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o a & tren s
Global deal value amounted to $867bn in 1Q 2011 with 2,683 deals, an increase of 5.6% over 4Q 2010 and 28.5% compared to 1Qlast year
The number of $1bn plus transactions is up 44% in1Q 2011 with 148 deals compared to 100 deals in 1Q 2010
The Americas accounts for 50% of global targeted M&A activity year-to-date, driven by an 69% increase in North American targeted M&A
Eight of the top 10 M&A deals were US targeted companies, including, $39bn acquisition of T-Mobile by AT&T, $25.8bn acquisition ofProgress Energy by Duke Energy, $14.9bn spin-off of Mosaic and $12.5bn bid by Deutsche Boerse for NYSE Euronext
Global annualized M&A value in 2011 indicate M&A activity would increase 25% to $3.5bn over last years $2.8bn
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q U I S I T
A
N
M E R G E R
2 E U R O P
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Global M&A value rebounded in 2010 after bottomin in 2009
o a & tren s
9793,468
3,887
4,593
4,000
5,000$10bn Annualised
5yrs2yrs
(49)%
$bn
1,091 1,315 1,1811,514
1,995
1,127 1,229275
775
1,176 980
330372
664
1,050746
535
397
1,533
2,305
,
1,7291,301 1,439
2,046
2,9263,130
2,272
2,7793,213
1 068
2,000
3,000
2yrs(61)%
3yrs+162%
113 151 179 192 227 166 156 169 206 242 268 316 289 212 251 63234 320 362 446
475 333 318 342 424545 641 769 613 432 562
135122 207
230 308321
186 181 179259 293
415 355223
341
93445
580 758 712 480 555442
153166
135867
0
1,000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# of4,611 6,237 7,419 8,290 9,719 6,959 6,835 6,835 8,364 10,080 11,623 13,831 11,969 8,949 10,865 2,683
Global M&A value by acquirer region, 19962011YTDGlobal M&A value by target region, 19962011YTD
EM EA Americas APAC EM EA Americas APAC
Source: Dealogic
I O N S
R E V I E
66% 67% 71%54% 55% 53% 43% 44% 47% 45% 46% 42% 39% 43% 45% 50%
8% 10% 13% 14% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 19% 23% 23% 20%7% 7% 5%
65% 65% 65%50% 46% 52% 43% 47% 47% 44% 44% 38% 35%
43% 42% 48%
10% 12% 14% 15% 15% 17% 17% 16% 19% 24% 25% 21%7%4%7%5%
&
A C Q U I S I T
Source:
27% 26% 25%38% 35% 34% 42% 40% 37% 38% 40% 43% 42% 34% 32% 31%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
30% 29% 32%43% 43% 37% 43% 38% 37% 39% 40% 34% 33% 31%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic A
N
M E R G E R
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urope & tren s
Euro ean M&A value is steadil recoverin An Euro ean Involvement bn
845Less than $100mm $100mm500mm $500mm1bn $1bn10bn Greater than $10bn
1,400
MSCI Euro e Index
Indexvalues
11294
318
12583
406
472
400358
542
480505
545
371407
477
347356
800
1,000
,
53 66 58 76 67 70 72 86 86 8686 93 95 77 63 48 51 48 51 56 55 47
36 38 30 41 41 57 4473 54 73 68 59 53 63
44 32 23 25 1930 29 29 33 40 45
101137 171
159127
180 163
243218
338
191276
165 147158
150
90 101 115109 112 137
154 158 178
76 38101 212 66 51 24
8598
56 15 3554 41 14
48 4670
214 217 198228
266 249 251312 321-
200
400
600
24 25 26 29 25 26 28 28 28 29 35 34 34 34 27 20 17 19 18 22 19 21 20 23 20
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q110
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSet
# ofdeals 914 1,007 1,005 1,164 1,015 1,125 1,125 1,216 1,217 1,277 1,399 1,439 1,411 1,289 1,061 639 716 720 881 765 765 816 822855 905
I O N S
R E V I E
European M&A increased in 1Q 2011 to $356bn, up 12% from last quarter and up 48.7% from 1Q last year, while the MSCI Europe Index
was up 3.1% in 1Q 2011Although the deal value increased, the number of deals above $10mm in 1Q 2011 fell by 9.2% to 822 from 4Q 2010, but increased 7.5%over the same period last year &
A C Q U I S I T
Source:
The mid-market deals also increased 46% to 64 deals from 44 deals in 1Q 2010
Withdrawn deals fell by 61% over the last quarter to $125bn, including $9bn bid by Merk & Co to acquire Sanofi-Aventis Merial AnimalHealth Business and $8.8bn acquisition of Capital Shopping Centres by Simon Property Group
A
N
M E R G E R
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European trends in public status and consi
Non-cash consideration was highest in 1Q2011
85% 88% 86% 87%
67% 70%76% 72% 72% 70% 77%
58%
2%5% 6% 5%
9% 4%9%
8% 10% 15% 2%
19%
2%1% 2% 1%
8% 13%3% 9% 6% 1% 7% 15%
6% 7% 8%15% 14% 12% 11% 12% 14% 15%
8%11%
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Cas h Stock Mixed Others
1Q11 target composition has remained similar 4Q 2010
54% 60% 55%45%
35% 42%50% 46% 44% 41% 42% 44%
26%29% 34%
31% 47% 37%36%
31%42%
30%
41% 39%
20%10% 12%
25% 18% 22%15%
23%13%
28%17% 17%
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Pub Pv t Others
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Others includes Government, Assets sale, JVs, Consortium
E U R O P E
A N
M E R G E R S
&
A C Q U I S I T I O N S
R E V I E W
eration
Use of earn-outs in M&A had been increasing ($bn)
1 8
. 7
1 0
. 1
1 1
. 6
1 1
. 2
1 2
. 7
2 8
. 2
3 2
. 1
2 5
. 23
2 . 0
3 9
. 7
5 1
. 4
1 4
. 3
3 . 1
2 .
2 4
. 0 7
. 3 9 .
1 9
. 4 1 2
. 9
2 . 6
9 .
0 8
. 3
2 .
5
4 . 6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102011YTD
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Total earnout deal val Total earnout v al Earnout deals % of total Eur M&A
1Q11 saw larger participation by public acquirers
57% 56%37% 45%
48%58% 50%
65% 62% 61% 62%69%
34% 30%
17%13%
23%
28%
20%
26% 24% 26% 24%18%
6% 9%
44% 39%24%
11% 11% 8% 13% 6%
20%
4%7%
1%5%
3%10%5%6%
4%3%1%4%5%
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Pub Pv t Gov t ot hers
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Others includes Spin-offs, JVs, Consortium, Private investors
6
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va a ty o qu ty w t arge uropean compan es
Total cash and short term investments available with large Total retained earnin s for lar e Euro ean com aniesEuropean companies is $1.5trn, the highest in the past 10 years
Cash as a % debt has increased to 11.4%, against 7.1% duringthe peak in 2008
Top 10 corporates have $222bn in cash (15% of total cash).
has built up in last 2 years ($bn)
1,200
1,400D iv i dend Buy bac ks R et ent ion
These include Volkswagen, EDF, Siemens, Enel SpA, TotalSA, BP, Daimler, Nestle, Fiat and BHP Billiton
Total retained earnings for large European companies is $471bn,level similar to the peak of 2007
400
600
800
1,000
Top 10 companies have retained earnings of $74bn with anavg. retention of 82%, against the total of 65%. These includeGazprom, BHP Billiton, Vodafone, Anglo American, Daimler,Novartis, AP Moller-Maersk, Xstrata, Investor and BMW
0
200
2010200920082007200620052004200320022001
Cash & short term investments available with largeEuropean companies is the highest in the past 10 years
1,526 1,600
1,80016%Cash ($bn) Cash % of debt
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Net inc. 161 69 361 527 663 790 1,160 615 575 883
Dividend 111 125 147 204 240 335 416 428 341 305
I O N S
R E V I E
1,412
1,1721,142985
843846715
541491 600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
6%
8%
10%
12%
uy ac 50 73 59 104 148 182 271 204 83 106
Retainedearning
(1) (129) 155 219 275 273 472 (17) 151 471
Payoutratio
69% 182% 41% 39% 36% 42% 36% 70% 59% 35% & A C Q U
I S I T
0
200
400
20102009200820072006200520042003200220010%
2%
4%
Buyback% divs 45% 58% 40% 51% 62% 54% 65% 48% 24% 35%
Retainedearnings
growth
NM NM 41% 26% (1%) 73% NM NM 213%
A
N
M E R G E R
. . ,Note: Large companies refers to companies with a market cap of $1bn and above
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uropean nanc a sponsor tren s
Exits b financial s onsors boosted the Euro ean s onsor related M&A value in 1Q2011 $bn
140
Less than $100mm $100mm500mm $500mm1bn $1bn10bn Greater than $10bnDry powder ($bn)
2009 - $273bn
300
350
21
16
1194
126
103
87
114
2010 - $173bn
2010 - $248bn
200
250
3837
37 28
3866
57
79
45 59
2131 24 35
14
11
12 39
50
77
60
73
67
53
65
54
28
44
58
32
64 71
50
2009 - $119bn100
150
4 5 6 5 4 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 4 5 4 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 212 18 14
2012 14 13
23 16 23 19 15 18 12 124 5 5 8
10 9 9 11 9 8
1012 11
107
18 1015
1713 7 16 13
5 2 4 15 4
9 9 16 123 9 8
1625
1723 12
191813
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q110
50
I O N S
R E V I E
Financial sponsor related M&A increased to $50bn, up 28% from last quarter and up 56% from 1Q 2010
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, Prequin
# ofdeals
192 228 236 239 186 184 226 254 241 266 267 225 210 209 186 87 83 77 116 139 104 131 127139 126
&
A C Q U
I S I T
,Mid-market deals reduced to 17 deals in 1Q 2011 against 22 deals in 4Q 2010, but were three times the deals in 1Q last year
1Q2011 saw the highest quarterly financial sponsor exits (excluding SBO) amounting to $22bn, since the market peak in 3Q 2007with $23.5bn
A
N
M E R G E R
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uropean nanc a sponsor tren s cont
Euro ean financial s onsor deal t e 2010 vs. 2011 YTD To 10 financial s onsors b deal value 2011YTD
17%
28%
Entry Exit SBO
Financial sponsor Deal value ($mm) No. % share
EQT Partners AB 8,984 3 12.80%
TPG Capital LP 3,459 4 4.93%
Barclays Private Equity Ltd 3,240 2 4.61%
LBO France SA 3,200 1 4.56%
CVC Capital Partners Ltd 2,792 6 3.98%Permira Ltd 2,738 4 3.90%
Advent International Corp 2,261 4 3.22%
PAI Partners 2,154 2 3.07%38%
39%2010YTD 2011 YTD
Largest announced financial sponsor M&A deals with any European involvement, 2011YTD
ac s one roup , .
