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2017 Preliminary Operating Budget & 2017-2026 Capital Budget & Plan December 6, 2016 BU27.1
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  • 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget & 2017-2026 Capital Budget & Plan

    December 6, 2016

    BU27.1

  • - -

    AGENDA

    City Manager’s Overview

    2017 Preliminary Operating Budget

    2017-2026 Preliminary Capital Budget & Plan

    Budget Process & Next Steps

    2 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    LIST OF APPENDICES

    1. 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget Details

    2. 2017 – 2026 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan Details

    3. Tax Impacts

    4. 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget Summary

    4.1 Gross Expenditures

    4.2 Revenues

    4.3 Net Expenditures

    4.4 Staff Complement

    5. Service Changes Included in Preliminary Budget

    6. Service Changes Not Included in Preliminary Budget

    7. New / Enhanced Not Included in Preliminary Budget

    8. Revenue Options to Be Considered

    9. 2017 – 2026 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan Summary 10. $5.8 Billion Unmet Needs Funded in the 2017-2026 Preliminary

    Capital Budget & Plan

    Pg. 88

    Pg. 106

    Pg. 115

    Pg. 126

    Pg. 128

    Pg. 130

    Pg. 132

    Pg. 134

    Pg. 135

    Pg. 136

    Pg. 138

    Pg. 139

    Pg. 140

    3 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • City Manager's Overview

  • - -

    -

    -

    - -

    MAJOR FISCAL FACTORS

    2017 pressure after savings and 2016 MLTT growth

    2017 and 2018 Operating Budgets

    Including incremental costs of SmartTrack, TTC, Gardiner, Portlands

    10 Year Capital Budget and

    Plan ~$33B in unfunded capital projects, and growing

    Long Term Capital

    Overhang

    Direct impact on short- and long-term

    Asset Optimization

    Continued focus on valuefor-money

    Long Term Expense

    Management

    Range of options

    Long Term Revenue

    Management

    5

    5 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    KEY OBSERVATIONS - OPERATING

    Preliminary budget is based on current Council and Agency policy: Existing service levels from city divisions, with minor adjustments Agency final or draft approved budget submissions Residential property tax at 2 per cent

    Outcomes are consistent with previous years: Expense and revenue levels, adjusted for population, inflation and economic

    growth Service levels maintained No major tax increases or expense cuts

    Substantial progress against large initial gap

    6 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    SAVINGS AND EFFICIENCY FOCUS MAINTAINED

    Overall complement down by more than 400

    Overall expenditure growth consistent with population and economic growth

    City division expense lower than 2016

    Toronto Police Service pressure addressed

    Agencies remain key cost and risk drivers, 2017 and future years: Toronto Transit Commission Toronto Community Housing Corporation

    Significant bridging strategies embedded in the preliminary budget: TCHC interim measures TTC and other reserve draws

    Preliminary budget does not include: Net expense increases to expand programs/services New investments, other than those to support cost recovery measures

    7 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    REVENUE PERFORMANCE

    Municipal Land Transfer Tax ($101 million, 19 per cent growth over 2016)

    Moderate assessment growth, supported by recalculation changes ($67 million)

    TTC fare increase

    Other user fees, adjusted for cost recovery as per Council policy

    Property tax ($50 million at assumed 2 per cent)

    8 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    KEY OBSERVATIONS - CAPITAL

    Significant new investments to fund Council priority projects

    Address regulatory capital requirements and state of good repair backlog

    Budget delivers $5.8 billion in more funding to pay for City's unfunded projects

    Measures proposed include:

    Better matching actual capital spending with budgets

    Maximizing debt under the City's current debt limit policy

    City Building Fund with annual tax increase of 0.5% a year for 5 years

    9 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • Historical Overview

    10

  • - -

    2010 VS 2017 TOTAL CITY SPENDING COMPARISON Preliminary 2017 complement reduced

    2010 Vs 2017 Comparison

    11 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    $1,212 $1,792 $1,387 $1,792

    $2,837

    $2,818 $3,246 $2,818

    $615

    $841 $704 $841 $1,493

    $1,781 $1,709 $1,781

    $1,458

    $1,954 $1,669

    $1,954

    $2,616

    $3,062 $2,994

    $3,062

    $518 $615

    $1,213 $967

    $263 $289

    $638 $611

    $624 $671

    $1,119 $1,051

    $2.0

    $4.0

    $6.0

    $8.0

    $10.0

    $12.0

    $14.0

    2010 2017 2010 2017 2010 2017

    Nominal Real Real per Capita

    Bill

    ion

    s

    Other

    TTC

    Emergency Services

    Debt/CFC

    Cost Shared

    Rate Programs

    $10.2 Billion

    $12.2 Billion

    $11.7 Billion

    $12.2 Billion $4,375 / Capita $4,203 / Capita

    Per Capita

    by 426 positions

  • - -

    CITY SPENDING PER CAPITA (ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION)

    $4,500 $4,375

    $1,382

    $1,213

    $638

    $624

    $518

    $4,305

    $1,381

    $1,140

    $624

    $630

    $530

    $1,367

    $1,101

    $620

    $616

    $546

    $4,250 $4,221 $4,204 $4,214 $4,172 $4,203

    $4,000

    $3,500 $1,337

    $1,075

    $614

    $640

    $555

    City Operations, $3,000

    $1,330

    $1,021

    $640

    $643

    $569

    Agencies, & Corp Acc

    $1,314

    $996

    $656

    $665

    $583

    Health & Social $2,500

    $1,311

    $974

    $629

    $660

    $598

    Services $2,000

    $1,340

    $967

    $611

    $671

    $615

    Emergency Services

    TTC

    $1,500

    $1,000

    $500 Water, Waste, & Parking $0

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    12 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    CITY REVENUES AS A % OF GDP 5%

    4%

    3%

    2%

    1%

    0%

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Pe

    r C

    en

    t

    3.55% 3.59%

    4.19% 4.18% 4.18% 4.19% 4.19% 4.31% 4.25%

    4.19% 4.18%

    Property Tax Rate Revenues User Fees MLTT Scarbourgh Subway

    13 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget Overview

  • - -

    BUDGET DIRECTIONS REPORT IN JUNE 2016 IDENTIFIED GROWING BUDGET PRESSURES & NEEDS

    700

    600 582

    $ M

    illio

    ns

    500 435

    19 400

    349

    293 291 300

    200

    100

    0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

    Base Gross Operating Expenditures

    438

    121

    23

    280 227

    289 291

    137

    60

    53 6

    7

    Base Capital Financing Annualizations

    *figures as of June 2016

    15 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    Opening Pressure

    $611 Million $120 Million

    175

    126

    103

    66

    5524

    19 1210 7 4 5 4

    3833 14

    35 731

    TTC Capital &Corporate

    Costs*

    TCHC Comp &Benefits (ExclTTC & Police)

    TaxDeficiencies

    Police Non-labourInflationary

    Impact

    Other NonProgram

    EmployeeLiability

    OperatingImpact of

    CapitalProjects

    Prior YearImpacts

    Insurance Other BasePressures

    Reversal ofOne-Time

    2016Revenues

    TTC RidershipChange &

    Revenue Mix

    Decrease inCorporateRevenues

    Decrease inToronto Hydro

    Dividend

    Total Pressure

    (Millions)

    Expenditure Pressures Revenue Pressures

    * Capital & Corporate Costs include $45 Million phase in of TPC grant loss

    * * Figures are rounded

    16 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    ACTIONS TAKEN TO REDUCE $731 MILLION OPENING PRESSURE TO

    (rounded)

    17 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    $91 Million

    Residual Pressure:

    $91 Million (Add’l 3.6% tax inc.)

    Expenditures Changes, $177, 23%

    New & Enhanced, $3, 0%

    MLTT Growth, $99, 13%

    Assessment Growth &

    Adjustments, $67, 9%

    Tax Increase, $50, 7%

    Other Revenue Changes, $144, 19%

    Bridging Strategies, $100, 13%

    TTC, $77, 10%

    TCHC, $31, 4%

    Other City, -$18, -2%

    $731 Million

    Revenue Changes, $360, 49%

    represents 2% res tax inc

  • - -

    PROPOSED ACTIONS

    18 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    (In $ Millions, figures are rounded) 2017 Operating Budget Pressures

    Expenditure Pressures TTC Base Changes (88) Other Revenue Changes Draw from TTC Stab Reserve (14)

    TTC 175 Police Savings (16)New Transfers from Other

    Orders of Government(16)

    Proposed Bridging Strategies - City

    Ops(5)

    TCHC 103 Efficiencies (24)Volume Based & Other Revenue

    Changes(24)

    Proposed Bridging Strategies -

    Boards / Other(9)

    Compensation & Benefits (excl

    TTC & Police) 66 Non-Program Savings (14)

    Add'l Parking Authority

    Revenues(8) TCHC Board Deferrals (72)

    Tax Deficiencies 55 Solid Waste Rebate (XL Bin) (2) Toronto Hydro Solution (35)

    Phased Impact from TPC loss 45 Base Budget Reductions (23) Sub-total (83) Sub-total (100)

    Debt Charges 44 Sub-total (167)

    CFC (Capital From Current) 36 Increases to Existing Fees

    Police 24 TTC Fare Increase (29)

    Non-labour Inflationary

    Impact 19 User Fees (Inflation) (10)

    Other Non Program 12 Service Adjustments Increase to DARP Fees (12)

    Employee Liability 10 Citizen Centred Services "A" (6) Sub-total (51) Additional Service Adjustments ??

    Op Impact of Comp Capital

    Projects 7 Citizen Centred Services "B" (1) New Taxes & Revenues

    Prior Year Impacts 4 Internal Services (1)New Fees/ Fees Above Inflation

    Sustainsable Revenue Measures

    Insurance 5City Manager & Other City (1) New Fees (8) MLTT Harmonization ??

    Other Base Pressures 4 Agencies - Fees Above Inflation (2) Commercial Tax (1/3 -> 1/2) ??

    Sub-total 611 Sub-total (10) TPA Income Share ??

    Revenue Pressures Sub-total (10)

    Reversal: 2016 One-Time

    Revenues38 Increases to Existing Taxes Requires Legislative / Regulatory Change

    TTC Ridership Chg / Rev Mix 33 Additional MLTT (99) Vacany Rebate ??

    Decrease in Corporate

    Revenues14 Sub-total (exc. New Fees) (3)

    Assessment Growth /

    Adjustments(67) Hotel Tax ??

