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Page 1 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected] Overview of COVID-19 in Wakefield District Data Released: 21 th December 2020. Latest data: 15 th December 2020 (data is available up to 18 th December but the last four days are excluded because they are incomplete and therefore inaccurate). Key facts about COVID-19 in Wakefield: COVID local tier level: Tier 3 - Very High Alert Cases data: latest 7 days 9 th December – 15 th December 536 cases in the last 7 days (previous 7 days = 561 cases) 153.9 cases per 100k population (previous 7 days = 161.1) 15,076 cases since beginning of March Deaths data: latest 7 days 9 th December – 15 th December 28 deaths in the last 7 days (previous 7 days = 34 deaths) 567 deaths since beginning of March Hospital data: latest snapshot day 15 th December 117 Wakefield COVID-19 patients in a Mid-Yorkshire Hospital bed (previous date = 123)
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  • Page 1 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Overview of COVID-19 in

    Wakefield District Data Released: 21th December 2020. Latest data: 15th December 2020 (data is available up to 18th December but the last four days

    are excluded because they are incomplete and therefore inaccurate).

    Key facts about COVID-19 in Wakefield:

    COVID local tier level: Tier 3 - Very High Alert

    Cases data: latest 7 days 9th December – 15th December

    536 cases in the last 7 days

    (previous 7 days = 561 cases)

    153.9 cases per 100k population

    (previous 7 days = 161.1)

    15,076 cases since beginning of March

    Deaths data: latest 7 days 9th December – 15th December

    28 deaths in the last 7 days (previous 7 days = 34 deaths)

    567 deaths since beginning of March

    Hospital data: latest snapshot day 15th December

    117 Wakefield COVID-19 patients in a Mid-Yorkshire Hospital bed (previous date = 123)

    mailto:[email protected]

  • Page 2 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Local COVID tier level

    Wakefield is currently classified as a Tier 3 – Very High Alert area.

    Since the 2nd December a local restriction tier system has been in place in England. The local COVID

    tier level is decided by assessing Local Authorities using a number of measures, including the case

    rate, case rate trend, how many tests are returning a positive result and pressures on the NHS. Areas

    are then categorised into one of three tiers:

    Tier 1: Medium alert – for areas where national restrictions continue to be in place, with no

    additional measures.

    Tier 2: High alert – for areas with a higher or rapidly rising level of infections, where some

    additional restrictions need to be in place.

    Tier 3: Very High alert – for areas with very high or very rapidly rising level of infections, where

    tighter restrictions are in place. In Tier 3 the restrictions include:

    o You must not must not meet socially indoors or in most outdoor places with anybody

    you do not live with, or who is not in your support bubble, this includes in any private

    garden or at most outdoor venues.

    o You must not socialise in a group of more than 6 in some other outdoor public spaces,

    including parks, beaches, countryside accessible to the public, a public garden, grounds

    of a heritage site or castle, or a sports facility – this is called the ‘rule of 6’.

    o Hospitality settings are closed – they are permitted to continue sales by takeaway or delivery services.

    o Indoor entertainment and tourist venues must close. o Leisure and sports facilities may continue to stay open, but group exercise classes

    (including fitness and dance) should not go ahead. o Avoid travelling outside of your area, including for overnight stays other than where

    necessary, such as for work, education, youth services, to receive medical treatment, or because of caring responsibilities.

    The full list of restrictions and further details on each Tier can be accessed here: Local restriction tiers: what you need to know - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

    The next review point for the current tier allocations will take place by Wednesday 30th December.

    However, on 25th December only, you will be able to create a Christmas bubble with up to three households. It is important to be sensible and cautious when creating your bubble, avoiding contact with vulnerable and elderly people where possible. From midnight on 26th December, Wakefield will be back under Tier 3 restrictions.

    Testing and positive cases (Data up to 15th December)

    Background:

    There are different ways people can be tested for COVID-19; some are done through NHS labs and

    hospitals (known as Pillar 1), most is done through ‘community’ testing (known as Pillar 2).

    mailto:[email protected]://www.gov.uk/guidance/local-restriction-tiers-what-you-need-to-knowhttps://www.gov.uk/guidance/local-restriction-tiers-what-you-need-to-know

  • Page 3 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    When COVID-19 testing data was first published it related only to Pillar 1, this has changed and

    testing numbers now include both Pillar 1 and Pillar 2. The changes in the way testing data has been

    reported means it can be difficult to compare rates, either over time or between areas, it’s really

    important to check the rates being compared relate to the same testing data.

    Cumulative testing information is often reported, although this tells us about how many people have

    been tested and diagnosed since the pandemic started, it doesn’t reflect current infection rates, so

    isn’t very meaningful when looking at what needs to be done now to make sure we protect our

    population as best we can.

