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March 19, 2007
Regional Perspective on the Impact of Private Equity and Future Outlook
Arif M. Naqvi
Vice Chairman & CEO
2
Global private equity firms have historically ignored the region with the MENA region only accounting for 0.1% of the US$ 2.3 trillion* PE industry
Private Equity Fund Distribution
Americas72.1%
Europe 22.2%
Asia4.3%
Oceana0.7%
South Asia 0.3%
MENA 0.1%
Africa 0.2%
Regional PE industry as a % of total PE industry of US$ 2.2 trillion
*US$ 400 billion of the global PE industry, including leverage represents a US$ 2 trillion in potential buying powerSource: Thomson One Banker, Fortune Magazine
3
With the influx of capital post 9/11 and high oil prices, the region is awash with liquidity which in turn has led to a rise in private equity
Total Funds Announced, Fund Raising, Investing and Rumored in MENA – 1994 onwards US$ million, 2002 – March 2007
Note: Includes VC Source: Zawya
Private Equity Growth
1,096
6,426
20,861
24,511
1,906
6,426
20,861
1,047
4,520
14,435
3,650
49
2002 2005 2006 March 2007
Cumulative By year
4
Macroeconomic Conditions
Stable political and economic environment with sustainable growth prospects
Exponential economic growth environment with the MENASA as a whole growing at over 6% p.a.
Sufficient liquidity to drive growth with GCC countries sitting on US$ 398 billion of excess oil revenues
Regional Perspective
Regulatory & Economic Restructuring
Improvement in regulatory infrastructure and shift in economic policies caused by privatizations, globalization and efficient deployment of capital
Implementation of WTO commitments
Economic liberalization under way in a number of countries (such as the emergence of numerous financial centres)
Family businesses undergoing generational change
Sectors such as retail, telecommunications, infrastructure opening up to foreign investment
Availability of Capital
HNWIs, financial institutions, and pension funds providing capital
Post 9/11 the appetite of local investors increasingly looking towards regional investment opportunities
Oil boom filtering throughout the MENASA region
Exit mechanism
Availability of exit routes either through trade sales or IPOs
Increasing IPO and M&A activity; regional stock market correction a healthy phenomenon
Governments moving into governance and out of management
New financial exchanges with global best practice standards such as DIFX emerging
Private Equity Growth Drivers
Confluence of factors driving the regional growth of private equity
Required conditions for growth
5
Note: Excludes Oman and Lebanon for which statistics were not available, as of October 2006Source: Council on Foreign Relations, Abraaj analysis
Overview
Fastest growing labor population in the world
Region accounts for 5% of global population
Private Equity Growth Drivers
Unemployment is the single largest challenge for the region with the bulk of reforms being implemented to address the issue
Current & future MENA employment (million)
Regional response
Education
Privatization
Deregulation & Liberalization
Transparency
100.0 143.4 – 163.4
143.4
20.0 20.0
80.0
63.4
CurrentEmployment
New JobsRequired
Total Jobs
6
Factors driving requirement for investment
Population growth
Direct correlation between infrastructure requirements and population size Need for additional job creation
Economic growth
Economic growth could be stunted if hard and industrial infrastructure is ignored
Economic diversification
GCC governments in process of gradually reducing dependence on oil and gas
Comparative industrial advantage
Intrinsic value stemming from low energy and feedstock costs, abundant natural resources and cheap labour
Demographic change
Leading to increasing demand for education and healthcare services
Chronic under-investment
Low starting point
Confluence of factors driving the regional sectoral growth
Private Equity Opportunities
Source: Abraaj analysis
7
155
13349
18
87 630
188
Power Water Healthcare Education Transportation Petrochemicals Total
Investment opportunities in the MENASA region cover the full spectrum of infrastructure sectors
Private Equity Opportunities
Source: Abraaj analysis
MENASA infrastructure investment requirementsUS$ billion
8
US$ 325 billion of private investment required over next 5 years
Even with large budget surpluses in the GCC for example, there is still a large deficit in required financing.
GCC projects (US$ billion)
The Saudi Arabian government requires investments of US$ 624 billion over the next 15 years
Total announced projects spend requirement for the region
Private Equity Opportunities
Source: Abraaj analysis
UAE SaudiArabia
Qatar Oman Kuwait Bahrain TotalProjects
ExcessOil Rev.
