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July – December 2010. Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey . Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover based on responses received: July – December 2009. Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover based on responses received. January – June 2010. July – December 2010. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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July – December 2010 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey
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Page 1: July – December 2010

July – December 2010

Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Page 2: July – December 2010

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey July – December 2010

Firm distribution based on Annual Turnoverbased on responses received: July – December 2009

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 38%R1,5m – R11,5m 43%> R11,5m 19%Total 100.0%

0-1.538.0%

1.5-11.543.0%

>11.519.0%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Page 3: July – December 2010

Firm distribution based on Annual Turnoverbased on responses received

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 4%R1,5m – R11,5m 34%

> R11,5m 62%Total 100.0%

0-1.54.0%

1.5-11.534.0%

>11.562.0%

Firm distribution based on turnover

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey July – December 2010

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 7.8%R1,5m – R11,5m 29.7%> R11,5m 62.5%Total 100.0%

0-1.57.8%

1.5-11.529.7%

>11.562.5%

Firm distribution based on turnover

January – June 2010 July – December 2010

Page 4: July – December 2010

Economic ImpactCESA Membership earnings % of GDP

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey July – December 2010 Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

JUN97DEC

97JUN98

DEC98

JUN99DEC

99JUN00

DEC00

JUN01DEC

01JUN02

DEC02

JUN03DEC

03JUN04

DEC04

JUN05DEC

05JUN06

DEC06

JUN07DEC

07JUN08

DEC08

JUN09DEC

09JUN10

DEC10

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

Page 5: July – December 2010

Relationship to Gross Fixed Capital Formation

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

Page 6: July – December 2010

Consulting Engineering IndustryFee income, Rm Constant 2000 prices (CPI Deflated) Annualised

Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-100

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 7: July – December 2010

Jun-

97

Dec

-97

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Survey period

PER

CEN

TAG

EConsulting Engineering Industry

Real Fee income (CPI deflated), 2000 prices: Annual Change

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 8: July – December 2010

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Jun-

95

Jun-

97

Jun-

98

Jun-

99

Jun-

00

Jun-

01

Jun-

02

Jun-

03

Jun-

04

Jun-

05

Jun-

06

Jun-

07

Jun-

08

Jun-

09

Jun-

10

Jun-

11

% C

hang

e fr

om p

revi

ous

surv

ey

-10

10

30

50

70

90

110

% R

espo

nden

ts s

atis

fied

% Chg Index

CESA Confidence Index

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 9: July – December 2010

Industry Confidence

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS, BER

Page 10: July – December 2010

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Jun-

96

Jun-

97

Jan-

98

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Jan-

00

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Jun-

11

Dec

-11

CO

NFI

DE

NC

E IN

DE

X

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

Fee

inco

me

(con

stan

t pric

es)

Confidence Fee income Constant prices

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated) vs confidence

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 11: July – December 2010

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Jun-

96

Jun-

97

Jan-

98

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Jan-

00

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Jun-

11

Dec

-11

CO

NFI

DE

NC

E IN

DE

X

200030004000500060007000800090001000011000120001300014000150001600017000180001900020000

Fee

inco

me,

R m

ill, c

urre

nt p

rices

Confidence Fee income Current prices

Consulting Engineering IndustryNominal Fee income vs confidence

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 12: July – December 2010

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Jan-

00

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

CESA Labour Cost Indicator: Y-Y Change

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 13: July – December 2010

8 500

9 500

10 500

11 500

12 500

13 500

14 500

15 500

16 500

17 500

18 500

19 500

20 500D

ec-9

7

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Em

ploy

men

t

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

10 000

11 000

Fee

inco

me

(con

stan

t pric

es)

Employment Revised Income: CPI 2000 prices Income : CESA LCI 2005 prices

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs REAL fee income (CPI / LCI Deflated)

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 14: July – December 2010

9 500

10 500

11 500

12 500

13 500

14 500

15 500

16 500

17 500

18 500

19 500

20 500

Dec

-97

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Em

ploy

men

t

03006009001 2001 5001 8002 1002 4002 7003 0003 3003 6003 9004 2004 5004 8005 1005 400

Sala

ry/W

ages

(R m

ill, 2

000

pric

es)

Employment Salary/Wage bill (Constant)

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs Salary / Wage bill

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 15: July – December 2010

Discounting

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

%

% 15.10% 16.62% 15.30% 15.30% 18.20% 16.40% 18.90% 21.00%JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10

Question: What is the prevailing discount being offered in a tendering situation to clients by your firm, benchmarked against the ECSA Guideline Fee Scales?

