COUFIDW'j'IAL r J'! 1014002 ". L:....., ,_1" .... • 81 FCO 1011522 JUNE TO I ATE IIASH ItJGT07l 1'tLEGRA;·l flur1CER (93 OF 10 JU;:E 1979 Pi! I t11 f) I STEfl'S t-iESSAGE TO THE RES 10EIH 1. THE Pllli!!.: j. IN ISTER S IGr4ED on 15 JUnE IiER REPLY TO r·IR CART:R'S E OF 13 i.AY (OUR TEU;O 50:). I(;IIED ORIGlfJI\L FoLLO'.IS BY [AG CUT PLEASE 1:01-1 PASS To THE '.'H ITE HOUSE FOR TRMJS:i I SS 101 TO lliE PRES I De:nT TEXT AS FoLLOliS. PRESIDE JT, AS YOU I DEFEf'lr.ED .\ FULL REPI.Y TO YOUR '-,ECSAGE of 13 i:;\. UilT IL r1f COLLEf,GU!:S Am I H/ID ABLE TO TALI( To r· R VANCE. TALK3 WERE MOST CY WILL HAVE REPORTED TO Yo0. EUT I THOUGHT YoU vlOULD \11 SH TO K;:OI nY THOUGHTS ON THE PO HITS j·;.\DE IN YOUR f·1ESSAGE. YOUR R IGIITLY GAVE PR ID::O of PLACE TO SALT AND THE FUTURE IC EALANCE. \-IE HAVE FoLLo::C:D THe: SALT II \'iITH CLOSE ATTEralCN Alii) ARE GRATEFUL FoR TilE YOU HI,VE TAl<EJ.1 TO KEEP US· Ii!FORi-IED. I SH RE YOUR ,ON V leT lot THI\T THE SUDSECU£ H DEB.\T:: r"iTIFICATIOi·j Or THE TREATY \JILL BE OF CRITICAL IfIPORTAdCE. AS I SEE IT I YOU It.; THE uri I TED STATES PART IClJLARLY YOUR DIALOGUE I-11TH THE SENATE, ArD V!E AJD OUR OTHER ALLIES HAVE TO STRIKE THE RIGHT BALANCE It! SUPPORTING THE RATIFICATION OF SALT II \'iHILE AT THE TII·1E I THAT OUR PUBLIC OP JOil W!DERSTANDS THE NEED FOR THE ALL lANCE To 1·IA INT/dN 1,;0 liSE ITS r:UCLEAR FORCES. CY VA/fCE ASSURED PeTER AT THE OUTSET of HIS DISCUSSIONS THAT SALT II \'IAS "'HOLLY COi·lPA T ITILE \41 Tf! THE RETEtiT ION OF A STRONG us CAPABILITY. \olE HELCat:" THAT. 30TH SIDES 0F THE EQUATION I-JILL rlEED TO BE HlPHASISED ItJ THE FEll IF \'IE ARE TO AVOID CREATING A FALSE S>=NSE OF SECURITY THAT lilGHT UflDER111f,E THE CONTINUIIG I IA:FEtlCE EFFORT THE ALlIli:ICE fiUST '·IAKE. I I 1:0TE YoU SAY AD0UT THE OF EUROPEA1: VI EWS 1:; THE FViTlFICATION DEBATE THAT LIES AHEAD OF YOU. AND I ACCEPT THAT TIlE ATTITUDE OF BRITA):·/, AS A ilUCLEAR POl-iER, Io l .ILL BE JN I SEn PAnT ICULARLY CLOSELY. or: OUR REACT/OilS To DATE em FIDEN'l'I,AL InONE OUR BEST
TO BE HlPHASISED ItJ THE :~EXT FEll i:O~lTHS, IF \'IE ARE TO AVOID CREATING
A FALSE S>=NSE OF SECURITY THAT lilGHT UflDER111f,E THE CONTINUIIG I
IA:FEtlCE EFFORT THE ALlIli:ICE fiUST '·IAKE. I
I 1:0TE ~iHAT YoU SAY AD0UT THE tr-~PvKTt\':CE OF EUROPEA1: V I EWS 1:; THE
FViTlFICATION DEBATE THAT LIES AHEAD OF YOU. AND I ACCEPT THAT
TIlE ATTITUDE OF BRITA):·/, AS A ilUCLEAR POl-iER, Iol.ILL BE
SC~UT JN I SEn PAnT ICULARLY CLOSELY. or: OUR REACT/OilS To DATE I~E ~IAVE
em FIDEN'l'I,AL InONE OUR BEST
CONFID TTIAL
COIlE oU, ]JEST TO BE IiELPrUL, roTH I:~ OUR 'ATIOLAL STATEIJErlTS AND
III THE CO:.';·iU j IQUES OF THE ,lATo DEFEilCE PLAtl,lltlG cor·1i·ll r-. AlD.
