Date post: | 16-Aug-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | vitaly-pentegov |
View: | 41 times |
Download: | 1 times |
Executive summary
3
Analysis
Valuation
Synergies
• DCF, comparable companies and precedent transactions analysis of Lenta Ltd.• Sensitivity tests of results to various valuation assumptions• Impact estimation of contemplated acquisition on financials of Dixy• Synergy analysis
• 2nd largest hypermarket operator and 4th largest public retail in Russia
• Successful IPO – on track to double selling space over the 3 years to 2016
• 138 stores (31 hypermarkets and 14 supermarkets opened during 2014)
• 2nd consecutive year of growth - 194 bln. rub. total sales in 2014 (+34.5% from 2013)
• Lenta’s EV was evaluated using DCF, comparable companies and precedent transactions approaches
• Enterprise Value range from 201 788 mln. ₽ to 284 867 mln. ₽
• Business and country risks were taken into account
Conducted analysis showed that total synergies will add up 13.4 bln. rub. (5.2% of target)
• Revenue synergies = 4.2% (of target)
• SG&A and other operating synergies = 0.9% (of target)
• CapEx synergies = 0.1% (of target)
Why Lenta
Brief market overview
5Sources: Accenture Retail Report
The volume of retail market for the main formats, bln. rub. (20% of the main players in each segment)
Ruble depreciation effect on retailer profits
Recent Russian financial crisis led to decrease in operational and financial indices of Russian retail companies. However, the merger could be a good opportunity to get a significant market share due to crisis effects and irrational strategy of small players. Expected post-crisis growth of Russian retail market remains very positive.
Top 10 groceryretailersin Russia
by sales, 2014
Brief market overview
6Sources: Accenture Retail Report
Forecast for the turnover share of the largest retailers by regions for 2018, %
Siberia
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Pie chart: share, % Bars: number of products
104
2012 2014
176
+69%
12
2012 2014
34
+183%
Company profile: operationsBrief overview
Principal business: development and operation of food retail stores (mainly hypermarkets) located in Russia
Hypermarkets range in size: from 2,600 to 10,400 m2
with an average size of 6,400 m2
Selling space growth of 38.7% in 2014
Like-for-like sales growth of 10.6% in 2014
Industry-leading loyalty program with 6.5 mln. active cardholders (90% of sales in 2014)
Total selling space (‘000 m2)
Total Number of Stores
8
287 376508
701
2011 2012 2013 2014
42 5677
108
10
24
2011 2012 2013 2014
Hypermarkets Supermarkets
Traffic growth, %
Number of tickets, mln. units
Lenta’s sales by products
46%
14%
40%
Dry food
Fresh food
Non-food
Employees2013 2014
In-store personnel 25,663 32,170
Distribution 1,138 1,678
Management and other 1,058 1,235
Operations performance
+26.3% from 2013 to 2014
Company Profile: financials & valuation
9
Brief overview
Lenta Ltd. is one of the biggest Russian retail companies
Listed on London Stock Exchange and MICEX
Second largest hypermarket operator and sixth largest food retailer
Company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Saint Petersburg
Key metrics
Stock price chart
More data (updated)
Sources: Lenta financial reports, Bloomberg, FT
Market Cap. (bln. $) 3.8
Stock Price ($) 8.3
P/E (TTM) 104.9
Ended 31-Dec 2014 2013 2012
EBITDA (mln. ₽) 21.3 16.1 11.8
Gross margin, % 22.6 21.8 20.6
Debt-to-equity, % 13.4 5.9 -1.5
EPS ($) 0.35 0.27 0.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Volume ('000000 shares) Close price ($)
Approximately 35,100 employees
2014 sales of 194 bln. rub. (0.28 mln. rub. per m2 )
113 hypermarkets and 25 supermarkets
Over 85% of Lenta’s real estate is owned
735,128 sq m of selling space
6 distribution centres
Map of Lenta’s hypermarkets – the main format of retail stores
10
Locations of Lenta’s hypermarkets and hypermarket distribution centers in Russia by federal district at the end of 2013
Sources: Lenta financial report FY 2013
Company ownership structure
Top management & board of directors
Ownership
4.1%
16.6%
5.0%
6.3%
38.5%
11Sources: Lenta financial statements
Luna Inc.
EBRDLuna Holdings Inc.
New World Fund, Inc.
