Date post: | 16-Jan-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | the-israel-project |
View: | 261 times |
Download: | 0 times |
2
Methodology
On behalf of The Israel Project, Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of N=800 likely voters. The survey was administered by phone and was conducted July 18-19, 21-22, 2012. The survey has a margin of error of +3.46%.
4
61%
71% 69%
59%
66% 58%
44%
63% 60% 57%
56% 58% 51%
58% 56% 51% 51%
55% 58% 56%
60% 57%
61%
10% 8% 6% 7% 6% 9%
5% 8%
5% 5% 7% 9% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6%
10% 8% 6% 7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Israel Supporter Palestinian Supporter Neither/Don’t Know/Refused
** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
Crisis in Egypt
Flotilla Incident Talks Stall
Peace talks renew
Gaza War Israel-Hamas Truce
Annapolis
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
Voters continue to believe the US should side with Israel in the conflict with the Palestinians.
Lebanon
5
82%
56% 45%
1% 5% 13%
GOP (38%)
IND (17%)
DEM (44%)
Israel Pales. Israel
By Party
Pales. Israel
There is consensus across party lines.
February 2012
77 53 8 3 8 46
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
6
51% 60% 64% 62%
71%
12% 2%
7% 6% 5%
18-34 (24%)
35-44 (21%)
45-54 (14%)
55-64 (21%)
65+ (19%)
Israel Pales. Israel Pales. Israel Israel Israel Pales.
And, among all age groups.
Pales.
By Age
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
February 2012
45 12 50 6 67 2 64 7 63 5
8
80% 89%
81% 72%
10% 5%
11% 15%
Total GOP (38%)
IND (17%)
DEM (44%)
American voters overwhelmingly believe Iran is building nuclear weapons.
First, do you believe that Iran is building nuclear weapons?
By Party Total
Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No
+70 +57 +84 +70
9
60%
27%
7% 3%
Total
Over 60% of Americans continue to believe Iran is a very big threat to Israel.
Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places...
Israel
Very Big Threat
Not Much Threat No Threat
Moderate Threat
February 2012
67 21 5 4
10
Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places...
34% 41%
15% 9%
Total
Very Big Threat
Moderate Threat
While one-third of voters say that Iran’s nuclear program is a very big threat to the
United States...
February 2012
44 35 13 7
The United States*
*Asked of Sample A Only, N=400
Not Much Threat No Threat
11
Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places...
39% 41%
12% 6%
Total
Very Big Threat
Not Much Threat No Threat
Moderate Threat
A higher percentage believe that Iran’s nuclear program is a very big threat to the US and its
NATO allies.
The United States and its NATO allies**
**Asked of Sample B Only, N=400
13
78% 86%
67% 75%
17% 11% 23% 20%
Total GOP (39%)
IND (17%)
DEM (43%)
Americans continue to strongly support sanctions against Iran.
Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program...
Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?* By Party Total
Support Oppose Support Oppose
*Asked of Sample A, N=400
56% Strongly
64% Strongly 51%
Strongly 52%
Strongly
Support Oppose Support Oppose
February 2012
82 16 89 11 83 15 75 23
14
66% 73%
82% 87% 83%
29% 20% 15%
8% 11%
18-34 (25%)
35-44 (19%)
45-54 (15%)
55-64 (21%)
65+ (19%)
Support for sanctions is high across all age groups.
By Age
Sup Opp
*Asked of Sample A, N=400
37% Strong
Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp
51% Strong
58% Strong
74% Strong 66%
Strong
February 2012
74 22 81 17 90 10 86 13 81 17
Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program...
Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?*
15
80% 87%
78% 74%
16% 9%
18% 23%
Total GOP (43%)
IND (15%)
DEM (42%)
And, even if Americans learn that sanctions could cause hardship for Iranians, support
remains high. And, if you learned that these sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians,
would you still support these sanctions?* By Party Total
Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No
*Asked among those who support sanctions, N=312
+64 +51 +78 +60
16
76% 88%
75% 79% 84%
19% 12%
22% 18% 10%
18-34 (21%)
35-44 (18%)
45-54 (15%)
55-64 (24%)
65+ (20%)
This holds true across age.
And, if you learned that these sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians, would you still support these sanctions?*
By Age
Yes No
*Asked among those who support sanctions, N=312
Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No
+57 +74 +53 +61 +76
17
30% 22% 19%
40%
67% 77% 79%
55%
Total GOP (38%)
IND (16%)
DEM (45%)
There’s still not a strong sense that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran from developing
nuclear capabilities. How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s
development of nuclear capabilities?** By Party Total
Likely Not
Likely
**Asked of Sample B, N=400
6% Very
32% Not
At All 4% Very
38% Not
At All
36% Not
At All 9% Very
26% Not
At All
Likely Not
Likely Likely Not
Likely Likely Not
Likely
February 2012
32 67 20 80 30 68 46 54
18
34% 22%
28% 32% 32%
60%
75% 71% 65% 67%
18-34 (23%)
35-44 (23%)
45-54 (13%)
55-64 (21%)
65+ (19%)
And, this sentiment is true across age.
By Age
Likely Not
Likely
**Asked of Sample B, N=400
6% Very
30% Not
At All
Likely Not
Likely
4% Very
37% Not
At All
Likely Not
Likely
7% Very
27% Not
At All
Likely Not
Likely
6% Very
28% Not
At All
Likely Not
Likely
8% Very
34% Not
At All
How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s development of nuclear capabilities?**
February 2012
34 66 30 68 28 70 29 71 37 61
19
Americans continue to support expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions.
80% 81% 75% 78% 78%
15% 13% 20% 19% 18%
Dec 2009
May 2010
Nov 2011
Feb 2012
July 2012
Sup Opp
54% Strng
Sup Opp
55% Strng
Sup Opp
12% Strng
44% Strng
Sup
49% Strng
Opp
48% Strng
Expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions coupled with direct talks with Iran to negotiate over its nuclear program
** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
Now I am going to read you a series of actions that can be taken with regard to Iran if they do not stop their nuclear program. After I read each one, please tell me whether you support or oppose that action...
Opp Sup
+65 +60 +55 +59 +68
214 North Fayette Street Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-7655 Web: www.pos.org