Marine Core Service MY OCEAN WP 18 URD Synthesis - Climate and Weather Forecasting.

MarineCore

Service

MY OCEAN

WP 18URD Synthesis - Climate and Weather Forecasting

Marine Core Service

MyOcean WP18 & User Meeting/ 29-30 September Athens

URD Main Elements/Agenda

Area of Benefit (Capt. 3)– Definition

Users (Capt. 1,4,5)– User description – Missions and improvements of capabilities – Policy driving needs– Tasks description and users short term needs– Evolution and Future of User needs

Products and Services (Capt. 6)– Overview– Product and Service Requirements– Critical issues

Comments/Conclusions

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Area of Benefit (Chapt. 3)

Two Sub-areas (TBD)– Weather and Seasonal Forecasting

• Short-term for tomorrow and up to the next few days • Medium-range (weekly, monthly, seasonal)

– Climate analysis • long-term analysis• environmental impact assessment (downscaling

products)

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User Description (Chapt.1, 4)

Number of Users: 13

EU: 1

IG: 3

SP: 9

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User Description (Chapt.1,4)

[j1]Nach Areas sortieren, 1. Weather and seasonal, 2. climate, 3. both

Climate and Weather Forecasting

User Category

No Name of Organizations Marine Area Area of benefit

European Agencies (EU)

1 • European Environment Agency (EEA); 32 MS

•All • Climate, Weather

Intergovern-mental Body (IG)

3 • Helsinki Commission (HELCOM); 9 Member States (MS)• Black Sea Commission (BSC); 6 MS• European Centre for Medium- Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF); 31 MS

•Baltic Sea

•Black Sea

•All

• Climate

• Climate, Weather

• Weather

Service Provider (SP)

9 Examples• French Research Institut for Exploitation of the Sea (Ifremer)

• University of Latvia (UL)

• Atlantic, Mediterranean Sea• Baltic sea

•Climate, Weather

•Climate, Weather

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Users missions (Chapt. 4.1)

General

Environmental assessment, monitoring and forecast in terms of climate issues

Answering to social expectations on climate change effects

Policy driving needs

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Users Improvement of capabilities (Chapt. 4.2)

General

Improvement of existent services

Development of new data services for public/ and private use

Improvement of Web Server services and data centres

Include metadata in existing information systems

Assessment and evaluation of MFC products

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EEA Increase in-house relevant resources and capabilities to

integrate MCS products in information systems (e.g. Shared environmental information system (SEIS))

Intergovernmental Bodies Strengthening of regional and international networks in

cooperation and data exchange Include validated data sets Improvement of advisory working groups, e.g. in fields of

– Monitoring programmes – Development of Environmental Quality Objectives – Technical implementations for internal and external

information and data exchange

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Service Providers Improvement of data assimilation systems and services, to

provide coastal operational services from regional up to global scale. – Implementation of SST and Sea-ice concentration products

to improve the medium range forecast of ocean waves and weather

Obtain scientific knowledge and build up technological Innovations (exploration and observation) for ocean circulation

forecasting

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Users policy driving needs (Chapt.5.1)

Global/EU Kyoto Protocol, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) World Meteorological Organization (WMO)

Regional Baltic: HELCOM Convention Atlantic/North Sea: OSPAR Convention Mediterranean: Barcelona Convention Black Sea:Black Sea Environmental Programme (BSEP)

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Users tasks description and users short term needs (Chapt.5.2)

Policy Sector or Area of benefit:

Climate

Policy Activity Tasks

Climate change Kyoto Protocol Estimation of influence on other environmental issues

Impact assessment of Climate change to environmental goals set by HELCOM and its member states.

Climate analysis Atmospheric and Ocean re-analysis

Historical reconstructions of SST and sea-ice with consistent quality are required to improve the quality of atmospheric reanalysis.

Seasonal Forecast Regional Convention

Ecosystem modellingCoastal activity

Ecosystem modelling to forecast eutrophication or harmful algae blooms.

Seasonal Forecast Global Improvement of Medium-range weather forecasting

High temporal and horizontal resolution/good quality SST and ocean currents have the potential to improve the skill of the medium range weather and wave forecasts.

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Evolution and Future of User needs (Chapt. 5.3)

General/EEA needs: Development of downstream services and implementation of

new services and products Implementation of general agreements and policies for service

and product distribution Evolution of modelling systems

Intergovernmental Bodies Implementation and improvement of state-of-the-art techniques

for service delivery, like web applications

Service Provider New thematic fields, like ice extension/thickness, ocean

currents and mean dynamic topography

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Requirements overview (Chapt. 6.1)

General Availability of MyOcean, MCS products is expected to improve state-of-art and operationality of services at all time scales

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Product and Service requirements (Chapt. 6.2)

Use Case Requested Products

Coverage Depth Level

Spatial &

Temp. Res.

Temp. Extent

Update Frequency

Avail. & Time-liness

Format Delivery Mechanisms

Climate

Calibration and Validation ofhydrodynamic and ecosystem models

O-S-1, 1.a, 1.b, 1c,1f, O-S-2,2b, O-S 3a,3b, O-S 4a,4b, OS 5a,5b, O-S-10, 10a,10bO-S- 15.a, 15.b

Mediterran

-ean

surface to bottom

Max. available Daily

Max. available

Max. available

-

NetCDF

FTP connection

Weather Forecast

Local Forecast

Temperature, Salinity, Currents, Sea Level

Baltic Seasurface

to bottomvariable 5 days Daily -

GRID,NetCDF, ASCII

FTP connection

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Criticality of requirements and services (Chapt. 6.3)

Data delivery Availability without gaps and delay Best available products is mandatory

Service sustainability Long-term sustainability of provided services, web service in particular, is strongly required

Data quality and validation SST, Sea level, Sea ice variables, and Ocean colour (chl-a trends) are named as critical products Forecast of sea level, as well as near-real time and historical analysis are named as critical services Quality assessment before delivery High data resolution for modelling at regional and coastal scale Historical records of sea ice should be consistent with the SST re-analysis.

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Questions and Comments

Different input from users Interests balanced? Definitions of User categories, new groups needed?

– National Agencies– Universities– Combine?

Definition of the key area Climate and weather forecast Extend FTSS List of products and services? Use FTSS table as template for user requirements? Extension of catalogue possible? User requirements vs. MyOcean Services What can/will be

offered?

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Questions and Comments

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Conclusions

Valuable Base for Iteration

Synthesis of heterogeneous User group and represent all their relevant interests

Agreement on understanding – MyOcean Services – Template for documents– Definitions in common language

A lot of input for V1

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Conclusions

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Thank you for your attention and [email protected]

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Marine Core Service MY OCEAN WP 18 URD Synthesis - Climate and Weather Forecasting.

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