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LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

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1 Mark Lewis General Securities Principal Fixed Income Sales & Trading Mutual Securities, Inc. Main Office (OSJ) 807-A Camarillo Springs Road Camarillo, CA 93012 (310) 230-1536 [email protected] Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 Institutional Fixed Income Sales - Trading – Strategy - Analytics This has been prepared solely for informational purposes for institutional clients only. It is not an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell, nor is it an official confirmation of terms. It is based on information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete or that any returns indicated will be achieved. Changes to assumptions may have a material impact on any returns detailed. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. Portfolio analytics data provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P. PowerPoint slides include data provided by Bloomberg Analytics, clients, and generally available market information. The material has been prepared by the individual authors and is intended only to provide observations and views of the individual authors and may not necessarily reflect those of Mutual Securities, Inc. Observations and views expressed herein may be changed by the individual authors at any time without notice. LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes
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Page 1: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

1

Mark Lewis General Securities Principal

Fixed Income Sales & Trading Mutual Securities, Inc.

Main Office (OSJ) 807-A Camarillo Springs Road

Camarillo, CA 93012 (310) 230-1536

[email protected]

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536

Institutional Fixed Income Sales - Trading – Strategy - Analytics

This has been prepared solely for informational purposes for institutional clients only. It is not an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell, nor is it an official confirmation of terms. It is based on information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete or that any returns indicated will be achieved. Changes to assumptions may have a material impact on any returns detailed. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Price and availability are subject to change without notice. Additional information is available upon request. Portfolio analytics data provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P. PowerPoint slides include data provided by Bloomberg Analytics, clients, and generally available market information. The material has been prepared by the individual authors and is intended only to provide observations and views of the individual authors and may not necessarily reflect those of Mutual Securities, Inc. Observations and views expressed herein may be changed by the individual authors at any time without notice.

LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Page 2: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Wednesday, March 8

• Conversations and Observations Shared

• Processes for Buy Lists and a Few Shades of Grey

• Monitoring the Chosen Few

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 2

Page 3: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Conversations and Observations • “Is it really a problem that I have DOUBLE my investment policy’s concentration

limit in that specific agency?”

• “Our investment strategy worked fine…until it didn’t.” Strategy of buying callable premiums in which the cash flow needs were based on the call dates.

• “We weren’t presented with a process for feeling comfortable with choosing and monitoring Commercial Paper issuers, thus the CP program did not proceed.” (process, experience, confidence lacking)

• “Why does county ABC say absolutely NO to 144a and county XYZ say yes?”

• “What is an initial screening process I could implement to produce a BUY list?”

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 3

Page 4: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Processes for Buys Lists

• Rating – MTN – CP & YCD

• Long term rating • Asset Size

• Maturity

• Industry Comfort

• Country Risk Exposure Comfort

• Organized and Operating within the United States • Yankee CD vs CP vs MTN

• 144A or RegS Securities • Yankee CD vs CP vs MTN

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 4

Page 5: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Grey…Organized & Operating within the United States

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 5

USD GMTN yet it Is issued off the London office. (PLC is a Public Limited Company, more commonly used in the U.K.)

Data and chart provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 6: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Issuer Description and Company Info Detail

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 6

A company may issue YCDs or CP off of a NY branch, but a MTN may be off the foreign branch. Similar MTNs: • Bank of Montreal • Bank of Nova Scotia • Toronto Dominion Bank • Westpac Banking

Data and chart provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 7: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

US Bancorp – Organized and Operating in the U.S.

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 7

A1/A+ rated, Stable/Stable Outlook, Minneapolis based, Domestic MTN, Senior Unsecured, trading ~+58/5s.

Data and chart provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 8: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Local Agencies and 144A Securities (Business Risk Acceptability)

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 8

Page 9: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Apple Commercial Paper

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 9

Apple’s CP program: APPINC For comparison, Korea Development Bank lists two programs, both U.S. $, however…

One is issued off the Seoul branch (KDB) and the other is

issued off the NY branch (KDBNY).

Data and chart provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 10: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Apple Commercial Paper

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 10

A-1+/P-1 CP AA+/Aa1 Long Term

144A

Data and chart provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 11: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

New York Life Global Funding

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 11

Rated Aaa/AA+, usually shown with an attractive yield, non-callable, 144A.

