & HousingLand Reserves forConstruction

• Almost ending

• Need for small editions instead of large neighborhoods

• Urban renewal

CANCELLED

CANCELLED

IN DISPUTE

IN DISPUTE

IN DISPUTE

IN DISPUTE

Urban Renewal?

Urban Renewal?

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

19

Planning & Housing Apartment Size

• Shift towards large, unaffordable, apartments

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

20

Planning & Housing Housing Prices

• Number of Monthly Salaries is Rising

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Planning & HousingAffordable Housing? – Average Salary vs. Housing Prices

Haifa Israel Tel Aviv - Yafo Jerusalem0

50

100

150

200

250

300

96

147

219

250

Number of Average Monthly Salaries Neededto Buy an Average-Priced Apartment, 2012

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

22

Planning & Housing Dwelling Construction in Jerusalem

• Changing trend

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

23

JIIS’ ContributionProjects:

• Downtown Jerusalem development plan evaluation

• Promoting affordable housing – identifying locations; policy for price moderation; strategies for urban regeneration

• Master plan for community services – family health centers; elderly services; welfare

• Jerusalem as a model city for urban sustainability and quality of life

• Urban conservation policy for Jerusalem

JIIS project

JIIS project

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

24

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Urban

• Regeneration of the inner city• Connectivity to the center• Public transport• Affordable housing• Preservation of the built heritage

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

25

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Economic

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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EconomyParticipation in Labor Force by Population Group

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Economy Structure of the Workforce (2013)

Jerusalem Tel Aviv Haifa

41% 22% 32% Public administration, Education Health, Welfare

13% 35% 18% Business activities, Banking, Insurance & Financial institutions

16% 17% 15% Trade, Accommodation, Restaurants

15% 12% 23% Industry, Transport, Construction

14% 15% 12% Other

100% 100% 100% Total

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

28

Economy Monthly Wage

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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EconomyPoverty Rate

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

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Economy Municipal Budget

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

31

Economy Tourism

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

32

Economy The Biotech Cluster • The opening conditions of Jerusalem encourage the existence

of biotech companies in the city.

• The cluster is developing – the number of companies is rising

• Currently – 11% of the companies in Israel are located in Jerusalem

Jerusalem Israel10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

30%

18%

% Biotech Industryout of the High-tech Industry

2012 20130

20

40

60

80

100

120

111117

Number of companies in Jerusalem

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

33

JIIS’ ContributionProjects:

• Assessment of hi-tech and bio-tech industries in Jerusalem and policy recommendations

• Assessment of the tourism industry in the city and policy recommendations

• Policy paper on higher education among the ultra-orthodox

• Examination of barriers to ultra-orthodox participation in the labor force

• Mapping of employment (especially women)in East Jerusalem

JIIS project

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

34

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Economic

• Raising social-economic level• Gap narrowing• Hi-tech industries• Employment creation; raising participation of UO

men and Arab women• Tourism

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

35

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

World City

• Capital of the Jewish people• Pluralism - diversity and tolerance• Spiritual dimension

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

36

JIIS’ ContributionProjects:

• Jerusalem – A World City

• Jerusalem and the Christian World

JIIS project

JIIS project

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

37

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Geo-political

• Tension de-escalation and coexistence

• Daily life in East Jerusalem• Possible solutions

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

38

JIIS’ ContributionProjects:

East Jerusalem daily life

• Legal status of the residents and policy recommendations

• Mapping of neighborhoods and needs

• Identification of friction points and management recommendations

Negotiations over Jerusalem

• Preparation of a “guide to the Israeli negotiator” – geographic and demographic background; defining Israel’s interests; alternatives; analyses of previous negotiations

