Capital Markets Day17 September 2019
Leading in UK Sustainable Waste Management
Michael TophamCEO
Welcome
3
AgendaSubject Presenter
Welcome and Strategic Overview Michael Topham
Collections Growth Opportunity Jeff Anderson
Coffee Break
Leading in UK Plastic Recycling Mick Davis
Developing Energy from Waste Infrastructure
Mike Thair
Coffee Break
Funding our Sustainable Platform Richard Pike
Panel Discussion Various
Summary with Q&A Michael Topham
The Team
5
Michael TophamCEO
Richard PikeCFO
Jeff AndersonCOO - Collections
Mike ThairDirector of Business Development & Treatment
David Gooding IT Director
Jane Pateman HR Director
Roger Edwards Managing Director Municipal
Mick DavisCOO Resources & Energy
We are the leader in UK sustainable waste management
6
With a diverse range of capabilities, generating strong returns
£1,031mNet Revenue
£81.7mOperating Profit
7,900Employees
2,794Vehicles
> 190Locations
10.8m Tonnes waste
handled
Collections
I&CRevenue: £560.2m
MunicipalRevenue: £164.6m
Specialist ServicesRevenue:
£72.5m
Resources & Energy
RecyclingRevenue:
£79.2m
OrganicsRevenue:
£61.7m
InertsNet Revenue:
£47.1m
Landfill GasRevenue:
£45.5m
All number are from FY19
With a Strong Track Record of Profitable Growth
7
Average net revenue growth 7.9% p.a. FY14-FY19 split between organic (40%) and acquisition (60%)
Strong growth in tonnages
Strong growth in margins and return on assets since 2014
705
771
830
927
1006 10311090
34
49
63
74
81 82
89
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 FY20Analyst
ConsensusNet Revenue Underlying EBIT
With a clear Vision to further strengthen and grow our business
Market presence
Services & infrastructure
Systems & processes
Three pillars… Vision
Grow
Develop
Optimise
8
Clear market Leader in Collections
Organic Growth above market
>£100m invested in acquisitions
Unparalleled scale driving sector leading margins
Larger, diversified and de-risked Resources & Energy business
Leading Polymer Processor, £120m - £150m revenues
Growing earnings from Energy from Waste assets
Unrivalled leadership in sustainability
Underpinned by supportive government legislation
Currently focused on three specific opportunities
9
Leading in UK Plastic Recycling
Operational and development track record
Control of materials
Trusted off take partnerships
Developing Energy from Waste Infrastructure
Proven market need
Control of waste and consented sites
Underpins I&C business
Collections Growth Opportunity
Scale and capabilities position us well for organic growth
Proven track record of M&A
Platform gives unique synergy opportunities
An Extremely Powerful Sustainability Story
10
Consolidation in Collections
Recycling/ EfWInvestments
Strong ESG Performance
• Drives more efficient logistics• Reduces carbon impact• Positions us well for fleet
electrification
• Moves waste up the hierarchy• Reduces carbon impact
• Investing in UK green economy infrastructure
• Substantial UK employer • Significant UK indirect tax payer
11%Reduction in distance between lifts in last four years
21%Reduction in Scope 1 emissions sinceFY16
*Taxes paid include: Landfill tax, VAT, PAYE, Employers NIC, IPT and SDLT
£230m Paid in UK indirect taxes*
Introduce Biffa’s Executive and leadership teams
Provide insights on our markets and changing regulatory industry dynamics
Explore our three key areas of strategic growth and the advantaged positions in each; and
Shine a light on our strong sustainability performance
Objectives of the Day
11
Biffa: our markets, growth prospects and ESG performance
Thank you.
Jeff AndersonChief Operating OfficerCollections
Plastics RecyclingPolymers
Collections:The growth opportunity in I&C
Introduction
Collections Division Structure
Industrial & Commercial (I&C)
MunicipalSpecialist Services
Stat
sO
verv
iew
Pri
orit
ies
Revenue £560.2mTonnes 2.5m (collected)
Revenue £164.6mTonnes 1.5m (collected)
Revenue £72.5m
Waste collection and materials handling services to I&C customers.
Household waste and recycling collections, street cleaning and other services.
