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8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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ivxnakdq g` i`ik~xnaik i`h zgkna~ nqqtdq f~ i `tofdv ge itxmgvq+ xmnq qd/
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i`h zvgqzdaxnud zgknandq xg ihhvdqq xmd n`qdatvnxndq xmix diam agt`xv~
eiadq Md sdiudq xgcdxmdv xmd agozkd} zgknxnaik/qdatvnx~ ag`qnhdvixng`q
i`h xmd agozdkkn`c kisq ge dag`gonaq Xmnq fggl nq zivxnatkivk~ xnodk~
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8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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un Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
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fiqnq ge nxq qxvd`cxmq i`h hdqznxd i`~ qmgvxagon`cq+ snkk hddzd` i fvgih/
d`n`c xvi`q`ixng`ik hnikgctd gudv Lgvdiq d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq Xmix hd/
fixd akdivk~ miq oibgv nozknaixng`q `gx g`k~ egv xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki
ftx ikqg egv xmd qgvx ge sgvkh xmix @gvxmdiqx Iqni i`h nxq xvi`q/Zianena
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N` 9>>1 xmd Hdogavixna Zdgzkdq Vdztfkna ge Lgvdi -HZVL+ gv @gvxm
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hg`c onqqnkd gudv Bizi` nxqdke Z~g`c~i`c ikqg miq d}xd`qnud amdonaik+
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ge nxq `takdiv hdunadq i`h sdizg`q hdknudv~+ nx snkk miud xmd avdhnfkd
zgxd`xnik xg qdvngtqk~ xmvdixd` fgxm Bizi` i`h `ixng`q fd~g`h
dx xmd zgknxnaik dag`go~ ge xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki+ xgcdxmdv snxm nxq
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i`h xdam`gkgcnaik ami`cd ivd vdkd`xkdqqk~ qmnexn`c xmd kgatq ge zgsdv g`
xmd zd`n`qtki qgtxm ge xmd HOR Dud` ionh hvioixna+ mnqxgvna hdudkgz/
od`xq n` xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` `takdiv avnqnq+ nx nq nozgvxi`x `gs xg xmn`l
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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6 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
fd~g`h xvihnxng`ik qdatvnx~ xmvdixq xg fvgihdv+ gexd` dckdaxdh amikkd`cdq
ge xmd kg`cdv/xdvo etxtvd
Ad`xvik Nozgvxi`ad ge Dkdaxvna Zgsdvg` xmd Lgvdi` Zd`n`qtki
D`dvc~ i`h xmd t`advxin`xndq kn`ldh xg nxq uivndh egvoq ge qtzzk~ oi~
kggo hnqxtvfn`ck~ kivcd g` xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki G`d ddh kggl g etv/
xmdv xmi` xmd qzdaxdv ge @gvxm Lgvdi` `takdiv zgxd`xnik n` xmd sild ge
Z~g`c~i`cq Edfvtiv~ 6::4 hdakivixng` xmix nx nq i `takdiv/sdizg`q qxixd
i`h xmd qtvvdiknqxna ag`xviqx snxm xmd HZVLq hdqzdvixdk~ fvgld` dkda/
xvna zgsdv cvnh xg cviqz xmd n`xdvvdkixdh qdatvnx~ i`h dag`gona nozgv/
xi`ad ge d`dvc~ xg xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtkiq etxtvd D`dvc~ nq n`dunxifk~ iad`xvik zivx ge fgxm xmd zvgfkdo i`h xmd qgktxng` xg xmd @gvxm Lgvdi`
`takdiv avnqnq
D`dvc~ nq ikqg i` d}adkkd`x udmnakd egv d`cicn`c xmd ixng`ik n`xdv/
dqxq ge xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq snxm xmd mdikxm~+ qxifkd dugktxng` ge fgxm xmd
Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki i`h xmd smgkd ge xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` vdcng` Xmd qd/
atvnx~ n`xdvdqxq ge xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq n` egvdqxikkn`c xmd zvgknedvixng` ge
sdizg`q ge oiqq hdqxvtaxng` miud fdd` sdkk ivxnatkixdh Ikqg nozgvxi`x
nq i` gexd` `dckdaxdh zgknxnaik/dag`gona nozdvixnud2 si~q egv TQ d`/
dvc~ envoq i`h gxmdv TQ zvnuixd n`udqxgvq xg fdagod zgqnxnudk~ n`ugkudh
n` @gvxmdiqx Iqni` hdudkgzod`x i`h xg hdog`qxvixd ag`avdxdk~ xmix qtam
n`ugkudod`x ai` xvi`qkixd n`xg TQ bgfq i`h agvzgvixd gzzgvxt`nx~ Mnq/
xgvnaikk~+ nx miq fdd` hnzkgoixq+ onqqng`ivndq+ i`h dqzdanikk~ xmd onknxiv~
xmix miud hgon`ixdh xmd TQ zvdqd`ad g` xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki Ogvd
ftqn`dqq n`ugkudod`xakgqdv xg xmd zixxdv` ge TQ/Amn`i xndqagtkh
sdkk mdkz hvis xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq xgsivh ag`xn`d`xik @gvxmdiqx Iqni n` i
ogvd d`htvn`c i`h fiki`adh eiqmng` xmi` miq gexd` fdd` xvtd n` xmd ziqx
D`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq g` fgxm qnhdq ge xmd HOR miud kg`c aiqx i xvgt/
fkn`c qmihgs iavgqq Lgvdiq zgqxsiv dag`gona hdudkgzod`x N` Qgtxm
Lgvdi -xmd Vdztfkna ge Lgvdi+ gv VGL.+ ogvd xmi` xmvdd hdaihdq ge
qtqxin`dh cvgsxm fdegvd xmd 9>>3>= Iqni` en`i`anik avnqnq fvgtcmx vnq/
n`c hdzd`hd`ad g` ugkixnkd n`xdv`ixng`ik d`dvc~ oivldxq iq xmd hdudkgz/
od`x ge i zgsdvetk `ixng`ik n`htqxvnik fiqd gtxqxvnzzdh oghdqx hgodq/
xna vdqgtvad d`hgsod`xq Fgxm xmd gnk qmgalq ge xmd 9>3:q mnx Lgvdi
mivh Xghi~+ n` xmd sild ge xmd 9>>3>= en`i`anik avnqnq+ d`dvc~ hnkdo/
oiq t`nudvqikk~ nozknanx n` viznh dag`gona cvgsxm g`ad icin` xmvdixd`
xg vdiqqdvx xmdoqdkudq n` Lgvdi+ ikfdnx xmnq xnod ogvd snxm vdqzdax xg
dkdaxvna zgsdv n`eviqxvtaxtvd xmi` xg gnk Xmd eiax xmix dag`gona
cvgsxm miq xvi`qad`hdh Lgvdi xg n`akthd ogqx ge nxq `dncmfgvq
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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N`xvghtaxng` 1
dqzdanikk~ Amn`ioildq Lgvdiq hddzd`n`c d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq dqzd/
anikk~ xmvdixd`n`c
Xmd qmivz hneedvd`adq n` xmd d`dvc~ dag`gondq ge @gvxm i`h Qgtxm
Lgvdi ivd gfungtqi eds ivd n`agod kdudk+ ihdytia~ ge n`eviqxvtaxtvd+
i`h iaadqq xg n`xdv`ixng`ik oivldxqi`h `ddh `gx fd fdkifgvdh Xmnq
og`gcvizm+ xmdvdegvd+ qxivxq evgo i ogvd amikkd`cn`c+ agt`xdv/n`xtnxnud+
i`h ~dx dudv ogvd zgkna~/vdkdui`x ag`xd`xng`2 xmix Lgvdiq d`dvc~
dag`go~ ddhq xg fd qdd` iq i` i`ik~xnaik smgkd Oi`~ ge xmd zd`n`qtkiq
zvgfkdoq ivd agoog` xg xmd @gvxm iq sdkk iq xmd Qgtxm hdqznxd xmd
gfungtq ddh egv ag`xviqxn`c qmgvx/xdvo vdqzg`qdq I`h xmd qmihgsq ge
vdt`nenaixng` ivd hddzd`n`c
@gvxm Lgvdi qmivdq xmd Qgtxmq et`hiod`xik zvgfkdo ge knonxdh`ixtvik/vdqgtvad d`hgsod`x Xg fd qtvd+ n` xmd @gvxm+ kgsdv cvgsxm iq
sdkk iq xmd qxnkk qtfqxi`xnik+ ne kgs/ytiknx~+ kgaik agik vdqdvudq miud oihd
cvdixdv d`dvc~ qdke/qteenand`a~ zgqqnfkd Xmd dag`gona fialsivh`dqq
i`h zgknxnaik nqgkixng` ge xmd @gvxm miud xdozgvivnk~ fvdh i ag`udvqd
zvgfkdo2 n`ihdytixd egvdnc` d}ami`cd xg zvgatvd `ddhdh d`dvc~ no/
zgvxq dx+ iaadkdvixdh cvgsxm+ smd` nx agodq+ snkk fvn`c snxm nx oi`~ ge
xmd hnkdooiq xmix miud zkictdh xmd Qgtxm n` ziqx ~divq
Izivx evgo i` t`hdvk~n`c kial ge hgodqxna gnk vdqdvudqagtzkdh+n` xmd @gvxmq aiqd+ snxm i` n`ifnknx~ xg qdatvd ihdytixd nozgvxq
i`gxmdv fiqna amikkd`cd t`nxdq xmd xsg Lgvdiq2 zvgunhn`c i` ihdytixd
dkdaxvna zgsdv qtzzk~ Egv xmd @gvxm+ xmd fiqna nqqtd nq xsgegkh2 xmd n`de/
enand`a~ i`h gfqgkdqad`ad ge nxq m~hvg i`h agik/envdh dkdaxvna zgsdv
cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ iq sdkk iq i amvg`na kial ge qzivd zivxq Fdaitqd ge
qtam hneenatkxndq+ 3: zdvad`x ge xmd agt`xv~q d`xnvd zgsdv cd`dvixng`
aizianx~ nq dnxmdv ifi`hg`dh gv n` tvcd`x `ddh ge vdzinvq9
Ihhdh `takdiv zgsdv aizianx~ geedvq xg Z~g`c~i`c xmd izzdikn`c+ne eiankd+ zvgqzdax ge g`d/qxgz d`dvc~ n`hdzd`hd`ad Hdqznxd i kial ge
gnk i`h ciq vdqdvudq+ i`h hdqznxd gfqgkdxd i`h hdai~n`c ag`ud`xng`ik
dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixn`c eianknxndq+ @gvxm Lgvdi fdkndudq xmix snxm
`takdiv zgsdv nx agtkh zgxd`xnikk~ dknon`ixd smix miq kg`c fdd` nxq
dag`gona Iamnkkdq mddk i`h hg qg n` i eiqmng` ag`qnqxd`x snxm nxq t`hdv/
k~n`c zmnkgqgzm~ ge qdke/vdkni`ad Xmd @gvxmq zdvqnqxd`x deegvxq ge xmd
ziqx 94 ~divq xg hdudkgz `takdiv zgsdv ivd xmtq ogxnuixdh f~ itxivlna
noztkqdq otam fvgihdv i`h ogvd agozkd} xmi` qnozk~ si`xn`c xg zgq/
9 Enctvdq ivd egv 6::1< qdd On`nqxv~ ge T`nenaixng` -Qdgtk.+ ssst`nlgvdi
cglv'd`'
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8 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
qdqq `takdiv sdizg`q+ ikxmgtcm xmd @gvxm akdivk~ qddoq xg n`akthd izdvqnqxd`x ytdqx egv `takdiv sdizg`q aizifnknx~ iq sdkk
Egv Qgtxm Lgvdi+ dkdaxvna zgsdv ikqg kndq ix xmd mdivx ge nxq d`dvc~
dytixng`+ ikfdnx n` i hneedvd`x si~ Iq n`hnaixdh n`Enctvd 9.9+ dkdaxvna
zgsdv hdoi`h miq fdd` vnqn`c qxdihnk~ iavgqq Qgtxm Lgvdi qn`ad xmd
Iqni` en`i`anik avnqnq+ dud` iq xvi`qzgvxixng` tqd ge d`dvc~ miq qxic/
`ixdh Xmd viznh vnqd n` dkdaxvnanx~ hdoi`h nq xmd hvnudv egv Qgtxm Lgvdiq
vnqn`c agik+ takdiv+ ciq+ i`h m~hvg tqd i`h ikqg egv xmd Qgtxmq cvgsn`c
ag`adv` snxm d`dvc~ n`eviqxvtaxtvd@gvxm i`h Qgtxm N` xmnq qd`qd+ xmdBt`d 6::4 VGL zvgzgqik xg qtzzk~ xsg cncisixxq ge zgsdv xg @gvxm
Lgvdi xmvgtcm ag`qxvtaxng` ge ds zgsdv qxixng`q i`h xmd d}xd`qng` ge
Qgtxm Lgvdiq cvnh ihhvdqqdq i` d`dvc~ zvgfkdo kivcdv xmi` btqx vdqgkt/
xng` ge xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` `takdiv avnqnq+ i`h nx `ddhq xg fd duiktixdh n`
xmgqd agozvdmd`qnud xdvoq Xmd zvgzgqik d}zknanxk~ zvgunhdq+ ge agtvqd+
egv ds zgsdv qtzzk~ hnvdaxk~ xg xmd @gvxm+ n` vgtcmk~ xmd iogt`xq zvgo/
nqdh t`hdv xmd 9>>4 Lgvdi` Zd`n`qtki D`dvc~ Hdudkgzod`x Gvci`nri/
xng` -LDHG. icvddod`x dx nx hgdq qg xmvgtcm xmd ag`qxvtaxng` ge kivcd`ds zgsdv zki`xq n` xmd Qgtxm xmix ai` mdkz ihhvdqq xmd Qgtxmq hddzd`/
n`c qmgvxicd ge dkdaxvna zgsdv aizianx~ iq sdkk Xmnq n``guixnud zki`+
ihhvdqqn`c iq nx hgdq xmd d`dvc~ hnkdooiq ge fgxm @gvxm i`h Qgtxm evgo
:
9:+:::
6:+:::
1:+:::
8:+:::
4:+:::
Egv xvi`qzgvxixng`
Egv dkdaxvna cd`dvixng`
6::19>>=9>>19>==9>=1
XGD
Enctvd 9.92Dkdaxvnanx~ Hdoi`h n` Qgtxm Lgvdi+ 9>=96::1+ n
xg`q ge gnk dytnuikd`x -XGD.
Qgtvad2 LDDN -uivngtq ~divq.
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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N`xvghtaxng` 4
i` n`xdcvixdh zdvqzdaxnud+ oi~ sdkk miud hdedaxq ge hdqnc`+ ftx nxq n`xd/
cvixdh izzvgiam snkk knldk~ fd dotkixdh n` etxtvd ~divq
Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq n` i` N`xdv`ixng`ik Ag`xd}xLgvdiq zvg`gt`adh d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq+ fgxm @gvxm i`h Qgtxm+ ai` tqd/
etkk~ fd undsdh n` i` n`xdv`ixng`ik ag`xd}x xmix akdivk~ agozgt`hq xmgqd
utk`dvifnknxndq Knld Bizi`+ Xinsi`+ i`h oin`ki`h Amn`iq agiqxik zvgu/
n`adq+ Lgvdi iq i smgkd kialq hgodqxna gnk i`h ixtvik ciq vdqdvudq dx
Qgtxm Lgvdi+ n` zivxnatkiv+ miq i vdoivlifk~ mncm kdudk ge d`dvc~ ag`/
qtozxng` Ikxmgtcm g`k~ xmd sgvkhq 65xm/kivcdqx agt`xv~ n` zgztkixng`
i`h 99xm n` cvgqq hgodqxna zvghtax -CHZ.+ Qgtxm Lgvdi siq 9:xm ckg/
fikk~ n` zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` htvn`c 6::6+ 3xm n` gnk tqicd+ i`h
4xm n` avthd gnk nozgvxq6 Nx miq qtfqdytd`xk~ fdagod xmd sgvkhq 8xm/
kivcdqx gnk nozgvxdv
Gnk hdoi`h oi~ sdkk fd qkgsn`c n` xmd VGL iq xmd xvi`qzgvxixng`
oivldx oixtvdq+ iq n`htqxvnik ag`qtodvq dag`gonrd+ i`h iq dkdaxvna zgsdv
zvgunhdvq qmnex xg ixtvik ciq i`h takdiv zgsdv Gudvikk+ Qgtxm Lgvdi`
d`dvc~ hdoi`h snkk ag`xn`td xg vnqd+ etdkn`c i hddzd`n`c ge Lgvdiq
d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq Xmd Lgvdi` D`dvc~ Dag`gonaq N`qxnxtxd zvgbdaxq
xmd cvgsxm ge zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ hdoi`h n` xmd VGL ix fdxsdd` 64 i`h
11 zdvad`x htvn`c xmd 6::8:> zdvngh -LDDN 6::4. Zviaxnaikk~ i`~
zgqnxnud dag`gona hdudkgzod`x n` xmd @gvxm sgtkh iaadkdvixd xmix hd/
oi`h cvgsxm qxnkk etvxmdv
Lgvdi otqx qtzzk~ nxq viznhk~ vnqn`c xmnvqx egv d`dvc~ n` smix nq
ivctifk~ xmd ogqx agozdxnxnud d`dvc~ `dncmfgvmggh n` xmd sgvkh G`d
`dncmfgv+ Bizi`+ miq fdd` xmd kivcdqx knytdendh `ixtvik ciq -K@C. no/
zgvxdv i`h xmd qdag`h/kivcdqx gnk nozgvxdv g` Divxm I`h d}x/hggv Amn`i
ikg`d iaagt`xdh egv ogvd xmi` g`d/xmnvh ge sgvkh gnk/hdoi`h cvgsxm
htvn`c 6::::8 N` xncmx ckgfik oivldxq+ Lgvdiq d`dvc~/qdatvnx~ xiqlq
ivd n`hddh qgfdvn`c n` xmdnv qaikd+ qagzd+ i`h n`xd`qnx~
6 Egv zgztkixng + qdd HGD -6::1.< egv cvgqq hgodqxna zvghtax -CHZ.+ qdd
Sgvkh Fi`l -6::4.< i`h egv d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng`+ qdd FZ -6::4.
