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Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder

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  • 8/3/2019 Korea's Energy Insecurities: Comparative and Regional Perspectives by Kent E. Calder

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    LGVDIQ D@DVC^ N@QDATVNXNDQ

    AGOZIVIXNUD I@HVDCNG@IK ZDVQZDAXNUDQ

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    QXTHNDQ QDVNDQ2 1

    QZDANIK

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    Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndqAgozivixnud i`h

    Vdcng`ik Zdvqzdaxnudq

    Ld`x D. Aikhdv

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    Xdkdzmg`d 6:6'858/9>=6 Eiaqnonkd 6:6'858/9>=3 Sdf ihhvdqq sss.ldni.gvc

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    Xmd Lgvdi Dag`gona N`qxnxtxd ge Iodvnai -LDN. nq vdcnqxdvdh t`hdv xmd

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    iuinkifkd egv ztfkna n`qzdaxng` Vdcnqxvixng` hgdq `gx n`hnaixd TQ cgudv`/

    od`x izzvguik ge xmd ag`xd`xq ge xmnq hgatod`x LDN nq `gx d`cicdh n` xmd

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    Aikhdv+ Ld`x D

    Lgvdiq d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq 2 agozivixnud i`h vdcng`ik zdvqzdaxnudq ' Ld`x

    D Aikhdv

    z ao

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    Ag`xd`xq

    Egvdsgvh nu

    Zvdeiad u

    9 N`xvghtaxng` 9

    6 Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi 3

    1 Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 93

    8 @gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 6>

    4 Qdgtkq D`dvc~ Gzxng`q egv xmd Etxtvd 89

    5 Ag`aktqng` 44

    Vdedvd`ad Knqx 59

    Ifgtx xmd Itxmgv 54

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    nu

    Egvdsgvh

    Xmd Lgvdi Dag`gona N`qxnxtxd -LDN. nq zkdiqdh xg nqqtd xmd xmnvh ugk/

    tod n` nxq Qzdanik Qxthndq qdvndq N` ag`xviqx snxm LDNq gxmdv ztfknai/

    xng`q+ smnam cd`dvikk~ xild xmd egvo ge agoznkixng`q ge vdkixnudk~ qmgvx

    ivxnakdq g` i`ik~xnaik i`h zgkna~ nqqtdq f~ i `tofdv ge itxmgvq+ xmnq qd/

    vndq ieegvhq n`hnunhtik itxmgvq i` gzzgvxt`nx~ xg d}zkgvd n` hdzxm i ziv/xnatkiv xgzna ge atvvd`x n`xdvdqx vdkixn`c xg Lgvdi

    N` xmnq fggl+ Hv Ld`x Aikhdv d}ion`dq xmd iaxtik i`h zgxd`xnik

    qgtvadq ge d`dvc~ iuinkifkd xg diam ge xmd xsg Lgvdiq iq sdkk iq zvdqd`x

    i`h zvgqzdaxnud zgknandq xg ihhvdqq xmd n`qdatvnxndq xmix diam agt`xv~

    eiadq Md sdiudq xgcdxmdv xmd agozkd} zgknxnaik/qdatvnx~ ag`qnhdvixng`q

    i`h xmd agozdkkn`c kisq ge dag`gonaq Xmnq fggl nq zivxnatkivk~ xnodk~

    n` kncmx ge xmd vdad`x Hdakivixng` ge Zvn`anzkdq icvddh ix xmd egtvxm vgt`h

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    agood`xq g` xmnq i`h gtv gxmdv ztfknaixng`q Sd qddl xg d}zi`h ag`/

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    sdkagod zvgzgqikq egv gxmdv Qzdanik Qxthndq

    Bgqdzm I F Sn`hdv

    Zvdqnhd`x

    Lgvdi Dag`gona N`qxnxtxd

    @gudofdv 6::4

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    u

    Zvdeiad

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    iq sdkk iq mgs xmd sgvkh qmgtkh hdik snxm xmd HZVL nxqdke D`dvc~ kndq

    ix xmd mdivx ge unvxtikk~ ikk zgkna~ izzvgiamdq xg xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtkiq

    etxtvdfd xmd~ hnzkgoixna+ zgknxnaik/onknxiv~+ gv dag`gona n` amiviaxdv

    D`dvc~ siq ad`xvik n` xmd deegvxq xg hdik snxm xmd 9>>8 ag`evg`xixng`fdxsdd` xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq i`h @gvxm Lgvdi+ i`h d`dvc~ nq i ld~ dkdod`x

    n` xmd g`cgn`c qn}/zivx~ xiklq

    Egv ikk xmdnv zgkna~ nozgvxi`ad+ xmd hdxinkq ge Lgvdiq d`dvc~ n`qd/

    atvnxndq vdoin` atvngtqk~ gziytd xg cd`dvik vdihdvq i`h dud` xg ogqx

    zgknxnaik i`h dag`gona hdanqng` oildvq iq sdkk Xmnq og`gcvizm nq i

    oghdqx deegvx xg mdkz enkk xmix fiqna l`gskdhcd ciz N miud fdd` n`xdv/

    dqxdh n` xmd xgzna egv ~divq i`h miud sgvldh g` Iqni` d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq+

    n` fgxm xmdnv dag`gona i`h qdatvnx~ hnod`qng`q+ egv ogvd xmi` i hdaihdN io cvixdetk xg xmd Lgvdi Dag`gona N`qxnxtxd+ dqzdanikk~ Zvdqnhd`x Bg/

    qdzm Sn`hdv i`h Unad Zvdqnhd`x Biodq Knqxdv+ egv qtccdqxn`c i qdvngtq

    qxth~ ge xmd ytdqxng` i`h ikkgsn`c xgxik n`xdkkdaxtik evddhgo iq xg mgs

    xg zvgaddh+ iq sdkk iq qtzzgvxn`c xviudk i`h vdqdivam

    Oi`~ miud mdkzdh oild xmnq zvgbdax i vdiknx~ gudv xmd oi`~ og`xmq

    i`h+ n`hddh+ ~divq xmix nx miq fdd` n` zvgcvdqq Qn`advd xmi`lq ivd htd xg

    xmd Lgvdi Egt`hixng` egv nxq mdkz n` n`qznvn`c xmd itxmgvq hddz fiqna

    n`xdvdqxq n` Lgvdiq zgknxnaik dag`go~ i`h nxq etxtvd Qdgtk @ixng`ikT`nudvqnx~q Cvihtixd Qamggk ge N`xdv`ixng`ik Qxthndq zvgunhdh i evtnx/

    etk vdqdivam d`unvg`od`x ^tlnd ^gqmnlisi zvgunhdh avdixnud+ n`qncmx/

    etk+ nag`gakiqxna+ i`h d`dvcdxna vdqdivam iqqnqxi`ad snxmgtx smnam xmnq

    zvgbdax qnozk~ agtkh gx miud fdd` agozkdxdh Agood`xixgvq Edvdnht`

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    un Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

    Edqmiviln+ Onllik Mdvfdvc+ i`h Zivl Fgl/~dg`c zvgunhdh n`qncmxetk

    agood`xq xmix cvdixk~ nozvgudh xmd en`ik oi`tqavnzx Oiv~ Oivnl hnh

    d}zdvx agz~dhnxn`c

    ^dx xmd en`ik zvghtax+ n` vdiknx~ iq sdkk iq n` vmdxgvna+ otqx fd xmd

    vdqzg`qnfnknx~ ge xmnq itxmgv ikg`d O~ mgzd nq xmix xmnq sgvl+ g` xmd

    fiqnq ge nxq qxvd`cxmq i`h hdqznxd i`~ qmgvxagon`cq+ snkk hddzd` i fvgih/

    d`n`c xvi`q`ixng`ik hnikgctd gudv Lgvdiq d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq Xmix hd/

    fixd akdivk~ miq oibgv nozknaixng`q `gx g`k~ egv xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki

    ftx ikqg egv xmd qgvx ge sgvkh xmix @gvxmdiqx Iqni i`h nxq xvi`q/Zianena

    zivx`dvq snkk ag`evg`x n` etxtvd ~divq

    Ld`x D Aikhdv

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    9

    9N`xvghtaxng`

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    hdonknxivnrdh rg`d -HOR. miq hgon`ixdh xmn`ln`c ifgtx Lgvdiq et/

    xtvd Xg fd qtvd+ xmd zvduinkn`c zgknxnaik/onknxiv~ qnxtixng` ix xmd HOR nq

    hi`cdvgtq+ zdvnghna ami`cdq n` hnzkgoixna ixogqzmdvnaq gxsnxmqxi`h/

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    hdzkg~dh snxmn` 4: onkdq ge Qdgtk i`h nxq 96 onkkng` anunkni`q+ iavgqq i