272
200
11332
8125 723
398
UAE SaudiArabia
Qatar Oman Kuwait Bahrain TotalProjects
ExcessOil Rev.
272
200
11332
8125 723
398
9
Gradual liberalization of regulations are conducive to economic growth, yet more efforts are required to create a favorable environment
Unfavorable Favorable
Gradual liberalization of regulations and the impact on private equity firms
Foreign ownership
Customs duty
Intellectual property rights
Labour laws
Dispute settlement
Source: Abraaj analysis
Favourable Regulations
10
Sector Liberalization/ Privatization
Infrastructure
Family Groups /
Expatriate Business
Small/Medium Enterprises
(SMEs)
Investment Opportunities
Private Equity Outlook
Investment opportunities for private equity growth
Family Groups / Expatriate Business
Sector Liberalization/ Privatization
Small/Medium Enterprises
(SMEs)
Infrastructure
Finding gaps
Privatization
Sector liberalization
Divestments
Partnerships
Consolidation Management buyout
Source: Abraaj analysis
11
Private Equity Outlook
Where the industry is headed
More transparency– Reporting and disclosing information have to be continually emphasized throughout the PE industry
– Better communication of how PE firms create value is in the best interests of the PE industry
Better Corporate Governance– Good governance of a private equity firm facilitates the long-term success of the partnership. However, the
inherent nature of the PE business tends to offer short-term temptations for less-than-good governance
– To avoid short-sighted and short term actions a private equity firm must do what it pushes its own portfolio companies to do – Plan strategically in advance of crisis; seeking outside advice from experts
Best Practices– Formation of a regional governing body comprising of representatives from PE firms, regulators and other
economic sectors across the region that will issue guidelines on best practices within the PE industry
Improved Legal Infrastructures– The private equity industry in the region has grown by leaps and bounds but still lacks depth due to
uncertainty about rules and regulations
– It is imperative that the legal platform be strengthened in order to serve as the backbone for the development of the industry for years to come; regulators need to focus on this industry
12
Oman
UAEKSA
India
PakistanKuwait
BahrainEgypt
Lebanon
Turkey
IranIraq
LibyaAlgeria
Tunisia
Morocco
Syria
Jordan
Sri Lanka
Bangladesh
Qatar
Lebanon:1. Bader Lebanon2. Byblos Bank3. Capital Trust Group4. Corporate Finance House5. Eagle Mngmnt6. Fransa Bank7. Lebanon Invest Asset
Mngmnt8. Middle East Capital Group9. MENA Advisors
UAE:1. Abraaj Capital2. CERT Capital3. Daman Securities4. Dubai International Capital5. Estithmar Ventures Ltd6. Evolvence Capital7. Injazat Capital8. Ithmar Capital9. Shuaa Capital10.Gulf Capital11.Millennium Capital12.The GCC Energy Fund Mngrs13.The Group14.The National Investor15.Abu Dhabi Future Energy Co.
Tunisia:1. Tuninvest2. Société Tunisienne
d'Investissement à Capital Risque
Egypt:1. Citadel Capital2. Concord
Investments3. EFG Hermes4. Gulf Arab
Investment Co.
