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Legal Considerations withRespect to Emerging MarketFinance and Investment: An Overview
Brian W. Tang*Senior AssociateSullivan & Cromwell LLPNovember 20, 2003
*Views expressed are personal and not those of Sullivan & Cromwell LLP
Yale School of Management: Emerging Market Finance (MGT 647)
Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
2Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Ever-improving opportunities for emerging markets finance and investment . . .
EQUITY 1-Year Returns*
Eastern Europe 54.37%Emerging Asia 36.24%Latin America 59.26%U.S. 17.95%
DEBT the number of recent completed emerging
markets (EM) quasi-sovereign and sovereign bond issuances indicate growing market confidence in those economies and new benchmarks for future corporate bond issuances from those countries . . .
* As of Oct. 28, 2003 Data: MSCI and Business Week
. . . such as Mexico’s Pemex and Venezuela issuing €500M and $700M of bonds respectively in August and September . . .
3
4Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
. . . and United Mexican States and China each issuing $1B of bonds in October . . .
5Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
. . . yet substantial risks remain for investors in emerging markets:
See e.g., headings in the “Investment Considerations” disclosure in Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela September 16, 2003 offering circular:
Recent Political Developments 2002 Economic Results New Exchange Control Regime 2003 Year-to-Date Results The Financial System Oil Dependency Dependence on Major Trading Partner Emerging Markets Limited Trading Market for the Notes
6Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Main roles of the lawyer in emerging markets finance and investment transactions
Navigate multi-jurisdictional regulatory hurdles, complicated by different levels of development and national priorities
Advise on structuring and negotiating cross-border transactions to capture opportunity and maximize profit
Risk management and re-allocation Four main components from a foreign investor’s
perspective: Market entry Obtain bargain Retain benefit of bargain Exit strategy (profit and proceeds)
7Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Outline
1. Categories and participants of emerging market finance and investment
2. Main risk considerations
3. Risk management and re-allocation techniques
4. Other strategic considerations
5. Recent developments
8Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(a) Foreign direct investment
Five main categories Traditional foreign direct investment (FDI)
Greenfield physical asset development (e.g., set up factory)
In past – countries often required local partner Query – degree of foreign investor control
Project financing Greenfield or brownfield (esp. resources (mining and
O&G) and infrastructure) Considerations include:
Equity - Joint ventures, consortia Debt – private and public financiers; commercial banks and
capital markets Government - concessions/build-operate-transfer (BOT),
build-own-operate-transfer (BOOT) and production sharing contracts/licenses
9Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(a) Foreign direct investment
Five main categories Mergers and acquisitions (M&A), privatizations
Strategic purchase of existing companies and/or assets
Query – level of corporate law development Query – level of permitted foreign control and
ownership Private equity (financial buyers; later stage
financing) Query - exit strategy: IPO or trade sale
Venture capital (seed/early stage financing) Query - exit strategy: IPO or trade sale
continued
10Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(b) Foreign indirect investment
Direct investment in local stock market Query — quality of listing standards (corporate
governance; accounting standards)
Dual/cross-listings via e.g., American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) — sponsored or unsponsored
Subject to host country listing and securities requirements
ADRs often sell at premium to home market (esp. Taiwan and India (e.g. Infosys on NASDAQ often trades at a 30% premium to Mumbai SE))
NYSE’s “global shares” since DaimlerChrysler in 1998, only issued by Deutsche
Bank, UBS and Celanese
11Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(b) Foreign indirect investment
Portfolio investment Broad product range – equity, debt, convertibles
Emerging markets sovereign and corporate bonds
Mainly institutional investors Holders have less leverage compared to bank
lenders
continued
12Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(c) Main EM participants include:
Equity investor — opportunity/profit maximization and risk management = long-term (trader = may be short-term) and bundle of rights and obligations
EM investee — capital-raising; market liquidity EM host country (central and provincial) — foreign
capital inflow for economic development Home country government Debt financings
e.g., syndicate banks; underwriters; financial advisors e.g., multilateral agencies (MLAs) such as World Bank, IFC e.g., export credit agencies (ECAs) such as US EXIM, JBIC
13Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Outline
1. Categories and participants of emergingmarket finance and investment
2. Main risk considerations
3. Risk management and re-allocation techniques
4. Other strategic considerations
5. Recent developments
14Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Five levels of analysis for framework of project debt rating analysis (2002)
Project-level risk Contractual foundation benchmarks
Commercial and collateral contracts Technology, construction and operations benchmarks
Preconstruction –v- postconstruction Competitive market risk benchmarks
Industry fundamentals, supply, demand, competitive advantage
Legal risk benchmarks SPE bankruptcy remoteness, financing jurisdiction, collateral
Counterparty benchmarks Sponsors, EPC contractors, suppliers and offtakers