43% of firmsdiscounted by 20% or more

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 16: July – December 2010

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2010

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Agricultural

Architecture

Mechanical building Services

Civil

Electrical / Electronic

Environmental

Facilities

Geotechnical

Industrial Process / Chemical

GIS

Hydraulics

Information Systems / Technology

Marine

Mechanical

Mining

Project Management

Quantity Surveying

Structural

Tow n planning

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 17: July – December 2010

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2009 – December 2010

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Civil

Mining

Project Management

Structural

Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months? 80% of fees are earned in four

disciplines namely civil, project management,

structural and mining

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 18: July – December 2010

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in the last 12 months

-12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4%

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

HydraulicsInformation Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject ManagementQuantity Surveying

StructuralTow n planning

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 19: July – December 2010

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Oth

er, R

mill

200

0 pr

ices

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Civi

l, R

mill

200

0 pr

ices

Structural Proj Mang Mining Civil

Fee income earned by Top four disciplines: R mill 2000 pricesAnnual average: 2002 – June 2010 (annualised)

Civil

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 20: July – December 2010

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

Wat

er

Tran

spor

tatio

n

Ene

rgy

Min

ing/

Qua

rryin

g

Edu

catio

n

Hea

lth

Tour

ism

Hou

sing

Com

mer

cial

Agr

icul

ture

Oth

er

Perc

enta

ge s

hare

Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10

Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share December 2008 – December 2010

Income distribution per economic sector

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Source: CESA BECS

Page 21: July – December 2010

Fee earnings by sector: Market Share Dominated by transport and commercial sector

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Water

Transportation

Energy

Mining / Quarrying

Education

Health

Tourism/Leisure

Housing

Commercial

Agriculture / Forestry / Fishing

Other

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0%

DEC10JUN10DEC09DEC08DEC07

Page 22: July – December 2010

Fee earnings by selected sectorSmoothed (2 survey average)

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC100

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

WaterTransportationEnergyHealthHousingCommercialWater

Transportation

Commercial

Housing

Energy

Earnings in housing starting to earnings in water (December 2010 survey)

Page 23: July – December 2010

Fee earnings by sectorRm Constant prices

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC100

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

OtherAgriculture / Forestry / FishingCommercialHousingTourism/LeisureHealthEducationMining / QuarryingEnergyTransportationWater

Page 24: July – December 2010

Fee income earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – December 2010

Jun-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

100

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,600

Housing

Jun-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

100

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Water

Jun-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

100

5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

Transportation

Jun-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

100

100200300400500600700

Energy

Jun-05

Jan-06

Aug-0

6Mar-

07Oct-

07May-

08Dec-

08Jul

-09Feb

-10Se

p-10

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,000

Commercial

Jun-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

100

50100150200250300

Health

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 25: July – December 2010

E-C

ape

W-C

ape

N-C

ape

F St

ate

N-W Lim

Gau

t

Mpu

Kw

az

Afr

ica

Int'l

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

% Share Change last 12 months

% S

hare

(bar

)

Provincial Market Share: December 2010Vs change in market share from December 2009

GAI

N

mar

ket

shar

e

Income distribution per province

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 26: July – December 2010

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

R m

ill, C

onst

ant 2

000

pric

es

E-CAPE W-CAPE GAUT KWA-NAT

E-CAPE 289 288 353 344 388 450 400 395 465 588 655 667 750 694 654 828 866 768

W-CAPE 538 527 518 560 478 438 572 681 1058 1164 1077 1253 1285 1 303 1 127 1191 1461 1443

GAUT 1 380 1 343 1 120 947 1 122 1 253 1 239 1 452 1769 1954 2113 2408 2813 3 582 4 212 3485 2802 3050

KWA-NAT 393 387 379 473 436 420 535 591 688 756 839 871 1066 1 300 1 620 1728 1280 1075

Jun'02 Dec'02 Jun'03 Dec'03 Jun'04 Dec'04 Jun'05 'Dec'05 'Jun'06 'Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10

