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  • 8/6/2019 JPM Global and European M a Trends

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    o a & tren s

    Global deal value amounted to $867bn in 1Q 2011 with 2,683 deals, an increase of 5.6% over 4Q 2010 and 28.5% compared to 1Qlast year

    The number of $1bn plus transactions is up 44% in1Q 2011 with 148 deals compared to 100 deals in 1Q 2010

    The Americas accounts for 50% of global targeted M&A activity year-to-date, driven by an 69% increase in North American targeted M&A

    Eight of the top 10 M&A deals were US targeted companies, including, $39bn acquisition of T-Mobile by AT&T, $25.8bn acquisition ofProgress Energy by Duke Energy, $14.9bn spin-off of Mosaic and $12.5bn bid by Deutsche Boerse for NYSE Euronext

    Global annualized M&A value in 2011 indicate M&A activity would increase 25% to $3.5bn over last years $2.8bn

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    A

    N

    M E R G E R

    2 E U R O P

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    Global M&A value rebounded in 2010 after bottomin in 2009

    o a & tren s

    9793,468

    3,887

    4,593

    4,000

    5,000$10bn Annualised

    5yrs2yrs

    (49)%

    $bn

    1,091 1,315 1,1811,514

    1,995

    1,127 1,229275

    775

    1,176 980

    330372

    664

    1,050746

    535

    397

    1,533

    2,305

    ,

    1,7291,301 1,439

    2,046

    2,9263,130

    2,272

    2,7793,213

    1 068

    2,000

    3,000

    2yrs(61)%

    3yrs+162%

    113 151 179 192 227 166 156 169 206 242 268 316 289 212 251 63234 320 362 446

    475 333 318 342 424545 641 769 613 432 562

    135122 207

    230 308321

    186 181 179259 293

    415 355223

    341

    93445

    580 758 712 480 555442

    153166

    135867

    0

    1,000

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# of4,611 6,237 7,419 8,290 9,719 6,959 6,835 6,835 8,364 10,080 11,623 13,831 11,969 8,949 10,865 2,683

    Global M&A value by acquirer region, 19962011YTDGlobal M&A value by target region, 19962011YTD

    EM EA Americas APAC EM EA Americas APAC

    Source: Dealogic

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    66% 67% 71%54% 55% 53% 43% 44% 47% 45% 46% 42% 39% 43% 45% 50%

    8% 10% 13% 14% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 19% 23% 23% 20%7% 7% 5%

    65% 65% 65%50% 46% 52% 43% 47% 47% 44% 44% 38% 35%

    43% 42% 48%

    10% 12% 14% 15% 15% 17% 17% 16% 19% 24% 25% 21%7%4%7%5%

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    Source:

    27% 26% 25%38% 35% 34% 42% 40% 37% 38% 40% 43% 42% 34% 32% 31%

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    30% 29% 32%43% 43% 37% 43% 38% 37% 39% 40% 34% 33% 31%

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic A

    N

    M E R G E R

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    urope & tren s

    Euro ean M&A value is steadil recoverin An Euro ean Involvement bn

    845Less than $100mm $100mm500mm $500mm1bn $1bn10bn Greater than $10bn

    1,400

    MSCI Euro e Index

    Indexvalues

    11294

    318

    12583

    406

    472

    400358

    542

    480505

    545

    371407

    477

    347356

    800

    1,000

    ,

    53 66 58 76 67 70 72 86 86 8686 93 95 77 63 48 51 48 51 56 55 47

    36 38 30 41 41 57 4473 54 73 68 59 53 63

    44 32 23 25 1930 29 29 33 40 45

    101137 171

    159127

    180 163

    243218

    338

    191276

    165 147158

    150

    90 101 115109 112 137

    154 158 178

    76 38101 212 66 51 24

    8598

    56 15 3554 41 14

    48 4670

    214 217 198228

    266 249 251312 321-

    200

    400

    600

    24 25 26 29 25 26 28 28 28 29 35 34 34 34 27 20 17 19 18 22 19 21 20 23 20

    1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q110

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSet

    # ofdeals 914 1,007 1,005 1,164 1,015 1,125 1,125 1,216 1,217 1,277 1,399 1,439 1,411 1,289 1,061 639 716 720 881 765 765 816 822855 905

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    European M&A increased in 1Q 2011 to $356bn, up 12% from last quarter and up 48.7% from 1Q last year, while the MSCI Europe Index

    was up 3.1% in 1Q 2011Although the deal value increased, the number of deals above $10mm in 1Q 2011 fell by 9.2% to 822 from 4Q 2010, but increased 7.5%over the same period last year &

    A C Q U I S I T

    Source:

    The mid-market deals also increased 46% to 64 deals from 44 deals in 1Q 2010

    Withdrawn deals fell by 61% over the last quarter to $125bn, including $9bn bid by Merk & Co to acquire Sanofi-Aventis Merial AnimalHealth Business and $8.8bn acquisition of Capital Shopping Centres by Simon Property Group

    A

    N

    M E R G E R

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    European trends in public status and consi

    Non-cash consideration was highest in 1Q2011

    85% 88% 86% 87%

    67% 70%76% 72% 72% 70% 77%

    58%

    2%5% 6% 5%

    9% 4%9%

    8% 10% 15% 2%

    19%

    2%1% 2% 1%

    8% 13%3% 9% 6% 1% 7% 15%

    6% 7% 8%15% 14% 12% 11% 12% 14% 15%

    8%11%

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

    Cas h Stock Mixed Others

    1Q11 target composition has remained similar 4Q 2010

    54% 60% 55%45%

    35% 42%50% 46% 44% 41% 42% 44%

    26%29% 34%

    31% 47% 37%36%

    31%42%

    30%

    41% 39%

    20%10% 12%

    25% 18% 22%15%

    23%13%

    28%17% 17%

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

    Pub Pv t Others

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Others includes Government, Assets sale, JVs, Consortium

    E U R O P E

    A N

    M E R G E R S

    &

    A C Q U I S I T I O N S

    R E V I E W

    eration

    Use of earn-outs in M&A had been increasing ($bn)

    1 8

    . 7

    1 0

    . 1

    1 1

    . 6

    1 1

    . 2

    1 2

    . 7

    2 8

    . 2

    3 2

    . 1

    2 5

    . 23

    2 . 0

    3 9

    . 7

    5 1

    . 4

    1 4

    . 3

    3 . 1

    2 .

    2 4

    . 0 7

    . 3 9 .

    1 9

    . 4 1 2

    . 9

    2 . 6

    9 .

    0 8

    . 3

    2 .

    5

    4 . 6

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102011YTD

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    Total earnout deal val Total earnout v al Earnout deals % of total Eur M&A

    1Q11 saw larger participation by public acquirers

    57% 56%37% 45%

    48%58% 50%

    65% 62% 61% 62%69%

    34% 30%

    17%13%

    23%

    28%

    20%

    26% 24% 26% 24%18%

    6% 9%

    44% 39%24%

    11% 11% 8% 13% 6%

    20%

    4%7%

    1%5%

    3%10%5%6%

    4%3%1%4%5%

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

    Pub Pv t Gov t ot hers

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Others includes Spin-offs, JVs, Consortium, Private investors

    6

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    va a ty o qu ty w t arge uropean compan es

    Total cash and short term investments available with large Total retained earnin s for lar e Euro ean com aniesEuropean companies is $1.5trn, the highest in the past 10 years

    Cash as a % debt has increased to 11.4%, against 7.1% duringthe peak in 2008

    Top 10 corporates have $222bn in cash (15% of total cash).

    has built up in last 2 years ($bn)

    1,200

    1,400D iv i dend Buy bac ks R et ent ion

    These include Volkswagen, EDF, Siemens, Enel SpA, TotalSA, BP, Daimler, Nestle, Fiat and BHP Billiton

    Total retained earnings for large European companies is $471bn,level similar to the peak of 2007

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Top 10 companies have retained earnings of $74bn with anavg. retention of 82%, against the total of 65%. These includeGazprom, BHP Billiton, Vodafone, Anglo American, Daimler,Novartis, AP Moller-Maersk, Xstrata, Investor and BMW

    0

    200

    2010200920082007200620052004200320022001

    Cash & short term investments available with largeEuropean companies is the highest in the past 10 years

    1,526 1,600

    1,80016%Cash ($bn) Cash % of debt

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Net inc. 161 69 361 527 663 790 1,160 615 575 883

    Dividend 111 125 147 204 240 335 416 428 341 305

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    1,412

    1,1721,142985

    843846715

    541491 600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    uy ac 50 73 59 104 148 182 271 204 83 106

    Retainedearning

    (1) (129) 155 219 275 273 472 (17) 151 471

    Payoutratio

    69% 182% 41% 39% 36% 42% 36% 70% 59% 35% & A C Q U

    I S I T

    0

    200

    400

    20102009200820072006200520042003200220010%

    2%

    4%

    Buyback% divs 45% 58% 40% 51% 62% 54% 65% 48% 24% 35%

    Retainedearnings

    growth

    NM NM 41% 26% (1%) 73% NM NM 213%

    A

    N

    M E R G E R

    . . ,Note: Large companies refers to companies with a market cap of $1bn and above

    7 E U R O P

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    uropean nanc a sponsor tren s

    Exits b financial s onsors boosted the Euro ean s onsor related M&A value in 1Q2011 $bn

    140

    Less than $100mm $100mm500mm $500mm1bn $1bn10bn Greater than $10bnDry powder ($bn)

