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Market Conditions For Profit Taking

Date post: 24-Jun-2015
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http://www.premiertraderuniversity.com/ptucourse -- PTU Trading Course! We all know that markets travel in waves called impulsive and corrective waves. Impulse moves are with the trend and the corrective move is counter to the trend and is also called a pullback. Generally, I prefer to enter every trade during the corrective wave in the direction of the overall trend or the impulse waves. It is a bit of an art form as you are entering the trade when the market has yet to confirm a return to an impulse move. The problem is that when you wait for too much confirmation, the trade is well underway and you now have a larger stop which equals a lower position size. The good thing is that we can use the prior impulse move to estimate how far the market may travel before entering another corrective wave. We call this a measured move. http://www.netpicks.com/trading-article/profit-targets-measure/
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Transcript
Page 1: Market Conditions For Profit Taking
Page 2: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

In this latest installment of trading exits, I want to cover another simple

way to place targets to exit your trades in profit.

Page 3: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

We all know that markets travel in waves called impulsive and corrective waves. Impulse moves are with the

trend and the corrective move is counter to the trend and is also called

a pullback.

Page 4: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

Generally, I prefer to enter every trade during the corrective wave in the

direction of the overall trend or the impulse waves. It is a bit of an art form as you are entering the trade

when the market has yet to confirm a return to an impulse move.

Page 5: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

The problem is that when you wait for too much confirmation, the trade is well underway and you now have a

larger stop which equals a lower position size.

Page 6: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

The good thing is that we can use the prior impulse move to estimate how

far the market may travel before entering another corrective wave.

We call this a measured move

Page 7: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

We can actually write that as A2B=C2D which simply means that one waves

equals the other.

Page 8: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

Let's use the same trade we've been using in all of these trading exits posts to keep things fair and compare apples

to apples.

Page 9: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

On the next page, you can see I have drawn a trend line from what I

determine to be the start of the impulse leg or the A2B move which occurs before the corrective move.

Page 10: Market Conditions For Profit Taking
Page 11: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

The line is then projected from the lowest low of the corrective move and projected upwards in the direction of

the probable impulse wave.

Page 12: Market Conditions For Profit Taking
Page 13: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

As you can see, price rallys fairly strongly right up into the target which is 180 pips away from my trade entry.

Page 14: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

Price exceeded the projection by about 50 pips and then reversed 170

pips to the downside.

Page 15: Market Conditions For Profit Taking
Page 16: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

Let's finish off this chart series by measuring the previous impulse leg that took us to the trade target and

project that from the 170 pip corrective low.

Page 17: Market Conditions For Profit Taking
Page 18: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

The measured impulse leg was 272 pips and as you can see, price busted

through that target and eventually travelled 70 pip beyond and then

reversed.

Let's not stop here.

Page 19: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

How about we measure the reversal leg from the last chart and project

from a corrective area that sets up a short trade.

Page 20: Market Conditions For Profit Taking
Page 21: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

As you can see, the A2B move measures to the pip the end of the

C2D move at 162 pips.

Page 22: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

I certainly don't want you to think this is foolproof as this chart shows. I took

the previous ABCD and made it one large impulse move and projected from the larger corrective move.

Page 23: Market Conditions For Profit Taking
Page 24: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

Price fell short about 40 pips but still served up about 220 pips before price action was giving signs of an issue with

the move.

Page 25: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

This is just another tool that you can experiment with to ensure you are

able to have an objective target for any trade that you enter during the

corrective phase.

Page 26: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

With a sharp eye and experience with price action, you may be able to add

some discrection and bank the majority of the move before the

retrace begins.

Page 27: Market Conditions For Profit Taking

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