Terra Firma Capital Partners 1,909 1 2.72%
Deal value Target AcquirorAnn. Date ($mm) Target Acquiror nationality nationality FS Role Financial Sponsor21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg Liberty Global Inc Germany US Target EQT Partners AB
29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group (90%) General Electric Co France US Target;Target
LBO France SA;Barclays Private Equity Ltd
07-Mar-11 2,625 CaridianBCT Holding Corp Terumo Corp US Japan Target EQT Partners AB I O N S
R E V I E
- e - , ey c anay ve care ageo p c ur ey arge ap a
11-Jan-11 2,000 ELKEM AS (Silicon Materials, Foundry
Products, Carbon and Elkem Solar)
China National Chemical Corp Norway China Acquiror Blackstone Group LP
01-Feb-11 1,909 EMI Group Ltd Citigroup Inc UK US Target Terra Firma Capital Partners Lt
25-Feb-11 1,878 Dometic International AB EQT Partners AB Sweden Sweden Acquiror EQT Partners AB
01-Feb-11 1 532 BorsodChem Rt 58% Wanhua Industrial Grou Co Ltd Hun ar China Tar et VCP Vienna Ca ital Partners &
A C Q U
I S I T
,Target Permira Ltd
18-Jan-11 1,469 Priory Healthcare Holdings Advent International Corp UK UK Acquiror Advent International Corp
11-Mar-11 1,200 Taikang Life Insurance (15.6%) Goldman Sachs; GIC; ChianGuardian Auctions
China US Acquiror Goldman Sachs Capital Partners
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic A N
M E R G E R
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urope cross- or er & tren s
European cross-border M&A was $131bn in 1Q2011, highest Euro ean cross-border M&A was at the hi hest level inlevel seen in the first quarter of any year since 2000
The number of deals in 1Q 2010 also increased to 265 from 228in 1Q 2010
last 11 years ($bn)
13125 125 122
131$10bn
,
21 in 1Q 2010Cross-border activity formed 61% of the total European M&A in2011, against 55% in 2010
This was driven b a 34% increase outbound M&A
84
24 36
5354
66
8037 12
27 1494
36 4041
81
59
95
Oil & gas was the top sector for cross-border activity in 1Q 2011,contributing 19% of the outbound M&A and 35% of the inboundM&A in Europe
21 14 10 8 12 1217 23
2615 16
1514 11 9
1016
101720 12
13 1615
5965 6444446 7 72 3 4
26
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
100% stack bars for
2011 cross-border formed 61% of total European M&A
Less than$100mm $100500mm $500mm1bn $110bn
Greaterthan $10bn Total
2001 (20.2)% (31.7)% (6.0)% (71.5)% NM (25.3)%
Y/Y growth by deal size
11% 11%
Domes tic Inf low Outf low Within Europe
I O N S
R E V I E
omes c, n ow,outflow, within Europe
2002 (23.0)% (30.1)% (84.0)% (16.7)% NM (61.7)%2003 0.5% (15.8)% 22.1% (41.8)% NM (26.1)%2004 1.8% 39.0% 302.2% 16.4% NM 50.5%2005 7.0% 6.6% (21.4)% 17.7% NM 2.8%2006 37.6% 37.5% 17.7% 126.1% NM 98.1%
67% 71%
9%
18%12%
11%6%
10% 8% 12% 21% 7%24%
23%
19% 27% 13%
6% 12%
10% 11% 15% 13% 21%
20%22%
31% 26% 30% 29% 25% 26%
&
A C Q U
I S I T
. . . . . .2008 34.0% 15.2% 15.4% 2.9% (47.6)% (2.6)%2009 (56.6)% (72.9)% (78.4)% (71.4)% 96.0% (52.1)%2010 21.1% 106.3% 143.5% 384.2% NM 77.9%2011 21.2% 8.1% 70.9% 21.8% NM 37.9%
55%36% 44%
54% 51% 44% 41% 46% 46% 39%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 A N
M E R G E R
ource: . . organ, ea og c,Note: Represents 1Q data for all years
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urope cross- or er & tren s cont
Inbound and outbound M&A with Euro e involvement 2011YTD
# of deals
South and SE Asia
$1.4bnDeal value
7
North Asia
$10.1bnDeal value # of deals
24
North America
$44.1bnDeal value # of deals
89$17.6bn 21$3.6bn 16$30.8bn 47
Outbound
Inbound Overall
Deal value # of deals
Legend
$67.7bn$63.8bn
140126
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q U
I S I T
$11.4bn$4.4bn
Deal value # of deals1516
$0.3bn$0.3bn
Deal value # of deals49
$0.3bn$7.1bn
Deal value # of deals117
A N
M E R G E R
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
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urope cross- or er & tren s cont
Inbound and outbound M&A with Euro e involvement b sectors 2011YTD
$4.8bn$9.7bn $8.0bn $5.0bn $1.2bn$1.7bn $1.3bn $0.1bn $0.0bn
South and SE AsiaNorth AsiaNorth America
.. . . .. . . .
