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Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online,...

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Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters for E-Commerce David R Bell (www.davidrbell.com) YALE Customer Insights Conference New Haven May 9 th 2015
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Page 1: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters for E-Commerce

David R Bell (www.davidrbell.com)

YALE Customer Insights Conference

New Haven May 9th 2015

Page 2: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic
Page 3: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic
Page 4: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic
Page 5: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

18,000 orders per day

1.2m sq ft

$545m Amazon acquisition

Page 6: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

ROPO

Page 7: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Warby Parker

Page 8: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

1,000,000 No. 1 $100m+

http://www.cbsnews.com/videos/warby-parker-tops-fast-company-

magazines-annual-list-of-most-innovative-companies-in-the-world/

Page 9: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Metaphor and Framework

M AB =DAB

1+PBPA

Page 10: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

https://www.jet.com/#/

Page 11: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Aggregate Space-Time Sales Pattern

(Shaded areas: Zip codes and at least

1 customer within the cumulative time

period)

Page 12: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

6 months

Page 13: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

18 months

Page 14: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

30 months

Page 15: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

42 months

Page 16: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Disaggregate Space-Time Sales Pattern

(Shaded areas: Zip codes and at least 1

customer within the cumulative time

period)

Page 17: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 1

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 18: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 2

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 19: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 3

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 20: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 4

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 21: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 5

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 22: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 6

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 23: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 6

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 24: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Philadelphia

New York

Month 45

San Francisco

Los Angeles

Las Vegas

Phoenix

SaltLakeCity

Page 25: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Adjacency

Page 26: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic
Page 27: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Crate & Barrel Experiment

Treatment Group Crate & Barrel store

within 50 miles

Control Group No store within 50 miles

Page 28: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store

7% online sales

1% cart

abandonment store sales

6% store traffic

13%

Page 29: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Resistance

Page 30: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Warby Parker

Page 31: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Channel 1: Online

Page 32: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Channel 1: Online

Page 33: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Channel 2: Sampling SHOWROOMS

Page 34: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Channel 2: Sampling

Page 35: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Channel 3: Showroom

Page 36: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic
Page 37: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Home Try-On

Traditional Online Showroom

Page 38: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Impact of Showrooms on Sales

Home Try-On Sales

5% Web Sales

3.5% Total Sales

8.8%

Page 39: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Impact of Showrooms on Operational Efficiency

Web Returns

1.2% Home

Try-On Repeat

1.5% Home Try-On Orders

7.8%

Page 40: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Topography

Page 41: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Source: Euromonitor, Morgan Stanley Research; excludes travel

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

10%

8%

6%

1%

US UK China India

The Importance of Offline

Page 42: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Implications for Offline-Online

Information

Drives Choice

Online needs

Offline

Some products now

best fulfilled online

Mobile changes

the game

Page 43: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

Five “Game-Changers’ of Mobile

Page 44: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

THANK YOU

Page 45: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic
Page 46: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

SIX PRINCIPLES OF GRAVITY

G EOGRAPHY— Real world options shape

virtual world behavior.

R ESISTANCE— Frictions frustrate — identify

and eliminate.

Page 47: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

A DJACENCY—Seed local demand and let

proximity power it.

V ICINITY—Form communities around preferences.

SIX PRINCIPLES OF GRAVITY

Page 48: Location Is (Still) Everything: Why The Real World Matters ... Bell.pdf · Impact of Buy Online, Pick-Up In-Store 7% online sales 1% cart abandonment store sales 6% store traffic

I SOLATION— Identify and invest in the isolated.

Y OU

T OPOGRAPHY— Use each world— real and

virtual—to enhance what you do in the other.

SIX PRINCIPLES OF GRAVITY


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