FORE 1CI i 1~II STERS' CoU1!C IL. \~E HAVE CO ·lS ISTEtlTLY SUPPoRTED EFFORTS
TO ACHIEVE L1,·llTATIOtlS ON STRATEGIC ARi·S A ID I HAVE nADE IT QUITE
CLEAR TP.AT I HoPE THE TREATY \ ILL BE RATIFIED. I·AY I ASK YOU ,TO
LET I',E KIIO?I AT A Y ST, GE HO\ BEST YOU TH INK ~IE CAN CoNT I IUE TO
HELP?AS YOU K;IO\'!, OUR REACTIOIS 0 FAR HAVE BEE I GOVER lED ~y THE V:E'J
1HAT A 5T TE:1E IT 0:1 THE SU3STA ICE OF THE GREEilEIJT i ADE FTER 01 LY
A BR IEF PER 10D I II GOIJERNi'lEI'T MlO BEFoRE \-IE H, D THE OPPORTUN I TY To
STUDY THE FULL TEXT OF THE TREATY woULD NOT HAVE CARRIED'CONVICTloN
EITHER \11 TH THE PURL IC HERE OR \'II TH YOUR COIlGRESS. BUT I ASSURE YOU
'THAT, \!lTHIN THE ALLlAt~CE AND IN OU.R PUBLIC STATE·IENTS, \-IE \'IILL
IX) ALL \'lE CAl TO ASSIST YOU nJ SECURING R.nIFICATION.
CY IJAilCE \'II LL H IE COIF IRi·1ED TO YoU THAT ONE ASPECT of THr- SALT I It .GOT I T I QNS THAT HAD GIVEN US, AS IT HAD OUR PREDECESSO!5-S,'
~RloUS CAUSE FOR CONCER~ WAS THE ~ORDING ON ~Ol-CIRCUMVENTION AtlD
1HE POSS IBI L IT I ES FOR NUCLEAR TRAiJSF RS I r: THE FUTURE. I THEREFORE
!'1JCH APPREC lATE THE C TEG~R ICAL ASSUR ~;CES III TH IS RESPECT THAT
HE GAVE US. THIS \IILL ALLO\I US ':HE I QUESTIO"IED, IN PARLIM1Ei:T AND
ELSE\!IIE E, AS \-'E SHALL BE, TO CoNF I R1-1 UliEQU I VOCALLY THAT OUR
INTERESTS ARE SAFEGUARDED.
