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Loudoun County Energy PlanLoudoun County Energy PlanPreliminary FindingsPreliminary Findings
Competitive Community of the FutureCompetitive Community of the Future
Supervisor Andrea McGimseyVirginia Tech
September 24, 2009
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The Energy DebateThe Energy Debate
• Energy Independence• Climate Protection• Economic Prosperity
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Case of Northern VirginiaCase of Northern Virginia
Greenhouse gas emissions are at approximately 20 metric tons/person of Greenhouse gases (2005)
500,000 new residents moving to Northern Virginia by 2020
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The Causes/Sources of GHG EmissionsThe Causes/Sources of GHG Emissions
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A Dilemma for Northern Virginia - High Voltage A Dilemma for Northern Virginia - High Voltage Transmission LinesTransmission Lines
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Loudoun County Energy PlanLoudoun County Energy PlanFocus on Overall CompetitivenessFocus on Overall Competitiveness
County Wide Energy Strategy Competitiveness and sustainability Attracting high quality employment Develop new investments in “Green Jobs” 20 Year Roadmap with 30 year horizon
Local/ Global CEP Team to develop CEP Federal Funding Background
Department of Energy Block Grant Award County Energy Plan by Fall 2009
Baseline energy and emissionsSpecific short term “next steps” projectsBroader policy recommendations
Some immediate funds for initial projects
Strive for Global Energy ExcellenceStrive for Global Energy Excellence
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Core Team StructureCore Team StructureCreating Competitiveness for the FutureCreating Competitiveness for the Future
Global Perspective – Local ExpertiseGlobal Perspective – Local Expertise
Active support from Dominion Power, Washington Gas and NOVEC
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CEP Evolution of BenefitsCEP Evolution of BenefitsFinal Plan Encompasses Multiple DimensionsFinal Plan Encompasses Multiple Dimensions
2000 2010 2020 2030 20402000 2010 2020 2030 2040•Community Engagement•Multiple effective initiatives•No changes in policy needed
•Community Engagement•Multiple effective initiatives•No changes in policy needed
•Stand alone projects•Fewer but larger initiatives•Minor changes in policy
•Stand alone projects•Fewer but larger initiatives•Minor changes in policy
•Integrated solutions•Neighbourhood sized projects•Significant changes in policy
•Integrated solutions•Neighbourhood sized projects•Significant changes in policy
•Integrated policy and planning•County wide norms•New “business-as-usual”
•Integrated policy and planning•County wide norms•New “business-as-usual”
Success Depends on AllSuccess Depends on All
Base Case
Future Case
CE
P B
en
efi
ts
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Insatiable Appetite for EnergyInsatiable Appetite for Energy
Forecast to double by 2030Forecast to double by 2030Source: IIASA / BP / EIA / Eurostat
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Energy Productivity Differences Energy Productivity Differences How well does USA spend $1.3 Trillion?How well does USA spend $1.3 Trillion?
*Various US/EU Sources – 2007 sources
Key to CompetitivenessKey to Competitiveness
Region Population GDP EnergyEnergy/Capita
Energy/GDP
USA 4.6% 25.9% 20.5% 100 100
EU 7.5% 31.1% 15.9% 47 60
Japan 1.9% 8.1% 4.6% 54 67
China 20.0% 6.1% 15.0% 17 312
India 17.1% 2.0% 4.7% 6 291
World 100% 100% 100% 22 81
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Perfect Energy Storm Perfect Energy Storm Economic-Security-EnvironmentEconomic-Security-Environment
Growing awareness – Growing OpportunityGrowing awareness – Growing Opportunity
Volatile PricesVolatile Prices AvailAvailability
Climate ChangeClimate Change
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Loudoun County Energy Vision Loudoun County Energy Vision (For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Simple - Measurable - Eternal Simple - Measurable - Eternal
“Loudoun County will always have reliable and affordable energy, be energy efficient and reduce
greenhouse gases”
“Loudoun County will always have reliable and affordable energy, be energy efficient and reduce
greenhouse gases”
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CEP Supports Economic DevelopmentCEP Supports Economic Development(For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Energy Excellence Embedded in County PlansEnergy Excellence Embedded in County Plans
Loudoun County will always have reliable and affordable energy, be energy efficient and reduce greenhouse gases
Loudoun County will always have reliable and affordable energy, be energy efficient and reduce greenhouse gases
“Our Vision is to be an innovative, globally competitive economy known for its favorable business environment,
exceptional quality of place and strong sense of community”
“Our Vision is to be an innovative, globally competitive economy known for its favorable business environment,
exceptional quality of place and strong sense of community”
Recognized Center for InnovationProsperous Business EnvironmentHigh Quality of PlaceSound Fiscal HealthFavored Visitor DestinationWorld-class Energy Performance
Recognized Center for InnovationProsperous Business EnvironmentHigh Quality of PlaceSound Fiscal HealthFavored Visitor DestinationWorld-class Energy Performance