    Decrease in Toronto Hydro

    Div35 2.0% Residential Tax Increase (50) Sub-total -

    Sub-total 120 Sub-total (216)

    Total 731 Total (179) Total (360) Total ######

    Expenditure Changes Revenue Changes Bridging Strategies

    New & Enhanced Services

    Service Adjustments

    Service Adjustments

    $91

  • - -

    THE 2017 PRELIMINARY TAX OPERATING BUDGET

    Opening Residual Pressure

    Expense Revenue

    Pressure $731 Million

    $91 Million

    19 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    (In $ Millions)

    2016 Budget

    2017 Prelim Operating

    Budget

    Change from 2016 Approved

    Budget

    Gross Expenditures 10,086 10,456 370

    Revenues (Inc. Tax) 10,086 10,366 279

    Residual Pressure 0 91

  • - -

    OUTSTANDING ISSUES & RISKS 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget includes $100 million in bridging strategies that will create a

    pressure in 2018. These include:

    $14 million one-time reserve draw from the TTC Stabilization Reserve $72 million in TCHC deferrals

    o $54 million in contributions to capital o $18 million in contributions to the sinking fund

    $8 million in other strategies (one-time reserve draws and one-time deferrals) $6 million in unconfirmed Provincial revenues for Toronto Police Service

    Budget includes a $101 million growth in the Municipal Land Transfer Tax

    10-cent TTC Fare increase (yielding $29 million)

    There are an additional $74 million in service adjustments to be considered

    There are $15 million in New / Enhanced requests to be considered

    Outstanding motion from Police Board Meeting on October 8th related to life guards / crossing guards ($7.9 million funding request)

    Difference between TTC Board Approved Budget and City’s treatment of depreciation and hybrid batteries

    Difference between TCHC budget related to one-time use of surplus carry forward

    20 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget

  • - -

    2017 REVENUE OUTLOOK

    Assumed residential property tax increase of 2 per cent

    Low to moderate assessment growth

    Increased reliance on strong Municipal Land Transfer Tax performance

    Small increases in revenues received from other orders of Government – includes upload

    Small increases to user fees and other revenues

    Increase in Toronto Parking Authority revenues

    22 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    2017 PRESSURE FACTORS

    Increase in debt service cost and CFC for capital projects

    Impact of Toronto Pooling Compensation loss on capital from current

    Toronto Community Housing related pressures

    Reversal of one-time 2016 revenues

    TTC expenditure pressures and ridership / revenue mix change

    Potential decrease in Toronto Hydro dividend

    23 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    SUBMITTED OPENING BUDGET PRESSURE VS BUDGET DIRECTIONS REPORT FORECAST

    ($ Millions)Forecast

    Residential

    Tax ImpactRequest

    Residential

    Tax Impact

    Expenditure Pressure

    Compensation & Other Base Pressures 157 151

    Pressure From Pooling Compensation (increase to CFC) 45 45

    Additional CFC 31 36

    Increase to Debt Charges 46 44

    Increase to Tax Deficiencies 30 55

    Additional TTC Pressure 148 145

    TTC Presto Fee 29 30

    TCHC 96 103

    Total Expenditure Pressure 582 23.1% 611 24.2%

    Revenue Pressures

    Reversal of One-Time Revenues to balance 2016 budget 38 38

    TTC Ridership Change & Revenue Mix 32 33

    Decrease in Corporate Revenues (Interest Income, Dividends, etc) 27 14

    Loss of Toronto Hydro Dividend 35

    Total Revenue Pressures 96 3.8% 120 4.8%

    Total Pressure 678 26.9% 731 29.0%

    Budget Directions

    Report

    As of June, 2016

    2017 Preliminary

    Budget

    Key differences: Tax deficiencies ($25 Million) Loss of Toronto Hydro Dividend ($35 Million)

    24 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    OPENING NET PRESSURE - $731 MILLION

    25 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    $175M

    $126M $120M

    $103M

    $66M

    $55M

    $24M $19M

    $12M $10M $7M $5M $4M $4M

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Per

    cen

    t

    72% of pressure due to TTC, Capital Costs, Revenue Pressures and TCHC

    * Figures are rounded

  • - -

    ACTIONS TAKEN AND CURRENT RESULTS – BEFORE SERVICE CHANGES

    26 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    731 143

    24 2216

    3399

    5110 3 331

    Opening Pressure Base BudgetReductions

    Efficiencies User Fees New Transfers fromOther Orders of

    Government

    Volume Based &Other Revenue

    Changes

    MLTT (VolumeBased)

    Assessment Growth New Fees / FeesAbove Inflation

    New & Enhanced(Net Zero, NewRevenue, etc)

    Pressure BeforePolicy Changes

    (Million)

    DARP Fee Increase $12 Million

    Other Fee Increases $10 Million TTC Changes $88 Million

    Police Savings $16 Million

    Non-Program Savings $14 Million

    Base Budget Savings $23 Million

    Solid Waste Rebate (XL Bin) $ 2 Million

  • - -

    FURTHER ACTIONS

    331 50

    16

    29

    1035

    191 14 5 972

    91

    Pressure beforePolicy Changes

    Property Tax @2%

    Assessment Adjsper New Regs

    TTC Fare Increase ServiceAdjustments

    Toronto HydroSolution

    RemainingPressure

    TTC One TimeReserve Draw

    ProposedBridging

    Strategies - CityOps

    ProposedBridging

    Strategies - Brds /Other

    TCHC BoardDeferrals

    RemainingPressure

    (Million)

    1.3%

    Bridging Strategies: $100 Million = 4.0% tax increase

    TCHC Deferrals: • $54 Million – Capital Contribution • $18 Million – Sinking Fund Contribution

    $91 Million = Additional 3.6% tax increase

    27 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    BRIDGING STRATEGIES INCLUDED IN THE PRELIMINARY 2017 OPERATING BUDGET

    Proposed Bridging Strategies City Ops, 4.8, 5% Proposed Bridging Strategies

    Boards / Other, 2.9, 3%

    $100 Million

    Unconfirmed Provincial Revenues - Police, 6.4, 6%

    One-Time Draw from

    TTC Stabalization

    Reserve, 14.4, 14%

    TCHC Deferrals, 72.0, 72%

    28 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    GROWTH OF TOTAL MLTT SINCE 2009

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    165 176 226

    294 321 356

    432

    532

    633

    184

    279 324 350

    361

    450

    524

    638

    $ M

    illio

    ns

    (includes one-time arbitration settlement) 2016 Actual Based on Q3 Variance Projection

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Actual Budget

    29 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    ASSESSMENT GROWTH

    1.5% 1.41%

    0.91%

    0.68%

    0.79%

    1.23% 1.28%

    Per

    cen

    t

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    1.0%

    0.5%

    0.0%

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Assessment Growth

    51 33 25 30 48 51

    30 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    Emergency

    Services, 1,781, 17%

    Social Programs, 2,818, 27%

    Governance & Internal Services, 409, 4%

    $10.46 Billion

    2017 Preliminary Tax Supported Program Operating Budget

    Where the Money Goes Where the Money Comes From ($ Millions) ($ Millions)

    Corporate &

    Capital Financing,

    Other Strategies to 841, 8%

    Eliminate Gap, 91 , 1%

    User Fees & Parks,

    Fines, 795 , 8%Economic

    Development & Other,

    2,256, 21% Other, 680 , 6%

    Reserves / Transfers from

    Capital / Investment

    Transporation, Income, 813 , 8%

    397, 4%

    633 , 6%

    Property Tax, 4,048 ,

    39%

    Province, 2,003 , 19%

    Federal, 147 , 1%

    Land Transfer Tax,

    TTC Fares, 1,246 , 12%

    $10.46 Billion

    Transit, 1,954, 19%

    31 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    BUDGET REDUCTION TARGET

    32 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Budget reduction target of -2.6% a. Fund any new or enhanced services from within existing budgets;

    b. Control expenditures through cost saving measures;

    c. Explore all efficiency savings opportunities;

    d. Review service levels for relevance, value and impact;

    e. Maximize user fee revenue;

    f. Provide justification for new positions; and

    g. Avoid "offloading" expenses.

  • - -

    2.6% BUDGET TARGET

    Net ($000s)

    Citizen Centred Services "A" 903,990 910,445 (14,893) (38,686) (53,578) 577 857,443 (46,546) (5.1%)

    Citizen Centred Services "B" 668,504 685,095 (7,744) (25,157) (32,901) (9,286) 642,909 (25,595) (3.8%)

    Internal Services 192,280 194,330 (6,735) (1,288) (8,023) 829 187,135 (5,145) (2.7%)

    City Manager 47,555 47,826 (1,497) (1,497) 46,329 (1,226) (2.6%)

    Other City Programs 76,009 75,193 (1,441) (1,441) 2,867 76,619 610 0.8%

    Accountability Offices 8,508 8,677 (304) (304) 8,373 (135) (1.6%)

    City Operation 1,896,847 1,921,565 (32,613) (65,130) (97,744) (5,013) 1,818,809 (78,038) (4.1%)

    TTC 610,339 730,841 (43,100) (43,100) 687,741 77,402 12.7%

    TCHC 204,500 235,700 235,700 31,200 15.3%

    Agencies (Excl TTC & TCHC) 1,272,223 1,277,517 (2,510) (7,456) (9,966) 1,267,551 (4,671) (0.4%)

    Agencies 2,087,062 2,244,058 (45,610) (7,456) (53,066) 2,190,992 103,930 5.0%

    Grand Total 3,983,908 4,165,623 (78,223) (72,586) (150,809) (5,013) 4,009,801 25,892 0.6%

    Total Change

    from 20162016

    Apporoved

    Budget

    2017 Total

    Budget

    2017 New-

    EnhancedOver (Under)

    2017 Base

    Reductions

    / Revenue

    Options

    included

    Reductions

    Not

    Included

    Total

    Reductions

    *TTC includes a $14.4 million reserve draw and 10-cent fare increase generating $29 million **Toronto Community Housing subsidy shown separately from Shelters, Support, Housing & Administration Budget

    33 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    34 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    2017 Preliminary Tax Supported Program Operating Budget - By Cluster/Major Agency

    Gross Net Gross Net $ % $ %

    Citizen Centred Services "A" 3,153,948 903,990 3,187,515 896,129 33,567 1.1% (7,861) (0.9%)

    Citizen Centred Services "B" 1,066,819 668,504 1,085,539 668,066 18,720 1.8% (438) (0.1%)

    Internal Services 484,689 192,280 483,550 188,423 (1,139) (0.2%) (3,857) (2.0%)

    City Manager 55,309 47,555 54,413 46,329 (896) (1.6%) (1,226) (2.6%)

    Other City Programs 124,449 76,009 129,238 76,619 4,788 3.8% 610 0.8%

    Accountability Offices 8,508 8,508 8,373 8,373 (135) (1.6%) (135) (1.6%)

    Total City Operations 4,893,722 1,896,847 4,948,627 1,883,939 54,905 1.1% (12,908) (0.7%)

    TTC/Wheel Trans 1,860,422 610,339 1,954,054 687,741 93,632 5.0% 77,402 12.7%

    Police Services and Board 1,135,260 1,007,046 1,130,626 1,008,874 (4,634) (0.4%) 1,827 0.2%

    Toronto Public Library 194,767 177,175 198,371 178,762 3,603 1.9% 1,588 0.9%

    Toronto Public Health 244,079 58,923 242,518 58,682 (1,561) (0.6%) (241) (0.4%)

    Toronto Community Housing Corp. 204,500 204,500 235,700 235,700 31,200 15.3% 31,200 15.3%

    Other Agencies 173,517 29,079 181,591 28,690 8,073 4.7% (389) (1.3%)

    Agencies 3,812,546 2,087,062 3,942,859 2,198,448 130,313 3.4% 111,386 5.3%

    Corporate Accounts:

    Capital & Corporate Financing 717,198 693,891 841,343 817,163 124,145 17.3% 123,271 17.8%

    Non-Program Expenditures 601,770 424,728 667,784 484,585 66,014 11.0% 59,857 14.1%

    Non-Program Revenues 60,857 (1,171,305) 55,548 (1,245,242) (5,310) (8.7%) (73,936) 6.3%