DiversifiedFIG
LegendInboundOutbound Overall
$12.7bn $11.0bn $10.2bnTechnologyTrans/PP/BPConsumerReal estateHealthcareMining
$22.2bn $19.8bn $6.3bn
I O N S
R E V I E
Oil & GasMediaRetailTelecommunicationsUtility & Energy
&
A C Q U
I S I T
Australasia
$0.2bn
$0.1bn $0.1bn $0.1bn
Africa and Middle East
$2.8bn $0.4bn
$3.6bn $0.2bn
$7.6bn
$0.3bn
Latin America
$0.3bn
$3.1bn $2.1bn $0.9bn
$0.1bn $0.0bn
A N
M E R G E R
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
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urope ransat ant c tren s
Transatlantic M&A value b deal size 20002011YTDTranslantic M&A with Euro ean tar ets amounted to $44bn in 1Q(European targets) ($bn)2011, up 34% from 4Q 2010 and up 45% from 1Q 2010
Deals greater than $1bn were flat compared to the last quarterwith eight deals including $6.5bn acquisition of E.ON UK Plc byPPL Cor , the $6bn ac uisition of Danisco b EI du Pont de
177154
$10bn Annualised
Nemours and the $4.5bn acquisition of Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg by Liberty Global
Mid-market deals amounted to $8bn in 1Q 2011, up 29% fromlast uarter and u 68% from 1Q last ear 7 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 5 7 2
20 15 15 11 20 23 23 27 25 18 22 7
16 12 6 1014 12 19
25 193
158
5323 28 31
2343 27
6338
3648
27
1010
1522
1496
55 5468 64
86 86
107
84
105
44
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Lar est announced transatlantic M&A deals involvin Euro ean tar ets 2011YTD
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
# ofdeals 323 247 216 205 299 315 305 353 371 216 302 89
Ann. Date Deal Value ($mm) Target Acquiror Target nationality Acquiror Nationality
1-Mar-11 6,468 E.ON UK plc PPL Corp United Kingdom United States
9-Jan-11 6,117 Danisco A/S EI du Pont de Nemours & Co Denmark United States21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg GmbH & Co KG Liberty Global Inc Germany United States I O
N S
R E V I E
29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group SAS (90%) General Electric Co France United States14-Feb-11 2,903 TransContainer OAO (20.38%) Bank of New York Russian Federation United States1-Feb-11 1,909 EMI Group Ltd Citigroup Inc United Kingdom United States18-Mar-11 1,118 Yoplait SAS (51%) General Mills Inc France United States11-Mar-11 1,000 Chevron Corp (Inventory & Other Items) Valero Energy Corp United Kingdom United States &
A C Q U
I S I T
24-Jan-11 957 LyondellBasell Industries NV (6.03758%) Access Industries Netherlands United States23-Mar-11 955 Unilever plc (Sanex brand ) Colgate-Palmolive Co United Kingdom United States
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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urope ransat ant c tren s cont
Transatlantic M&A value b deal size 20002011YTDTranslantic M&A with Euro ean ac uirers doubled from last(European acquirors) ($bn)quarter to $31bn in 1Q 2011, and up 30% from 1Q 2010
Only one $10bn plus deal was announced during 1Q with the$12.5bn agreed acquisition of NYSE Euronext by DeutscheBoerse
278327
$10bn Annualised
Mid-market deals amounted to $2.7bn in 1Q 2011, up 52% fromlast quarter and doubled from 1Q last year
8 6 4 4 4 4 4 6 7 4 4 128 15 11 7 14 15 18 20 18 10 16 321
6 3 1 9 9 1421 14 9 6 3
138
41 26 11 1372 65
153
5520 60
12
12 14 10
50
77
117
2824
13
123
8058
2450
100152
71110
31
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 418 267 182 149 193 224 217 218 312 191 222 48
,
Ann. Date Deal value ($mm) Target Acquiror Target Nationality Acquiror nationality15-Feb-11 12,543 NYSE Euronext (Bid No 1) Deutsche Boerse AG United States Germany7-Feb-11 8,718 Pride International Inc Ensco plc United States United Kingdom9-Feb-11 3,218 TMX Group Inc London Stock Exchange Group plc Canada United Kingdom I O
N S
R E V I E
7-Mar-11 768 Oil & Gas Assets (Gas block in Alaska) Repsol YPF SA United States Spain
18-Jan-11 685 Danaher Corp (Pacific Scientific Aerospace business) Meggitt plc United States United Kingdom21-Feb-11 677 Zoran Corp CSR plc United States United Kingdom24-Mar-11 635 Vector Aerospace Corp European Aeronautic Defence & Space Canada Netherlands
26-Jan-11 479 Sherritt International Corp (18.27%) M&G Investment Management Ltd Canada United Kingdom & A C Q U
I S I T
24-Jan-11 453 Genoptix Inc Novartis AG United States Switzerland
4-Mar-11 324 Property Portfolio (Former NBA Store ) Inditex SA- Industria de Diseno Textil United States SpainSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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uropean tren s n ost e ea s
Hostile/unsolicited offers on Euro ean tar ets increased 40% in 1Q 2011 $bn
30
43222
Cash Share Mixed
10 9
149
711130
71
2 10 23
12
1 43 20 2 0
43
81
10 13 1 5 7
83
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 0 3 1 3 2 4 18 17 17 8 10 8
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
Note: Represents 1Q data for all years
Top European hostile deals, 2011YTD
Ann. date Deal value ($mm) Target Acquiror Target nationality Acquiror nationality18-Feb-11 3,945 Alpha Bank AE National Bank of Greece SA Greece Greece21-Mar-11 2,815 Imerys SA (25.61%) Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA - GBL France Belgium
I O N S
R E V I E
- - . -07-Jan-11 60 Duc Lamothe Participations SA (22.4%) Fonciere PH Green - FPHG France France
08-Mar-11 50 Tharreau Industries SA (85.3%) Schouw & Co A/S France Denmark21-Feb-11 33 Compagnie Financiere Geo (Cofigeo) (61%) Compagnie Des Minquiers SAS France France11-Mar-11 17 Mintails Ltd (86.2%) Private Investor (Seager Rex Harbour) Australia Monaco18-Jan-11 12 Pharms nthez OAO 34.3% E ha AS Russian Federation Estonia
&
A C Q U
I S I T
.Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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European trends in control premiums
European unsolicited control premiums median reducedin 1Q 2011 vs. 4Q 2010
2 2
2
2 5
( 2 )
69
4 3
3 3
1 7
1 5
9
2 5
1 6
2 8
5
( 1 )
2 3
4 9
3 6
2 0
1 6
3 3
4 2
1 3
4
2 0
1 6
5 1
3 6
1 9
1 6
4 0
1 7
2 3
( 1 )
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
One-day % median One-week % median One-month % medianAvg -Avg -
Avg -
European 1 month median control premiums byconsideration, last 12 quarters
3 1
2 0 2
3
3 5
3 4
2 5
2 4
1 8
3 1
2 9 3
3
6
( 1 2 )
( 8 )
2 8
5 4
1 7
2 9
1 5
2 2
2 1
5 7
4
1 6
2 8
3 7
3 0
2 1
1 4
2 6
3
9
1 6
2 3
3 0
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q1
Cash Share Mixed
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
Avg - 2Avg - 1
Avg - 2
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
E U R O P E A N
M E R G E R S
&
A C Q U I S I T I O N S
R E V I E W
European friendly control premiums median reduced in1Q 2011 vs. 4Q 2010
2 2
1 7
2 3
2 0
1 6
1 3
1 7
1 3
2 3
2 1
1 9
1 3
2 2
2 0
2 9
2 7
1 7
1 6
2 1
1 1
2 9
2 3
1 8
3
1
1 9
2 3
3 5
3 3
2 6
2 1
1 4
2 8 3
0
1 7 2
0 2 4
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
One-day % median One-week % median One-month % medianAvg - 21Avg - 25
Avg - 18
2324
16
The spread between the European 1 month mediandomestic and cross-border control premiums is widening
3 6
3 1 3
2
4 8
4 1
3 6
2 5
2 2
3 4
3 3 3
6
1 8
1 1 1
3
1 8
2 8
2 4
1 9
1 4 1
6
2 5
1 4
2 9
1 0
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
Cross-border Domestic
1
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
Avg- 17Avg- 34
38
7
16
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uropean tren s y country
The UK remained the biggest market by deal value with $110bn, followed by Germany with $82bn and France with $45bn
Russian deal value increased more than five times in 1Q 2011 compared to 1Q 2010 to reach $37bn, while other key growth marketsincluded Italy ($31bn) and Germany ($82bn) which trebled, Nordic ($35bn) which doubled and UK +76%, Iberia +45% and France +43%.
The fall in deal value during 1Q 2011 was in the Benelux region, which declined by 8% compared to 1Q 2010 ($32bn)
s me as year w zer an was e mos ac ve acqu rer w a mar e s are o , u s ppe o n n pos on w a mar e s are o
3% in 1Q 2011, replaced by UK as the most active acquirer with 27% market share compared to 20% last year
Euro ean tar ets b countr Euro ean ac uirers b countr
17% 17%
UK Russia Italy Spain Germany France Denmark Netherlands Sweden Ot hers
15%
UK Germany F rance It aly R us sia Spain Net herlands B elgium Switzerland Ot hers
I O N S
R E V I E
5%
4%3%
16%
14%
4%5%
13%
38%2010YTD
2011 YTD 4%
3%3%
7%
27%20%
7%
10%
3%
28%
11%
2010YTD
2011 YTD
&
A C Q U I S I T
8% 13%
11%
10%7%1%4%
4% 12%9%
10%10%
3%7%10%
1%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic A N
M E R G E R
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uropean tren s y n ustry
Telecom was the lar est sector in Euro e in 1Q 2011Telecoms accounted for 17% of the M&A in 1Q 2011 compared to3% in 1Q 2010
Transport/paper & packaging/building products has the highestamount of cash & short term investment available at $281bn,followed by utilities with $177bn. The least cash & short term 17%5%
4%3%2%
1% 1%
Telecom FIG O&G Divs ConsUtilities Trans/PP /BP RE Health. Tech
securities available is with real estate with $16bn
Technology has the lowest gearing (total debt/total assets) of17.6%, followed by retail with 18.8%. Real estate has the highestgearing of 40.8%, followed by media with a gearing of 29.8%
17%
8%
7%
5%15%
7%
9%
11%
26%
3%3%3%2%2%
2010YTD
2011 YTD
16%14%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
5%4%
Sector exit multiples vs. sector valuationTrans/PP/BP has the highest amount of cash available
29x 27x24x30 30
1Q2011 Industry avg.281
300 50%
Cash ($bn) Total debt/total assets I O N S
R E V I E
21x 20x 20x 19x 17x 16x 16x
11x 10x 9x
05
1015
2025
r l P051015
2025
165 140118 104 94 85 80
50 35 16
177
050
100150
200250
P r l0%10%20%30%40%
&
A C Q U I S I T
R e a
l e s
t a t
T e c
h n o
l o g F
I
M i n i n
M e
d i
H e a
l t h c a r
T e
l e c o
C o n s u m e
D i v e r s
i f i e
R e
t a i
O i l & G a
T r a n s
/ P P / B
U t i l i t i e s
T r a n s
/ P P / B
U t i l i t i e
O i l & G a
D i v e r s
i f i e
T e
l e c o
M e
t a l / M i n i n
C o n s u m e
R e
t a i
H e a
l t h c a r
T e c
h n o
l o g
M e
d i
R e a
l E s
t a t
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetSource: J.P. Morgan, FactSet A N
M E R G E R
.
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uropean top ea s ana ys s
Markets have ositivel reacted to ac uirers of to Euro ean deals in 2011 YTD.