Fee income earned by province(High Capacity economies) – Annualised smoothed

Gauteng

Income distribution per province

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 27: July – December 2010

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Dec-98 Dec-99 Dec'00 Dec'01 Dec'02 Dec'03 Dec'04 'Dec'05 'Dec'06 Dec'07 Dec'08 Dec'09 Dec'10

Inde

x De

c'98

=100

High capacity Low capacity

Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies (Smoothed)

Income distribution per province

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 28: July – December 2010

68.00%

70.00%

72.00%

74.00%

76.00%

78.00%

80.00%

82.00%

84.00%

86.00%

88.00%

Perc

enta

ge

% 76.04% 75.53% 80.12% 80.68% 80.70% 80.63% 80.07% 79.14% 78.25% 79.42% 81.27% 82.57% 82.07% 81.64% 80% 80.23% 83.25% 86.05% 86.95% 84.80% 82.60%

Dec'00 Jun'01 Dec'01 Jun'02 Dec'02 Jun'03 Dec'03 Jun'04 Dec'04 Jun'05 'Dec'05 'Jun'06 'Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10

Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)% of RSA Earnings : High Capacity provincial economies (Smoothed)

Income distribution per province

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 29: July – December 2010

Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, 2000 prices (Annualised, smoothed)

Income distribution per province

Dec-98

Jul-99Fe

b-00Se

p-00Apr-

01Nov

-01Jun

-02Jan

-03Aug

-03Mar-

04Oct-

04

May-05

Dec-05

Jul-06Fe

b-07Se

p-07Apr-

08Nov

-08Jun

-09Jan

-10Aug

-100

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,000

Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 30: July – December 2010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

% S

hare

Jun-08Dec-08Jun-09Dec-09Jun-10Dec-10

Jun-08 9.7 15.8 21 12.8 40.7

Dec-08 7 17.7 27.9 10.4 37

Jun-09 6.4 10.7 23 9.8 50.2

Dec-09 15.7 9.9 27.4 12.8 34.2

Jun-10 16.4 13.9 20.4 12.7 36.6

Dec-10 14.8 12 18.1 11.7 43.3

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Fee income earned by type of client% Share

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 31: July – December 2010

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

JUN

01

DEC

01

JUN

02

DEC

02

JUN

03

DEC

03

JUN

04

DEC

04

JUN

05

DEC

05

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

JUN

10

DEC

10

R m

ill, C

onst

ant 2

000

pric

es

CentralProvincialLocalParastatalsPrivate

Fee income earned by type of clientR mill 2000 prices (Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods)

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 32: July – December 2010

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

Rm

, 200

0 pr

ices

PublicPrivate

Public 1 962 2 013 2 108 2 353 2 219 1 996 2 180 2 389 2 417 2 705 3 200 3 470 4 187 3979 5633 6556 4840 5694 5650 4903

Private 1 595 1 627 1 634 1 471 1 440 1 513 1 366 1 290 1 407 1 437 1 941 2 498 2 587 3204 3866 3851 4870 2959 3263 3757

JUN01 DEC01 JUN02 DEC02 JUN03 DEC03 JUN04 DEC04 JUN05 DEC05 JUN06 DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10

Fee income earned by type of clientConstant 2000 prices (Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods)

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 33: July – December 2010

Competition in tendering

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

% R

espo

nden

ts

Dec-07 0.00% 3.01% 17.55% 55.57% 23.86%

Jun-08 0.00% 1.40% 20.80% 48.70% 29.10%

Dec-08 0.00% 0.00% 21.42% 42.28% 36.29%

Jun-09 0.22% 0.51% 62.73% 28.36% 8.18%

Dec-09 0.00% 0.10% 21.80% 33.50% 44.70%

Jun-10 0.00% 8.67% 3.28% 14.79% 73.26%

Dec-10 0.00% 0.20% 10.00% 62.10% 27.80%

Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce

During July – December 2010 competition for work was (Tick selection)

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 34: July – December 2010

Competition in tendering

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

% R

espo

nden

ts, c

ompe

titio

n k

een

to fi

erce

% 99.9% 99.9% 97.5% 98.9% 98.0% 99.3% 99.0% 98.2% 99.1% 97.8% 98.7% 97.1% 99.5% 99.1% 97.6% 96.9% 98.6% 100% 99.30 99.90 91.30 99.80

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

During July – December 2010 competition for work was (Tick selection)