    Net Operating Budget 10,086,093 3,931,223 10,456,161 4,138,893 370,068 3.7% 207,671 5.3%

    Assessment Growth / Adjustments (66,700) (66,700)

    Operating Budget After Assessment Growth /

    Adjustments 10,086,093 3,931,223 10,456,161 4,072,193 370,068 3.7% 140,971 3.6%

    Scarborough Subway Levy 40,699 40,699 40,699 40,699

    Total Levy including Scarborough Subway

    Extension Levy ( Excl. Assessment) 10,126,792 3,971,921 10,496,860 4,179,592 370,068 3.7% 207,671 5.2%

    ($000s) Gross2016 Budget 2017 Budget

    Change from 2016 Over (Under)

    Net

    * Does not include 2% Tax increase **Toronto Community Housing subsidy shown separately from Shelters, Support, Housing and Administration Budget

  • - -

    SUMMARY OF NET BUDGET CHANGES

    6.0%

    4.0%

    2.0%

    0.0%

    -2.0%

    -4.0%

    -6.0%

    1.8%

    -2.3%

    0.0%

    -3.4%

    -1.2%

    1.6%

    -0.2%

    -2.2%

    1.3%

    3.6%

    0.1%

    1.1%

    2.7%

    3.8%

    1.5%

    3.2%

    1.9%

    0.9%

    5.3%

    -0.7%

    3.2%

    1.8%

    -0.1%

    1.4%

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 7 yr Avg

    Agencies City Operations Total Net Budget Inflation Rate Toronto (Stats Canada, Toronto)

    * Note: for 2017, TCHC subsidy moved from SSH&A to Agencies

    35 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    PRELIMINARY BUDGET STAFFING IMPACT

    36 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Total Base

    Change

    New/Enh

    Service

    Priorities

    Total 2017

    Preliminary

    Budget

    Change

    from 2016

    Approved

    Citizen Centred Services "A" 13,080.3 (395.8) 23.4 12,708.0 (372.3)

    Citizen Centred Services "B" 6,364.8 (35.5) 44.0 6,373.3 8.5

    Internal Services 3,069.0 (108.7) 11.0 2,971.2 (97.7)

    City Manager 429.0 (4.0) 3.0 428.0 (1.0)

    Other City Programs 924.3 (8.3) 38.5 954.5 30.2

    Accountability Offices 54.8 0.5 55.2 0.5

    TOTAL - CITY OPERATIONS 23,922.0 (551.8) 119.9 23,490.2 (431.9)

    Agencies

    TTC (incl. Wheel-Trans) 14,540.0 36.0 14,576.0 36.0

    Police Services & Board 7,888.0 7,888.0

    Toronto Public Library 1,741.0 (8.7) 1,732.3 (8.7)

    Toronto Public Health 1,864.6 (34.1) 1,830.5 (34.1)

    Other Agencies 1,512.6 12.8 1,525.4 12.8

    TOTAL - AGENCIES 27,546.2 6.0 27,552.2 6.0

    Corporate Accounts (Inc Parkign Tags) 397.0 397.0

    TOTAL LEVY OPERATING BUDGET 51,865.2 (545.8) 119.9 51,439.3 (425.9)

    2016

    Approved

    Staff

    Complement

    2017 Complement Changes

  • - -

    NEW/ENHANCED NOT INCLUDED IN PRELIMINARY 2017 BUDGET

    2017 2018

    (Incremental) 2019

    (Incremental)

    $ Pos

    $ Pos

    $ Pos

    ($ 000's) Exp Net Net Net

    Council Directed

    Poverty Reduction

    TTC Board Approved

    Toronto Public Health Board Approved

    Accountability Offices

    Referred to the Budget Process

    Staff Initiated

    750 750

    2,930 2,930 2.0

    5,812 5,812 36.0

    916 229 13.5

    70 70

    647 647 2.0

    3,456 3,126 8.3

    2,830 2.0

    (180)

    322 4.0

    11

    (2,029) 1.0

    265 2.0

    5,000

    181

    11

    47

    Total New Requests 14,580 13,563 61.8 954 7.0 5,505 2.0

    Note: 1) See Appendix 6 for a more detailed list

    2) These initiatives are NOT included in the Preliminary Budget

    37 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • Addressing Residual Pressure

  • - -

    k"--------->

    ~TORONTO

    ' ' ' ' '

    ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

    ' ' ' '

    ' ' ' ' '

    ' ' ' '

    ' ' ' ' '

    2017 BUDGET EQUATION

    Available Levers

    & Revenue Mix$87 M

    Mix Requiring

    Legislative

    Change

    $16 M

    Short-Term Mix $78 M

    Defer Capital

    Mix$135 M

    Total $316 M

    Summary

    Toronto Hydro

    Dividend$0 M

    Other City, -18

    TTC, 77

    TCHC, 31

    MLTT Harmonization, 77

    -30

    70

    170

    270

    370

    470

    570

    670

    770

    Opening pressure Pressure Service Adjustments

    $ (

    Mill

    ion

    s)

    Operating Budget Equation2017

    BECAUSE cannot solve with just expenditure efficiencies

    THEN Available tax and other measures

    Gap & Preliminary Budget

    Solution Set

    Other RevenueOptions

    Solution Step 2:

    Other revenue options

    Goal

    ($0 Pressure)

    MLTT Harmonization,

    77, 89%

    Parking Income Share

    Increase, 6, 7%

    Commercial Tax, 4, 4%

    Available Levers (Current Authority) & Revenue Mix

    Other City, -18, -14%

    TTC, 77, 61%

    TCHC, 31, 25%

    Pressure Mix

    Remaining Pressure

    $91 M

    Vacant Unit Rebate, 11, 69%

    Hotel Tax, 5, 31%

    Mix Requiring Legislative Change

    $16 M$87 M

    Solution Step 1:Service Adjustments (List of $74 Milllion)

    Budget Submission

    $731 M

    $91 M $78 M $135 M

    Toronto 2017 39 BUDGET

  • - -

    -

    REMAINING BUDGET RESIDUAL PRESSURE

    120

    TTC , 77.4

    TCHC, 31.2

    Other City, 18.0

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    $ M

    illio

    ns

    $91 Million

    -40

    *Gap of $91 Million already includes a 2% inflationary residential property tax increase

    40 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    ACTIONS TAKEN AND CURRENT RESULTS

    (Millions)

    2017 Preliminary

    Budget

    Residential Tax Impact

    Total Tax Impact

    Preliminary Budget - Net Increase 141.0 5.6% 3.5%

    Revenue from Inflationary Residential Tax Increase at 2.0%

    (50.4) -2.0% -1.3%

    Preliminary Residual Pressure 90.6 3.6% 2.3%

    Every 1% residential tax increase=$25.2 million

    41 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    ADDITIONAL SERVICE ADJUSTMENTS TO BE CONSIDERED

    $ $

    ('000s) Exp Net Net Net

    Citizen Centred Services "A" (42,474) (38,686) (149.0) (2,124) (30.1) (192)

    Citizen Centred Services "B" (25,157) (25,157) (130.0)

    Internal Services (1,288) (1,288) (4.0)

    City Operation (68,919) (65,130) (283.0) (2,124) (30.1) (192)

    TTC

    Police Services

    Agencies (Excl TTC & Police) (7,957) (7,456) (67.4) (147)

    Agencies (7,957) (7,456) (67.4) (147)

    Grand Total (76,876) (72,586) (350.4) (2,272) (30.1) (192)

    2017 2018 2019

    $Pos Pos Pos

    Note: 1) See Appendix 5 for a more detailed list

    2) These initiatives are NOT included in the Preliminary Budget

    42 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    • $15 Million

    SUSTAINABLE REVENUE MEASURES

    MLTT Harmonization

    • $77 Million

    Commercial Tax ( 𝟏 𝟑 -> ½)

    • $3.8 Million

    TPA Income Share (75% -> 85%)

    • $6.3 Million

    43 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Restore Toronto Hydro Dividend

  • - -

    MEASURES REQUIRING LEGISLATIVE / REGULATORY CHANGE

    Vacancy Rebate

    • $11 Million

    • $5 Million

    Hotel Tax

    44 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    NEXT STEPS

    Budget Committee to confirm:

    a. Included service adjustments

    b. New fees / fees above inflation (includes TTC Fare Increase)

    c. Included new and enhanced requests

    45 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    NEXT STEPS

    Budget Committee to Review & Consider

    a. Additional service adjustments

    b. Sustainable revenue measures

    c. Measures requiring legislative / regulatory change

    d. Additional new & enhanced requests

    46 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    FURTHER ACTIONS

    47 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    331 50

    16

    29

    1035

    191 14 5 972

    91

    Pressurebefore Policy

    Changes

    Property Tax@ 2%

    AssessmentAdjs per New

    Regs

    TTC FareIncrease

    ServiceAdjustments

    TorontoHydro

    Solution

    RemainingPressure

    TTC One TimeReserve Draw

    ProposedBridging

    Strategies -City Ops

    ProposedBridging

    Strategies -Brds / Other

    TCHC BoardDeferrals

    RemainingPressure

    AdditionalService

    Adjustments

    SustainableRevenueMeasures

    RequiresLegislative /Regulatory

    Change

    (Million)

    1.3%

    Vacancy Rebate $11 M Hotel Tax $ 5 M

    $91 Million = Additional 3.6% tax increase

    Bridging Strategies: $100 Million = 4.0% tax increase

    TCHC Deferrals: • $54 M – Capital Contribution • $18 M – Sinking Fund Contribution $73 M in Potential

    Service Adjustments

    MLTT Harmonization $77.0 M Commercial Tax (1/3->½) $ 3.8 M TPA Income Share $ 6.3 M

  • 2018 & 2019 Forecast

  • - -

    2018 OUTLOOK

    49 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    7227

    170

    127

    66 279 6 5

    11 625 14 6 22

    50

    51

    410

    Reversal of2017 Bridging

    Strategies:TCHC

    Reversal of2017 Bridging

    Strategies:Other

    TTC Capital &Corporate

    Costs

    Comp &Benefits (ExclTTC & Police)

    TaxDeficiencies

    Non-labourInflationary

    Impact

    Other NonProgram

    EmployeeLiability

    OperatingImpact of

    CapitalProjects

    Insurance Other BasePressures

    Prior YearImpacts

    Base User FeeChange

    OW BenefitUpload

    AssessmentGrowth

    2% TaxIncrease

    Total Pressure

    (Millions)

    Pressure Increases Pressure Decreases

  • - -

    2019 OUTLOOK

    50 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    32

    85

    63 1 81 5

    419 0 11

    510

    50

    52

    92

    TTC Capital &Corporate Costs

    Comp &Benefits (ExclTTC & Police)

    Reversal of 2017Bridging

    Strategies

    Non-labourInflationary

    Impact

    Other NonProgram

    EmployeeLiability

    OperatingImpact of

    Capital Projects

    Other BasePressures

    Prior YearImpacts

    Interest /Investment

    Earnings

    Base User FeeChange

    Tax Deficiencies AssessmentGrowth

    2% Tax Increase Total Pressure

    (Millions)

    Pressure Increases Pressure Decreases

  • 2017-2026 Capital Budget & Plan

  • - -

    OVERVIEW

    • $5.8 Billion New Investments to Fund Critical Unmet Needs

    • Actions Taken to Create Investment Room

    • Preliminary 2017 – 2026 Capital Budget & Plan – Impact on State of Good Repair Backlog

    – Impact on Debt Financing

    • Scenarios to Create More Investment Room

    • Conclusion

    52 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • $5.8 Billion New Investments to Fund Critical Unmet Needs

  • - -

    UNMET NEEDS TO BE FUNDED

    Notwithstanding $21 Billion funded in 10 year Capital Plan, the City still has unmet capital needs of $33 Billion over the next 15 years.

