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LAPS Engineering Overview

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LAPS Engineering Overview. John McGinley and Linda Wharton. LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System. The goal of LAPS is to ingest spatially and temporally diverse data and output analysis grids. Outline of Engineering Overview: Data Ingest: Sources and Processes Analysis Processes - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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LAPS Engineering Overview LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System John McGinley and Linda Wharton
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Page 1: LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

John McGinley and Linda Wharton

Page 2: LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

The goal of LAPS is to ingest spatially and temporally diverse data and output analysis grids.Outline of Engineering Overview:

Data Ingest: Sources and ProcessesAnalysis ProcessesSystem/Software ArchitectureLAPS InstallationLAPS LocalizationRunning LAPSUse of LAPS Analysis Grid Files

Page 3: LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS Data Ingest Overview

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• A main goal of the LAPS ingest is to keep ingest code separate from analysis code.•This is done by pre-processing ingest data into “intermediate” files that have formats that are expected by the analysis code.• The way to incorporate your locally available data into LAPS is to pre-process it into the “intermediate” file format LAPS expects.• The intermediate files are in netCDF or ASCII formats.

Page 4: LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS Data Ingest

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Page 5: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Sources

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

LAPS can ingest the following data:Gridded Background Models (RUC, NAM, GFS)Satellite (imager, sounder, retrieved soundings,

and cloud-top pressure)Surface DataRAOB / Dropsonde / RadiometerRadarPIREPS & ACARS from aircraftWind Profiler / RASSGPSCloud Drift Winds

Page 6: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes - Background

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LAPS uses Gridded Model “Background” Data as a model first guess for the LAPS analysis.• The Background model must cover the entire LAPS grid both vertically and horizontally.• The Background model may be at a coarser resolution than LAPS.• The model data is mapped onto the LAPS grid, both vertically and horizontally.• If necessary, the ingest process will temporally interpolate background data so there is data available for each LAPS cycle.

Page 7: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes - Background

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The Data read from the background model are:3D Surfaceheight heighttemperature temperaturespecific humidity specific humidityu,v winds u,v windsomega wind surface pressure

Mean Sea Level pressure

Page 8: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes - Background

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The LAPS process that ingests the Background data is lga.exe• The output from lga.exe is stored in netCDF files, with 3D data in the lga output directory and 2D surface data in the lgb output directory. • The variables output into the 3D lga file are:

height, temperature, specific humidity, u and vwinds, and wind omega.

• The variables output into the surface lgb file are:temperature, specific humidity, u and v winds,dewpoint, surface pressure, MSLP, and reducedpressure.

Page 9: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes - Satellite

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• lvd_sat_ingest is the process that ingests GOES satellite data.• LAPS makes use of the following satellite channels:

visible 3.9

6.7 (water vapor)11.2 (window IR) 12.0

• If the raw satellite data does not cover the entire LAPS domain, the missing area is flagged using the LAPS missing_data value.

Page 10: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes – Surface Data

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LAPS ingests surface data from two netCDF file formats, METAR/SYNOP and LDAD.• METAR files are generated hourly by the National Weather Service (NWS) and contain data collected by meteorologists at each Weather Forecast Office (WFO) and NWS automated weather stations.• LDAD files contain data from diverse sources, either automatically or by non-meteorologists, and have the potential to store more varied data, such as ship and buoy.• The LAPS process that ingests surface data is obs_driver.• Once the surface data is ingested, gross “climatological” quality control (qc) checks are performed.• obs_driver combines the data from METAR and LDAD files and the output is an ASCII file in the lso output directory

Page 11: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes – Surface Data

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The additional Data read from the LDAD netCDF file are:wet bulb temperature solar radiationcloud base height sea surface temperaturelow level cloud type buoy/ship - typemid level cloud type buoy/ship – true directionhigh level cloud type buoy/ship – true speedprecipitation rate wave periodprecipitation type wave height precipitation intensity max temp recording periodtime since last precip min temp recording period

• Since many data sources only report sporadically, the time the data last changed is recorded for:

temperature, relative humidity, station pressure, wind speed, wind direction, wind gust, solar radiation