10%
15%
u n o
f t h e
Deutsche BoerseNYSE Euronext
TotalNovatek
AT&T
LVMHBulgari
Telefonica
(5)%
0%
5%
o n
t h e x c e s s
r e t
a c q u i r e r
Avg. 1 month excess return of acquirer : 4.1%EnscoPride International
EI du Pont
BP plcReliance Industries (O&G Blocks)
at o na an oGreece Alpha Bank
-
BPRosneft
Vivo Participacoes
(10)%(10)% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
1 month premium
1 de NemoursDanisco
Acquirer analysis Target analysis
Moody's Rating Broker Recommendation Moody's Rating Broker Recommendation
Ann. Date $bn Target Acquiror - 3m +3m # of est. Change in rating - 3m +3m # of est. Change in rating
with brokers upgrading most of the acquirers for the top European M&A in 2011 YTD
I O N S
R E V I E
20-Mar-11 39.0 T-Mobile USA Inc AT&T Inc A2 A2 8 DW
15-Feb-11 12.5 NYSE Euronext Deutsche Boerse AG WR WR 8 UP A3 A3 7 UP
21-Feb-11 9.0 Reliance Ind. (23 O&G Blocks) BP plc A2 A2 10 UP Baa2 Baa2 14 DW7-Feb-11 8.7 Pride International Inc Ensco plc Ba1 Ba1 13 DW
14-Jan-11 7.9 Rosneft OAO BP plc A2 A2 10 UP Baa1 Baa1 2 UP
9-Jan-11 6.1 Danisco EI du Pont de Nemours A2 A2 3 UP 7 UP &
A C Q U I S I T
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSet
Note: Labels indicate ac uirer followed b tar et
25-Mar-11 5.5 Vivo Participacoes SA Telefonica SA Baa1 Baa1 13 UP 3 DW
7-Mar-11 5.5 Bulgari SpA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton 7 DW 12 DW
2-Mar-11 4.8 Novatek OAO Total SA Aa1 Aa1 9 UP Baa3 Baa3
18-Feb-11 3.9 Alpha Bank AE National Bank of Greece 1 DW WR WR 5 UP
A N
M E R G E R
Since target is private, no data on premiums is available
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Euro ean consumer & retail M&A value rebounded to $37bn in 1Q 2011, an increase of 51% a ainst the revious uarter and u 18%
onsumer & eta
against the same quarter last yearNumber of deals in the sector increased 15% to 170 against 148 in the same quarter last year$1bn plus deals increased to nine deals in this quarter against four deals in the same period last year
An Euro ean involved consumer & retail M&A value constituted 56% of the lobal consumer and retail M&A value in this uarter a ainst45% in the same quarter last year
Financial sponsor activity in the European consumer & retail sector increased 92% in 1Q 2011 compared to 1Q 2010 to $11bn with the$2.1bn divestment of Mey Icki Sanayi ve Ticaret by TPG Capital, which was the biggest consumer & retail sponsor related deal of thequarter
Food & beverage continued to be the leading subsector accounting for 44% of the 1Q 2011 European consumer & retail M&A against 58%in 1Q 2010
Cash available with large European consumer & retail companies has increased over the past five years to $137bn and the gearing fallingto 23%. Nestle has the highest available cash in the consumer & retail sector with $18.5bn
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q U I S I T
A N
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onsumer & eta cont
Euro ean consumer & retail M&A value b deal size Euro ean consumer & retail M&A value as % of lobal
251
$10bn Annualised
20002011YTD ($bn)
M&A, 20002011YTD
66%58% 55%
62%56%60%
70%
13 12 12 13 15 15 16 1428 20 21 18 26 30 33 37 28 16 19 712 13 13 11 18
24 25 20 168 20 7
6135 40 39
54 5854
10755
1752
20
66
12 14
18 19 71
22
148
181
92 84 93111 145
146
73101
37
23% 21%
39% 40%
28%23%
10%
20%
30%40%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Euro ean consumer & retail financial s onsor M&A
0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 1,002 960 849 800 774 880 943 891 843 658 679 170
97
$10bn Annualised
European consumer & retail by sub-sector, 2011YTD
0%8%
Food & Beverage Consumer Products Retail Leisure & Recreation Textile
value, 20002011YTD ($bn)
I O N S
R E V I E
5 58 15 7 8 11
7 3 617
1922
53
1211
16
21
44
2212 15
19
3643
52
3122
34
11
44%
18%
58%11%
17%
10%4%
2010YTD
2011 YTD
&
A C Q U I S I T
2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 2 2 2 08 3 6 6 8 6 6 23 2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 30%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
Note: Represents 1Q data for all years
# ofdeals 134 119 129 127 147 184 186 199 123 104 117 31
A N
M E R G E R
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onsumer & eta cont
Consumer & retail median control remiums 20092011Consumer and retail balance sheet stren th last 5 ears
32.0%
40.3%
30.0%
45.0%C ons um er R et ail
137
109
125
106
125
120
140
160
25%
30%
Cash ($ bn) To tal debt /t ot al as set s
16.3%
7.7%
(5.5)%
0.0%
15.0%
20
40
60
80
100
5%
10%
15%
To consumer & retail deals 2011YTD
(15.0)%2009 2010 2011
0Current2010200920082007
0%
Consumer and retail exit multi les vs. sector valuation
Source: J.P. Morgan , FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums
Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation
Acquirornation
9-Jan-11 6.1 Danisco A/S EI du Pont de Nemours Denmark US
7-Mar-11 5.6 Bulgari SpA LVMH Italy France
21-Feb-11 2.1 Mey Icki Sanayi ve Ticaret Diageo plc Turkey UK
15.0x16.0x 16.6x
18.7x
15.8x
14
161820
14
161820
Retail (M &A) Consumer (M &A) Retail (Actual) Consumer (actual)
I O N S
R E V I E
25-Feb-11 1.9 Dometic International EQT Partners AB Sweden Sweden3-Mar-11 1.3 Delta Maxi doo Delhaize Group Serbia Belgium
18-Mar-11 1.1 Phones 4u BC Partners Ltd UK UK18-Mar-11 1.1 Yoplait SAS General Mills Inc France US
22-Mar-11 1.1 Parmalat SpA Lactalis Group, CreditAgricole , Societe Generale
Italy France
9.3x
24
68
1012
24
68
1012
&
A C Q U I S I T
23-Mar-11 1.0 Unilever plc Colgate-Palmolive Co UK US
21-Jan-11 0.9 Northern Foods Boparan Holdings Ltd UK UKSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
02009 2010 2011
0
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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ea t care
Euro ean healthcare M&A value increased 19% to $13bn in 1Q 2011 com ared to the revious uarter but was down 80% a ainst thesame quarter last year, due to the absence of a single $10bn transaction in 1Q 2011
Number of deals in the sector decreased to 89 in 1Q 2011 against 107 in the same quarter last yearNumber of $1bn plus deals in European healthcare sector decreased to three deals in this quarter against five deals in the sameperiod last year
Any European involved healthcare M&A value constituted 27% of the global healthcare M&A value in this quarter down from 82% in thesame quarter last year
Financial sponsor activity in the European healthcare sector more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $8bn with 14 deals against $4bn in 1Q 2010
1Q 2010
Total cash available with large European healthcare firms is $73bn, of which 70% is held by five companies alone, including AstraZeneca,Roche Holding, GlaxoSmithKline, Sanofi-Aventis and Novartis
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
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ea t care cont
Healthcare median control remiums 20092011YTDHealthcare balance sheet stren th last 5 ears
27.7%
37.3%
30.0%
45.0%
73
86
6471 73
708090100
25%
30%Cash ($ bn) To tal debt /t ot al as set s
13.3%15.0%
1020304050
60
5%
10%
15%
To Healthcare deals 2011YTD
0.0%2009 2010 2011
0Current2010200920082007
0%
Healthcare exit multi les vs. sector valuation
Source: J.P. Morgan , FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums
Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation
Acquirornation
07-Mar-11 2.6 CaridianBCT Holding Corp Terumo Corp US Japan
18-Jan-11 1.5 Priory Healthcare Holdings Advent International UK UK
07-Jan-11 1.2 Capio Sanidad SL CVC Capital Partners Spain Spain
23.3x
20.1x20
25
25
30
H ealt hc are (M &A ) H eat hc are (A c tuals )
I O N S
R E V I E
28-Feb-11 0.9 Plexxikon Inc Daiichi Sankyo Co Ltd US Japan
31-Jan-11 0.8 Quest Diagnostics Inc (9.9%) Quest Diagnostics Inc US US
28-Jan-11 0.7 Integrated Dental Holdings Carlyle Group; PalamonCapital
UK US
