kvr&rsd/090306 1

Regional Variations in Sectorwise GSDP

K.V.Raju and R.S.DeshpandeInstitute for Social and Economic Change

BangaloreEmail: kvraju@isec.ac.in and deshpande@isec.ac.in

kvr&rsd/090306 2

    • Researchers are increasingly finding that Long Term growth function is closer to ‘hyperbolic’ than an ‘exponential’ function.

• Difference between exponential and hyperbolic growth function is due to ‘dynamic inconsistency’

Methodology: ‘hyperbolic’ growth function

kvr&rsd/090306 3

. Hyperbolic compounding is a gradually

increasing function where the degree of compounding is

inversely proportional to time ‘t’, qualified by degree of time preference ‘’, as given.

If Present valuet =

Future value / [1 + t](r/) ,, Future value = Present valuet [1 + t](r/)

Where t = time, r = interest rate and = intensity of time preference, varying between 0 and 1, with 0 representing low or no time preference and 1 representing high time preference.

kvr&rsd/090306 4

. if there is no time preference,

present value = future value and if time preference is 1, hyperbolic growth function is same as exponential growth funtion.

As time t is not exponential expression in ‘hyperbolic’ growth function, the degree of compounding in ‘hyperbolic’ is lower than in ‘exponential’ method.

Thus, the higher the value of , lower is the difference between estimated values obtained in the near and distant future. The lower the value of , wider is the difference between estimated values obtained in the near and distant future. Due to hyperbolic function present values fall less drastically compared to exponentially estimated values as the growth rate is weighted by alpha, the parameter, indicating degree of time preference.

kvr&rsd/090306 5

Alpha value should be near to zero and growth rate should be high in the beginning but alpha value should be near to one and growth rate should be low in the future periods.

The crux of this method thus is in choosing the alpha value. The base line data (1997-98) used for the water use projections are from NCIWRD.

The 1997-98 base line data on water use for different uses from NCIWRD are projected for 2010, 2025 and 2050 using hyperbolic compounding. The values of alpha and growth rates used in projections are given .

kvr&rsd/090306 6

Water use for Agriculture

Year t r

2010 13 0.012 0.02

2025 28 0.0125 0.025

2050 53 0.013 0.03

Water use for domestic purposes 

Year t r

2010 13 0.02 0.02

2025 28 0.03 0.025

2050 53 0.06 0.03

kvr&rsd/090306 7

Water use for industrial purposes

Year t r

2010 13 0.025 0.07

2025 28 0.03 0.05

2050 53 0.06 0.04

Water use for other purposes 

Year t r

2010 13 0.025 0.07

2025 28 0.03 0.05

2050 53 0.9 0.04

kvr&rsd/090306 8

Region-wise Ranking of Major States Based on GSDP Agriculture sector

Region 1994-95 2000-2001 2005-2006 2010-2011 2015-2016 2020-2021 2024-2025

North Uttar Pradesh

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

Punjab 7 6 6 6 6 6 6

Haryana 12 11 11 11 11 11 12

Himachal Pradesh 17 17 17 17 17 17 17

West Maharashtra

 2

 2

 2

 4

 4

 4

 4

Gujarat 6 12 5 5 5 5 6

Madhya Pradesh 8 10 7 7 10 10 11

Rajasthan 10 9 8 8 7 9 9

East Bihar

 11

 8

 10

 10

 9

 7

 7

West Bengal 4 5 2 2 2 2 2

Orissa 14 14 13 14 14 14 14

Assam 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Jharkhand 16 16 14 13 12 12 10