Specialist services to I&C customers including;• Hazardous waste collection & treatment• Integrated resource management• Producer responsibility compliance
Continue to grow organically & via acquisitionsDevelop new routes to market including e-commerce capability
Business stabilised, positioned to selectively grow portfolioPrepare for & benefit from Government resource and waste strategy
Continue to drive organic growth in IRM complex customersRestructure Hazardous business to merge with IRM businessLeverage I&C customer base
16
I&C Market
I&C Market
Market Share
Market Sizing
£m %
Nationals (incl. Biffa I&C) 1,657 28%
Large Regionals 2,398 41%
Corporate Brokers 396 7%
Others 1,441 24%
Total 5,892 100%
Biffa I&C and Specialist Services
£632m 11%
Biffa is the clear leader in a fragmented market
Competitive Landscape
NationalsLarge
Regionals (e.g.)Corporate
BrokersOthers
VeoliaSuezViridorDS SmithFCCTradebeAugean
Bagnall & MorrisBywatersCawleysGrundonSimply WasteHillsEnva
First WasteGreenzoneMitie WasteReconomyUKWSLACMCheaperwaste
Local AuthoritiesC&D operatorsSmall regionalsSmall brokers
18
11%
17%
41%
7%
24%Biffa I&C
Nationals
Large Regionals
Corporate Brokers
Others
Source: estimates based on Biffa Data
► Only one national competitor has market share greater than 5% in I&C core market
► Other nationals have not been acquisitive in the collection market
► Biffa is the natural consolidator
Critical service which businesses must have
Mainly scheduled service based (as opposed to volume based) revenue
Ever increasing complexity in terms of segregated services and customer sustainability requirements
Evolving policy further underpins this
A market in which the scale operator has a distinct advantage
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Route density & lowest cost operator – scale
99% services are scheduled and non variable
Disposal costs absorb 50% of collection revenues - leveraging scale unlocks disposal benefits
Large operators have scaleadvantage – both nationally and locally - supporting further industry consolidation
Landfill diversion, contamination levels & carbon emissions
Smart logistics mapping allows constant re-configuration of routes
Technology supports customer, driver & vehicle data –management information driving efficiency
Carbon ‘waste miles’ becoming important
Critical Non-Discretionary Service
Increasingly requiring scale Increasing relevance of ESG performance
And are supported by the ongoing policy environment
Improvement in recycling rates will lead to greater requirement for segregation in containers and collections
Mandated separate food collections will drive density to I&C food fleet and re-inflate AD gate fees
Extended Producer Responsibility will lead to a greater recovery of recycling/re-processing costs from manufacturers & retailers
Deposit Return Schemes should lead to a reduction of plastic bottles in Dry Mixed Recycling (DMR)
Extended Producer Responsibility
20
Biffa’s differentiated I&C business
We provide a unique Integrated Waste Proposition
End to end integrated solution important to all customer channels
Group processing capability -importance of end destination reporting
Carbon and sustainability metrics
22
And a clear track record of delivery
Price Management
1
Low Operating Cost
Improved Retention
Acquisition Integrations
Strong Management Team
5
2
3
4
Strong price management and maintenance across all channels especially in SME 21% growth since 2015
Operating costs have remained flat for 6 years offsetting inflationary increases with efficiency gains
Retention rates have consistently improved for 5 years – SME churn down to <10% for past 2 years
Effective at acquisition integration – faster synergy delivery for ‘tuck-under’ deals
Regional P&L ownership supported by strong people capability
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
Unit Ops cost
growth-6.1% -0.7% -1.0% 0.5% 1.9%
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
Unit Earnings
growth3.2% 5.6% 3.7% 4.7% 4.1%
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
SME Churn
13% 12% 12% 10% 9%
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
Deals 8 8 5 7 6
Revenue £6m £30m £19m £51m £64m
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• Unit earnings is collection revenue minus cost of disposal per m3
• SME churn – annualised impact, in year effect broadly 50% of annualised
With National Coverage
Consistent, effective, reliable – Strong platform for growth
1308Vehicles
37Transfer Stations
66Depots
The largest commercial waste collection network in UK
95% UK postcode coverage
Strong buying power – disposal costs
Critical mass supports flexibility & strong route density
98% first time service success
High customer retention rate
3400FTE
24
