+ All Categories
Home > Environment > Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Date post: 16-Jun-2015
Category:
Upload: innovation-norway
View: 337 times
Download: 1 times
Share this document with a friend
Description:
Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid – New Solutions are Underway Knut Eirik Gustavsen, Partner, Norwegian Centres of Expertise Smart Energy Markets
Popular Tags:
25
Berlin October 23, 2014 German Norwegian Energy Forum
Transcript
Page 1: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

BerlinOctober 23, 2014

German Norwegian Energy Forum

Page 2: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

• A Norwegian cluster and a competence center– Network of 40 members within businesses, government bodies and research 

institutions that cooperate around energy and ICT related activities– Representing international oriented businesses with a total revenue of 21 billion 

Norwegian kroner 

• A pioneer in energy market design and implementation– The cluster developed software for the first European electricity exchange, 

NordPool and the first European CO2 trade became conducted on a system delivered by the cluster

• NCE Smart Energy Markets1 became a Norwegian Centre of Expertise in 2009– This secures us long‐term governmental funding and support

NCE SMART ENERGY MARKETS

1) Smart Innovation Østfold AS is hosting company

Page 3: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

A PIONÉR IN MARKET DESIGN

Page 4: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid
Page 5: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

From upstream to downstream

The overriding issue:How to use available flexibility tomaximize profit by trading in the markets?

New IT solutionsbased on Big Data 

and Analytics

History Future

Page 6: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

The Real IT Revolution – Starting Now

Independent trends  ‐‐‐‐ are merging into  ‐‐‐The Nexus of Forces

The Nexus of ForcesSource: Gartner 2013

Disruptive Innovation the Way ForwardFor High Value Adding Economy

Social Media

Mobility

Cloud

Big Data

Page 7: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Exponential Growth and Disruptive Innovation

Page 8: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid
Page 9: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

5th Avenue New York City, April 15, 1900

Source: US National Archives

A car

Page 10: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

5th Avenue New York City, March, 1913

Source: US National Archives

A Horse

Page 11: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Disruptive Innovation

Disruptive innovation ‐ The process of developing new products orservices to replace existing technologies and gain a competitive advantage.

From Horse to Cars during 13 years

‐ There was nothing that horse carriage producers could do ‐ It was a matter of time before car manufactures brought cost down and quality up

The car was a Disruptive innovation & technologylike PC vs. typewriters, Cell Phone vs. landline. Digital Camera vs. Film(Kodak) etc.

1900 1913

Page 12: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

The Electric Vehicle

• Lower cost of the fuel or free fuel: 1,5 – 2 cent € per km (Norway)• Cheaper to maintain – 90% fewer moving parts• Higher efficiency by as much as 400 to 600 percent over an internal combustion engine• Far more powerful than an internal combustion engine• No emissions or polluting byproducts because this car gets its power from batteries

15% ‐ 20% efficiency 85% ‐ 95% efficiency

Page 13: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Status and trend on EV cars in Norway

• Number of EV cars by September 2014: 34,000• Sales growth from 2013 to 2014 (Q1‐Q3) is 284%• Public and business charging infrastructure ha problems 

keeping up with this growth, especially in the larger cities• Financial and traffic incentives has been established by the 

government and is effective until 2018, or until the 50,000 EV target is reached – The 50,000 target could 

already be met by early 2015

EV incentives in Norway:• Exempt one‐time fee on new cars• Zero VAT • Reduced annual traffic fee• Free parking at public parking lots • No charge for toll roads• Free use of public transport lanes• No car charge on public ferries 

Page 14: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Fire «fastlandsøyer» med veiforbindelse

6 800 installasjoner med AMS

4.300 hytter hvorav 70 % av eierne bor utenfor fylket.

50 kV radial forsyning

1 sekundærstasjon, 30 MW

18 kV HS nett (11 mil luft)

206 NS

Page 15: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

50 kV single supply power line to the island of Hvaler

Page 16: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

University College, Remmen in Halden, Norway

Distribution gridthe islands of Hvaler, Norway

eSmart’s Offering

• Real‐time analysis• Critical peak prediction• Automatic control of flexible load• Automatic control of local production

Customer’s  Outcome

• Postpone new grid expansion by 10 years• Cost savings of $10m• Social and environmental value for local 

community

eSmart’s Offering

• Real‐time load, market and weather analysis• Automated trading in  spot market and 

balancing market• HVAC integration and control

Customer’s  Outcome

• Reduced peak load by 1000 kW• $20k savings per winter month• Annual saving of $30k for 1 building alone• Significant cost savings accumulated  for all 

2350 buildings annually

Two Case Studies – High Return Of Investment

Page 17: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

What does this mean for a normal household in Norway

Page 18: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

What does this mean for a normal household in Norway……with an electric vehicle car!

Page 19: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Trends in the Norwegian energy market

• New electrical loads– Heat pumps– EV cars– Instant water heating– Induction powered cookers

• New renewable production – Small scale power plants– Wind power plants– Solar power plants

• Integrated market and cable infrastructure with the continent and UK

Page 20: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

What challenges does this give?

• More dynamic load and production that gives less predictability 

• Increased demand for flexible balancing resources and reserves 

• Increased demand for transmissioncapacity (regional and national)

• Less challenge on transmission level (planned development), bigger challenge on distribution level due tolack of investments 

Page 21: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Case: «Half the neighborhood has EV cars…»

• Neighborhood with 20 houses• 10 buys EV cars• and charges at the same time

Page 22: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Case: «Half the neighborhood has EV cars…» version 2

• Neighborhood with 20 houses• 10 buys EV cars• Now with smart charging 

installed

Page 23: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Smart Charging

Say that 10% of Norway’s car park is EV cars in the near future:«End of the day charging» peak at 9PM can be 1000MW above todays  

afternoon peak.

Say that 10% of Norway’s car park is EV cars in the near future:«End of the day charging» peak at 9PM can be 1000MW above todays  

afternoon peak.

Page 24: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

An interesting PROSUMER concept !

Page 25: Knut Eirik Gustavsen - Electric Vehicles Disrupting the Norwegian Grid

Visit us at www.ncesmart.com

Hilde BekkevardGeneral Manager

Mob: +47 920 32 [email protected]

Bernt BremdalProfessor II Narvik University CollegeSpecial Advisor, NCE

Mob: +47 900 61 [email protected] 


Recommended