5NCThe UK’s Fifth NationalCommunication underthe United NationsFramework ConventionOn Climate Change
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The UK’s Fifth NationalCommunication underthe United NationsFramework ConventionOn Climate Change
Department of Energy and Climate Change3 Whitehall PlaceLondon SW1A 2HD
Website: www.decc.gov.uk
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Contents
FOREWORD 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3
CHAPTER 1
National Circumstances 6
CHAPTER 2
Greenhouse Gas Inventory 16
CHAPTER 3
Policies and Measures 30
CHAPTER 4
Projections of Emissions and Total Effects of Policies 66
CHAPTER 5
Adapting to Climate Change 86
CHAPTER 6
Financial Assistance and Support for Technologies 102
CHAPTER 7
Research and Systematic Observations 110
CHAPTER 8
Education, Training and Public Awareness 128
ANNEX A
Inventory Tables 134
ANNEX B
Summary of Policies and Measures 141
ANNEX C
Reconciliation of UNFCCC and KP Reporting bases 145
ANNEX D
Bilateral and regional financial contributions relatedto the implementation of the Convention (£ million) 146
ANNEX E
Reporting of information under Article 7 Paragraph 2 150
GLOSSARY OF TERMS 152
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Foreword2
By the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change
I am pleased to present the UK’s Fifth National Communication under the FrameworkConvention on Climate Change. The actions we have taken mean the UK’s greenhousegas emissions are already significantly below the level needed to achieve our Kyototarget. We estimate that the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions should be 23 per cent below1990 levels by 2010.
In 2008 the UK passed the ground-breaking Climate Change Act: for the first timeanywhere in the world, there are legally-binding carbon budgets, putting the UK on thepathway to meeting an 80 per cent cut in greenhouse gases by 2050. By enshrining inlaw the UK’s long-term commitment to tackling climate change, the Act will drive furtherour progress towards becoming a low-carbon economy and will support our efforts tosecure a global deal on climate change. The levels of the first three carbon budgets,announced on 22 April, commit the country to reduce emissions by at least 34 per centbelow 1990 levels by 2020. We will move to tighter budgets following a successfulglobal deal.
Meeting carbon budgets will be challenging. We are taking action for homes and businesses, power and transport tomove to a low carbon economy, and this summer we will publish our energy and climate change strategy to build onexisting success.
To move to low carbon in our homes, we have outlined plans to make sure every house in the country that is able tohas cavity and loft insulation fitted by 2015, and seven million homes will be offered whole house heat and energyefficiency treatment by 2020.
To move to low carbon power, we have already tripled renewable power in five years, and have ambitious plansfor more renewable, nuclear, and low-carbon fossil fuels. I proposed in April, a new path to low-carbon coal,including funding for up to four major demonstrations of carbon capture and storage, and a new condition that nonew coal-fired power station will gain consent without using carbon capture and storage from day one.
And in transport, in the past year we have succeeded in negotiating new mandatory EU car emissions standards,entry for aviation into the EU emissions trading system and laid down strict conditions for the increase in capacity atHeathrow airport. We have introduced a renewable transport fuel obligation to increase the proportion of renewablesources in the UK transport fuel mix and moved to ensure that this should be sustainably produced. We continue tosponsor public transport, spending unprecedented amounts on the provision of public transport (in 2007-08 over£4 billion on the rail network and, together with local government, around £2.5 billion on supporting buses) as wellas the encouragement of sustainable transport choices including cycling and driver behaviour changes.
2009 is a critical year for the global effort to avoid dangerous climate change. It is essential that we agree apost-2012 international framework if we are to have any chance of avoiding the worst social, economic andenvironmental costs of climate change. Failure to take adequate action internationally to tackle climate change willnot only make its eventual impacts even greater and more dangerous, but it will cost considerably more than takingearly action. The Conference of the Parties (COP 15) in Copenhagen later this year, offers the global community theopportunity to reach an ambitious international agreement on tackling climate change. This is a high priority for theUK Government. We have already taken significant steps to move the UK towards becoming a low carbon economy,and the action taken is detailed in this report. We will continue to work with other countries, and through the EU,to reach an effective international agreement later this year.
Ed MilibandSecretary of State for Energy and Climate Change
June 2009
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Executive Summary3
1 The phrase UK emissions of greenhouse gases indicates UK emissions before emissions trading.2 The Kyoto Protocol covers emissions of a basket of greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons,perfluorocarbons and sulphur hexafluoride. The base year for emissions of the first three gases is 1990 and 1995 for emissions of the fluorinatedcompounds.
3 www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/uk/progress/pdf/4thnationalcommunication.pdf
UK greenhouse gas emissions counting towards ourcurrent Kyoto commitment were 18.4 per cent belowbase levels in 2007. The UK’s Kyoto Protocol target is toreduce emissions of the basket of six greenhouse gasesby 12.5 per cent compared to base-year levels. The UK istherefore well on track to exceed this commitment.Between 1990 and 2007, carbon dioxide emission(including Land Use and Land Use Change and Forestry(LULUCF)) fell by 8.3 per cent; methane emission fell by53.1 per cent; and nitrous oxide emissions fell by 46.9per cent. The latest interim projections show that UKemissions of greenhouse gases1 are expected to fall toabout 23 per cent below base year levels by 2010.
Background
The grave threats posed by climate change demandserious, concerted action by the whole world. Since nocountry can solve the problem on its own, all countriesmust show what they can achieve by their own actions,which should be consistent with their nationalcircumstances. These actions can also help theinternational process to secure future agreements.These underlying fundamentals are the core of the UK’sstrategy for tackling climate change.
This communication sets out the progress that the UKhas made in implementing its commitments under theUNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol. Some of thesecommitments have been driven by national policyinitiatives and some have been implemented followingmeasures adopted at European Union (EU) level. Thelatter are described in more detail in the EU’s report ondemonstrable progress and the EU’s fifth nationalcommunication – to be published later this year.
The UK’s commitment under the Kyoto Protocol is toreduce its greenhouse gas emissions to 12.5 per centbelow base-year levels over the first commitment period,2008-20122.
The UK progress to date
The UK’s emissions of the Kyoto basket of sixgreenhouse gases fell by 18.4 per cent between the baseyear and 2007. These reductions have been mainlydriven by restructuring, especially in the energy supplyindustry; energy efficiency; pollution control measures inthe industrial sector and other policies that reducedemissions of non-CO2 greenhouse gases, most notablythe increase in landfill methane capture and oxidation.
The action that the UK has taken to date, and thecomprehensive policy framework now in place,means that greenhouse gas emissions are alreadysignificantly below the level needed to achieve its targetfor the first commitment period.
Since the Fourth National Communication3 waspublished in May 2006, the UK Government andDevolved Administrations have implemented a range ofpolicies and measures. Many of these were announcedin the 2006 Climate Change Programme and 2007Energy White Paper and others more recently.
Highlights of these policies and measures include:
� Phase II of the EU Emission trading systemwhich started on 1 January 2008 and will run until31 December 2012. The UK was the first EUmember state to auction 7 per cent of allowances(approximately 86 million) and was the firstMember State to do so on 19th November 2008,raising over £54m for the UK Exchequer.
� The UK passed legislation (the Climate Change Act2008) in November 2008 which introduced theworld’s first long-term legally binding frameworkto reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
� The Environmental Transformation Fund (ETF)which is designed to bring forward thedevelopment of new low carbon energy andenergy efficiency technologies in the UK. The fundbegan operation in April 2008, and is co-ordinatedthrough the Department of Energy and ClimateChange (DECC). The ETF also has an internationalelement, jointly owned by DECC and theDepartment for International Development (DfID)and administered by the World Bank as part of theClimate Investment Funds.
� A new mandatory emissions trading scheme – theCarbon Reduction Commitment (CRC) – which willbegin in 2010 and cover around 5000 large UKbusinesses and public sector organizations,responsible for about 10 per cent of the UK’s totalemissions. The scheme will deliver carbon savingsof at least 4.4 MtCO2 per year by 2020.
� In September 2008, the Government announcedan additional £1 billion for the Home EnergySaving Programme (HESP), which will deliver apackage of measures to help families on middleand modest incomes to permanently cut theirenergy bills.
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Executive Summary4
� The Carbon Emissions Reduction Target (CERT),which is part of HESP, was introduced in 2008 andis the principal driver of energy efficiencyimprovements in existing homes in Great Britain.CERT is an obligation on energy suppliers toachieve targets for promoting carbon emissionsreductions in the household sector. It replaced theearlier Energy Efficiency Commitments (EEC).
� An announcement by the Government in 2007that all new homes in England were to be zerocarbon by 2016. In 2008, it announced anambition for all new non-domestic buildings to bezero carbon from 2019, and that all new publicbuildings should achieve zero carbon status from2018. This announcement expanded on theambition that all new schools and colleges shouldbe zero carbon from 2016.
� In April 2009, the Government announced that allnew coal-fired power stations would be required todemonstrate carbon capture and storage technology.
� Since the Renewables Obligation was introduced in2002, renewable electricity generation has increasedfrom less than 2 per cent in 2001 to 4.9 per cent in2007. Banding for the RO, introduced in the EnergyAct 2008, will target support to encourage a widervariety of renewable technologies.
� In July 2008, the Government’s Adapting to ClimateChange (ACC) Programme launched an adaptationwebsite and published Adapting to Climate Changein England: A Framework For Action.
� The UK is working internationally on adaptationthrough the UNFCCC and bilateral agreements.
� The design of the multi-donor WorldBank-administered Climate Investment Funds (CIFs)in which the UK played a pivotal role. The UKsupported the World Bank and worked with otherdonors to design and establish the Funds.
� The UK considerably scaled up its InternationalDevelopment Association (IDA) contribution lastyear (£2.134 billion against a contribution of£1.430 billion in the previous replenishmentround) partly in recognition of the need to respondto the challenges of climate change.
� Living With Environmental Change was launchedin 2007 as major new £1billion 10-yearinterdisciplinary research and policy partnershipprogramme
� The Energy Technologies Institute (ETI) wasformally established in December 2007 as a novelpartnership, involving government and industry,together contributing funding of up to £1 billionover ten years.
� The ACT ON CO2 campaign, launched in 2007(building on previous Government initiatives) tohelp encourage sustained behaviour change toreduce individual CO2 emissions. Independentresearch shows that 73 per cent of people say theyhad taken action to reduce their CO2 emissions orwere planning to as a result of the campaign – anincrease of 23 percentage points since the summer2007. In 2009/2010, the campaign will build onthe successes to date by building literacy aroundthe reality of climate change and scientificconsensus around the causes, and encouragingbehavioural change.
On 22 April 2009, the Government announced thelevel of the UK’s first three carbon budgets settinglegally binding limits on UK greenhouse gasemissions covering the years 2008-12, 2013-17 and2018-22 respectively. In summer 2009, theGovernment intends to publish an energy andclimate change strategy that will outline alow-carbon future for the UK that is prosperous andenergy-secure. It will also set out the policies andproposals for meeting these ambitious carbonbudgets, on a pathway to achieving the UK’slegally-binding target to reduced greenhouse gasemissions to at least 80 per cent below 1990 levelsby 2050.
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1National Circumstances
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National CircumstancesCHAPTER ONE6
4 www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/what_we_do/lc_uk/carbon_budgets/carbon_budgets.aspx
Key developments
� In 2007, UK total greenhouse gas emissions weremore than 18 per cent below the base year level,compared with the 12.5 per cent reductionrequired to meet the UK’s Kyoto commitment.
� Central England Temperature (CET) has risen byabout a degree Celsius since 1980, with 2006being the warmest year on record. The UK hasexperienced 8 of the 10 warmest years on recordssince 1990, and by 2040 UK temperatures are setto rise by up to one degree Celsius dependingupon the region.
� The UK population in 2007 was 61 million withnearly 85 per cent of the population beingresident in England. The UK population ispredicted to rise to over 70 million by 2030.
� The UK covers over 24 million hectares. Aroundthree-quarters of this is under agricultural use.The remaining quarter is made up of urban(14 per cent), forest and woodland (12 per cent)and inland water (1 per cent).
� The total area of woodland in the UK is currently2.8 million hectares. Of this total, 47 per cent is inScotland, 40 per cent in England, 10 per cent inWales and 3 per cent in Northern Ireland.
� Following the succession of shocks that hit theworld’s economies in 2007 and 2008, the UK,like many advanced economies, has moved intorecession. As macroeconomic policy stimulusbuilds and credit conditions ease, the economy isforecast to pick up progressively through 2010and 2011.
� The growth in new gas fired electricity generationhas slowed and falling nuclear generation is beingreplaced largely by coal leading to increasedcarbon emissions per unit of electricity.
� In 2007, most of the UK’s energy supply was fromnatural gas (40 per cent). Renewable energysources currently used in the UK are largelyhydropower, wind, biomass and landfill gas andaccount for 1.8 per cent of energy supply. Underthe new EU Renewable Energy Directive there is atarget for 15 per cent of the UK’s energyconsumption to be from renewable sourcesby 2020.
� The UK’s long term strategy to reduce transportemissions includes the Renewable Transport FuelsObligation, which with current changes tolegislation is expected to require 5 per cent oftransport fuel sold in the UK to come fromrenewable sources by 2013-14.
� In 2008, the total livestock in the UK wasaround 215 million (this includes sheep, cattle,pigs, goats, farmed deer, poultry and horseson holdings)
Government profile
1.1 The United Kingdom (UK) consists of England,Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.The Devolved Administrations consisting of theScottish Government, the Welsh AssemblyGovernment and the Northern Ireland Executivewere established in 1999. While the UKGovernment has overall responsibility for ensuringthat a programme is put in place to deliver theUK’s Kyoto target and its recently publisheddomestic carbon budgets4, all the administrationswill play a part in meeting these targets. Theapproach taken by each administration will differ,drawing on the range of policies at their disposal.
Within the UK Government, the Department ofEnergy and Climate Change (DECC) which wascreated in a machinery of Government change inOctober 2008 is now responsible for domestic andinternational mitigation and internationaladaptation policy. The Department forEnvironment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) haspolicy responsibility for domestic adaptation.Fiscal matters are the responsibility of HerMajesty’s Treasury (HMT) and many of the policiesare the responsibility of other governmentdepartments including Defra, the Department forBusiness, Enterprise and Regulatory Reform(BERR), the Department for Transport (DfT),the Department of Communities and LocalGovernment (CLG) and the Department forInternational Development (DfID). The ScottishGovernment’s Climate Change and Water IndustryDirectorate leads on mitigation and adaptationpolicy in Scotland. Local government implementspolicies through relevant responsibilities at thelocal level, e.g. as planning and waste authorities,and as housing and local transport providers.
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CHAPTER ONE National Circumstances 7
Geographic Profile
1.2 Figure 1.1 shows recent agricultural and forestryland-use data for the UK in 2007.
Figure 1.1 Agricultural and Forestry land use in theUK 20075
Land use refers to the main activity taking placeon an area of land. Around three-quarters of thetotal UK land area is used for agriculture.
Between 1996 and 2007 the area under cropsand rough grazing land fell by 5 and 7 per centrespectively and the amount of set aside landdecreased by 14 per cent. In the same periodgrassland and the area covered by forest andwoodland increased by 6 and 4 per centrespectively.
Climate Profile
1.3 The UK’s climate is maritime: moist and generallycool, with variable temperature and a moderateannual range. Average annual precipitation rangesfrom less than one metre to more than threemetres. Space heating is required in buildingsthroughout the winter months and the use of airconditioning in the summer months is increasing.
1.3.1 UK Climate trends6
� Central England Temperature (CET) has risen byabout a degree Celsius since 1980. Eight of the tenwarmest years recorded have been since 1990 with2006 being the warmest year on record. It is likelythat there has been a significant influence fromhuman activity on the recent warming of CET.Average annual temperature for all regions of theUK has risen by between 0.4 and 0.9°C since 1914.
� Severe windstorms around the UK have becomemore frequent in the past few decades, althoughnot above the frequency in the 1920s.
� Sea level around the UK rose by about 1mm/yr inthe 20th century, corrected for land movement.The rate for the 1990s and 2000s has been higher,up to 3mm/yr, which is closer to the globalaverage for these years. Sea-surface temperaturesaround the UK coast have risen by about 0.7 ºCover the past three decades.
� Annual mean precipitation over England andWales has not changed significantly since recordsbegan in 1766. Scotland is on average 20 per centwetter then it was in 1961. Seasonal rainfall ishighly variable, but appears to have decreased insummer and increased in winter.
� All regions of the UK have experienced morewinter rainfall from heavy precipitation events. Insummer, all regions except North East England andNorthern Scotland show decreases in rainfall.
1.3.2 UK Climate Projections7
1.3.2.1 The UK will continue to get warmer.
� By 2040, average annual temperature for the UK isexpected to rise by between 0.5 and 1°C,depending on region. By 2100, average annualtemperature for the UK could rise by between 1 and5°C, depending on region and emissions scenario.
� Warming is expected to be greater in the southand east than in the north and west.
5 Land use, The Environment in your Pocket 2008. http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/statistics/eiyp/pdf/eiyp2008.pdf6 The climate of the United Kingdom and recent trends, UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), Jan 2009http://www.ukcip.org.uk/images/stories/08_pdfs/Trends_section1%262.pdf
7 These are headline messages from the most current climate modelling scenarios courtesy of UKCIP02 (with revisions in 2009)http://www.ukcip.org.uk/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=237&Itemid=331. UKCIP09 due imminently fromhttp://www.ukcip.org.uk/
Other agricultural land
Set-aside land
Forest & woodland
Crops & bare fallow
Rough grazing
Grassland
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National Circumstances CHAPTER ONE8
1.3.2.2 Summers will continue to get hotter and drier
� By 2040, average summer temperature for the UKis expected to rise by between 0.5 and 2°C,depending on region. By 2100, average summertemperature for the UK is expected to rise bybetween 1 and 6°C, depending on region andemissions scenario.
� The number of days when buildings requirecooling is expected to increase.
1.3.2.3 Winters will continue to get milder and wetter
� The number of days when buildings requireheating is expected to decrease.
� By 2040, average winter temperature for the UK isexpected to rise by between 0.5 and 1°C,depending on region. By 2100, average wintertemperature for the UK could rise by between1 and 4°C depending on region and emissionsscenario
� By 2100, there is expected to be up to 30 per centmore precipitation in the winter months,depending on region and emissions scenario.
1.3.2.4 Some weather extremes will become morecommon, others less common
� Heavier winter precipitation is expected to becomemore frequent.
1.3.2.5 Sea level will continue to rise
� The temperature of UK coastal waters is expectedto increase, though not as rapidly as airtemperatures over land.
Population Profile
1.4 Table 1.1 shows the estimated population andpopulation density for the UK in 2007 and theprojected population in 2031.
In mid-2007 the population of the UK was 61.0million; 83.8 per cent of whom lived in England.The UK population is expected to reach71.1million by 2031; an average annual rate ofgrowth of 0.6 per cent from 2006. Longer-termprojections suggest that this population growthwill continue rising strongly beyond 2031, and stillbe rising at the end of the projection period (85.2million in 2081)9.
The population density is around three timeshigher in England than in Wales and NorthernIreland, and is nearly six times higher than inScotland. This has implications for transportdemand and the development of energy supplyinfrastructure.
Economic Profile and Industry
1.5 The UK is currently the world’s sixth largesteconomy ($2.7 trillion in 2008), its eighth largestexporter of goods ($438 billion in 2007) and secondlargest exporter of services ($273 billion in 2007).
Among major advanced economies, the UK is anopen economy, with export equivalent to around29 per cent of GDP, the stock of inward foreigndirect investment 47 per cent of GDP and thestock of outward foreign direct investment73 per cent of GDP. The EU27 is destination forover 50 per cent of UK exports of goods andservices. The next largest export markets are theUS, at 17 per cent, and Asia at 15 per cent.
8 Office for National Statistics, Mid Year Population Estimates, mid 2007, http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?id=6 69 National Population Projections for the United Kingdom, Great Britain and Constituent Countries, Office for National Statistics,http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_population/pp2no26.pdf
Table 1.1 Population in the UK in mid 2007 8.
Source: Office for National Statistics
Country Population (000's) 2007 populationdensity (personsper km2)
Predicted 2031population (000's)
England 51,092 392 60,432
Wales 2,980 144 3,296
Scotland 5,144 66 5,374
Northern Ireland 1,759 130 1,999
UK total 60,975 251 71,100
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CHAPTER ONE National Circumstances 9
The UK is a services oriented economy, with totalservices contributing 76 per cent of UK grossvalue added (GVA) in 2007, compared withmanufacturing (121⁄2 per cent), North Sea oil andgas (21⁄2 per cent), utilities (11⁄2 per cent) andconstruction (61⁄2 per cent). Within the servicessector, the sources of UK output are diverse, withfinancial services accounting for 71⁄2 per cent ofGVA, business services 24 per cent, and publicadministration, education, health and other socialservices each between 5 and 7 per cent.
The UK economy grew at an annual average rateof 3 per cent between 1997 and 2007, with GDPper capita rising 27 per cent over that period.Following the succession of shocks that hit theworld’s economies in 2007 and 2008, the UK,like many advanced economies, has moved intorecession. GDP fell by 4.1 per cent on a yearearlier in the first quarter of 2009. As theeconomy has declined, the labour market hasweakened, with the working-age employmentrate falling from around 75 per cent to around74 per cent over the past year.
The Budget 2009 forecast is for the UK economyto contract by 31⁄2 per cent in 2009. Asmacroeconomic policy stimulus builds and creditconditions ease, the economy is forecast to pickup progressively through 2010 and 2011.
Energy
1.6 The UK’s energy supply incorporates coal,petroleum, natural gas, nuclear power andrenewable energy. Over the next two decadesmuch of the nuclear and coal powered electricitygeneration capacity of the UK is scheduled forclosure. The majority of new build in the 1990swas in gas-fired generation. This slowed after2000, with no further significant increase incapacity, but in the medium term new build isexpected to be in gas.
The UK is currently one of the main globalproducers of oil and gas and is expected toremain an important producer for many years;however production of oil and gas is graduallydeclining and the UK became a net importer ofgas on an annual basis in 2004 and became a netimporter of oil in 2005. The UK remains a netexporter of petroleum products.
Figure 1.2 UK Energy Supply in 200710
Source: DECC
In 2007, most of the UK’s energy supply wasfrom natural gas (40 per cent), followed bypetroleum (33 per cent), coal (17 per cent),nuclear electricity (6 per cent), renewable energysources (1.8 per cent) and others (1.2 per cent).The renewable energy sources currently used inthe UK are largely hydropower, wind, biomass andlandfill gas. The Government’s current policy onrenewable and other energy includes a target togenerate 10 per cent of electricity from renewablesources by 2010. Under the new EU RenewableEnergy Directive there is a target for 15 per centof the UK’s energy consumption to be fromrenewable sources by 2020. Promotion ofrenewable energy in Scotland is devolved to theScottish Government, which has introduced atarget to generate 50 per cent of Scotland’selectricity demand and 20 per cent of its overallenergy demand from renewable sources by 2020.
The shares of both gas and coal in electricitygeneration and supply were higher in 2007 thanin 2000 mainly because of the declining share ofnuclear. This has increased the carbon emissionsper unit of generation, even though the share ofrenewables doubled over this period.
10 DECC, Digest of UK Energy Statistics (DUKES), 2008
Coal
Petroleum
Natural gas
Nuclear Electricity
Renew ables and other
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National Circumstances CHAPTER ONE10
Figure 1.3 Share of fuels on electricity supplied basis11 Source: DECC
Consumers, businesses and households are allable to choose between competing suppliers ofelectricity and gas. This exerts a downwardpressure on energy prices and the UK’s gas andelectricity prices for households have generallybeen lower than other major European countries.Electricity and gas networks are privately owned,but are regulated in Great Britain by theIndependent Office for Gas and Electricity Markets(Ofgem) and in Northern Ireland by the Office forRegulation of Electricity and Gas (Ofreg).
Transport
1.7 Transport currently accounts for 21 per cent of theUK’s greenhouse gas emissions12. This is anincrease from 16 per cent in 1990. According tothe recent energy projection scenarios carbondioxide emissions from transport indicate adecrease in emissions of nearly one per cent from2000 – 2010. These scenarios also predict anincrease of less than a per cent in transportemissions by 202513. Car use has increased asdisposable income has risen, against a backdropof little change in the real cost of motoring andrising real costs of public transport fares. Althoughthe average number of trips people make hasdeclined over the last ten years, the distancetravelled and the time spent travelling hasincreased. (The average annual distance travelledby residents in Great Britain rose by 2 per centbetween 1995/97 and 2006, but the number ofwalking trips fell by 15 per cent14.)
11 DECC, DUKES 200812 Emissions by source, and including those resulting from domestic aviation13 CO2 projections published in UEP 3214 Department for Transport, National Travel Survey, 2006
Coal
Nuclear
Gas
Oil
Imports
Other Fuels
Hydro
2000
2007
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CHAPTER ONE National Circumstances 11
Source: Transport Trends 2008 edition,Department for Transport
Note: ‘Other’ includes Other private, Non-local bus, Taxi/minicaband other public.
Both Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) and the CompanyCar Tax System15 now reward motorists forselecting fuel-efficient cars by being linked to thevehicles' carbon emissions. Reforms to VED meanthat for cars with the very lowest carbonemissions the rate is reduced to zero. Motoristscan save thousands of pounds on their companycar tax bill if they choose clean, low-carbonvehicles.
Due to the increased manufacture of more fuelefficient cars, new cars sold in the UK are onaverage some 10 per cent more fuel-efficient thanthey were a decade or so ago.
The UK’s long term strategy to reduce transportemissions includes the Renewable Transport FuelsObligation, which with current changes tolegislation is expected to require 5 per cent oftransport fuel sold in the UK to come fromrenewable sources by 2013-1416.
Waste
1.8 In 2006, 282 million tonnes of waste wereproduced in England, of which most (36 per cent)came from the Construction, Demolition andexcavation industries. Approximately 10 per centof the waste produced in 2006 came frommunicipal sources.
15 Vehicle Certification Agency (VCA) website – www.vca.gov.uk/fcb/index.asp16 Dft: Renewable Transport Fuels Obligation http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/roads/environment/rtfo/
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erye
ar
Car Walk Bicycle/Motorcycle Local bus Rail/Tube Other
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1995/97
1998/00
2000
2004
2006
Figure 1.4 Average annual trips made by mode:1995/97 – 2006, Great Britain
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National Circumstances CHAPTER ONE12
Figure 1.5 England Waste arisings 200617
Source: Defra, Environment Agency, Departmentfor Communities and Local Government, Officefor National Statistics, Better RegulationExecutive, Centre for Environment, Fisheries andAquaculture Science, Water UK
Waste produced in England is currently disposedof at landfill sites, with the remainder treatedby other means, including waste-to-energy,recycling and composting. In 2007/2008households in England recycled nearly34 per cent of their waste18.
Consistent with the EU Landfill Directive,the Government and the devolved administrationshave published waste strategies aiming to reducethe quantity of waste produced and toincreasingly recover value from it. The strategiesalso set targets for reducing the amount of wastesent to landfill and to increase the amount ofrecycling or composting. These targets will furtherreduce the level of methane emissions from thewaste sector in the UK.
Building Stock and Urban Structure
1.9 Despite the UK’s long history of urbanisation,some areas are sparsely populated, including theHighlands of Scotland, and parts of Wales andnorthern England.
In 2007 there were around 27 million dwellings inthe UK, of which 22 million were in England.Most common are semi-detached houses(32 per cent), followed by terraced houses(28 per cent), detached houses (23 per cent), andpurpose built flats (12 per cent). The number ofhouseholds in England is projected to increase by23 per cent between 2004 and 2026. Thisreflects, amongst other things, the increasingnumber of people living on their own. This trendshows some large regional variations, withincreases of about 29 per cent in the south westbut only 12 per cent in the north east. In Scotlandthe number of households is projected to increaseby around 19 per cent between 2006 and 2031.
Agriculture
1.10 The total area of agricultural land in the UK atJune 2008 was around 18.7 million hectares.About 6.1 million hectares of this was arable(including uncropped land), of which around halfwas under cereal production. 10.4 million hectaresis currently under grass, (permanent and sole rightrough grazing). The remainder was other land(roads, paths, buildings, etc.) or farm woodland.
There are significant differences within the variouscountries of the UK. For example, some 84 percent of the agricultural land area in Scotland hasbeen designated as Less Favoured Area ascompared with 70 per cent in Northern Ireland,75 per cent in Wales, and 17 per cent in England.
In June 2008, the total livestock in the UK wasaround 215 million (this includes sheep, cattle,pigs, goats, farmed deer, poultry and horses onholdings) which is a decrease from 2000. Of thisthere were 10.1 million cattle, 33.1 million sheep,4.7 million pigs and 154.2 million fowl in the UK19.
During 2000, the Common Agricultural Policy wasreformed. This involved the creation of anintegrated EU Rural Development Policy, whichprovided the basis for a shift of emphasis fromproduction support towards environmental andrural development.
17 Defra, Environment Agency, CLG, Office for National Statistics, Better Regulation Executive, Centre for Environment, Fisheries and AquacultureScience, Water UK. Data are provisional estimates. Due to revisions in current data collection Defra are unable to produce total Waste Arisingsstatistics for the UK at present.
18 Defra: http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/statistics/wastats/bulletin07.htm19 June 2008 Survey of Agriculture and Horticulture.
Construction,Demolition and Excavation
Municipal
Mining and Quarrying
Dredged Materials
Agriculture
Sewage
Commercialand Industrial
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CHAPTER ONE National Circumstances 13
Forestry
1.11 The total area of woodland in the UK is currently2.8 million hectares. Of this total, 47 per cent is inScotland, 40 per cent in England, 10 per cent inWales and 3 per cent in Northern Ireland.
Around 1.6 million hectares of the total UKwoodland is made up of conifers, the remainderbeing broadleaved species. There is a shift towardsbroadleaves which accounted for the majority (89per cent) of new planting in 2007/08.
In 2007, around 9.5 million green tonnes20 oftimber was harvested from UK forests (9.1 milliontonnes softwood, 0.4 million tonnes hardwood).Softwood availability is projected to increase to 12million green tonnes by 2017-2021 as a numberof large plantations from the 1960s and 1970sreach maturity21. Efforts are being made toincrease hardwood production, to contribute totargets for wood fuel by bringing undermanagedwoodlands back into management.
Source: Forestry Commission
The UK Forestry Standard (2004) provides criteriaand standards for the sustainable management ofUK forests and woodlands. This is used by theForestry Commission for Great Britain and theForestry Service for Northern Ireland, and itsimplementation is also required in those areas ofprivate forestry receiving grants.
In the UK, 45 per cent of the total woodland area(all state forests and 22 per cent of otherwoodland) has now been certified under the UKWoodland Assurance Standard. This standardallows the certified forests to be recognised byconsumers as a sustainable resource.
20 Green tonnes are used by the Forestry Commission to describe the weight measurement of timber fresh felled before any natural or artificialdrying has occurred.
21 www.forestry.gov.uk/statistics22 www.forestry.gov.uk/statistics
Country Area (kha) ofwoodland
Area (kha) of newplanting
Area (kha) ofrestocking
Harvested timber(millions of greentonnes)
England 1127 2.6 3.5 2.1
Wales 285 0.2 2.3 1.0
Scotland 1342 4.2 12.6 5.9
Northern Ireland 87 0.6 0.5 0.4
UK total 2841 7.5 18.9 9.5
Table 1.2 Woodland activity 2007- 0822
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National Circumstances CHAPTER ONE14
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2Greenhouse Gas Inventory
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Greenhouse Gas InventoryCHAPTER TWO16
23 The Fixed Base Year is taken from the UK’s Assigned Amount report. This report was submitted in 2006, based on emissions reported in the 1990-2004 Greenhouse Gas Inventory, and was subject to official review in 2007. This base year is now fixed and is the value that the UK will beassessed against for its Kyoto Protocol target. The 18.4 per cent fall includes afforestation, reforestation and deforestation under Art 3.3 of the KPand forest management which the UK has elected under Art 3.4
24 UK Greenhouse Gas Inventory, 1990–2007, Annual report for submission under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, April 2009.25 http://www.opsi.gov.uk/acts/acts2008/ukpga_20080027_en_2#pt1
Key developments
� The UK’s greenhouse gas emissions were 18.4 percent below Kyoto Protocol base-year23 levels in2007. UK emissions are therefore lower than theKyoto reduction commitment of -12.5 per centagreed for the first commitment period.
� Between 1990 and 2007 carbon dioxide emissionsincluding LULUCF fell by 8.3 per cent; methaneemissions fell by 53.1 per cent; and nitrous oxideemissions fell by 46.9 per cent.
� Between 1995 and 2007, hydrofluorocarbonemissions fell by 38.3 per cent; perfluorocarbonemissions fell by 54.2 per cent; and sulphurhexafluoride emissions fell by 36.0 per cent.
� The reduction in the basket of six greenhouse gasemissions since 1990 has been mainly driven byrestructuring especially in the energy supplyindustry; energy efficiency; pollution controlmeasures in the industrial sector and otherpolicies that reduced emissions of non-CO2greenhouse gases, most notably the increase inlandfill methane capture and oxidation.
Introduction
2.1 This chapter provides information on the nationalsystem for the UK greenhouse gas inventory,taken from the UK’s greenhouse gas inventorysubmitted to the UNFCCC in April 200924.It shows trends in UK greenhouse gas emissionsbetween 1990 and 2007, disaggregating overallemissions by gas, and by source and end-usesector. The by-source basis reports emissions fromthe energy supply industry separately and the end-user basis reallocates these emissions to thesectors that make use of the energy supplied.
The UK’s Kyoto Protocol target is to reduceemissions of the basket of six greenhouse gasesby 12.5 per cent compared to base-year levels.This was agreed by the EU in 1998 and representsthe UK’s share of the agreement under the KyotoProtocol by the fifteen States which weremembers of the EU in 1997 to reduce emissionscollectively by 8 per cent relative to base year
levels during the first commitment period.Under the Climate Change Act 2008, the UK nowalso has a carbon reduction target for 2050, and itis the duty of the Secretary of State to ensure thatthe net UK carbon account for the year 2050 is atleast 80 per cent lower than the 1990 baseline25.This more ambitious, longer-term goal shows theUK’s commitment to making its contribution tothe long term global emissions reduction neededto stabilise atmospheric concentrations ofgreenhouse gases.
The UK’s base year for assessing emissions ofcarbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) andnitrous oxide (N2O) is 1990. In line with mostother EU Member States, and in accordance withArticle 3.8 of the Kyoto Protocol, the UK haschosen, for the purposes of accounting under theKyoto Protocol, to use 1995 as the base year foremissions of the fluorinated gases:hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons(PFCs) and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6).
Land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF)emissions and removals are reported in the UK’sgreenhouse gas inventory in accordance with therules for reporting this sector under the UNFCCC.The UNFCCC reporting basis includes an estimateof all anthropogenic sources minus sinks from theLULUCF sector. Common Reporting Format Tablesused for reporting to the UNFCCC are included atAnnex A. It is on this basis that progress againstthe carbon budgets and targets under the UKClimate Change Act 2008 will be assessed.A narrower definition of LULUCF emissions andremovals is used to assess progress against theKyoto target which includes only mandatoryactivities under Article 3.3 of the Kyoto Protocol,and forest management, which the UK has chosenas an activity under Article 3.4 of the KyotoProtocol. The UK decided not to account forcropland or grazing land management orrevegetation which are other choices underArticle 3.4 because of the additional uncertaintiesassociated with the detailed monitoring of theseactivities required under the Protocol. A smallallowance related to deforestation emissions in1990 is included in the base year estimate,as required by Article 3.7 of the Kyoto Protocoland subsequent decisions of the COP (Conferenceof the Parties).
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CHAPTER TWO Greenhouse Gas Inventory 17
The geographical coverage of the inventory forassessing progress against the UK’s carbonbudgets and targets under the UK ClimateChange Act 2008 is the UK alone. The coveragefor assessing progress on the 12.5 per centreduction in emissions below base year levels forthe first commitment period under the KyotoProtocol also includes emissions from the CrownDependencies of Jersey, Guernsey and the Isle ofMan, and the Overseas Territories that haveassociated themselves with the UK’s instrument ofratification, namely Bermuda, the Cayman Islands,the Falkland Islands and Montserrat. Annex Cshows the relationship between these bases.
National system for preparing the UKgreenhouse gas inventory
2.2 The UK’s greenhouse gas inventory is compiledunder contract to DECC by the environmentalconsultancy AEA Technology (AEA). AEA alsocompiles the UK’s National Atmospheric EmissionsInventory, used for reporting emissions to otherinternational agreements, including theGothenburg Protocol and the UNECE Conventionon Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution.Most of the underlying information is held oncommon databases and this helps ensureconsistency between the inventories.
Emissions from the agricultural sector are providedby North Wyke Research under contract to Defra,and estimates for LULUCF are produced on behalfof DECC by the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology(CEH). Both DECC and Defra also fund researchcontracts to provide improved emissions estimatesfor certain sources such as fluorinated gases,landfill methane, and to provide estimates forpreviously unreported sub-sectors such asmethane from abandoned coal mines, includedfor the first time in the UK’s inventory submittedin 2005.
The greenhouse gas inventory is compiledannually according to Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change (IPCC) Good Practice Guidance(IPCC, 2000 and 2003) and with regard to the2006 Guidelines (IPCC, 2006). Methodologicalimprovements take account of new data sources,updated guidance from IPCC, relevant work byorganisations such as CORINAIR (the Europeaninventory system for certain air pollutants) andspecific research programmes sponsored byGovernment Departments including DECC,Defra and DfT together with the DevolvedAdministrations. All methodological improvementsare applied back to 1990 to ensure a consistenttime series.
The UK has established a national system forgreenhouse gas emissions estimation, reportingand archiving and this system is fully compliantwith the requirements of the Kyoto Protocol.DECC has been appointed as the Single NationalEntity with responsibility for the overallmanagement and strategic development of theUK’s greenhouse gas inventory. AEA is thedelegated Inventory Agency with responsibility forcompilation and reporting of the UK GHGinventory. DECC has established the NationalInventory Steering Committee (NISC) which isan inter-departmental committee that ensurescross-Government co-ordination of inventorywork. The NISC also performs several inventorymanagement functions such as prioritising futureinventory research and improvement, and thereview and approval of the national inventory dataprior to submission to the EU and the UNFCCCeach year. The Committee on Climate Change(CCC), an independent body set up under theClimate Change Act, is represented on the NISC.The CCC provides advice to the UK Governmentand Devolved Administrations – including inrelation to setting carbon budgets – and reportsto the UK Parliament and devolved legislatureson the progress made in reducing greenhousegas emissions.
A detailed description of the UK’s national systemwas provided in the most recent annual inventoryreport submitted in April 2009 to the UNFCCCand the EU. The annual inventory report providessome of the additional reporting required underArticle 7, paragraph 2 of the Kyoto Protocol.Other sources of information required underArticle 7, paragraph 2 are summarised in Annex E.
Geographical Coverage
2.3.1 Geographical coverage used for National andInternational reporting
The UK inventory provides data to assess progresswith the UK’s commitments under the KyotoProtocol, the UK’s contribution to the EU’s targetsunder the Kyoto Protocol and also progress towardsdomestic targets to reduce GHG emissions.Geographical coverage for these three purposesdiffers to some extent, because of the following:
1. The carbon budgets and targets under theUK Climate Change Act 2008 apply only to theUK itself.
2. The Kyoto commitment extends coverage alsoto emissions from the Crown Dependencies ofJersey, Guernsey and the Isle of Man, and theOverseas Territories that have ratified the FCCC
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Greenhouse Gas Inventory CHAPTER TWO18
and Kyoto Protocol (the Cayman Islands, theFalkland Islands, Bermuda, Monserrat andGibraltar). This is the coverage which isreported to the UNFCCC.
3. The UK’s commitments under the EU’s KyotoProtocol target only include the parts of the UKwhich are also parts of the EU (the UK andGibraltar, excluding all Crown Dependenciesand other Overseas Territories).
Table 2.1 shows the total greenhouse gasemission estimates, presented as million tonnes ofcarbon dioxide equivalent (Mt CO2eq)26 associatedwith the geographical coverages of the UnitedKingdom, Crown Dependencies and OverseasTerritories. Together these total the overallemissions estimates submitted to the UNFCCC.Combinations of these emission estimatesalso provide totals which correspond to thosereported in UK National Statistics and to theEuropean Union.
2.3.2 Geographical coverage used in this report
There are two geographical coverages used in thisreport. Figures 2.2-2.7 present emission estimatesbased on UNFCCC coverage. Tables 2.2a, 2.3aand 2.4 also present emission estimates consistentwith this coverage. The second geographicalcoverage presented is UK only (excluding CrownDependencies and Overseas Territories). Thiscoverage is needed for the purposes of theClimate Change Act. Tables 2.2b, 2.3b presentemission estimates based on this UK coverage.Figure 2.1 shows the trend in emissions reportedunder the Kyoto Protocol; the geographicalcoverage is on a UNFCCC basis but the totalemissions differ due to different requirements forthe reporting of LULUCF.
Greenhouse gas emissions trends
2.4 Figure 2.1 shows the trend in emissions of thebasket of six greenhouse gases between 1990 and2007 along with the emission reduction targetrelating to the first commitment period under theKyoto Protocol. As a result of policy action andtrends in the UK, annual greenhouse gas emissionestimates for the basket of six greenhouse gasescovered by the Kyoto Protocol fell by 18.4 percent between the fixed base year27 and 2007.
Information on individual gases is contained insections below and Annex A contains tablessummarising the UK’s greenhouse gasemissions. More details can be found in the UK’sannual greenhouse gas inventory, published inApril 200924.
26 Greenhouse gas emissions are expressed throughout this document as million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO2 eq). Other gases areexpressed in terms of carbon dioxide equivalent by multiplying their emissions by their global warming potential (GWP).
27 The Fixed Base Year is taken from the UK’s Assigned Amount report. This report was submitted in 2006, based on emissions reported in the 1990-2004 Greenhouse Gas Inventory, and was subject to official review in 2007. This base year is now fixed and is the value that the UK will beassessed against for its Kyoto Protocol target.
Table 2.1 UK Greenhouse gas emissions by geographical coverage, Mt CO2eq
1990 1995 2000 2005 2007
United Kingdom 773.9 713.3 673.0 650.6 634.7
Crown Dependencies 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.6
Overseas Territories(excluding Gibraltar)
1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0
Gibraltar 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Total 777.1 716.8 676.8 654.2 638.5
Emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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CHAPTER TWO Greenhouse Gas Inventory 19
Figure 2.1 UK emissions of greenhouse gases,1990–2007.
Notes:
1. The geographical coverage for the basket of six greenhouse gasesincludes UK, Crown Dependencies and Overseas Territories
2. The total emission estimates differ from those reported to theUNFCCC as they include mandatory Article 3.3 LULUCF activities,forest management cap under Article 3.4 and deforestation emissionsin the base year. Other LULUCF emissions are excluded, consistentwith KP requirements and UK choices under Art 3.4.
3. The Kyoto Protocol target line is calculated from a fixed base-year figure
Greenhouse gas emissions inventory by gas
2.5 Table 2.2a and 2.2b show historical data for CO2and the other greenhouse gases. These tableshave different geographical coverages for thereported emissions.
Table 2.2a includes the full UNFCCC coverage ofthe UK, its Crown Dependencies and OverseasTerritories.
Table 2.2b shows emissions for the UK only.
The sections that follow summarise the mainfactors affecting the historical trend by gas andpercentages and figures quoted in these sectionsrefer to the full UNFCCC geographical coverageunless otherwise specified.
28 As shown in the Kyoto basket line in fig 2.1. LULUCF component includes mandatory Article 3.3 LULUCF afforestation plus reforestation minusdeforestation since 1990 and the forest management cap of 0.37MtC agreed for the UK under Article 3.4 LULUCF of the Kyoto Protocol. Totalsalso include emissions from UK Overseas Territories associated with the UK’s ratifications of the UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol.
29 The Fixed Base Year is taken from the UK’s Assigned Amount report. This report was submitted in 2006, based on emissions reported in the 1990-2004 Greenhouse Gas Inventory, and was subject to official review in 2007. This base year is now fixed and is the value that the UK will beassessed against for its Kyoto Protocol target.
Table 2.2a UK Greenhouse gas emissions (UNFCCC coverage), Mt CO2 eq
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007
Total carbon dioxide 594.2 554.6 552.8 555.1 544.6
Methane 104.5 91.2 69.8 51.1 49.0
Nitrous oxide 64.6 53.7 41.9 36.5 34.3
HFCs 11.4 15.6 10.0 10.2 9.6
PFCs 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2
Sulphur hexafluoride 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.8
Total greenhouse gas emissions by sourcesminus removals by sinks
777.1 716.8 676.8 654.2 638.5
Total greenhouse gas emissions includingonly mandatory Article 3.3 LULUCFactivities and forest management capunder Article 3.4 LULUCF 28
773.0 714.1 674.7 652.8 636.6
Change from fixed base year levels (forrow above)
-0.9% -8.4% -13.5% -16.3% -18.4%
Fixed Base Year29 779.9
800
750
700
650
600
550
500
450
400
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
emis
sio
ns,
Mt
CO
2eq
Basket of six greenhouse gases
Kyoto target 2008-2012
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Greenhouse Gas Inventory CHAPTER TWO20
2.5.1 Carbon dioxide (CO2)
Carbon dioxide is the main greenhouse gas in theUK. Net CO2 emissions (all anthropogenic sourcesminus removals by sinks) in 1990 were estimatedto be 594.2 Mt CO2, or around 76 per cent of theUK’s total emissions of greenhouse gases. By 2007CO2 emissions had been reduced by 8.3 per centto 544.6 Mt CO2, contributing around 85 per centof UK greenhouse gas emissions in that year.
The main source of CO2 is from combustion offossil fuels. Energy efficiency and structuralchanges in power generation provided the maindrivers behind the reduction in emissions between1990 and 2007. Although electricity consumptionincreased by 22 per cent between 1990 and2007, CO2 emissions from power stations fell by13 per cent. The reduced carbon intensity wasmainly due to switching from coal to gas inelectricity generation, but also because ofimproved performance from nuclear generationand an increased use of renewable energy andcombined heat and power.
The CO2 estimate takes account of changes incarbon stocks in forests and soils produced byCEH, based on land use and soil survey data, andon annual planting data from the ForestryCommission. CEH also uses the inventories ofwoodlands in Great Britain, which the ForestryCommission has undertaken at 15-20 yearintervals since 1924.
2.5.2 Methane
Methane (CH4) is the second largest share of theUK’s greenhouse gas emissions. Emissions in 1990were 104.5 Mt CO2 eq, contributing around 13per cent of the UK’s total emissions of greenhousegases. By 2007 CH4 emissions had been reduced
by 53 per cent to 49 Mt CO2 eq, contributingaround 8 per cent of UK greenhouse gasemissions in that year.
The major sources of CH4 are from the anaerobicdegradation of landfill waste, enteric fermentationand waste management sources in agriculture,leakage of natural gas from the distributionnetwork and emissions due to coal mining.Emissions from all of these main sources ofmethane in the UK have fallen significantly since1990. The most notable decrease has arisen fromemissions of landfill waste. Changes in landfill gascapture and oxidation have led to an estimated59 per cent reduction in emissions from thissource. New waste policies were introduced in the1990s to meet the requirements of the EU LandfillDirective as well as previous policy goals. Changesin energy production trends, replacement of thegas distribution infrastructure, utilisation ofmethane from working and abandoned coalmines and a reduction in livestock numbers havealso reduced methane emissions.
2.5.3 Nitrous oxide
Nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions contributed 64.6 MtCO2 eq or about 8 per cent of the UK’s totalgreenhouse gas emissions in 1990. N2O emissionshad been reduced by around 47 per cent to 34.3Mt CO2 eq in 2007, contributing around 5 percent of UK greenhouse gas emissions in that year.
The major sources were agricultural soils andindustrial processes, particularly fugitive emissionsfrom adipic acid manufacture. Emissions of N2Ofrom industrial processes fell from an estimated24.7 Mt CO2 eq in 1990 to 2.8 Mt CO2 eq in2007, largely from the introduction of abatementtechnology in adipic acid manufacture in 1998.
30 As shown in the CO2 line in fig 2.1. Includes total emissions by sources minus total removals by sinks.
Table 2.2b UK Greenhouse gas emissions (UK coverage), Mt CO2 eq
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007
Total carbon dioxide 30 591.5 551.5 549.5 551.8 541.2
Methane 104.0 90.8 69.5 50.9 48.7
Nitrous oxide 64.5 53.6 41.8 36.4 34.2
HFCs 11.4 15.6 9.9 10.1 9.6
PFCs 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2
Sulphur hexafluoride 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.8
Total greenhouse gas emissions by sourcesminus removals by sinks
773.9 713.3 673.0 650.6 634.7
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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CHAPTER TWO Greenhouse Gas Inventory 21
N2O emissions from road transport increased from1.2 Mt CO2 eq in 1990 to 1.3 Mt CO2 eq in 2007,peaking at 2.4 Mt CO2 eq in 1995. The initial risein emissions was because of the rise in thenumber of petrol-fuelled motor vehicles fittedwith three-way catalytic converters. However,improvements in catalyst formulation and enginemanagement systems has resulted in moreefficiently functioning catalysts in later years andhence emissions of N2O from road transport arenow in decline.
2.5.4 Fluorinated gases (HFCs, PFCs and SF6)
Emissions of the fluorinated or industrial gases aresmall in absolute terms but their significance isincreased by high Global Warming Potential(GWP) values. For the purpose of accountingunder the Kyoto Protocol, the UK has chosen touse 1995 as the base year for emissions of HFCs,PFCs and SF6. This is in line with the approachadopted by most other EU Member States. In1995 emissions of all fluorinated gases from theUK amounted to about 17.3 Mt CO2 eq or 2.4per cent of UK total greenhouse gas emissions; by2007 emissions had fallen by 38.6 per cent to10.6 Mt CO2 eq, contributing 1.7 per cent of UKgreenhouse gas emissions in that year.
Emissions of HFCs fell by 38.3 per cent, from 15.6Mt CO2 eq in 1995 to 9.6 Mt CO2 eq in 2007,mainly due to the introduction of thermal oxidiserpollution abatement equipment at the two UKplants where HCFC-22 is manufactured. Othersources of HFC emissions include refrigeration/air-
conditioning, foam blowing, general aerosols,metered dose inhalers, solvent cleaning and fire-fighting. HFCs were virtually unknown in many ofthese sectors before 1990 but since then,consumption has risen in response to the phaseout of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) andHydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) under theMontreal Protocol.
Emissions of PFCs fell by 54.2 per cent between1995 and 2007. This is mainly due to theintroduction of improved technology in thealuminium production sector that has led to lowerprocess emissions.
SF6 is used in four main markets: electricalinsulation, magnesium smelting, electronics andtraining shoes. Total use of SF6 from these end usemarkets fell by 36 per cent between 1995 and2007. Emissions from the magnesium sector havereduced due to the partial replacement of SF6with HFC134a at the main manufacturing site.
Sectoral emissions – by source
2.6 Tables 2.3a and 2.3b show the contribution to UKgreenhouse gas emissions of different sectors byemissions source. Table 2.3a shows total emissionestimates from the UK, Crown Dependencies andOverseas Territories, whilst Table 2.3b showsemission estimates from the UK only. By-sourcereporting shows emissions from the energy supplyindustry separately to the other sectors.
Table 2.3a Greenhouse gas emissions by source (UNFCCC coverage), Mt CO2 eq
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007
Energy supply 274.7 236.3 220.3 229.0 226.1
Business 111.1 107.1 111.6 101.9 97.2
Industrial processes 54.3 44.7 24.4 17.7 17.7
Transport 125.2 125.8 129.4 134.3 137.1
Residential 81.7 82.8 90.3 88.5 81.4
Public 13.6 13.2 11.7 11.0 9.7
Agriculture 60.7 58.6 55.4 50.8 48.1
LULUCF (net) 3.0 1.3 -0.3 -1.9 -1.7
Waste management 52.9 47.0 34.1 22.9 22.9
Total GHG emissions by sources minusremovals by sinks
777.1 716.8 676.8 654.2 638.5
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Greenhouse Gas Inventory CHAPTER TWO22
Figures 2.2 to 2.7 below show the contribution ofeach sector to the emissions of each in the basketof six greenhouse gases between 1990 and 2007.
These are based on full UNFCCC coverage. Thebase year emissions estimates are generated fromthe 2007 GHG inventory.
Table 2.3b Greenhouse gas emissions by source (UK coverage), Mt CO2 eq
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007
Energy supply 273.5 234.9 219.0 227.9 224.8
Business 110.8 106.7 111.0 101.3 96.5
Industrial processes 54.3 44.7 24.4 17.7 17.7
Transport 124.4 125.0 128.5 133.3 136.1
Residential 81.3 82.3 89.8 88.0 80.9
Public 13.6 13.2 11.7 11.0 9.7
Agriculture 60.4 58.3 55.1 50.6 47.8
LULUCF (net) 3.0 1.3 -0.3 -1.9 -1.8
Waste management 52.7 46.8 34.0 22.8 22.8
Total GHG emissions by sources minusremovals by sinks
773.9 713.3 673.0 650.6 634.7
Note: the percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Figure 2.2 Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Source, 1990-2007, Mt CO2 eq
640
590
540
490
440
390
340
290
240
190
140
90
40
Emis
sio
ns
(Mt
CO
2eq
)
Energy Supply
Business
Industrial Process
Transport
Residential
Public
Agriculture
Land Use Change
Waste Management
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CHAPTER TWO Greenhouse Gas Inventory 23
Figure 2.3 Methane Emissions by Source,1990-2007, Mt CO2 eq
120
100
80
60
40
20
Emis
sio
ns
(Mt
CO
2eq
)Offshore Oil and Gas
Fuel Combustion
Waste Water Treatment and Waste Incineration
Other
Waste disposal on Land
Agriculture
Coal mining
Natural gas Transmission/Distribution
Figure 2.4 Nitrous Oxide Emissions by Source, 1990-2007, Mt CO2 eq
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Emis
sio
ns
(Mt
CO
2eq
)
Waste Management
Land Use Change
Agriculture
Public
Residential
Transport
Industrial Process
Business
Energy Supply
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Greenhouse Gas Inventory CHAPTER TWO24
Figure 2.5 HFC Emissions by Source, 1990-2007, Mt CO2 eq
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
Emis
sio
ns
(Mt
CO
2eq
)
HFC used as a cover in magnesium foundries
Fire Fighting
Solvents
HFC-23 from HCFC-22 Manufacture andfugtive Losses from HGC Manufacture
Metered Dose Inhalers
General Aerosols and OCF
Foams (excluding OCF)
Refrigeration/Air Conditioning
Figure 2.6 PFC Emissions by Source, 1990-2007, Mt CO2 eq
Other PFC emissions
Refrigeration/air conditioning
Aluminium smelting
Electronics1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
Emis
sio
ns
(Mt
CO
2eq
)
Figure 2.7 SF6 Emissions by Source, 1990-2007, Mt CO2 eq
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
Emis
sio
ns
(Mt
CO
2eq
)
Other SF6 uses
Electronics
Electrical Insulation
Magnesium smelting
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CHAPTER TWO Greenhouse Gas Inventory 25
2.6.1 Energy supply
Energy supply is the biggest single contributor tothe UK’s carbon dioxide emissions and wasresponsible for about 216 Mt CO2 eq or 39.7 percent of net CO2 emissions in 2007. Therestructuring of the energy supply industry in themid-1990s led to a significant decrease inemissions to 1999. Between 1999 and 2006emissions increased, due to the volatile and highgas price and the corresponding switching fromgas to coal. However in 2007, emissions haveagain shown a decline and are down 2 per centon 2006 figures.
Sectoral emissions – by end-user
2.7 Table 2.4 shows greenhouse gas emissions onan end-user basis. Emissions from the energysupply industry are reallocated to the sectors,which make use of the energy supplied.The geographical coverage presented includes UKand Crown Dependencies. Emissions fromOverseas Territories are not included in the enduser analysis, but are included in the table toensure overall total emissions are consistent withUNFCCC coverage.
2.7.1 Energy use
A decreasing trend in emissions is evident since1990 in the business sector. In 2007, emissionsfrom this sector were about 17 per cent below1990 levels and represented 32 per cent of totalemissions. A number of factors contributed to thisdecrease; primarily fuel switching and a decline inenergy intensity arising from structural changesand policy actions.
In 2007, residential sector emissions (includingthose derived from electricity use in the sector) areestimated as 149 Mt CO2, compared to 1990emissions of 169 Mt CO2, a reduction of about12 per cent. This small net change was the resultof interactions between several much largerindividual contributions over the decade.Three factors have had a major influence:
� growth in demand for underlying energy services(such as warmer homes, hot water and homeentertainment)
� background improvement in energy efficiency, over1 per cent per annum
� reduction in the carbon intensity of grid electricity
Transport accounted for around 24 per cent of UKgreenhouse gas emissions in 2007, representing agrowth of 8 per cent since 1990. This growth isdriven by increasing demand, which more thanoffset improvements in new car fuel efficiency.
