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Journals:Subscriptions
SubstitutionsCancellations
Chandra PrabhaResearch Scientist
Carolyn HankResearch Intern*
XXV Annual Charleston ConferenceNovember 3, 2005
*Currently TRLN Doctoral Fellow, UNC-Chapel Hill
Presentation Overview
• Research question• ARL
• Specific objectives• Commonly used terms
• This presentation available online:http://www.oclc.org/research/presentations/prabha/charleston05.ppt
Presentation Overview
• Research question• ARL
• Specific objectives• Commonly used
terms
• Study design • Data collection
• Findings• Forecasting
Association of Research Libraries (ARL)
Established December 29, 1932
Formed to provide avenue for discussing common concerns and to organize coordinated actions
42 Charter Members
Sources: http://www.arl.org/pubscat/pubs/celebrating70/history.html
http://www.arl.org/pubscat/pubs/celebrating70/members.html
Association of Research Libraries (ARL)
Scholarly Communication
Public Policies
Advancing Goals
Fostering Exchange
Source: http://www.arl.org/arl/arlfacts.html
Association of Research Libraries (ARL)
Scholarly Communication
Public Policies
Advancing Goals
Fostering Exchange
Source: http://www.arl.org/arl/arlfacts.html
123 Current Members
Criteria for membership
Source: http://www.arl.org/members.html http://www.arl.org/newsltr/197/criteria.html
Specific Objectives
% of active subscriptions
characteristics of cancelled subscriptions
% of journals received in both p- and e- format
% of journals subscribed in print only
% of journals subscribed solely in e- format.
Journal Access Frequently Used Terms
Journals
e-Journals
Open Access Journals
Publisher Packages
Journal Aggregators
Full-Text Databases
Journal ManagementFrequently Used Terms
Subscriptions• Current or Active• Ceased
Cancellations
Format Substitution
Duplication
Archiving • Digital• Print
Study Design
Journals subscribed by ARL
Sampling
Unit of analysis
Journal status and journal format(s)
ARL Journals OCLC WorldCat
Members indicate subscribed journals• Example: Princeton University PUL
ARL members: • Subscribe to 200,000 unique titles• Combined holdings – 2,000,000
Excluded non-university ARL members:• Public libraries• Federal libraries and archives• State libraries• Research libraries
Sampling Process
Journals are coded in the fixed fields of the MARC record.
Coding in the fixed fields indicate whether journal is active or has ceased.
Sample Source WorldCat Database
Subset of ARL Periodical Subscriptions
Initial Sample Size 547
J ournals
Corrected Sample Size
529
J ournal Subscriptions Found in Libraries’ Online Catalogs
516
Number of Ceased Subscriptions
Not Shown in WorldCat 16
J ournals not Found in Local Online Catalogs
13
Data Collection
OPACs• Catalog Record• ISSN 0011-1384 University of Alabama;
• http://library.ua.edu/cgi-bin/Pwebrecon.cgi?DB=local&PAGE=bbSearch
• Link Tool• E.g. SFX • http://www.exlibrisgroup.com/sfx.htm• http://www.lib.ua.edu/ejournals/
Library Staff• Via email and/or phone
Subscriptions & Cancellations
2002 Sample Size
516
2004 Sample Size
516
2004 Active Subscriptions
416
2002 Active Subscriptions
417
2002 Cancelled Subscriptions
99
2004 Cancelled Subscriptions
91
Make-Up of Collections2002 & 2004
268 64%
200 47%
20 5%
7919%
129 31%
143 34%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
To
tal
Su
bscri
pti
on
s
Print Only Electronic Only Both
2002
2004
Shifts in Subscription of Dual Formats
8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2002 2004
P & E Formats
Print Cancellations
31%
23%
Make-Up of Journal Collections in 2008
Between 2002 & 2004:
• Print only subscriptions decreased by 14%• Electronic only subscriptions increased by 16%
At this rate of change, in 2008:
• 53% of subscriptions will be in p-format• 84% of subscriptions will be in e-format
Journals: Subscriptions, Substitutions, Cancellations
Chandra Prabha & Carolyn Hank
XXV Annual Charleston ConferenceNovember 3, 2005
614-764-6086
http://www.oclc.org/research/presentations/prabha/charleston05.ppt