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CEP ObjectivesCEP Objectives (For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Loudoun County will have consistently lower energy costs relative to surrounding areas and inbound investors needs
Loudoun County will be recognized as a location of choice for investment in part because of its innovative energy strategy
Loudoun County will be recognized as a Regional-State-National model of competitive energy and climate management
Loudoun County’s greenhouse gas emissions will be among the lowest in the world
All major investments will visibly contribute to meeting the CEP goals
Simple – Measurable - EternalSimple – Measurable - Eternal
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CEP Objectives – 2030 TargetsCEP Objectives – 2030 Targets(For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Loudoun County will have consistently lower energy costs relative to surrounding areas and inbound investors needs Energy cost for homes and businesses will be at least 20% less than norms
Loudoun County will be recognized as a location of choice for investment in part because of its innovative energy strategy At least 30% of all inbound investment will cite energy and climate
advantages as a critical deciding factor
Loudoun County will be recognized as a Regional-State-National role model of effective energy and climate management Loudoun will be regularly and positively cited for excellence in implementing
sustained energy productivity gains
Loudoun County’s greenhouse gas emissions will be among the lowest in the world Greenhouse gas per capita will be at least 50% less than the current level
All major investments will visibly contribute to meeting the CEP goals Energy performance design targets will become a normal part of
development planning and approval accompanied by transparency of performance in subsequent operation
Simple – Measurable - EternalSimple – Measurable - Eternal
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Loudoun Growth ChallengeLoudoun Growth Challenge6969% Population & 116% Job Growth% Population & 116% Job Growth
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Population
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Population
Energy for Building 75,000 new homes added to current 100,000 73 million square feet non-residential to current 69 million Renovation of existing homes and buildings
Fuel for Transportation Mobility of 187,000 more people on already congested roads Commercial transport to support increased population
Sources: (a) U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census 2000 ; (b) Loudoun County Government, Department of Management and Financial Services, October 2008
Reliable – Clean - Affordable Energy ServicesReliable – Clean - Affordable Energy Services
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Employment
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Employment
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2007 Baseline – Total County and Per Capita 2007 Baseline – Total County and Per Capita Local Energy UseLocal Energy Use
319 Million Btu or 93.5 MWh for each resident319 Million Btu or 93.5 MWh for each resident
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2007 Baseline – Total County and Per Capita 2007 Baseline – Total County and Per Capita Local Energy Related Carbon FootprintLocal Energy Related Carbon Footprint
14.9 metric tons for each Resident14.9 metric tons for each Resident
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Framework for County Energy PlanFramework for County Energy PlanPrioritized “Loading Order”Prioritized “Loading Order”
Energy efficiency – If you don’t need it don’t use it Efficient existing and new homes and buildings Urban design for transport efficiency Local employment for commuting efficiency
Heat Recovery – It it’s already there – use it Distributed combined heat and power Use existing “waste” heat Structure commercial sites to maximize “waste” heat use
Renewable options – If it makes sense, go carbon free Renewable electricity – Photovoltaic, Wind, Run-of-river Hydro Renewable heat - Solar thermal, biomass, biogas Renewable heat and power – biomass, biogas, waste-to-energy
Energy distribution – Invest where it makes sense Flexible distribution – electricity, gas, heating, cooling, …. Accepts multiple fuels and energy conversion technologies Optimize local / regional investment choices
Integral to all County PlansIntegral to all County Plans
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Efficiency of Homes and BuildingsEfficiency of Homes and Buildings(For discussion)(For discussion)
Sector Base Case CEP Case?
New Homes and Buildings
State Codes 30% Above Code Efficiency by 2011Plus 1% per year from 2011
Home and Building Renovation and Retrofits
Some consumer actions2.5% renovation rate15% Efficiency Improvement estimated
Engaged community wide consumer actions2.5% renovation rate25% Efficiency improvement expected by 2011Plus 1% per year from 2011
Opportunities for Individual Actions Opportunities for Individual Actions
Efficiency has the potential to meet all of the energy needs of the planned residential and non-residential growth from 2010 to 2040
Efficiency has the potential to meet all of the energy needs of the planned residential and non-residential growth from 2010 to 2040
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Efficiency of TransportationEfficiency of Transportation(For discussion)(For discussion)
Sector Base Case CEP Case?