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 35: July – December 2010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff

Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10

% of Firms wanting to increase staff

New June 2005 surveyCESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 36: July – December 2010

Engineering Skills Shortfall

-100

102030405060708090

100

Dec

-97

Jun-

98

Dec

-98

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

% o

f res

pond

ents

% Wanting to increase engineers Difficulties

Fewer firms want to increase engineers

% Experiencing difficulties

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 37: July – December 2010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100En

g

O T

ech

Tech

nolo

gist

Tech

nici

ans

Oth

er

PDI E

ng

PDI T

ech

PDI T

echn

o

% R

espo

nden

ts

Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10

Recruitment problems

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 38: July – December 2010

Bursaries% of Salary / Wage bill

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

1.00%

1.20%

Dec-

96

Jun-

98

Jun-

99

Jun-

00

Jun-

01

Jun-

02

Jun-

03

Jun-

04

Jun-

05

Jun-

06

Jun-

07

Jun-

08

Jun-

09

Jun-

10

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 39: July – December 2010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Dec

-96

Jun-

98

Jun-

99

Jun-

00

Jun-

01

Jun-

02

Jun-

03

Jun-

04

Jun-

05

Jun-

06

Jun-

07

Jun-

08

Jun-

09

Jun-

10

R m

ill, 2

000

pric

esBursariesR mill 2000 prices (Annualised)

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 40: July – December 2010

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

June

200

5

Dec

embe

r20

06

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) % of Payroll

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

eNote: Large % of respondents did not complete information on salaries in December 2009 survey

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 41: July – December 2010

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

june

200

5

Dec

embe

r20

05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Large % of respondents did not complete information on salaries in December 2008 and 2009 survey

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 42: July – December 2010

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%D

ec-9

7

Dec

-98

Dec

-99

Dec

-00

Dec

-01

Dec

-02

Dec

-03

Dec

-04

Dec

-05

Dec

-06

Dec

-07

Dec

-08

Dec

-09

Dec

-10

%Training (Direct costs)% of Payroll

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 43: July – December 2010

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140De

c-97

Dec-

98

Dec-

99

Dec-

00

Dec-

01

Dec-

02

Dec-

03

Dec-

04

Dec-

05

Dec-

06

Dec-

07

Dec-

08

Dec-

09

Dec-

10

R m

ill 2

000

pric

esTraining (Direct costs)Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 44: July – December 2010

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

25000020

01

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Student enrolments in public higher education institutionsScience, Engineering & Technology

237 000

Source: Department of Education Statistics 2001… - 2009

12% increase since 2006

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 45: July – December 2010

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Utili

satio

n

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

Net %

cha

nge

expe

ctin

g in

crea

se

Net % Change Utilisation

Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 46: July – December 2010

Fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysDecember 2010

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 47: July – December 2010

Total fee income outstanding, by clientExceeding 90 days as % of total earnings

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Cen

tral

Prov

inci

al

Loca

l

Para

stat

als

Priv

ate% o

f Tot

al fe

e in

com

e ea

rned

Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 48: July – December 2010

Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days% of total fee income earned

Dec-

99

Jun-

00

Dec-

00

Jun-

01

Dec-

01

Jun-

02

Dec-

02

Jun-

03

Dec-

03

Jun-

04

Dec-

04

Jun-

05

Dec-

05

Jun-

06

Dec-

06

Jun-

07

Dec-

07

Jun-

08

Dec-

08

Jun-

09

Dec-

09

Jun-

10

Dec-

10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

% o

f Tot

al fe

e in

com

e ea

rned

Surv

ey a

men

ded

to in

clud

e fo

reig

n cl

ient

s

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Including foreign clients

Page 49: July – December 2010

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

Central Provincial Local Parastatals_90d Private Foreign

-100.00%

-80.00%

-60.00%

-40.00%

-20.00%

0.00%

20.00%

40.00%

60.00%

80.00%

100.00%

Change in late payments, by client (Current prices)June 2010 vs December 2010

Page 50: July – December 2010

Escalation trendsYear-on-Year % Change

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Annu

al C

hang

e, %

% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 4.5 5.4 5.7 6

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Based on headline consumer inflation (CPI)

