+ All Categories
Home > Documents > John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera...

John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera...

Date post: 29-Jun-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 2 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
44
Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiology William L. Welbourn, Jr. STAT 6560 – Graphical Methods Utah State University January 28, 2009
Transcript
Page 1: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

John Snow’s Contribution to ModernEpidemiology

William L. Welbourn, Jr.STAT 6560 – Graphical Methods

Utah State University

January 28, 2009

Page 2: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Outline

1 Who is John Snow?

2 Cholera

3 1854 London Outbreak

4 Conclusion

Page 3: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Background

A distinguished British anesthesiologist, whose life wasrather short lived (1813 – 1858)Among accomplishments administered chloroform toQueen Victoria at the birth of two of her childrenHis investigation of the 1854 cholera outbreak in London,pioneered the field of EpidemiologySome consider the father of Epidemiology [Vac05]

Page 4: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Background

A distinguished British anesthesiologist, whose life wasrather short lived (1813 – 1858)Among accomplishments administered chloroform toQueen Victoria at the birth of two of her childrenHis investigation of the 1854 cholera outbreak in London,pioneered the field of EpidemiologySome consider the father of Epidemiology [Vac05]

Page 5: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Background

A distinguished British anesthesiologist, whose life wasrather short lived (1813 – 1858)Among accomplishments administered chloroform toQueen Victoria at the birth of two of her childrenHis investigation of the 1854 cholera outbreak in London,pioneered the field of EpidemiologySome consider the father of Epidemiology [Vac05]

Page 6: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Background

A distinguished British anesthesiologist, whose life wasrather short lived (1813 – 1858)Among accomplishments administered chloroform toQueen Victoria at the birth of two of her childrenHis investigation of the 1854 cholera outbreak in London,pioneered the field of EpidemiologySome consider the father of Epidemiology [Vac05]

Page 7: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Outline

1 Who is John Snow?

2 Cholera

3 1854 London Outbreak

4 Conclusion

Page 8: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

The Illness

Acute diarrheal illness caused by intestinal infection by thebacterium, Vibrio choleraeLeads to rapid loss of body fluids and ultimately todehydration and shockWithout treatment, death can occur within hours [CDC08]

Page 9: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

The Illness

Acute diarrheal illness caused by intestinal infection by thebacterium, Vibrio choleraeLeads to rapid loss of body fluids and ultimately todehydration and shockWithout treatment, death can occur within hours [CDC08]

Page 10: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

The Illness

Acute diarrheal illness caused by intestinal infection by thebacterium, Vibrio choleraeLeads to rapid loss of body fluids and ultimately todehydration and shockWithout treatment, death can occur within hours [CDC08]

Page 11: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

The Discovery

Bacterium discovered by the Italian physician Filippo Paciniin 1854This discovery of Dr. Pacini was all but ignored by 19th

century scientistsSnow never learned of Pacini’s discovery

Page 12: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

The Discovery

Bacterium discovered by the Italian physician Filippo Paciniin 1854This discovery of Dr. Pacini was all but ignored by 19th

century scientistsSnow never learned of Pacini’s discovery

Page 13: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

The Discovery

Bacterium discovered by the Italian physician Filippo Paciniin 1854This discovery of Dr. Pacini was all but ignored by 19th

century scientistsSnow never learned of Pacini’s discovery

Page 14: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Origin

In the 19th century, two theories surrounded the notion ofthe origin of cholera: miasma theory and germ theoryMiasma theory – diseases arise spontaneously fromswamps and decomposed material... Theory was rejectedby SnowGerm theory – disease is caused by activities ofmicroorganisms, prevailing within the body... Theory wasaccepted by Snow

Page 15: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Origin

In the 19th century, two theories surrounded the notion ofthe origin of cholera: miasma theory and germ theoryMiasma theory – diseases arise spontaneously fromswamps and decomposed material... Theory was rejectedby SnowGerm theory – disease is caused by activities ofmicroorganisms, prevailing within the body... Theory wasaccepted by Snow

Page 16: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Origin

In the 19th century, two theories surrounded the notion ofthe origin of cholera: miasma theory and germ theoryMiasma theory – diseases arise spontaneously fromswamps and decomposed material... Theory was rejectedby SnowGerm theory – disease is caused by activities ofmicroorganisms, prevailing within the body... Theory wasaccepted by Snow