    Investments are required to address state of good repair backlog, service improvement initiatives and future transit expansion.

    54 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    $5.8 BILLION NEW INVESTMENT FUNDS CRITICAL UNMET NEEDS

    55 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Fund the

    F.G. Gardiner (Plan B)

    Uncertain Federal Subsidy

    [$14M Gross/ $863M Debt]

    Invest in PTIF (Provincial Transit

    Infrastructure Funding) Projects

    [$709 Million]

    Build

    Smart Track

    [$3.8 Billion]

    (including Grade Separation and Go Transit Expansion)

    and more/.

    Protect Portland from

    Flooding

    [$1.2 Billion]

    Reduce Library SOGR Backlog

    [$21 Million]

  • Actions Taken to Create Investment Room

  • - -

    STRATEGIES TO CREATE ADDITIONAL INVESTMENT ROOM CAPITAL DIRECTIONS

    57 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Step 1

    • Submit 2017-2026 Capital Plan based on (2016) approved debt and add new 10th year

    Step 2

    • Examine annual cash flow funding estimates to more realistically match cash flow of project activities and timelines

    Step 3 • Refine project estimates and timing of unmet needs for prioritization

    Step 4 • Establish criteria and prioritize unmet needs

    Step 5

    • Examine debt capacity and include the Council directed 0.5% City Building Fund

  • - -

    10%

    11%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    16%

    17%

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    Debt Charges as a % of Property Tax Levy

    2016-2025 Council Approved Capital Budget & Plan

    2016-2025 Council Approved

    10%

    11%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    16%

    17%

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    Debt Charges as a % of Property Tax Levy Aligning Cash Flow Estimates with Spending Rate & Project Activities

    2017-2026 Adjusted Plan 2016-2025 Council Approved

    10%

    11%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    16%

    17%

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    Debt Charges as a % of Property Tax Levy Increasing Debt Target Ratio to 14.75%

    2017-2026 Adjusted Plan Debt capacity maxed @ 14.75%

    $2

    .3B

    STRATEGIES TO CREATE ADDITIONAL INVESTMENT ROOM

    Debt Charges as a % of Property Tax Levy $3.334B Key Unfunded Capital Projects to be Funded from Increased Debt Room

    17%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    16%

    $1B

    $2.3

    B

    10-Yr Avg. 14.84%

    11%

    10%

    2017 2018 2019

    2017-2026 Adjusted Plan

    2020 2021 2022

    Debt capacity maxed @ 14.75%

    2023 2024 2025 2026

    Adjusted Plan + Key Unfunded Projects ($3.33B)

    58 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    STRATEGIES TO CREATE ADDITIONAL INVESTMENT ROOM RESULTS

    59 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    $134M

    • Realigning to project timelines in the first 5 years released debt room of $134 Million

    $2.2B • Maximizing debt capacity increased debt room by $2.2 Billion

    $1.0B

    • Council approved 0.5% per year City Building Fund (for 5 years) increased debt room by further $1.0 Billion

    $3.3B

    • Total $3.3 Billion debt room provides $5.8 Billion in capital investments

  • - -

    KEY PRIORITIES FUNDED IN THE

    PRELIMINARY 2017 – 2026 CAPITAL BUDGET & PLAN - $5.8B

    17 866

    60 60

    6 6

    732 536

    15 15

    4,975 1,828

    22 20

    4 3

    5,831 3,334

    Funding Criteria for Unmet Needs

    ($M)

    10-Yr

    Gross

    10-Yr

    Debt

    1- Approved projects over debt target due to cost escalation

    2- To ensure legislative compliance

    3- Health &Safety/SOGR to avoid service disruption/claims

    4- To leverage opportunity otherwise missed

    5- Results in operating savings or cost avoidance

    6- To implement approved Council priorities

    7- SOGR projects to reduce backlog

    8- To address sustained service demand

    Grand Total

    60 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    KEY PROJECTS FUNDED IN THE PRELIMINARY 2017 – 2026 CAPITAL BUDGET & PLAN - $5.8B GROSS/3.3B DEBT

    ($M)

    10-Yr

    Gross

    10-Yr

    Debt

    SmartTrack 3,842 1,840

    F.G. Gardiner 14 863

    TTC & Non–TTC PTIF Projects 709 513

    Port Lands Flood Protection 1,192 47

    Modernization & Transformation 36 36

    Toronto Public Library SOGR Backlog 21 19

    North York Central Renovation Phase 2

    MB Renovation Accessibility Retrofit 2017-2026

    Multi-Branch SOGR 2017-2026

    11

    5

    5

    10

    5

    5

    Administrative Penalty System 6 6

    Other 10 10

    Grand Total 5,831 3,334

    61 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    http:GROSS/3.3B

  • Preliminary 2017 – 2026 Capital Budget & Plan

  • - -

    2017 CAPITAL BUDGET - $2.8B WHERE THE MONEY GOES

    2017 Capital Budget 2017 Capital Budget By Program ($m) By Category ($m)

    63% TTC/Transportation 57% SOGR

    63 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Transportation Services, $420 , 15%

    Toronto Transit Commission, $1,100 , 40%

    Scarborough Subway Ext, $23 , 1%

    Spadina Subway Ext, $184 , 7%

    Toronto Public Library, $30 , 1%

    Facilities Management, $184 , 7%

    Fleet Services, $48 , 2%

    Parks, Forestry & Recreation, $143 , 5%

    Corporate Initiatives, $208 , 7%

    Waterfront Revitalization Initiative, $96 , 3%

    Other, $337 , 12%

    $2.8B

    Health and Safety, $40 , 1%

    Legislated, $101 , 4%

    State of Good Repair, $1,584 , 57%Service Improvement,

    $506 , 18%

    Growth Related, $541 , 20%

    $2.8B

  • - -

    2017 – 2026 CAPITAL BUDGET AND PLAN - $26.5B WHERE THE MONEY GOES

    2017 - 2026 Capital Budget & Plan By Program ($m)

    60% TTC/Transportation

    2017 - 2026 Capital Budget & Plan By Category ($m)

    52% SOGR

    64 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Scarborough Subway Ext., $3,398 , 13%

    Spadina Subway Ext, $344 , 1%

    Toronto Transit Commission, $6,842 , 26%

    Transportation Services, $5,294 , 20%

    Facilities Management, Real Estate & Environment ,

    $1,030 , 4% Waterfront Revitalization, $1,382 , 5%

    Corporate Initiatives, $4,019 , 15%

    Toronto Police Service, $521 , 2%

    Parks, Forestry & Recreation, $1,204 , 5%

    Fleet Services, $577 , 2%

    Other, $1,862 , 7%

    $26.5B

    Health and Safety, $240 , 1%

    Legislated, $810 , 3%

    State of Good Repair, $13,624 , 52%

    Service Improvement, $5,354 , 20%

    Growth Related, $6,444 , 24%

    $26.5B

  • - -

    WHERE THE MONEY COMES FROM 2017 BUDGET AND 10 YEAR PLAN

    65 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    2017-2026 Capital Budget & Plan

    Funding Source ($m)

    45% Funding from Debt/CFC

    2017 Capital Budget

    Funding Sources ($m)

    38% Funding from Debt/CFC

    Recoverable Debt, $52 , 2%

    Debt, $768 , 28%

    Capital from Current,$294 , 10%

    Federal Subsidy,$662 , 24%

    Provincial Subsidy, $261 , 9%

    Reserves / Reserve Funds,

    $360 , 13%

    Development Charges, $189 , 7%

    Other, $186 , 7%

    $2.8B

    Recoverable Debt, $855 , 3%

    Debt,$6,710 , 26%

    Capital from Current, $5,085 , 19%

    Federal Subsidy, $4,789 , 18%

    Provincial Subsidy, $3,607 , 14%

    Reserves / Reserve Funds,

    $2,739 , 10%

    Development Charges, $1,364 , 5%

    Other, $1,323 , 5%

    $26.5B

  • 10 Year Capital Plan: Impact on State of Good Repair Backlog

  • - -

    STATE OF GOOD REPAIR BACKLOG AS % OF TOTAL ASSET TRENDING DOWN TO 6.5%

    67 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    Total Asset Value 45,392 45,705 46,053 46,484 46,905 47,349 47,724 48,104 48,468 48,845

    SOGR Backlog Before $5.8B Additional

    Funding

    4,531 4,710 4,939 5,149 5,314 5,497 4,425 4,499 4,662 4,825

    Backlog % of Asset Value Before $5.8B

    Additional Funding

    10.0% 10.3% 10.7% 11.1% 11.3% 11.6% 9.3% 9.4% 9.6% 9.9%

    Accumulated Backlog ($M) 4,345 4,376 4,377 4,331 4,205 4,076 3,905 3,005 3,082 3,155

    Backlog % of Asset Value 9.6% 9.6% 9.5% 9.3% 9.0% 8.6% 8.2% 6.2% 6.4% 6.5%

  • - -

    SOGR BACKLOG AS A % OF TOTAL ASSET VALUE WITHOUT F.G. GARDINER IMPACT

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    Total Asset Value w/out Gardiner 41,769 42,082 42,430 42,861 43,282 43,726 44,101 44,481 44,845 45,222

    Accumulated Backlog w/out Gardiner 2,061 2,207 2,423 2,598 2,701 2,821 2,907 3,005 3,082 3,155

    Backlog % of Asset Value w/out Gardiner 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 6.9% 7.0%

    68 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    STATE OF GOOD REPAIR BACKLOG PROJECTION BY PROGRAM

    Program

    ($M)2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Trend

    Transportation Services 2,869 2,924 2,881 2,774 2,651 2,510 2,349 2,166 1,242 1,300 1,350 ▼

    Facilities Management, Real Estate & Environment 360 356 376 460 469 494 526 538 554 572 616 ▲

    Toronto Transit Commission 23 65 126 196 241 281 331 381 428 482 ▲

    Parks, Forestry & Recreation 442 454 479 460 468 432 404 367 327 284 222 ▼

    Toronto & Region Conservation Authority 228 228 222 213 203 192 182 171 163 150 139 ▼

    Toronto Public Library 53 60 66 71 83 86 94 99 112 129 137 ▲

    Other 311 299 286 272 260 249 240 232 226 218 210 ▼

    Total SOGR Backlog 4,262 4,345 4,376 4,377 4,331 4,205 4,076 3,905 3,005 3,082 3,155

    Total Asset Value (end of year) 44,995 45,392 45,705 46,053 46,484 46,905 47,349 47,724 48,104 48,468 48,845

    SOGR as % Asset Value 9.47% 9.57% 9.57% 9.50% 9.32% 8.97% 8.61% 8.18% 6.25% 6.36% 6.46%

    * Comparing to previously approved 2016 – 2025 Capital Plan, 2017’s opening balance of SOGR backlog is increased. The increase reflects revised delivery schedule of the F.G Gardiner Expressway

    Rehabilitation project. Transportation total Asset Value also increased from $13.9B to $17.9B over the

    period of 10 years.