23-Feb-11 0.7 SteriGenics International Inc GTCR US US
04-Jan-11 0.6 Euromedic International (IDC) Fresenius Medical Care Hungary Germany
. x
5
10
15
5
10
15
&
A C Q U I S I T
21-Feb-11 0.5 ProStrakan Group plc Kyowa Hakko Kirin Co UK Japan
24-Jan-11 0.5 Genoptix Inc Novartis AG US Switss.2009 2010 2011
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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vers e
Euro ean diversified M&A value more than doubled to $66bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst the same uarter last ear and is down 5% a ainst theprevious quarter
Number of deals in the sector increased to 381 in 1Q 2011 against 352 deals in the same quarter last yearDeals in the range of $1bn-$10bn more than doubled to 10 deals in this quarter against four deals in the same period last yearThe first quarter saw the emergence of a $10bn plus transaction with the $18bn spin-off of Fiat Industrial by Fiat
Any European involved diversified M&A value constituted 40% of the global diversified M&A value in this quarter up from 35% in thesame quarter last year
Financial sponsor activity more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $12.6bn with 46 deals against $5.4bn in 1Q 2010
o a cas ava a e w arge uropean vers e rms s n, o w c a mos a s w compan es, o swagen, emens,Daimler, Fiat, Audi, Peugeot, European Aeronautic Defence & Space, BMW, Vinci and Actividades de Construccion y Servicios
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
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vers e cont
Euro ean Diversified M&A value b deal size Euro ean Diversified M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)
20002011YTD
56%
46%
56%49% 47% 48%
57% 55% 56%
41% 40%50%
60%
498
$10bn Annualised
35%
10%
20%
30%
40%
30 24 24 29 31 35 3357 43 41 27 45 54 63
83 7029 43
38 17 22 16 3938 52
64 5316 29 10
11757 77 74 60
123153
188119
6997
22
12 13
44 96 36
1218
264241
141174
139181
288 310
144191
66
Euro ean Diversified financial s onsor M&A value
0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 2,125 1,871 1,790 1,448 1,576 1,882 2,010 2,165 2,079 1,398 1,511 381
European Diversified by sub-sector, 2011YTD20002011 YTD ($bn)
3% 0%0%
M achinery Building M etal & Steel Chemicals Transp. Auto/TruckProf. Services Aerospace Agri. Paper Defense
105121
$10bn Annualised
I O N S
R E V I E
0%
10%
10%
31%7%
17%
9%14%
9%
3%
13%1%
1%
2010YTD
2011 YTD
20 22 249 3 9 821 13 16 22 18
105 9 1318
23 2060
67
16 2812
51
29 2836 40
70
61 55
28
54
13 &
A C Q U I S I T
11%
12%
15%26%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
5 5 5 6 6 8 7 7 5 3 4 110 10 9 8 7 12 25
5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 290 276 290 265 325 356 366 398 306 174 228 46
A N
M E R G E R
o e: epresen s a a or a years
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vers e cont
Diversified median control remiums 20092011YTDDiversified balance sheet stren th last 5 ears
24.1%25.5%
19.5%20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
352349
275276
331
350
400
25%
30%
C ash ($ bn) Tot al debt /t ot al ass et s
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
50
100
150
200
250
5%
10%
15%
20%
To Diversified deals 2011YTD
0.0%2009 2010 2011
0Current2010200920082007
0%
Sector exit multi les vs. sector valuation
Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums
Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation
Acquirornation
3-Jan-11 18.0 Fiat Industrial Existing Shareholders Italy Italy
26-Jan-11 4.9 Aperam (Stainless steel) Existing Shareholders Luxbourg Luxbourg
9-Mar-11 3.3 Tognum AG (71.6%) Daimler; Rolls-Royce Germany Germany
18.2x16.9x 16.3x
11.3x11.0x 11.1x16
1820
161820
Auto (M &A) Chem. (M &A) Constr'n (M &A) Transp. (M &A)Auto (Act) Chem. (Act) Constr'n (Act) Transp. (Act)
I O N S
R E V I E
14-Feb-11 2.9 TransContainer (20.4%) Bank of New York Russia US
21-Mar-11 2.8 Imerys SA (25.6%) Groupe Bruxelles Lambert France Belgium
18-Feb-11 2.6 Lafarge (UK business) Anglo American (Tarmac) UK UK
16-Feb-11 2.4 Sued-Chemie (96.4%) Clariant AG Germany Swiss.
11-Jan-11 2.0 ELKEM CNCC Norway China
8.1x9.3x
5.5x
8.4x
11.3x. x
2468
1012
2468
1012
&
A C Q U I S I T
1-Feb-11 1.5 BorsodChem Rt (58%) Wanhua Industrial Hungary China
7-Mar-11 1.3 Forth Ports plc (77.2%) Arcus Infra. Partners UK UK2009 2010 2011
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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nanc a , nsurance an overnment
Euro ean FIG M&A value increased b 66% to $59bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst $36bn in 1Q 2010 and increased 46% from revious uarter,mainly driven by transatlantic stock exchange consolidation
However the number of deals fell to 157 deals in 1Q 2011 from 165 deals in the same quarter last yearDeals in the range of $1bn-$10bn increased by 40% to 14 deals in 1Q 2011 from 10 deals in 1Q 2010The first quarter saw the return of a $10bn plus transaction with the $12.5bn bid for NYSE Euronext by Deutsche Boerse
Any European involved FIG M&A constituted 57% of global FIG M&A value in 1Q 2011 against 39% in 1Q 2010
The financial sponsor activity in the European FIG sector more than doubled to $3.2bn in 1Q 2011 against the same period last year withthe $1.2bn minority stake acquisition in Taikang Life Insurance by Goldman Sachs and GIC
uropean governmen a ou s ave ncrease n o . n aga ns . n n
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
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cont
Euro ean FIG M&A value b deal size Euro ean FIG M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)
20002011YTD
69%
60%53%
57%60%
70%
80%
419512
$10bn Annualised
40%
20% 17%
35%
47%
38% 39%
20%
30%
40%
50%
31 30 28 35 24 35 42 45 47 32 3638 17 18 14 24 13 33 43
42 20 235
15092 33 61 43
115 125237 182
121 105
33
67
3431 27
2289
173134
111
13
238297
185120 120 128
196
300 295
174
59
Euro ean FIG financial s onsor M&A value
0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 752 696 653 626 558 677 694 795 877 667 625 157
European FIG by sub-sector, 2011YTD20002011YTD ($bn)
0%8%
Finance Insurance Holding Companies Government37
$10bn Annualised
I O N S
R E V I E
21%
2%
69%
29%2010YTD
2011 YTD
5 3 5 64
11 11
24
8
84
11
46
4 4
11
21 21 19
13 13
&
A C Q U I S I T
71%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 013 1 2 3
5 5 5 4 3 4 12
21 1
2 11
2 1
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 40 44 38 48 54 67 76 90 81 48 48 11
A N
M E R G E R
o e: epresen s a a or a years
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cont
FIG median control remiums 20092011YTDEuro ean overnment bailouts $bn
18 1%
27.3%
25.0%
30.0%
Finance Insurance124
100
120
140 Financial institutes Corporates
16.2%.
14.0%11.8%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
.
124
60
10
478
0
0
0 028
0
28
60
19
4
4 7
3 38 6 5
20
40
60
80
To FIG deals 2011YTD
0.0%2009 2010 2011
02Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
FIG exit multi les vs. sector valuation
Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums
Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation
Acquirornation
15-Feb-11 12.5 NYSE Euronext Deutsche Boerse AG US Germany
7-Mar-11 4.2 ING Groep NV (5.2%) ING Groep NV Nethland Nethland
18-Feb-11 3.9 Alpha Bank AE National Bank of Greece Greece Greece
39.1x45 45
Finance (M &A) Insurance (M &A) Finance (A ctual) Insurance (actual)
I O N S
R E V I E
14-Feb-11 3.5 Bank of Moscow (46.5%) VTB Bank OAO Russia Russia
9-Feb-11 3.2 TMX Group Inc LSE Canada UK
6-Feb-11 2.8 Amagerbanken (All Assets) Finansiel Stabilitet Denmark Denmark24-Mar-11 2.4 Catalunya Caixa (Stake%) FROB Spain Spain
27-Jan-11 2.4 La Caixa (Banking ops) Criteria CaixaCorp SA Spain Spain
3-Mar-11 2.1 NPM/CNP 28.3% Erbe SA Bel ium Bel ium
14.2x16.7x
.
6.0x10.2x15 15
&
A C Q U I S I T
22-Feb-11 1.9Zurich SantanderInsurance America (51%) Zurich Financial Services Brazil Switss.
