Maps 2010 fall_update

SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY

Fall 2010 Update

San FranciscoMobility, Access & Pricing

Study

How do you travel for your most typical trips to downtown San Francisco (work, school, etc?)

Drive alone

Transit

Carpool/rideshare

Bike/walk

Combination of above

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Our Citywide development goals rely on improving the downtown core:

Strengthen the City’s Regional Competitiveness

Create a more Livable City

Ensure a Healthy Environment

Provide World-Class Infrastructure

Goals for the Future

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Expected SF growth over the coming decades:

150,000 more residents 230,000 more workers

Focused in core/transit accessible areas Transbay Transit Center District Rincon Hill Mission Bay Eastern Neighborhoods Market/Octavia

Our Sustainable Growth Challenge

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Courtesy, SF Planning Department

View from Treasure Island | View from Treasure Island | Skyline todaySkyline today5

Courtesy, SF Planning Department

View from Treasure Island | View from Treasure Island | According to the Transbay PlanAccording to the Transbay Plan6

Downtown Growth Planned

+73,000 auto trips+30,000 transit trips


+8,000 auto trip+4,000 transit trips



*projected growth by 2030, Projections 2007 and SF-CHAMP 2010


+ 24,000 hsg units+ 107,000 jobs

+ 24,000 hsg units+ 107,000 jobs

+184,000 auto trips+88,000 transit trips+184,000 auto trips+88,000 transit trips

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longer, more severe rush hour

30% increase in delay by 2030

Growth or Gridlock?

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If we proceed in a BAU fashion, growth areas forecast to become even more congested

40k more peak-period vehicle trips in greater downtown by 2030

In the Bay Area, annual delay per person is expected to increase from 39 to 47 hours by 2035 (MTC, T2035 Plan)

Our Citywide development goals rely on improving the downtown core:

Strengthen the City’s Regional Competitiveness

Create a more Livable City

Ensure a Healthy Environment

Provide World-Class Infrastructure

Goals for the Future

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Robust solutions are needed for demand management and to generate revenue

for investment in infrastructure

With future growth anticipated in San Francisco, what’s the best way to maintain and improve mobility?

Add traffic lanes (eg remove on-street parking, reduce sidewalk widths, make existing lanes more narrow)

Give buses and bicycles lane and signal priority on congested streets, reducing the lanes available to private autos)

Manage congestion through user fees

Restrict private auto access

Other (eg, don’t agree with the growth premise)

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Transit speed below 8 mph

Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph

Average Travel Speeds in SF

Potential Scenarios for SF

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Downtown Cordon


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Gateway with Parking Pricing

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Northeast Cordon


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How congestion pricing would work

Technology would leverage existing systems, e.g. FasTrak accounts

Design considerations support camera-based equipment

Multiple payment methods possible

Phone, web, text, retail, etc.

Sample Detection Technology

Possible FeesWeekdays Weekends

6am – 9am $3 NO FEE

9am – 3pm NO FEE NO FEE

3pm – 7pm $3 NO FEE

evenings NO FEE NO FEE

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Suggested Discounts/Exemptions

Type of Driver/ Group

Level of Discount

Taxi, Transit, Emergency

FREE

Toll-payer ‘Fee’-bate $1 off

Low-Income (Lifeline Value)

50% off

Disabled Drivers 50% off

Zone Residents 50% off

Low-Emission Vehicles -

HOV/Carpool -

Daily cap of $6

Fleet program for commercial vehicles, rental, shuttles

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2.3M person-trips in the Northeast Cordon daily

nearly half are auto trips

over 40% of trips are made during peak periods (17% AM; 25% PM)

More than half of the 260,000 auto person-trips in the Northeast Cordon are made by San Francisco residents

Distribution of trips (2005 base)

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Source: SF-CHAMP, 2010

Proportion of PM Peak Auto Trips to/from/within NE Cordon, 2005

East Bay, 30,000, 12%

North Bay, 10,000, 4%

South Bay, 26,000, 10%

w/in NE Cordon, 52,000, 20%

Rest of SF, 136,000, 53%

External, 3,000, 1%

Distribution of AUTO Trips during the PM Peak, 2005

Program Could Generate $60 -80M/year

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Program revenue would be invested in the transportation network, public realm, and travel programs