And the greatest benefits of scale in a Fragmented Market
Lowest cost to serve, efficient & with strong ESG credentials
25
700kcontainers collected
each week
0.62lifts per km up 11% since 2015
Stable Ops cost over 5 years
Carbon mapping capability
Vehicle capacity increased due to fleet double shifting – 24/7 operations
Full waste stream coverage, close to customers and highly flexible
Modern collection fleet, significant investment over 5 years
Dedicated driver training resource
Carbon mapping tool introduced – demonstrates value of being located close to the customer
Well positioned to leverage electric vehicle technology
We have a winning formula for customers
Self Delivery 95% postcode coverage Well invested fleet Full waste stream coverage
Customer Service Levels 98% first time service Strong cash collection
Account profitability 100% corporate customers are profitable
SME higher margin
Brand Increasing profile of ESG
Pricing Critical mass and strong route density
Innovation & MI Un-paralleled real- time customer MI
Sustainability & Compliance
Waste data, traceability & supplier governance
Carbon mapping
Corporate Customers
165 customers - c. £283m collection revenue; 62 customers with annual spend > £1m pa
Strong cross sector mix – low exposure to single channel
Retail Leisure FM BrokerUtilities &
Construction
£78m £54m £61m £50m £40m
26
Current run rate revenues; including SWR revenues
SME Customers
74,000 customers - c. £317m collection revenue with average spend > c. £4k pa
Strong cross sector mix – low exposure to single channel
Our Management Information is industry leading
E2E data supporting Customer Management Information
27
And we look to create strong sustainable partnerships
Customer Advocacy
10 year + relationship
1400 UK wide outlets including bakeries
One million collections each year across residual waste, food,
recyclables and other
36,000 waste tonnes handled
99% first time service – 95% self delivered
96% diverted from landfill
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Which is reflected in our win and churn rates
Retention & new business win rates are strong
National players & waste brokers compete for corporate customers
Regional & SME customers targeted by multiple suppliers
Impressive retention rates – strong link to acct management capability & service delivery
Strong track record of organic revenue growth
Price increase discipline ensures recovery of cost inflation
SME price elasticity well managed & industry leading
Added value services in corporate & IRM estates
45%
28%
95% 94% 91%
0
20
40
60
80
100
Corporate Regional Customers SME
Win Ratio Retention Rate
3.5%2.9%
5.9%
2.5%
3.2%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
29
n/a
Specialist Services
Integrated Resource Management
Hazardous Waste Compliance Schemes
Sta
tsO
verv
iew
Op
por
tun
ity
Revenue £34m Revenue £24m Revenue £14m
• Complex customers – manufacturing, retailers, food processors
• On-site support – waste segregation
• Commodity and rebate based
• Generates important volumes for Biffa Group – £7m revenue internalised
• Collection & disposal of packaged hazardous wastes
• Industrial cleaning – facilities e.g. power stations
• Liquid tanker operations
• End of life treatment (aerosols, flu tubes & bulk liquids)
• Biffpack
• Packaging Waste Compliance Scheme
• Sources Packaging Recovery Notes (PRNs) on behalf of customers
• 500 Scheme members
• Transform (WEEE) & Battery compliance
Waste segregation at source increasingly important on large facilities
• Resources & Waste strategy and end to end visibility of waste materials
• Strong link to PRN requirements
• Opportunity to penetrate I&C corporate customers
• Packaged waste opportunity in regional and SME accounts
• Retain current membership and profitability
• Engage with govt as part of EPR consultation process – Resources & Waste strategy 2023
Specialist Services provides strengthened core offer & growth
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Manufacturing Focused / Award Winning / Integrated Experts
Bespoke Service Offering
Tailored MI Reporting and dedicated on-site Management
Strong presence in Food Manufacturing Sector
Growth in Distribution Centres (JLP, BP etc)
Specialist Waste Handling & Telemetry provider - Biffa Equip
Building innovative waste food and co-product collection and
processing into pet food – ‘closed loop solution’
Integrated Resource Management: services a Broad Customer Landscape
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Nationwide fleet / UK Treatment Facilities / UK Transfer Station Network
Hazardous Waste complements the overall offering
National collection capability supported by Haz Waste transfer station network
National Tanker Fleet to deal with all types of liquid waste