Page 12: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes – Blacklisting

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LAPS has implemented a “blacklist” for surface data stations located in either METAR or LDAD input files.• This allows obs_driver to skip stations with known bad variables (one or several) or to skip a station completely.• The current data that can be blacklisted are: temperature, dewpoint, relative humidity, wind, altimeter, station pressure, MSL pressure, visibility, clouds (all layers), precipitation, snow cover, solar radiation, soil/water temperature, soil moisture.• The Blacklist.dat file is an ASCII file that is installed in the data/static directory.• A Blacklist.example file comes with LAPS, and formatting information can be found in the LAPS README file.

Page 13: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes – Vertical Soundings

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Sounding data is used if the observations lie in the time window of the laps cycle time and if the data is available.• Sounding data sources are RAOB, dropsonde, satellite sounding and radiometer.• Data read in from the RAOB sounding files are: latitude, longitude, elevation, release time, synoptic time, station name, wmoid At Mandatory levels: height, pressure, temperature, dewpoint depression, wind direction, wind speed At Significant Wind levels: height, wind direction, wind speed At Significant Temperature levels: pressure, dewpoint depression, temperature

Page 14: LAPS Engineering Overview

Data Ingest Processes - Radar

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LAPS makes use of Wideband Radar Data (WSR-88D, Level II), using 3D reflectivity and velocity in polar coordinates. Up to 20 Wideband radars may be processed within the domain.• LAPS also uses Narrowband Radar Data (WSR-88D, Level III), using a single level of reflectivity in polar coordinates. Up to 9 Narrowband radars may be processed within the domain.• The Data read in from the radar files are: site name, latitude, longitude, elevation, reflectivity, velocity, spectrum width, gate spacing for velocity and reflectivity, range to first gate for velocity and reflectivity, nyquist velocity, number of radials, radial azimuth and elevation angles

Page 15: LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS Analysis Processes

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

windsurfacetempcloudhumidderivaccumsoil

Page 16: LAPS Engineering Overview

LAPS Analysis - Legend

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

lsolrs

analysis

lvd

lgb

LC3

LWM

lga

LSX

OUTPUT File = dark blue box, upper case letters

previous OUTPUT File = dark green box, upper case letters

Required inputOptional input

Intermediate file = light blue box, lower case letters

Page 17: LAPS Engineering Overview

Analysis Flow

Chart (from FMI)

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Page 18: LAPS Engineering Overview

Wind Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The Wind Analysis is generated using surface observations, profiler data, cloud drift winds and aircraft reports. • Background model grids are used as a first guess and to do quality control on new observations. Time tendencies from the background model are applied to the aircraft/cloud-drift wind reports when they are taken before or after the nominal analysis time.

Page 19: LAPS Engineering Overview

Wind Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Quality control within the Wind Analysis rejects any observations deviating from the background by more than a threshold depending on observation type:

ACARS 10 m/sCloud-Drift winds 10 m/sProfiler 22 m/sDoppler Radar 12 m/sOther 30 m/s

Page 20: LAPS Engineering Overview

Wind Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The wind analysis is done in three steps. The first step analyzes the non-radar data with the background wind field using a multiple iteration successive correction technique.• For the second step, the first step results are used as the background. The data used includes non-radar data; any grid-points with multiple- Doppler radial velocities are also mixed in. Radial velocities are taken from the Doppler radars after dealiasing and other quality control steps are done. If two or more radars illuminate a given grid-point, a full wind-vector is constructed from a combination of the radial velocities and the preliminary non-radar analysis. This is done via a "successive insertion" process, beginning with the background (non-radar analysis), then followed with the radial velocity from each radar in sequence.

Page 21: LAPS Engineering Overview

Wind Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• For the final step the background field comes from the result of the second step. All point data is now used, including grid-points illuminated by only a single radar. The tangential component for each radar observation is estimated by using the background from the previous step (i.e. non-radar data and/or multi-radar data).• The omega field is calculated by kinematically integrating the horizontal wind divergence. The lower boundary condition is specified by the surface wind and terrain gradient.• The LAPS process that runs the Wind Analysis is wind.exe.