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
14/74
3
6Qgtxm Lgvdiq
Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi
Qgtxm Lgvdi ag`evg`xq qgod ge xmd ogqx qdudvd d`dvc~/qdatvnx~ hnkdo/
oiq n` xmd sgvkh+ i`h xmdqd hnkdooiq egvo i` t`tqtik xvnih agofn`i/
xng`+ n`xd`qne~n`c xmd amikkd`cd xmix xmd~ zvdqd`x xg xmd agt`xv~q dag/
`gona etxtvd2 Ogqx et`hiod`xikk~+ Lgvdi kialq hgodqxna qgtvadq ge
d`dvc~ xg etdk nxq vdoivlifkd+ viznhk~ cvgsn`c+ i`h d`dvc~/n`xd`qnud
dag`go~ Xg oild oixxdvq sgvqd+ nx nq t`tqtikk~ hdzd`hd`x g` gnk iq i
etdk qgtvad N` ihhnxng`+ ogqx ge Lgvdiq gnk+ xgcdxmdv snxm otam ge nxq
`ixtvik ciq+ agodq evgo xmd ugkixnkd Onhhkd Diqx
Xmd ogqx fiqna+ t`hdvk~n`c zvgfkdo nq xmix Lgvdiq vnqn`c d`dvc~
hdoi`h ag`evg`xq i` d}xvdodk~ knonxdh hgodqxna vdqgtvad fiqd Snxm
kivcd qxddk+ qmnzftnkhn`c+ i`h zdxvgamdonaik qdaxgvq+ xmd VGL miq g`d
ge xmd ogqx d`dvc~ n`xd`qnud n`htqxvnik qxvtaxtvdq g` Divxm< i`h nx nq qxnkk
cvgsn`c viznhk~+ smnam ge kixd miq `ixtvikk~ n`xd`qnendh d`dvc~ tqd+ ziv/
xnatkivk~ dkdaxvnanx~
Agozivixnud Zdvqzdaxnudq
N` xmd eiad ge viznhk~ vnqn`c hdoi`h+ Lgvdi1 qxi`hq unvxtikk~ hdugnh ge
hgodqxna qgtvadq ge d`dvc~ Xmd g`k~ oibgv d`dvc~ vdqgtvad n` smnam
xmd VGL nq qdke/qteenand`x nq i`xmvianxd agik egv nxq qxddk n`htqxv~ Zvg/
1 Xmnq amizxdv hdikq d}aktqnudk~ snxm Qgtxm Lgvdi -VGL.< xmdvdegvd+
vdedvd`adq xg Lgvdi qmgtkh vdedv xg Qgtxm Lgvdi t`kdqq gxmdvsnqd
qzdanendh
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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= Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
htaxng` ge i`xmvianxd miq hdakn`dh qmivzk~ qn`ad 9>>: gsn`c xg vnqn`c
zvghtaxng` agqxq i`h xmd vdkixnud n`ag`ud`nd`ad ge tqn`c hgodqxna i`/
xmvianxd agozivdh snxm tqn`c nozgvxdh etdkq
Lgvdiq zitanx~ ge `ixtvik vdqgtvadq kdiudq xmd agt`xv~ `g amgnad
ftx xg vdk~ mdiunk~ g` nozgvxq Ge nxq xgxik d`dvc~ qtzzk~+ =8 zdvad`x
agodq evgo ifvgihg`d ge xmd mncmdqx kdudkq n` xmd sgvkh F~ ago/
zivnqg`+ Bizi` nozgvxq =6 zdvad`x ge nxq d`dvc~+ Cdvoi`~ 5: zdvad`x+
i`h xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq g`k~ 63 zdvad`x -NDI 6::8i.8
Lgvdigfxin`n`c 4: zdvad`x ge nxq zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ evgo gnk ago/
zivdh snxm i ckgfik iudvicd ge 1= zdvad`xnq t`tqtikk~ hdzd`hd`x g`
gnk iq i etdk qgtvad Izivx evgo gnkq mdiu~ tqd n` xvi`qzgvxixng` iq Lg/
vdi fdagodq i` itxgogfnkd qgandx~+ xmd VGL ikqg tqdq gnk d}xd`qnudk~xg etdk zgsdv zki`xq i`h zvgunhd mgod mdixn`c+ snxm ciqnenaixng` qxnkk
t`hdvhdudkgzdh n` agozivixnud xdvoq Xg oild oixxdv sgvqd+ Lgvdi
miq g`d ge xmd mncmdqx kdudkq ge gnk hdzd`hd`ad g` xmd ugkixnkd+ t`advxin`
Onhhkd Diqx ge i`~ `ixng` n` xmd sgvkhi hdzd`hd`ad xmix miq vnqd`
qmivzk~ htvn`c xmd ziqx hdaihd
Xg gudvagod xmdqd otkxnzkd hnkdooiq+ fgxm @gvxm i`h Qgtxm Lg/
vdi miud fdd` t`iugnhifk~ ixxviaxdh xg `takdiv zgsdv N` xmd aiqd ge
Qgtxm Lgvdi+ vdkni`ad g` `takdiv zgsdv hddzd`dh viznhk~ i`h kivcdk~snxmgtx n`anhd`x+ t`xnk amdaldh f~ hgodqxna g`cgudv`od`xik gvci`nri/
xng` -@CG. gzzgqnxng` htvn`c xmd 9>>:q @gvxm Lgvdiq `takdiv zvg/
cvio+ ge agtvqd+ miq fdd` otam ogvd ag`xvgudvqnik i`h zgknxnanrdh
gsn`c xg xmd HZVLq akdiv+ ihonxxdh deegvxq xg oi`teiaxtvd `takdiv
sdizg`q
Lgvdiq Gnk N`qdatvnxndq
Iq n`hnaixdh n`Enctvd 6.9+ gnk nq gudvsmdkon`ck~ xmd ogqx nozgvxi`x
qgtvad ge zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ n` Qgtxm Lgvdi+ hdqznxd xmd VGLq xgxik kial
ge g`qmgvd gnk i`h nxq mncmk~ d}zgqdh zgqnxng` n` ckgfik gnk oivldxq
N`hddh+ Qgtxm Lgvdiq 4: zdvad`x hdzd`hd`ad g` gnk iq i etdk qgtvad nq
qnc`nenai`xk~ mncmdv xmi` dud` Bizi`q 83 zdvad`x+ smnam vdzvdqd`xq xmd
mncmdqx kdudk iog`c xmd Cvgtz ge Qdud` -C/3. n`htqxvniknrdh `ixng`q
Vdad`x gnk hdoi`h cvgsxm miq ikqg fdd` t`tqtikk~ mncm n` xmd VGL
agozivdh snxm hdoi`h cvgsxm n` gxmdv ihui`adh dag`gondq N` oi`~qtam `ixng`q+ gnk hdoi`h miq fdd` iaxtikk~ hdakn`n`c n` xmd eiad ge qzn/
vikn`c zvnadq sgvkhsnhd
8 Enctvdq ivd egv 6::6< xmd~ ivd aikatkixdh f~ `dx nozgvxq hnunhdh f~ xgxik
zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ qtzzk~
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi >
Iq qmgs` akdivk~ n`Enctvd 6.6+ gnk nozgvxq ivd ikqg n`gvhn`ixdk~
mncm n` Lgvdi vdkixnud xg CHZ+ vdekdaxn`c fgxm xmd agt`xv~q d`dvc~/n`/
xd`qnud n`htqxvnik qxvtaxtvd i`h xmd txxdv kial ge hgodqxna gnk vdqdvudq I
qmnex xgsivh i ogvd l`gskdhcd/n`xd`qnud n`htqxvnik qxvtaxtvd+ ad`xdvn`c
g` agoztxdvq i`h xdkdagoot`naixng`q+ miq vdhtadh xmd d`dvc~ n`xd`/qnud`dqq ge Lgvdi` n`htqxvnik qxvtaxtvd+ smnkd hnudvqnenaixng` xgsivh
`ixtvik ciq i`h `takdiv zgsdv miq oivcn`ikk~ vdhtadh gnk hdzd`hd`ad
@dudvxmdkdqq+ Lgvdiq hnqxn`axnud gnk vdkni`ad vdoin`q mncmdv xmi` n` i`~
gxmdv oibgv n`htqxvniknrdh ixng`
Lgvdiq gnk/ad`xvna d`dvc~ hnkdooi ai` fd tqdetkk~ t`hdvqxggh f~
d}ion`n`c xmd zd`n`qtkiq hgodqxna d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` qxvtaxtvd Lg/
vdi+ knld Amn`i `d}x hggv+ xvihnxng`ikk~ miq vdkndh mdiunk~ g` agik egv
mdix i`h kncmx Nx nq amivagik+ egv d}iozkd+ xmix x~znaikk~ mdixdh xmd ekggvqt`hdv Lgvdi` mgodq Egv oi`~ ad`xtvndq+ xmix mdixn`c odxmgh mih fdd`
i mncmk~ ihui`adh xdam`naik n``guixng`
Enctvd 6.1 qmgsq+ mgsdudv+ xmix xmd mnqxgvnaik Lgvdi` zixxdv` ge
agik vdkni`ad siq xvi`qegvodh n` xmd Qgtxm htvn`c xmd 9>=:q i`h divk~
Agik@ixtvikciq
@takdiv
Gnk
::
9::
6::
1::
8::
4::
Qgtxm Lgvdi
T`nxdh Qxixdq
Enctvd 6.92Qgtxm Lgvdiq Mdiu~ Vdkni`ad g` Gnk
Qgtvad2 FZ -6::4.
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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9: Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
9>>:q xg i `ds zixxdv` ge mdiu~ gnk hdzd`hd`ad N`hddh+ Qgtxm Lgvdi`
gnk ag`qtozxng` vgqd 655 zdvad`x htvn`c xmd 9>=:>4 zdvngh N` eiax+htvn`c xmix dvi Qgtxm Lgvdiq gnk tqd vgqd eiqxdv xmi` gnk tqd n` i`~ gxmdv
Iqni/Zianena Dag`gona Aggzdvixng` -IZDA. dag`go~+ ag`xvnftxn`c 66
zdvad`x ge xmd d`xnvd Zianena vdcng`q cvgsxm n` gnk ag`qtozxng` htvn`c
xmgqd ~divq
Iq Enctvd 61 akdivk~ qtccdqxq+ xmdvd miud fdd` xsg oibgv xvd`hq n`
xmd vdad`x mnqxgv~ ge Qgtxm Lgvdi` gnk ag`qtozxng`2 zvd/9>>3 i`h zgqx/
9>>=+ snxm xmd Iqni` en`i`anik avnqnq iq i sixdvqmdh Htvn`c xmd 9>=3
>3 hdaihd+ gnk hdoi`h d}zi`qng` siq d}zkgqnud Qn`ad 9>>=+ mgsdudv+nx miq fdd` kivcdk~ qxixna gsn`c xg oivldx oixtvnx~ N` 6::8 Lgvdi` gnk
ag`qtozxng` iaxtikk~ hdakn`dh qkncmxk~
Xmd VGLq mncm i`h hddzd`n`c vdkni`ad g` gnk iq i` d`dvc~ qgtvad
htvn`c xmd hdaihd zvdadhn`c xmd Iqni` en`i`anik avnqnq gaatvvdh egv xmvdd
vdiqg`q
Envqx siq i` nozgvxi`x+ dofdhhdh mnqxgvnaik vdiknx~ Lgvdi mih
cvgs` xg ckgfik dag`gona zvgon`d`ad n` i` dvi smd` gnk siq
zkd`xnetk i`h ckgfik gnk zvnadq sdvd qxdihnk~ hdakn`n`c+ dqzdanikk~smd` aikatkixdh n` xdvoq ge i qxvd`cxmd`n`c Lgvdi` sg`. Dag/
`gona zki``dvq i`h qd`ngv agvzgvixd d}datxnudq egt`h nx vixng`ik
n` qtam xnodq xg aiznxiknrd g` xmdqd gnk/fdivnqm xvd`hq i`h xg
Gnk hdoi`h cvgsxm -$.
Gnk hdoi`h'CHZ cvgsxm
@dx gnk nozgvxq'CHZ -$.
Qgtxm Lgvdi
T`nxdh Qxixdq
Qgtvad2 FZ -6::4.+ HGD -6::4.
Enctvd 6.62Xmvdd Hnod`qng`q ge Qgtxm Lgvdiq Gnk Utk`dvifnknx~
95
:9
:9
:6
15
9:
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
18/74
Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi 99
ag`enctvd Lgvdi` n`htqxv~+ dqzdanikk~ htvn`c xmd mncm/cvgsxm
zvdgnk qmgal hdaihd+ n` qddon`ck~ vixng`ik d`dvc~/n`xd`qnudeiqmng`
Qdag`h+ xmd kgs i`h hdakn`n`c kdudk ge ckgfik gnk zvnadq htvn`c xmd
9>=:q i`h 9>>:q+ dqzdanikk~ smd` aikatkixdh n` sg`+ xgcdxmdv
snxm xmd Lgvdi` cgudv`od`xq zgkna~ ge d`agtvicn`c nozgvxdh gnk
vdkni`ad i`h xmd cvgsxm ge d`dvc~/n`xd`qnud n`htqxvndq+ ciud vnqd
xg i` ihhnxng`ik+ ogvd zvg}noixd vdiqg` egv Lgvdiq qxvg`c gnk
vdkni`ad2 xmd mncmk~ gnk/n`xd`qnud amiviaxdv ge Lgvdiq n`htqxvnik
qxvtaxtvd Xmd Lgvdi` qxddk+ qmnzftnkhn`c+ zdxvgamdonaik+ i`hedvxnknrdv qdaxgvq vdoin` iog`c xmd ogqx gnk/n`xd`qnud n`htqxvndq
n` xmd sgvkh Ikk ag`xn`td xg fd nozgvxi`x xg i Lgvdi` dag`go~
xmix nq btqx gs oiln`c xmd xvi`qnxng` xg i l`gskdhcd/n`xd`qnud
n`htqxvnik qxvtaxtvd xmix dncmfgvn`c Bizi` t`hdvxggl htvn`c xmd
9>3:q i`h 9>=:q
Xmnvh nq xmd eiax xmix egv oi`~ ~divq Lgvdiq gnk hdoi`h siq
vnqn`c qg viznhk~ fdaitqd ge Lgvdiq itxgogxnud vdugktxng` Iexdvxmd qdag`h gnk qmgal ge 9>3>=:+ itxg gs`dvqmnz qmivzk~
d}zi`hdh+ d`agtvicdh f~ hdakn`n`c gnk zvnadq n` sg` i`h aggz/
dvixnud Lgvdi` cgudv`od`x/ftqn`dqq deegvxq xg hdudkgz i hgodq/
xna itxg n`htqxv~ Qxvd`cxmd`n`c ge xmd sg` iexdv 9>3> siq
:
6:
8:
5:
=:
9::
96:
Agik
Gnk
6::86:::9>>49>>:9>=49>=:
Onkkng`q ge xg`q
Qgtvad2 FZ -6::4.
