June 16-18, 2014 Violent Tornado Outbreak

Meteorologist Quincy Vagell

Tornado OutbreakIngredients

June 1st, 2011

Storm Chasing Terrain

June 16-18, 2014 Tornado Reports

•82 Reports*•53 Confirmed**•5 EF-4 Tornadoes

Monday, June 16th

CAPE

•Convective

•Available

•Potential

•Energy

Courtesy:University of California,

Santa Barbara

Courtesy: SPC

SignificantTornado Parameter

• Instability• Updraft Rotation

• Wind Shear• Lifted Condensation Level

• Convective Inhibition

Courtesy: SPC

Courtesy: SPC

MUCAPE =5,765 J/kg!

Sig Tor13+!

“PracticallyPerfect Forecast”

Tornado Probabilities

Tuesday, June 17th

“PracticallyPerfect Forecast”

Tornado Probabilities

Wednesday, June 18th

“PracticallyPerfect Forecast”

Tornado Probabilities

*Reports via CIPShttp://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/

**From Wikipedia citing SPC storm reports