Page 22: LAPS Engineering Overview

Wind Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Must have to run data: surface data (lso) background(lga)• Optional data: vertical sounding (snd) profiler (pro) aircraft (pin) cloud drift winds (cdw) 3D temperature (LT1) surface analysis (LSX) doppler winds (Vxx)

Wind

snd

analysis

pinpro

LT1

LSX

lga

cdwlso

LW3 LWM

Page 23: LAPS Engineering Overview

Wind Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

•The output from wind is stored in netCDF files in the lw3 and lwm output directories. • LW3 Output variables are: 3D wind u-component 3D wind v-component 3D omega• LWM Output variables are: surface wind u-component surface wind v-component

Page 24: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The surface package collects surface data from the lso intermediate data file, IR brightness temperatures from the lvd file, and fields from selected background models. • Data is placed on the LAPS grid and a three quality control checks are performed on the observations. • This first checks the observations against climatologically reasonable ranges.• Second, the observations (most fields except wind) are checked to see which ones are outliers (at 5 standard deviations) relative to the average observation value in the domain. As a further check, the temperatures, dewpoints and MSL pressures are checked to see if they deviate from the background field by more than a threshold absolute amount.

Page 25: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The third check for all analyzed fields (except visibility) is within the 'spline' routine, that rejects stations deviating from the background by more than a threshold number of standard deviations of the observation increments. This threshold can be independently adjusted (i.e. tightened or loosened) for each field via the 'surface_analysis.nl' namelist.• The next step in the analyses is done with a successive correction technique similar to the 3-D wind and temperature analyses .

Page 26: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Observation increments are used for T, Td, U, V, MSL, P and straight observations are used for visibility. The temperature and dewpoint observations are also corrected for deviations of the station elevation from the LAPS terrain. Standard lapse rates are applied to this elevation difference. The analysis innovation is constrained to vary from the background by no more than the magnitude of the observation rejection threshold discussed above. This helps prevent overshooting (ballooning) of gradients into data sparse areas.• A land fraction term is factored into the weighting whenever the observation and grid point are on either sides of a 0.01 land fraction threshold. This helps prevent situations such as heating over the land having undue effects over the water areas. This weight is applied mainly to the T, Td, U, and V fields.

Page 27: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• For pressure analysis, three fields are computed including reduced pressure (P) at reference height 'redp_lvl', surface pressure (PS), and mean sea level pressure (MSL).• Background pressure fields come from the lgb files. •The MSL background is used as read in upon input. •The (PS) background is converted from the background model terrain to the LAPS terrain within the lgb file. •The (P) background is generated by reducing the (PS) background to the reference analysis height 'redp_lvl' using Poisson's equation.

Page 28: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Continuing the pressure analysis, the altimeter setting observations are converted to station pressures using the standard atmosphere. Station pressure observations are in turn converted to reduced pressure using Poisson's equation. • The (P) analysis uses the (P) background plus the reduced pressure observation increments. The (P) analysis then uses variational techniques to constrain the surface winds and reduced pressures (P) to the full equations on motion. • In contrast, mean sea level pressure (MSL) is a direct analysis of the MSLP observation increments together with the model background 'MSL' field. •The station pressure analysis (PS) is calculated using the model background gridded 'PS' field, together with the deviations of the MSLP analysis from the MSLP background.

Page 29: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Visibility is arrived at by first analyzing the surface visibility observations. • A second step is applied to decrease the visibility in areas that have high RH and are near the cloud base that is given by the cloud analysis in the previous time cycle.• Several derived variables are calculated before the output file is written. • Also, a dependent data validation is done by interpolating several variables back to the observation locations and comparing the analysis to the observations. • The LAPS process that runs the Surface Analysis is laps_sfc.x.