Loren Bough
John Oliver, Chairman Jan Danning, CEO
• M.B.A. from INSEAD• CEO, GE Capital Information Technology Solutions• Partner of TPG Capital
• University of Amsterdam, Economics• General Manager, Metro Cash & Carry, Ukraine • Operations Director, Metro Cash & Carry,Russia
Geographical diversification
13
479 Dixy stores + 60Victoria stores + 3 DCs
23 Lenta hypermarkets + 2 DC
91 Dixy stores + 35Megamart stores + 1 DC
16 Lenta hypermarkets + 1 DC
2 Dixy stores
13 Lenta hypermarkets
10 Lenta hypermarkets
1554 Dixy stores + 35Victoria stores + 3 DCs
13 Lenta hypermarkets + 1 supermarket + 1 DC
o The merger will strengthen Dixy operations in Central, North West and Volga regions. It will give Dixy the access to South, Siberia and Urals regions
o It will allow to the merged company be in all retail segments (presented by retail stores formats)
o In addition, merger will lead to increase in purchasing power due to rise in purchase volume
o The merger will cause CapEx and SG&A reduction and other anti-crisis opportunities
* Victoria stores are Dixy group subsidiariesand DCs – abbr. for Distribution Centers
Significant potential increase in main indicators
14Sources: PMR, Lenta and Dixy financial statements,analyst’s estimation
Consolidated share ~5%
Consolidated Number of stores 2195 + 138
Top 10 grocery retailers in Russia by sales, 2014
Consolidated Selling Space ~1448 (‘000 m2)
Consolidated Revenue2195 + 138
Potential increase of main indicators
Valuation methods applied
16
DCF
Comparable Companies
PrecedentTransaction
Intrinsic value of the company was calculated as the sum of free cash flows generated by the upstream assets discounted by specific cost of capital
Description Consideration
- Value of the company was calculated by applying EV/EBITDA and EV/Sales ratios of listed comparable companies to Lenta metrics
- Company value was calculated by applying EV/EBITDAR ratios from previous transactions to LentaEBITDAR estimate
- This valuation method can include premiums historically paid for control in the industry
- Lack of comparable historic transactions for companies and assets with similar characteristics and geography of assets
- Useful only for approximate estimation
- Lack of public companies and assets with similar characteristics and geography of assets
- Useful only for approximate estimation
- Calculated applying EBITDA multiple and Gordon growth methods
- Recent changes in company operations and financials are taken into account
- Calculated with macroeconomic and operations forecasts
Discounted cash flow assumptions
17
Macro
Operating
General & Financial
Sources: Russian CB, Bloomberg, Rosstat,World Bank, OECD, Lenta’s financial statements
11.4%17.5%
8.0% 9.2% 7.8%
Russian GDP growth and inflation forecast
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
World Bank OECD
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
GDP
Inflation
Key rate: 12.5%
Russian CPI: 17%
Level of poverty: 14%
USD/RUB exchange rate: 50 rubles per USD
Russian default spread: 1.9%
MIBOR (3 month): 14.22%
Amortization rate: 11%
Tax depreciation rate:
Retirement rate:
Dividend payout ratio: 0%
Life time of stores: 20 years
Growth rate in number of stores: 35%
Yearly traffic per store: 1 275 362
Ticket per customer: 1,092.00 rubles
CapEx per store: 95 000 000 rubles
Terminal growth rate: 7.2%
26.40%22.30%
17%
47%
25.30%21.30%
2012 2013 2014
Lenta Dixy
Effective tax rate, %
DCF sensitivity analysis
18
8.0x 9.0x 10.0x 11.0x 12.0x