South Andhra Pradesh

 3

 3

 3

 3

 3

 3

 3

Karnataka 9 4 9 9 8 8 8

Tamil Nadu 5 7 12 12 13 13 13

Kerala 13 13 16 16 16 16 16

kvr&rsd/090306 9

GSDP from Primary Sector Based Region-wise Major States Rankings

Region 1994-95 2000-2001 2005-2006 2010-2011 2015-2016 2020-2021 2024-2025

North Uttar Pradesh

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

Punjab 10 6 8 8 7 7 9

Haryana 12 12 12 12 12 12 12

Himachal Pradesh 17 17 17 17 17 17 17

West Maharashtra

 2

 3

 4

 4

 4

 4

 4

Gujarat 5 11 5 5 5 5 6

Madhya Pradesh 6 9 6 6 8 10 11

Rajasthan 9 10 7 7 6 6 7

East Bihar

 11

 8

 10

 10

 10

 9

 8

West Bengal 4 4 3 3 3 3 2

Orissa 14 13 14 13 13 13 13

Assam 15 16 15 15 15 15 15

Jharkhand 16 14 13 11 11 8 5

South Andhra Pradesh

 3

 2

 2

 2

 2

 2

 3

Karnataka 8 5 9 9 9 11 10

Tamil Nadu 7 7 11 14 14 14 14

Kerala 13 15 16 16 16 16 16

kvr&rsd/090306 10

GSDP from Secondary Sector Based Region-wise Major States Rankings

Region 1994-95 2000-2001 2005-2006 2010-2011 2015-2016 2020-2021 2024-2025

North Uttar Pradesh

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

 2

 2

Punjab 10 10 11 12 13 13 13

Haryana 11 11 10 10 10 10 10

Himachal Pradesh 18 17 15 15 16 16 16

Delhi 12 12 12 11 11 11 11

West Maharashtra

 2

 2

 2

 8

 8

 8

 7

Gujarat 4 4 3 2 2 1 1

Madhya Pradesh 9 9 8 7 7 7 6

Rajasthan 8 8 9 9 9 9 9

East Bihar

 17

 15

 16

 17

 17

 17

 17

West Bengal 6 6 7 5 4 4 4

Orissa 15 16 18 19 19 19 19

Assam 16 18 17 18 18 18 18

Jharkhand 14 14 13 13 12 12 12

South Andhra Pradesh

 5

 5

 6

 6

 6

 5

 5

Karnataka 7 7 5 3 3 3 3

Tamil Nadu 3 3 4 4 5 6 8

Kerala 13 13 14 14 14 14 15

kvr&rsd/090306 11

Region 1994-95 2000-2001 2005-2006 2010-2011 2015-2016 2020-2021 2024-2025

North Uttar Pradesh

 2

 2

 2

 1

 1

 1

 1

Punjab 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Haryana 14 14 12 12 11 11 10

Himachal Pradesh 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Delhi 8 8 8 8 7 6 5