    69 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • 10 Year Capital Plan: Impact on Debt Financing

  • - -

    NEW TAX SUPPORTED DEBT ISSUANCE

    1,200

    1,000

    800

    600

    400

    200

    Mil

    lio

    ns

    -2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total

    Debt Issuance 850 840 990 900 638 850 220 44 825 529 785 6,622

    71 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    OUTSTANDING TAX SUPPORTED DEBT BALANCE

    9,000

    8,000

    7,000

    6,000

    5,000

    4,000

    3,000

    2,000

    1,000

    Mill

    ion

    s

    0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    Net Debt 4,046 4,549 5,248 5,891 6,281 6,876 6,869 6,714 7,370 7,761 8,341

    72 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    TAX SUPPORTED DEBT SERVICE COSTS

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    527 584

    633

    675 720 715

    728 716 754

    778

    14

    27

    41

    56

    70 70 70 70

    70 70

    Mill

    ion

    s

    Debt Costs Funded by the 0.5% City Building Fund

    Debt Costs Funded by Regular Property Tax

    485

    2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    73 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Debt Service Cost ($m) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2017-2026

    YoY Incremental Costs - Before 0.5% City Building Fund 29 43 35 27 31 (5) 13 (12) 38 24 223

    YoY Incremental Costs - 0.5% City Building Fund 14 14 14 14 15 0 0 0 0 0 70

    YoY Incremental Costs - Incl. 0.5% City Building Fund 43 57 49 41 45 (5) 13 (12) 38 24 293

    Total Annual Debt Costs 485 527 584 633 675 720 715 728 716 754 778 6,830

  • Scenarios To Create More Investment Room

  • - -

    EXPRESSWAY TOLLING

    • Council requested 2 tolling scenarios • Revenues Tools / Tolling report assumed FULL tolling starts in 2024 – Scenario 1: Expressway Cost Recovery Toll • About $1.40 per trip • Money used recover all costs associated with the Gardiner and Don Valley

    Parkway • All revenues used to offset capital, operating and maintenance costs over

    30years • Frees up funding already approved in Capital Budget

    – Scenario 2: Expressway Toll to Generate Capital Revenues • Staff modelled $2.00 toll per trip • Revenues could be applied to fund new capital projects (i.e. not specifically

    for Gardiner and the DVP) • Creates additional funding for the Capital Budget

    75 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    POTENTIAL DEBT ROOM TO INVEST IN MORE UNMET NEEDS

    76 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    $1.9B • Expressway tolling at $1.40 per trip will free

    up debt room of $1.9 Billion

    $1.0B • Additional 0.5% (Total of 1.0%) City Building

    Fund will provide another $1B debt room

    $2.9B • Total new debt room of $2.9 Billion created

    to fund more unmet needs

  • - -

    POTENTIAL DEBT ROOM TO INVEST IN MORE UNMET NEEDS

    Debt Charges as a % of Property Tax Levy Add'l Debt Room Added if Expressway Toll @ $1.40 &City Building Fund is 1.0%

    18%

    12%

    13%

    14%

    15%

    16%

    17%

    $1B

    $1.9

    B

    10%

    11% Add'l Debt Capacity if City Building Fund is 1.0% Expressway Tolling Scenario 1 ($1.40)

    2017-2026 Preliminary Budget & Plan

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

    77 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    ADDITIONAL CRITICAL UNMET NEEDS TO BE FUNDED WITH $2.9B DEBT

    ($M)

    10-Yr

    Gross

    10-Yr

    Debt

    State of Good Repair 268 263

    Civic Building AODA Compliance 192 192

    Sony AODA Audit & SOGR 22 22

    Toronto Public Library SOGR 38 34

    Fire Services - Fireboat Replacement, etc. 16 16

    George Street Rev. Phase III-Construction 486 473

    Long Term Care Homes Services 219 136

    CWT Redevelopment 118 71

    Esther Shiner Blvd. 83 54

    Seven Oaks Redevelopment 18 11

    Traffic Cycling and Road Safety 31 31

    Other Critical Needs 1,996 1,996

    Grand Total 3,001 2,900

    78 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    ADDITIONAL DEBT ROOM TO BE CREATED EXPRESSWAY TOLLING @ $2.00 PER TRIP - $5.6B

    Potential Extra Investment Room to be Created ($m) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 Year

    If Expressway Tolling @ $2.00 - - - - - - - 1,867 1,867 1,867 5,600

    Alternatively, $5.6B debt room can be created to support Transit,

    Transportation, Housing and other priorities if tolling set @ $2.00 beginning

    in 2024

    79 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    CONCLUSION

    • 10-year Capital Plan delivers $5.8 billion added investment for priority unfunded projects with $3.3 billion debt

    • $3.3 billion additional debt room created by: – Releasing debt with better matching of budgets to actual spending

    – Maximizing debt capacity within debt policy limits

    – Adding debt capacity with City Building Fund at .5% for each of 5 years

    • Despite added investment, critical state of good repair, service improvement and transit expansion projects remain unfunded

    • Tolling and/or other revenue strategies can create more room to fund critical projects

    • Project funding to be considered with the Long Term Financial Plan and 2018 Budget process

    80 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • Budget Process & Next Steps

    81

  • - -

    2017 BUDGET PROCESS

    April - May

    City Programs

    &Agencies

    CM / CFO

    issues Budget Directions and

    Targets

    City Staff prepare Budgets for Submission

    June – October

    CM/ CFO Budget

    Review

    Staff Prepare

    Preliminary

    Operating & Capital

    Budgets

    December 6

    Public

    Launch

    Introduction of

    Capital &

    Operating Budgets

    January 5, 9 & 10

    Public Budget

    Presentation Committee

    Public deputations Budget Committee to the Budget Review and

    Committee Recommendations-

    December 6 –January 24

    February 7

    Executive

    Committee

    BC Recommended

    Operating & Capital

    Budget Reviewed

    EC Recommend Budget

    Submitted to Council

    February 15, 16 & 17 (Optional)

    City

    Council

    Consideration &

    Adoption of

    Operating and

    Capital Budgets

    82 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    KEEPING THE PUBLIC INFORMED

    83 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    toronto.ca/budget2017

  • - -

    2017 BUDGET SCHEDULE – KEY DATES

    84 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Activity Tax Supported: Operating & Capital

    Budget Launch - Budget Committee December 6

    Budget Briefings - Budget Committee December 16, 19, 20 & 21 (Optional)

    Public Presentations - Budget

    Committee

    January 5, 9 & 10

    Budget Committee Wrap-Up (Request

    Briefing Notes & Place Motions)

    January 12

    Budget Committee Final Wrap-Up January 24

    Special Executive Committee (Corporate

    Report distributed)

    February 7

    Special Council February 15, 16 & 17 (Optional)

  • Thank You / End

    Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • APPENDIX

  • - -

    LIST OF APPENDICES

    1. 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget Details

    2. 2017 – 2026 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan Details

    3. Tax Impacts

    4. 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget Summary

    4.1 Gross Expenditures

    4.2 Revenues

    4.3 Net Expenditures

    4.4 Staff Complement

    5. Service Changes Included in Preliminary Budget

    6. Service Changes Not Included in Preliminary Budget

    7. New / Enhanced Not Included in Preliminary Budget

    8. Revenue Options to Be Considered

    9. 2017 – 2026 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan Summary 10. $5.8 Billion Unmet Needs Funded in the 2017-2026 Preliminary

    Capital Budget & Plan

    Pg. 88

    Pg. 106

    Pg. 115

    Pg. 126

    Pg. 128

    Pg. 130

    Pg. 132

    Pg. 134

    Pg. 135

    Pg. 136

    Pg. 138

    Pg. 139

    Pg. 140

    87 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • 2017 Preliminary Operating Budget Details

  • - -

    2017 PRELIMINARY OPERATING BUDGET:

    89 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    WHERE THE MONEY GOES Toronto Police Service,

    1,131, 11%

    Fire Services, 440, 4%

    Toronto Paramedic Services, 210, 2%

    Toronto Employment & Social Services, 1,083, 10%

    Long Term Care Homes & Services, 257, 2%

    Children's Services, 480, 5%

    Toronto Public Health, 243, 2%

    Shelter, Support & Housing Administration,

    756, 7%TTC, 1,954, 19%

    Transportation Services, 397, 4%

    Toronto Public Library, 198, 2%

    Parks, Forestry & Recreation, 454, 4%

    City Planning & MLS, 99, 1%

    Fleet and Facilities, 249, 2%

    Other City Services, 533, 5%

    Governance and Internal Services, 409, 4%

    Debt Charges, 530, 5%

    Capital & Corporate Financing, 312, 3%

    Non-Program, 723, 7%

    $10.46 B

  • - -

    Gross

    2017 PRELIMINARY OPERATING BUDGET: WHERE THE MONEY COMES FROM

    ($Billion)

    Property Taxes, 4,048 , 39% MLTT, 633 , 6%

    Supplementary Taxation, 160 , 2%

    $10.46 B Reserves / Reserve Funds, 450 , 4%

    Interest & Dividend Income, 195 , 2%

    TTC, 1,246 , 12%

    Federal Grants & Subsidies, 147 , 1%

    User Fees, 543 , 5% Provincial Grants &

    Subsidies, 2,003 , 19% Fines & Penalties, 136 , 1% Licenses & Permit, 117 , 1%

    Inter-Divisional Recoveries, 291 , 3% Other Strategies to Eliminate Gap, 91 , 1%

    Transfers from Capital, 168 , 2%

    Other Revenues, 229 , 2%

    90 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    81% OF CUMULATIVE NET EXPENDITURE GROWTH FROM EMERGENCY SERVICES & TTC

    1,000

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    $ M

    illio

    ns

    -200

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    Cost Shared Programs Other Toronto Transit Commission (TTC) Police, Fire, Paramedics

    91 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    BUDGET DIRECTIONS REPORT IN JUNE 2016 IDENTIFIED GROWING TAX BUDGET GAP

    *figures as of June 2016

    92 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    TTC 2017 OPENING PRESSURE

    ($ Millions)

    Expenditure Pressures

    Compensation and Benefits $ 37

    Non-Labor Inflation $ 15

    Prior Year Impacts $ 3

    Operating Impacts of Capital (TYSSE) $ 8

    Wheel Trans AODA Impacts $ 26

    Other $ 55

    PRESTO $ 30

    $ 175

    Revenue Pressures

    Ridership / Revenue Mix Change $ 33

    $ 33

    Total TTC Pressure $ 208

    93 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    SUMMARY OF CAPITAL COSTS ($126 MILLION)

    ($ Millions)

    $44 • Debt Charges

    $36 • Current from Capital

    $45

    • TPC Grant Loss* (Increase to CFC)

    $126 Million (rounded) *Phased in impact of Toronto Pooling Compensation loss

    94 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    SUMMARY OF TORONTO COMMUNITY HOUSING PRESSURE($103 MILLION)

    ($ Millions)

    $54 • Capital Contribution

    $18 • Contribution to Sinking Fund

    $31 • Operations

    $103 Million

    95 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    REVERSAL OF 2016 ONE-TIME REVENUES