    Since the start of the pandemic around 15,076 Wakefield residents have tested positive.

    When looking at testing data, the most useful information is about what’s happening now and what

    has happened in recent weeks. This is because it tells us something about how the virus is currently

    affecting our population and if the situation is changing (improving or getting worse).

    Latest data and trend:

    In the last week 536 Wakefield residents tested positive for COVID-19, this is for the period 9th

    December – 15th December. Wakefield had a positive case rate of 153.9 per 100,000, which is a

    decrease on the previous week (rate of 161.1). Previous weeks’ figures may change due to PHE

    validation processes.

    Over the last few weeks the rate in Wakefield has started to decrease. This indicates that the tighter

    restrictions are starting to have a positive impact on reducing community transmission in the district.

    mailto:[email protected]

  • Page 4 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Comparison with other areas:

    Despite this large increase in cases, when comparing to similar areas Wakefield is around average. It’s

    useful to compare against these areas as they have similar population structures and levels of

    deprivation, so you would expect these areas to experience similar rates to Wakefield.

    Please note the data used to compare Wakefield with other areas is slightly older than the latest

    position available for just Wakefield (between 7th December and 13th December)1, therefore the rate

    for Wakefield presented here is different to the rate shown above.

    When comparing Wakefield to other areas in the Yorkshire and Humber the positive case rate is

    around average, the rate is lower than West Yorkshire neighbours Calderdale, Bradford and Kirklees.

    Areas within Wakefield District:

    Positive cases and rates are highly affected by things like testing availability, proactive testing

    programmes, testing choices, the characteristics of people living within areas and the size of the

    population. All these things make it difficult to compare between small areas and caution needs to

    be taken when looking at cases by ward. For example a higher number of cases in one ward could be

    caused by more people living in that area or the result of increased testing. Testing groups of people

    who don’t have symptoms, because they have been assessed as having an increased risk of exposure

    to the virus helps stop the spread of the virus but can result in higher positive case rates.

    To maintain confidentiality we are required to suppress numbers when they are below three, this

    means zero counts may not indicate there have been zero cases. This is important when comparing

    between areas, but also when looking at the number of cases within an area over time.

    All wards within Wakefield District have had positive cases in the last 7 days; although numbers are decreasing this indicates there is still consistent community transmission occurring in the district.

    1 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/covid-19-surveillance-reports

    mailto:[email protected]://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports

  • Page 5 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Pontefract North had the highest number of cases in the last seven days, however this is due to

    specific outbreaks in that area rather than community transmission.

    The number of people living in a ward impacts on the number of cases; more people will probably

    result in more cases. Rates are used to take the size of the population into consideration making it

    easier to compare between areas. However, these rates don’t take differences in testing or

    differences in population characteristics (such as underlying health conditions) into account; caution

    is still needed when interpreting this information.

    mailto:[email protected]

  • Page 6 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Most wards have seen a decrease in the number of cases in recent weeks. In the last 7 days the ward of Airedale and Ferry Fryston (+12) has seen

    an increase. This is due to specific outbreaks, rather than community transmission. The majority of wards have had a decrease, this is a trend that

    has continued for the last few weeks. These figures need to be interpreted with caution; they are subject to change because of the delays in data

    processing and are highly affected by testing.

    Number of positive cases by ward in the last 10 weeks

    07/10/2020 14/10/2020 21/10/2020 28/10/2020 04/11/2020 11/11/2020 18/11/2020 25/11/2020 02/12/2020 09/12/2020

