56
the different studied environments from Sun to
Earth, and stars to planets. The symposium
closed with a joint discussion between all
participants. A public outreach talk was given
in Spanish after the symposium ended.
Amateur astronomers, high school teachers and
students, and the general public were invited to
attend.
The Symposium Scientific Organizing
Committee was chaired by Drs. Sarah Gibson
and Hebe Cremades, the Local Organizing
Committee by Dr. Cristina Mandrini. The
symposium picture, taken in the beautiful San
Martín Park of the city of Mendoza, can be
seen below.
IAUS 286 participants in San Martin Park, Mendoza
Letter to the Editor
Alphabet Soup Revisited [From Murray Dryer]
My intent here is to add some background to
an early compilation of studies described by
Joe Allen in his recent Letter to the Editor
(Allen, 2012, SRT issue 185) that may be of
interest to a history of cooperative international
programmes. This compilation by Joe Allen,
my former NOAA friend and colleague,
motivated me to write this personal experience.
Joe’s ‘alphabet soup’ of acronyms is an
excellent starting point for a younger future
historian of this topic of solar-terrestrial
physics. Hopefully, my role will contribute
some dots in the subset of interplanetary
physics that is leading to scientific and
operational space weather developments.
My story starts with a B.S. in Mechanical
Engineering and an M.S. in Aerospace Science
(Stanford University, 1949 and 1950) on the
G.I. bill. A ’49 summer job in the 40x40-foot
subsonic wind tunnel at the Ames Research
Center (National Advisory Committee for
Aeronautics, NACA, now NASA) introduced
me to fluid dynamics in the flesh, so to speak.
My job in ’50 after that was at NACA’s Lewis
Research Center in Cleveland, Ohio, now the
John Glenn Research Center. As a “wind
tunnel jockey”, I worked in various supersonic
tunnels (10x10 foot, 6x6 foot, and 1x1 foot)
with various air inlets, nozzles, and aircraft
configurations (our own designs as well as
others like the X-15—the first to exceed Mach
1.0). I moved to the Martin-Marietta
Corporation (now Lockheed Martin) in
Denver, Colorado, in 1959. After settling down
57
with my wife, Geraldine, I read Gene Parker’s
paper about the solar wind and a still larger
tunnel–the heliosphere. I was hooked and have
been an addict ever since.
The next step, leading to immersion in the
alphabet soup outlined by Joe Allen, came in
1965 when I moved to the Space Disturbances
Laboratory, Department of Commerce (DOC)
in Boulder, Colorado. After a leave of absence,
I earned a Ph.D. in Space Physics at Tel-Aviv
University, Israel, in 1971 with a thesis based
on blast wave theory (Sedov, 1959). Geri and I
had had the honour of hosting this World War
II’s atomic bomb theoretician in the USSR at
our home during my time at Martin.
(Interestingly, he had no “baby sitter” during
those Cold War years!) After returning to my
job in Boulder as the interplanetary physics
branch chief, I met Peggy Shea and her
husband, Don Smart, from the U.S. Air Force
Research Laboratory (AFRL) in Bedford,
Massachusetts (more below). They introduced
me to the role of energetic particles and their
role in terrestrial events. I had also become
aware of the hypothesis about shock waves and
geomagnetic storm sudden commencement
associations.
At that time, I was working closely with
Zdenka Kopal Smith and Devrie Intriligator
(Carmel Research Center) on NASA’s
PIONEER spacecraft observations during the
famous August 1972 solar and interplanetary
events (Dryer, 1976a,b). I was also working
with Prof. Shi Tsan Wu and his Ph.D. student,
Sang Moo Han, at the University of Alabama
in Huntsville (UAH), on a time-dependent 3D
MHD numerical code for shock wave transport
from mimicked solar flares to 1 AU.
At this time, Peggy and Don were associated
with the Special Committee for Solar-
Terrestrial Physics (SCOSTEP), later Scientific
Committee for Solar-Terrestrial Physics as
discussed by Allen (2012). They thought that
my experience might be useful, so they
introduced me to the President, Prof. Hugh
Carmichael, who invited me to chair a sub-
group of the International Quiet Sun Year
(IQSY) and the International Magnetospheric
Study (IMS). We decided, adding to the
alphabet soup, to call this subgroup “Study of
Traveling Interplanetary Physics” (STIP). I
was given the support of my laboratory
(DOC’s Solar Disturbances Laboratory, later
changed to Solar Environment Laboratory,
now the DOC’s National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration’s Space Weather
Prediction Center). Peggy Shea, chief of her
group at AFRL, also contributed financial
support for my Sedov-based 1D shock wave
work and, indirectly, via a DOC contract to
UAH for the 3D MHD work mentioned above.