    `g/oi`q/ki`h dudv oivldh f~ i egvoik zdiad iaagvh

    Htvn`c xmd ziqx 94 ~divq+ xmd @gvxm/Qgtxm ag`evg`xixng` miq fdd`

    xvi`qegvodh n`xg i ogvd agozkd} i`h otkxneiadxdh qdatvnx~ amikkd`cd

    N` 9>>1 xmd Hdogavixna Zdgzkdq Vdztfkna ge Lgvdi -HZVL+ gv @gvxm

    Lgvdi. qtaadqqetkk~ kit`amdh @g/hg`c ogfnkd onqqnkdq n`xg xmd DiqxQdi -Qdi ge Bizi`. I`h n` 9>>= xmd HZVL kit`amdh i otkxnqxicd Xidzg/

    hg`c onqqnkd gudv Bizi` nxqdke Z~g`c~i`c ikqg miq d}xd`qnud amdonaik+

    fngkgcnaik+ i`h takdiv sdizg`q zvgcvioq+ iq nq sdkk l`gs` Smd` @gvxm

    Lgvdi qgkudq hdoi`hn`c xdam`naik zvgfkdoq nozdhn`c sdizg`nrixng`

    ge nxq `takdiv hdunadq i`h sdizg`q hdknudv~+ nx snkk miud xmd avdhnfkd

    zgxd`xnik xg qdvngtqk~ xmvdixd` fgxm Bizi` i`h `ixng`q fd~g`h

    dx xmd zgknxnaik dag`go~ ge xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki+ xgcdxmdv snxm nxq

    kg`c/qxi`hn`c onknxiv~ ag`evg`xixng`q+ nq viznhk~ ami`cn`cxmd @gvxmLgvdi` onqqnkd i`h `takdiv avnqdq `gxsnxmqxi`hn`c Dag`gona cvgsxm

    i`h xdam`gkgcnaik ami`cd ivd vdkd`xkdqqk~ qmnexn`c xmd kgatq ge zgsdv g`

    xmd zd`n`qtki qgtxm ge xmd HOR Dud` ionh hvioixna+ mnqxgvna hdudkgz/

    od`xq n` xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` `takdiv avnqnq+ nx nq nozgvxi`x `gs xg xmn`l

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    6 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

    fd~g`h xvihnxng`ik qdatvnx~ xmvdixq xg fvgihdv+ gexd` dckdaxdh amikkd`cdq

    ge xmd kg`cdv/xdvo etxtvd

    Ad`xvik Nozgvxi`ad ge Dkdaxvna Zgsdvg` xmd Lgvdi` Zd`n`qtki

    D`dvc~ i`h xmd t`advxin`xndq kn`ldh xg nxq uivndh egvoq ge qtzzk~ oi~

    kggo hnqxtvfn`ck~ kivcd g` xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki G`d ddh kggl g etv/

    xmdv xmi` xmd qzdaxdv ge @gvxm Lgvdi` `takdiv zgxd`xnik n` xmd sild ge

    Z~g`c~i`cq Edfvtiv~ 6::4 hdakivixng` xmix nx nq i `takdiv/sdizg`q qxixd

    i`h xmd qtvvdiknqxna ag`xviqx snxm xmd HZVLq hdqzdvixdk~ fvgld` dkda/

    xvna zgsdv cvnh xg cviqz xmd n`xdvvdkixdh qdatvnx~ i`h dag`gona nozgv/

    xi`ad ge d`dvc~ xg xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtkiq etxtvd D`dvc~ nq n`dunxifk~ iad`xvik zivx ge fgxm xmd zvgfkdo i`h xmd qgktxng` xg xmd @gvxm Lgvdi`

    `takdiv avnqnq

    D`dvc~ nq ikqg i` d}adkkd`x udmnakd egv d`cicn`c xmd ixng`ik n`xdv/

    dqxq ge xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq snxm xmd mdikxm~+ qxifkd dugktxng` ge fgxm xmd

    Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki i`h xmd smgkd ge xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` vdcng` Xmd qd/

    atvnx~ n`xdvdqxq ge xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq n` egvdqxikkn`c xmd zvgknedvixng` ge

    sdizg`q ge oiqq hdqxvtaxng` miud fdd` sdkk ivxnatkixdh Ikqg nozgvxi`x

    nq i` gexd` `dckdaxdh zgknxnaik/dag`gona nozdvixnud2 si~q egv TQ d`/

    dvc~ envoq i`h gxmdv TQ zvnuixd n`udqxgvq xg fdagod zgqnxnudk~ n`ugkudh

    n` @gvxmdiqx Iqni` hdudkgzod`x i`h xg hdog`qxvixd ag`avdxdk~ xmix qtam

    n`ugkudod`x ai` xvi`qkixd n`xg TQ bgfq i`h agvzgvixd gzzgvxt`nx~ Mnq/

    xgvnaikk~+ nx miq fdd` hnzkgoixq+ onqqng`ivndq+ i`h dqzdanikk~ xmd onknxiv~

    xmix miud hgon`ixdh xmd TQ zvdqd`ad g` xmd Lgvdi` zd`n`qtki Ogvd

    ftqn`dqq n`ugkudod`xakgqdv xg xmd zixxdv` ge TQ/Amn`i xndqagtkh

    sdkk mdkz hvis xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq xgsivh ag`xn`d`xik @gvxmdiqx Iqni n` i

    ogvd d`htvn`c i`h fiki`adh eiqmng` xmi` miq gexd` fdd` xvtd n` xmd ziqx

    D`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq g` fgxm qnhdq ge xmd HOR miud kg`c aiqx i xvgt/

    fkn`c qmihgs iavgqq Lgvdiq zgqxsiv dag`gona hdudkgzod`x N` Qgtxm

    Lgvdi -xmd Vdztfkna ge Lgvdi+ gv VGL.+ ogvd xmi` xmvdd hdaihdq ge

    qtqxin`dh cvgsxm fdegvd xmd 9>>3>= Iqni` en`i`anik avnqnq fvgtcmx vnq/

    n`c hdzd`hd`ad g` ugkixnkd n`xdv`ixng`ik d`dvc~ oivldxq iq xmd hdudkgz/

    od`x ge i zgsdvetk `ixng`ik n`htqxvnik fiqd gtxqxvnzzdh oghdqx hgodq/

    xna vdqgtvad d`hgsod`xq Fgxm xmd gnk qmgalq ge xmd 9>3:q mnx Lgvdi

    mivh Xghi~+ n` xmd sild ge xmd 9>>3>= en`i`anik avnqnq+ d`dvc~ hnkdo/

    oiq t`nudvqikk~ nozknanx n` viznh dag`gona cvgsxm g`ad icin` xmvdixd`

    xg vdiqqdvx xmdoqdkudq n` Lgvdi+ ikfdnx xmnq xnod ogvd snxm vdqzdax xg

    dkdaxvna zgsdv n`eviqxvtaxtvd xmi` xg gnk Xmd eiax xmix dag`gona

    cvgsxm miq xvi`qad`hdh Lgvdi xg n`akthd ogqx ge nxq `dncmfgvq

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    N`xvghtaxng` 1

    dqzdanikk~ Amn`ioildq Lgvdiq hddzd`n`c d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq dqzd/

    anikk~ xmvdixd`n`c

    Xmd qmivz hneedvd`adq n` xmd d`dvc~ dag`gondq ge @gvxm i`h Qgtxm

    Lgvdi ivd gfungtqi eds ivd n`agod kdudk+ ihdytia~ ge n`eviqxvtaxtvd+

    i`h iaadqq xg n`xdv`ixng`ik oivldxqi`h `ddh `gx fd fdkifgvdh Xmnq

    og`gcvizm+ xmdvdegvd+ qxivxq evgo i ogvd amikkd`cn`c+ agt`xdv/n`xtnxnud+

    i`h ~dx dudv ogvd zgkna~/vdkdui`x ag`xd`xng`2 xmix Lgvdiq d`dvc~

    dag`go~ ddhq xg fd qdd` iq i` i`ik~xnaik smgkd Oi`~ ge xmd zd`n`qtkiq

    zvgfkdoq ivd agoog` xg xmd @gvxm iq sdkk iq xmd Qgtxm hdqznxd xmd

    gfungtq ddh egv ag`xviqxn`c qmgvx/xdvo vdqzg`qdq I`h xmd qmihgsq ge

    vdt`nenaixng` ivd hddzd`n`c

    @gvxm Lgvdi qmivdq xmd Qgtxmq et`hiod`xik zvgfkdo ge knonxdh`ixtvik/vdqgtvad d`hgsod`x Xg fd qtvd+ n` xmd @gvxm+ kgsdv cvgsxm iq