Public sector emissions fell from 31.2 Mt CO2 eqin 1990 to 20.9 Mt CO2 eq in 2007 and nowrepresent 3 per cent of total emissions.
Table 2.4 Greenhouse gas emissions by end user, Mt CO2 eq
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007
Business 243.8 211.8 211.1 206.5 203.2
Industrial processes 56.8 47.0 26.2 18.4 18.6
Transport 144.8 149.3 151.7 155.6 156.0
Residential 168.4 153.5 155.7 156.2 149.1
Public 31.2 28.2 23.3 22.1 20.9
Agriculture 64.5 61.7 58.0 53.6 50.6
LULUCF (net) 3.0 1.3 -0.3 -1.9 -1.8
Waste management 52.9 46.9 34.1 22.8 22.8
Exports 10.3 15.4 15.2 18.8 16.9
Overseas Territories 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3
Total GHG emissions by sources minusremovals by sinks
777.1 716.8 676.8 654.2 638.5
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Greenhouse Gas Inventory CHAPTER TWO26
2.7.2 Agriculture, forestry and land use
In 1990, greenhouse gas emissions fromagriculture, forestry and land use were 67.4 MtCO2 eq or about 8.7 per cent of the UK total.This includes net emissions and removals fromLULUCF. Joint annual emissions from these sectorshave fallen by 27.6 per cent between 1990 and2007. The fall in emissions is the result ofdecreasing animal numbers and fertiliser use, plusexpanded forest area and a tendency to lessintensive agriculture.
2.7.3 Waste
Emissions from disposal of waste have decreasedby 57 per cent since 1990, primarily due to thedecline in methane emissions. This decrease hasbeen realised mainly through fitting of methanerecovery systems on landfills and increasingdiversion of biodegradable waste from landfill,plus more diversion away from landfills inresponse to the UK landfill tax and policies tomeet the requirements of the EU Landfill Directive.
2.7.4 Industrial processes
Industrial process emissions have decreased by67 per cent since 1990. The largest reductionsare from the chemical manufacturing industry,most notably the abatement of nitrous oxideemissions from nitric and adipic acid manufacturein response to Integrated Pollution PreventionControl (IPPC) and emissions trading schemes.
Uncertainties
2.8 The UK GHG inventory uses an error propagationand Monte Carlo simulation method to estimateuncertainties for GWP weighted emissions of allgreenhouse gases. The uncertainties estimatesfrom the Monte Carlo method are summarised inTable 2.5.
Carbon dioxide dominates GWP weightedemissions, and the estimated emissions have a lowuncertainty of around 2 per cent. There are muchlarger uncertainties associated with emissions ofN2O and CH4 and the source which makes themajor contribution to the overall uncertainty ofthe UK GHG inventory is 4D Agricultural Soils.DECC has work programmes in place to reducethese uncertainties which include field basedmeasurement programmes in the agriculturalsector, literature review and assessment, andmethodological development.
The trend in GHG emissions is clearly downwardsover the reporting period, and the GWP weightedemissions in 2007 were between 16 per cent and20 per cent below the level in 1990 with the bestestimate being a decline of 18.4 per cent.Uncertainty in the trend is considerably less thanthe absolute uncertainty in any year.
For N2O, HFCs and PFCs, the uncertainty in totalemissions appears to have increased over time.This is because the relative contribution of sourcesof these gases associated with greateruncertainties are larger in the later years as othersources of emissions have fallen.
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Notes
Uncertainty calculated as 2s/E where s is the standard deviationand E is the mean, calculated in the simulation.
N2O quoted but distribution is highly skewed and uncertaintyquoted exceeds 100 per cent.
Emissions of CO2 are net emissions (i.e. sum of emissionsand removals).
Important – Emissions in this table are taken from the Monte
Carlo model output. The central estimates, according to gas,
for 1990 and the latest inventory year are very similar but not
identical to the emission estimates in the inventory.
Comparison of 4NC and 5NC
2.9 Since the publication of the 4NC, various updatesand revisions to methodologies have beenimplemented in the UK GHG inventory that haveimpacted on the time-series of emissions.The most significant changes are highlighted inTable 2.6 below:
Gas1990
Emissions2007
Emissions
Uncertainty in1990 emissions
as % ofemissions in
category
Uncertainty
introduced on
nationaltotal in
1990
Uncertainty in2007 emissions
as % ofemissions in
category
Uncertainty
introduced on
nationaltotal in
2007
%change
inemissio
nsbetween
2007and1990
Range of likely %change between2007 and 1990
2.5percentile
97.5percentile
2.5percentile
97.5percentile
2.5percentile
97.5percentile
Gg CO2e Gg CO2e Gg CO2e Gg CO2e % Gg CO2e Gg CO2e % % % %
CO2(net)
594,192 544,657 584,627 603,603 2 535,814 553,499 2 -8 -10.4 -6.2
CH4 104,569 49,015 85,440 129,685 26 40,987 59,417 23 -53 -56.0 -50.0
N2O 64,949 34,898 32,856 146,077 179 10,372 97,083 271 -53 -71.0 -32.0
HFC 11,390 9,614 9,992 12,790 15 7,897 11,317 22 -15 -33.0 4.0
PFC 1,402 216 1,346 1,457 5 174 257 24 -85 -88.0 -82.0
SF6 1,030 794 887 1,173 17 692 894 15 -22 -36.0 -7.0
All 777,532 639,194 733,190 861,317 15 608,565 702,239 15 -18 -20.0 -15.0
Table 2.5 Summary of Monte Carlo Uncertainty Estimates 1990-2007
Table 2.6 Major revisions to the UK GHG inventory since publication of 4NC
Change 2007
Methodological improvements to the estimation ofemissions from adipic and nitric acid
Decrease in the estimated emissions of nitrous oxidefrom industrial processes
Introduction of EUETS data in selected sectors from2005 onwards
Revisions to emission estimates from the energysupply and industrial processes sectors
Revision to methodology used to estimate emissionsfrom offshore oil and gas
Revision to estimated emissions for both methane andnitrous oxide from the energy supply sector
Correction to activity data used for landfill methanefrom 1998 onwards
Increase in methane emissions from the waste sector
Review of methods, activity data and emission factorsfor F-gas emissions in the UK
Revision and introduction of new sources affecting theindustrial processes sector
Update to N2O factors for road transport Agriculture Decrease in the estimated emissions of nitrous oxidefrom transport
Un
cert
ain
tyin
tro
du
ced
on
nat
ion
alto
tal
in19
90
Un
cert
ain
tyin
tro
du
ced
on
nat
ion
alto
tal
in20
07
%ch
ang
ein
emis
sio
ns
betw
een
2007
and
1990
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3Policies and Measures
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Policies and MeasuresCHAPTER THREE30
31 Climate Change Programme was published in March 2006 and available from:www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/uk/ukccp/pdf/ukccp06-all.pdf
32 Meeting the Energy Challenge – A White Paper on Energy was published in May 2007. Available from:www.berr.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper/page39534.html/whitepaper/page39534.html
33 www.renewableconsultation.berr.gov.uk/34 http://hes.decc.gov.uk/
Key developments
Key targets and policies
� The UK is on track to meet its commitment under theKyoto Protocol to reduce greenhouse gas emissionsto 12.5 per cent below 1990 levels by 2008-12.
� The UK Government passed legislation in 2008 –the Climate Change Act – which introduces alegally binding long-term framework for reducinggreenhouse gas emissions, through domestic andinternational action, to at least 80 per cent below1990 levels by 2050 and to at least 34 per centbelow 1990 levels by 2018-22
� The Climate Change Levy (CCL), a tax on energyuse to encourage business and the public sector toimprove their energy efficiency, has increased inline with inflation since 2007.
� Under Climate Change Agreements (CCAs) energyintensive industry may benefit from an 80 per centreduction in the CCL for energy intensive industry ifthey meet challenging energy efficiency or carbonemissions targets. 2010 targets were reviewed in2008, as a result of which, emissions savings in2010 derived from targets will increase from7 MtCO2 to at least 10.6MtCO2, when measuredagainst Business As Usual Projections. The currentCCA scheme ends in 2013. Subject to State aidapproval, the scheme will continue to 2017.
� Carbon Reduction Commitment – a newmandatory emissions trading scheme, scheduled tobegin in 2010, which will cover large UK businessand public sector organisations. The scheme isexpected to deliver carbon savings of at least4 MtCO2 per year by 2020.
� The EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) placesan emissions cap on the large electricity producersand energy intensive industries, which creates acarbon price to drive abatement to meet the capat least cost.
� A target for the UK to reduce greenhouse gasemissions from sectors not covered by the EU ETSto 16 per cent below 2005 levels by 2020.
� 20 per cent of the EU’s energy consumption(electricity, heat and transport) to come fromrenewable sources by 2020. The UK’s target is15 per cent; for 10 per cent of road transport fuelsto come from renewable sources, subject to thembeing produced in a sustainable way.
Introduction
3.1 The UK plays a leading role in the fight againstclimate change. Action taken since the 1990s hassignificantly reduced greenhouse gas emissionsand the UK is on track to exceed its target underthe Kyoto Protocol. Provisional figures show thatemissions, including emissions reductions resultingfrom purchases through EU ETS, were 221⁄2 percent below base year emissions in 2008.
Between 1990 and 2007 carbon dioxide emissions(including LULUCF) fell by 8.3 per cent; methaneemissions by 53.1 per cent; and nitrous oxideemissions by 46.9 per cent. The UK is thereforewell on track to exceed its burden sharingcommitment.
3.1.1 The UK’s domestic targets
In November 2008, the UK introduced the world’sfirst long-term legally binding framework toreduce greenhouse gas emissions (the ClimateChange Act 2008).
On 22 April 2009, the UK Governmentannounced the level of the UK’s first three carbonbudgets setting legally binding limits on UKgreenhouse gas emissions covering the years2008/12, 2013/2017 and 2018/2022 respectively.In summer 2009, the UK Government will publishan Energy and Climate Change Strategy that willdescribe the policies and proposals to meet theseambitious carbon budgets, outlining a low-carbonfuture that is prosperous and energy-secure and itwill detail the policies that will help get there.
The Government already has a comprehensive setof policies in place to tackle greenhouse gasemissions, set out in the 2006 Climate ChangeProgramme31 and the 2007 Energy White Paper32.It is also taking action to strengthen policy in anumber of areas, including through consulting ona Renewable Energy Strategy33 and a Heat andEnergy Saving Strategy34 and work to acceleratethe development and introduction of electric, andplug-in hybrid cars.
The Government will also respond in more detail tothe advice received in December 2008 from theindependent Committee on Climate Change, andmeet the Climate Change Act requirement to setout our policies and proposals for meeting the firstthree carbon budgets which were announced inApril 2009. The Strategy will draw on recent and
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CHAPTER THREE Policies and Measures 31
current public consultations, and will put thecarbon reduction strategy in the context of theGovernment’s overall programme for deliveringsecure low-carbon energy at competitive prices andto the benefit of the UK economy into the future.
Policy development process
3.2 The Department of Energy and Climate Change(DECC) coordinates UK policy on climate changeat official level through inter-departmentalcommittees chaired by DECC. A CabinetCommittee chaired by the Chancellor of theExchequer makes decisions at Ministerial level.
Some policies are the responsibility of DECCdirectly, while others are the responsibility of HerMajesty’s Treasury (HMT), the Department forTransport (DfT), the Department for Environment,Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), the Department ofCommunities and Local Government (CLG),the Department for Business, Enterprise andRegulatory Reform (BERR), the Foreign andCommonwealth Office (FCO) and the Departmentfor International Development (DFID).
The UK Government’s programme is supported byaction taken by the Devolved Administrations inScotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. While theUK Government has overall responsibility forensuring that a programme is put in place todeliver the UK’s Kyoto target and its recentlypublished domestic carbon budgets35, all theadministrations will play a part in meeting thesetargets. The approach taken by eachadministration will differ, drawing on the range ofpolicies at their disposal. Policies and programmesspecific to each Devolved Administration areincluded throughout this chapter.
The Stern Review on the economics of climatechange36, published in October 2006, underpinsclimate change policy development in the UK.It confirmed that climate change is real and is aproblem that can only be solved by collectiveinternational action. The Review demonstratedthat urgent action is needed to mitigate the effectsof climate change and that the costs of globalaction to mitigate the most dangerous effects aresignificant but manageable, as long as action istaken multilaterally. The damage costs of climatechange through failure to take action would begreater than the costs of addressing the risks.
The Stern Review calculates that the dangers ofunabated climate change would be equivalent tobetween 5 and 20 per cent of annual global GDPeach year. In contrast, the costs of action toreduce greenhouse gas emissions to avoid theworst impacts of climate change can be limited toaround 1 per cent of global GDP each year. Peoplewould pay a little more for carbon-intensivegoods, but our economies could continue to growstrongly.
The UK’s strategy to reduce emissions, in line withthe framework set out in the Stern Review,is based on three essential elements: carbonpricing, technology policy, and removing thebarriers to behavioural change.
In 2007 the UK Government published Meetingthe Energy Challenge – A White Paper on Energywhich built on the proposals contained in theEnergy Review report, The Energy Challenge,published in July 2006.37 The Energy White Paperset out the UK’s domestic and internationalstrategy to address the twin challenges of tacklingclimate change by reducing carbon dioxideemissions and ensuring secure, clean andaffordable energy supplies. It focused on greaterenergy efficiency, the importance of carbon pricesand strengthening the EU Emissions TradingSystem, the development of more low carbonsources of energy and security of energy supplydelivered through liberalised energy markets.The Government projected at the time that thepackage of policies in the White Paper could savebetween 84 – 121 MtCO2 by 2020.
The UK has undertaken research to determine theextent of impacts of response measures. The UKimplements policies in a way that takes intoaccount the impacts of response measures on alldeveloping countries, including through theimplementation of the world’s first majorinternational carbon trading scheme, the use ofthe flexible mechanisms and continuedliberalisation of its energy markets. The policiesare also aimed at reducing costs of mitigation asfar as possible and where costs are unavoidable,the UK seeks to ensure that they are borne as faras possible within the UK and Europe.
The UK has also ensured that response measuresare as diverse as possible, and include:
� measures to reduce emissions of greenhouse gasesother than CO2 from fossil fuels
� emissions trading
35 http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/Budget2009/bud09_carbon_budgets_736.pdf36 Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change: http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/sternreview_index.htm37 Available from: www.berr.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper/review/page31995.html
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Policies and Measures CHAPTER THREE32
� measures to enhance carbon sinks
� action to encourage carbon capture and storage
3.2.1 Scottish Government
Lead Cabinet responsibility for climate changepolicy in Scotland rests with the Cabinet Secretaryfor Finance and Sustainable Growth. A seniorofficial level Greener Scotland Programme Board isresponsible for embedding climate change acrossthe Scottish Government, and a cross-GovernmentClimate Change Delivery Group coordinates actionwithin individual Directorates.
Through its Government Economic Strategy38,the Scottish Government has committed to reduceScottish emissions. In support of this, the ClimateChange (Scotland) Bill was introduced to theScottish Parliament at the end of 2008 andincludes a mandatory target to achieve an 80 percent reduction in 1990 levels of Scottishgreenhouse gas emissions by 2050 and will createa statutory framework committing the ScottishGovernment to securing this reduction.39
Over 50 per cent of Scotland’s emissions will becovered by the EU Emissions Trading System(which aims to deliver 21 per cent emissionsreduction by 2020) or the UK Carbon ReductionCommitment. Strategic options for deliveringfuture emissions cuts in Scotland will be publishedfor discussion during 2009. The ScottishGovernment is also committed to assessing theimpact on carbon emissions of its own spendingand is developing a Climate Change AdaptationFramework to make sure Scotland can adapt tothe impacts of climate change which are alreadybeing felt. The Scottish Government is alsoworking with UK partners on delivering therequirements of the UK Climate Change Act.
The Scottish Climate Change Bill includes amandatory provision for Scottish Ministers todevelop and publish an Energy Efficiency ActionPlan. This plan must be revised at least every threeyears and be reported on annually to the ScottishParliament. The plan will set out the actions thatthe Scottish Government is taking to improveenergy efficiency across all sectors in Scotland andthe contribution that this will play in meeting theoverall Climate Change Bill target. The plan willalso cover activities driven by the UK Governmentand the European Union. An outline of the actionplan was published in April 2009 and the ScottishGovernment intend to consult on the plan later inthe year.
3.2.2 Welsh Assembly Government
In Wales, the Welsh Assembly Government’sprogramme for government, One Wales, sets outthe Assembly Government’s commitment toachieve annual greenhouse gas emission reductionsof 3 per cent per year by 2011 in areas of devolvedcompetence and to set out specific sectoral targetsin relation to residential, public and transport.In January 2009, the Assembly Governmentpublished its Climate Change Strategy – High levelpolicy statement consultation. The second stage ofthe strategy, focused on actions, will be publishedin June 2009 and a final strategy, combining theoutcome of the two consultations, will bepublished before the end of 2009. This will formthe Assembly Government’s contribution tomeeting UK climate change targets. A CabinetCommittee on Climate Change, chaired by theMinister for Environment, Sustainability andHousing, coordinates work on the development ofclimate change policy and programmes.
The Climate Change Commission for Wales –which includes representatives of all four mainpolitical parties, business, local government, thethird sector as well as representatives from expertorganisations – has been established to build aconsensus on the action needed in response toclimate change, provide leadership in tackling boththe causes and consequences of climate change inWales, and make recommendations to theAssembly Government on what action is needed.
3.2.3 Northern Ireland Executive
The Northern Ireland Programme for Government(2008-2011) Building a better future commits theNorthern Ireland Executive to reduce greenhousegas emissions by 25 per cent on 1990 levels by2025. This is expressed through a Public ServiceAgreement framework that identifies energyefficiency and renewable technologies as key toachieving emission reduction targets.
The Kyoto mechanisms
3.3 The baseline with measures projections set out inChapter 4 indicate that the UK is on track toreduce its emissions to below the level required tomeet its commitment under the Kyoto Protocol onthe basis of domestic measures alone. The UK,in common with the EU as a whole, recognisesthat the Kyoto mechanisms will play an essentialrole in meeting commitments under the Protocol
38 The Government Economic Strategy, Scottish Government, November 2007. Available from:http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Economy/Key-Publications/ges07.
39 For further information please see: www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Environment/climatechange/scotlands-action/ScottishBill
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CHAPTER THREE Policies and Measures 33
and has put in place the necessary institutions andaccounting framework to facilitate their use,including development of a registry which hasbeen licensed to date for use in a number ofcountries as well as the UK.40
Through the EU Linking Directive, companies withobligations under the EU Emissions TradingScheme can make use of Kyoto’s project-basedmechanisms. The UK is a leading investor countryin the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM).By mid-February 2009, the UK was ranked firstinvestor country in terms of registered projectswith UK approval of participation. The UKDesignated National Authority for CDM hadissued 1169 letters of approval of participation for941 projects.
The UK Government will be purchasing CDMcredits to offset emissions attributable to a varietyof central government activities, chiefly officialand ministerial air travel. These credits will then beunilaterally cancelled to offset emissions; they willnot be counted towards our Kyoto commitmentor carbon budget during the first budgetaryperiod (2008-2012).
Looking beyond the current Kyoto commitmentperiod, the UK is active among those countriespromoting the introduction of new sectoralmechanisms for advanced developing countriesand a shift away from a reliance on project-basedapproaches. At the same time, we are signallingto organisations active in the carbon market,both in the UK and elsewhere, that futureinvestment opportunities are likely to beincreasingly focused on sectoral mechanisms.
Cross cutting measures
3.4.1 EU Emissions Trading System
The European Emissions Trading System(EU ETS) was established in 2003 by Directive2003/87/EC and is the largest emissions tradingsystem in the world. In the UK, the system covers1,000 installations, responsible for approximately50 per cent of the UK’s carbon dioxide emissions.
The Government believes that emissions trading isa cost effective mechanism for reducinggreenhouse gas emissions because emissions arereduced at the point of least cost.
The National Allocation Plan (NAP) for the UK setsthe total quantity of allowances to be issued andthe number of allowances each installation willreceive. Since 1 January 2005, operators ofinstallations have been required to monitor theiremissions and to ensure that they surrenderallowances equivalent to their emissions in anycalendar year.
Phase II of the system started on 1 January 2008and will run until 31 December 2012.This coincides with the first Kyoto commitmentperiod. The scope of the system has beenbroadened to cover additional carbon dioxide(CO2) emissions from glass, mineral wool andgypsum production, flaring from offshore oil andgas production, petrochemicals, carbon black andintegrated steelworks.
Installations in the EU ETS can meet theirobligations by purchasing allowances,which might come from installations in other EUcountries, and credits from the Kyoto Protocolproject mechanisms. This means that theemissions reductions from the second phase ofthe system will not necessarily take place in theUK, nor will they necessarily be of carbon dioxide.
3.4.2 Auctioning
In Phase II of EU ETS, the UK is auctioning 7 percent of allowances – approximately 86 million. TheUK was the first Member State to hold an auctionin Phase II on 19 November 2008, raising over£54m for the Exchequer.
Auctioning is the simplest and most transparentallocation methodology. Allowances are allocatedaccording to the “polluter pays” principle.This ensures that allowances are allocated to thosethat value them most and that the price of carbonis incorporated into business decisions.
Auctioning eliminates such issues as windfallprofits in sectors which can pass on costs to theircustomers without significant loss of marketshare to installations outside the EU. This will helpto reduce the administrative burden on bothindustry and governments. Auctioning is thereforefundamental to achieving an efficient allocationand crucial to the environmental effectivenessof EU ETS.
40 The UK Government has decided not to host the Joint Implementation (JI) mechanism during the first commitment period. However, the UK hasestablished a Designated Focal Point for JI which has the capacity to issue letters of approval to JI projects based abroad.
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3.4.3 Climate and Energy Package
In December 2008, EU leaders and the EuropeanParliament agreed measures to a unilateral 20 percent reduction in the EU’s greenhouse gasemissions by 2020 from 1990 levels, and to scalethis up to as much as 30 per cent under a newglobal climate change agreement when otherdeveloped countries make comparable efforts. Asa result the EU ETS has been significantly revisedand will result in many more emission reductions,more predictable market conditions and improvedcertainty for industry. The changes will take effectfrom 2013.
Specifically on the EU ETS, the following keyelements were agreed, which will be implementedin Phase III of the scheme:
� The Directive provides for a fundamentallydifferent and much more rigorous approach tosetting the cap on emissions. A central EU cap willguarantee that the EU ETS will deliver its share ofemission reductions in order to meet the EU’soverall climate change targets.
� The central EU cap is set at a much moreambitious level. For the first time, there is anannually declining trajectory for the cap to 2020and beyond which will reduce emissions to21 per cent below 2005 levels by 2020.
� Access to international carbon credits is limited inthe ETS to ensure that at least half of the requiredemission reductions take place within the EU,whilst providing finance to developing countries toinvest in low carbon projects.
� There is a large increase in auctioning. At least60 per cent of EU ETS allowances will beauctioned by 2020. In Phase II only around 3 percent of allowances are being auctioned across theEU. This will provide a more economically efficientway of allocating allowances, and help to addressthe issue of windfall profits.
� Use of up to 300 million EU ETS allowances, worthbillions of pounds, to part-fund up to 12 CarbonCapture and Storage (CCS) demonstration plants.This provides a credible financing mechanism forthis technology that has huge potential to reduceemissions across the globe.
� These elements of a revised ETS demonstrate theEU’s leadership in tackling global climate change.This represents a significant step forward towardsa global, comprehensive international climateagreement in Copenhagen at the end of 2009.
3.4.4 UK Climate Change Act 2008
The UK passed the Climate Change Act inNovember 2008, introducing the world’s firstlong-term legally binding framework to reducegreenhouse gas emissions.
The Climate Change Act has created a newapproach to managing and responding to climatechange in the UK, by setting ambitious, legallybinding targets, taking powers to help meet thosetargets, strengthening the institutional framework,enhancing the UK’s ability to adapt to the impactof climate change, and establishing clear andregular accountability to Parliament.
Central to the Act is a legally binding target toreduce the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions to atleast 80 per cent below 1990 levels by 2050,41 tobe achieved through action at home and abroad.
3.4.5 Carbon Budgets
To drive progress towards this target, the Actintroduces five-year carbon budgets, which willdefine the emissions pathway to the 2050 targetby limiting the total amount of greenhouse gasemissions allowed in the UK in each five yearperiod, beginning in 2008.The first three carbonbudgets – for 2008-12, 2013-17, and 2018-22 –were set in May 2009. In setting them, theGovernment has taken into account a range ofmatters set out in the Act, consulted the DevolvedAdministrations of Scotland, Wales and NorthernIreland, and obtained and taken into accountthe advice of the independent Committee onClimate Change (CCC), which has beenestablished under the Act both to advise theGovernment on setting carbon budgets and toreport to Parliament on the progress made inreducing greenhouse gas emissions.
The CCC published its first report, which setout its advice on the first three carbon budgets,on 1 December 200842. The Committeerecommended that the UK’s carbon budgetsshould reflect the outcome of the UNFCCCconference in Copenhagen in December 2009,and any subsequent negotiations on a globaltreaty, and should be in line with the EUapproach. It proposed two set of budgets, one toapply now before a global deal is reached (calledInterim budgets), and a more challenging set toapply once a global deal on climate change hasbeen agreed (called Intended budgets). The CCCrecommended interim budgets that would requirethe UK to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions to
41 After taking account of carbon units that have been brought into the UK, for example by being bought from other countries (credits), or have leftthe UK, for example by being sold to other countries (debits).
42 The Committee on Climate Change’s report Building a low-carbon economy – the UK’s contribution to tackling climate change can be found at:www.theccc.org.uk/reports/
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CHAPTER THREE Policies and Measures 35
at least 34 per cent below 1990 levels by 2018-22. Under the Intended scenario, it recommendedthat the UK increase this to 42 per cent below1990 levels by 2020.
The Government published its high-level responseto the CCC’s advice on 22 April 2009. It agreesthat the budgets set now should be based on theUK’s share of the EU’s target to reduce emissions
by 20 per cent below 1990 levels by 2020. Inmeeting these interim budgets the Governmentwill aim to ensure that all effort in the non-tradedsector is achieved through domestic emissionreductions without the purchase of offset credits,in line with the CCC’s advice. The Governmenthas set the first three carbon budgets covering theperiod 2008 to 2022, as table above.
The Government has also proposed the rules forcarbon accounting to determine compliance withthe budgets.
The Government plans to publish a report onproposals and policies for meeting the budgets,as part of a climate change and energy strategy insummer 2009.
3.4.6 The UK Environmental Transformation Fund
The Environmental Transformation Fund (ETF) is anew initiative to bring forward the developmentof low carbon energy and energy efficiencytechnologies in the UK. The fund began operationin April 2008, and is co-ordinated through theDepartment of Energy and Climate Change(DECC). The ETF also has an international element,jointly owned by DECC and the Department forInternational Development (DfID), andadministered by the World Bank as part of theClimate Investment Fund.
The UK element of the Fund aims to acceleratethe commercialisation of low carbon energy andenergy efficiency technologies in the UK. Itspecifically focuses on the demonstration anddeployment phases of bringing low carbontechnologies to market. It provides funding to arange of bodies and projects in order to deliver itsaims. It currently supports a range of technologies,including offshore wind, marine energy, carbonabatement technologies, hydrogen and fuel celltechnology, biomass, anaerobic digestion and lowcarbon buildings.
The ETF works closely with other organisationsfunding earlier stage research and developmentincluding the Energy Technologies Institute,Technology Strategy Board, and the ResearchCouncils’ Energy Programme.
The Scottish Government provides annual fundingof around £10 million to promote improvementsin Energy Efficiency. This is supplemented by£13.5 million for Community and Microgenerationsupport. The majority of this funding is used forthe activities of the Energy Saving Trust and theCarbon Trust in Scotland, and for grants forhousehold and community investment inmicrogeneration.
3.4.7 Economic Instruments
Taxes and other economic instruments have acentral role to play in delivering the UK's climatechange objectives. They can provide incentives forbehaviour that protects or improves theenvironment, and deter actions that are damagingto the environment. For individual consumers andbusiness alike, economic instruments such as taxcan enable environmental goals to be achieved atthe lowest cost and in the most efficient way.By internalising environmental costs into prices,they help to signal the structural economicchanges needed to move to a more sustainableeconomy. They can encourage innovation and thedevelopment of new technology. The revenueraised by environmental taxes can also be used toreduce the level of other taxes, which can help toreduce distortions in the economy, while raisingthe efficiency with which resources are used.
SectorBudget 1(2008-2012)
Budget 2(2013-2017)
Budget 3(2018-2022)
Proposed budget (MtCO2e) 3018 2782 2544
Annual equivalent percentage reductionbelow 1990 levels
22 28 34
Traded sector (MtCO2e) 1233 1078 958
Non-traded sector (MtCO2e) 1785 1704 1559
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Over time, the Government aims to reform the taxsystem to increase incentives to reduceenvironmental damage. That will shift the burdenof tax from “goods” to “bads”; encourageinnovation in meeting higher environmentalstandards; and deliver a more dynamic economyand a cleaner environment, to the benefit ofeveryone. But environmental taxation must meetthe general tests of good taxation. It must be welldesigned, to meet objectives without undesirableside-effects; it must keep deadweight compliancecosts to a minimum; distributional impact must beacceptable; and care must be had to implicationsfor international competitiveness. Whereenvironmental taxes meet these tests, theGovernment will use them.
The Government has used a range of fiscalmeasures, such as the climate change levy,emissions trading and incentives for energyefficiency, to tackle climate change.These measures work in tandem with othereconomic instruments, for example theRenewables Obligation and climate changeagreements and more traditional regulation andspending programmes. Transport taxes also have arole in reducing harmful emissions and signallingfuel efficient choices, while continuing to raiserevenue to fund public services. For example, since2001 reforms to Vehicle Excise Duty and CompanyCar Tax have incentivised the purchase of lower-carbon vehicles.
Energy Supply
3.5 Policy framework – the 2007 Energy White Paper
The measures in the 2007 Energy White Paper arehelping to put the UK on track to meetgreenhouse gas emissions reduction targets andare projected to cut UK emissions by about aquarter by 2020 relative to 1990 levels,notwithstanding economic growth over theperiod. Measures to achieve this include:
� Actions aimed at tripling the supplies of electricitywe get from renewables by 2015.
� A package of measures to encourage local andmicrogeneration.
� Paving the way for commercial demonstration ofcarbon capture and storage – which has thepotential to reduce carbon dioxide emissions fromfossil fuel power stations by as much as90 per cent.
� Doubling the current requirement for energysuppliers to deliver energy efficiency measures tohouseholds.
� Introducing a cap and trade carbon reductionscheme for business such as banks andsupermarkets, as well as public sector organisationswhose electricity use exceeds 6GWh per year.This will deliver an estimated saving of at least4 million tonnes of carbon dioxide per year by 2020.
� Introduction over the next 10 years of smart metersso that domestic energy customers have visualdisplays to help manage better their energy use.
These measures should improve the energyefficiency of the UK’s economy by around 10 percent between now and 2020, this is over andabove the 25 per cent improvement we alreadyexpect over that period. And developing cleanersources of energy diversifies the domestic energysources at the UKs disposal. Both of these factorsare key to ensuring secure energy supplies.
3.5.1 Electricity from Renewables
The main policy mechanism through which theGovernment supports the development of newrenewables capacity is the Renewables Obligation(RO) on licensed electricity suppliers in Englandand Wales and its equivalents in Scotland andNorthern Ireland. The RO requires suppliers tosource a specific and annually increasingpercentage of the electricity they supply fromrenewable sources.
The RO was introduced in 2002 and is currentlydue to run until 2027. To enable the UK to meetits share of the EU target for 20 per cent of totalenergy consumption to come from renewables by2020, the Government announced in November2008 that it would extend the duration of the ROuntil at least 2037. This will provide a stable andlong-term market for renewable electricity, soproviding investors with the certainty they require.
Renewables Obligation
For each megawatt hour of renewable electricitygenerated, Ofgem who administers the schemeissues a tradable certificate called a RenewablesObligation Certificate (ROC). Suppliers can meettheir obligation either by acquiring ROCs or bypaying a buy-out price, set at £37.19/MWh in2009/10 and indexed by inflation, or by acombination of both. Money paid into thebuy-out fund is recycled to ROC holders at theend of the 12-month Obligation period.
The level of the Obligation in England, Wales andScotland is 9.7 per cent for 2009/10 rising to15.4 per cent by 2015/16.
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Since the introduction of the RO there has been astep change in the number of renewables projectsbuilt in the UK. Almost 500 MWe of generatingcapacity was installed in 2006, and a further 665MWe in 2007. This growth is mainly the result ofthe increase in wind capacity, with over 300 MWeinstalled in 2006 and over 500 MWe in 2007.This upward trend is set to continue, with over2000 MWe currently under construction. The ROis expected to save 9 MtCO2 per year by 2010,rising to 13 MtCO2 per year by 2013.
Whilst the RO has been successful in bringingforward the most economic technologies such asonshore wind, it has not encouraged moreemerging technologies as quickly as had beenenvisaged. Therefore the Government tookpowers in the Energy Act 2008 and has recentlylaid a new Order before Parliament to introducesome significant changes to the operation of theRO. The main change is to band the RO so thatdifferent technologies receive different levels ofsupport depending on their costs. This shouldmake it some 30 per cent more effective indelivering new generation over the next fewyears. The Order containing these changes tookeffect on 1st April 2009. The Government hasalso announced its intention to introduce,in April 2010, a Feed-In Tariff (FIT) for renewableelectricity generation up to a maximum of 5MW.This should incentivise generation at thesmall- and micro-scales.
Unlike some other renewable technologies,biomass has the advantage that it can be used togenerate electricity when required. A strongbiomass supply chain can also offer diversificationopportunities for farmers and foresters as well asjob opportunities, building and operating thegenerating plant. As biomass production and usecan have implications for the wider environmentin terms of biodiversity, water, soils, land use andair quality, these issues are being factored intoongoing policy decisions, alongside considerationsof overall lifecycle emissions. Co-firing of biomassor energy crops with fossil fuels is eligible forROCs, subject to a restriction on the proportion oftheir obligation that suppliers can meet with ROCsawarded for co-firing with regular biomass.
As well as the RO, support is provided throughR&D funding and capital grants. Since April 2008,many of these schemes are supported by theEnvironmental Transformation Fund – the UKelement of which will total £400million –including the £10million Offshore Wind CapitalGrants Scheme, the next tranche of which waslaunched in March 2009. The Bio-energy CapitalGrants Scheme, launched in 2002, has broughtforward additional capacity for the generation ofelectricity from biomass. These electricity-only
projects are expected to save 0.3 million tonnes ofcarbon dioxide per year by 2010.
Scottish Ministers are committed to promotingenergy from a wide range of renewable sources,and have a target that 50 per cent of electricitygenerated in Scotland as a proportion of demandshould come from renewable sources by 2020,with an interim milestone of 31 per cent by 2011.Much of the developer activity to date, driven bythe Renewables Obligation Scotland (ROS),has focused on onshore wind. In common withthe rest of the UK, the introduction of banding isexpected to bring on a wider range oftechnologies.
The Scottish Government continues to provideadditional support to small- and micro-scalerenewables through its Scottish Community andHousehold Renewables Initiative. The ScottishGovernment recognises the importance ofdeveloping renewable heat in order to makeprogress towards the 20 per cent target of finalconsumption of energy from renewable sources by2020. The Scottish government is proposing an11 per cent renewable heat target by 2020.
3.5.2 Wave and Tidal Stream
The UK is currently leading the world in thedevelopment of marine energy technologies withmany of the leading technologies based in the UK.A combination of the excellent wave and tidalresources around our shores and our expertise inoil and gas exploration puts the UK in a uniqueposition to benefit from renewable energy sourcedfrom waves and tidal flow as well as develop waveand tidal services capabilities.
Wave and tidal technologies have the potential tomake a significant long-term contribution tomeeting the UK’s energy needs and cutting ourgreenhouse gas emissions. The Carbon Trust andothers have estimated that up to 15 per cent ofthe UK’s current electricity consumption could besourced from marine energy and that 2 GW ofgeneration capacity could be installed by 2020(with up to 30 GW by 2050).
The UK launched its Renewable Energy Strategyconsultation on 26 June 2008. The consultationsought views on how to drive up the use ofrenewable energy (including Marine technologies)in the UK, as part of the UK’s overall strategy fortackling climate change and to meet our share ofthe EU target to source 20 per cent of the EU'senergy from renewable sources by 2020.Responses to this consultation will help shape theUK Renewable Energy Strategy which will bepublished in Summer 2009.
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43 Our Electricity Transmission Network: A Vision for 2020 A Report by the Electricity Networks Strategy Group March 2009http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file50333.pdf
44 The UK government expects that ultimately up to around 33GW of renewable generation will be developed within the entire UK offshore area.
Policies and Measures CHAPTER THREE38
Meanwhile the Government is helping the sectorto meet the challenge of developing andcommercialising wave and tidal stream technology,the UK has already put in place the mostcomprehensive support regime in the world formarine energy. This provides support from theearliest stages of University research (manyrenowned Universities working in conjunction withtechnology developers) through to demonstration.The UK also has comprehensive test facilities atEMEC in Orkney and at NaREC in the North East ofEngland. A further facility, Wave Hub, is plannedto open off the coast of Cornwall in early 2011.Deployment receives enhanced support under thebanded Renewables Obligation. As of April 2009,under the new banded Renewables Obligation,Wave and Tidal technologies will receive twoRenewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs) for eachMWh of eligible generation produced.
The Department of Energy and Climate Changehas in place a £50m Marine RenewablesDeployment Fund (MRDF) to allow leadingtechnologies to continue to progress beyond theresearch and testing/prototype phase towardsdeployment of full-scale devices. A key feature ofthe MRDF Scheme is that it provides a granttowards capital costs, up to 25 per cent limited to£5m per project, plus grant support of £100 perMWh of electricity produced for up to 7 years(limited to an overall cap of £9m per project) forthe commercial demonstration of devices. This isin addition to the revenue that projects will receivefrom the sale of electricity and ROCs.
In April 2009 the Government announced that itwas beginning work towards a StrategicEnvironmental Assessment for English and Welshwaters. This will complement work being carriedout in Scotland and Northern Ireland.
The Scottish Government is determined to supporta world class wave and tidal energy sector, and tomake Scotland a global leader in the developmentand deployment of these technologies. TheScottish Government is already supporting thesector through capital grants, and is due tointroduce the highest level of support across UKunder our Renewables Obligation – 5 ROCs forwave, 3 ROCs for tidal.
The Scottish Government is also developing astrategy and Road Map for technologies throughseparate stakeholder groups, the Marine EnergyGroup (MEG), who focus on financial support/infrastructure and the Marine Energy Spatial
Planning Group who deal with spatial planningand consents. MEG is intending to publish itsMarine Road Map by end June 2009.
Scotland is host to the European Marine EnergyCentre (EMEC) on Orkney – the world's onlyaccredited testing facility for wave and tidalenergy prototypes, built and supported by publicsector consortium including Scottish Government,HIE, Scottish Enterprise, Carbon Trust and OrkneyIsland Council. EMEC played host last year to theUK's first grid connected tidal energy device,developed by Open Hydro. Open Hydro's tidalturbine was built and installed with support fromScottish Government's £13 million Wave and TidalEnergy Support Scheme (WATES).
3.5.3 Network Infrastructure for Renewables
Connection of large amounts of renewablegeneration as well as other essential low carbongeneration will need significant onshore andoffshore electricity network reinforcements andextensions from now up to 2020 and beyond.The cost of this has been estimated as up to£4.7bn43, in addition to the current refurbishmentand expansion plans of some £4-5bn which havealready been approved by the electricity regulatorOfgem. The Government and Ofgem set out inthe June 2008 Transmission Access Review, apackage of measures which when taken togetherwill remove or significantly reduce grid relatedaccess barriers. These include accelerating theconnection of ready-to-go projects, developingnew rules on long term grid access, revisedfinancial incentive mechanisms for investment ingrid infrastructure and developing a strategicvision for the grid to meet our 2020 renewabletargets. These measures are now beingimplemented. At the same time the Governmentand Ofgem are leading a project to put in place anew regulatory regime for offshore electricitytransmission so that significant amounts44 ofrenewable offshore generation can be connectedto the onshore grid. The aim is for this regime tobe fully in place by 2010.
In order to improve the progression of planningapplications for major infrastructure projects,including transmission infrastructure, the PlanningAct 2008 which came in to force in November2008 will improve the efficiency, transparency andaccessibility of the planning system. This includesthe setting up of an Infrastructure PlanningCommission which will determine nationallysignificant projects.
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3.5.4 Biomass Heat
Developing a strong biomass heat sector suppliedfrom sustainable indigenous sources willcontribute to security of supply, as well asreducing emissions. One of the barriers to thedevelopment of a biomass heat sector is thehigher infrastructure cost compared toconventional systems. Accordingly capital supportfor the installation of biomass fuelled heat andCombined Heat and Power projects in theindustrial, commercial and community sectors isprovided through the Bio-energy Capital GrantsScheme. Once installed, the projects supported todate under the scheme are expected to save atotal of 0.2 million tonnes of CO2 per year.
On 12 February 2009, the Government issued aninitial consultation on a proposed Heat and EnergySaving Strategy. This discusses plans for a newfinancial support mechanism aimed at promotingrenewable heat generation in the form of aRenewable Heat Incentive (RHI) to come into effectby April 2011. This should help overcome some ofthe up-front costs of installations such as biomassheating systems. A further consultation on theoperation of the RHI is expected later during 2009.
In Scotland biomass will be a key sector indeveloping measures to promote renewable heat.The 2007/08 Scottish Biomass Support Schemeworth £7.5 million supported 65 projects whichresulted in about 20 MW thermal installedcapacity. At the end of 2008, a further capitalgrant scheme was launched, targeting SMEs heatonly projects. This is worth just over £3 millionover 2 years. Decisions on first round projects willbe made in spring 2009. In addition to that capitalgrant for biomass is also supported via other grantprogramme, including Scottish Rural DevelopmentProgramme.
In Wales, the Assembly Government recentlypublished a Bioenergy Action Plan for consultation.The aim of this Bioenergy Action Plan is to securethe annual generation in Wales of at least 5terawatt-hours of electricity and 2.5 terawatt-hoursof usable heat energy from renewable biomass by2020, in ways that will result in a reduction ofabout 3 million tonnes of CO2 emissions per year incomparison with generation based on fossil fuels. Itwould also contribute significantly to theachievement of the UK’s target to produce 15 percent of the total energy used from renewablesources by 2020, and to the associated detailedobjectives on renewable heat and power proposedin the UK Renewable Energy Strategy.
3.5.5 Combined Heat and Power
The environmental benefits of combined heat andpower (CHP) were recognised by setting, in 2000,of a target to achieve at least 10 GWe of GoodQuality CHP capacity45 by 2010. In recent years,the CHP industry has faced adverse economicconditions, largely due to the difference betweenthe price received for electricity and the cost ofgeneration. Recently market conditions for smallscale CHP have improved, driven mainly bychanges to planning guidance and buildingregulations. Measures to support CHP werereported in the UK’s 3rd National Communication.Despite these measures, modelling estimatessuggest that the installed capacity will not reach10 GWe until sometime after 2010. Two newmeasures have been introduced:
� In the second phase of the EU ETS, there is aseparate sector for existing Good Quality CHP inthe UK’s National Action Plan. In addition there is aspecial new entrants’ reserve which receivesfavourable allocation arrangements.
� As set out above, renewable electricity issupported through the RO. From April 2009, in thebanding of ROCs, renewable CHP will receive ahigher rate of ROCs per MWh, to reflect theadditional efficiency that CHP produces. Eligibilityfor ROCs has been extended to include mixedwaste plants, which use Good Quality CHP.
In addition, the UK Government announced in themost recent budget that it will extend the climatechange levy exemption for indirect sales of CHPelectricity to 2023, subject to State aid approvaland has committed to continuing other existinglevy exemptions for CHP. It is considering supportthrough feed-in tariffs for micro-CHP below 50kweand support for the heat output from renewableCHP through a new Renewable Heat Incentive.Legal provision for these measures has been takenthrough the Energy Act 2008. The UK Governmentis currently working on a Heat and Energy SavingStrategy for publication in 2009.
3.5.6 Microgeneration
Following the Microgeneration Strategy46 and theReview of Distributed Generation47 there is arange of policies in place or under development toaddress identified constraints to more widespreadtake-up of distributed energy solutions includingmicrogeneration:
45 Good Quality CHP ensures significant energy efficiency and environmental benefits compared to separate generation of heat and power. It meetsthe requirements high efficiency CHP set in Annex III of the EU Cogeneration Directive (2004/8)
46 http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file27575.pdf47 http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file39025.pdf
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� Through the Low Carbon Buildings Programme wehave provided grant funding to reduce the capitalcosts for early adopters of microgenerationtechnologies.48
� Fiscal incentives – there is a reduced 5 per cent VATrate for microgeneration technologies. Paymentsmade for microgenerated electricity are exemptedfrom income tax; Business Rates; Relief from StampDuty Land Tax for new zero carbon homes up to2012.
� The Microgeneration Certification Scheme hasbeen introduced to improve consumer confidencein microgeneration technologies throughindependent certification of microgenerationproducts and services.49
� From April 2008 Householders wishing to installmost microgeneration technologies can do somore easily without the need to apply for planningpermission thanks to changes in PermittedDevelopment (PD) Rights for microgeneration. Theintention is to continue the process and extend PDrights to Micro Wind Turbines and air source heatpumps and to non domestic renewables.
� National Occupational Standards for EnvironmentalTechnologies provide standard competences formicrogeneration technologies, which can beintegrated into existing skills qualifications.50
� Simplified market and licensing arrangements fordistributed energy operators allow larger-scaledistributed energy schemes to be accommodatedwithin the competitive market on a cost-proportionate basis, so they can realise the valueof their schemes whilst maintaining full consumerprotection.51
� Easier connections for distributed energy –Householders producing microgeneration electricityno longer need to seek permission to connect tolocal network from a distribution networkoperator; they can now ‘connect and inform’.Ofgem is proceeding with a range of activity,including introduction of cost-reflective distributionuse of system charging.52
� Through the Energy Act 2008 the Governmentintroduced powers to enable the implementationof feed-in tariffs for small scale low carbonelectricity and a renewable heat incentive. Boththese incentives include generation at the microscale and will provide the simplicity, certainty andlevel of reward to enable higher take-up ofmicrogeneration technologies
The Scottish Government has committed£13.5 million per year to support Community andMicrogeneration until 2010/11. The main focusfor this is through support programmes – theEnergy Saving Scotland – home renewables andthe Community and Renewable Energy Scheme.The grants offered through these programmes aregenerally the same as that offered through theScottish Community and Householder RenewableInitiative – however this programme has been splitto allow better targeting and focus on thedistinctive needs of the different customer groups.
The Welsh Assembly Government will consult on aNational Energy Efficiency and Savings Plan inMarch 2009. This is the Welsh AssemblyGovernment’s short term strategy toaddress energy efficiency and savings, andpromote microgeneration, across the domestic,business and third sector.
A number of programmes are in place or beingdeveloped to support microgeneration in Wales.This includes supporting the installation of themircogeneration technology as part of housingrenewal projects, for example as part of the Headsof the Valleys programme, and in hard to treat,off-gas grid properties through the Home EnergyEfficiency Scheme.
The Welsh Assembly Government announced a£12m Low Carbon Zone in the Heads of theValleys as part of the December 2008 capitalinvestment package. The Low Carbon Zone willseek to install microgeneration technologies andother energy efficiency measures in social housingin communities in the Heads of the Valleys.The project aims to regenerate the local economyby developing demand and a market for lowcarbon technologies that will be manufacturedand/or installed by local businesses. The WelshAssembly Government will explore how thebenefits of the scheme can be widened to privatesector households in the Heads of the Valleys.
3.5.7 Carbon Abatement Technologies
Carbon abatement technologies (CATs) cover arange of generic options for reducing the carbondioxide emissions from fossil fuel combustion,including higher efficiency conversion processesand carbon capture and storage (CCS). TheGovernment launched a CCS Competition todesign and build a full-scale commercialdemonstration project in November 2007.
48 http://www.lowcarbonbuildings.org.uk/home/49 http://www.microgenerationcertification.org/50 http://www.skills4business.org.uk/Renewable-and-Alternative-Energy/7551 http://www.ofgem.gov.uk/Sustainability/Environment/Policy/SmallrGens/DistEng/Pages/DistEng.aspx52 http://www.ofgem.gov.uk/Pages/MoreInformation.aspx?docid=480&refer=Networks/ElecDist/Policy/DistChrgs
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The Chancellor announced in Budget 2009 hisintention to proceed with the competition and£90m to fund Front End Engineering Designstudies. The Chancellor also announced proposalsfor a financial mechanism to provide funding forup to four UK CCS demonstrations, including thecurrent competition demonstration project.
In addition the Government has set out itsproposals for a new regulatory framework for coalwhich includes any new coal power station wouldhave to demonstrate CCS on at least 300MW netof its capacity; an independent process willestablish when CCS has been technically andeconomically proven; coal power stations,consented under this new policy framework butbefore CCS is proven, would then have some fiveyears to retrofit CCS to the full capacity of thepower station and further new coal power stationswould have to be fully CCS from day one. Inaddition we will prepare for the possibility that CCSwill not be proven as quickly as we expect and lookat other regulatory measures that would reinforcethe carbon price signal that emissions from coalpower stations need to be reduced substantially.
Government has now responded to the 2008consultation with new guidelines that all newcoal-fired power stations will require CarbonCapture Readiness (CCR). A consultationdocument, setting out further detail on theseproposals will be published alongside anEnvironmental Report in summer 2009.
The Environmental Transformation Fund CarbonAbatement Demonstration programme issupporting CCS through a £15m joint call withthe Technology Strategy Board and The NorthernWay. The Energy Act 2008 provides theframework for regulating the storage of CO2 andthe detailed arrangements for licensing CO2storage facilities were consulted on in 2008.
3.5.8 Coal Mine Methane
In 2004, it was estimated that around 60 per centof controllable methane from abandoned mineswas captured and used, and that the uncapturedremainder represented only 0.07 per cent of theUK's total greenhouse gas emissions. There are noimmediate plans to introduce measures tomitigate emissions further. For a five year periodfrom November 2003 electricity produced fromcoal mine methane was exempt from the ClimateChange Levy. Following changes to the qualifyingcriteria, this exemption expired in November 2008.
3.5.9 Hydrogen
The first call for hydrogen and fuel celldemonstration projects under the Hydrogen,Fuel Cells and Carbon Abatement TechnologiesDemonstration Programme resulted in supporttotalling some £5m being offered to five projects.Currently three projects are proceeding,two involving transport applications and onedistributed stationary power. The UK contributes toand benefits from international collaboration onhydrogen with partners such as the InternationalEnergy Agency, the International Partnership forthe Hydrogen Economy, and the European FuelCells and Hydrogen Joint Undertaking.
Business
3.6.1 Framework for action
The Government is committed to a clear, flexibleand stable policy framework for business(comprising the industry and service sectors).This framework draws together a range ofinstruments and measures including:
� Economic instruments
� Technology deployment
� Regulation
� Measures to make the market work better
� Improving public and company information
The introduction of the EU ETS means thatoverlapping policy measures now cover somebusiness sector emissions. The Government willexplore the medium-term regulatory framework inthe light of developments in the EU ETS.
3.6.2 Climate Change Levy (CCL) and Climate ChangeAgreements (CCAs)
The climate change levy and climate changeagreements were described in detail in the 3rdNational Communication. The levy is a tax on theuse of energy in industry, commerce and thepublic sector and has been has been a centralpolicy in encouraging energy efficiency. Levy rateswere increased for the first time in April 2007,in line with inflation and again in 2008. In Budget2006, it was announced that CCL rates wouldcontinue to increase in line with inflation. The levyalso provides exemptions to incentivise investment
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in renewable energy. By 2010, it is estimated toreduce energy demand by nearly 15 per cent ayear, compared to a situation where the levy wasnot in place
Climate change agreements provide an 80 per centdiscount from the levy for those sectors that agreeto meet challenging targets for improving energyefficiency or reducing greenhouse gas emissions.At the three target periods so far completed,sectors performed well against their targets.The fourth target period is in the process of beingassessed. Climate change agreements are anexisting measure and expected to save 10.6 MtC02per year by 2010. In 2007, Government announcedthat, subject to EU State aid approval, CCAs wouldbe extended to 2017. Around 500 installations inthe EU ETS are also at least partially covered byCCAs. The Government launched a publicconsultation process on the form and content ofthe new agreements in March 2009, the results ofwhich are likely to be known by end 2009.
3.6.3 The Carbon Reduction Commitment
The Carbon Reduction Commitment (CRC) is anew mandatory emissions trading scheme to coverlarge UK business and public sector organisations.This sector is responsible for approximately 10 percent of UK emissions. Around 5,000 organisationsare expected to meet the qualification thresholdfor the scheme, which is based on half hourlymetered electricity consumption.
The scheme is scheduled to begin in 2010 and willdeliver carbon savings of at least 4.4 MtCO2 peryear by 2020. CRC has been designed tocomplement existing policy by covering emissionsoutside CCAs and direct emissions outside theEU ETS. Analysis indicates that, by driving energyefficiency, the CRC will deliver emissions reductionscost-effectively while saving participants money. It isestimated that CRC will yield a positive benefit toparticipants of £1billion by 2020.
3.6.4 Carbon Trust
The Carbon Trust is an independent companyfunded by the UK Government, the ScottishGovernment and Welsh Assembly Government,to help the UK accelerate the move towards a lowcarbon economy. It helps business and publicsector organisations save energy, reduce carbonemissions and capture the commercialopportunities of low carbon technologies. It helpsto reduce carbon emissions in the short-term byproviding business and the public sector withexpert advice, finance and accreditation, and bystimulating demand for low carbon products and
services; and in the long-term by developing newlow carbon technologies, and by identifyingmarket failures and practical ways to overcomethem. Carbon Trust also runs the government’sEnhanced Capital Allowance Scheme, whichprovides businesses that invest in designatedenergy efficient equipment with enhanced taxrelief. Carbon Trust activities are estimated to havesaved its customers 17MtCO2 cumulatively since2001, and its work on development of low carbontechnologies is expected to deliver savings of upto 23MtCO2 a year in 2050.
3.6.5 Small and Medium-sized Enterprises
A range of measures is in place to help small andmedium-sized enterprises (SMEs) reduce carbonemissions. These include:
Advice provision, including through theGovernment-funded Carbon Trust (see above)
Energy Efficiency Loan Scheme for SMEs,which provides interest free loans of between£5,000 and £200,000 for qualifying energyefficiency projects.
We will be establishing an Energy ServicesDevelopment Network as a part of voluntaryagreements with major energy suppliers topromote energy efficiency and energy services toSME’s. This will bring together energy suppliers,energy services providers and other interestedorganisations to help identify and overcome thebarriers to greater take up of energy efficiency bySME’s. We will develop pilots, trials and improvedcommunication across members to help developthe energy services market.
The Scottish Government funds dedicated supportfor SMEs through the Energy Saving Scotland –Small Business Support Scheme. Managed by theEnergy Saving Trust in Scotland, this scheme offersSMEs on-site energy audits by dedicated businessadvisers. Interest free loans are then available toimplement the recommendations through theEnergy Saving Scotland – Small Business Loans,which are available from £5,000 to £100,000 forenergy efficiency and microgeneration technologies.
The Welsh Assembly Government’s Green JobsStrategy sets out how the Assembly Governmentwill support businesses to reduce their carbonfootprint and to develop new low carbon businessopportunities. The new FS4B business adviceservice provides advice on reducing their carbonfootprint to all business contacting the AssemblyGovernment for support.
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3.6.6 Building Regulations
Building Regulations help deliver more efficientnon-domestic buildings. Building Regulations53
(described in more detail in the domestic section)are steadily driving up the energy standards ofnew and refurbished buildings. Since 1990, theenergy efficiency standards for new buildings havebeen strengthened by over 80 per cent. The 2002revision of the Building Regulations is expected todeliver reductions in emissions of 1.5 MtCO2 perannum in the non-domestic sector in 2010.
The Building Regulations were amended inApril 2006 to further raise energy efficiencystandards. The average energy efficiencyimprovement for non-domestic buildings wasbetween 24 per cent to 28 per cent against 2002standards. This revision of the Building Regulationsis expected to deliver a further reduction of1.5 MtCO2 per annum in 2010.
The 2008 Budget set out the Government’sambition for all new non-domestic buildings tobe net zero carbon from 2019. The Definition ofZero Carbon Homes and Non-Domestic Buildingsconsultation, which closed in March 2009,sets out Government's current thinking in thisarea, and calls for further evidence, in anticipationof an in-depth consultation on new non-domesticbuildings.
Scottish building regulations are devolved.The current energy standards for buildings inScotland came into effect in May 2007 and delivercarbon savings in the region of 18-25 per cent fornew domestic buildings and 23-28 per cent fornew non-domestic buildings when compared withthe previous 2005 standards. A further review ofstandards is in progress.