Treatment capability in aqueous liquids, aerosols and fluorescent tubes
Secure Waste Destruction facility
Opportunities
► Most I&C customers will require a hazardous waste service
► Corporate, SWR and IRM customers will generate significant additional spend
► Infrastructure and disposal capability requires future investment
► Well positioned to build out capability & infrastructure through acquisition
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Digital & Channel Strategy
Increasing digital capability
35
Multiple digital communications and real time update development opportunities
Interface with customers through technology:
Real time etaTrack my serviceDynamic alerts and remindersPersonalised messagesDriver interactionIOT integration - Order services via voice activated search devicesAuto renewal / re-orderReactive SEO / digital marketingLaunch of e-commerce solutions
Driving more volume into the network
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Corporate SME Household (B2C)
Scheduled
Exchange
Reactive
Ser
vic
e
Self-delivered
Brokered
Part-brokered
Self-delivered
Self-deliveredPhone / account
managerComplex site
clearance
Self-deliveredOnline
TelesalesField sales
Online-BrokerTelesales
Self-deliveredOnline
Telesales
Regional acquisition
brandsSelf-delivered
Self-deliveredOnline only
Waste clearance
Click and pay
Self-delivered(Municipal
Division).co.uk
.co.uk Self-deliveredOnline only
Waste clearance
Click and pay
Self-deliveredOnline only
Waste clearance
Click and pay
Green wasteSelf-delivered
Online only
Channel Strategy
Digital Offering – Online Transactional Service
Initial phase of Biffa e-commerce and sub-brand strategy
Ad hoc waste collection service for the B2B and B2C market
Fast response van or skip service
Fully on-line transaction – ‘click & pay’
Nationwide coverage – linked to I&C depot & disposal network
Target launch: October 2019
‘The Simple way to get rid of stuff’
‘Skip it, van it, bag it’37
Growth through Acquisitions
DealsRevenueAcquired
Invested
FY14 2 £52m £32m
FY15 8 £6m £1m
FY16 8 £30m £10m
FY17 5 £19m £13m
FY18 7 £51m £47m
FY19 6 £64m £48m
FY20 2 £5m £3m
Total 38 £227m £154m
We have a clear track record of successful integration
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► Removal of duplicate routes
► Removal of duplicate locations
► Transfer Station infrastructure
► Internalising sub-contracted work
► Scale benefits for disposal costs
► Procurement efficiencies
► Back-office and management
Source of Synergies
► Well networked management team – able to source off-market deals
► Well respected by advisory community for execution track record
► Experienced M&A team
► Integration capability - able to integrate multiple deals each year
Critical Success FactorsTrack Record(Biffa Collections)
*Excludes Municipal revenues ex Cory acquisition 2017
UK network benefits from infill targets in all geographies
40
Primary Targets Looking Forward
I&C Compaction / Exchange
High synergy value
Route density – Ops cost m3
Speed of integration
Strengthens local market position
Transfer Station & Recycling infrastructure
Liberates ‘stranded’ tonnage for Biffa
EfW
Internalises recycling margin
Disposal cost protection
Waste Brokerage
Strong route density gains
Low synergy but internalises margin
Creates new routes to mark
Hazardous Waste & Source Segregated (e.g.food)
Strong cross – sell opportunity
Route density & infrastructure build
Potential for positive legislative impact
Distribution of acquisitions since 2015
Case Study
Strong regional competitor -£4.0m revenues
Strong local brand Well invested TS & Recycling
Facility Price discounter Distracted management –
business in decline No. 4 player in regional
market (Biffa No. 1)
Infill volume - route density Internalised waste transfer
capability Recycling Internalisation of sub-
contracted volumes, previously sub-optimal
Strong overhead & operational synergies
Pre-Acq Post Acq
Vehicles 15 10Ops FTE 20 9Back Office 6 1Locations 2 1
Synergy savings £0.8mPost synergy EBITDA multiple 3.5xTime to fully integrate 6 months
Target Company Profile Investment Rationale Post Integration Output
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Summary
Summary
Unparalleled National Footprint Route density across 95% UK postcodes Close to customers – Flexible 98% first time service
Market Consolidation Average 7 acquisitions pa over last 5 years Two further infill acquisitions in progress Future targets expanded to include
collections, brokers and Hazardous waste
Sector-leading Organic Growth Industry leading data & MI Growth through new channels E-commerce capability
Strong Management Team Strength in depth management team – low
attrition rate Industry leading Corporate accounts team Regional control – de-centralised
43
Thank you.