West Maharashtra

 1

 1

 1

 2

 2

 2

 2

Gujarat 6 6 7 7 8 8 8

Madhya Pradesh 10 11 11 11 12 12 12

Rajasthan 9 9 10 10 10 10 11

East Bihar

 12

 12

 13

 13

 13

 13

 13

West Bengal 5 4 3 3 3 3 3

Orissa 15 15 15 15 15 15 15

Assam 16 16 16 16 16 16 16

Jharkhand 17 17 17 17 17 17 17

South Andhra Pradesh

 4

 5

 5

 6

 6

 7

 7

Karnataka 7 7 6 5 4 4 4

Tamil Nadu 3 3 4 4 5 5 6

Kerala 11 10 9 9 9 9 9

GSDP from Tertiary Sector Based Region-wise Major States Rankings

kvr&rsd/090306 12

GSDP (all Sectors-Total) Based Rankings of Major States

Region 1994-95 2000-2001 2005-2006 2010-2011 2015-2016 2020-2021 2024-2025

North Uttar Pradesh

 2

 2

 2

 4

 6

 7

 8

Punjab 10 10 11 13 13 13 13

Haryana 13 14 13 12 11 11 11

Himachal Pradesh 18 18 18 18 18 18 18

Delhi 14 11 10 9 8 8 6

West Maharashtra

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

 1

Gujarat 5 6 4 3 3 3 3

Madhya Pradesh 8 9 9 10 10 10 10

Rajasthan 9 8 8 8 9 9 9

East Bihar

 12

 13

 14

 14

 14

 14

 14

West Bengal 6 5 3 2 2 2 2

Orissa 15 15 15 16 16 16 16

Assam 17 17 17 17 17 17 17

Jharkhand 16 16 16 15 15 15 15

South Andhra Pradesh

 4

 4

 5

 5

 4

 5

 5

Karnataka 7 7 7 7 5 4 4

Tamil Nadu 3 3 6 6 7 6 7

Kerala 11 12 12 11 12 12 12

kvr&rsd/090306 13

GSDP from agriculture sector

14.8

6.6

4.6

0.6

9.3

6.6

6.4

6.2

5.7

7.6

2.9

2.5

1.7

8

6.2

6.7

3.4

15.5

7.1

4.6

0.6

9.7

4.3

5.2

5.3

6.1

8.4

2.4

2.3

1.5

9.6

8.4

6.3

2.5

14.9

7

4.7

0.6

8.8

8

6.8

6.4

5.2

8.9

2.7

2.3

2.5

8.8

5.8

4.2

2

15

7.1

4.8

0.7

8.6

7.8

6.3

6.2

5.5

9.7

2.6

2.1

3

9

5.9

3.7

1.6

15

7.2

4.8

0.7

8.5

7.6

5.8

6.1

5.9

10.5

2.5

2

3.7

9.2

5.9

3.2

1.3

14.9

7.3

4.7

0.7

8.3

7.4

5.3

5.8

6.2

11.3

2.4

1.9

4.4

9.3

5.9

2.8

1

14.8

7.3

4.7

0.7

8.1

7.2

4.9

5.7

6.4

12

2.3

1.8

5.1

9.4

5.9

2.5

0.9

UP

Punjab

Haryana

HP

Maha

Gujarat

MP

Rajasthan

Bihar

W.B

Orissa

Assam

J harkhand

A.P

Karnataka

T.N

Kerala

Nort

hW

est

East

South

2024-252020-212015-162010-112005-062000-011994-95

kvr&rsd/090306 14

GSDP from Primary Sector

13.5

5.8

4.1

0.6

9.2

7

6.6

6

5.3

7.9

3.4

2.9

2.8

8.3

6.1

6.5

3.6

14.4

6.1

4

0.6

9.5

4.7

5.5

5.3

5.6

8.6

3.1

2.6

3

10

7.8

6

2.7

13.8

5.9

4

0.7

8.6

7.6

6.8

6.4

4.9

9.2

3.7

2.6

3.8

9.7

5.5

4.1

2.3

13.9

6

4

0.7

8.4

7.3

6.4

6.3

5.1

9.9

3.8

2.4

4.4

10.3

5.5

3.6

1.9

13.9

6

3.9

0.7

8.1

6.9

5.9

6.2

5.4

10.6

3.8

2.2

5.1

10.8

5.5

3.2

1.5

13.9

5.9

3.8

0.7

7.9

6.6

5.5

6.1

5.7

11.3

3.8

2

5.8

11.3

5.4

2.8

1.3

13.9

5.9

3.8

0.6

7.6

6.3

5.2

6

5.9

11.9

3.8

1.9

6.5

11.7

5.4

2.5

1.1

UP

Punjab

Haryana

HP

Maha

Gujarat

MP

Rajasthan

Bihar

W.B

Orissa

Assam

Jharkhand

A.P

Karnataka

T.N

Kerala

No

rth

We

st

Ea

st

So

uth

2024-25

2020-21

2015-16

2010-11

2005-06

2000-01

1994-95

kvr&rsd/090306 15

GSDP from secondary sector

19.1

3.1

2.9

0.8

2.8

17.2

9.1

4.2

4.5

0.9

5.8

1.3

1.1

2.4

6.5

5.1

10.1

2.7

19.1

3.2

3

0.9

2.9

14.8

9.8

4.7

4.9

1.2

6.2

1

0.9

2.4

6.2

5.8

9.9

2.6

16.6

3.2

3.2

1.1

2.9

15.1

11.6

4.7

4.6

1

6.6

0.8

0.9

2.8

6.7

6.8

8.2

2.5

17.3

3.3

3.7

1.3

3.4

5.5

13.9

5.5

5.3

1

7.4

