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Kabir Uddin Ahmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent work in ASIA on Decent work in ASIA 28 28 - - 30 June 2010 30 June 2010 Bangkok, Thailand Bangkok, Thailand
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Page 1: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Kabir Uddin Ahmed

Deputy Director

Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics

Regional Workshop on MAP Regional Workshop on MAP

on Decent work in ASIAon Decent work in ASIA

2828--30 June 201030 June 2010

Bangkok, ThailandBangkok, Thailand

Page 2: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Outline of Presentation

• Bangladesh at a glance

• System of Official Statistics in Bangladesh

• Key findings from LFS 2005-06

• Informal Sector Survey (ISS) 2009-10

• Methodology of the ISS survey

• Challenges

Page 3: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Bangladesh

��Bangladesh, officially Bangladesh, officially

the People's Republic the People's Republic

of Bangladesh is a of Bangladesh is a

country in country in South AsiaSouth Asia..

��It is bordered by It is bordered by

��IndiaIndia on three sides on three sides

(east,west,south).(east,west,south).

��MyanmarMyanmar to the to the

southeast.southeast.

��the the Bay of Bengal Bay of Bengal

forms the southern forms the southern

coastline.coastline.

Page 4: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

System of Official Statistics in Bangladesh

Ministry of Planning

Statistics Division

Bangladesh Bureau of

Statistics

Census Wing

Agriculture Wing

National Accounting

wing

Industry and Labour

Wing

FA and MIS Wing

Demography and

Health Wing

Computer Wing

Regional Statistical Office

(23)

Upazilla Statistical Office

(489)

(Hon' able Minister)

(Secretary)

(Director)

(Director)

(Director)

(Joint Director)

(Director)

(Director)

(Statistical

Officer)

(Statistical

Officer)

(Director)

(Director General)

Field Offices

-- Bangladesh Bureau of Bangladesh Bureau of

Statistics, the NSO of Statistics, the NSO of

BangladeshBangladesh

-- Centralized in the Centralized in the

Bangladesh Bureau of Bangladesh Bureau of

Statistics (BBS). Statistics (BBS).

-- Established in 1974 Established in 1974

under the Ministry of under the Ministry of

Planning.Planning.

-- Comprises 7(seven) Comprises 7(seven)

functional wings and functional wings and

22--tyre field offices.tyre field offices.

Page 5: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Frequency Percentage*

Employed 47,356,591 95.68

Employee 6,566,414 13.27

Employer 130,095 0.26

Self-employed 19,844,562 40.09

Unpaid worker 10,267,496 20.74

Wage worker 10,548,024 21.31

Unemployed 2,137,672 4.32

In labor force 49,494,263 100.00

* percent to total labor force

Labor Force

Characteristic

Labor Force Profile: Bangladesh, 2005-06

Page 6: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Informal employment Profile

Frequency Distribution of Workers in Bangladesh,

By Nature of Employment, Division and Locality

Formal Informal

Division

Chittagong 1,415,581 7,782,386 9,197,967

Dhaka 2,483,181 12,211,304 14,694,485

Khuha 488,485 5,069,714 5,558,199

Rajshahi 763,399 10,202,852 10,966,251

Barisal 355,552 3,029,563 3,385,115

Sylhet 312,383 3,242,190 3,554,574

Total 5,818,582 41,538,009 47,356,591

Locality

Rural 2,899,327 33,232,904 36,132,231

Urban 931,116 4,223,014 5,154,130

SMA 1,988,139 4,082,092 6,070,230

Total 5,818,582 41,538,009 47,356,591

AreaNature of Employment

Total

12.29Formal

87.71Informal

%Nature of

employment

Variable Estimate

Employed 47,356,591

Unemployed 2,137,672

Labor Force 49,494,263

Page 7: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Mean Wage, by Industry: Formal vs Informal

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

Agri Fishing Mining Mfg EGW Const WRT Hotels TCS Other

Comm

Industry

Taka

formal

informal

LFS 2005-06: Mean wage by industry

Page 8: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

LFS 2005-06: Mean wage by sex

Mean Wage by Gender

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

ALL Formal Informal

Taka

Male

Female

Page 9: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Distribution of workers in selected

industries by nature of employment

Financ

ial inte

rmedi

ation

Public

admin

istratio

n

Educa

tion

Agri/h

unting

/forest

ryFis

hing

Mining

/quarr

ying

Const

ruction

Privat

e hous

eholds

Informal

Formal

Chart 1. Percentage Distribution of Workers in Selected

Industries in Bangladesh, By Nature of Employment

Page 10: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

• Asian Development Bank (ADB) – Measuring the Informal Sector– Three countries – Armenia, Bangladesh, Indonesia

– Inception workshop conducted in September 2008

RETA 6430: Measuring the Informal Sector

• Contribute to the increase in evidence-based policy

making for poverty reduction

– By helping NSOs acquire a sound strategy for collecting data on

the informal sector

– By exploring the processes to integrate informal sector data into

national accounts data compilation framework

– By studying the links between poverty and the informal sector

Page 11: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

• Develop a unifying definition of the informal

sector

• Formulate an integrated data collection

methodology

• Design implementation strategy and tools for

data collection, processing and analysis

RETA 6430: Measuring the Informal Sector

Page 12: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

ISS : in a nutshell

• Inception workshop : September 2008

• Memorandum of Understanding: 2009

• Development of Master sample: 2009

• Data collection : April - May 2010

• Manual editing and coding : June 2010

• Data Processing and analysis : July-September 2010

• Workshop on major findings : October 2010

• Report : December 2010

Page 13: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

• In general, there is very limited data on the informal

sector

– In a country, what is the informal sector’s contribution to

economic growth?

