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Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Page 1: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Management ofWaiting Lines

McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Page 2: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

You should be able to:1. What imbalance does the existence of a waiting line

reveal?2. What causes waiting lines to form, and why is it

impossible to eliminate them completely?3. What metrics are used to help managers analyze

waiting lines?4. What are some psychological approaches to managing

lines, and why might a manager want to use them?5. What very important lesson does the constant service

time model provide for managers?

Instructor Slides 18-2

Page 3: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Waiting lines occur in all sorts of service systems

Wait time is non-value added Wait time ranges from the acceptable to the emergent

Short waits in a drive-thruSitting in an airport waiting for a delayed flightWaiting for emergency service personnel

Waiting time costsLower productivityReduced competitivenessWasted resourcesDiminished quality of life

Instructor Slides 18-3

Page 4: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Queuing theoryMathematical approach to the analysis of

waiting linesApplicable to many environments

Call centersBanksPost officesRestaurantsTheme parksTelecommunications systemsTraffic management

Instructor Slides 18-4

Page 5: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Waiting lines tend to form even when a system is not fully loadedVariability

Arrival and service rates are variableServices cannot be completed ahead of time

and stored for later use

Instructor Slides 18-5

Page 6: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Why waiting lines cause concern:1. The cost to provide waiting space2. A possible loss of business when customers leave the

line before being served or refuse to wait at all3. A possible loss of goodwill4. A possible reduction in customer satisfaction5. Resulting congestion may disrupt other business

operations and/or customers

Instructor Slides 18-6

Page 7: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

The goal of waiting line management is to minimize total costs: Costs associated with customers waiting for service Capacity cost

Instructor Slides 18-7

Page 8: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

The basic characteristics of waiting lines1. Population source2. Number of servers (channels)3. Arrival and service patterns4. Queue discipline

Instructor Slides 18-8

Page 9: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Calling population

Arrivals Waitingline

ExitService

System

Processing Order

Instructor Slides 18-9

Page 10: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Infinite sourceCustomer arrivals are unrestrictedThe number of potential customers greatly

exceeds system capacityFinite source

The number of potential customers is limited

Instructor Slides 18-10

Page 11: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

ChannelA server in a service systemIt is assumed that each channel can handle one

customer at a timePhases

The number of steps in a queuing system

Instructor Slides 18-11

Page 12: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Instructor Slides 18-12

Page 13: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Arrival pattern Most commonly used models assume the arrival rate

can be described by the Poisson distributionArrivals per unit of time

Equivalently, interarrival times are assumed to follow the negative exponential distributionThe time between arrivals

Service pattern Service times are frequently assumed to follow a

negative exponential distribution

Instructor Slides 18-13

Page 14: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Instructor Slides 18-14

Page 15: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Queue disciplineThe order in which customers are processed

Most commonly encountered rule is that service is provided on a first-come, first-served (FCFS) basis

Non FCFS applications do not treat all customer waiting costs as the same

Instructor Slides 18-15

Page 16: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Managers typically consider five measures when evaluating waiting line performance:1. The average number of customers waiting (in line or

in the system)2. The average time customers wait (in line or in the

system)3. System utilization4. The implied cost of a given level of capacity and its

related waiting line5. The probability that an arrival will have to wait for

service

Instructor Slides 18-16

Page 17: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

The average number waiting in line and the average time customers wait in line increase exponentially as the system utilization increases

Instructor Slides 18-17

Page 18: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Four basic infinite source modelsAll assume a Poisson arrival rate

1. Single server, exponential service time2. Single server, constant service time3. Multiple servers, exponential service time4. Multiple priority service, exponential service time

Instructor Slides 18-18

Page 19: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

linein tingnumber wai expected maximum The

(channels) servers ofnumber The

system in the units ofy probabilit The

system in the units zero ofy probabilit The

timeService1

system in the spend customers timeaverage The

linein wait customers timeaverage The

nutilizatio system The

served being customers ofnumber average The

system in thecustomer ofnumber average The

servicefor waitingcustomers ofnumber average The

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rate arrivalCustomer

max

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Instructor Slides 18-19

Page 20: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

System Utilization

Average number of customers being served

M

r

Instructor Slides 18-20

Page 21: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Little’s LawFor a stable system the average number of

customers in line or in the system is equal to the average customer arrival rate multiplied by the average time in the line or system

qq

ss

WL

WL

Instructor Slides 18-21

Page 22: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

The average number of customers Waiting in line for service:

