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Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

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Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials Prof. Randy Paffenroth Associate Professor of Mathematical Sciences, Computer Science and Data Science, Worcester Polytechnic Institute Predictive Maintenance November 23, 2020
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Page 1: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Prof . Randy Paf fenro thA s s o c i a t e P r o f e s s o r o f

M a t h e m a t i c a l S c i e n c e s , C o m p u t e r S c i e n c e a n d D a t a S c i e n c e ,

W o r c e s t e r P o l y t e c h n i c I n s t i t u t e

Predictive Maintenance November 23, 2020

Page 2: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Students and collaborators!

Chong ZhouWenjing LiNitish Bahadur Kelum Gajamannage Rasika Karkare Matt Weiss

Louis Scharf

Anura Jayasumana

Les ServiPartha Pal

BBN/Raytheon

Josh UzarskiYingnan Liu

Patricia Medina

Robert Casoni

Lane Harrison Alex Wyglinski

Page 3: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

http://www.azquotes.com/quote/850928

We are a machine learning research

group that focuses on problems in the

physical sciences

Page 4: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

A selection of current applications

Chemical Sensors

Supported by The U.S. Army CCDC-SC

Supported by Nanocomp

Technologies

Nano-materialsCyber Warfare

Supported by BBN/Raytheon

and MITRE Corp

Manufacturing

Supported by The Advanced Casting

Research Center

Page 5: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

A selection of current applications

Chemical Sensors

Supported by The U.S. Army CCDC-SC

Supported by Nanocomp

Technologies

Nano-materialsCyber Warfare

Supported by BBN/Raytheon

and MITRE Corp

Manufacturing

Supported by The Advanced Casting

Research Center

Page 6: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Students and collaborators!

Chong ZhouWenjing LiNitish Bahadur Kelum Gajamannage Matt Weiss

Louis Scharf

Anura Jayasumana

Les ServiPartha Pal

BBN/Raytheon

Josh UzarskiYingnan Liu

Patricia Medina

Robert Casoni

Lane Harrison Alex Wyglinski

Rasika Karkare

Page 7: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Root cause analysis of foundry defect formations drives appropriate corrective action for overall product quality enhancement

Porosity35 %

Other defects32 %

Supplier quality22 %

Tool costs/life11 %

Types of DefectsDepiction of Severe Internal Porosity

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Source: NADCA & Ultraseal International.

Page 8: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

There are many terms flying around these days.

https://sastat.org.za/sasa2017/big-data-dictionary

Page 9: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Data vs. ML approaches quadrant

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Good Physical Model

Good Data

Bad Data

• Small size

• Unbalanced

• Biased

• Missing

• Irrelevant

Features

• Anomalous

Bad Physical Model

Source: Aref et.al., Clinical applications of machine learning in cardiovascular disease and its relevance to cardiac imaging

Source: Barata, Using 3D visualizations to tune hyperparameters in ML models

• Balanced data

• Large size

• Unbiased

• Complete

• Noise-free

• Relevant Features

Full Physics PDE model

Page 10: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Data vs. ML approaches quadrant

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Good Data

Bad Data

• Small size

• Unbalanced

• Biased

• Missing

• Irrelevant

Features

• Anomalous

Bad Physical Model

Source: Aref et.al., Clinical applications of machine learning in cardiovascular disease and its relevance to cardiac imaging

Source: Barata, Using 3D visualizations to tune hyperparameters in ML models

• Balanced data

• Large size

• Unbiased

• Complete

• Noise-free

• Relevant Features

Full Physics PDE model

Good Physical Model

Page 11: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Deep learning vs Machine Learning4

Page 12: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Results – Comparison with RF and XGB12

Page 13: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Criteria for good DL approaches

Source: Jason Brownlee, How touse Learning Curves to Diagnose Machine Learning Model Performance

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Bias-Variance Tradeoff

Model choice based on the size of the dataset

Underfit Robust Overfit

Page 14: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Challenges in data collection

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Semi-Supervised Unbalanced and small-size Heterogeneous

Siloed Multi-modal data

Page 15: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Key idea: Need to work together!

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A s s o c i a t e P r o f e s s o r o f M a t h e m a t i c a l S c i e n c e s , C o m p u t e r S c i e n c e a n d D a t a S c i e n c e

Professor Diran ApelianMetal Processing InstituteDirector, Advanced Casting Research Center (ACRC)

Page 16: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Going “into the weeds”…

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Page 17: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Challenges in data collection

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Semi-Supervised Unbalanced and small-size Heterogeneous

Siloed Multi-modal data

Page 18: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Dealing with missing and noisy data in manufacturing processes

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f1 f2 f3 f4 f5 f6 f7 f8 f9 f10 f11 f12 f13

r1

r3

r3

r4

r5

r6

r7

r8

r9

Noise as an item

Noise as a feature

Noise as a record

Such algorithms exist!

Page 19: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

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Input X

N * m

Hidden

LayerN * k

Reconstruction

N * m

Cost1

Outlier Filter SN * m

Cost2

Wm * k

Wk * m

T

There is hope!Robust Hadamard Autoencoders

Karkare et.al, Blind Image Denoising and inpainting using Robust Hadamard Autoencoders, in progress

Page 20: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Standard Autoencoder(sae)-tsne – Fully Observed Data Projection

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Page 21: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Hadamard Autoencoder(ha)-tsne20% Missing Data

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Page 22: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Ha-tsne40% Missing Data

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Page 23: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Ha-tsne60% Missing Data

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Page 24: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Conclusions

• Machine learning is a powerful tool for predictive analytics• But, like any tool, it must be used properly

• Manufacturing data is different than the types of data that machine learning is used on• Semi-supervised

• Unbalanced

• Heterogenous

• However, when the correct algorithms are selected, machine learning can be used to solve difficult problems.

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Page 25: Machine Learning for Manufacturing and Materials

Acknowledgements

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