The outcomes of this support were: (a) 2D
empirical, theory-based Shock Time of Arrival
(STOA) code (Dryer and Smart, 1984; Smart
et al., 1986), and (b) the first 3D MHD
numerical simulation code (Han, Wu and
Dryer, 1988).
Meanwhile, the international STIP project
proceeded with the then-modest NASA “fleet”
of interplanetary spacecraft observations of
solar wind plasma, interplanetary magnetic
field (IMF) and energetic particles and ex post
facto analyses as summarized by Dryer and
Shea (1976) and Dryer (1982). Also, ICSU
(International Council of Scientific Unions)
allowed SCOSTEP to extend the IMS
programme into the Solar Maximum Year
(SMY). Svestka, Rust and Dryer (1982) edited
some of the results of this experience.
Thus, STIP was allowed to extend itself, under
another name, of course, into the SOLar
connection with Traveling Interplanetary
Phenomena (SOLTIP). Three symposia were
held with SCOSTEP financial support in
Slovakia, Japan and China. The proceedings of
the last symposium in Beijing were edited by
Feng, Wei and Dryer (1998).
A by-product of the work with Prof. S.T. Wu,
leading to my interest in operational
forecasting, goes back to his local support of a
meeting in Huntsville in 1970. The meeting,
supported by the American Institute of
Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA where I
was chair of the Space and Atmospheric
Physics Committee) and the American
Astronomical Society (AAS) was simply
named “Solar Activity and Predictions.” We
had excellent support from the Program
58
Committee that included Rolf Faye-Petersen
(my co-worker in Boulder), John Firor of the
High Altitude Observatory (HAO), who invited
me to join AAS’ Solar Physics division),
Robert Howard (National Solar Observatory),
Richard G. Johnson (Lockheed), Herbert
Gursky (Naval Research Laboratory),
Yoshinari Nakagawa (HAO) and Harold Zirin
(California Institute of Technology). The
preface of the proceedings (McIntosh and
Dryer, 1972) mentions the phrase, space
weather, for the first time, I think.
More results from the pioneering alphabet soup
projects were presented at IAU Symposium 91
(Dryer and Tandberg-Hanssen, 1979) at
Harvard University. This meeting was
cosponsored by COSPAR and SCOSTEP. A
wonderful lobster fest on an island in Boston
Harbor was arranged by Dave Rust, chair of
the Local Committee.
The STOA forecast code for shock wave
arrivals, together with two other 2D models,
was put to the real-time test during Cycle 23.
The root mean square error for all of them
(depending on the desired window: 24hr, 12hr,
etc.) was about +/- 10hr. The statistical
population, each of which was triggered by a
solar flare X-ray report and operational metric
wavelength radio burst, was 584 events (Smith
et al., 2009; McKenna-Lawlor et al., 2012).
The average error has recently improved to +/-
7.5hr in Cycle 24 at the NOAA Space Weather
Predictions Center, SWPC (Millward et al.,
2013). The RMS error for 25 events (October
2011 to October 2012) was still 10hr. The
SWPC forecasters used a sophisticated “three
view” of CMEs from STEREO A/B and
SOHO to provide input for improved 3D code
called ENLIL, an early version of which was
published by Odstrcil (2003).
Finally, a suggestion is offered to our younger
colleagues who are organizing future
international programmes with the help of the
existing armada of interplanetary and
magnetospheric spacecraft. Following
solicitation of worldwide participation via the
internet, please record your own alphabet
soup’s results via peer-reviewed publications.
Thus, I hope that a future historian can
continue to draw a meaningful curve through
the dots from our early results through yours.
References
Allen, J. W., “Background story about the
International Magnetospheric Study (IMS)
Central Information Exchange (CIE) Office”,
Space Research Today, n.185, pp. 118-123,
December 2012.
Dryer, M., “The August 1972 Events”
(Preface), Space Science Reviews, 19, 409-410,
1976a.
Dryer, M. (Guest Editor), “The August 1972
Events --A Project of SCOSTEP’s Study of
Traveling Interplanetary Phenomena”, Space
Science Reviews, 19, Nos. 4/5.
October/November 1976b.
Dryer, M., “Study of Traveling Interplanetary
Phenomena” (Preface), Advances in Space
Research, 2, (11), 7-8, 1982.
Dryer, M. and E. Tandberg-Hanssen, Editors,
“Solar and lnterplanetary Dynamics”,
Proceedings of International Astronomical
Union's Symposium 91, 27-31 August 1979,
Cambridge; D. Reidel Publishing Co.,
Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 558 pp. 1980.