    ($ Millions)

    $21 • One-Time Reserve Draws

    $13

    • Toronto Parking Authority One-Time Dividends

    $5

    • Toronto Portlands One-Time Dividend

    $38 Million

    96 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    INCLUDED EFFICIENCIES

    $ $

    ($ 000's) Exp Net Net Net

    Citizen Centred Services "A" (8,458) (8,165) (87.3) (5,174) (34.1) (214)

    Citizen Centred Services "B" (6,824) (6,100) (30.5) (56) (74)

    Internal Services (9,205) (5,627) (45.0) (1,348) (245)

    City Manager (245) (245) (3.0) (7) (7)

    Other City Programs (1,432) (1,332) (19.0) (780)

    Accountability Offices (217) (217) 0.5 6 6

    City Operation (26,382) (21,686) (184.3) (7,360) (34.1) (535)

    TTC

    Agencies (Excl TTC) (3,501) (1,893) (34.7) (185) (4)

    Agencies (3,501) (1,893) (34.7) (185) (4)

    Grand Total (29,883) (23,578) (218.9) (7,545) (34.1) (538)

    Efficiencies2018

    (Incremental)

    2019

    (Incremental)

    $Pos Pos Pos

    97 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    INCLUDED SERVICE ADJUSTMENTS

    $ $

    ($000's) Exp Net Net Net

    Citizen Centred Services "A" (6,185) (6,138) (35.8) (1,574) (1.5) (73)

    Citizen Centred Services "B" (1,322) (1,322)

    Internal Services (1,958) (1,108) (15.0) 0 0

    City Manager (1,252) (1,252) (12.0) (45) (53)

    Other City Programs (108) (108) (2.0) (36)

    Accountability Offices

    City Operation (10,824) (9,928) (64.8) (1,656) (1.5) (126)

    TTC

    Agencies (Excl TTC)

    Agencies

    Non-Program

    Grand Total (10,824) (9,928) (64.8) (1,656) (1.5) (126)

    Included Service

    Adjustments

    2018

    (Incremental)

    2019

    (Incremental)

    $Pos Pos Pos

    98 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    INCLUDED NEW/ENHANCED

    $ $

    ($ 000's) Exp Net Net Net

    Council Approved 191 (1,150) 6.0 1,626 21

    Council Directed 3,362 90 18.0 219 4.0 14 (5.0)

    TTC Board Approved 45,252 388.0 (5,250)

    Referred to the Budget Process - APS* 4,162 (1,950) 37.5 (5,142) (9.0) (64)

    Referred to the Budget Process - Other Requests2,080 (0) 17.0 176 26

    Staff Initiated 6,608 315 41.4 3,452 7.0 1,155 (5.0)

    Total New Requests Before New Fees 16,403 (2,695) 119.9 45,585 390.0 (4,099) (10.0)

    New Fees 200 (7,990) (8,643)

    Grand Total 16,603 (10,685) 119.9 36,942 390.0 (4,099) (10.0)

    20172018

    (Incremental)

    2019

    (Incremental)$

    Pos Pos Pos

    *APS: Administrative Penalty System

    99 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    NEW/ENHANCED HIGHLIGHTS

    New & Enhanced Services added with no tax impact Parks, Forestry & Recreation – Tennis pilot project ($0.008 M Gross, $0.0 Net) & community recreation

    programming development (($0.002 M) Gross & Net) Long-Term Care Homes & Services – Added 7 Provincially funded positions to meet legal standards for resident

    acuity needs ($1.05 M Gross, $0.0 Net) Social Development, Finance & Administration – Provides additional resources to support Tower Renewal

    Energy Retrofit program($0.188 M Gross, $0.0 M Net) & Youth Civic Engagement Food Justice project ($0.07 M Gross, $0.0 Net)

    New & Enhanced Services funded from own source revenue Parks, Forestry & Recreation – Added funding to support the tree canopy & tree maintenance ($2.1 M Gross, $0.0

    Net) Transportation – Added 11 positions to support the cycling network plan ($0.339 M Gross, $0.0 Net) & road

    safety plan ($0.747 M Gross, $0.090 M Net) Children’s Services – Added 4 temporary positions to help administer system growth ($0.455 M Gross, $0.0 Net) City Manager’s Office – Added 3 positions to support transit initiatives ($0.4 M Gross, $0.0 Net) Office of the Treasurer – Added 8 positions to support the Purchasing & Materials Management Review Program

    ($1.828 M Gross, $0.829 M Net – NOTE: The net expense is offset by savings in the base budget)

    Administrative Penalty System for Parking Violations Court Services – Added 7 positions to support APS ($0.855 M Gross & Net) Legal Services – Added 31 positions to administer APS ($2.867 M Gross & Net) Corporate – Overall, the APS will yield almost $2 million (net) in additional revenue in 2017 ($4.161 M Gross &

    ($1.950 M) Net)

    100 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION & SERVICE MODERNIZATION INITIATIVES

    Chief Transformation Officer:

    – Drive transformation and efficiencies across the City.

    Excellence Toronto:

    – Support delivery of high-quality and affordable services, continue to build a culture of organizational excellence and guide continuous improvement efforts.

    City-Wide Real Estate Review:

    – Consolidation of all core real estate and facilities management operations and functions.

    Office Modernization Program:

    – Modernize and make more efficient use of City office space.

    101 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION & SERVICE MODERNIZATION INITIATIVES

    Enterprise-Wide Risk Management:

    – Integrated approach to managing risk across the City.

    Agency Review:

    – Integrated infrastructure development, program planning and service delivery across all City divisions and agencies.

    Contracting Out and Alternative Service Delivery:

    – Explore opportunities to deliver services through external contractors.

    Open Data and Open Government:

    – Drive innovation and new opportunities both for the delivery of City services and the residents and businesses. • MLS Modernization-Phase 2

    Shared Services Project:

    – Consolidation of administrative services to reduce duplication and allow business units to focus on delivering their core services.

    102 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION & SERVICE MODERNIZATION INITIATIVES

    Procurement Transformation:

    – Improve overall performance, optimize total cost of ownership, reduce risk, support innovation and meet stakeholder needs. • Integrated Payment Processing & Operational Efficiencies

    Time and Attendance Transformation:

    – Improve capabilities to capture, report, and time, as well as build, assign and manage staff scheduling.

    Contract Management:

    – Improve cost estimation, bid analysis, performance management, contract management and ensuring best practices are followed.

    Toronto Police Service Transformational Task Force:

    – Savings from a moratorium on hiring and promotion, alternative and shared service delivery and unidentified sources.

    Social Development Finance Admin - Wellbeing Toronto (WT)

    103 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION & SERVICE MODERNIZATION INITIATIVES

    Customer Service Strategy:

    – Drive transformation across the organization, increase operational effectiveness, reduce costs and meet customers' expectations. • On-Line Portal Services for City Planning • Customer Relationship Management Solution • TASS Business Readiness • Online Permitting - Implementation

    Technology Transformation:

    – Streamline processes, improve efficiency and productivity as well as stronger financial and process control • Finance Accounting Systems Transformation (FAST) • Business Sys Improvements – Engineering & Construction Services Phase 2 • Engineering & Construction Services Program Management Process • Occupational Health & Safety APP 2016-2019 • Review and Improve Document Management Capabilities

    104 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    PRELIMINARY BUDGET STAFFING IMPACT

    Prior Year

    Impact

    Operating

    Impacts of

    Capital

    Proj.

    Capital

    Project

    Delivery

    Base

    ChangesEfficiencies

    Service

    Changes

    Total Base

    Change

    New/Enh

    Service

    Priorities

    Total 2017

    Preliminary

    Budget

    Change

    from 2016

    Approved

    Citizen Centred Services "A" 13,080.3 (61.3) 19.4 60.2 (291.0) (87.2) (35.8) (395.8) 23.4 12,708.0 (372.3)

    Citizen Centred Services "B" 6,364.8 (5.0) (30.5) (35.5) 44.0 6,373.3 8.5

    Internal Services 3,069.0 17.0 (59.2) (6.5) (45.0) (15.0) (108.7) 11.0 2,971.2 (97.7)

    City Manager 429.0 (1.0) 12.0 (3.0) (12.0) (4.0) 3.0 428.0 (1.0)

    Other City Programs 924.3 (12.9) 2.0 16.2 7.3 (19.0) (2.0) (8.3) 38.5 954.5 30.2

    Accountability Offices 54.8 0.5 0.5 55.2 0.5

    TOTAL - CITY OPERATIONS 23,922.0 (80.2) 38.4 17.2 (278.2) (184.2) (64.8) (551.8) 119.9 23,490.2 (431.9)

    Agencies

    TTC (incl. Wheel-Trans) 14,540.0 (287.0) 323.0 36.0 14,576.0 36.0

    Police Services & Board 7,888.0 7,888.0

    Toronto Public Library 1,741.0 (8.7) (8.7) 1,732.3 (8.7)

    Toronto Public Health 1,864.6 3.0 (6.5) (6.7) (23.9) (34.1) 1,830.5 (34.1)

    Other Agencies 1,512.6 (0.0) 14.8 (2.0) 12.8 1,525.4 12.8

    TOTAL - AGENCIES 27,546.2 (284.0) (6.5) 331.2 (34.6) 6.0 27,552.2 6.0

    Corporate Accounts (Inc Parkign Tags) 397.0 397.0

    TOTAL LEVY OPERATING BUDGET 51,865.2 (80.2) (245.6) 10.7 53.0 (218.9) (64.8) (545.8) 119.9 51,439.3 (425.9)

    2016

    Approved

    Staff

    Complement

    2017 Complement Changes

    105 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • 2017 – 2026 Preliminary Capital Budget and Plan Details

  • - -

    2017 - 2026 PRELIMINARY CAPITAL PLAN VS. 2016 – 2025 COUNCIL APPROVED

    107 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    2016 2025

    $21B Gross/$9B Debt

    (10 Years)

    $2.4B

    Gross/

    $1.1B Debt

    2017 2026

    $26.4B Gross/$11.8B Debt

    (10 Years)

    $3.5B Gross/

    $1.7B Debt

    9-Years $4.2B Gross/$2.2B Debt 10-Years $5.4B Gross/$2.8B Debt

    (9 Years)

    $18.7B Gross/$7.9B Debt

    (9 Years)

    $22.9B Gross/$10.1B Debt

  • - -

    2017 – 2026 CAPITAL BUDGET AND PLAN $26.5B

    BY CLUSTER OF SERVICES

    Programs ($m) GrossDebt/

    CFC Gross

    Debt/

    CFC Gross

    Debt/

    CFC

    Citizen Centred Services - A 245 100 112 (-12) 1,074 484 513 (-29) 1,690 977 976 0

    Citizen Centred Services - B 533 287 275 12 3,720 1,999 1,255 744 6,784 4,293 3,407 886

    Internal Services 304 118 133 (-15) 1,140 480 458 22 2,117 932 943 (-11)

    Other City Programs 212 41 4 38 337 96 6 90 4,063 1,849 34 1,816

    Total - City Operations 1,294 546 524 22 6,270 3,060 2,233 827 14,654 8,051 5,360 2,691

    Agencies 172 118 56 62 699 412 334 78 1,235 694 619 76

    Tax Supported before TTC 1,466 665 581 84 6,969 3,471 2,566 905 15,889 8,745 5,979 2,766

