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kyos , +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman , nossman@kyos

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Pricing Electricity Swaptions under a Stochastic Volatility Term-Structure Model with Jumps Evidence from the Nord Pool Market. R. Green, Lund University K. Larsson, Lund University M. Nossman, Kyos Energy Consulting. Conference on Energy Finance, Vienna, Austria, 2012-09-17. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Pricing Electricity Swaptions under a Stochastic Volatility Term-Structure Model with Jumps Evidence from the Nord Pool Market www.kyos.com , +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman, [email protected] R. Green, Lund University K. Larsson, Lund University M. Nossman, Kyos Energy Consulting Conference on Energy Finance, Vienna, Austria, 2012-09-17
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Page 1: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Pricing Electricity Swaptions under a Stochastic Volatility Term-Structure Model with Jumps

Evidence from the Nord Pool Market

www.kyos.com, +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman, [email protected]

R. Green, Lund UniversityK. Larsson, Lund UniversityM. Nossman, Kyos Energy Consulting

Conference on Energy Finance, Vienna, Austria, 2012-09-17

Page 2: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Outline of the Presentation

Page 3: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Introduction of the model

Page 4: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Introduction of the model

Page 5: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Introduction of the model

Page 6: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Introduction of the model

Page 7: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Introduction of the model

Page 8: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Introduction of the model

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Introduction of the model

Page 10: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

Implied volatility data from the Nord Pool market

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Calibration procedure

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Calibration procedure

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In-sample and out-of-sampel results

Page 14: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

In-sample and out-of-sampel results

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In-sample and out-of-sampel results

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In-sample and out-of-sampel results

Page 17: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

In-sample and out-of-sampel results

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In-sample and out-of-sampel results

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In-sample and out-of-sampel results

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Conclusions

Page 21: kyos ,  +31 (0)23 5510221, Marcus Nossman ,  nossman@kyos

References


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