    Ackworth North Elmsall and Upton 51 76 97 67 98 75 40 34 28 25 -3

    Airedale and Ferry Fryston 26 34 64 91 75 53 25 27 17 29 12

    Altofts and Whitwood 39 68 98 86 103 81 58 28 20 29 9

    Castleford Central and

    Glasshoughton 43 58 70 96 111 77 43 21 27 25 -2

    Crofton Ryhill and Walton 48 45 57 72 71 48 41 33 31 34 3

    Featherstone 49 89 90 78 66 65 57 31 23 23 0

    Hemsworth 50 108 105 121 107 112 48 40 36 32 -4

    Horbury and South Ossett 37 46 51 91 82 63 36 19 21 13 -8

    Knottingley 35 52 54 81 75 66 52 38 19 27 8

    Normanton 46 56 60 71 82 102 60 45 18 27 9

    Ossett 48 49 65 60 138 95 35 33 21 29 8

    Pontefract North 57 84 110 91 105 64 52 30 64 35 -29

    Pontefract South 45 69 82 70 72 45 37 24 21 18 -3

    South Elmsall and South Kirkby 51 87 94 77 93 71 51 28 21 20 -1

    Stanley and Outwood East 43 65 77 89 96 68 46 18 15 22 7

    Wakefield East 31 42 65 78 91 48 56 35 37 37 0

    Wakefield North 51 35 62 92 66 53 69 42 21 17 -4

    Wakefield Rural 41 69 61 85 78 68 48 33 22 23 1

    Wakefield South 30 48 50 54 54 48 37 23 25 25 0

    Wakefield West 18 59 42 65 47 50 49 42 45 24 -21

    Wrenthorpe and Outwood West 40 48 61 111 107 67 44 49 29 22 -7

    District average 879 1287 1515 1726 1817 1419 984 673 561 536 -25

    Change in

    cases from

    previous 7

    days

    Week commencing

    Ward name

    OLDEST LATEST

    Note:

    Numbers below 3 have been suppressed to maintain confidentiality, zero may not mean zero cases.

    These figures need to be interpreted with caution; they are subject to change because of the delays in data processing and are highly affected by testing. This is

    particularly important when comparing areas or changes over time.

    mailto:[email protected]

  • Page 7 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Patients in hospital with COVID-19:

    The number of people in a hospital bed with COVID-19, is an indicator of the additional pressure on

    our health system caused by the virus. It’s an indicator of the pressure because not everyone who has

    COVID-19 will require hospital treatment, many people will require other support from our health

    system (including GPs and pharmacy services), but don’t get admitted to hospital. For those who do

    get admitted to hospital, COVID-19 brings additional challenges. This is because it’s a highly infectious

    disease and that means extra measures and resources are needed to minimise the risk of the

    infection spreading.

    Patients get admitted to, and discharged from hospital constantly. This can make measuring the

    impact of COVID-19 difficult, because the picture is always changing. To allow us to look at the

    current pressures and to look at how it’s changing a snapshot is taken. This is the number of

    confirmed COVID-19 patients in a hospital bed at a specific point in time, we then look at this same

    snapshot time over days and weeks.

    The way hospital services are structured and paid for can also make it difficult. Hospitals often cover

    much larger areas than a single local authority, they will look after patients who live in many different

    places. In Wakefield our main hospital is provided by Mid-Yorkshire Hospitals NHS Trust (MYHT), who

    run a network of hospital services across three sites, Pinderfields, Dewsbury and Pontefract. Patients

    using these services will come from many of the surrounding areas, not just Wakefield. It’s important

    to look at the total number of people in MYHT, because this will indicate the additional pressures on

    the health system. On 15th December there were 193 patients in a MYHT hospital bed who had tested

    positive for COVID-19, some of these may be receiving complex support. This is a decrease from the

    previous snapshot in the previous week (203). Please note this data is subject to revisions and

    previous weeks figures may be updated.

    This trend is also shown when looking at patients in a MYHT hospital who are registered with a GP in

    Wakefield.

    mailto:[email protected]

  • Page 8 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Deaths:

    Since the start of the pandemic 567 Wakefield residents have had a death registered where COVID-19

    contributed to the cause of death. This is a provisional figure and may change once the data has been

    processed by ONS. There will be a delay in registration for some deaths, for example if it gets

    referred to the coroner. In the last seven days 28 deaths were registered where COVID-19

    contributed to the death.

    We know that COVID-19 does not affect all population groups equally. Age has been shown to be the

    most important risk factor in terms of death e.g. people aged 80 or older with COVID-19 were seventy

    times more likely to die than those under 402.

    Because age is such a big risk factor it’s important to take this into consideration when comparing

    with other areas; areas with more old people are very likely to have higher rates of mortality. Data

    from ONS shows that when age has been taken into consideration Wakefield has similar mortality

    rates to other areas (for COVID-19 and all causes)3.

    It’s not possible to provide ward level information about COVID-19 related deaths at the moment; the

    number of deaths registered is currently too small to allow this.

    2 PHE. Disparities in the risk and outcomes of COVID-19: Public Health England, 2020 3 Deaths involving COVID-19 by local area and socioeconomic deprivation: deaths occurring between 1 March and 31st July 2020

    mailto:[email protected]://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/892085/disparities_review.pdfhttps://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsinvolvingcovid19bylocalareasanddeprivation/deathsoccurringbetween1marchand31july2020

  • Page 9 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Frequently asked questions:

    Why does the positive case rate vary so much between areas?

    The positive case rate is influenced by the level of infection in an area and also by how well the

    infection is being detected (the level of testing undertaken). Both of these things cause positive case

    rates to vary between areas, but also over time. Because areas are undertaking different levels of

    testing, it makes it impossible to say if higher positive case rates are because the virus is more active

    in those areas, or if it’s because more testing has been done.