    2009 - $273bn

    300

    350

    21

    16

    1194

    126

    103

    87

    114

    2010 - $173bn

    2010 - $248bn

    200

    250

    3837

    37 28

    3866

    57

    79

    45 59

    2131 24 35

    14

    11

    12 39

    50

    77

    60

    73

    67

    53

    65

    54

    28

    44

    58

    32

    64 71

    50

    2009 - $119bn100

    150

    4 5 6 5 4 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 4 5 4 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 212 18 14

    2012 14 13

    23 16 23 19 15 18 12 124 5 5 8

    10 9 9 11 9 8

    1012 11

    107

    18 1015

    1713 7 16 13

    5 2 4 15 4

    9 9 16 123 9 8

    1625

    1723 12

    191813

    1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q110

    50

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    Financial sponsor related M&A increased to $50bn, up 28% from last quarter and up 56% from 1Q 2010

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, Prequin

    # ofdeals

    192 228 236 239 186 184 226 254 241 266 267 225 210 209 186 87 83 77 116 139 104 131 127139 126

    &

    A C Q U

    I S I T

    ,Mid-market deals reduced to 17 deals in 1Q 2011 against 22 deals in 4Q 2010, but were three times the deals in 1Q last year

    1Q2011 saw the highest quarterly financial sponsor exits (excluding SBO) amounting to $22bn, since the market peak in 3Q 2007with $23.5bn

    A

    N

    M E R G E R

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    uropean nanc a sponsor tren s cont

    Euro ean financial s onsor deal t e 2010 vs. 2011 YTD To 10 financial s onsors b deal value 2011YTD

    17%

    28%

    Entry Exit SBO

    Financial sponsor Deal value ($mm) No. % share

    EQT Partners AB 8,984 3 12.80%

    TPG Capital LP 3,459 4 4.93%

    Barclays Private Equity Ltd 3,240 2 4.61%

    LBO France SA 3,200 1 4.56%

    CVC Capital Partners Ltd 2,792 6 3.98%Permira Ltd 2,738 4 3.90%

    Advent International Corp 2,261 4 3.22%

    PAI Partners 2,154 2 3.07%38%

    39%2010YTD 2011 YTD

    Largest announced financial sponsor M&A deals with any European involvement, 2011YTD

    ac s one roup , .

    Terra Firma Capital Partners 1,909 1 2.72%

    Deal value Target AcquirorAnn. Date ($mm) Target Acquiror nationality nationality FS Role Financial Sponsor21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg Liberty Global Inc Germany US Target EQT Partners AB

    29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group (90%) General Electric Co France US Target;Target

    LBO France SA;Barclays Private Equity Ltd

    07-Mar-11 2,625 CaridianBCT Holding Corp Terumo Corp US Japan Target EQT Partners AB I O N S

    R E V I E

    - e - , ey c anay ve care ageo p c ur ey arge ap a

    11-Jan-11 2,000 ELKEM AS (Silicon Materials, Foundry

    Products, Carbon and Elkem Solar)

    China National Chemical Corp Norway China Acquiror Blackstone Group LP

    01-Feb-11 1,909 EMI Group Ltd Citigroup Inc UK US Target Terra Firma Capital Partners Lt

    25-Feb-11 1,878 Dometic International AB EQT Partners AB Sweden Sweden Acquiror EQT Partners AB

    01-Feb-11 1 532 BorsodChem Rt 58% Wanhua Industrial Grou Co Ltd Hun ar China Tar et VCP Vienna Ca ital Partners &

    A C Q U

    I S I T

    ,Target Permira Ltd

    18-Jan-11 1,469 Priory Healthcare Holdings Advent International Corp UK UK Acquiror Advent International Corp

    11-Mar-11 1,200 Taikang Life Insurance (15.6%) Goldman Sachs; GIC; ChianGuardian Auctions

    China US Acquiror Goldman Sachs Capital Partners

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic A N

    M E R G E R

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    urope cross- or er & tren s

    European cross-border M&A was $131bn in 1Q2011, highest Euro ean cross-border M&A was at the hi hest level inlevel seen in the first quarter of any year since 2000

    The number of deals in 1Q 2010 also increased to 265 from 228in 1Q 2010

    last 11 years ($bn)

    13125 125 122

    131$10bn

    ,

    21 in 1Q 2010Cross-border activity formed 61% of the total European M&A in2011, against 55% in 2010

    This was driven b a 34% increase outbound M&A

    84

    24 36

    5354

    66

    8037 12

    27 1494

    36 4041

    81

    59

    95

    Oil & gas was the top sector for cross-border activity in 1Q 2011,contributing 19% of the outbound M&A and 35% of the inboundM&A in Europe

    21 14 10 8 12 1217 23

    2615 16

    1514 11 9

    1016

    101720 12

    13 1615

    5965 6444446 7 72 3 4

    26

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    100% stack bars for

    2011 cross-border formed 61% of total European M&A

    Less than$100mm $100500mm $500mm1bn $110bn

    Greaterthan $10bn Total

    2001 (20.2)% (31.7)% (6.0)% (71.5)% NM (25.3)%

    Y/Y growth by deal size

    11% 11%

    Domes tic Inf low Outf low Within Europe

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    omes c, n ow,outflow, within Europe

    2002 (23.0)% (30.1)% (84.0)% (16.7)% NM (61.7)%2003 0.5% (15.8)% 22.1% (41.8)% NM (26.1)%2004 1.8% 39.0% 302.2% 16.4% NM 50.5%2005 7.0% 6.6% (21.4)% 17.7% NM 2.8%2006 37.6% 37.5% 17.7% 126.1% NM 98.1%

    67% 71%

    9%

    18%12%

    11%6%

    10% 8% 12% 21% 7%24%

    23%

    19% 27% 13%

    6% 12%

    10% 11% 15% 13% 21%

    20%22%

    31% 26% 30% 29% 25% 26%

    &

    A C Q U

    I S I T

    . . . . . .2008 34.0% 15.2% 15.4% 2.9% (47.6)% (2.6)%2009 (56.6)% (72.9)% (78.4)% (71.4)% 96.0% (52.1)%2010 21.1% 106.3% 143.5% 384.2% NM 77.9%2011 21.2% 8.1% 70.9% 21.8% NM 37.9%

    55%36% 44%

    54% 51% 44% 41% 46% 46% 39%

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 A N

    M E R G E R

    ource: . . organ, ea og c,Note: Represents 1Q data for all years

    10 E U R O P

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    urope cross- or er & tren s cont

    Inbound and outbound M&A with Euro e involvement 2011YTD

    # of deals

    South and SE Asia

    $1.4bnDeal value

    7

    North Asia

    $10.1bnDeal value # of deals

    24

    North America

    $44.1bnDeal value # of deals

    89$17.6bn 21$3.6bn 16$30.8bn 47

    Outbound

    Inbound Overall

    Deal value # of deals

    Legend

    $67.7bn$63.8bn

    140126

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U

    I S I T

    $11.4bn$4.4bn

    Deal value # of deals1516

    $0.3bn$0.3bn

    Deal value # of deals49

    $0.3bn$7.1bn

    Deal value # of deals117

    A N

    M E R G E R

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

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    urope cross- or er & tren s cont

    Inbound and outbound M&A with Euro e involvement b sectors 2011YTD

    $4.8bn$9.7bn $8.0bn $5.0bn $1.2bn$1.7bn $1.3bn $0.1bn $0.0bn

    South and SE AsiaNorth AsiaNorth America

    .. . . .. . . .

    DiversifiedFIG

    LegendInboundOutbound Overall

    $12.7bn $11.0bn $10.2bnTechnologyTrans/PP/BPConsumerReal estateHealthcareMining

    $22.2bn $19.8bn $6.3bn

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    Oil & GasMediaRetailTelecommunicationsUtility & Energy

    &

    A C Q U

    I S I T

    Australasia

    $0.2bn

    $0.1bn $0.1bn $0.1bn

    Africa and Middle East

    $2.8bn $0.4bn

    $3.6bn $0.2bn

    $7.6bn

    $0.3bn

    Latin America

    $0.3bn

    $3.1bn $2.1bn $0.9bn

    $0.1bn $0.0bn

    A N

    M E R G E R

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    12 E U R O P

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    urope ransat ant c tren s

    Transatlantic M&A value b deal size 20002011YTDTranslantic M&A with Euro ean tar ets amounted to $44bn in 1Q(European targets) ($bn)2011, up 34% from 4Q 2010 and up 45% from 1Q 2010

    Deals greater than $1bn were flat compared to the last quarterwith eight deals including $6.5bn acquisition of E.ON UK Plc byPPL Cor , the $6bn ac uisition of Danisco b EI du Pont de

    177154

    $10bn Annualised

    Nemours and the $4.5bn acquisition of Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg by Liberty Global

    Mid-market deals amounted to $8bn in 1Q 2011, up 29% fromlast uarter and u 68% from 1Q last ear 7 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 5 7 2

    20 15 15 11 20 23 23 27 25 18 22 7

    16 12 6 1014 12 19

    25 193

    158

    5323 28 31

    2343 27

    6338

    3648

    27

    1010

    1522

    1496

    55 5468 64

    86 86

    107

    84

    105

    44

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Lar est announced transatlantic M&A deals involvin Euro ean tar ets 2011YTD

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    # ofdeals 323 247 216 205 299 315 305 353 371 216 302 89

    Ann. Date Deal Value ($mm) Target Acquiror Target nationality Acquiror Nationality

    1-Mar-11 6,468 E.ON UK plc PPL Corp United Kingdom United States

    9-Jan-11 6,117 Danisco A/S EI du Pont de Nemours & Co Denmark United States21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg GmbH & Co KG Liberty Global Inc Germany United States I O