3.6.7 EC regulation 842/2006 on Certain FluorinatedGreenhouse Gases
Fluorinated greenhouse gases are covered by theKyoto Protocol and have high global warmingpotential. They are widely used in commercialrefrigeration and air-conditioning systems andother more specialised uses and emissions of thesegases amounted to just under 2 per cent of UKemissions in 2007. A major consultation wascompleted in October 2008 on further proposedGB regulations and measures to implementcontrols and underpin EC legislation onfluorinated gases. The revised regulations cameinto force in early March.
Transport
3.7.1 Policy Framework
The UK Government is using a range ofapproaches to tackle the challenging task oftackling emissions growth in this sector:
� reducing the fossil carbon content of roadtransport fuels;
� improving the fuel efficiency of vehicles;
� encouraging a move towards moreenvironmentally friendly means of transport; and
� promoting the inclusion of international aviation inglobal emissions trading schemes and developingthe evidence base for the possibility of includingsurface transport in emissions trading schemes inthe future.
Scotland’s National Transport Strategy (NTS),published in 2006, introduced three keystrategic aims:
� improve journey times and connections;
� reduce emissions; and
� improve quality, accessibility and affordability.
The NTS includes a commitment to develop aCarbon Balance Sheet (now re-named The CarbonAccount for Transport (CAT)). The CAT is to beused as a tool to monitor and review progresstowards the NTS strategic goal of reducedemissions. The Transport (Wales) Act 2006 sets outthe context for the development of a WalesTransport Strategy to cover the period up to 2030.The Wales Transport Strategy was published in2008 and the National Transport Plan and theTransport Consortia’s Regional Transport Plans arebeing developed and will set out how theAssembly Government will meet the objectives setout in the Strategy. It is anticipated that the finalRegional Transport Plans will be in place byDecember 2009.
An integral feature of Northern Ireland’s RegionalDevelopment Strategy is the RegionalTransportation Strategy 2002-2012. A major aimof the RTS is to start a strategic move towards abalanced transport system.
53 England and Wales share Building Regulations, Northern Ireland and Scotland have separate ones.
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3.7.2 Reducing the Fossil Carbon Content
The Government published the Alternative FuelsFramework as part of the Pre-Budget Report54 in2003. This set out the Government’s commitmentto promoting sustainable alternatives for fossil fueland affirmed the need for fiscal incentives toreflect environmental benefits. The frameworkcommitted the Government to a three-year rollingguarantee for biofuels and road fuel gas dutyrates, offering certainty to support investment.
A Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) wasannounced in November 2005. The RTFO requirestransport fuel suppliers to ensure a set percentageof their sales are from a renewable source. It wasintroduced in 2008, with the obligation set at2.5 per cent in the first year (2008/09).Following the Gallagher review55, which coveredthe indirect effects of biofuel production,the Government has proposed a more cautiousrate of increase to reach a level of 5 per cent in2013/14. It is estimated that the RTFO will lead toadditional reductions of 5.2 MtCO2e by 2013/14.This figure uses the international agreedmethodology to avoid global double counting ofemissions and does not take into accountemissions from the production of those biofuelsthat are produced abroad and used in the UK.
The UK Government will consult later in 2009about the future implementation of the EURenewable Energy Directive which will require10 per cent of the energy used in transport to comefrom renewables by 2020. The Government iscommitted to achieving this target as long as it cande done sustainably. We are working with theEuropean Commission to ensure that themandatory sustainability criteria is as robust aspossible and will seek ways of addressing theindirect effects of biofuel production withinstandards in the future. The target will requiregreater use of biofuels but there is also scope forelectric and other low carbon vehicles to play a partin helping us meet this target, and the Directive willincentivise the use of second generation biofuels asthere is provision that their contribution countstwice that of first generation biofuels.
3.7.3 Improving the Fuel Efficiency of Vehicles
Road transport accounted for 22.4 per cent of UKCO2 emissions in 2007 and, of this, 63 per cent ofemissions were from passenger cars. Improvingthe efficiency of vehicles is therefore a keyelement of the UK’s strategy to reduce CO2emissions. Average new car CO2 emissions
improved by 15 per cent in the EU between 1995and 2007 (the UK saw a similar 15 per centimprovement), however, this rate of improvementneeded to accelerate. Therefore,in December 2008 the European Council andParliament agreed mandatory CO2 emissionstargets for new cars registered in the EU. This setan EU-wide sales-weighted average target of130gCO2/km by 2012 and, following lobbying bythe UK Government, a longer-term target of95gCO2/km by 2020. The 130g target representsa 18 per cent reduction on 2007 levels and the95g target a 40 per cent reduction. It isanticipated that electric and plug-in hybrid cars, inaddition to conventional hybrid cars willcontribute towards these targets. In addition theCommission intends to deliver savings equivalentto another 10gCO2/km through other vehiclerelated legislative measures, such as addressingthe rolling resistance of tyres and mandating gear-shift indicators in new cars. The Commission isalso expected to bring forward a draft regulationon CO2 emissions from vans in 2009.
This regulation builds on voluntary emissionstargets implemented between the EuropeanCommission and car manufacturers (ACEA, JAMAand KAMA56) in 1998, as well as various fiscalmeasures undertaken by individual MemberStates. For example, in the UK the new car CO2regulation is supported by fiscal measures such asCO2-linked Vehicle Excise Duty and Company CarTax which provide incentives to purchase moreefficient cars. Consumers are also provided withinformation on vehicle efficiency under the carlabelling scheme and the Act on CO2 campaign.
The potential environmental benefits, in terms ofimproving air quality and reducing greenhouse gasemissions, of all-electric vehicles (EV) and plug-inhybrid vehicles (PHEV), particularly as we move ourelectricity generating system to increasingly lowercarbon sources, is well recognised. Indeed, the useof electricity generated from renewable sourceswill count towards the Renewable Energy Directive10 per cent renewable energy in transport target.
To build the market for electric and plug-in hybridcars, the Government will be making £250 millionavailable from 2011 onwards for a system ofincentives, supplementing the measures that arealready in place.
As announced by the Secretary of State forTransport on 16 April, the bulk of the money willbe used to create a scheme where pioneering
54 A summary of the UK Government’s 2003 Pre-Budget Report is available from http://prebudget2003.treasury.gov.uk/ . The full report is availablefrom http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk
55 Gallagher Review can be found at: http://www.dft.gov.uk/rfa/_db/_documents/Report_of_the_Gallagher_review.pdf56 ACEA: European Automobile Manufacturers Association, JAMA: Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association andKAMA: Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association
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motorists will receive help worth in the region of£2,000 to £5,000 to buy electric and plug-inhybrid cars. We expect that a range of these carswill hit the showrooms, from 2011 onwards sothe funds will be available between 2011 and2014. To support this, up to £20 million will beavailable to develop an EV charging infrastructureframework to help consortia of cities, regions,private businesses and utility companies create aUK network of electric car cities. We will besetting out detailed eligibility criteria for bothschemes later this year.
In addition to this, the Government is supportingresearch, development and demonstration ofelectric and other low carbon vehicles, investingover £120 million in the Technology StrategyBoard’s Low Carbon Vehicle Innovation Platform.Part of this platform includes a competition todemonstrate electric cars in the UK within thenext 2 years. Around 200 electric and plug-inhybrid cars, from a number of globalmanufacturers will be on the UK's roads as aresult of this programme – the winners will beannounced shortly.
3.7.4 Encouraging a Move Towards EnvironmentallyFriendly Means of Transport
The Government runs the promotional campaignACT ON CO2
57, part of which is focused onpromoting smarter driving techniques and morefuel-efficient new car buying. The campaignhighlights how individuals can save money andreduce their CO2 emissions by using less fuel.The web portal has now been expanded toincluded a search tool allowing the comparison ofCO2 emissions and running costs of new cars andthe potential savings compared to the ‘Best inClass’. Alongside this, VCA is providing on itswebsite58 a new Fuel Consumption and CarbonEmission Database for all vehicles sold in the UK.
The Energy Saving Trust Scotland has launched a 3year eco-driving campaign, which will alsoincorporate information about vehicle efficiency inScotland. The Scottish Government has alsostarted to benchmark the Scottish public sectorfleet to identify potential criteria for vehiclerenewal, scope for shared services and joint greenprocurement. This work will also feed into aconference planned for 2009 and a consultationon the development and uptake of low carbontransport as well as the development of an actionplan for supporting the introduction of low carbonvehicles in Scotland.
To incentivise more fuel-efficient driving in themedium term, and provide an incentive for thedevelopment of more fuel-efficient, lower emittingcars, it makes sense to ensure that, wherepossible, the fiscal burden falls so that it helps toreduce harmful CO2 emissions. The UKGovernment’s 2008 Budget59 therefore announcedthat the 20 pence per litre duty incentive forbioethanol and biodiesel will be maintained up to2010 and its 2009 Budget60 announced that fuelduty would increase by 2 pence per litre on1 September 2009 and then by 1p per litre in realterms from 2010 to 2013. As well as helping tosecure the public finances, this will also reduceCO2 emissions by 2Mt per year by 2013-14.
In the 2008 Budget the Government announcedthe direction of future reform of Vehicle Excise Duty(VED) rates and bandings. From 1st May 2009,the increase in the number of VED bands to 13,to better incentivise a shift to 'best in class' cars andto reward drivers of lower emissions cars; and,higher first year rates (i.e. for new cars) in 2010-11to better influence purchasing choices at the pointof sale. The 2009 Budget confirmed commitment toenvironmental reform of VED for post 2001 cars.However, to reduce pressures on motorists duringthe current economic downturn, in 2009, no carwill pay more than £5 extra, significant ratechanges will be delayed until 2010, and no motoristwill face a tax increase greater than £30 in 2010,many will see a £30 cut.
Provision of a company car, made available for anemployee’s personal use, is a Benefit in Kind that issubject to Income Tax (for the employee) andEmployer NICs. Since being reformed in 2002,this tax is graduated according to the vehicle's CO2emissions – the less CO2 the vehicle produces,the lower the benefit on which tax must be paid.By providing tax incentives to both employers andemployees in favour of lower CO2-emitting cars,graduated Company Car Tax will help the UK meetEU targets for average new-car CO2 emissions.
As part of its strategy to improve public transportas an alternative to private road transport, theGovernment has spent heavily on the railways,over £4 billion in 2007-08. The UK now has oneof the fastest growing railways in Europe and it isexpected to continue to grow. The Government isconsidering how new technologies, such asregenerative braking, can improve energyefficiency and reduce fuel consumption to geteven more environmental benefits from rail.
57 The Act on CO2 web portal for transport can be accessed at: http://campaigns.direct.gov.uk/actonco2/home/on-the-move.html58 Car Fuel Consumption and CO2 Database can be accessed at the following link: www.vcacarfueldata.org.uk/information/cars-and-carbon-dioxide.asp
59 A summary of the UK Government’s 2008 Budget is available from http://budget2008.treasury.gov.uk/. The full report is available fromhttp://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/bud_bud08_index.htm
60 A summary of the UK Government’s 2009 Budget is available from http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/bud_bud09_index.htm
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The Future of Transport White Paper61 in 2004gave local authorities greater power to determinethe bus network. Greatly increased funding is alsoavailable for local authority expenditure oninfrastructure schemes such as bus lanes andthrough rural bus grants and the urban buschallenge. In 2007-08 the Government and localauthorities together spent around £2.5 billion onbus services.
The Government has also been encouraging localauthorities to make smarter choices an integralpart of their transport plans and have threeheadline projects:
� With the Department for Children, Schools andFamilies the Travelling to School initiative aims tohave travel plans in every school in England by theend of the decade.
� The Sustainable Travel Towns initiative aims tocreate three showcase towns to act as models forother local authorities. Over five years, theDepartment for Transport is providing £10mfunding for Darlington, Peterborough andWorcester between 2004 and 2009.
� Cycling England, with an annual budget of £140mfor three years (2008-09 to 2010-11), has been setup as an expert advisory body. Its workprogramme includes £50m over 3 years for 18cycle demonstration towns to provide investmentfor an increase in cycling.
The UK Government is examining how pricingcould be used to manage congestion and reduceemissions. Together with complementary publictransport and travel information, pricing could bean important part of demand management. It isprepared to invest up to £200m per annumbetween 2008/9 and 2014/15 from the TransportInnovation Fund to support schemes involvingroad pricing.
Launched on 17 March 2008, Smarter Choices,Smarter Places is a Scottish Governmentpartnership project designed to increase activetravel and public transport use and tackletransport emissions. Up to £15 million has beenmade available over the 3 years of the project.Seven successful proposals were announced inAugust 2008. Activities in these local authoritieswill include: better public transport services andresidential improvements; upgrades in walkingand cycling infrastructures; studies into travelpatterns and access; intensive marketing andawareness campaigns; and workshops andinformation packs. Communities involved rangefrom between approximately 10,000 in Kirkwall to37,000 in Dumfries.
Other projects include:
� The Scottish Government is consulting on a CyclingAction Plan for Scotland, which aims to set a targetfor 10 per cent of all journeys to be by bike by 2020.
� To tackle the school run, the Scottish Governmentis promoting school travel plans and active travelprojects through Sustrans' Safe Routes to Schoolinitiative. To date over 75 per cent of schools haveor are delivering a travel plan.
� Funding to Regional Transport Partnerships tomainstream Smarter Choices and in particulartravel plans in local authorities and health boards.All Local Authorities and Health boards have or aredelivering a travel plan.
The Welsh Assembly Government has announcedplans for developing Sustainable Travel Towns inWales. These will target a series of focused,smarter choice, interventions that will encouragemore people to walk and cycle and to use publictransport. The Assembly Government also planssoon to introduce the Walking and Cycling Actionplan that will encourage more people to usesustainable modes when making short journeys.The cross cutting nature of the Walking andCycling Action Plan and the targets it containsshould make a helpful contribution to meetingthe Assembly Government’s CO2 targets, as wellas engaging a wide range of organisations intheir achievement.
3.7.5 Aviation
The UK Government contributes actively tointernational activity, in particular the InternationalCivil Aviation Organisation (ICAO), to pursueefforts to develop measures to address emissionsfrom international aviation.
The UK Government was instrumental in securingthe inclusion of international aviation within theEU ETS. From 2012 all arriving and departingflights from EU airports will be covered by the EUETS, with emissions initially capped at 97 per centof average 2004-06 emissions, tightening to95 per cent of average 2004-06 emissions from2013. Any emissions above this cap will need tobe accounted for by airlines securing reductionsfrom other sectors within the EU ETS.
The UK Government considers the EU ETS animportant first step towards the ultimate goal of aglobal mechanism to address internationalaviation emissions. The Government, with its EUcolleagues, will continue to play an active role innegotiations towards the inclusion of internationalaviation in a global carbon market. In addition,
61 The Future of Transport White Paper was published in July 2004, and is available from www.dft.gov.uk
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the UK Government has introduced a number ofdomestic initiatives to address aviation emissions.In January 2009 the Government announced anew target to reduce total UK aviation CO2emissions in 2050 to below 2005 levels. It hasasked the independent Committee on ClimateChange (established by the Climate Change Act2008) to advise on the basis for measurement ofthis target.
In Scotland, emissions from domestic andinternational aviation are included in the ScottishGovernment’s Climate Change Bill.
The UK Government announced at the 2008 PreBudget Report that it would reform Air PassengerDuty from two distance bands to four distancebands, to send a stronger environmental signal topassengers and the industry and to ensure thatthe sector contributes fairly to public services.The new banding system will come into effectfrom 1 November 2009 and means thatpassengers flying farther, and thereforecontributing more to emissions from aviation,will pay more. This reform will result in savings of0.6 MtCO2 in 2011/12.
In addition to these high profile initiatives,the Government is also pressing for the tackling ofaviation emissions through:
� the adoption of working practices by airports,airlines and air traffic controllers that minimise theimpact of aviation;
� R&D by aerospace manufacturers to reduce theclimate impact of future aircraft; and
� voluntary action by the aviation sector to controlgreenhouse gas emissions and developsustainability strategies.
Carbon emissions from central Government airtravel are also being offset, through theGovernment Carbon Offsetting Fund. Voluntaryinitiatives by airlines are also being welcomed.
Domestic sector
3.8.1 Policy Framework
A range of different approaches is required toimprove domestic (residential) energy efficiency.Approaches include the provision of advice toconsumers, financial incentives, building standardsand voluntary agreements. The Governmentrecognise that a step change in consumerattitudes and behaviour will be needed to tacklethe trend towards rising energy demand.
3.8.2 Domestic Energy Efficiency Obligation
The Carbon Emissions Reduction Target (CERT) isthe principal policy mechanism drivingimprovements in the energy efficiency of existinghomes in Great Britain. It replaced the earlierEnergy Efficiency Commitment (EEC) and its scopewas broadened to allow obligated energysuppliers more flexibility in how they deliver theirobligation. They meet their obligation by theinstallation of a range of approved measuresincluding, insulation, boilers, low energy lightbulbs and micro-generation. Suppliers must deliverat least 40 per cent of their obligation in thehomes of low-income consumers in receipt ofqualifying benefits and those aged 70 years andover.
The first phase of the EEC ran from April 2002until March 2005 and is estimated to deliversavings of 1.1 MtCO2 by 2010. The second phaseof EEC ran from April 2005 until March 2008 andis estimated to deliver savings of 2.1 MtCO2 by2010. It has been very successful, with insulationdelivered to over 4 million households and otherenergy saving measures to millions more.
Evidence suggests that the supplier obligation hasdelivered greater savings to consumers than thecost to consumers, suppliers and governmentcollectively. An independent evaluation of the2005-08 phase estimated that £0.92 billionenergy supplier investment in energy efficiencydelivered a net present value benefit tohouseholders of £8.3 billion. These savings weredelivered at a cost to the average UK consumer of2.0p/kWh electricity and 0.6p/kWh gas;representing around 20 per cent of total electricityand 20 per cent gas costs (average 2006consumer prices). These are significantly less thanthe consumer prices of these fuels.
The Prime Minister announced a Home EnergySaving Programme in September 2008 whichincluded an increase to the current obligation –the CERT – by 20 per cent. The Government isnow consulting on bringing forward legislation inorder to implement this commitment. In practicethe increase means a revised supplier carbontarget of 185 Mt CO2 savings over the lifetime ofthe measures (on average about 35 years),equivalent to annual net savings of 5.3 MtCO2. Italso means CERT is expected to drive supplierinvestment into energy efficiency of UK homes ofsome £3.2 billion by March 2011.
The Scottish Government in 2008 established theScottish CERT Strategy Steering Group, chaired bythe Minister for Housing and Communities,to work in partnership with the energy suppliersto ensure that Scotland receives its proportionateshare of CERT activity under the current scheme
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and to ensure closer alignment of CERT supportand Scottish Government energy efficiency,housing and fuel poverty programmes.
The Scottish Government is implementing an areabased Home Insulation Scheme (HIS) supported by£15 million of new investment in 2009/10, withan expectation that up to a further £15 millionwill be raised from other sources. The schemeaims to increase the take up of energy advice andinsulation measures in selected areas to reduceemissions, tackle fuel poverty, reduce householdbills and sustain jobs.
3.8.3 Building Regulations
Building Regulations62 are steadily driving up theenergy standards of new and refurbished homes.Since 1990, the energy efficiency of new homeshas increased by over 80 per cent. The 2002revision of the Building Regulations is expected todeliver reductions in emissions in 2010 of 3.7MtCO2 per annum.
In April 2006, further changes to the BuildingRegulations came into force to make buildingsmore energy efficient. The average energyefficiency improvement required in dwellings was20 per cent in comparison to 2002 standards.One provision of the revised Building Regulationscame into force in April 2005, requiring all new gasboilers to be at least B-rated condensing boilers,subject to some exemptions. For oil boilers therequirement came into force from April 2007. Thismeasure and the 2006 Building Regulations areexpected to provide 1.9 MtCO2 savings per annum.
The Building Regulations do not address the fabricof a significant proportion of the existing buildingstock. The Government is currently undertakingwork assessing how best to implement measuresto improve the sustainability of the existingbuilding stock, including energy efficiency and lowcarbon heat measures. A consultation on this willbe released imminently.
As part of the 2006 Building Regulations revisions,the Government engaged in a substantialdissemination programme aimed at ensuring thatall stakeholders could acquaint themselves withthe changes. This programme aimed at achievinggreater compliance with the Regulations.A requirement for sample air leakage testing ofbuildings has also been introduced to help securebetter compliance.
The Government announced in 2007 that itintends to seek progressive improvements in the
performance standards of Part L of the BuildingRegulations (the energy efficiency requirements) of25 per cent in 2010 and 44 per cent in 2013, andfor all new homes to be net zero carbon by 2016.In December 2008 the Government consulted onthe detailed definition of zero carbon homes.A further policy statement is due to be issued thisyear reflecting the outcome of the consultation.
Scottish building regulations are devolved.In 2007, Scottish Ministers appointed an expertpanel to advise on measures to improve energyperformance and reduce carbon dioxide emissionsin Scotland’s buildings. The findings of the panelwere published in December 2007 as the SullivanReport63 – ‘A Low Carbon Building StandardsStrategy for Scotland’. The Report includesrecommendations for staged improvements toenergy standards in building regulations in 2010and 2013 with the goal of net zero carbonbuildings by 2016/17. Work is presently underwayon a review of energy standards for 2010,taking forward policy proposals to reduce CO2emissions by a further 30 per cent for newdomestic and non-domestic buildings.
In Scotland, the building regulations andassociated guidance were amended in 2007,with improved energy standards, requirements foraccessibility that adopt Lifetime Homes principles.In 2008 the Scottish Government consulted onproposals for demanding requirements to reducenoise transmission, and various other sustainabilitymeasures including surface water drainage.A consultation on future energy standards isproposed in 2009.
3.8.4 Code for Sustainable Homes
The Code for Sustainable Homes64 becameoperational in April 2007. It is the nationalstandard for the design and construction ofsustainable new homes. It covers a range ofenvironmental impacts including, but notexclusively, energy, water and waste, and resistanceto flooding. The Code has a number of mandatorystandards, notably energy and water efficiency atevery level of the Code. This ensures that builderscannot trade mandatory elements for other kindsof improvements. The Code is operational inEngland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
Like Building Regulations, the Code is outcomebased and does not require any particulartechnology or techniques. This flexibility isallowing industry to innovate and find the bestsolutions for future regulations – such as the 2016Zero Carbon target.
62 England and Wales share Building Regulations, Northern Ireland and Scotland have separate ones.63 http://www.sbsa.gov.uk/sullivanreport.htm64 http://www.planningportal.gov.uk/england/professionals/en/1115314116927.html
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The Code is currently being reviewed in light ofchanges to Part L (Energy Efficiency) of theBuilding Regulations to ensure consistency ofminimum requirements.
In England all new homes designed and built withGovernment funding or on Government land haveto meet Code level 3. Planning policy also allowslocal authorities to require levels of the Code ifthere is specific reason on a particular development.
From April 2008 all new social housing inNorthern Ireland will be built to Code Level 3 andthe Welsh Assembly Government is alsopromoting the Code for Sustainable Homes as theassessment framework for new housing andrequiring at least Code Level 3 for all new housingthat is influenced through grant funding,investment and land disposals; moving to higherlevels as quickly as possible.
3.8.5 Energy Performance of Buildings Directive
The UK completed implementation of the EUEnergy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD)on 1st October 2008. The Directive requires: theapplication of minimum standards for the energyperformance of new buildings and those largeexisting buildings undergoing major renovation, theprovision of energy performance certificates andimprovement recommendations when buildings areconstructed, sold or rented out and the display ofcertificates in public buildings over 1000m2.
The Directive also requires regular inspections ofair conditioning systems installed in buildings.Member States must also ensure that there areeither regular inspections of large boilers or thatadvice is available to users on replacements andmodifications to the system. It is estimated thatthe effect of this, including the early replacementof boilers brought about by advice could deliveradditional savings of up to 5.9 MtCO2 in 2020.
The European Commission has published aproposed recast of EPBD. This would extend thescope of the original Directive, strengthen certainprovisions, and clarify other aspects. It gives thepublic sector a lead role in improving the energyefficiency of its building stock. It is proposed thatprovisions that relate to public buildings areimplemented by 31 December 2010 and otherprovisions are implemented by 31 January 2012.An Impact Assessment has been commissionedand is expected to be completed shortly.
In Scotland, Article 7 of the EPBD (EnergyPerformance Certificates) was implemented inMay 2007 for new buildings. Implementation wascompleted in December 2008, for the sale of
dwellings as part of the Home Report, and inJanuary 2009 for the sale or rental of any buildingand for display of certificates in public buildingswith an area greater than 1000m2.
In line with other parts of the UK, advice has beendeveloped in partnership with the Carbon Trustand Energy Saving Trust. A report on the‘equivalence’ aspect of delivery in relation toArticle 8 was submitted to the EC in January2008. Legislation for the introduction ofinspections for air-conditioning systems (Article 9of the Directive) was introduced on 1 May 2007.Air-conditioning inspections cover the assessmentof the efficiency and the sizing of the systemcompared to the cooling requirements of thebuilding and promotes the improvement of theenergy performance of buildings. For existingbuildings, inspections will be phased in as follows:
� For all systems with an effective rated output ofmore than 250 kW, from 4 January 2009 with firstinspections completed by 4 January 2011;
� For all other systems with an effective rated outputof more than 12 kW, from 4 January 2011 withfirst inspections completed by 4 January 2013.
3.8.6 Raising Product Standards and EncouragingConsumer Engagement
Government targets for saving energy inhouseholds depend on a policy package whichseeks to remove the least efficient products fromuse, and builds markets for the most resourceefficient goods and services, for example, via theprovision of information to consumers, boththrough the labelling of products and widerconsumer education. It is also important thatmanufacturers and retailers are engaged in theprocess of setting this up and helping to drive upproduct performance standards.
The Government’s Market TransformationProgramme (MTP)65 works with stakeholders todrive and underpin sustainable improvements inthe energy efficiency and other environmentalcharacteristics of products.
The 2007 Energy White Paper committed theGovernment to deliver between 3.7 MtCO2 and11 MtCO2 savings from products by 2020.Good progress is being made to date. For examplevia measures developed in the EU Eco-design ofEnergy Using Products (EUP) framework Directivewhich has already established ambitious standardsfor 11 product groups with a further 2 expectedby the end of June 2009. While the focus of theDirective is on setting mandatory standards,a clear intention is to encourage voluntary actionby manufacturers.
65 http://www.mtprog.com/
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The Government is also continuing to pursueother measures which include:
� industry voluntary agreements such as the Code ofConduct for data centres ;
� embedding product standards in BuildingRegulations;
� product endorsements via schemes such as theEST’s Energy Saving Recommended logo; and
� public procurement policy.
Statutory labels66 provide relative performanceinformation for traded goods and are established atthe EU level, but supported by national schemes.
The MTP and appliance standards and labelling areexpected to contribute savings of 0.7 MtCO2annually by 2010 to the with-measuresprojections.
3.8.7 Consumer Engagement
ACT ON CO2, launched in 2007, is a majorGovernment-led multimedia campaign (includingadvertising, face-to-face events, partnerships andso on) which aims to engage citizens on climatechange issues, address the confusion andpowerlessness which can impede people fromtaking action, and encourage genuine andsustained behaviour change to help reduce CO2emissions and meet UK emissions targets.The ACT ON CO2 brand is government-led andmulti-partnered. It aims to help provide clarity andconsistency across different communications.
The ACT ON CO2 website aims to signpost,interact, coordinate and engage consumers onclimate change, providing a clear, consistent,authoritative and credible voice. The websiteallows other government departments to buildand add further climate change information asand when necessary.
The award-winning Act on CO2 calculator hasreceived over 1.5 million unique visitors since itslaunch in June 2007. Further enhancements arebeing added to allow users to calculate their CO2emissions from renewable technologies and publictransport as well as providing an interactive resultsand action plan. This is an integral part of theGovernment’s strategy to engage with andeducate the public as part of the mobilisation ofsociety to adopt low carbon lifestyles.
Independent research shows that 73 per cent ofpeople say they have taken or are planning totake action to reduce their CO2 emissions as aresult of the campaign – an increase of23 percentage points since summer 2007. Therehave been around 600,000 unique visitors to thecampaign website between September 2008 andMay 2009 and almost 400,000 calls to the ACTON CO2 advice line run by the Energy SavingTrust, from September 2008 to February 2009,which is double the number of calls over the sameperiod in 2007/2008.
The ACT ON CO2 campaign won two GreenAwards in 2008 in best audio visual and bestintegrated campaign, adding to the two it wonin 2007.
3.8.8 The Climate Change Initiative
The success of the ACT ON CO2 campaign builton the achievements of the Climate ChangeCommunications Initiative (CCCI) which waslaunched in 2005 to raise awareness of the issueand inspire collective action.
Defra developed an environmental segmentationmodel, predominantly used for advising policy andcommunications development. It is based onpeople’s responses to a broad range of attitudinalquestions which were included in Defra’s 2007Attitudes and Behaviours Towards theEnvironment Survey. The model divides the publicinto seven clusters each sharing a distinct set ofattitudes and beliefs towards the environment,environmental issues and behaviours. There hasbeen a recent increase in the number of researchprojects and government bodies using the model.In addition, a web based tool, designed for use bya range of stakeholders to inform the public ofwhich segment they best fit into and how theycan make environmental changes, is currently indevelopment.
The work of the Initiative included the initialdevelopment of the web-based Act on CO2calculator, two short filler films, a DVD/bookletpack Climate Change: Your guide to inspiringaction, which gives guidance to those wishing toencourage individuals to take action to tackleclimate change (and is still available), and 83 localand community-level communications projects ledby local government and the third sector.
Over 6,000 hard copies of our first booklet AGuide to Communicating Climate Change weredistributed – including to a large number of
66 The mandatory EU Energy label currently covers domestic refrigeration, washing machines, electric tumble dryers, washer dryers, dishwashers,lamps, electric ovens, air conditioners and televisions
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community and local organisations. The currentversion of the booklet, Climate Change: A Guideto inspiring Action, was launched on 5 June 2007and over 2000 copies have been distributed tocompanies, schools, councils, public bodies, NGOsand individuals.
The Climate Challenge Fund sponsored 83 wideranging projects with grants totalling £8.5M overtwo years. These projects generated over 700,000promotional items, 140,000 visits to websites anddirect contact with over 60,000 people atexhibitions, with overall direct engagement onalmost 450,000 occasions. There were also over24 million opportunities to communicate climatechange through posters and billboard advertising.
3.8.9 The Energy Saving Trust
The Energy Saving Trust (EST) is grant-funded bythe Department of Energy and Climate Change,the Department of Transport and the DevolvedAdministrations, as well as by the EU and theprivate sector. EST activities are designed tounderpin and complement the work of other actorsin carbon abatement markets: increasing demandfor a low carbon lifestyle through raisingawareness, providing advice and support for action.They also support the supply of carbon abatementproducts and services to meet this demand bydeveloping partnerships, stimulating innovation,supporting training and providing accreditation.
A key part of the EST programme for 2008/09 isthe Act On CO2 advice line and nationwidenetwork of regional advice centres which providesthe consumer with comprehensive and tailoredadvice on how to reduce their carbon footprint.The one-stop-shop offers consumers a range offree and impartial advice on energy efficiency,microgeneration and renewable energy, lowcarbon transport, water efficiency and wastereduction and a range of independent servicesthat will help them action that advice.
In a similar approach in Scotland, the ScottishGovernment funds the EST to manage the networkof Energy Saving Scotland advice centres.In addition to energy efficiency, microgenerationand sustainable transport advice to the domesticand small business sectors in Scotland, the networkof advice centres will now also deliver the newScottish Government fuel poverty programmesthrough the new Energy Assistance Package.
The Welsh Assembly Government providedfunding to the EST to bring forward the rollout ofits enhanced energy advice service in Wales.The Welsh Assembly Government is also currently
running a major climate change campaign, whichinforms people across Wales about the dailyactions which contribute to climate change,encourages people to measure their carbonfootprint and provides information on how toreduce it. The campaign uses a number of media,including television, radio, the internet, and streetadvertising, both stationary and on buses.
3.8.10 Billing and Metering
Smart meters perform the traditional meterfunction of measuring energy consumption, butthey also store consumption data and transmit thisto energy suppliers (or other third parties). Thedata collected can be used to provide consumersand their energy suppliers with detailed andaccurate real-time feedback on their energy use.
The Government believes smart meters will playan important role in our transition to a low-carboneconomy, and in helping to meet some of thelong term challenges we face in ensuringaffordable, secure and sustainable energy.Consumers will have more control over their ownenergy use and carbon emissions, and newopportunities will be opened up for energy retailservices, infrastructure management andrenewable energy generation.
The Government announced in October 2008 thatit intends to mandate a roll-out of smart meters toall domestic customers, with an indicativetimetable for completion of the roll-out by end2020. It estimated that this will result in annualreductions in UK emissions of about 2.6 milliontonnes of CO2 by 2020. There are two elements tothis reduction. The first will be annual savings ofabout 1.6 million tonnes of CO2 (from reductionsin residential combustion of natural gas); inaddition, UK will be better off, annually, to theextent of about 1 million tonnes of EU EmissionsTrading Scheme (ETS) CO2 allowances which wewould, otherwise, have needed to buy. This latteramount does not however represent a reduction inglobal CO2; it is a redistribution of emissionswithin the pre-set EU ETS ceiling of CO2.
For non-domestic customers, the Government hasalready announced (in the Budget 2008) a roll-outof advanced metering to larger consumers over afive year period starting in April 2009. Weestimate that this will result in annual carbonsavings by 2020 of about 0.5MtCO2, made up ofabout 0.1MtCO2 in the traded sector and0.4MtCO2 in the non-traded sector. For smallernon-domestic customers, the Governmentconsulted on metering for the sector last year andthe Government’s response will follow.
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3.8.11 Tackling Fuel Poverty
Fuel poverty is caused by a combination of energyinefficient housing, high energy prices and lowincomes. Although the number of fuel poorhouseholds has fallen between 1996 and 2003increases in energy price rises reversed this trend.To counter this £4.5b has been committedbetween 2008-11 to provide vulnerablehouseholds with energy efficiency and othermeasures. Warm Front67 alone, which providesvulnerable households in England with efficientheating and insulation measures, will receive£970m of funding over this period. It is estimatedthat Warm Front delivers 1.8 MtCO2 savings peryear, and up to March 2008, about 7 MtCO2cumulative savings had been achieved.
The Welsh Assembly Government is reviewing itsfuel poverty strategy and the role that the HomeEnergy Efficiency Scheme (HEES) plays inalleviating fuel poverty as part of the One Walescommitment to a National Energy Efficiency andSavings Plan, and the 3 per cent annual carbonreduction target in areas of devolved competence.To date, more than £100 million has been spentthrough HEES, helping more than 100,000householders to save an average of £220 a year.The Welsh Assembly Government have recentlyappointed an independent Chair to lead theFuel Poverty Advisory Group (FPAG). The groupconsists of external stakeholder representativesand will provide advice on the review of the FuelPoverty Strategy.
The introduction of the Welsh Housing QualityStandard in May 2002 provides a common targetstandard for the physical condition of all existingsocial housing within Wales to be achieved by2012. Welsh Housing Quality Standard providesfor the annual energy consumption for space andwater heating to be estimated using the SAP(Standard Assessment Procedure) method andspecifies the minimum ratings to be achieved.Through the Development Quality Requirements,the Welsh Assembly Government requires that allnew build social housing that it funds meets aminimum standard of at least Code forSustainable Homes Level 3. Development QualityRequirements are the published design standardsfor all new housing built by Registered SocialLandlords in Wales receiving Social Housing Grant.
Agriculture, forestry and land management
3.9.1 Policy Framework
The UK Government and DevolvedAdministrations are currently developing a policyframework to reduce all GHG emissions from theagriculture, forestry and land management sectorto enable the sector to fulfil its potential incontributing to climate change mitigation.
The respective Governments are also workingdirectly with the sector to raise awareness andencourage behaviour change. One of the ways inwhich it is doing this is through the high-levelRural Climate Change Forum (RCCF), which bringstogether the key organisations in England with aninterest in the rural sector. The Forum helps toraise awareness of climate change among farmersland managers and the forestry sector, acts as acatalyst and coordinator of work on climatechange in the rural sector, advises Government onrural climate change policies, helps ensure thatpolicies are sufficiently ambitious and will lead toreal results, and advises on research priorities tobuild a stronger evidence base on reducinggreenhouse gas emissions from agriculture andmanaging the impacts of a changing climate.The work of the Forum is central to the UKGovernment’s Agriculture and Climate Changework-stream, under the Farming for the FutureProgramme. The Government is also working withthe sector to drive faster growth in the update ofanaerobic digestion. All this work is supported bya strong Farming and Food Science Programmewhich includes a specific programme of researchon agriculture and climate change.
The Scottish Government continues to fund anexpanding range of research to understand therole of land use in greenhouse gas emissions andtheir mitigation, and on adaptation to the impactsof climate change, for example impacts uponbiodiversity, water, soils, and the implications forecosystem functioning, adaptation of farmingsystems (including crops, livestock and theirdiseases), changes in land capability under climatechange, land use planning for delivering integratedresponses across sectors, the costs and benefits ofbiomass energy crops, the role of forestry inrelation to carbon sinks, changes in consumerdemand in the move to a low carbon economy,visualisation of future landscapes and stakeholderperceptions of these changes, understandingpolicy instruments to reduce GHG emissions,evaluation of uncertainty related to climatescenarios and the scope for risk-based approaches.
67 The Warm Front Scheme is the Government's main grant-funded programme for tackling fuel poverty. It installs energy efficiency measures,including central heating and insulation, into vulnerable private sector households. The Scheme provides a grant of up to £3,500 for families andthe disabled and a grant of up to £6,000 where the work approved is for the installation of an oil fired central heating system.
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In May 2008, the Graham Report was publishedby the Scottish Government. This was the outputof a Stakeholder Group, Chaired by HenryGraham, which looked at the main issues relatingto agriculture and climate change in Scotland.Following on from this, advice to farmers is beingformulated and communicated through anAgriculture and Climate Change Project withinthe Scottish Government. The focus of this Projectis on practical measures that farmers and croftersin Scotland can take to reduce their greenhousegas emissions.
In Wales, the report Sustainable Farming andEnvironment – Action towards 2020 recommendsthat action is taken by the Welsh AssemblyGovernment to achieve carbon neutral status foragriculture by 2020.
Through the Cambrian Mountains Initiative,Welsh Assembly Government is working with theCountryside Council for Wales, EnvironmentAgency Wales and Forestry Commission toimplement an ecosystems services approach thatincludes conserving soil carbon, reducingemissions, and ways to adapt to climate change.
Under the new Farming Connect Climate Changetheme, Welsh Assembly Government will promotenutrient and resource management planning andbest practice advice and ensure that adherence tothe Code for Good Agricultural Practice (COGAP)occurs. The Welsh Assembly Government will useFarming Connect farm development programmesto deliver technical efficiency methods for thedairy, beef, sheep, arable and horticulture sectorsto deliver emission reductions. It will alsoencourage farmers to take stock of farm emissionsby use of an on-farm carbon-accounting toolwhich is part of the new agri-environmentmonitoring contract.
The current Northern Ireland Rural DevelopmentProgramme comprises a range of agri-environmentschemes including the Countryside ManagementScheme, the Environmentally Sensitive AreaScheme and the Organic Farming Scheme.
3.9.2 Common Agricultural Policy
3.9.2.1 Recapturing the Environmental Benefits of Set-aside
The CAP Health Check agreement reached by theAgriculture Council in November 2008 includes,among other changes, action to abolishcompulsory set-aside but also provides the basis ofa legal framework to recapture the environmentalbenefits of set-aside for water protection andhabitats. In England proposals to recapture thesebenefits are out for consultation and under alloptions a small proportion of land (approximately5 per cent of the arable area) should be managed
in ways that are beneficial to biodiversity or waterquality. The proposals will reduce greenhouse gasemissions from land that has been brought backinto production following the 0 per cent set-asideobligation set in 2007, mainly through reducedcultivation of, or nutrient input to, these areas.
3.9.3 Reducing Nitrous Oxide Emissions
The use of inorganic nitrogen as a fertiliser is amajor source of nitrous oxide, which can also arisefrom manures during storage. The practicesneeded to reduce these emissions are, in manycases, similar to those required to address othernegative impacts of the use of nutrients.
The Government is improving the advice it givesconcerning nutrient management planning andthe efficient use of fertiliser and manures.In January 2009 under the revised Nitrates ActionProgramme it published Protecting our Water,Soil and Air: A Code of Good Agricultural Practicefor farmers, growers and land managers (theCoGAP) which offers advice on minimising risk topollution while protecting natural resources andallowing economic agriculture to continue.The Government is also updating the FertiliserManual (RB209) which will act as a key point ofreference in support of a range of policies aimedat improving nutrient management on farms.The Government also offers the PLANET decisionsupport software which is the industry standardsoftware tool for helping farmers and advisers planand record their nutrient applications. PLANET is acomputerised version of the RB209 book.
3.9.4 Reducing Methane Emissions
Emissions of methane result from diffuse sourcesand through variable biological processes.Research funded by the UK Government isexamining a range of options for decreasingemissions from dairy cows in a programme costingsome £5m per year. Areas currently beingresearched include: ruminant nutrition regimes toreduce enteric methane and nitrogen emissionsfrom livestock, research to improve theproductivity of dairy cattle and a study to assessthe level and type of farming activity in thelivestock sector that UK resources can sustain inorder to reach UK GHG and ammonia targets.This work is all part of our broader aim ofachieving a thriving farming and food sector withan improving net environmental contribution.
3.9.5 Anaerobic Digestion
The Government is committed to making the mostof the potential of anaerobic digestion to contributeto our climate change and wider environmentalobjectives. The UK Biomass Strategy, published inMay 2007, includes details of how we propose to
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work with stakeholders to drive a faster growth inthe use of this technology. Complementary to this,the Waste Strategy for England, also published inMay 2007, sets out the important contributionwhich anaerobic digestion can make to achievingour waste management goals, with this being aparticularly beneficial technology for treatingseparately collected food waste. Our objective is tostimulate and develop the markets for anaerobicdigestion and its products, and to address theadministrative and technical challenges which mayhamper its development.
In February 2009, the Government published“Anaerobic Digestion: Shared Goals”.This document sets out the shared goals thatbusinesses, regulators, Government and otherstakeholders aim to achieve by the cost effective,innovative and beneficial use of anaerobicdigestion in England. Government is now workingwith these actors to develop an ImplementationPlan. This will set out the practical measures thateach of us will take individually and collectively toachieve these goals.
The Budget of April 2009 announced anadditional £10m funding for UK food wasteinfrastructure. For Defra this means newinvestment of £8.4m for grants for developingreprocessing facilities for food waste. This will beadministered by WRAP (the Waste & ResourcesAction Programme) under their existing OrganicsCapital Programme, creating jobs and enablingnew composting and anaerobic digestion facilitiesto be built.
The UK is taking a leading role in driving forwardthinking about the role of anaerobic digestioninternationally, in particular through theinternational Methane to Markets Partnership and inits bilateral programme of collaboration with Chinaon sustainable agriculture. The UK is also looking tolearn from and share experience with othercountries through, for example, the InternationalEnergy Agency (IEA) Bioenergy ImplementingAgreement on biogas (called Task 37).
In addition the Waste Strategy for England 2007sets out the important contribution whichanaerobic digestion can make to managing wet,organic wastes, especially separately collected foodwaste of which there is around 10 Mt per year.
The Welsh Assembly Government is activelypromoting a role for anaerobic digestion as part ofits new Waste Strategy which will be published forconsultation later in 2009.
3.9.6 Rural Development Regulation andEnvironmental Stewardship
Rural Development Programmes for Scotland,Wales, Northern Ireland and England are beingimplemented using expenditure under the EURural Development Regulation for 2007-13,of which Environmental Stewardship is a key part.Addressing climate change is a key element ofthese Programmes
The Welsh Assembly Government is currentlyconsidering responses to its consultation on Axis IIagri-environment programmes. The consultationprovides three options with a strong focus onbuilding carbon stores through reversion tosemi-natural / wet habitats of more unproductivespecies-poor marginal grassland, as well as there-wetting of some large scale areas of organicsoils in the uplands.
3.9.7 Energy Efficiency
The intensive pig and poultry farming sectors havebeen involved in climate change agreements since2001, and the horticulture sector has been in thescheme since 2006. Under the CCA scheme thesesectors have agreed challenging energy efficiencytargets in return for receiving an 80 per centdiscount from the climate change levy.
3.9.8 Non-Food Crops
The UK Biomass Strategy, launched in May200768, is intended to realise a major expansion inthe supply and use of biomass in the UK andfacilitate the development of a competitive andsustainable market and supply chain. It bringstogether Government policies on biomass forenergy, transport and industry. It incorporates arefocused Non-Food Crops Strategy Action Plan69
and builds on the Government’s response to the2005 Biomass Task Force Report.70
The Strategy highlights four priority areas:bioenergy (heat power and transport fuels),renewable chemicals, renewable constructionmaterials and plant based pharmaceuticals. Anumber of measures are being taken forward bythe UK Government to develop these sectors,including support for research, communicationsand dissemination of information and supply chaindevelopment. The production of biomass,including purpose-grown energy crops, isencouraged through support schemes. In England,the Energy Crops Scheme, provides plantinggrants to farmers. The Bio-energy Infrastructure
68 http://www.defra.gov.uk/ENVIRONMENT/climatechange/uk/energy/renewablefuel/pdf/ukbiomassstrategy-0507.pdf69 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/uk/energy/renewablefuel/pdf/nonfoodstrat-2yearreview.pdf70 http://www.defra.gov.uk/farm/crops/industrial/energy/biomass-taskforce/pdf/btfreport-govresponse.pdf
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Scheme gives grants to farmers, foresters andbusinesses to help develop the supply chainrequired to harvest, process, store and supplybiomass fuel to heat and electricity end-users.
It is estimated that the use of non-food crops forthe production of renewable materials andproducts for industrial applications led to annualcarbon savings of 0.14 million tonnes of CO2 in2005. This figure is predicted to rise to 0.32 MtCO2 and to 0.87 by 2010 and 2020 respectively.
Scotland is well placed to develop the use ofbio-energy as it has significant forest resource.There is a growing demand from the bioenergysector for forestry material. In response to thegrowing demand Scottish Ministers set up theWoodfuel Taskforce which published it findings inJanuary 2008. The Scottish Government hasresponded by identifying 25 actions to beimplemented to ensure the biomass resource willbe available to the renewable energy sector nowand in the future.
In Scotland a range of financial support isavailable to help grow the sector includingsupport for supply chain development andinstallation for biomass boilers.
3.9.9 Sustainable Forestry Policy
UK forestry policy is devolved to the four countriesthat comprise the United Kingdom. All fourcountries have established policies for woodlandcreation, co-financed through the EU RuralDevelopment Programme. In Scotland,climate change mitigation is a specific objective ofwoodland creation and the Climate ChangeAction Plan associated with the Forestry Strategyaims to increase levels of woodland creation forthis purpose. To complement afforestation,a framework to better control woodland removalhas also been developed. England, Scotland andWales also have established Woodfuel Strategiesthat aim to maximise the contribution of bothexisting and new woodlands to renewable energyproduction. For example, the supply of small tomedium scale heat in off gas grid areas is thefocus of Forestry Commission England’s WoodfuelStrategy, which aims to bring an additional2 million green tonnes from under-managedwoodlands to market , annually, by 2020,saving 400,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide a year.Both England and Scotland are establishing shortrotation forestry trials to evaluate the commercialviability and environmental/social sustainability ofsuch plantations.
In addition to promoting woodland creation andassociated carbon sequestration through publicsubsidy, the contribution of private finance is
being encouraged through the development of aCode of Good Practice for UK-based forest carbonmanagement schemes. This Code aims to increaseconfidence in forest based carbon projects andlead to enhanced rates of afforestation.
Public sector
3.10 The public sector is in a key position to lead oncarbon emission reduction by setting abehavioural and strategic example to the privatesector. The Government estate aims to set aleading example, for instance, by working to meetSOGE Targets (Sustainable Operations on theGovernment Estate) which include ‘ClimateChange & Energy’ targets.
3.10.1 The Government Estate
The Government estate aims to set a leadingexample, for instance, by working to meet SOGE(Sustainable Operations on the GovernmentEstate) targets. A number of the targets havealready expired or are due to expire in 2010/2011.Government has therefore initiated a review ofthe SOGE framework to ensure that it continuesto allow Government to demonstrate leadershipon this agenda.
3.10.2 The Role of Local Government
Local authorities are uniquely placed to providevision and leadership to local communities,raise awareness and help change behaviours.In addition, through their powers andresponsibilities (including housing, spatial planningand local transport) they can have significantinfluence over emissions in their local areas.To improve the contribution from local governmentto mitigating climate change, the Governmentintroduced climate change mitigation indicators inthe local government performance framework forthe first time in 2008. Under National Indicator (NI)185, local authorities in England will be requiredannually to report performance in reducingemissions of carbon dioxide from their operations(including buildings and vehicles). Under NI 186,performance in reducing per capita carbon dioxideemissions in local authority areas will also bereported.
Around two-thirds of Local Area Agreements(performance agreements for local authorities andtheir partners that are negotiated withGovernment in England) contain targets that areset against NI 186, while around one quarterinclude targets against NI 185. We believe thatthese targets will deliver substantial emissionssavings, but even local authorities without targetsagainst these indicators can be expected to
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intensify the effort that they are expending onemissions reductions for reputational and costsaving reasons.
Tailored support is provided to local authoritiesacross the UK for mitigating climate change byboth the Carbon Trust and the Energy SavingTrust. Broadly speaking, the Carbon Trust focuseson support for reducing emissions from localauthority operations, while the Energy SavingTrust offers support on reducing emissions fromthe wider community (NI 186), especially housingand transport. Local authorities can also benefitfrom the Salix Finance ‘lend to save scheme’(see section on the public sector below).
The Scottish Government funded a similar schemein Scotland through the Central Energy EfficiencyFund (CEEF) providing £20 million to Scottish LocalAuthorities, the NHSScotland and Scottish Waterthrough a revolving interest free loan scheme forthe capital investment in energy efficiency. In2008 the Scottish Government awarded a further£4 million, managed through Salix Finance, for theFurther and Higher Education sector in Scotland.From 2009 the public sector bodies involved inthese funds can also use these loans forinvestment in renewable technologies.
In 2008 the Government launched a £4m climatechange best practice programme to help local areasperform well against the climate change indicatorsin the local government performance frameworkfor England and Wales. The programme is beingdelivered largely through the new RegionalImprovement and Efficiency Partnerships (RIEPS),established with £185m of Government backing,which are voluntary regional partnerships of localauthorities. RIEPS plan and manage their ownimprovement and efficiency needs, which caninclude support for tackling climate change beyondthe best practice programme.
An additional incentive for local authoritiesacross the UK to reduce their emissions will beprovided by the Carbon Reduction Commitment(see section on the CRC).
It is anticipated that the local authority impact onclimate change mitigation will make itself mostfelt in influencing national policies, such as CERTand CESP. The effect of purely local initiatives islikely to be less significant. It is estimated that by2010 national policies will have reduced levels ofcarbon dioxide from 2005 levels by 4.7 per centwhile purely local measures will result in 0.4 percent reduction. By 2020, it is estimated thatnational policies with local influence will havereduced emissions by 12 per cent, with localmeasures being responsible for a 0.6 per cent fall.
In Scotland, all local authorities have signedScotland's Climate Change Declaration andcommitted to taking action on climate change.A number of partners, including the ScottishGovernment, Sustainable Scotland Network,Convention of Scottish Local Authorities andSociety of Local Authority Chief Executives(SOLACE) Scotland, are involved in developing aprogramme of support to assist local authoritiestake forward the Declaration commitments.
All of Scotland’s local authorities are engaged withthe Carbon Trust and have either completed or aregoing through their Carbon ManagementProgramme. A number of other public sectorbodies, including the Scottish Government’s ownestate, have either undertaken or are activelyengaged in this programme.
3.10.3 Regional Development Agencies and RegionalEconomic Strategies
England’s nine Regional Development Agencies(RDAs) provide a strategic direction for economicdevelopment in their region and work together toensure that economic performance throughoutEngland is evenly spread. They also supportbusiness development and competitiveness byencouraging public and private investment andhave a role in improving education and skills levels.RDAs are aware of the increasing importance ofaddressing climate change and operate under aframework which specifies that they must adhereto achieve sustainable development.
RDAs are building into their activities a widerange of climate change mitigation measures thatassist them to achieve sustainable development;from promoting business resource efficiencies andnew environmental technologies to supportinglow carbon physical regeneration and local foodand agriculture sectors.
RDAs are also responsible for drawing up RegionalEconomic Strategies (RESs), in consultation withregional partners, which provide the overallstrategic direction for the region’s economicdevelopment. RESs contain a strong emphasis onsustainability and recognise the importance ofaddressing climate change. For example, the WestMidlands RES has a strong focus on meeting thechallenges and taking the opportunities ofdeveloping a low carbon economy.
As part of their role in delivering the priorities inthe 2007 Energy White Paper at a regional level,RDAs have committed to:
� Set carbon budgets in their corporate plans; publishestimates of the carbon they expect to save fromtheir policies and programmes by 2010 and 2020;
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� Set out (by December 2007) which energytechnologies they intend to prioritise and supportover the next 10 years;
� Identify energy supply chain opportunities and setout priorities for promotion and support;
� Support small and medium-sized businesses onenergy efficiency;
� Work with Sector Skills Councils and RegionalSkills Partnerships to develop programmes tosupport the development of key energy skills;
� Ensure all regeneration projects and otherdevelopments for which RDAs provide funding forand meet carbon emissions standards significantlyin advance of those required by BuildingRegulations (e.g. at least 10 BRE EnvironmentalAssessment Method (BREEAM) carbon credits); and
� Play a key role in advocacy for the development ofcritical energy infrastructure and provide supportthrough monitoring and advice on strategicproposals.
Multi Area Agreements
Multi Area Agreements (MAAs) were introducedin the 2006 Local Government White Paper andcomprise of local authorities that share a commoninterest across a region. MAAs facilitate crossboundary collaboration in relation to economicdevelopment issues. By March 2009 there wereeighteen MAAs either in force or awaiting sign offby Government.
The RDAs have emphasised the importance ofearly engagement with Government on MAAproposals and are keen to ensure that low carbonand natural environment issues are embeddedwithin MAAs. These agreements also allowregional government the opportunities to build astrong skills base that will enable competitiveenvironmental and low carbon industries as wellas energy efficiency measures to flourish withinthe local business sector.
Regional Assemblies and Regional Spatial Strategies
Regional Assemblies currently have responsibilityfor producing Regional Spatial Strategies (RSSs)which provide a broad development strategy forthe region for a fifteen to twenty year period.RSSs should take into account the identification ofthe scale and distribution of new housing,priorities for the environment and transport,infrastructure and economic development.The Government also requires RSSs to containpolicies designed to promote and encourage,rather than restrict, the development of renewableenergy resources. Regional planning bodies andlocal planning authorities should recognise the full
range of renewable energy sources, their differingcharacteristics, locational requirements and thepotential for exploiting them subject toappropriate environmental safeguards.
Sub National Review – Single Regional Strategies
The Local Democracy, Economic Development andConstruction (LDEDC) Bill, currently beforeParliament, will require a single Regional Strategy(RS) to be developed for each region in England,replacing the existing RESs and RSSs. The RS willset out the overarching strategic framework forthe region, spanning both economic developmentand spatial planning. Government will expectRegional Strategies to secure enduring progressagainst the UK's greenhouse gas emissions targetsand budgets, and make a full contribution tonational energy policies. Government will expectthe strategy to set out how opportunities forrenewable energy will be maximised, and in doingso, demonstrate that the region is playing its fullpart in delivering the UK's EU target of 15 percent renewable energy by 2020. RSs will beprepared jointly by RDAs and local authoritieswhich will be represented through new localauthority Leaders’ Boards. The LDEDC Bill providesfor the abolition of Regional Assemblies.
Economic development in Scotland
Scotland has its own devolved government. Theequivalent to the English RDA’s is administered by:
� Scottish Enterprise (SE) – Economic developmentremit, through three themes of enterprise,innovation and investment, covering LowlandScotland.
� Highlands and Islands Enterprise (HIE) – equivalentto SE but covers Highland Scotland.
� SE, HIE and the Scottish Government jointlysupport Scottish companies to break intointernational markets and help attract overseasinvestors through the work of ScottishDevelopment International.
� Skills Development Scotland – lead role on skillsdevelopment and careers advice.
� Local Councils – lead on Community Planning(broadly the local equivalent to RegionalEconomic Strategies), local regeneration andadvice to small and new start up companiesthrough Business Gateway.
Given Scotland’s geography (long coastline,wind and waves), marine renewables is seen as agrowth industry that both SE and HIE aresupporting. Opportunities will arise in tidal energy,wave energy and off-shore wind. The EuropeanMarine Energy Centre in Orkney is a facility
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established to allow developers to test newmarine renewables technology, supported byHIE and SE.
Scottish Enterprise
SE has the remit to contribute to theGovernment’s purpose of increasing sustainableeconomic growth through the GovernmentEconomic Strategy. Specifically this includestargets to increase GVA and reduce carbonemissions over the period to 2011.