    sdkk iq xmd qxnkk qtfqxi`xnik+ ne kgs/ytiknx~+ kgaik agik vdqdvudq miud oihd

    cvdixdv d`dvc~ qdke/qteenand`a~ zgqqnfkd Xmd dag`gona fialsivh`dqq

    i`h zgknxnaik nqgkixng` ge xmd @gvxm miud xdozgvivnk~ fvdh i ag`udvqd

    zvgfkdo2 n`ihdytixd egvdnc` d}ami`cd xg zvgatvd `ddhdh d`dvc~ no/

    zgvxq dx+ iaadkdvixdh cvgsxm+ smd` nx agodq+ snkk fvn`c snxm nx oi`~ ge

    xmd hnkdooiq xmix miud zkictdh xmd Qgtxm n` ziqx ~divq

    Izivx evgo i` t`hdvk~n`c kial ge hgodqxna gnk vdqdvudqagtzkdh+n` xmd @gvxmq aiqd+ snxm i` n`ifnknx~ xg qdatvd ihdytixd nozgvxq

    i`gxmdv fiqna amikkd`cd t`nxdq xmd xsg Lgvdiq2 zvgunhn`c i` ihdytixd

    dkdaxvna zgsdv qtzzk~ Egv xmd @gvxm+ xmd fiqna nqqtd nq xsgegkh2 xmd n`de/

    enand`a~ i`h gfqgkdqad`ad ge nxq m~hvg i`h agik/envdh dkdaxvna zgsdv

    cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ iq sdkk iq i amvg`na kial ge qzivd zivxq Fdaitqd ge

    qtam hneenatkxndq+ 3: zdvad`x ge xmd agt`xv~q d`xnvd zgsdv cd`dvixng`

    aizianx~ nq dnxmdv ifi`hg`dh gv n` tvcd`x `ddh ge vdzinvq9

    Ihhdh `takdiv zgsdv aizianx~ geedvq xg Z~g`c~i`c xmd izzdikn`c+ne eiankd+ zvgqzdax ge g`d/qxgz d`dvc~ n`hdzd`hd`ad Hdqznxd i kial ge

    gnk i`h ciq vdqdvudq+ i`h hdqznxd gfqgkdxd i`h hdai~n`c ag`ud`xng`ik

    dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixn`c eianknxndq+ @gvxm Lgvdi fdkndudq xmix snxm

    `takdiv zgsdv nx agtkh zgxd`xnikk~ dknon`ixd smix miq kg`c fdd` nxq

    dag`gona Iamnkkdq mddk i`h hg qg n` i eiqmng` ag`qnqxd`x snxm nxq t`hdv/

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    3

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    Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi >

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    9: Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi 99

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    96 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    snxm `ds xvihn`c zivx`dvq qddo xg iaagt`x egv xmd n`avdiqd

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    98 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    Qgtxm Lgvdiq Xvnzkd D`dvc~/Qdatvnx~ Hnkdooi 94

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    93

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    9= Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    hdoi`h

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    6: Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 69

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    kial ge icvddod`x iog`c @gvxm Lgvdi+ Qgtxm Lgvdi+ i`h Amn`i vdcivh/

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    68 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 64

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    9>

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    65 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    Dud` Amn`dqd dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixgvq ag`qtod g`d/enexm ogvd d`dvc~

    zdv t`nx ge gtxztx xmi` xmdnv TQ agt`xdvzivxq -Li`dln~g 6::4. Lgvdi+

    snxm vdad`x d}zdvnd`ad agzn`c snxm zvgfkdoq knld xmgqd n` Amn`i+ nq sdkk

    zkiadh xg inh Amn`i n` nozvgun`c d`dvc~ deenand`a~ gv n` aggzdvixn`c

    snxm `dncmfgvq qtam iq Bizi` n` hgn`c qg

    D`unvg`od`xik Zvgxdaxng`

    Amn`i gfungtqk~ miq cggh vdiqg`q xg xialkd d`unvg`od`xik nqqtdq ic/cvdqqnudk~+ i`h nxq `dncmfgvq+ n`akthn`c Lgvdi+ miud n`ad`xnud xg mdkz

    Ianh vin` i`h gxmdv egvoq ge inv zgkktxng` evgo Amn`i ivd oibgv zvgf/

    kdoq egv Lgvdiq egvdqxq i`h egv nxq tvfi` hsdkkdvq iq sdkk Bizi` nq

    knldsnqd ieedaxdh+ i`h nx qmivdq i agoog` n`xdvdqx snxm Lgvdi n` aggzdv/

    ixn`c snxm Amn`i

    Agik nq n` ogqx egvoq i mncmk~ zgkktxn`c etdk+ ag`xvnftxn`c mdiunk~

    xg qtam zvgfkdoq iq ianh vin`+ i`h nx qxnkk iaagt`xq egv xsg/xmnvhq ge

    Amn`iq zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` Ogxgvnrixng` i`h hneetqng` ge mgod

    69 Dkdaxvnaik N`deenand`a~ i Hivl Qzgx egv Amn`i2 Anxndq Ckgs egv Qmgs iq

    Eiaxgvndq Fkial Gtx+ Siqmn`cxg` Zgqx+ > Itctqx 6::4

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    Iqniq Cvgsxm Hddzd`q Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq 63

    dkdaxvna izzkni`adq knld inv ag`hnxng`dvq i`h vdevncdvixgvq ivd ikqg zvg/

    addhn`c viznhk~ n` xmd Zdgzkdq Vdztfkna ge Amn`i -ZVA.+ sgvqd`n`c

    qtketv hng}nhd donqqng`q i`h iaadkdvixn`c ckgfik sivon`c xd`hd`andq

    Vdad`xk~+ Amn`i miq fdd` xiln`c d`unvg`od`xik zvgxdaxng` qdvngtqk~>: i`h ifgtx mike xmd

    kdudk n` Bizi`+ smnam mih i CHZ zdv aiznxi 6: xnodq iq mncm iq @gvxm

    Lgvdi ix xmd xnod -@gki`h 6:::+ 988. N`deenand`x tqd ge etdkq+ gsn`c xg

    gfqgkdxd dytnzod`x iq sdkk iq kial ge oivldx zvnan`c i`h vdkni`ad g`

    vdkixnudk~ kdqq deenand`x etdkq qtam iq agik+ miq n`xd`qnendh xmd mncm/

    d`dvc~ fniq gvncn`ikk~ avdixdh f~ n`htqxvnik qxvtaxtvdXmnq mncm/d`dvc~ gvnd`xixng` ge xmd @gvxmq dag`go~+ xgcdxmdv snxm

    zggv t`hdvk~n`c d`dvc~ vdqgtvad d`hgsod`xq i`h xmd nozgvxi`ad ge

    d`dvc~ xg @gvxm Lgvdiq onknxiv~+ oild d`dvc~ i zvngvnx~ ag`adv` egv xmd

    HZVLq zgknxnaik/onknxiv~ kdihdvqmnz Lno Nk/qt`c gxdh n` xmd onh/9>=:q

    xmix \s_nxmgtx dkdaxvnanx~+ sd ai``gx zvghtad i`~xmn`c+ dnxmdv n` zdiad/

    xnod gv sivxnod -Im` 6::1+ 99=. Lnoq qxixdod`x nq zvgun`c xg fd

    dud` ogvd xvtd `gs+ i cd`dvixng` kixdv

    @gvxm Lgvdiq kdihdvqmnz izzdivq ag`adv`dh gx g`k~ snxm xmd yti`/xnx~ ge d`dvc~ n`ztxq egv xmd HZVLq dag`go~ ftx+ n`avdiqn`ck~+ snxm

    xmdnv ytiknx~ iq sdkk Zgsdv gtxicdq i`h xmd atvvd`x ugkixnknx~ ge gzdvix/

    n`c atvvd`x+ iog`c gxmdv zvgfkdoq+ miud fdagod n`avdiqn`ck~ zvg/

    `gt`adh gudv xmd ziqx hdaihd iq @gvxm Lgvdiq dkdaxvna zgsdv cvnh+ smnam

    hixdq fial n` t`nendh ixng`ik egvo xg 9>4=+ fdagodq n`avdiqn`ck~ gfqg/

    kdqad`x Iq xmd n`egvoixng` vdugktxng` zvgaddhq sgvkhsnhd+ n` fgxm nxq

    anunkni` i`h onknxiv~ hnod`qng`q+ i`h iq qxixd/ge/xmd/ivx n`htqxvnik eiankn/

    xndq fdagod ogvd i`h ogvd xdam`gkgc~ n`xd`qnud+ xmd ytiknx~ ge dkdaxvnazgsdv fdagodq ogvd nozgvxi`x xg xmd HZVL n` ikk iqzdaxq ge dag`gona