    N S

    R E V I E

    29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group SAS (90%) General Electric Co France United States14-Feb-11 2,903 TransContainer OAO (20.38%) Bank of New York Russian Federation United States1-Feb-11 1,909 EMI Group Ltd Citigroup Inc United Kingdom United States18-Mar-11 1,118 Yoplait SAS (51%) General Mills Inc France United States11-Mar-11 1,000 Chevron Corp (Inventory & Other Items) Valero Energy Corp United Kingdom United States &

    A C Q U

    I S I T

    24-Jan-11 957 LyondellBasell Industries NV (6.03758%) Access Industries Netherlands United States23-Mar-11 955 Unilever plc (Sanex brand ) Colgate-Palmolive Co United Kingdom United States

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

    13 E U R O P

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    urope ransat ant c tren s cont

    Transatlantic M&A value b deal size 20002011YTDTranslantic M&A with Euro ean ac uirers doubled from last(European acquirors) ($bn)quarter to $31bn in 1Q 2011, and up 30% from 1Q 2010

    Only one $10bn plus deal was announced during 1Q with the$12.5bn agreed acquisition of NYSE Euronext by DeutscheBoerse

    278327

    $10bn Annualised

    Mid-market deals amounted to $2.7bn in 1Q 2011, up 52% fromlast quarter and doubled from 1Q last year

    8 6 4 4 4 4 4 6 7 4 4 128 15 11 7 14 15 18 20 18 10 16 321

    6 3 1 9 9 1421 14 9 6 3

    138

    41 26 11 1372 65

    153

    5520 60

    12

    12 14 10

    50

    77

    117

    2824

    13

    123

    8058

    2450

    100152

    71110

    31

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 418 267 182 149 193 224 217 218 312 191 222 48

    ,

    Ann. Date Deal value ($mm) Target Acquiror Target Nationality Acquiror nationality15-Feb-11 12,543 NYSE Euronext (Bid No 1) Deutsche Boerse AG United States Germany7-Feb-11 8,718 Pride International Inc Ensco plc United States United Kingdom9-Feb-11 3,218 TMX Group Inc London Stock Exchange Group plc Canada United Kingdom I O

    N S

    R E V I E

    7-Mar-11 768 Oil & Gas Assets (Gas block in Alaska) Repsol YPF SA United States Spain

    18-Jan-11 685 Danaher Corp (Pacific Scientific Aerospace business) Meggitt plc United States United Kingdom21-Feb-11 677 Zoran Corp CSR plc United States United Kingdom24-Mar-11 635 Vector Aerospace Corp European Aeronautic Defence & Space Canada Netherlands

    26-Jan-11 479 Sherritt International Corp (18.27%) M&G Investment Management Ltd Canada United Kingdom & A C Q U

    I S I T

    24-Jan-11 453 Genoptix Inc Novartis AG United States Switzerland

    4-Mar-11 324 Property Portfolio (Former NBA Store ) Inditex SA- Industria de Diseno Textil United States SpainSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    uropean tren s n ost e ea s

    Hostile/unsolicited offers on Euro ean tar ets increased 40% in 1Q 2011 $bn

    30

    43222

    Cash Share Mixed

    10 9

    149

    711130

    71

    2 10 23

    12

    1 43 20 2 0

    43

    81

    10 13 1 5 7

    83

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 0 3 1 3 2 4 18 17 17 8 10 8

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    Note: Represents 1Q data for all years

    Top European hostile deals, 2011YTD

    Ann. date Deal value ($mm) Target Acquiror Target nationality Acquiror nationality18-Feb-11 3,945 Alpha Bank AE National Bank of Greece SA Greece Greece21-Mar-11 2,815 Imerys SA (25.61%) Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA - GBL France Belgium

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    - - . -07-Jan-11 60 Duc Lamothe Participations SA (22.4%) Fonciere PH Green - FPHG France France

    08-Mar-11 50 Tharreau Industries SA (85.3%) Schouw & Co A/S France Denmark21-Feb-11 33 Compagnie Financiere Geo (Cofigeo) (61%) Compagnie Des Minquiers SAS France France11-Mar-11 17 Mintails Ltd (86.2%) Private Investor (Seager Rex Harbour) Australia Monaco18-Jan-11 12 Pharms nthez OAO 34.3% E ha AS Russian Federation Estonia

    &

    A C Q U

    I S I T

    .Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    European trends in control premiums

    European unsolicited control premiums median reducedin 1Q 2011 vs. 4Q 2010

    2 2

    2

    2 5

    ( 2 )

    69

    4 3

    3 3

    1 7

    1 5

    9

    2 5

    1 6

    2 8

    5

    ( 1 )

    2 3

    4 9

    3 6

    2 0

    1 6

    3 3

    4 2

    1 3

    4

    2 0

    1 6

    5 1

    3 6

    1 9

    1 6

    4 0

    1 7

    2 3

    ( 1 )

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

    One-day % median One-week % median One-month % medianAvg -Avg -

    Avg -

    European 1 month median control premiums byconsideration, last 12 quarters

    3 1

    2 0 2

    3

    3 5

    3 4

    2 5

    2 4

    1 8

    3 1

    2 9 3

    3

    6

    ( 1 2 )

    ( 8 )

    2 8

    5 4

    1 7

    2 9

    1 5

    2 2

    2 1

    5 7

    4

    1 6

    2 8

    3 7

    3 0

    2 1

    1 4

    2 6

    3

    9

    1 6

    2 3

    3 0

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q1

    Cash Share Mixed

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    Avg - 2Avg - 1

    Avg - 2

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    E U R O P E A N

    M E R G E R S

    &

    A C Q U I S I T I O N S

    R E V I E W

    European friendly control premiums median reduced in1Q 2011 vs. 4Q 2010

    2 2

    1 7

    2 3

    2 0

    1 6

    1 3

    1 7

    1 3

    2 3

    2 1

    1 9

    1 3

    2 2

    2 0

    2 9

    2 7

    1 7

    1 6

    2 1

    1 1

    2 9

    2 3

    1 8

    3

    1

    1 9

    2 3

    3 5

    3 3

    2 6

    2 1

    1 4

    2 8 3

    0

    1 7 2

    0 2 4

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

    One-day % median One-week % median One-month % medianAvg - 21Avg - 25

    Avg - 18

    2324

    16

    The spread between the European 1 month mediandomestic and cross-border control premiums is widening

    3 6

    3 1 3

    2

    4 8

    4 1

    3 6

    2 5

    2 2

    3 4

    3 3 3

    6

    1 8

    1 1 1

    3

    1 8

    2 8

    2 4

    1 9

    1 4 1

    6

    2 5

    1 4

    2 9

    1 0

    2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

    Cross-border Domestic

    1

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    Avg- 17Avg- 34

    38

    7

    16

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    uropean tren s y country

    The UK remained the biggest market by deal value with $110bn, followed by Germany with $82bn and France with $45bn

    Russian deal value increased more than five times in 1Q 2011 compared to 1Q 2010 to reach $37bn, while other key growth marketsincluded Italy ($31bn) and Germany ($82bn) which trebled, Nordic ($35bn) which doubled and UK +76%, Iberia +45% and France +43%.

    The fall in deal value during 1Q 2011 was in the Benelux region, which declined by 8% compared to 1Q 2010 ($32bn)

    s me as year w zer an was e mos ac ve acqu rer w a mar e s are o , u s ppe o n n pos on w a mar e s are o

    3% in 1Q 2011, replaced by UK as the most active acquirer with 27% market share compared to 20% last year

    Euro ean tar ets b countr Euro ean ac uirers b countr

    17% 17%

    UK Russia Italy Spain Germany France Denmark Netherlands Sweden Ot hers

    15%

    UK Germany F rance It aly R us sia Spain Net herlands B elgium Switzerland Ot hers

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    5%

    4%3%

    16%

    14%

    4%5%

    13%

    38%2010YTD

    2011 YTD 4%

    3%3%

    7%

    27%20%

    7%

    10%

    3%

    28%

    11%

    2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    8% 13%

    11%

    10%7%1%4%

    4% 12%9%

    10%10%

    3%7%10%

    1%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic A N

    M E R G E R

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    uropean tren s y n ustry

    Telecom was the lar est sector in Euro e in 1Q 2011Telecoms accounted for 17% of the M&A in 1Q 2011 compared to3% in 1Q 2010

    Transport/paper & packaging/building products has the highestamount of cash & short term investment available at $281bn,followed by utilities with $177bn. The least cash & short term 17%5%

    4%3%2%

    1% 1%

    Telecom FIG O&G Divs ConsUtilities Trans/PP /BP RE Health. Tech

    securities available is with real estate with $16bn

    Technology has the lowest gearing (total debt/total assets) of17.6%, followed by retail with 18.8%. Real estate has the highestgearing of 40.8%, followed by media with a gearing of 29.8%

    17%

    8%

    7%

    5%15%

    7%

    9%

    11%

    26%

    3%3%3%2%2%

    2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    16%14%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    5%4%

    Sector exit multiples vs. sector valuationTrans/PP/BP has the highest amount of cash available

    29x 27x24x30 30

    1Q2011 Industry avg.281

    300 50%

    Cash ($bn) Total debt/total assets I O N S

    R E V I E

    21x 20x 20x 19x 17x 16x 16x

    11x 10x 9x

    05

    1015

    2025

    r l P051015

    2025

    165 140118 104 94 85 80

    50 35 16

    177

    050

    100150

    200250

    P r l0%10%20%30%40%

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    R e a

    l e s

    t a t

    T e c

    h n o

    l o g F

    I

    M i n i n

    M e

    d i

    H e a

    l t h c a r

    T e

    l e c o

    C o n s u m e

    D i v e r s

    i f i e

    R e

    t a i

    O i l & G a

    T r a n s

    / P P / B

    U t i l i t i e s

    T r a n s

    / P P / B

    U t i l i t i e

    O i l & G a

    D i v e r s

    i f i e

    T e

    l e c o

    M e

    t a l / M i n i n

    C o n s u m e

    R e

    t a i

    H e a

    l t h c a r

    T e c

    h n o

    l o g

    M e

    d i

    R e a

    l E s

    t a t

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetSource: J.P. Morgan, FactSet A N

    M E R G E R

    .