LoOK ING AHEAD, I FULLY SHARE YOUR Vt EW OF THE 1t·1PORTANCE OF
FULF I LL I fiG THE LO,lG-TERi-l DEFE~:C PROGRAr'1!·lE. PETER CARR I i~GTONFRAf\'C IS PYf-1 AND I ALL UNDERL I lED TO CY VAl CE THE STRENGTH ofCUR cor·ltllTr-1ENT TO THE ATo TARGET OF 3 PERCENT GRO\HH IN DEFE ICE
EXPE iD ITURE. I AGREE TOO THIIT :!E NEED TO ENSURE THAT COtlCRETEa::c IS IONS ON THEATRE t'UCLEAR FORCE i·l0DERi~ I SAT ION ARE TAKEN EY THE
ALLIA~CE BY THE END OF THIS YEAR, AND IN THAT RESPECT THE RECENT
WHO COUi;C IL II;EET H,G iiARI<ED A IlI\JOR STEP FOR\!IIRD. AS FoR SALT 11 I,
I HI. VE ~IO DOUi3T THAT CY VAilCE' S VIS' T HAS GI vnl . liDDED 1r·~PETUS TO
~.HAT I HoPE ~JILL B~ A PERIOD OF IlTENSIVE CONSULTATioN BOTH
\'IITH IN THE ALL IAt:CE AND BETHEEN OUR T\'IO GOVERNt"1ENTS. FoR TH IS
R[ SON , VERY HUCH \'IELCO ·jE YOUR POSTSCR IPT ·AND LOOK FOR~IARD To
I-£ARItIG YOUR VIEI:!S ON SALT III AT ANY TI~'1E.
crl THE COMPREHE S I VE TEST BAN rJEGOT I AT IONS IT IS GOOD of YOU TO
HAVE ARr.ANGED FOR YoUR SCIE :CE ADVISER TO COrlE OVER HERE To BRIEF
lIE on THE TECHN ICAL ASPECTS ArID Qtl YOUR 01'1tl TH IrlK ING • CLEARLY \'IE
I:!:ED TO KEEP It! CLOSE TOUCH m! TillS.
·2co~ IDERTIAL /Iou WILl;
CO 'FIDEWi'IAL
YOU \11 LL HAVE ilEA D THAT, I ~I rcSrot!SE TO THE CO,:CE, ~ ','HI CH BOn, YOU
D:)UBLltlG OF TilE CONTRIEUTIOd r.Ol-lISED BY THE PRE'IIOUS AD.'lI,IISTRATJotJ
To THE TURKEY RESCUE O?ER T ImJ. I Ai I i;O LESS PERSUADED THAn YoU of
lllE STRATEG IC li·1PORTAtlCE of TURKEY. BUT I rlUST STRESS THAT POUtJDS
STERLI·IG 15 NILLION IS flBSQLUTELY AS FAR AS WE CM! GO, 13EYOdD THE
SlJ:JSTAt!T I AL SU(·1S VIE ARE ALREA:JY PRolI IDI1!G TO THE TURKS THROUGH THE
EEe, GIVEiJ OUR DETER IIt:ATIOil TO CUT PUBLIC EXPEIIDITURE IN THE Ui<.
AtJD I TH It K liE ALL AGREE THAT THE Turns l'iUST COilE TO A.I AGREEilEilT
':'ITH THE l:'iF _EFORE oUR CotlTR 13UTlo:S ARE PA ID Ol/ER.
I SHARE YOUR COt:CERN ABOUT soUTHEm, AFR ICA. I AGF:EE THAT CLoSE
CoLLADORATIOi4 BET\~EEN US HILL BE QF GREAT It·1PORTAr CE AS I~E TRY TO
r;EsoLVE THE PRoBLEt,IS WH ICH CONCERN US EQUI\LL'(. Itl THAT IIREA. otl
RHODES fA \'IE ~IELCOt;IED THE TALKS '0'11 TH CY VANCE. DAV ID HARLECH IS N01,1
1:1 AFRICA FOR DISCUSSioNS \'11TH THE CO:'i:O'lI'IEALTH AJD OTHER AFRIC\,i
~VERr"i'iErJTS DIRECTLY CONCEr/IED. (IE SHALL DE COiJSIDERING THE lAY
FoRHARD IN THE LIGHT OF illS REPoRT: ArlO IE SHALL nSH TO KEEP It! THE
CLOSEST TOUCH 1'1 ITH YOU oVER TH IS PIlQBLE!·I.
