Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Simulations of Future Drought Conditions in Central
Asia CORDEX Region 8 by Using RegCM 4.3.5
Levent Kurnaz
Bogazici University
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Statistical Downscaling
Dynamical Downscaling
Regional Downscaling
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies The Issue
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Konya Basin (Turkey) 10 km Resolution Evaporation
The Problem
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CORDEX and Large Scale Regional
Climate Modelling
Bogazici University
Climate Science Group CORDEX domains
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Our CORDEX Regions
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies
Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Temperature
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Resolution Precipitation
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Region 8 (Central Asia) 50 km Res. Prec. Variability
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies The Domain
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 3 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 3 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 3 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index Summary
HADGEMRF HADGEM45 HADGEM85 MPIRF MPI45 MPI85
extremely wet 0.81% 0.56% 1.40% 1.08% 0.84% 0.56%
very wet 4.05% 4.47% 3.35% 4.86% 5.31% 6.70%
moderately wet
14.05% 13.97% 15.64% 11.62% 13.69% 10.06%
near normal 61.08% 60.61% 60.61% 65.14% 62.01% 62.57%
moderately dry
14.32% 13.97% 12.01% 10.00% 10.89% 14.25%
severely dry 3.78% 5.59% 5.31% 5.14% 6.42% 4.75%
extremely dry 1.89% 0.84% 1.68% 2.16% 0.84% 1.12%
Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies 12 Month Standardized Precipitation
Index Summary
HADGEMRF HADGEM4
5 HADGEM8
5 MPIRF MPI45 MPI85
extremely wet 2.22% 0.86% 2.01% 2.49% 4.58% 1.72%
very wet 3.88% 3.44% 2.29% 4.16% 5.16% 3.72%
moderately wet 11.91% 9.74% 15.19% 8.31% 7.16% 11.75%
near normal 67.59% 69.05% 64.76% 70.36% 68.48% 65.04%
moderately dry 6.65% 8.88% 10.03% 8.59% 9.17% 10.03%
severely dry 4.99% 3.72% 3.44% 2.22% 4.87% 4.58%
extremely dry 2.77% 4.30% 2.29% 3.88% 0.57% 3.15%
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Thank you for your attention
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