Mango Retail Performance Report2017
1
Table of Contents
Pages 3 - 9 Executive Summary
Pages 10 - 15 Fruit and Tropical Fruit Performance
Pages 16 - 34 Whole Mango Performance
Pages 35 - 44 Organic Mango Performance
Pages 45 - 51 Fresh Cut Mango Performance
Pages 52 - 54 Approach and Data Parameters
2
Executive Summary
3
Fruit and Tropical Fruit Overview
Mango dollar growth outpaced total fruit in 2017.
• Fruit dollars/store/week grew about 1% to $24,658.
• Staple fruits, like apples, oranges and melons had declining sales, driving the slow growth of total fruit.
• Mangos grew 4% to $226/store/week and 5% to 238 in volume/store/week.
• Mangos remain in #20 position sales and #15 in volume.
Tropical fruit category continues to grow at steady pace.
• Tropical fruit dollars/store/week grew 4% in 2017.
• Mangos represent one third of tropical fruit with 36% of category dollars.
• Of the top five tropical fruits only mangos and dates had growth in 2017.
4
Whole Mango Overview
Mango sales growth continued in 2017.
• Mango volume /store /week increased 5% to 238 mangos.
• Mango dollars/store /week increased 4% to $226
• Mango volume increased in every quarter except Q2 (-3%) due to slower imports in May and June driving up retail price.
• Despite a supply gap in Q2 for two straight years, mango dollars and volume were still higher in Q2 than any other quarter.
Mango dollars and volume increased in 2017 in all regions, except West South Central,.
• New England had the highest dollar sales, $314 /store/week, followed by Pacific at $289/store/week It’s important to note that the Pacific was the only sub-region with double digit growth.
• Only the West South Central sub-region decreased in dollars/store/week, down 5%, driven by substantial volume index declines in the Houston (-24) and Dallas (-22) markets.
5
Whole Mango Promotion and Pricing Overview
Slightly less mango volume was sold on promotion in 2017.
• 31% of mango volume was sold on promotion, down 1 point from prior year.
• Q2 had the least volume sold on promotion at 30%.
Both promo and non-promo pricing dropped in 2017
• Average retail price decreased from prior year in all quarters, except Q2.
• Average retail price dropped 1% to $.95.
• Promotional average retail price decreased 2% to $.80, and non-promotional average retail price dropped 1% to $1.02.
• Related to the supply gap, the average retail price for mangos increased in May, June and July when mangos are historically priced the lowest.
Most sub-regions posted lower average retail prices.
• West South Central and Mountain sub-regions had the lowest retail price at $.73 and $.76 respectively, both increasing 1% from last year.
• Mid-Atlantic sub-region had the highest average retail price at $1.15 per mango, a 2% drop from last year.
• Both East South Central and New England saw a 5% decline in average retail price to $1.01 each.6
Organic Mango Overview
Organic mango share remains at 3% of whole mango dollars.
• Organic mango dollars and volume both grew double digits in 2017, up 12% and 28% respectively.
• Q2 and Q3 had the strongest organic mango sales in 2017, accounting for $1.9 million dollars in sales each quarter.
• The Pacific sub-region had the strongest organic mango sales with 37% share of dollars in 2017.
• Organic mangos were priced nearly 2x times higher than all mangos,
• Average retail price for organic mangos dropped 12% to $1.81.
• In Q1, the average retail price for organic mangos declined 27%, to $1.93.
• Organic mango pricing was highest in New England at $2.49 each and lowest in West North Central at $1.41 each.
7
Fresh Cut Mango Overview
Fresh cut mango continues to outpace both whole mango and fresh cut fruit growth.
• Fresh cut mango remains ranked at #6 of total fresh cut fruit, while fresh cut mango mix was #11.
• Similar to whole mangos, Q2 had the strongest fresh cut mango sales with $79/store/week.
• 90% of stores sold mango only, fresh-cut items in 2017, down 5.5 points from prior year.
8
Mango Going Mainstream
Continuous mango growth suggests more Americans are including mangos in their diet
• One of the top Google searches for food continues to be “how to cut a mango” with hundreds of how tos and videos available.
