Measuring and Enhancing Services Trade Data and Information Conference September 14, 2010 U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC Service Statistics Improvements by the U.S. Census Bureau What We Have Done and Plans for the Future. Mark E. Wallace Chief, Service Sector Statistics Division - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Measuring and Enhancing Measuring and Enhancing Services Trade Data and Services Trade Data and Information Information Conference Conference September 14, 2010 September 14, 2010 U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC DC Service Statistics Improvements Service Statistics Improvements by the U.S. Census Bureau by the U.S. Census Bureau What We Have Done and Plans for the Future What We Have Done and Plans for the Future Mark E. Wallace Chief, Service Sector Statistics Division U.S. Census Bureau [email protected]September 14, 2010
Transcript
Measuring and EnhancingMeasuring and EnhancingServices Trade Data and InformationServices Trade Data and Information
Coverage of the U.S. Service SectorCoverage of the U.S. Service Sector
55 % of GDP
• Includes traditional service industries
• Does not include retail trade, wholesale trade, public administration
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U.S. Census BureauU.S. Census BureauService Sector ProgramsService Sector Programs
• Economic Census (Quinquennial) covering years ending in “2” and “7”
• Service Annual Survey (SAS)
• Quarterly Services Survey (QSS)
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Services ProgramsServices Programs
•Collect more detailed data on services beyond just receipts and revenues
•Service products
•Purchased services and expenses
•Annual data on exported services available for 50 industries
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Economic Census (Quinquennial)Economic Census (Quinquennial)Covering Years Ending in “2” and “7”Covering Years Ending in “2” and “7”
• Census of service industries covers 4.7 million establishments
• Service industry activities cover the majority of the economic sectors (12 of 20) accounting for close to 55 percent of GDP
– Utilities; Transportation and Warehousing; Information; Finance and Insurance; Real Estate and Rental and Leasing; Professional, Scientific and Technical Services; Management of Companies and Enterprises; Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services; Educational Services; Health Care and Social Assistance; Arts, Entertainment and Recreation; Accommodation and Food Services; Other Services (except Public Administration)
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History of the Collection of Data on Services History of the Collection of Data on Services from the Economic Census from the Economic Census
• 1929 Census of Distribution established (retail and wholesale trade and hotels)
• 1933 Census of Business (selected service industries such as personal services, repair services, and others added)
• 1935• 1939• 1948 Resumed after war covering years ending in ‘3’ and ‘8’• 1954 1953 Census delayed one year• 1958• 1963• 1967 Begin covering years ending in ‘2’ and ‘7’• 1972
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History of the Collection of Data on Services from History of the Collection of Data on Services from the Economic Census the Economic Census (continued)(continued)
• 1977 Major expansion of service industries, including health, educational, and social services; added many industries comprised of non-profit organizations
• 1982• 1987• 1992 Major expansion including coverage of transportation,
telecommunications and utilities; and finance, insurance, and real estate industries
• 1997• 2002• 2007 Currently releasing data on a flow basis• 2012 Next Census!
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Analysis and DisseminationAnalysis and Dissemination
• Advance Report – March 2009 • Franchising Report – September 2010 • Bridge Between 2007 NAICS and 2002 NAICS Report –
June 2011 • Comparative Statistics Report – June 2011
Core Business Statistics (Economic Census-wide):
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Analysis and DisseminationAnalysis and Dissemination
• Industry Series – March - November 2009
• Geographic Area Series – October 2009 – August 2010 • Establishment and Firm Size – October – December
2010 • Final Product Lines – October – December 2010
• Miscellaneous Subjects – December 2010 – March 2011 • ZIP Code Statistics Series - June 2011
NAICS Sector Reports (Service Sectors):
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Specific Data on Exported Services from the Specific Data on Exported Services from the Economic Census Covering Service IndustriesEconomic Census Covering Service Industries
• NAICS Sectors:– 22 Utilities - 2 industries– 51 Information - 34 industries– 52 Finance and Insurance - 12 industries– 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing - 4 industries– 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services - 46 industries– 55 Management of Companies and Enterprises - 1 industry– 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and
Remediation Services - 43 industries– 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation - 4 industries– 81 Other Services (except Public Administration) - 10 industries