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    uropean top ea s ana ys s

    Markets have ositivel reacted to ac uirers of to Euro ean deals in 2011 YTD.

    10%

    15%

    u n o

    f t h e

    Deutsche BoerseNYSE Euronext

    TotalNovatek

    AT&T

    LVMHBulgari

    Telefonica

    (5)%

    0%

    5%

    o n

    t h e x c e s s

    r e t

    a c q u i r e r

    Avg. 1 month excess return of acquirer : 4.1%EnscoPride International

    EI du Pont

    BP plcReliance Industries (O&G Blocks)

    at o na an oGreece Alpha Bank

    -

    BPRosneft

    Vivo Participacoes

    (10)%(10)% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    1 month premium

    1 de NemoursDanisco

    Acquirer analysis Target analysis

    Moody's Rating Broker Recommendation Moody's Rating Broker Recommendation

    Ann. Date $bn Target Acquiror - 3m +3m # of est. Change in rating - 3m +3m # of est. Change in rating

    with brokers upgrading most of the acquirers for the top European M&A in 2011 YTD

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    20-Mar-11 39.0 T-Mobile USA Inc AT&T Inc A2 A2 8 DW

    15-Feb-11 12.5 NYSE Euronext Deutsche Boerse AG WR WR 8 UP A3 A3 7 UP

    21-Feb-11 9.0 Reliance Ind. (23 O&G Blocks) BP plc A2 A2 10 UP Baa2 Baa2 14 DW7-Feb-11 8.7 Pride International Inc Ensco plc Ba1 Ba1 13 DW

    14-Jan-11 7.9 Rosneft OAO BP plc A2 A2 10 UP Baa1 Baa1 2 UP

    9-Jan-11 6.1 Danisco EI du Pont de Nemours A2 A2 3 UP 7 UP &

    A C Q U I S I T

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSet

    Note: Labels indicate ac uirer followed b tar et

    25-Mar-11 5.5 Vivo Participacoes SA Telefonica SA Baa1 Baa1 13 UP 3 DW

    7-Mar-11 5.5 Bulgari SpA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton 7 DW 12 DW

    2-Mar-11 4.8 Novatek OAO Total SA Aa1 Aa1 9 UP Baa3 Baa3

    18-Feb-11 3.9 Alpha Bank AE National Bank of Greece 1 DW WR WR 5 UP

    A N

    M E R G E R

    Since target is private, no data on premiums is available

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    Euro ean consumer & retail M&A value rebounded to $37bn in 1Q 2011, an increase of 51% a ainst the revious uarter and u 18%

    onsumer & eta

    against the same quarter last yearNumber of deals in the sector increased 15% to 170 against 148 in the same quarter last year$1bn plus deals increased to nine deals in this quarter against four deals in the same period last year

    An Euro ean involved consumer & retail M&A value constituted 56% of the lobal consumer and retail M&A value in this uarter a ainst45% in the same quarter last year

    Financial sponsor activity in the European consumer & retail sector increased 92% in 1Q 2011 compared to 1Q 2010 to $11bn with the$2.1bn divestment of Mey Icki Sanayi ve Ticaret by TPG Capital, which was the biggest consumer & retail sponsor related deal of thequarter

    Food & beverage continued to be the leading subsector accounting for 44% of the 1Q 2011 European consumer & retail M&A against 58%in 1Q 2010

    Cash available with large European consumer & retail companies has increased over the past five years to $137bn and the gearing fallingto 23%. Nestle has the highest available cash in the consumer & retail sector with $18.5bn

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    onsumer & eta cont

    Euro ean consumer & retail M&A value b deal size Euro ean consumer & retail M&A value as % of lobal

    251

    $10bn Annualised

    20002011YTD ($bn)

    M&A, 20002011YTD

    66%58% 55%

    62%56%60%

    70%

    13 12 12 13 15 15 16 1428 20 21 18 26 30 33 37 28 16 19 712 13 13 11 18

    24 25 20 168 20 7

    6135 40 39

    54 5854

    10755

    1752

    20

    66

    12 14

    18 19 71

    22

    148

    181

    92 84 93111 145

    146

    73101

    37

    23% 21%

    39% 40%

    28%23%

    10%

    20%

    30%40%

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Euro ean consumer & retail financial s onsor M&A

    0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 1,002 960 849 800 774 880 943 891 843 658 679 170

    97

    $10bn Annualised

    European consumer & retail by sub-sector, 2011YTD

    0%8%

    Food & Beverage Consumer Products Retail Leisure & Recreation Textile

    value, 20002011YTD ($bn)

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    5 58 15 7 8 11

    7 3 617

    1922

    53

    1211

    16

    21

    44

    2212 15

    19

    3643

    52

    3122

    34

    11

    44%

    18%

    58%11%

    17%

    10%4%

    2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 2 2 2 08 3 6 6 8 6 6 23 2

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 30%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    Note: Represents 1Q data for all years

    # ofdeals 134 119 129 127 147 184 186 199 123 104 117 31

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    onsumer & eta cont

    Consumer & retail median control remiums 20092011Consumer and retail balance sheet stren th last 5 ears

    32.0%

    40.3%

    30.0%

    45.0%C ons um er R et ail

    137

    109

    125

    106

    125

    120

    140

    160

    25%

    30%

    Cash ($ bn) To tal debt /t ot al as set s

    16.3%

    7.7%

    (5.5)%

    0.0%

    15.0%

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    5%

    10%

    15%

    To consumer & retail deals 2011YTD

    (15.0)%2009 2010 2011

    0Current2010200920082007

    0%

    Consumer and retail exit multi les vs. sector valuation

    Source: J.P. Morgan , FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums

    Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation

    Acquirornation

    9-Jan-11 6.1 Danisco A/S EI du Pont de Nemours Denmark US

    7-Mar-11 5.6 Bulgari SpA LVMH Italy France

    21-Feb-11 2.1 Mey Icki Sanayi ve Ticaret Diageo plc Turkey UK

    15.0x16.0x 16.6x

    18.7x

    15.8x

    14

    161820

    14

    161820

    Retail (M &A) Consumer (M &A) Retail (Actual) Consumer (actual)

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    25-Feb-11 1.9 Dometic International EQT Partners AB Sweden Sweden3-Mar-11 1.3 Delta Maxi doo Delhaize Group Serbia Belgium

    18-Mar-11 1.1 Phones 4u BC Partners Ltd UK UK18-Mar-11 1.1 Yoplait SAS General Mills Inc France US

    22-Mar-11 1.1 Parmalat SpA Lactalis Group, CreditAgricole , Societe Generale

    Italy France

    9.3x

    24

    68

    1012

    24

    68

    1012

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    23-Mar-11 1.0 Unilever plc Colgate-Palmolive Co UK US

    21-Jan-11 0.9 Northern Foods Boparan Holdings Ltd UK UKSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    02009 2010 2011

    0

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

    22 E U R O P

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    ea t care

    Euro ean healthcare M&A value increased 19% to $13bn in 1Q 2011 com ared to the revious uarter but was down 80% a ainst thesame quarter last year, due to the absence of a single $10bn transaction in 1Q 2011

    Number of deals in the sector decreased to 89 in 1Q 2011 against 107 in the same quarter last yearNumber of $1bn plus deals in European healthcare sector decreased to three deals in this quarter against five deals in the sameperiod last year

    Any European involved healthcare M&A value constituted 27% of the global healthcare M&A value in this quarter down from 82% in thesame quarter last year

    Financial sponsor activity in the European healthcare sector more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $8bn with 14 deals against $4bn in 1Q 2010

    1Q 2010

    Total cash available with large European healthcare firms is $73bn, of which 70% is held by five companies alone, including AstraZeneca,Roche Holding, GlaxoSmithKline, Sanofi-Aventis and Novartis

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    ea t care cont

    Healthcare median control remiums 20092011YTDHealthcare balance sheet stren th last 5 ears

    27.7%

    37.3%

    30.0%

    45.0%

    73

    86

    6471 73

    708090100

    25%

    30%Cash ($ bn) To tal debt /t ot al as set s

    13.3%15.0%

    1020304050

    60

    5%

    10%

    15%

    To Healthcare deals 2011YTD

    0.0%2009 2010 2011

    0Current2010200920082007

    0%

    Healthcare exit multi les vs. sector valuation

    Source: J.P. Morgan , FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums

    Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation

    Acquirornation

    07-Mar-11 2.6 CaridianBCT Holding Corp Terumo Corp US Japan

    18-Jan-11 1.5 Priory Healthcare Holdings Advent International UK UK

    07-Jan-11 1.2 Capio Sanidad SL CVC Capital Partners Spain Spain

    23.3x

    20.1x20

    25

    25

    30

    H ealt hc are (M &A ) H eat hc are (A c tuals )

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    28-Feb-11 0.9 Plexxikon Inc Daiichi Sankyo Co Ltd US Japan

