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AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS
WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE
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Automotive Key TakeawaysAUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS
Volume CAGR 2000-2014
+3.5%
Emerging markets bolstered global demand through financial crisis but cooling, especially in China
Volume CAGR 2014-2030
+2.9%
Global Light Vehicle Sales
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Sizes: Top 10 Markets, 2014 and CAGR to 2030
Country: Share of Market Growth to 2030
China 26.1% 4.4%
US 19.4% 1.4%
Japan 6.5% -0.8%
Brazil 3.9% 2.5%
Germany 3.8% 0.7%
India 3.4% 4.2%
United Kingdom 3.3% 1.2%
Russia 2.9% 2.6%
France 2.5% 1.9%
Canada 2.2% 1.0%
AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS
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Sizes: Top 10 Segments, 2014 and CAGR to 2030AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS
Segment: Share of Market Growth to 2030
Lower Medium Cars 20.3% 2.9%
SUVs 19.2% 4.7%
Small Cars 16.6% 3.0%
Upper Medium Cars 10.6% 1.7%
Pick-Ups 6.4% 2.2%
Mini MPVs 5.4% 2.7%
Mini Cars 5.1% 1.1%
Executive Cars 2.5% 1.3%
Small Vans 2.0% 2.5%
Full Size MPVs 1.9% 0.7%
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Shares: Top five global Automotive playersWorld Light Vehicles company share 2014
(% volume)
11.8%
11.7%
9.5%
9.2%
7.4%
Company’s leading brand 2014
(world ranking)
(1)
(2)
(6)
(5)
(3)
Note: Arrow indicates direction of growth/decline in share between 2013-2014
AUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS
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Measures: Premium and mainstream brand developmentsAUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS
World, 2004-2029
Mainstream Premium
Brazil
RussiaIn
dia
China U
S
Japa
n
S. K
orea
Franc
e
Germ
any
UK
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Country Snapshot, 2014
Premium Mainstream
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Measures: Global light vehicles sales by brand originAUTOMOTIVE 2015 KEY FINDINGS
0
5000000
10000000
15000000
20000000
25000000
30000000
• Japanese brands dominate but face challenges
• US brands recover• German brands benefit
from premiumisation• Chinese brands emerge• Korean brands gain• French and Italian
brands stagnate
KEY FINDINGS – AUTOS LATEST TRENDS
WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE
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© Euromonitor International
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• Passenger Cars/ Light Commercial Vehicles • Mini Cars• Small Cars• Lower Medium Cars• Upper Medium Cars• Executive Cars• Luxury Cars• Sports Cars• Mini MPVs
Passport Autos 2015 – What’s Available
STATISTICS:• Volume sizes (2000-2030)• Company and brand share (2005-2014) • Premium vs Mainstream (% / volume)• Brand origin (by geography)
GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE:Western Europe: Austria; Belgium; France; Germany; Italy; Netherlands; Portugal; Spain; Sweden; Switzerland; Turkey; United KingdomEastern Europe: Czech Republic; Poland; RussiaNorth America: Canada; USALatin America: Argentina; Brazil; Chile; MexicoAsia Pacific: China; India; Indonesia; Japan; S. Korea; Taiwan; Thailand; VietnamAustralasia: AustraliaAfrica and Middle East: Israel; South Africa
ANALYSIS:• Datagraphics, Opinion, Pod/Videocasts• Regional Scorecards• Global Briefings
Note: Geographic coverage of 32 markets account for >90% of global demand.
•Compact MPVs•Full Size MPVs•SUVs•Pick-Ups•Car-Derived Vans•Small Vans•Medium Vans
NB Reports are available on a rolling basis post-publication
CATEGORIES/SEGMENTS:
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AUTOS 2015 Data Coverage
What’s included?
• Volume sizes (2000-14); Company/ Brand shares (2005-14) are sourced from JATO Dynamics• Forecast volume sizes (2015-2030) are created by Euromonitor International
• Measures:
Brand Origin Premium vs Mainstream
Which country does each brand originate from (company HQ)? Allows you to see at a glance domestic vs foreign brand penetration by country.
Volume split (%) tracking separate trends of sales of Premium vs Mainstream by country for Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles (2000-30).
WHAT IS PASSPORT AUTOMOTIVE
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How are your Automotive forecasts created?
Euromonitor’s exclusive Automotive 15-year forecasts from 2015-2030 are built on Passport C&C’s wealth of forecast macro indicators specially selected and graded for their impact on the industry by individual country (see right), and supplemented by in-house Automotive expertise gauging the impact of the country-specific micro drivers on each market’s automotive industry..
WHAT’S IN PASSPORT AUTOS 2015
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Macroeconomic factors impacting AUTOS
Perceived wealth is crucial to consumer confidence and thus
willingness to buy a new car
Interest rates dictate repayment and thus impact willingness to take out finance for a new car
Oil/fuel prices
Currency exchange
Household sizes
Employed population
Disposable incomes
Income distribution
Access to credit
Smaller households mean smaller cars, and vice versa
More employed women may mean smaller households
High oil prices and weak currencies typically damage
market potential for cars
Check EMMA Socio for all types of macroeconomic data - use it to build a picture of factors impacting demand of total Automotive market and specific vehicle segments in a country.
WHAT’S IN PASSPORT AUTOS 2015
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Market and
Segment Sizes
Economic situation
Legislation
New Model Activity
Fuel Prices
Household Sizes
Employed Population
Income Distribution
Interest Rates
End
ogen
ous
varia
bles
Exogenous variables
The Wider World of Automotive Demand DriversWHAT’S IN PASSPORT AUTOS 2015
REQUEST A PASSPORT DEMONSTRATIONRequest a live consultation and our experts will contact you to set up a free, no obligation demonstration of our award winning database today.