    i`h onknxiv~ kned I agoztxdvnrdh qgandx~+ @gvxm Lgvdi nq fdcn``n`c xg

    hnqagudv+ ai``gx vt` g` xmd dvvixna zgsdv qtzzk~ snxm smnam Z~g`c~i`c+

    `gx xg od`xng` zvgun`anik xgs`q+ nq zvdqd`xk~ ieeknaxdh

    @gvxm Lgvdiq Hgodqxna D`dvc~ Qnxtixng`

    @gvxm Lgvdiq hgodqxna d`dvc~ qnxtixng` ddhq xg fd ag`qnhdvdh n` xdvoqge egtv fiqna iqzdaxq2 qtzzk~ ge fiqna d`dvc~+ dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng`+

    dkdaxvna zgsdv xvi`qonqqng`+ i`h d`dvc~ ikxdv`ixnudq gv qdag`hiv~ d`/

    dvc~ tqicd izivx evgo dkdaxvna zgsdv Iq `gxdh n` amizxdv 9+ dkdaxvna

    zgsdv nq xmd @gvxmq Iamnkkdq mddk+ smdvd nxq d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq agod

    xgcdxmdv+ i`h xmd eiaxgv xmix ogqx hnvdaxk~ ieedaxq xmd et`axng`n`c ge xmd

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    @gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 19

    @gvxmq gudvikk dag`go~ Xmd HZVLq anvatoqxi`adq ivd hnvd ikg`c ikk

    egtv fiqna iqzdaxq+ i`h xmd d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq xmix xmd @gvxm ag`evg`xq n`

    ikk xmdqd ivdiq ivd n`xdvvdkixdh dx xmd ixtvd ge xmd hneenatkxndq n`ugkudh

    nq qgodsmix hneedvd`x n` diam ivdi

    Qtzzk~ ge Fiqna D`dvc~

    N` xdvoq ge fiqna d`dvc~ qtzzk~xmix nq+ xmd iuinkifnknx~ ge agik+ m~hvg/

    dkdaxvna zgsdv+ gnk+ `ixtvik ciq+ i`h `takdiv zgsdv@gvxm Lgvdiq d`/

    dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq ivd fvgihk~ qnonkiv xg xmgqd ge Qgtxm Lgvdi+ Xinsi`+

    i`h Bizi` @gvxm Lgvdi hgdq `gx miud i`~ oibgv gzdvixn`c g`qmgvd gnk

    endkhq ikxmgtcm n` Itctqx 6::6 Qgudvdnc` Ud`xtvdq Zxd Kxh -QUZK. ge

    Qn`cizgvd i``gt`adh xmix nx mih egt`h on`gv gnk i`h ciq vdqdvudq n` nxq

    ag`xviaxdh ivdi ge @gvxm Lgvdi+ g` xmd Amn`dqd fgvhdv ikg`c xmd Xtod`

    Vnudv -Mivvnqg` 6::4+ 88.

    Xmd HZVL hgdq izzdiv xg miud zgxd`xnikk~ oibgv geeqmgvd gnk hd/

    zgqnxq kgaixdh g` xmd qdifdh sdqx ge I`bt n` xmd dkkgs Qdi+ snxm zgxd`/

    xnik vdqdvudq ge iq otam iq 96 fnkkng` fivvdkq ge gnk -Mivvnqg` 6::4+ 91.

    @gvxm Lgvdi miq xvndh xg hdudkgz xmdqd geeqmgvd vdqdvudq n` aggzdvixng`

    snxm i snhd vi`cd ge egvdnc` zivxndq+ n`akthn`c xmd Amn`dqd -9>54=:.=5.< xmd Itqxvikni`q -9>==>:.< xmd Qsdhdq -9>>1.< xmd

    Oiki~qni`q -9>>3.< xmd Qn`cizgvdi`q -6::9.< i`h xmd Fvnxnqm -6::8. -Zinl

    6::4+ 1>8>. dx g` diam gaaiqng` dnxmdv xdvvnxgvnik nqqtdq fdxsdd` xmd

    HZVL i`h divf~ Amn`i gv en`i`anik i`h kdcik ytdqxng`q zvdud`xdh xmdqd

    ud`xtvdq evgo iamndun`c odi`n`cetk vdqtkxq

    Tkxnoixdk~+ qdvngtq d}zkgvixng` ge xmdqd zvgonqn`c geeqmgvd gnk vd/

    qdvudq snkk `ddh xg isinx i vdqgktxng` ge xmd Lgvdi` `takdiv avnqnq Xmd

    zvgqzdaxq ge qtam d}zkgvixng` agtkh fd i odi`n`cetk n`ad`xnud egv xmd

    HZVL xg iaadhd xg i`h iaxtikk~ gfqdvud i` icvddod`x iaadzxifkd xg xmd

    gxmdv enud zivxndq xg xmd `takdiv xiklq Zvg}nonx~ i`h xdvvnxgvnik nqqtdq

    unq//unq Amn`i oild nx akdiv xmix iaxtik d}zkgvixng` sgtkh ikqg vdytnvd

    xmd iqqd`x ge Amn`i+ smnam sgtkh vdxin` kdudvicd n` xmd iaxtik hdudkgz/

    od`x zvgadqq ikqg

    @gvxm Lgvdi+ xg fd qtvd+ hgdq miud qtfqxi`xnik m~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv

    aizianx~< n` eiax+ xmd @gvxmq aizianx~ nq sdkk gudv hgtfkd xmd Qgtxmq

    hdqznxd xmd mtcd ag`udvqd ciz fdxsdd` xmd aizianxndq ge xmd Lgvdiq n`gxmdv iqzdaxq ge d`dvc~68 Nxq ogt`xin`gtq xdvvin` i`h vdkixnudk~ zkd`xn/

    68 Iaxtik m~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` n` xmd @gvxm izzdivq xg miud fdd`

    ivgt`h 35: onkkng` lnkgsixxq n` 6::6+ agozivdh snxm 194 onkkng`

    lnkgsixxq n` xmd Qgtxm -Im` 6::8+ 96966.

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    16 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

    etk vin`eikk zvgunhd xmd HZVL snxm t`tqtik m~hvgdkdaxvna zgxd`xnik evgo

    i ckgfik agozivixnud qxi`hzgn`x Nxq vixd ge hdudkgzifkd m~hvgdkdaxvna

    zgsdv zdv qytivd lnkgodxdv nq 338 lnkgsixxq agozivdh snxm xmd ckgfik

    iudvicd ge 4: lnkgsixxq -Im` 6::8+ 69.

    M~hvg zvgunhdq sdkk gudv mike ge xghi~q dkdaxvna zgsdv qtzzk~ n`

    xmd HZVL+ i`h zvghtaxng` agtkh akdivk~ cg mncmdv snxm ihhnxng`ik aizn/

    xik n`udqxod`x i`h izzknaixng` ge ogvd qgzmnqxnaixdh xdam`gkgc~64 ^dx+

    htvn`c xmd Lgvdi` hv~ qdiqg`+ xmd gzdvixn`c aizianx~ ge m~hvgdkdaxvna

    zgsdv zki`xq n` xmd HZVL hvgzq qmivzk~+ qdudvdk~ hdavdiqn`c xmd iogt`x

    ge zgsdv cd`dvixdh i`h+ xmtq+ cnun`c i hnqxn`axk~ a~aknaik amiviaxdv xg

    @gvxm Lgvdiq qdag`hiv~ d`dvc~ qtzzk~ Xmnq nq dqzdanikk~ n`ag`ud`nd`x

    i`h evtqxvixn`c xg @gvxm Lgvdi` dag`gona zki``dvq fdaitqd =4 zdvad`xge xmd HZVLq m~hvgzgsdv nq miv`dqqdh egv n`htqxvnik tqd