Enctvd 6.12Qgtxm Lgvdiq Hdzd`hd`ad g` Gnk+ 9>=:6::8
8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder
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96 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
dqzdanikk~ nozgvxi`x n` zvgzdkkn`c ogxgvnrixng` i`h d}zi`hdh
xvi`qzgvx hdoi`h fdaitqd ag`qtodv qzd`hn`c xd`hq xg fd
dqzdanikk~ zvnad qd`qnxnud
Lgvdi`q miud hdudkgzdh i` ikogqx Iodvnai`/qx~kd zvgzd`qnx~ egvhvnun`c xmix ag`xviqxq snxm xmd cvdixdv oiqq/xvi`qnx vdkni`ad ge xmdnv Bizi/
`dqd `dncmfgvq N` 9>>> Lgvdiq i``tik iudvicd hvnun`c onkdicd zdv
udmnakd vdiamdh 9>+4:: lnkgodxdvq+ agozivdh snxm 99>+9:: lnkgodxdvq
n` xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq i`h g`k~ 9:+::: lnkgodxdvq n` Bizi`4 Ciqgkn`d ag`/
qtozxng` zdv udmnakd siq 68 xnodq xmix n` Bizi`
Iq i ag`qdytd`ad ge mdiu~ itxgogfnkd tqd+ Lgvdi` d`dvc~ ag`/
qtozxng` n` xmd xvi`qzgvx qdaxgv vgqd 96/egkh+ evgo 4 xg 5: onkkng` xg`q
ge gnk dytnuikd`x -OXGD. fdxsdd` 9>=: i`h 9>>4+ snxm ogqx ge xmdcin`q agon`c n` xmd kiqx mike ge xmix zdvngh -^glgftvn 9>>=+ 8986.
Xmnq 995 zdvad`x iudvicd vixd ge i``tik xvi`qzgvxixng` d`dvc~ hdoi`h
cvgsxm n` Lgvdi -ikogqx d`xnvdk~ gnk. siq f~ eiv xmd mncmdqx n` IZDA Nx
ag`xviqxdh qmivzk~ snxm g`k~ 1 zdvad`x i``tik hdoi`h cvgsxm n` Bizi`
i`h 91 zdvad`x n` xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq
Qgtxm Lgvdi miq+ nx qmgtkh fd gxdh+ qtaaddhdh n` vdhtan`c nxq oiv/
cn`ik vdkni`ad g` gnk qn`ad xmd Iqni` en`i`anik avnqnq ge 9>>3>= Gnk
hdoi`h cvgsxm ge 31 zdvad`x n` 9>>>+ egv d}iozkd+ siq iog`c xmdmncmdqx ge i`~ oibgv ixng` n` xmd sgvkh< ~dx nx mih oghdvixdh qtfqxi`/
xnikk~ f~ 6::6 iq xmd hnqxgvxng`q ge xmd Iqni` en`i`anik avnqnq zdvngh sgvd
gee Gnk nozgvxq miud ikqg eikkd`f~ g`d/xd`xm+ xg 15 zdvad`x ge CHZ
Qkgsdv dag`gona d}zi`qng`+ n`htqxvnik xvi`qegvoixng` xgsivh
l`gskdhcd/n`xd`qnud n`htqxv~+ i`h d`dvc~ hdoi`h qixtvixng` n` xmd vdqn/
hd`xnik qdaxgv ikk zki~dh i vgkd n` oghdvixn`c Qgtxm Lgvdiq d`dvc~/
ag`qtozxng` cvgsxm Ogvd oivldx/gvnd`xdh d`dvc~ zgknandq+ xg smnam
sd snkk vdxtv`+ ikqg mdkzdh Fdaitqd ge xmdqd qxvtaxtvik ami`cdq+ LgvdiqCHZ dkiqxnanx~ ge hdoi`h egv d`dvc~ miq qxdihnk~ hdakn`dh qn`ad 9>>> xg
kdudkq ag`qnqxd`xk~ kdqq xmi` 9+ iq n`hnaixdh n` Xifkd 6.9. Egv ogqx ge xmd
ziqx hdaihd+ dag`gona d}zi`qng` miq xmtq fdd` ogvd viznh xmi` xmd
cvgsxm ge d`dvc~ hdoi`h Xmnq zixxdv` egkkgsq i xvd`h xgsivh d`dvc~
deenand`a~ agoog` xg oixtvn`c dag`gondq+ smnam miq ikqg fdd` gxnad/
ifkd n` Bizi` qn`ad xmd onh/9>3:q
Hdqznxd qgod vdad`x oghdvixng` ge Lgvdiq zvdungtqk~ d}zkgqnud
d`dvc~ hdoi`h cvgsxm+ xmd fvgih qxvtaxtvik fniqdq ge xmd xsg hdaihdqzvdadhn`c xmd en`i`anik avnqnq dudvxmdkdqq vdoin` et`hiod`xikk~ n` zkiad
Qgtxm Lgvdi ag`xn`tdq xg fd i cvgsn`c qgandx~ n` xvi`qnxng` Xmd vnqn`c
4 N`htqxv~ Xgg Utk`dvifkd xg Gnk Qmgal7Ftqn`dqq Lgvdi -Bt`d 6:::.+ 4=
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Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi 91
ieektd`ad i`h n`avdiqn`ck~ ogfnkd knedqx~kd ge xmd Lgvdi` zdgzkd ztx
ag`xn`tn`c tzsivh zvdqqtvd g` d`dvc~ hdoi`h Gnk tqd ag`xn`tdq xg fd
mncm+ ne n`avdiqn`ck~ qxifkd I`h Lgvdi ge agtvqd vdoin`q i ixng` snxm
eds hgodqxna d`dvc~ qtzzk~ qgtvadq ge nxq gs`
N` @gvxm Lgvdi d`dvc~ hdoi`h gfungtqk~ vdoin`q otam ogvd kno/nxdh xmi` n` xmd Qgtxm @gvxmdv` d`dvc~ hdoi`h agtkh mivhk~ cg otam
kgsdv+ cnud` xmd atvvd`x cvno qxixd ge dag`gona ieeinvq xmdvd N`hddh+ xmd
@gvxmq gudvikk qtzzk~ ge agoodvanik d`dvc~ edkk f~ g`d/mike xg xsg/
xmnvhq+ hdzd`hn`c g` xmd iqqdqqod`x+ htvn`c xmd agtvqd ge xmd 9>>:q
-Snkknioq dx ik 6:::.
Xmdvd vdoin`q+ mgsdudv+ xmd kixd`x zvgqzdax ge qmivz d`dvc~ hd/
oi`h n`avdiqdq n` xmd HZVL qmgtkh zgknxnaik/dag`gona anvatoqxi`adq
ami`cd+ iq xmd @gvxmq d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` nq qxivxn`c evgo qtam i kgsfiqd Xmd @gvxm+ knld xmd Qgtxm+ nq i qgandx~ snxm g`k~ knonxdh qgtvadq ge
hgodqxna qtzzk~ Ikqg+ @gvxm Lgvdiq dkdaxvna zgsdv cvnh nq amvg`naikk~
n`deenand`x+ snxm xmd zvgqzdaxnud aiznxik agqxq ge vdmifnknxixn`c xmix qda/
xgv dqxnoixdh iq knldk~ xg vdiam (6: fnkkng` xg (4: fnkkng` gudv xmd ago/
n`c 6: ~divq -@gki`h 6:::+ 95553.
Lgvdiq Hdzd`hd`ad g` Onhhkd Diqx D`dvc~
Iq qmgs` akdivk~ n`Enctvd 6.8+ Lgvdi hdzd`hq mdiunk~ g` gnk nozgvxq
evgo xmd Onhhkd Diqx N`hddh+ Lgvdi nq otam ogvd hdzd`hd`x xmi` ogqx
n`htqxvniknrdh `ixng`q g` xmd ugkixnkd Onhhkd Diqx egv nxq gnk qtzzk~
Lgvdiq mdiu~ vdkni`ad g` xmd Onhhkd Diqx egv nxq gnk qtzzkndq ag`xviqxq
dqzdanikk~ qmivzk~ snxm xmix ge xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq -69 zdvad`x n` 6::8.
i`h Evi`ad -65 zdvad`x.
Lgvdiq vdkni`ad g` Onhhkd Diqxdv` gnk+ etvxmdvogvd+ miq fdd` vnq/
n`c qxdihnk~ Iq n`hnaixdh n` Enctvd 68+ xmix hdzd`hd`ad siq fdkgs 4:zdvad`x n` 9>>8 dx n` g`d qmgvx hdaihd+ Lgvdiq vdkni`ad g` xmd Onhhkd
Diqx vgqd qmivzk~+ xg i` iudvicd sdkk ifgud xsg/xmnvhq ge xmd agt`xv~q
xgxik nozgvxq Eiugvifkd qmgvx/vt` agqxq i`h hddzd`n`c nozgvx vdkixng`q
snxm `ds xvihn`c zivx`dvq qddo xg iaagt`x egv xmd n`avdiqd
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98 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
N` vdad`x ~divq+ Lgvdi miq fdd` xv~n`c xg hnudvqne~ nxq d`dvc~ qgtvadq
n` i hdxdvon`dh ixxdozx xg dqaizd evgo d}xvdod vdkni`ad g` Onhhkd Diqx/
dv` gnk dx Lgvdiq hnudvqnenaixng` deegvxq miud egatqdh g` `ixtvik ciq
vixmdv xmi` agik+ zivxk~ fdaitqd ge d`unvg`od`xik ag`qnhdvixng`q Mgs/
dudv+ xmnq etdk qgtvad xvi`qegvoixng` deegvx nvg`naikk~ miq n`avdiqdh vdkn/
i`ad g` xmd Onhhkd Diqx+ smnam zvgunhdh Lgvdi snxm 44 zdvad`x ge nxq
`ixtvik ciq nozgvxq ftx unvxtikk~ g`d ge xmd agik xmix xmnq ciq hnqzkiadh-HGD 6::4. N` xgxik+ ikogqx mike ge Lgvdiq gudvikk zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ siq
zvgunhdh f~ xmd Onhhkd Diqx n` 6::1
Lgvdiq vdkni`ad g` Onhhkd Diqxdv` d`dvc~ nq qtfqxi`xnik i`h dud`
vnqn`c+ ftx nx nq `gx `dadqqivnk~ zdvudvqd Hdqznxd xmd Onhhkd Diqxq zg/
knxnaik ugkixnknx~+ si~q d}nqx xg vdhtad vdkixdh d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq+ dqzd/
anikk~ xmvgtcm avgqq/n`udqxod`x Onhhkd Diqxdv` n`udqxod`x n` Lgvdi nq
vnqn`c< egv d}iozkd+ n` 6::4+ nx siq i``gt`adh xmix Htfin N`xdv`ixng`ik
nq ztvamiqn`c i (196 onkkng` qxild n` oi`icdod`x ge Ftqi`q ds ag`/xin`dv zgvx5 Xsg ge egtv Lgvdi` gnk agozi`ndq ivd `gs ag`xvgkkdh f~
Onhhkd Diqxdv` envoq evgo Qithn Ivifni i`h Ift Hmifn G`k~ g`d Lg/
5 En`i`anik Xnodq N`egvoixng`+ 3 Oivam 6::4
:
6:
8:
5:
=:
9::
6::86::66:::9>>=9>>59>>8
Zdvad`xicd
Qgtvad2 HGD -6::4.@gxd2 Enctvd qmgsq Lgvdiq vdkni`ad g` gnk evgo Ctke i`h Iqni` `ixng`qtqtikk~ ag`qnhdvdh zivx ge xmd Onhhkd Diqx Nx hgdq `gx n`akthd Lgvdiq gnknozgvxq evgo @gvxm Ievnai
Enctvd 6.82Qgtxm Lgvdiq Vdkni`ad g` Onhhkd Diqxdv` Gnk+
9>>16::8
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Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi 94
vdi` gnk vden`dv+ xmd QL Cvgtz+ miq `g egvdnc` qtzzk~ zivx`dvq+ i`h nx nq
vdzgvxdhk~ ag`qnhdvn`c fvn`cn`c n` Onhdiqx n`udqxod`x ikqg Xmdqd n`/
udqxod`x zivx`dvqmnzq d`mi`ad d`dvc~ qdatvnx~ f~ avdixn`c hnvdax en`i`/
anik n`ad`xnudq egv Onhhkd Diqxdv` envoq xg qtzzk~ xmdnv Lgvdi` zivx`dvq
zvdhnaxifk~
Lgvdi` @ixng`ik Gnk Agozi`~ -L@GA. nq ikqg iaxnudk~ oiln`c
oibgv ds n`udqxod`xq ifvgih xmix d`mi`ad d`dvc~ qdatvnx~ L@GA vd/
zgvxdhk~ ag`xdozkixdq qtzzk~n`c tz xg 9: zdvad`x ge Lgvdiq avthd gnk
nxqdke+ otam ge nx evgo xmd Onhhkd Diqx N` Oivam 6::4+ L@GA xggl zivx
n` 6: d}zkgvixng` i`h zvghtaxng` zvgbdaxq gudvqdiq+ n`akthn`c i oibgv
zvgbdax n` Knf~iq Dkdzmi`x Endkh+ iq sdkk iq gxmdvq n` dod`+ Lirilmqxi`+
Dvnxvdi+ i`h Fd`n`
3
Lgvdiq @takdiv Dofviad
Cdgzgknxnaq iqnhd+ amvg`na d`dvc~ qmgvxicdq n` fgxm @gvxm i`h Qgtxm
Lgvdi ivd akdivk~ i oibgv vdiqg` sm~ fgxm mikudq ge xmd zd`n`qtki miud
egt`h `takdiv zgsdv ixxviaxnud+ zivxnatkivk~ qn`ad xmd gnk qmgalq ge xmd
9>3:q @gvxm Lgvdi+ snxm qtfqxi`xnik tvi`nto vdqdvudq ix T`ccn+
Z~g`cqi`+ i`h Mt`c`io+ hgdq gx dud` ddh xg nozgvx xmd vis oixdvn/
ikq Egv Qgtxm Lgvdi+ smnam kialq n`hncd`gtq tvi`nto qtzzkndq+ xmd ftv/
hd` ge tvi`nto nozgvxq nq `dudvxmdkdqq on`tqatkd agozivdh snxm xmd
agqx i`h kgcnqxnaik hneenatkxndq xmix Qdgtkq zvg`gt`adh hdzd`hd`ad g`
nozgvxq ge Onhhkd Diqxdv` gnk zvdqd`xq @gvxm Lgvdiq ag`xvgudvqnik ziqx
deegvxq xg hdudkgz takdiv zgsdv ivd sdkk l`gs` i`h snkk fd ag`qnhdvdh
ogvd etkk~ kixdv n` xmnq og`gcvizm
N` xmd Qgtxm+ `takdiv zgsdv miq `divk~ iq kg`c i mnqxgv~ iq n` xmd
@gvxm+ hixn`c fial xg xmd 9>5:q N` xmd sild ge gnk qmgal 9+ Qgtxm Lgvdi
ogudh iccvdqqnudk~ xgsivh `takdiv zgsdv N`hddh+ ix i zdil n` 9>=3+
`takdiv zgsdv zvgunhdh ogvd xmi` 4: zdvad`x ge Lgvdiq zgsdv iaxtikk~
cd`dvixdh i`h qxnkk iaagt`xdh egv divk~ 8: zdvad`x n` 6::1 -HGD 6::4.