0.7

0.8

3.2

7.4

8.4

8.2

2.6

16.1

3.1

3.8

1.5

3.6

5.7

14.7

5.7

5.4

1

7.3

0.5

0.7

3.2

7.2

9.2

7.3

2.4

15.4

3

3.8

1.7

3.7

5.9

15.4

5.9

5.5

0.9

7.2

0.4

0.6

3.2

7

10.1

6.4

2.2

16

2.8

3.8

1.8

3.8

6.1

16

6.1

5.5

0.9

7.1

0.3

0.5

3.1

6.8

10.7

5.8

2.1

UP

Punjab

Haryana

HP

Delhi

Maha

Gujarat

MP

Rajasthan

Bihar

W.B

Orissa

Assam

Jharkhand

A.P

Karnataka

T.N

Kerala

No

rth

We

st

Ea

st

So

uth

2024-25

2020-21

2015-16

2010-11

2005-06

2000-01

1994-95

kvr&rsd/090306 16

GSDP from tertiary sector

11.4

3.2

2.3

0.6

5.3

17.8

6.6

4.4

4.4

3.3

7.9

2.2

1.9

1.5

8.4

5.5

8.4

4.4

14

2.9

2.5

0.6

5.8

16.4

6.4

3.8

4.4

3

8.4

2

1.5

1.2

7.8

6.1

8.5

4.3

15.6

2.5

2.7

0.6

5.8

16.4

6.4

3.5

3.9

2.6

9.2

1.9

1.4

1.1

7.4

6.6

8

4.2

17.8

2.2

2.8

0.6

6

15.6

6.2

3

3.7

2.4

9.7

1.7

1.2

0.9

6.9

7.2

7.6

4.1

20.2

1.9

3

0.6

6.2

14.6

6

2.6

3.5

2.2

10.1

1.6

1

0.8

6.5

7.7

7.2

3.9

22.8

1.6

3.1

0.5

6.2

13.6

5.8

2.3

3.3

2

10.6

1.4

0.9

0.7

6

8.2

6.7

3.8

25

1.5

3.2

0.5

6.3

12.8

5.6

2

3.1

1.9

10.9

1.3

0.8

0.6

5.6

8.6

6.4

3.6

UP

Punjab

Haryana

HP

Delhi

Maha

Gujarat

MP

Rajasthan

Bihar

W.B

Orissa

Assam

Jharkhand

A.P

Karnataka

T.N

Kerala

No

rth

We

st

Ea

st

So

uth

2024-25

2020-21

2015-16

2010-11

2005-06

2000-01

1994-95

kvr&rsd/090306 17

GSDP from all sectors-total

11.3

4.1

3.1

0.7

3.1

15.4

7.7

5.2

5.1

3.3

7.6

2.6

2.1

2.2

8.1

5.7

8.6

3.8

10.3

4

3.2

0.7

3.8

15.1

7.3

4.8

5

3.3

8.3

2.3

1.7

2.1

8.4

6.8

8.8

3.6

9.3

3.6

3.3

0.8

4.2

15.5

8.7

4.8

5

2.8

9

2.3

1.6

2.3

8.3

6.9

7.8

3.5

8.5

3.4

3.4

0.8

4.8

15.2

9

4.5

5

2.7

9.7

2.1

1.4

2.2

8.3

7.5

7.6

3.4

7.7

3.2

3.5

0.8

5.5

14.8

9.2

4.2

4.9

2.6

10.3

2

1.2

2.2

8.4

8.2

7.4

3.3

7

3

3.5

0.9

6.3

14.4

9.5

4

4.8

2.6

11

1.8

1.1

2.1

8.4

8.8

7.2

3.2

6.4

2.8

3.6

0.9

7

14

9.6

3.7

4.8

2.5

11.6

1.7

0.9

2.1

8.3

9.4

7

3.1

UP

Punjab

Haryana

HP

Delhi

Maha

Gujarat

MP

Rajasthan

Bihar

W.B

Orissa

Assam

Jharkhand

A.P

Karnataka

T.N

Kerala

No

rth

We

st

Ea

st

So

uth

2024-25

2020-21

2015-16

2010-11

2005-06

2000-01

1994-95

kvr&rsd/090306 18

GSDP from secondary sector-major states

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

14000000

16000000

18000000

20000000

Andhra PradeshKarnatakaKeralaTamil Nadu

AssamBiharJharkhandOrissaWest Bengal

DelhiUttar PradeshPunjabHaryanaHimachal Pradesh

Madhya PradeshMaharashtraRajasthanGoaGujarat

kvr&rsd/090306 19

GSDP from Primary sector-major states

0

1000000

2000000

3000000

4000000

5000000

6000000

7000000 Andhra Pradesh

Karnataka

Kerala

Tamil Nadu

Assam

Bihar

Jharkhand

Orissa

West Bengal

Delhi

Uttar Pradesh

Punjab

Haryana

Himachal Pradesh

GoaGujarat

Madhya Pradesh

Maharashtra

Rajasthan

kvr&rsd/090306 20

Water Use Components Boiler and Cooling Paper Pulp and Processing Beverages and Food processing Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals Textiles, Jute fiber, Wool Silk etc Repair and Services Washing, Cleaning, Solvent

kvr&rsd/090306 21

kvr&rsd/090306 22

Industrial Consumptive Water use,1995, 2010 and 2025 Industrial (km3)