Discount 17.0% 248,178 ₽ 278,174 ₽ 308,170 ₽ 338,166 ₽ 368,162 ₽
Rate 18.0% 237,717 ₽ 266,463 ₽ 295,210 ₽ 323,956 ₽ 352,703 ₽
(WACC) 19.0% 227,773 ₽ 255,332 ₽ 282,891 ₽ 310,449 ₽ 338,008 ₽
20.0% 218,317 ₽ 244,746 ₽ 271,176 ₽ 297,605 ₽ 324,035 ₽
21.0% 209,321 ₽ 234,676 ₽ 260,031 ₽ 285,386 ₽ 310,741 ₽
22.0% 200,758 ₽ 225,091 ₽ 249,424 ₽ 273,757 ₽ 298,090 ₽
23.0% 192,606 ₽ 215,966 ₽ 239,326 ₽ 262,685 ₽ 286,045 ₽
8.0x 9.0x 10.0x 11.0x 12.0x
Discount 17.0% 406 ₽ 471 ₽ 535 ₽ 600 ₽ 664 ₽
Rate 18.0% 384 ₽ 446 ₽ 508 ₽ 569 ₽ 631 ₽
(WACC) 19.0% 363 ₽ 422 ₽ 481 ₽ 540 ₽ 600 ₽
20.0% 342 ₽ 399 ₽ 456 ₽ 513 ₽ 570 ₽
21.0% 323 ₽ 377 ₽ 432 ₽ 486 ₽ 541 ₽
22.0% 304 ₽ 357 ₽ 409 ₽ 461 ₽ 514 ₽
23.0% 287 ₽ 337 ₽ 387 ₽ 438 ₽ 488 ₽
Total Enterprise Value Total Price Per Share
DCF Analysis (2015-2019): EBITDA Multiple Method
DCF Analysis (2015-2019): Perpetuity Growth Method
Total Enterprise Value Total Price Per Share
Main Inputs
WACC* = 15.4% Terminal growth rate = 7.2% Shares outstanding = 465 mln. Effective tax rate = 20%
Main Outputs
EV (EBITDA multiple) = 285 bln. EV (Gordon growth) = 220 bln. IRR on investment = 13.9% Equity IRR = 30%
5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0%
Discount 12.0% 272,183 ₽ 310,520 ₽ 364,193 ₽ 444,701 ₽ 578,882 ₽
Rate 13.0% 235,354 ₽ 263,103 ₽ 300,101 ₽ 351,899 ₽ 429,595 ₽
(WACC) 14.0% 206,786 ₽ 227,621 ₽ 254,409 ₽ 290,126 ₽ 340,130 ₽
15.0% 183,997 ₽ 200,092 ₽ 220,212 ₽ 246,080 ₽ 280,571 ₽
16.0% 165,407 ₽ 178,128 ₽ 193,676 ₽ 213,111 ₽ 238,099 ₽
17.0% 149,966 ₽ 160,209 ₽ 172,501 ₽ 187,524 ₽ 206,303 ₽
18.0% 136,945 ₽ 145,322 ₽ 155,222 ₽ 167,102 ₽ 181,622 ₽
5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0%
Discount 12.0% 458 ₽ 541 ₽ 656 ₽ 829 ₽ 1118 ₽
Rate 13.0% 379 ₽ 439 ₽ 518 ₽ 630 ₽ 797 ₽
(WACC) 14.0% 317 ₽ 362 ₽ 420 ₽ 497 ₽ 604 ₽
15.0% 268 ₽ 303 ₽ 346 ₽ 402 ₽ 476 ₽
16.0% 228 ₽ 256 ₽ 289 ₽ 331 ₽ 385 ₽
17.0% 195 ₽ 217 ₽ 244 ₽ 276 ₽ 316 ₽
18.0% 167 ₽ 185 ₽ 207 ₽ 232 ₽ 263 ₽
growth
EV/EBITDA
* The calculation of WACC is described on the slide 29
0
50
100
150
200
250
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
CapEx bln. rub. Total № of stores New stores added
Key outputs
19
Free Cash Flow (bln. rub.) CapEx & Number of Stores
Debt-to-EBITDA Return on Invested Capital
Ca
pE
x
Nu
mb
er
of
sto
res
Notes: declining indicators in 2015 reflect current Russian financial crisis
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
20.00%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Comparable and precedent transactions analysis
20
Comparable companies Precedent transactions
Multiples Multiples
Date Acquirer TargetEV /
EBITDA EV / Sales
22/2/12 Billa AG ENKA TC LLC 8.6x 0.6x
6/20/11 DIXY Group Victoria Group 9.6x 0.8x
4/31/11 7th Continent Mosmart CJSC 15.4x 1.4x6/9/14 Azbuka Vkusa Spar 6.5x 0.4x
12/15/10 X5 retail group Kopeyka 10.9x 0.9x30/9/09 X5 retail group Paterson 9.8x 0.7x3/12/12 Aushan Real 13.7x 0.4x
9/8/11 EBRD and Luna Lenta 11.3x 1.1x
9/5/13 VimpelCom Ltd Digital ION 3.4x 0.2x
EV / EBITDA EV/ Sales2015 2016 2017 Current
Company x x x x
X5 retail 8.0x 6.7x 6.1x 0.5xMetro Cash & Carry 5.4x 5.2x 5.1x 0.2xMagnit 14.6x 11.4x 8.9x 1.4x
O'key 5.0x 4.3x 3.6x 0.4xDixy group 4.2x 3.5x 3.1x 0.4xM.Video 5.6x 5.4x 4.9x 0.2xMean 7.1x 6.1x 5.3x 0.5x75th Percentile 7.4x 6.4x 5.8x 0.4x25th Percentile 5.1x 4.5x 3.9x 0.3x
Tier I: Relevant Companies
Tier II: Others
EV/EBITDA2015 E
EV/EBITDA2016 E
EV/EBITDA2017 E
EV/Sales 51 694 85 660
127 168 186 935
169 146 239 643
187 379 278 493
mln. rub. mln. rub.