In the system:

The average time customers are Waiting in line for service

In the system

]dependent. [Model qL

rLL qs

q

q

LW

s

qs

LWW

1

Instructor Slides 18-22

Page 23: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

M/M/1

n

n

n

n

q

P

PP

P

L

1

1

0

0

2

Instructor Slides 18-23

Page 24: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

M/D/1 If a system can reduce variability, it can shorten waiting

lines noticeably For, example, by making service time constant, the average

number of customers waiting in line can be cut in half

Average time customers spend waiting in line is also cut by half.

Similar improvements can be made by smoothing arrival rates (such as by use of appointments)

)(2

2

qL

Instructor Slides 18-24

Page 25: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Assumptions:A Poisson arrival rate and exponential service

timeServers all work at the same average rateCustomers form a single waiting line (in order

to maintain FCFS processing)

Instructor Slides 18-25

Page 26: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

s

qW

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M

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WP

MW

MM

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Instructor Slides 18-26

Page 27: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Service system design reflects the desire of management to balance the cost of capacity with the expected cost of customers waiting in the system

Optimal capacity is one that minimizes the sum of customer waiting costs and capacity or server costs

Instructor Slides 18-27

Page 28: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Instructor Slides 18-28

Page 29: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

An issue that often arises in service system design is how much space should be allocated for waiting lines

The approximate line length, Lmax, that will not be exceeded a specified percentage of the time can be determined using the following:

1

percentage

specified1

where

ln

lnor

log

logmax

qLK

KKL

Instructor Slides 18-29

Page 30: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Multiple priority model Customers are processes according to some measure of

importance Customers are assigned to one of several priority classes

according to some predetermined assignment methodCustomers are then processed by class, highest class

firstWithin a class, customers are processed by FCFSExceptions occur only if a higher-priority customer

arrives That customer will be processed after the customer

currently being processed

Instructor Slides 18-30

Page 31: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Instructor Slides 18-31

Page 32: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Appropriate for cases in which the calling population is limited to a relatively small number of potential calls

Arrival rates are required to be Poisson Unlike the infinite-source models, the arrival rate is

affected by the length of the waiting lineThe arrival rate of customers decreases as the length of

the line increases because there is a decreasing proportion of the population left to generate calls for service

Service rates are required to be exponential

Instructor Slides 18-32

Page 33: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Procedure:1. Identify the values for

a. N, population sizeb. M, the number of servers/channelsc. T, average service timed. U, average time between calls for service

2. Compute the service factor, X=T/(T + U)3. Locate the section of the finite-queuing tables for N4. Using the value of X as the point of entry, find the values of

D and F that correspond to M5. Use the values of N, M, X, D, and F as needed to determine

the values of the desired measures of system performance

Instructor Slides 18-33

Page 34: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Instructor Slides 18-34

Page 35: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Managers may be able to reduce waiting lines by actively managing one or more system constraints: Fixed short-term constraints

Facility sizeNumber of servers

Short-term capacity optionsUse temporary workersShift demandStandardize the serviceLook for a bottleneck

Instructor Slides 18-35

Page 36: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

If those waiting in line have nothing else to occupy their thoughts, they often tend to focus on the fact they are waiting in lineThey will usually perceive the waiting time to

be longer than the actual waiting timeSteps can be taken to make waiting more

acceptable to customersOccupy them while they wait

In-flight snackHave them fill out forms while they waitMake the waiting environment more comfortableProvide customers information concerning their wait

Instructor Slides 18-36

Page 37: Management of Waiting Lines McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

Managers must carefully weigh the costs and benefits of service system capacity alternatives

Options for reducing wait times: Work to increase processing rates, instead of increasing

the number of servers Use new processing equipment and/or methods Reduce processing time variability through

standardization Shift demand

Instructor Slides 18-37


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