BAU Projections

1995 baseline

estimates 2010 2025 India 7.2 13.8 15.7 World 156.9 211.0 235.2

Source : Rosengrant etal.,(2002). World Water and Food to 2025, IFPRI, Washington Notes : BAU indicates business-as-usual scenario;km3, cubic kilometers

kvr&rsd/090306 23

Highest Water Consuming States{Water Use in Proportion to the}

Density of Units

Fixed Capital Invested

Material Consumed

Workers Density

Tamil naduMaharashtraGujaratAndhra PradeshUttar PradeshKarnatakaWest Bengal

GujaratMaharashtraTamilNaduKarnatakaAndhra PradeshUttar Pradesh

MaharashtraGujaratTamilNaduAndhra PradeshKarnatakaHaryanaUttarPradesh

Tamil naduMaharashtraGujaratWest BengalUttar PradeshAndhra PradeshKarnatakaHaryana

kvr&rsd/090306 24

Category of Industry

Water Require

ment m3/tonnes/yr/yr

Waste Water

Generation

m3/tonne

Product on in 1000

tonnes

Water Req.

Mm3/yr1997

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2000

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2010

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2025

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2050

Integrated Iron and Steel 22 15 119.39 2626.58 3829.1 5837.7 6012.6 12035.1

Smelters 82.5 65 174 11.7 16.76 24.14 32.31 44.35

Petrochemicals and Refinery 17 13 1.255 21.34 23.47 30.61 37.76 55.61

Chemicals-Causic Soda 5.5 1 1459.3 8.03 8.65 10.2 12.67 19.07

Textil and Jute 200 150

24730.2 4863.02

8153.72 19018.78 36701.4 46923.5

kvr&rsd/090306 25

Category of Industry

Water Require

ment m3/tonnes/yr/y

r

Waste Water

Generation

m3/tonne

Product on in 1000

tonnes

Water Req.

Mm3/yr1997

Water Req.

Mm3/yr

2000

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2010

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2025

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2050

Pharmaceuticals 25 NA 4190 104.75 124 209.25 276.15 429.15

Distillary (Req.per 1000 litres) 22 12

1790.8

3939.76

6357.2 66.31 318 5203.92

Pesticides 6.5 5 86 3.78 6.67 1.99 4.82 8.38

Paper and Pulp 200 175 3100 852.5

1259.5 207 10240 19490

General Engineering 2.2 175 5779

1271.38

1433.2 23.66 27.82 55.63

Total - - -15282.

924482

.9732229.1

369768.

77102535.

75

kvr&rsd/090306 26

Category of Industry

Water Require

ment m3/tonnes/yr/y

r

Waste Water

Generation

m3/tonne

Product on in 1000

tonnes

Water Req.

Mm3/yr1997

Water Req.

Mm3/yr

2000

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2010

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2025

Water Req.

Mm3/yr2050

Cement 4.5 NA 76 418 599.5 985.5 1777.5 3370.5

Fertilizer 16.7 3.511155

.3 147.51220.1

1 630.961105.0

9 1192.75

Leather Products 30 28 912.5 30.12

1244.65 65.74 93.08 147.83

Rubber 6.6 5403.2

4 2.66 3.04 4.3 6.41 9.54

Food Processing 6.8 NA 96.45 848.76

991.76 3441.82

9442.76

12298.32

Inorganic Chemicals 200 4 2.2 96.8

165.44 1600 3346 615.2

Sugar 2.2 0.4 14.5 36.21 46.2 71.17 334.4 636.9

kvr&rsd/090306 27

Work Needed Basin wise Industrial Growth Water Demand in the Regional

Perspective Choice of Right Methodology

kvr&rsd/090306 28

Service sector

kvr&rsd/090306 29

Scenario Year 2010

Year 2025

Year 2050

Low Demand – Total

42 55 90

Surface Water 23 30 48

Ground Water 19 25 42

High Demand – Total

43 62 111

Surface Water 24 36 65

Ground Water 19 26 46

. National Water Requirements for Domestic &Municipal Use

(Quantity in km3 )

kvr&rsd/090306 30

TWO PROBLEMS first, the availability of data on exact

water use in different components of the service sector is quite fragmentary.

