1 Milton Keynes Employment December 2016 Headlines The JSA claimant count rate in Milton Keynes was 1.0% in December 2016. This is a fall of 0.1% from November 2016 and is 0.2% lower than in December 2015 when the claimant count rate stood at 1.2%. There were 1,691 JSA claimants in Milton Keynes in December 2016. This is a decrease of 95 individuals from November 2016. The Milton Keynes JSA claimant count rate of 1.0% is lower than the national (UK) rate of 1.2% but higher than the regional (south east) figure of 0.8%. Jobseekers Allowance Claimant Count The unemployment claimant count measures all people recorded by the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) receiving Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) each month. Table 1: Milton Keynes Claimant Count 2015-16 Male Female Total Number Rate Number Rate Number Rate December-15 1,197 1.4 792 0.9 1,989 1.2 November-16 1,057 1.3 729 0.9 1,786 1.1 Dcember-16 1,002 1.2 689 0.8 1,691 1.0 Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS
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Milton Keynes Employment December 2016
Headlines
The JSA claimant count rate in Milton Keynes was 1.0% in December 2016. This is a fall of 0.1% from November 2016 and is 0.2% lower than in December 2015 when the claimant count rate stood at 1.2%.
There were 1,691 JSA claimants in Milton Keynes in December 2016. This is a decrease of 95 individuals from November 2016.
The Milton Keynes JSA claimant count rate of 1.0% is lower than the national (UK) rate of 1.2% but higher than the regional (south east) figure of 0.8%.
Jobseekers Allowance Claimant Count
The unemployment claimant count measures all people recorded by the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) receiving Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) each month. Table 1: Milton Keynes Claimant Count 2015-16
Male Female Total
Number Rate Number Rate Number Rate
December-15 1,197 1.4 792 0.9 1,989 1.2
November-16 1,057 1.3 729 0.9 1,786 1.1
Dcember-16 1,002 1.2 689 0.8 1,691 1.0
Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS
South East Midlands 5,917 1.0 4,243 0.7 10,160 0.9
South East 25,188 0.9 16,833 0.6 42,021 0.8
United Kingdom 305,446 1.5 193,243 0.9 498,689 1.2 Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS
The claimant count fell in Milton Keynes across 2015. The first three months of 2016 saw slight increases, as did August 2016, but generally the number of individuals claiming JSA has been on a downward trend. At 1.0%, the claimant count in Milton Keynes remains below the national figure (1.2%) but is higher than the regional and SEMLEP rates of 0.8% and 0.9% respectively.
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
3
Table 3: Unemployment by age as a proportion of total unemployment, December 2016
Milton Keynes UK South East
Number Rate Rate Rate
Aged 17 0 0 0.1 0.1
Aged 18-19 25 1.6 2.7 2.7
Aged 20-24 110 6.5 9.5 8.5
Aged 25-29 185 10.9 12.0 11.1
Aged 30-34 220 13.0 11.4 10.5
Aged 35-39 225 13.2 10.7 10.3
Aged 40-44 200 11.9 10.7 10.9
Aged 45-49 220 13.0 12.1 12.9
Aged 50-54 220 13.1 12.3 12.9
Aged 55-59 165 9.8 10.9 11.6
Aged 60 and over 120 7.0 7.6 8.4 Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS
In December 2016, young people (18-24 years) made up around 8.1% of all unemployed claimants in Milton Keynes. This compares to around 11.2% in the South East region and 12.2% in the UK. Table 4: Unemployment Claimant Count by Age & Duration in Milton Keynes, December 2016
Total Over six months and up to one year
Over One Year
Number Rate Number Rate Number Rate
Aged 16-64 1,690 1.0 255 0.2 470 0.3
Aged 18-24 135 0.7 20 0.1 15 0.1
Aged 25-49 1,050 1.1 165 0.2 270 0.3
Aged 50-64 505 1.1 70 0.2 185 0.4
Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS
0.7% of all 18-24 year olds were claiming JSA in December 2016. This is below the proportion for the working age population (16-64 years) as a whole. The largest proportion of people who have been unemployed for a year or more is in the 50-64 years age group, although this is only marginally higher than the percentage across all ages.
