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Making sense out of apparent chaos analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

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Making sense out of apparent chaos: analyzing data from on-bike powermeters Andrew R. Coggan, Ph.D. Cardiovascular Imaging Laboratory Washington University School of Medicine St. Louis, MO 63021
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Page 1: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Making sense out of apparent chaos:

analyzing data from on-bike

powermeters

Andrew R. Coggan, Ph.D.

Cardiovascular Imaging Laboratory

Washington University School of Medicine

St. Louis, MO 63021

Page 2: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

On-bike powermeters: both a blessing and a curse

Powermeters provide a

detailed (e.g., second-by-

second) record of a

cyclist’s power, cadence,

heart rate, etc., during

each training session or

race, but...

1. Multiple variables/seconds x 3600 seconds/hour x

several hours/day x 365 days/year = a LOT of data!!

Page 3: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

2. Data are highly variable!

Page 4: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

“Tools” for analyzing powermeter data

1) Power profiling

2) Normalized power

3) Training stress score

4) Quadrant analysis

Page 5: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

“Tools” for analyzing powermeter data

1) Power profiling

2) Normalized power

3) Training stress score

4) Quadrant analysis

Page 6: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

What is normalized power?

Normalized power is an estimate of the power

that a rider could have maintained for the same

physiological “cost” if power had been perfectly

constant (e.g., as on an ergometer) instead of

variable.

Page 7: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Average power =

273 W

Page 8: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Kinetics of PCr resynthesis

Coggan et al., J Appl Physiol 1993; 75:2125-2133

Page 9: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Half-lives of other physiological responses

Power (force and/or velocity) (0 s)

PCr kinetics ~25 s

Heart rate/cardiac output: ~25 s

Sweating: ~25 s

VO2: ~30 s

VCO2: ~45 s

Ventilation: ~50 s

Temperature (core): ~70 s

Page 10: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters
Page 11: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Data smoothed using 30 s rolling ave.

Page 12: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

VO2, heart rate, lactate, and RPE

as a function of power output

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Power (W)

VO

2 (

L/m

in),

la

cta

te (

mM

), o

r R

PE

(U)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

HR

(beats

/min

)

VO2 Blood lactate RPE Heart rate

VO2max

Lactate threshold

OBLA

Page 13: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Blood lactate-exercise intensity relationship

y = 3.94x3.91

R2 = 0.81

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6

Power/power at lactate threshold

Blo

od lacta

te (

mm

ol/L)

Coggan, unpublished observations

Page 14: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters
Page 15: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters
Page 16: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Steps to calculate normalized power

1) smooth the data using a 30 s rolling average to

take into account the time course of physiological

responses

2) Raise the data obtained in step 1 to the 4th power

take into account the non-linear nature of

physiological responses

3) take the average of the values obtained in step 2

4) reverse step 2 to obtain the normalized power

Page 17: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Normalized

power = 301 W

Page 18: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Relationship of average and normalized power to

maximal steady state power

y = 1.27x - 126

R2 = 0.73

y = 0.93x + 27

R2 = 0.93

0

100

200

300

400

500

0 100 200 300 400 500

Maximal steady state power (W)

Pow

er

during ~

1 h

race (

W)

Average power Normalized power

Coggan, unpublished observations

Page 19: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Relationship of normalized power to power at lactate

threshold (Dmax method)

y = 0.88x + 51

R2 = 0.91

0

100

200

300

400

500

0 100 200 300 400 500

Power at lactate threshold (Dmax method) (W)

Norm

aliz

ed p

ow

er

for

1 h

(W

)

Edwards et al., unpublished observations

Page 20: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Advantages of/uses for normalized power

• Allows more valid comparison of races or training

sessions with differing demands

– e.g., hilly vs. flat training rides, criteriums vs. TTs, outdoor vs.

indoor training

• Helpful in the design of novel interval workouts

– if normalized power for session (intervals plus recovery periods

combined) exceeds athlete’s power-duration curve, unlikely that

they will be able to complete workout as planned

Page 21: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Advantages of/uses for normalized power (con’t)

• Can be used to assess changes in fitness w/o need for

formal testing

– normalized power from hard ~1 h race provides estimate of

maximal steady state power

• May prove to be useful constraint when attempting to

model performance

– e.g., to determine optimal TT pacing strategy

Page 22: Making sense out of apparent chaos   analyzing data from on-bike powermeters

Limitations of normalized power

• Essentially assumes that the net contribution from

anaerobic ATP production is negligible

– therefore not valid during shorter efforts in which contribution

from anaerobic capacity is significant (e.g., individual pursuit)

• Occasionally overestimates sustainable power

– is the algorithm biased, or are such data just statistical outliers?


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