Second, this is a sector is changing extremely rapidly and has location, both in peri-urban as well as in rural areas. That makes the best sensible assumptions fragile.

kvr&rsd/090306 31

Normative Approach

Various std suggested for estimating water requirement for human use.

Gleick (1997) estimated 50 lpcd as the basic human need. WHO suggested a target of 200-lpcd in urban areas CPHEEO prescribed norms of 70-200 lpcd for urban areas Different factors affect water use in rural and urban

areas especially in service sector. include population size of a habitat, economic status,

commercial and manufacturing activities.

kvr&rsd/090306 32

Contd…

The Eighth Five Year Plan (1992-97) adopted the following norms : a) 125 lpcd for urban areas where piped water

supply and underground sewerage system are available.

b) 70 lpcd for urban areas provided with piped water supply but without underground sewerage.

c)4 lpcd for towns with spot-sources/stand posts with one standpost for 200 families with a maximum walking distance of 10 metres.

kvr&rsd/090306 33

Assessment of Domestic Water Requirement 

Scenario

Population and rate of urbanizationHigh Water RequirementPopulation as per Visaria & Visaria and high rate of urbanizationLow Water RequirementPopulation as per UN low variant and low rate of urbanization

kvr&rsd/090306 34

Sl.No.

Reference All India Population in Year

2000 2010 2016 2020 2025 2050

1 Natarajan (1993)*

1020.5 1183.1   1301    

2 United Nations – 1994Revision **

           

  a. Low variant

1013.5 1156.6   1249.7 1286.3 1345.9

  b. Middle Variant

1022 1189   1327.1 1392 1640

  c. High Variant

1030.5 1221.7   1406.1 1501.5 1980

3 Registrar General of India(1996) #

997 1162 1263.5      

4 Visaria & Visaria 1966##

995 1146     1333 1581

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Norms for Domestic Water Supply at Different Points of Time (in lpcd)

Population Type

Assumed Depth of Irrigation or “Delta”

Year 2010

Year 2025

Year 2050

Class I Cities 220 220 220

Other than Class I Cities

150 165 220

Rural 55 70 150

kvr&rsd/090306 36

Bovine Water Requirement

Bovine population growth rate @ 0.5 %/yr while keeping in view the carrying capacity of the

system and likely stress on natural resources. Norms between 18 to 30 lpcd/animal assumed. NCIWRD estimated water requirement for bovine

population as 4.8 km3, 5.2 km3 and 5.9 km3 for the years 2010, 2025 and 2050 respectively,

This is included in the total water requirement.

kvr&rsd/090306 37

Water Requirement for

Power Development Consumptive

4.48 m3/hour/MW or 3.92 Mm3/year/100 MW

Non-consumptive 1.32 m3/hour/MW or 1.15

Mm3/year/100 MW

kvr&rsd/090306 38

  Total Water Requirement (km3/Year)

    2010 2025 2050

    Low Scenario

High Scenario

Low Scenario

High Scenario

Low Scenario

High Scenario

1 Thermal 2.81 3.43 7.85 9.59 28.71 35.07

2 Hydropower

15.00 15.00 22.00 22.00 30.00 30.00

3 Nuclear 0.29 0.36 1.13 1.38 3.68 4.50

4 Solar/Wind

0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.04

5 Gas based

0.02 0.02 0.06 0.07 0.18 0.22

  Total 18.1 18.8 31.1 33.1 62.6 69.8

 

kvr&rsd/090306 39

Assumptions• Service sector is one of the fastest growing sector in

Indian economy.• Likely to sustain this growth rate to 2025.• After 2025, likely to decelerate due to high-density in

the sector. • Urbanisation process likely to be slow.• Main issue in water demand for service sector is the

quality of water and its use in the peri-urban areas.• Related issue is water treatment in the service sector,

and specifically for the domestic consumption purposes.