The key sustainable development priorities in SE’sBusiness Plan are to promote the growth of a lowcarbon economy through support for resourceefficiency, the development and use of cleanertechnologies in our key sectors and an approachto business infrastructure investment that helps tomitigate climate change.
SE has adopted a Sustainable Development Policyframework that embeds sustainable developmentinto all of its activities, for example, into itsdecision making processes prior to makinginvestment decisions. This will ensure that thecarbon impact is considered prior to any grantsbeing released.
Highlands and Islands Enterprise
The Highlands and Islands of Scotland cover morethan half the Scottish landmass, including over 90inhabited islands. It is recognised as being one ofthe windiest places in Europe and has enormouslypowerful tidal flows operating around its coastline.Capitalising on these natural assets to generaterenewable energy and create wealth are key areasof activity for HIE in its implementation of theGovernment Economic Strategy. This strategy hastwo high-level targets – one is to increase the rateof economic growth and the other is to reduceemissions. Fostering growth within the renewableenergy sector offers significant impact in deliveringboth of these targets.
HIE has adopted a sustainable construction policyto ensure new property procured is of the veryhighest standard while also minimising theassociated long-term running costs. As HIE'sknowledge and understanding of greenhouse gasemissions grows it is moving from undertakinghistorical reviews of the carbon impact itsinvestments made to monitoring and analysiswhich will allow it to ensure these issues informthe decision-making process and improve thequality of projects which receive financial support.
3.10.4 Planning
Planning policy statements issued by theGovernment and the devolved administrations setout a national planning policy framework. InEngland, a new Planning Policy Statement (PPS):Planning and Climate Change was published inDecember 2007 making clear that tackling climatechange is at the centre of what Governmentexpects from good planning. That is why the PPSwas published as a supplement to PPS 1 whichsets out Government’s core objectives for theplanning system.
The PPS builds on existing planning policies onclimate change such as PPS 22: Renewable Energyand PPS 25: Development and Flood Risk, andconfirms the central role of planning in helping tospeed up the shift to renewable and low-carbonenergy; helping shape places resilient to theimpact of climate change; and supporting ourambitions on zero carbon development. The PPS isunderpinned by new duties in the Planning Act2008 on regional and local planning to takeaction on climate change.
In Scotland, the integration of climate changeconsiderations into land use planning is dealt within a wide range of planning publications.The proposed National Planning Framework2 recognises the Scottish Government’s widercommitment to tackling climate change.More specific references are included in ScottishPlanning Policies (SPPs) including those onHousing (SPP3), Renewable Energy (SPP6) andFlooding (SPP7). The national planning policyseries is currently being rationalised into a singledocument which will express policy in moreconcise terms. Statutory guidance on sustainabledevelopment in development planning will bepublished in Spring 2009.
Planning Policy Wales, published in March 2002,sets out the Welsh Assembly Government’splanning policies and climate change is fullyintegrated into it. In 2006 the AssemblyGovernment consulted on a range of proposedchanges to Planning Policy Wales (PPW) through aPlanning for Climate Change Ministerial InterimPlanning Policy Statement (MIPPS). The MIPPSincluded a comprehensive set of changes to PPWto further increase the emphasis on tacklingClimate Change in national planning policy.These policies have been further updated sincethe One Wales 3 per cent target was adopted in2007.
To underpin the policy the Assembly Governmentis preparing a new (draft) Technical Advice Note,specifically on the proposals outlined in theconsultation.
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Technical Advice Note 12 Design is being updatedto incorporate the current guidance on accessstatements and the finalised advice on designstatements, which will increase the emphasis ofClimate Change as a key design consideration.
The Welsh Assembly Government have funded theRoyal Town Planning Institute Cymru to deliver aseries of training seminars on planning for ClimateChange and Good Design to help implementpolicies and technical advice and take forward thefindings of research into local authority barriers tozero carbon developments. They will also bebringing a previous MIPPS into a consolidatedPPW document after the Planning for ClimateChange amendments have been agreed
3.10.5 Funding Schemes for Public Sector Organisations
In 2004 an independent, publicly fundedcompany, Salix Finance, was established toaccelerate public sector investment in energyefficiency technologies through invest to saveschemes. It has established recycling energyefficiency loan funds with over 100 public sectorbodies, including local authorities, universities,hospitals and central government, successfullyinstigating 1000s of projects and, providingannual financial savings of £6.5m and annualcarbon savings of 45 ktCO2e.
Salix currently provides ring fenced funding(interest free) matched by the public sector bodyto create a “local fund”, which is used to pay forenergy efficiency projects across the public sectorbody’s estate. Energy savings are used to repaythe project cost back to the local fund which canthen finance further projects.
The Scottish Government funded a similar schemein Scotland through the Central Energy EfficiencyFund (CEEF) providing £20 million to Scottish LocalAuthorities, the NHSScotland and Scottish Waterthrough a revolving interest free loan scheme forthe capital investment in energy efficiency.In 2008 the Scottish Government awarded afurther £4 million, managed through SalixFinance, for the Further and Higher Educationsector in Scotland. From 2009 the public sectorbodies involved in these funds can also use theseloans for investment in renewable technologies.
In April 2009, a further £65m was announced forenergy efficiency loans for the public sector in2009/10, with £54.5m for England. The additionalfunding is expected to save a further100,000tCO2 and create or safeguard a significantnumber of jobs in the short term. This fund will be100 per cent interest free loans and will fundprojects with a 5 year payback time.
3.10.6 Public Sector Procurement
Sustainable procurement is a key lever to buildmarkets for new and improved products andservices, where the public sector can play a largerole. In 2003, the Government implemented arange of measures, defined as Quick Wins, toencourage central government departments toapply minimum environmental standards across awide range of commonly purchased products. Theproducts assessed were chosen for theirenvironmental / financial impact, scope forenvironmental improvement, and political orexample-setting function.
The UK Government’s Sustainable ProcurementTask Force reported its Action Plan in June 2006.The Action Plan presented the business case forsustainable procurement, recommended actionsacross six broad areas and provided two tools thatcan help organisations’ progress. The PrioritisationMethodology, is a risk-based approach that helpsorganisations focus their efforts and resourcesappropriately, and the Flexible Framework, is amaturity matrix designed to help organisationsmake sustainable procurement happen. In March2007, the Government published the UKGovernment Sustainable Procurement Action Plan(SPAP), in response to the Task Force, alongside asuite of revised targets on SustainableProcurement and Operations (SOGE targets).
The SPAP stated that the public sector wants tomove towards government supply chains andpublic services that are increasingly low carbon,low waste and water efficient, which respectbiodiversity and deliver wider sustainabledevelopment goals. It also stressed thatachievement of the SOGE targets will requireDepartmental effort to embed them, andmandatory product standards, into relevantcontracts and decisions in key areas which includeestates strategies, lease agreements, facilitiesmanagement, buildings and groundsmaintenance. For suppliers to government, theSPAP means that Government Departments will beseeking out innovative solutions and approachesto procurement, including early engagement withthe marketplace and the use of outcome-basedspecifications; strategically engage with keysectors to help drive low carbon resource efficientsupply chains and demonstrate how their activitiesand those in their supply chain are low-risk.
In 2008, the criteria were rebranded as 'BuySustainable – Quick Wins' and extended toinclude best practice specifications. These areintended for procurers that wish to purchase bestin class products in certain areas in addition to theupdated mandatory minimum standards set at themarket average level.
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Buy Sustainable – Quick Wins standards providepublic sector procurers with a practical means ofassisting Departments and their executive agenciesto meet sustainable operations targets (such asSOGE targets, described below). Their widespreadapplication will also help the UK Government tomeet its commitment of being amongst theleaders in sustainable procurement across EUMember States by 2009.
In Scotland the Buy Sustainable – Quick Winswere issued as guidance across the public sectorin October 2008.
The UK Government is also supporting an EUwide Green Public Procurement (GPP) initiative,which would operate on similar terms to BuySustainable – Quick Wins, but would apply acrossthe wider public sector. GPP is a voluntaryinitiative with a proposed political target of 50 percent of tendering procedures across the publicsector complying with the Commission’s core(minimum) criteria by 2010, a target which the UKwould be well positioned to meet. It is hopedthat, over time, the proposed GPP criteria will beharmonised with the UK’s Buy Sustainable – QuickWins standards to form a combined set ofspecifications which can guide procurers anddecision makers towards products and serviceswith reduced environmental impact and increasedsustainability.
3.10.7 Central Government
In June 2006, new targets were set for thesustainable operation of the Government estate(SOGE). The targets replaced those in theFramework for Sustainable Development on theGovernment Estate (originally published between2002 and 2004). The SOGE framework, includestargets on water, waste, recycling, carbon (fromoffices and administrative vehicles), renewableenergy, Combined Heat and Power use, energyefficiency and biodiversity. There is also acommitment for the Government office estate tobe carbon neutral by 2012.
In 2008, a Centre of Expertise in SustainableProcurement (CESP) was established within theOffice of Government Commerce, to drivegovernment performance on SOGE. The Centreprovides central coordination of performancemanagement, as well as guidance and support tohelp departments develop the capability to deliverthe Government's sustainability commitments.
The Sustainable Development Commission, the UKGovernment’s independent advisor and watchdogfor sustainable development reports on progress inits annual Sustainable Development inGovernment Report. Their 2008 report showed:
� A decrease of 6.3 per cent in carbon emissionsfrom offices since the baseline year. However,government is still not on track to meet the 2010-11 target of a 12.5 per cent decrease.
� Good progress against the renewables target with22 per cent of electricity derived from renewablesources.
� Some progress against the Combined Heat andPower target with a total of 8.7 per cent ofelectricity derived from CHP. However, governmentis still not on track to source at least 15 per cent ofelectricity from Combined Heat and Power (CHP)by 2010.
� Carbon emissions from road vehicles show areduction of 10.3 per cent from the baseline.
Trajectories published by CESP in December 2008forecast that government as a whole will meet the2010-11 targets on Carbon Emissions from Officesand Road Transport.
The SOGE framework and targets are currentlybeing reviewed to ensure that they are stillfocussed on the right target areas, and that theyare sufficiently ambitious in both level and scope.
3.10.8 Schools
The Department for Children, Schools andFamilies’ (DCSF) Sustainable Development ActionPlan (SDAP) was revised in 2008. The revisedSDAP – Brighter Futures – Greener Lives, gives anoverview of the work planned and is underpinnedby more detailed delivery plans coveringsustainable operations, sustainable schools andchildren’s wellbeing. The DCSF’s aim is for allschools to be sustainable schools by 2020. TheNational Framework for Sustainable Schools waslaunched in 2006 which identifies 8 ‘doorways’for schools to embed sustainability within theiroperation and engaging their communities.Sustainable development is also taught within thenational curriculum.
DCSF has scoped the total carbon footprint of allschools’ activities and has committed to exploreways in which it can help schools to reduce theircarbon emissions in England. DCSF will work withthe Sustainable Development Commission to helpestablish priorities and scope actions withincurrent programmes of work that enable thedelivery of essential changes in behaviours withinthe school system without detracting from corebusiness of delivering high quality education.
In terms of school buildings, the Children’s Plansets out the DCSF’s long term ambition for all newschool buildings to be zero carbon by 2016 and aTask Force has been appointed to advise on howthis challenging goal can be met. The Children’s
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Plan, which was published in December 2007,also set an immediate requirement that newschool buildings will meet a 60 per cent carbonemissions reduction.
In Scotland, sustainable development is an intrinsicpart of the Curriculum for Excellence which aimsto develop an ability to evaluate environmental,scientific and technological issues as well asinformed, ethical views on complex issues, such asclimate change. Education has an increasinglyimportant role with its focus on green andenvironmental issues, the role of Eco-Schools andthe learning opportunities of green schoolbuildings and facilities.
The Eco-Schools Scotland Programme promotespupil-led activity across a range of issues,including water and energy use, wasteminimisation, bio-diversity, and sustainability. Theprogramme has also worked alongside theScottish Government supported Local Footprintsproject which aims to help local authorities andschools to play their part in reducing Scotland’sglobal footprint.
In addition, Learning Teaching Scotland hosts awell-researched climate change resource forsecondary schools as part of its sustainabledevelopment education website, to encourageyoung people to investigate, communicate and actto tackle climate change.
3.10.9Higher Education
The Higher Education Funding Council for Englandpublished an updated strategy and action plan inFebruary 2009 setting out how, within the nextten years, the higher education sector in Englandwill be a major contributor to society’s efforts toachieve sustainability and tackle climate change.HEFCE has commissioned work to measure thesector’s carbon footprint and develop a sectorlevel carbon reduction target and strategy. From2011 capital funding will be linked toperformance against carbon management plans.
In further and higher education, two thirds (42) ofScotland’s universities and colleges have signed upto the Universities and Colleges ClimateCommitment for Scotland (UCCCfS).
This is a public commitment from the further andhigher education sectors to allocate time andresources to implementing measures that will reducetheir greenhouse gas emissions and carbonfootprints. It also welcomes the opportunity toexpand Scotland’s ability through its researchcapacity, knowledge transfer activity and theprovision of skills, modules and courses to createsolutions to the challenges posed by climate change.
Within 12 months, universities and colleges signedup will publish a 5-year climate change action planthat will include measurable targets and timescalesto achieve a significant reduction in emissions fromall business operations and activities.
3.10.10 The NHS Estate
The National Health Service (NHS) in England,Europe’s largest employer and a leader in localcommunities across the country, launched a nextstep Carbon Reduction Strategy for England inJanuary 2009. Entitled Saving Carbon – ImprovingHealth, the strategy has been produced by theNHS and will aim to significantly reduce its carbonfootprint by 80 per cent by 2050.
The strategy also identifies an interim aim toreduce its 2007 carbon footprint by 10 per cent by2015. This will require the current level of growthin emissions to not only be curbed but the trend tobe reversed and absolute emissions reduced.
Key recommendations call for NHS organisationsin England to :
� Establish a Board approved SustainableDevelopment Management Plan
� Sign up to the Good Corporate CitizenshipAssessment Model
� Monitor and report on carbon
� Actively promote carbon awareness at every levelof the organisation.
In leading by example the NHS can help mitigateclimate change and improve our health tomorrowas well as today.
In Scotland, a Sustainable Development Strategyfor NHSScotland has been launched. The Strategytakes all the key legislative and policy requirementsimpacting on NHSScotland and creates aframework within which NHS Boards can prioritise,develop and manage their actions and performancein accordance with the Scottish Government’srequirements for sustainable development.
The Strategy is consistent with and supports deliveryof the sustainability principles and objectives of theScottish Government’s ‘Better Health Better Care’agenda, the core strategic change programmewhich determines the operational and performancefocus for NHSScotland.
The Sustainable Development Strategy forNHSScotland builds on the good work alreadyundertaken by NHSScotland but broadens thefocus of sustainability across the whole spectrumof NHSScotland activity to assist in the delivery ofthe Scottish Government’s Greener strategic
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objective. The strategy also provides a frameworkfor a series of key actions associated with theidentification and reduction of carbon emissionsassociated with NHSScotland Activity.
Waste
3.11 UK waste policy contributes to emission reductionsvia three routes: reductions in methane emissionsfrom landfill; emission reductions from wasteprevention, re-use and recycling; and, via energyrecovery from waste, which offsets fossil energygeneration elsewhere in the economy. To illustratethe importance of waste, methane emissions frombiodegradable waste in landfill alone account for40 per cent of all UK methane emissions and3 per cent of all UK greenhouse gas emissions.
The Waste Strategy for England (WS 2007)71
published in May 2007 aimed to reducegreenhouse gas emissions by diverting greateramounts of biodegradable waste away fromlandfill, by encouraging recycling and byincreasing the recovery of energy from waste.A report on progress so far towards meeting theobjectives of the Waste Strategy was released in2008.72 It should be noted that some of thepolicies described below apply in England only,however in general similar policies apply in theother constituent countries of the UK.
The single most important instrument workingacross different waste sectors is the landfill tax.This is currently set at £40/tonne landfilled(non-inert) waste, and will rise to £48/tonne in2010/11. The landfill tax not only encouragesdiversion of biodegradable and recyclable wastesfrom landfill, but also encourages wasteprevention through an increase in the cost ofdisposal. There have also been further initiativeson waste prevention, such as the Waste &Resources Action Programme’s (WRAP73) LoveFood, Hate Waste campaign. Although the driversare not fully understood, and the series isrelatively volatile, municipal waste growth hasmoderated substantially in the last 5 years,lending circumstantial evidence to the claim thewaste prevention policies are having an effect.
There are additional drivers on the municipalsector – the EU Landfill Directive stipulates areduction of biodegradable municipal wastelandfilled to 35 per cent of 1995 levels by 2020(with interim targets in 2010 and 2013). England
has implemented the Landfill Allowance TradingScheme (LATS) in order to meet this target.
Further incentives for recycling arise from the EUPackaging Directive targets for packaging recoveryand recycling. The Packaging Recovery Note (PRN)scheme enables compliance with these targets,allowing obligated parties to buy and sell PRNs(generated through verified recycling/recovery ofpackaging) in order to demonstrate compliance.Further, in 2010 the revised EU Waste FrameworkDirective will come into force, stipulating aminimum household recycling target of 50 percent of household waste, to be achieved by 2020.Alongside instruments to reduce landfilling ofwaste, regulations on the landfill sites themselves,and an incentive through the RenewablesObligation, have helped to increase the capture oflandfill gas (methane) – up to 70 per cent of thisgas is now captured and is either utilised forenergy generation (which is supported byreceiving 0.25 Renewable Obligation Certificatesper MWh), or is flared. This ensures not only areduction in methane emissions escaping to theatmosphere, but also produces electricity,offsetting the need for other electricitygeneration.
Defra policy also covers a broader resourceefficiency agenda, such as on product design andhas recently published a progress report onsustainable products and materials.74
3.11.1 Energy from Waste
Combustion, anaerobic digestion (AD) andburning of landfill gas, which contains methane,are the principal methods of obtaining energyfrom waste. The Waste Strategy identifiedcombustion as the generally preferred option forwaste wood over recycling and AD as thepreferred option for food waste. WS 2007 setsout an expectation that the energy generated isutilised in the most climate change friendly waythrough the use of Combined Heat and Power(CHP) schemes. Several initiatives have beendeveloped to encourage investment in renewableenergy and waste infrastructure that meet energyefficiency and carbon reduction objectives include:the banding of the Renewables Obligation (RO)which now, for example, provides 1 RenewableObligation Certificate per Megawatt hour(ROC/MWh) for waste combustion with CHP and2 ROCs/MWh for anaerobic digestion andadvanced thermal treatment technologies,extending enhanced capital allowances (ECAs),
71 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/waste/strategy/strategy07/pdf/waste07-strategy.pdf72 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/waste/strategy/strategy07/pdf/waste-strategy-report-07-08.pdf73 WRAP (Waste & Resources Action Programme) helps individuals, businesses and local authorities to reduce waste and recycle more, making betteruse of resources and helping to tackle climate change, further information available at: http://www.wrap.org.uk/wrap_corporate/about_wrap/
74 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/business/pdf/prod-materials-report0708.pdf
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making the RO neutral to Solid Recovered Fuel(SRF) and the intention to introduce a RenewableHeat Incentive (RHI)75. Changes in respect of theRO took effect on 1st April 2009, while theintroduction of an RHI is due to be announced inthe Government’s Renewable Energy Strategy insummer 2009.
The Government’s Private Finance Initiativeprogramme also offers a platform for newinfrastructure, particularly plants capable ofhandling a range of waste materials including SRF(with biomass content) and waste wood.
The potential annual savings arising fromsubstitution of grid electricity and heating oil byenergy from the combustion (with CHP) of UKwood waste would be over 2 MtCO2 eq, plus afurther 0.45 MtCO2 eq from avoided landfillemissions. Further significant carbon savings couldbe realised from the combustion and diversionfrom landfill of paper/card and green waste notdeemed suitable for recycling or composting.
Methane emissions from biodegradable waste inlandfill account for 40 per cent of all UK methaneemissions and 3 per cent of all UK greenhouse gasemissions. Although technical constraints mean that100 per cent utilisation is impossible, currentlyaround 70 per cent of methane generated is eitherutilised for energy generation or flared. Use oflandfill gas for energy generation is supported by thereformed RO, though to a lower extent than otherforms of energy from waste technologies, at 0.25ROCs/MWh. In Scotland the RO offers the same levelof support for energy from waste generation.
Policies to promote sustainable development indeveloping countries
3.12.1 Sustainable Development Dialogues
Defra leads the cross-Governmental SustainableDevelopment Dialogues with China, India, Brazil,Mexico and South Africa, through which UKdepartments are collaborating with these fastemerging economies to exchange skills andknowledge and trial new SD methodologies.These dialogues pull a number of different themestogether – from agriculture to internationalevents; from sustainable consumption andproduction to environmental law enforcement.
Many of the projects implemented under theDialogues or have been discussed at Ministerialmeetings have contributed to climate changemitigation. Climate change adaptation is also a
growing strand in our collaborations. During therecent Mexican state visit we agreed tocollaborate to develop a toolkit for State-wideaction plans on adaptation to climate change. Ourwork on Sustainable Agriculture with China alsoincludes a strand on the impacts of climatechange, and our cooperation with South Africaalso includes two programmes supporting moreefficient management of water resources, a keychallenge for the future.
3.12.2 Trade and Investment Flow
The UK is strongly committed to ensuring thattrade policies promote long term sustainabledevelopment and aims to support the long termbenefits from reduction or elimination of tariffs onsome products exported by developing countries.Ensuring that potential negative environmentalimpacts of trade liberalisation are addressed isessential for the long-term sustainability of benefitsreaped by developing countries from improvedmarket access. The UK continues to push forrobust impact assessments of trade negotiations.
The UK is strongly committed to liberalisingenvironmental goods and services under the Dohaprocess, thus promoting a low carbon future in apro-development dialogue. In addition, the UK isalso strongly committed to provide Aid for Tradeto developing countries, and especially the poorestamong them, to help build their capacity to trade,integrate into global markets while alsoaddressing any adjustment costs that might arisefrom more liberalisation, within the context ofsustainable development. The UK has just adoptedits first Aid for Trade strategy and has formallycommitted to spend at least £400 million per yearby 2010 as Aid for Trade at national, regional andglobal levels.
3.12.3 Forestry
The UK government has a longstandingcommitment to tackling illegal logging globally,which has serious social and environmentalconsequences, particularly in regions with tropicalforests. The causes of illegal logging can beattributed broadly to the failure of internationalmarkets, which continue to accept illegal timberproducts, and failures of governance which allowcommercial and political elites to benefit fromforest exploitation by evading national forest lawsin producer countries. Continued deforestation isa significant contributor to global carbonemissions, with deforestation accounting forapproximately 18 per cent of global emissions.Timber consuming countries have a key role intackling this problem by putting in place policiesto limit the flow of illegal timber into their market.
75 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/waste/wip/widp/documents/chp-information-note090127.pdf
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The UK considers that measures to tackle illegallogging are best implemented at the EU level;without EU coverage, trade could simply bediverted to, or through, other Member States.We are therefore working to tackle illegal loggingthrough the EU’s flagship FLEGT Action Plan.
A significant element of the EU’s 2003 Forest LawEnforcement, Governance and Trade (FLEGT) ActionPlan is the negotiation and implementation ofVoluntary Partnership Agreements (VPAs) withtimber producing countries where illegal logging isa recognised problem. These VPAs will establish alicensing system which declares that exports oftimber products to the EU have been legallyharvested. The VPAs promote sustainable forestrymanagement and therefore maximise the ecosystemservices which can be derived from them forpoverty alleviation. In addition, the EU is currentlynegotiating the Due Diligence Regulation – whichwould set out the obligations on all operators firstplacing timber on the Community market, andtherefore from all timber producing countries.
Policies no longer in place
3.13 UK Emissions Trading Scheme
The UK Emissions Trading Scheme ended inDecember 2006. Large energy intensiveinstallations that were previously covered by theUK ETS are now covered by the EU ETS. InNovember 2006, a consultation was carried outon the Energy Performance Commitment. Theconsultation outlined a number of proposals tocut carbon emissions from the large non-energyintensive commercial and public sectors. Analysisof responses to this consultation showed strongsupport for a mandatory rather than voluntarymeasure such as the UK ETS. As part of theEnergy White Paper, the UK governmentannounced in May 2007, that it had decided totake forward the Carbon Reduction Commitment,as a policy measure to tackle emissions from thesesectors from 2010.
In January 2002, the Government launchedCommunity Energy, a £50m UK-wide capitalprogramme for installing and refurbishingcommunity heating. Schemes are mainly based onCHP with innovative approaches also encouraged.In December 2004, Defra announced an extra£10m to extend the programme. This was basedon the initial strong demand and a number of largeschemes with significant outputs. However, manylarger schemes under the initial programme did notcomplete within the 31st March 2007 spenddeadline so given this experience the programmewas not extended further. The programme iscurrently being closed and evaluated.
Monitoring and Evaluation
3.14 The UK’s climate change objectives are set out inPublic Service Agreement (PSA) 27: Lead theglobal effort to avoid dangerous climate change.PSA 27 sets out the key outcomes on mitigationand adaptation for the Comprehensive SpendingReview (CSR) ‘07 period and the roles ofDepartments and other bodies in delivery.Progress reports – both self assessments andassessment by the Prime Minister’s Delivery Unit(PMDU) – on delivery of objectives are completedevery 6 months (October and April). Theseprogress reports are discussed at Cabinet andreviewed by the Prime Minister and Chancellor ofthe Exchequer.
The Climate Change and Energy Programme issegmented by International, National ClimateChange and Energy and UK Adaptation.Each Sub-Programme – International, National andAdaptation – has its own Director-levelgovernance/Programme Board which monitorsprogress of work, makes policy trade-offs andresource decisions. Membership of the Boards iscross-departmental, reflecting the manydepartments that work on climate change issues.All three Sub-Programme Boards report into thehigh-level strategy board – the Delivery and StrategyHigh-Level (DASH) Board – which is responsible foroverseeing delivery of the Climate Change andEnergy Programme as a whole, including acting asdelivery board for the climate change PSA (27).In turn, the DASH Board reports up to a MinisterialCabinet Sub-Committee, Economic Development(Energy and Environment) (ED(EE)).
The Climate Change Act requires the Governmentto produce annual statements of UK emissions toParliament, and end-of-budget statementsfollowing the end of each five-year carbon budgetwhich show whether or not we have met thecarbon budget.
In addition, the independent Committee onClimate Change must produce a progress reporteach year setting out their views on theGovernment’s progress and performance towardsmeeting its carbon budgets and target in the Act.The Government must publish a response to eachof these reports within a few months.
The Climate Change (Scotland) Act will requireScottish Ministers to report regularly to theScottish Parliament on Scotland’s emissions and onthe progress being made towards the emissionsreduction targets set in the Bill.
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4Projections of Emissions and
Total Effects of Policies
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76 www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/Budget2009/bud09_carbon_budgets_736.pdf77 CO2 projections published in UEP32: www.berr.gov.uk/files/file48514.pdf78 Technical report will be made available on Defra website at: www.defra.gov.uk79 The UK Greenhouse Gas Inventory submissions to the EUMM and the UNFCCC are published at www.ghgi.org.uk/80 www.defra.gov.uk/environment/statistics/globatmos/index.htm81 Base year; For definition see Section 4.6.3 of this chapter.82 This includes the Crown Dependencies of Guernsey, Jersey and the Isle of Man, and the Overseas Territories that have signed up to the UK’sinstrument of ratification to the UNFCCC and the Kyoto Protocol (Bermuda, Cayman Islands, Falkland Islands, Gibraltar and Montserrat).
83 The UK coverage is consistent with the coverage of the DECC energy model.84 See annex B.85 This includes the estimated impact of the carbon price on emissions from installations covered by the EU emissions trading system but excludesemissions reductions resulting from the purchase of allowances from operators of installations in other EU member states or of JI / CDM credits.The net effect of emissions reductions resulting from purchases through the EU ETS is presented in Table 4.17.
Key developments
� The latest interim projections show that UKgreenhouse gas emissions are expected to fall toabout 23 per cent below base year levels by2010. The UK is therefore on track to meet itsKyoto Protocol target.
� Emissions of carbon dioxide, methane and nitrousoxide are projected to be about 14.9, 54.3 and39.4 per cent below 1990 levels in 2010,respectively. Emissions of the fluorinated gasescollectively are projected to be 54.5 per centbelow the 1995 level in 2010.
� The UK is currently preparing further policies tohelp meet its EU effort sharing and renewableenergy targets, and the carbon budgets76 setunder the 2008 Climate Change Act. Newprojections, including the impact of those furtherpolicies, will be published in summer 2009.
Projections of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
4.1 The UK updates its emissions projections for CO277
and the other greenhouse gases78 annually,to include the impacts of policies and measures thatare firm and funded at the time the projections areproduced. The current UK projections, which providethe basis for this communication, include theemission reductions expected from policies thatwere introduced in the UK Climate ChangeProgramme 2000, UK Climate Change Programme2006 and the Energy White Paper 2007. The currentprojections are based on projections published inNovember 2008, updated to reflect new economicgrowth forecasts announced in the Budget inApril 2009 and revised estimates of emissionsreductions from some policies. Further policies willbe announced in summer 2009 as part of a packageof measures to help the UK meet its EU effortsharing and renewable energy targets, and thecarbon budgets set under the 2008 Climate ChangeAct. New projections will be published at thesame time.
Table 4.1 sets out the UK’s base year and historicemissions and baseline with measures projections,presented by greenhouse gas. The historicemissions set out in this chapter of thecommunication are based on the UK greenhousegas inventory published in 200879. The currentemissions projections are consistent with thisinventory. The revised energy projections to bepublished in the summer will be based on thelatest UK greenhouse gas inventory published inFebruary 200980. The CO2 inventory published in2008 agrees with the inventory published in 2009to about 0.3 per cent for total CO2 on averageover the period 1990 to 2006, with individualyears differing by up to 0.7 per cent. These smalldifferences are due to the sequencing in the workneeded to produce projections relative to theinventory cycle, and the timing of the workneeded for this Communication. They mean thatthe historic emissions in this chapter differ slightlyfrom those presented in Chapter 2. The differencesare small and should not be regarded as materialto the conclusions in this Communication.
The UK’s progress towards its Kyoto Protocoltarget is assessed against the fixed base year81 –see Table 4.1a. In order to reflect the changes ona consistent time series basis, all the otherpercentage changes quoted in this chapter referto emissions in 1990 or 1995 taken from the2008 greenhouse gas inventory.
The tables of emissions in this chapter arereported, where appropriate, using twogeographical coverages. The first is UNFCCCcoverage82 and the second is UK83 only. The UKonly coverage, provided in Table 4.1b, is includedbecause it is the geographical coverage used bythe 2008 Climate Change Act. All percentagesquoted in this chapter refer to the UNFCCCcoverage, unless otherwise stated.
The latest projections show that including theimpact of firm and funded measures84 85,UK greenhouse gas emissions are expected to fallto about 23 per cent below the fixed base yearlevels by 2010. The UK is therefore on track tomeet its Kyoto Protocol target.
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86 Kyoto Protocol reporting basis: totals include only mandatory Article 3.3 LULUCF afforestation plus reforestation minus deforestation since 1990and the forest management cap of -1.36MtCO2 agreed for the UK under Article 3.4 LULUCF of the Kyoto Protocol. Totals also include emissionsfrom UK Overseas Territories associated with the UK’s ratifications of the UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol.
Table 4.1a UK greenhouse gas emissions, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas BaseYear
1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide (net) 593.5 551.0 549.8 556.6 555.9 505.1 504.5 482.1
Methane 103.7 90.3 68.5 49.7 49.2 47.4 45.1 43.4
Nitrous oxide 63.9 53.1 43.6 39.8 38.3 38.7 39.1 38.7
HFCs 11.4 15.5 9.1 9.2 9.2 9.0 8.3 6.9
PFCs 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Sulphur hexafluoride 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7
Total net greenhouse gasemissions
774.9 711.6 673.4 656.7 653.8 601.1 597.8 572.0
Total greenhouse gas emissionsincluding only mandatoryArticle 3.3 LULUCF activitiesand Forest Management capunder Article 3.4 LULUCF86
770.8 709.0 671.4 655.5 652.3 598.5 592.7 565.1
Fixed Base Year 779.9
Change from fixed base yearlevel
-13.9% -16.0% -16.4% -23.3% -24.0% -27.5%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
As noted above, this Table uses historical data from the inventory published in 2008, which differ slightly from the mostrecent inventory data tabulated in Chapter 2
Table 4.1b UK greenhouse gas emissions, MtCO2 eq (UK only)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide (net) 592.4 549.8 548.6 555.2 554.5 503.8 503.2 480.7
Methane 103.5 90.2 68.4 49.6 49.1 47.3 44.9 43.3
Nitrous oxide 63.8 53.0 43.6 39.8 38.3 38.6 39.0 38.6
HFCs 11.4 15.5 9.1 9.2 9.2 9.0 8.3 6.9
PFCs 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Sulphur hexafluoride 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7
Total net greenhouse gas emissions 773.5 710.2 671.9 655.2 652.3 599.6 596.3 570.5
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Baseline ‘With Measures’ Projections by Sector
4.2 The following tables set out historic and projectedwith measures emissions by sector. Table 4.2a andb show how historical and projected greenhousegas emissions are distributed across the UKeconomy. In this by source classification emissionsfrom the energy supply sector, which includesemissions from power stations, refineries andother energy supply industries are shownseparately.
Table 4.3 shows another way of considering theeconomic profile of UK emissions. In thisclassification, emissions from power stations,refineries and other energy supply industries arere-allocated to the end users of electricity,petroleum products and other fuels. There istherefore no separate line for the energy supplyindustry. This by end-user classification gives themost complete account of the relationship betweenemissions and the production of goods andservices. Tables presenting emissions by end userbroken down by gas can be found in Section 4.7.1.
Table 4.2a Greenhouse gas emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Energy supply 273.6 232.1 216.9 230.0 232.6 198.3 199.8 181.5
Business 111.5 107.6 111.1 102.1 100.4 92.0 92.1 91.6
Industrial processes 54.4 44.8 24.4 17.6 17.1 15.2 15.4 15.4
Transport 124.7 125.4 131.5 137.8 139.5 134.6 138.1 138.2
Residential 81.7 82.8 90.2 88.1 84.8 81.7 71.5 63.5
Public 13.6 13.2 11.7 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.3
Agriculture 59.6 57.6 54.5 50.1 48.9 48.8 49.2 49.0
LULUCF (net) 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.0 -2.0 -1.4 0.9 2.8
Waste management 52.9 47.0 33.5 22.0 22.0 21.5 20.5 19.7
Total net GHG emissions 774.9 711.6 673.4 656.7 653.8 601.1 597.8 572.0
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Table 4.2b Greenhouse gas emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UK only)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Energy supply 273.0 231.4 216.2 229.2 231.8 197.5 199.0 180.7
Business 111.5 107.6 111.0 102.0 100.4 92.0 92.1 91.6
Industrial processes 54.4 44.8 24.4 17.6 17.1 15.2 15.4 15.4
Transport 124.4 125.1 131.3 137.5 139.3 134.4 137.8 138.0
Residential 81.5 82.6 90.0 87.9 84.5 81.5 71.3 63.3
Public 13.6 13.2 11.7 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.3
Agriculture 59.5 57.4 54.3 49.9 48.8 48.7 49.1 48.8
LULUCF (net) 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.1 -2.0 -1.4 0.8 2.7
Waste management 52.9 46.9 33.5 22.0 22.0 21.4 20.5 19.7
Total net GHG emissions 773.5 710.2 671.9 655.2 652.3 599.6 596.3 570.5
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Projections of Emissions and Total Effects of Policies CHAPTER FOUR
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Baseline with measures projections from theenergy supply industry, in Table 4,4, show thatemissions are expected to be 27.5 per cent lowerthan 1990 levels by 2010. Between 1990 and2000, energy supply sector emissions fell sharply,due in large part to fuel switching to gas andhigher output from nuclear plants. The short termprojection path is influenced by the recentcontraction in the economy. In the longer termthere is a projected reduction in the electricitysupplied from coal plants for three main reasons:firstly, due to the impact of the Large CombustionPlant Directive; secondly through natural ageing,and thirdly, due to the less favourable economicposition of the remaining coal fired plants.
Generation from renewables is projected to growsignificantly, more than offsetting the impact ofthe expected retirement of nuclear plant from thesystem. Emissions from the oil and gas extractionindustry are projected to fall slightly between2007 and 2020.
Emissions from the residential sector, in Table4.5, are projected to return to 1990 levels by2010. The CO2 projection reflects the increasingimpact of existing policies offsetting increases inthe number of projected households.
Table 4.4 Greenhouse gas emissions from energy supply industry by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 242.9 208.2 200.5 218.4 221.6 188.1 190.8 173.4
Methane 28.7 22.4 15.1 10.0 9.3 8.8 7.7 7.0
Nitrous oxide 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.1
Total GHG emissions 273.6 232.1 216.9 230.0 232.6 198.3 199.8 181.5
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-15.2% -20.7% -15.9% -15.0% -27.5% -27.0% -33.6%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Table 4.3 Greenhouse gas emissions by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Energy supply 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Business 243.8 211.7 210.4 208.1 210.5 182.7 185.4 176.4
Industrial processes 56.8 46.9 26.2 18.3 18.0 15.9 16.1 16.2
Transport 144.2 147.4 152.6 158.8 158.1 151.8 154.7 153.4
Residential 168.2 153.0 155.3 156.6 155.9 142.0 132.4 118.5
Public 31.1 28.1 23.3 22.2 22.1 21.0 20.5 18.9
Agriculture 63.4 60.6 57.0 52.8 51.6 51.0 51.3 50.8
LULUCF (net) 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.1 -2.0 -1.4 0.8 2.7
Waste management 52.9 46.9 33.5 22.0 22.0 21.4 20.5 19.7
Exports 10.2 14.3 14.2 18.4 16.0 15.2 14.5 13.9
Overseas Territories 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Total net GHG emissions 774.9 711.6 673.4 656.7 653.8 601.1 597.8 572.0
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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Transport emissions, in Table 4.6, in 2010 areprojected to be 7.9 per cent above 1990 levels by2010. The growth in road transport is projected tocontinue but emissions projections remainapproximately level due to improving vehicleefficiency and other policy measures. IncreasingN2O emissions are due to the increasedpenetration of vehicles with three way catalysts inthe vehicle fleet.
Emissions related to fuel combustion from shipsand aircraft engaged in international transport arereported separately in the common reportingformat (see Annex A), and in accordance with theUNFCCC’s reporting guidelines are not included inthe UK’s historic or projected emissions. Emissionsfrom aviation fuel loaded in the UK ontointernational flights have increased at an averagerate of around 5 per cent per annum since 1990.The UK is working to establish an internationalmethod for allocating these emissions to nationalinventories and is working through the
International Civil Aviation Organisation toencourage development and with the EU onimplementation of emissions trading at theinternational level.
Emissions from industrial processes, whichinclude process emissions from cement and limeproduction, glass manufacture, steel production,and chemicals manufacture, in Table 4.7,are projected to be 72.1 per cent below 1990levels by 2010. In the short term, processemissions of CO2 are projected to fall due tolower growth assumptions but emissions willremain approximately level in the longer term dueto policy savings offsetting higher long-termgrowth assumptions. Large reductions in emissionsof nitrous oxide and HFCs were achieved throughintroduction of abatement equipment to controlfugitive emissions from adipic acid manufactureand HFC-23 emissions from HCFC-22 manufacturerespectively.
Table 4.5 Greenhouse gas emissions from the residential sector by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 79.9 81.3 87.2 84.9 81.5 78.8 68.7 60.7
Methane 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2
Nitrous oxide 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
HFCs 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5
Total 81.7 82.8 90.2 88.1 84.8 81.7 71.5 63.5
% change from 1990 1.3% 10.4% 7.9% 3.8% 0.0% -12.5% -22.2%
Table 4.6 Greenhouse gas emissions from transport by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 122.7 122.4 126.8 132.1 133.8 128.3 131.6 131.5
Methane 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nitrous oxide 1.3 2.5 4.4 5.5 5.6 6.2 6.4 6.6
Total 124.7 125.4 131.5 137.8 139.5 134.6 138.1 138.2
% change from 1990 0.5% 5.5% 10.5% 11.9% 7.9% 10.7% 10.8%
Projections of Emissions and Total Effects of Policies CHAPTER FOUR
Projected emissions from business and publicadministration are presented in Tables 4.8 and4.9, and emissions in each of these sectors areprojected to fall by 17.5 and 23.1 per cent by2010, respectively. The business category includesemissions from fuel combustion in industry Thetrends in industrial combustion within this sector
are similar to those for CO2 for industrialprocesses, and the emissions projection forservices are fairly constant as the package ofpolicy measures offset the growth in this sector.
The main trends in UK sources and sinks from theland use, land use change and forestry
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Table 4.7 Greenhouse gas emissions from industrial processes by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon Dioxide 16.3 14.9 14.7 13.9 13.9 12.5 13.2 13.5
Methane 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nitrous Oxide 24.7 14.9 5.6 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.5
HFCs 11.4 14.0 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
PFCs 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
SF6 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total 54.4 44.8 24.4 17.6 17.1 15.2 15.4 15.4
% change from 1990 -17.7% -55.1% -67.5% -68.6% -72.1% -71.7% -71.6%
Table 4.8 Greenhouse gas emissions from business by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon Dioxide 108.9 103.8 104.2 93.4 91.9 83.4 84.1 84.9
Methane 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Nitrous Oxide 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
HFCs 0.0 1.1 4.3 6.1 6.1 6.3 5.6 4.2
PFCs 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
SF6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5
Total 111.5 107.6 111.1 102.1 100.4 92.0 92.1 91.6
% change from 1990 -3.5% -0.4% -8.5% -9.9% -17.5% -17.4% -17.8%
Table 4.9 Greenhouse gas emissions from public admin by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon Dioxide 13.5 13.2 11.7 10.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.2
Methane 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nitrous Oxide 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 13.6 13.2 11.7 11.0 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.3
% change from 1990 -2.5% -13.7% -19.1% -22.7% -23.1% -23.7% -24.3%
(LULUCF) sector are presented in Table 4.10.The UNFCCC basis includes all human-inducedchanges to land-based carbon stocks i.e. allanthropogenic sources and sinks. (Emissionscalculated in this way, but excluding estimatedemissions from the Overseas Territories, will beused for assessing progress against targets underthe Climate Change Act.) The Kyoto Protocol basisincludes LULUCF emissions and removalsassociated with mandatory activities underArticle 3.3 of the Kyoto Protocol – afforestationplus reforestation minus deforestation or ARD –since 1990. In addition, since the UK has chosen
to account for forest management under Article3.4 of the Kyoto Protocol, the Kyoto basis alsoindicates removals up to the level of the capagreed for the UK as part of the MarrakechAccords, since the actual uptake by forests isprojected to exceed the cap in most years. A smallbase year allowance of 0.3 MtCO2 eq related todeforestation emissions in 1990 is added to the UKbase year because LULUCF was a net source ofemissions in 1990. This is in accordance with theprovisions of the second sentence of Article 3.7 ofthe Kyoto Protocol, and subsequent COP decisions.
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Annual emissions from waste management, inTable 4.11, are expected to fall to 59.5 per centbelow 1990 levels by 2010. This can largely beattributed to a reduction in methane emissionsfrom landfill sites due to increased collection oflandfill gas for energy recovery and flaring forenvironmental control.
Emissions projections from the agriculture sectorshow that emissions are expected to fall to 18.1per cent below 1990 levels by 2010. Reductionsto 2006 amount to 18.0 per cent, which reflectsdeclining livestock numbers and a reduction in theamount of synthetic fertiliser used. The projectionsshow that emissions are unlikely to decreasefurther to 2020. A projected decrease in methaneemissions is driven by further decreases in
livestock numbers, but this is offset by an increasein N2O emissions from agricultural soils due to anexpected increase in the production of wheat andoilseed rape (Table 4.11)87.
Projections by Gas
4.3 The following tables summarise projectionsorganised by gas. Projections are broken down bysource and end-user for carbon, by source formethane and nitrous oxide, and by market sectorfor the F-gases. The tables in this section arepresented using the UNFCCC geographicalcoverage. For UK coverage tables, see Section 4.2.7.
87 Defra project SFF0601. Baseline projections for agriculture and implications for emissions to air and water.
b) Kyoto Protocol basis BaseYear
1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Article 3.3 0.20 -0.06 -1.02 -1.91 -2.09 -2.68 -2.94 -3.49
Article 3.4 (capped at -0.37 MtC) -1.36 -1.36 -1.36 -1.36 -1.36 -1.36 -1.36 -0.69
Article 3.7 0.33
Table 4.11 Greenhouse gas emissions from waste management by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Methane 50.7 45.0 31.8 20.3 20.3 19.7 18.7 17.8
Nitrous oxide 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4
Total GHG emissions 52.9 47.0 33.5 22.0 22.0 21.5 20.5 19.7
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-11.3% -36.8% -58.4% -58.4% -59.5% -61.3% -62.8%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Table 4.10 Greenhouse gas emissions and removals from land use, land use change and forestry, ona) Convention and b) Kyoto Protocol basis
a) UNFCCC basis 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide (net) 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.1 -2.0 -1.5 0.8 2.7
Methane 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nitrous oxide 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total net GHG emissions 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.0 -2.0 -1.4 0.8 2.7
Projections of Emissions and Total Effects of Policies CHAPTER FOUR
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Table 4.12 Greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 5.2 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.7
Methane 21.6 21.0 20.2 18.5 18.7 18.1 17.9 17.8
Nitrous oxide 32.9 31.3 29.6 27.1 25.9 26.1 26.7 26.5
Total 59.6 57.6 54.5 50.1 48.9 48.8 49.2 49.0
% change from 1990 -3.4% -8.7% -16.0% -18.0% -18.1% -17.5% -17.9%
4.3.1 Carbon dioxide
Table 4.13 Carbon dioxide emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Energy supply 242.9 208.2 200.5 218.4 221.6 188.1 190.8 173.4
Business 108.9 103.8 104.2 93.4 91.9 83.4 84.1 84.9
Industrial processes 16.3 14.9 14.7 13.9 13.9 12.5 13.2 13.5
Transport 122.7 122.4 126.8 132.1 133.8 128.3 131.6 131.5
Residential 79.9 81.3 87.2 84.9 81.5 78.8 68.7 60.7
Public 13.5 13.2 11.7 10.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.2
Agriculture 5.2 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.7
LULUCF (net) 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.1 -2 -1.4 0.8 2.7
Waste management 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total net CO2 Emissions 593.5 551 549.8 556.6 555.9 505.1 504.5 482.1
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-7.2% -7.4% -6.2% -6.3% -14.9% -15.0% -18.8%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Table 4.14 Carbon dioxide emissions by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Business 227.5 197.6 196.4 194.6 197.4 169.9 173.4 166.0
Industrial processes 17.3 15.8 15.6 14.2 14.4 12.9 13.5 13.8
Transport 140.6 142.7 146.7 152.2 151.5 144.8 147.6 146.2
Residential 155.7 143.5 146.8 149.5 149.0 135.7 126.7 113.2
Public 29.2 26.6 22.3 21.6 21.5 20.4 20.0 18.4
Agriculture 8.8 8.2 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.7 6.8 6.6
LULUCF (net) 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.1 -2.0 -1.4 0.8 2.7
Waste management 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Exports 9.3 13.3 13.4 17.5 15.2 14.5 14.0 13.4
Overseas Territories 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
Total CO2 emissions by sourcesminus removals by sinks
593.5 551.0 549.8 556.6 555.9 505.1 504.5 482.1
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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4.3.3 Nitrous Oxide
Table 4.16 Nitrous oxide emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Energy Supply 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.1
Business 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6
Industrial Process 24.7 14.9 5.6 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.5
Transport 1.3 2.5 4.4 5.5 5.6 6.2 6.4 6.6
Residential 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Public 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Agriculture 32.9 31.3 29.6 27.1 25.9 26.1 26.7 26.5
LULUCF (Net) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Waste Management 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4
Total 63.9 53.1 43.6 39.8 38.3 38.7 39.1 38.7
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-16.9% -31.7% -37.7% -40.0% -39.4% -38.8% -39.4%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
4.3.2 Methane
Table 4.15 Methane emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Waste disposal on land 49.8 44.2 31 19.5 19.5 18.9 17.8 16.9
Agriculture 21.6 21 20.1 18.4 18.7 18.1 17.9 17.8
Coal mining 18.3 12.6 7 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.2 3.1
Natural gas distribution 8 7.4 6.6 4.7 4.5 4.1 3.7 3.3
Offshore oil and gas 2.3 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4
Fuel combustion 2.6 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9
Wastewater treatment 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9
Other 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total 103.7 90.3 68.5 49.7 49.2 47.4 45.1 43.4
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-12.9% -33.9% -52.0% -52.5% -54.3% -56.5% -58.1%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Projections of Emissions and Total Effects of Policies CHAPTER FOUR
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4.3.4 Fluorinated Gases
Table 4.17 Fluorinated gas emissions by market sector, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
HFCs
Refrigeration/air conditioning 0.000 0.945 4.076 5.118 5.035 5.434 4.638 3.135
Foams (excluding OCF) 0.000 0.000 0.061 0.563 0.619 0.535 0.664 0.779
General aerosols and OCF 0.000 0.572 1.350 1.278 1.293 0.936 0.936 0.936
Metered dose inhalers 0.002 0.002 0.894 1.579 1.585 1.583 1.586 1.586
HFC-23 from HCFC-22 manufactureand fugitive losses from HFCmanufacture
11.374 13.981 2.677 0.341 0.303 0.174 0.174 0.174
Solvents 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.046 0.058 0.107 0.107 0.107
Fire fighting 0.000 0.003 0.061 0.298 0.305 0.204 0.214 0.225
HFC used as a cover gas inmagnesium foundries
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002
Total HFC emissions 11.375 15.502 9.120 9.224 9.199 8.975 8.321 6.944
PFCs
Electronics 0.035 0.082 0.180 0.086 0.083 0.069 0.085 0.105
Aluminium smelting 1.333 0.286 0.244 0.055 0.123 0.056 0.056 0.056
Refrigeration/air conditioning 0.000 0.009 0.033 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Other PFC emissions 0.034 0.094 0.027 0.110 0.090 0.055 0.055 0.055
Total PFC emissions 1.402 0.471 0.485 0.251 0.296 0.179 0.196 0.215
SF6
Magnesium smelting 0.426 0.426 1.093 0.240 0.184 0.139 0.142 0.145
Electrical insulation 0.598 0.802 0.623 0.522 0.509 0.507 0.504 0.496
Electronics 0.006 0.011 0.023 0.013 0.013 0.015 0.020 0.025
Other SF6 uses 0.000 0.000 0.059 0.321 0.172 0.038 0.001 0.001
Total SF6 emissions 1.030 1.239 1.798 1.096 0.878 0.699 0.667 0.667
Total UK emissions of HFCs, PFCsand SF6
13.807 17.213 11.404 10.571 10.374 9.853 9.183 7.826
Change from 1995 levels for rowabove
-33.7% -38.6% -39.7% -42.8% -46.6% -54.5%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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88 www.berr.gov.uk/whatwedo/energy/statistics/publications/dukes/page45537.html89 The approach used is described in Inventory and projections of UK emissions by sources and removals by sinks due to land use, land use changeand forestry. Annual Report July 2008. Available at http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/5956/
Assessment of Total Effect of Policies and Measures
4.4 The projections presented in this Communicationinclude all firm and funded policies and measuresthat have been announced. These policies andmeasures and the projected CO2 equivalent savingsare detailed in Annex B.
The UK is currently preparing further policies andmeasures to help it meet its EU effort sharing andrenewable energy targets, and the carbon budgetsset under the 2008 Climate Change Act. Updatedprojections, including the impact of those policies,will be published in summer 2009.
Emissions reductions resulting from purchasesthrough EU ETS are linked to the flexible mechanismsunder the Kyoto Protocol. Any transfer of allowancesunder the EU ETS eventually also leads to a transferof assigned amount units (AAUs) under the KyotoProtocol between Member States. An allowanceserves the purpose of providing compliance underthe EU ETS whereas an AAU can be used by aMember State itself for compliance under the KyotoProtocol. Figure 4.1 and Table 4.18 show historic andprojected UK emissions, which include the impact ofthe carbon price on emissions from installations inthe EU ETS, and the net effect on emissions ofincluding reductions resulting from purchases of EUallowances and JI/CDM credits through the EU ETS.
Figure 4.1 Projected impact of emissions trading
Methodology
4.5.1 Carbon Dioxide
Projections of the UK’s emissions of carbon dioxidehave been largely derived from the DECC EnergyModel. This is made up of a set of interlockingsub-models of the UK energy market includingfinal user energy sectors and the electricity supplysector. It is a top down demand model, based oneconometrically estimated relationships betweenenergy demand, energy supply, economic activityand energy prices and a bottom–up supply sidemodel. The sector classification source, and theprincipal source of energy statistics, is the Digestof UK Energy Statistics (DUKES)88. DECC modelmakes projections based on prospects for fossilfuel prices, economic growth and demographics.
Energy and emissions projections were publishedin November 2008 and these use updatedassumptions to the projections publishedalongside the Energy White Paper in May 2007.Updated Energy Projections (UEP) are nowpublished annually. The projections include all firmand funded Government environmental policymeasures most recently evaluated. Theseprojections included scenarios for four fossil fuelprice assumptions. The projections presented inthis chapter are based on the central fossil fuelprice scenario.
CO2 projections from LULUCF are produced by theCentre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH) usingmethods consistent with the inventory estimates.The projections89 take account of the dynamics ofcarbon stocks in the relevant pools and assumethat current trends in land use as summarised bythe land use change matrix will continue.
700.00
600.00
500.00
400.00
300.00
200.00
100.00
0.001990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Year
Emis
sio
n(M
tC
O2)
Projected impact of Emissions Trading
Historical Trend
Projection excluding the net impact of EU ETS
Projection including the net impact of EU ETS
Table 4.18 Projections of carbon dioxide emissions in the with measures and with additional measures scenariosMtCO2 eq
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Total net carbon dioxide withmeasures
593.5 551.0 549.8 556.6 555.9 505.1 504.4 482.0
Total net carbon dioxide includingthe net effect of emissions trading
593.5 551.0 549.8 556.6 555.9 507.7 473.1 446.6
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CHAPTER FOUR Projections of Emissions and Total Effects of Policies 77
4.5.2 Other Greenhouse Gas Emissions
The emissions projections of the other greenhousegases covered by the Kyoto Protocol, methane,nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbonsand sulphur hexafluoride, were produced by AEA90
and are broadly consistent with the assumptionsunderlying the projections of carbon dioxideemissions published by the DECC. The projectionshave been developed to the same level of sectoraldetail included in the emissions inventory and havebeen based on a range of different sources of data.These include consultation with experts andstakeholders from UK Government departments,industry and other organisations; technicalliterature; and incorporating results of studiesundertaken for DECC.
Projections have been calculated using a bespokeprojections system which complements the nationalinventory system. The projections system includesspreadsheets to pre-process data, and to feed theprojections database which is linked to the nationalgreenhouse gas emissions database. This projectionssystem calculates emissions based on forecast activitystatistics, emissions factors and various other sectorspecific assumptions for each of the main sources ofemissions. Greenhouse gas emission projections aredisaggregated by sector and are calculated for eachyear from 2005 to 2050. These are then aggregatedto provide an estimate of total projected emissions.The projections system has been designed to betransparent, flexible and easily updateable.
The UK has a range of measures to reduceemissions of the non-CO2 gases. For waste disposedto landfill, emissions of methane to air arecontrolled through the IPPC Directive91,implemented via the Environmental PermittingRegulations 2008, and through the LandfillDirective92. The Landfill Directive states that landfillgas must be treated and used, and if the gascannot be used to produce energy, it must beflared. The IPPC Directive also controls industrialemissions from all major industrial installations.Future emissions from the manufacture of adipicand nitric acid will be mitigated based under sitespecific decisions regulated via IPPC, following theprinciples of BAT (best available technology).
Emissions of nitrous oxide from agriculture arebeing limited both now and will be limited in thefuture through the Nitrate Directive93. This Directiverequires a mandatory Action Programme ofmeasures for the purposes of tackling nitrate lossfrom agriculture. Many commercial, industrial andpublic sector organisations in the UK haveobligations under the EC regulation on certainfluorinated greenhouse gases94 and this regulationwill limit emissions of F-gases, especially fromrefrigeration and air conditioning equipment.
In accordance with the mechanism for producingthe projections of carbon dioxide, the non-CO2projections are based on the ‘with measures’scenario, which takes into account currentlyadopted and implemented policies and measures.
Projections are verified by comparing trends inactual historic emissions against future emissionestimates. If there is a significant deviation betweenthe trend in historic data and future emissionestimates, projection methodologies andassumptions are revised accordingly.