    31-Jan-11 0.8 Quest Diagnostics Inc (9.9%) Quest Diagnostics Inc US US

    28-Jan-11 0.7 Integrated Dental Holdings Carlyle Group; PalamonCapital

    UK US

    23-Feb-11 0.7 SteriGenics International Inc GTCR US US

    04-Jan-11 0.6 Euromedic International (IDC) Fresenius Medical Care Hungary Germany

    . x

    5

    10

    15

    5

    10

    15

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    21-Feb-11 0.5 ProStrakan Group plc Kyowa Hakko Kirin Co UK Japan

    24-Jan-11 0.5 Genoptix Inc Novartis AG US Switss.2009 2010 2011

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    vers e

    Euro ean diversified M&A value more than doubled to $66bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst the same uarter last ear and is down 5% a ainst theprevious quarter

    Number of deals in the sector increased to 381 in 1Q 2011 against 352 deals in the same quarter last yearDeals in the range of $1bn-$10bn more than doubled to 10 deals in this quarter against four deals in the same period last yearThe first quarter saw the emergence of a $10bn plus transaction with the $18bn spin-off of Fiat Industrial by Fiat

    Any European involved diversified M&A value constituted 40% of the global diversified M&A value in this quarter up from 35% in thesame quarter last year

    Financial sponsor activity more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $12.6bn with 46 deals against $5.4bn in 1Q 2010

    o a cas ava a e w arge uropean vers e rms s n, o w c a mos a s w compan es, o swagen, emens,Daimler, Fiat, Audi, Peugeot, European Aeronautic Defence & Space, BMW, Vinci and Actividades de Construccion y Servicios

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    vers e cont

    Euro ean Diversified M&A value b deal size Euro ean Diversified M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)

    20002011YTD

    56%

    46%

    56%49% 47% 48%

    57% 55% 56%

    41% 40%50%

    60%

    498

    $10bn Annualised

    35%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    30 24 24 29 31 35 3357 43 41 27 45 54 63

    83 7029 43

    38 17 22 16 3938 52

    64 5316 29 10

    11757 77 74 60

    123153

    188119

    6997

    22

    12 13

    44 96 36

    1218

    264241

    141174

    139181

    288 310

    144191

    66

    Euro ean Diversified financial s onsor M&A value

    0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 2,125 1,871 1,790 1,448 1,576 1,882 2,010 2,165 2,079 1,398 1,511 381

    European Diversified by sub-sector, 2011YTD20002011 YTD ($bn)

    3% 0%0%

    M achinery Building M etal & Steel Chemicals Transp. Auto/TruckProf. Services Aerospace Agri. Paper Defense

    105121

    $10bn Annualised

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    0%

    10%

    10%

    31%7%

    17%

    9%14%

    9%

    3%

    13%1%

    1%

    2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    20 22 249 3 9 821 13 16 22 18

    105 9 1318

    23 2060

    67

    16 2812

    51

    29 2836 40

    70

    61 55

    28

    54

    13 &

    A C Q U I S I T

    11%

    12%

    15%26%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    5 5 5 6 6 8 7 7 5 3 4 110 10 9 8 7 12 25

    5

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 290 276 290 265 325 356 366 398 306 174 228 46

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    vers e cont

    Diversified median control remiums 20092011YTDDiversified balance sheet stren th last 5 ears

    24.1%25.5%

    19.5%20.0%

    25.0%

    30.0%

    352349

    275276

    331

    350

    400

    25%

    30%

    C ash ($ bn) Tot al debt /t ot al ass et s

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    To Diversified deals 2011YTD

    0.0%2009 2010 2011

    0Current2010200920082007

    0%

    Sector exit multi les vs. sector valuation

    Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums

    Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation

    Acquirornation

    3-Jan-11 18.0 Fiat Industrial Existing Shareholders Italy Italy

    26-Jan-11 4.9 Aperam (Stainless steel) Existing Shareholders Luxbourg Luxbourg

    9-Mar-11 3.3 Tognum AG (71.6%) Daimler; Rolls-Royce Germany Germany

    18.2x16.9x 16.3x

    11.3x11.0x 11.1x16

    1820

    161820

    Auto (M &A) Chem. (M &A) Constr'n (M &A) Transp. (M &A)Auto (Act) Chem. (Act) Constr'n (Act) Transp. (Act)

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    14-Feb-11 2.9 TransContainer (20.4%) Bank of New York Russia US

    21-Mar-11 2.8 Imerys SA (25.6%) Groupe Bruxelles Lambert France Belgium

    18-Feb-11 2.6 Lafarge (UK business) Anglo American (Tarmac) UK UK

    16-Feb-11 2.4 Sued-Chemie (96.4%) Clariant AG Germany Swiss.

    11-Jan-11 2.0 ELKEM CNCC Norway China

    8.1x9.3x

    5.5x

    8.4x

    11.3x. x

    2468

    1012

    2468

    1012

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    1-Feb-11 1.5 BorsodChem Rt (58%) Wanhua Industrial Hungary China

    7-Mar-11 1.3 Forth Ports plc (77.2%) Arcus Infra. Partners UK UK2009 2010 2011

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    nanc a , nsurance an overnment

    Euro ean FIG M&A value increased b 66% to $59bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst $36bn in 1Q 2010 and increased 46% from revious uarter,mainly driven by transatlantic stock exchange consolidation

    However the number of deals fell to 157 deals in 1Q 2011 from 165 deals in the same quarter last yearDeals in the range of $1bn-$10bn increased by 40% to 14 deals in 1Q 2011 from 10 deals in 1Q 2010The first quarter saw the return of a $10bn plus transaction with the $12.5bn bid for NYSE Euronext by Deutsche Boerse

    Any European involved FIG M&A constituted 57% of global FIG M&A value in 1Q 2011 against 39% in 1Q 2010

    The financial sponsor activity in the European FIG sector more than doubled to $3.2bn in 1Q 2011 against the same period last year withthe $1.2bn minority stake acquisition in Taikang Life Insurance by Goldman Sachs and GIC

    uropean governmen a ou s ave ncrease n o . n aga ns . n n

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

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    Euro ean FIG M&A value b deal size Euro ean FIG M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)

    20002011YTD

    69%

    60%53%

    57%60%

    70%

    80%

    419512

    $10bn Annualised

    40%

    20% 17%

    35%

    47%

    38% 39%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    31 30 28 35 24 35 42 45 47 32 3638 17 18 14 24 13 33 43

    42 20 235

    15092 33 61 43

    115 125237 182

    121 105

    33

    67

    3431 27

    2289

    173134

    111

    13

    238297

    185120 120 128

    196

    300 295

    174

    59

    Euro ean FIG financial s onsor M&A value

    0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 752 696 653 626 558 677 694 795 877 667 625 157

    European FIG by sub-sector, 2011YTD20002011YTD ($bn)

    0%8%

    Finance Insurance Holding Companies Government37

    $10bn Annualised

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    21%

    2%

    69%

    29%2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    5 3 5 64

    11 11

    24

    8

    84

    11

    46

    4 4

    11

    21 21 19

    13 13

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    71%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 013 1 2 3

    5 5 5 4 3 4 12

    21 1

    2 11

    2 1

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 40 44 38 48 54 67 76 90 81 48 48 11

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    cont

    FIG median control remiums 20092011YTDEuro ean overnment bailouts $bn

    18 1%

    27.3%

    25.0%

    30.0%

    Finance Insurance124

    100

    120

    140 Financial institutes Corporates

    16.2%.

    14.0%11.8%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    .

    124

    60

    10

    478

    0

    0

    0 028

    0

    28

    60

    19

    4

    4 7

    3 38 6 5

    20

    40

    60

    80

    To FIG deals 2011YTD

    0.0%2009 2010 2011

    02Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

    FIG exit multi les vs. sector valuation

    Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums

    Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation

    Acquirornation

    15-Feb-11 12.5 NYSE Euronext Deutsche Boerse AG US Germany

    7-Mar-11 4.2 ING Groep NV (5.2%) ING Groep NV Nethland Nethland

    18-Feb-11 3.9 Alpha Bank AE National Bank of Greece Greece Greece

    39.1x45 45

    Finance (M &A) Insurance (M &A) Finance (A ctual) Insurance (actual)

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    14-Feb-11 3.5 Bank of Moscow (46.5%) VTB Bank OAO Russia Russia

    9-Feb-11 3.2 TMX Group Inc LSE Canada UK

    6-Feb-11 2.8 Amagerbanken (All Assets) Finansiel Stabilitet Denmark Denmark24-Mar-11 2.4 Catalunya Caixa (Stake%) FROB Spain Spain

    27-Jan-11 2.4 La Caixa (Banking ops) Criteria CaixaCorp SA Spain Spain

    3-Mar-11 2.1 NPM/CNP 28.3% Erbe SA Bel ium Bel ium

    14.2x16.7x

    .

    6.0x10.2x15 15

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    22-Feb-11 1.9Zurich SantanderInsurance America (51%) Zurich Financial Services Brazil Switss.