~TER CARRINGTO! AND CY VANCE HAVE EEN I CLOSE ToUCH ABOUT THE
V~RloUS IDEAS ON ~ANIBIA WHICH WE PUT FoRHARD FTER RICHARD LUCE'S
VI SIT TO THE AREA, A 'D I TH If K YOU, \ofE Arm OUR OTHER PARnERS ARE
t:o':1 LARGELY AGREED Otl Ti E ilEXT STers.
I·if j'IEEr H,IG \IITH nR :;~G li'l -lAS PRoFOUi';j)LY DISHEARTE ! /IJG. I \'IEll
U;,:JERSTAilD YOUR CAUTIO:'! ABoUT THE POSSIBILITY of t~AVlNG PRO RESS I:l}IE \'lEST BA~K tIEGOTIATIOi/S. I GiPHASISED TO ~lR BEGIN THE DANGER I'.'HICH
COilT I ilUED EXPMlS 10 J OF ISRAELI SETTLE: 'E1:TS REPRESEilTS TO THE
AUTONortY MEGOT I AT IONS AlID ALSO THE NCED TO HELP PRES I DENT SADAT.
BUT HE I'll LL riOT LISTEN AND EVE 4 RESENTS THE SUBJECT OF SETTLEf"ENTS
bEING RAISED AT ALL.,
PETER CARRINGTON WILL DISCUSS ,'JTH HiS CoMf,UNITY COLLEAGUES HoH
~EY ClI j BEST HELP. FOR OUR PART \:E SH/l.LL CO'!T I I'UE TO SUPPORT YOUR
E.E:JCRAL APPr.O,~CH \'I f TH ITS E: :PIIAS IS Cil THE ::EED TO ACH IE VE A
C011PREHENS I VE SETTLHlErn. HE SHALL BE HAPPY TO KEEP I N CLOSE,TOUCH \i ITH t,m STRAUSS AS YOU SUGGEST.
Ni FOR THE DI VIS IONS HJ THE ARAB I':ORLD, I DOUBT WHETHER ANY EARLY
FROGRESS TOI~ARDS RECONC I LI AT ION BEn!EEr~ PRES IDEtlT SADAT AND SOt·1E OF
TIlE noRE tl0DERATE ARAB GOVEr.r::;~I!TS IS POSS IBlE. THE FIRST STEP ilUST
BE TO URGE pnESIDErJT S DAT HIHSELF TO STOP HIS ATTACI~S otl HIS
3CONFIDENTIAL INATURAL ALLIES
COtTFIDENTIAL
i~ TU d\L I\LL I-=S SUCH I\S THt. SAUD IS MW TH"" JORDi:n MJS: I \'iAS GL :::J TO
E.: THAT YOUR Ar:nflSS;\DOR Iii ell 1.0 H S EEE I ABLE To HELP HlTH T: IS.
I EXPECT TO SEC I ;'G HUS E I ~j 1il THE r:EXT \lEEK A.lD SH LL URGE ON
II 1;1 THE rEED flOT TO cot-'·ll T HIi lSELF I RRE'IOCABLY flGA I tlST THESE PEACE
f'':COTI;\Tlo.lS.mT. Fo EIOl t:lt.! T2. 501':OD, AND HIS coLLE GUE, NR E AI<I, WHO:'l
i t AVE SEE~i REC-nTLY , U:: Ei:L I ::ED THE I: :Po T"t:CE THE JArM!ESE
t.TT C TO THE TO;~YO SUt·lIlIT. I ACCEPT TH T SUCH j·:EETliJC:S CAN DE
U:; FUL Aim 1 SI ALL E··' tlTER:::STED To TAKE PI RT I,j IT I.: ITH YOU AI DOUR
FIVE oTHER COLLEAGUES: ",UT I j:UST AD;lIT THIH PREV 10US r·iEETINGS IN
TIlE SERIES HAVE STRUCK 'lE AS sor·ETIr~ES Lot~GER 0 I DI G:lOSIS THAN ON
FrtESC. IPT IONS. THE PRoBLEt·! liE FACE TlI 1ST !t·1E ARE EVE J i·l0RE ACUTE
n1 1~ BCFORE, I.' ITH THE EtlERGY SHORTAGE AGGR;\VAT I G II ALREADY
t::CERTAltl SITUATioN. I HOPE I!~ SHALL BE ABLE TO GET rlEARER To
FIN IflG SOLUTloliS - BUT FRAi!l~LY I Ai'1 r:oT oPTI~IISTIC. 0 ONE POl IT
~loLLY AGREE WITH YOU. WE MUST TRY TO DEAL ONLY WITH A LIMITED
·;U:·:BER OF SPECIFIC ISSUES ArlO AVOiD THE OVER-GENERALISED APPROACH.