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
4
Table 5: Ward Unemployment in Milton Keynes, December 2016
Total Claimants
Number Rate
Bletchley East 130 1.5
Bletchley Park 106 1.2
Bletchley West 93 1.0
Bradwell 106 1.3
Broughton 44 0.5
Campbell Park & Old Woughton 65 0.8
Central Milton Keynes 195 1.7
Danesborough & Walton 50 0.6
Loughton & Shenley 49 0.5
Monkston 59 0.7
Newport Pagnell North & Hanslope 34 0.5
Newport Pagnell South 59 0.8
Olney 29 0.4
Shenley Brook End 77 0.8
Stantonbury 121 1.2
Stony Stratford 68 1.1
Tattenhoe 49 0.6
Wolverton 116 1.1
Woughton & Fishermead 241 2.1
Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS
In December 2016, there were eight wards within Milton Keynes with JSA claimant unemployment rates above the borough average of 1.0%. Levels of claimant unemployment were highest in the wards of Woughton and Fishermead (2.1%), Central Milton Keynes (1.7%) and Bletchley East (1.5%).
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
5
Chart 1: JSA Claimant Rate Milton Keynes, South East & UK 2007-2016
Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS. NB: Claimant count data is taken from December of each year.
Chart 1 demonstrates that the JSA claimant count in Milton Keynes was below the national average in 2007 but increased above it during the recession and fell below it in 2013. Unemployment continues to generally follow a downward trend (allowing for some monthly variations), with the rate in the south east region consistently below the national and Milton Keynes rates.
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
JSA
Cla
iman
t C
ou
nt
(%)
Year
MK
UK
South East
Milton
Keynes UK
South East
2007 1.7 2.0 1.2
2008 2.8 2.9 1.9
2009 4.2 3.9 2.8
2010 3.3 3.5 2.3
2011 3.7 3.8 2.5
2012 3.1 3.7 2.4
2013 2.2 2.9 1.8
2014 1.5 2.0 1.2
2015 1.2 1.5 0.9
2016 1.0 1.2 0.8
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
6
Universal Credit Since November 2015, individuals of working age looking for work or on low incomes in Milton Keynes are eligible to claim Universal Credit. Universal Credit is a single monthly payment which is replacing six existing benefits, including Jobseekers Allowance. Universal Credit is being introduced in stages and, over the coming years, all those on low incomes or seeking work will move from their existing benefits to Universal Credit. In Milton Keynes, individuals who have recently become unemployed may be required to claim Universal Credit rather than JSA. Experimental statistics are now available for a claimant count that consists of both JSA claimants (published by Nomis) and those who are claiming Universal Credit and are out of work (published by the Department for Work and Pensions). Table 6: Jobseekers Allowance and Universal Credit (those out of work) claimants, 2013- 2016
Date Number of Claimants MK
Claimant Count MK (As a proportion of all residents 16-64 MK)
Claimant Count UK (As a proportion of all residents 16-64 UK)
2013 3,630 2.2 2.9
2014 2,530 1.5 2.0
2015 2,050 1.2 1.8
November 2016 2,325 1.4 1.8
December 2016 2,210 1.3 1.8 Source: Claimant Count, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS. NB: Claimant count data is taken from December of each year, unless otherwise stated. Data for the previous month is also subject to revision so figures may differ to those shown in earlier unemployment reports.
As the table above shows, the claimant count increases to 2,210 when those who are out of work and claiming Universal Credit are included. This equates to a claimant rate of 1.3%. This is below the claimant rate for the UK (1.8%) but above the rate for the south east (1.1%).
