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Kalman Introduction

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    Introduction to Kalman Filtering

    Maria Isabel Ribeiro, Pedro Lima

    with revisions introduced by Rodrigo Ventura

    Instituto Superior Tcnico / Instituto de Sistemas eRobtica

    October 2008

    All rights reserved

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    INTRODUCTION TO KALMAN FILTERING

    What is a Kalman Filter ? Introduction to the Concept A simple example Which is the best estimate ? Basic Assumptions

    Discrete Kalman Filter Problem Formulation From the Assumptions to the Problem Solution Towards the Solution Filter dynamics

    Prediction cycle Filtering cycle Summary

    Properties of the Discrete KF A simple example

    The meaning of the error covariance matrix The Extended Kalman Filter

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    WHAT IS A KALMAN FILTER?

    Optimal Recursive Data Processing Algorithm

    Measuring

    devices

    System

    Kalman filter

    System state(desired but

    not know)

    Measurementerror sources

    Controls

    System errorsources

    Observed

    measurements

    Optimal estimate ofsystem state

    Typical Kalman filter application

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    WHAT IS A KALMAN FILTER?

    Introduction to the Concept

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    A simple (static) example (from Maybeck)

    You are an inexperient sailor at sea and you do not know your location Take a (one-dimensional) star sighting to establish your position At time t1 you establish your position to be z1 (you measure) Because there is ineherent measurement device innacuracies you say that the

    precision is z1 (standard deviation)

    You can establish the conditional probability of x(t1) (your position at time t1)conditioned on the observed value of measurement z

    1.

    5

    Based on this conditional pdf

    the best estimate of your

    position is

    and the variance of the error in

    the estimate is

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    A simple (static) example (from Maybeck)

    You have a friend that is a trained sailor At time instant t2 ( ) (the boat did not move) this trained sailor measures z2 with a

    variance

    As this second sailor has larger skills, assume that the variance in his measurementis smaller than the measurement in yours.

    6

    Based on this conditional pdf

    the best estimate of the

    position given by the trainedsailor

    and the variance of the error in

    the estimate is

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    A simple (static) example (from Maybeck)

    At this point we have two measurements, with different uncertainty How to combine these data? What do we want to know?

    Conditional position at time t2 ( ) given both z1 and z2

    7

    is Gaussian

    The uncertainty in the position

    estmate decreased by

    combining the two pieces ofinformation

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    A simple (static) example (from Maybeck)

    Which is the best estimate at time t2 given z1 and z2? The mean (also the maximum) of the conditional pdf

    8

    In the previous time instant

    The best prediction at time t2, is given bythe previous estimate plus an error

    multiplied by a gain

    Interpret the errorThis is the same as the Kalman filterimplementation

    gainerror

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    A simple (static) example (from Maybeck)

    Which is the best estimate at time t2 given z1 and z2? The mean (also the maximum) of the conditional pdf

    9

    gain error

    Which is the uncertainty of the estimate at time t2 given z1 and z2? The variance of the conditional pdf

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    A simple (dynamic) example (from Maybeck)

    10

    From now on observations are done at different time instants andthe boat travels between the time instants where measurementsare taken

    Motion modelu= velocityw = noise term representing uncertainty in the actualknowledge of velocity, assumed zero mean

    At time t2 we already have and Now the vehicle is travelling Before doing a measurement at time instant t3 (i.e., at ) which

    is the best prediction that we can do about the position and

    associated uncertainty?

    Prediction

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    A simple (dynamic) example (from Maybeck)

    11

    A measurement z3 is done at time instant t3 with an assumed variance Which is now the best estimate ?

    Once again we have two Gaussian probability density functions One associated with information up to one provided by the measurement itself

    Combining bothFiltering

    Kalman Gain

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    WHAT IS A KALMAN FILTER?

    Introduction to the concept

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    WHAT IS A KALMAN FILTER?

    Introduction to the concept

    To evaluate theKF only requires

    and z(k+1)

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    WHAT IS A KALMAN FILTER?

    Introduction to the concept

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    WHAT IS THE KALMAN FILTER ?

    Which is the best estimate?

    Any type of filter tries to obtain an optimal estimate of desiredquantities from data provided by a noisy environment.

    Best = minimizing errors in some respect. Bayesian viewpoint - the filter propagates the conditional probability

    density of the desired quantities, conditioned on the knowledge ofthe actual data coming from measuring devices

    Why base the state estimation on the conditional probability densityfunction ?

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    WHAT IS A KALMAN FILTER?

    Which is the best estimate?

    Example

    x(i) one dimensional position of a vehicle at time instant i z(j) two dimensional vector describing the measurements of position

    at time j by two separate radars

    If z(1)=z1, z(2)=z2, ., z(j)=zj

    represents all the information we have on x(i) based (conditioned) onthe measurements acquired up to time i

    given the value of all measurements taken up time i, this conditional pdfindicates what the probability would be of x(i) assuming any particular

    value or range of values.