Forecasts Industry Insight Economist Poll

CPI B

aske

t Rev

ised

in Ja

nuar

y 20

09

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 51: July – December 2010

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

LUC 15.2% 11.4% 22.5% 21.8% 9.2% -1.9% 3.7% 15.0% 8.0% 2.88% 4.30%14.30% 22% 11.30%5.30% 7.20% 9.50%10.60% 9.10% 10.20%17.80% 25.50 20.60 10.70%4.30% 7.80%

J un-98

Dec-98

J un-99

Dec-99

J un-00

Dec-00

J un-01

Dec-01

J un-02

Dec-02

J un-03

Dec-03

J un-04

Dec-04

J un-05

Dec-05

J un-06

Dec-06

J un-07

Dec-07

J un-08

Dec-08

J un-09

Dec-09

J un-10

Dec-10

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 52: July – December 2010

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Annual Average Y-Y Chg

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

LUC 22.2% 3.7% 9.4% 5.4% 9.3% 16.3% 6.30% 10% 9.65% 21.67% 15.64% 4.30% 7.80%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun-10 Dec-10

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 53: July – December 2010

Typical Employment BreakdownJuly – December 2010

Professional Engineer Pr.Eng

Professional Architects

Professional Quantity Surveyors

Professional Other

Technologists Pr TEchENg

Technicians PrTechni

Unregistered technical staff: Engineer

Unregistered technical staff: Technologist

Unregistered technical staff: Technician

Unregistered technical staff: Other

Technical Assistants

Draughtspersons

Laboratory / Survey Assistants

Administration / Support staff

Total

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 54: July – December 2010

Typical Employment profile: DECEMBER 2010

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Total employment 19 357

Page 55: July – December 2010

'Dec-03Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceDecember 2003 – December 2010

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 56: July – December 2010

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

%Employment profile: Black only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 57: July – December 2010

Professional Indemnity InsuranceRisk profile

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

%

Dec-07 65.2% 30.3% 4.6%Jun-08 58.7% 39.7% 1.6%Dec-08 65.8% 34.2% 0.0%Jun-09 71.4% 28.6% 0.0%Dec-09 75.0% 17.5% 7.5%Dec-10 66.70% 33.30% 0.00%

Low Medium High

In terms of firm’s perceptions of risk, close over 70% of respondents said that their firm had a low risk exposure, compared to almost 30% saying it was regarded as medium.

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 58: July – December 2010

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%JU

N06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

DEC

10

%

Pty Ltd CC Partnership

Equity Distribution by firm type

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 59: July – December 2010

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

DEC

10

Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 60: July – December 2010

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

JUN

10

DEC

10

Bla

ck e

quity

as

% o

f tot

al E

quity

Black equity as % of total equity 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Black equity as % of total equity)

Black Ownership / Equity: % Share of total ownership / equityPTY, CC & Partnerships

Black, including Asian & ColouredCESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 61: July – December 2010

DEC07 DEC08 DEC09 DEC100.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

WomenBlack women

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010 Black including Coloured & Asian

Women contribution to ownership and equity% of total ownership / equity (PTY, CC and Partnerships)

Page 62: July – December 2010

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

Pty_exec

Pty_nonexec

Member of CC

Partner

%

Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10

Dec-10 15.20% 35.90% 45.50% 12.50%Dec-09 19.6% 88.9% 51.8% 0.0%Dec-08 13.5% 81.5% 36.8% 0.0%Dec-07 16.9% 55.0% 24.1% 0.0%

Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner

Black ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of companyDecember 2007 – December 2010

Black includes Asian and Coloureds

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 63: July – December 2010

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

%

Jun-08 100.0% 72.7% 94.4% 75.0% 84.0%Dec-08 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 75.0% 84.0%Jun-09 100.0% 93.3% 100.0% 75.0% 93.0%Dec-09 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%Dec-10 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 100.0% 97.4%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

Quality Management System

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 64: July – December 2010

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

%

Jun-08 81.8% 36.0% 11.0% 0.0% 30.1%Dec-08 87.5% 46.7% 20.0% 0.0% 42.0%Jun-09 90.0% 20.0% 20.0% 12.5% 34.8%Dec-09 90.9% 42.1% 14.3% 16.7% 45.2%Dec-10 92.3% 25.0% 0.0% 20.0% 45.0%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

ISO 9001:2000 Certificate

CESA Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey December 2010

Page 65: July – December 2010

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