Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,218 BC residents by Smart IVR™ on September 15, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a mixture of landlines and cell phones.

Margin of error: +/- 2.08%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

CLOSE RACES ABOUND IN BRITISH COLUMBIA

September 17, 2015 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds close races in British Columbia with multiple parties leading multiple regions. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.08%, 19 times out of 20.

“British Columbia volatility continues to surprise many observers and this poll will no doubt shock many as the Conservative Party has now surged ahead, surpassing the NDP who had previously held a substantial lead,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. Liberals have maintained their share and these numbers seem to indicate very many tight races, and a large number of three way races throughout BC.”

“This poll has good news and bad news for all the parties. In the Islands, the NDP leads with 28% of all voters, followed by the Conservatives with 23% and the Liberals and Greens tied at 16% support. In Greater Vancouver, the Liberal party leads with 28% ahead of the Conservatives (27%) and the NDP (23%) with the Green Party at just 6%. The Conservatives hold a substantial lead in the rest of BC with 35% over the NDP (26%) and the Liberals (15%) with Green support at 8%.”

“53% of BC residents believe that the Kinder Morgan pipeline will be built, regardless of whether they approve or not. Approval is divided with 46% approving vs. 43% disapproving of the project, including 24% who strongly approve and 28% who strongly disapprove.”

“The Northern Gateway Pipeline project has the approval of 45% of BC resident and evenly 45% oppose the project. Included in those is a greater strong disapproval number at 32% versus just 25% strong approval. Again, a larger number of people believe the project will go forward, regardless of their personal opinion (44%) than not (28%).”

“Despite the sluggish economy, a majority of BC residents feel optimistic about the coming year when asked about their finances, 55% are optimistic and just 22% are pessimistic. If the recession and slow growth continues, these numbers may begin to change as we have seen in Alberta over the course of 2015.”

“Fewer BC residents are optimistic about the finances of the province however, at just 44% versus 30% who are pessimistic about the next 12 months. This pattern is consistent with what we have seen in other provinces, with personal optimism out pacing public optimism.”

Regional margins of error:Vancouver Island: +/- 3.54%; Greater Vancouver: +/- 3.59%; Rest of BC: +/- 3.63% (19 times out of 20)

ABOUT MAINSTREETMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.

-30-

Available for Interview From Toronto: Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.caFor more information: David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.

A2

And if the Federal Election were today, which party would you support?[LEANING & DECIDED ONLY]

A3

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREEN

18-3435%33%24%9%

35-4929%28%31%13%

50-6432%32%27%9%

65+40%31%20%9%

Female31%33%27%9%

Male36%28%25%11%

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREEN

VAN. ISLAND26%34%20%21%

GREATER VAN.32%29%32%7%

REST OF BC40%33%17%10%

33%

31%

26%

10%

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Undecided

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3427%23%19%7%

23%320

35-4925%24%26%11%13%508

50-6428%25%23%7%16%624

65+37%28%18%8%10%766

Female27%27%22%7%16%1217

Male31%22%21%9%16%1001

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENUNDECIDEDSAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND23%28%16%16%16%766

GREATER VAN.27%23%28%6%16%736

REST OF BC35%26%15%8%16%716

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Undecided

And if the Federal Election were today, which party would you support? [ALL VOTERS]

A4

29%

25%

22%

8%

16%

And if the Federal Election were today, which party would you support?

A5

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Undecided

Van.

Islan

dGr

eate

r Van

Rest

of B

C

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

And which party are you leaning towards voting for? (Undecided Only)

A6

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENDON’T KNOW

18-3421%26%10%4%

40%

35-4914%17%24%8%

38%

50-645%

22%9%8%

57%

65+10%19%14%6%51%

Female12%22%16%7%

43%

Male16%22%9%5%

49%

CONSERVATIVENDPLIBERALGREENDON’T KNOW

VAN. ISLAND5%12%11%15%57%

GREATER VAN.18%23%17%2%

40%

REST OF BC10%28%7%7%

49%

Conservative NDP Liberal Green Don’t Know

14%

22%

13%

6%

46%

Which federal leader do you trust most to manage the Canadian economy?