• Fruit selection and preparation are the obstacles consumers face with whole mangos. The growth of fresh cut is helping to bridge that challenge.
• Mangos comprise more than one third of tropical fruit sales, indicating that we may need to consider moving mangos to a separate category.
• Mangos are found as an ingredient everywhere, from meal kits to fine dining, signature cocktails to juice bars.
• Mangos are a part of the mainstream social conversation; in the summer of 2018 consumers will be able to share their passion for mangos with the release of the mango emoli!
9
Fruit Category Performance2017
10
Top 25 Fruit Dollars & Contribution
RANKDOLLARS/STORE
/WEEK% CHANGE
VS YAGODOLLAR
CONTRIBUTION% CHANGE
VS YAGOFruits $24,658 0.9% 46.7% -0.2%Apples 1 $3,040 -4.8% 5.8% -0.4%Grapes 2 $2,768 0.4% 5.2% -0.0%Bananas 3 $2,621 0.6% 5.0% -0.0%Strawberries 4 $2,212 -0.0% 4.2% -0.1%Avocados 5 $1,654 12.9% 3.1% 0.3%Mandarins 6 $1,421 10.9% 2.7% 0.2%Blueberries 7 $1,277 5.2% 2.4% 0.1%Oranges 8 $798 -5.8% 1.5% -0.1%Cherries 9 $780 11.3% 1.5% 0.1%Watermelon 10 $760 -4.4% 1.4% -0.1%Raspberries 11 $678 -1.7% 1.3% -0.0%Lemons 12 $564 4.0% 1.1% 0.0%Peaches 13 $448 -0.9% 0.8% -0.0%Blackberries 14 $444 8.5% 0.8% 0.1%Pears 15 $343 -9.3% 0.6% -0.1%Limes 16 $342 4.1% 0.6% 0.0%Cantaloupe 17 $305 -11.7% 0.6% -0.1%Pineapples 18 $275 -3.7% 0.5% -0.0%Nectarines 19 $248 -6.5% 0.5% -0.0%Mango 20 $226 3.8% 0.4% 0.0%Plums 21 $186 0.3% 0.4% -0.0%Grapefruit 22 $166 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%Kiwi 23 $125 0.2% 0.2% -0.0%Honeydew 24 $76 -2.2% 0.1% -0.0%Papaya 25 $64 -7.6% 0.1% -0.0%
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs. YAGO
Fruit Sales YOY Change and Contribution
11
Mangos increased 3.8% in dollars/store/week, almost 4x better than the overall fruit category.
Mangos are in the 20th position of the fruit ranking by dollars and have held that position since 2013.
Fruit as a contributor to the produce department slipped slightly (-.2%), while mangos remained flat.
Mango dollars/store/week increased at a higher rate than two thirds of the Top 25
Mangos increased 4.9% in volume/store/week, while the overall fruit category had a slight decrease in volume/store/week (-.5%).
Mangos are in the 15th position of the fruit ranking by volume.
Mango volume/store/week increased at a higher rate than 80% of the Top 25
Top 25 Fruit Volume & Contribution
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs. YAGO
Fruit Volume YOY Change and Contribution
12
RANK PRODUCTVOLUME
/STORE/WEEK% CHANGE VS
YAGO
VOLUME CONTRIBUTION TO
DEPARTMENT% CHANGE VS
YAGOFruits 17,962 -0.5% 52.1% -0.4%
1 Bananas 4,753 2.1% 13.8% 0.3%2 Watermelon 1,888 -10.2% 5.5% -0.6%3 Apples 1,855 -2.6% 5.4% -0.2%4 Avocados 1,294 -2.8% 3.8% -0.1%5 Grapes 1,269 3.2% 3.7% 0.1%6 Limes 835 11.4% 2.4% 0.2%7 Strawberries 754 3.3% 2.2% 0.1%8 Oranges 686 -4.0% 2.0% -0.1%9 Lemons 617 7.1% 1.8% 0.1%
10 Blueberries 381 4.1% 1.1% 0.0%11 Cantaloupe 364 -1.9% 1.1% -0.0%12 Mandarins 297 11.7% 0.9% 0.1%13 Cherries 263 23.0% 0.8% 0.1%14 Kiwi 244 -10.1% 0.7% -0.1%15 Mango 238 4.9% 0.7% 0.0%16 Peaches 235 -12.0% 0.7% -0.1%17 Pears 221 -9.2% 0.6% -0.1%18 Raspberries 201 -7.4% 0.6% -0.0%19 Blackberries 156 6.4% 0.5% 0.0%20 Nectarines 123 -13.4% 0.4% -0.1%21 Pineapples 107 -2.6% 0.3% -0.0%22 Grapefruit 101 -1.8% 0.3% -0.0%23 Plums 88 -4.9% 0.3% -0.0%24 Honeydew 62 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%25 Tangerines 46 -4.2% 0.1% -0.0%
Tropical Fruit Performance2017
13
Tropical Fruit Dollars/Store/Week
Overall mango dollars/store/week increased 4% to $226.