Page 30: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• User can define if must have to run (default = no): surface data (lso) • Optional data: RASS (lrs) satellite (lvd) background(lga,lgb) cloud (LC3) previous mean wind (LWM) previous surface analysis (LSX)

Surface

lsolrs

analysis

lvd

lgb

LC3

LWM

lga

LSX

Page 31: LAPS Engineering Overview

Surface Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The output from laps_sfc is stored in netCDF in the lsx output directory.• LSX Output variables are: surface u and v winds vertical velocity vorticity dewpoint temperature temperature relative humidity mean sea level pressure surface pressure reduced pressure potential temperature mixing ratio surface wind speed temperature advection moisture advection ground temperature moisture convergence divergence visibility equivalent potential temperature fire danger potential temperature advection heat index

Page 32: LAPS Engineering Overview

Temperature Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The Temperature Analysis analyzes data from the model background, vertical soundings, satellite soundings, surface temperature analysis and RASS data.• Quality control is applied to the temperature soundings. If any level in a sounding differs from the model background by more than a threshold (~10 deg), the entire sounding is rejected.• The Temperature Analysis uses multiple passes of a Barnes Analysis to apply successive correction that decreases the radius of influence with each iteration. Each iteration improves fit and adds finer scale structure. This method works well with strongly clustered observations.• The iterations stop when fine scale structure and fit to observations become commensurate with observation spacing and instrument error.

Page 33: LAPS Engineering Overview

Temperature Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The main goal of the Temperature Analysis is to add value to the analysis with local observations and smoothly blend the local observations with the data-sparse areas that use the background first guess.• The LAPS process that runs the Temperature Analysis is temp.exe.• The Temperature Analysis also generates an intermediate pbl file containing boundary layer information that is used in calculating Fire Weather products.

Page 34: LAPS Engineering Overview

Temp Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Must have to run data: background(lga) surface analysis (LSX)• Optional data: RASS (lrs) sounding (snd)

Temp

lgalrs

analysis

snd

LSX

LT1pbl

Page 35: LAPS Engineering Overview

Temperature Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The output from temp is stored in netCDF files in the lt1 and pbl output directories. • LT1 Output variables are: 3D height 3D temperature• pbl Output variables are: pbl top pressure pbl top height

Page 36: LAPS Engineering Overview

Cloud Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The Cloud Analysis combines the 3D temperature analysis, a 3D LAPS radar reflectivity analysis derived from full volumetric radar data, and a cloud top analysis derived from GOES IR band eight data with cloud layer data from METARs.• The vertical cloud soundings from METARs and pilot reports are analyzed horizontally to generate a preliminary three-dimensional analysis. This step provides information on the vertical location and approximate horizontal distribution of cloud layers. • The satellite cloud-top temperature field is converted to a cloud-top height field using the three-dimensional temperature analysis. All clouds with cloud fraction >0.1 are used.

Page 37: LAPS Engineering Overview

Cloud Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The cloud-top height field is then inserted into the preliminary cloud analysis to better define the cloud-top heights as well as to increase the horizontal spatial information content of the cloud analysis. • A set of rules is employed to resolve conflicts between METAR and satellite data. • Finally, the three-dimensional radar reflectivity field is inserted to provide additional detail in the analysis.• The default amount of satellite IR data is a minimum of 75% coverage in order for the cloud analysis to run. This value and can be changed or even reduced to zero via a namelist parameter.• The LAPS process that runs the Cloud Analysis is cloud.exe.

Page 38: LAPS Engineering Overview

Cloud Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• User can define if must have to run (default = yes): satellite (lvd)• Must have to run data: background(lga) surface data (lso) radar (vrc/vXX/vrz) surface analysis (LSX) 3D temperature (LT1)• Optional data: aircraft (pin) previous snow cover (LM2)

Cloud

lsopin

analysis

vrc vXX vrz

lvd

LSX

LT1

LC3 LPS

lga

LM2

LCB LCV

Page 39: LAPS Engineering Overview

Cloud Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The LAPS process that runs the Cloud Analysis is cloud.exe.• The cloud process writes netCDF output files to the following output directories: LC3 in the lc3 output directory LPS in the lps output directory LCB in the lcb output directory LCV in the lcv output directory

Page 40: LAPS Engineering Overview

Cloud Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LC3 Output variables are: 3D clouds – fractional cover (on height grid) • LPS Output variables are: 3D radar reflectivity• LCB Output variables are: cloud base cloud top cloud ceiling – for areas with a cloud fraction > 0.65