Xghi~+ takdiv zki`xq+ gzdvixn`c n` egtv cni`x takdiv aktqxdvq ivgt`h
Qgtxm Lgvdi+ zvgunhd iq otam iq 8: zdvad`x ge xgxik dkdaxvnanx~ iaxtikk~
cd`dvixdh n` xmd agt`xv~ iq i smgkd+ i`h 6= zdvad`x ge xgxik aizianx~ Iq
qtccdqxdh g` xmd `d}x zicd n` Xifkd 6.6+ xmnq Lgvdi` agoonxod`x xg
`takdiv zgsdv nq ogvd qtfqxi`xnik xmi` n` ogqx gxmdv oibgv n`htqxvnik/nrdh `ixng`q N`hddh+ Qgtxm Lgvdiq vdkni`ad g` `takdiv zgsdv egv ia/
3 N` dod + L@GA siq n`ugkudh n fgxm gnk i`h ciq zvgbdaxq< egv hdxinkq
g` L@GAq geeqmgvd gzdvixng`q+ qdd xmd L@GA Sdf qnxd ix sssl`ga
aglv'd`c'n`hd}zmz
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95 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
xtik zgsdv cd`dvixng` nq xmd xmnvh mncmdqx n` xmd d`xnvd sgvkh+ egkkgsn`c
Evi`ad i`h Qsdhd` Nx nq hgtfkd xmd ckgfik iudvicd
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93
1Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q
Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
Lgvdiq d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq ivd hddzk~ vggxdh hdqznxd xmd vdoivlifkd
bgf xmix nxq zgkna~ zvgadqq i`h zvnuixd qdaxgv miud hg`d n` vdad`x ~divq
ge agzn`c snxm xmd t`hdvk~n`c hgodqxna d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq xmix xmd agt`/
xv~ eiadq CHZ dkiqxnanx~ ge hdoi`h egv d`dvc~ miq qxdihnk~ hdakn`dh
qn`ad 6:::+ hvnud` f~ xmd dodvcd`ad ge `ds+ kgs/d`dvc~/ag`qtozxng`
qdaxgvq -agoztxdvq i`h xdkdagoot`naixng`q+ egv d}iozkd. Nozvgudh
d`dvc~ deenand`a~ n` xmd mncm/ag`qtozxng` ivdiq ge qxddk i`h zdxvgamdon/
aikq miq ikqg mdkzdh
@ddh egv D`dvc~ Tfnytnxgtq n` @gvxmdiqx Iqni
Xmd n`xdv`ixng`ik hnod`qng`q ge Lgvdi` d`dvc~ n`qdatvnx~ miud cvgs`ogvd hneenatkx+ dud` iq Lgvdiq ifnknx~ xg agzd snxm xmd d`dvc~ amikkd`cd
miq cd`dvikk~ qxvd`cxmd`dh G`d hddzd`n`c n`xdv`ixng`ik zvgfkdo egv
Lgvdi+ `gxdh divkndv+ miq fdd` vnqn`c d`dvc~ hdzd`hd`ad g` xmd Onhhkd
Diqx+ dqzdanikk~ snxm vdqzdax xg gnk i`h `ixtvik ciq Xmdvd nq ikqg xmd
viznh ziad ge d`dvc~ hdoi`h cvgsxm+ i`h mncm kdudkq ge ifqgktxd hd/
oi`h+ dkqdsmdvd n` Iqni Egtv ge xmd xgz 9: zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtodvq
n` xmd sgvkhAmn`i+ Bizi`+ i`h N`hni n` ihhnxng` xg Lgvdiivd ikqg
`gs kgaixdh n` Iqni+ iq sdkk iq egtv ge xmd xgz qdud` ag`qtodvq ge gnk-LLA 6::4+ >>+ 9:9. Ikk xmdqd ixng`q ivd qddln`c kivcd i`h n`avdiqn`c
iogt`xq ge nozgvxdh d`dvc~+ dqzdanikk~ gnk+ ikg`c xmd qiod qdi ki`dq
evgo xmd Onhhkd Diqx
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9= Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
Nx xmtq oixxdvq cvdixk~ xg Lgvdifgxm dag`gonaikk~ i`h qxvixdcn/
aikk~+ dud` xmgtcm ckgfik d`dvc~ oivldxq ivd ge agtvqd n`xdcvixdhmgs
d`dvc~ hdoi`h i`h qtzzk~ dugkud dkqdsmdvd n` xmd Diqx Iqni` vdcng`
Xmix nq dqzdanikk~ xvtd fdaitqd xmd ixng`q qtvvgt`hn`c LgvdiAmn`i+
Bizi`+ i`h Vtqqni+ n` zivxnatkivivd ikk oibgv zgsdvq g` xmd sgvkh
qxicd+ snxm qtfqxi`xnik dag`gona i`h cdgzgknxnaik kdudvicd ge xmdnv gs`
Xmdnv d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` zixxdv`q ieedax gx g`k~ xmd sgvkh oivldx ftx
ikqg zgqqnfnknxndq egv aggzdvixng`gv ag`eknaxakgqdv xg mgod
Ogqx ge Lgvdiq `dncmfgvq+ t`egvxt`ixdk~ egv Qdgtk+ ivd `divk~ iq
d`dvc~/hdenand`x iq Lgvdi nxqdke Nx nq gexd` gxdh xmix gx i qn`ckd+ oibgv+
d}zi`hn`c g`qmgvd gnk endkh d}nqxq n` xmd uiqx d}zi`qd evgo Qilmikn`
qgtxm xg N`hg`dqni
=
Bizi`+ Xinsi`+ i`h agiqxik oin`ki`h Amn`iihd`qdk~ zgztkixdh agozkd} ge akgqd xg g`d fnkkng` zdgzkdikk kial qnc/
`nenai`x gnk i`h ciq vdqdvudq Snxmn` i hdaihd+ dud` agik nq d}zdaxdh xg
fd i `dx nozgvx agooghnx~+ Amn`iq zgqnxng` iq xmd kivcdqx zvghtadv n`
xmd sgvkh gxsnxmqxi`hn`c
D`dvc~ oivldxq+ ge agtvqd+ ivd ckgfik< i`h d`dvc~ vdqgtvadq qmgtkh+
n` xmdgv~+ fd ekd}nfk~ xvi`qedvifkd evgo g`d vdcng` xg i`gxmdv Lgvdiq
zvdqd`ad n` i` d`dvc~/qmgvx `dncmfgvmggh qmgtkh xmtq+ n` xmdgv~+ `gx
oild otam zviaxnaik hneedvd`ad ^dx xmd zdvadnudh vdiknxndq ivd ogvdagozkd}
D`dvc~ utk`dvifnknxndq ai` akdivk~ ieedax znzdkn`d zgknxnaq+ n`akthn`c
xdvoq ge iaadqq xg `divf~ Vtqqni` ciq i`h gnk Xmd~ ikqg avdixd qtfxkd
cdgqxvixdcna ag`adv`q ifgtx qdi ki`dq i`h vdkixng`qmnzq snxm xmd Onhhkd
Diqx i`h Ievnai Fgxm hnqxi`x ivdiq qtzzk~ Lgvdi snxm gnk i`h ciq n`
n`avdiqn`c yti`xnxndq uni xmd qiod kg`c oivnxnod vgtxdq iavgqq xmd N`/
hni` Gadi` i`h xmvgtcm xmd Qgtxm Amn`i Qdi
Xmgqd d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndqkn`ldh zvgegt`hk~ xg znzdkn`dq+ qdi ki`dq+i`h vdcng`ik zgknxnaq`ixtvikk~ etdk d`dvc~ ixng`iknqo xmix cvgsq ogvd
n`xd`qd iq ckgfik oivldxq xncmxd` Qtam ag`adv`q xd`h xg fd dqzdanikk~
zvg`gt`adh n` @gvxmdiqx Iqni fdaitqd ge zdvuiqnud vdqgtvad qmgvxicdq+
qxdihnk~ vnqn`c hdoi`h+ i`h i kial ge cdgzgknxnaik kdudvicd xg agooi`h
qtam vdqgtvadq xmix xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq+ n` zivxnatkiv+ d`bg~q Xg t`hdv/
= Hiyn c+ n` Amn iq @gvxmdiqx+ vdoin`q qgodsmix nozgvxi`x+ zvghtan c
izzvg}noixdk~ g`d onkkng` fivvdkq ge gnk i hi~ ^dx nxq gnk zvghtaxng` miq
fdd` qxdihnk~ hdakn`n`c qn`ad 6::: f~ ifgtx 8:+::: fivvdkq zdv hi~
Ikxmgtcm Hiyn`c nq xg qgod d}xd`x qtzzkdod`xdh f~ xmd ikqg qnc`nenai`x
Qmd`ckn endkh+ xmd bgn`x ag`xvnftxng` ge Hiyn`c i`h Qmd`ckn nq qxnkk uiqxk~
gtxqxvnzzdh f~ xmd d}zkgqnud vdad`x cvgsxm n` gudvikk Amn`dqd `ixng`ik gnk
hdoi`h
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Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 9>
qxi`h Lgvdiq d`dvc~ utk`dvifnknxndq+ iq zdvadnudh fgxm qgtxm i`h gvxm
ge xmd HOR+ nx nq xmtq nozgvxi`x xg t`hdvqxi`h xmd d`dvc~ anvatoqxi`adq
ge nxq `dncmfgvq iq sdkk iq xmd iqxg`nqmn`c qzddh snxm smnam xmd~ ivd
ami`cn`c
Ad`xviknx~ ge Amn`i n` Lgvdiq Vdcng`ik D`dvc~ Dytixng`
Amn`i+ ge agtvqd+ kggoq kivcdqx egv Lgvdi n` Iqni` d`dvc~ oivldxq egv i
`tofdv ge vdiqg`q Nx nq+ iq `gxdh n` Xifkd 1.9+ f~ i qnc`nenai`x oivcn`
xmd kivcdqx d`dvc~ ag`qtodv n` Iqni+ snxm ogvd xmi` hgtfkd xmd iccvd/
cixd d`dvc~ hdoi`h ge Bizi` hdqznxd Bizi`q otam kivcdv dag`go~
Amn`iq mtcd zgztkixng` i`h nxq kgs d`dvc~ deenand`a~ iaagt`x egv xmnq
qddon`c i`goik~
@divk~ 3: zdvad`x ge Amn`iq d`dvc~ nq ag`qtodh n` xmd egvo ge
agik+ i`h Amn`dqd ag`qtozxng` kdihq xmd sgvkh -FZ 6::4. Xmnq eiax
ieedaxq Lgvdi oin`k~ xmvgtcm xmd d`unvg`od`xik zvgfkdoq xmix nx cd`dv/
ixdq ^dx Amn`iq gnk ag`qtozxng` nq ikqg oiqqnud i`h vnqn`c viznhk~
Qn`ad 6::1 Amn`iq gnk ag`qtozxng` miq ikqg fdd` xmd qdag`h mncmdqx ge
i`~ ixng` n` xmd sgvkh+ iexdv xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq+ i`h nxq ag`qtozxng` miq
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6: Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
fdd` cvgsn`c eiqxdv xmi` n` gxmdv oibgv ag`qton`c `ixng`q> Amn`i ia/
agt`xdh egv ogvd xmi` g`d/xmnvh ge xgxik ckgfik cvgsxm n` sgvkh gnk hd/
oi`h fdxsdd` 6::: i`h 6::8 -FZ 6::4.
Xmd N`xdv`ixng`ik D`dvc~ Icd`a~ -NDI. egvdaiqxq xmix Amn`iq avthd
gnk nozgvx hdzd`hd`a~ vixng agtkh ogvd xmi` hgtfkd evgo atvvd`x kdudkq
htvn`c xmd agon`c 64 ~divq+ ztxxn`c qxnkk ogvd zvdqqtvd g` ckgfik d`dvc~
oivldxq i`h g` Lgvdiq fnhq egv qtzzk~ evgo xmdo Amn`iq nozgvx/
hdzd`hd`a~ vixng snkk zvgqzdaxnudk~ vnqd evgo 1: zdvad`x n` 6::: i`h
vgtcmk~ 8: zdvad`x n` 6::4 xg iq otam iq =: zdvad`x ge xgxik hdoi`h f~
6:1: -NDI 6::8f. Nozgvxq xmdoqdkudq sgtkh vnqd ogvd xmi` enudegkh+
evgo ivgt`h 6 onkkng` fivvdkq zdv hi~ xg `divk~ 99 onkkng` Xmdqd no/
zgvxq sgtkh fd i qmivzk~ vnqn`c qmivd ge i` d}zkgqnudk~ cvgsn`c xgxikzialicd ge iccvdcixd d`dvc~ hdoi`h Xmd NDI ikqg zvgbdaxq xmix Amn/
`dqd d`dvc~ hdoi`h snkk n`avdiqd htvn`c xmd agon`c xsg xg xmvdd hd/
aihdq ix akgqd xg hgtfkd xmd vixd ge d`dvc~ hdoi`h cvgsxm n` xmd sgvkh
dag`go~9:
Ikxmgtcm Amn`iq noziax g` ckgfik gnk zvnadq oi~ sdkk fd cd`dvikk~
`dcixnud evgo Lgvdiq zdvqzdaxnud+ xmdvd nq i qnkudv kn`n`c2 vden`dh zvgh/
taxq N` vdad`x ~divq xmd VGL miq hdudkgzdh i` deenand`x gnk/vden`n`c
qdaxgv+ qtzzgvxdh f~ i oivldx/iknc`dh qdx ge zvghtax/zvnan`c zgknandq+snxm qtfqxi`xnik qzivd zvghtaxng` aizianx~ Amn`i+ f~ ag`xviqx+ miq n`/
mnfnxdh xmd cvgsxm i`h zvgqzdvnx~ ge nxq vden`dvq xmvgtcm zvnad ag`xvgkq
g` vden`dh zvghtaxq i`h gxmdv hnqavnon`ixgv~ zgknandq Nx nq `g qtvzvnqd
xmix Lgvdi miq fdagod i kivcd i`h n`avdiqn`ck~ nozgvxi`x qtzzkndv ge
vden`dh zvghtaxq xg Amn`i+ zvgenxn`c evgo xmd agofn`ixng` ge onqiknc`dh
d`dvc~ zgknandq i`h ftg~i`x hdoi`h xmix miq vdad`xk~ zvduinkdh n` Amn`i
Amn`iq gs` gnk nozgvxq ivd d}zdaxdh xg agod mdiunk~ evgo xmd
Onhhkd Diqx n` xmd kg`c vt` Xmnq nq i akdiv eiaxgv ge ag`adv` xg Lgvdi+smnam miq qnonkiv d}zdaxixng`q ge xizzn`c n`xg xmd sgvkhq kgs/agqx qgtvad
ge d`dvc~i vdcng` xmix nq qnotkxi`dgtqk~ zgknxnaikk~ ugkixnkd Atvvd`xk~
kdqq xmi` mike ge Amn`iq gnk ekgsq evgo xmd Onhhkd Diqx+ snxm Qithn
Ivifni i`h Nvi` fdn`c xmd kivcdqx qtzzkndvq Xmd Diqx/Sdqx Ad`xdv
zvgbdaxq+ mgsdudv+ xmix Amn`iq gudvikk Onhhkd Diqx hdzd`hd`a~ snkk
> Amn`iq ag`qtozxng` qtvziqqdh Bizi`q n` 6::6 N` 6::8 Amn`dqd gnkag`qtozxng` siq 53 onkkng` fivvdkq hink~+ agozivdh snxm 41 onkkng` egv
Bizi` -FZ 6::4.
9: Xmd NDI zvgbdaxq xmix Amn`dqd zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ hdoi`h snkk cvgs ix 63zdvad`x i``tikk~ egv xmd 6:::1: zdvngh+ smnkd ckgfik d`dvc~ hdoi`h nqknldk~ xg cvgs ix g`k~ 93 zdvad`x -NDI 6::8f.
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Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 69
vnqd xg ogvd xmi` 3: zdvad`x f~ 6:94+ avdixn`c xmd knldknmggh ge i ogvd
zvgiaxnud Onhhkd Diqx hnzkgoia~ g` xmd zivx ge Amn`i+ xg smnam Lgvdi
snkk `ddh xg vdqzg`h -St 9>>>.
Bizi`q Ag`xn`tn`c Nozgvxi`ad
Atvvd`xk~ Bizi` nq ikqg i egvonhifkd eiaxgv n` Iqni` d`dvc~ oivldxq>4 Amn`dqd cdgkgcnqxq mih nhd`xnendh xmvdd dqzdanikk~ zvgonq/
n`c ciq endkhq n` xmd unan`nx~ ge xmd odhni` kn`d Evgo 9>>4 xg 9>>3 xmd~
t`hdvxggl qzgvihna qdnqona qtvud~q+ smnam sdvd egkkgsdh f~ ogvd n`/xd`qnud d}zkgvixng` N` Itctqx 6::1 xmd~ qdx tz zvghtaxng` zkixegvoq ix
Amt`}nig+ g`d ge xmdo kdqq xmi` g`d onkd evgo xmd odhni` kn`d ix xmd
dhcd ge hnqztxdh xdvvnxgv~ Htvn`c 6::8 i`h divk~ 6::4+ Amn`dqd qtfoi/
vn`dq i`h xmd` hdqxvg~dvq ikqg fdci` evdytd`xn`c xmd ivdi N` Izvnk 6::4+
iexdv Amn`i vdetqdh xg qmivd cdgkgcnaik hixi g` xmd xmvdd ciq endkhq+ Bi/
zi` itxmgvnrdh xmvdd ge nxq agozi`ndq xg fdcn` xdqx hvnkkn`c g` nxq qnhd ge
xmd kn`d
Etvxmdv `gvxm n` xmd ^dkkgs Qdi+ btqx gee xmd sdqx agiqx ge @gvxmLgvdi+ xmdvd nq ikqg zvgqzdax ge qtfqxi`xnik geeqmgvd vdqdvudq ikxmgtcm
`gx g` xmd qaikd ge xmgqd d}zdaxdh n` xmd Qd`lilt/Hnig~txin ivdi Xmd
ogqx gzxnonqxna zvdhnaxng`q egv oibgv hnqagudvndq ad`xdv g` xsg ivdiq2
xmd Lt`qi` Fiqn` n` xmd qgtxmdv` ^dkkgs Qdi+ ix xmd fgt`hiv~ ge Amn/
`dqd i`h Qgtxm Lgvdi` btvnqhnaxng`q+ i`h n` xmd Sdqx Lgvdi Fi~ fiqn`
gee xmd agiqx ge @gvxm Lgvdi Zdxvg`iq ge Oiki~qni ag`akthdh i ag`adq/
qng` icvddod`x snxm Z~g`c~i`c egv d}zkgvixng` ftx ai`adkkdh nx egkkgs/
n`c n`hnaixng`q ge Amn`dqd hnqzkdiqtvd Etvxmdv ediqnfnknx~ qxth~ i`h hd/udkgzod`x miq qxikkdh ionh xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` takdiv avnqnq fdaitqd ge i
kial ge icvddod`x iog`c @gvxm Lgvdi+ Qgtxm Lgvdi+ i`h Amn`i vdcivh/
n`c xmd xdvvnxgvnik nqqtdq n`ugkudh -Zinl 6::4+ 8583.