– What is the trend? Is it increasing?

• Where data is, or becomes available …

– How are these being analyzed?

– … and made available for policy use?

– How to make these internationally comparable?

Why Informal sector survey 2009-10

• Limited comparable data on the informal sector

(employment, contribution to GDP)

Page 14: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

General design strategy

ExpandedLabor ForceSurvey

Phase 1

Households/Individuals

HUEMsSurvey

Phase 2

Production Units (HUEMs)

HUEM Screening

Module

Page 15: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

MIXED SURVEY APPROACH

– The sampling strategy for the HUEM Survey incorporates a mixed survey approach.

– First Phase: Expanded LFS (includes questions about informal employment and screening questions to identify HUEMs)

– Second Phase: HUEM Survey (possible sampling strategies: (i) all HUEMs identified in phase 1 are interviewed; or (ii) sub-sampling is implemented

Page 16: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Data Collection methodology

Poverty status

Policy-related issues

Employment

Capital formation

Policy-related issues

Page 17: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

HUEM identification

Household Enterprises

Informal

sector

Formal

sector

Informal

sector Owner

occupied

dwelling

services

Other activities

Paid domestic

services

ServicesAgricultural

Agriculture,

forestry, fishing

Formal

sector

Producing goods & services

for own final use

GoodsNon-agricultural

Producing at least some goods & services

for market

Household Unincorporated Enterprises with some Market Production

(HUEMs)

Page 18: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

uniform selection probabilities within domain are

maintained

Sample

Selection

Urbanity; proportion of HH whose main source of

income is agriculture; and proportion of HH whose

dwellings were made of strong materials

Stratification

1500 PSUs, 20 HH/PSU were sampled Sample Size

the geographic divisions serve as survey domainsSurvey

Domain

the EAs were used as PSUs; small EAs were mergedSampling

Frame

Development of new Master Sample

Page 19: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Development of new Master Sample

1500Total

178Sylhet

314Rajshahi

210Khulna

370Dhaka

246Chittagong

182Barisal

Number of PSUsDivision

Page 20: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Selection of PSUs by Division

in Phase-1 & Phase-2

Division 1 2 3 4 1 2

Barisal 42 38 39 37 15 11 182

Chittagong 50 47 46 40 36 27 246

Dhaka 65 58 63 58 67 59 370

Khulna 41 44 41 42 22 20 210

Rajshahi 69 67 69 63 25 21 314

Sylhet 39 40 39 38 11 11 178

Total 306 294 297 278 176 149 1500

Barisal 42 38 13 12 15 11 131

Chittagong 50 47 15 13 36 27 188

Dhaka 65 58 21 19 67 59 289

Khulna 41 44 14 14 22 20 155

Rajshahi 69 67 23 21 25 21 226

Sylhet 39 40 13 13 11 11 127

Total 306 294 99 92 176 149 1116

UrbanTotal

Phase 1(LFS)

Phase 2

Rural

Page 21: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

To Identify Informal sector:

– Household unincorporated enterprises with less than

10 persons engaged in the activity/establishment and

– without complete set of accounts

Identification of Informal sector

& Informal employment

Page 22: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

The informal workers were surmised to be:

• all those who identified themselves to be unpaid family workers, irregular paid workers, day laborers in agriculture/non-agriculture, domestic workers, and paid/unpaid apprentices;

• all workers employed in the personal household sector;

• paid employees working in the formal sector and are NOT paid weekly or monthly;

• paid employees working in personal establishments and “others” sectors; and

• employers, self employed workers, and “other” workers employed in businesses with NO written accounts and/or are NOT registered with the proper authorities.

Identification of Informal sector

& Informal employment

Page 23: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Inclusion & exclusion of issues in ISS:

Bangladesh considerations

ExcludedProfessional/technical persons6

IncludedSecondary job5

Description of IssuesSl

4

3

2

1

IncludedAgriculture sector

ExcludedHUEMs that are identified by employees–

because these HUEMs are also owned by

households who also have a chance of being

selected.

Questions

included

LFS is not linked to HIES, to determine

poverty status in the expanded LFS (Form-1)

to enable employment poverty analysis

IncludedHUEMs that are located outside the PSU

Page 24: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

Challenges

• Concepts and definitions are new;

• Survey approach (mixed) is new;

• Excessive workload for the

enumerators;

• Provide incomplete/misleading data

Page 25: Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics · 2014-06-10 · Kabir UddinAhmed Deputy Director Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics Regional Workshop on MAP on Decent

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