Page 41: LAPS Engineering Overview

Cloud Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

•LCV Output variables are: cloud cover cloud analysis implied snow cover clear sky water temperature LAPS derived albedo for ease of access, two satellite fields are also stored: 11.2 brightness temp – averaged 3.9 brightness temp - averaged

Page 42: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The LAPS moisture algorithm makes use of the moisture data in the surface fields, upper-level winds, upper-level temperature, and three-dimensional cloud output from LAPS analyses. • The LAPS SH algorithm can be divided into fundamental steps:

background setup boundary layer treatmentvariational adjustment to GOES radiances (optional) cloud saturation quality control

Page 43: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The Moisture Analysis uses the model background as a first guess field. • First, a temporal interpolation of specific humidity is calculated. •Following this, a horizontal interpolation using two-dimensional splines fills the LAPS grid. • A "switch" has been added to the moisture namelist to force dependency on cloud data use to saturate air in cloudy areas.• If the user elects to run regardless of cloud output data, the code will assume all clear conditions. • As a last step, a simple supersaturation QC step assures that the interpolation process did not inadvertently generate supersaturated conditions.

Page 44: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The Moisture Analysis currently uses the NESDIS Community Radiative Transmittance Model (CRTM) and forward radiance model called OPTRAN. • The forward model produces a simulated radiance based on temperature, moisture, and ozone profiles along with the temperature of the surface or cloud top, and the pressure of that radiating surface (i.e., surface pressure or cloud top pressure whichever applies). • Also needed are the zenith angle, used to determine the air mass path and optical depth between the radiator and the satellite.

Page 45: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The technique is fundamentally a moisture retrieval using variational methods to achieve a better radiometric match by varying the moisture concentrations at upper levels. • The real power of variational techniques is in combining datasets by using the error characteristics associated with each measurement, the optimum analysis attained by finding the best way to fit all data.

Page 46: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Must have to run data: background(lga) 3D temperature (LT1)• Optional data: vertical sounding (snd) satellite (lvd) surface analysis (LSX) cloud analysis (LC3)

Humid

snd

analysis

lvd

LT1

LC3

LQ3 LH3

lga

LSX

LH4

Page 47: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Method of Analysis• Functional minimization • Each term in the functional represents a particular data source• Several papers on this topic: Birkenheuer, D., 2006: Direct use of satellite horizontal gradients in variational analysis. 14th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Atlanta, GA, 8pp.

http://laps.fsl.noaa.gov/birk/papers/AMS_2006/Paper_5_20.pdf

Page 48: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

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Page 49: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Functional Terms• The paper does the best job on this, simply stated, the terms in order on the prior slide are:• Radiance (GOES sounder minimization)• Background• GPS integrated water• RAOB• GOES layer pw gradients (pair of terms in blue)• Cloud

Page 50: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Functional Numerators designate:

• The difference between the forward modeled value for an observation differenced against that observation squared• Being squared assures each term is positive• The sum of all positive terms shows “agreement”• When the J or sum is at a minimum, we have best agreement between analysis and observations.• The variable that is modified in the processing is the layer weight “c” term.

Functional denominators relate the:• Error• “Radius” of influence for each measurement

Page 51: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The LAPS process that runs the Moisture Analysis is humid.exe.• The humid process writes netCDF output files to the following output directories: LQ3 in the lq3 output directory LH3 in the lh3 output directory LH4 in the lh4 output directory

Page 52: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LQ3 Output variables are: 3D specific humidity• LH3 Output variables are: 3D relative humidity - with respect to liquid water if ambient temperature is warmer than C, with respect to ice if ambient temperature is equal to or less than 0C 3D relative humidity - with respect to liquid water at all temperatures• LH4 Output variables are: 2D total precipitable water

Page 53: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Examples• Field of total precipitable water with and without the gradient term for GOES product data.

• Note that we usually deactivate the GOES radiance term (first term) if GOES product data are available and conversely we deactivate the GOES gradient term and use pure radiances if the GOES product is unavailable.