    @gvxm Lgvdi ikqg miq qnc`nenai`x agik vdqgtvadq+ dqzdanikk~ i`xmvi/

    anxd i`h knc`nxd agik+ ogqxk~ zvghtadh evgo t`hdvcvgt`h on`dq -Ug`

    Mnzzdk dx ik 6::9+ 96. Xmnq hgodqxna agik+ ikxmgtcm vdkixnudk~ kgs n`

    ytiknx~+ nq `dudvxmdkdqq @gvxm Lgvdiq oin` etdk egv dkdaxvnanx~ cd`dvi/

    xng` dx agik on`n`c tqtikk~ vdytnvdq dkdaxvnanx~ egv kncmxn`c+ bialmio/

    odvq+ i`h ogun`c agik gtx ge xmd on`dq

    N` ihhnxng`+ oi`~ nozgvxi`x agik qdioq ivd iaxtikk~ fd`dixm xmdqdifdh+ dqzdanikk~ gee xmd sdqxdv` agiqx `div I`bt+ smnam vdytnvdq qdi/

    sixdv xg fd ag`xn`tgtqk~ ztozdh gtx egv xmd on`dq xg gzdvixd Qdudvik

    ge xmdqd on`dq sdvd ekgghdh n` xmd onh/9>>:q N` ihhnxng`+ xmd agik xmix

    ai` fd zvghtadh n` @gvxm Lgvdi nq t`dud` n` ytiknx~+ smnam avdixdq

    qnc`nenai`x gzdvixng`ik zvgfkdoq+ dqzdanikk~ egv ds agik/envdh zki`xq

    N` 6::9+ agik zvgunhdh izzvg}noixdk~ =5 zdvad`x ge @gvxm Lgvdiq

    zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng`+ i qmivd xmix vgqd qmivzk~ htvn`c xmd 9>>:q

    iq xmd HZVLq nqgkixng` evgo xmd fvgihdv sgvkh n`xd`qnendh Egkkgsn`cxmd mikx ge LDHG avthd gnk qmnzod`xq n` Hdadofdv 6::6+ @gvxm Lgvdi

    xtv`dh dud` ogvd n`xd`qnudk~ xg agik iq xmd g`k~ etdk nx agtkh n`avdiqd

    xmvgtcm nxq gs` deegvxq N` 6::1+ egv d}iozkd+ xmd @gvxm n`avdiqdh fth/

    cdx ikkgaixng`q xg agik zvghtaxng` f~ ogvd xmi` 1: zdvad`xf~ eiv xmd

    kivcdqx n`avdiqd n` xmd agt`xv~q g`onknxiv~ fthcdx65 Xmd HZVL nq ix/

    64 N` 6::6 m~hvgdkdaxvnanx~ ag xvnftxdh ifgtx 48 zdvad`x ge xmd xgxik

    dkdaxvnanx~ qtzzk~ n` xmd HZVL< qdd xmd NDI Sdf qnxd+ sssndigvc'

    65 Gxmdv fthcdx d}zd`hnxtvd n`avdiqdq n`akthdh icvnatkxtvd -n`avdiqd ge 691zdvad`x.+ qand`ad i`h xdam`gkgc~ -n`avdiqd ge 943 zdvad`x.+ i`h dkdaxvna/nx~ -n`avdiqd ge 96= zdvad`x. -Im` 6::8+ 48.

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    @gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 11

    xdozxn`c xg n`avdiqd agik zvghtaxng` f~ fgxm nozvgun`c xdam`gkgc~ i`h

    oghdv`nrn`c d}nqxn`c kivcd/qaikd on`dq iq nx ikqg hdudkgzq qoikkdv on`dq

    I en`ik avtanik dkdod`x ge @gvxm Lgvdiq zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ qnxtixng`

    nq xmd noziax xmix xmd qtqzd`qng` ge xmd LDHG icvddod`x nq miun`c g`

    xmd HZVLq d`dvc~ anvatoqxi`adq Xmnq noziax nq ag`ad`xvixdh ix xmd

    Z~g`c~i`c xmdvogdkdaxvna zgsdv zki`xxmd g`d zki`x n` @gvxm Lgvdi

    dytnzzdh xg fd etdkdh f~ mdiu~ gnk Xmnq zki`x tqdh 6+::: xg 4+::: xg`q

    ge avthd gnk qtzzkndh f~ xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq htvn`c xmd qdud` ~divq xmd

    LDHG icvddod`x siq gzdvixng`ik N` Bi`tiv~ 6::1+ mgsdudv+ iexdv xmd

    mikx n` LDHG mdiu~/gnk qmnzod`xq+ g`k~ 5 ge 91 fgnkdvq sdvd gzdvixn`c+

    i`h xmd dkdaxvnanx~ cd`dvixdh edkk xg xmd kgsdqx kdudk ge xmd cd`dvixgvq

    aizianx~ -LHN 6::1+ =1. Qtqzd`qng` ge xmd 9>>4 icvddod`x miq izziv/d`xk~ ag`xn`tdh xg miud i gxnadifkd noziax xmix qmgtkh zvgunhd xmd HZVL

    snxm xi`cnfkd dag`gona n`ad`xnudq egv vdqgktxng` ge xmd `takdiv avnqnq

    Dkdaxvna Zgsdv Cd`dvixng`

    Dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` miq fdd` i ad`xvik zvngvnx~ ge xmd @gvxm Lg/

    vdi` vdcnod egv `divk~ i mike ad`xtv~+ iq `gxdh divkndv N`hddh+ nx ki~ ix

    xmd mdivx ge xmd envqx Qdud`/ div Zki` -9>593:. Xmix zki` qxvdqqdh xmd

    hdudkgzod`x ge xmdvoik/zgsdv cd`dvixng` xg qtzzkdod`x xmd m~hvgdkda/

    xvna zgsdv g` smnam xmd HZVL vdkndh egv >: zdvad`x ge nxq xgxik dkdaxvna/

    nx~ qtzzk~ ix xmd xnod

    D}zi`hn`c zgsdv cd`dvixng` siq ikqg ag`qnqxd`xk~ i zvngvnx~ ge xmd

    Qn}/ div Zki` -9>3935.< xmd qdag`h Qdud`/^div Zki` -9>3==8.< i`h

    xmd xmnvh Qdud`/^div Zki` -9>=3>1. Ikxmgtcm xmd HZVL miq gx hviexdh

    agozvdmd`qnud dag`gona zki`q qn`ad xmd kiqx ge xmdqd siq agozkdxdh+

    nxq ogqx vdad`x ixxdozx ix qmizn`c nxq dag`gona etxtvdxmd Xmvdd/ div

    Zki` egv Etdk i`h Zgsdv -6::1:4.ag`ad`xvixdq qzdanenaikk~ g` xmix

    qdaxgv+ qtccdqxn`c xmd ag`xn`tn`c nozgvxi`ad xg @gvxm Lgvdiq xdam`g/

    avixna kdihdvq ge dkdaxvna zgsdv -Im` 6::8+ >3969.

    Hdqznxd xmd nozgvxi`ad ge dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` aizianx~ xg xmd

    HZVLq dag`gona hdudkgzod`x i`h xmd zvngvnx~ xmix nozvgudod`xq n`

    xmix ivdi izzdiv xg mgkh egv xmd `ixng`q kdihdvq+ zgsdv cd`dvixng` vd/

    oin`q i qdvngtq hgodqxna dag`gona ag`qxvin`x M~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv

    zki`xq cd`dvixd izzvg}noixdk~ xsg/xmnvhq ge @gvxm Lgvdiq dkdaxvnanx~+i`h xmdvoik zgsdv zki`xq izzvg}noixdk~ g`d/xmnvh Ikk d}adzx xmd

    Z~g`c~i`c xmdvoik zgsdv qxixng`+ smnam vdkndh g` xmd mdiu~ etdk gnk

    xmix siq atx gee smd` xmd LDHG icvddod`x siq qtqzd`hdh n` 6::6+ ivd

    agik envdh

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    18 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

    Xmd HZVLq dkdaxvnanx~ qtzzk~ xmtq qteedvq n`hnvdaxk~ evgo i vi`cd

    ge hneenatkxndq vdkixn`c xg agik zvghtaxng` i`h xvi`qzgvxixng` G`d nq xmd

    hdavdznx ytiknx~ ge xmd vgkkn`c qxgal xmix xvi`qzgvxq >: zdvad`x ge @gvxm

    Lgvdiq agik f~ vink N` ihhnxng` xg xmnq+ iq otam iq =4 zdvad`x ge xmd

    HZVLq m~hvgdkdaxvna aizianx~ miq fdd` hioicdh f~ ekgghn`c -Nui`gu

    6::6+ 91.