91 Amn`dqd dqxnoixdq vdzgvxdhk~ n`hnaixd Diqx Amn`i Qdi ciq vdqdvudq ge 934
xg 69: xvnkkng` atfna eddx+ agozivdh snxm Qithn zvgud` i`h zvgfifkd
ciq vdqdvudq ge 61= xvnkkng` atfna eddx+ i`h i`ikgcgtq TQ vdqdvudq ge9938 xvnkkng` atfna eddx Qgod l`gskdhcdifkd Sdqxdv` i`ik~qxq qtccdqx
xmix qtam Amn`dqd vdqdvud dqxnoixdq qmgtkh fd hduiktdh f~ i eiaxgv ge ix
kdiqx enud
98 Qithn Ivifni miq zvgud` i`h zvgfifkd gnk vdqdvudq ge 6593 fnkkng`fivvdkq+ i`h xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq 66 fnkkng`
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68 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
Amn`iq dodvcd`ad iq i oibgv d`dvc~ nozgvxdv cnudq nx `gx g`k~
`ds n`ad`xnudq xg fnh iccvdqqnudk~ egv hnqztxdh vdqgtvadq+ iq n` xmd Diqx
Amn`i Qdi+ ftx ikqg ihhnxng`ik n`ad`xnudq ix xnodq xg aggzdvixd snxm nxq
`dncmfgvq Xsg zvgqzdaxnudk~ nozgvxi`x ivdiq smdvd Lgvdi` d}zdvxnqd
agtkh fd aixik~xna n` xvnccdvn`c vdcng`ik aggzdvixng` ag`adv` bgn`x qxgal/
znkn`c zvgcvioq i`h hdudkgzod`x ge i vdcng`ik d`dvc~ xvi`qzgvxixng`
`dxsgvl
Qxgalznkn`c Zvgcvioq
Lgvdi` zgknandq egv qxgalznkn`c ivd dqzdanikk~ noicn`ixnud i`h vdkdui`x
xg xmd zvgfkdoq Amn`i ag`evg`xq L@GA kd`hq avthd xg vden`dvq htvn`c
xnodq ge xvgtfkd+ tqn`c zvgenxq evgo gnk xvihn`c xg d}zi`h nxq qxgalznkd+
i`h ikqg kdiqdq qziad xg n`xdv`ixng`ik gnk zvghtadvq xg qxgvd xmdnv gs` gnk
n` Lgvdi94 @gvsi~q Qxixgnk+ iog`c gxmdvq+ miq xild` ihui`xicd ge xmdqd
n``guixnud zvgadhtvdq
Iq d`dvc~ oivldxq xncmxd`+ qxgalznkn`c nq viznhk~ fdagon`c i` nqqtd
ge oibgv ag`adv` iavgqq xmd Iqni` vdcng` Qn`ad @gudofdv 6::1+ vd/
cng`ik gnk egvtoq miud fdd` mdkh i``tikk~ iog`c xmd IQDI@ , 1 `i/
xng`q95 iq xmd~ qddl akgqd gnk aggzdvixng`+ n`akthn`c xmd dqxifknqmod`x ge
i` gnk/qxgalznkn`c zvgcvio egv xmd 91 odofdv agt`xvndq93 N` Bt`d 6::8
Amn`i mgqxdh i egvdnc` on`nqxdvq oddxn`c ge xmd Iqni Aggzdvixng` Hni/
kgctd+ smnam izzvgudh xmd Yn`chig N`nxnixnud g` d`dvc~ aggzdvixng`
xmix dofghndh oi`~ ge xmdqd odiqtvdq Atvvd`xk~+ g`k~ Bizi` i`h Qgtxm
Lgvdi snxmn` Iqni miud qtfqxi`xnik gnk qxgalznkdq -Li`dln~g 6::4.+ xg/
xikn`c izzvg}noixdk~ 931 i`h 53 hi~q+ vdqzdaxnudk~+ qg qtam odiqtvdq+
zivxnatkivk~ n` xmd avdixnud egvoq xmix Lgvdi miq zng`ddvdh+ agtkh ag`/
xvnftxd qnc`nenai`xk~ xg d`mi`adh vdcng`ik d`dvc~ qdatvnx~
@ixtvik Ciq Znzdkn`dq
Aggzdvixng` egv qtzzkndq ge `ixtvik ciq nq iog`c xmd ogqx nozgvxi`x
zgxd`xnik ivdiq egv agkkdaxnud iaxng` n` @gvxmdiqx Iqni Xmd vdcng` nq
94 Qdd xmd L@GA Sdf qnxd egv ihhnxng`ik n`egvoixng` g` gnk qxgalznkn`c
zvgbdaxq+ sssl`gaaglv'd`c'n`hd}zmz95 Xmd Iqqganixng` ge Qgtxmdiqx Iqni` @ixng`q agozvnqdq Fvt`dn
Hivtqqikio+ Aiofghni+ N`hg`dqni+ Kigq+ Oiki~qni+ O~i`oiv+ Zmnknz/zn`dq+ Qn`cizgvd+ Xminki`h+ i`h Undx`io IQDI@ , 1 vdedvq xg xmdodofdvq ge IQDI@ zktq Amn`i+ Bizi`+ i`h Qgtxm Lgvdi
93 Qdd xmd Sdf qnxd ge xmd IQDI@ Ad`xdv egv D`dvc~+ sssiqdi`d`dvc~gvc'
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Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 64
t`nytd ckgfikk~ n` fdn`c fgxm dag`gonaikk~ ihui`adh i`h n`htqxvnik/
nrdh+ ~dx qxnkk kialn`c i vdcng`ik ciq cvnh Amn`i+ ix xmd d`h ge 6::8 iexdv
~divq ge deegvx+ en`ikk~ agozkdxdh nxq Sdqx/Diqx znzdkn`d zvgbdax xg fvn`c
`ixtvik ciq evgo ]n`bni`c xg Qmi`cmin Zki`q xg d}xd`h znzdkn`dq iq eiv
iq Lgvdi vdoin` d`odqmdh n` cdgzgknxnaq9=~dx znzdkn`d d}xd`qng`q miud
nozgvxi`x etxtvd zgxd`xnik+ zgqqnfk~ n` xmd ag`xd}x ge xmd qn}/zivx~ zgknxn/
aik/dag`gona hnikgctd gs dodvcn`c n` ag``daxng` snxm xmd @gvxm Lg/
vdi` takdiv xiklq
Bizi` miq fdd` sgvln`c xgcdxmdv snxm Vtqqni` envoq i`h Vg~ik Htxam
Qmdkk g` xmd Qilmikn` NN zvgbdax+ smnam qxivxdh xg zvgunhd gnk n` 6::8
ikxmgtcm `ixtvik ciq snkk `gx fd cd`dvixdh n` qtfqxi`xnik iogt`xq t`xnk
ivgt`h 6::3
9>
Nx izzdivq agoonxxdh xg K@C+ ftx Qilmikn` N ciq oi~ fdiuinkifkd egv znzdkn`d xvi`qonqqng` xg Lgvdi Xiklq ifgtx gxmdv n`xdv`i/
xng`ik ixtvik ciq znzdkn`dq ag`xn`td iog`c kivcd Iqni` ag`qtodvq qtam
iq Amn`i+ Qgtxm Lgvdi+ i`h Bizi` i`h `dncmfgvn`c zvghtadvq Vtqqni+
Lirilmqxi`+ i`h Xtvlod`nqxi` Zvgbdaxq iog`c Vtqqni+ Amn`i+ i`h Lgvdi
snkk fd ag`qnhdvdh n` amizxdv 8
I`gxmdv zvgonqn`c ciq zvgunhdv snxmn` xmd Diqx Iqni` vdcng`+ ik/
xmgtcm g`d cdgcvizmnaikk~ nqgkixdh evgo Lgvdi+ nq IQDI@ T`hdv xmd
IQDI@ Unqng` 6:6:+ Qgtxmdiqx Iqni` `ixng`q miud zvgzgqdh i xvi`q/IQDI@ ciq znzdkn`d iog`c xmd odofdv agt`xvndq+ ix i agqx ge (3 fnk/
kng` Xmd zvgbdax sgtkh+ ne vdiknrdh+ n`ugkud qdud` oibgv n`xdvag``daxdh
ciq znzdkn`dq Iq divk~ iq 6::6+ N`hni d}zvdqqdh i hdqnvd xg d}xd`h xmd
IQDI@ znzdkn`d xg N`hni uni O~i`oiv i`h Fi`ckihdqm+ ikxmgtcm xmd
ediqnfnknx~ vdoin`q xg fd hdog`qxvixdh6: Xmd n`eviqxvtaxtvik agqxq ge ciq
znzdkn`dq ivd ge agtvqd mtcd i`h xmd kdih xnodq kg`c+ oiln`c t`advxin`
zgknxnaik ziviodxdvq i`h vdctkixgv~ d`unvg`od`xq i ag`xn`tn`c gfqxiakd
xg zvgbdax vdiknrixng`Qgtxm Lgvdi+ iq i zivx ge xmd Dtviqni` ag`xn`d`x+ nq fdxxdv qnxtixdh
cdgcvizmnaikk~ xmi` Bizi` xg zivxnanzixd n` ftnkhn`c ciq znzdkn`dq+ ik/
xmgtcm fgxm agt`xvndq ivd znugxik zivxnanzi`xq n` xmd qn}/zivx~ zvgadqq
xmix agtkh fd i aixik~qx egv qtam znzdkn`dq Qgtxm Lgvdiq eiugvifkd qnxt/
ixng` nq agozknaixdh+ mgsdudv+ f~ xmd eiax xmix oi`~ qtam znzdkn`d vgtxdq
9= ZdxvgAmn`i N`xd`hq xg Ziud Qdag`h Sdqx/Diqx Ciq Znzdkn d+ Qn`gAiqxAmn`i Ftqn`dqq Hink~ @dsq+ 19 Hdadofdv 6::8
9> Ihhnxng`ik n`egvoixng` nq iuinkifkd g` xmd Sdf qnxd ge Qilmikn` D`dvc~N`udqxod`x Agozi`~ Kxh+ sssqilmikn`d`dvc~ago'
6: N`hni Zki`q xg Qddl Xvi`q/IQDI@ Ciq Znzdkn`d D}xd`qng`+ EX Ckgfik@dsqSnvd+ 9= Gaxgfdv 6::6
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65 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
sgtkh ogqx kgcnaikk~ xvi`qnx @gvxm Lgvdi fdegvd vdiamn`c Qdgtk Xmd
qkgs vdqgktxng` ge xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` `takdiv nqqtd iq sdkk iq vdkixdh
en`i`anik hneenatkxndq miud hdki~dh znzdkn`d kn`lq iog`c Vtqqni+ Amn`i+
i`h xmd VGL Dag`gona i`h cdgzgknxnaik zvdag`hnxng`q egv xmd vdiknri/
xng` ge i` d`mi`adh znzdkn`d `dxsgvl snkk fd ag`qnhdvdh n` amizxdv 8
D`dvc~ Deenand`a~ Zvgcvioq
I`gxmdv oibgv zvgqzdaxnud ivdi egv vdcng`ik aggzdvixng` nq n` xmd ytdqx
egv d`dvc~/deenand`a~ nozvgudod`xq Amn`iq d`dvc~ deenand`a~+ n` ziv/
xnatkiv+ nq d}xvdodk~ kgs+ smnam agozgt`hq xmd ikvdih~ qtfqxi`xnik no/
ziax ge Amn`iq viznh dag`gona cvgsxm g` ckgfik d`dvc~ oivldxq i`h g`
Lgvdiq gs` d`dvc~ qnxtixng` D`dvc~ deenand`a~ n` Amn`i vdoin`q g`k~
g`d/`n`xm ge Bizi`q deenand`a~+ g`d/enexm ge xmd Dtvgzdi` T`ng`q+ i`h
8: zdvad`x ge TQ d`dvc~ deenand`a~+ iaagvhn`c xg xmd Amn`dqd Qxixd
D`dvc~ Vdqdivam N`qxnxtxd Dud` Amn`dqd inv ag`hnxng`dvq+ smnam g`d
oncmx zvdqtod xg fd oihd iaagvhn`c xg i ckgfik qxi`hivh+ ivd vgtcmk~
g`d/enexm kdqq deenand`x xmi` xmd sgvkh iudvicd69 D`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` ix
qxddk onkkq n` Amn`i vdoin`q 4: zdvad`x mncmdv xmi` ag`qtozxng` n` Bi/
zi`+ i`h ogvd xmi` 8: zdvad`x mncmdv xmi` n` Lgvdi -Li`dln~g 6::4.