Page 54: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Analysis not using the gradient field for GOES TPW, but using the data as direct measurement (which we now know are biased).

The next slide shows the gradient minimization result and we can see that there is more detail, and less moist bias.

Page 55: LAPS Engineering Overview

Moisture Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

Same as prior image except using gradient minimization.Circled areas are less moist biased

Rectangular areas show more detail.

Page 56: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The Deriv Analysis provides products derived from data generated in prior run analyses. • The derived products are cloud, wind stability and fire-weather related.• The LAPS process that runs the Deriv Analysis is deriv.exe.• The deriv process writes output to fifteen different netCDF files that are located in the output directory associated with file extension: LST in the lst output directory LWM in the lwm output directory etc.

Page 57: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Must have to run data: cloud analysis (LC3) 3D temperature (LT1)• Optional data: surface data (lso) radar (vrc/vXX/vrz) surface analysis (LSX) 3D relative humidity (LH3) 3D winds (LW3) profiler (LPS) aircraft (LCV) surface winds (LWM)

Deriv

LT1

analysis

LPS

LWM

lso

LWM LRP LMTLHE LCT LIL

LWC LMR LCOLCP LIW LMD

LST LTY LFR

vrc vXX vrz

LCV

LC3

LW3

LH3LSX

Page 58: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LST Output variables are: lifted index - Environmental minus parcel temperature at 500 mb positive buoyant energy (Convective Available Potential Energy) negative buoyant energy (Convective Inhibition) Showalter index total totals index k index lifted condensation level wet bulb zero

Page 59: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LTY Output variables are: 3D precipitation type

0 – None 1 – Rain2 – Snow 3 – ZR (freezing rain)4 – IP (ice pellets) 5 - Hail

3D cloud type - threshold for cloud cover is 0.650 – No Cloud 1 – St Stratus 2 – Sc Stratocumulus 3 – Cu Cumulus4 – Ns Nimbostratus 5 – Ac Altocumulus6 – As Altostratus 7 – Cs Cirrostratus 8 – Ci Cirrus 9 – Cc Cirrocumulus10 – Cb Cumulonimbus

Page 60: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LFR Output variables are: ventilation index boundary layer mean wind u-component boundary layer mean wind v-component mid-level haines index (850-700 hPa) high-level haines index (700-500 hPa) Fosberg fire weather index critical fire weather index – 0 or 1 based on RH<15% and wind speed>20mph for any 3 consecutive hours during the past 24 hours

Page 61: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LWM Output variables are: interpolated surface u wind component interpolated surface v wind component• LRP Output variables are: 3D icing severity index

0 – No Icing 1 – Light continuous 2 – Moderate continuous 3 – Heavy continuous 4 – Light intermittent 5 – Moderate intermittent 6 – Heavy intermittent

• LMT Output variables are: maximum radar echo tops low level reflectivity

Page 62: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LHE Output variables are: helicity surface-300 mb mean wind u-component surface-300 mb mean wind v-component• Helicity (Storm Relative Environmental) is integrated from the surface to 3km AGL. It is numerically equal to -2. times the hodograph area.• A calculated storm motion vector is used according to the Bunkers method used by the National Weather Service. First a layer from the surface to 6km AGL is used to calculate the mean wind. A shear vector through the surface-6km layer is also calculated. The storm motion vector is assumed to equal the mean wind vector plus a vector with a magnitude of 7.5 m/s and a direction 90 degrees to the right of the shear vector.

Page 63: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LCT Output variables are: surface precipitation type (SPT and PTT)

0 – None 1 – Rain2 – Snow 3 – ZR (freezing rain)4 – IP (ice pellets) 5 – Hail6 – Drizzle 7 – Freezing Drizzle

• SPT uses simple 0 dbz reflectivity threshold to define areas of precipitation.• PTT uses a 13 dbz threshold for non-snow precipitation (~.01"/hr). 0 dbz is still used for snow though a surface dewpoint depression threshold is used to filter out areas of snow virga not reaching the ground. PTT also utilizes METAR data combined with cloud fraction to delineate areas of drizzle, freezing drizzle, rain, freezing rain, and snow in areas that radar does not detect echoes.