4.5.3 Base Year Definition
The base year chosen for the purposes ofassessing progress towards the Kyoto Protocoltarget uses 1990 data for emissions of carbondioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide(N2O) and 1995 data for emissions ofhydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perfluorocarbons(PFCs) and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6).This National Communication uses the estimate ofBase Year emissions used to fix the UK’s AssignedAmount95, which was based on the 1990-2004greenhouse gas inventory, which was finalisedfollowing an in-country review of the inventoryin 2007.
The calculation of the UK’s base year for reportingunder the Kyoto Protocol includes a smallallowance (0.33 MtCO2) representing emissionsfrom deforestation in 1990. This allowance iscalculated in accordance with rules associatedwith Article 3.7 of the Kyoto Protocol. Annex Cprovides a table comparing the UNFCCC andKyoto Protocol coverage.
90 This technical report will be available following publication of the National Communication. The non-CO2 projections have been updated forconsistency with the greenhouse gas inventory published in 2008, and with UEP37.
91 Council Directive 96/61/EC of 24 September 1996 concerning integrated pollution prevention and control92 Council Directive 1999/31/EC of 26 April 1999 on the landfill of waste93 Council Directive 91/676/EEC of 19 December 1991 concerning the protection of waters against pollution caused by nitrates from agriculturalsources
94 Regulation (EC) No 842/2006 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 17 May 2006 on certain fluorinated greenhouse gases95 www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/uk/progress/pdf/uk-kyoto-1206.pdf
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4.5.4 Key Assumptions
The projections presented in this NationalCommunication are based on the UK energyprojections detailed in the November 2008publication of carbon emissions96, updated toreflect improved policy appraisals and revisedassumptions for economic growth announced inthe Budget97. Key assumptions for the projectionsare given in this section.
Updated economic growth assumptions areshown in Table 4.19.
Fossil fuel price assumptions are set out below.
4.5.5 Overall Uncertainty
The figures presented are all based on centralassumptions which are subject to uncertainty.Fossil fuel prices, policy impact, economic anddemographic growth are all subject to uncertaintyand natural variation driven by factors such astemperature.
Uncertainty ranges for each greenhouse gas,including carbon dioxide, were combinedprobabilistically to determine the overalluncertainty range for total greenhouse gasemissions and projections presented in the here.Figure 0.2 shows the results of the probabilisticanalysis, which is based on the analysis describedin the report on the appraisal of policy options98
Figure 4.2 Results of the probabilistic analysis
This analysis suggests that in 2010, UK emissionsof greenhouse gases will be between 19 per centand 25 per cent below 1990 levels, with thecentral estimate about 22 per cent below(equivalent to 23 per cent below the base yearlevel). The range takes into accountmacroeconomic, sectoral and modellinguncertainties. Overall therefore, the Kyoto targetwould be delivered on the basis of the policiesincluded in the projections.
4.5.6 Differences from the 4th National Communication
The table below summarises the differencesbetween the projections in the fourth and fifthNational Communications. The main differencesbetween the two projections include additionalpolicy announced in Energy White Paper 2007,higher fossil fuel price assumptions and lowereconomic growth. The projections have also beenupdated to take into account improvements to thehistoric inventory, such as updates to the landfillmethane model and other improvements tomethods, emission factors and activity data. Thesechanges are summarised in Chapter 2.9(see page 27).
Table 4.19 Growth assumptions
2005 2010 2015 2020
Growth assumption 2.1% 1.25% 2.4% 2.3%
Table 4.20 Central fuel prices
(2007 prices) Oil ($/bbl) Gas(p/therm)
Coal(£/tonne)
2005 58 28 34
2010 65 43 36
2015 68 44 31
2020 70 46 32
96 www.berr.gov.uk/files/file48514.pdf97 www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/Budget2009/bud09_completereport_2520.pdf98 Published in Synthesis of Climate Change Policy Appraisals, which will be available at www.defra.gov.uk
Projected GHG emissions and Kyoto target
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Year
MtC
O2e
Projections of Emissions and Total Effects of Policies CHAPTER FOUR
Average of Central cases
Average of Central cases
Upper 95% bound
Lower 95% bound
Kyoto Target
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Additional Tables
4.6 The tables in these sections present emissions onan end user basis, according to sector, andemissions from the UK alone.
Table 4.21 Differences in baseline with measures projections between the fourth and fifth nationalcommunications, MtCO2 eq
Gas Fourth National Communication Fifth National Communication
Baseline 2010 ProjectedChange
Baseline 2010 ProjectedChange
Carbon Dioxide 592.1 529.1 -10.6% 593.5 505.1 -14.9%
Methane 91.9 39.5 -57.0% 103.7 47.4 -54.3%
Nitrous Oxide 68.3 40.2 -41.2% 63.9 38.7 -39.4%
HFCs 15.5 9.9 -36.0% 15.5 9.0 -42.1%
PFCs 0.5 0.3 -43.2% 0.5 0.2 -62.0%
SF6 1.2 1.3 4.9% 1.2 0.7 -43.6%
4.6.1 Emissions on an end user basis
Table 4.22 Greenhouse gas emissions from business by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 227.5 197.6 196.4 194.6 197.4 169.9 173.4 166.0
Methane 13.0 9.9 6.9 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.5
Nitrous oxide 2.5 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0
HFCs 0.0 1.1 4.3 6.1 6.1 6.3 5.6 4.2
PFCs 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
SF6 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5
Total GHG emissions 243.8 211.7 210.4 208.1 210.5 182.7 185.4 176.4
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-13.2% -13.7% -14.6% -13.6% -25.1% -24.0% -27.6%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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Table 4.23 Greenhouse gas emissions from industrial processes by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 17.3 15.8 15.6 14.2 14.4 12.9 13.5 13.8
Methane 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5
Nitrous oxide 24.7 14.9 5.6 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.5
HFCs 11.4 14.0 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
PFCs 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
SF6 0.4 0.4 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total GHG emissions 56.8 46.9 26.2 18.3 18.0 15.9 16.1 16.2
Change from base year levels forrow above
-17.5% -53.9% -67.8% -68.4% -72.0% -71.7% -71.4%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Table 4.24 Greenhouse gas emissions from transport by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 140.6 142.7 146.7 152.2 151.5 144.8 147.6 146.2
Methane 2.2 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4
Nitrous oxide 1.5 2.7 4.6 5.7 5.8 6.4 6.6 6.7
Total GHG emissions 144.2 147.4 152.6 158.8 158.1 151.8 154.7 153.4
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
2.2% 5.8% 10.1% 9.6% 5.3% 7.3% 6.3%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
Table 4.25 Greenhouse gas emissions from the residential sector by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 155.7 143.5 146.8 149.5 149.0 135.7 126.7 113.2
Methane 11.6 8.4 5.8 3.8 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.4
Nitrous oxide 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4
HFCs 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5
Total GHG emissions 168.2 153.0 155.3 156.6 155.9 142.0 132.4 118.5
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-9.0% -7.7% -6.9% -7.3% -15.6% -21.3% -29.6%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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Table 4.26 Greenhouse gas emissions from the public sector by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 29.2 26.6 22.3 21.6 21.5 20.4 20.0 18.4
Methane 1.7 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Nitrous oxide 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total GHG emissions 31.1 28.1 23.3 22.2 22.1 21.0 20.5 18.9
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-9.6% -25.3% -28.7% -28.9% -32.6% -34.0% -39.3%
Table 4.27 Greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture by end user, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Gas 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Carbon dioxide 8.8 8.2 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.7 6.8 6.6
Methane 21.8 21.1 20.2 18.4 18.7 18.1 17.9 17.8
Nitrous oxide 32.8 31.3 29.6 27.1 25.9 26.1 26.7 26.5
Total GHG emissions 63.4 60.6 57.0 52.8 51.6 51.0 51.3 50.8
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-4.4% -10.1% -16.7% -18.5% -19.6% -19.0% -19.8%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
4.6.2 UK Coverage tables
Table 4.28 Carbon dioxide emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UK coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Energy supply 242.3 207.5 199.8 217.6 220.8 187.3 190.0 172.6
Business 108.9 103.7 104.2 93.4 91.9 83.4 84.1 84.8
Industrial processes 16.3 14.9 14.7 13.9 13.9 12.5 13.2 13.5
Transport 122.5 122.1 126.6 131.9 133.5 128.1 131.3 131.3
Residential 79.8 81.1 87.0 84.6 81.3 78.6 68.5 60.5
Public 13.5 13.2 11.7 10.9 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.2
Agriculture 5.1 5.3 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.6
LULUCF (net) 2.9 1.2 -0.4 -2.1 -2.0 -1.4 0.8 2.7
Waste management 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total net CO2 Emissions 592.4 549.8 548.6 555.2 554.5 503.8 503.2 480.7
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-7.2% -7.4% -6.3% -6.4% -15.0% -15.1% -18.9%
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Table 4.29 Methane emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UK coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
Waste disposal on land 49.8 44.2 31.0 19.5 19.5 18.9 17.8 16.9
Agriculture 21.5 20.9 20.0 18.3 18.6 18.0 17.8 17.7
Coal mining 18.3 12.6 7.0 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.2 3.1
Natural gas distribution 8.0 7.4 6.6 4.7 4.5 4.1 3.7 3.3
Offshore oil and gas 2.3 2.3 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4
Fuel combustion 2.6 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9
Wastewater treatment 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9
Other 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Total 103.5 90.2 68.4 49.6 49.1 47.3 44.9 43.3
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-12.9% -33.9% -52.0% -52.5% -54.3% -56.6% -58.1%
Table 4.30 Nitrous oxide emissions by source, MtCO2 eq (UK coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007 2010 2015 2020
Energy Supply 1.93 1.49 1.28 1.64 1.68 1.38 1.34 1.11
Business 1.59 1.46 1.30 1.29 1.31 1.40 1.48 1.56
Industrial Process 24.71 14.94 5.61 2.86 2.42 2.16 1.69 1.46
Transport 1.35 2.53 4.39 5.47 5.59 6.17 6.38 6.55
Residential 0.29 0.22 0.18 0.12 0.12 0.09 0.07 0.07
Public 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Agriculture 32.81 31.25 29.54 27.11 25.86 26.10 26.66 26.45
Land Use Change 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Waste Management 1.08 1.08 1.23 1.26 1.29 1.33 1.37 1.42
Total 63.83 53.00 43.56 39.77 38.29 38.65 39.02 38.63
Change from 1990 levels for rowabove
-17.0% -31.8% -37.7% -40.0% -39.5% -38.9% -39.5%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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Table 4.31 Fluorinated gas emissions by market sector, MtCO2 eq (UNFCCC coverage)
Sector 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2010 2015 2020
HFCs
Refrigeration/air conditioning 0.000 0.940 4.062 5.100 5.018 5.417 4.621 3.118
Foams (excluding OCF) 0.000 0.000 0.061 0.563 0.619 0.535 0.664 0.779
General aerosols and OCF 0.000 0.572 1.350 1.278 1.293 0.936 0.936 0.936
Metered dose inhalers 0.002 0.002 0.894 1.579 1.585 1.583 1.586 1.586
HFC-23 from HCFC-22 manufactureand fugitive losses from HFCmanufacture
11.374 13.981 2.677 0.341 0.303 0.174 0.174 0.174
Solvents 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.046 0.058 0.107 0.107 0.107
Fire fighting 0.000 0.003 0.061 0.298 0.305 0.204 0.214 0.225
HFC used as a cover gas inmagnesium foundries
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002
Total HFC emissions 11.375 15.498 9.107 9.206 9.182 8.958 8.304 6.927
PFCs
Electronics 0.035 0.082 0.180 0.086 0.083 0.069 0.085 0.105
Aluminium smelting 1.333 0.286 0.244 0.055 0.123 0.056 0.056 0.056
Refrigeration/air conditioning 0.000 0.009 0.032 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Other PFC emissions 0.034 0.094 0.028 0.110 0.090 0.055 0.055 0.055
Total PFC emissions 1.402 0.471 0.485 0.251 0.296 0.179 0.196 0.215
SF6
Magnesium smelting 0.426 0.426 1.093 0.240 0.184 0.139 0.142 0.145
Electrical insulation 0.598 0.802 0.623 0.522 0.509 0.507 0.504 0.496
Electronics 0.006 0.011 0.023 0.013 0.013 0.015 0.020 0.025
Other SF6 uses 0.000 0.000 0.059 0.321 0.172 0.037 0.001 0.001
Total SF6 emissions 1.030 1.239 1.798 1.095 0.878 0.699 0.667 0.667
Total UK emissions of HFCs, PFCsand SF6
13.807 17.208 11.390 10.553 10.357 9.836 9.166 7.808
Change from 1995 levels for rowabove
-33.8% -38.7% -39.8% -42.8% -46.7% -54.6%
Percentage changes and emission estimates may differ slightly due to rounding
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5Adapting to Climate Change
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Adapting to Climate ChangeCHAPTER FIVE86
99 http://www.communities.gov.uk/localgovernment/performanceframeworkpartnerships/100 http://www.ipcc.ch101 Further details can be found in the 2006 UK Climate Change Programme at http://www.defra.gov.uk and in the Climate Change Delivery
Agreement at http://hm-treasury.gov.uk102 See http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/d/pbr_csr07_psa27.pdf and Chapter 3 of this report for further details
Key developments
Government ActionIn July 2008, the UK Government’s Adapting toClimate Change (ACC) Programme launched anadaptation website and published Adapting toClimate Change in England: A Framework ForAction. The website is a hub of information aboutadapting to climate change, covering issues such ashow the climate is likely to change, what the UKGovernment’s ACC Programme is doing, and whatis happening in the different regions of England.Each UK Government Department involved in theProgramme has a dedicated page on this site, thatsets out what they have already done in relation toadaptation, and their future plans. It also signpostsusers to other relevant sources of information,such as the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP).The website is regularly updated and can be viewedat www.defra.gov.uk/adaptation, and will providefurther information about the elements of theProgramme set out in this response.
Climate Change ActThe Climate Change Act 2008, which gained RoyalAssent on 26 November 2008, makes the UK thefirst country in the world to have a statutoryframework for adapting to climate change.The Climate Change (Scotland) Bill is currentlymaking progress through the Scottish Parliament.
UK Climate ProjectionsNew climate projections for the UK will be launchedin summer 2009. These new projections will giveinformation on current and projected future climatechange for the UK up to 2099. The new projectionswill be the fifth generation of UK climate changescenarios, describing how the climate of the UKmight change during the 21st century.
NI188 Local Authority IndicatorIn recognition of the role that local authoritiesshould be taking, in 2008 the UK Governmentintroduced an adapting to climate change indicator(NI188) in the new Local Government PerformanceFramework99 for England.
UK action overseasThrough the Department of Energy and ClimateChange (DECC) and the Department forInternational Development (DfID), the UK is workinginternationally on adaptation through the UNFCCCand bilateral agreements.
Introduction
5.1 This chapter describes how the UK is developingadaptation strategies. It provides an overview ofthe work of the UK Government and the devolvedadministrations of Scotland, Wales and NorthernIreland on adapting to climate change, includingthe implementation of the UK Climate ChangeAct, and explains how climate change is likely tobe experienced in the UK, based on informationon the impacts provided by the UK ClimateImpacts Programme and other research. It alsodescribes the work of the UK Governmentinternationally on adapting to climate change.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) defined adaptation as “any adjustment innatural or human systems in response to actual orexpected climatic stimuli or their effects, whichmoderates harm or exploits beneficialopportunities”100.
Leading the global effort to avoid dangerousclimate change is one of thirty cross-UKGovernment priorities101 (PSA27102). The UKGovernment’s Delivery Agreement for this prioritystates that: “As a complement to our mitigationefforts, the UK will develop a robust approach todomestic adaptation to climate change, sharedacross government”. Under this indicator,the UK Government measures the increase in theproportion of areas which have sustainableabstraction of water in England and Wales.This measure captures efforts to reduce demandand use water efficiently, as well as long termplanning to ensure resilience of water supply.
The UK has a well established foundation forassessing the impacts of climate change, andprogressing understanding, guidance and actionon adaptation. The UK Climate ImpactsProgramme was set up in 1997 to advancestakeholder-led assessments of climate impacts,and adaptation has been incorporated in the UK’sClimate Change Programme since 2000.
The Stern Review on the economics of climatechange found that as people and organisationsbecome aware of the changing climate they willadapt their behaviour to reduce the potential costs,as well as to take advantage of any opportunities.However, though the Stern Review indicated thatmuch adaptation will happen in this way throughthe workings of the market, there may be barriersthat hinder the process of adaptation.
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CHAPTER FIVE Adapting to Climate Change 87
The UK Government and the devolvedadministrations are working to understand thesebarriers better, identify ways in which they can beovercome and take any necessary action to help.The earlier we start adapting, the better equippedwe will be to cope with higher temperatures,increased rainfall and the other potentialchanges. That might mean ensuring homes,buildings and transport links are protectedagainst flooding or heatwaves.
The UK Climate Change Act
The UK Climate Change Act 2008 makes the UK thefirst country in the world to have a legally bindinglong-term framework to cut carbon emissions. It alsocreates a framework for building the UK's ability toadapt to climate change, by establishing that:
� a UK-wide Climate Change Risk Assessment musttake place every five years;
� a National Adaptation Programme must be put inplace and reviewed every five years to address themost pressing climate change risks to England;
� the Government has the power to require publicauthorities and statutory undertakers (companieslike water and energy utilities) to report on howthey have assessed the risks of climate change totheir work, and what they are doing to addressthese risks;
� the Government is required to publish a strategyoutlining how this new power will be used, and toprovide guidance on what reporting authoritiesneed to do;
� An Adaptation Sub-Committee of the independentCommittee on Climate Change should be createdin order to oversee progress on the Adapting toClimate Change Programme and advise on theRisk Assessment.
Adapting to Climate Change Programme inEngland
5.2 The UK Government has set up the Adapting toClimate Change (ACC) Programme, to bringtogether the work already being led by the UKGovernment and the wider public sector onadaptation in England, and to co-ordinate anddrive forward the development of the UKGovernment’s work on adapting to climatechange in the future. The UK Government wantsevery sector of society to play its part in ensuringthat the country is adapting to the risks posed byclimate change. It is taking the lead in providing
information, tools, capacity building and aregulatory structure to help organisations considerthe risks that a changing climate might impose ontheir activities. It is also planning what actionsshould be taken to increase resilience and reducethose risks, and take the necessary action in themost sustainable manner. The Government is alsokeen to ensure that local government, key publicauthorities and statutory undertakers are makingsatisfactory progress in planning for the changesin climate that we expect to see.
The devolved administrations in Scotland,Wales and Northern Ireland are each responsiblefor considering how climate impacts will affecttheir jurisdictions. The ACC Programme isresponsible for the co-ordination of the UKGovernment’s work on adaptation in England, andalso throughout the UK on reserved matters103
only. However, we need to ensure coherence acrossthe Administrations, and take a UK-wide approachon cross-border issues. The UK Government andthe devolved UK Administrations are thereforeworking closely together to ensure the sharing ofbest practice and cross-border co-operation.
The cross-Government Adapting to ClimateChange (ACC) Programme is working with theDepartment of Energy and Climate Change(DECC) to ensure that policies on both adaptationand mitigation are joined up and complementary.The ACC Programme in England is in two phases.Phase 1, from 2008-2011 will lay the groundworknecessary to implement Phase 2 – a statutoryNational Adaptation Programme, as required bythe Climate Change Act. Phase 2 will bedeveloped during Phase 1, but will be finalisedonce the Climate Change Risk Assessmentprovides the full evidence of key risks to the UK.The Government’s intention is to have the Phase 2statutory Programme in place by 2012, to fulfilthe requirements of the Climate Change Act.The Programme will then report progress toParliament on a regular basis.
The ACC Programme is essentially domestic inscope. However, the consequences of climatechange in other countries, and their ability toadapt, will have an impact on the UK, because ofthe interconnected nature of our globalised world.The ACC Programme will therefore address thoseeffects where there is potentially a significantdomestic impact from international developments.The ACC Programme is keen to work, and shareideas, with other countries.
Full details of the ACC Programme can be foundat www.defra.gov.uk/adaptation
103 Reserved matters are those policy decisions affecting Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the regions of England that are still taken by the UKParliament at Westminster.
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5.2.1 Phase 1 Programme: 2008-2011
5.2.1.1 ObjectivesThe objectives of Phase 1 of the ACC Programmeare to:
� develop a more robust and comprehensiveevidence base about the impacts andconsequences of climate change on the UK;
� raise awareness of the need to take action nowand help others to take action;
� measure success and take steps to ensure effectivedelivery; and
� work across government at the national, regionaland local level to embed adaptation into UKGovernment policies, programmes and systems.
5.2.1.2 Workstream A: Providing the evidenceA great deal of work has already been done toprovide the evidence base on which adaptationdecisions can be taken. To be able to takeeffective decisions on how to adapt, individualsand organisations need a reliable understandingabout the likely consequences of climate change.The ACC Programme will therefore work tocontinue the provision of a robust, accessibleevidence base, building on work undertaken bythe Met Office Hadley Centre, the UK ClimateImpacts Programme and other work funded byDefra, the Research Councils and other bodies.
a) UK Climate Projections
We cannot predict exactly how the climate in theUK will change in detail, partly due touncertainties about future greenhouse gasemissions and partly due to the intrinsicuncertainties about modelling atmosphericprocesses, as well as natural variability.However we will be better placed to understandthe likelihood and magnitude of differentchanges, with the publication of the UK ClimateProjections in summer 2009104.
b) Assessing the risk of climate change for the UK
The UK Climate Change Act commits the UKGovernment to carrying out an assessment of therisks of climate change. This national climatechange risk assessment will build on the existingbody of evidence, identify gaps in our knowledge,and help prioritise our strategic objectives. It willlook at current vulnerabilities, future impacts andadaptive capacity.
The Climate Change Risk Assessment must bepresented to the UK Parliament within three yearsof the Climate Change Act gaining Royal Assent,
i.e. by 26th November 2011. After this, a riskassessment will be carried out every five years,and will inform the statutory National AdaptationProgramme. The Risk Assessment will becomplemented by an economic analysis of theoptions for taking adaptation action. In Scotland,Scottish Ministers will respond to those aspects ofthe risk assessment that relate to devolved matters.
5.2.1.3 Workstream B: Raising awareness of the need totake action now, and helping others to take action
A comprehensive evidence base is essential, but itis only effective if it is well used. Individuals andorganisations need to know that there is an issuethat needs to be addressed, how to find theinformation that they need, and how to use it.
The ACC Programme works with a range oforganisations from the public, private and thirdsectors to:
� Raise awareness of the need for action;
� Provide and promote the information and toolsneeded to take action; and
� Build capacity and capability within organisationsto understand the impacts of climate change andtake action.
a) The UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP)
UKCIP was set up in 1997 and is funded byDefra and the Devolved Administrations(around £900,000 a year). It is an advisory servicehelping organisations make decisions on adaptingto climate change. UKCIP serves as a boundaryorganisation between scientists and stakeholders,working to enhance the uptake of robust evidenceon potential climate change impacts and ensurethat research is carried out with end users inmind, as well as creating new tools and methodsto advise decision makers on how they canadapt105.
b) Guidance on assessing the risks of climatechange and taking action
The UK Climate Change Act 2008 introduces anew power for the Secretary of State to direct a“reporting authority” to prepare reports on howthey are adapting to climate change. Furtherdetails about this power are provided underworkstream C. In order to ensure that this poweris used effectively, the Government will producestatutory guidance on adaptation. This guidancewill set out the processes that organisations needto go through to assess the risks from climatechange and draw up adaptation plans.
104 UK Climate Projections is delivered by UKCIP, The Met Office Hadley Centre, British Atmospheric Data Centre and Newcastle University.105 Further information can be found at www.ukcip.org.uk
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c) Action at the regional and local level
The impacts of climate change will vary, evenwithin a relatively local area, and action will needto be taken at the most appropriate level. This willoften be regional and local, rather than national.In addition many of the actions that need to betaken early but have a long-term impact aredelivered at local and regional level. These includespatial planning and investments in schools,houses, hospitals and roads, and the provision ofa wide range of essential public services.The ACC Programme is working with a range oforganisations in England at the local and regionallevel to ensure adaptation across the country.
The Programme is working with several partnersincluding UKCIP, the Government Office network,local and regional organisations and NottinghamDeclaration106 Partnership members through theLocal and Regional Adaptation Partnership (LRAP)Board. The LRAP Board, chaired by GovernmentOffice for London, is developing a programme ofsupport on adaptation for local and regionalbodies. The board has made supporting thedelivery of NI188107 (the Local GovernmentPerformance Indicator), which 56 Local authoritieshave adopted, as its current priority. The first stageof this has been nine regional workshopsfocussing on sharing of approaches and currentcase studies and consultation and development ofNI188 guidance108.
5.2.1.4 Workstream C: Ensuring and measuring progressIn order to see results on the ground we need tohave ways of knowing if the ACC Programme issuccessful and how widely its influence is beingfelt. It will also be important to have strongexternal challenge to help keep up momentum.We will need to measure real world outcomes, butbecause we know that some of the most importantoutcomes won’t be measurable for decades tocome, we will need some intermediate measures.In addition, success measures may be very local,depending on the geographic, social and economiccharacter of an area.
a) Measuring successful adaptation – indicators ofsuccess.
The ACC Programme has produced an indicator tomeasure progress on adaptation in localgovernment in England. This is the LocalGovernment Performance Indicator (NI188).
The ACC Programme will put forward proposals fora new basket of performance measures foradapting to climate change. These will cover theneed to raise awareness, to build capacity in thepublic, private and third sectors, and changes inpolicy and practice to deliver real world outcomes.The ACC Programme will engage with stakeholdersin the development of these indicators.
b) Ensuring delivery across the public sectorand utilities
The Reporting Power under the UK ClimateChange Act
The Climate Change Act 2008 introduces a newpower for the Secretary of State to direct“reporting authorities” to prepare reports on howthey are adapting to climate change. Each reportwill need to be in line with the Direction by theSecretary of State and have regard to StatutoryGuidance. A report should include an assessmentof risks to that authority presented by climatechange, and a programme of measures to addressthe risks and opportunities presented by thechanging climate109. This power does not extendto the direction of authorities in relation to workthey might conduct on devolved functions inScotland. Reporting arrangements in Scotland fordevolved functions may be considered in theClimate Change (Scotland) Bill
The Local Government Performance Framework
In 2008 the UK Government set out an indicator(NI188) for all English local authorities onembedding adaptation in the full range of theirwork. This is one of the National Indicators forlocal authorities and Local Strategic Partnerships,which is the single route through which centralgovernment sets priorities for local governmentin England.
c) External Scrutiny
Expertise on adaptation, whether insideGovernment, business or universities, must be putto good use in the ACC Programme. We want tohave open and robust debate about thechallenges that face us as a society in adaptingeffectively, in line with the principles of sustainabledevelopment. We have established a PartnershipBoard, involving a wide range of stakeholders,to help develop the ACC Programme andchallenge UK Government to make progresson implementation.
106 The Nottingham Declaration recognises the central role of local authorities in leading society's response to the challenge of climate change. Bysigning the Declaration councils pledge to address systematically the causes of climate change and to prepare their community for its impacts.For more information see http://nottinghamdeclaration.co.uk
107 For further information – http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/adapt/action/local-authorities.htm108 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/localgovindicators/ni188.htm109 Full details can be found at http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/adapt/legislation/reporting.htm
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The UK Climate Change Act 2008 requires theUK Government to report progress regularly tothe UK Parliament, to ensure transparency.
In addition, the UK Climate Change Act 2008introduces a new independent Committee onClimate Change (CCC) to provide expert adviceand scrutiny on the Government's climate changework. It also introduces a new AdaptationSub-Committee (ASC) of the CCC110. This iscurrently being recruited and will be in placeby summer 2009.
5.2.1.5 Workstream D: Government policy and process:embedding adaptation
This workstream will ensure that as UKGovernment policies and investment decisions areplanned, the risks from climate change to publicpolicy objectives and to the efficient use of publicresources are taken into account. As an exampleof the type of project carried out under thisworkstream, under the auspices of HM Treasury,sponsored jointly with the ACC Programme, across-Government working group is examiningwhether additional Green Book guidance isrequired to enable climate change to be builtproperly into the decision making process forfuture spending and investment proposals.(The Treasury Green Book111 is the central pointacross Government for guidance on the economicassessment of spending and investment).
Embedding adaptation into key GovernmentProgrammes
A major challenge for all Government Departmentsand Agencies, as with any other organisation in thepublic and private sector, is to review their policiesand operations in the light of the risks of climatechange, and consider the options for adaptiveaction. This process will be helped by thepublication of the new UK Climate Projections, andthe statutory guidance to be provided under theUK Climate Change Act.
The Climate Change Risk Assessment andAdaptation Economic Assessment will also helpGovernment and the devolved administrations, aswell as the rest of society, target where to focusaction given the key risks and vulnerabilities.However, action must start to be taken now andcannot be delayed until those projects are finalised.
All UK Government Departments and thedevolved administrations are looking at theneed to adapt their policies in the light ofclimate change.
As part of the ACC Programme’s work, each UKGovernment Department has been identifyingthose areas where the need to adapt is thegreatest. These relate to the priority areasidentified by each Department on their web-pagesof the adaptation website. The ACC Programme isconsidering how best to take this work forwardbut examples of the areas in which we will takeinitial action includes:
� Working with the Department of Communitiesand Local Government (CLG) to look atstrengthening adaptation within the planningprocess including looking at mechanisms suchas Building Regulations and the Code forSustainable Homes.
� Working with the Cabinet Office (CO), Departmentfor Business Enterprise and Regulatory Reform(BERR), Department for Transport (DfT) and CLG toensure critical national infrastructure is adapting tochanges in our climate.
� Working with DfT to ensure that a risk-basedapproach to adaptation is integrated into the NewApproach to Transport Appraisal (NATA), which isthe framework used to appraise the costs andbenefits of transport schemes requiring theDepartment's funding or approval.
� Working with the Departments for Children,Schools and Families (DCSF), Department for Workand Pensions (DWP) and Department of Health(DoH) to consider the social impacts of climatechange and how we can reduce the susceptibilityto the most harmful impacts of the mostvulnerable members of society.
Further information on all these work areas isavailable at www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/adapt/programme/index.htm
UK Administrations
5.3 The UK Administrations are committed to workingclosely together to share best practice and developcross-border initiatives. To do this we have set upthe Adapting to Climate Change UK group whomeet every six months.
5.3.1 Scottish Government Programme
The Scottish Government is seeking effectiveoptions to help build Scotland’s resilience to theunavoidable consequences of climate change.
110 For further details on the ASC – http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/adapt/legislation/subcommittee.htm111 The Green Book is HM Treasury guidance on appraisals and evaluations in central Government and its agencies. It aims to ensure the continuous
improvement and value for money in the delivery of public services.
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In many cases, Scotland already has in placelegislation, regulation or policies to protect againstthose impacts likely to pose the greatest risk,such as the risk of more frequent flooding events.
The Scottish Government is developing acomplementary Climate Change AdaptationFramework by providing consistent guidancefor a sustainable approach to climate changeadaptation and increasing the potential torecognise opportunities for greater whole-of-government policy development. The Frameworkwill identify key factors contributing to Scotland’svulnerability to changes in climate and set out theroles of key stakeholders and the Government’sactions to address these.
The Framework will be published in 2009.Two consultations held to inform the developmentof the Framework can be accessed at:www.scotland.gov.uk/climatechangeadaptation
More recently, the Scottish Government hasadopted a climate change adaptation risk onto itsmain strategic risk register and has given acommitment in principle to increase its funding tosupport the Scottish Climate Change ImpactsPartnership which works with private and publicsector stakeholders to develop awareness of climatechange and the need to take adaptive action.
5.3.2 Welsh Assembly Programme
The Welsh Assembly Government’s programmefor Government, One Wales, made a clearcommitment to addressing climate change.The Wales Environment Strategy contained acommitment to develop a Climate ChangeAdaptation Action Plan, setting out what actionthe Welsh Assembly Government, partnerorganisations and people across Wales needed totake in response to climate change. To adapt tothe impacts of climate change we need to buildconsideration of the risks and opportunities itposes, all sectors need to factor it into theirplanning and decision making processes.
To build adaptation to climate change into ourdecision making, deliver action that enhancesWales’ ability to respond to the challenges andopportunities and to meet our statutoryobligations under the Climate Change Act,we will develop a framework that focuses on:
1. Developing a more robust and comprehensiveevidence base about the impacts andconsequences of climate change in Wales.This will help individuals and organisations tomake effective decisions on how to adapt.Key activity planned includes:
� The new UK Climate Projections (UKCP 09)scenarios will be used to update Wales ScopingStudy focusing on key sectors such asagriculture, marine and environment and thebuilt environment.
� Supporting the development of Local ClimateImpact Profiles and consideration of climateimpacts by local authorities.
� The first UK Climate Change Risk Assessment(CCRA) will be published within three years ofthe Climate Change Act gaining Royal Assentwith a cost – benefit analysis of the adaptationoptions to address those risks.
2. Work across the Welsh Assembly Government,regional bodies and local government toembed adaptation as a process into policiesprogrammes and systems and in the deliveryof services. Some specific actions to supportthis will include:
� mainstreaming risk assessment and buildingcapacity for key decision makers in all sectorsthrough training on using the scenarios andusing UKCIP tools
� building climate change impacts into fundingdecisions
� producing comprehensive guidance onadaptation as part of the requirements of theClimate Change Act
3. Raise awareness of the need to take actionnow in all sectors and help others to takeaction, by
� signposting to tools and building capacity withinorganisations to understand the impacts ofclimate change.
� supporting people to respond to the impacts ofclimate change rather than simply raisingawareness of them.
Wales has just finished consulting on the firststage of its Climate Change Strategy, and will beundertaking the next stage of consultation in June2009. The responses from the consultation andthe comments of the Climate Change Commissionfor Wales Adaptation sub-group, will aim todevelop proposals for specific actions on how toadapt to the impacts of climate change.
5.3.3 Northern Ireland Government Programme
In Northern Ireland, the Department of theEnvironment (DOE) takes the lead on climatechange issues. It works closely with Defra and theDevolved Administrations of Scotland and Wales.
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On 30 January 2007, The Scotland and NorthernIreland Forum for Environmental Research(SNIFFER), launched a report called ‘Preparing for aChanging Climate in Northern Ireland’.
Published on behalf of DOE and Northern IrelandEnvironment Agency, the report examines thepotential impacts of climate change in NorthernIreland across a broad range of sectors. It looks atmeasures already being undertaken and considerswhat else may be required to adapt to theimpacts.
The importance of a regional approach toreducing the causes and responding to theimpacts of climate change has been widelyrecognised. The Northern Ireland Climate ChangeImpacts Partnership (NICCIP) was established towiden the understanding and knowledge of theimpacts of climate change within Northern Irelandand the adaptation actions necessary to deal withit. The Objectives of NICCIP are as follows:
� To promote, through partnership, the ownershipacross relevant social, economic and environmentalsectors of issues relating to climate change adaptation;
� To increase the adaptive capacity of organisationsacross all sectors;
� To provide a forum for discussion and a linkbetween organisations concerned with climatechange adaptation issues;
� To develop a programme of activities e.g. jointresearch, study, events, visits, seminars etc;
� To provide members with information and links toregional, national and international activities onimpacts and adaptation;
� To consider the relevance of mitigation to theinterests of the partnership; and To develop andconsolidate membership of appropriate organisationsand develop governance arrangements.
Impacts of a Changing Climate in the UK
5.4 Climate change is happening now. Eight of theten warmest years since records began haveoccurred since 1990. In the UK we can expect tosee much higher summer temperatures, even inthe next 20-30 years. Current climate projectionsalso suggest continued warming at least up to theend of the century.
Scientists at the Met Office Hadley Centre havesuggested that in the next few years, naturalclimatic variability may partially offset man-made
global warming. However, temperatures areexpected to continue rising.
Scenarios produced by the Met Office HadleyCentre, Tyndall Centre and UK Climate ImpactsProgramme in 2002 (UKCIP02)112 suggest that forthe UK climate change means, on average,hotter drier summers and milder, wetter winterscombined with more extreme weather events suchas heatwaves and periods of heavy rainfall.These changing climatic conditions mean that wecan expect to experience the following more oftenin future years:
� periods of continuously higher temperaturesthan we are used to – the summer heatwaveexperienced in 2003 is likely to become anormal event by the 2040s and consideredcool by the 2060s;
� decreased rainfall in summer leading to drought,lower river flow and increased water stress;
� more frequent periods of heavy rainfall, especiallyin winter, leading to increased flooding;
� faster rates of coastal erosion and increasedfrequency of coastal flooding. Storm surges areexpected to be experienced more frequently – by2100 they could occur up to 20 times morefrequently for some coastal locations; and
� continuing global sea level rise – by 2100 it couldhave risen by as much as 80cm around some partsof the UK coast.
The impacts of these changes will vary from placeto place, just as weather and the effect it has onsociety varies across the country. For example, theUKCIP02 scenarios suggest that under a highemissions scenario, average summer temperaturesin southern England will increase by over 4.5°C bythe 2080s, whereas for northern Scotland andNorthern Ireland the increase may be less than3°C. Certain features in England are likely torepresent particular ‘hotspots’, where a number ofclimate impacts will be felt in one location, forexample, floodplains, coast, estuaries and largeurban areas.
The impacts experienced will also change overtime. The IPCC has suggested that in NorthernEurope generally, climate change is initiallyprojected to bring mixed effects, including somebenefits such as reduced demand for heating,increased crop yields and forest growth.Raised temperatures could provide increasedtourism opportunities for many parts of NorthernEurope. However, as climate change continues,the negative impacts (including more frequent
112 http://www.ukcip.org.uk
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winter floods, endangered ecosystems andincreasing ground instability) are likely tooutweigh its benefits113.
Overall, there will be both positive and negativeimpacts on every aspect of our economy, societyand environment. A series of regional scopingstudies for the UK has been undertaken,supported by the UKCIP. These identified a rangeof impacts114, including:
Critical national infrastructure
� water and sewerage infrastructure; increased riskof summer water shortages; increase in waterquality problems.
� solid waste management – increased rate ofdegradation and leaching at landfill sites.
� transport – less risk of disruption from coldweather and fog, increased pressure oninfrastructure due to heat, changing rainfallpatterns and extreme weather events.
� energy infrastructure and networks vulnerable toflooding, storms and extreme heat.
Public services
� emergency planning and security – increased riskof extreme weather events and more pressure onemergency services.
Healthcare
� health and healthcare – reduced winter mortality;more heat-related health problems.
Households
� homes – increased risk of subsidence; discomfortin buildings in summer
� increased flooding risk in some areas.
Natural Environment
� changes in the timings of seasonal events, leadingto loss of synchrony between species and theavailability of food, and other resources uponwhich they depend.
� shifts in suitable climate conditions for individualspecies leading to change in abundance and range.
� changes to the composition of plant and animalcommunities.
� changes to habitats and ecosystems, such asaltered water regimes, increased rates ofdecomposition in bogs and higher growth ratesin forests.
� terrestrial biodiversity – some species and habitatsmay be gained and others lost.
� marine environment – some species and habitatsmay be gained and others lost.
� damage to ecosystems services115, loss of carbonstorage in peat soils, reduction in soil quality,increased risk of invasive species taking hold.
Land based economy
� agriculture and horticulture – potential to grownew crops, reduced yield for others, more/differentpests and diseases.
� forestry – increased growth and productivity;increased drought risk, new and intensified threatsfrom pests, diseases and weather (includingdrought, wind and fire risk)
Wider economy
� heritage – increased risk of extreme weatherdamage to historic buildings and ancientmonuments.
� business – disruption to supply chains, newmarkets and opportunities; changing consumerdemand.
� financial/insurance services – new financialproducts required to manage risks; increase ininsurance premiums as a result of extreme weather.
� tourism and leisure – positive and negativechanges in tourism; increased opportunities foroutdoor sports; increased pressure on green spacefor leisure.
Examples of adaptation in the UK
5.5 There are numerous examples of adaptation inpractice in the UK. The following exampleshighlight some of the issues for adaptation, but it isnot an exhaustive overview of adaptation in the UK.
5.5.1 Water
Hotter, drier summers, milder wetter winters, andmore frequent extreme weather events such asflooding, heatwaves and drought, as described byUKCIP scenarios , could mean, higher water
113 http://www.ipcc.ch114 Measuring Progress: Preparing for climate change through the UK Climate Impacts Programme, UKCIP Technical Report, June 2005.115 The Term “ecosystem services” refers to the wide range of goods and services provided by the natural environment that underpin human health,
wellbeing and prosperity. For further information please see the Defra website: www.defra.gov.uk
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116 http://archive.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/pittreview/thepittreview.html
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demand, more widespread water stress withincreased risk of drought, more water qualityproblems, as well as more extreme downpourswith a higher risk of flooding.
Defra has published Future Water, which sets outa long-term vision for water policy andmanagement; by 2030 we will have embeddedcontinuous adaptation to climate changethroughout the water sector and put in place arequirement for water companies to prepare andmaintain drought plans. Future Water can beviewed at www.defra.gov.uk.
The Welsh Assembly Government Strategic PolicyPosition Statement on Water was published on2 April 2009 and highlights the challenges posedby a changing climate for water services in thefuture. The Statement can be viewed athttp://wales.gov.uk/topics/environmentcountryside/epq/waterflooding/policystatement/?lang=en
5.5.2 Flood Management
Making Space for Water is the cross-UKGovernment programme taking forward thedeveloping strategy for flood and coastal erosionrisk management in England. It does this byeffectively embedding flood and coastal erosionrisk management across a range of UKGovernment policies, including planning,urban and rural development, agriculture,transport, nature conservation and conservation ofthe historic environment. Equally, it is also vitalthat other relevant UK Government policies arereflected in the policies and operations of floodand coastal erosion risk management.
The involvement of a broad range of Governmentpartners and external stakeholders in the MakingSpace for Water Programme is ensured throughthe Flood Management Stakeholder Forum.We have also sought to strengthen the integratedframework for delivering the programme byassigning individual project responsibilities to otherGovernment Departments/Stakeholders whereappropriate, namely:
� Land Use Planning (Department of Communities andLocal Government – CLG)
� Resilience Standards for New Buildings (CLG)
� Encouraging and Incentivising Flood Resilience(Association of British Insurers, in conjunctionwith Defra).
Similar activity is underway in Wales as part ofthe New Approach Programme which waslaunched in July 2007 and aims to transform theway flood and coastal erosion risk is managed in
Wales. The Programme has evolved to takeaccount of the findings of the Pitt Review116 andis focused on ensuring that all sources of floodrisk are managed effectively looking both atimmediate and longer term pressures includingas a result of climate change, that a seamlessservice is provided with all the relevant operatingauthorities and that people at flood risk are at theheart of service design and response.
The Thames Estuary 2100 Project
Thames Estuary 2100 (TE2100) is an EnvironmentAgency project to develop a tidal flood riskmanagement plan for the Thames Estuarythrough to the end of this century. Using thelatest climate change scenarios and models,and taking account of future sea level rise,the final plan will recommend what flood riskmanagement measures will be required in theEstuary, where they will be needed, and whenthey will need to be in place by.
The final plan will also be flexible to ensure thatit can be adapted if sea levels rise faster, or stormsurges become more intense than anticipated.
Preliminary findings show that the Thames Barrier,with some adaptation, will continue to provideprotection through to the end of the century.However, by 2050 we may need to improve manyof the flood defence walls and embankments,and create new inter-tidal habitats to offset theimpact of rising sea levels before 2030.
Further information:www.environment-agency.gov.uk/te2100
5.5.3 Planning and Construction
In the planning and construction sector,adaptive capacity is being built into planningpolicy regulations.
CLG has:
� published PPS (Planning Policy Statement):Planning and Climate Change, a supplement toPlanning Policy Statement 1, which sets out clearexpectations on how adaptation should beintegrated into planning
� published PPS 25: Development and Flood Risk,which sets out policy on development andflood risk
� developed proposals for eco-towns, which willneed to be resilient to the climate of the futureand the economic and social circumstances thatfuture climate conditions will bring
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� introduced higher standards for buildings newaffordable housing – Level 3 of the Code forSustainable Homes which sets an independentlyassessed standard of 105 litres of water use perperson per day
� removed permitted development rights for hardsurfacing, encouraging installation of permeablesurfaces which absorb storm water
� published in 2006 regulations on energy efficiency(part L) which introduced a requirement on thebuilder to consider heat gains as well as heatlosses in domestic buildings and to preventsolar gain.
CLG in conjunction with the Department forCulture, Media and Sport (DCMS) sponsor theCommission for Architecture and the BuiltEnvironment (CABE) to carry out their work inraising design standards and ensure significantnew developments consider adaptation issues,through design review, their enablingprogramme, CABE guidance documentsand targeted education.
A number of specific action have been takento implement improved flood risk managementin Wales:
� Technical Advice Note 15 – Development andFlood Risk (TAN 15), provides a precautionaryframework which guides development awayfrom the floodplain where this is possible andensures that decisions that allow developmenton the floodplain must take into account theconsequences of flooding over the lifetime ofthat development.
� The Assembly Government commissioned pilotstudies following severe localised flooding in Walesin 2007. These projects, which are currently beingevaluated, demonstrate how flood consequencescan be managed through strong partnershipworking and close public engagement.
� Ensured mapping critical surface water drainageareas across Wales
Redhill School
The redevelopment of Redhill School,Worcestershire undertook possibly the first climatechange impact assessment at the start of a designprocess in an English school.
The £2.7 million project involves a replacementprimary school on the site of the former 1960sbuilding. The school aims to have a low carbonbuilding that is able to cope with climate changeand will provide a comfortable teachingenvironment over its lifetime.
Some of the adaptation features of the schoolto help it to withstand climate change impactsinclude:
� a sustainable urban drainage scheme using swales,ponds and underground box storage.
� a rainwater harvesting scheme, used for flushingtoilets, takes rain from approximately half the roofarea. Other roof areas have a planted roof finish(sedum) to reduce run-off.
� extra shade for pupils and teachers, provided byoverhanging eaves and external canopies to theclassrooms.
� zinc sheet roof coverings, with standing seams,that may be less vulnerable to high winds thanroofing tiles.
5.5.4 Biodiversity and conservation
Defra has published guidance, on behalf of theUK Biodiversity Partnership, for those deliveringconservation, summarising how existing plansand projects can adapt to climate change.This guidance can be viewed on the Defra websitewww.defra.gov.uk .
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Species adapting to climate change
A study by RSPB and Aberystwyth, Manchesterand Newcastle Universities is exploring if climatechange will have a negative effect on populationsof golden plovers breeding on upland moors andpeatlands and whether simple measures couldhelp them adapt.
In golden plovers, growth and survival of chicksdepends on abundance of cranefly prey.Warmer springs may change the timing of bothgolden plover nesting and cranefly emergence,and are predicted to cause small reductions inbreeding success.
Ongoing research suggests a more severeconsequence of climate change may occurthrough summer warming. When Augusttemperatures are high, cranefly larvae maydesiccate as peatland dries out.
This means that in the next year, fewer cranefliesemerge, resulting in low golden plover chicksurvival. Subsequently, declines in the populationare being seen in the following year.
Drainage ditches on peatland are being blockedto restore habitat condition and promoteecosystem services of water management andcarbon storage.
Raising water levels may also increase theresilience of cranefly populations to futurewarming. This active management of the peatbog could be a simple way to help these twospecies adapt to the impacts of climate changeFor further information please seewww.rspb.org.uk.
5.5.5 Agriculture
The effects of climate change on agricultureinclude, longer growing seasons with potentialhigher yields and opportunities to diversify,potential changes in the suitability of some areasto produce existing crops, lower soil moisturelevels, higher levels of wind and water erosion.Lower soil organic matter levels, new pests anddiseases affecting crops and livestock with theincreased likelihood of animals suffering from heatstress and also higher water demand. There willalso be more widespread water stress withincreased risk of drought.
Defra has provided funding for Farming Futures,which gives practical advice to farmers on howand why they need to adapt to climate change,and reduce their greenhouse gas emissions.In September 2008, 60 per cent of farmerssurveyed in England as part of the FarmingFutures project said they were already affected by
climate change and more than half expect to beaffected in the next ten years. Further informationon the Farming Futures Project can be found atwww.farmingfutures.org.uk.
Defra has also set up, and worked closely with,the Rural Climate Change Forum, which bringstogether the key organisations with an interest inthe rural sector and works to raise awareness ofclimate change, to catalyse and coordinate workon climate change, and to advise on rural climatechange policies and research priorities.
The Welsh Assembly Government has establisheda Land Use Climate Change Group for Wales as aSub Group of the Climate Change Commission forWales in January 2009. The Group brings togetherkey stakeholders to advise on actions that willhelp to deliver the One Wales commitment to3 per cent annual reductions in emissions ofgreenhouse gases by 2011 onwards on a longerterm basis. In addition, the Group is intended tohelp land use to adapt to the challenges andopportunities of a changing climate.
5.5.6 Forestry
The Forestry Commission is the GovernmentDepartment responsible for forestry in GreatBritain. Research and international policy arereserved issues while domestic forestry policy isdevolved to country administrations. By agreementwith the devolved administrations, the ForestryCommission (through its Plant Health Service)develops and implements Plant Health Regulationsat EU and GB level.
Hotter, drier summers, milder wetter winters,and more frequent extreme weather events suchas flooding and storms, as described by UKCIPcould result in, changing forest productivity as aresult of warming, rising CO2 levels in theatmosphere and changing rainfall patterns.As a generalisation, these impacts are likely to bepositive in the north and west and negative in thesouth and east. This may lead to changes in theidentity, location and productivity of commercialforests affecting the timber processing industry.There will be increased frequency of water-loggingin winter limiting access for management activityand enhancing the risk of windblow and changingfrequency and severity of tree disease and insectpest outbreaks. Changes will also be seen in thedistribution of species and the composition ofnative woodland vegetation communities.
The Forestry Commission has established acomprehensive climate change researchprogramme, largely undertaken by its ForestResearch Agency, held a high level conference onforestry and climate change, and established aclimate change communication initiative. It has
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also announced the establishment of a Centre forForests and Climate Change.
The Forestry Commission has incorporated climatechange as one of the 5 aims for delivering therevised strategy for England's Trees, Woods andForests (2007), with the following objectivesrelating to adaptation:
� to increase the resilience of trees, woods andforests to climate change
� to increase the role of trees and woodland inadapting the rural landscape to climate change
� to enhance the role of street trees and urbanwoodland in minimising the impacts of climatechange on our towns and cities
� to use trees, woods and forests to helpcommunicate and improve understanding ofclimate change issues and bring aboutbehavioural change.
In Scotland, the Scottish Forestry Strategy (2006)identifies climate change as one of its seven keythemes. The theme’s primary purpose in relationto adaptation is to ensure that Scotland’swoodlands and the forestry sector meet their fullpotential in facilitating ecological, economic andsocial adaptation to climate change. It sets outthree key actions:
� Improve understanding of climate change impactson woodland ecosystems and silviculture, andimplement precautionary measures, such as foresthabitat network creation.
� Maintain preventative measures and ensurereadiness for pests, diseases and other threats,such as fire and wind.
� Increase the role of forestry in environmentalprotection including sustainable flood andcatchment management, and soil protection.
Early in 2009 Forestry Commission Scotlandpublished a Climate change action plan(2009 –2011). It describes what the Commissionwill do to increase the contribution and responseof Scottish forestry to the challenges of climatechange and focuses on what needs to be doneboth as early actions and to increase futurepreparedness. The focus for adaptation is to:
� plan and manage forests and woodlands in a waythat minimises future risks from climate change,for example through the creation of forest habitatnetworks, and using different timber species,including hardwoods, or silvicultural systems.
� assist in environmental protection such as helpingto tackle slope instability, reducing riverbank
erosion, contributing to natural flood managementand increasing the contribution of trees andwoodland to climate control in urban areas.
5.5.7 Transport
The Department for Transport (DfT) works todeliver a transport system that balances the needsof the economy, society and the environment.The changing climate could have a range ofimpacts on transport networks.
Risks due to a changing climate that could affecttransport in the UK are increased flooding oftransport infrastructure during winter, though lessdisruption due to ice, snow and fog. Networkdisruption in summer as a result of roaddeformation and rail buckling, as well as the riskof passenger heat exhaustion. Increased risk ofstructural failures in bridges, tunnels andembankments due to changes in soil moisturecontent and greater risk to ports and ships due torising sea levels, coastal erosion and storm surge isalso predicted.
DFT has completed research on adapting materialsand techniques in highway works to the changingclimate, which will be published as a guide forlocal authorities. The Highways Agency is makinga full assessment of how to manage the risk fromclimate change to its roads network, and hasalready improved drainage and road surfacestandards to increase resilience. DFT has alsoestablished a cross-rail industry forum andcommissioned research to identify and addresschallenges to the railway. This complements workundertaken by Network Rail to design increasedresilience into its renewal work and producehazard maps highlighting vulnerable areas.
DFT’s priorities are now to:
� ensure that key transport networks – national,international, city and regional – continue tooperate effectively because assets andinfrastructure are planned, designed andmaintained to be resilient to future climate impacts
� engage with key stakeholders to raise awarenessof the legislative requirements set out in the UKClimate Change Act, the tools available to themto assess the impacts of climate change on theiroperations and the potential benefits andopportunities that adapting to climate changemay present
� build on initiatives already underway to develop acoherent, system-wide picture of the biggesttransport risks and the most cost-effectiveremedies – the Department will also look forsynergies between adaptation measures fortransport and for other sectors
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� ensure that a risk-based approach to adaptationis integrated into the New Approach to TransportAppraisal (NATA), which is the framework usedto appraise the costs and benefits of transportschemes requiring the Department's fundingor approval
� ensure that regional and local transport authoritiesare encouraged and supported in taking action toassess and address climate change impacts
� support the development of a national resilienceplanning forum to identify and address the risksfrom climate change to Britain's ports.
International co-operation on adaptation
5.6 The Government works on adaptation overseasas part of its commitment to being a world leaderin tackling climate change, and eradicatingextreme poverty worldwide. The formation of anew UK Department of Energy and ClimateChange (DECC) provides a new impetus in theinternational negotiations on the UNFCCC.DECC and the Department for InternationalDevelopment (DFID) have joint responsibility forleading on the UK's international policy workon adaptation.
5.6.1 Increasing access for developing countries toclimate information and tools
The UK Government support a range of regionaland sectoral research initiatives, such as £130m ofcore support to the 15 international researchcentres of the Consultative Group on InternationalAgricultural Research (CGIAR). This will support arange of programmes addressing adaptation toclimate change, like breeding drought-resistancemaize in twenty countries with potential directbenefits to over 320 million people.
The UK Government has been supportingthe development of the Climate for Developmentin Africa (ClimDev-Africa) Programme.This programme will help countries identifyactions they need to take to build resilience andadapt to climate change. The programme hasbeen developed jointly by the African UnionCommission (AUC), United Nations EconomicCommission for Africa (UNECA) and the AfricaDevelopment Bank.
The UK is also supporting the South Asia WaterInitiative (SAWI) which brings together sevencountries that share rivers that drain from theHimalayas (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan,China, India, Nepal and Pakistan).The initiative aims to improve cooperation overwater sharing through building knowledge,
relationships and institutions. We are supportingimproved access to climate change knowledgeand approaches in individual countries too,including Nepal, Bangladesh and Pakistan.
DECC is funding the second phase of acollaborative project with the Indian Ministry ofEnvironment and Forests to develop furtherunderstanding of the potential impacts of climatechange in India. The project due to start in 2009will improve current climate change scenarios forIndia, revise impacts assessment at the nationallevel and assess the socio-economic impacts ofextreme events.
The UK Government is also supporting a five-yearresearch and capacity development programme inAfrica to help African researchers and policymakers to identify practical ways that rural andurban people can adapt to climate change. DFID iscontributing £24 million to the programme.Examples of its work are:
� How small scale farmers in Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudanand Tanzania can modify working practices to copewith increased drought.
� How farmers in Zambia could adopt newagricultural practices, such as using different cropvarieties and improved technologies to deal with amore variable climate.
� Malaria epidemic prediction in Kenya and Tanzaniain response to changes in climate so that healthofficials can intervene more effectively.
The UK Government is also supporting initiativesat country and regional level, such as an economicand social analysis of the costs of climate changeto Afghanistan, South-East Asia, the Caribbean,Brazil, Central America, South America andEast Africa.
The Welsh Assembly Government has signed anagreement with the UNDP which confirms thatthe UNDP and Wales intend to work together ona UN-Association of Regions partnershipprogramme called ‘Toward Carbon Neutral andClimate Change Resilient Territories’.
The aim of the UNDP’s partnership programme isto sensitise 500 regions from the global south tothe issues around climate change and its threats,using experts from developed regions.
Through the programme, 50 of the developingcountry regions will then receive help, training andsupport to develop their own Integrated TerritorialClimate Plan and access the different availablesources of funding for its implementation.
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In Wales we have a particularly strong communitylink between Rhondda Cynon Taff and Mbale inUganda, through the community organisationPONT (which is part of the Gold Star Communitiesproject funded by the Welsh AssemblyGovernment’s Wales for Africa programme). BothWales and Mbale were successfully selected astwo of the pilot regions for the UNDP partnershipprogramme.