JIIS project

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

39

Jerusalem – 5 Spheres of Challenge

Social

Urban

Geo-politicalWorld City

Economic• Regeneration of the inner city

• Connectivity to the center

• Public transport

• Affordable housing

• Preservation of the built heritage

• Possible solutions

• Tension de-escalation and coexistence

• Service level equality

• Capital of the Jewish people

• Tourism

• Pluralism - diversity and tolerance

• Spiritual dimension

• Raising social-economic level

• Gap narrowing

• Hi-tech industries

• Employment creation and diversification

• Raising participation of UO men and Arab women

• Enrichment of human capital

• Empowerment of community life and local leadership

• Inter community tension de-escalation

• Education system

• Cultural infrastructure and activities

• Academic city

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

Jerusalem Institutefor Israel Studies

Our Contribution

• Assessment - From data collection to trend analysis and evaluation

• Policy planning - Formulating alternatives, cooperating with policy makers

• Dissemination - Policy papers, conferences, roundtable discussions, and briefings

Thank You

[email protected]

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

41

Project Proposals:The Demographic Challenge

The Challenge:

• To find ways to make Jerusalem attractive to strong socioeconomic groups and young people and inject new life into the city, thereby strengthening it.

Anticipated Products

• A detailed population forecast for Jerusalem that looks toward 2040

• A report outlining the reasons people leave or move to Jerusalem, including policy recommendations

• Policy recommendations that will encourage the presence of stronger socioeconomic groups in the city

back

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

42

Project Proposals:Affordable Housing

The Challenge:

• To boost the availability of affordable apartments, which would serve as an incentive for young educated people to remain in the city.

Anticipated Products

• A policy paper regarding affordable housing in the city will be drafted. The paper will address the issue of suitable lands for this purpose and include planning and policy recommendations pertainingto the character of “affordable housing”.

back

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

43

Project Proposals:Urban Sustainability

The Challenge:

• To build models for a sustainable lifestyle that will improve the long-term quality of life in Jerusalem and, based on those models, Israel.

Anticipated Products

• Detailed reports and periodic updates presenting experts’ assessments on the main components of sustainable lifestyles in the city

• A final report will include recommendations forshort- and long-term policy measures

back

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

44

Project Proposals:The Israeli-PalestinianNegotiations over Jerusalem

The Challenge:

• To draft comprehensive proposals and analyses for decision makers that include alternative scenarios and innovative ideas for resolving the Jerusalem quagmire.

Anticipated Products

• A negotiations guide aimed at the Israeliside, with a focus on topics pertainingto Jerusalem

• A model of a special Israeli-Palestinianregime in the Old City and surroundings

back

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

45

Project Proposals:Development of the High-TechIndustries

The Challenge:

• To develop and expand high-tech industries and find ways to attract companies to base their operations in the city.

Anticipated Products

• An annual report on the progress of the biotech industry in Jerusalem and the formulation of policy recommendations for its advancement

• An annual report on the development of localhigh-tech industries and the formulation ofpolicy recommendations for their advancement

• An annual report on the development of newmedia and the formulation of relevantpolicy recommendations

back

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

46

Project Proposals:Jerusalem – A World City

The Challenge:

• to realize the potential inherent in the city and turn Jerusalem into a world center of spirituality and interfaith dialogue, wisdom, multiculturalism, and an extraordinary place to visit.

Anticipated Products

• A series of reports on different topics, including recommendations for policy and action

• Activities: Seminars, roundtable meetings, and the dissemination of reports stemming from this project

• The creation of a new database, “Jerusalem as a World City”

back

Jerusalem Institute for Israel Studies www.jiis.org

47

Project Proposals:Jerusalem and theChristian World

The Challenge:

• To foster the local Christian communities and strengthen the ties of hundreds of millions of believers to Jerusalem.

Anticipated Products

• Periodic reports on the state of the Christian communities, churches and other bodies operating in the Jerusalem metropolis

• Policy papers aimed at fostering Israel’s bond with these communities and official entities, and with the Christian world

• Activities: Seminars, roundtable meetings, and other activities aimed at broadening the knowledge base about the different Christian communities in Jerusalem and promoting interfaith dialogue.

back


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