Mick DavisChief Operating OfficerResources & Energy
Introduction to the Resources & Energy Division
Biffa’s Resources & Energy portfolio
47
InertsRecycling EfW developmentLandfill Gas
Key
S
tats
Treatment & disposal of contaminated inerts
Produces sands and aggregates
Provides landfill disposal for untreatable residues
Sorting and trading of dry recyclable commodities
Advanced closed loop food grade plastic recycling
Treatment of organic waste to produce compost and renewable energy
Includes long term MBT contracts at Leicester and West Sussex
Energy generation from landfill gas extraction
Net Revenue: £61.7MTonnages: 0.5MSites: 5
Treatment of general waste for energy recovery
Net Revenue: £79.2MTonnages: 0.5MSites: 8
Net Revenue: £45.5MGWh: 350Sites: 36
Net Revenue: £47.1MTonnages: 3.6M Sites: 23
Organics
Ov
erv
iew
*Gross Revenue: £120MTonnages: 750ktpaSites: 2
Quoted figures refer to the 52 week period ended 29 March 2019 *Gross Project Revenue. Biffa’s share to be incorporated as part of share of net income from JV
A reminder of Biffa’s Integrated proposition
Key to success is security of feed-stock quality and quantity
We have scale and are integrated
48
PRODUCTION
MANUFACTURING / RAW MATERIALS
BIFFAPOLYMERS
EFWUK
Plastics RecyclingPolymers
Resources & Energy:Polymers – Leading in UK plastic recycling
50
Blue Planet
Consumer awareness – demand for recycled content
Brand Value – Sustainability non-negotiable
Legislation
HMRC – plastic tax
Recyclability – Extended Producer Responsibility
Public opinion and government policy are aligned
(1) Quant survey 2018, UK, CHI,INDO, FR, GER, SP, MEX
78% of consumers prefer more sustainable plastic packaging rather than choosing to abandon plastic completely1
Where the different policies for plastics sit in the waste hierarchy
StagesMost
Preferred
LeastPreferred
Prevention
Re-use
Recycling
Other recovery
Disposal
51
Ban on single use plastics
Bags for life
Closed loop mechanical recycling
Open loop mechanical recycling
Chemical recycling
Biodegradable plastics
Policy examples
52
5Process lines
63,000Tonnesinput pa
92Customers
143Full time employees
Current Operations based in Redcar
Operating from one of the most technically advanced plastic reprocessing facilities in the world, delivering solutions by converting waste plastics into high value raw materials.
Biffa PolymersRedcar
53
A Great Track Record to Build on
Completed In build
2000 ‘02 ‘04 ‘06 ’08 ‘10 ‘12 ‘14 ’16 ‘20
Pre-consumer PP processing
World’s first food grade HDPE (milk bottle) plant
Post-consumer mixed plastics processing
2nd HDPE line
’21
Extend mixed plastics capacity
PET Investments
‘18
FY00 FY08 FY16 FY19
Tonnage 6,000 24,000 52,000 63,000
Revenue £2m £10m £20m £40m
Collaboration along the entire supply chain from dairies to supermarkets
In 2008 set a target to achieve 30% recycled content by 2015
Biffa developed the world’s first food-grade standard recycling HDPE plant
Won the Queen’s Award for Enterprise Innovation in 2009
Industry standardised labels , glues and pigments to boost recycling
The result is Biffa’s recycled plastic is used in 85% of plastic milk bottles
54
We pioneered a Sustainable Industry-wide Model
Delivering a True Closed-Loop Recycling Model
55
Collection SortingMixed Recycling
Hot Wash
Bales
Washed flake
Colour sort & decontamination
PelletsBlow Moulding
Supermarket
Dairy
Long-standing Customer Relationships
56
57,000Tonnes input pa
38,000Tonnes output pa
Investment Opportunity
Resources & Waste Strategy Dec 2018 :
To achieve at least 65% recycling of municipal waste by 2035
To work towards all plastics placed on the market being recyclable, reusable or compostable by 2025 and
To eliminate avoidable plastic waste over the lifetime of the 25 year plan
58
Launched by WRAP in 2018
Members represent 80% of plastics packaging sold in UK supermarkets
The targets for 2025 are :
UK Government Policy is aligning with Europe and Public Sentiment
59
… and this is Feeding a Huge Uplift in Demand
Growth Drivers for UK processing capacity
Extended producer responsibility boosting demand
Plastic tax
Deposit Return Schemes increasing supply
Sustainability becoming a key measure of business performance
Increasing capture rates expected to meet Government and Plastic Pact targets (66% and 70% by 2025)
Potential South East Asia ban on importing plastics
Potential UK ban on export of plastics
UK processing market could grow 3 - 5x by 2025
- 2017 based on National Packaging Waste data and Biffa recycled tonnage. - 2021 & 2025 indicative projections based on: exports declining to nil and 70% plastics recycling target achieved by 2025; total plastics volume remains constant.
