Mainstreet - SK March 17

8/19/2019 Mainstreet - SK March 17

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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,577 Saskatchewan residents by Smart IVR™ on Mar15th, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.47%,times out of 20. Regional margins of error: Regina: +/-4.14%; Saskatoon: +/-4.33%; rest Saskatchewan: +/-4.35%; 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age agender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM CST, MARCH 17, 2016

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK INC.

[MARCH 17, 2016]

SASKATCHEWAN


2/13

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyrigh

The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republish

with full and proper credit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmed

70% SAY CLEAN SOCIAL MEDIA HISTORY IMPORTANT

March 17th, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll find the Saskatchewan Party leading

province - and that Saskatchewanians want candidates with good social media histories. Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.47%, 19 times out of 20.

Among all voters he Saskatchewan Party is up 49% from 47% (+2%) while the NDP is now at 31% (-2%)

We’ve seen the NDP ticking up and then ticking down,” said Quito Maggi, President of MainstResearch. “They are holding on to some of their gains but they are not yet gaining enough groundcompete with Brad Wall’s Saskatchewan Party.”

We’ve seen a lot of social media controversies not just in Saskatchewan but also in neighbouring Manito

We’re seeing very similar numbers for both provinces with voters saying they are less likely to votecandidates with offensive social media posts - and that they consider the matter either somewhat or vmportant. These negative stories for Cam Broten early in the campaign aren’t helpful. Instead of delivehis campaign message he’s had to spend valuable time apologizing and finding new candidates. Wopposition research team clearly did their work.

We tested issue questions regarding P3 partnerships for schools and the Carbon Tax. While there is strupport for P3 schools, 64% are opposed to a carbon tax for the province’s biggest emitters. With B

Wall forcefully arguing against a Carbon Tax in SK these numbers should not come as a surprise,”

finished.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levelgovernment, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of pu

opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BrColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling n several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the opolling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected] more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]


3/13

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUUNDECIDED

SAMPLE

18-3448%32%5%2%14%

249

35-4948%29%7%2%14%

321

50-6450%34%5%2%9%

407

65+50%31%5%2%12%

600

Fema48%34%4%2%12%

852

Male49%28%7%3%12%

725

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAU

UNDECIDED

SAMPLE

Regina42%35%4%6%

12%

558

Rest of 50%29%8%2%

11%

507

Saskatoon50%34%1%1%

14%

512

SK49%31%5%2%

12%

1577

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1 Mar 8 Mar 16


4/13

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support? (DECIDED OR LEANING)

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUSAMPLE

18-34

53%36%8%3%227

35-49

54%33%10%4%301

50-64

53%36%8%3%381

65+

54%35%7%4%559

Fema

53%38%6%3%810

Male

53%32%10%4%658

SASKATCHEWAN PARTY LED BY BRAD WALLNDP LED BY CAM BROTENLIBERAL PARTY LED BY DARRIN LAMOUREUXGREEN PARTY LED BY VICTOR LAUSAMPLE

Regina

48%39%6%7%516

Rest of

54%32%11%3%477

Saskatoon

55%39%3%3%475

SK

53%35%8%4%

1468

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

Oct 6 Jan 4 Feb 11 Feb 23 Mar 1 Mar 8 Mar 16


5/13

And which party are you leaning towards voting for? (Undecided Only)

9%

12%

18%

9%

51%


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The Saskatchewan Party Government is building 18 schools using a public-private partnership process aknown as P3. Do you agree or disagree with the government using public-private partnerships to build m

schools in the future?

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURE

18-34

32%37%5%8%18%

35-49

34%38%7%6%15%

50-64

34%40%6%5%15%

65+

37%36%3%5%19%

Fema

33%40%5%6%16%

Male

35%35%6%7%17%


Regina

33%38%6%4%19%

Rest of

36%36%6%6%16%

Saskatoon

30%42%5%8%16%

SK

34%38%6%6%16%

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

72%

12%

16%


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And do you approve or disapprove of a tax on carbon emissions for the province’s biggest emitters?


18-34

11%19%13%52%6%

35-49

19%15%17%45%4%

50-64

18%15%17%46%4%

65+

13%15%17%50%4%

Fema

16%17%16%46%6%

Male

15%15%15%51%4%


Regina

23%21%17%33%6%

Rest of

11%12%14%61%3%

Saskatoon

20%23%19%31%7%

SK

15%16%16%48%5%

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

31%

64%

5%


8/13

If a candidate made offensive remarks on social media, how would it affect your vote?

LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR CANDIDATEMORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR CANDIDATENO EFFECT ON MY VOTENOT SURE

18-3469%0%17%14%

35-4956%6%22%17%

50-6459%2%

30%9%

65+49%4%26%21%

Fema58%3%

26%14%

Male61%3%21%15%

LESS LIKELY TO VOTE FOR CANDIDATEMORE LIKELY TO VOTE FOR CANDIDATENO EFFECT ON MY VOTE

NOT SURE

Regina60%2%21%

16%

Rest of 59%4%25%

13%

Saskatoon60%1%

22%

16%

SK59%3%

23%

15%

59%

3%

23%

15%

More LikelyLess Likely Not SureNo Effect


9/13

And how important is it to you that a candidate not have said embarrassing or offensive remarks on somedia?

VERY IMPORTANTSOMEWHAT IMPORTANTNOT TOO IMPORTANTNOT AT ALL IMPORTANTNOT SURE

18-34

50%22%18%5%5%

35-49

44%26%13%11%6%

50-64

43%29%21%3%4%

65+

47%20%17%5%11%

Fema

44%24%18%7%6%

Male

48%25%17%5%6%

VERY IMPORTANTSOMEWHAT IMPORTANTNOT TOO IMPORTANTNOT AT ALL IMPORTANTNOT SURE

Regina

43%27%16%5%9%

Rest of

47%24%18%7%4%

Saskatoon

47%22%18%5%8%

SK

46%24%17%6%6%

46%

24%

17%

6%

6%

Very Important Somewhat Important Not Too Important

Not At All Important Not Sure


10/13

If a provincial election were held today which party would you support?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Green Party led by Victor LauLiberal Party led by Darrin Lamoureux

Undecided

And which Party are you leaning towards voting for?

Saskatchewan Party led by Brad WallNDP led by Cam Broten

Green Party led by Victor Lau

Liberal Party led by Darrin LamoureuxUndecided

The Saskatchewan Party Government is building 18 schools using a public-private partnership

process also known as P3. Do you agree or disagree with the government using public-privatepartnerships to build more schools in the future?

Strongly Approve

Somewhat ApproveSomewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

And do you approve or disapprove of a tax on carbon emissions for the province’s biggest emitter

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat Disapprove

Strongly DisapproveNot Sure


11/13

If a candidate made offensive remarks on social media, how would it affect your vote?

It would make me less likely to vote for the candidateIt would make me more likely to vote for the candidate

It would have no effect on my voteNot sure

And how important is it to you that a candidate not have said embarrassing or offensive remarks

on social media?

Very ImportantSomewhat Important

Not too important

Not at all importantNot Sure


12/13

ONLY WE

CALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East

| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 20in defiance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatiofor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


13/13

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi

public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber

government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h

been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major

government in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

TWITTER

@MainStResearch

FACEBOOK

fb.com/mainstresearch

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Mainstreet - SK March 17

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