Mangos were on pace with the growth of the overall tropical fruit category.
The largest tropical growth rates were seen in the low volume fruit like guava, figs and dates.
Tropical Fruit Dollars/Store/WeekTotal US, 2017
DOLLARS /STORE/WEEK
% CHANGE vs YAGO
Total Tropical Fruit $619 +4%
Mango $226 +4%
Kiwi $125 +0%
Papaya $64 -8%
Dates $52 +25%
Pomegranate $39 -16%
Tomatillo $33 +6%
Other Specialty Fruit $18 +33%
Guava $15 +81%
Coconut $15 +9%
Figs $11 +25%
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO; Produce Database - Whole14
Tropical Fruit Dollars Share
Tropical Fruit Dollars/Store/WeekTotal US, 2017
Mangos had the largest share of tropical fruit dollars at 36%.
The next three items combined (kiwi, papaya and dates) made up a 38% share.
This is an indicator that mangos are moving to the mainstream and may need to be separated from tropical fruit to be represented as a stand alone category, similar to the pineapple category.
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO; Produce Database - Whole
Mango36%
Kiwi20%Papaya
10%
Dates8%
Pomegranate6%
Tomatillo5%
Other Specialty Fruit
3%
Guava2%
Coconut2%
Figs2%
All Others6%
15
Whole Mango Performance2017
16
Whole mango volume increased to 238 mangos/store/week, up 5% .
Q1 provided the largest increase (+13%) to 171 mangos/store/week.
Q2 had the strongest mango volume, but in 2017, volume/store/week was down 3%, driven by reduced import volume.
Quarterly Volume/Store/Week
Quarterly Mango Volume/Store/WeekTotal US, Whole
152
355
286
117
227
171
345
313
123
238
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+13% -3% +9% +6% +5%
17
Monthly Volume/Store/Week
Monthly Mango Volume/Store/WeekTotal US, Whole
The largest increases in volume/store/week were observed in March (+30%), September (+29%), and April (+24%).
Significant decrease (-16%) in movement in June, drove the volume in Q2. This aligned with reduced import volume in May and June 2017.
14
4
15
8
15
2
23
0
37
9
43
3
42
5
31
1
15
5
22
4
12
1
12
1
22
7
13
9
17
2 19
7
28
7
37
8
36
3
41
6
35
1
20
0
23
8
10
6 13
1
23
8
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-3% +9% +30% +24% +0% -16% -2% +13% +29% +7% -12% +8% +5%
18
22
7
19
0
12
8
21
5
26
7
29
3
28
2
17
7
17
7
36
1
23
8
19
5
14
7
22
9
27
1
30
9
32
0
18
6
18
5
33
7
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Total U.S. East NorthCentral
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Volume/Store/Week by Sub-Region
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+5% +3% +14% +6% +2% +6% +14% +5% +5% -7%
19
Mango volume was up compared to the prior year across all sub-regions, except West South Central.
The top sub-regions based on volume/store/week were West South Central (337), Pacific (320), and New England (309).
The sub-regions with the highest growth in volume were East South Central and Pacific, both up by 14% .
Mango Volume/Store/WeekTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
31% of whole mangos were sold on promotion during 2017, down 1 point from prior year.
Q2 had the smallest portion of volume sold on promotion at 30%.
Q1 had the largest share of volume sold on promotion at 33%.