New PET Bottle Recycling Facility in Seaham
60
£27.5mInvestment
57,000Tonnes input pa
1.3bn Bottlesrecycled pa
96Full time employees
BiffaPolymersSeaham
When completed Seaham will be the most modern and technically advanced PET facility in the world, converting waste plastic bottles into high purity food contact material.
£40mAnnual Revenues
Critical Success Factors
61
Biffa is uniquely positioned to succeed
Long established team
Pioneered food safety protocols in Europe
Self-delivered HDPE expansion in 2017
Flexible design to meet all end customers’ requirements
Biffa collections: 2,800 trucks
MRF network provides high quality sorted materials
Modifying MRFs to expand plastic sorting capacity
Long-standing relationships through HDPE business
Supply to blow moulders or brands directly
De-risked commercial model and long-term commitments under negotiation
Development & Operational Excellence
Control of Feedstock Trusted Offtake Partnerships
Indicative Expansion Strategy and Impact
62
PP post-industrial 20,000
PP post-consumer 7,000
HDPE post-consumer 28,000
PP wash plant expansion 8,000
63,000
Operational now: Tonnes pa
PET (from FY21) 57,000
120,000
Committed and in-build (£27.5m):
Expand PP post-consumer 15,000
Expand HDPE 14,000
Expand PET 57,000
206,000
Future potential projects (£30-50m):
Medium term targets:
Revenue between £120M - £150M
Operating Profit £10M - £15M
Conclusion
Concluding Remarks
#1 in food grade recycled plastic Integrated supply chain
Market leader today
Government policy alignment and taxes Brand producers response Closed loop - highest level of recycling
Unprecedented demand
Same team Same technology Same customers
Demonstrated track record
Control of feedstock Protected margins Strength of team
De-risked business model
Developing Energy from Waste Infrastructure
Mike ThairDirector of BusinessDevelopment & Treatment
Market Overview
68
The Waste Hierarchy supports the drive away from landfill towards more beneficial recycling and recovery options
Since 2000 the UK’s environmental policies have focused on driving waste away from landfill towards more environmentally friendly recycling and recovery options
Once recycling has been maximised the next stage is to recover value from the remaining residual waste
Recovery is generally in the form of energy generation - realising the latent energy value in the materials we throw away to generate de-centralised renewable energy
For material that cannot be recycled or recovered Landfill remains the final disposal option
Market evolution supported by fiscal policy has resulted in an economic structure that supports environmental policy with disposal representing the highest cost option of managing waste.
Waste Hierarchy and Typical Cost
Waste Hierarchy & Economics – Driving recycling & diverting waste from landfill
Landfill - £110
Prevention
Re-use
Recycling
+/- £0
Other Recovery
£80-£100
Disposal
>£100
UK Waste Management – Progress
69
The UK has made substantial progress in recycling, increasing from ~10% in 2000 to 46% in 2017. Growth has now slowed and further stimulus is required to drive future increases
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
England - Household Waste Management
Recycling Recovery - EfW Landfill
Recycling
Driven by environmental and fiscal policies the UK has seen significant growth over the last 20 years
Recovery – Energy from Waste
EfW development was historically underpinned by Local Authorities and PFI contracts . Current and future development requires I&C waste and private finance
Landfill
Landfill tax has supported investment in Recycling & Recovery, reducing the UK’s reliance on landfill disposal
Source: DEFRA
Managing the UK’s residual waste
70
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Managing the UK’s Residual Waste (M tpa)
RDF Export Domestic EfW Capacity Residual Waste
New infrastructure to treat residual waste continues to be developed but there will continue to be a gap in capacity.