    Gudvikk+ iq knxxkd iq 6: xg 1: zdvad`x ge n`qxikkdh @gvxm Lgvdi` ai/

    zianx~ egv dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng`+ smnam xgxikq vgtcmk~ = xg 9: cnci/

    sixxq+ oi~ iaxtikk~ fd gzdvifkd -Ug` Mnzzdk dx ik 6::9+ 91. Xmnq nq

    qmivzk~ kdqq xmi` ix xmd xnod ge xmd Qgundx agkkizqd ix xmd d`h ge 9>>9+

    smd` xmd hgs`sivh qznvik n` xmd HZVLq dag`gona anvatoqxi`adq fd/

    ci` xg iaadkdvixd N`eviqxvtaxtvik hdakn`d+ i hvgz n` agik zvghtaxng`+ kgsytiknx~ ge agik+ i`h i qmivz hdavdiqd n` gnk nozgvxq miud n`xd`qnendh xmdqd

    zvgfkdoq63

    N`eviqxvtaxtvik hdakn`d miq kdh xg i qxvnln`c i`h qddon`ck~ zivihg}naik

    n`udvqd vdkixng`qmnz fdxsdd` cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ i`h zgsdv zvghtaxng`

    n` xmd @gvxm qn`ad xmd agkkizqd ge xmd Qgundx T`ng` Iq n`hnaixdh n`

    Xifkd 8.9+ zgsdv zvghtaxng` aizianx~ d}zi`hdh ogvd xmi` 44 zdvad`x

    fdxsdd` 9>>: i`h 6::1+ otam ge nx ag`ad`xvixdh n` qoikk/qaikd kgaik

    zki`xq kivcdk~ n`hdzd`hd`x ge xmd t`vdknifkd `ixng`ik cvnh ^dx iaxtikzgsdv zvghtaxng` izzdivq xg miud hdakn`dh f~ ogvd xmi` 8: zdvad`x

    htvn`c xmd qiod zdvngh F~ 6::1 @gvxm Lgvdiq cd`dvixn`c aizianx~

    siq kdqq xmi` g`d/qdud`xm ge xmix n` xmd Qgtxm+ ftx nxq iaxtik zgsdv zvg/

    htaxng` siq g`k~ g`d/xmnvxdd`xm xmix ge xmd Qgtxm gsn`c xg amvg`na zvg/

    htaxng` i`h xvi`qonqqng` hneenatkxndq i`h i cvnh n` udv~ zggv ag`hnxng`

    Xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` cgudv`od`x nxqdke nq akdivk~ ag`ad`xvixn`c i oi/

    bgv qmivd ge xmd hgodqxna vdqgtvadq nx hdugxdq xg g`onknxiv~ ztvqtnxq g`

    xmd dkdaxvna zgsdv qdaxgv Nx n`udqxq nxq vdud`tdq evgo Zdgzkdq Qtfqnq/xd`ad Fg`hq+ egv d}iozkd+ n` zgsdv cd`dvixng` -Im` 6::8+ >>. dx xmnq

    zvngvnx~ xvdixod`x nq gx deedaxnudk~ ivvdqxn`c xmd qxdih~ hdxdvngvixng` ge

    i avtanik qdaxgv smgqd hdai~ nq cd`dvixn`c zdvuiqnud+ agvvgqnud deedaxq

    iavgqq xmd HZVL zgknxnaik dag`go~ iq i smgkd @gvxm Lgvdi ai` xmtq

    fd d}zdaxdh xg uiktd mncmk~ i`~ oibgv egvdnc` zvgzgqikq egv d`dvc~ iq/

    qnqxi`ad xivcdxdh n` xmd dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`dvixng` i`h xvi`qonqqng` iv/

    diq Qtam zvgbdaxq+ xgcdxmdv snxm izzvgzvnixd qdvunad zvgunqng` i`h zvg/

    63 Xmd hvgz n` agik zvghtaxng` i`h ytiknx~ hdzvdqq gzdvixn`c vixngq fdaitqd

    ge xmdnv noziax g` xvi`qzgvxixng`< ogqx ge xmd agik tqdh n` @gvxm Lgvdi`

    zgsdv zki`xq+ nvg`naikk~+ nq xvi`qzgvxdh f~ vink Xmd hdakn`d n` gnk nozgvxq

    gfungtqk~ ieedaxq xmd ifnknx~ ge gnk/envdh zki`xq xg gzdvixd

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    @gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 14

    cvioq egv xvin`n`c zdvqg``dk+ agtkh mgkh xmd ld~ xg xmd @gvxmq dag/

    `gona vdunuik

    Dkdaxvna Zgsdv Xvi`qonqqng`

    Dkdaxvna zgsdv xvi`qonqqng` nq i xmnvh oibgv hneenatkx~ xmix @gvxm Lgvdi

    miq snxm nxq qtzzk~ ge hgodqxna d`dvc~< nx nq vdkixdh akgqdk~ xg zvgfkdoq

    ge cd`dvixng` @gvxm Lgvdiq gvncn`ik zgsdv cvnh siq avdixdh n` Bizi/

    `dqd agkg`nik hi~q+ sdkk gudv 5: ~divq icg+ i`h siq hdanoixdh htvn`c

    xmd Lgvdi` Siv Vdetvfnqmdh f~ xmd Qgundx T`ng` n` xmd 9>5:q i`h 9>3:q+

    xmd cvnh miq d}zdvnd`adh n`ihdytixd qdvunan`c qn`ad xmd agkkizqd ge xmd

    TQQV ix xmd d`h ge 9>>9 Xmd kial ge qzivd zivxq+ qaiud`cn`c ge odxik

    -iq fivxdv egv eggh. evgo vdogxd kn`dq n` xmd agt`xv~qnhd+ i`h cd`dvik

    zm~qnaik hdxdvngvixng` miud qdudvdk~ hdcvihdh xmd q~qxdo Zgsdv gtx/

    icdq ivd xmtq agoog` xmvgtcmgtx xmd agt`xv~+ n`akthn`c dud` n`

    Z~g`c~i`c+ i`h d`dvc~ kgqq xmvgtcm n`deenand`x xvi`qonqqng` nq d`gvogtq

    Iq kixd iq xmd divk~ 9>>:q+ ag``daxng`q fdxsdd` dkdod`xq ge xmd

    zgsdv cvnhq xvi`qonqqng` i`h hnqxvnftxng` q~qxdo sdvd n` eiax gzdvixdh

    f~ xdkdzmg`d i`h xdkd}+ snxmgtx xmd qtzzgvx ge itxgoixng` gv agoztxdv

    q~qxdoq -Mi~dq dx ik 6::4. I T`nxdh @ixng`q zvgbdax htvn`c xmix zd/vngh hnh vdzgvxdhk~ n`qxikk qgod ag`xvgk dytnzod`x ix i zgsdv zki`x i`h

    ix qdkdaxdh ag`xvgk ad`xdvq n` xmd Z~g`c~i`c ivdi+ ftx eds gxmdv q~qxdo

    tzcvihdq miud fdd` zdvegvodh Iq i ag`qdytd`ad+ zgsdv gtxicdq+ zggv

    evdytd`a~ ag`xvgk+ i`h gxmdv xdam`naik zvgfkdoq ag`xn`td xg zkictd xmd

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    15 Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

    q~qxdo Ugkxicd i`h evdytd`a~ ektaxtixng`q ivd gvhdvq ge oic`nxthd

    cvdixdv xmi` n`xdv`ixng`ik qxi`hivhq

    @gvxm Lgvdi miq xild` vdad`x qxdzq xg ihhvdqq g`d ge nxq qdvngtq

    dkdaxvna zgsdv cvnh zvgfkdoq N` onh/6::4 @gvxm Lgvdi i``gt`adh i

    `ds+ agoztxdvnrdh cvnh oi`icdod`x q~qxdo xmix sgtkh ikkgs xmd

    HZVLq dkdaxvna zgsdv zvgunhdvq xg l`gs d}iaxk~ mgs otam zgsdv siq

    fdn`c ag`qtodh f~ i cnud` ag`qtodv n` i`~ vdcng`6= Xmnq ds q~qxdo

    sgtkh ikqg ikkgs xmd HZVLq dkdaxvnanx~ zvgunhdvq xg atx gee gv knonx xmd

    iogt`x ge zgsdv ag`qtodh f~ i`~ cnud` ag`qtodv Nx vdoin`q t`akdiv

    mgs deedaxnudk~ xmd zvgzgqdh q~qxdo snkk fd nozkdod`xdh gv mgs otam

    nx snkk iaxtikk~ d`mi`ad otam/`ddhdh d`dvc~ deenand`a~

    D`dvc~ Ikxdv`ixnudq2 @takdiv i`h Fd~g`h

    Cnud` @gvxm Lgvdiq t`hdvk~n`c kial ge gnk i`h ciq+ xgcdxmdv snxm xmd

    ogt`xn`c n`eviqxvtaxtvik zvgfkdoq nx ag`evg`xq n` fgxm dkdaxvna zgsdv

    cd`dvixng` i`h xvi`qonqqng`+ xmd HZVL `ixtvikk~ miq i kg`c/qxi`hn`c

    i`h zdvmizq hddzd`n`c n`xdvdqx n` anunkni` `takdiv zgsdv+ ytnxd izivx

    evgo i`~ onknxiv~ izzknaixng`q Xmnq n`xdvdqx n` anunkni` takdiv zgsdv nq

    etvxmdv d`mi`adh f~ xmd eiax xmix @gvxm Lgvdi nq qdke/qteenand`x n` tvi/

    `nto zvghtaxng`+ snxm qtfqxi`xnik hgodqxna hdzgqnxq n` xmd T`ccn+

    Z~g`cqi`+ i`h Mt`c`io vdcng`q ge xmd HZVL Xmdqd hdzgqnxq+ ago/

    fn`dh snxm @gvxm Lgvdiq cvgsn`c xdam`naik aizianxndq+ cnud Z~g`c~i`c

    xmd zgxd`xnik ifnknx~ xg gzdvixd i akgqdh takdiv etdk a~akd ytnxd n`hdzd`/

    hd`x ge xmd fvgihdv sgvkh N` qmgvx+ `takdiv zgsdv nq @gvxm Lgvdiq

    tkxnoixd vgtxd xg fgxm d`dvc~ n`hdzd`hd`ad i`h zgknxnaik itxg`go~

    Vgtcmk~ 6= zdvad`x ge Qgtxm Lgvdiq cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ nq takdiv+