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    WHAT IS A KALMAN FILTER?

    Which is the best estimate?

    The shape of conveys theamount of certainty we have in the knowledge of the value x.

    Based on this conditional pdf, the estimate can be: the mean - the center of probability mass (MMSE) the mode - the value of x that has the highest probability (MAP) the median - the value of x such that half the probability weight lies to the left

    and half to the right of it.

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    WHAT IS THE KALMAN FILTER ?

    Basic Assumptions

    Under these assumptions, the conditional pdf is Gaussian mean=mode=median there is a unique best estimate of the state the KF is the best filter among all the possible filter types

    What happens if these assumptions are relaxed? Is the KF still an optimal filter? In which class of filters?

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Problem Formulation

    MOTIVATION

    Given a discrete-time, linear, time-varying plant with random initial state driven by white plant noise

    Given noisy measurements of linear combinations of the plant statevariables

    Determine the best estimate of the system state variableSTATE DYNAMICS AND MEASUREMENT EQUATION

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Problem Formulation

    VARIABLE DEFINITIONS

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Problem Formulation

    INITIAL CONDITIONS

    x0 is a Gaussian random vector, with mean covariance matrix

    STATE AND MEASUREMENT NOISE

    zero mean E[wk]=E[vk]=0 {wk}, {vk} - white Gaussian sequences

    x(0), wk and vj are independent for all k and j

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Problem Formulation

    DEFINITION OF FILTERING PROBLEM

    Let k denote present value of time

    Given the sequence of past inputs

    Given the sequence of past measurements

    Evaluate the best estimate of the state x(k)

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Problem Formulation

    Given x0 Nature apply w0 We apply u0 The system moves to state x1 We make a measurement z1

    Question: which is the best estimate of x1?

    Nature apply w1 We apply u1 The system moves to state x2 We make a measurement z2

    Question: which is the best estimate of x2?

    .

    .

    .

    Answer: obtained from

    Answer: obtained from

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Problem Formulation

    .

    .

    .

    Question: which is the best estimate of xk-1?

    Nature apply wk-1 We apply uk-1 The system moves to state xk We make a measurement zk

    Question: which is the best estimate of xk?

    .

    .

    .

    Answer: obtained from

    Answer: obtained from

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Towards the Solution

    The filter has to propagate the conditional probability densityfunctions

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    ....

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    From the Assumptions to the Problem Solution

    is Gaussian

    Uniquely characterized by

    the conditional mean the conditional covarianceP(k | k) = cov[x

    k;x

    k|Z1

    k,U0

    k1]

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Towards the Solution

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    ....

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Towards the Solution

    We stated that the state estimate equals the conditional mean

    Why? Why not the mode of ? Why not the median of ?

    As is Gaussian mean = mode = median

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Filter dynamics

    KF dynamics is recursive

    What can you say about

    xk+1 before we makethe measurement zk+1

    How can we improve

    our information on xk+1after we make the

    measurement zk+1

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Filter dynamics

    prediction predictionfiltering filtering

    predictionprediction

    filtering

    filtering

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Filter dynamics - Prediction cycle

    Prediction cycle

    assumed known

    ?

    Is Gaussian

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Filter dynamics - Prediction cycle

    Prediction cycle

    prediction

    error

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Filter dynamics - Filtering cycle

    Filtering cycle

    + ?

    1st Step Measurement prediction What can you say about zk+1 before wemake the measurement zk+1

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Filter dynamics - Filtering cycle

    Filtering cycle2nd Step

    If x, y and z are jointly Gaussian and y and z are

    statistically independent

    Required result

    Z1k+1

    and {Z1k

    ,z(k+1 | k)} Equivalent from the point of viewof the contained information

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Filter dynamics - Filtering cycle

    Filtering cycle

    Kalman Gain

    measurement

    prediction

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Dynamics

    Linear System

    Discrete Kalman Filter

    P(k+1 | k+1) = P(k+1 | k)K(k+1)Ck+1P(k+1 | k)

    prediction

    filtering

    Initial

    conditions

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Properties

    The Discrete KF is a time-varying linear system

    even when the system is time-invariant and has stationary noise

    the Kalman gain is not constant

    Does the Kalman gain matrix converges to a constant matrix? Inwhich conditions?

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Properties

    The state estimate is a linear function of the measurementsKF dyamics in terms of the filtering estimate

    Assuming null inputs for the sake ofsimplicity

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Properties

    Innovation process

    z(k+1) carries information on x(k+1) that was not available on this new information is represented by r(k+1) - innovation process

    Properties of the innovation process the innovations r(k) are orthogonal to z(i)

    the innovations are uncorrelated/white noise

    this test can be used to acess if the filter is operating correctly

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Properties

    Covariance matrix of the innovation process

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Properties

    The Discrete KF provides an unbiased estimate of the state

    is an unbiased estimate of the state x(k+1), providing that theinitial conditions are

    Is this still true if the filter initial conditions are not the specified ?