    2009 2010 2011

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

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    atura esources an as

    Natural resources rou NRG saw M&A deal value more than double in 1Q 2011 to $87bn com ared to $35bn in the same eriod lastyear. This increase coincides by the rising cost of oil which has risen 43% in the last 12 months

    Number of deals remained same in 1Q 2011 at 188 deals against 1Q 2010Number of deals in the $1bn-$10bn range increased to 20 deals in 1Q 2011 against 12 deals in 1Q 2010Mid-market activity more than doubled to 13 deals in this quarter against six deals in the same period last year

    Financial sponsor activity in the European NRG sector increased 8% to $2bn in 1Q 2011 against 1Q 2010

    Oil & gas continued to be the top sub sector in 1Q 2011 with 68% against 50% in 1Q 2010

    Cash & short term investments available with large European NRG companies is $371bn, more than half of which is held by 10compan es, ec r c e e rance, ne p , o a , c, on, uez, n esa, oya u c e , . anSurgutneftegaz

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

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    Euro ean NRG M&A value b deal size Euro ean NRG M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)

    20002011YTD

    59% 57%

    70%66%

    55%60%

    70%

    80%

    122 347360

    450$10bn Annualised

    150

    44%

    36% 36% 36%28%

    45%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    21 19 19 22 25 30 36 49 40 30 4121 15 11 17 1523 28

    39 32 22 2710

    9244 61 37 61

    69127

    226162

    96170

    6839 17

    51

    160 82

    14

    23140 124 114

    83110

    183 173

    273

    8750

    100

    Brent Oil $/bbl

    Euro ean NRG financial s onsor M&A value

    0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011466 424 385 417 470 600 677 770 838 780 842 188# ofdeals

    European NRG by sub-sector, 2011YTD20002011YTD ($bn)

    3%

    Mining Oil & Gas Utility & Energy36

    $10bn Annualised

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    29%

    31%

    19%

    2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    39 11

    19 18 20

    4 7

    7

    46

    9

    17 16

    25 26

    912

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    68%50%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 00 1 1 24 3 4 3 4 2 3 11 1

    4 1 2 4 1 2 23 3 11 2

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 14 17 16 24 42 47 39 52 57 44 34 8

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    cont

    NRG median control remiums 20092011YTDNRG balance sheet stren th last 5 ears

    43.5%40.2%

    26.9%

    43.4%

    29.5%30.0%

    40.0%

    50.0%

    M ining O&G Ut ilit y

    371344

    318275

    362

    300

    350

    400

    25%

    30%

    Cash ($bn) Total debt/total assets

    17.4%

    6.8%12.1%

    (11.4)%(10.0)%

    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    50

    100

    150200

    250

    5%

    10%

    15%

    To NRG deals 2011YTD

    (20.0)%2009 2010 2011

    0Current2010200920082007

    0%

    NRG exit multi les vs. sector valuation

    Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums

    Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation

    Acquirornation

    21-Feb-11 9.0 Reliance Industries (Oil &Gas Blocks) BP plc India UK7-Feb-11 8.7 Pride International Ensco plc US UK14-Jan-11 7.9 Rosneft (9.5%) BP plc Russia UK

    24.8x

    21.0x25

    30

    25

    30

    M ining (M &A) O&G (M &A) Utility (M &A)M ining (Act.) O&G (Act.) Utility (Act.)

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    16-Feb-11 7.6 CEPSA (52.9%) IPIC Spain UAE1-Mar-11 6.5 E.ON UK PPL Corp UK US2-Mar-11 4.8 Novatek (12.1%) Total SA Russia France19-Jan-11 2.9 Elektro Eletricidade e Servicos (99.7%) Iberdrola Brazil Spain14-Mar-11 2.8 Iberdrola (6. 2%) Qatar Invest.

    AuthoritySpain Qatar

    13-Feb-11 2 8 John Wood Grou Well Su ort General US US

    9.1x 9.0x

    11.7x 10.9x10.9x 10.6x8.7x

    5

    10

    15

    20

    5

    10

    15

    20

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    .Division) Electric

    8-Mar-11 2.1 Iberdrola Renovables (19.6%) Iberdrola SA Spain Spain2009 2010 2011

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    ea estate

    With ust one $1bn lus transaction, Euro ean real estate M&A value has declined 21% to $17bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst the revious uarterand down 28% from the same period last year

    The number of deals in the European real estate sector fell to 146 against 163 deals in the same period last yearMid-market deals increased to five deals against four deals in same period last year

    Financial s onsor related M&A value in this sector almost doubled to $2bn a ainst the revious uarter but decreased 71% a ainst thesame period last year

    Activity from the dining & lodging subsector is 11% of total European real estate M&A value in 1Q 2011 against 3% in 1Q 2010

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    ea estate cont

    Euro ean Real estate M&A value b deal size Euro ean Real estate M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)

    20002011YTD

    69%60%

    56% 59% 57%60%

    70%

    80%

    51226

    267$10bn Annualised

    47%

    37%

    45% 43%

    31%

    20%20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    12 17 21 25 16 13 1316 16 17 2233 60

    72 75 48 29 348

    12 9 8 618

    1749 42

    2410 11

    432 13 21 36

    5559

    84 75

    46

    20 19

    1

    17

    1268

    84

    44 5472

    119

    152 147

    72 78

    17

    Euro ean Real estate financial s onsor M&A value

    0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals

    423 412 428 466 633 862 1038 1169 843 628 614 146

    European Real estate by sub-sector, 1Q 2010 vs. 1Q 201120002011YTD ($bn)

    11%

    Dining & Lodging Real Estate/Property35 35

    $10bn Annualised

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    3%

    2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    6 2 5 69

    17

    2418

    24

    16

    7

    98 7

    12

    22

    7 6

    10

    27

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    89%

    97%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    1 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 0 0 01 2 14 4 5 4 2 2 2 12

    2 2 2 2 1 12

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 24 33 37 48 62 86 72 70 43 28 25 13

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    ea estate cont

    Real estate median control remiums 20092011YTDReal estate balance sheet stren th last 5 ears

    12.9% 12.2%

    23.1%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    R eal es tat e D ining & Lo dging

    10

    8 710

    12

    40%

    50%C ash ($ bn) Tot al debt /t ot al ass et s

    (5.8)%

    1.2%

    (5.0)%

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%67

    2

    4

    6

    10%

    20%

    30%

    To Real estate deals 2011YTD

    .2009 2010 2011Current2010200920082007

    Real estate exit multi les vs. sector valuation

    Source: J.P. Morgan , FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums

    Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation

    Acquirornation

    23-Mar-11 1.2 Rosimushchestvo Inter RAO UES OAO Russia Russia15-Feb-11 0.9 ING RE (Europe & Asia) CBRE Nethland US15-Feb-11 0.7 Colonia RE (0.3%) TAG Immobilien Germany Germany

    41.3x

    29.1x

    45 45

    RE(M &A) Lodging (M &A) RE (Actual) Lodging (Actual)

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    23-Mar-11 0.7 Redefine International Wichford plc UK UK20-Mar-11 0.7 Property Portfolio Keppel Land Sing. Sing.21-Mar-11 0.6 Barclays Bank (Comm.

    RE Portfolio)CreXus Investment US US

    14-Jan-11 0.4 River Court Holdings Chinese Estates UK HK16-Mar-11 0.4 Logistics Portfolio AEW Europe; Tristan

    Ca italCzechRe

    France

    17.2x 18.3x

    12.1x15 15

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    27-Mar-11 0.4 Delek Global (Bell Tower) Undisclosed Acquiror Canada Canada24-Mar-11 0.4 Wagamama Ltd Duke Street Capital UK UK

    02009 2010 2011

    0

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    e ecommun cat on, me a an tec no ogy

    Driven b the $39bn divestment of T-Mobile USA Inc b Deutche Telecom, Euro ean telecoms, media and technolo TMT deal valuealmost quadrupled in 1Q 2011 to $78bn compared to $20bn in 1Q last year and was up 65% from $47bn in 4Q 2010

    Number of deals in 1Q 2011 was up 14% to 225 deals against 197 deals in 1Q 2010Deals in the $1bn-$10bn range increased to eight deals in 1Q 2011 against five deals in 1Q 2010

    Financial s onsor activit in the Euro ean TMT sector has almost trebled to $11.7bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst $4bn in 1Q 2010 with the $4.5bndivestment by EQT Partners in Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg, in what is the biggest sponsor deal of the quarter

    European TMT companies have been reducing their gearing which stands at 25.7% and have also been building up their cash whichcurrently stands at $187bn, of which $100bn is held by ten companies, Nokia Corp, Vodafone Group, Ericsson, Telecom Italia, ABB,Koninklijke Philips Electronics, Telefonica, Alcatel-Lucent, France Telecom and Deutsche Telekom

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

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    M E R G E R

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    cont

    Euro ean TMT M&A value b deal size Euro ean TMT M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)

    20002011YTD

    77%

    70%80%90%

    150

    570$10bn Annualised

    37%

    55%47%

    21%27% 27%

    46%36%

    21% 21%

    53%

    20%30%40%50%

    60%

    2750 26 18 17 29 37 38 46 36 16 2440

    21 14 12 19 20 1931 16 10 11 5

    302

    60 57 41 40108 125 133

    46 68 8525

    22 44 28

    69 46 46

    3839

    312

    144101 127

    132

    251 244

    115 105171

    78

    274

    Euro ean TMT financial s onsor M&A value

    0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 2,118 1,450 1,090 934 1,026 1,204 1,125 1,157 1,206 898 937 225

    European TMT by sub-sector, 1Q2010 vs. 1Q201120002011YTD ($bn)

    4%

    Media Technology Telecom

    89 96

    $10bn Annualised

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    40% 33%2010YTD

    2011 YTD

    1112

    8 2312

    49 53 46

    20 16

    14 1116

    47

    2417 20

    36 35 3527 30

    12 &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    83%

    27%

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    4 3 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 2 2 17 6 3 5 10 11 12

    17 8 5 8 15 2 4 6

    41 3

    16 11

    10

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 297 260 210 199 222 262 222 266 212 152 154 28