• Modern technology plants for water treatment. • Service sector largely depends on GW.

kvr&rsd/090306 40

Water use Projections for contract farming in different states of India 

States

Area under contract farming(acres) in 2000

Water use for irrigation (acre inches)

Water use for irrigation in Billion Cubic Meters in 2000(BCM or KM3)

Projections of water use based on compound growth rate of 5 percent in BCM (or KM3) in

2010 2025 2050

Karnataka 20624 313125 0.03221435 0.0524738 0.109089 0.369415

Maharashtra 332956 15815410 1.6270918 2.6503611 5.50991 18.65851

Madhya Pradesh 2964 44460 0.00457405 0.0074506 0.015489 0.052452

Punjab 247000 6792500 0.69881344 1.1382935 2.36643 8.013573

Tamil Nadu 4520 124302.8 0.01278829 0.0208308 0.043306 0.146648

Uttaranchal 5000 75000 0.00771601 0.0125686 0.026129 0.088483

Haryana 5000 75000 0.00771601 0.0125686 0.026129 0.088483

Andra Pradesh 56810 852150 0.08766932 0.1428041 0.296879 1.005339

Orissa 17784 489060 0.05031457 0.0819571 0.170383 0.576977

Rajasthan 19.76 296.4 3.0494E-05 4.967E-05 0.000103 0.00035

West Bengal 49.4 741 7.6234E-05 0.0001242 0.000258 0.000874

India 692727.76 24582045 2.52900456 4.1194819 8.564107 29.00111

kvr&rsd/090306 41

All-India Area, Percentage under irrigation of selected agricultural products for which contract farming exists/ can be encouraged 1991-92 to 2004-05 

  AREA UNDER CULTIVATION % COVERAGE UNDER IRRIGATION

Year Wheat Tomato Chilli Groundnut Potato Cotton Barley Safflower Wheat Groundnut Cotton

1991-92 23.26 0.29 0.85 8.67 1.03 7.66 0.95 0.50 83.7 19.1 33.3

1995-96 25.01 0.35 0.88 7.52 1.11 9.04 0.82 0.68 85.8 18.1 35.0

2000-01 25.73 0.46 0.84 6.56 1.22 8.53 0.78 0.42 88.1 17.6 34.3

2001-02 26.34 0.46 0.88 6.24 1.21 9.13 0.67 0.40 87.4 17.3 34.0

2002-03 25.20 0.54 0.83 5.94 1.35 7.67 0.70 0.3788.0(P

) 16.5(P) 33.1(P)

2003-04 26.58 0.54 0.76 6.00 1.28 7.63 0.66 0.35 NA NA NA

2004-05* 26.49 NA NA 6.69 NA 8.92 NA NA NA NA NA

2025$ 60.57 1.23 1.73 13.67 2.92 17.39 1.50 0.80      

2050$ 161.47 3.28 4.62 36.45 7.78 46.35 4.01 2.13      

kvr&rsd/090306 42

States

Number of Licensed Units Under FPO in 2000

Growth rate in water use

Total water requirement per year

Projected water use in billion cubic meters in

2010 2025 2050

Andhra Pradesh 367 0.065 0.32113 0.60389 1.55732 7.55238

Assam 29 0.037 0.02538 0.03659 0.06334 0.15810

Bihar 63 0.027 0.05513 0.07192 0.10718 0.20840

Chandigarh 57 0.138 0.04988 0.18157 1.26119 31.89187

Delhi 320 0.044 0.28000 0.42958 0.81636 2.38014

Goa 168 0.029 0.14700 0.19483 0.29729 0.60123

Gujarat 333 0.070 0.29138 0.57059 1.56361 8.39078

Haryana 172 0.029 0.15050 0.20025 0.30734 0.62762

Himachal Pradesh 106 0.044 0.09275 0.14279 0.27276 0.80213

Jammu and Kashmir 88 0.014 0.07700 0.08873 0.10977 0.15650

Karnataka 322 0.057 0.28175 0.49113 1.13033 4.53469

Kerala 448 0.053 0.39200 0.65614 1.42091 5.15049

Maharashtra 1047 0.040 0.91613 1.35892 2.45500 6.57883

Madhya Pradesh 112 0.029 0.09800 0.13067 0.20117 0.41297

Orissa 48 0.169 0.04200 0.19988 2.07512 102.52706

Punjab 363 0.153 0.31763 1.32427 11.27370 400.14587

Rajasthan 122 0.051 0.10675 0.17520 0.36839 1.27128

Tamil Nadu 182 -0.075 0.15925 0.07277 0.02248 0.00317

Uttar Pradesh 541 0.043 0.47338 0.72377 1.36836 3.95544

West Bengal 334 0.041 0.29225 0.43535 0.79153 2.14380

Others* 71 0.068 0.06213 0.12045 0.32520 1.70226

India 5293 0.040 4.63138 6.86478 12.38801 33.13547

Projected use of water for Food processing industries in different states of India

kvr&rsd/090306 43

Thank you

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