mln. rub. - 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000 250 000 300 000
EV/EBITDA
Precedent Trasactions (EV/EBITDA)
- 50 000 100 000 150 000 200 000
EV/Sales
Precedent Trasactions (EV/Sales)
50000 75000 100000 125000 150000 175000 200000 225000 250000 275000 300000
Enterprise value
21
Valuation result
DCF method was considered as more relevant. Final Enterprise Value range from 201 788 mln. ₽ to 284 867 mln. ₽. EV/Sales multiple gives very low results as it is very volatile in the analysis.
Enterprise value range
Indicator Range
Implied EV/EBITDA 13.67 17.13
Implied share price 475 492
Premium to market cap 2% 43%
DCF (EBITDA mult.)
Comparablecompanies
Precedenttransactions
EV calculated
DCF (Gordon growth)
DCF
EV/EBITDA 2015E
EV/EBITDA 2016E
EV/EBITDA 2017E
EV/Sales
EV/EBITDA
EV/Sales
Debt adj. Market Cap 257 967
187 379 278 493
169 146 239 643
127 968 186935
51 694 85 660
196 514 257 294
83 700 169 607
mln. rub.
183 997 246 080
244 746 286 080
To finance the acquisition we advice to use debt
The premium paid to the market value of equity can be justified by strategic rationales and cost synergies
Based on Dixy’s last annual report, it will be able to raise debt at around 11.45 – 12.15 % that could be less at the time of initiation of the transaction basing on the last significant decrease in key rate in Russia
Dixy could use it cash though it has not got a significant amount of it
Deal assumptions
23
Funds required
Equity was calculated by subtracting net debt from Lenta’s Enterprise value
The premium paid to the market value of equity can be justified by strategic rationales and cost synergies
We suggest that the whole amount of target’s debt will be repaid
Financing
Sources Uses
Consideration = 228 780
Advisory Fees = 1 964
Debt Issuance Fees =1 079
Debt Retirement = 12 695
Shares issued = 55 140
Target Company Cash = 2 750
New Senior Debt = 154 218
Sources & Uses (mln. rub.)
Total Uses: 245 008 Total Sources: 245 008
Goodwill: 177 853
Dixy Debt-to-EBITDA, x
Sources: Dixy and Lenta financial statements, analyst’s estimations
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2015 2016 2017
In-store DistributionG&A Expense synergies% of Total costs
Potential synergies
24
Revenue synergies
Cost synergies2017
2016
2015
4766
3473
2381
1.4%
0.9%
0.6%
16 955 23 124
29 257
559
772
980
1 265421
1 759269
1 475
119
Revenue synergies(gray), % of revenue (blue)
After the merger between Lenta Ltd. And Dixy Group the management and administrative staff could be reduced due to merger of the HQs and regional offices
Merger will also lead to consolidation of DCs and its reduction that will lead to reduction of DCs’ staff as well
Merger of offices and DCs will lead to cost synergies linked with capital expenditures
We analyzed revenue synergies from Letna Ltd. and Dixy Group merger basing on prediction of market share boost from acquisition that was calculated by revenue split by the type of sales sources: dry food, fresh food and non-food taking into consideration increase in purchasing power
80%
Revenue Synergies
Total Synergies = 13.4 bln. rub. (5.2% of target EV)
CostSynergies
20%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Minimum Maximum FFO to Debt
Merger analysis
25
Contribution analysis
Accretion/dilution Analysis Funds From Operation to Total Debt
232.08
341.36
469.89
600.96
728.47
300.22
393.61
516.06
676.59
887.07
- 200.00 400.00 600.00 800.00 1,000.00
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Target Company Acquaring Company
Revenue, bln. rub.
20.94
50.68
72.52 75.30
2015 2016 2017 2018
Free Cash Flow, bln. rub.
EPS (rub.)
-
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Consolidated Earnings Per Share Acquiring Company EPS
Summary of our proposal
26
Acquisition Assumptions Standalone Valuation
Operating AssumptionsCapital Structure
Cash value per share paid = 303.72 rub. New shares issued = 55 139 Debt issued in transaction = 154.22 bln. rub. Premium paid per share = 3%
Traffic per store = 1.33 mln. Margin per store = 18%
Equity consideration = 196. 37 bln. rub. EV paid= 267.88 bln. rub.