Page 64: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LCT Output variables (cont): surface cloud type

0 – No Cloud 1 – St Stratus 2 – Sc Stratocumulus 3 – Cu Cumulus4 – Ns Nimbostratus 5 – Ac Altocumulus6 – As Altostratus 7 – Cs Cirrostratus 8 – Ci Cirrus 9 – Cc Cirrocumulus10 – Cb Cumulonimbus

• This is the type of the lowest cloud layer in the LTY (3-D cloud type) file. The cover threshold is 0.65. The presence of a Cb higher up has priority.

Page 65: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LIL Output variables are: vertically integrated liquid water - content is the total cloud liquid condensed in the column.• LWC 3D Output variables are: cloud liquid water content cloud ice content hydrometeor concentration rain concentration snow concentration precipitating ice concentration• The last four are specific contents in kg/m3 These can be converted to mixing ratio by dividing by air density.

Page 66: LAPS Engineering Overview

Deriv Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LMR Output variables are: 2D column max radar reflectivity• LCO Output variables are: cloud omega - computed where cloud cover > .65 • LCP Output variables are: 3D clouds – fractional cover (on pressure grid)• LIW Output variables are: log(LI*Omega)• LMD Output variables are: mean cloud drop diameter

Page 67: LAPS Engineering Overview

Accum Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The LAPS Accum Analysis provides incremental and storm total values for both snowfall and liquid equivalent accumulation. • A liquid water equivalent precipitation and snow accumulation algorithm utilizes LAPS low-level radar reflectivity and surface precipitation type fields.• The snow accumulation is calculated from the liquid equivalent accumulation via a rain-snow ratio. This ratio is a function of the column maximum temperature, starting from 10:1 for T=C, increasing to a peak of 25:1 for -18C < T < -10C , and decreasing back to 15:1 for T < -22C .• The LAPS process that runs the Accum Analysis is accum.exe.

Page 68: LAPS Engineering Overview

Accum Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Must have to run data: surface analysis (LSX) 3D temperature (LT1) radar (vrc/vXX/vrz)• Optional data: 3D relative humidity (LH3)

Accumanalysis

vrc vXX vrzLSX

LT1

L1S

LH3

Page 69: LAPS Engineering Overview

Accum Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The output from accum is stored in netCDF in the l1s output directory.• L1S Output variables are: LAPS cycle time precipitation accumulation storm total precipitation accumulation (time interval listed in comment field) LAPS cycle time snow accumulation storm total snow accumulation (time interval listed in comment field)

Page 70: LAPS Engineering Overview

Soil Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The LAPS Soil Moisture Analysis provides a three layer analysis of soil conditions. • A snow cover analysis is included. The fractional snow cover is a composite over time of information from the cloud analysis (visible and IR satellite), and snow accumulation (derived mainly from radar). • The LAPS process that runs the Soil Moisture Analysis is lm5.exe.

Page 71: LAPS Engineering Overview

Soil Moisture Analysis

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• Must have to run data: surface analysis (LSX)• Optional data: surface precipitation (L1S) derived snow cover (LCV)

Soilanalysis

LCVLSX

LM1 LM2

L1S

Page 72: LAPS Engineering Overview

Soil Moisture Analysis Output

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• The output from lm5 is stored in netCDF files in the lm1 and lm2 output directories. • LM1 Output variables are: soil moisture• LM2 Output variables are: cumulative infiltration volume depth to wetting front wet / dry grid point evaporation snow covered snow melting soil moisture content of wetting front

Page 73: LAPS Engineering Overview

Use of LAPS Analysis Grid Files

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LAPS files may be viewed graphically using “lapsplot”. Instructions on installing this process may be found in section 2.1.8 of the README file.

Page 74: LAPS Engineering Overview

Use of LAPS Analysis Grid Files

LAPS - Local Analysis and Prediction System

• LAPS output data can be re-formatted to be used as input for many weather forecast models, including MM5, WRF, RAMS and Eta.• Section 3.4 of the README file is about Model Initialization and Postprocessing.


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