    Toronto Transit Commission 1,307 397 691 (-294) 7,306 2,482 2,145 336 10,583 3,050 2,616 434

    Tax Supported Programs 2,772 1,062 1,272 (-210) 14,275 5,953 4,712 1,241 26,472 11,795 8,594 3,201

    CFC 294 1,932 5,085

    Debt Net by CFC 768 4,020 6,710

    Debt

    Target Over/

    (Under)

    2017 2017 - 2021 2017 - 2026

    PreliminaryDebt

    Target Over/

    (Under)

    PreliminaryDebt

    Target Over/

    (Under)

    Preliminary

    108 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    2017 – 2026 CAPITAL BUDGET AND PLAN $26.5B BY PROJECT CATEGORY

    Capital Budget and Plan 2017-2026

    2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total %

    SOGR 1,584 1,868 1,644 1,389 1,166 1,090 1,155 1,892 877 959 13,624 51%

    Service Improvement 506 436 192 116 95 79 80 61 1,324 2,464 5,354 20%

    Growth Related 541 1,272 988 978 834 739 565 293 191 43 6,444 24%

    Health & Safety 40 25 19 23 17 22 30 25 19 20 240 1%

    Legislated 101 112 108 116 105 76 68 69 43 11 810 3%

    Total 2,772 3,714 2,952 2,622 2,218 2,006 1,898 2,340 2,453 3,497 26,472 100%

    Expenditure ($m)

    Over half of the 10-year Capital investment is targeted at maintaining the

    City’s physical assets in a state of good repair ($13.6B)

    $11.7B (44%) investment is made to projects related to improve services and

    City’s growth such as:

    Smart Track

    Portland Flood Protection

    Modernization and Transformation

    109 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    NON-DEBT CAPITAL FINANCING STRATEGY

    110 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    Description ($ Millions) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total

    Enwave 167 167

    Enwave Dividend 11 11

    TPLC Dividend 40 40

    Prior Year Operating Surplus 214 186 126 155 98 86 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 1,315

    MLTT (Above Operating Budget) 40 40 40 40 160

    DC Increases 25 25 25 25 25 125

    Future Years BT Dividend 20 10 15 15 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 310

    Future Years Fed/Prov 0

    TPA One-Time 67 9 77

    Other 1 3 4

    Bank Tower Surplus 30 30

    Total: 453 219 136 277 153 160 115 100 100 100 100 100 75 75 75 2,239

    Description ($ Millions) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total

    TTC Capital 45 60 252 228 46 50 70 157 75 982

    TTC TYSSE 39 27 24 90

    Transportation Capital 15 61 61 48 47 63 44 42 42 42 269 137 30 30 929

    FREEE Capital (St. Lawrence N.) 8 8 29 44

    Waterfront Revitalization Initiative 0.3 5 7 7 4 2 1 27

    Eglinton East LRT 2 2 4

    Other Program Draws 37 13 28 6 13 1 1 0.4 0.6 99

    Loss of Pooling Compensation (2014 Surplus) 30 30

    Total 45 75 350 331 163 140 184 208 124 46 44 270 137 31 59 2,205

    Description ($ Millions) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Total

    Estimated Reserve Opening Balance $27 $435 $579 $367 $314 $304 $325 $256 $148 $124 $178 $234 $64 $2 $47

    Annual Funding Requirements ($45) ($75) ($350) ($331) ($163) ($140) ($184) ($208) ($124) ($46) ($44) ($270) ($137) ($31) ($59) ($2,205)

    Annual Revenue Estimates $453 $219 $136 $277 $153 $160 $115 $100 $100 $100 $100 $100 $75 $75 $75 $2,239

    Estimated Reserve Closing Balance $435 $579 $366 $314 $304 $325 $256 $148 $124 $178 $234 $64 $2 $47 $63

    Advance Financing Requirements 0

    Capital Financing Strategy - Reserve XQ0011

    Past, Current & Future Year Funding Requirements

    Available Capital Financing Strategy Funding (Based on Current Capital Requirements & Future Year Revenue Estimates)

    Future Year Capital Financing Strategy Revenue Estimates2012 - 2015 Secured Revenue

  • - -

    EXPRESSWAY TOLLING

    • Study on benefits and impacts currently underway; further assessment expected in staff report to Executive Committee in 2017

    • Recovers costs from non-residents who make up about 40% of expressway trips, therefore expands City’s tax base

    • Could reduce travel times and increase public transit usage

    • Would result in increased travel time and vehicle volumes on some local roads

    • Requires provincial regulatory change under the COTA

    • Can be implemented as early as 2019/20 depending on phasing Could help address the Long-Term Financial Plan funding gap, particularly transit and transportation capital costs

    111

    111 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    EXPRESSWAY TOLLING PRELIMINARY FINANCIAL ESTIMATES

    Type of Cost Preliminary Estimate (2016$) Notes

    One-time Implementation Costs $100-150 million For gantries similar to 407, costs depend on technology chosen

    Ongoing Operating Costs $50 to $70 million annually Incident management

    Assumed Toll Rate Per Trip (2016$) Potential Net Annual Revenues (2016$)

    Notes

    $1.40 n/a (Cost recovery) Break-even scenario

    Under $2.00 $166 million

    $3.90 $272 million Comparable to public transit and 407

    $5.20 $336 million

    112

    112 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    REVISED STRATEGIC REHABILITATION PLAN FOR F.G. GARDINER

    Original Cash Flows and Funding Sources for the Period 2017 – 2026

    ($M) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10-Year Cash Flow

    Original 20.9 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 2,102.6 29.0 29.0 29.0 2,268.2

    Funding Source Cap. Fin. RF 20.9 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 286.2 29.0 29.0 29.0 451.8 Federal 820.0 820.0 Debt 996.4 996.4

    Cash Flows and Funding Sources for the New Approach for the Period 2017 – 2026 ($M) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10-Year Cash Flow New Approach 3.0 111.9 215.2 220.6 228.1 250.1 256.3 998.1 2,283.4

    Funding Source Cap. Fin. RF 3.0 29.4 11.6 11.6 11.6 11.6 238.8 106.5 423.9 Federal 0.0 Debt 82.5 203.7 209.1 216.6 238.5 17.5 891.6 1,859.5

    Cash Flow and Funding Source Changes by Year for the Period 2017 – 2026

    ($M) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10-Year Cash Flow

    Change -17.8 100.3 203.7 209.1 216.6 238.5 -1,846.2 969.1 -29.0 -29.0 15.2 Funding Source

    Cap. Fin. RF -17.8 17.8 -47.4 77.5 -29.0 -29.0 -27.9 Federal -820.0 -820.0 Debt 82.5 203.7 209.1 216.6 238.5 -978.8 891.6 863.1

    113 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    $ Mllnon lnnated Ca Ital Construction Costs

    roach Com arison TOW t01Al '°27. '°39 PftOJECT COSTS

    1340 3623 Trtl\

    t7 ToCal

    2024 2025 2026 to Year DBFOM Com anson Tocat TOTAL

    2027 . 2039 PROJECT COSTS

    UMS 4275

    ~TORONTO

    CASH FLOW REQUIREMENTS FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF THE REVISED STRATEGIC REHABILITATION PLAN FOR F.G. GARDINER

    Toronto 2017 114 BUDGET

  • Tax Impacts

  • - -

    VALUATION CYCLE

    Tax Year Valuation Date

    1998, 1999, 2000 June 30, 1996

    2001, 2002 June 30, 1999

    2003 June 30, 2001

    2004,2005 June 30, 2003

    2006, 2007, 2008 January 1, 2005

    2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 January 1, 2008

    2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 January 1, 2012

    2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 January 1, 2016

    116 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    REASSESSMENT CHANGES - 2017-2020 VS. HISTORICAL % CVA CHANGE

    Cycle Valuation Date

    ‘09-’12 Jan. 1, 2008

    ‘13-’16 Jan. 1, 2012

    ‘17-’20 Jan. 1, 2016

    ‘17 Phased-in

    Residential 22.0% 23.0% 28.6% 7.0%

    Multi-Residential 9.3% 23.4% 54.4% 13.1%

    Commercial 35.1% 22.1% 33.6% 7.8%

    Industrial 41.9%% 18.2% 18.8% 3.3%

    City Wide 23.5% 22.8% 30.9% 7.5%

    Would have been potential for significant tax shift onto the Multi-Residential class

    117 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    AVERAGE PROPERTY VALUES

    2016 (Jan. 1/12 Valuation)

    2020 (Jan. 1/16 Valuation)

    % Change

    2017 Phased-In

    Single Family Detached 729,565 973,346 33% 790,248

    Town Homes 530,710 722,193 36% 578,556

    Semi Detached 518,512 714,293 38% 567,449

    Condominiums 369,936 413,843 12% 379,388

    All Residential 548,943 706,178 29% 587,471

    118 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    PRELIMINARY 2017: WHERE THE MONEY GOES

    $28.28

    $38.92

    $52.89

    $54.32

    $76.81

    $124.20

    $145.06

    $218.95

    $278.10

    $293.57

    $351.11

    $477.83

    $700.95

    ($120.00) ($20.00) $80.00 $180.00 $280.00 $380.00 $480.00 $580.00 $680.00

    Scarborough Subway

    Other*

    Children's Services

    Toronto Paramedic Services

    Toronto Employment & Social Services

    Toronto Public Library

    Transportation Services

    Parks, Forestry & Recreation

    Shelter, Support & Housing Administration

    Fire Services

    Debt Charges

    TTC (Incl. Wheel Trans)

    Police Service & Board

    74%

    26%

    Total = $2,841*{Based on Property Tax of $2,841 (includes preliminary 2.0% property

    tax increase) for an average house with an assessed value of $587,471}

    *Does not Include Education Taxes

    Toronto 2017 119 BUDGET

  • - -

    120 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    2017 PRELIMINARY BUDGET TAX INCREASE IF THE RESIDENTIAL BUDGET TAX INCREASE IS 2.0%

    Per Council Tax Policy and New Legislation / Regulation

    1.39%

    2.00%

    0.00% 1.00%

    0.67%

    Residential Industrial

    Multi-Residential Commercial

    TOTAL

  • - -

    121 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    2016 PRELIMINARY TOTAL TAX INCREASE + CITY BUILDING FUND & CVA SHIFT RESIDENTIAL BUDGET TAX INCREASE OF 2.0%

    Budget Impact, 2.00%

    Budget Impact, 1.39%

    City Building Fund, 0.50%

    City Building Fund, 0.35%

    CVA / Policy / Regulation Impacts, 0.98%

    CVA / Policy / Regulation Impacts, 0.40%

    0.00%

    1.00%

    2.00%

    3.00%

    4.00%

    Residential Total City Increase

    Total Residential Tax Increase

    Total City Tax Increase

    3.48%

    2.14%

  • - -

    AVERAGE PROPERTY TAX IMPACTS IF RES. BUDGET INCREASE AT INFLATION: PROVINCIAL FREEZE ON MULTI-RES; TAX BURDEN 1/2 INCREASE FOR COM.; 1/3 FOR IND., CONTINUE RATIO REDUCTION

    Tax Class Budget Impact

    Average CVA

    Impact

    Average Policy /

    Reg Impact

    City Building

    Fund

    Average Total

    Impact

    Residential 2.00% -0.67% 1.65% 0.50% 3.48%

    Multi-residential (Apartment)

    0.00% 4.77% -4.77% 0.00% 0.00%

    Commercial 1.00% 0.72% -1.22% 0.25% 0.75%

    Commercial Large 1.00% -1.13% 1.47% 0.25% 1.59%

    Industrial 0.67% -4.49% 1.39% 0.17% -2.26%

    City Average 1.39% 0.00% 0.40% 0.35% 2.14% *Commercial Large includes: office buildings >25,000 ft2; shopping centres >25,000 ft2; parking lots; professional sports facilities.