Implied P/E ratio = 21.64 Implied EV/EBITDA = 15.17 Implied M/B ratio = 11.74
Consolidated Debt-to-Capital = 70.9% Consolidated Debt-to-EBITDA = 3.6x
What is Lenta Ltd. ? Potential Deal Concerns Consolidated expected share by 2018
12%
6% 14%
26%9%
12%
2nd largest hypermarket operator and 4th largest public retail in Russia
Successful IPO – on track to double selling space over the 3 years to 2016
138 stores (31 hyper- and 14 supermarkets opened during 2014)
2nd consecutive year of growth -194 bln. rub. total sales in 2014 (+34.5% from 2013)
Merger of Dixy Group with Lenta Ltd. would have the following accretive effects: Reduction of SG&A and CapEx
expenses Significant revenue synergy Advantageous geographic location of
companies’ assets and facilities Accretive result of consolidated EPS
Sources: Lenta’s financial statements, Accenture retail report, analyst’s estimations
Appendix contents
28
→ Slide 29: Lenta’s WACC calculation
→ Slides 30-31: Lenta’s IS, BS, CF statements
→ Slides 32-33: Dixy’s IS, BS, CF statements
→ Slide 34-35: Consolidated IS; BS; CF statements
Calculation of Lenta’s WACC
29
Cost of Equity
Levered Beta = 0.68
Risk Free rate = 9.8%
Market RP* = 8.6%Company RP = 5%
Cost of Debt
Tax Rate= 20%
Cost of Debt = 11.8%
Levered Cost of Equity= 40.6%
Levered Cost of Equity= 40.6%
WACC = 15.4%
Weight of Equity = 19%
Weight of Debt = 81%
* RP – abbr. for risk premium
Sources:Investing.com
Aswath Damodaran
Markets.ft.com
Companies' statements
Bloomberg
!Yahoo Finance
Trading Economics
BOND
Lenta’s P&L and cash flow statement
30
Income Statement 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Revenues 232,076.86 341,360.60 469,888.55 600,956.37 728,471.13
Less: Operating Expenses 174,016.79 259,940.02 360,744.71 463,527.84 563,488.30
EBITDA 58,060.08 81,420.58 109,143.84 137,428.53 164,982.83
Less: Depreciation - Book 8,934.00 9,179.48 9,481.47 9,843.47 10,233.58
Less: Amortization 671.53 671.53 671.53 671.53 671.53
EBIT 48,454.54 71,569.56 98,990.84 126,913.53 154,077.71
Less: Interest on Long-term Debt 34,243.65 27,963.15 21,682.66 15,402.16 9,121.66
Less: Interest on Short-term Debt 2,539.08 8,482.24 13,181.35 11,997.56 4,236.61
Add: Interest Income 2,042.88 - - - -
EBT 13,714.68 35,124.17 64,126.83 99,513.80 140,719.43
Less: Taxes - Book 2,742.94 7,024.83 12,825.37 19,902.76 28,143.89
Net Income Before Minorty Interest 10,971.75 28,099.34 51,301.47 79,611.04 112,575.55
Less: Minority Interest - - - - -
Net Income to Common Shareholders 10,971.75 28,099.34 51,301.47 79,611.04 112,575.55
Cash Flow Statement
EBITDA 58,060.08 81,420.58 109,143.84 137,428.53 164,982.83
Less: WC Change -8,801.55 -11,107.12 -10,622.17 -9,397.97 -8,119.70
Less: Taxes Paid 1,839.83 5,116.78 10,067.14 16,405.53 24,005.58
Operating Cash Flow 65,021.80 87,410.92 109,698.86 130,420.98 149,096.94
Less: Capital Expenditures 44,219.09 36,701.26 31,156.08 26,456.68 36,934.15
Add: Sale Proceeds
Cash Before Financing 20,802.70 50,709.65 78,542.78 103,964.30 112162.7975
Less: Interest on Long-term 34,243.65 27,963.15 21,682.66 15,402.16 9,121.66
Less: Interest on Short-term 2,539.08 8,482.24 13,181.35 11,997.56 4,236.61
Add: Interest Income 2,042.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Less: Debt Repayment 37,759.83 37,759.83 37,759.83 37,759.83 37,759.83
Less: Dividends to Minority - - - - -
Less: Dividends to Common - - - - -
Net Cash Flow (51,696.98) (23,495.57) 5,918.94 38,804.74 61044.68587
Lenta’s Balance Sheet
31
Balance Sheet 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Common Equity
Opening Balance 55,139.50 66,111.25 94,210.59 145,512.05 225,123.10