Page 17: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Communication

Snow utilized case studies as a medium to study thediseaseSome conclusions of Snow in case study of John Barnes:

Hypothesized the incubation period of the disease to bethree daysPhysical contact with an infected victim could lead to theonset of disease

Subsequent case studies helped Snow learn of other waysof communication

Page 18: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Communication

Snow utilized case studies as a medium to study thediseaseSome conclusions of Snow in case study of John Barnes:

Hypothesized the incubation period of the disease to bethree daysPhysical contact with an infected victim could lead to theonset of disease

Subsequent case studies helped Snow learn of other waysof communication

Page 19: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Communication

Snow utilized case studies as a medium to study thediseaseSome conclusions of Snow in case study of John Barnes:

Hypothesized the incubation period of the disease to bethree daysPhysical contact with an infected victim could lead to theonset of disease

Subsequent case studies helped Snow learn of other waysof communication

Page 20: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Communication

Snow utilized case studies as a medium to study thediseaseSome conclusions of Snow in case study of John Barnes:

Hypothesized the incubation period of the disease to bethree daysPhysical contact with an infected victim could lead to theonset of disease

Subsequent case studies helped Snow learn of other waysof communication

Page 21: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Communication

Snow utilized case studies as a medium to study thediseaseSome conclusions of Snow in case study of John Barnes:

Hypothesized the incubation period of the disease to bethree daysPhysical contact with an infected victim could lead to theonset of disease

Subsequent case studies helped Snow learn of other waysof communication

Page 22: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Outline

1 Who is John Snow?

2 Cholera

3 1854 London Outbreak

4 Conclusion

Page 23: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Broad Street, Golden Square

Six week period, beginning August 19, 1854More than 575 deaths“... Mortality in this limited area probably equals any thatwas ever caused in this country, even by the plague.”[Sno36]

Page 24: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Broad Street, Golden Square

Six week period, beginning August 19, 1854More than 575 deaths“... Mortality in this limited area probably equals any thatwas ever caused in this country, even by the plague.”[Sno36]

Page 25: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Broad Street, Golden Square

Six week period, beginning August 19, 1854More than 575 deaths“... Mortality in this limited area probably equals any thatwas ever caused in this country, even by the plague.”[Sno36]

Page 26: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

John Snow’s Rendition of the CF Cheffins Map [Fre99]

Page 27: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

The Epidemic

Page 28: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Hypotheses

Cholera is transmitted from person to person via fecal-oralrouteIncubation period is 24 to 48 hoursThe drinking water of the Broad Street Pump was thecause of the cholera outbreak

Page 29: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Hypotheses

Cholera is transmitted from person to person via fecal-oralrouteIncubation period is 24 to 48 hoursThe drinking water of the Broad Street Pump was thecause of the cholera outbreak

Page 30: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Hypotheses

Cholera is transmitted from person to person via fecal-oralrouteIncubation period is 24 to 48 hoursThe drinking water of the Broad Street Pump was thecause of the cholera outbreak

Page 31: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Testing Procedure

Tested the water of the Broad Street Pump onSeptember 3rd , and on several occasions over the twosubsequent daysObtained a list of registered cholera deaths from theGeneral Register OfficeConducted interviews of survivors, to the extent of victimsdrinking from the water of the Broad Street Pump

Page 32: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Testing Procedure

Tested the water of the Broad Street Pump onSeptember 3rd , and on several occasions over the twosubsequent daysObtained a list of registered cholera deaths from theGeneral Register OfficeConducted interviews of survivors, to the extent of victimsdrinking from the water of the Broad Street Pump

Page 33: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Testing Procedure

Tested the water of the Broad Street Pump onSeptember 3rd , and on several occasions over the twosubsequent daysObtained a list of registered cholera deaths from theGeneral Register OfficeConducted interviews of survivors, to the extent of victimsdrinking from the water of the Broad Street Pump

Page 34: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Action to Control the Epidemic

Utilized his map and empirical evidence, to convince theBoard of Guardians remove the handle of the Broad StreetPumpA mere 48 fatal attacks occurred, following the removal ofthe handle of the Broad Street Pump, indicative that thewater feeding the Broad Street Pump could be the sourceof the cholera epidemic

Page 35: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow’s Action to Control the Epidemic

Utilized his map and empirical evidence, to convince theBoard of Guardians remove the handle of the Broad StreetPumpA mere 48 fatal attacks occurred, following the removal ofthe handle of the Broad Street Pump, indicative that thewater feeding the Broad Street Pump could be the sourceof the cholera epidemic