5.6.2 Capacity-building and incentives
The UK Government is supportingcapacity-building in developing countries on:developing understanding of climate changeimpacts; assessment of risks and vulnerabilities;development of adaptation options andmainstreaming climate resilience into developmentplanning through multilateral and bilateralchannels. The UK Government works bilaterally topromote an integrated approach to adaptationand development planning. In some countries weare working bilaterally to help countries gobeyond vulnerability assessment and a list ofurgent adaptation priorities, to a morecomprehensive adaptation strategy and putting inplace institutions to oversee this.
� For example, in Malawi, DFID is working withUNDP and Norway to support the government indeveloping its Strategic Framework on ClimateChange. This will build on the government’sNational Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA)and co-ordinate and drive existing and newgovernment and donor action.
� In Ghana, DFID is working with the World Bank,Netherlands, France and the EC to support theGhanaian Government to plan programmes inforestry, environmental protection and minerals.This includes developing a national strategy tocope with impacts of climate change.
� In Bangladesh, DFID has supported theGovernment to develop a 10-year climate changestrategy and action plan that explicitly sets out theneed to integrate this work into mainstreamdevelopment planning. The strategy will besupported by donors through a multi-donor trustfund.
� In Nepal, we are funding the government todevelop its NAPA with UNDP and Danida. We areencouraging them to learn from the experience ofother countries’ NAPA processes, and to produce ahigh level strategic framework for action, as wellas immediate priorities in a NAPA. Government,civil society and donors will then be able toharmonise their support behind the framework.
� In China, we funded Phase II of a bilateral projectwith the Chinese Ministry of Science andTechnology. The national component examinedthe impacts of climate change on agriculture,taking into account availability of water resourcesand socio-economic developments. A regionallevel study, in which stakeholder involvement wasan important element, assessed the impacts ofclimate change on agriculture; identifying effectson society, those most at risk from climate changeand a framework adaptation strategy.Full details of the project are available at:www.china-climate-adapt.org
� A Memorandum of Understanding between theUK and Indonesia was signed at COP 14 inPoznan. The pact will see the formation of aUK-Indonesia working group dedicated to theenvironment and climate change which plans toimprove forest conservation, develop renewableenergy supplies, promote energy efficiencymeasures, and work with communities toestablish how they can adapt to the impacts ofclimate change.
5.6.3 Adaptation Finance
The UK Government currently provides finance foradaptation through multilateral and bilateralchannels. At the multilateral level, we fund theUN through the Global Environmental Facility(GEF), Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF)and Special Climate Change Fund (SCCF) and(through our start-up funding) the AdaptationFund. We also contribute funding through ourInternational Development Association (IDA)contributions to the World Bank, which focuseson the poorest countries. Details of ourcontributions are at Chapter Six.
The UK Government’s bilateral developmentassistance, particularly on natural resourcemanagement and disaster risk reduction, also helpsto build resilience amongst poor communities tothe impacts of climate change. We are alsoworking with the private sector to help raiseawareness about why it is critical for businesses toincrease private investment in adaptation indeveloping countries (e.g. from ensuring thatbusinesses and the jobs they support are resilient,to the provision of insurance). We emphasise howthe actions of the private sector can be designedin collaboration with local communities andstakeholders to improve their adaptive capacity.
For instance, in Mozambique DFID is workingwith Save the Children to help communities in theZambezi flood plain improve resilience to floodingthat will be made worse by climate change.
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The programme will develop alternative sources ofincome to traditional farming and fishing, such asprocessing agricultural products. This will helpcommunities cope with increasing shocks andadapt to change. DFID is helping fund insurancefor Malawi to purchase and distributeinternational grain in the event of significantdrought. A payout is triggered based on severityof the drought when future maize production ispredicted to fall below certain levels. Similarinsurance schemes have been used in advancedagricultural markets but not in poor countries.
UK Contribution to European Union work onadaptation
5.7 The European Commission has an importantleadership role to play to ensure that all EUprogrammes and policies take full account of thechanging climate. A White Paper, Adapting toclimate change: Towards a European Frameworkfor Action, was published in April 2009.The Commission White Paper on adaptationproposes a framework to reduce the EU’svulnerability to climate change. The framework isintended to evolve as further evidence becomesavailable and will complement actions by memberstates, supporting wider international efforts toadapt, especially in developing countries. Theframework adopts a phased approach with Phase1 (2009 – 2012) laying the ground work for thepreparation of a comprehensive adaptationstrategy for the EU to be implemented duringPhase 2 from 2012.
Phase 1 will focus on four pillars of action:
� building a solid knowledge base on the impactsand consequences of climate change for the EU;
� integrating adaptation into EU key policy areas;
� employing a combination of policy instruments(market-based instruments, guidelines,public-private partnerships) to ensure effectivedelivery of adaptation; and
� strengthening international co-operation onadaptation. (DECC will lead on this area)
The ACC Programme will take the lead,in co-ordination with the other UKAdministrations, in providing a response tothe EU White Paper.
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6Financial Assistance and support for
technologies
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Key developments
� The UK government has increased its efforts oninternational climate change over the past3 years. A new Department of Energy andClimate Change (DECC) has been created,which co-ordinates the UK effort. The Departmentfor International Development (DFID) has set up anew Climate and Environment Group in Londonand created eleven new climate posts in countryoffices. The Foreign & Commonwealth Office(FCO) has developed a large overseas network ofattaches working specifically on climate andenergy and appointed a UK Climate SecurityEnvoy for Vulnerable Countries.
� The UK has played a pivotal role in the design ofthe multi-donor World Bank-administeredClimate Investment Funds (CIFs). The UKsupported the World Bank and worked with otherdonors to design and establish the Funds. Thefunds aim to address the short-term financing gapbetween now and 2012 and to pilot approachesfor the longer term.
� The UK considerably scaled up its InternationalDevelopment Association (IDA) contribution lastyear (£2.134 billion against a contribution of£1.430 billion in the previous replenishmentround) partly in recognition of the need torespond to the challenges of climate change.
New and Additional Financial Resources
6.1 Over the past three years, new and additionalresources have been made available to tackleclimate change. The UK’s development assistanceprogramme is increasing. We are on target to meetthe 0.7 per cent GNI ODA commitment by 2013.The UK has more than met its share of thecommitment made by donors in Bonn in July 2001.
The UK is funding research into what low carbongrowth could look like in developing countries, andwhat policy frameworks are needed to bring thisabout. We have funded low carbon growth studiesin China, India and Brazil through the Centre forClean Air Policy (CCAP). The FCO’s StrategicProgramme Fund (SPF) Low Carbon High GrowthProgramme (established in April 2008) seeks topromote a low carbon, high growth, globaleconomy through bilateral activity around the world,including in many developing countries. It wasformally known as the Global Opportunities Fund(GOF). Previously, the GOF spent £2.3m between2006 and 2008 on its Climate Change programme.Examples of both Funds’ work can be found belowin the sections on China and India, and figures forcapacity building can be found in Annex D.
The Climate Investment Funds have been designedto complement and support other key initiativesincluding the Adaptation Fund and the GlobalEnvironment Facility (GEF). The funds include asunset clause so that they do not pre-empt futurefinancing arrangements. The UK has committed£800 million to an Environmental TransformationFund – International Window (ETF-IW) which willbe used to part capitalise these funds.Approximately two thirds of the £800 million willbe allocated for clean energy and the remainingthird will be allocated for adaptation. The CTF isnow operational, with detailed funding criteriaagreed. Country investment plans have beenendorsed for Egypt, Mexico and Turkey and afurther tranche of country investment plans isexpected at the next round of meetings. TheExpert Group of the Pilot Programme for ClimateResilience (PPCR ) has identified eight appropriatehost countries using stringent objective criteria:Bangladesh, Bolivia, Cambodia, Mozambique,Nepal, Niger, Tajikistan and Zambia. These havebeen submitted to and approved by the PPCRsub-committee.
The Climate Investment Funds (CIFs)
The CIFs are comprised of: the Strategic ClimateFund – with spending programmes on adaptation(the Pilot Programme for Climate Resilience);forestry (Forest Investment Programme) andrenewable energy (Scaling-up Renewable EnergyProgramme); and the Clean Technology Fund –which will stimulate ambitious clean energyprojects by topping up existing finance frompublic and private sources. The Strategic ClimateFund will provide a forum to receive lessons fromthe different programmes, to be discussed anddisseminated to inform the developmentcommunity and the climate change negotiations.
The funds were approved by the World Bankboard in July 2008, endorsed by the G8 at theHokkaido Summit, and now have $6.1 billion inpledges from 10 donor countries. The funds’design includes an innovative governancestructure: each fund has a Trust Fund Committeeand each programme a Sub-Committee, all ofwhich have equal representation from donor andrecipient countries with decisions on the use offunds made by consensus. Activities carried outunder the CIFs will be country-led and integratedin countries’ development strategies.
The UK is working closely with other countriesand key stakeholders, including the World Bankand the UN, to reach agreement on an incentivemechanism for reducing emissions fromdeforestation and degradation (REDD) under
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the UNFCCC. The UK has committed £15 millionfrom the ETF-IW to supporting demonstrationefforts under the World Bank’s Forest CarbonPartnership Facility (FCPF). The FCPF aims to builddeveloping countries’ capacity to engage in afuture REDD mechanism and tests ways of makingpayments in return for emissions savings throughthe sustainable management of forests, in theperiod up to 2012.
The UK was instrumental in securing a jointMinisterial statement on forestry at the 14thConference of Parties to the UNFCCC, held inPoznan in December 2008, and has committed upto £100 million from the ETF-IW to support thiswork. A further £60 million has been committedto the Congo Basin Forest Fund (£50 million fromthe ETF-IW).
Multilateral Activities
6.2 The UK plays a leading role in tackling climatechange at an international level. One of the UKGovernment’s key objectives is to bring about astep change in global investment in low carbontechnologies that will deliver a transition to a lowcarbon economy, including through an effectivecarbon market. We are working through theEuropean Union, G8 and UN FrameworkConvention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)processes to develop and support a number ofbilateral and multilateral initiatives for scaling upinvestment in low carbon energy, particularlyenergy efficiency.
The UK has supported the World Bank andregional development banks to develop CleanEnergy Investment Frameworks (CEIFs) whichaim to accelerate public and private investments inclean energy. Since 2006, the UK has committed$30 million to support this work. The CEIFs havestarted to stimulate the increased finance neededto make sustainable energy investments moreviable propositions. The CEIFs are expected toresult in at least $117 billion over the next threeyears in new global energy investments, includingfinance leveraged from private sector sources.
In addition to new capital resources, the UK hasengaged with the World Bank Group on thedevelopment of its Strategic Framework onClimate Change, which was agreed at the WorldBank’s Annual Meetings in October 2008. Itincludes new targets on increasing lending tocleaner energy projects. It provides a frameworkfor the integration of climate actions into theWorld Bank’s country, regional and sectorstrategies and operations. We will continue topush the World Bank and the other Multilateral
Development Banks (MDBs) to go further. We arealso providing targeted resources to support newclimate change posts within the MDBs.
The UK is the fourth largest donor to the GlobalEnvironment Facility (GEF) having committed£140 million over four years of which one thirdgoes to climate change. The GEF finances theincremental costs to developing countries ofprotecting the global environment in five focalareas: climate change, biodiversity, depletion ofthe ozone layer, persistent organic pollutants andthe pollution of international waters. Itsupplements the funds provided for sustainablenational development from national resources andby aid donors and international developmentagencies. The UK is the second largest donor tothe Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF) havingcommitted £12 million of which £7 million hasbeen disbursed and the Special Climate ChangeFund (SCCF) having committed £10 million ofwhich £10 million has been disbursed.
The UK is also supporting the design andimplementation of the Adaptation Fund (AF) bothas a Board member and through provision of £1million start-up funding (£0.5 million disbursed).
Following its launch during the G8 Presidency in2005, the UK was an active participant in theGleneagles Dialogue on climate change, cleanenergy and sustainable development with the G8and +5 countries. Four ministerial meetings of theGleneagles Dialogue were held: London, 2005;Monterrey, 2006; Berlin, 2007; Chiba, 2008. Thesecovered the economic impacts of climate change,the scale of the technological challenge andassessment of the finance needed to transition to alow carbon economy. In addition a number ofworkshops were held to support the Dialogue,including ones in London, Mexico City, Santiago,Bangkok, Seoul and Veracruz, both for the dialoguemembers as well as regional consultations onopportunities to implement the Gleneagles actionplan. These focused on mainstreaming climatechange policies, scaling up the response to climatechange, adaptation finance and the carbon market– successfully broadening and deepeningunderstanding of issues in these areas. Theworkshops also identified opportunities for theimplementation and financing of large scaleprograms and activities both in member countriesand those from the consultations. The UK providedsupport for attendance by developing countryparticipants at these meetings. The ministerialmeetings also considered the progress of the SternReview (discussed at the Dialogue), the IEA andWorld Bank Group in delivering aspects of the ideasoutlined and the work tasked to them under theGleneagles Plan of Action. This also helped developand implement the various Clean Energy Investment
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Frameworks implemented at both the World Bankand various Regional Development Banks, withthese frameworks now currently in operation.
Bilateral Activities
6.3 The UK has worked with a broad range of partnerdeveloping countries and institutions to broadenunderstanding, build capability and deliver actionon climate change mitigation and adaptation.
The UK has financially supported (by around£250k) regional dialogues on mainstreamingclimate change and scaling up responses toclimate change in Latin America and Asia, withparticipation of more than 40 countries. Thesehave also explored how low carbon investmentand finance could be advanced in developingcountries, side by side with their owndevelopment objectives, and with the support ofthe multilateral development banks, and reportingback both to the UNFCCC and to the G8processes. The UK has also contributed resourcesto make possible regional negotiators meetings inLatin America and in Asia, as well as studies thatevaluate the regional economics of climate changein almost all of Latin America, as well as SouthEast Asia.
The UK has funded a number of RegionalEconomics of Climate Change Studies (RECCS)which explore alternative mitigation scenarios forkey countries and developing regions, and thecosts and benefits of adaptation. For example,the UK government provided £200,000 in supportof an economic study that comprised assessmentof the impacts of climate change on Mexico,analysis of costs of adaptation to climate change,analysis of costs and benefits of mitigating climatechange and policy recommendations. It is knownas the Galindo Report and is expected to bepublished in late spring 2009. Studies have alsobeen conducted in Brazil, Southeast Asia, CentralAmerica, the Caribbean and East Africa and theresults of several of these are expected this year.
Initiatives that have been pioneered by the UKrange from a global partnership for overcomingpolicy, regulatory and financing barriers torenewable energy and energy efficiency (REEEP)117,to cooperation with China to demonstratepotential for near zero emissions from coal inChina118, to exploring jointly with India thebarriers to technology transfer119, including theissue of Intellectual Property Rights. Technology
and investment is also a major focus of the UKinitiated Gleneagles Dialogue amongst twentycountries with large and growing energy needs.
In addition, the UK is working with countries toimprove information and awareness of thebroader impacts of climate change, for examplethrough our funding of a vulnerability assessmentby the South Asia Water Initiative to look at sevencountries that are dependent on water sourcesfrom the Himalayas.
These, and other bilateral activities, are describedin the adaptation and support for technologies indeveloping countries sections below, andsummarised in Annex D.
Under the UK/Mexico sustainable developmentdialogue (SDD) the UK contributed: £235,000 insupport of a project to create a prototype ofTransit-Oriented Development applicable in theMexican context by supporting the Secretary ofUrban Development (SEDUVI) to focus investmentand development around major urban corridors inMexico City; and £345,000 in support of theMexican Industrial Symbiosis Programme thattrains Mexican partners in the industrial symbiosisapproach, encouraging companies to look outsidetheir own sector boundaries for efficient use ofresources and sustainable market opportunities.
Under the UK-Brazil SDD between April 2006 andJune 2009, the UK contributed £510,000 toprojects supporting low-carbon development andbetter forest governance, including £200,000 tofoster sustainable public procurement (a projectwhich is already facilitating considerable emissionsavings in Sao Paulo and Minas Gerais States) and£130,000 to develop technical and legal capacityfor Amazonian forest governance at both nationaland federal levels.
Under the UK-China SDD between April 2006 andJune 2009 the UK contributed £760,000 topromote low-carbon development and buildcapacity for adaptation including £358,000 to apilot of China’s resource-efficient ‘CircularEconomy’ concept in Yunnan province, and£170,000 to developing a sustainable Chinesetimber industry.
DFID-SA is investing £7m in a Regional ClimateChange Programme for Southern Africa. Thepurpose is to provide appropriate adaptation togovernment, business and civil society using goodlocal scientific information in planning.
117 www.reeep.org118 www.nzec.info/en119 www.sussex.ac.uk/sussexenergygroup/1-2-9.html
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Emissions reduction
6.4 Carbon market
The UK government considers a global carbonmarket is the key to securing the long term shiftto low carbon economies. By placing a price oncarbon and reflecting the true cost to society ofgreenhouse gases, emissions trading will driveglobal emission reductions at lowest cost (key tomaking ambitious goals politically acceptable), andstimulate business to innovate and to invest in lowcarbon technology and energy efficiency byrewarding those who take action.
In only a few years we have built the foundationsof a global carbon market which encompassesmany developed countries and much of thedeveloping world. The carbon market has grownsubstantially in recent years, its value trebling from2005 to $30bn in 2006, and more than doublingagain to $64bn in 2007. The EU Emissions TradingSystem continues to be the largest carbon market,trading $50 billion worth of credits in 2007, upfrom around $24.5 billion in 2006, and nearly sixtimes the volume and value transacted in 2005.According to the World Bank the market has beensuccessful in its mission of reducing emissionsthrough internal abatement and of stimulatingemission reductions abroad. The current marketmechanism operating in developing countries, theClean Development Mechanism, accounted for91 per cent of the worth of the project creditmarket in 2007, with trading accounting for 634million credits, worth in the region of $8.2bn.120
The recently revised EU Emissions Trading System(ETS) Directive contains specific provisions forfacilitating the linking of the EU System with othercomparable systems. The UK Government has beenactive in promoting the development of EmissionsTrading Systems in countries and regions outside ofEurope, and is working through the InternationalCarbon Action Partnership to establish linksbetween those schemes and the EU ETS.
Adaptation
6.5 The UK is supporting a wide range of initiativesaimed at helping developing countries adapt toclimate change.
The UK is providing multi-donor support forlesson-learning on adaptation through the PilotProgramme on Climate Resilience (PPCR).Approximately one third of the UK’s £800m
ETF-IW will be allocated to the PPCR andsupplemented by funds from other donors.The PPCR’s objectives are to: deliver country-ledprogrammatic funding at scale in highly vulnerablecountries to enable them to go to the mostadvanced level – integrating resilience into coredevelopment planning and budgeting; providelessons on how to invest in climate resiliencethrough national development planning to informthe evolving operation of the Adaptation Fund;and demonstrate that a scaled up country-led,mainstreamed approach is possible and effective,influencing how a post-2012 deal will supportdeveloping countries to adapt to climate change.
The UK has delivered on its 2005 G8 commitmentto develop a tool for assessing climate risks to itsdevelopment programmes. DFID has conductedassessments of its programmes in Bangladesh,India, China and Kenya. We are now sharinglessons from this process with other donors andthe multilateral development banks. We haveprovided consultancy and advice to help developthe Climate for Development in Africa (ClimDev)Programme, to improve information on theimpacts of climate change across Africa.
DFID is also working to design a ‘Centre forClimate and Development’ which will deliver asuite of services (knowledge management,research and tailored advice) to supportdeveloping country policy-making on adaptationand low carbon development. DFID will contributearound £50 million over five years to support theservices run by the Climate Centre.
Because the true costs of adaptation are poorlyunderstood, the UK is jointly funding work withthe World Bank, the Netherlands and Switzerlandon the Economics of Adaptation. This study islooking at Bangladesh, Vietnam, Ethiopia,Mozambique, Ghana and Bolivia. Results are duein the second half of 2009, and will be used tohelp inform the UNFCCC negotiations inCopenhagen in December.
The UK also works bilaterally to promote anintegrated approach to adaptation anddevelopment planning. In some countries we arehelping countries go beyond vulnerabilityassessment and a list of urgent adaptationpriorities, to a more comprehensive adaptationstrategy and putting in place institutions tooversee this. The UK and Bangladesh jointlyhosted a high-level conference in London inSeptember 2008 to raise awareness of the impactof climate change in Bangladesh and to sharelessons from the Bangladeshi experience.Bangladesh outlined their Climate Change
120 Capoor & Ambrosi, World Bank, State and Trends of the Carbon Market 2008, Washington DC, May 2008.http://siteresources.worldbank.org/NEWS/Resources/State&Trendsformatted06May10pm.pdf
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Strategy and Action Plan, which focuses onpractical adaptation and mitigation measureswhich can be put in place, and announced anew trust fund, which will be used to implementthe action plan. The UK announced a newgrant-funded programme of £75 million to helpthe Government of Bangladesh fund its responseto climate change. More examples of bilateralassistance for adaptation are set out in Chapter 5.
Finally, because the UK believes that we will notget a good deal at Copenhagen unless developingcountries have a strong voice in thenegotiations, the UK has provided financialsupport (in the region of £550,000 sincemid-2006) to help developing country negotiatorsand journalists prepare for and engage in key UNmeetings. We have also supported developingcountry negotiators bilaterally and theGovernment makes an annual contribution to theUNFCCC fund for Developing CountryParticipation to enable developing countryparticipants to attend meetings.
Building adaptative capacity
6.6 The UK works bilaterally to promote an integratedapproach to adaptation and developmentplanning. In some countries we are workingbilaterally to help countries go beyondvulnerability assessment and a list of urgentadaptation priorities, to a more comprehensiveadaptation strategy and putting in placeinstitutions to oversee this. See the adapting toClimate change chapter (page 86) for someexamples of this work.
The UK believes that a global deal in Copenhagenlater this year should include support for capacitybuilding on adaptation, and that the way financeis provided should allow countries to move from aproject approach to adaptation (as illustrated byNAPAs), to a more strategic, national plan(as Bangladesh has recently done – see boxabove), and eventually to full integration ofadaptation into national planning and budgeting.This experience will inform long-term adaptationpractice in-country, not least through lessonslearnt. The global deal should build on thelessons learned from aid effectiveness, enablingcountry-led planning, and supporting theintegration of adaptation responses into nationaldevelopment planning and budgets. The UK istesting this transformational approach toadaptation practice through the Pilot Programmeon Climate Resilience.
Supporting Bangladesh’s 10 year ClimateChange Strategy
� The UK helped Bangladesh develop a 10-yearClimate Change Strategy and Action Plan (CCSAP)building on the National Adaptation Programmeof Action (NAPA). CCSAP was launched at theClimate Change Conference co-hosted by UK(DFID) on 10 September 2008.
� UK support through UNDP provides technicalassistance to the GoB Climate Change Cell,which facilitates capacity building acrossGovernment and civil society, and action researchon climate change.
Research & Development
6.7 The UK is also currently working with internationalpartners to enable delivery of a set of researchand tailored advisory services on climate changeand development. The aim is to enable developingcountries to access and use high quality, timely,and relevant research and information on climatechange, to build the capacity of developingcountries in climate research, and to provide thebasis for transformational policy-making onadaptation and low carbon development.
CDM
6.8 Despite its successes, the CDM is burdened byproblems including an unequal geographicdistribution of projects, high transaction costs,and difficulties in proving that projects areadditional. Given that this is an entirely new andinnovative market created solely throughregulation, there is an ongoing process ofevolution and learning by doing. Countries withlarge volumes of emissions available at lowest coste.g. China, India, and Brazil have been the mostsuccessful at attracting carbon finance flows. Lowincome countries have been less successful atattracting CDM investments in part due to theirlow emissions profiles, limited capacity toimplement projects, weak institutions and poorinvestment climates.
Africa accounts for only 2 per cent of the projectpipeline – less than their share of developingcountry emissions (4-5 per cent). In recognition ofthis the Nairobi Framework was launched as amulti agency effort to scale up carbon finance inAfrica. The UK government is supporting thiseffort in Africa through working with the UKprivate sector to establish AfriCarbon – an
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initiative intended to work closely with localproject developers to get projects off the ground.Other initiatives to improve the operatingenvironments in LICs such as the InvestmentClimate Facility are also important for this. Forcarbon finance to deliver real long term benefitsfor LICs, it needs to be aligned to their energyaccess needs.
Support for technologies in Developing Countries
6.9 The UK is a major contributor to theRenewable Energy and Energy EfficiencyPartnership (REEEP), which has supported morethan 100 energy efficiency and renewable energyprojects worldwide.
The UK contributes to and participates in theClimate Technology Initiative (CTI) which supportstechnology needs assessments and providestechnical assistance to foster the development ofclean energy markets, the sharing of technologyinformation and the diffusion of associatedenvironmentally sound technologies and practices.The CTI has launched the Private FinancingAdvisory Network, (PFAN), which will leverageprivate capital into clean technology projects byconnecting investors with project developers, andproviding technical and financial assistance todevelopers to attract investment.
The UK has contributed £30,000 to theRenewable Energy and International Law Network(REIL), an informal network of decision makersand change agents in clean energy and climatechange, drawn from business, government,finance, technology and academia which cutsacross sectors, and spheres of influence. Its events,publications and ongoing non-traditional dialoguehelp spur innovative approaches to climate changeand clean energy and help inform and implementkey policies. The UK has also contributed to theMethane to Markets Partnership121, which seeksto promote and support projects that recovermethane emissions for use in energy systems.The Partnership concentrates on methaneemissions from agriculture, waste, mining and oil& gas systems.
The UK Met Office Hadley Centre and aconsortium of UK Universities are transferringstate-of-the-art modelling expertise on climatechange. More detail is provided in Chapter 7.
The UK participates in a range of bilateraltechnologies initiatives, which have included thefollowing:
India
6.10 Under the UK India Structured Dialogue onClimate Change established in 2006, a number ofactivities have been pursued that have enhancedour bilateral relationship. The UK – India Study toAssess the Barriers to Low-Carbon TechnologyTransfer started in 2006 and has successfullycompleted its first phase. The second phase study,UK-India Collaborative Study on the Transfer ofLow Carbon Technology will focus around threekey areas, namely: the development of ataxonomy of barriers to low carbon technologytransfer; further work on intellectual propertyrights (IPRs), including the development of policiesthat could help to overcome IPR barriers; anddeveloping recommendations of mechanisms andtechnologies to foster joint research, development,demonstration and deployment (R,D,D&D)between developed and developing countries. Thisis due to report in mid-2009.
China
6.11 The UK China Working Group on ClimateChange, established in 2004, has met severaltimes to take forward the UK and China’s bilateralengagement on climate change. In January 2008,during Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s visit toChina for the UK-China Summit, the UK andChina signed a Joint Declaration on ClimateChange to further strengthen co-operationthrough a partnership in this field, in particular,co-operation on adaptation to climate change,low carbon technology development and transfer,clean energy, energy efficiency, research onprogrammatic CDM and the Near Zero EmissionsCoal Project. The partnership involves a widerange of partners across government, NGOs,academia, private sector and financial institutions.
The UK has a number of initiatives in China,which include:
� Capacity building: using the Foreign Office’sStrategic Programme Fund (SPF) to work withinternational and domestic institutions (E3G,Ecofys, EC, Tsinghua, China Business Council forSustainable Development) to build China’s abilityto analyse the costs and benefits of differentscenarios including on key sectors (power,cement, transport, iron and steel)
� Promoting low carbon business growth, byhelping UK Carbon Trust set up a China officeand work at provincial level
121 http://www.methanetomarkets.org/
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� Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS): We aresupporting the development of commercial scaleCCS demonstrations to allow early andwidespread deployment across China, and providelower cost technology for the rest of the world.The EU-China Near Zero Emissions Coal (NZEC)agreement was announced under the UKPresidency of the EU as part of the EU-ChinaPartnership on Climate Change at the EU-ChinaSummit in September 2005. Commitment was fordemonstration of CCS by 2020.122
� Coordinating with key players (Japan, Australia,Norway) involved in other CCS projects tomaximise synergies and avoid duplication
� Raising awareness with Chinese companies of thebusiness opportunities of the demonstrationplants planned in the UK and EU.
� Supporting top economists (China Academy forSocial Sciences and the 50 Leading EconomistsGroup) to produce economic analyses for theChinese leadership. DFID are financing and co-chairing a group of key domestic andinternational experts have formed a ‘Low CarbonEconomy Taskforce’ to look at how China candevelop a low carbon economy.
� Working on Impacts and Adaptation: tostrengthen the development of a cross-cuttingadaptation policy framework at national andprovincial level, DFID/DEFRA are launching anew £3m programme to strengthen scientificresearch, climate risk assessments and adaptationplanning policies.
� UK and Chinese researchers are jointly usingscience to underline the impacts of climatechange, through the UK sponsored ClimateChange Public Diplomacy Programme, forexample, a joint study by the University of Yorkand the Royal Botanic Garden in Edinburgh withSichuan University and the Kunming Institute ofBotany focused on the effect of climate changeon the survival of the Giant Panda.
122 Demonstration will be achieved in three Phases. Phase 1 is exploring options for demonstration and capacity building for CCS in China, andincludes UK and European Commission funded projects, both of which will be completed by November 2009. The UK has set aside £3.5 millionpounds to finance Phase 1. Phase 2 will carry out further development work on storage and capture options, leading to Phase 3, which willconstruct a demonstration plant by 2020, though we are hopefully that this will be brought forward to 2015. The European Commission isworking during 2009 to agree an approach with the Chinese Government to progress Phases II and III.
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7Research and Systematic Observations
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Key developments
� Living With Environmental Change (LWEC) –launched in 2007 as a major new £1-billion 10-year interdisciplinary research and policypartnership programme led by the NaturalEnvironment Research Council (NERC), involvingother funders of environmental research in the UK(including other Research Councils). The researchwill, among other things, help to improve theprediction of climate and other environmentalchange and inform society‘s ability to adaptappropriately.
� In February 2009 the UK government launchedthe AVOID programme. AVOID aims to providepolicy-relevant evidence and research on avoidingdangerous climate change. It will attempt toidentify risks associated with different levels ofclimate change, emission pathways that candeliver mitigation targets as well as adaptationstrategies needed to respond globally to differentlevels of climate change.
� The Met Office Hadley Centre in conjunction withUK university collaborators has developed a fullycoupled Earth-System model (HadGEM2-ES)including representation of the terrestrial andoceanic ecosystems and atmospheric chemistry.This model will be a valuable tool for predictingfuture climate change, studying mitigationpathways and understanding climate feedbackswithin the earth system. It will be assessed in theFifth Assessment Report of the IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change.
� The Department of Energy and Climate Change(DECC) was created in October 2008, bringingtogether energy policy with climate changemitigation and international adaptation policy.Its three overall objectives are: Ensuring the UK‘senergy supply is secure, affordable and efficient;bringing about the transition to a low-carbonBritain; achieving an international agreement onclimate change at Copenhagen in December 2009.
� The Energy Technologies Institute (ETI) wasformally established in December 2007 as anovel partnership, involving government andindustry, together contributing funding of up to£1 billion over ten years. ETI brings together thecomplementary capabilities of global industrialgroups in a unique approach with Governmentto fund technology development projectswhich will accelerate the progress of industriallyapplicable innovative energy technologiesthrough the innovation chain to enable somecommercial deployment.
� The Stern Review on the Economics of ClimateChange, the most comprehensive review evercarried out on the economics of climate change,was published on October 30 2006 and was leadby Lord Stern, the then Head of the GovernmentEconomic Service and former World Bank ChiefEconomist. Several UK research organisationscontributed extensively to this review, includingthe Met Office which contributed climate changescenarios to feed into the economic riskassessments that were central to the report.The report re-emphasised the need for urgentaction to reduce climate change, making it clearthat this was also the best option economically.
Introduction
7.1 The UK government and devolved administrationsare committed to evidence-based environmentalpolicy-making and seeks to maintain a robustevidence base to support this type of policydevelopment. This approach to policy-making is atthe core of climate change policy in the UK.Climate research is thus directly linked with policy-making and is of high priority to the Government.
A wide range of research on climate change isfunded in the UK to improve the understanding ofthe climate system, the impacts of climate changeon society, and the response of human andnatural systems to climate change.
This chapter describes some of the UK‘s activitiesin the area of climate change research andsystematic climate-related observations. It coversthe UK‘s policy on promoting and fundingclimate-related scientific research andobservations. It provides an overview of researchactivities funded by Government departments andResearch Councils and the UK‘s contribution tointernational research and capacity-building inresearch. It includes a summary of the UK‘sactivities in information and data exchange andsome of highlights of recent UK research.
UK Government strategy on climate changeresearch and observations – evidence basedpolicy
7.2 The UK government believes strongly insupporting climate research and the procurementof climate-related observations. Research issponsored by various government departments to
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support a range of responsibilities and policyrequirements. In addition, some research isincreasingly being funded from a widerstakeholder base in both public and privatesectors, particularly in the area of climate impactsand adaptation.
The policy areas of energy and climate change areinextricably linked and reflecting this theDepartment of Energy and Climate Change(DECC) was formed in October 2008, bringingtogether energy policy (previously with BERR – theDepartment for Business, Enterprise andRegulatory Reform) with climate changemitigation policy (previously with Defra – theDepartment for Environment, Food and RuralAffairs). DECC leads on climate change policy andprovides funds for climate research andobservations to advise the UK’s policy and itsimpacts and response strategies.
The Department for Environment, Food andRural Affairs (Defra) contributes to the fundingof cutting edge climate research through the MetOffice Hadley Centre. Defra hold the policy leadfor UK adaptation, and fund research into climatechange impacts and adaptation including the UKClimate Projections, and the statutory (ClimateChange Act, 2008) Risk Assessment.
The Department for InternationalDevelopment (DfID) has launched a newresearch strategy under which DfID is committedto spending over £100 million on climate changeresearch for which it has identified the followingresearch priorities:
� Climate science, especially in Africa
� Climate change in national and international policy
� Adaptation strategies
� Reducing the impact of climate change andpromoting low carbon growth
� Ecosystem services for poverty alleviation.
DfID also recognises the need to tackle relevantclimate change and environmental issues withinagriculture, livelihoods, water and health researchprogrammes. It has also committed a substantialportion of its research budget to the Centre forClimate and Development, the aim of which is tosupport developing countries to design improveddevelopment policies, programmes andinvestments, based on a sound understanding ofclimate change and its implications by 2015.
The Ministry of Defence (MoD) funds the PublicWeather Service (PWS) on behalf of allgovernment departments. This supports the MetOffice contribution to world meteorologicalorganisation (WMO), EUMETSAT123 and EuropeanCentre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting(ECMWF) so pays directly for a large observationalprogramme in support of weather forecasting,which is carried across to climate modelling, andsupports WMO‘s coordinated global programmein weather observing.
The Department for Innovation, Universitiesand Skills (DIUS) funds work on newtechnologies and provides funding for theresearch councils. Funding for new technologies isvia the Technology Strategy Board, which operatesat arm‘s length from Government and has across-Government leadership role in delivering anational technology strategy and advising onpolicies which relate to technology innovation andknowledge transfer. The Research Councils areresponsible for maintaining the science base andalso operate at a distance from Government,though they participate in the GlobalEnvironmental Change Committee (GECC) andEnvironment Research Funders‘ Forum (ERFF)coordination processes described below. TheResearch Council with the greatest direct interestin climate observations is the Natural EnvironmentResearch Council (NERC). NERC is responsible forbasic research on climate prediction and processesand for some monitoring activities.
Systematic observations in the UK and its overseasterritories are made by a number of nationalagencies and organisations. The UK Met Office isthe national meteorological agency and leads inmaking and collecting meteorological andatmospheric observations – and the Hadley Centrewithin the Met Office undertakes leading climateresearch. Observations are also made by othersincluding the Natural Environment ResearchCouncil’s (NERC) Centres and Surveys. Collectionof oceanographic (and marine) observations iswidely distributed throughout the UK with manygovernment departments and laboratories,universities and commercial companies involved.Terrestrial observations are made or coordinatedby NERC, the Environment Agency (EA), theScottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA),the Northern Ireland Environment Agency (NIEA),the Forestry Commission, and others.
The UK also contributes to space-basedobservations through the European agencies, theEuropean Space Agency (ESA) and theEuropean Organisation for the Exploitation ofMeteorological Satellites. It participates in the
123 http://www.eumetsat.int/Home/index.htm
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relevant European and International spaceobservation coordination mechanisms, includingthe Global Monitoring for Environment andSecurity Initiative (GMES), under which ESA willlaunch several relevant Earth-observation satellitesand which has a developing Climate Service, andthe Group on Earth Observations (GEO), which alsohas a Climate Theme. The UK has also madesignificant intellectual and practical contributions tothe development of the Global Climate ObservingSystem (GCOS) described later in this document.
Although the UK does not have a nationalprogramme for climate research and observations, itreviews such activities through the GlobalEnvironmental Change Committee (GECC). TheGECC is an Inter-Agency committee reporting to theUK Government‘s Chief Scientific Adviser. Itsmembership is drawn from UK GovernmentDepartments and Research Councils and Institutions.
Main functions of the Global EnvironmentalChange Committee
� Provide a forum for the coordination of theUK‘s involvement in climate change and otherglobal environmental change science andtechnology, nationally and internationally,taking into account the work of other relevantcoordination mechanisms and fora.
� Review the effectiveness of the nationalcapacity, capability and performance in theseareas and to make recommendations.
� Make recommendations to the UKGovernment‘s Chief Scientific Adviser ondevelopments and the need for funding inClimate Change Science and Technology andother global environmental change science, andin areas of science and technology where theresponsibility may cover multiple organisations.
� Ensure that Government policy on climatechange and other global environmentalchange issues is both sufficiently informed byand informs the work undertaken by thescience base.
� Support effective UK participation ininternational climate change and otherglobal environmental change science andtechnology programmes.
� Encourage effective communication of climatechange and other global environmental changescience and technology.
The range of work of the GECC is executedthrough a number of Subgroups on Observations,Global Environmental Research, Science and Policy,Biodiversity and Supercomputing.
The UK‘s Environment Research Funders’Forum124 (ERFF) brings together the UK’s majorpublic sector sponsors of environmental science,aiming to maximise the coherence andeffectiveness of UK environmental researchfunding. The ERFF provides broader co-ordinationfor funding of climate change related research foractivities that clearly add value, could not be doneby a single member acting alone, and have thepotential to advance environmental research in theUK and internationally.
Recently, the ERFF has developed the UKEnvironmental Observation Framework (UK-EOF)125, which was launched formally in July 2008.This initiative stemmed from work to catalogue thefull range of UK environmental monitoringactivities carried out in 2006. It was clear from thiswork that a more strategic approach toobservation activities would be valuable both forUK needs and to enhance UK participation ininternational activities; the UK-EOF seeks toprovide this. Many of the observation activities areof value for climate change assessments and forthis reason, the UK-EOF has established close linksto the Observation Subgroup of the GECC.
In the marine sector, the newly established MarineScience Coordination Committee (MSCC) hastaken over the role of the former Inter AgencyCommittee on Marine Science and Technology(IACMST). The MSCC is expected to work closelywith bodies involved in the implementation of theUK Marine Monitoring and Assessment Strategy(UKMMAS). Within UKMMAS, climate-relatedobservations are currently the responsibility of theHealthy and Biologically Diverse Seas EvidenceGroup (HBDSEG) but are expected to transition toa new Ocean Processes Evidence Group (OPEG).
Research
7.3 Research Highlights
� The Tyndall Coastal Simulator is the world‘sfirst to produce a local analysis applied to acoastal region and has been welcomed bystakeholders. It has quantified what has beenargued qualitatively: sediments washed away fromeroding cliffs protect neighbouring low lying landsfrom flooding. Specifically, the Simulator has
124 Terms of reference for the UK‘s Environmental Research Funders‘ Forum are available from www.erff.org.uk/about/tors.aspx125 http://www.erff.org.uk/publications/reports/2008-05-uk-eof.aspx
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shown that the protection of Norfolk‘s cliffs fromerosion is increasing the flood risk ofneighbouring low-lying lands by starving theirbeaches of sediment. The costs show that thisflood risk is an order of magnitude greater thanthe erosion risk.
� The British Geological Survey has started anew science theme to perform research intoClimate Change, which is intended to fill thecurrent gap in the collaborative development of ahigh-resolution climate-change impact model andcontribute to the reduction of uncertainties inclimate prediction models that arise fromfeedbacks and thresholds in the climate system.
� The European Project for Ice Coring inAntarctica – carried out by twelve partners fromten European nations – was successful inretrieving past climate records which are key forthe assessment of current climate change.Temperatures and greenhouse gas concentrationsfor the last 800,000 years could be measured. Theresults have shown, inter alia, that the recent risein greenhouse gas concentration is beyond anyhistorical comparison, leading to climate changeat an unprecedented rate. In addition, the icecores allowed scientists to study in detail thecoupling of the northern and southernhemisphere. In March 2008 the project wasawarded the prestigious Descartes Prize forCollaborative, Transnational Research.
� The NERC Centre for Polar Observation andModelling (part of the National Centre for EarthObservation) has produced the first definitiveevidence that arctic sea ice is thinning as well asshrinking in area. From 2002 to 2008 theEuropean Space Agency’s Envisat satellite wasused to measure ice thickness throughout theArctic winter. The Centre is currently preparing tolaunch CryoSat-2, the first radar satellitespecifically designed to measure ice thickness, atthe end of 2009.
� The Rapid-WATCH programme has taken thefirst measurements to secure a decade’s worth ofvariability data on the Atlantic Heat Conveyorwhich partly determines Europe’s temperateclimate. Rapid-WATCH is the successor to theseven year Rapid Climate Change programme,supported by NERC in partnership with the UnitedStates, the Netherlands and Norway. The Rapidprogrammes will improve quantification of thelikelihood and size of abrupt and dramatic climatechange driven by changes in the global oceancirculation, caused by on-going climate change.
� The Met Office Hadley Centre in conjunctionwith UK university collaborators has developed afully coupled Earth-System model (HadGEM2-ES)
including representation of the terrestrial andoceanic ecosystems and atmospheric chemistry.Developments to the atmosphere and oceansub-models in HadGEM2-ES have improved therepresentation of some key processes and modesof variability including the El Nino Southern Oceancontinental land surface temperatures. The MetOffice Hadley Centre is also further developingthe physical Atmosphere and Ocean modelstowards a new model (HadGEM3) with the aim ofhaving a model that is fit for the purpose forapplication from daily to centennial timescalesand for regional prediction. This is an ambitiousgoal which they aim to deliver through targetedwork on long standing systematic biases using theMet Offices Unified Modelling system.
� The UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC) hasbegun work on the UKERC Energy 2050 project.The core aims of the project are to generateevidence relevant to meeting the UK‘s principallong-term energy goals to achieve deep cuts incarbon dioxide emissions by 2050, and to developa “resilient” energy system that ensuresconsumers‘ energy service needs are met reliably.The project combines “systems level” models,such as MARKAL, “sector specific models”, suchas a unique combined gas and electricity model,and social and technological understanding, todevelop future UK energy system scenarios underspecific constraints.
7.3.1 Policy-driven research funded by GovernmentDepartments
The Government funds a wide range of climatechange research directly to inform UK policydevelopment, contribute towards the science basefor the Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange (IPCC) and to support negotiations oninternational action on climate change throughthe UNFCCC.
The key aims of DECC’s and Defra‘s climatechange research programme are to:
� improve understanding of uncertainty in climatepredictions
� improve climate impact assessments andadaptation strategies
� meet the UK‘s national and internationalcommitments for assessing trends in greenhousegas emissions and future projections
� improve assessment of mitigation optionsand costs
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� help to build internationally acceptable approachesto responding to climate change in the long term
� continue long-term measurement of changesoccurring in the ocean and the atmosphere
The scope of this research broadly reflects theareas covered by the three Working Groups of theIPCC), namely the scientific basis of climatechange; impacts, adaptation and vulnerability;and mitigation (i.e. the reduction of greenhousegas emissions).
The MoD, DECC and Defra commission researchfrom the Met Office Hadley Centre for ClimatePrediction and Research. The Integrated ClimateProgramme (ICP), launched in September 2007,combines the requirements of all threedepartments for information from the HadleyCentre on climate change. That is, the science tohelp policymakers and other stakeholders in theUK and internationally to deal with climatechange in the future. The value of the IntegratedClimate Programme has increased to £15 millionpa, and the overall driver continues to be toaddress policy relevant questions concerningfuture climate. The key outputs of the ICP fallunder a number of themes:
7.3.1.1 Evidence Basis for Climate Change
This output will provide policy relevantinformation to DECC, Defra and MoD onobserved climate change, including extremes, andinformation on climate change and variability tothe media and the public. It becomes increasinglyimportant to not just monitor climate but toexplain causes of observed variability and changeand put it into the context of expected changes inthe near future. The components of this activityare monitoring, attribution, modelling climatevariability, and seasonal forecasting.
7.3.1.2 Quantify and Reduce Uncertainty; Build Capability
This output underpins many, if not all, of the policyrelevant science outputs on Adaptation, Mitigationand Dangerous climate change and hence the keyfocuses here will feed into all of these areas. Therange of uncertainty in model predictions ofclimate change means that decisions made nowon adaptation or mitigation strategies arepotentially more costly than may ultimately benecessary. Hence, one of the key outputs of theMet Office Hadley Centre is to quantify andultimately reduce this uncertainty through betterunderstanding and improved capability. This is atthe heart of all work on providing reliableprobabilistic predictions of climate change at arange of space and time scales.
7.3.1.3 Defining and assessing the risks of dangerousclimate change
Some forms of climate change may not occur as acontinuously increasing response to increasingemissions. Dangerous climate change (DCC)includes rapid events, irreversible effects,and plausible possible outcomes with high impact.The goal is to develop rapid response modellingtools that are quick to run but that encapsulatethe key driving factors for DCC, as derivedfrom comprehensive climate models calibratedagainst observations.
7.3.1.4 Scientific assessment of future mitigation options
This theme will provide the robust informationabout the impact of different scenarios forgreenhouse gas emissions on the climatesystem necessary to develop internationalmitigation policies.
7.3.1.5 Science for Adaptation
This theme puts the Met Office Hadley Centre in aunique position to integrate climate changeinformation into planning and decision makingprocesses in government and industry and tointegrate weather and climate information intocontingency planning. In particular, the aim will beto present many of the results probabilistically inorder to provide the best possible basis forplanning and policy decisions. Delivery of the UKClimate Projections (UKCP09) is a key short termpriority.
7.3.1.6 Climate Products
The aim of this theme is to develop and supplyclimate prediction products that distil complexinformation from a range of climate predictionmodels and other sources including expertassessment into agreed practical formats that canbe readily used to educate stakeholders andinform planning and policy. Climate productscover timescales ranging from monitoring ofpresent day climate anomalies through predictionsto monthly, seasonal, inter-annual and multi-decadal (30-year) timescales.
7.3.1.7 Communication Products
A key aspect of the programme is tocommunicate its results widely to the scientificcommunity, government policy makers and otherstakeholders, the public etc. It will do this throughpeer reviewed scientific publications, brochures, itswebsite and the media.
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Prior to the establishment of the ICP in 2007,Defra and the Ministry of Defence jointly fundedan independent review of the Hadley Centre.126
The review examined all aspects of the operationof the Hadley Centre, including its quality as aclimate research and modelling establishment andas a source of advice on climate change; andwhether it is meeting the needs of its internal andexternal stakeholders. The results of the reviewconclude that the Hadley Centre’s climate scienceis world leading and unique, represents excellentvalue for money and provides excellent policyrelevant scientific outputs to UK Governmentclients.
In addition to the work done through the ICP, theAVOID programme, led by the Hadley Centre, willprovide core research for understandingdangerous climate change and its implications tosupport international negotiations for agreementon greenhouse gas emissions. AVOID will buildinto a multi-disciplinary, multi-stakeholderprogramme, encouraging the integration andcommunication of scientific and socio-economicresearch on climate change. To this end AVOID isaccredited as a component of the wider UK Inter-agency Living With Environmental Change (LWEC)Programme (see page 118).
Defra funds the UK Climate ImpactsProgramme127 (UKCIP) on behalf of the UKgovernment and devolved administrations, toprovide a co-ordinated framework for assessingclimate change impacts and identifying potentialadaptation strategies in the UK.
The Foresight team within the Government Officefor Science continues to assimilate and presentexpert consideration of key future challenges,providing a rich resource for today‘s policymakers. Launched in November 2008, theForesight study Powering our Lives: SustainableEnergy Management and the Built Environmentexplored how the UK built environment couldevolve to help manage the transition over the nextfive decades to secure, sustainable, low carbonenergy systems that meet the needs of society, therequirements of the economy, and theexpectations of individuals. Current Foresightprojects include the Food and Farming Futuresproject which will identify and analyse futurechallenges to the global food system as climatechange combines with other important drivers ofchange such as population growth, the drivetowards low-carbon economies and evolvingconsumption patterns. The Land Use Futures
project will explore how land-use in the UK couldchange over the next 50 years and will create anevidence-based analysis to help policy makers gaina better understanding of whether existing landuse patterns, practices and governance structuresare fit for the future.128
A considerable amount of climate-relatedresearch is also funded by other Governmentbodies, including the Scottish Government,the Welsh Assembly, the Department ofEnvironment (Northern Ireland), the ForestryCommission, the Environment Agency,the Scottish Environment Protection Agency,and the statutory conservation agencies.
The Scottish Government funds significantresearch programmes in areas relating toEnvironment, Fisheries, Rural Affairs and Health.One of the major drivers for this policy relatedresearch is adaptation to, and mitigation of,climate change impacts on Scotland‘s, people,environment and economy. Reduction of carbonemissions including greenhouse gases and thesustainable development of renewable energyresources to meet the challenging targets set bythe Scottish Government in its recent ClimateChange Bill will be an important ongoing focusfor the research. The potential positive andnegative effects of climate change on Scotland‘simportant primary production industries (farming,fishing, forestry, energy), tourism, health anddisease risk and demographic are also animportant topics for current and future researchprogrammes. Scotland‘s research base links withthe UK, EU and international researchers to shareunderstanding and interpretation of the causes,challenges and opportunities of climate change.
7.3.2 Policy & Technology Research
As detailed in the recent DIUS Innovation NationWhite Paper129, UK government sees innovationas essential to meet the challenge of living withinour environmental limits and addressing climatechange. The UK Government‘s policy recognisesthe need to create the conditions that allowinnovation to flourish, by removing barriers andother disincentives and through support forresearch, development and demonstration.These supply-side innovation measures must becomplemented with demand side policies, such asgovernment procurement and regulation, to driveinnovation to meet new, low-carbon resourceefficient needs.
126 Available from http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/research127 More information about the UKCIP was provided in Chapter 5, and is available at www.ukcip.org.uk128 Foresight programme website at www.foresight.gov.uk129 Available from http://www.dius.gov.uk/publications/innovation-nation.html
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The quality of the UK‘s research is worldrenowned, and Government has delivered a majorincrease in funding for research and is committedto continue with this increase.
In July 2007, the UK Government established theTechnology Strategy Board as a business ledexecutive Non Departmental Public Body (NDPB)to play a cross-Government leadership role indelivering a national technology strategy andadvising on policies which relate to technologyinnovation and knowledge transfer. TheTechnology Strategy Board operates across allimportant sectors of the UK economy to stimulateinnovation in those areas which offer the greatestscope for boosting UK growth and productivity.
With a wide remit covering the whole of the UKeconomy, the Technology Strategy Board willinvest around three main themes as highlighted inits recently published strategy Connect andCatalyse: challenge-led innovation, technology-inspired innovation and the innovation climate130.
A major focus of the Technology Strategy Board‘sactivities is its Innovation Platforms. An InnovationPlatform creates the opportunity to bring togetherkey partners (Government and business) toaddress a major societal challenge and to open upmarket opportunities to increase businessinvestment in R&D and innovation.
To date, it has launched six Innovation Platforms,of which two are directly relevant:
� Low Impact Buildings – this will assist business toharness the growing market for low carbon,environmentally sustainable buildings. This will bedone initially for new build housing throughmarkets affected by the Code for SustainableHomes.
� Low Carbon Vehicles – seeks to position the UK’sautomotive sector to benefit from growing publicand private sector demand for lower carbonvehicles. The programme, worth over £100m, willco-ordinate the UK‘s low carbon vehicle activityfrom initial strategic research through collaborativeresearch and development, leading to theproduction of demonstration vehicles.
In addition to Innovation Platforms, theTechnology Strategy Board has a significantportfolio of business led research projects focusedon developing low carbon energy and energyefficiency technologies. Its current portfolio(Government and industry funding for projects) isworth over £140m.
The Energy Technologies Institute (ETI) wasformally established in December 2007 as a novelpartnership, involving DIUS and industry (currentlyBP, Caterpillar, EDF Energy, EON.UK, Rolls-Royceand Shell) to invest in the development of lowcarbon energy technologies and solutions andthus help to shorten lead time to deployment andcommercialisation. DIUS has committed to provideup to £500m over 10 years, to be matched byprivate sector partners.
ETI brings together the complementary capabilitiesof global industrial groups in a unique approachwith Government. ETI addresses the challenge ofclimate change and low carbon energy by:
� Demonstrating energy technologies and systems
� Improving energy usage, efficiency, supply andgeneration
� Developing knowledge, skills and supply chains
� Informing development of regulations, standardsand policy
� Enabling deployment of affordable, secure, lowcarbon energy systems.
The ETI Technology Strategy, launched in January2009, outlines its current portfolio of technologyprogrammes in Off-Shore Wind, Marine Energy,Distributed Energy, Carbon Capture & Storage,Energy Networks, Transport and BuildingsEfficiency131.
The Environmental Transformation Fund (ETF) isa new initiative to bring forward the developmentof new low carbon energy and energy efficiencytechnologies in the UK. The fund began operationin April 2008, and is co-ordinated through DECC.It aims to accelerate the commercialisation of lowcarbon energy and energy efficiency technologiesin the UK.
The fund specifically focuses on the demonstrationand deployment phases of bringing low carbontechnologies to market. It provides funding to arange of bodies and projects in order to deliverits aims.
The ETF works closely with other organisationsfunding earlier stage research and developmentincluding the Energy Technologies Institute,Technology Strategy Board, and the ResearchCouncils‘ Energy Programme.
130 http://www.innovateuk.org/131 http://www.energytechnologies.co.uk/Home.aspx
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Also significant in the area of low carbontechnology research, the Carbon Trust is anindependent company funded by theGovernment. It works with UK business and thepublic sector to cut carbon emissions and developcommercial low carbon technologies. The CarbonTrust‘s Applied Research Programme is open to UKbusinesses and research institutions and aims tosupport the development and commercialisationof technology with the potential to reduce UKcarbon dioxide emissions.
The Energy Saving Trust (EST) manages researchinto the health impacts of living in inefficientlyheated homes and into ways of helping peoplewho live in homes where conventional methods ofcutting fuel bills cannot be applied.
7.3.3 Research Councils programmes
Science, technology and innovation are keyelements to meeting the UK‘s national andinternational obligations and commitments on theenvironment, sustainability and climate change.UK scientists are at the forefront of climatechange science and the application of this basicknowledge to understand the challenges the UKwill face in mitigating or responding to theimpacts of climate change.
DIUS continues to give a high priority to addressingsustainability issues, including understanding,mitigation and adaptation to climate change,and development of low carbon technologies andsolutions. Their science Budget (at ca £3.68 billionin 2008-9) provides funds for the ResearchCouncils to support basic, strategic and appliedresearch and related postgraduate training acrossthe sciences, engineering and humanities.They fund a variety of research work, bothindividually and through Cross-Council programmes
Individual Research Councils
Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)funds world-class science in universities andresearch centres that increases knowledge andunderstanding of the natural world. NERC strategy‘Next Generation Science for Planet Earth‘132
identifies seven strategic science themes, the firstof which is the climate system. This theme has theoverarching goal that: ‘NERC will play a leadingrole, in collaboration with others, in developingrisk-based predictions of the future state ofclimate – on regional and local scales, spanningdays to decades’.
A number of significant research activitiesare being developed that relate to climatechange science:
� A joint climate research programme with theMet Office, to strengthen the UK‘s capability inclimate science.
� Changing water cycle, in collaboration with otherorganisations within the Living With EnvironmentalChange partnership.
� Ocean acidification, including current and likelyfuture ocean acidification and feedbacks to theEarth system.
� Storm risk mitigation.
Many NERC funded scientists are world-leadingauthorities on the climate, and have been bothauthors of and provided input to the latest reportfrom the IPCC.
NERC supports a number of research centres,all of which have programmes relating to climatechange. In addition it supports many responsivemode grants which are critical to maintaining ahealthy and diverse research base in the UK andalso provides research that is critical to ourunderstanding of climate change.
The Engineering and Physical SciencesResearch Council (EPSRC) funds a broad range ofresearch and training aimed at tackling climatechange. EPSRC leads the Research Councils 2019Energy Programme, whose key drivers are toensure secure and affordable energy supplies,whilst reducing carbon dioxide emissions andtherefore mitigating against climate change.EPSRC specific focus is on engineering andscientific research into new low carbon energytechnologies, both for energy generation andsupply and for managing and reducing demandfor energy in buildings, industries and transport.A key element is the provision of training toensure sufficient researcher capacity to underpinfuture energy options. Research areas specific tothe engineering and physical sciences includeaspects of sustainable power generation andsupply, conventional generation including carbonabatement technologies, nuclear fission andnuclear fusion.