Quarterly Volume Sold on Promotion
Quarterly Mango Volume % Sold on Promotion
Total US, Whole
35.8%
31.7%29.8%
34.9%
32.2%33.4%
29.7%31.3% 32.3%
31.2%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-2.4 pts -2.1 pts +1.5 pts -2.6 pts -1.0 pts
20
32
.2%
40
.4%
32
.5%
28
.8%
39
.0%
25
.0%
42
.7%
23
.9%
26
.5%
28
.8%
31
.2%
39
.4%
24
.5%
28
.5% 3
4.2
%
26
.7%
42
.2%
22
.1%
27
.5%
29
.4%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Total U.S. East NorthCentral
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Volume Sold on Promotion by Sub-Region
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-1.0 pts -.9 pts -8.1pts -.3 pts -4.8 pts +1.7 pts -.5 pts -1.8 pts +.9 pts +.6 pts
21
The Pacific sub-region had the highest share of volume on promotion at slightly over 42%.
The New England sub-region increased the most, up 1.7 points.
The East South Central sub-region decreased the most, down 8.1 points.
Mango Volume % Sold on PromotionTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
The average retail price for whole mangos decreased slightly from $.96 to $.95.
In Q2, average price increased 4% to $.88, as a result of reduced import volume. Average retail price decreased in all other quarters.
Q1 had the largest decrease (-5%) to $1.12. This aligns with the increase in both imports and retail volume in Q1.
Quarterly Average Retail Price
Mango Quarterly Average Retail PriceTotal US, Whole
$1.18
$0.85$0.89
$1.17
$0.96
$1.12
$0.88$0.86
$1.13
$0.95
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-5% +4% -4% -3% -1%
22
Monthly Average Retail Price
Mango Monthly Average Retail PriceTotal US, Whole
$1
.11 $
1.2
0
$1
.23
$1
.06
$0
.84
$0
.76
$0
.73
$0
.89
$1
.24
$0
.96
$1
.16
$1
.12
$0
.96
$1
.16
$1
.13
$1
.09
$0
.92
$0
.87
$0
.84
$0
.74
$0
.84
$1
.07
$0
.95
$1
.22
$1
.01
$0
.95
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
Overall average retail price decreased by 1%, to $.95.
Corresponding with increased volume, the largest price decreases were also in September (-14%), April (-13%) and March (-11%) from prior year.
The largest increase in average retail price was in June.
+4% -5% -11% -13% +4% +11% +1% -6% -14% -1% +6% -10% -1%
23
Average Retail Price by Sub-Region
The West South Central sub-region had the lowest average retail price at $.73, up 1%.
All sub-regions average retail price decreased, with the exception of three; East North Central (5%), Mountain (1%), and West South Central (1%).
$0
.96
$1
.00
$1
.06 $
1.1
7
$0
.75
$1
.07
$0
.93
$1
.06
$1
.11
$0
.72
$0
.95 $
1.0
5
$1
.01
$1
.15
$0
.76
$1
.01
$0
.90 $
1.0
3
$1
.08
$0
.73
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
Total U.S. EastNorth
Central
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Mango Average Retail PriceTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-1% +5% -5% -2% +1% -5% -3% -3% -3% +1%
24
Overall decrease in promotional average retail price was 2% to $.80.
Promotional average retail price declined in all quarters except Q2, which had an increase of 5%.
Quarterly Promotional Retail Price
Quarterly Mango Promotional Average Retail Price
Total US, Whole
$1.02
$0.71 $0.73
$0.99
$0.81
$0.92
$0.75$0.71
$0.94
$0.80
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-9% +5% -2% -4% -2%
25
Promotional Retail Price by Sub-Region
East North Central sub-region had the largest promotional average retail price growth, up 5% to $.86.
New England sub-region had the largest decline of 11%, to $.86.
$0
.81
$0
.82 $
0.9
2 $1
.01
$0
.61
$0
.97
$0
.77
$0
.95
$0
.89
$0
.67
$0
.80 $0
.86 $
0.9
3
$0
.98
$0
.60
$0
.86
$0
.74
$0
.94
$0
.90
$0
.64
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
Total U.S. EastNorth
Central
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Mango Promotional Average Retail PriceTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-2% +5% +1% -3% -3% -11% -3% -2% +0% -4%
26
Non-promo average retail price declined in all quarters except Q2 which saw a slight increase of 2%.