The amount of residual waste that requires managing depends on the future levels of recycling Current projections include assumed increases
in recycling performance
Domestic UK Energy from Waste (EfW) capacity treats >12M tpa (2018)
The UK currently exports approximately 3M tpa of residual waste to mainland Europe as Refuse Derived Fuel (RDF) – assumed to remain constant but may decrease over time
Despite further growth in recycling and the development of additional EfW capacity, the UK will have a persistent shortfall (c.6Mtpa) in treatment capacity
Source: Management Analysis
Developing EfW Capacity in the UK – Critical Success Factors
71
There are more than 40 operational plants in the UK processing >12mtpa. However, more than 20 further mid sized EfW plants are required to manage the UK’s residual waste – this represents an investment of more than £6bn. Critical to unlocking a development project are:
Control of Site: Proximity to waste arisings Planning Permission Environmental Permit
Control of Waste: Agregated volumes to support investment Stong balance sheet to support contractual commitment
Supply Chain: Proven technology with supporting performance guarantees Robust operator to maximise performance with proven technical capacbility
The Opportunity
Two opportunities have been developed to invest in EfW infrastructure
Located just off the M1 at junction 23 in Leicestershire
Annual capacity – 350ktpa of residual household and I&C waste
Biffa contracting to supply – 70% (245ktpa)
Construction Cost £285-£295m*
ProtosNewhurst
Development Opportunity – 750,000 tonnes per annum of robust, proven and reliable capacity
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Located at Ince Marshes near Ellesmere Port in Cheshire
Annual capacity – 400ktpa of residual household and I&C waste
Biffa contracting to supply – 61% (245ktpa)
Construction Cost £325-£335m*
* Excluding finance costs
Located in Shepshed (Leicestershire), Newhurst is immediately accessed from junction 23 of the M1
The site is owned by the Garendon Estate and was historically leased by Hanson for the extraction of mineral
Planning Permission & Environmental Permit granted
Newhurst – A former quarry located immediately off the M1 in Leicestershire
74
Newhurst Key Metrics
Construction Cost £285-£295m
Leverage 70-75%
Biffa Equity (50%) £40-£45m
Biffa Group level IRR (post-tax) Mid-High Teens
Located in Ince near Ellesmere Port (Cheshire) the site is well located to serve Liverpool and Manchester with access from the M56
The Site (including the wider Protos estate) is owned by Peel.
Planning Permission and Environmental Permit granted
Protos – A green field site located near Ellesmere Port in Cheshire
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Key Metrics
Construction Cost £325-£335m
Leverage 60-70%
Biffa Equity @ 25% £30-£35m
Biffa Group level IRR (post-tax) Mid-High Teens
Partnership – Biffa has selected strong partners for the delivery Newhurst and Protos
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EPC (Engineering, Procurement & Construction) Turnkey Contract for the design, construction, commissioning and
testing of the facility
O&M (Operations and Maintenance) Provided by Covanta for a minimum term of 20 years
FSA (Fuel Supply Agreement) Provided by Biffa for a minimum term of 20 years
Sponsors Biffa will control 50% of the Newhurst Project alongside Covanta
and GIG
Protos – Biffa will control 25% - preferred investor identified to match Biffa’s 25%
Non-Recourse Project Finance Borrowed by ProjectCo for the sole purpose of funding construction
ProjectCo
EPC O&M FSA
Covanta Green
50%
50%50%
50%
Sponsors:
Non-Recourse Project Finance
EPC – Proven contracting structure for EfW and Project Finance
77
EPC (Engineering, Procurement & Construction)
Turnkey Contract for the design, construction, commissioning and testing of the facility
Fixed price, fixed programme contract with full responsibility for the performance of the plant through testing including ongoing availability tests
ProjectCo
EPC O&M FSA
Risk Mitigation Allocation
Capital Cost Increase Fixed price at financial closeFX HedgedVariations by approval – cost benefit analysis
EPC
Delay Fixed programme to completionLDs payable for delay
EPC
Performance Guaranteed performance including availability, throughput and electricity generation backed by performance bond and LDs EPC
Operation & Maintenance – Provided by a leading global EfW Operator
78
ProjectCo
EPC O&M FSA
O&M (Operations and Maintenance)
Provided by Covanta for a minimum term of 20 years Covanta operate 44 EfW facilities and process over 20m tpa Covanta employs over 4,000 people Market Cap $2.3bn
Full responsibility to operate and maintain the plant to agreed standards
Risk Mitigation Allocation
Cost Increase Variable (volume) and fixed price cost payment mechanism O&M
Health, Safety & Environment Contract obligation to comply with all legislation including environmental consents O&M