5. Oasis Capital
Jordan:1. Atlas Investment
Group2. Catalyst Private
Equity3. Foursan Group4. The Jordan Fund
Kuwait:1. Boubyan Bank2. Global Investment House3. Kamco4. Kuwait Financial Center
(Markaz)5. Kuwait Petrochem Corp6. National Tech Enterprises Co7. NBK Capital8. Noor Financial Inv Co9. Ryada Capital
Bahrain:1. Emerging Markets
Partnership2. Gulf Finance House3. Kuwait Finance House4. Unicorn Inv Bank5. Venture Capital Bank
India:1. Over 100
foreign PE players operating
2. Abraaj Capital
Morocco:1. ATLAMED
SA
Pakistan:1. Abraaj
Capital2. Jahangir
Siddiqui
KSA:1. Al Rajhi Banking &
Invest Corp2. Amwal Al Khaleej3. Athar Al Majid Hold.4. BMG Financial Advisors5. Malaz Group6. Swicorp
Qatar:1. Qatar Capital
Partners
Private Equity Landscape
With c.59 firms in the Middle East there is more room for growth
Source: Abraaj analysis, Zawya
13
Abraaj Capital
Private Equity
Real EstateSpecial
Opportunities
Infrastructure & Growth Capital
Corporate Finance
Research & Brokerage
Asset Management
ABOF
US$116m
MENA
2002
ABOF II
US$500m
MENASA
2005
ASOF
US$33m
MENASA
2003
25% Stake in EFG-HermesUS$ 500m
MENA
US$ 3.9 billion under management*
SAIBF
US$250m
India
2006
ABPBF
US$250m
Pakistan
2006
Alternative Asset Management Investment Banking Commercial Banking
AREF
US$114m
MENASA
2004
ASOF II
US$128m
MENASA
2005
IGCF
US$ 2b
MENASA
2006
* Includes co-investments of US$ 156 million
Retail Banking
Corporate Banking
Mortgage
Integrated Financial Services Provider
14
25 2361
95
212
776
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1Q 2007
Abraaj Capital
Aramex ONIC
Amwal
BMA
Septech
Spinneys
Arabtec
Dead Sea Conf.
JorAMCo
Maktoob
Abanar
Art Marine
Emirates Heights Dev.
Emirates Intl. Holding
Twin Islands
Investments
Funds Invested
Enshaa
Signature Clubs
MSF
NAS
Serai
Ramky
EFG-Hermes
FMCG Manufacturing sector investment
Oil & Gas Services sector investment
(in $ millions)
Air Arabia
Education sector investment
Note: Includes co-investments and excludes ASOF investments
Investment Track Record
15
Abraaj Capital
Abraaj and its affiliate companies currently employ 12,931 employees across the MENASA region (excludes Arabtec employees)
Egypt
EFG-Hermes Spinneys Egypt FMCG Manufacturing sector
investment 599 employees
Spinneys Lebanon 1,300 employees
Lebanon UAE
Abraaj Capital Septech Arabtec* Art Marine Emirates Heights
Development Emirates International
Holding Enshaa Signature Clubs Serai Air Arabia Oil & Gas Services sector
investment Education sector investment 7,285 employees
Sabre Capital Ramky 1,104 employees
India
BMA Pakistan MSF Twin Islands 1,059 employees
Pakistan
*Arabtec employees not included as over 28,000-30,000 at present
Note: Distribution of companies across different countries is based on the location of their headquarters. Many of the above companies have pan-regional operations, and the employees across different countries have been included in the country where they are headquartered.
Jordan
JorAMCo Maktoob Dead Sea Conference &
Resort 884 employees
Saudi Arabia
NAS 700 employees
16
Abraaj Capital
InvestmentsAnnounced / closed 11 new investments totaling US$ 988 million (2006-Present)
2006
8% Stake in
$17 million
2006
80% Stake in
$3.6 (of 20) million
2006
Follow-on investment
$5 million
2006
25% Stake in
$500 million
2006
30% Stake in
$177 million
NAS
2007
17% Stake in
$101 million
Air Arabia
2006
40% Stake in
N/A
2006
80% Stake in
$13 million
MS Forgings
Note: Amounts include co-investments
Asset management update
Announced - 2007
25% Stake in
$111 million
Education
2006
70% Stake in
$21 million
Oil & Gas Services
2006
37% Stake in
$39 million
FMCG Manufacturing
17
KSAIndia
Pakistan
Oman
UAE
Kuwait
BahrainEgypt
Lebanon
Turkey
IranIraq
LibyaAlgeria
Tunisia
Morocco
Syria
Jordan
Sri Lanka
Bangladesh
Qatar
Almost US$ 4 billion under management with a footprint across the MENASA region, Abraaj in the last year has launched its country and sector specific funds
Abraaj Capital
Middle East Private Equity: Investing in Foresight
www.abraaj.comTELEPHONE +9714 3191500 FACSIMILE +9714 3191600 E-MAIL [email protected]
ABRAAJ CAPITAL, LEVEL 7, EMIRATES TOWER OFFICES, P.O.BOX 504905, DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES,
Middle East Private Equity: Investing in Foresight