A7

STEPHEN HARPERTOM MULCAIRJUSTIN TRUDEAUELIZABETH MAYNOT SURESAMPLE

18-3430%30%24%8%9%320

35-4931%20%28%12%9%508

50-6432%26%25%6%11%624

65+41%26%19%5%9%766

Female30%28%24%8%10%1217

Male35%23%24%8%9%

1001

STEPHEN HARPERTOM MULCAIRJUSTIN TRUDEAUELIZABETH MAYNOT SURESAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND24%27%21%16%12%766

GREATER VAN.33%24%29%6%8%736

REST OF BC38%27%17%6%11%716

Harper Mulcair Trudeau May Not Sure

33%

25%

24%

8%

10%

And do you approve or disapprove of the proposed Kinder Morgan Pipeline?

A8

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3427%14%12%39%8%320

35-4915%29%15%26%14%508

50-6425%23%15%25%12%624

65+30%23%17%20%11%766

Female20%22%16%30%12%1217

Male28%22%13%26%11%1001

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND18%20%17%36%11%766

GREATER VAN.21%24%14%29%11%736

REST OF BC32%21%14%22%12%716

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

24%

22%

15%

28%

11%

Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Kinder Morgan Pipeline will be built?

A9

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND41%26%33%766

GREATER VAN.54%17%29%736

REST OF BC57%17%26%716

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3466%16%18%320

35-4952%18%31%508

50-6447%20%33%624

65+43%20%37%766

Female51%17%32%1217

Male55%19%26%1001

Yes No Not Sure

53%

18%

29%

And do you approve or disapprove of the Northern Gateway Pipeline?

A10

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

18-3429%16%11%39%5%320

35-4918%22%14%35%11%508

50-6426%21%14%31%9%624

65+29%22%16%22%11%766

Female20%21%13%35%11%1217

Male30%19%13%30%7%

1001

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND18%20%14%39%9%766

GREATER VAN.23%21%14%33%9%736

REST OF BC33%19%11%28%9%716

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

25%

20%

13%

32%

9%

Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Northern Gateway Pipeline will be built?

A11

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND34%37%29%766

GREATER VAN.45%25%30%736

REST OF BC48%27%25%716

YESNONOT SURESAMPLE

18-3456%29%15%320

35-4944%27%29%508

50-6438%29%33%624

65+35%24%41%766

Female41%25%34%1217

Male46%31%23%1001

Yes No Not Sure

44%

28%

29%

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about your own family’s financial situation?

A12

OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURESAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND52%26%22%766

GREATER VAN.53%23%24%736

REST OF BC58%18%24%716

OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURESAMPLE

18-3455%29%16%320

35-4957%18%25%508

50-6452%22%26%624

65+56%16%28%766

Female55%23%22%1217

Male54%21%25%1001

Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure

55%

22%

23%

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the state of the British Columbia economy?

A13

OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURESAMPLE

VAN. ISLAND38%37%25%766

GREATER VAN.46%28%27%736

REST OF BC46%30%24%716

OPTIMISTICPESSIMISTICNOT SURESAMPLE

18-3442%31%27%320

35-4948%33%19%508

50-6443%30%27%624

65+44%26%30%766

Female45%31%24%1217

Male44%29%27%1001

Optimistic Pessimistic Not Sure

44%

30%

25%

And if the Federal Election were today, which party would you support?

Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper NDP led by Thomas Mulcair Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

Green Party led by Elizabeth May Undecided

And which party are you leaning towards voting for?

Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper NDP led by Thomas Mulcair Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

Green Party led by Elizabeth May Don’t Know

Which federal leader do you trust most to manage the Canadian economy?

Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper NDP led by Thomas Mulcair Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

Green Party led by Elizabeth MayNot Sure

And do you approve or disapprove of the proposed Kinder Morgan Pipeline?

Strongly approveSomewhat approve

Somewhat disapproveStrongly disapprove

Not sure

Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Kinder Morgan Pipeline will be built?

YesNo

Not Sure

SCRIPT

A14

And do you approve or disapprove of the Northern Gateway Pipeline?

Strongly approveSomewhat approve

Somewhat disapproveStrongly disapprove

Not sure

Regardless of your approval or disapproval, do you think the Northern Gateway Pipeline will be built?

YesNo

Not Sure

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about your own family’s financial situation?

OptimisticPessimistic

Not sure

Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about the state of the British Columbia economy?

OptimisticPessimistic

Not sure

SCRIPT (CONT)

A15

© 2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public a�airs.

Di�erentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of November’s Toronto mayoral election.