Annual Investment by Market

Investment Program—up-front improvements

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$200-300 million for projects including:

San Francisco Van Ness BRT Signal priority and diamond lanes on

Fulton, Mission, California Bike lanes citywide Real-time signage and wayfinding

East Bay BART station wayfinding, capacity,

access improvements

North Bay 101 corridor management (FPI/ramp

metering)

South Bay Caltrain access improvements, 101

HOV lane

Investment Program—annual investments

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$35-55M/year to be spent on multi-modal improvements such as: More regional and local express bus service Street paving/pothole repair Traffic calming Streetscape improvements Parking management and enforcement School, worksite TDM programs Power-washing sidewalks

If congestion pricing were implemented, how should the revenues generated be spent?Proposed program is a good start

Invest more in roadways (e.g. street infrastructure)

Invest more in amount of/access to transit

Invest more in bicycle and walking facilities

Invest more in discount policies

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Study OutreachStudy OutreachPublic Workshop Series (local and regional):

3 rounds of public workshops (4th round underway!)

Community Groups and Organizations, including:

BOMA Committees

Hayes Valley Neighborhood Association

KQED: Forum

Marina Community Association

Metropolitan Transportation Commission committees

Rincon Point/South Beach Citizens Advisory Committee

SF Chamber of Commerce & Public Policy Forum

SF Mayor's Office of Neighborhood Services (MONS)

SF Policy and Urban Planning Association (SPUR)

SF Small Business Commission

Silicon Valley Leadership Group (SVLG)Sunset District Neighborhood Coalition (SDNC)Regional Transportation Justice Working Group

Transportation and Land Use Coalition (TALC)Union Square AssociationWestern SOMA Task ForceYerba Buena Alliance

Business Focus Groups: Commercial Transportation Retail Restaurant Tourism & Hospitality

Advisory Committees: Business Advisory Council Policy Working Group Technical Advisory Committee Stakeholder Task Force

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Feedback: community & equity

Top concerns:

Availability, reliability, and cost of transit services

Impacts on working poor, families Reduction in local/off-peak

service due to core/peak demands

Traffic/parking diversions on edges of ‘zone’

Geographic equity (no South Bay tolls currently)

Needs/requests: Discounts and/or exemptions for

low-income drivers, disabled drivers

EQUITY OUTREACH

Transportation Justice Working Group

TALC Annual Summit

MTC Committees: Citizens Advisory Committee Elderly/Disabled Advisory Committee Minority Citizens Advisory Committee

Varied community organizations and neighborhood groups

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Feedback: business impacts & analysis

Congestion should be addressed

Top concerns: Better enforcement of double

parking More enforcement of loading zones More loading zones, tour bus parking

Needs/requests: Varied fee/discount suggestions:

- fleet rates should be flat- periodic invoices to minimize administrative burden

Varied scenarios suggestions:- AM only charges (even if higher)- Outbound only charges during PM- Parking pricing

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Business Outreach

Union Square Association (board & policy committee)

Chamber of Commerce (board & public policy committee)

BOMA Committees (Environment & Gov’t Affairs)

Small Business Commission

Workshops on: Commercial Transportation

Hospitality/Tourism

Restaurant

Retail

Ongoing organizational meetings & associations

Possible RecommendationsMedium-term: Refined Cordon best mitigates congestion in the greater

downtown area

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Auto Travel Speeds Northeast Cordon

12% fewer peak period auto trips

21% reduction in vehicle hours of delay (VHD)

5% reduction in GHGs citywide

PILOT Northeast Cordon (PM)

Possible Recommendations: Pilots

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In the near-term, a pilot would:

Respond to public feedback

Demonstrate proof-of-concept

Allow for program evaluation

Potential Pilots:

Refined Cordon – PM Outbound

Possible Recommendations: Pilots

In the near-term, a pilot would:

Respond to public feedback Demonstrate proof-of-

concept Allow for program

evaluation

Potential Pilots:

Refined Cordon – PM Outbound

Hybrid: Southern Gateway (AM/PM) w/parking pricing

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PILOT Southern Gateway

Scenario Comparison – by the numbers

NE Cordon*(AM/PM)