Transportation Limited market for efficient vehiclesDominance individual vehicle
Local employment reduces outbound commutingTransit hubs encourage ridershipDenser Mixed-use walkable neighborhoods Market shift to efficient vehiclesEncourage smaller vehicles
More choices – Lower Costs More choices – Lower Costs
County has the potential to meet all of the community’s transportation energy needs and to halve the per capita fuel consumption and greenhouse gas
emissions from 2010 to 2040
County has the potential to meet all of the community’s transportation energy needs and to halve the per capita fuel consumption and greenhouse gas
emissions from 2010 to 2040
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Increase Efficiency of Electricity GenerationIncrease Efficiency of Electricity Generation(For Discussion)(For Discussion)
CHP doubles fuel efficiency Possible implementation approaches
District energy for heating, hot water and cooling to higher density new developments
Make district energy available to existing neighborhoods targeted for revitalization
Evaluate benefits of distributed CHP on single developments larger than 100,000 square feet
Cost and emission reductionsCost and emission reductions
The County has the potential to obtain a high percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as well as reduce peak electricity demand on the grid, through the implementation of clean distributed combined heat and power generation
The County has the potential to obtain a high percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as well as reduce peak electricity demand on the grid, through the implementation of clean distributed combined heat and power generation
The County has the potential to obtain a high percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as well as reduce peak electricity demand on the grid, through the implementation of clean distributed combined heat and power generation
The County has the potential to obtain a high percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as well as reduce peak electricity demand on the grid, through the implementation of clean distributed combined heat and power generation
The County has the potential to obtain a high percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as well as reduce peak electricity demand on the grid, through the implementation of clean distributed Combined Heat and Power generation
The County has the potential to obtain a high percentage of its heat and electricity needs, as well as reduce peak electricity demand on the grid, through the implementation of clean distributed Combined Heat and Power generation
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Use of Economically Viable Renewable EnergyUse of Economically Viable Renewable Energy(For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Technology costs dropping Possible implementation approaches:
Deploy about 25 million square feet of Solar PV across the County by 2040.
Add heat and power sources using various bio-fuels developed within the region
Recover available landfill and sewage gas
Flexible fuel options and emission reductionFlexible fuel options and emission reduction
The County has the potential to supply at least 25% of it summer peak cooling demand and a significant portion of its winter heat base load from economically viable renewable sources
The County has the potential to supply at least 25% of it summer peak cooling demand and a significant portion of its winter heat base load from economically viable renewable sources
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Monetizing Monetizing Carbon Emissions ReductionsCarbon Emissions Reductions(For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Possible price range: $10 to $150 / metric ton in next 30 years
County could create 1M to 2M Credits in future years Possible implementation approaches
Identify and track suitable projects at early stage Form an Energy and Environmental Trading Team Define value from environmental and energy assets Develop a priority list of tradable GHG emission reductions
and other tradable environmental assets
Sensible preparation to capture potential value Sensible preparation to capture potential value
The combination of efficiency, district energy, CHP, and renewable energy outlined in the CEP will create significant emissions reductions that have potential trading value
The combination of efficiency, district energy, CHP, and renewable energy outlined in the CEP will create significant emissions reductions that have potential trading value
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Role of Initial Scale Neighbourhood ProjectsRole of Initial Scale Neighbourhood Projects
CEP Goals Affordable energy Attract investments Improved reliability Reduce city costs
Community outreach and education
Institutional and governance changes
Breakthrough efficiency 30 to 60% less
energy 40 to 80% less GHG
Will they be implemented?
CEP Goals Affordable energy Attract investments Improved reliability Reduce city costs
Community outreach and education
Institutional and governance changes
Breakthrough efficiency 30 to 60% less
energy 40 to 80% less GHG
Will they be implemented?