Add: Net Income to Common 10,971.75 28,099.34 51,301.47 79,611.04 112,575.55
Less: Dividends to Common - - - - -
Closing Balance 66,111.25 94,210.59 145,512.05 225,123.10 337,698.64
Minority Interest
Opening Balance 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Add: Minority Income - - - - -
Less: Dividends to Minority - - - - -
Closing Balance - - - - -
Assets
Current Assets
Cash 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39,861.61
Accounts Receivable 2,557.80 3,762.25 5,178.80 6,623.34 8,028.72
Inventories -9,722.33 -13,434.36 -17,064.11 -20,333.20 -23,205.07
Other 10,816.71 10,816.71 10,816.71 10,816.71 10,816.71
Total Current Assets 3,652.17 1,144.60 (1,068.61) (2,893.15) 35,501.97
Long-term Assets
Fixed Assets - Gross 107,569.29 130,333.51 150,618.70 168,596.08 198,916.37
Accumulated Depreciation 8,934.00 13,691.57 15,081.00 13,716.83 10,097.10
Net Plant 116,503.30 144,025.08 165,699.70 182,312.91 209,013.47
Financial Investments
Fair Value of Derivatives 765.26 765.26 765.26 765.26 765.26
Other Investments 3,668.22 3,668.22 3,668.22 3,668.22 3,668.22
Intangible Assets 3,857.60 3,401.97 2,946.34 2,490.72 2,035.09
Goodwill 177,852.63 177,852.63 177,852.63 177,852.63 177,852.63
Debt Issuance Costs 863.62 647.72 431.81 215.91 0.00
Total Other Investments 187,007.33 186,335.80 185,664.26 184,992.73 184,321.20
Total Assets 307,162.80 331,505.48 350,295.36 364,412.48 428,836.63
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 22,523.51 31,123.06 39,532.03 47,105.45 53,758.66
Short-term Loans 42,411.19 65,906.76 59,987.82 21,183.07 0.00
Total 64,934.70 97,029.82 99,519.84 68,288.52 53,758.66
Long-term Liabilities
Long-Term Debt 175,149.93 137,390.10 99,630.26 61,870.43 24,110.60
Pension Obligations 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Deferred Taxes 903.10 2,811.16 5,569.38 9,066.61 13,204.91
Other Liabilities 63.82 63.82 63.82 63.82 63.82
Total Long-term Liabilities 176,116.85 140,265.07 105,263.47 71,000.86 37,379.33
Minority Interest 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Common Equity 66,111.25 94,210.59 145,512.05 225,123.10 337,698.64
66,111.25 94,210.59 145,512.05 225,123.10 337,698.64
Total Liabilities and Equity 307,162.80 331,505.48 350,295.36 364,412.48 428,836.63
Dixy’s historical Balance sheet and P&L
32
Balance Sheet 2011 2012 2013 2014
Assets
Current assets 14,794 19,826 22,837 28,773
Gross Plant 24,529 32,491 34,061 55,711
Plant Gain 292
Accumulated Depreciation -6,787 -9,724 -13,631 -18,887
Property, plant and equipment, net (3) 17,742 22,767 20,430 37,115
Financial Investments 38
Intangible assets 20,744 20,660 20,543 20,553
Other assets 9,920 11,925 16,237 1,842
Total assets 63,201 75,178 80,047 88,321
Liabilities
Short-term debt 6,746 9,364 328 1,126
Current liabilities 14,320 17,302 17,409 28,666
Long-term debt 9,810 23,548 28,560 25,855
Pension Liabilities 0 0 0 0
Deferred income taxes liabilities 1,239 1,115 852 655
Other 7,672 -591 5,370 0
Total liabilities 39,786 50,738 52,519 56,302
Minority Interest 0 1 0 0
Controlling interest 0 0 0 0
Stockholders’ equity 23,415 24,440 27,528 32,019
Total Liabilities and Equity 63,201 75,178 80,047 88,321
Balance check TRUE TRUE TRUE TRUE
Income Statement
Total revenues 102,317 147,023 180,504 228,985
Cost of Sales without Depreciation 74,586 104,872 125,135 159,500
Operating expenses 21,311 33,690 32,316 39,677
Other expenses, net 114 0 10,261 13,448
EBITDA 6,307 8,461 12,793 16,360
Depreciation 2,850 3,976 5,235 6,088
Amortization 0 0 0 0
EBIT 3,456 4,485 7,558 10,272
Interest Expense 1,309 2,505 3,468 4,094
Interest Income 0 0 0 157