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Steady state Kalman Filter

    Time invariant system; stationary white system and observation noise

    Filter dynamics

    P(k +1|k) = AP(k | k -1)ATAP(k | k1)C

    T[CP(k | k1)C

    T+R]

    1CP(k | k1)A

    T+GQG

    T

    Discrete Riccati Equation

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Steady state Kalman Filter

    If Q is positive definite, is controllable, and (A,C) isobservable, then

    the steady state Kalman filter exists the limit exists is the unique, finite positive-semidefinite solution to the algebraic

    equation

    is independent of provided that the steady-state Kalman filter is assymptotically unbiased

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    MEANING OF THE COVARIANCE MATRIX

    Generals on Gaussian pdf

    Let z be a Gaussian random vector of dimension n

    P - covariance matrix - symmetric, positive definite Probability density function

    n=1 n=2

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    MEANING OF THE COVARIANCE MATRIX

    Generals on Gaussian pdf

    Locus of points where the pdf is greater or equal than a giventhreshold

    n=1 line segment n=2 ellipse and inner points

    n=3 3D ellipsoid and inner points n>3 hiperellipsoid and inner points

    If the ellipsoid axis are aligned with the axis of the referencial where the

    vector z is defined

    length of the ellipse semi-axis =

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    MEANING OF THE COVARIANCE MATRIX

    Generals on Gaussian pdf - Error elipsoid

    Examplen=2

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    MEANING OF THE COVARIANCE MATRIX

    Generals on Gaussian pdf -Error ellipsoid and axis orientation

    Error ellipsoid P=PT - to distinct eigenvalues correspond orthogonal eigenvectors Assuming that P is diagonalizable

    Error ellipoid (after coordinate transformation)

    At the new coordinate system, the ellipsoid axis are aligned with theaxis of the new referencial

    with

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    MEANING OF THE COVARIANCE MATRIX

    Generals on Gaussian pdf -Error elipsis and referencial axis

    n=2

    ellipse

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    MEANING OF THE COVARIANCE MATRIX

    Generals on Gaussian pdf -Error ellipse and referencial axis

    n=2

    1 =

    1

    2

    x

    2+

    y

    2+ (

    x

    2

    y

    2)2+ 42

    x

    2y

    2[ ]

    2 =1

    2x2 +y2 (x2 y2)2 + 42x2y2[ ]

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Probabilistic interpretation of the error ellipsoid

    Given and it is possible to define the locus where, with agiven probability, the values of the random vector x(k) lie.

    Hiperellipsoid with center in and with semi-axis

    proportional to the eigenvalues of

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Probabilistic interpretation of the error ellipsoid

    Example for n=2

    is a function of Ka pre-specified values of this probability can be obtained by anapropriate choice of K

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    Probabilistic interpretation of the error ellipsoid

    How to chose K for a desired probability? Just consult a Chi square distribution table

    xkR

    n

    (Scalar) random variable with a distribution

    with n degrees of reedom

    Probability = 90%

    n=1 K=2.71

    n=2 K=4.61

    Probability = 95%

    n=1 K=3.84

    n=2 K=5.99

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    The error ellipsoid and the filter dynamics

    Prediction cycle

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    DISCRETE KALMAN FILTER

    The error ellipsoid and the filter dynamics

    Filtering cycle

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    Extended Kalman Filter

    are non Gaussian

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    Extended Kalman Filter

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    Extended Kalman Filter

    linearize

    aroundApply KF to thelinear dynamics

    linearize

    around

    Apply KF to thelinear dynamics

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    Extended Kalman Filter

    linearize

    around

    fk(xk,uk) fk(xk|k,uk) +fk(xk xk|k) + ....

    known inputPrediction cycle of KF

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    Extended Kalman Filter

    linearize

    around

    known inputUpdate cycle of KF

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    References

    Anderson, Moore, Optimal Filtering, Prentice-Hall, 1979. M. Athans, Dynamic Stochastic Estimation, Prediction and Smoothing, Series of Lectures,

    Spring 1999.

    E. W. Kamen, J. K. Su, Introduction to Optimal Estimation, Springer, 1999. Peter S. Maybeck, The Kalman Filter: an Introduction to Concepts Jerry M. Mendel, Lessons in Digital Estimation Theory, Prentice-Hall, 1987. Isabel Ribeiro, Kalman and Extended Kalman Filters: Concept, Derivation and Properties

    Institute for Systems and Robotics, IST, February 2004 (http://www.isr.ist.utl.pt/~mir)

    Isabel Ribeiro, Gaussian Probability Density Functiosn: Properties and Error Characterization,Institute for Systems and Robotics, IST, February 2004 (http://www.isr.ist.utl.pt/~mir)


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