Total=156 industries
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Service Annual Survey (SAS)Service Annual Survey (SAS)
• NAICS Sectors:– 48/49 Truck Transportation, Messenger Services and
Warehousing– 51 Information – 52 Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments– 532 Rental and Leasing Services– 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services– 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and
Remediation – 62 Health Care and Social Assistance– 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation – 81 Other Services (except Public Administration)
(Prior to Expansion for 2009 Survey Year)
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History of the SASHistory of the SAS
1983
Annual services coverage begun for about two dozen industry/industry groups
Mid-1980s to 2008
Incremental expansion of annual coverage of service industries, eventually reaching about 30 percent of GDP
2009
Expansion of coverage of the SAS to 55 percent of GDP, matching coverage of the Economic Census
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• NAICS Sectors:– 22 Utilities
– 48/49 Transportation and Warehousing (complete sector)– 51 Information
– 52 Finance and Insurance (complete sector)
– 53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing (complete sector)
– 54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services – 56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and
Remediation Services– 61 Educational Services
– 62 Health Care and Social Assistance– 71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
– 72 Accommodations and Food Services– 81 Other Services (except Public Administration)
Service Annual Survey (SAS)Service Annual Survey (SAS) (After Expansion for 2009 Survey Year)
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Service Annual Survey (SAS)Service Annual Survey (SAS)
• Sample of 45,000 Companies (when expanded: 70,000 companies)
• Mandatory Survey with high response• Estimates benchmarked to the Census of
Services and Finance• Data Items Collected• Revenue• E-commerce Revenue• Expenses
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Specific Data on Exported Services Specific Data on Exported Services from the Service Annual Survey (SAS)from the Service Annual Survey (SAS)
• Have collected from 144 industry categories in NAICS sectors 51,52, 53, 54,56, 71, and 81
• Poor results from annual survey collection
• Industry detail reduced to approximately 50 categories
• Conducted quarterly since 2004• First new Census Bureau indicator in over 30 years.• NAICS Sectors 51, 54, 56, 62 (part)• Sample of 6,000 companies• Sub-sample of SAS• Voluntary survey
• Sample of 15,000 companies• Sub-sample of SAS• Voluntary survey• Beginning in March 2011, will cover 55 percent of
GDP, matching coverage of the SAS and the Economic Census
(After Expansion for 2009)
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Service Statistics ImprovementsService Statistics ImprovementsWhat We Have DoneWhat We Have Done
• Established new Quarterly Services Indicator
• Expanded detail on service purchased services
• Developed North American Product Classification System for products of services industries
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Overview of Service Statistics ProgramOverview of Service Statistics ProgramFrequency and Coverage – Where We Were in Frequency and Coverage – Where We Were in March 2009March 2009 (when FY 2009 Funding for Services (when FY 2009 Funding for Services Expansion Initiative Received)Expansion Initiative Received)
ProgramNumber ofIndustriesSectorsFrequency
Coverage
5 years
Quarterly ServicesSurvey
Service AnnualSurvey
Economic Census
Annually
Quarterly
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7 complete
3 partial
1 partial
3 complete
AnnualRevenues % of GDP
390 (5/6)
203 (5/6)
4 (5/6)
$8.0 trillion(2002)
$5.2 trillion(2004)
$3.2 trillion(2005)
55%
30%
17%
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Expansion of Service Sector StatisticsExpansion of Service Sector Statistics
QSS – Expansion being conducted in 4 phases
between 2009 and March 2011 to achieve 55% GDP coverage
SAS – 2009 SAS (was mailed in January 2010
and will be published in first quarter of 2011) to achieve 55% GDP coverage
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Overview of Service Statistics ProgramOverview of Service Statistics ProgramFrequency and Coverage: Where We Will Be Frequency and Coverage: Where We Will Be Next YearNext Year
Service Annual Survey ExpansionService Annual Survey Expansion
TimelineTimeline
January 2010
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Service Annual Survey Expansion Product Service Annual Survey Expansion Product Detail to be Added Beginning with the 2011 Detail to be Added Beginning with the 2011 SAS (to be Collected During 2012)SAS (to be Collected During 2012)
• Product detail to be added for the 2011 SAS
• These data will be built upon the 2007 Economic Census and the 2009 SAS Industry Expansion
• Sampling techniques will support reliable product statistics
• Important for improving National Accounts data
• New product categories for SAS are based on BEA priorities, reportability, and effect on sample size
• 2011 SAS with product categories will be published in January 2013