    122 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    122

  • - -

    TAX RATIO IMPLICATIONS

    2016 2017

    Multi-Res 2.9 2.66

    Commercial band 1 ($1m)

    2.5 2.9

    2.42 2.87

    Commercial – Large 2.9 2.87

    Industrial 2.9 2.85

    123 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • - -

    124 Toronto 2017 BUDGET

    2017 TAX IMPACT ON AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD (MUNICIPAL TAXES)

    • 2016 Average CVA $548,943

    • 2017 Average CVA $587,471

    $ %

    2016 Tax 2,745

    CVA Impact (18) -0.67%

    Policy / Regulation Impact

    45 1.65%

    2,772 0.98%

    Budget Increase 55 2.0%

    City Building Fund 14 0.5%

    69 2.50%

    Total Impact 96 3.48%

    2017 Tax 2,841

  • Thank You / End

    Toronto 2017 BUDGET

  • Appendix 4.1

    CITY OF TORONTO

    2017 PRELIMINARY OPERATING BUDGET SUMMARY GROSS EXPENDITURES

    (In $000's)

    2016

    Budget

    2017

    Base

    Budget

    Change from 2016

    Approved Budget 2017

    New / Enh.

    Budget

    2017 Prelim

    Operating

    Budget

    Change from 2016

    Approved Budget

    $ Incr /

    (Dcr) %

    $ Incr /

    (Dcr) %

    Citizen Centred Services "A"

    Affordable Housing Office

    Children's Services

    Court Services

    Economic Development & Culture

    Toronto Paramedic Services

    Long-Term Care Homes & Services

    Parks, Forestry & Recreation

    Shelter, Support & Housing Administration

    Social Development, Finance & Administration

    Toronto Employment & Social Services

    2,978

    473,539

    50,002

    78,163

    204,913

    254,570

    451,957

    687,288

    54,159

    1,100,880

    2,974

    479,083

    51,104

    79,305

    210,484

    255,639

    451,054

    755,961

    48,830

    1,083,234

    (4)

    5,544

    1,103

    1,143

    5,571

    1,069

    (904)

    68,673

    (5,329)

    (17,646)

    (0.1%)

    1.2%

    2.2%

    1.5%

    2.7%

    0.4%

    (0.2%)

    10.0%

    (9.8%)

    (1.6%)

    455

    855

    55

    1,342

    2,482

    100

    259

    2,974

    479,538

    51,959

    79,360

    210,484

    256,981

    453,536

    756,060

    49,089

    1,083,234

    (4)

    5,999

    1,958

    1,198

    5,571

    2,411

    1,578

    68,773

    (5,070)

    (17,646)

    (0.1%)

    1.3%

    3.9%

    1.5%

    2.7%

    0.9%

    0.3%

    10.0%

    (9.4%)

    (1.6%)

    Sub-Total Citizen Centred Services "A" 3,358,448 3,417,668 59,220 1.8% 5,547 3,423,215 64,767 1.9%

    Citizen Centred Services "B"

    City Planning

    Fire Services

    Municipal Licensing & Standards

    Policy, Planning, Finance & Administration

    Engineering & Construction Services

    Toronto Building

    Transportation Services

    45,752

    433,981

    50,735

    22,208

    71,416

    53,825

    388,902

    46,808

    439,160

    51,865

    21,141

    72,279

    54,852

    395,410

    1,055

    5,179

    1,130

    (1,066)

    864

    1,027

    6,508

    2.3%

    1.2%

    2.2%

    (4.8%)

    1.2%

    1.9%

    1.7%

    377

    469

    183

    494

    1,185

    1,315

    47,185

    439,629

    52,048

    21,141

    72,774

    56,037

    396,725

    1,433

    5,648

    1,313

    (1,066)

    1,358

    2,211

    7,823

    3.1%

    1.3%

    2.6%

    (4.8%)

    1.9%

    4.1%

    2.0%

    Sub-Total Citizen Centred Services "B" 1,066,819 1,081,516 14,696 1.4% 4,023 1,085,539 18,720 1.8%

    Internal Services

    Office of the Chief Financial Officer

    Office of the Treasurer

    Facilities, Real Estate, Environment & Energy

    Fleet Services

    311 Toronto

    Information & Technology

    16,731

    76,796

    194,264

    52,088

    18,975

    125,833

    16,673

    70,853

    194,646

    53,907

    17,624

    127,737

    (58)

    (5,944)

    382

    1,819

    (1,351)

    1,904

    (0.3%)

    (7.7%)

    0.2%

    3.5%

    (7.1%)

    1.5%

    178

    1,931

    16,852

    72,784

    194,646

    53,907

    17,624

    127,737

    120

    (4,012)

    382

    1,819

    (1,351)

    1,904

    0.7%

    (5.2%)

    0.2%

    3.5%

    (7.1%)

    1.5%

    Sub-Total Internal Services 484,689 481,440 (3,249) (0.7%) 2,110 483,550 (1,139) (0.2%)

    City Manager

    City Manager's Office 55,309 54,014 (1,295) (2.3%) 399 54,413 (896) (1.6%)

    Sub-Total City Manager 55,309 54,014 (1,295) (2.3%) 399 54,413 (896) (1.6%)

    Other City Programs

    City Clerk's Office

    Legal Services

    Mayor's Office

    City Council

    50,279

    50,921

    2,311

    20,938

    49,622

    52,847

    2,251

    20,435

    (658)

    1,926

    (60)

    (503)

    (1.3%)

    3.8%

    (2.6%)

    (2.4%)

    4,083

    49,622

    56,930

    2,251

    20,435

    (658)

    6,009

    (60)

    (503)

    (1.3%)

    11.8%

    (2.6%)

    (2.4%)

    Sub-Total Other City Programs 124,449 125,154 705 0.6% 4,083 129,238 4,788 3.8%

    Accountability Offices

    Auditor General's Office

    Integrity Commissioner's Office

    Office of the Lobbyist Registrar

    Office of the Ombudsman

    5,033

    485

    1,156

    1,834

    4,902

    507

    1,154

    1,810

    (131)

    22

    (2)

    (24)

    (2.6%)

    4.5%

    (0.2%)

    (1.3%)

    4,902

    507

    1,154

    1,810

    (131)

    22

    (2)

    (24)

    (2.6%)

    4.5%

    (0.2%)

    (1.3%)

    Sub-Total Council Appointed Programs 8,508 8,373 (135) (1.6%) 8,373 (135) (1.6%)

    TOTAL - CITY OPERATIONS 5,098,222 5,168,164 69,942 1.4% 16,163 5,184,327 86,105 1.7%

    Agencies

    Toronto Public Health

    Toronto Public Library

    Association of Community Centres

    Exhibition Place

    Heritage Toronto

    Theatres

    Toronto Zoo

    Arena Boards of Management

    Yonge-Dundas Square

    Toronto & Region Conservation Authority

    Toronto Transit Commission - Conventional

    Toronto Transit Commission - Wheel Trans

    Toronto Police Service

    Toronto Police Services Board

    244,079

    194,767

    7,970

    36,575

    766

    23,123

    51,065

    8,642

    2,332

    43,044

    1,736,756

    123,666

    1,132,208

    3,052

    242,518

    198,371

    8,105

    37,282

    795

    28,425

    52,086

    9,013

    2,352

    43,532

    1,802,885

    151,169

    1,127,817

    2,809

    (1,561)

    3,603

    135

    707

    29

    5,302

    1,021

    371

    20

    488

    66,128

    27,503

    (4,391)

    (243)

    (0.6%)

    1.9%

    1.7%

    1.9%

    3.8%

    22.9%

    2.0%

    4.3%

    0.9%

    1.1%

    3.8%

    22.2%

    (0.4%)

    (8.0%)

    242,518

    198,371

    8,105

    37,282

    795

    28,425

    52,086

    9,013

    2,352

    43,532

    1,802,885

    151,169

    1,127,817

    2,809

    (1,561)

    3,603

    135

    707

    29

    5,302

    1,021

    371

    20

    488

    66,128

    27,503

    (4,391)

    (243)

    (0.6%)

    1.9%

    1.7%

    1.9%

    3.8%

    22.9%

    2.0%

    4.3%

    0.9%

    1.1%

    3.8%

    22.2%

    (0.4%)

    (8.0%)

    TOTAL - AGENCIES 3,608,046 3,707,159 99,113 2.7% 3,707,159 99,113 2.7%

    Pg 126

  • Appendix 4.1

    CITY OF TORONTO

    2017 PRELIMINARY OPERATING BUDGET SUMMARY GROSS EXPENDITURES

    (In $000's)

    2016

    Budget

    2017

    Base

    Budget

    Change from 2016

    Approved Budget 2017

    New / Enh.

    Budget

    2017 Prelim

    Operating

    Budget

    Change from 2016

    Approved Budget

    $ Incr /

    (Dcr) %

    $ Incr /

    (Dcr) %

    Corporate Accounts

    Capital & Corporate Financing

    Capital from Current 212,607 293,902 81,295 38.2% 293,902 81,295 38.2%

    Technology Sustainment 17,912 17,912 17,912

    Debt Charges 486,679 529,529 42,850 8.8% 529,529 42,850 8.8%

    Capital & Corporate Financing 717,198 841,343 124,145 17.3% 841,343 124,145 17.3%

    Non Program Expenditures

    Tax Deficiencies/Write offs 61,420 108,591 47,172 76.8% 108,591 47,172 76.8%

    Assessment Function (MPAC)

    Temporary Borrowing

    40,670 42,270 1,600 3.9%

    n/a

    42,270 1,600 3.9%

    n/a

    Funding of Employee Related Liabilities 65,875 70,829 4,953 7.5% 70,829 4,953 7.5%

    Tax Rebates for Registered Charities 7,157 7,157 7,157

    Programs Funded from Reserve Funds 130,435 140,881 10,447 8.0% 140,881 10,447 8.0%

    Other Corporate Expenditures 51,531 50,763 (769) (1.5%) 50,763 (769) (1.5%)

    Insurance Premiums & Claims 300 4,300 4,000 1333.3% 4,300 4,000 1333.3%

    Parking Tag Enforcement & Operations Exp 65,580 65,701 121 0.2% 440 66,141 561 0.9%

    Vacancy Rebate Program 23,000 23,000 23,000

    Heritage Property Taxes Rebate

    Street & Expressway Lighting Services

    2,000 1,750 (250) (12.5%)

    n/a

    1,750 (250) (12.5%)

    n/a

    Pandemic Influenza Stockpiling 500 500 n/a 500 500 n/a

    Solid Waste Management Services Rebate 153,802 151,602 (2,200) (1.4%) 151,602 (2,200) (1.4%)

    Non-Program Expenditures 601,770 667,344 65,


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