The Biotechnology and Biological SciencesResearch Council (BBSRC) supports climatechange related research under the science areascovered by its four research committees: AnimalSystems, Health and Wellbeing; Plants, Microbes,Food & Sustainability; Technological andMethodological Development; Molecules,
132 http://www.nerc.ac.uk/publications/strategicplan/nextgeneration.asp
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Cells and Industrial Biotechnology. It has identifiedseveral research priorities relevant to climatechange which include Living with EnvironmentalChange, Bioenergy and Crop Science (includingfood security).
Three BBSRC sponsored institutes have beenparticularly active in research into impacts ofclimate change on the function and behaviour ofplants, animals and soils. BBSRC has also invested£20M to establish the BBSRC SustainableBioenergy Centre which will contribute to meetingthe global challenges of climate change andreducing carbon emissions.
In 2008, BBSRC published a review of its researchrelated to environmental change133. The reportrecognises that research will be essential to enableanalysis and prediction of the changes and toallow the development of strategies foradaptation and mitigation of their impacts, andmakes recommendations on future priorities forBBSRC research as well as on mechanisms fortheir successful implementation.
BBSRC estimated spend on environmental changeand bioenergy research in 2007/08 was £13.6M.
Environment and climate change is central to theEconomic and Social Research Council’s (ESRC)Strategic Plan. ESRC‘s work in this field involvesfunding high quality interdisciplinary research andpostgraduate training alongside stakeholderengagement to maximise the impact of theresearch it funds. ESRC research will be: informinghow a fully sustainable economy would differfrom the fossil-fuelled one of today and how weshould most effectively move toward such aneconomy; providing a better understanding ofhow we can adapt to environmental change; and,developing understandings of how practices andhabits change and can be influenced in regard tothe climate change agenda.
The ESRC contributes to the Living withEnvironmental Change Programme and theResearch Councils’ Energy Programme.In addition, ESRC funds the ESRC Centre forClimate Change Economics and Policy (CCCEP),and supports three internationally recognised largeresearch groups focussing on energy and a rangeof climate change fellowships and related projects(see below for details).
The Medical Research Council (MRC) supportsresearch into climate change through its responsemode schemes. Projects/centres currently beingfunded which are relevant to climate change are:
� Heat waves in the UK: impacts and public healthresponses, led by Dr P Wilkinson at the LondonSchool of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. This projectis investigating the impacts and public healthconsequences of heat waves in the UK.
� MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling,led by Professor N M Ferguson at Imperial Collegeof Science Technology and Medicine.
The MRC spends approximately £3 million perannum on research related to environmentalinfluences on health. In addition, it has recentlyawarded funding for a joint MRC and HealthProtection agency (HPA) Centre for Environmentand Health at Imperial College. The MRC alsosupports the Integrative Toxicology TrainingProgramme (ITTP), which is managed by the MRCToxicology Unit in Leicester, at a level ofapproximately £3 million over 5 years. The MRC isa partner in LWEC, and the environmental impactson health are a priority in the MRC‘s strategic plan.
Key cross-council research programmes
The Living With Environmental Change(LWEC) programme, which began in 2007,represents an unprecedented partnership spanningresearch councils, government and business.The ten year LWEC programme (to which£1 billion has been committed for the first fiveyears) aims to provide decision makers with thebest information to effectively manage andprotect vital ecosystem services on the time andspace scales on which the economy is managed.It will aim to strengthen the evidence base forpolicy, not least by addressing the uncertaintiesthat remain about the impacts of environmentalchange and the links between natural resourcesand human well-being. Through interdisciplinaryresearch activities, knowledge exchange, actionsand training opportunities, LWEC aims to deliver:
� whole-system assessments and risk-basedpredictions of environmental change and theeffects on ecosystem services, economiesand communities on local-to-regional,and seasonal-to-decadal time scales,
� integrated analyses of the potential economic,social and environmental costs, benefitsand impacts of different mitigation andadaptation responses,
� guidance for more effective sustainablemanagement of ecosystem services, as afoundation for resilient economic developmentand social progress,
133 www.bbsrc.ac.uk/organisation/policies/reviews/scientific_areas/0810_environmental_change.pdf
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� new technology and infrastructure solutions in themanagement of environmental change,
� a more research-informed dialogue and debateabout the environmental challenges and choicesthat we face and their economic and socialconsequences.
To address these aims, LWEC will focus on sixbroad objectives – climate change, ecosystems,food and water, health, infrastructure andcommunities. LWEC will help to deliver effectivemitigation, adaptation and resilience toenvironmental change. This will includepreparedness for changes to the intensity andfrequency of extreme events, so that humanhealth, well-being, and a healthy naturalenvironment are ensured through use ofsustainable and socially acceptable environmentalmanagement approaches and technologies.
Research Councils Energy Programme (RCEP).Research Council investments on energy relatedbasic, strategic and applied research andpostgraduate training have trebled since 2003.Over the period 2008-11, expenditure under theProgramme, which brings together within oneframework all the Research Council activities onenergy research and training, will exceed £300M.The vision for the Energy Programme is to bringtogether engineers with physical, naturalenvironment, biological, social and economicscientists from many areas to tackle the researchchallenges involved in creating new energytechnologies and understanding of theenvironmental, social and economic implications.The aim is to position the UK to develop, embraceand exploit sustainably, low carbon and/or energyefficient technologies and systems to enable it tomeet national energy and environmental targetsfor 2020 and beyond.
Priorities for the Energy Programme includecontinuing support for a broad research portfolio inpower generation and supply (including renewables,fusion, distribution networks and energy storage),and to grow the portfolio in demand reduction,transport, security of supply, research capacitybuilding and international engagement. It includesinvestments in large research consortia,“whole-system” research, strategic partnershipswith leading companies and support for the UKEnergy Research Centre (UKERC), as well as supportfor fundamental science based energy researchthrough responsive mode.
The flagship Sustainable Power Generationand Supply initiative is a multidisciplinaryinitiative managed and led by EPSRC inpartnership with BBSRC, ESRC, NERC and theCarbon Trust. The programme has invested over£55 million since 2003 to improve the
sustainability of power generation and supply.Establishing multi-disciplinary partnershipsbetween industry and universities, the programmehas been highly successful in generating newideas and the transfer of research results in, forexample, bio-fuels, photovoltaics, offshore wind,and energy storage.
Research council centres
The Tyndall Centre is an interdisciplinary researchentity core-funded by NERC, EPSRC, and ESRCfrom 2000 to 2010. The Tyndall Centre bringstogether scientists, economists, engineers andsocial scientists, working to develop sustainableresponses to climate change. This is done throughtrans-disciplinary research and dialogue on both anational and international level – not just withinthe research community, but also with businessleaders, policy advisors, the media and the publicin general. It has established a worldwidereputation for high quality research into climatechange response options, tackled from aninter-disciplinary perspective addressing thephysical and natural environment, economics,societal perceptions and governance and policyissues. Pioneering work has included low-carbonenergy supply and demand, integratedassessments of emissions, incorporating climatechange into international development thinkingand practice, and adapting coasts and cities toprotect vulnerable people and places from climatechange. It made a major contribution to the IPCC4th Assessment, the UN Human DevelopmentReport and the OECD Vulnerable Port Cities report.
The UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC) aimsto promote cohesion within the UK energyresearch effort and to act as a focal point forcollaborative international energy research.Co-ordinating a network of environmental,engineering, economic, life and social scientists,UKERC is also the focal point for UK university-based research on sustainable energy and aresearch centre in its own right. It takes anindependent, whole-systems approach, drawingon engineering, economics and the physical,environmental and social sciences.
UKERC‘s research is organised around fourthemes: energy demand, energy supply,environment and energy, and energy systems.Other key activities include research road-mappingactivity to inform funding decisions, technologyand policy assessment, an interdisciplinary doctoraltraining programme and a research portal whichmaps out the UK energy research landscape.UKERC has funding of £32.4m over 2004-2014from NERC, EPSRC and ESRC through theResearch Councils‘ Energy Programme.
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Key NERC research centres include:
The British Antarctic Survey (BAS) which isresponsible for undertaking the majority ofBritain‘s scientific research on and around theAntarctic continent. Some of the recent researchhighlights relevant to climate change include:
� Research into the Southern Ocean which acts asthe largest ocean sink of anthropogenic carbonand whether its effectiveness is reducing as aconsequence of an anthropogenically-inducedstrengthening of the winds over the SouthernOcean.
� To understand the trends about Antarctic Peninsulawarming , the break-up of ice shelves and theimplications for marine life in the Antarctic.
The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH)undertakes integrated research in terrestrial andfreshwater systems, contributing to UK andEuropean monitoring and research into globalclimate systems and climate change. As a providerof atmospheric, terrestrial and hydrologicalobservations within the UK and Europe, CEHcoordinates approximately two-thirds of the UK‘sterrestrial and hydrological environmentalmonitoring. CEH has contributed to the IPCC 4thAssessment report, and model development ofclimate model sub-components such as the JointUK Land-Environment Simulator, a communitymodel jointly developed and managed by CEHand the Met Office. CEH has responsibility for anumber of core datasets which contribute toglobal climate change studies and reportsincluding the National River Flow Archive,Countryside Survey and related Land-Cover Mapof the UK; and the Biological Records Centre(BRC). CEH also provides the land-use, land usechange and forestry components of the UKgreenhouse gas inventory.
The British Geological Survey (BGS) is the UK‘sprincipal supplier of objective, impartial and up-to-date geological expertise and information fordecision making for governmental, commercialand individual users. The BGS carries out researchin strategically important areas including energyand natural resources, vulnerability toenvironmental change and hazards, and earthsystem science, often in collaboration with thenational and international scientific academiccommunity. BGS undertakes surveying, modelling,research and environmental and geologicalmonitoring. It also works overseas, where it playsan important role in building geologicalinfrastructure and capacity in developing countries.BGS Climate Change Projects include134:
� Evidence of Sea Level Changes: Reconstruction ofpalaeoenvironments, climate and rates of sea-levelchange during the Late Pleistocene and Holocene.
� Cryosphere and Climate Interactions: Investigationof the interactions between the cryosphere andclimate which aims to understand the couplingbetween external drivers such as solar insolationand the response of the environment.
� Integrated modelling of groundwater floodingincluding assessment of the impacts fromclimate change.
� Various projects looking at impact of climatechange on groundwater resources both in the UKand overseas.
7.3.4 Information exchange (within UK andinternationally)
Since 1991, the government-funded ClimateImpacts LINK project has acted as the interfacebetween the Met Office Hadley Centre and thenational and international climate change impactscommunities. In 2007, this project was refocusedto make available more model data from theHadley Centre to support a growing number ofclimate change impact investigations by the widerresearch community. The Hadley Centre hasdeveloped streamlined data disseminationsoftware to package, quality check and delivermodel data to the British Atmospheric DataCentre (BADC), which makes it available toresearch scientists. This facility has been used todeliver more than 50 Terabytes of data from themodel simulations that are most in demand; thisrepresents a ten-fold increase in Hadley Centremodel data available through BADC.
At the same time, the Hadley Centre has beeninvesting in tools and processes to create andmaintain metadata which describe modelsimulations and their outputs. With the dramaticgrowth in the number of data sets available andthe importance of model inter-comparisonprojects, the ability to accurately describe modeldata sets is critical to their effective use by theresearch community.
The LINK project facilities will be used to supportthe transfer of data to the IPCC Data DistributionCentre to be hosted by BADC for the upcomingIPCC Fifth Assessment Report.
The UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) isan established link between stakeholders andresearchers, and helps to make connectionsbetween partners and researchers to stimulateclimate change impacts studies. UKCIP facilitatesthe sharing of information, provides core data sets
134 http://www.bgs.ac.uk/research/climateChange.html
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(such as the UK Climate Projections, UKCP09), andother tools for impacts assessments andadaptation studies. The UKCIP website is a keymeans of data and information exchange.
A high profile international conference“Climate change impacts and adaptation:Dangerous rates of change”, organised by theMet Office and Exeter University, was hosted bythe University of Exeter, in the UK between22nd and 24th September 2008. The Conferencewas broadly concerned with moving from passiveprojection of climate change towards activemanagement of the climate system, and wasdivided into five themes: Improving predictions ofclimate change; Climate change impacts onecosystem services; Technology for adaptation andmitigation; Policy responses and behaviouralchange; and Coupled human-environment system.Key messages from the conference were thatbetter regional projections on seasonal-to-decadaltimescales, improved prediction of impacts, andan understanding of human responses toenvironmental stresses, were all required tomanage future climate change.
The AVOID programme will also play a key rolein communicating policy-relevant research onclimate change across government and beyond.AVOID aims to provide policy-relevant evidenceand research on avoiding dangerous climatechange through stabilisation of GHGconcentrations in the atmosphere. AVOIDwill build on the core funding and become amulti-disciplinary, multi-stakeholder programme.To this end AVOID will be accredited as a keycomponent of the UK Inter-agency Living WithEnvironmental Change (LWEC) Programme.
The portable regional climate model, PRECIS,developed by the Hadley Centre is provided tocountries in conjunction with a workshop to givescientific advice on designing model experimentsand how to interpret results. Since January 2005PRECIS workshops have been held in the UK,Belize, Malaysia, Ghana and Kenya. A specialmeeting was held in Thailand in 2007 as a followup to the Malaysia workshop in 2006, wherecountries in the region discussed their results.
PRECIS is being used in several projects: theFCO-funded Dangerous Climate Change in BrazilProject; the UNEP/UNESCO funded Nile project,providing guidance on water resources in Egypt; aHadley Centre post in Saudi Arabia to help with its2nd National Communication under the UNFCCC.India is also using PRECIS for its 2nd NationalCommunication; in addition the PRECIS team hasvisited India and scientists have visited the UK inorder to exchange expertise.
In addition, CEH makes its research available in avariety of means including direct contact withstakeholders and policymakers, peer-reviewedpapers, international committees and web portalswhich all greatly increase the potential for widereconomic impact. For example, CEH produces theFlood Estimation Handbook which providesstandard methods of estimating flood frequencyfor various stakeholders including the insuranceindustry. This has been independently estimated tobe worth an average present value of £8 – £30million per year.
7.3.5 International research, capacity building andobservations
The government supports the research andassessments of the IPCC, and many UK scientistsare involved. The UK has taken a leading role onthe steering committee, provided lead authors andcontributing authors for the AR4 and also workedon revising the IPCC inventory guidelines.
Defra-funded work at the Met Office HadleyCentre was instrumental in the success of theCoupled Climate Carbon Cycle Inter-comparisonProject (C4MIP)135 activity under the InternationalGeosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP). Thiscompared carbon cycle models across theinternational research community. Results showthe importance of ecosystems and the carboncycle in determining future climate change and itsimpacts. The Hadley Centre’s earth system modelHadGEM2-ES provides a continuation of this workand remains at the forefront of internationalclimate research and will contribute to IPCC AR5.
Following the collaborative project with theMinistry of Environment and Forests in India thatwas completed in 2005, DECC is funding thesecond phase of the UK-India collaborativeresearch to further develop understanding of thepotential impacts of climate change in India. Theproject due to start in 2009 will improve currentclimate change modelling for India, and considerthe impacts on four sectors (water resources,agriculture, forestry and human health) in a moreintegrated way than was possible in the firstphase. Two projects will consider adaptationoptions at the regional level.
A second three-year project jointly funded byDefra and the Department for InternationalDevelopment (DfID) in partnership with theChinese Ministry of Science and Technology(MoST) investigating the impacts of climatechange on Chinese agriculture (ICCCA) concludedin 2008. It refined and widened the national levelanalysis carried out in phase one of the project.It also incorporated a major regional component
135 Friedlingstein et al, 2006: Climate–carbon cycle feedback analysis, results from the C4MIP model intercomparison, J. Clim., 19, 3337-3353.
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and engaged a range of stakeholders to assess theimpact of climate change on rural livelihoods, andto develop the first regional adaptation frameworkin China – for the northern province of Ningxia.The national component examined the impacts ofclimate change on agriculture, taking into accountavailability of water resources and socio-economicdevelopments, and re-assessed the impact of CO2fertilisation on crop yields.
A new UK-China collaborative project onstrengthening climate change adaptation in Chinais due to start in 2009, developing the science,building capacity and mainstreaming adaptationplanning and management. It will include studiesin three provinces.
The FCO has been funding work throughStrategic Programme Fund (formerly the GlobalOpportunities Fund) Low Carbon High Growthprogramme. Projects include:
� A series of studies on the Regional Economics ofClimate Change (RECCS, sometimes referred to as‘mini-Sterns’) in a number of countries andregions.
� Studies on the security implications of climatechange. Recently confirmed funding for studies inColombia, Mexico and Central America and theSahel region (Africa).
� EU/China Interdependencies on Energy and ClimateChange paper. The analysis and findings from thisreport were drawn from over twenty separatestudies prepared by the project team based atChatham House as well as researchers fromChinese Academy of Social Sciences, the EnergyResearch Institute and French think tank IDDRI.
� A series of Hadley Centre studies on the impactsof climate change on specific countries.
� Related work on achieving energy objectives,including funding studies into implementingenergy efficiency plans in partner countries.
� Building Capacity in Regional Climate ChangeScenario production using PRECIS to informimpacts, vulnerability and adaptation studies in theMiddle East, and empower Saudi Arabian, Omaniand Bahraini scientists and policy makers to takeearly action on climate change.
A key output of several projects is to enable thehost countries to develop their NationalCommunications to the UNFCCC.
DfID Research has recently launched a newResearch Strategy under which the researchbudget is set to rise up to £220 million per yearby 2010/11. By this time, the UK is likely to fundmore development research than any OECD DACmember, including the World Bank.136
Existing research programmes include:
� The ongoing £30 million Climate ChangeAdaptation in Africa programme (2006-2011),which is probably the largest adaptation researchprogramme in Africa. DfID has partnered with theInternational Development Research Centre ofCanada in the implementation of this programme.The programme now has over 25 research andcapacity building projects across Africa, includingagriculture, coastal zone management, diseaseprediction models and (recently) urban issues.137
� Climate Change Adaptation in China – thisprogramme is co-funded with Defra, and will belaunched soon.
� Economics of Adaptation – World Bank is the leadpartner in this programme which is implementedin collaboration with the Dutch Ministry of ForeignAffairs and Swiss Development Cooperation.
� Aid effectiveness and climate change funding – asmall study being carried out by IIED and IDS.
DfID has also committed a substantial portion ofits research budget to the Centre for Climate andDevelopment, the aim of which is to supportdeveloping countries to design improveddevelopment policies, programmes andinvestments, based on a sound understanding ofclimate change and its implications by 2015.
UKERC has made significant contribution towardsG8 talks. Its workshop in 2005, a follow-up to theWashington meeting in 2004 on implementing theEvian Action Plan, saw Energy science andtechnology managers, researchers and otherinterested individuals from the G8 plus fivedeveloping nations (Brazil, China, India, Mexico,South Africa) engage in high-level discussion onimproving collaboration on clean energy. UKERCalso continues to be heavily involved in a series of‘Low Carbon Society‘ workshops held as part of theinternational Low Carbon Society established by theJapanese Ministry of Environment and Defra.Outputs have fed into G8 and UNFCCC meetingsand have included an international modellingexercise undertaken by nine national teams.
CEH is engaged in major international networkssuch as the Partnership for EnvironmentalResearch (PEER), A Long-Term Biodiversity,
136 For more information see http://www.dfid.gov.uk/research/.137 For more information see www.idrc.ca/ccaa
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Ecosystem and Awareness Research Network(ALTER-NET), and the EurAqua Network ofEuropean Freshwater Research Organisations.CEH also coordinates and Chairs several internalinitiatives such as Chairing the InternationalCooperative Programme for the Effects of AirPollution on Natural Vegetation and Crops whichreports into the UN Convention on Long-RangeTransboundary Air Pollution; and the coordinationof two major FP6 European Commission fundedinitiatives NitroEurope (62 institutions acrossEurope, Russia, China and Africa) and WATCH(25 organisations across Europe).
Systematic Observations
7.4.1 Introduction
The UK government has always been verydedicated to the funding of observations andmeasurements needed to address climate-relatedissues. This is reflected in the recent publication ofthe UK Report on national activities with respectto the GCOS Implementation Plan138 whichprovides an assessment of the UK contributiontowards the realisation of the Global ClimateObserving System (GCOS) Implementation Plan(GIP). The report focuses on those UK observationsthat relate to the designated GCOS networks (i.e.are relevant to global climate needs) as defined inthe GIP and, as a result, need to be sustained inthe longer-term, with data provided to theappropriate international data centres (IDCs). Abrief overview of the UK observations outlined inthe report is given in the following sections.
GCOS is the climate component of the GlobalEarth Observation System of Systems (GEOSS). TheGIP forms the basis of the GEOSS 10-yearImplementation Plan139 for climate, which hasbeen formally endorsed by the UK Government.
Systematic observations in the UK and its overseasterritories are made by a number of nationalagencies and organisations. The UK Met Office isthe lead agency for making and collectingmeteorological and atmospheric observations.Observations are also made by others includingthe Natural Environment Research Council‘s(NERC) Centres and Surveys. Collection ofoceanographic (and marine) observations is widely
distributed throughout the UK with manygovernment departments and laboratories,universities and commercial companies involved.Terrestrial observations are made or coordinatedby NERC, the Environment Agency (EA), theScottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA),the Northern Ireland Environment Agency (NIEA),the Forestry Commission and others. The UK alsocontributes to space-based observations throughthe European agencies; the European SpaceAgency and the European Organisation for theExploitation of Meteorological Satellites.
The GECC sub-group on Observations coordinatesobservational activities, which are contributions toGEOSS, GCOS, GMES (Global Monitoring forEnvironment and Security) etc. and varioussatellite programmes.
The Marine Science Coordination Committee(MSCC) was formed in 2008 to develop andimplement a Marine Science Strategy for the UK,and to improve UK marine science co-ordination.The MSCC consists of Six governmentdepartments140 and nine agencies141 and will beestablishing a number of working groups to helptake forward the Committee’s business, and thesegroups will involve wider stakeholder involvement.
7.4.2 Atmospheric Observations
The UK’s contribution to the GCOS SurfaceNetwork (GSN) comes from the national network(for the UK itself) of 20 stations within the UK’sRegional Basic Climate Network (RBCN) and the34 stations within the UK’s Reference ClimateNetwork. The 6 UK GSN stations run by the MetOffice are Lerwick, Stornoway, Eskdalemuir, Valley,Waddington, Camborne and additionally 2overseas stations: St Helena and Ascension Island.
The British Antarctic Survey (BAS) runs 3 OverseasGCOS Surface Network stations: Halley, Rotheraand Fossil Bluff. BAS has upgraded the station atGrytviken, South Georgia and will investigatewhether this could be designated as a GSNstation. This site has a record back to 1903. All 3of the UK BAS GSN stations operate to GCOSstandards and historic data have been supplied tothe IDCs, for their operational periods where thedata have been digitised. BAS also operatesLarsen, Uranus Glacier, Butler Island and Ski BluAutomatic Weather Stations in the Antarctic.
138 Available online at http://unfccc.int/methods_and_science/research_and_systematic_observation/items/4499.php139 GEOSS 10-Year Implementation Plan Reference Document. Ad hoc Group on Earth Observations (GEO), GEO-204, February 2005. Conference,
September 2005. http://earthobservations.org/docs/GEOSS%2010-Year%20Implementation%20Plan%20(GEO%201000).pdf140 Defra (chair); the Scottish Government; DfID; Department for Business, Enterprise & Regulatory Reform (BERR); MOD; DIUS141 Met Office; United Kingdom Hydrographic Office (UKHO); Fisheries Research Services (FRS); NERC; Centre for Environment, Fisheries and
Aquaculture Science (Cefas); Agri-Food and Biosciences Institute (AFBI); Joint Nature Conservation Committee (JNCC); Environment Agency (EA):Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA)
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There are additional stations for which the UK isnot directly responsible, though the UK PublicWeather Service does fund the Pitcairn station.These 3 overseas GCOS Surface Network stations(UK Overseas Territories) are Gough Island,Bermuda and Pitcairn: Gough Island is run by theSouth African Weather Service (SAWS); Bermuda isrun by Serco for the Bermudan Government; andPitcairn is funded by the National MeteorologicalProgramme (NMP) and serviced by NZWS.
The UK land surface observing network currentlycomprises 282 climate stations, 157 synopticstations and 44 climate data loggers. There are anadditional 2824 rainfall-only stations. Thesestations are partially compliant with GCOSstandards, but are much more subject to sitechanges or closures than those in the GSN,Regional Basic Climate Network and the UK’sReference Climate Network.
The UK contribution to the GCOS Upper AirNetwork (GUAN) network is 2 stations, plus 6overseas stations. The 2 in the UK are Lerwick andCamborne. There are 3 GUAN stations overseas:Gibraltar, St Helena and Mt. Pleasant, and 3GUAN stations in UK overseas territories:Ascension, Gough Island (run by SAWS) andBermuda. There is one BAS GUAN station atHalley. Lerwick, Camborne and St Helena are NMPfunded so secure. Gibraltar and Mt. Pleasant areon RAF airfields, so cannot be guaranteed againstclosure. The 6 UK-run stations provide data to theIDCs. These are the 2 in the UK, the 3 UK-runstations overseas and the BAS station at Halley.The 3 run by others on UK overseas territories arealso presumed to provide their data to the IDCs.
In addition to GUAN stations, the Met Office alsooperates 4 autosonde stations in the UK makingroutine ascents and 2 range stations that makeascents during range hours. The Met Office alsooperates 6 wind profilers as part of the EUCOSwind profiler network. The 4 autosonde sites areat Ablemarle, Castor Bay, Herstmonceaux andWatnall. These stations meet the minimumrequirement for profiles to 100 hPa but not thetarget of 5hPa, although GCOS‘s AtmosphericObservation Panel for Climate (AOPC) has reducedthis target to 30hPa. Additionally, the BAS stationat Rothera has commenced a regular upper airmonitoring with a commitment to continue in thelong term.
Further information on satellite data andatmospheric composition measurements isincluded in the UK Report on national activitieswith respect to the GCOS Implementation Plan(see footnote139 on page 123).
7.4.3 Oceanic observations
The Met Office routinely produces many oceanproducts which contribute to larger internationalobservational programmes. These observationsunder taken by the Met office include:
� Marine Automatic Weather Stations (MAWS)network consisting of 11 moored buoys and sevensystems on lightships and islands. Nine of thebuoys are in open-ocean locations — seven to thewest of the British Isles and two (which are ownedjointly with the French Met. Service Meteo-France)in the Bay of Biscay — and two are in coastalinshore waters.
� A fleet of around 350 Voluntary Observing Ships(VOS) on which the crew make weatherobservations. These observations are made insupport of the International MaritimeOrganization‘s SOLAS (Safety of Life At Sea)Convention and are carried out under the WMOVOS programme. Within Europe VOS operationsare co-ordinated through the EUCOS SurfaceMarine programme (E-Surfmar).
The Met Office also acts as one of two GlobalCollecting Centres (GCC) (alongside the GermanMet Service DWD) for VOS data, withresponsibility for basic quality control of ship data,and collection of those data not available in real-time (e.g. ship‘s logbooks). As part of its role as areal-time monitoring centre for marine data theMet Office routinely monitors VOS data.
UK involvement in the international programme tomaintain a global array of temperature/salinityprofiling floats, known as Argo142, is supportedby a wide range of governmental and researchorganisations. NERC funding (~£125k pa) isagreed to March 2012 through the Oceans2025programme, with the expectation that it willcontinue after this time. This covers effort atNOCS and BODC on data processing and scienceleadership. Funding through the Met Office isfrom MoD (Research Acquisition Organisation(RAO) and Defence Intelligence, IntelligenceCollection Strategy and Plans (DIICSP)) and DECC.The RAO funding is through the IntegratedClimate Programme and the DIICSP fundingthrough the Defence Oceanography Programme.
Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory (POL)operates 11 GLOSS stations: Lerwick, Stornoway,Newlyn, Gibraltar, Rothera (with BAS), Signy, StHelena (currently not operational whilst theharbour is being reconstructed), Port Stanley,Ascension, Tristan da Cunha (not currentlyoperational because the gauge was washed away
142 http://www.argo.ucsd.edu/
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in a storm, but a new gauge has been purchasedand will be installed in the future) and SouthGeorgia (King Edwards Point).
All 11 tide gauge stations currently producingdata, or which have produced data in the past,provide these to PSMSL (based at POL) and to thetwo GLOSS data centres (BODC and UHSLC).Vernadsky, Bermuda and Diego Garcia providedata to international data centres. All 11 stationshave complete historical records in internationaldata centres (PSMSL, BODC, UHSLC). The first 3stations (Lerwick, Stornoway, Newlyn) are part ofthe UK Tide Gauge Network.
DECC (since 2008; previously Defra) sponsors theAdvanced Along Track Scanning Radiometer(AATSR) satellite instrument, which monitors seasurface temperatures to within an accuracy of0.3K. It was launched in 2002 on the EuropeanSpace Agency ENVISAT satellite platform andcontinues to operate successfully, having exceededits expected 5-year operating lifetime. The AATSRinstrument is extending the record of highlyaccurate sea surface temperature measurementsobtained from its precursor instruments ATSR andATSR-2, launched in 1991 and 1996 respectively.Validation and data processing activities have alsobeen supported by Defra, and now by DECC,to promote the use of these new datasets inclimate studies. A 17-year archive record, startingfrom 1991, has now been developed for researchuse. This latest dataset is currently being analysedto determine trends in global and regional seasurface temperatures over the period 1991to 2008. This long term record will help toimprove our understanding of trends in climate,and important natural cycles, like the El NinoSouthern Oscillation.
Records of the variability and changes in oceancirculation in the seas around the UK are maintainedthrough long-term support by Government toMarine Scotland‘s Marine Laboratory (Aberdeen)and the Centre for Environment Fisheries andAquaculture Science (Lowestoft). The geographicalposition of the UK means that these time series areof international importance.
7.4.4 Terrestrial observations
The UK reports 6 river discharge measurements toGlobal Terrestrial Network for River Discharge(GTN-R). These sites are at: Ballathie on the RiverTay, Blairstone on the River Clyde, Colwick on theRiver Trent, Kingston on the River Thames, Norhamon the River Tweed and at Redbrook on the RiverWye. In addition, the National River Flow Archivecurrently supplies the Global Runoff Data Centrewith data for the 200 gauging stations whose dailyrecords have been reconciled with UK measuringauthorities. The majority of sites discussed have acomplete historical record with GRDC.
For snow cover, of the 167 stations in the UK thatare part of the World Weather Watch/GlobalObserving System (WWW/GOS) network, 54have automatic snow depth sensors (at 3 of thosesites there is also a manual observer who maychoose to override the automatic observation) andthere are another 22 sites making manualobservations of snow depth. Of the 22 sitesmaking manual observations, 3 will close this year,1 may close by 2010 and 1 will probably beconverted to an automatic site. The other 17 areprojected to remain open past 2010 in the UKthere are an additional 78 climate stations that arenot part of the WWW/GOS network that reportsnow depth. 54 automatic snow depth sensorshave been deployed since 2004 to improveobservations of snow cover and snow fall.
The UK does not have any glaciers, nor anylocations with year-round permafrost. BAS doeshave networks of GPS stations measuring themovement of key icestreams, and one station thatcontributes to the determination of isostaticrecovery of Antarctica.
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8Education, Training and Public Awareness
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Key developments
Publication of England’s Department for Children,Schools and Families’ (DCSF) updated SustainableDevelopment Action Plan, Brighter Futures –Greener Lives, setting out strategic objectives toensure children’s well being now and in achanging world.
Publication of Wales’ Education for SustainableDevelopment and Global Citizenship – a commonunderstanding for each of the education sectors(schools, youth work, work based learning, furthereducation and adult and community learning).
The ACT ON CO2 campaign was launched in 2007(building on previous Government initiatives) tohelp encourage sustained behaviour change toreduce individual CO2 emissions. Independentresearch shows that 73 per cent of people saythey had taken action to reduce their CO2emissions or were planning to as a result of thecampaign.
The award-winning online Act on CO2 calculatorhas received over 1.5 million unique visitors sinceits launch in June 2007.
Education
8.1.1 England
Much of the work relating to the education ofchildren and young people in England aboutclimate change is being taken forward under thewider banner of our National Framework forSustainable Schools. This was published in May2006 and was followed by action to developguidance and support for schools and localauthorities. This has included guidance onplanning and evaluating sustainable schools, toptips and training for school governors, theNational College of School Leadership’sprogramme for leadership of sustainable schools,an annual Teaching Award for SustainableSchools, and a national competition for childrenleading to the publication of “Teach your Grannyto text and other ways to change the world”.
The National Curriculum ensures that there aremany opportunities for young people to studysustainable development and climate change.Sustainable development permeates teachingacross the curriculum at all ages and is an explicitteaching requirement in Science, Citizenship/PSHE(Personal, Social, Health and Economic education),Design and Technology, and Geography.
For example, under the science curriculum pupilsaged 11-14 are taught about renewable energyand the possible impact of human activity, such asthe burning of fossil fuels, on the environment.The geography curriculum for 11-14 year oldsrequires pupils to be taught about resourceplanning and management issues, for example,developing alternative energy sources.‘Environmental interaction and sustainabledevelopment’ is one of the key concepts in thenew geography curriculum for 11-14 year oldsintroduced in September 2008 with a requirementto study climate change.
The Department for Children, Schools andFamilies’ (DCSF) Sustainable Development ActionPlan Brighter Futures – Greener Lives waspublished in May 2008 and explains how theDCSF core business of children’s well being andensuring that children have the skills andknowledge they need in a changing world will bedelivered in a way that supports the Government’scommitment to sustainable global development.
8.1.2 Wales
In Wales, ‘One Wales’, the programme forgovernment in Wales, illustrates the WelshAssembly Government’s commitment to this issue,with proposals to achieve annual 3 per centreduction in CO2 emissions in areas of devolvedcompetence by 2011. These have implications foreducation both in the provision and managementof buildings and the curriculum and learningoutcomes that are delivered. The new curriculumfor schools, introduced in September 2008,enhances opportunities for the development ofkey government policies such as sustainabledevelopment and climate change.
It has an increased focus preparing young peoplefor the challenges they will face in the 21st centuryand their role as global citizens. Education forSustainable Development and Global Citizenship(ESDGC) is a theme promoted through all subjectorders and it is inspected by Estyn (Her Majesty’sInspectorate of Education and Training in Wales).
In particular, the new curriculum has increasedopportunities to focus on current events in thenews (geography), has a focus on activecitizenship (PSHE) and has climate change as aclear theme within ESDGC.
Within other education sectors, ESDGC has beenincluded within qualifying teacher trainingstandards, is part of the youth work curriculumstatement, and is a requirement of work basedlearning providers to show progress in deliveringESDGC. All universities have undertaken an audit
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of their curriculum to assess both the quantity anddepth of ESDGC. They have also been required todevelop an environmental management systemthat will have external accreditation within threeyears.
Working with practitioner representatives, a‘common understanding’ for ESDGC has beenproduced for each of the sectors (schools, youthwork, work based learning, further education andadult and community learning). This sets out thebreadth of ESDGC in each sector and climatechange is included as a major theme. The highereducation sector will shortly be completing areview of best practice which will examine andevaluate progress to date and provide clearrecommendations for future development.
Specific additional materials have been producedby Welsh Assembly Government to supportclimate change communications in education. Asecondary school pack was sent out to all schoolsand Further Education colleges, and furtherupdates provided. The Welsh AssemblyGovernment has actively supported research onclimate change with significant capital investmentin The Low Carbon Research Institute and theBioscience and Environment Research Alliance.
Over 90 per cent of schools in Wales areregistered with the Eco-Schools programme,which aims to promote awareness and action on arange of environmental issues in schools includingclimate change. The emphasis now is on movingschools through the scheme and achieving thehighest level of accreditation.
8.1.3 Scotland
Developing an understanding of environmentalissues and how we lead sustainable lifestyles is akey element of becoming a responsible citizen –one of the 4 capacities of Curriculum forExcellence – the new Curriculum for 3-18 yearolds in Scotland. Sustainable Development is anintrinsic part of the Curriculum for Excellencewhich aims, amongst other things, for youngpeople to develop an ability to evaluateenvironmental, scientific and technological issuesas well as debate informed, ethical views oncomplex issues, such as climate change. Educationhas an increasingly important role to play inclimate change and sustainable development withits focus on green and environmental issues. Therole of Eco-Schools and the learning opportunitiesof green school buildings and facilities is alsorelevant.
Learning and Teaching Scotland (a non-departmental public body) hosts a well-researchedclimate change resource for secondary schools aspart of its sustainable development educationwebsite, to encourage young people toinvestigate, communicate and act to tackle climatechange.
Eco-Schools Scotland (jointly funded by Educationand Environment portfolios) makes Scotland oneof the leading countries in the international Eco-Schools movement, which covers over 40countries world-wide. The Eco-Schools ScotlandProgramme promotes pupil-led activity across arange of issues, including water and energy use,waste minimisation, bio-diversity, and sustainingour world.
The Scottish Government supports the LocalFootprints project which aims to help localauthorities and schools to play their part inreducing Scotland’s global footprint. LocalFootprints is a joint project between WWF Scotlandand the Sustainable Scotland Network with fundingand support from Eco-Schools Scotland, TheImprovement Service, the Scottish Government andScottish Power. Schools’ Global Footprint resourcesand training are available to help schools toexamine, measure and take action to reduce theirimpact on the environment locally and globally, aspart of the Eco-Schools programme. The resourceswere piloted in 17 primary and secondary schoolsin Aberdeen City, Aberdeenshire and NorthLanarkshire and are now being made available,with training, to all schools in Scotland.
In January 2009, the Scottish Governmentannounced a package of measures to help localauthorities work towards a lower carbon schoolestate:
� working with Carbon Trust to “up-skill” authorityclient teams to ensure they have the appropriatecompetencies and confidence to secure sustainableschool design;
� funding 2 Schools Renewables DevelopmentOfficers to work with authorities to increase theuptake of micro-renewables in schools, to helpdeliver the manifesto commitment to havingrenewable capacity in every school; and
� developing a sustainable schools knowledge‘portal’, hosted on the government website, to actas an authoritative source of advice and guidanceon creating a low carbon school estate.
In further and higher education, two thirds (42) ofScotland’s universities and colleges have signed upto the Universities and Colleges ClimateCommitment for Scotland (UCCCfS).
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This is a public commitment from the further andhigher education sectors to allocate time andresources to implementing measures that willreduce their greenhouse gas emissions and carbonfootprints. It also welcomes the opportunity toexpand Scotland’s ability through its researchcapacity, knowledge transfer activity and theprovision of skills, modules and courses to createsolutions to the challenges posed by climatechange.
Within 12 months, universities and colleges signedup will publish a 5-year climate change actionplan that will include measurable targets andtimescales to achieve a significant reduction inemissions from all business operations andactivities.
Public Awareness
8.2.1 The ACT ON CO2 campaign
ACT ON CO2, launched in 2007, is a majorGovernment-led multimedia campaign (includingadvertising, face-to-face events, partnerships andso on) which aims to engage citizens on climatechange issues, address the confusion andpowerlessness which can impede people takingaction, and encourage genuine and sustainedbehaviour change to help reduce CO2 emissionsand meet UK emissions targets. The ACT ON CO2brand is Government-led and multi-partnered. Itaims to help provide clarity and consistency acrossdifferent communications.
The ACT ON CO2 website aims to signpost,interact, coordinate and engage consumers onclimate change, providing a clear, consistent,authoritative and credible voice. The websiteallows other government departments to buildand add further climate change information asand when necessary.
The award-winning ACT ON CO2 calculator hasreceived over 1.5 million unique visitors since itslaunch in June 2007. Further enhancements arebeing added to allow users to calculate their CO2emissions from renewable technologies and publictransport as well as providing interactive resultsand action plans. This is an integral part of theGovernment’s strategy to engage with andeducate the public as part of the mobilisation ofsociety to adopt low carbon lifestyles.
Independent research shows that 73 per cent ofpeople say they have taken or are planning totake action to reduce their CO2 emissions as aresult of the campaign – an increase of 23
percentage points since summer 2007. There werearound 600,000 unique visitors to the campaignwebsite between September 2008 and May 2009and almost 400,000 calls to the ACT ON CO2advice line run by the Energy Saving Trust, fromSeptember 2008 to February 2009 – this is doublethe number of calls over the same period in2007/2008.
The ACT ON CO2 campaign won two GreenAwards in 2008 in best audio visual and bestintegrated campaign, adding to the two it wonin 2007.
8.2.2 The Climate Change Initiative
The success of the ACT ON CO2 campaign builton the achievements of the Climate ChangeCommunications Initiative (CCCI) which waslaunched in 2005 to raise awareness of the issueand inspire collective action.
Defra developed an environmental segmentationmodel, predominantly used for advising policy andcommunications development. It is based onpeople’s responses to a broad range of attitudinalquestions which were included in Defra’s 2007Attitudes and Behaviours Towards theEnvironment Survey. The model divides the publicinto seven clusters each sharing a distinct set ofattitudes and beliefs towards the environment,environmental issues and behaviours. There hasbeen a recent increase in the number of researchprojects and government bodies using the model.In addition, a web based tool, designed for use bya range of stakeholders to inform the public ofwhich segment they best fit into and how theycan make environmental changes, is currently indevelopment.
The work of the Initiative included the initialdevelopment of the web-based ACT ON CO2calculator, two short filler films, a DVD/bookletpack Climate Change: Your guide to inspiringaction, which gives guidance to those wishing toencourage individuals to take action to tackleclimate change (and is still available), and 83 localand community-level communications projects ledby local government and the third sector.
Over 6,000 hard copies of our first booklet AGuide to Communicating Climate Change weredistributed – including to a large number ofcommunity and local organisations. The currentversion of the booklet, Climate Change: A Guideto Inspiring Action, was launched on 5 June 2007and over 2000 copies have been distributed tobusinesses, schools, councils, public bodies, NGOsand individuals.
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The Climate Challenge Fund sponsored 83 wide-ranging projects with grants totalling £8.5 millionover two years. These projects generated over700,000 promotional items, 140,000 visits towebsites and direct contact with over 60,000people at exhibitions, with overall directengagement on almost 450,000 occasions. Therewere also over 24 million opportunities tocommunicate climate change through posters andbillboard advertising.
8.2.3 The Big Energy Shift
Between January and March 2009, a series of ninecitizen forums took place in England, Wales andNorthern Ireland to seek people’s views onGovernment’s plans for a big shift in the waypeople’s houses and communities are insulated,heated and powered. The project wascommissioned and supported by the Departmentof Energy and Climate Change (DECC), theNorthern Ireland Executive and Welsh AssemblyGovernment.
8.2.4 Climate Change Champions in England
Defra funded a three-year youth engagementinitiative on climate change, the Climate ChangeChampions (CCC), from 2006-2009. This projectformed part of the wider ACT ON CO2 campaign.The CCC project recruited eighteen young peopleacross England, aged between 11 and 18, who,following a competition, spent a year ‘in office’ asregional ambassadors. In the second year of theproject, Champions were each awarded £1,000 byDefra to either organize their own event or projecton climate change or put this towards an existingclimate change community project. The projecthas been successful with six of the nineChampions in the second year of the project usingtheir £1,000 to instigate lasting change. OneChampion secured £10,000 from the privatesector for her primary school to install anautomated energy efficiency system. Another usedhis £1,000 to transform a derelict space at hisschool into a ‘climate change awareness garden’,which included an automated weather stationthat the school could use as part of their futuregeography lessons.
As a new department DECC is looking at new,more interactive ways of engaging with the publicon climate change. In 2009/2010, the campaignwill build on the successes to date by buildingliteracy around the reality of climate change andscientific consensus around the causes, andencouraging behavioural change.
8.2.5 Climate change communication andengagement in Wales
The Welsh Assembly Government has beenrunning a major climate change campaign sinceSeptember 2008, which informs people acrossWales about the daily actions which contribute toclimate change, encourages people to measuretheir carbon footprint by using the carboncalculator for Wales and provides information onhow to reduce it. The campaign uses a number ofmedia, including television, radio, the internet,and street advertising (both stationary and onbuses). This first stage of the campaign is currentlybeing evaluated, and the lessons learnt from thiswill be used to plan the next stage of thecampaign.
The Climate Change Commission Sub Group onCommunications helped to inform thedevelopment of this campaign and to ensure thatwe maximise the links with other organisationswho are communicating on this subject.
The Assembly Government is also looking at howwe can develop a workplace-based component tothe campaign and are interested in working withthe Trade Unions and businesses on this.
The Assembly Government is working to supportcommunity action on climate change. Activitieshave included:
� Holding a series of community events to find outmore about what communities are doing and howwe can support them better as well as providingan opportunity for learning, sharing experiencesand networking
� Completing a scoping report on the actionunderway in communities and how this can besupported by the Assembly Government
� Producing a Community Action Pack andassociated DVD showcasing good practice whichprovides information on how communities andother groups can take action to tackle climatechange
The Assembly Government has produced anumber of other resources including ahouseholder guide which provides details ofsimple projects which people can undertake toimprove the carbon performance of their homes.The document is being distributed via localplanning offices for people seeking advice onhome improvements and planning, and throughbranches of B&Q and independent retailers of DIYproducts.
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The Welsh Climate Change Champions 2008concluded their successful first year with therelease of a single, “Carbon Soldier”. The ClimateChange Champions 2009 were selected through anational competition, and were announced inJanuary 2009.
The incoming Champions undertook a fact-findingexpedition to Flanders, where they developed theirknowledge of the climate change agenda anddiscussed issues with EU politicians and officials,as well as their Flemish youth counterparts. Theyare now actively promoting action on climatechange in communities across Wales.
The Assembly Government supports the WalesYouth Forum for Sustainable Development, whichenables young people to design and lead eventson sustainability and climate change. Amongstother events, the group is planning a secondCarbon Cycle following last year’s successful cycletrip from Machynlleth to Cardiff which raisedawareness and support for sustainable transport.
The Assembly Government is planning a majorconference for young people on climate change inJuly 2009.
8.2.6 The Carbon Trust Campaign
The Carbon Trust is an independent company setup by government in response to the threat ofclimate change, to accelerate the move to a lowcarbon economy by working with organisations toreduce carbon emissions and develop commerciallow carbon technologies. In February 2009 theCarbon Trust launched a new multi-mediaintegrated campaign to mobilise UK business andhelp them in the recession by saving at least £1million a day through cost-effective action onclimate change.
The campaign was backed by business groups,leading companies, and BBC Dragons’ Denentrepreneur Theo Paphitis, who urged businessto immediately prioritise saving energy in order tocut carbon and cut costs.
The ‘One Million A Day’ campaign urgedbusinesses of all sizes to join up and prioritiseactions to kick-start immediate energy savings,reduce carbon emissions and make significantdirect costs savings. SMEs were also encouraged totake advantage of a £35 million Carbon Trust fundto upgrade or replace existing equipment to moreenergy efficient versions using unsecured, interest-free loans ranging from £5,000 up to £200,000.
As part of the campaign small and medium sizedbusinesses are also being encouraged to getinvolved and use its new online carbon savingadvice, with practical action guides, web tools andvideos and a range of sector-specific guidesincluding offices; retail and distribution;hospitality; engineering and mining and quarrying.
The campaign’s target is to help save the UKeconomy £1 billion over the next three yearsand reduce the UK’s carbon emissions by at least17 million tonnes of CO2 – the equivalent toannual emissions from heating nearly 5.5 millionaverage UK homes. Although it is too early tomeasure the key performance goals, there hasbeen a significant increase in contacts to theCarbon Trust for advice and information.
8.2.7 The Energy Saving Trust
The Energy Saving Trust (EST) is grant-funded byDECC, the Department for Transport and theDevolved Administrations, as well as by the EUand the private sector. A key part of the ESTprogramme for 2008/09 is the ACT ON CO2advice line and nationwide network of regionaladvice centres which provides the consumer withcomprehensive and tailored advice on how toreduce their carbon footprint. The ‘one-stop-shop’offers consumers a range of free and impartialadvice on energy efficiency, microgeneration andrenewable energy, low carbon transport, waterefficiency and waste reduction and a range ofindependent services that will help them actionthat advice.
In a similar approach in Scotland, the ScottishGovernment funds the EST to manage thenetwork of Energy Saving Scotland advice centreswhich will deliver the new Scottish Governmentfuel poverty programmes through the new EnergyAssistance Package.
The Welsh Assembly Government providedfunding to the EST to bring forward the rollout ofits enhanced energy advice service in Wales.
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Annexes
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8.43
11.8
811
,385
.55
73.6
51,
401.
600.
080.
042,
747.
583,
731.
512,
602.
538,
551.
84
1.Energy
1A1.EnergyIndustries
237,170
9.71
6.54
849.48
2,886.29
8.07
133.53
1A2.ManufacturingIndustriesandConstruction
99,046
15.40
5.24
393.79
417.47
27.92
724.92
1A3.Transport
117,187
33.40
4.70
1,206.64
94.45
917.78
5,866.18
1A4.OtherSectors
109,416
73.23
3.08
212.84
233.38
104.18
1,176.19
1A5.Other
5,285
0.15
0.16
42.18
9.33
2.89
13.37
1B1.SolidFuels
856
870.94
0.01
0.58
20.68
0.34
38.35
1B2.OilandNaturalGas
5,760
490.67
0.14
13.34
7.78
555.72
21.49
1.En
erg
yTo
tal
574,
720
1,49
3.49
19.8
62,
718.
863,
669.
391,
616.
907,
974.
03
2.IndustrialProcesses
2A.MineralProducts
10,119
1.12
0.00
4.27
13.08
5.31
2B.ChemicalIndustry
2,885
8.07
79.49
0.00
8.49
41.60
165.80
82.12
2C.MetalProduction
2,309
0.78
0.04
–0.00
1,332.75
–0.02
4.85
8.94
2.05
194.03
2D.OtherProduction
0.00
77.67
2E.ProductionofHalocarbonsandSF6
–11,373.73
0.00
10.90
2F.ConsumptionofHalocarbonsandSF6
11.88
11.82
73.65
57.95
0.08
0.03
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l15
,313
9.97
79.5
211
.88
11,3
85.5
573
.65
1,40
1.60
0.08
0.04
13.3
354
.80
258.
6028
1.46
3.SolventandOtherProductUse
3.SolventandotherProductUse
670.64
3.So
lven
tan
dO
ther
Pro
du
ctU
seTo
tal
670.
64
4.Agriculture
4A.EntericFermentation
875.66
4B.ManureManagement
170.89
7.16
4D.AgriculturalSoils
98.11
4F.FieldBurningofAgriculturalResidues
12.67
0.25
9.07
26.06
266.04
4.A
gri
cult
ure
Tota
l1,
059.
2210
5.53
9.07
26.0
626
6.04
5.Land
Use,Land-UseChangeandForestry
5A.ForestLand
(12,155)
0.20
0.02
0.05
1.79
5B.Cropland
15,822
–
5C.Grassland
(6,130)
0.15
0.00
0.04
1.28
5D.Wetlands
5E.Settlements
7,074
0.45
0.00
0.11
3.90
5F.OtherLand
5G.Other
(1,657)
5.La
nd
Use
,La
nd
-Use
Ch
ang
ean
dFo
rest
ryTo
tal
2,95
40.
800.
030.
206.
97
6.Waste
6A.SolidWasteDisposalonLand
2,372.22
23.72
6B.Waste-waterHandling
33.79
3.33
6C.WasteIncineration
1,207
6.40
0.15
6.12
7.32
6.61
23.34
6.W
aste
Tota
l1,
207
2,41
2.41
3.49
6.12
7.32
30.3
323
.34
Aviation_Bunkers
15,706
0.31
0.50
75.34
3.00
5.40
13.18
Marine_Bunkers
6,765
0.11
0.17
153.71
89.17
7.44
15.73
InternationalBunkersTotal
22,471
0.42
0.67
229.05
92.17
12.84
28.91
Inve
nto
ryTa
ble
s
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 134
ANNEX A Inventory Tables 135
Sum
mar
yTa
ble
for
Nat
ion
alG
reen
ho
use
Gas
Inve
nto
ries
–20
07 Net
CO
2H
FCPF
CSF
6
emis
sio
ns/
rem
ova
lsC
H4
N2O
PA
PA
PA
NO
XSO
2V
OC
CO
Gre
enh
ou
seG
asSo
urc
ean
dSi
nk
Cat
ego
ries
Gg
CO
2eq
uiv
alen
t(G
g)
Gg
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls54
4,61
02,
331.
9111
0.62
64,9
36.3
99,
611.
1914
8.36
215.
600.
030.
031,
487.
6359
6.09
940.
382,
104.
82
1.Energy
1A1.EnergyIndustries
210,586
11.54
5.02
441.58
372.99
5.51
103.52
1A2.ManufacturingIndustriesandConstruction
79,335
12.89
4.30
249.45
93.23
24.84
520.08
1A3.Transport
131,763
7.29
5.27
603.83
54.01
98.72
847.01
1A4.OtherSectors
101,104
25.67
1.94
162.39
29.87
61.60
389.14
1A5.Other
3,489
0.10
0.11
23.45
5.09
1.74
8.88
1B1.SolidFuels
138
126.20
0.00
0.25
9.82
0.13
10.00
1B2.OilandNaturalGas
5,092
259.27
0.13
2.17
0.37
208.05
11.25
1.En
erg
yTo
tal
531,
506
442.
9616
.76
1,48
3.12
565.
3840
0.59
1,88
9.88
2.IndustrialProcesses
2A.MineralProducts
8,668
0.88
–0.00
15.86
10.01
3.45
2B.ChemicalIndustry
3,070
3.63
8.88
–0.00
1.11
5.80
32.78
29.18
2C.MetalProduction
2,658
0.87
0.03
–2.34
0.00
81.67
0.01
1.41
8.14
1.70
146.27
2D.OtherProduction
–0.00
79.16
2E.ProductionofHalocarbonsandSF6
–175.60
0.00
54.56
2F.ConsumptionofHalocarbonsandSF6
64,936.39
9,433.25
148.36
79.36
0.03
0.03
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l14
,396
5.38
8.91
64,9
36.3
99,
611.
1914
8.36
215.
600.
030.
032.
5229
.80
123.
6517
8.90
3.SolventandOtherProductUse
3.SolventandotherProductUse
–399.87
3.So
lven
tan
dO
ther
Pro
du
ctU
seTo
tal
–39
9.87
4.Agriculture
4A.EntericFermentation
740.99
4B.ManureManagement
136.78
5.63
4D.AgriculturalSoils
75.10
4F.FieldBurningofAgriculturalResidues
––
––
–
4.A
gri
cult
ure
Tota
l87
7.77
80.7
3–
––
5.Land
Use,Land-UseChangeandForestry
5A.ForestLand
(14,173)
0.73
0.01
0.18
6.37
5B.Cropland
15,288
–
5C.Grassland
(7,967)
0.43
0.00
0.11
3.78
5D.Wetlands
–
5E.Settlements
6,330
0.31
0.00
0.08
2.69
5F.OtherLand
–
5G.Other
(1,234)
5.La
nd
Use
,La
nd
-Use
Ch
ang
ean
dFo
rest
ryTo
tal
(1,7
56)
1.47
0.01
0.36
12.8
4
6.Waste
6A.SolidWasteDisposalonLand
–965.30
9.65
6B.Waste-waterHandling
–38.73
4.05
6C.WasteIncineration
465
0.31
0.16
1.63
0.91
6.61
23.20
6.W
aste
Tota
l46
51,
004.
334.
211.
630.
9116
.27
23.2
0
Aviation_Bunkers
34,970
0.09
1.11
156.22
9.66
6.32
18.90
Marine_Bunkers
7,150
0.11
0.18
160.90
95.07
7.79
16.47
InternationalBunkersTotal
42,120
0.20
1.29
317.12
104.73
14.11
35.36
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 135
Inventory Tables ANNEX A136
Gre
enh
ou
seG
asSo
urc
ean
dSi
nk
Cat
ego
ries
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Gg
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls59
4,19
3.84
601,
507.
2458
4,32
8.24
569,
404.
9956
3,35
9.50
554,
593.
2757
6,80
3.37
553,
123.
9155
5,23
7.32
544,
638.
0255
2,76
6.28
564,
271.
9854
6,68
8.21
558,
035.
7255
7,82
8.74
555,
075.
3755
3,05
5.49
544,
610.