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    cont

    TMT median control remiums 20092011YTDTMT balance sheet stren th last 5 ears

    38.6%33.7%

    42.5%42.1%

    35.0%40.0%45.0%

    Techno lo gy M edia Telec om

    184176167

    137

    176

    160

    200

    28%

    29%

    30%

    C ash ($ bn) Tot al debt /t ot al ass et s

    12.4%

    25.7%

    19.5%

    5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%

    40

    80

    120

    24%

    25%

    26%

    27%

    To TMT deals 2011YTD

    .2009 2010 2011Current2010200920082007

    TMT exit multi les vs. sector valuation

    Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums

    Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation

    Acquirornation

    20-Mar-11 39.0 T-Mobile USA Inc AT&T Inc US US

    25-Mar-11 5.5 Vivo Participacoes (37.8%) Telefonica SA Brazil Spain

    31-Mar-11 5.0 Vodafone Essar (33.0%) Vodafone Group India UK

    28.8x27.2x

    25

    30

    25

    30

    Tech. (M &A) M edia (M &A) Telecom (M &A)Tech. (Actual) M edia (Actual) Telecom (Actual)

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    21-Mar-11 4.5 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg Liberty Global Inc Germany US

    29-Mar-11 3.2 Converteam Group (90%) General Electric Co France US

    21-Mar-11 2.0 Telekom Serbia (Srbija) (51%) Telekom Austria AG Serbia Austria

    1-Feb-11 1.9 EMI Group Ltd Citigroup Inc UK US

    18-Feb-11 1.5 TeliaSonera AB (3.6%) TeliaSonera AB Sweden Sweden

    31-Jan-11 1.3 Siemens Ltd (19.7%) Siemens AG India Germany

    9.5x

    .

    13.0x14.9x

    19.0x

    10.0x 10.3x

    5

    10

    15

    20

    5

    10

    15

    20

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    31-Jan-11 0.8 Lagardere (International pressand magazine business)

    Hearst Corp Spain US2009 2010 2011

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    acro econom c ata

    Macro economic data for the euro zone

    Currency Current Last quater Last year q-o-q change y-o-y changeGBPUSD 1.6030 1.5657 1.5169 2.4% 5.7%EURUSD 1.4191 1.3416 1.3531 5.8% 4.9%CHFUSD 1.0931 1.0728 0.9501 1.9% 15.1%SEKUSD 0.1585 0.1487 0.1389 6.6% 14.1%

    Euro zone France Germany Norway United Kingdom

    t h 2009 (4.1%) (2.5%) (4.7%) (1.4%) (4.9%)

    G D P G r o 2010 1.8% 1.5% 3.5% 0.4% 1.3%

    2011E 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 1.7%2012E 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3%

    n t

    U n e m p l o y m e

    2009 NA 9.5% 7.5% 3.2% 7.5%2010 10.0% 9.7% 6.9% 3.6% 7.8%

    2011E 9.9% 9.5% 6.6% 3.6% 7.8%2012E 9.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.5% 7.7%

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

    Source: IMF, FactSet

    41 E U R O P

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    rance

    French M&A value for 1Q 2011 reached $45bn, 43% above 1Q last ear at $32bn, however it was 11% below the level in the last uarterof $51bn

    Deal volume fell by 34% to 136 deals in 1Q 2011 vs. 207 deals during the same time last yearNumber of deals in the range of $1bn$10bn almost doubled to 13 deals compared to eight deals in 1Q last yearMid market deals also halved to 20 deals in 1Q 2011 vs. 40 in 1Q 2010

    On an annulised basis, French M&A for 2011 could reach $181bn, 9% below 2010 with $198bn

    Cross-border M&A formed 87% of the total French M&A in 1Q 2011, against 66% in 1Q 2010This was driven by 83% increase of inbound M&A to $9bn and 65% increase of outbound M&A to $18bn

    .company Bulgari

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

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    An French involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn

    rance cont

    An French involvement b cross border 20002011YTD

    116 10694

    208 198204

    308315 322

    $10bn Annualised

    France CAC 40 4%8% 11%

    37%23% 11% 17% 23% 20% 16%

    46%

    Domes tic Inf low Outf low

    10 9 8 7 9 10 8 12 10 8 10 233 33 25 20 28 32 42 44 35 21 33 528 20 13 18 24 21

    28 37 3020 24

    5

    127 7856 59 44

    57124

    13695

    83 63

    33

    11 16 14 7187

    3468

    181151

    118 118

    176

    133

    45

    8%31%

    50% 49%

    84%

    31%

    70%51%

    31%

    74%

    34%13%

    21%

    13%

    14%27%

    52%29%

    9% 20%29%

    71%

    To French involvement deal list 2011YTD

    # ofdeals

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011712 657 516 433 550 586 573 679 674 695 750 136

    Ann. DateDeal Value

    ($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality

    Acquirornationality

    16-Feb-11 7,608 Compania Espanola de Petroleos (52.9%) International Petroleum Investment Co - IPIC Spain UAE7-Mar-11 5,519 Bulgari SpA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA Italy France

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    - ar- , ova e . o a uss a rance29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group SAS (90%) General Electric Co France United States

    21-Mar-11 2,815 Imerys SA (25.6%) Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA - GBL France Belgium18-Feb-11 2,633 Lafarge SA (UK Cement, Aggregates & Concrete Business) Anglo American plc (Tarmac Ltd ) United Kingdom United Kingdom30-Mar-11 1,467 Oil & Gas Assets (Exploration areas 1, 2 and 3A in Uganda) Total SA Uganda France

    - - &

    A C Q

    U I S I T

    , .18-Mar-11 1,118 Yoplait SAS (51%) General Mills Inc France United States22-Mar-11 1,055 Parmalat SpA (15.3%) Lactalis Group; Credit Agricole; Societe

    GeneraleItaly France

    Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A

    N

    M E R G E R

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    An German involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn

    ermany cont

    An German involvement b cross border 20002011YTD

    64329

    384

    $10bn Annualised

    Germany DAX

    45%27% 34%

    17% 13% 25%36%

    53%30% 34%

    52%

    Domes tic Inf low Outf low

    11 9 8 9 11 11 12 15 14 10 8 231 23 28 30 31 3342 56 38 20 27 5

    30 16 11 13 27 24 3546 30

    10 12 5

    16775 80 55 60

    109 110

    203

    10790 64

    18

    45

    3322

    6359

    14 2052

    156128 107 128

    199248

    143 13282

    262

    32%47%

    28% 34%42% 44% 44%

    21% 21%

    60%

    11% 23%

    23%

    26%

    38%

    49%45%

    31% 20%

    26% 21%

    10%

    54% 26%

    To German involvement deal list 2011YTD

    # ofdeals 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011731 631 592 515 619 600 662 850 755 518 470 127

    Ann. DateDeal Value

    ($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality

    Acquirornationality

    20-Mar-11 39,000 T-Mobile USA Inc AT&T Inc United States United States15-Feb-11 12,543 NYSE Euronext (Bid No 1) Deutsche Boerse AG United States Germany

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    - ar- , . p c orp n e ng om n e a es21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg GmbH & Co KG Liberty Global Inc Germany United States

    9-Mar-11 3,309 Tognum AG (71.6%) Daimler AG/ Rolls-Royce Group plc Germany Germany16-Feb-11 2,371 Sued-Chemie AG (96.4%) Clariant AG Germany Switzerland31-Jan-11 1,347 Siemens Ltd (19.6963%) Siemens AG India Germany

    - - - - &

    A C Q U I S I T

    ,engine business)

    .

    10-Jan-11 854 China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co Ltd (2.3079%) Allianz SE China Germany

    15-Feb-11 744 Colonia Real Estate AG (0.3%) TAG Immobilien AG Germany GermanySource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A

    N

    M E R G E R

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    er cont

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    An Iberian involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn

    er a cont

    An Iberian involvement b cross border 20002011YTD

    115 169221

    303

    $10bn Annualised

    Spain IBEX 35 30% 45%19%

    46%24%

    12% 6%30%

    4%

    Domes tic Inf low Outf low

    7 7 6 8 8 9 12 11 9 6 8 224 15 13 14 2027 35 43 31 20 24 6

    19 6 12 6 1414 25 25 16 9 20

    5

    76

    11 8 18 2038

    102 10861

    3786

    3017

    42

    47

    471438 40 46

    78

    131164

    86

    138

    42

    126

    31% 28% 35%47%

    22%42% 36%

    21%47%

    27%45%

    28%

    11%43% 21%

    34%

    20%12% 7% 55%

    41%67%

    42%

    To Iberian involvement deal list 2011YTD

    # ofdeals

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011545 425 408 394 443 478 583 651 536 383 451 102

    Ann. DateDeal Value

    ($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality

    Acquirornationality

    16-Feb-11 7,608 Compania Espanola de Petroleos SA - CEPSA (52.9%) International Petroleum Investment Co - IPIC Spain UAE25-Mar-11 5,542 Vivo Participacoes SA (37.8%) Telefonica SA Brazil Spain

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    - an- , e ro e r c a e e erv cos . er ro a raz pa n14-Mar-11 2,811 Iberdrola SA (6.2%) Qatar Investment Authority Spain Qatar

    24-Mar-11 2,433 Catalunya Caixa - Caixa d'Estalvis de Catalunya Tarragona &Manresa (Stake%)

    FROB - Fondo de Restructuracion OrdenadaBancaria

    Spain Spain

    27-Jan-11 2,431 Caja de Ahorros y Pensiones de Barcelona - La Caixa (Bankingoperations)