I HOPE ALSO THAT \O:E SHALL DE ABLE TO AVO ID A COl1i'1U IQUE HH ICH DEALS
f~INLY IN PIoUS PLATITUDES.
I.e I.-JERE ABLE TO ASSURE BOTH JAPM ESE MIill STERS OF THE 1/'iPoRTArlCE I'IE
An CII TO A H::: LTIlY M:D CO STRUCTIVE RELATIO.lSHIP \·IITII THE JAPAJESE
G:)VERrJi· ENT, BoTH B I LATERALLY i\~jD THROUGH THE EURoPEA1J cor·.!·iUN lTV. I
lH I i~K THERE ISAL Iit IT TO HO\! FAR OTHERS CAN oR SHOlJLD GO IN
ADV IS ING THE JAPANESE HOH TO RUII THE IR AFFA IRS, nUT I AGREE THAT TH6
Co IT WU I NG J PA!lESE TRADE SURPLUS IS A CAUSE FOR COdCER '..FOR US ALL.
LTHOUGH THE LATEST FIGURES ARE SLlGHTLY~ORE REASSURI iG, THIS NAY
BE NO r·:oRE THA. i TE 'lPoRARY, AS THE DEPREC IAT ION ·OF THE YEN orlCE
AGA I. LEADS TO A J I lCREASE I l JAPAr,ESE EXPORTS.
FINALLY, I SHOULD L11<E fiR IEFLY To t.o1EtlTIOJ O~!E SU JeCT tioT COVERED
HI YoUR LETTER TO ~L I A:1 \'EPY CO,'~CERi:E;) ?OUT THE REFUGEE
SITU;'TIOtl III SJU H EAST ASIA, i\i-!D Iti Ar.TICULAR Ai:OlJT THE 1~!CP.E;\SlilG
FLoOD OF BOAT REFUGEES FROn v IET/iAtoI. THE IHPACT IN HOi~G KONG, I'IHERE
OVER 50,000 VIETlAN·SE REFUGEES HAVE Af<RIIJED THIS YEAR, IS NO\>! VERY
Sr:R IOUS IrmEED. THE uniTED STATES AND A HANDFUL of OTHER COUNTR I ES.It~CLUD I NG Bf'll TA IN, ARE r'1AK I nG A SUBSTAtlT IAL Cor·lTR InUT ION • BUT WHAT
4CONFIDEN~IAL
CO U'IDEHTIAL
C/\RR I r! TON
13 ~::-DED IS A COtlCERTED IflTEn::ATIOli L EFFORT uOTH TO GET j':ORE
COUtlTRIES TO OPEN THE IR DOORS TO THES- unFoRTunATE REFUGEES, 111m T
EXERT :oRE EFFECT I'IE PRESSURE (':1 THE V I ETiUlf·1ES GOVERflj';E,~T TO STOP
EXPOr-T I tiG THE IR Ulil'.MITED PEOPLE. ArlO I:E ~:EED TO ACT sao J - HH I CH
IS l'illY I HAVE ASKED DR \oIALDI:E 1:1 TO corlVE~IE A;I INTERt~AT 10!JAl
CO~'FErErJcr: Uf.'DER UI1 AUSP ICES. I HOPE \':E CMI COUilT ON YOUR SUPPoRT.
I Af.l LOOI~ IlIG FoR\o.\RD TO OUR flE!"T IiiG iii TOI<YO.