2009 2010 2011
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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atura esources an as
Natural resources rou NRG saw M&A deal value more than double in 1Q 2011 to $87bn com ared to $35bn in the same eriod lastyear. This increase coincides by the rising cost of oil which has risen 43% in the last 12 months
Number of deals remained same in 1Q 2011 at 188 deals against 1Q 2010Number of deals in the $1bn-$10bn range increased to 20 deals in 1Q 2011 against 12 deals in 1Q 2010Mid-market activity more than doubled to 13 deals in this quarter against six deals in the same period last year
Financial sponsor activity in the European NRG sector increased 8% to $2bn in 1Q 2011 against 1Q 2010
Oil & gas continued to be the top sub sector in 1Q 2011 with 68% against 50% in 1Q 2010
Cash & short term investments available with large European NRG companies is $371bn, more than half of which is held by 10compan es, ec r c e e rance, ne p , o a , c, on, uez, n esa, oya u c e , . anSurgutneftegaz
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q
U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
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cont
Euro ean NRG M&A value b deal size Euro ean NRG M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)
20002011YTD
59% 57%
70%66%
55%60%
70%
80%
122 347360
450$10bn Annualised
150
44%
36% 36% 36%28%
45%
20%
30%
40%
50%
21 19 19 22 25 30 36 49 40 30 4121 15 11 17 1523 28
39 32 22 2710
9244 61 37 61
69127
226162
96170
6839 17
51
160 82
14
23140 124 114
83110
183 173
273
8750
100
Brent Oil $/bbl
Euro ean NRG financial s onsor M&A value
0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011466 424 385 417 470 600 677 770 838 780 842 188# ofdeals
European NRG by sub-sector, 2011YTD20002011YTD ($bn)
3%
Mining Oil & Gas Utility & Energy36
$10bn Annualised
I O N S
R E V I E
29%
31%
19%
2010YTD
2011 YTD
39 11
19 18 20
4 7
7
46
9
17 16
25 26
912
&
A C Q
U I S I T
68%50%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 00 1 1 24 3 4 3 4 2 3 11 1
4 1 2 4 1 2 23 3 11 2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 14 17 16 24 42 47 39 52 57 44 34 8
A N
M E R G E R
o e: epresen s a a or a years
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cont
NRG median control remiums 20092011YTDNRG balance sheet stren th last 5 ears
43.5%40.2%
26.9%
43.4%
29.5%30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
M ining O&G Ut ilit y
371344
318275
362
300
350
400
25%
30%
Cash ($bn) Total debt/total assets
17.4%
6.8%12.1%
(11.4)%(10.0)%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
50
100
150200
250
5%
10%
15%
To NRG deals 2011YTD
(20.0)%2009 2010 2011
0Current2010200920082007
0%
NRG exit multi les vs. sector valuation
Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums
Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation
Acquirornation
21-Feb-11 9.0 Reliance Industries (Oil &Gas Blocks) BP plc India UK7-Feb-11 8.7 Pride International Ensco plc US UK14-Jan-11 7.9 Rosneft (9.5%) BP plc Russia UK
24.8x
21.0x25
30
25
30
M ining (M &A) O&G (M &A) Utility (M &A)M ining (Act.) O&G (Act.) Utility (Act.)
I O N S
R E V I E
16-Feb-11 7.6 CEPSA (52.9%) IPIC Spain UAE1-Mar-11 6.5 E.ON UK PPL Corp UK US2-Mar-11 4.8 Novatek (12.1%) Total SA Russia France19-Jan-11 2.9 Elektro Eletricidade e Servicos (99.7%) Iberdrola Brazil Spain14-Mar-11 2.8 Iberdrola (6. 2%) Qatar Invest.
AuthoritySpain Qatar
13-Feb-11 2 8 John Wood Grou Well Su ort General US US
9.1x 9.0x
11.7x 10.9x10.9x 10.6x8.7x
5
10
15
20
5
10
15
20
&
A C Q
U I S I T
.Division) Electric
8-Mar-11 2.1 Iberdrola Renovables (19.6%) Iberdrola SA Spain Spain2009 2010 2011
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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ea estate
With ust one $1bn lus transaction, Euro ean real estate M&A value has declined 21% to $17bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst the revious uarterand down 28% from the same period last year
The number of deals in the European real estate sector fell to 146 against 163 deals in the same period last yearMid-market deals increased to five deals against four deals in same period last year
Financial s onsor related M&A value in this sector almost doubled to $2bn a ainst the revious uarter but decreased 71% a ainst thesame period last year
Activity from the dining & lodging subsector is 11% of total European real estate M&A value in 1Q 2011 against 3% in 1Q 2010
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q
U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
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ea estate cont
Euro ean Real estate M&A value b deal size Euro ean Real estate M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)
20002011YTD
69%60%
56% 59% 57%60%
70%
80%
51226
267$10bn Annualised
47%
37%
45% 43%
31%
20%20%
30%
40%
50%
12 17 21 25 16 13 1316 16 17 2233 60
72 75 48 29 348
12 9 8 618
1749 42
2410 11
432 13 21 36
5559
84 75
46
20 19
1
17
1268
84
44 5472
119
152 147
72 78
17
Euro ean Real estate financial s onsor M&A value
0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals
423 412 428 466 633 862 1038 1169 843 628 614 146
European Real estate by sub-sector, 1Q 2010 vs. 1Q 201120002011YTD ($bn)
11%
Dining & Lodging Real Estate/Property35 35
$10bn Annualised
I O N S
R E V I E
3%
2010YTD
2011 YTD
6 2 5 69
17
2418
24
16
7
98 7
12
22
7 6
10
27
&
A C Q
U I S I T
89%
97%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
1 0 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 0 0 01 2 14 4 5 4 2 2 2 12
2 2 2 2 1 12
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 24 33 37 48 62 86 72 70 43 28 25 13
A N
M E R G E R
o e: epresen s a a or a years
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ea estate cont
Real estate median control remiums 20092011YTDReal estate balance sheet stren th last 5 ears
12.9% 12.2%
23.1%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
R eal es tat e D ining & Lo dging
10
8 710
12
40%
50%C ash ($ bn) Tot al debt /t ot al ass et s
(5.8)%
1.2%
(5.0)%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%67
2
4
6
10%
20%
30%
To Real estate deals 2011YTD
.2009 2010 2011Current2010200920082007
Real estate exit multi les vs. sector valuation
Source: J.P. Morgan , FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums
Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation
Acquirornation
23-Mar-11 1.2 Rosimushchestvo Inter RAO UES OAO Russia Russia15-Feb-11 0.9 ING RE (Europe & Asia) CBRE Nethland US15-Feb-11 0.7 Colonia RE (0.3%) TAG Immobilien Germany Germany
41.3x
29.1x
45 45
RE(M &A) Lodging (M &A) RE (Actual) Lodging (Actual)
I O N S
R E V I E
23-Mar-11 0.7 Redefine International Wichford plc UK UK20-Mar-11 0.7 Property Portfolio Keppel Land Sing. Sing.21-Mar-11 0.6 Barclays Bank (Comm.
RE Portfolio)CreXus Investment US US
14-Jan-11 0.4 River Court Holdings Chinese Estates UK HK16-Mar-11 0.4 Logistics Portfolio AEW Europe; Tristan
Ca italCzechRe
France
17.2x 18.3x
12.1x15 15
&
A C Q
U I S I T
27-Mar-11 0.4 Delek Global (Bell Tower) Undisclosed Acquiror Canada Canada24-Mar-11 0.4 Wagamama Ltd Duke Street Capital UK UK
02009 2010 2011
0
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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e ecommun cat on, me a an tec no ogy
Driven b the $39bn divestment of T-Mobile USA Inc b Deutche Telecom, Euro ean telecoms, media and technolo TMT deal valuealmost quadrupled in 1Q 2011 to $78bn compared to $20bn in 1Q last year and was up 65% from $47bn in 4Q 2010
Number of deals in 1Q 2011 was up 14% to 225 deals against 197 deals in 1Q 2010Deals in the $1bn-$10bn range increased to eight deals in 1Q 2011 against five deals in 1Q 2010
Financial s onsor activit in the Euro ean TMT sector has almost trebled to $11.7bn in 1Q 2011 a ainst $4bn in 1Q 2010 with the $4.5bndivestment by EQT Partners in Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg, in what is the biggest sponsor deal of the quarter
European TMT companies have been reducing their gearing which stands at 25.7% and have also been building up their cash whichcurrently stands at $187bn, of which $100bn is held by ten companies, Nokia Corp, Vodafone Group, Ericsson, Telecom Italia, ABB,Koninklijke Philips Electronics, Telefonica, Alcatel-Lucent, France Telecom and Deutsche Telekom
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q
U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
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cont
Euro ean TMT M&A value b deal size Euro ean TMT M&A value as % of lobal M&A 20002011YTD ($bn)
20002011YTD
77%
70%80%90%
150
570$10bn Annualised
37%
55%47%
21%27% 27%
46%36%
21% 21%
53%
20%30%40%50%
60%
2750 26 18 17 29 37 38 46 36 16 2440
21 14 12 19 20 1931 16 10 11 5
302
60 57 41 40108 125 133
46 68 8525
22 44 28
69 46 46
3839
312
144101 127
132
251 244
115 105171
78
274
Euro ean TMT financial s onsor M&A value
0%2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 2,118 1,450 1,090 934 1,026 1,204 1,125 1,157 1,206 898 937 225
European TMT by sub-sector, 1Q2010 vs. 1Q201120002011YTD ($bn)
4%
Media Technology Telecom
89 96
$10bn Annualised
I O N S
R E V I E
40% 33%2010YTD
2011 YTD
1112
8 2312
49 53 46
20 16
14 1116
47
2417 20
36 35 3527 30
12 &
A C Q
U I S I T
83%
27%
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
4 3 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 2 2 17 6 3 5 10 11 12
17 8 5 8 15 2 4 6
41 3
16 11
10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011# ofdeals 297 260 210 199 222 262 222 266 212 152 154 28
A N
M E R G E R
o e: epresen s a a or a years
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cont
TMT median control remiums 20092011YTDTMT balance sheet stren th last 5 ears
38.6%33.7%
42.5%42.1%
35.0%40.0%45.0%
Techno lo gy M edia Telec om
184176167
137
176
160
200
28%
29%
30%
C ash ($ bn) Tot al debt /t ot al ass et s
12.4%
25.7%
19.5%
5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%
40
80
120
24%
25%
26%
27%
To TMT deals 2011YTD
.2009 2010 2011Current2010200920082007
TMT exit multi les vs. sector valuation
Source: J.P. Morgan, FactSetNote: Total of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Median 1 month control premiums
Ann. date $bn Target AcquirorTargetnation
Acquirornation
20-Mar-11 39.0 T-Mobile USA Inc AT&T Inc US US
25-Mar-11 5.5 Vivo Participacoes (37.8%) Telefonica SA Brazil Spain
31-Mar-11 5.0 Vodafone Essar (33.0%) Vodafone Group India UK
28.8x27.2x
25
30
25
30
Tech. (M &A) M edia (M &A) Telecom (M &A)Tech. (Actual) M edia (Actual) Telecom (Actual)
I O N S
R E V I E
21-Mar-11 4.5 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg Liberty Global Inc Germany US
29-Mar-11 3.2 Converteam Group (90%) General Electric Co France US
21-Mar-11 2.0 Telekom Serbia (Srbija) (51%) Telekom Austria AG Serbia Austria
1-Feb-11 1.9 EMI Group Ltd Citigroup Inc UK US
18-Feb-11 1.5 TeliaSonera AB (3.6%) TeliaSonera AB Sweden Sweden
31-Jan-11 1.3 Siemens Ltd (19.7%) Siemens AG India Germany
9.5x
.