Quarterly Non-Promo Retail Price
Mango Quarterly Non-Promo Average Retail Price
Total US, Whole
$1.27
$0.91$0.96
$1.27
$1.03
$1.22
$0.93$0.92
$1.22
$1.02
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-4% +2% -4% -3% -1%
27
Non-Promo Retail Price by Sub-Region
Only East North Central (4%), West South Central(3%)and Mountain (1%) sub-regions increased in average non-promo retail prices.
Although the West South Central had the lowest non-promoted average retail price at $.77, it grew by 3% from the prior year.
$1
.03
$1
.12
$1
.13 $
1.2
3
$0
.84
$1
.10
$1
.05
$1
.09
$1
.20
$0
.74
$1
.02
$1
.17
$1
.03
$1
.21
$0
.84
$1
.07
$1
.02
$1
.06 $1
.15
$0
.77
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
Total U.S. EastNorth
Central
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Mango Non-Promo Average Retail PriceTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-1% +4% -9% -2% +1% -2% -4% -3% -4% +3%
28
Dollars/store/week increased 4% to $226.
Dollars peaked during Q2 at $302/store/week, a 1% increase from prior year.
These results are aligned with the typical seasonal trends for mango dollars.
Quarterly Dollars/Store/Week
Quarterly Mango Dollars/Store/WeekTotal US, Whole
$179
$300
$254
$136
$217
$192
$302
$268
$140
$226
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+7% +1% +5% +3% +4%
29
Monthly Dollars/Store/Week
August had the highest dollar velocity with $351 mangos sold /store/week.
March (+15%), August (+13%) and September (+11%) had largest increases in dollar velocity.
Monthly Mango Dollars/Store/WeekTotal US, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
$1
60 $
18
9
$1
86
$2
44
$3
20
$3
29
$3
11
$3
11
$1
93 $
21
5
$1
40
$1
35
$2
17
$1
61
$1
94
$2
14
$2
65
$3
30
$3
06
$3
09
$3
51
$2
15
$2
27
$1
30
$1
32
$2
26
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2017
2016 2017
+0% +3% +15% +9% +3% -7% -1% +13% +11% +5% -7% -2% +4%
30
Dollars/Store/Week by Sub-Region
The top three sub-regions based on dollars/store/week in 2017 were New England ($314), Pacific ($289) and Mid Atlantic ($263).
West South Central was the only sub-region to decrease mango dollars/store/week, down 5%, but still remained in the top four sub-regions.
Mango Dollars/Store/WeekTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
$2
17
$1
91
$1
36
$2
52
$2
00
$3
12
$2
62
$1
87
$1
97
$2
61
$2
26
$2
05
$1
48
$2
63
$2
06
$3
14
$2
89
$1
92
$2
00 $
24
7
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
Total U.S. East NorthCentral
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+4% +7% +8% +4% +3% +1% +10% +3% +1% -5%
31
Overall, mango dollar contribution to the produce department increased marginally compared to the prior year.
The peak mango contribution to the department was during Q2 (.53%) and the lowest contribution was during Q4 (.28%).
Contribution to Department SalesQuarterly Mango Dollar Contribution to
DepartmentTotal US, Whole
0.34%
0.54%
0.48%
0.28%
0.41%
0.37%
0.53%0.50%
0.28%
0.42%
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
0.60%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+.03 pts -.01 pts +.02 pts +.00 pts +.01 pts
32
Dollar Contribution to Produce by Sub-Region
Although the West South Central sub region had the largest dollar contribution to produce at .54% the region declined by .02 pts from prior year.
Mango dollar contribution grew the most in the Pacific sub-region, up .04 points.