Dryer, M. and M. A. Shea, “Cooperation with
the SCOSTEP Project: Study of Traveling
Interplanetary Phenomena (STIP)”, Solar
Physics, 47, 473, 1976.
Dryer, M. and D. F. Smart, “Dynamical
Models of Coronal Transients and
Interplanetary Disturbances”, Advances in
Space Research, 4, 291-301, 1984.
Dryer, M., “Study of Traveling Interplanetary
Phenomena (STIP) Report”, Solar Physics,
114, 407-411, 1987.
Feng, X. S., F. S. Wei, and M. Dryer, Editors,
“Advances in Solar Connection with Transient
Interplanetary Phenomena”, Proceedings of the
Third SOLTIP Symposium, 14-18 October
1996, International Academic Publishers,
Beijing, Peoples' Republic of China, ISBN
7-88883-424-0, (Hardback) xiv + 4 colour
plates + 583 pp., 1998.
59
Han, S. M., S. T. Wu, and M. Dryer, “A Three-
Dimensional, Time-Dependent Modeling of
Super-Sonic, Super-Alfvenic MHD Flow”,
Computers and Fluids, 16, (1), 81-103, 1988.
McIntosh, P. S., and M. Dryer, Editors. “Solar
Activity Observations and Predictions”, AIAA
Progress in Astronautics and Aeronautics
Series, 30, MIT Press, Cambridge, 1972.
McKenna-Lawlor, S.M.P., C.D. Fry, M. Dryer,
D. Heynderickx, K. Kecskemety, K. Kudela
and J. Balaz, “A Statistical Study of
Circumstances under which the Hakamada-
Akasofu-Fry (HAFv.2) Numerical Model
Performed Well / Poorly in Predicting Solar
Shock Arrival Times at Earth during Different
Phases of Solar Cycle 23”, Ann. Geophys., 30,
405-419, 2012.
Millward, G., D. Biesecker, V. Pizzo, and C.A.
de Koning, “An Operational Software Tool for
the Analysis of Coronagraph Images:
Determining CME parameters for Input into
the WSA-Enlil Heliospheric Model”, Space
Weather, 11, 1-12, doi:10.1002/swe20024,
2013.
Odstrcil, D., “Modeling 3-D Solar Wind
Structures”, Advances in Space Research,
32(4), 2003.
Sedov, L. I., Similarity and Dimensional
Methods in Mechanics (English translation by
M. Holt and M. Friedman), (4th edition),
chapters 4 and 5, Academic Press, New York,
1959.
Smart, D. F., M. A. Shea, M. Dryer, A.
Quintana, L. C. Gentile, and A. A. Bathurst,
“Estimating the Arrival Time of Solar
Flare-Initiated Shocks by Considering Them to
be Blast Waves Riding over the Solar Wind” in
Proceedings of the Symposium on Solar-
Terrestrial Predictions, (P. Simon, G. R.
Heckman, and M. A. Shea, Eds.), Meudon,
France, 18-22 June 1984, U.S. Gov't Printing
Office, Washington, D.C., 471-481, 1986.
Smith, Z.K., R. Steenburgh, C.D. Fry, and M.
Dryer, “Predictions of Interplanetary Shock
Arrivals at Earth: Dependence of Forecast
Outcome on the Input Parameters”, Space
Weather, 7, S12005, doi:10.1029/
2009SW00050, 2009.
Svestka, Z., D. M. Rust, and M. Dryer, Editors,
Advances in Space Research: Solar Maximum
Year Proceedings of Committee on Space
Research (COSPAR) Symposium No. 7, 16
May-2 June 1982, Ottawa, Pergamon Press.
Oxford, UK, 2, No. 11. 294 pp. 1982
Publications
Advances in Space Research: Top
Reviewers of 2012
As with any established scientific journal,
Advances in Space Research (ASR) insists on a
rigorous peer review process to maintain the
integrity and quality of published papers. An
essential part of this process is the reviewer,
spending his or her valuable time and using
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To further highlight the crucial importance of
reviewers to the quality of ASR, the Editors
have selected their 10 top reviewers for the
year 2012, looking at criteria such as the
number and the quality of the referee reports.
By publishing the names and short biographies
of these selected reviewers in this issue of
Space Research Today, we acknowledge their
valuable efforts.
At the same time we feel deeply obliged to all
ASR reviewers who have contributed this past
year who are not mentioned here, and we
sincerely thank all of them for bringing the
journal up to its current high standard.
Jan Laštovička
ASR Editor-in-Chief
José Stoop
Publisher, Advances in Space Research