    The positive case rate has changed, or it’s different to other areas, does this mean there is a

    particular problem?

    The level of infection in an area isn’t the only thing that influences the positive case rate. The amount

    of testing that’s been done and the willingness of individuals to be tested also impact on the positive

    case rate. In areas where lots of people choose to get tested or there have been proactive testing

    drives, the positive case rate is likely to be higher compared to areas where this isn’t the case.

    Why are there differences in the numbers being reported?

    Information on testing and the positive case rate is available in different places, for example both

    gov.uk and NHS Digital have data available on their websites. This is positive; it means information is

    accessible to those wanting to understand more about the spread of the disease. However,

    information published on different sites may not always cover the same time-period or show exactly

    the same thing. It’s really important to look at the time period being used and the definition of the

    measure being presented.

    Why has the case rate that you reported for last week now changed?

    The case rate is calculated for a 7 day period. Whilst the majority of tests are processed and returned

    within a timely manner, there can be some cases that take longer to be reported. Cases are allocated

    to a person’s area of residence (Local Authority that they live within), sometimes the data collected at

    the time of sample can be insufficient to establish which local authority they are from. Subsequent

    data cleansing and matching is carried out, which can result in people being assigned to a local

    authority, or areas within a local authority later on. Both of these things mean that the number of

    cases within a certain week can be updated after data quality checks have been carried out, and this

    has the effect of changing the rates reported.

    mailto:[email protected]

  • Page 10 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    Why is the case rate used to compare with other Local Authorities different to the latest

    case rate reported here?

    Local Authority case rates are published each week by Public Health England, this information is used

    to compare Wakefield to other areas. More up-to-date information is available for Wakefield and

    this is used to give the latest position for the number of infections and the case rate. The two sources

    of information are based on slightly different time periods, therefore it’s unlikely the rates will be the

    same.

    How has the case rate been calculated?

    The latest case rate information for Wakefield District has been calculated using the number of cases

    detailed on https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ and 2019 Mid-Year population estimates.

    The number of cases are divided by the population, then multiplied by 100,000.

    Why isn’t hospital information shown for people living in Wakefield?

    The way NHS and hospital services are structured and paid for is different to local authorities. These

    services often cover much larger areas than single local authorities. They look after patients who live

    in many different places.

    In Wakefield our main hospital is provided by Mid-Yorkshire Hospitals NHS Trust (MYHT). MYHT runs

    a network of hospital services across three sites, Pinderfields, Dewsbury and Pontefract and patients

    using these services will come from many of the surrounding areas, not just Wakefield.

    As MYHT is our main hospital, they provide us with some summary information on hospital

    admissions, as part of the contract that’s in place to pay for the services. However, some people living

    in Wakefield District may also use hospital services that are paid for by other areas. It takes longer for

    this information to be processed, it goes to the areas responsible for buying those services from those

    hospitals first. This means it can take several months to collate information from all hospitals where

    a Wakefield resident may have received treatment, we can’t provide an up-to-date picture for all

    Wakefield resident admissions.

    Why are the number of deaths different to those published elsewhere?

    Information on the number of deaths involving COVID-19 is available in different places, for example

    Public Health England4 and the Office for National Statistics3 have data available on their websites.

    This is useful to those wanting to understand more about the impact of the disease on our

    population. However, the numbers published on different sites may not show exactly the same thing,

    or cover the same time period. It’s really important to look at the time period being used and the

    definition of how the deaths data is being counted.

    The Office for National Statistics count deaths that have been registered where COVID-19 is

    mentioned anywhere on the death certificate5. Public Health England count deaths with a

    laboratory-confirmed positive COVID-19 test. On the 12th August Public Health England introduced a

    4 https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ 5 https://www.ons.gov.uk/deathsinvolvingcovid19

    mailto:[email protected]://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsinvolvingcovid19englandandwales/deathsoccurringinmay2020#measuring-the-data

  • Page 11 Prepared by Wakefield Public Health Intelligence Team: [email protected]

    time limit on how long before a death a positive test needs to happen for it to be included6. This

    change in definition used by Public Health England resulted in a smaller number of deaths being

    counted and their published data was revised. The change in definition does not impact on the

    figures we report.

    In Wakefield we use the same definition as the Office for National Statistics; this means we can

    produce up-to-date information and data isn’t delayed because of waiting for lab results or data

    processing.

    6 https://PHE_Data_Series_COVID-19_Deaths

    mailto:[email protected]://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/908781/Technical_Summary_PHE_Data_Series_COVID-19_Deaths_20200812.pdf

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