Exchange and Other 0 0 0 628
EBT 2,147 1,980 4,090 5,708
Income taxes 1,046 928 1,035 1,217
Consolidated net income for the year 1,102 1,052 3,056 4,491
Minoirty Interest 0.06 -0.36 -0.13 0.23
Net controlling interest income 1,102 1,053 3,056 4,490
Dixy’s projectes balance sheet and P&L
33
Profit and Loss
Revenues 300,218 393,610 516,055 676,590 887,065
Less: Operating Expenses 279,733 366,338 476,288 624,635 821,696
EBITDA 20,485 27,272 39,768 51,955 65,369
Less: Depreciation 6,985 9,728 13,324 18,039 24,221
Less: Amortization - - - - -
EBIT 13,500 17,544 26,443 33,916 41,148
Less: Interest 5,688 8,387 11,201 14,225 18,119
Add: Interest Income 6 - - - -
Less: Other
EBT 7,818 9,157 15,242 19,691 23,030
Less: Income Tax 1,564 1,831 3,048 3,938 4,606
Income After Tax 6,254 7,326 12,194 15,753 18,424
Less: Minority Interest 0 0 1 1 1
Income to Common Shares 6,254 7,325 12,193 15,752 18,423
Balance Sheet
Common Equity
Opening Balance 31,727 37,981 45,306 57,499 73,252
Add: Net Income 6,254 7,325 12,193 15,752 18,423
Less: Dividends - - - - -
Closing Balance 37,981 45,306 57,499 73,252 91,675
Minority Interest
Opening Balance - 0 1 1 2
Add: Net Income 0 0 1 1 1
Less: Dividends 0 0 0 0 0
Closing Balance 0 1 1 2 2
Assets
Current assets 39,899 52,311 68,585 89,920 117,892
Property, plant and equipment, net (3) 51,713 70,665 94,943 126,203 166,618
Investment in shares 0 0 0 0 0
Intangible assets 20,936 21,437 22,094 22,956 24,086
Other assets 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842
Total assets 114,391 146,256 187,464 240,921 310,438
Liabilities
Short-term debt 16,513 32,448 49,377 70,432 98,892
Current liabilities 35,971 47,162 61,833 81,068 106,286
Long-term debt 23,270 20,684 18,099 15,513 12,928
Pension Liabilities 0 0 0 0 0
Deferred income taxes liabilities 655 655 655 655 655
Other 0 0 0 0 0
Total liabilities 76,409 100,949 129,963 167,668 218,761
Minority Interest 0 1 1 2 2
Controlling interest 37,981 45,306 57,499 73,252 91,675
Stockholders’ equity 37,981 45,307 57,500 73,253 91,677
Total Liabilities and Equity 114,391 146,256 187,464 240,921 310,438
Consolidated P&L and Cash Flow statements
34
Profit and Loss 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Revenues 532,294.92 734,970.92 985,943.73 1,277,546.74 1,615,536.20
Less: Operating Expenses 453,749.62 626,278.41 837,032.30 1,088,162.75 1,385,184.19
EBITDA 78,545.30 108,692.51 148,911.43 189,383.99 230,352.00
Less: Depreciation - Book 15,919.40 18,907.75 22,805.87 27,882.70 34,454.33
Less: Amortization 671.53 671.53 671.53 671.53 671.53
EBIT 61,954.37 89,113.23 125,434.03 160,829.76 195,226.14
Less: Interest on Long-term Debt 33,413.80 26,588.24 19,762.68 12,937.12 6,111.56
Less: Interest on Short-term Debt 237.35 10,940.00 18,020.82 18,945.19 13,560.19
Add: Interest Income 1,485.73 - - - -
EBT 29,788.95 51,584.99 87,650.54 128,947.45 175,554.40
Less: Taxes - Book 5,957.79 10,317.00 17,530.11 25,789.49 35,110.88
Net Income Before Minorty Interest 23,831.16 41,267.99 70,120.43 103,157.96 140,443.52
Less: Minority Interest 0.32 0.38 0.62 0.81 0.94
Net Income to Common Shareholders 23,830.84 41,267.62 70,119.80 103,157.15 140,442.58
Cash Flow
EBITDA 78,545.30 108,692.51 148,911.43 189,383.99 230,352.00
Less: WC Change (5,272.17) (9,885.20) (9,020.12) (7,297.57) (5,365.89)
Less: Taxes Paid 5,054.69 8,408.95 14,771.88 22,292.26 30,972.58
Operating Cash Flow 78,762.78 110,168.76 143,159.67 174,389.30 204,745.32
Less: Capital Expenditures 66,094.38 65,381.55 68,758.27 75,756.21 101,569.85
Less: Expenditures for Intangibles 382.33 501.26 657.20 861.64 1,129.68
Add: Sale Proceeds