0.4
1%
0.3
4%
0.2
9%
0.3
8%
0.3
7%
0.4
7%
0.4
5%
0.4
2%
0.3
9%
0.5
6%
0.4
2%
0.3
6%
0.3
1%
0.4
0%
0.3
7%
0.4
6%
0.4
9%
0.4
2%
0.3
8%
0.5
4%
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
0.60%
0.70%
Total U.S. East NorthCentral
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Mango Dollar Contribution to DepartmentTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+.01 pts
+.02 pts
+.02 pts
+.02 pts
+.00 pts
-.01 pts
+.04 pts
+.00 pts
-.01 pts
-.02 pts
33
Mango Performance by Sub-Region
PACIFIC
MOUNTAIN
WEST NORTH CENTRAL
WEST SOUTH CENTRAL
EAST NORTH CENTRAL
EAST SOUTH CENTRAL
MID-ATLANTIC
NEW ENGLAND
SOUTH ATLANTIC
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
Legend Total US
Dollars Contribution 0.42%
Dollars per Store/Week $226
Volume per Store/Week 238
Average Retail Price $0.95
0.49%
$289
320
$ .90
0.37%
$206
271
$ .76
0.38%
$200
185
$1.08
0.54%
$247
337
$ .73
0.31%
$148
147
$1.01
0.36%
$205
195
$1.05
0.42%
$192
186
$1.03
0.46%
$314
309
$1.01
0.40%
$263
229
$1.15
34
Organic Mango Performance 2017
35
Organic mango volume movement was up 28%.
Similar to whole mangos, organic mangos follow a seasonal volume trend peaking in Q2 and Q3, with lower volumes in Q1 and Q2.
All four quarters had substantial increases in organic mango volume. The largest increases were in Q3 (+36%) and Q4 (+35%)
Quarterly Organic Volume
Quarterly Organic Mango Volume in Thousands
Total US, Whole
634
939 876
443
2,891
805
1,112 1,191
596
3,704
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+27% +18% +36% +35% +28%
36
Organic Volume by Sub-Region
The Pacific sub-region moved more than a third of total organic mango volume.
All other sub-regions showed a double digit increase in organic mango volume, with the largest increases in East South Central and Mid Atlantic (+75% each), West South Central (+73%) and Mountain (+53%) sub regions.
2,8
91
30
1
87 2
61 41
6
14
8
1,2
67
28
9
33 8
8
3,7
04
37
3
15
2 45
7 63
5
17
1
1,3
74
34
9
39 1
53
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Total U.S. East NorthCentral
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Organic Mango Volume in ThousandsTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+28% +24% +75% +75% +53% +15% +8% +20% +17% +73%
37
Organic mangos continue to be a very small part of the overall mango volume.
Organic mango share of volume ranges from a a high of 3.2% in the Pacific sub region to a low of .5% in the West North Central and West South Central sub regions.
Organic/Conventional Volume Share by Sub-Region Organic vs Conventional Mango Volume Share
Total US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
98.3% 98.3% 98.0% 97.9% 97.1% 98.8% 96.8% 99.3% 99.5% 99.5%
1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 1.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5%
Conventional Organic
38
The average price for organic mangos decreased by 12%. Average prices were less than prior year in all four quarters.
In Q1, the average retail price for organic mangos decreased 27%, to $1.93.
Organic Average Retail Price
Organic Mango Average Retail PriceTotal US, Whole
$2.63
$1.82 $1.86
$2.21$2.07
$1.93$1.74
$1.64
$2.14
$1.81
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-27% -5% -12% -3% -12%
39
Organic mangos were priced nearly 2x times higher than all mangos.
The largest difference in price occurred during Q4 2017 with a $1.01 difference between organic mangos and all mangos.
Organic vs All Mangos Retail Price
Organic vs All Mangos Average Retail Price
Total US, Whole
$1.12
$0.88 $0.86
$1.13
$0.95
$1.93
$1.74$1.64
$2.14
$1.81
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
All Organic
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO40
New England had the highest retail price for organic mangos at $2.49, followed by Mid-Atlantic at $2.30.
Mid-Atlantic was also the only sub-region to have conventional mangos selling for over $1.00 each.
New England had the largest spread between organic and all mangos, a difference of $1.48.
Organic vs All Mangos Retail Price by Sub-Region Organic vs All Mangos
Average Retail PriceTotal US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
$0.95$1.05 $1.01
$1.15
$0.76
$1.01$0.90
$1.03 $1.08
$0.73
$1.81
$1.51 $1.50
$2.30
$1.51
$2.49
$1.83$1.95
$1.41$1.52
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
All Organic
41
Organic mango dollar sales were up 12% compared to prior year.