13.0x14.9x
19.0x
10.0x 10.3x
5
10
15
20
5
10
15
20
&
A C Q
U I S I T
31-Jan-11 0.8 Lagardere (International pressand magazine business)
Hearst Corp Spain US2009 2010 2011
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Actual represents average of companies in the sector with a market cap greater than $1bn
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic
A N
M E R G E R
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acro econom c ata
Macro economic data for the euro zone
Currency Current Last quater Last year q-o-q change y-o-y changeGBPUSD 1.6030 1.5657 1.5169 2.4% 5.7%EURUSD 1.4191 1.3416 1.3531 5.8% 4.9%CHFUSD 1.0931 1.0728 0.9501 1.9% 15.1%SEKUSD 0.1585 0.1487 0.1389 6.6% 14.1%
Euro zone France Germany Norway United Kingdom
t h 2009 (4.1%) (2.5%) (4.7%) (1.4%) (4.9%)
G D P G r o 2010 1.8% 1.5% 3.5% 0.4% 1.3%
2011E 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 1.7%2012E 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 2.3%
n t
U n e m p l o y m e
2009 NA 9.5% 7.5% 3.2% 7.5%2010 10.0% 9.7% 6.9% 3.6% 7.8%
2011E 9.9% 9.5% 6.6% 3.6% 7.8%2012E 9.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.5% 7.7%
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q
U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
Source: IMF, FactSet
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rance
French M&A value for 1Q 2011 reached $45bn, 43% above 1Q last ear at $32bn, however it was 11% below the level in the last uarterof $51bn
Deal volume fell by 34% to 136 deals in 1Q 2011 vs. 207 deals during the same time last yearNumber of deals in the range of $1bn$10bn almost doubled to 13 deals compared to eight deals in 1Q last yearMid market deals also halved to 20 deals in 1Q 2011 vs. 40 in 1Q 2010
On an annulised basis, French M&A for 2011 could reach $181bn, 9% below 2010 with $198bn
Cross-border M&A formed 87% of the total French M&A in 1Q 2011, against 66% in 1Q 2010This was driven by 83% increase of inbound M&A to $9bn and 65% increase of outbound M&A to $18bn
.company Bulgari
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q
U I S I T
A N
M E R G E R
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An French involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn
rance cont
An French involvement b cross border 20002011YTD
116 10694
208 198204
308315 322
$10bn Annualised
France CAC 40 4%8% 11%
37%23% 11% 17% 23% 20% 16%
46%
Domes tic Inf low Outf low
10 9 8 7 9 10 8 12 10 8 10 233 33 25 20 28 32 42 44 35 21 33 528 20 13 18 24 21
28 37 3020 24
5
127 7856 59 44
57124
13695
83 63
33
11 16 14 7187
3468
181151
118 118
176
133
45
8%31%
50% 49%
84%
31%
70%51%
31%
74%
34%13%
21%
13%
14%27%
52%29%
9% 20%29%
71%
To French involvement deal list 2011YTD
# ofdeals
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011712 657 516 433 550 586 573 679 674 695 750 136
Ann. DateDeal Value
($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality
Acquirornationality
16-Feb-11 7,608 Compania Espanola de Petroleos (52.9%) International Petroleum Investment Co - IPIC Spain UAE7-Mar-11 5,519 Bulgari SpA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA Italy France
I O N S
R E V I E
- ar- , ova e . o a uss a rance29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group SAS (90%) General Electric Co France United States
21-Mar-11 2,815 Imerys SA (25.6%) Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA - GBL France Belgium18-Feb-11 2,633 Lafarge SA (UK Cement, Aggregates & Concrete Business) Anglo American plc (Tarmac Ltd ) United Kingdom United Kingdom30-Mar-11 1,467 Oil & Gas Assets (Exploration areas 1, 2 and 3A in Uganda) Total SA Uganda France
- - &
A C Q
U I S I T
, .18-Mar-11 1,118 Yoplait SAS (51%) General Mills Inc France United States22-Mar-11 1,055 Parmalat SpA (15.3%) Lactalis Group; Credit Agricole; Societe
GeneraleItaly France
Source: J.P. Morgan, DealogicNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A
N
M E R G E R
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An German involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn
ermany cont
An German involvement b cross border 20002011YTD
64329
384
$10bn Annualised
Germany DAX
45%27% 34%
17% 13% 25%36%
53%30% 34%
52%
Domes tic Inf low Outf low
11 9 8 9 11 11 12 15 14 10 8 231 23 28 30 31 3342 56 38 20 27 5
30 16 11 13 27 24 3546 30
10 12 5
16775 80 55 60
109 110
203
10790 64
18
45
3322
6359
14 2052
156128 107 128
199248
143 13282
262
32%47%
28% 34%42% 44% 44%
21% 21%
60%
11% 23%
23%
26%
38%
49%45%
31% 20%
26% 21%
10%
54% 26%
To German involvement deal list 2011YTD
# ofdeals 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011731 631 592 515 619 600 662 850 755 518 470 127
Ann. DateDeal Value
($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality
Acquirornationality
20-Mar-11 39,000 T-Mobile USA Inc AT&T Inc United States United States15-Feb-11 12,543 NYSE Euronext (Bid No 1) Deutsche Boerse AG United States Germany
I O N S
R E V I E
- ar- , . p c orp n e ng om n e a es21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg GmbH & Co KG Liberty Global Inc Germany United States
9-Mar-11 3,309 Tognum AG (71.6%) Daimler AG/ Rolls-Royce Group plc Germany Germany16-Feb-11 2,371 Sued-Chemie AG (96.4%) Clariant AG Germany Switzerland31-Jan-11 1,347 Siemens Ltd (19.6963%) Siemens AG India Germany
- - - - &
A C Q U I S I T
,engine business)
.