Net Operating Revenue $80 M

Operating Ratio (exp/gross rev after disc) 30-35%

Peak Auto Trips to/from NE Cordon (avg) -12%

Peak Auto Trips to/from S. Corridor (avg) -4%

Change in Transit Speeds up to 20%

Daily San Francisco VMT -5%

Daily NE Cordon VHD -21%

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NE Cordon (PM, outbound)

Southern Gateway (AM/PM)

$70 M $60 M

20-25% 25-30%

-10% -5%

-4% -20%

up to 20% up to 15%

-3% -4%

-10% -4%

Values in 2008$ for single representative year* Risk analysis pending

Scenario Comparison – by the numbers

NE Cordon*(AM/PM)

Change in C02 Emissions (NE Cordon) -16%

Change in C02 Emissions in (San Francisco)

-5%

Change in PM2.5 Emissions (NE Cordon) -17%

Change in PM2.5 Emissions in (San Francisco)

-5%

Change in Collisions (NE Cordon) -12%

Change in Collisions (San Francisco) -6%

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NE Cordon (PM, outbound)

Southern Gateway (AM/PM)

-9% -7%

-3% -4%

-11% -8%

-3% -4%

-5% -3%

-4% -5%

Values in 2008$ for single representative year* Risk analysis pending

Employment impact expected to be minimal (up to 1%), due to: infusion of external capital for startup costs

streetscape enhancements, visitor amenities

work/school TDM measures

Neutral to positive retail impacts expected considering multiple factors:60,000 more transit and walk/bike trips per day in the cordon area (conservative estimate)

retail survey shows comparable spending by transit and auto users

Business impacts broadly neutral

Mode Drive Transit Walk

Average Spend per Visit $56 $39 $42

Average # Trips per Month 4 7 7

Average Spend per Month $224 $273 $294

Average Spending & Frequency by Mode

Survey of 1400 travelers in San Francisco’s downtown retail areas, December 2007 and April 2008

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Which scenario seems like the best fit for San Francisco?

Northeast Cordon, AM/PM

Northeast Cordon, PM outbound

Southern Gateway with parking pricing

Other

None of the above

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My top concern about a potential charging program is:Availability of travel options

Affordability, including for low-income travelers

Skepticism about government’s role in providing congestion/mobility improvements

Economic/ business impacts

Not sure it will be effective, prefer another solution

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The top benefit of a potential congestion pricing program is:Reduce auto congestion/travel time

Improve transit speeds, frequency, and reliability

Improve bicycling/walking downtown

Improve the environment/quality of life

Disagree with the effectiveness, prefer another solution

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Institutional considerations & milestones

Obtain Legislative Authority to toll Local ordinance (BoS) State authority (legislature, governor) Environmental analysis (local/federal approval)

Designate/create toll authority/agency, functions to include: Set toll and discount policy Bonding to deliver improvements up front Concession with a program operator Directly produce or contract for services/capital improvements Monitor performance, change fee level/investment program as

appropriate

Governance MOAs with MTC/BATA, transit operators Joint Powers Authority, e.g. ACCMA/VTA Express lanes

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Fall 2010 - 2011 Implement and evaluate SFpark (SFMTA) and other near-term projects: More data to better characterize and track

parking benefits & impacts: supply, demand, turnover

Track congestion reduction benefits & impacts

2011 - 2013 Environmental analysis, system designLegislative Authorization

2013 - 2014 Final Design & Procurement

2014 - 2015 Construction of system & capital improvementsAdditional transit services

2015 Potential Implementation

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Potential Timeline

IMPLEMENTATION DECISION

What is your opinion about a potential congestion pricing project for San Francisco (in the next 3-5 years)? I support implementing a permanent

program

I prefer taking a pilot approach

I could support congestion pricing with modifications

I’m not sure yet/undecided/need more information

I prefer another solution

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Summer 2010 Outreach events, including:

Public workshops Lunchtime webinars Regional e-town halls

Aug/Sept/Oct 2010 Ongoing outreach Community/neighborhood organizations Merchant associations Stakeholder groups

Oct/Nov 2010 CAC/P&P/Board Action: Study Report and recommendations Potential next steps: environmental

clearance, legislative authority, system design

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Status & next steps

www.GearyBRT.org 38

QUESTIONS/FEEDBACK:

www.sfmobility.com

www.facebook.com/sfmobility

[email protected]

415.522.4819

Date post:	20-Jan-2015
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