Data and chart provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 12: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Common 144a MTNs

• Daimler Finance North America • Metropolitan Life Global Funding • MassMutual Global Funding • Jackson National Life Global Funding

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 12

Data and chart provided by Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Page 13: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Sample Corporate Bond Buy List (A2/A> Stable/Stable>)

• 3M (MMM) • Alphabet (GOOGL) • American Honda Finance (A1/A+, Neg/Neg) • Apple (AAPL) • Australia/NZ Banking Group NY (ANZ) • Bank of America (certain structures A1/A+) • Bank of New York Mellon (BK) • Branch Banking & Trust (BBT) • Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) • Boeing (BA) • Charles Schwab (SCH) • Chevron (CVX) • Cisco (CSCO) • Coca-Cola (KO) • Colgate Palmolive (CL) • Duke Energy Carolinas • Eli Lilly (LLY) • Estee Lauder (EL) • Exxon Mobil (XOM) • General Electric (GE) • Hershey (HSY) • Honeywell (HON) • IBM (IBM) • Illinois Tool Works (ITW) • Intel (INTC)

• Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) • John Deere Capital (DE) • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) • JPMorgan Chase Bank (JPM) • Merck (MRK) • Microsoft (MSFT) • National Rural Utilities Coop (NRUC) • Oracle (ORCL) • PACCAR Financial (PCAR) • Pfizer (PFE) • PNC Bank (PNC) • Precision Cast Parts (PCP) • Procter & Gamble (PG) • Rabobank NY (RABOBK) • Simon Property Group (SPG) • Starbucks (SBUX) • Toyota Motor Credit (TOYOTA) • US Bancorp (USB) • Wal-Mart (WMT) • Walt Disney (DIS) • Wells Fargo (WFC - certain structures) John Deere A2/A Neg Outlook Moody’s JPMBank Aa3/A+ JPMorgan A3/A-

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 13

Page 14: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Sample Commercial Paper & Yankee CD Buy Lists

Commercial Paper A-1/P-1 • Bank Tokyo-Mit NY • BNP Paribas NY • Canadian Imperial Holdings • Cooperative Rabobank NY • Credit Agricole CIB NY • Credit Suisse NY • Mitsui & Company USA A-1+/P-1 • General Electric • Korea Development Bank NY • Toyota Credit PR

Yankee CDs A-1/P-1 • Abbey National Treasury • Bank Tokyo-Mit NY • BNP Paribas Fortis NY • Canadian Imperial Bank NY • Cooperative Rabobank NY • Credit Indus NY • Kookmin Bank NY A-1+/P-1 • Aust & NZ Bank NY • Banco Estado Chile • Dexia Credit NY • Korea Development Bank • Nordea Bank NY • OCBC New York • Swedbank NY • Toronto Dominion Bank • Westpac Bank NY

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 14

Page 15: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Monitoring

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 15

Equity Price Trend CDS Trend

Page 16: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Monitoring

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 16

Corporate Earnings Estimates Sell Side Analyst Recommendations

Page 17: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Monitoring

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 17

Credit Profile Credit Trend

Page 18: LGIP Sell Side Observations And Building Processes

Mark Lewis, General Securities Principal - Bio

Mark Lewis (310) 230-1536 18

Mark Lewis has over 28 years of experience in the financial services industry. His global experience includes finance, business development, sales and trading, marketing, relationship management, employee management, and operational management.

Currently, Mark is an institutional fixed-income trader and General Securities Principal servicing institutional clients who trade AAA rated US$ Supranational Securities, US Treasuries and Agencies, investment-grade corporate bonds, commercial paper, yankee CDs, and certificates of deposit. Mark is in daily contact with the trading desks of over 90 primary and regional dealers in NYC and throughout the country. Mark primarily works with large institutional clients' investment portfolios, focusing on Supranational securities, U.S. government agencies and investment grade corporate bonds with a 1-year to 10-year maturity range.

Prior to Mutual Securities, Inc. Mark was a Managing Director and Principal with Wilshire Associates, Inc. Wilshire is a leading global investment technology, investment consulting and investment management firm with four distinct business units including Wilshire Analytics, Wilshire Consulting, Wilshire Funds Management and Wilshire Private Markets. He was directly responsible for managing Global Business Development and Global Client Relationship Management teams in Santa Monica, Chicago, New York, London, and Singapore for the fixed income analytics division. Clients included Central Banks, Custodian Banks, Mutual Funds, Hedge Funds, Insurance Companies, State Retirement Boards, Trust Departments, Universities, and Governments. Wilshire advises on approximately $1 trillion in assets, directly manages approximately $10 billion in assets, and provides analytical tools to approximately 350 institutions around the world. Mark has visited clients in 20+ different countries throughout Europe, Asia, Africa, and the Americas.

Prior to his role at Wilshire, Mark spent more than 17 years in the financial services industry working with financial institutions, governments, foundations, insurance companies, and high net worth individuals throughout the United States. He has worked at Bear Stearns, PaineWebber, and Shearson Lehman Hutton.

Mark holds Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) licenses as a General Securities Principal (Series 24), a General Securities Representative (Series 7), and a NASAA Uniform Combined State Law (Series 66). Mark has 3 children and is an avid hiker and mountain trail runner.


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