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
7
Job Postings
Labour Insight is a tool which monitors the jobs posted by employers on job search websites. According to this, there were 5,211 job postings across the Milton Keynes local authority area in December 2016. This compares to 5,236 job postings in November 2016. The most commonly advertised occupations across Milton Keynes were programmers and software development professionals (234 postings); human resources and industrial relations officers (150 postings); and other administrative occupations n.e.c (147 postings). This is a similar pattern to that seen in previous months. Chart 2: Top occupations in Milton Keynes, based on job postings, December 2016
Source: Labour Insight
234
150
147
144
135
123
120
119
115
112
106
105
101
95
93
78
76
74
74
69
67
66
65
62
57
0 50 100 150 200 250
Programmers and software development…
Human resources and industrial relations officers…
Other administrative occupations n.e.c. (4159)
Business sales executives (3542)
IT business analysts, architects and systems…
Sales accounts and business development…
Call and contact centre occupations (7211)
Nurses (2231)
IT user support technicians (3132)
Marketing associate professionals (3543)
Large goods vehicle drivers (8211)
Web design and development professionals (2137)
Customer service occupations n.e.c. (7219)
Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c.…
Sales related occupations n.e.c. (7129)
Engineering technicians (3113)
Management consultants and business analysts…
Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks…
Finance and investment analysts and advisers (3534)
Managers and directors in retail and wholesale…
Chartered and certified accountants (2421)
Van drivers (8212)
Electrical and electronic trades n.e.c. (5249)
Elementary storage occupations (9260)
Financial accounts managers (3538)
Mk top occupations
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
8
Comparing Milton Keynes with other areas within SEMLEP and comparator areas shows that Milton Keynes had the highest number of job postings in December 2016.
Chart 3: Highest Number of Job Postings in SEMLEP local authorities and comparator areas, December 2016
Source: Labour Insight. NB: The figure in the graph above relates to postings that state Milton Keynes. A number of postings stated Newport Pagnell or Olney. The figures for Newport Pagnell and Olney are however included in the occupational figures in chart 2. Looking at England as a whole, as well as Reading and Northampton (as the two SEMLEP/comparator areas closest to Milton Keynes in terms of number of job postings) there is more commonality this month amongst the types of job opportunity being advertised. Programmers and software development professionals; human resources and industrial relations officers; business sales executives; other administrative occupations n.e.c; IT business analysts, architects and systems designers and nurses were the six occupations to feature in the top ten most common job postings across each of the four areas.
5,146
3,152
3,064
2,137
1,688
1,302
750
648
552
538
380
331
313
269
126
103
102
97
92
83
43
41
34
26
24
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
MILTON KEYNES, ENG
READING, ENG
NORTHAMPTON, ENG
SLOUGH, ENG
LUTON, ENG
BEDFORD, ENG
AYLESBURY, ENG
BANBURY, ENG
KETTERING, ENG
CORBY, ENG
BICESTER, ENG
DUNSTABLE, ENG
DAVENTRY, ENG
LEIGHTON BUZZARD, ENG
BIGGLESWADE, ENG
BUCKINGHAM, ENG
BRACKLEY, ENG
KIDLINGTON, ENG
TOWCESTER, ENG
SANDY, ENG
CRANFIELD, ENG
NEWPORT PAGNELL, ENG
SHEFFORD, ENG
SOMERTON, ENG
AMPTHILL, ENG
SEMLEP & Comparators
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
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Table 7: Top 10 Occupations by Job Postings, December 2016
Milton Keynes
Reading
Northampton
England
Programmers and software development professionals
234 Programmers and software development professionals
207 Nurses 108 Programmers and software development professionals
20,700
Human resources and industrial relations officers
150 Human resources and industrial relations officers
165 Business sales executives
88 Nurses 16,336
Other administrative occupations n.e.c.
147 Business sales executives
141 Programmers and software development professionals
83 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.
12,749
Business sales executives
144 Sales accounts and business development managers
88 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.
78 Business sales executives
11,699
IT business analysts, architects and systems designers
135 IT business analysts, architects and systems designers
87 Plant and machine operatives n.e.c.
78 Human resources and industrial relations officers
11,130
Sales accounts and business development managers
123 Nurses 86 IT business analysts, architects and systems designers
76 Sales accounts and business development managers
8,946
Call and contact centre occupations
120 Sales related occupations n.e.c.
85 Customer service occupations n.e.c.
72 Web design and development professionals
8,406
Nurses 119 IT user support technicians
80 Human resources and industrial relations officers
65 IT business analysts, architects and systems designers
7,758
IT user support technicians
115 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.
63 Sales related occupations n.e.c.
64 Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c.
7,451
Marketing associate professionals
112 Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c.