County Energy PlanCounty Energy PlanCounty Energy PlanCounty Energy Plan Efficient BuildingEfficient BuildingEfficient BuildingEfficient BuildingScale ImplementationScale ImplementationScale ImplementationScale Implementation
Effective programmes Energy Star… LEED…
Substantial resources Construction guides Efficient equipment Rebate & incentives Education
Limited penetration < 5% of total new
construction exceeds code
Effective programmes Energy Star… LEED…
Substantial resources Construction guides Efficient equipment Rebate & incentives Education
Limited penetration < 5% of total new
construction exceeds code
CEP success needs scale Multiple benefits
City, developer, utility… Potential game-changers
High density urban villages Industrial estates Greenfield Smart Growth Sports & Rec Centres Transportation facilities
Multiple in county “Connect the Dots”
CEP success needs scale Multiple benefits
City, developer, utility… Potential game-changers
High density urban villages Industrial estates Greenfield Smart Growth Sports & Rec Centres Transportation facilities
Multiple in county “Connect the Dots”
Scale A
Scale B
Scale C
Scale D
Scale E
Projects Closes the Gap
CountyCounty
Accelerates ImplementationAccelerates Implementation
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Mulitple Benefits of IntegrationMulitple Benefits of Integration(For Discussion using Local Examples)(For Discussion using Local Examples)
Integrated Energy Solution Increased Core densities Efficient construction District heat and cooling CHP and renewable sources Energy efficiency friendly parking
Residents and Businesses Lifestyle of walkable, mixed-use neighborhood ~ 20% cheaper energy in buildings Reduced transportation costs
Developer Competitive differentiation Construction costs less than 5% above Base Share of GHG credit value
District Energy Service Provider 10 to 13% low risk return on investment Highly positive Net Present Value
Regional Electric Utility 20% grid peak reduction Avoids future distribution investments
Regional Gas Utility Consolidated wholesale customer Avoided costs of retail gas network
Greenhouse gas reductions Homes and – 40% to 58% Buildings – 35% to 44% Transportation – 50% to 70%
Commercially Focused Urban Village Commercially Focused Urban Village
Transit Oriented Urban Village Transit Oriented Urban Village
Example Only
Example Only
Example Only
Example Only
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Other Candidate Scale Projects Other Candidate Scale Projects (For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Retail Focused Urban Village Town homes and condos in Smart Growth concept
Continuing Care Community Mixed use residential, social, commercial community Wide-range of services for later life
Transit Commercial and Retail Neighborhood Higher density, close to airport Potential to link energy systems with IAD
University and Community College Campuses Existing and potential new campuses Living example of next generation energy concepts
Data Centers – New and Expansions Two major projects
Sports, Retail and Commercial Mixed Use Neighborhood Business Park and Clean Power Plant
Fully integrated commercial and data centers park Downtown Expansion District
Stepwise extension of walkable downtown neighborhoods Conversion of Commercial Neighborhood to Mixed Use Revitalization of Existing Neighborhood Resort Complex Mixed Employment Park
Assess each for integrated energy benefitsAssess each for integrated energy benefits
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Benefits of Winning!Benefits of Winning!Competitiveness - Sustainability - FlexibleCompetitiveness - Sustainability - Flexible
New Relationships – New RulesNew Relationships – New Rules
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Suggested DOE EECBG ProjectsSuggested DOE EECBG Projects(For Discussion)(For Discussion)
Project Task Est. $ Benefit
Education & Outreach – Residential (Home Perf. Energy Star)
Owner orientation on energy potential
Up to $250KMatches
Accelerated retrofitsEnhanced contractor skillsEfficiency gains
Education and Outreach – Business (Green Business Challenge)
Management orientation on energy potential
Up to $250KMatches
Peer proliferation of best practicesEnhanced team skillsEfficiency gains
Education and Outreach – Transportation
Fleet Management orientation on energy potential
Up to $250KMatches
Peer proliferation of best practicesEnhanced fleet manager skills
Loudoun Public Schools or County Property
Retrofit integrated energy solution
Up to $1M GrantMatches
Lower costsTeaching platformCommunity example of solution
Selected Scale Project(s)Detailed Integrated Energy Master Plans
Up to $250KMatches
Community example of integrated planning and benefits for mixed-use Scale ProjectsLeverage private funds
Data CenterDetailed Integrated Energy Master Plan
Up to $250KMatches
Business example of IEMP for Green Data Center for new investorsLeverage private funds in implementation
Thank you!Thank you!
Supervisor Andrea McGimseySupervisor Andrea McGimseyLoudoun County, VALoudoun County, VA
703-777-0105703-777-0105Andrea.McGimsey@[email protected]
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Copenhagen, DenmarkCopenhagen, DenmarkLong-Term Community Energy PlanLong-Term Community Energy Plan
1973 highlights energy vulnerability Efficiency
Global best practice Pioneered EP labelling Innovation to raise bar
District heating / cooling Systematic expansion Energy zoning River/ocean cooling
Fuel flexibility Multi-fuel cogeneration Coal, oil, gas, biomass Waste-to-Energy Wind generation Solar
Transport Urban design for bike/walking Efficient trams/trains
World class “Green” businesses Energy engineering and services Wind energy District energy Sustainable architecture and construction
Voted 2Voted 2ndnd Most Livable City in the World Most Livable City in the World
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MannheimMannheimCommunity and Regional Energy BenchmarkCommunity and Regional Energy Benchmark
Population 350 thousand Home to major industries Energy Efficiency
Building efficiency Industrial efficiency Higher living density Mixed use – Live / Work /Play Multi-modal Transport
Multi-Utility Energy Distribution Electricity District heating and cooling Industrial Steam Natural gas
Multiple energy sources Regional Gas/Electric Grids Power generation heat recovery Bio-mass Waste-to-Energy Wind/solar/geothermal
Public-Private Energy Services
Low cost, clean, technically flexibleLow cost, clean, technically flexible