    ftx @gvxm Lgvdi atvvd`xk~ miq g`d -Mi~dq dx ik 6::4. Nx hgdq+ ge agtvqd+

    gzdvixd g`d 4+:::/lnkgsixx znkgx `takdiv zki`x ix ^g`cf~g`+ ix smnam

    ag`qxvtaxng` qxivxdh n` 9>3> i`h gzdvixng` fdci` n` 9>=5 Xmnq znkgx

    zki`x+ oghdkdh iexdv xmd Aikhdv Mikk takdiv eianknx~ n` xmd T`nxdh Ln`c/

    hgo+ tqdq ixtvik tvi`nto iq etdk i`h+ xg zvgunhd sdizg`q/cvihd zktxg/

    `nto egv @gvxm Lgvdiq onknxiv~ takdiv zvgcvio+ miq zvghtadh xmd =+:::

    nvvihnixdh etdk vghq xmix miud izzivd`xk~ fdd` vdzvgadqqdh qn`ad xmd fvdil/

    hgs` ge xmd Icvddh Eviodsgvl n` 6::6

    T`hdv xmd Icvddh Eviodsgvl+ ag`akthdh fdxsdd` @gvxm Lgvdi i`hxmd T`nxdh Qxixdq n` Gaxgfdv 9>>8+ @gvxm Lgvdi siq xg qtqzd`h ag`/

    qxvtaxng` g` nxq qtqzdax takdiv zvgbdaxq N` vdxtv`+ xsg 9+:::/odcisixx

    6=Iqni Ztkqd+ 9 Itctqx 6::4

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    @gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 13

    kncmx/sixdv vdiaxgvq -KSVq. sdvd xg fd zvgunhdh xg xmd HZVL f~ i

    xivcdx hixd ge 6::1 iq sdkk iq 4::+::: odxvna xg`q ge mdiu~ etdk gnk

    i``tikk~ t`xnk xmd vdiaxgvq fdaiod gzdvixng`ik Xmdqd zvgunqng`q sdvd

    odi`x xg vdzkiad xmd zgxd`xnik d`dvc~ qtzzk~ evgo xmd qtqzdax `takdiv

    zvgbdaxq+ n`akthn`c g`cf~g` Tzg` agozkdxng` ge xmd vdiaxgvq i`h ie/

    xdv i xmvdd/~div cviad zdvngh+ @gvxm Lgvdi siq xg fdcn` vdzi~n`c xmd

    agqx ge xmdqd `ds vdiaxgvq gudv 93 ~divq

    Ag`qxvtaxng` iaxtikk~ fdci` g` g`d ge xmd vdiaxgvq+ ix Ltomg n`

    @gvxm Lgvdi+ snxm Qgtxm Lgvdi i`h Bizi` d}zd`hn`c izzvg}noixdk~ (9

    fnkkng` diam n` qtzzgvx ge xmd zvgbdax xmvgtcm LDHG+ smnam siq dqxif/

    knqmdh t`hdv xmd Icvddh Eviodsgvl I evddrd siq nozgqdh g` xmd Ltomg

    vdiaxgv zvgbdax n` @gudofdv 6::1+ mgsdudv+ i`h iaxnunx~ ix xmd ag`/qxvtaxng` qnxd miq qn`ad egatqdh g` zvdqdvuixng` i`h oin`xd`i`ad ge ei/

    anknxndq i`h zki`xq g` smnam ag`qxvtaxng` mih zvdungtqk~ fdct` -LDHG

    6::8+ 4. Xmd zivxk~ en`nqmdh Ltomg zvgbdax+ `gon`ikk~ ag`qnqxn`c ge

    xsg KSVq+ vdoin`q xmd g`k~ akdivk~ anunkni` `takdiv eianknx~ n` @gvxm

    Lgvdi

    Izivx evgo takdiv zgsdv+ qxnkk n` nxq ag`xvgudvqnik n`ei`a~ n` @gvxm

    Lgvdi+ eds qtfqxi`xnik ikxdv`ixnudq xg agik i`h m~hvgdkdaxvna zgsdv miud

    zvgaddhdh udv~ eiv @ixtvik ciqi` nozgvxi`x gzxng` n` otam ge xmdsgvkh fdaitqd ge nxq mncm d`dvc~ deenand`a~ i`h zgqnxnud d`unvg`od`xik

    ytiknxndqnq ag`qznatgtqk~ hneenatkx xg hdudkgz t`hdv atvvd`x anvato/

    qxi`adq n` xmd HZVL hdqznxd xmd zvg}nonx~ ge Vtqqni snxm ogvd xmi` 1:

    zdvad`x ge zvgud` ckgfik ciq vdqdvudq Qmgtkh i xvi`q/Lgvdi` ciq znzd/

    kn`d oixdvniknrd+ `ixtvik ciq agtkh fd nozgvxi`x egv dkdaxvna zgsdv cd`/

    dvixng` xmvgtcm i qdvndq ge oghdvixd/qnrdh+ agofn`dh/a~akd+ ciq/envdh

    zki`xq ikg`c xmd znzdkn`d Qtam i zvgqzdax nq+ mgsdudv+ n`ediqnfkd gudv

    xmd qmgvx vt`+ i`h @gvxm Lgvdi ai``gx ieegvh xmd qtfqxi`xnik egvdnc`/d}ami`cd agqx ge nozgvxn`c K@C gv ag`qxvtaxn`c xmd n`eviqxvtaxtvd xg

    tqd nx deedaxnudk~ -Aikhdv 6::8.

    N` xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` agt`xv~qnhd+ fngoiqqn`ugkun`c xmd ag`udv/

    qng` ge i`noik i`h mtoi` edvxnknrdv n`xg d`dvc~vdoin`q i oibgv qgtvad

    ge zgsdv+ qtccdqxn`c mgs hdqzdvixd i`h mgs hnqag``daxdh evgo xmd oin`/

    qxvdio ixng`ik dag`go~ otam ge xmd agt`xv~qnhd miq fdagod Fngoiqq

    nq nozgvxi`x n` N`hni i`h Ievnai ftx nq vivdk~ tqdh n` xmd n`htqxvniknrdh

    sgvkh N` 6::6+ qtam agoftqxnfkdq+ vd`dsifkdq+ i`h siqxdq iaagt`xdhegv 46 zdvad`x ge xmd HZVLq xgxik zvnoiv~ d`dvc~ ag`qtozxng` -Lgoiln

    6::4+ 3>. Snxm xmd iqqnqxi`ad ge xmd @itxnktq N`qxnxtxd+ smnam nq fiqdh

    n` Qi` Evi`anqag+ Aiknegv`ni+ @gvxm Lgvdi miq ikqg ftnkx qdud` sn`h/

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    1= Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

    zgsdvdh cd`dvixgvq+ ikxmgtcm xmd cd`dvixn`c aizianx~ nq g`k~ `n`d lnkg/

    sixxq zdv t`nx -Im` 6::1+ 966.