Q1 had a decrease of 7% in organic mango dollars.
The other three quarters showed an increase.
Organic Dollars
Organic Mango Dollars in ThousandsTotal US, Whole
$1,664 $1,713 $1,630
$980
$5,987
$1,551
$1,934 $1,956
$1,273
$6,714
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-7% +13% +20% +30% +12%
42
$5
,98
7
$4
90
$1
77 $
77
7
$6
88
$4
10
$2
,39
6
$6
65
$6
6 $3
16
$6
,71
4
$5
63
$2
28 $1
,05
1
$9
57
$4
26
$2
,52
2
$6
79
$5
5 $2
32
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
Total U.S. EastNorth
Central
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Organic Dollars by Sub-Region Organic Mango Dollars in Thousands
Total US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+12% +15% +29% +35% +39% +4% +5% +2% -17% -26%
43
The Pacific sub-region had the strongest sales and also increased by 5% compared to the prior year.
Two regions had declines in organic dollars. These were West South Central (-26%) and West North Central (-17%)
Organic mangos were 3.3% of total mango dollars.
Organic mangos had the largest dollar share in Pacific (6.5%) and Mountain (6.1%) sub-regions.
The smallest dollar share for organic mangos was in the West North Central (.7%) sub region.
Organic/Conventional Dollar Share by Sub-Region Organic vs Conventional Mango Dollar Share
Total US, Sub-Regions, Whole
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
96.7% 97.4% 96.8% 95.6% 93.9% 97.0%93.5%
98.6% 99.3% 99.0%
3.3% 2.6% 3.2% 4.4% 6.1% 3.0%6.5%
1.4% 0.7% 1.0%
Conventional Organic
44
Fresh Cut Mango Performance2017
45
Fresh Cut Fruit Dollars and Contribution
Fresh cut mangos increased 11.4% in dollars/store/week, and remained in the 6th
position in the fresh cut fruit ranking.
Each of the items listed are that fruit only (Mango only, Pineapple only, etc.) unless specified as “mixed”.
Throughout this report, “fresh cut mango” refers to mango only items.
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs. YAGO
Fresh Cut Fruit Sales and Contribution
46
RANKDOLLARS
/STORE/WEEK% CHANGE VS
YAGODOLLAR
CONTRIBUTION% CHANGE VS YAGO
Fresh Cut Fruit $2,110 0.4% 4.0% 0.9%Mixed Fruit 1 $773 0.6% 1.5% 1.1%Pineapple 2 $348 1.6% 0.7% 2.1%Watermelon 3 $330 -3.5% 0.6% -3.1%Apples 4 $265 -4.1% 0.5% -3.7%Cantaloupe 5 $106 -4.4% 0.2% -4.0%Mango Only 6 $71 11.4% 0.1% 16.6%Strawberry 7 $52 14.4% 0.1% 14.9%Mixed Melons 8 $48 -11.6% 0.1% -11.2%Other VA Fruit 9 $38 14.4% 0.1% 14.9%Grapes 10 $27 9.0% 0.1% 9.5%Mango Mix 11 $26 47.6% 0.0% 48.2%Honeydew 12 $18 -9.4% 0.0% -9.0%Orange 13 $1 150.5% 0.0% 151.0%Papaya 14 $1 -38.8% 0.0% -38.5%Grapefruit 15 $0 -63.3% 0.0% -63.1%Peach 16 $0 -87.2% 0.0% -86.8%Pear 17 $0 -86.5% 0.0% -86.0%
The percentage of stores selling fresh cut mango declined 5.5 points, to 90%.
The percentage of stores selling declined in all four quarters.
The largest decline was 11 pts. in Q1.
Fresh Cut Mango % Stores Selling% Stores Selling
Total US, Fresh Cut Mango
94.4%
91.4%
88.8%87.8%
95.3%
83.4%
87.6%87.3%
86.8%
89.8%
76.0%
78.0%
80.0%
82.0%
84.0%
86.0%
88.0%
90.0%
92.0%
94.0%
96.0%
98.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
-11.0 pts -3.8 pts -1.5 pts -1.0 pts -5.5 pts
47
Fresh Cut Mango dollars/store/week increased to $71 in 2017, up 11% from prior year.