61 Marketing associate professionals
62 Care workers and home carers
7,229
Source: Labour Insight
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
10
Based on the requirements contained within job postings, Labour Insight is also able to collate information on the skills that are being sought by recruiting employers. Unsurprisingly given the nature of current job postings, skills relating to customer service; Microsoft Office (particularly Excel); business management; project management and sales are most in demand. Chart 4: Skills most sought by recruiting employers in Milton Keynes, December 2016
Source: Labour Insight. NB: approximately 40% of records have been excluded because they do not include a skill in the posting. As a result, the chart above may not be representative of the full sample.
447
356
287
268
248
205
200
198
175
164
142
140
138
134
133
127
124
112
106
104
100
99
98
98
97
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Customer Service
Microsoft Excel
Business Management
Sales
Project Management
Microsoft Office
Key Performance Indicators
SQL
Product Sales
Customer Contact
Sales Recruiting
Budgeting
Repair
Contract Management
Microsoft Windows
Business Development
Budget Management
Accountancy
Marketing Sales
Office Administration
Teaching
JAVA
Contract Accountancy
Invoicing
Microsoft C#
Demand for Skills
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
11
Annual Population Survey & Not in Education, Employment or Training Data
The Annual Population Survey (APS) unemployment statistic is a broader measure than the JSA claimant count. The claimant count is an administrative measure of those claiming Jobseekers Allowance. The APS is a survey based measure, over three month periods, which uses the internationally agreed definition of unemployment as recommended by the International Labour Organisation (ILO). The ILO counts the following as unemployed:
- Those without a job who want a job, have actively sought work in the last four weeks and are available to start work in the next two weeks
- Those who are out of work, have found a job and are waiting to start it in the next two weeks.
APS data is released every three months and is based on an average of the previous twelve months’ data. As such, it is not statistically valid to compare APS estimates for periods under twelve months apart. APS data for January 2015 to December 2015 was published on 20 April 2016 and this information is included in the report below. To avoid making comparisons with earlier quarters which would not be statistically valid and which may paint an inaccurate picture of patterns of employment in Milton Keynes, APS figures will only be updated annually, in the April Employment Reports. APS data for other quarterly periods is available on the Nomis website, www.nomisweb.co.uk. Table 8: APS Unemployment, Milton Keynes, 2015
Unemployment Rate
Milton Keynes
numerator denominator Percent confidence
Aged 16+ 6,800 138,500 4.9 1.5
Aged 16-64 6,800 135,500 5.0 1.5
Aged 16-19 1,100 5,800 19.0 *
Aged 20-24 1,700 11,500 14.8 *
Aged 25-34 1,600 30,700 5.2 *
Aged 35-49 1,900 52,800 3.5 *
Aged 50+ ~ 37,700 1.3 *
Aged 50-64 ~ 34,700 1.4 *
Aged 65+ ! 3,000 ! !
Aged 16-24 2,800 17,300 16.2 8.1
Aged 25-49 3,500 83,500 4.2 1.8 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS ! Estimate and confidence interval not available since the group sample size is zero or disclosive (0-2). ~ Estimate is less than 500. * indicates that confidence interval is unreliable
Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS The APS unemployment rate is 5.0% of the working age population (16-64 years) in Milton Keynes. This is below the UK rate of 5.4% and higher than the regional rate of 4.3%. Youth unemployment (16-24 year olds) is 16.2% in Milton Keynes; this is higher than the national and regional averages of 14.4% and 12.6% respectively. These figures do need to be treated with caution however. The figures are derived from survey data and as such, confidence intervals in Milton Keynes are higher than those regionally and nationally. In the case of youth unemployment, the confidence interval for Milton Keynes is 8.1. This means that the actual percentage of unemployed 16-24 year olds could be up to 8.1% higher, or up to 8.1% lower. Chart 5: APS Unemployment Rate (16-64 years) Milton Keynes, UK & South East 2007-2015
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
13
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Milton Keynes
3.7 4.0 8.3 9.6 6.4 8.9 7.5 7.5 5.0
UK 5.2 5.8 7.8 7.8 8.2 8.0 7.7 6.4 5.4
South East 4.2 4.5 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.8 4.9 4.3 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS
The APS measure of unemployment for Milton Keynes fluctuated above and below the national rate between 2007-2015 and is currently slightly lower than the national rate and higher than the regional figure. It must be noted that because these figures are from survey data, confidence intervals are higher for Milton Keynes than for the national and regional figures and there is more fluctuation in the data. Chart 6: Unemployment Rate age 16 and above by Ethnicity 2015
Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics
The unemployment rate for Milton Keynes, the UK and the South East is higher for ethnic minorities than for the population as a whole.