    Vdunds i`h Zvgqzdaxq@gvxm Lgvdiq d`dvc~ n`qdatvnxndq xmtq onvvgv xmgqd ge xmd VGL nxqdke

    Xmd HZVL kialq fgxm gnk i`h `ixtvik ciq ikxmgtcm xmdvd nq qgod zgqqn/

    fnknx~ ge qnc`nenai`x geeqmgvd vdqdvudq ge fgxm+ zvgunhdh xdvvnxgvnik hnq/

    ztxdq snxm `dncmfgvn`c Amn`i ai` fd vdqgkudh i`h egvdnc` aiznxik i`h

    xdam`gkgc~ qtaadqqetkk~ ixxviaxdh N`hddh+ xmd zvgqzdax ge iqqnqxi`ad snxm

    geeqmgvd d`dvc~ hdudkgzod`x nq g`d knxxkd/vdagc`nrdh gzxng` ge zgxd`xnik

    uiktd xg @gvxm Lgvdi xmix oncmx fd ag`qnhdvdh htvn`c xmd g`cgn`c qn}/

    zivx~ takdiv dcgxnixng`q

    N` xmd zgknxnaik/onknxiv~ qzmdvd+ @gvxm Lgvdiq ogqx hnvdax d`dvc~

    utk`dvifnknx~ nq akdivk~ nxq kial ge gnk Zdxvgkdto zvghtaxq+ ge agtvqd+

    sgtkh fd unxik xg i`~ d}xd`hdh onknxiv~ iaxng` icin`qx Qgtxm Lgvdi gv

    gxmdv `ixng`qg` ki`h+ n` xmd inv+ gv ix qdii`h xmgqd unxik zdxvgkdto

    zvghtaxq izzdiv xg fd n` d}xvdodk~ qmgvx qtzzk~ n` xmd HZVL ix zvdqd`x

    Ikxmgtcm i hdaihd icg @gvxm Lgvdi gfxin`dh qtfqxi`xnik gnk evgo Nvi`+

    nxq qtzzkndq miud fdd` n`avdiqn`ck~ knonxdh xg Amn`i+ cnun`c xmd ZVA

    qnc`nenai`x zgxd`xnik kdudvicd icin`qx xmd @gvxm xmix nx zvdqd`xk~ izzdivq

    kgixm xg d}dvanqd

    @gvxm Lgvdiq ogqx zvdqqn`c d`dvc~ sdil`dqq g` xmd anunkni` qnhd

    ge nxq zgknxnaik dag`go~ akdivk~ vdkixdq xg dkdaxvna zgsdv2 fgxm cd`dvi/

    xng` i`h xvi`qonqqng` Xsg/xmnvhq ge xmd HZVLq dkdaxvnanx~+ n`akthn`c

    =4 zdvad`x ge xmix qtzzkndh xg n`htqxv~+ nq m~hvgzgsdv+ smnam miq xmd

    cvdix hnqihui`xicd ge fdn`c qtfbdax xg qdiqg`ik uivnixng` Xmd xmdvoik

    g`d/xmnvh ge zgsdv aizianx~ nq zkictdh f~ xvi`qzgvxixng` hneenatkxndq egv

    agik+ i`h f~ xmd t`iuinkifnknx~ ge mdiu~ etdk gnk+ smnam siq zvgunhdh f~

    xmd T`nxdh Qxixdq t`xnk xmd fvdilhgs` ge xmd LDHG icvddod`x n` Hd/

    adofdv 6::6

    @gvxm Lgvdiq dkdaxvna zgsdv cvnh+ `gs akgqd xg mike i ad`xtv~ gkh

    dud` n` nxq zgqxLgvdi` Siv n`aiv`ixng`+ nq knldsnqd n` n`avdiqn`ck~ zvd/

    aivngtq qmizd Gtxicdq i`h vihnaik ugkxicd ektaxtixng`q n` xmd hgodqxna

    cvnh ivd agoog` Xmd `ixng`ik cvnh nq n`avdiqn`ck~ fvdiln`c hgs` i`h

    fdagon`c vdcng`iknrdh+ snxm i zvgknedvixng` ge qoikk+ n`deenand`x zgsdvzki`xq zvgunhn`c hdad`xviknrdh qgtvadq ge zgsdv

    Xmd avnqnq ge xmd hgodqxna zgsdv cvnh nq qdvngtq evgo i @gvxm Lg/

    vdi` zdvqzdaxnud egv xsg ld~ vdiqg`q2 xmd zgsdv cvnh n`mnfnxq dag`gona

    hdudkgzod`x n` d}nqxn`c qdaxgvq< i`h nx agozknaixdq xmd xiql ge tzcvih/

    n`c n`htqxvnik zvgadqqdq+ txnknxndq+ i`h zgxd`xnik onknxiv~ aizianx~ xmvgtcm

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    @gvxm Lgvdi i`h xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` D`dvc~ Dytixng` 1>

    agoztxdvnrixng` i`h itxgoixng` Qxic`ixng` n` dkdaxvna zgsdv hdudkgz/

    od`x+ n` qmgvx+ nq fdagon`c i qxvinxbialdx egv xmd smgkd @gvxm Lgvdi`

    zgknxnaik dag`go~+ avnzzkn`c nxq ifnknx~ xg agzd snxm ckgfik xdam`gkgcnaik

    hdudkgzod`xq eiv fd~g`h xmd qzmdvd ge d`dvc~

    Vdqgktxng` ge @gvxm Lgvdiq amvg`na d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq nq gfungtqk~

    ge zvngvnx~ n`xdvdqx xg xmd HZVL+ ikxmgtcm nxq iaxtik snkkn`c`dqq xg xvihd

    gee nxq onknxiv~ `takdiv zvgcvio egv anunkni` d`dvc~ iqqnqxi`ad vdoin`q

    qgodsmix t`akdiv+ xmd Qdzxdofdv 6::4 Fdnbn`c qn}/zivx~ hdakivixng`

    `gxsnxmqxi`hn`c Xmd eiax xmix xmd HZVLq envqx qxdz fial n`xg xmd dag/

    `gona/zki``n`c ivd`i+ iexdv kg`c/xdvo zki`q sdvd hnqag`xn`tdh n` xmd

    divk~ 9>>:q+ siq xmd Xmvdd/^div Zki` egv Etdk i`h Zgsdv -6::1:4.

    qtccdqxq xmnq zvngvnx~ Qg hg mncm hdakivdh fthcdx ikkgaixng`q xg fgxmagik zvghtaxng` i`h dkdaxvna zgsdv

    Zgqqnfnknx~ ge Qn}/Zivx~ Aggzdvixng`

    Qmgtkh i unifkd vdqgktxng` xg xmd @gvxm Lgvdi` takdiv zvgfkdon` ikk

    nxq hnod`qng`qen`ikk~ fd iamndudh+ otam zgxd`xnik d}nqxq egv ag`xn`t/

    n`c qn}/zivx~ aggzdvixng` xg ihhvdqq xmd HZVLq d`dvc~ zvgfkdoq N`/

    hddh+ evgo i` dag`gona zdvqzdaxnud+ xmd qn}/zivx~ eviodsgvl izzdivq

    xg fd i` nhdik udmnakd egv hgn`c qg Aizifnknxndq i`h n`ad`xnudq ge diam

    ge xmd qn} zivxndq n` ihhvdqqn`c @gvxm Lgvdi` d`dvc~ nqqtdq qxvg`ck~

    agozkdod`x g`d i`gxmdv i`h ivd d`mi`adh f~ xmn`ln`c i`h zki``n`c n`

    i fvgih vdcng`ik ag`xd}x Xmd @gvxmdiqx Iqni` vdcng` iq i smgkd+ iexdv

    ikk+ miq fgxm qdudvd zvgqzdaxnud d`dvc~ qmgvxicdq+ dqzdanikk~ snxm vd/

    qzdax xg dkdaxvna zgsdv+ i`h oibgv t`hdvk~n`c vdcng`ik qxvd`cxmq+ ziv/

    xnatkivk~ n` ixtvik ciq vdqdvudq i`h m~hvgdkdaxvna zgxd`xnik

    Cnud` xmd zvgqzdaxq ge vnqn`c n`xdvhdzd`hd`ad i`h tkxnoixd vdt`nen/

    aixng`+ Qgtxm Lgvdi miq qxvg`c n`ad`xnudq xg aggzdvixd i`h xg n`udqx

    mdiunk~ n` @gvxm Lgvdi` n`eviqxvtaxtvd iq xmd qmihgsq ge vdt`nenaixng`

    hddzd` Bizi` miq vdkdui`x xdam`gkgc~+ dqzdanikk~ n` kg`c/hnqxi`ad zgsdv

    xvi`qonqqng` i`h d`dvc~ deenand`a~+ i`h nq snhdk~ d}zdaxdh xg oild i

    oibgv en`i`anik ag`xvnftxng` xg @gvxm Lgvdi` dag`gona hdudkgzod`x ix

    qgod zgn`x n` gvhdv xg `gvoiknrd zgknxnaik vdkixng`q i`h vdqgkud mnqxgvn/

    aik nqqtdq

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    8: Lgvdiq D`dvc~ N`qdatvnxndq

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    89

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