Q2 reflected the largest increase (22%) at $79/store/week.
Fresh Cut Mango Dollars/Store/WeekDollars/Store/Week
Total US, Fresh Cut Mango
$71
$61$66
$57
$64
$78 $79
$67
$60
$71
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017
2016 2017
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+11% +28% +3% +4% +11%
48
$6
4
$4
7
$4
7
$7
6
$5
8
$7
0
$7
8
$5
9
$5
6
$7
9
$7
1
$4
6 $5
0
$8
9
$5
7
$7
6
$8
4
$7
3
$6
0
$8
2
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
Total U.S. EastNorth
Central
East SouthCentral
MidAtlantic
Mountain NewEngland
Pacific SouthAtlantic
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central2016 2017
Mid-Atlantic sold the most fresh cut mango in dollars/store/week at $89, followed by Pacific at $84 and West South Central at $82.
Most sub-regions had increased sales, except for East North and Mountain (both down 1% over prior year).
Fresh Cut Mango Dollars/Store/Week by Sub-Region
Dollars/Store/WeekTotal US, Sub-Regions, Fresh Cut Mango
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
+11% - 1% +8% +18% - 1% +9% +8% +23% +6% +4%
49
In the universe of fresh cut and whole mangos combined, fresh cut contributes 24% of mango dollars.
South Atlantic sub region had the largest share of dollars/store/week with 28%.
The East North Central sub-region had the lowest share at 18%.
Fresh Cut vs Whole Mango Share by Sub-Region Fresh Cut vs Whole Mango Share
Total US, Sub-Regions
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
76%82%
75% 75%78% 81% 77%
72%77% 75%
24%18%
25% 25%22% 19% 23%
28%23% 25%
Whole Mango Only Fresh Cut
50
Fresh Cut Mango Performance by Sub-Region
PACIFIC
MOUNTAIN
WEST NORTH CENTRAL
WEST SOUTH CENTRAL
EAST NORTH CENTRAL
EAST SOUTH CENTRAL
MID-ATLANTIC
NEW ENGLAND
SOUTH ATLANTIC
Source: Nielsen FreshFacts® 2017 vs YAGO
Legend Total US
Dollars Contribution 0.13%
Dollars per Store/Week $71
Volume per Store/Week 15
Average Retail Price $4.72
0.14%
$84
16
$5.21
0.10%
$57
12
$4.84
0.11%
$60
13
$4.74
0.17%
$82
17
$4.70
0.10%
$50
12
$4.32
0.08%
$46
10
$4.46
0.16%
$73
16
$4.47
0.11%
$76
16
$4.66
0.13%
$89
18
$5.08
51
Approach and Data Parameters 2017
52
Approach and Data Parameters
In order to conduct this category review, Nielsen Perishables Group analyzed mango volume, pricing and sales to create a summary of 2017 retail performance.
Areas of focus:
• Overall category performance including volume, pricing, contribution to department and dollar sales.
• Category contribution and performance by category segment• Whole mango• Organic• Fresh cut
• Performance by geographic sub-region
• Seasonality
53
Approach and Data Parameters
National Mango Board Custom Hierarchy
• The analysis primarily examines and compares mango performance for the 2017 and 2016 calendar years, unless otherwise noted.
• Whole mango volume is measured in units, for those retailers who sell mangos by the pound, a conversion rate is used – 1 lb. = 1 unit.
• Fresh Cut Mango includes mango products that are sold in a fresh-cut pack that is only mango, no other items.
• Because of the variation in fresh cut unit size, this report is focused on dollar sales for fresh-cut mango, rather than volume.
About the Nielsen Perishables Group, FreshFacts®, Data Set
• The summary represents retail data from grocery store chains and box stores that partner with Nielsen Perishables Group, and have more than $2 million annual sales/store. This data reflects approximately 70% of total sales and encompasses roughly 18,000 stores nationwide.
• The data represents fruit sold in the produce department including UPC, PLU and system-2 coded items packaged in store.
54