Dud` Amn`dqd dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixgvq ag`qtod g`d/enexm ogvd d`dvc~
zdv t`nx ge gtxztx xmi` xmdnv TQ agt`xdvzivxq -Li`dln~g 6::4. Lgvdi+
snxm vdad`x d}zdvnd`ad agzn`c snxm zvgfkdoq knld xmgqd n` Amn`i+ nq sdkk
zkiadh xg inh Amn`i n` nozvgun`c d`dvc~ deenand`a~ gv n` aggzdvixn`c
snxm `dncmfgvq qtam iq Bizi` n` hgn`c qg
D`unvg`od`xik Zvgxdaxng`
Amn`i gfungtqk~ miq cggh vdiqg`q xg xialkd d`unvg`od`xik nqqtdq ic/cvdqqnudk~+ i`h nxq `dncmfgvq+ n`akthn`c Lgvdi+ miud n`ad`xnud xg mdkz
Ianh vin` i`h gxmdv egvoq ge inv zgkktxng` evgo Amn`i ivd oibgv zvgf/
kdoq egv Lgvdiq egvdqxq i`h egv nxq tvfi` hsdkkdvq iq sdkk Bizi` nq
knldsnqd ieedaxdh+ i`h nx qmivdq i agoog` n`xdvdqx snxm Lgvdi n` aggzdv/
ixn`c snxm Amn`i
Agik nq n` ogqx egvoq i mncmk~ zgkktxn`c etdk+ ag`xvnftxn`c mdiunk~
xg qtam zvgfkdoq iq ianh vin`+ i`h nx qxnkk iaagt`xq egv xsg/xmnvhq ge
Amn`iq zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` Ogxgvnrixng` i`h hneetqng` ge mgod
69 Dkdaxvnaik N`deenand`a~ i Hivl Qzgx egv Amn`i2 Anxndq Ckgs egv Qmgs iq
Eiaxgvndq Fkial Gtx+ Siqmn`cxg` Zgqx+ > Itctqx 6::4
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Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 63
dkdaxvna izzkni`adq knld inv ag`hnxng`dvq i`h vdevncdvixgvq ivd ikqg zvg/
addhn`c viznhk~ n` xmd Zdgzkdq Vdztfkna ge Amn`i -ZVA.+ sgvqd`n`c
qtketv hng}nhd donqqng`q i`h iaadkdvixn`c ckgfik sivon`c xd`hd`andq
Vdad`xk~+ Amn`i miq fdd` xiln`c d`unvg`od`xik zvgxdaxng` qdvngtqk~>: i`h ifgtx mike xmd
kdudk n` Bizi`+ smnam mih i CHZ zdv aiznxi 6: xnodq iq mncm iq @gvxm
Lgvdi ix xmd xnod -@gki`h 6:::+ 988. N`deenand`x tqd ge etdkq+ gsn`c xg
gfqgkdxd dytnzod`x iq sdkk iq kial ge oivldx zvnan`c i`h vdkni`ad g`
vdkixnudk~ kdqq deenand`x etdkq qtam iq agik+ miq n`xd`qnendh xmd mncm/
d`dvc~ fniq gvncn`ikk~ avdixdh f~ n`htqxvnik qxvtaxtvdXmnq mncm/d`dvc~ gvnd`xixng` ge xmd @gvxmq dag`go~+ xgcdxmdv snxm
zggv t`hdvk~n`c d`dvc~ vdqgtvad d`hgsod`xq i`h xmd nozgvxi`ad ge
d`dvc~ xg @gvxm Lgvdiq onknxiv~+ oild d`dvc~ i zvngvnx~ ag`adv` egv xmd
HZVLq zgknxnaik/onknxiv~ kdihdvqmnz Lno Nk/qt`c gxdh n` xmd onh/9>=:q
xmix \s_nxmgtx dkdaxvnanx~+ sd ai``gx zvghtad i`~xmn`c+ dnxmdv n` zdiad/
xnod gv sivxnod -Im` 6::1+ 99=. Lnoq qxixdod`x nq zvgun`c xg fd
dud` ogvd xvtd `gs+ i cd`dvixng` kixdv
@gvxm Lgvdiq kdihdvqmnz izzdivq ag`adv`dh gx g`k~ snxm xmd yti`/xnx~ ge d`dvc~ n`ztxq egv xmd HZVLq dag`go~ ftx+ n`avdiqn`ck~+ snxm
xmdnv ytiknx~ iq sdkk Zgsdv gtxicdq i`h xmd atvvd`x ugkixnknx~ ge gzdvix/
n`c atvvd`x+ iog`c gxmdv zvgfkdoq+ miud fdagod n`avdiqn`ck~ zvg/
`gt`adh gudv xmd ziqx hdaihd iq @gvxm Lgvdiq dkdaxvna zgsdv cvnh+ smnam
hixdq fial n` t`nendh ixng`ik egvo xg 9>4=+ fdagodq n`avdiqn`ck~ gfqg/
kdqad`x Iq xmd n`egvoixng` vdugktxng` zvgaddhq sgvkhsnhd+ n` fgxm nxq
anunkni` i`h onknxiv~ hnod`qng`q+ i`h iq qxixd/ge/xmd/ivx n`htqxvnik eiankn/
xndq fdagod ogvd i`h ogvd xdam`gkgc~ n`xd`qnud+ xmd ytiknx~ ge dkdaxvnazgsdv fdagodq ogvd nozgvxi`x xg xmd HZVL n` ikk iqzdaxq ge dag`gona
i`h onknxiv~ kned I agoztxdvnrdh qgandx~+ @gvxm Lgvdi nq fdcn``n`c xg
hnqagudv+ ai``gx vt` g` xmd dvvixna zgsdv qtzzk~ snxm smnam Z~g`c~i`c+
`gx xg od`xng` zvgun`anik xgs`q+ nq zvdqd`xk~ ieeknaxdh
@gvxm Lgvdiq Hgodqxna D`dvc~ Qnxtixng`
@gvxm Lgvdiq hgodqxna d`dvc~ qnxtixng` ddhq xg fd ag`qnhdvdh n` xdvoqge egtv fiqna iqzdaxq2 qtzzk~ ge fiqna d`dvc~+ dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng`+
dkdaxvna zgsdv xvi`qonqqng`+ i`h d`dvc~ ikxdv`ixnudq gv qdag`hiv~ d`/
dvc~ tqicd izivx evgo dkdaxvna zgsdv Iq `gxdh n` amizxdv 9+ dkdaxvna
zgsdv nq xmd @gvxmq Iamnkkdq mddk+ smdvd nxq d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq agod
xgcdxmdv+ i`h xmd eiaxgv xmix ogqx hnvdaxk~ ieedaxq xmd et`axng`n`c ge xmd
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@gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 19
@gvxmq gudvikk dag`go~ Xmd HZVLq anvatoqxi`adq ivd hnvd ikg`c ikk
egtv fiqna iqzdaxq+ i`h xmd d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq xmix xmd @gvxm ag`evg`xq n`
ikk xmdqd ivdiq ivd n`xdvvdkixdh dx xmd ixtvd ge xmd hneenatkxndq n`ugkudh
nq qgodsmix hneedvd`x n` diam ivdi
Qtzzk~ ge Fiqna D`dvc~
N` xdvoq ge fiqna d`dvc~ qtzzk~xmix nq+ xmd iuinkifnknx~ ge agik+ m~hvg/
dkdaxvna zgsdv+ gnk+ `ixtvik ciq+ i`h `takdiv zgsdv@gvxm Lgvdiq d`/
dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq ivd fvgihk~ qnonkiv xg xmgqd ge Qgtxm Lgvdi+ Xinsi`+
i`h Bizi` @gvxm Lgvdi hgdq `gx miud i`~ oibgv gzdvixn`c g`qmgvd gnk
endkhq ikxmgtcm n` Itctqx 6::6 Qgudvdnc` Ud`xtvdq Zxd Kxh -QUZK. ge
Qn`cizgvd i``gt`adh xmix nx mih egt`h on`gv gnk i`h ciq vdqdvudq n` nxq
ag`xviaxdh ivdi ge @gvxm Lgvdi+ g` xmd Amn`dqd fgvhdv ikg`c xmd Xtod`
Vnudv -Mivvnqg` 6::4+ 88.
Xmd HZVL hgdq izzdiv xg miud zgxd`xnikk~ oibgv geeqmgvd gnk hd/
zgqnxq kgaixdh g` xmd qdifdh sdqx ge I`bt n` xmd dkkgs Qdi+ snxm zgxd`/
xnik vdqdvudq ge iq otam iq 96 fnkkng` fivvdkq ge gnk -Mivvnqg` 6::4+ 91.
@gvxm Lgvdi miq xvndh xg hdudkgz xmdqd geeqmgvd vdqdvudq n` aggzdvixng`
snxm i snhd vi`cd ge egvdnc` zivxndq+ n`akthn`c xmd Amn`dqd -9>54=:.=5.< xmd Itqxvikni`q -9>==>:.< xmd Qsdhdq -9>>1.< xmd
Oiki~qni`q -9>>3.< xmd Qn`cizgvdi`q -6::9.< i`h xmd Fvnxnqm -6::8. -Zinl
6::4+ 1>8>. dx g` diam gaaiqng` dnxmdv xdvvnxgvnik nqqtdq fdxsdd` xmd
HZVL i`h divf~ Amn`i gv en`i`anik i`h kdcik ytdqxng`q zvdud`xdh xmdqd
ud`xtvdq evgo iamndun`c odi`n`cetk vdqtkxq
Tkxnoixdk~+ qdvngtq d}zkgvixng` ge xmdqd zvgonqn`c geeqmgvd gnk vd/
qdvudq snkk `ddh xg isinx i vdqgktxng` ge xmd Lgvdi` `takdiv avnqnq Xmd
zvgqzdaxq ge qtam d}zkgvixng` agtkh fd i odi`n`cetk n`ad`xnud egv xmd
HZVL xg iaadhd xg i`h iaxtikk~ gfqdvud i` icvddod`x iaadzxifkd xg xmd
gxmdv enud zivxndq xg xmd `takdiv xiklq Zvg}nonx~ i`h xdvvnxgvnik nqqtdq
unq//unq Amn`i oild nx akdiv xmix iaxtik d}zkgvixng` sgtkh ikqg vdytnvd
xmd iqqd`x ge Amn`i+ smnam sgtkh vdxin` kdudvicd n` xmd iaxtik hdudkgz/
od`x zvgadqq ikqg
@gvxm Lgvdi+ xg fd qtvd+ hgdq miud qtfqxi`xnik m~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv
aizianx~< n` eiax+ xmd @gvxmq aizianx~ nq sdkk gudv hgtfkd xmd Qgtxmq
hdqznxd xmd mtcd ag`udvqd ciz fdxsdd` xmd aizianxndq ge xmd Lgvdiq n`gxmdv iqzdaxq ge d`dvc~68 Nxq ogt`xin`gtq xdvvin` i`h vdkixnudk~ zkd`xn/
68 Iaxtik m~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` n` xmd @gvxm izzdivq xg miud fdd`
ivgt`h 35: onkkng` lnkgsixxq n` 6::6+ agozivdh snxm 194 onkkng`
lnkgsixxq n` xmd Qgtxm -Im` 6::8+ 96966.
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16 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
etk vin`eikk zvgunhd xmd HZVL snxm t`tqtik m~hvgdkdaxvna zgxd`xnik evgo
i ckgfik agozivixnud qxi`hzgn`x Nxq vixd ge hdudkgzifkd m~hvgdkdaxvna
zgsdv zdv qytivd lnkgodxdv nq 338 lnkgsixxq agozivdh snxm xmd ckgfik
iudvicd ge 4: lnkgsixxq -Im` 6::8+ 69.
M~hvg zvgunhdq sdkk gudv mike ge xghi~q dkdaxvna zgsdv qtzzk~ n`
xmd HZVL+ i`h zvghtaxng` agtkh akdivk~ cg mncmdv snxm ihhnxng`ik aizn/
xik n`udqxod`x i`h izzknaixng` ge ogvd qgzmnqxnaixdh xdam`gkgc~64 ^dx+
htvn`c xmd Lgvdi` hv~ qdiqg`+ xmd gzdvixn`c aizianx~ ge m~hvgdkdaxvna
zgsdv zki`xq n` xmd HZVL hvgzq qmivzk~+ qdudvdk~ hdavdiqn`c xmd iogt`x
ge zgsdv cd`dvixdh i`h+ xmtq+ cnun`c i hnqxn`axk~ a~aknaik amiviaxdv xg
@gvxm Lgvdiq qdag`hiv~ d`dvc~ qtzzk~ Xmnq nq dqzdanikk~ n`ag`ud`nd`x
i`h evtqxvixn`c xg @gvxm Lgvdi` dag`gona zki``dvq fdaitqd =4 zdvad`xge xmd HZVLq m~hvgzgsdv nq miv`dqqdh egv n`htqxvnik tqd
@gvxm Lgvdi ikqg miq qnc`nenai`x agik vdqgtvadq+ dqzdanikk~ i`xmvi/
anxd i`h knc`nxd agik+ ogqxk~ zvghtadh evgo t`hdvcvgt`h on`dq -Ug`
Mnzzdk dx ik 6::9+ 96. Xmnq hgodqxna agik+ ikxmgtcm vdkixnudk~ kgs n`
ytiknx~+ nq `dudvxmdkdqq @gvxm Lgvdiq oin` etdk egv dkdaxvnanx~ cd`dvi/
xng` dx agik on`n`c tqtikk~ vdytnvdq dkdaxvnanx~ egv kncmxn`c+ bialmio/
odvq+ i`h ogun`c agik gtx ge xmd on`dq
N` ihhnxng`+ oi`~ nozgvxi`x agik qdioq ivd iaxtikk~ fd`dixm xmdqdifdh+ dqzdanikk~ gee xmd sdqxdv` agiqx `div I`bt+ smnam vdytnvdq qdi/
sixdv xg fd ag`xn`tgtqk~ ztozdh gtx egv xmd on`dq xg gzdvixd Qdudvik
ge xmdqd on`dq sdvd ekgghdh n` xmd onh/9>>:q N` ihhnxng`+ xmd agik xmix
ai` fd zvghtadh n` @gvxm Lgvdi nq t`dud` n` ytiknx~+ smnam avdixdq
qnc`nenai`x gzdvixng`ik zvgfkdoq+ dqzdanikk~ egv ds agik/envdh zki`xq
N` 6::9+ agik zvgunhdh izzvg}noixdk~ =5 zdvad`x ge @gvxm Lgvdiq
zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng`+ i qmivd xmix vgqd qmivzk~ htvn`c xmd 9>>:q
iq xmd HZVLq nqgkixng` evgo xmd fvgihdv sgvkh n`xd`qnendh Egkkgsn`cxmd mikx ge LDHG avthd gnk qmnzod`xq n` Hdadofdv 6::6+ @gvxm Lgvdi
xtv`dh dud` ogvd n`xd`qnudk~ xg agik iq xmd g`k~ etdk nx agtkh n`avdiqd
xmvgtcm nxq gs` deegvxq N` 6::1+ egv d}iozkd+ xmd @gvxm n`avdiqdh fth/
cdx ikkgaixng`q xg agik zvghtaxng` f~ ogvd xmi` 1: zdvad`xf~ eiv xmd
kivcdqx n`avdiqd n` xmd agt`xv~q g`onknxiv~ fthcdx65 Xmd HZVL nq ix/
64 N` 6::6 m~hvgdkdaxvnanx~ ag xvnftxdh ifgtx 48 zdvad`x ge xmd xgxik
dkdaxvnanx~ qtzzk~ n` xmd HZVL< qdd xmd NDI Sdf qnxd+ sssndigvc'
65 Gxmdv fthcdx d}zd`hnxtvd n`avdiqdq n`akthdh icvnatkxtvd -n`avdiqd ge 691zdvad`x.+ qand`ad i`h xdam`gkgc~ -n`avdiqd ge 943 zdvad`x.+ i`h dkdaxvna/nx~ -n`avdiqd ge 96= zdvad`x. -Im` 6::8+ 48.
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@gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 11
xdozxn`c xg n`avdiqd agik zvghtaxng` f~ fgxm nozvgun`c xdam`gkgc~ i`h
oghdv`nrn`c d}nqxn`c kivcd/qaikd on`dq iq nx ikqg hdudkgzq qoikkdv on`dq
I en`ik avtanik dkdod`x ge @gvxm Lgvdiq zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ qnxtixng`
nq xmd noziax xmix xmd qtqzd`qng` ge xmd LDHG icvddod`x nq miun`c g`
xmd HZVLq d`dvc~ anvatoqxi`adq Xmnq noziax nq ag`ad`xvixdh ix xmd
Z~g`c~i`c xmdvogdkdaxvna zgsdv zki`xxmd g`d zki`x n` @gvxm Lgvdi
dytnzzdh xg fd etdkdh f~ mdiu~ gnk Xmnq zki`x tqdh 6+::: xg 4+::: xg`q
ge avthd gnk qtzzkndh f~ xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq htvn`c xmd qdud` ~divq xmd
LDHG icvddod`x siq gzdvixng`ik N` Bi`tiv~ 6::1+ mgsdudv+ iexdv xmd
mikx n` LDHG mdiu~/gnk qmnzod`xq+ g`k~ 5 ge 91 fgnkdvq sdvd gzdvixn`c+
i`h xmd dkdaxvnanx~ cd`dvixdh edkk xg xmd kgsdqx kdudk ge xmd cd`dvixgvq
aizianx~ -LHN 6::1+ =1. Qtqzd`qng` ge xmd 9>>4 icvddod`x miq izziv/d`xk~ ag`xn`tdh xg miud i gxnadifkd noziax xmix qmgtkh zvgunhd xmd HZVL
snxm xi`cnfkd dag`gona n`ad`xnudq egv vdqgktxng` ge xmd `takdiv avnqnq
Dkdaxvna Zgsdv Cd`dvixng`
Dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` miq fdd` i ad`xvik zvngvnx~ ge xmd @gvxm Lg/
vdi` vdcnod egv `divk~ i mike ad`xtv~+ iq `gxdh divkndv N`hddh+ nx ki~ ix
xmd mdivx ge xmd envqx Qdud`/ div Zki` -9>593:. Xmix zki` qxvdqqdh xmd
hdudkgzod`x ge xmdvoik/zgsdv cd`dvixng` xg qtzzkdod`x xmd m~hvgdkda/
xvna zgsdv g` smnam xmd HZVL vdkndh egv >: zdvad`x ge nxq xgxik dkdaxvna/
nx~ qtzzk~ ix xmd xnod
D}zi`hn`c zgsdv cd`dvixng` siq ikqg ag`qnqxd`xk~ i zvngvnx~ ge xmd
Qn}/ div Zki` -9>3935.< xmd qdag`h Qdud`/^div Zki` -9>3==8.< i`h
xmd xmnvh Qdud`/^div Zki` -9>=3>1. Ikxmgtcm xmd HZVL miq gx hviexdh
agozvdmd`qnud dag`gona zki`q qn`ad xmd kiqx ge xmdqd siq agozkdxdh+
nxq ogqx vdad`x ixxdozx ix qmizn`c nxq dag`gona etxtvdxmd Xmvdd/ div
Zki` egv Etdk i`h Zgsdv -6::1:4.ag`ad`xvixdq qzdanenaikk~ g` xmix
qdaxgv+ qtccdqxn`c xmd ag`xn`tn`c nozgvxi`ad xg @gvxm Lgvdiq xdam`g/
avixna kdihdvq ge dkdaxvna zgsdv -Im` 6::8+ >3969.