Page 36: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Relative Locations of Deaths/Pumps

Page 37: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Outline

1 Who is John Snow?

2 Cholera

3 1854 London Outbreak

4 Conclusion

Page 38: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

John Snow’s actions during the August/September 1854London cholera epidemic, were truly that of anEpidemiologist

Snow proposed several hypotheses, including how thedisease is spread, and the source of the disease.He then examined the General Register’s list of registereddeaths from cholera, and examined the drinking habits ofboth infected and non-infected personsUtilized graphical and empirical evidence to persuade theBoard of Guardians remove the handle of the Broad StreetPump

Epidemiology: “The study of the distribution anddeterminants of health-related states or events in specifiedpopulations, and the application of this study to control ofhealth problems” [Las00]

Page 39: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

John Snow’s actions during the August/September 1854London cholera epidemic, were truly that of anEpidemiologist

Snow proposed several hypotheses, including how thedisease is spread, and the source of the disease.He then examined the General Register’s list of registereddeaths from cholera, and examined the drinking habits ofboth infected and non-infected personsUtilized graphical and empirical evidence to persuade theBoard of Guardians remove the handle of the Broad StreetPump

Epidemiology: “The study of the distribution anddeterminants of health-related states or events in specifiedpopulations, and the application of this study to control ofhealth problems” [Las00]

Page 40: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

John Snow’s actions during the August/September 1854London cholera epidemic, were truly that of anEpidemiologist

Snow proposed several hypotheses, including how thedisease is spread, and the source of the disease.He then examined the General Register’s list of registereddeaths from cholera, and examined the drinking habits ofboth infected and non-infected personsUtilized graphical and empirical evidence to persuade theBoard of Guardians remove the handle of the Broad StreetPump

Epidemiology: “The study of the distribution anddeterminants of health-related states or events in specifiedpopulations, and the application of this study to control ofhealth problems” [Las00]

Page 41: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

John Snow’s actions during the August/September 1854London cholera epidemic, were truly that of anEpidemiologist

Snow proposed several hypotheses, including how thedisease is spread, and the source of the disease.He then examined the General Register’s list of registereddeaths from cholera, and examined the drinking habits ofboth infected and non-infected personsUtilized graphical and empirical evidence to persuade theBoard of Guardians remove the handle of the Broad StreetPump

Epidemiology: “The study of the distribution anddeterminants of health-related states or events in specifiedpopulations, and the application of this study to control ofhealth problems” [Las00]

Page 42: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

John Snow’s actions during the August/September 1854London cholera epidemic, were truly that of anEpidemiologist

Snow proposed several hypotheses, including how thedisease is spread, and the source of the disease.He then examined the General Register’s list of registereddeaths from cholera, and examined the drinking habits ofboth infected and non-infected personsUtilized graphical and empirical evidence to persuade theBoard of Guardians remove the handle of the Broad StreetPump

Epidemiology: “The study of the distribution anddeterminants of health-related states or events in specifiedpopulations, and the application of this study to control ofhealth problems” [Las00]

Page 43: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

CDC.General Information on cholera. Centers for DiseaseControl and Prevention.Retrieved January 19, 2009 fromhttp://www.cdc.gov/nczved/dfbmd/disease_listing/cholera_gi.html, March 2008.

R. R. Frerichs.John Snow – a historical giant in epidemiology.Retrieved January 19, 2009 fromhttp://www.ph.ucla.edu/epi/snow.html, 1999.

JM Last.A Dictionary of Epidemiology.Oxford University Press, New York, NY, 2000.

J. Snow.

Page 44: John Snow’s Contribution to Modern Epidemiologysymanzik/teaching/2009_stat... · London cholera epidemic, were truly that of an Epidemiologist Snow proposed several hypotheses,

Who is John Snow? Cholera 1854 London Outbreak Conclusion

Snow on Cholera: Being a Reprint of Two Papers by JohnSnow, M.D. Together with a Biographical Memoir by B. W.Richardson, M.D. and an Introduction by Wade HamptonFrost, M.D.The Commonwealth Fund & Oxford University Press, NewYork, NY & London, U.K., 1936.

D. Vachon.Doctor John Snow Blames Water Pollution for CholeraEpidemic.Old News, 16(8):8–10, 2005.


Recommended