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Lecture 9 Moments

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    Lecture 7

    Dr. SHAHID QAISAR

    MTH 262: Statistics andProbablity Teory

    !"MSATS Institute o# In#or$ationTecnolo%y& Sai'al

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    Review of Previous Lecture

    In last lecture we discussed:

    Measures of Dispersion

    Variance and Standard Deviation

    Coefficient of Variation

    Properties of variance and standard deviation

    2

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    Objectives of Current Lecture

    In the current lecture:

    Moments

    Moments about Mean (Central Moments)

    Moments about any arbitrary ri!in

    Moments about "ero

    #elated $%cel Demos

    3

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    Objectives of Current Lecture

    In the current lecture:

    #elation b&w central moments and moments about ori!in

    Moment #atios

    S'ewness

    urtosis

    4

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    Moments

    moment is a *uantitative measure of the shape of a set of points+

    ,he first moment is called the mean which describes the center of the

    distribution+

    ,he second moment is the variance which describes the spread of the

    observations around the center+

    ther moments describe other aspects of a distribution such as how the

    distribution is s'ewed from its mean or pea'ed+

    moment desi!nates the power to which deviations are raised before

    avera!in! them+

    5

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    Central (or Mean) Moments

    In mean moments- the deviations are ta'en from the mean+

    For Ungroupe Data!

    In .eneral-

    6

    ( )r Population Moment about Mean/

    ith

     x

     N 

     µ  µ 

    −=

    ( )r Sample Moment about Mean/

    ith

     x xm

    n

    −=

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    Central (or Mean) Moments

    Formula for "roupe Data!

    7

    ( )

    ( )

    r Population Moment about Mean/

    r Sample Moment about Mean/

    ith

    ith

     f x

     f  

     f x xm f  

     µ  µ 

    −=

    −=

    ∑∑

    ∑∑

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    Central (or Mean) Moments

    #$ample! Calculate first four moments about the mean for the followin! set

    of e%amination mar's:

    %olution! 0or solution- move to MS1$%cel+

    8

    X

    45

    3237

    46

    39

    36

    41

    4836

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    Central (or Mean) Moments

    ()a$*le:  Calculate: frst our moments about mean or theollowing reuenc! "istribution:

    Solution: #or solution$ mo%e to &'()*cel+

    9

    &eig'ts (grams) Freuenc (f)

    23145 6

    431785 78

    7831795 7

    7931755 78

    7531725 3

    7231745 5

    7431985 3

    ,otal 28

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    Moments about (arbitrar) Origin

    1,

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    Moments about *ero

    11

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    Moments about *ero

    #$ample! Calculate first four moments about ;ero (ori!in) for the followin!

    set of e%amination mar's:

    %olution! 0or solution- move to MS1$%cel+

    12

    X

    45

    3237

    46

    39

    36

    41

    4836

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    Moments about *ero

    ()a$*le:  Calculate: frst our moments about -ero .origin/ orthe ollowing reuenc! "istribution:

    Solution: #or solution$ mo%e to &'()*cel+

    13

    &eig'ts (grams) Freuenc (f)

    23145 6

    431785 78

    7831795 7

    7931755 78

    7531725 3

    7231745 5

    7431985 3

    ,otal 28

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    Conversion from Moments about

    Mean to Moments about Origion

    14

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    Moment Ratios

    15

    9

    <   5

    7 9< 9

    9 9

    - µ    µ 

    β β  µ µ 

    = =

    9

    < 57 9< 9

    9 9

    -m   m

    b b

    m m

    = =

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    +urtosis

    arl Pearson introduced the term urtosis (literally the amount of hump) for

    the de!ree of pea'edness or flatness of a unimodal fre*uency curve+

    16

    =hen the pea' of a curve

     becomes relatively hi!h then that

    curve is called >epto'urtic+

    =hen the curve is flat1topped-

    then it is called Platy'urtic+

    Since normal curve is neithervery pea'ed nor very flat topped-

    so it is ta'en as a basis for

    comparison+

    ,he normal curve is called

    Meso'urtic+

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    %,ewness

    distribution in which the values e*uidistant from the mean have e*ualfre*uencies and is called %mmetric Distribution+

    ny departure from symmetry is called s,ewness+

    In a perfectly smmetric istribution- Mean.Meian.Moe and the twotails of the distribution are e*ual in len!th from the mean+ ,hese values are

     pulled apart when the distribution departs from symmetry and conse*uentlyone tail become lon!er than the other+

    If ri!ht tail is lon!er than the left tail then the distribution is said to have

    positive s,ewness+ In this case- Mean/Meian/Moe

    If left tail is lon!er than the ri!ht tail then the distribution is said to havenegative s,ewness+ In this case- Mean0Meian0Moe

    17

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    %,ewness

    =hen the distribution is symmetric- the value of s'ewness should be ;ero+

    arl Pearson defined coefficient of S'ewness as:

    Since in some cases- Mode doesn?t e%ist- so usin! empirical relation-

    =e can write-

    (it ran!es b&w 1< to @

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    %,ewness

    19

    ( ) ( )< 9 9 7 7 9 < 7 <

    < 7 < 7 < 7

    9 9Q Q Q Q   Q Q Q Q Median Q sk 

    Q Q Q Q Q Q

    − − −   − + − += = =− − −

    <

    <

    <

    <

    - for population data

    - for sample data

     sk 

    m sk 

     s

     µ 

    σ =

    =

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    +urtosis

    2,

    59 9

    9

    5

    9 99

    - for population data

    - for sample data

     Kurt 

    m Kurt b

    m

     µ β 

     µ = =

    = =

    0or a normal distribution- 'urtosis is e*ual to

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    +urtosis

    #$cess +urtosis (#+)! It is defined

    as:

    $/urtosis1<

    0or a normal distribution- $/8+

    =hen $A8- then the curve is saidto be >epto'urtic+

    =hen $B8- then the curve is said

    to be Platy'urtic+

    21

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    +urtosis

    nother measure of urtosis- 'nown as Percentile coefficient of 'urtosis is:

    =here-

    +D is semi1inter*uartile ran!e/+D/(

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    Describing a Freuenc Distribution

    ,o describe the maor characteristics of a fre*uency distribution- we need to

    calculate the followin! five *uantities:

    ,he total number of observations in the data+

    measure of central tendency (e+!+ mean- median etc+) that provides theinformation about the center or avera!e value+

    measure of dispersion (e+!+ variance- SD etc+) that indicates the spread of

    the data+

    measure of s'ewness that shows lac' of symmetry in fre*uency

    distribution+ measure of 'urtosis that !ives information about its pea'edness+

    23

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    Describing a Freuenc Distribution

    It is interestin! to note that all these *uantities can be derived from the first

    four moments+

    0or e%ample-

    ,he first moment about ;ero is the arithmetic mean,he second moment about mean is the variance+

    ,he third standardi;ed moment is a measure of s'ewness+

    ,he fourth standardi;ed moment is used to measure 'urtosis+

    ,hus first four moments play a 'ey role in describin! fre*uency distributions+

    24

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    Review

    >et?s review the main concepts:

    Moments

    Moments about Mean (Central Moments)

    Moments about any arbitrary ri!in

    Moments about "ero

    #elated $%cel Demos

    25

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    Review

    >et?s review the main concepts:

    #elation b&w central moments and moments about ori!in

    Moment #atios

    S'ewnessurtosis

    26

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    1e$t Lecture

    In ne%t lecture- we will study:

    2ntrouction to Probabilit

    Definition an 3asic concepts of probabilit

    27

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    4uestions

    28

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