09
1.Energy
1A1.EnergyIndustries
237,170.24
237,304.97
226,173.10
208,301.29
205,584.42
203,232.49
205,348.80
192,119.39
196,826.91
187,038.19
197,567.53
207,896.58
205,270.50
212,782.68
211,015.75
211,060.77
214,761.56
210,585.66
1A2.ManufacturingIndustries
andConstruction
99,045.52
99,016.94
95,985.91
95,180.71
95,657.97
92,301.96
93,437.69
93,437.93
91,721.13
92,329.96
92,144.39
91,880.95
83,589.13
84,638.29
83,090.08
82,974.46
81,670.13
79,334.91
1A3.Transport
117,187.24
116,607.31
117,858.15
119,048.27
119,198.18
118,178.93
122,971.34
124,400.81
123,678.11
124,440.92
123,681.45
123,349.56
125,368.53
126,774.27
128,230.99
129,523.45
131,185.44
131,763.44
1A4.OtherSectors
109,415.95
120,789.12
117,734.77
121,182.53
116,263.59
112,045.21
125,310.54
116,003.53
117,284.39
116,709.03
116,352.62
119,249.58
111,824.87
112,971.03
114,950.94
110,462.86
105,667.68
101,103.69
1A5.Other
5,284.82
4,292.42
4,086.79
4,140.93
3,959.80
3,886.18
3,804.99
3,630.71
3,194.00
3,149.63
2,916.31
2,921.90
3,056.63
2,815.12
2,903.23
2,788.38
2,746.81
3,488.61
1B1.SolidFuels
856.42
519.42
450.00
344.83
163.25
225.84
366.77
459.63
158.41
112.08
102.36
101.68
107.95
111.87
168.08
111.98
138.77
137.96
1B2.OilandNaturalGas
5,760.18
5,696.02
6,120.04
6,543.24
6,943.14
8,413.09
8,896.60
6,974.65
6,904.51
5,908.71
5,615.99
5,812.86
5,532.52
5,250.61
5,099.64
5,747.65
4,883.23
5,091.68
1.En
erg
yTo
tal
574,
720.
3658
4,22
6.19
568,
408.
7555
4,74
1.80
547,
770.
3653
8,28
3.68
560,
136.
7253
7,02
6.65
539,
767.
4752
9,68
8.52
538,
380.
6555
1,21
3.10
534,
750.
1454
5,34
3.88
545,
458.
7154
2,66
9.53
541,
053.
6253
1,50
5.95
2.IndustrialProcesses
2A.MineralProducts
10,119.29
8,611.32
8,023.20
8,053.44
9,029.83
9,155.67
9,443.12
10,289.48
10,248.30
9,709.73
9,208.41
8,361.93
8,185.79
8,369.08
8,497.53
8,362.34
8,467.25
8,667.77
2B.ChemicalIndustry
2,884.58
2,920.52
2,978.08
3,021.49
3,059.19
3,065.28
3,073.51
2,612.38
2,812.40
2,846.55
3,028.83
3,117.14
3,029.91
2,970.13
3,076.03
2,975.66
2,719.78
3,069.92
2C.MetalProduction
2,309.27
1,683.72
1,450.46
1,364.97
1,639.35
1,938.24
2,225.45
1,961.90
1,786.87
2,090.98
1,982.75
1,515.02
1,171.60
1,847.60
2,051.92
2,456.57
2,125.95
2,657.97
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l15
,313
.15
13,2
15.5
512
,451
.74
12,4
39.9
013
,728
.38
14,1
59.1
814
,742
.07
14,8
63.7
614
,847
.57
14,6
47.2
714
,219
.98
12,9
94.1
012
,387
.30
13,1
86.8
213
,625
.48
13,7
94.5
713
,312
.98
14,3
95.6
6
3.SolventandOtherProductUse
3.SolventandotherProductUse
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
3.So
lven
tan
dO
ther
Pro
du
ctU
seTo
tal
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
5.Land
Use,Land-UseChangeandForestry
5A.ForestLand
(12,155.07)
(12,635.55)
(13,320.03)
(13,678.57)
(14,164.06)
(13,727.88)
(13,604.66)
(13,360.12)
(13,321.59)
(13,489.27)
(13,755.67)
(14,280.31)
(14,986.41)
(15,595.04)
(16,238.04)
(15,721.42)
(15,090.61)
(14,173.38)
5B.Cropland
15,822.10
15,978.23
15,983.46
15,566.14
15,618.32
15,749.94
15,787.97
15,529.82
15,417.91
15,320.53
15,339.05
15,286.51
15,312.53
15,384.30
15,315.52
15,233.03
15,279.27
15,288.35
5C.Grassland
(6,130.33)
(6,074.88)
(6,177.50)
(6,609.50)
(6,547.73)
(6,460.78)
(6,704.72)
(6,821.67)
(7,219.86)
(7,124.11)
(7,221.49)
(7,175.78)
(7,511.89)
(7,320.87)
(7,640.07)
(7,689.08)
(7,789.54)
(7,967.05)
5D.Wetlands
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
5E.Settlements
7,074.34
6,989.43
6,907.44
6,848.20
6,803.12
6,722.26
6,707.07
6,709.90
6,669.02
6,604.51
6,566.55
6,543.21
6,474.94
6,459.58
6,422.96
6,384.15
6,328.71
6,329.81
5F.OtherLand
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
5G.Other
(1,657.21)
(1,392.17)
(1,084.86)
(978.86)
(770.42)
(1,020.59)
(1,163.57)
(1,341.10)
(1,444.54)
(1,489.78)
(1,249.58)
(817.55)
(246.24)
88.81
394.78
(81.95)
(485.48)
(1,233.93)
5.La
nd
Use
,La
nd
-Use
Ch
ang
ean
dFo
rest
ryTo
tal
2,95
3.81
2,86
5.05
2,30
8.50
1,14
7.42
939.
231,
262.
951,
022.
0871
6.83
100.
95(1
78.1
2)(3
21.1
4)(4
43.9
2)(9
57.0
7)(9
83.2
2)(1
,744
.85)
(1,8
75.2
9)(1
,757
.65)
(1,7
56.1
9)
6.Waste
6C.WasteIncineration
1,206.51
1,200.45
1,159.24
1,075.87
921.54
887.46
902.50
516.67
521.34
480.35
486.79
508.70
507.84
488.25
489.40
486.55
446.54
464.67
6.W
aste
Tota
l1,
206.
511,
200.
451,
159.
241,
075.
8792
1.54
887.
4690
2.50
516.
6752
1.34
480.
3548
6.79
508.
7050
7.84
488.
2548
9.40
486.
5544
6.54
464.
67
Emis
sio
nTr
end
s–
Car
bo
nD
ioxi
de
ktC
O2
Gre
enh
ou
seG
asSo
urc
ean
dSi
nk
Cat
ego
ries
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Gg
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls4,
975.
894,
939.
274,
866.
784,
720.
394,
387.
634,
341.
054,
226.
073,
997.
193,
788.
523,
539.
193,
325.
653,
040.
412,
897.
362,
612.
362,
526.
102,
435.
622,
403.
312,
331.
91
1.Energy
1A1.EnergyIndustries
9.71
9.73
9.76
9.96
11.37
11.40
12.21
12.30
13.52
13.27
12.55
13.38
13.74
13.05
13.58
13.06
11.27
11.54
1A2.ManufacturingIndustries
andConstruction
15.40
15.18
14.48
14.51
15.24
15.51
16.01
16.62
16.08
15.72
15.15
14.00
12.81
13.65
13.30
13.03
13.22
12.89
1A3.Transport
33.40
32.71
31.28
29.51
27.63
25.56
24.10
22.05
20.14
18.28
16.24
14.27
12.57
11.09
9.82
8.77
7.99
7.29
1A4.OtherSectors
73.23
76.60
70.64
69.86
55.79
42.92
46.00
42.29
43.83
46.66
36.42
33.26
27.96
26.36
25.61
23.63
24.17
25.67
1A5.Other
0.15
0.12
0.11
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.10
1B1.SolidFuels
870.94
895.22
887.17
825.64
547.72
599.65
556.22
532.68
454.48
380.84
333.43
301.86
301.96
259.87
234.90
194.71
180.42
126.20
1B2.OilandNaturalGas
490.67
480.59
476.14
462.19
458.16
462.19
449.05
423.96
414.65
395.65
378.53
380.93
369.55
274.70
286.06
274.35
258.45
259.27
1.En
erg
yTo
tal
1,49
3.49
1,51
0.14
1,48
9.58
1,41
1.79
1,11
6.03
1,15
7.34
1,10
3.70
1,05
0.00
962.
8087
0.50
792.
3975
7.77
738.
6859
8.81
583.
3552
7.63
495.
6044
2.96
2.IndustrialProcesses
2A.MineralProducts
1.12
0.91
0.82
0.69
0.77
0.77
0.72
0.71
0.71
0.59
0.59
0.58
0.59
0.62
0.61
0.51
0.83
0.88
2B.ChemicalIndustry
8.07
8.03
8.64
7.59
8.95
6.84
8.00
6.62
4.80
4.03
3.78
3.46
3.47
4.35
4.09
3.52
3.21
3.63
2C.MetalProduction
0.78
0.53
0.46
0.44
0.56
0.70
0.79
0.69
0.63
0.73
0.68
0.42
0.29
0.59
0.66
0.84
0.66
0.87
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l9.
979.
489.
928.
7110
.28
8.31
9.51
8.02
6.14
5.35
5.04
4.46
4.35
5.56
5.36
4.88
4.70
5.38
4.Agriculture
4A.EntericFermentation
875.66
862.45
868.64
867.46
872.00
862.48
869.88
858.35
856.18
855.73
827.67
777.13
769.75
773.19
775.07
757.17
755.15
740.99
4B.ManureManagement
170.89
169.66
169.68
170.94
172.09
168.25
168.91
170.52
170.89
165.51
157.22
149.60
147.36
144.52
144.45
139.45
140.41
136.78
4F.FieldBurningofAgricultural
Residues
12.67
10.85
7.87
0.17
––
––
––
––
––
––
––
4.A
gri
cult
ure
Tota
l1,
059.
221,
042.
961,
046.
191,
038.
561,
044.
101,
030.
731,
038.
791,
028.
871,
027.
071,
021.
2498
4.89
926.
7391
7.11
917.
7191
9.52
896.
6289
5.56
877.
77
5.Land
Use,Land-UseChangeandForestry
5A.ForestLand
0.20
0.35
0.09
0.15
0.12
0.96
0.50
0.65
0.36
0.06
0.20
0.28
0.23
0.20
0.26
0.06
0.64
0.73
5C.Grassland
0.15
0.16
0.17
0.13
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.15
0.16
0.39
0.59
0.77
0.67
0.63
0.57
0.57
0.51
0.43
5E.Settlements
0.45
0.40
0.36
0.34
0.35
0.29
0.34
0.39
0.39
0.38
0.40
0.42
0.36
0.38
0.36
0.34
0.29
0.31
5.La
nd
Use
,La
nd
-Use
Ch
ang
ean
dFo
rest
ryTo
tal
0.80
0.90
0.62
0.63
0.61
1.41
1.02
1.20
0.91
0.83
1.19
1.47
1.27
1.21
1.18
0.96
1.44
1.47
6.Waste
6A.SolidWasteDisposalonLand
2,372.22
2,337.78
2,279.20
2,220.43
2,176.26
2,104.71
2,033.22
1,872.15
1,753.66
1,604.45
1,504.43
1,312.08
1,197.85
1,050.74
978.14
966.75
967.10
965.30
6B.Waste-waterHandling
33.79
31.67
35.17
34.87
36.38
34.75
35.69
36.63
37.58
36.44
37.31
37.56
37.78
38.01
38.23
38.46
38.59
38.73
6C.WasteIncineration
6.40
6.35
6.09
5.41
3.98
3.81
4.15
0.33
0.37
0.38
0.39
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.32
0.31
0.31
0.31
6.W
aste
Tota
l2,
412.
412,
375.
802,
320.
472,
260.
702,
216.
622,
143.
272,
073.
061,
909.
111,
791.
601,
641.
281,
542.
141,
349.
971,
235.
961,
089.
071,
016.
691,
005.
521,
006.
001,
004.
33
Emis
sio
nTr
end
s–
Met
han
ekt
CH
4
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 136
ANNEX A Inventory Tables 137
Gre
enh
ou
seG
ases
Sou
rces
and
Sin
ks19
9019
9119
9219
9319
9419
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
0620
07G
g
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls20
8.43
208.
2818
7.29
172.
6517
7.01
173.
3817
1.22
174.
7217
2.84
138.
4613
5.29
127.
5312
1.81
119.
8912
1.56
117.
6311
2.84
110.
62
1.Energy
1A1.EnergyIndustries
6.54
6.55
6.27
5.52
5.48
5.37
5.18
4.71
4.96
4.49
4.95
5.21
5.25
5.30
5.12
5.25
5.45
5.02
1A2.ManufacturingIndustries
andConstruction
5.24
5.11
5.14
4.93
4.96
4.82
4.70
4.57
4.45
4.44
4.35
4.39
4.28
4.26
4.30
4.28
4.33
4.30
1A3.Transport
4.70
4.71
4.86
5.55
6.79
8.48
6.30
6.39
6.50
6.51
6.46
6.21
6.03
5.84
5.71
5.53
5.44
5.27
1A4.OtherSectors
3.08
3.17
3.04
3.10
2.94
2.72
2.79
2.74
2.64
2.61
2.46
2.42
2.31
2.25
2.19
2.08
2.00
1.94
1A5.Other
0.16
0.13
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.10
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.11
1B1.SolidFuels
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
1B2.OilandNaturalGas
0.14
0.14
0.15
0.16
0.16
0.20
0.20
0.18
0.18
0.17
0.15
0.15
0.14
0.12
0.13
0.15
0.12
0.13
1.En
erg
yTo
tal
19.8
619
.81
19.5
819
.38
20.4
521
.71
19.2
818
.70
18.8
318
.32
18.4
418
.48
18.1
017
.86
17.5
317
.38
17.4
216
.76
2.IndustrialProcesses
2B.ChemicalIndustry
79.49
79.99
65.04
52.42
53.02
47.95
47.65
48.26
49.16
17.28
17.87
15.52
8.60
9.08
11.51
9.02
7.62
8.88
2C.MetalProduction
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.03
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l79
.52
80.0
265
.07
52.4
453
.05
47.9
947
.69
48.2
949
.19
17.3
117
.90
15.5
48.
619.
1011
.53
9.05
7.65
8.91
4.Agriculture
4B.ManureManagement
7.16
7.16
6.67
6.73
6.84
6.70
6.68
6.75
6.93
7.16
6.60
6.45
6.21
6.07
5.95
5.79
5.76
5.63
4D.AgriculturalSoils
98.11
97.60
92.30
90.61
92.93
93.47
93.94
97.02
93.89
91.80
88.36
82.95
84.81
82.77
82.45
81.32
77.81
75.10
4F.FieldBurningofAgricultural
Residues
0.25
0.21
0.16
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.A
gri
cult
ure
Tota
l10
5.53
104.
9799
.13
97.3
499
.77
100.
1710
0.62
103.
7610
0.82
98.9
794
.96
89.4
091
.02
88.8
488
.40
87.1
183
.57
80.7
3
5.Land
Use,Land-UseChangeandForestry
5A.ForestLand
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
5B.Cropland
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5C.Grassland
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5E.Settlements
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.La
nd
Use
,La
nd
-Use
Ch
ang
ean
dFo
rest
ryTo
tal
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
6.Waste
6B.Waste-waterHandling
3.33
3.30
3.34
3.32
3.60
3.37
3.48
3.87
3.82
3.70
3.81
3.93
3.90
3.92
3.92
3.92
4.02
4.05
6C.WasteIncineration
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.12
0.12
0.13
0.07
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
6.W
aste
Tota
l3.
493.
453.
483.
463.
723.
493.
613.
943.
983.
853.
974.
084.
064.
084.
084.
084.
184.
21
Emis
sio
nTr
end
s–
Nit
rou
sO
xid
ekt
N2O
Gre
enh
ou
seG
ases
Sou
rces
and
Sin
ks19
9019
9119
9219
9319
9419
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
0620
07
Gg
CO
2eq
uiv
alen
t
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls11
386
1185
412
323
1301
314
057
1558
816
957
1956
117
604
1108
699
8810
726
1105
411
397
9989
1017
699
8096
11
2.IndustrialProcesses
2C.MetalProduction
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
12
22
2E.ProductionofHalocarbons
andSF6
11374
11842
12310
12780
13265
13981
14321
15622
12117
4882
2620
2387
2034
1981
445
442
387
176
2F.ConsumptionofHalocarbons
andSF6
1212
13233
792
1607
2636
3939
5487
6205
7368
8338
9019
9415
9544
9731
9591
9433
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l11
386
1185
412
323
1301
314
057
1558
816
957
1956
117
604
1108
699
8810
726
1105
411
397
9989
1017
699
8096
11
Emis
sio
nTr
end
s–
HFC
sin
4NC
,al
lF-
gas
emis
sio
ntr
end
sw
ere
pre
sen
ted
asG
gC
O2
equ
ival
ents
Gre
enh
ou
seG
ases
Sou
rces
and
Sin
ks19
9019
9119
9219
9319
9419
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
0620
07
Gg
CO
2eq
uiv
alen
t
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls14
0211
7157
449
149
147
149
341
741
239
649
842
031
527
133
725
630
121
6
2.IndustrialProcesses
2C.MetalProduction
1333
1096
490
381
345
286
282
220
208
188
257
218
150
111
153
60128
82
2E.ProductionofHalocarbons
andSF6
1111
1127
4971
7738
4219
2354
5756
90110
9055
2F.ConsumptionofHalocarbons
andSF6
5864
7282
97114
134
158
161
189
218
148
107
105
9486
8379
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l14
0211
7157
449
149
147
149
341
741
239
649
842
031
527
133
725
630
121
6
Emis
sio
nTr
end
s–
PFC
sin
4NC
,al
lF-
gas
emis
sio
ntr
end
sw
ere
pre
sen
ted
asG
gC
O2
equ
ival
ents
Gre
enh
ou
seG
ases
Sou
rces
and
Sin
ks19
9019
9119
9219
9319
9419
9519
9619
9719
9819
9920
0020
0120
0220
0320
0420
0520
0620
07
Gg
CO
2eq
uiv
alen
t
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls10
3010
7811
2411
6711
8312
3912
6712
2612
6314
2617
9814
2515
0913
2411
2911
1087
579
4
2.IndustrialProcesses
2C.MetalProduction
426
426
426
426
426
426
426
428
471
687
1093
756
847
672
388
254
180
148
2F.ConsumptionofHalocarbons
andSF6
604
652
698
741
757
813
841
797
791
739
705
669
662
652
740
856
695
645
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
Tota
l10
3010
7811
2411
6711
8312
3912
6712
2612
6314
2617
9814
2515
0913
2411
2911
1087
579
4
Emis
sio
nTr
end
s–
SF6
in4N
C,
all
F-g
asem
issi
on
tren
ds
wer
ep
rese
nte
das
Gg
CO
2eq
uiv
alen
ts
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 137
Inventory Tables ANNEX A138
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Gre
enh
ou
seG
asM
tC
O2
eq
Car
bo
n594.19
601.51
584.33
569.40
563.36
554.59
576.80
553.12
555.24
544.64
552.77
564.27
546.69
558.04
557.83
555.08
553.06
544.61
CH
4104.49
103.72
102.20
99.13
92.14
91.16
88.75
83.94
79.56
74.32
69.84
63.85
60.84
54.86
53.05
51.15
50.47
48.97
N2O
64.61
64.57
58.06
53.52
54.87
53.75
53.08
54.16
53.58
42.92
41.94
39.53
37.76
37.17
37.68
36.46
34.98
34.29
HFC
11.39
11.85
12.32
13.01
14.06
15.59
16.96
19.56
17.60
11.09
9.99
10.73
11.05
11.40
9.99
10.18
9.98
9.61
PFC
1.40
1.17
0.57
0.49
0.49
0.47
0.49
0.42
0.41
0.40
0.50
0.42
0.31
0.27
0.34
0.26
0.30
0.22
SF6
1.03
1.08
1.12
1.17
1.18
1.24
1.27
1.23
1.26
1.43
1.80
1.43
1.51
1.32
1.13
1.11
0.87
0.79
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls77
7.12
783.
9075
8.61
736.
7272
6.10
716.
8073
7.35
712.
4370
7.65
674.
7967
6.83
680.
2365
8.17
663.
0566
0.01
654.
2364
9.66
638.
49
Sum
mar
yb
yG
asM
tC
O2
equ
ival
ent
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Cat
ego
ries
Mt
CO
2eq
1.En
erg
y612.24
622.08
605.76
590.40
577.55
569.32
589.29
564.87
565.82
553.65
560.74
572.86
555.87
563.46
563.14
559.14
556.86
546.00
2.In
du
stri
alPr
oce
sses
53.99
52.32
46.85
43.55
46.12
46.51
48.44
51.21
49.50
33.03
32.16
30.48
28.03
29.12
28.77
28.24
26.94
27.89
3.So
lven
tan
dO
ther
Prod
uct
Use
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.A
gri
cult
ure
54.96
54.44
52.70
51.99
52.86
52.70
53.01
53.77
52.82
52.13
50.12
47.18
47.48
46.81
46.71
45.83
44.71
43.46
5.La
nd
Use
,La
nd
-Use
Ch
ang
ean
dFo
rest
ry2.98
2.89
2.33
1.17
0.96
1.30
1.05
0.75
0.13
-0.16
-0.29
-0.41
-0.93
-0.95
-1.72
-1.85
-1.72
-1.72
6.W
aste
52.95
52.16
50.97
49.62
48.62
46.98
45.56
41.83
39.38
36.14
34.10
30.12
27.72
24.62
23.10
22.87
22.87
22.86
Tota
lN
atio
nal
Emis
sio
ns
and
Rem
ova
ls77
7.12
783.
9075
8.61
736.
7272
6.10
716.
8073
7.35
712.
4370
7.65
674.
7967
6.83
680.
2365
8.17
663.
0566
0.01
654.
2364
9.66
638.
49
Sum
mar
yb
ySo
urc
eM
tC
O2
equ
ival
ent
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 138
ANNEX A Inventory Tables 139
CO2 CH4 N2O HFCs PFCs SF6 Total
Greenhouse Gas Source and Sink Categories Mt CO2 equivalent
Total National Emissions and Removals 594.19 104.49 64.61 11.39 1.40 1.03 777.12
1. Energy 1A1. Energy Industries 237.17 0.20 2.03 239.40
1A2. Manufacturing Industries and Construction 99.05 0.32 1.62 100.99
1A3. Transport 117.19 0.70 1.46 119.34
1A4. Other Sectors 109.42 1.54 0.96 111.91
1A5. Other 5.28 0.00 0.05 5.34
1B1. Solid Fuels 0.86 18.29 0.00 19.15
1B2. Oil and Natural Gas 5.76 10.30 0.04 16.11
1. Energy Total 574.72 31.36 6.16 612.24
2. Industrial Processes 2A. Mineral Products 10.12 0.02 10.14
2B. Chemical Industry 2.88 0.17 24.64 27.70
2C. Metal Production 2.31 0.02 0.01 0.00 1.33 0.43 4.10
2E. Production of Halocarbons and SF6 11.37 0.01 11.38
2F. Consumption of Halocarbons and SF6 0.01 0.06 0.60 0.67
2. Industrial Processes Total 15.31 0.21 24.65 11.39 1.40 1.03 53.99
3. Solvent and OtherProduct Use 3. Solvent and other Product Use 0.00 0.00
3. Solvent and Other Product Use Total 0.00 0.00
4. Agriculture 4A. Enteric Fermentation 18.39 18.39
4B. Manure Management 3.59 2.22 5.81
4D. Agricultural Soils 30.41 30.41
4F. Field Burning of Agricultural Residues 0.27 0.08 0.34
4. Agriculture Total 22.24 32.71 54.96
5. Land Use, Land-UseChange and Forestry 5A. Forest Land -12.16 0.00 0.01 -12.14
5B. Cropland 15.82 0.00 15.82
5C. Grassland -6.13 0.00 0.00 -6.13
5D. Wetlands 0.00 0.00
5E. Settlements 7.07 0.01 0.00 7.08
5F. Other Land 0.00 0.00
5G. Other -1.66 -1.66
5. Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry Total 2.95 0.02 0.01 2.98
6. Waste 6A. Solid Waste Disposal on Land 49.82 49.82
6B. Waste-water Handling 0.71 1.03 1.74
6C. Waste Incineration 1.21 0.13 0.05 1.39
6. Waste Total 1.21 50.66 1.08 52.95
Aviation_Bunkers 15.71 0.01 0.15 15.87
Marine_Bunkers 6.76 0.00 0.05 6.82
International Bunkers Total 22.47 0.01 0.21 22.69
Summary Report for CO2 equivalent – 1990
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 139
Inventory Tables ANNEX A140
CO2 CH4 N2O HFCs PFCs SF6 Total
Greenhouse Gas Source and Sink Categories Mt CO2 equivalent
Total National Emissions and Removals 544.61 48.97 34.29 9.61 0.22 0.79 638.49
1. Energy 1A1. Energy Industries 210.59 0.24 1.56 212.38
1A2. Manufacturing Industries and Construction 79.33 0.27 1.33 80.94
1A3. Transport 131.76 0.15 1.63 133.55
1A4. Other Sectors 101.10 0.54 0.60 102.25
1A5. Other 3.49 0.00 0.03 3.52
1B1. Solid Fuels 0.14 2.65 0.00 2.79
1B2. Oil and Natural Gas 5.09 5.44 0.04 10.58
1. Energy Total 531.51 9.30 5.20 546.00
2. Industrial Processes 2A. Mineral Products 8.67 0.02 8.69
2B. Chemical Industry 3.07 0.08 2.75 5.90
2C. Metal Production 2.66 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.08 0.15 2.92
2E. Production of Halocarbons and SF6 0.18 0.05 0.23
2F. Consumption of Halocarbons and SF6 9.43 0.08 0.65 10.16
2. Industrial Processes Total 14.40 0.11 2.76 9.61 0.22 0.79 27.89
3. Solvent and OtherProduct Use 3. Solvent and other Product Use 0.00 0.00
3. Solvent and Other Product Use Total 0.00 0.00
4. Agriculture 4A. Enteric Fermentation 15.56 15.56
4B. Manure Management 2.87 1.75 4.62
4D. Agricultural Soils 23.28 23.28
4F. Field Burning of Agricultural Residues 0.00 0.00 0.00
4. Agriculture Total 18.43 25.03 43.46
5. Land Use, Land-UseChange and Forestry 5A. Forest Land -14.17 0.02 0.00 -14.16
5B. Cropland 15.29 0.00 15.29
5C. Grassland -7.97 0.01 0.00 -7.96
5D. Wetlands 0.00 0.00
5E. Settlements 6.33 0.01 0.00 6.34
5F. Other Land 0.00 0.00
5G. Other -1.23 -1.23
5. Land Use, Land-Use Change and Forestry Total -1.76 0.03 0.00 -1.72
6. Waste 6A. Solid Waste Disposal on Land 20.27 20.27
6B. Waste-water Handling 0.81 1.26 2.07
6C. Waste Incineration 0.46 0.01 0.05 0.52
6. Waste Total 0.46 21.09 1.30 22.86
Aviation_Bunkers 34.97 0.00 0.34 35.32
Marine_Bunkers 7.15 0.00 0.06 7.21
International Bunkers Total 42.12 0.00 0.40 42.52
Summary Report for CO2 equivalent – 2007
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 140
Annex B141
Nam
eo
fp
olic
yO
bje
ctiv
ean
d/o
rG
HG
Typ
eo
fSt
atu
sIm
ple
men
tin
gC
arb
on
savi
ng
s(G
gC
O2e
q)
or
mea
sure
acti
vity
affe
cted
Inst
rum
ent
enti
tyo
ren
titi
es2010
2015
2020
Wit
hex
isti
ng
mea
sure
san
dw
ith
add
itio
nm
easu
res
Ener
gy
Sup
ply
Renew
able
Electricitygeneration
CO2
Regulatory
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergy
9000
13000
13300
Obligation
andsupply
andClim
ateChange(DECC)
Subsidyfor
Heatproduction
CO2
Fiscal
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergy
264
264
264
biomassheat
andClim
ateChange(DECC)
Bu
sin
ess
UKem
issions
TheUKem
issionstradingschem
eCO2,CH4,
Economic,
Expired
DepartmentofEnergyand
600
300
0tradingschem
ewasavoluntaryschem
ethatbegan
N2O,HFC,
Voluntary/
Clim
ateChange(DECC)
in2002
andclosedtodirect
PFC,SF6
negotiated
participantsin2006.Itcovered
agreem
ent,
indirectandsomedirectem
issionsof
thebasketofsixgreenhousegases.
Clim
atechange
Energyusebyenergyintensive
CO2
Voluntary/
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergy
10600
10600
10600
agreem
ents
sectorsandthoseregulated
negotiated
andClim
ateChange(DECC)
byIPPC
agreem
ent
EUEm
issionsTrading
Industrialenergyuse
CO2
Economic
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergy
Emissionsfrom
00
System
2008-2012
andClim
ateChange(DECC)
installationscovered
bytheEU
ETSare
nowprojected
tobe
significantlylower
overthefive
yearsof
thesecondphasethan
atthetimetheNAP
wassubmittedtothe
EuropeanCommission
forapprovalin2006.
They
stillshowtheUK
asanetpurchaserof
allowancesoverall.
EUEm
issionsTrading
Industrialenergyuse
CO2
Economic
Adopted
DepartmentofEnergy
061500(61.5M
t)(Notall
82500(82.5M
t)(Notall
System
2013-2020
andClim
ateChange(DECC)
additional-Total
additional-Total
changeinUKem
issions
changeinUKem
issions
inthetraded
sectors-
inthetraded
sectors-
above
figuresinclude
above
figuresinclude
individualpolicy
individualpolicy
CarbonTrust
Deliveryofcarbonreductionsin
CO2,CH4,
Fiscal,Information
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergyand
700(CTsavings
700(CTsavings
700(CTsavings
businessandpublicsector
N2O,HFC,
andResearch,
Clim
ateChange(DECC),
supportCRCandCCAs
supportCRCandCCAs
supportCRCandCCAs
organisations,nowandinthefuture.
PFC,SF6
Planning
Independentcompanyfunded
inmanycases,only
inmanycases,only
inmanycases,only
bygovernment
additionaltofigures
additionaltofigures
additionaltofigures
above
included
here)
above
included
here)
above
included
here)
BuildingRegulations2002
Improve
energyefficiencyof
CO2
Voluntary/
Implemented
DepartmentofCommunities
1700
1600
1300
inthebusinesssector
buildings
negotiated
andLocalGovernment
agreem
ent
F-gasregulations
Toimplem
entcontrolsofF-gasem
issionsHFCs,PFCs,SF 6
Regulatory
Implemented
Defra
2200
2200
2200
EnergyPerformance
Encourageuptake
ofenergy
CertificatesforBusiness
efficiencymeasures
outsideofCRCandCCAs
Sum
mar
yo
fPo
licie
san
dM
easu
res
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 141
Summary of Policies and Measures ANNEX B142
Nam
eo
fp
olic
yO
bje
ctiv
ean
d/o
rG
HG
Typ
eo
fSt
atu
sIm
ple
men
tin
gC
arb
on
savi
ng
s(G
gC
O2e
q)
or
mea
sure
acti
vity
affe
cted
Inst
rum
ent
enti
tyo
ren
titi
es2010
2015
2020
Tran
spo
rt
Renew
abletransportfuel
Reducingcarboncontentof
CO2
Regulatory
Adopted
DepartmentforTransport
4400
5500
5900
obligation(RTFO)
transportfuels
EUlevelvoluntary
Improve
Vehiclefuelefficiency
CO2
Fiscal,voluntary/
Implemented
Fueldutyandtaxationissues
8400
11400
13200
agreem
entsonCO2from
negotiated
regulatedbyHerMajesty’s
cars,backedupby
agreem
ent
Treasury
changestocompanycars
taxationandvehicle
exciseduty
EUlevelregulationon
Improve
Vehiclefuelefficiency
CO2
Fiscal,Regulatory,
Adopted
DfTasprobableCompetent
100
1100
7600
CO2fromcars,supported
Information
Authorityandcontinued
policy
byfiscalmeasuresand
lead
informationprovisionin
theUK
AirPassengerDuty
Reducingaviationem
issionsthrough
CO2
Fiscal
Tobeimplemented
Fueldutyandtaxationissues
400
sendingastrongerenvironmental
regulatedbyHerMajesty’s
signaltopassengersandindustry
Treasury
UK2050
aviation
Limitingoflongterm
aviation
CO2
Information
Adopted
DepartmentforTransport(DfT),
emissionstarget
emissionsthroughencouragem
entof
Devolved
Administrations
efficiencymeasuresandchangesto
operatingpractices
Sustainabledistribution
Reducetransportem
issions
CO2
Regulatory
Implemented
Devolved
Administrations
400
400
400
inScotlandandWales
FuelDuty
Transportdem
andandfuelefficiency
CO2
Fiscal
Adopted
HerMajesty'sTreasury
500
FuelDutyEscalator
Transportdem
andandfuelefficiency
CO2
Fiscal
Expired
HerMajesty'sTreasury
6966.67
6966.67
6966.67
Do
mes
tic
SupplierObligation
Energyuseinhomes
CO2
Regulatory
Planned
DepartmentofEnergyand
05,600.00
12600.00
Clim
ateChange
EnergyEfficiency
Energyuseinhomes
CO2
Regulatory
Implemented
Socialhousingproviders,energy
1000
700
400
Commitment(EEC)
supplycompanies,Departmentof
(2002-2005)
EnergyandClim
ateChange
EnergyEfficiency
Energyuseinhomes
CO2
Regulatory
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergyand
2000
1700
1400
Commitment(EEC)
Clim
ateChange(DECC),energy
(2005-2008)
supplycompanies,socialhousing
providers
CarbonEm
issions
Energyuseinhomes
CO2
Regulatory
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergyand
5400
5400
5400
ReductionTarget(CERT)
Clim
ateChange,energysupply
(2008-2011)
companies
Buildingsregulations
Energyuseindomesticbuildings
CO2
Regulatory
Adopted
DepartmentforCommunitiesand
0500
1300
2010,2013
LocalGovernment
BuildingRegulations2002
Improve
energyefficiencyof
CO2
Regulatory
Implemented
DepartmentforCommunitiesand
3900
3600
3000
and2006
inthedomestic
buildings
LocalGovernment
sector
WarmFrontandfuel
Tacklingfuelpoverty
CO2
Economic
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergyand
2400
2600
2600
povertyprograms
Clim
ateChange
Sum
mar
yo
fPo
licie
san
dM
easu
res
con
tin
ued
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 142
ANNEX B Summary of Policies and Measures 143
Sum
mar
yo
fPo
licie
san
dM
easu
res
con
tin
ued
Nam
eo
fp
olic
yO
bje
ctiv
ean
d/o
rG
HG
Typ
eo
fSt
atu
sIm
ple
men
tin
gC
arb
on
savi
ng
s(G
gC
O2e
q)
or
mea
sure
acti
vity
affe
cted
Inst
rum
ent
enti
tyo
ren
titi
es2010
2015
2020
EnergyusingProducts
Energyuseinhomes,andbusinesses
CO2
Voluntary/
Implemented
500
1400
2500
includingpublicsector
negotiated
agreem
ent,
Regulatory,
Information
Buildingregulations2006
Energyuseindomesticbuildings
CO2
Regulatory
Implemented
DepartmentforEnvironment,
0.51
MtCpain2010
2933.33
2933.33
including2005
condensing
FoodandRuralAffairs
(ofwhich0.41MtCpa
boilerupdate
in2010
isfrom2005
condensingboiler
amendment)
CommunityEnergySaving
Energyuseinhomes
CO2
Regulatory
Planned
DepartmentofEnergyand
75121
121
Programme(CESP)
Clim
ateChange
2008-2012
BetterBilling
Energyuseinhomes
Information
Implemented
DepartmentofEnergyand
00
0Clim
ateChange,electricityand
gasregulator
SmartMetering
Energyuseinhomes
Information
Planned
DepartmentofEnergyand
01700
1500
Clim
ateChange,electricityand
gasregulator
Ag
ricu
ltu
rean
dFo
rest
ry
WoodlandGrantSchem
eAforestation
Implemented
700
700
700
(England)
WoodlandsPlanting
Aforestation
Implemented
1800
1800
1800
(Scotland)
NonFoodCrops
Energycropsandrenew
able
CO2,CH4
Economic,Fiscal,
Adopted
Defra,DTI,DfTandHMT,
400
400
400
rawmaterial
Regulatory,
Regionaldevelopmentagencies,
Information,
NationalNon-FoodCropsCentre,
Education,Research
variousresearch
institutes,UK
ForestryCommission
Cro
sscu
ttin
g
Integratedpollution
Highlevelofprotection(from
Regulatory
Implemented
DepartmentofEnvironment,
preventionandcontrol
industrialem
issions)forthe
FoodandRuralAffairs
(IPPC)
environmenttakenaswhole
Was
te
landfilltaxescaltor
Reducewastetolandfillem
issions
CO2
Fiscal
Implemented
HerMajesty'sTreasury
290
250
Wit
had
dit
ion
alm
easu
res
CCSDem
oProject
Dem
onstrationofuseofCCS
CO2
Information,
Planned
DepartmentofEnergyand
00
1800
technologyinpostcombustioncoal
Research
Clim
ateChange
firedpowerstationsatcommercial
scale.
Renew
ableHeatIncentive
Financialincentive
mechanismsfor
CO2
Economic
Planned
00
0thegenerationofrenew
ableheatin
allsectorsfromlargeindustrialsites
downtothehousehold
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 143
Summary of Policies and Measures ANNEX B144
Nam
eo
fp
olic
yO
bje
ctiv
ean
d/o
rG
HG
Typ
eo
fSt
atu
sIm
ple
men
tin
gC
arb
on
savi
ng
s(G
gC
O2e
q)
or
mea
sure
acti
vity
affe
cted
Inst
rum
ent
enti
tyo
ren
titi
es2010
2015
2020
CarbonReduction
UK’snew
mandatoryem
issions
CO2
Economic,
Planned
DepartmentofEnergyand
01900
3600
Commitment
tradingschem
etargetingem
issions
Regulatory
Clim
ateChange(DECC),Devolved
fromlargepublicandprivatesector
Administrations
organisations.TheCRCwillstartin
April2010,anddeliverem
issions
savingsofatleast4.4milliontonnes
ofCO2peryearby2020.
Tob
eim
ple
men
ted
VehicleExciseDuty
Reducetransportem
issions
CO2
Fiscal
Tobeimplemented
HerMajesty’sTreasury
SupportsCO2
SupportsCO2
SupportsCO2
standards
standards
standards
Oth
er
Pub
licSe
cto
r
Additionaleffortbylocal
Toreducecarbondioxideem
issions
CO2,CH4,
Fiscal
Inprocessofbeing
DECChasresponsibilityforNI185
authorities:indicator
fromthelocalauthorityestate.
N2O
implemented
butCommunitiesandLocal
NI185
Governmenthaveresponsibility
fortheoveralllocalgovernment
performancefram
ework.The
(regional)GovernmentOffice
Networkhasresponsibilityfor
negotiatingperformancetargets
againstNI185.Alllocalauthorities
mustreportperformanceagainst
thisindicator.35
(outofatotal
of150)LocalAreaAgreeements
havecommittedthem
selvesto
targetsagainsttheindicator.
Additionaleffortbylocal
Toreducecarbondioxideem
issions
CO2,CH4,
Fiscal,Economic,
Inprocessofbeing
DECChasresponsibilityforNI186
0.00
authorities:indicator
fromthelocalauthorityestate.
N2O
Research
implemented
butCLG
haveresponsibilityfor
NI186
theoveralllocalgovernment
performancefram
ework.Other
Governmentdepartmentsare
expectedtohelpsupportlocal
governmentinperforming
effectivelyagainstNI186.The
(regional)GovernmentOffice
Networkhasresponsibilityfor
negotiatingperformancetargets
againstNI186.Alllocalauthorities
mustreportperformance
againstthisindicator.100(out
ofatotalof150)LocalArea
Agreeementshavecommitted
them
selvestotargetsagainst
theindicator.
Sum
mar
yo
fPo
licie
san
dM
easu
res
con
tin
ued
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 144
Annex C145
Fixe
dB
ase
Bas
eYe
ar**
*Ye
ar**
**19
9019
9520
0020
0520
0620
1020
1520
20
A:
UN
FCC
Cre
po
rtin
gb
asis
(To
tal
782.5
778.3
774.9
711.6
673.4
656.7
653.8
601.1
597.8
572.0
GH
Gso
urc
esm
inu
sto
tal
sin
ks)
B:TotalLULUCFsourcesandsinks
2.9
2.9
2.9
1.2
-0.4
-2.0
-2.0
-1.4
0.9
2.8
C:TotalwithoutanyLULUCF
779.5
775.4
772.0
710.4
673.8
658.7
655.8
602.5
597.0
569.3
(AminusB)
D:Article3.3LULUCF
0.2
-0.1
-1.0
-1.9
-2.1
-2.7
-2.9
-3.5
(allthreegases)*
E:Article3.4ForestManagem
ent*
-1.4
-1.4
-1.4
-1.4
-1.4
-1.4
-1.4
-0.7
F:Article3.7Deforestation
0.4
0.3
estimatein1990**
Kyo
toPr
oto
col
rep
ort
ing
bas
is779.9
775.7
770.8
709.0
671.4
655.5
652.3
598.5
592.7
565.1
(To
tal
of
C:F
abo
ve)
Rec
on
cilia
tio
no
fU
NFC
CC
and
KP
Rep
ort
ing
bas
es
No
tes
*Articles3.3and3.4LULUCFnotaddedtothebaseyear.
**Article3.7'D'estim
ateonlyaddedtobaseyear.
***Fixed
BaseYearistheBaseYearcalculated
from
the2004
inventory,from
whichtheUK'sAssignedAmountiscalculated.
****BaseYearcalculated
from
the2008
inventory.
TheGeographicalCoverageofthistableincludestheUKandallCrownDependenciesandOverseasTerritoriesthathavesigned
uptotheUK'sinstrumentsof
ratificationtotheUNFCCCandtheKyotoProtocol.
Emission
unitsareMtCO2e.
Estim
atesmaynotsumduetorounding.
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:42 Page 145
Annex D146
Bila
tera
lan
dre
gio
nal
fin
anci
alco
ntr
ibu
tio
ns
rela
ted
toth
eim
ple
men
tati
on
of
the
con
ven
tio
n(£
mill
ion
)
Mit
igat
ion
Ad
apta
tio
n
Rec
ipie
nt
Res
earc
hEn
erg
yC
apac
ity-
Co
asta
lzo
ne
Oth
erO
rgan
isat
ion
Year
of
Co
mm
ents
Co
un
try/
Reg
ion
and
Kn
ow
led
ge
bu
ildin
gm
anag
emen
tvu
lner
abili
tyth
rou
gh
wh
ich
fin
anci
ng
Dis
sem
inat
ion
asse
ssm
ent
pro
ject
fun
ded
India/
Allocated-100,
DFID
2008-2013
Researchintoclimate
Bangladesh/
08/09Spend-1.3
changethroughDFID
Africa
countryofficesand
divisions.
Global
7.2
FCO
2006-2009
DevelopmentofUK
attachesnetwork
forclimatechangeand
energyandappointed
aUKsecurityEnvyfor
vulnerablecountries.
Global(China,
0.36
Centrefor
2007-2009
Fundingresearch
India,Brazil)
Clean
Air
intolowcarbon
policy(CCAP)
growthpolicy
fram
eworksin
developingcountries.
SouthAmerica
0.7
Regional
01/11/2008
Alternative
Economicsof
–mitigation
Clim
ate
01-03-2010
scenariosforkey
changeStudies
countriesand
(RECCS)
developingregions.
CentralAmerica
0.45
Regional
01/11/2008
Alternativemitigation
Economicsof
–scenariosforkey
Clim
ate
01/03/2010
countriesand
changeStudies
developingregions.
(RECCS)
Africa
3.8
Clim
atefor
2009
Toimprove
Development
informationonthe
(Clim
Dev)
impactsofclimate
changeacrossAfrica.
Asia
0.5Startup.
SouthAsia
Startup
Bringstogether
2.6Project.
Water
2007-2009
sevencountries
Initiative
thatsharerivers
(SAWI)
Project
thatdrainfromthe
2009-2012
Himalayas.
Global
Consultative
ThiswillSupporta
Groupon
rangeofprogrammes
International
addressing
Agricultural
adaptationto
research
climatechange.
(CGIAR)
China
3.5
ForUK-China
NZECinitiative.
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 146
ANNEX D 147
Bilateralandregionalfinancialcontributionsrelatedtotheimplementationoftheconvention(£million)continued
Mit
igat
ion
Ad
apta
tio
n
Rec
ipie
nt
Res
earc
hEn
erg
yC
apac
ity-
Co
asta
lzo
ne
Oth
erO
rgan
isat
ion
Year
of
Co
mm
ents
Co
un
try/
Reg
ion
and
Kn
ow
led
ge
bu
ildin
gm
anag
emen
tvu
lner
abili
tyth
rou
gh
wh
ich
fin
anci
ng
Dis
sem
inat
ion
asse
ssm
ent
pro
ject
fun
ded
Africa
24Clim
ateChange
2006-2011
Five
yearresearch
Adaptationin
andcapacity
Africa(CCAA)
development
programmeinAfrica
tohelpAfrican
researchersandpolicy
makerstoidentify
practicalwaysthat
ruralandurban
people
adapttoclimate
change.
Global
50DFID-Centre
2009-
Workingtodesign
forClim
ate
acentrewhichwill
and
deliverasuiteof
Development
service(knowledge
managem
ent,
research
and
tailoredadvice)to
supportdeveloping
countrypolicymaking.
Global
1.5
WorldBank
2008/9-
Economicsof
(Bangladesh,
2010
AdaptationWork
Vietnam
,withNetherlands
Ethiopia,
Switzerlandandbank.
Mozambique,
Tohelpinform
UNFCCC
Ghanaand
negotiations.
Bolivia.
Global
0.55
DFID
2006
-2009
Givingavoiceto
developingcountry
negotiators.
Global
0.38
UNFCCCand
annual
Annualcontribution
IPCCCTrust
enabling
Funds
developingcountry
participantsto
attendmeetings.
Africa
5.0
DFID
2005-2010
Supporttothe
integrationofclimate
riskinformationin
decisionmaking
processesandincrease
availabilityofclimate
observations.
Asia/Africa
0.99
DFID
2004-2006
Linkinglocal
adaptationneeds
topolicyand
institutionalstructures.
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 147
ANNEX D148
Bilateralandregionalfinancialcontributionsrelatedtotheimplementationoftheconvention(£million)continued
Mit
igat
ion
Ad
apta
tio
n
Rec
ipie
nt
Res
earc
hEn
erg
yC
apac
ity-
Co
asta
lzo
ne
Oth
erO
rgan
isat
ion
Year
of
Co
mm
ents
Co
un
try/
Reg
ion
and
Kn
ow
led
ge
bu
ildin
gm
anag
emen
tvu
lner
abili
tyth
rou
gh
wh
ich
fin
anci
ng
Dis
sem
inat
ion
asse
ssm
ent
pro
ject
fun
ded
Bangladesh
6.0
DFID
2005-2010
Comprehensive
disastermanagem
ent
programme
Angola
0.05
2006-2008
FCOSPFfund
Bolivia
0.04
2008-2009
FCOSPFfund
Brazil
1.28
2007-2009
FCOSPFfund
China
2.63
2006-2009
FCOSPFfund
Colombia
0.02
2008-2009
FCOSPFfund
Global
0.49
2006-2009
FCOSPFfund
India
1.20
2006-2009
FCOSPFfund
Indonesia
0.36
2008-2009
FCOSPFfund
Kazakhstan
0.32
2007-2009
FCOSPFfund
Mexico
0.89
2006-2009
FCOSPFfund
Nigeria
0.30
2006-2009
FCOSPFfund
Philippines
0.05
2008-2009
FCOSPFfund
Regional
0.32
2007-2009
FCOSPFfund
SaudiArabia
0.59
2006-2009
FCOSPFfund
SouthAfrica
0.88
2006-2009
FCOSPFfund
Venezuela
0.01
2008-2009
FCOSPFfund
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 148
ANNEX D 149
Financial contribution to the Global Environment Facility and other multilateral institutionsand programmes
Institution or programme Contribution (£ millions)
2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009
Global Environment Facility 10.4 10.4 11.66 11.66
UNFCCC funds such as SCCF, LDCF and othervoluntary funds
3.33 3.33 10.84 4.5
Climate Investment Funds n/a n/a n/a 100
REEEP 2.5 2.5 2.5
International climate change subscriptions(inc. UNFCCC)**per calendar year
1.4 1.7 2 1.6
IBRD – – – –
International Finance Corporation (PEP MENA) 1 1 2 –
African Development Bank 0.85 0.84 4.15 –
Asian Development Bank – – – 0.76
EBRD 6.58 – – –
Inter-American Development Programme – 2 2 3.4
UNDP 52.27 50.67 65.72 –
International Development Association (IDA) 364.8 493.33 493.33 –
Clean Energy Investment Frameworks (World Bank) – – 1.2 0.73
Adaptation Fund – – – 0.5
UNCCD – – 0.37 0.45
UNEP – – 1 1
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 149
Annex E150
Reporting of information under Article 7Paragraph 2
National systems (i.e. emissions inventories)under article 5 para 1
Reported
• Contact details of organisation with responsibilityfor inventory
National Inventory Report (NIR) 2009143
• Roles/responsibilities of those involved withdevelopment of inventory as well as associatedinstitutional/legal/procedural arrangements
NIR
• Methodology of inventory – e.g. collection of activitydata, choice of emission factors, development ofestimates.
NIR
• Process/results of key source identification NIR
• Process to reassess previously submitted data NIR
• Description of QA/QC plans, internal/external reviewprocedures etc
NIR
• Description of procedures for approval of inventory NIR
• An explanation if above incomplete/partiallycompleted
NIR
Mechanisms - related to Articles 6, 12 & 17(JI, CDM & Emission Trading respectively)
• Provide details of how the use of such mechanisms issupplemental to ‘domestic’ action
5th NC Chapter 3
P&Ms – related to article 2
• Reporting of all P&Ms linked to emissions reductionincluding co-operation with other parties
5th NC Chapter 4 & 6
• Steps taken to implement decisions by ICAO andIMO to reduce GHG emissions from aviation/marinebunker fuels not controlled by the MontrealProtocol.
5th NC Chapter 3
• Provide information (not reported elsewhere) onhow party aims to implement P&Ms whilstminimising adverse affect on international trade andsocial/econ/env impacts on other parties – inparticular developing countries.
5th NC Chapter 3
143 UK Greenhouse Gas Inventory , 1990–2007, Annual report for submission under the Framework Convention on Climate Change, April 2009, willbe available from http://www.airquality.co.uk/archive/reports/reports.php?report_id=400
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 150
ANNEX E 151
Legislative arrangements and enforcement and adminprocedures
Reported
• Description of regional/domestic legislativearrangements and enforcement and administrativeprocedures the party has - to meet its commitmentsunder the KP. Legal authority for such programmes,procedures for non-compliance etc.
5th NC – Chapter 1 and 3
• Provision to make info on above procedures publiclyaccessible.
5th NC – Chapter 1/3
• Description of institutional arrangements anddecision-making procedures in place to coordinateactivities under articles 6,12 & 17.
5th NC – Chapter 3
• Description of legislative/admin procedures forimplementation LULUCF activities, and also anyelected activities under these that contribute toconservation of biodiversity, sustainable use ofnatural resources etc.
5th NC – Chapter 3
• Description of QA/QC plans, internal/external reviewprocedures etc
NIR
• Description of procedures for approval of inventory NIR
• An explanation if above incomplete/partiallycompleted
NIR
Info under article 10
• Steps taken to promote/facilitate/finance techtransfer to developing countries.
5th NC – Chapter 6
Financial resources
• Report on any financial contributions made to the‘adaptation fund’ (established in accordance withdecision 10/CP.7)
5th NC – Chapter 5
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 151
Glossary of Terms152
ACC Adapting to Climate Change Programme
AD Anaerobic Digestion
ACEA European Automobile ManufacturersAssociation
AEA AEA Technology plc
ASC Adaptation Sub Committee
BADC British Atmospheric Data Centre
BAS British Antarctic Survey
BAT Best available technology
BBSRC Biotechnology and Biological SciencesResearch Council
BERR Department for Business, Enterprise andRegulatory Reform
BGS British Geological Survey
CO2 Carbon Dioxide
CABE Commission for Architecture and the BuiltEnvironment
CAP Common Agricultural Policy
CAT Carbon Abatement Technology
CAT Carbon Account for Transport
CCA Climate Change Agreements
CCC Committee on Climate Change
CCL Climate Change Levy
CCR Carbon Capture Readiness
CCS Carbon Capture and Storage
CCRA Climate Change Risk Assessment
CCS Carbon Capture and Storage
CDM Clean Development Mechanism
CEH Centre for Hydrology
CERT Carbon Emissions Reduction Target
CET Central England Temperature
CFC Chlorofluorocarbon
CHP Combined Heat and Power
CH4 Methane
CCL Climate Change Levy
CLG Department of Communities and LocalGovernment
CO Cabinet Office
COGAP Code of Good Agricultural Practice
COP Conference of the Parties
CORINAIR European inventory system for air pollutants
CRC Carbon Reduction Commitment
CT Carbon Trust
DCC Dangerous Climate Change
DCMS Department for Culture, Media and Sport
DCSF Department for Children, Schools and Families
Defra Department for Environment, Food andRural Affairs
DECC Department of Energy and Climate Change
DfT Department for Transport
DFID Department for International Development
DOE Department of Environment(Northern Ireland)
DoH Department of Health
DWP Department for Work and Pensions
EA Environment Agency
ECA Enhanced Capital Allowances
EEC Energy Efficiency Commitment
EPBD Energy Performance of Buildings Directive
EPSRC Engineering and Physical SciencesResearch Council
ERFF Environment Research Funders’ Forum
ESA European Space Agency
ESDGC Education for Sustainable Development andGlobal Citizenship
ESRC Economic and Social Research Council
EST Energy Savings Trust
ETF The Environmental Transformation Fund
ETI The Energies Technologies Institution
ETS Emissions Trading System
EU European Union
EUP Energy Using Products
FCO Foreign and Commonwealth Office
FPAG Fuel Poverty Advisory Group
G8 Group of 8
GCOS Global Climate Observing System
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GEF Global Environment Fund
GECC Global Environmental Change Committee
GEO Group on Earth Observations
GMES Global Monitoring for Environment andSecurity Initiatives
GPP Green Public Procurement
GUAN GCOS Upper Air Network
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 152
GLOSSARY OF TERMS 153
GVA Gross Value Added
GWP Global warming potential
HFCs Hydrofluorocarbons
HEES Home Energy Efficiency Scheme
HIE Highland and Islands Enterprises
HIS Home Insulation Scheme
HMT Her Majesty’s Treasury
ICAO International Civil Aviation Organisation
ICP Integrated Climate Programme
IDA International Development Association
IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
IPPC Industrial Pollution Prevention and Control
JI Joint Implementation
LDCF Least Developed Countries Fund
LDEDC The Local Democracy Economic Developmentand Construction Bill
LRAP Local and Regional AdaptationPartnership Board
LULUCF Land Use and Land Use Change and Forestry
LWEC Living with Environmental Change
MAA Multi Area Agreement
MRDF Marine Renewable Deployment Fund
MOD Ministry of Defence
MRC Medical Research Council
MSCC Marine Science Co-ordination Committee
Mt CO2 eq Million tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent
MTP Market Transformation Programme
N2O Nitrous Oxide
NAP National Allocation Plan (for the ETS)
NATA New Approach to Transport Appraisal
NDPB Non Departmental Public Body
NERC National Environmental Research Council
NI National Indicator
NICCIP Northern Ireland Climate Change ImpactsPartnership
NIEA Northern Ireland Environment Agency
NIR National Inventory Report
NISC National Inventory Steering Committee
NTS National Transport Strategy
Ofgem Office for Gas and Electricity Markets
Ofreg Northern Ireland Office for Regulation ofElectricity and Gas
PFC Perfluorocarbon
POL Proudman Ocenaographic Laboratory
PSA Public Service Agreement
RDA Regional Development Agencies
RBCN Regional Basic Climate Network
RCEP Research Councils Energy Programme
REEEP Renewable Energy and EnergyEfficiency Partnership
RHI Renewable Heat Incentive
RESs Regional Economic Strategies
RIEPS Regional Improvement andEfficiency Partnerships
ROC Renewables Obligation Certificate
ROS Renewables Obligation Scotland
RSPB Royal Society for the Protection of Birds
RSS Regional Assemblies and RegionalSpatial Strategies
RTFO Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation
SF6 Sulphur hexafluoride
SCCF Special Climate Change Fund
SE Scottish Enterprise
SDD Sustainable Development Dialogue
SEPA Scottish Environment Protection Agency
SME Small and medium sized enterprises
SPAP UK Government Sustainable ProcurementAction Plan
SPP Scottish Planning Policies
UEP Updated Energy Projections
UK-EOF UK Environment Observation Framework
UKERC UK Energy Research Centre
UKMMAS UK Marine Monitoring andAssessment Strategy
UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention onClimate Change
UNDP United Nations Development Programme
UKCIP UK Climate Impacts Programme
VED Vehicle Excise Duty
WAG Welsh Assembly Government
WRAP Waste & Resources Action Programme
DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon:DEF-PB13275-5thNatCon 5/6/09 12:43 Page 153
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