Performance Guaranteed performance including availability, throughput and electricity generationO&M
Fuel Supply
79
ProjectCo
EPC O&M FSA
FSA (Fuel Supply Agreement)
Provided by Biffa for a minimum term of 20 years
245,000 tonnes per annum per project
Competitive rate to ensure ‘better than market’ disposal solution
‘Put or Pay’ provisions for failure to supply
Volumes supplied from Biffa’s regional collection depots and transfer stations
Spare capacity available to tender forthcoming Local Authority Contracts and maximise revenue through spot market rates
Financial Summary – Project Level
80
Project Co. Worked Example
P&L (£m) FY25 FY29
Total Revenues 58 66
O&M (19) (21)
SPV Costs (5) (5)
Gross profit 34 40
Lifecycle (2) (3)
Depreciation (11) (11)
Net interest expense (10) (9)
Profit before Tax 11 18
Tax (3) (3)
Net Income 8 14
O&M Contract represents 81% of annual operational costs
Both O&M and Lifecycle costs fixed
* Excluding finance costs
Construction Cost - Worked Example
Uses %
Civils 29%
Process Equipment 23%
Mechanical & Electrical 13%
Spares 1%
General Project Costs 15%
Grid Connection 2%
ProjectCo Costs 8%
Lease Premium 4%
Construction / Project Management 3%
Fixed O&M Costs 2%
Mobile Equipment, IT, Outfitting 1%
Total* 100%
EPC Package – fixed price & fixed programme
EPC Cost equates to 81% of the total
Biffa will include its percentage share of profit after tax in its
results
Gate fees represent 2/3 of revenue
Contracted and inflation linked
Interest rates hedged at financial close
Biffa I&C Volumes – Strategy and delivery
81
Biffa has actively secured disposal capacity in domestic EfW over recent years. The combination of existing contracts and future developments delivers long term security combined with future flexibility
Biffa expects to continue to control more than 1.7mtpa of suitable material for treatment in EfW – signed and future disposal contracts account for 60% of Biffa’s suitable tonnage
Based on the signed and future Fuel Supply contracts, Biffa will be the UKs largest supplier of fuel to EfW
On completion of disposal contracts currently in negotiation (including Newhurst and Protos) Biffa will have secured 60% of its I&C tonnages to long-term EfW supply contracts
This commitment underpins the I&C operation on a national level and represents a suitable blend of committed tonnage and future flexibility
23%
14%
14%9%
40%
Biffa Volume
Contracted Volume Newhurst Protos Future EfW Uncontracted
Conclusion
Attractive projects delivering strategic needs
83
There is a clear need for more infrastructure in the UK to meet current and future needs
The Newhurst and Protos EfW projects offer attractive investment opportunities delivering a Biffa Post Tax IRR of mid-high teens for a £70-£80m investment
Access to EfW underpins our I&C business and supports continued growth
Both facilities expected to be operational in 2023
Future opportunities to refinance / recycle capital for further investment
Thank you.
Richard PikeCFO
Building on a proven track record of delivery
86
Strong year on year improvement
Resilient underlying business performance weathering commodity / Municipal headwinds / natural decline in Landfill Gas yields
Robust underlying cashflow generation pre discretionary growth spend
£103m of acquisitions funded from underlying free cash flow over last three years
705
771
830
927
1006 10311090
34
49
63
74
81 82
89
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 FY20Analyst
ConsensusNet Revenue Underlying EBIT
FY20 Company compiled consensus includes £2m impact of IFRS16
We have the balance sheet to fund our growth plans
87
Strong, stable and
growing Underlying Free Cash
Flow
Gearing will rise over next 2 years but remain <2.5x*. Medium term target c2x*
Dividendgrowth
through improving
profitability
Collections acquisitions Energy from Waste
Plastic recycling solutions
Investment Priorities
* pre IFRS 16 measures as per banking covenants
And our ongoing delivery will drive significant shareholder value
88
Investment assumptions (FY20-23):
• c£100m aggregate acquisition spend* with high teen % IRRs
• £70-80m equity contributions to EfW (3 year build and commission) which will yield mid-high teen % IRRs
• £60-£80m expenditure on Plastics recycling capex with low 20’s % IRRs
* in line with FY17-19
Targets:
Underlying operating profit growth of around 50% compared to FY19
Underlying EPS growth of over 50%; and
Progressive dividend
Thank you.
Panel Discussion
CEO Summary and Q&A
In Summary…
Market presence
Services & infrastructure
Systems & processes
Three pillars… Vision
Grow
Develop
Optimise
92
Clear market Leader in Collections
Organic Growth above market
>£100m invested in acquisitions
Unparalleled scale driving sector leading margins
Larger, diversified and de-risked Resources & Energy business
Leading Polymer Processor, £120m - £150m revenues
Growing earnings from Energy from Waste assets
Unrivalled leadership in sustainability
Underpinned by supportive government legislation
Q&A
Thank you.