10-Jan-11 854 China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co Ltd (2.3079%) Allianz SE China Germany
15-Feb-11 744 Colonia Real Estate AG (0.3%) TAG Immobilien AG Germany GermanySource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic, FactSetNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A
N
M E R G E R
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An Iberian involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn
er a cont
An Iberian involvement b cross border 20002011YTD
115 169221
303
$10bn Annualised
Spain IBEX 35 30% 45%19%
46%24%
12% 6%30%
4%
Domes tic Inf low Outf low
7 7 6 8 8 9 12 11 9 6 8 224 15 13 14 2027 35 43 31 20 24 6
19 6 12 6 1414 25 25 16 9 20
5
76
11 8 18 2038
102 10861
3786
3017
42
47
471438 40 46
78
131164
86
138
42
126
31% 28% 35%47%
22%42% 36%
21%47%
27%45%
28%
11%43% 21%
34%
20%12% 7% 55%
41%67%
42%
To Iberian involvement deal list 2011YTD
# ofdeals
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011545 425 408 394 443 478 583 651 536 383 451 102
Ann. DateDeal Value
($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality
Acquirornationality
16-Feb-11 7,608 Compania Espanola de Petroleos SA - CEPSA (52.9%) International Petroleum Investment Co - IPIC Spain UAE25-Mar-11 5,542 Vivo Participacoes SA (37.8%) Telefonica SA Brazil Spain
I O N S
R E V I E
- an- , e ro e r c a e e erv cos . er ro a raz pa n14-Mar-11 2,811 Iberdrola SA (6.2%) Qatar Investment Authority Spain Qatar
24-Mar-11 2,433 Catalunya Caixa - Caixa d'Estalvis de Catalunya Tarragona &Manresa (Stake%)
FROB - Fondo de Restructuracion OrdenadaBancaria
Spain Spain
27-Jan-11 2,431 Caja de Ahorros y Pensiones de Barcelona - La Caixa (Bankingoperations)
Criteria CaixaCorp SA Spain Spain & A C Q U I S I T
8-Mar-11 2,094 Iberdrola Renovables SA (19.6%) Iberdrola SA Spain Spain22-Feb-11 1,890 Zurich Santander Insurance America SL (51%) Zurich Financial Services Group AG Brazil Switzerland
14-Jan-11 1,418 VidaCaixa Adeslas SA de Seguros Generales & Reaseguros (50%) Mutua Madrilena Automovilista Spain Spain7-Jan-11 1,180 Capio Sanidad SL CVC Capital Partners Ltd Spain Spain
Source: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSet
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Italian M&A trebled in the first uarter to $33bn a ainst $11bn in 1Q last ear, on back of the $18bn s in-off of Fiat Industrial b FiatThe number of deals in 1Q 2011 fell by 8% to 83 deals, against 90 deals in the same period last yearMid-market deal value doubled to $3.3bn in 1Q 2011 against $1.7bn during the same period last year
Cross-border M&A as a percentage of total Italian M&A reduced to 31% in 1Q 2011 against 43% in 1Q 2010, although in terms of valueit more than doubled to $10bn from $4bn in 1Q 2010
Inbound M&A more than doubled to $9bn in 1Q 2011 from $4bn in 1Q2010, driven mainly by investments in the consumer & retail
sector, with the $5.5bn acquisition of Bulgari by French retail company LVMHDomestic M&A more than trebled to $21bn in 1Q 2011, from $6bn in 1Q 2010
I O N S
R E V I E
&
A C Q U I S I T
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An Italian involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn An Italian involvement b cross border 20002011YTD
290
$10bn Annualised
Italy FTSE Italia All-Share 7%10%
4%
8% 16% 38%29%
12%
50%
5% 1%17% 16% 25%
53%42%
5% 2%
Domes tic Inf low Outf low
7 7 6 7 8 9 9 8 9 5 7 122 18 23 16 1727 22 30 24 12 14 3
15 8 13 6 13 10 20 17 19 6 7 4
8545 32 34 19
47 67121
5730 22
7
1744 28
45 49
14 2518
132
77 74108
85
138109
68 75
33
166147
82%
37%
86% 95% 76% 68%
29% 22%38% 33%
57%69%
13%46%
26%21%
4%
To Italian involvement deal list 2011YTD
# ofdeals
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011510 472 439 354 431 503 484 488 483 323 370 83
Ann. DateDeal Value
($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality
Acquirornationality
3-Jan-11 18,032 Fiat Industrial SpA Existing Shareholders Italy Italy7-Mar-11 5,519 Bulgari SpA LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA Italy France
I O N S
R E V I E
- ar- , arma a p . ac a s roup re gr co e oc e e enera e a y rance15-Mar-11 747 Maritza East III Power Holding BV / Maritza O&M Holding
Netherlands BVContourGlobal Bulgaria United States
28-Mar-11 743 Telecom Italia SpA (2.531%) BNP Paribas SA Italy France31-Jan-11 706 Empresa de Telecomunicaciones de Cuba SA (27%) Rafin SA Cuba Cuba
9-Mar-11 673 Ansaldo Energia SpA (45%) Ansaldo Electric Drives SpA - AED Italy Italy &
A C Q U I S I T
23-Jan-11 525 SNAI - Sindicato Nazionale Agenzie Ippiche SpA (50.68%) InvestIndustrial LP / Palladio Finanziaria SpA Italy Italy17-Mar-11 441 Parmalat SpA (7.278%) Lactalis Group Italy France
25-Feb-11 399 Set Group Holding AS Limak Holding AS Turkey TurkeySource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A
N
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Deal value for Nordic M&A more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $35bn from $14bn in 1Q last ear, and increased 12% over 4Q 2010The deal volume increased 7% in 1Q 2011 to 202 deals from 188 deals in 1Q 2010Number of deals above $1bn increased to 11 deals from three deals in 1Q 2010 and eight deals in 4Q 2010There were no mid-market deals in the Nordic in this quarterThirteenth straight quarter without a single $10bn plus deal
Cross border deals were 48% of total Nordic deals in 1Q 2011 against 58% in 1Q 2010Inbound M&A more than doubled in 1Q 2011 to $11bn from $5bn in 1Q 2010, with more than 50% of the activity coming from theconsumer and retail sector. The top deal was the $6bn acquisition of Danisco by EI du Pont de NemoursDomestic M&A more than doubled in 1Q 2010 against the same period last year to $13.3bn, comprising 52% of the total Nordic M&A
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&
A C Q U I S I T
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An Nordic involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn An Nordic involvement b cross border 20002011YTD
35 30
20140
191
157 159
129 135
$10bn Annualised
MSCI Nordic Countries7% 11%
26%37%
22% 19% 23% 18% 16% 21% 21%47%
21%7%
Domes tic Inf low Outf low
14 10 8 9 10 13 14 16 16 10 13 427 22 15 16 20
32 38 39 37 18 245
2313 5 11 15
17 24 30 20
917
59
2329 25
3154
53 61
3137
27
14
57 6276
6835
67 91
38% 42%55% 59% 62%
75% 73%56%
23%45% 42% 52%
36% 21%24% 23%
56%8%
37%
To Nordic involvement deal list 2011YTD
# ofdeals
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011953 759 555 592 599 800 807 895 923 750 854 202
Ann. DateDeal Value
($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality
Acquirornationality
9-Jan-11 6,117 Danisco A/S EI du Pont de Nemours & Co Denmark United States21-Mar-11 4,482 Kabel Baden-Wuerttemberg GmbH & Co KG Liberty Global Inc Germany United States
I O N S
R E V I E
- - ,7-Mar-11 2,625 CaridianBCT Holding Corp Terumo Corp United States Japan11-Jan-11 2,000 ELKEM AS (Silicon Materials, Foundry Products, Carbon and
Elkem Solar)
China National Chemical Corp - CNCC Norway China
25-Feb-11 1,877 Dometic International AB EQT Partners AB Sweden Sweden26-Jan-11 1,681 Fingrid Oyj (30.22%) Republic of Finland Finland Finland
&
A C Q U I S I T
18-Feb-11 1,547 TeliaSonera AB (3.57142%) TeliaSonera AB Sweden Sweden9-Mar-11 1,248 Rolls-Royce Group plc (Bergen gas and diesel medium-speed
engine business)Daimler AG (28.4% stake in Tognum AG) Norway Germany
7-Jan-11 1,180 Capio Sanidad SL CVC Capital Partners Ltd Spain SpainSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSet
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An UK involvement activit 20002011YTD $bn An UK involvement b cross border 20002011YTD
316
848784
$10bn Annualised
FTSE 100
17% 16%14% 15%
32% 40%12%
26% 20% 36% 31% 40% 35%53%
Domes tic Inf low Outf low
45 34 31 30 36 42 41 46 40 24 26 776 52 48 46 71 93 96 110 86 44 67 1556 30 24 29 44
54 70 78 5231 40 17
366
85 98 97 121197 177 298 174
80182
71
66 44 1027
60 151111
9237
437
267 244 212299
446 463
109
535
353
271
# of
69%
33% 37%46%
71%50%
28%46%
34% 42% 33%21%
52%32% 15%
24%51% 18% 35% 18%
33%27%
To UK involvement deal list 2011YTD
deals(000s) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20113.2 2.5 2.2 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.4 1.5 1.7 0.4
Ann. DateDeal Value
($mm) Target AcquirorTargetnationality
Acquirornationality
21-Feb-11 9,000 Reliance Industries Ltd (23 Oil and Gas Blocks) BP plc India United Kingdom7-Feb-11 8,718 Pride International Inc Ensco plc United States United Kingdom
I O N S
R E V I E
- an- , osne . p c uss a n e ng om1-Mar-11 6,468 E.ON UK plc PPL Corp United Kingdom United States
31-Mar-11 5,000 Vodafone Essar (33.02%) Vodafone Group plc India United Kingdom9-Feb-11 3,218 TMX Group Inc London Stock Exchange Group plc Canada United Kingdom29-Mar-11 3,200 Converteam Group SAS (90%) General Electric Co France United States19-Jan-11 2 897 Elektro Eletricidade e Servicos SA 99 68% Iberdrola SA Brazil S ain
&
A C Q U I S I T
, .13-Feb-11 2,800 John Wood Group plc (Well Support Division, headquartered in
Houston, the USA)General Electric Co United States United States
18-Feb-11 2,633 Lafarge SA (Lafarge UK Cement, Aggregates & Concrete Business) Anglo American plc (Tarmac Ltd ) United Kingdom United KingdomSource: J.P. Morgan, Dealogic , FactSetNote: Represents 1Q data for all years A
N
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Deal values in Middle East & Africa increased 20% in 1Q 2011 to $35bn from $29bn in 4Q 2010 but mar inall fell from $37bn in 1Q2010
However deal volume fell by 28% to 174 deals in 1Q 2011 from 242 deals in 4Q 2010 and 5% from 183 deals in 1Q 2010Deals valued between $1bn-$10bn increased to 10 deals in 1Q 2011 against six deals in 1Q 2010
On an annualised basis, deal value in Middle East & Africa could reach $140bn in 2011, 14% above $123bn in 2010
Cross-border M&A was 65% of Middle East & African M&A deal value in 1Q 2011 againstThis was due in part to the 72% increase in outbound M&A with and boosted by the $7.6bn acquisit