Cash Before Financing 12,286.07 44,285.95 73,744.20 97,771.45 102,045.79
Less: Interest on Long-term 33,413.80 26,588.24 19,762.68 12,937.12 6,111.56
Less: Interest on Short-term 237.35 10,940.00 18,020.82 18,945.19 13,560.19
Add: Interest Income 1,485.73 - - - -
Less: Debt Repayment 40,174.18 40,345.33 40,345.33 40,345.33 40,345.33
Less: Dividends to Minority 0.06 0.08 0.12 0.16 0.19
Less: Dividends to Common - - - - -
Net Cash Flow (60,053.59) (33,587.70) (4,384.75) 25,543.64 42,028.53
Consolidated Balance Sheet
35
Balance Sheet 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Common Equity
Opening Balace 87,158.40 110,989.24 152,256.85 222,376.66 325,533.81
Add: Net Income 23,830.84 41,267.62 70,119.80 103,157.15 140,442.58
Less: Dividends - - - - -
Closing Balance 87,158.40 110,989.24 152,256.85 222,376.66 325,533.81 465,976.39
Minority Interest
Opening Balace - 0.26 0.56 1.06 1.70
Add: Net Income 0.32 0.38 0.62 0.81 0.94
Less: Dividends 0.06 0.08 0.12 0.16 0.19
Closing Balance - 0.26 0.56 1.06 1.70 2.46
Assets
Current Assets
Cash 9,285.80 - - - - -
Other 67,196.84 43,380.45 53,284.86 67,344.76 86,855.59 113,361.50
Total Current Assets 76,482.63 43,380.45 53,284.86 67,344.76 86,855.59 113,361.50
Long-term Assets
Fixed Assets - Gross 136,928.90 185,155.27 236,599.78 294,487.16 361,764.07 456,720.07
Accumulated Depreciation (18,887.30) (16,938.69) (21,909.39) (33,844.37) (53,247.77) (81,088.24)
Net Plant 118,041.60 168,216.58 214,690.39 260,642.79 308,516.31 375,631.83
Financial Investments 37.51 37.51 37.51 37.51 37.51 37.51
Fair Value of Derivatives 765.26 765.26 765.26 765.26 765.26 765.26
Other Investments 5,510.27 5,510.27 5,510.27 5,510.27 5,510.27 5,510.27
Intangible Assets 24,866.69 24,793.38 24,839.02 25,040.58 25,446.59 26,120.64
Goodwill 177,852.63 177,852.63 177,852.63 177,852.63 177,852.63 177,852.63
Debt Issuance Costs 1,079.53 863.62 647.72 431.81 215.91 -
Total Other Investments 210,111.88 209,822.68 209,652.40 209,638.06 209,828.17 210,286.31
Total Assets 404,636.11 421419.7104 477,627.65 537,625.62 605,200.06 699,279.64
Liabilities and Capital
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable 77,039.17 58,494.96 78,284.56 101,364.59 128,172.98 160,044.79
Short-term Loans 1,125.87 51,893.66 85,481.36 89,866.11 64,322.46 22,293.94
Total 78,165.04 110,388.62 163,765.92 191,230.70 192,495.45 182,338.73
Long-term Liabilities
Long-Term Debt 238,593.63 198,419.45 158,074.11 117,728.78 77,383.44 37,038.11
Pension Obligations - - - - - -
Deferred Taxes 655.23 1,558.33 3,466.38 6,224.61 9,721.84 13,860.14
Other Liabilities 63.82 63.82 63.82 63.82 63.82 63.82
Total Long-term Liabilities 239,312.68 200,041.60 161,604.32 124,017.21 87,169.10 50,962.07
Minority Interest - 0.26 0.56 1.06 1.70 2.46
Common Equity 87,158.40 110,989.24 152,256.85 222,376.66 325,533.81 465,976.39
Total Liabilities and Equity 404,636.11 421,419.71 477,627.65 537,625.62 605,200.06 699,279.64
Deal analyst & contacts
36
Vitaly Pentegov
Skills:
Corporate finance 80%
Equity research 90%
Programming 60%
Leadership 75%
Awards:
Analyst at VTB
McKinsey Business Diving, captain, semi-finalist Changellenge Cup Moscow: top-15
Education:
Higher School of Economics, BSc, mathematics Erasmus University Rotterdam, EIB banking program Alfa Bank school of risk management Yandex school of data analysis, computer science Yale university, financial markets course
Working experience:
VTB bank, analyst intern in financial department Dialog/ELC, head of IT department Google inc., data specialist Moscow Financial Club, President, CEO
2011-201520152014
2013-20142014
20152013-2015
20122015
20152014