    Criteria CaixaCorp SA Spain Spain & A C Q U I S I T

    8-Mar-11 2,094 Iberdrola Renovables SA (19.6%) Iberdrola SA Spain Spain22-Feb-11 1,890 Zurich Santander Insurance America SL (51%) Zurich Financial Services Group AG Brazil Switzerland

    14-Jan-11 1,418 VidaCaixa Adeslas SA de Seguros Generales & Reaseguros (50%) Mutua Madrilena Automovilista Spain Spain7-Jan-11 1,180 Capio Sanidad SL CVC Capital Partners Ltd Spain Spain

    Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSet

    A N

    M E R G E R

    47 E U R O P

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    ta y

    Italian M&A trebled in the first uarter to $33bn a ainst $11bn in 1Q last ear, on back of the $18bn s in-off of Fiat Industrial b FiatThe number of deals in 1Q 2011 fell by 8% to 83 deals, against 90 deals in the same period last yearMid-market deal value doubled to $3.3bn in 1Q 2011 against $1.7bn during the same period last year

    Cross-border M&A as a percentage of total Italian M&A reduced to 31% in 1Q 2011 against 43% in 1Q 2010, although in terms of valueit more than doubled to $10bn from $4bn in 1Q 2010

    Inbound M&A more than doubled to $9bn in 1Q 2011 from $4bn in 1Q2010, driven mainly by investments in the consumer & retail

    sector, with the $5.5bn acquisition of Bulgari by French retail company LVMHDomestic M&A more than trebled to $21bn in 1Q 2011, from $6bn in 1Q 2010

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

    48 E U R O P

    ta y cont

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    ta y cont

    An Italian involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn An Italian involvement b cross border 20002011YTD

    290

    $10bn Annualised

    Italy FTSE Italia All-Share 7%10%

    4%

    8% 16% 38%29%

    12%

    50%

    5% 1%17% 16% 25%

    53%42%

    5% 2%

    Domes tic Inf low Outf low

    7 7 6 7 8 9 9 8 9 5 7 122 18 23 16 1727 22 30 24 12 14 3

    15 8 13 6 13 10 20 17 19 6 7 4

    8545 32 34 19

    47 67121

    5730 22

    7

    1744 28

    45 49

    14 2518

    132

    77 74108

    85

    138109

    68 75

    33

    166147

    82%

    37%

    86% 95% 76% 68%

    29% 22%38% 33%

    57%69%

    13%46%

    26%21%

    4%

    To Italian involvement deal list 2011YTD

    # ofdeals

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011510 472 439 354 431 503 484 488 483 323 370 83

    Ann. DateDeal Value

    ($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality

    Acquirornationality

    3-Jan-11 18,032 Fiat Industrial SpA Existing Shareholders Italy Italy7-Mar-11 5,519 Bulgari SpA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA Italy France

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    - ar- , arma a p . ac a s roup re gr co e oc e e enera e a y rance15-Mar-11 747 Maritza East III Power Holding BV / Maritza O&M Holding

    Netherlands BVContourGlobal Bulgaria United States

    28-Mar-11 743 Telecom Italia SpA (2.531%) BNP Paribas SA Italy France31-Jan-11 706 Empresa de Telecomunicaciones de Cuba SA (27%) Rafin SA Cuba Cuba

    9-Mar-11 673 Ansaldo Energia SpA (45%) Ansaldo Electric Drives SpA - AED Italy Italy &

    A C Q U I S I T

    23-Jan-11 525 SNAI - Sindicato Nazionale Agenzie Ippiche SpA (50.68%) InvestIndustrial LP / Palladio Finanziaria SpA Italy Italy17-Mar-11 441 Parmalat SpA (7.278%) Lactalis Group Italy France

    25-Feb-11 399 Set Group Holding AS Limak Holding AS Turkey TurkeySource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A

    N

    M E R G E R

    49 E U R O P

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    or c

    Deal value for Nordic M&A more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $35bn from $14bn in 1Q last ear, and increased 12% over 4Q 2010The deal volume increased 7% in 1Q 2011 to 202 deals from 188 deals in 1Q 2010Number of deals above $1bn increased to 11 deals from three deals in 1Q 2010 and eight deals in 4Q 2010There were no mid-market deals in the Nordic in this quarterThirteenth straight quarter without a single $10bn plus deal

    Cross border deals were 48% of total Nordic deals in 1Q 2011 against 58% in 1Q 2010Inbound M&A more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $11bn from $5bn in 1Q 2010, with more than 50% of the activity coming from theconsumer and retail sector. The top deal was the $6bn acquisition of Danisco by EI du Pont de NemoursDomestic M&A more than doubled in 1Q 2010 against the same period last year to $13.3bn, comprising 52% of the total Nordic M&A

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    A N

    M E R G E R

    50 E U R O P

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    or c cont

    An Nordic involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn An Nordic involvement b cross border 20002011YTD

    35 30

    20140

    191

    157 159

    129 135

    $10bn Annualised

    MSCI Nordic Countries7% 11%

    26%37%

    22% 19% 23% 18% 16% 21% 21%47%

    21%7%

    Domes tic Inf low Outf low

    14 10 8 9 10 13 14 16 16 10 13 427 22 15 16 20

    32 38 39 37 18 245

    2313 5 11 15

    17 24 30 20

    917

    59

    2329 25

    3154

    53 61

    3137

    27

    14

    57 6276

    6835

    67 91

    38% 42%55% 59% 62%

    75% 73%56%

    23%45% 42% 52%

    36% 21%24% 23%

    56%8%

    37%

    To Nordic involvement deal list 2011YTD

    # ofdeals

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011953 759 555 592 599 800 807 895 923 750 854 202

    Ann. DateDeal Value

    ($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality

    Acquirornationality

    9-Jan-11 6,117 Danisco A/S EI du Pont de Nemours & Co Denmark United States21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg GmbH & Co KG Liberty Global Inc Germany United States

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    - - ,7-Mar-11 2,625 CaridianBCT Holding Corp Terumo Corp United States Japan11-Jan-11 2,000 ELKEM AS (Silicon Materials, Foundry Products, Carbon and

    Elkem Solar)

    China National Chemical Corp - CNCC Norway China

    25-Feb-11 1,877 Dometic International AB EQT Partners AB Sweden Sweden26-Jan-11 1,681 Fingrid Oyj (30.22%) Republic of Finland Finland Finland

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    18-Feb-11 1,547 TeliaSonera AB (3.57142%) TeliaSonera AB Sweden Sweden9-Mar-11 1,248 Rolls-Royce Group plc (Bergen gas and diesel medium-speed

    engine business)Daimler AG (28.4% stake in Tognum AG) Norway Germany

    7-Jan-11 1,180 Capio Sanidad SL CVC Capital Partners Ltd Spain SpainSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSet

    A N

    M E R G E R

    51 E U R O P

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    cont

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    An UK involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn An UK involvement b cross border 20002011YTD

    316

    848784

    $10bn Annualised

    FTSE 100

    17% 16%14% 15%

    32% 40%12%

    26% 20% 36% 31% 40% 35%53%

    Domes tic Inf low Outf low

    45 34 31 30 36 42 41 46 40 24 26 776 52 48 46 71 93 96 110 86 44 67 1556 30 24 29 44

    54 70 78 5231 40 17

    366

    85 98 97 121197 177 298 174

    80182

    71

    66 44 1027

    60 151111

    9237

    437

    267 244 212299

    446 463

    109

    535

    353

    271

    # of

    69%

    33% 37%46%

    71%50%

    28%46%

    34% 42% 33%21%

    52%32% 15%

    24%51% 18% 35% 18%

    33%27%

    To UK involvement deal list 2011YTD

    deals(000s) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20113.2 2.5 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.4 1.5 1.7 0.4

    Ann. DateDeal Value

    ($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality

    Acquirornationality

    21-Feb-11 9,000 Reliance Industries Ltd (23 Oil and Gas Blocks) BP plc India United Kingdom7-Feb-11 8,718 Pride International Inc Ensco plc United States United Kingdom

    I O N S

    R E V I E

    - an- , osne . p c uss a n e ng om1-Mar-11 6,468 E.ON UK plc PPL Corp United Kingdom United States

    31-Mar-11 5,000 Vodafone Essar (33.02%) Vodafone Group plc India United Kingdom9-Feb-11 3,218 TMX Group Inc London Stock Exchange Group plc Canada United Kingdom29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group SAS (90%) General Electric Co France United States19-Jan-11 2 897 Elektro Eletricidade e Servicos SA 99 68% Iberdrola SA Brazil S ain

    &

    A C Q U I S I T

    , .13-Feb-11 2,800 John Wood Group plc (Well Support Division, headquartered in

    Houston, the USA)General Electric Co United States United States

    18-Feb-11 2,633 Lafarge SA (Lafarge UK Cement, Aggregates & Concrete Business) Anglo American plc (Tarmac Ltd ) United Kingdom United KingdomSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A

    N

    M E R G E R

    53 E U R O P

    e ast & r ca

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    Deal values in Middle East & Africa increased 20% in 1Q 2011 to $35bn from $29bn in 4Q 2010 but mar inall fell from $37bn in 1Q2010

    However deal volume fell by 28% to 174 deals in 1Q 2011 from 242 deals in 4Q 2010 and 5% from 183 deals in 1Q 2010Deals valued between $1bn-$10bn increased to 10 deals in 1Q 2011 against six deals in 1Q 2010

    On an annualised basis, deal value in Middle East & Africa could reach $140bn in 2011, 14% above $123bn in 2010

    Cross-border M&A was 65% of Middle East & African M&A deal value in 1Q 2011 againstThis was due in part to the 72% increase in outbound M&A with and boosted by the $7.6bn acquisit


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