UK Total 70.5 71.2 72.2 73.5 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS
The employment rate in Milton Keynes has been increasing over the past couple of years. Following an increase of 3.4% between 2014 and 2015, the employment rate in Milton Keynes is now above both the national and regional averages. Whilst the male employment rate has fluctuated, it remains consistently higher than the female rate but there has been some narrowing of the difference in employment rates by gender.
62.0
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2012 2013 2014 2015
Emp
loym
en
t R
ate
Year
Milton Keynes Total
Milton Keynes Males
Milton Keynes Females
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
15
Chart 8: Percentage in Employment by Occupation in Milton Keynes, 2015
Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS
Chart 9: Percentage in Employment by Occupation in UK, 2015
Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS
9.2
18.7
15.7
11.8
8.3
7.5
11.0
7.2
10.1
Milton Keynes Managers, directors and seniorofficials
Professional occupations
Associate prof & tech occupations
Administrative and secretarialoccupations
Skilled trades occupations
Caring, leisure and other serviceoccupations
Sales and customer serviceoccupations
Process, plant and machineoperatives
Elementary occupations
10.3
19.7
14.0
10.7
10.7
9.2
7.7
6.4
10.8
UK Managers, directors and seniorofficials
Professional occupations
Associate prof & tech occupations
Administrative and secretarialoccupations
Skilled trades occupations
Caring, leisure and other serviceoccupations
Sales and customer serviceoccupations
Process, plant and machineoperatives
Elementary occupations
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
16
The largest proportion of people in Milton Keynes are employed in professional occupations, at 18.7%. A further 15.7% are employed in associate professional and technical occupations. The proportion of people working in sales and customer service is higher in Milton Keynes than nationally, reflecting the significant retail sector locally. Conversely, the proportions working in skilled trades; caring, leisure and other service occupations; and elementary occupations are below the national averages.
Chart 10: Proportion of Working Age Population by Qualifications, 2015
% with NVQ4+ - aged 16-64
% with NVQ3+ - aged 16-64
% with NVQ2+ - aged 16-64
% with NVQ1+ - aged 16-64
% with other qualifications (NVQ) - aged 16-64
% with no qualifications (NVQ) - aged 16-64
Milton Keynes 35.6 51.6 71.3 84.7 6.3 9.0
UK 36.9 57.2 73.4 84.8 6.5 8.8
South East 39.8 60.5 76.8 88.5 5.2 6.3 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS
In Milton Keynes, 35.6% of the working age population are qualified to NVQ level 4 or above. This is below the averages for both the UK (36.9%) and the south east (39.8%). The proportion qualified to level 4 or above has increased since 2014, but at a slower rate than that experienced nationally and regionally, with a 0.5% increase in Milton Keynes compared to 1.1% in the UK and 0.7% in the south east. At 9.0%, the proportion of individuals with no qualifications is above the average for the UK (8.8%) and the south east (6.3%). However, this proportion is lower than in 2014 when it stood at 9.5%.
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
% withNVQ4+ -
aged 16-64
% withNVQ3+ -
aged 16-64
% withNVQ2+ -
aged 16-64
% withNVQ1+ -
aged 16-64
% with otherqualifications(NVQ) - aged
16-64
% with noqualifications(NVQ) - aged
16-64
Pe
rce
nta
ge
Qualification Level
MiltonKeynes
UK
South East
Milton Keynes Employment
December 2016
17
Table 10: Number of people Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET), age 16-19 in Milton Keynes
Year Number %
2010 410 5.1
2011 520 5.8
2012 460 5.1
2013 430 4.7
2014 360 3.9
2015 326 3.8 Source: Department for Education
The number of NEETs has been falling in Milton Keynes since 2013 and averaged 3.8% in 2015. This report was prepared by the Economic Development and Inward Investment Team at Milton Keynes Council. For further information, please contact Donna Wilkinson, Economic Development Manager, [email protected] For previous employment reports, or to find out more about what is happening in the MK economy, visit http://www.milton-keynes.gov.uk/business/research-statistics
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