Financial risk benchmarks Debt-service coverage ratios, amortizing –v- bullet payments
15Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Five levels of analysis for framework of project debt rating analysis (2002)
Sovereign risk (“sovereign ceiling”) Foreign currency rating, exchange controls,
expropriation Business and legal institutional development
Legal system, enforcement culture, transparency Force majeure risk
Floods, earthquakes, civil disturbances, strikes, law change
Credit enhancements Political risk insurance (PRI), sponsor support,
monoline insurance wrappers
continued
Analysis assists with conclusions regardingbankability of non/limited recourse projects
16Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Outline
1. Categories and participants of emergingmarket finance and investment
2. Main risk considerations
3. Risk management and re-allocation techniques
4. Other strategic considerations
5. Recent developments
17Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(a) Foreign investment orconcession agreement framework
Concessions/BOT, BOOT and production sharing contracts/licenses
Statutory/constitutional basis Government guarantees and foreign
investment contracts Contractually stabilized legal and tax regime
18Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(a) Foreign investment or concession agreement framework
Chile widely recognized for successfully
attracting FDI between 1974-2001, attracted FDI
totaling $57.9 billion DL 600 is one of oldest foreign
investment statutes in Latin America Peru
protection mainly constitutional and statutory, but augmented by execution of legal stability agreements with each investor
between 1993-2001, entered into 336 legal stability agreements
continued
19Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(a) Foreign investment or concession agreement framework
Main features (e.g. Chile and Peru) Type of regime – constitutional; statutory;
contractual Restrictions to investment in certain sectors
(e.g. media, “strategic areas”) Non-discrimination principle Right to repatriate capital Right to remit profits Availability and convertibility of foreign currency
(e.g. Peru requires registration with Comision Nacional de Inversiones y Technologieas Extranjeras (CONITE))
Off-shore account maintenance and payments
continued
20Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(a) Foreign investment or concession agreement framework
Main features (e.g. Chile and Peru) (con’t) Legal and fiscal stability (regime matters whether
constitutional, statutory or contractual) Freeze at time of execution of agreement (Peru) Stability with respect to e.g., tax, environmental
protection, labor, export promotion systems One time waiver of tax stability
continued
21Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(b) Treaties
Bilateral and regional tax and investment treaties
Bilateral tax treaties — e.g., double taxation and tax-non-discrimination clauses
Bilateral investment treaties — e.g., MFN and non-discrimination clauses
Regional conventions — e.g., NAFTA
Multilateral investment treaties Dispute resolution — e.g., 1965 International Center for
Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) Convention Cross-jurisdictional recognition and enforcement —
e.g., New York Convention on Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards
Breach gives rise to inter-governmental claim
22Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(c) Some tools for risk allocation inproject financings
Completion undertakings/ construction bonds Take-or-pay or other offtake arrangements Price support Political risk insurance
e.g., Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) Convention: PRI covering debt and equity against
convertibility/transfer risk expropriation political violence arbitrary non-enforcement of breach of contract
Casualty insurance Legal opinions Engineering reports Off-shore accounts
Reserve accounts in USD
23Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
(d) Some non-legal protections inproject financings
Composition of lender group(e.g., MLA/ECA participation)
Local political support publicly expressed Local economic stake in outcome of
investment
24Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Outline
1. Categories and participants of emergingmarket finance and investment
2. Main risk considerations
3. Risk management and re-allocation techniques
4. Other strategic considerations
5. Recent developments
25Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Rule of Law/ Enforceability of contract
“So what if you have great representations and warranties?”
Default risk especially in contracts with sovereign and sovereign debt
Fear lack of impartiality of local judiciary Choice of law and forum Litigation, arbitration and restructuring Enforceability of foreign judgment
26Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Choice of jurisdiction ofspecial purpose entity (SPE)
e.g., according to Conyers Dill & Pearman, Bermuda companies constitutes more than 50% of approx. 750 HKSE listed companies
Tax considerations — absence of income, profit or capital gains taxes; absence of withholding tax
Geographical location — proximity to New York and London
Legal system based on UK, with final appeal to Privy Council
Corporate law flexible and based on UK corporate law
“Light regulation” Takeover defense tools permitted — e.g., blank
check preferred stock, staggered board, poison pill
27Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Equity investment
Choice of investment vehicle — corporate; contractual JV
Corporate governance under corporate law and listing requirements
liability of management; minority shareholder protection; private securities litigation rights; regulatory oversight
Shareholder agreements Accounting and reporting requirements Bankruptcy rules Antitrust/competition regulation Project operation: environmental laws; labor
regulation; industry-specific regulations; local content requirements; permits, consents and approvals; penalties, etc.
28Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Debt investment
Piercing “sovereign ceiling” set by rating agencies
Require e.g., strategic importance, U.S. dollar revenues, irrevocable account structures, export product (esp. O&G projects)
Requirements in addition to financial covenants e.g., environmental and social requirements of MLAs
and ECAs Creation and perfection of security interests for
collateral Guarantees (parent or subsidiary) and structural
subordination
29Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
“Exit strategy”
Capital/currency controls — taking profit and proceeds out of country
Trade sale — esp. for foreign direct investment and M&A
Initial public offering (IPO) — domestic and/or international
Choice of overseas listing market (e.g., NYSE, NASDAQ, LSE, HKSE) – often for deeper markets and richer valuations
Local regulatory issues (e.g., political acceptability) Carl E. Walter & Fraser J.T. Howie in
Privatizing China (2003) outline five methods of corporate restructuring for international listings of Chinese enterprises:
30Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
1. Basic indirect overseaslisting structure
Holding companyincorporated in
tax-efficient jurisdiction
Public investors of foreign listed
shares
Offshore Chinainvestment company
Onshore Sino-foreignjoint venture
company
Chinese jointventure partner
Issues Shares
Cash
100%
>50%
<50%
Source: Walter & Howie, Privatizing China (2003)
31Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
2. Back door listing with share offer
Step 1 Step 2
Publicly listedcompany
Publicly listedcompany
Publicinvestors
Unlisted company Parent company
Cash Sellsassets
Issuesshares
Acquireslisted company
Source: Walter & Howie, Privatizing China (2003)
32Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
3. Typical listed infrastructure“company”
Publicinvestors
ProvincialCommunications
Bureau
Listed company
HighwaySegment # 2
HighwaySegment # 1
Highway Segment # 3
Tariff structure
CashCashIssues Shares
Source: Walter & Howie, Privatizing China (2003)
33Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
4. Red chip listed company
A B C D E
Chinese municipalgovernment
Hong Kongregistered company
Public investors
Listedcompany
Issues Shares
Cash
onshore
offshore
Cash
Source: Walter & Howie, Privatizing China (2003)
34Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
5. Whole industry repackaging
Parent companiesMinistry
HoldingCompany Co. Ltd.
New Company/
ListCo
Source: Walter & Howie, Privatizing China (2003)
35Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Outline
1. Categories and participants of emergingmarket finance and investment
2. Main risk considerations
3. Risk management and re-allocation techniques
4. Other strategic considerations
5. Recent developments
36Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
EM sovereign debt restructuring
Debt restructurings that require e.g., change of payment terms generally require unanimous bondholders’ approval, leading to holdover risk
1. Statutory approach embodied in the IMF’s proposal for a Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism (SDRM)
2. Market-based contractual approach — collective action clauses (CACs) Majority action to amend and waive key bond terms (including
payment terms, governing law, submission to jurisdiction, waiver of sovereign immunity)
Appointment of bondholders committee upon Event of Default Initiation of acceleration by 25% bondholder vote In 2003, sovereigns that used CACs include Brazil, South
Africa, United Mexican States; Uraquay Query - use for EM corporate issuers under US law
37Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Equator Principles
Launched in June 2003 by certain commercial lenders
(i.e. non-MLAs and ECAs) who agree to manage social and environmental issues surrounding project financing based on World Bank and International Financial Corporation (IFC) policies
current signatories include18 banks which, according to Dealogic, arranged $43 billion in project loans in 2002 (74% of the project loan market volume), including Citibank, ABN Amro, Barclays, WestLB, Mizuho, HSBC and Dresdner
require environmental assessments and environmental management plans
principles incorporated onto loan covenants justified as prudent risk management to address NGO
criticism
38Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
International investment treaty
Extension of bilateral investment treaties (BITs)
Negotiations to establish a Multilateral Agreement on Investment (MAI) discontinued by OECD countries in 1998
Multilateral Investment Agreement (MIA) on agenda of WTO ministerial conference in Cancun in September 2003, but trade talks collapsed
39Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
International capital markets andcorporate governance developments
Numerous corporate governance rule changes in light of Enron, WorldCom and other corporate scandals worldwide
e.g., US Sarbanes-Oxley Act, UK Combined Code Competition for capital
e.g., EU Prospectus Directive and proposed HK Stock Exchange listing rules
Harmonization of accounting standards e.g., all listed EU and Australian companies to
prepare and publish their financial statements in accordance with International Accounting Standards (IAS) by 2005
U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) to work with IASB to remove differences between US GAAP and IAS
40Emerging Market Finance - Legal Considerations
Asian bond market initiative
Lack of domestic bond markets increasingly blamed as a cause of the Asian financial crisis
Recent promotion of Asian bond market initiative, especially by Thailand
e.g., APEC Regional Bond Market Initiative, ASEAN+3 Asian Bond Market Initiative
e.g., June 2003 - $1B Asian Bond Fund established to invest in a basket of dollar denominated bonds issued by Asian sovereign and quasi-sovereign issuers