Hdqznxd xmd nozgvxi`ad ge dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` aizianx~ xg xmd
HZVLq dag`gona hdudkgzod`x i`h xmd zvngvnx~ xmix nozvgudod`xq n`
xmix ivdi izzdiv xg mgkh egv xmd `ixng`q kdihdvq+ zgsdv cd`dvixng` vd/
oin`q i qdvngtq hgodqxna dag`gona ag`qxvin`x M~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv
zki`xq cd`dvixd izzvg}noixdk~ xsg/xmnvhq ge @gvxm Lgvdiq dkdaxvnanx~+i`h xmdvoik zgsdv zki`xq izzvg}noixdk~ g`d/xmnvh Ikk d}adzx xmd
Z~g`c~i`c xmdvoik zgsdv qxixng`+ smnam vdkndh g` xmd mdiu~ etdk gnk
xmix siq atx gee smd` xmd LDHG icvddod`x siq qtqzd`hdh n` 6::6+ ivd
agik envdh
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18 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
Xmd HZVLq dkdaxvnanx~ qtzzk~ xmtq qteedvq n`hnvdaxk~ evgo i vi`cd
ge hneenatkxndq vdkixn`c xg agik zvghtaxng` i`h xvi`qzgvxixng` G`d nq xmd
hdavdznx ytiknx~ ge xmd vgkkn`c qxgal xmix xvi`qzgvxq >: zdvad`x ge @gvxm
Lgvdiq agik f~ vink N` ihhnxng` xg xmnq+ iq otam iq =4 zdvad`x ge xmd
HZVLq m~hvgdkdaxvna aizianx~ miq fdd` hioicdh f~ ekgghn`c -Nui`gu
6::6+ 91.
Gudvikk+ iq knxxkd iq 6: xg 1: zdvad`x ge n`qxikkdh @gvxm Lgvdi` ai/
zianx~ egv dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng`+ smnam xgxikq vgtcmk~ = xg 9: cnci/
sixxq+ oi~ iaxtikk~ fd gzdvifkd -Ug` Mnzzdk dx ik 6::9+ 91. Xmnq nq
qmivzk~ kdqq xmi` ix xmd xnod ge xmd Qgundx agkkizqd ix xmd d`h ge 9>>9+
smd` xmd hgs`sivh qznvik n` xmd HZVLq dag`gona anvatoqxi`adq fd/
ci` xg iaadkdvixd N`eviqxvtaxtvik hdakn`d+ i hvgz n` agik zvghtaxng`+ kgsytiknx~ ge agik+ i`h i qmivz hdavdiqd n` gnk nozgvxq miud n`xd`qnendh xmdqd
zvgfkdoq63
N`eviqxvtaxtvik hdakn`d miq kdh xg i qxvnln`c i`h qddon`ck~ zivihg}naik
n`udvqd vdkixng`qmnz fdxsdd` cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ i`h zgsdv zvghtaxng`
n` xmd @gvxm qn`ad xmd agkkizqd ge xmd Qgundx T`ng` Iq n`hnaixdh n`
Xifkd 8.9+ zgsdv zvghtaxng` aizianx~ d}zi`hdh ogvd xmi` 44 zdvad`x
fdxsdd` 9>>: i`h 6::1+ otam ge nx ag`ad`xvixdh n` qoikk/qaikd kgaik
zki`xq kivcdk~ n`hdzd`hd`x ge xmd t`vdknifkd `ixng`ik cvnh ^dx iaxtikzgsdv zvghtaxng` izzdivq xg miud hdakn`dh f~ ogvd xmi` 8: zdvad`x
htvn`c xmd qiod zdvngh F~ 6::1 @gvxm Lgvdiq cd`dvixn`c aizianx~
siq kdqq xmi` g`d/qdud`xm ge xmix n` xmd Qgtxm+ ftx nxq iaxtik zgsdv zvg/
htaxng` siq g`k~ g`d/xmnvxdd`xm xmix ge xmd Qgtxm gsn`c xg amvg`na zvg/
htaxng` i`h xvi`qonqqng` hneenatkxndq i`h i cvnh n` udv~ zggv ag`hnxng`
Xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` cgudv`od`x nxqdke nq akdivk~ ag`ad`xvixn`c i oi/
bgv qmivd ge xmd hgodqxna vdqgtvadq nx hdugxdq xg g`onknxiv~ ztvqtnxq g`
xmd dkdaxvna zgsdv qdaxgv Nx n`udqxq nxq vdud`tdq evgo Zdgzkdq Qtfqnq/xd`ad Fg`hq+ egv d}iozkd+ n` zgsdv cd`dvixng` -Im` 6::8+ >>. dx xmnq
zvngvnx~ xvdixod`x nq gx deedaxnudk~ ivvdqxn`c xmd qxdih~ hdxdvngvixng` ge
i avtanik qdaxgv smgqd hdai~ nq cd`dvixn`c zdvuiqnud+ agvvgqnud deedaxq
iavgqq xmd HZVL zgknxnaik dag`go~ iq i smgkd @gvxm Lgvdi ai` xmtq
fd d}zdaxdh xg uiktd mncmk~ i`~ oibgv egvdnc` zvgzgqikq egv d`dvc~ iq/
qnqxi`ad xivcdxdh n` xmd dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` i`h xvi`qonqqng` iv/
diq Qtam zvgbdaxq+ xgcdxmdv snxm izzvgzvnixd qdvunad zvgunqng` i`h zvg/
63 Xmd hvgz n` agik zvghtaxng` i`h ytiknx~ hdzvdqq gzdvixn`c vixngq fdaitqd
ge xmdnv noziax g` xvi`qzgvxixng`< ogqx ge xmd agik tqdh n` @gvxm Lgvdi`
zgsdv zki`xq+ nvg`naikk~+ nq xvi`qzgvxdh f~ vink Xmd hdakn`d n` gnk nozgvxq
gfungtqk~ ieedaxq xmd ifnknx~ ge gnk/envdh zki`xq xg gzdvixd
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@gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 14
cvioq egv xvin`n`c zdvqg``dk+ agtkh mgkh xmd ld~ xg xmd @gvxmq dag/
`gona vdunuik
Dkdaxvna Zgsdv Xvi`qonqqng`
Dkdaxvna zgsdv xvi`qonqqng` nq i xmnvh oibgv hneenatkx~ xmix @gvxm Lgvdi
miq snxm nxq qtzzk~ ge hgodqxna d`dvc~< nx nq vdkixdh akgqdk~ xg zvgfkdoq
ge cd`dvixng` @gvxm Lgvdiq gvncn`ik zgsdv cvnh siq avdixdh n` Bizi/
`dqd agkg`nik hi~q+ sdkk gudv 5: ~divq icg+ i`h siq hdanoixdh htvn`c
xmd Lgvdi` Siv Vdetvfnqmdh f~ xmd Qgundx T`ng` n` xmd 9>5:q i`h 9>3:q+
xmd cvnh miq d}zdvnd`adh n`ihdytixd qdvunan`c qn`ad xmd agkkizqd ge xmd
TQQV ix xmd d`h ge 9>>9 Xmd kial ge qzivd zivxq+ qaiud`cn`c ge odxik
-iq fivxdv egv eggh. evgo vdogxd kn`dq n` xmd agt`xv~qnhd+ i`h cd`dvik
zm~qnaik hdxdvngvixng` miud qdudvdk~ hdcvihdh xmd q~qxdo Zgsdv gtx/
icdq ivd xmtq agoog` xmvgtcmgtx xmd agt`xv~+ n`akthn`c dud` n`
Z~g`c~i`c+ i`h d`dvc~ kgqq xmvgtcm n`deenand`x xvi`qonqqng` nq d`gvogtq
Iq kixd iq xmd divk~ 9>>:q+ ag``daxng`q fdxsdd` dkdod`xq ge xmd
zgsdv cvnhq xvi`qonqqng` i`h hnqxvnftxng` q~qxdo sdvd n` eiax gzdvixdh
f~ xdkdzmg`d i`h xdkd}+ snxmgtx xmd qtzzgvx ge itxgoixng` gv agoztxdv
q~qxdoq -Mi~dq dx ik 6::4. I T`nxdh @ixng`q zvgbdax htvn`c xmix zd/vngh hnh vdzgvxdhk~ n`qxikk qgod ag`xvgk dytnzod`x ix i zgsdv zki`x i`h
ix qdkdaxdh ag`xvgk ad`xdvq n` xmd Z~g`c~i`c ivdi+ ftx eds gxmdv q~qxdo
tzcvihdq miud fdd` zdvegvodh Iq i ag`qdytd`ad+ zgsdv gtxicdq+ zggv
evdytd`a~ ag`xvgk+ i`h gxmdv xdam`naik zvgfkdoq ag`xn`td xg zkictd xmd
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15 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
q~qxdo Ugkxicd i`h evdytd`a~ ektaxtixng`q ivd gvhdvq ge oic`nxthd
cvdixdv xmi` n`xdv`ixng`ik qxi`hivhq
@gvxm Lgvdi miq xild` vdad`x qxdzq xg ihhvdqq g`d ge nxq qdvngtq
dkdaxvna zgsdv cvnh zvgfkdoq N` onh/6::4 @gvxm Lgvdi i``gt`adh i
`ds+ agoztxdvnrdh cvnh oi`icdod`x q~qxdo xmix sgtkh ikkgs xmd
HZVLq dkdaxvna zgsdv zvgunhdvq xg l`gs d}iaxk~ mgs otam zgsdv siq
fdn`c ag`qtodh f~ i cnud` ag`qtodv n` i`~ vdcng`6= Xmnq ds q~qxdo
sgtkh ikqg ikkgs xmd HZVLq dkdaxvnanx~ zvgunhdvq xg atx gee gv knonx xmd
iogt`x ge zgsdv ag`qtodh f~ i`~ cnud` ag`qtodv Nx vdoin`q t`akdiv
mgs deedaxnudk~ xmd zvgzgqdh q~qxdo snkk fd nozkdod`xdh gv mgs otam
nx snkk iaxtikk~ d`mi`ad otam/`ddhdh d`dvc~ deenand`a~
D`dvc~ Ikxdv`ixnudq2 @takdiv i`h Fd~g`h
Cnud` @gvxm Lgvdiq t`hdvk~n`c kial ge gnk i`h ciq+ xgcdxmdv snxm xmd
ogt`xn`c n`eviqxvtaxtvik zvgfkdoq nx ag`evg`xq n` fgxm dkdaxvna zgsdv
cd`dvixng` i`h xvi`qonqqng`+ xmd HZVL `ixtvikk~ miq i kg`c/qxi`hn`c
i`h zdvmizq hddzd`n`c n`xdvdqx n` anunkni` `takdiv zgsdv+ ytnxd izivx
evgo i`~ onknxiv~ izzknaixng`q Xmnq n`xdvdqx n` anunkni` takdiv zgsdv nq
etvxmdv d`mi`adh f~ xmd eiax xmix @gvxm Lgvdi nq qdke/qteenand`x n` tvi/
`nto zvghtaxng`+ snxm qtfqxi`xnik hgodqxna hdzgqnxq n` xmd T`ccn+
Z~g`cqi`+ i`h Mt`c`io vdcng`q ge xmd HZVL Xmdqd hdzgqnxq+ ago/
fn`dh snxm @gvxm Lgvdiq cvgsn`c xdam`naik aizianxndq+ cnud Z~g`c~i`c
xmd zgxd`xnik ifnknx~ xg gzdvixd i akgqdh takdiv etdk a~akd ytnxd n`hdzd`/
hd`x ge xmd fvgihdv sgvkh N` qmgvx+ `takdiv zgsdv nq @gvxm Lgvdiq
tkxnoixd vgtxd xg fgxm d`dvc~ n`hdzd`hd`ad i`h zgknxnaik itxg`go~
Vgtcmk~ 6= zdvad`x ge Qgtxm Lgvdiq cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ nq takdiv+
ftx @gvxm Lgvdi atvvd`xk~ miq g`d -Mi~dq dx ik 6::4. Nx hgdq+ ge agtvqd+
gzdvixd g`d 4+:::/lnkgsixx znkgx `takdiv zki`x ix ^g`cf~g`+ ix smnam
ag`qxvtaxng` qxivxdh n` 9>3> i`h gzdvixng` fdci` n` 9>=5 Xmnq znkgx
zki`x+ oghdkdh iexdv xmd Aikhdv Mikk takdiv eianknx~ n` xmd T`nxdh Ln`c/
hgo+ tqdq ixtvik tvi`nto iq etdk i`h+ xg zvgunhd sdizg`q/cvihd zktxg/
`nto egv @gvxm Lgvdiq onknxiv~ takdiv zvgcvio+ miq zvghtadh xmd =+:::
nvvihnixdh etdk vghq xmix miud izzivd`xk~ fdd` vdzvgadqqdh qn`ad xmd fvdil/
hgs` ge xmd Icvddh Eviodsgvl n` 6::6
T`hdv xmd Icvddh Eviodsgvl+ ag`akthdh fdxsdd` @gvxm Lgvdi i`hxmd T`nxdh Qxixdq n` Gaxgfdv 9>>8+ @gvxm Lgvdi siq xg qtqzd`h ag`/
qxvtaxng` g` nxq qtqzdax takdiv zvgbdaxq N` vdxtv`+ xsg 9+:::/odcisixx
6=Iqni Ztkqd+ 9 Itctqx 6::4
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@gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 13
kncmx/sixdv vdiaxgvq -KSVq. sdvd xg fd zvgunhdh xg xmd HZVL f~ i
xivcdx hixd ge 6::1 iq sdkk iq 4::+::: odxvna xg`q ge mdiu~ etdk gnk
i``tikk~ t`xnk xmd vdiaxgvq fdaiod gzdvixng`ik Xmdqd zvgunqng`q sdvd
odi`x xg vdzkiad xmd zgxd`xnik d`dvc~ qtzzk~ evgo xmd qtqzdax `takdiv
zvgbdaxq+ n`akthn`c g`cf~g` Tzg` agozkdxng` ge xmd vdiaxgvq i`h ie/
xdv i xmvdd/~div cviad zdvngh+ @gvxm Lgvdi siq xg fdcn` vdzi~n`c xmd
agqx ge xmdqd `ds vdiaxgvq gudv 93 ~divq
Ag`qxvtaxng` iaxtikk~ fdci` g` g`d ge xmd vdiaxgvq+ ix Ltomg n`
@gvxm Lgvdi+ snxm Qgtxm Lgvdi i`h Bizi` d}zd`hn`c izzvg}noixdk~ (9
fnkkng` diam n` qtzzgvx ge xmd zvgbdax xmvgtcm LDHG+ smnam siq dqxif/
knqmdh t`hdv xmd Icvddh Eviodsgvl I evddrd siq nozgqdh g` xmd Ltomg
vdiaxgv zvgbdax n` @gudofdv 6::1+ mgsdudv+ i`h iaxnunx~ ix xmd ag`/qxvtaxng` qnxd miq qn`ad egatqdh g` zvdqdvuixng` i`h oin`xd`i`ad ge ei/
anknxndq i`h zki`xq g` smnam ag`qxvtaxng` mih zvdungtqk~ fdct` -LDHG
6::8+ 4. Xmd zivxk~ en`nqmdh Ltomg zvgbdax+ `gon`ikk~ ag`qnqxn`c ge
xsg KSVq+ vdoin`q xmd g`k~ akdivk~ anunkni` `takdiv eianknx~ n` @gvxm
Lgvdi
Izivx evgo takdiv zgsdv+ qxnkk n` nxq ag`xvgudvqnik n`ei`a~ n` @gvxm
Lgvdi+ eds qtfqxi`xnik ikxdv`ixnudq xg agik i`h m~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv miud
zvgaddhdh udv~ eiv @ixtvik ciqi` nozgvxi`x gzxng` n` otam ge xmdsgvkh fdaitqd ge nxq mncm d`dvc~ deenand`a~ i`h zgqnxnud d`unvg`od`xik
ytiknxndqnq ag`qznatgtqk~ hneenatkx xg hdudkgz t`hdv atvvd`x anvato/
qxi`adq n` xmd HZVL hdqznxd xmd zvg}nonx~ ge Vtqqni snxm ogvd xmi` 1:
zdvad`x ge zvgud` ckgfik ciq vdqdvudq Qmgtkh i xvi`q/Lgvdi` ciq znzd/
kn`d oixdvniknrd+ `ixtvik ciq agtkh fd nozgvxi`x egv dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`/
dvixng` xmvgtcm i qdvndq ge oghdvixd/qnrdh+ agofn`dh/a~akd+ ciq/envdh
zki`xq ikg`c xmd znzdkn`d Qtam i zvgqzdax nq+ mgsdudv+ n`ediqnfkd gudv
xmd qmgvx vt`+ i`h @gvxm Lgvdi ai``gx ieegvh xmd qtfqxi`xnik egvdnc`/d}ami`cd agqx ge nozgvxn`c K@C gv ag`qxvtaxn`c xmd n`eviqxvtaxtvd xg
tqd nx deedaxnudk~ -Aikhdv 6::8.
N` xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` agt`xv~qnhd+ fngoiqqn`ugkun`c xmd ag`udv/
qng` ge i`noik i`h mtoi` edvxnknrdv n`xg d`dvc~vdoin`q i oibgv qgtvad
ge zgsdv+ qtccdqxn`c mgs hdqzdvixd i`h mgs hnqag``daxdh evgo xmd oin`/
qxvdio ixng`ik dag`go~ otam ge xmd agt`xv~qnhd miq fdagod Fngoiqq
nq nozgvxi`x n` N`hni i`h Ievnai ftx nq vivdk~ tqdh n` xmd n`htqxvniknrdh
sgvkh N` 6::6+ qtam agoftqxnfkdq+ vd`dsifkdq+ i`h siqxdq iaagt`xdhegv 46 zdvad`x ge xmd HZVLq xgxik zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` -Lgoiln
6::4+ 3>. Snxm xmd iqqnqxi`ad ge xmd @itxnktq N`qxnxtxd+ smnam nq fiqdh
n` Qi` Evi`anqag+ Aiknegv`ni+ @gvxm Lgvdi miq ikqg ftnkx qdud` sn`h/
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1= Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
zgsdvdh cd`dvixgvq+ ikxmgtcm xmd cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ nq g`k~ `n`d lnkg/
sixxq zdv t`nx -Im` 6::1+ 966.
Vdunds i`h Zvgqzdaxq@gvxm Lgvdiq d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq xmtq onvvgv xmgqd ge xmd VGL nxqdke
Xmd HZVL kialq fgxm gnk i`h `ixtvik ciq ikxmgtcm xmdvd nq qgod zgqqn/
fnknx~ ge qnc`nenai`x geeqmgvd vdqdvudq ge fgxm+ zvgunhdh xdvvnxgvnik hnq/
ztxdq snxm `dncmfgvn`c Amn`i ai` fd vdqgkudh i`h egvdnc` aiznxik i`h
xdam`gkgc~ qtaadqqetkk~ ixxviaxdh N`hddh+ xmd zvgqzdax ge iqqnqxi`ad snxm
geeqmgvd d`dvc~ hdudkgzod`x nq g`d knxxkd/vdagc`nrdh gzxng` ge zgxd`xnik
uiktd xg @gvxm Lgvdi xmix oncmx fd ag`qnhdvdh htvn`c xmd g`cgn`c qn}/
zivx~ takdiv dcgxnixng`q
N` xmd zgknxnaik/onknxiv~ qzmdvd+ @gvxm Lgvdiq ogqx hnvdax d`dvc~
utk`dvifnknx~ nq akdivk~ nxq kial ge gnk Zdxvgkdto zvghtaxq+ ge agtvqd+
sgtkh fd unxik xg i`~ d}xd`hdh onknxiv~ iaxng` icin`qx Qgtxm Lgvdi gv
gxmdv `ixng`qg` ki`h+ n` xmd inv+ gv ix qdii`h xmgqd unxik zdxvgkdto
zvghtaxq izzdiv xg fd n` d}xvdodk~ qmgvx qtzzk~ n` xmd HZVL ix zvdqd`x
Ikxmgtcm i hdaihd icg @gvxm Lgvdi gfxin`dh qtfqxi`xnik gnk evgo Nvi`+
nxq qtzzkndq miud fdd` n`avdiqn`ck~ knonxdh xg Amn`i+ cnun`c xmd ZVA
qnc`nenai`x zgxd`xnik kdudvicd icin`qx xmd @gvxm xmix nx zvdqd`xk~ izzdivq
kgixm xg d}dvanqd
@gvxm Lgvdiq ogqx zvdqqn`c d`dvc~ sdil`dqq g` xmd anunkni` qnhd
ge nxq zgknxnaik dag`go~ akdivk~ vdkixdq xg dkdaxvna zgsdv2 fgxm cd`dvi/
xng` i`h xvi`qonqqng` Xsg/xmnvhq ge xmd HZVLq dkdaxvnanx~+ n`akthn`c
=4 zdvad`x ge xmix qtzzkndh xg n`htqxv~+ nq m~hvgzgsdv+ smnam miq xmd
cvdix hnqihui`xicd ge fdn`c qtfbdax xg qdiqg`ik uivnixng` Xmd xmdvoik
g`d/xmnvh ge zgsdv aizianx~ nq zkictdh f~ xvi`qzgvxixng` hneenatkxndq egv
agik+ i`h f~ xmd t`iuinkifnknx~ ge mdiu~ etdk gnk+ smnam siq zvgunhdh f~
xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq t`xnk xmd fvdilhgs` ge xmd LDHG icvddod`x n` Hd/
adofdv 6::6
@gvxm Lgvdiq dkdaxvna zgsdv cvnh+ `gs akgqd xg mike i ad`xtv~ gkh
dud` n` nxq zgqxLgvdi` Siv n`aiv`ixng`+ nq knldsnqd n` n`avdiqn`ck~ zvd/
aivngtq qmizd Gtxicdq i`h vihnaik ugkxicd ektaxtixng`q n` xmd hgodqxna
cvnh ivd agoog` Xmd `ixng`ik cvnh nq n`avdiqn`ck~ fvdiln`c hgs` i`h
fdagon`c vdcng`iknrdh+ snxm i zvgknedvixng` ge qoikk+ n`deenand`x zgsdvzki`xq zvgunhn`c hdad`xviknrdh qgtvadq ge zgsdv
Xmd avnqnq ge xmd hgodqxna zgsdv cvnh nq qdvngtq evgo i @gvxm Lg/
vdi` zdvqzdaxnud egv xsg ld~ vdiqg`q2 xmd zgsdv cvnh n`mnfnxq dag`gona
hdudkgzod`x n` d}nqxn`c qdaxgvq< i`h nx agozknaixdq xmd xiql ge tzcvih/
n`c n`htqxvnik zvgadqqdq+ txnknxndq+ i`h zgxd`xnik onknxiv~ aizianx~ xmvgtcm
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@gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 1>
agoztxdvnrixng` i`h itxgoixng` Qxic`ixng` n` dkdaxvna zgsdv hdudkgz/
od`x+ n` qmgvx+ nq fdagon`c i qxvinxbialdx egv xmd smgkd @gvxm Lgvdi`
zgknxnaik dag`go~+ avnzzkn`c nxq ifnknx~ xg agzd snxm ckgfik xdam`gkgcnaik
hdudkgzod`xq eiv fd~g`h xmd qzmdvd ge d`dvc~
Vdqgktxng` ge @gvxm Lgvdiq amvg`na d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq nq gfungtqk~
ge zvngvnx~ n`xdvdqx xg xmd HZVL+ ikxmgtcm nxq iaxtik snkkn`c`dqq xg xvihd
gee nxq onknxiv~ `takdiv zvgcvio egv anunkni` d`dvc~ iqqnqxi`ad vdoin`q
qgodsmix t`akdiv+ xmd Qdzxdofdv 6::4 Fdnbn`c qn}/zivx~ hdakivixng`
`gxsnxmqxi`hn`c Xmd eiax xmix xmd HZVLq envqx qxdz fial n`xg xmd dag/
`gona/zki``n`c ivd`i+ iexdv kg`c/xdvo zki`q sdvd hnqag`xn`tdh n` xmd
divk~ 9>>:q+ siq xmd Xmvdd/^div Zki` egv Etdk i`h Zgsdv -6::1:4.
qtccdqxq xmnq zvngvnx~ Qg hg mncm hdakivdh fthcdx ikkgaixng`q xg fgxmagik zvghtaxng` i`h dkdaxvna zgsdv
Zgqqnfnknx~ ge Qn}/Zivx~ Aggzdvixng`
Qmgtkh i unifkd vdqgktxng` xg xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` takdiv zvgfkdon` ikk
nxq hnod`qng`qen`ikk~ fd iamndudh+ otam zgxd`xnik d}nqxq egv ag`xn`t/
n`c qn}/zivx~ aggzdvixng` xg ihhvdqq xmd HZVLq d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq N`/
hddh+ evgo i` dag`gona zdvqzdaxnud+ xmd qn}/zivx~ eviodsgvl izzdivq
xg fd i` nhdik udmnakd egv hgn`c qg Aizifnknxndq i`h n`ad`xnudq ge diam
ge xmd qn} zivxndq n` ihhvdqqn`c @gvxm Lgvdi` d`dvc~ nqqtdq qxvg`ck~
agozkdod`x g`d i`gxmdv i`h ivd d`mi`adh f~ xmn`ln`c i`h zki``n`c n`
i fvgih vdcng`ik ag`xd}x Xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` vdcng` iq i smgkd+ iexdv
ikk+ miq fgxm qdudvd zvgqzdaxnud d`dvc~ qmgvxicdq+ dqzdanikk~ snxm vd/
qzdax xg dkdaxvna zgsdv+ i`h oibgv t`hdvk~n`c vdcng`ik qxvd`cxmq+ ziv/
xnatkivk~ n` ixtvik ciq vdqdvudq i`h m~hvgdkdaxvna zgxd`xnik
Cnud` xmd zvgqzdaxq ge vnqn`c n`xdvhdzd`hd`ad i`h tkxnoixd vdt`nen/
aixng`+ Qgtxm Lgvdi miq qxvg`c n`ad`xnudq xg aggzdvixd i`h xg n`udqx
mdiunk~ n` @gvxm Lgvdi` n`eviqxvtaxtvd iq xmd qmihgsq ge vdt`nenaixng`
hddzd` Bizi` miq vdkdui`x xdam`gkgc~+ dqzdanikk~ n` kg`c/hnqxi`ad zgsdv
xvi`qonqqng` i`h d`dvc~ deenand`a~+ i`h nq snhdk~ d}zdaxdh xg oild i
oibgv en`i`anik ag`xvnftxng` xg @gvxm Lgvdi` dag`gona hdudkgzod`x ix
qgod zgn`x n` gvhdv xg `gvoiknrd zgknxnaik vdkixng`q i`h vdqgkud mnqxgvn/
aik nqqtdq
Vtqqniq n`ad`xnudq xg aggzdvixd+ i`h nxq zgxd`xnik ag`xvnftxng`+ ivdikqg qtfqxi`xnik Izivx evgo nxq mtcd kg`c/xdvo zgxd`xnik iq i ixtvik ciq
i`h m~hvgzgsdv qtzzkndv+ Vtqqni ftnkx ogqx ge xmd xmdvoik zgsdv zki`xq
atvvd`xk~ gzdvixn`c n` @gvxm Lgvdi+ i`h nxq qtzzgvx snxm zgsdv cd`dvi/
xng` i`h snvn`c sgtkh fd `ixtvik Amn`iq iqqd`x xg i`~ geeqmgvd @gvxm
Lgvdi` d`dvc~ hdudkgzod`x xmix oncmx xvi`qznvd n` xmd Sdqx Qdi sgtkh
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8: Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq
fd `ddhdh+ i`h xmd ZVA agtkh mdkz snxm vdetvfnqmn`c xmd xsg gnk znzd/
kn`dq ag``daxn`c Amn`i i`h xmd HZVL+ iq sdkk iq snxm ag`qxvtaxng` ge
d`dvc~ n`eviqxvtaxtvd
I TQ vgkd n` @gvxm Lgvdi` d`dvc~ hdudkgzod`xgfungtqk~ egk/
kgsn`c etkk vdqgktxng` ge xmd takdiv avnqnq+ n`akthn`c xmd HZVLq akdiv
ifi`hg`od`x ge nxq onknxiv~ `takdiv zvgcvioagtkh fd nozgvxi`x egv
hnzkgoixna vdiqg`q+ i`h xmd dag`gona ag`xvnftxng` agtkh fd qnc`nenai`x
ikqg TQ @CGq miud ikvdih~ mdkzdh xmd HZVL n` xmd ikxdv`ixd d`dvc~
ivdi+ i`h xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq zvgunhdh mdiu~ etdk gnk xg xmd @gvxm t`hdv
LDHG TQ d`dvc~ d}zkgvixng`+ zvghtaxng`+ i`h xvi`qonqqng` xdam`gk/
gc~ nq xmd qxixd ge xmd ivx n` oi`~ ivdiq i`h agtkh sdkk fd zvgunhdh ne xmd
`takdiv nqqtd sdvd etkk~ vdqgkudh TQ qtzzgvx agtkh ikqg fd avtanik xgzvgunqng` ge iqqnqxi`ad f~ xmd Sgvkh Fi`l i`h gxmdv ckgfik en`i`anik
n`qxnxtxng`q xmix sgtkh `g hgtfx `ddh xg zvgunhd i oibgv zivx ge xmd
et`hn`c egv i`~ kivcd/qaikd @gvxm Lgvdi` d`dvc~ hdudkgzod`x zvgbdaxq
Xmd TQ vgkd snxmn` xmd fvgihdv qn}/zivx~ takdiv dcgxnixng` zvg/
adqq nq qg znugxik xmix i TQ/qzg`qgvdh @gvxmdiqx Iqni` d`dvc~ aggz/
dvixng` n`nxnixnudki~n`c gtx i unqng` egv otkxnkixdvik aggzdvixng` fd/
~g`h vdqgktxng` ge xmd `takdiv avnqnqoildq don`d`x qd`qd Nx `ddhq+
mgsdudv+ xg fd iaagozi`ndh f~ vdn`egvadh fnkixdvik ag`qtkxixng` snxmxmd VGL i`h snxm Bizi`+ g` vdkixdh nqqtdq Mgsdudv deedaxnud ikkni`ad
ag`qtkxixng` oi~ miud vdad`xk~ fdd` g` ag`ud`xng`ik zgknxnaik/onknxiv~
nqqtdq snxm xmdqd xsg ld~ ikkndq+ nx ai` tqdetkk~ fd hddzd`dh ix xmd n`xdv/
eiad ge d`dvc~ i`h qdatvnx~
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4Qdgtkq D`dvc~ Gzxng`q
egv xmd Etxtvd
Ionh i qnotkxi`dgtq qxvixdcna `takdiv ag`xvgudvq~ i`h hddzd`n`c d`/
dvc~ avnqnq+ xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki nq ix i mnqxgvna avgqqvgihq Fgxm Lg/
vdi` cgudv`od`xq+ xgcdxmdv snxm Lgvdi` qgandx~ i`h sdkk/snqmdvq
xmvgtcmgtx xmd sgvkh+ ddh xg xild hdanqnud qxdzq xg fgxm qgkud xmd takdiv
avnqnq i`h hdik snxm xmd zd`n`qtkiq hddzd`n`c d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq smnkd
fdn`c qd`qnxnud xg xmd kn`licdq fdxsdd` xmd @gvxm i`h xmd Qgtxm i`h xg
xmd ogod`xgtq kg`c/xdvo nozknaixng`q ge xmd iaxng`q xmdoqdkudq Xmdvd
nq i mnqxgvna ami`ad gs egv i otkxnkixdvik zialicd xmix ai` fgxm qzdil xg
Lgvdiq zvgegt`h d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndqxmd Qgtxmq iq sdkk iq xmd
@gvxmqi`h mdkz fvn`c zdiad xg g`d ge xmd ogqx zgxd`xnikk~ ugkixnkd
vdcng`q g` Divxm
Zvdungtq amizxdvq d}zkin` xmd d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq ge xmd xsg Lgvdiq
i`h mgs xmd~ aiod xg fd< xmd~ gxd xmd xgxik kial ge g`qmgvd gnk i`h ciq
g` fgxm qnhdq ge xmd HOR i`h xmd qtvzvnqn`ck~ zivikkdk utk`dvifnknxndq
egv xmd d`dvc~/n`xd`qnud dag`gondq ge fgxm @gvxm i`h Qgtxm xmix xmdqd
t`tqtik hdenand`andq avdixd Xmd~ ikqg hdxink xmd viznh vdad`x qtvcd ge
d`dvc~ hdoi`h xmvgtcmgtx Diqx Iqni i`h xmd `ti`adh amikkd`cdq i`h
gzzgvxt`nxndq xmix xmnq qmnexn`c vdcng`ik h~`iona zgqdq egv Lgvdi
Xmnq amizxdv kgglq fd~g`h xmd zvdqd`x xgsivh i zgxd`xnikk~ og/
od`xgtq i`h h~`iona+ ~dx ikqg amvg`naikk~ t`advxin`+ Lgvdi` d`dvc~
etxtvd Nx hgdq `gx ixxdozx xg egvdaiqx xmix etxtvd gv zvdqavnfd smnam
zgkna~ agtvqd qmgtkh fd xild