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Market Performance and Planning Forum May 23, 2012
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Page 1: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Market Performance and Planning

Forum

May 23, 2012

Page 2: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation

planning and market performance issues

• Review key market performance topics

• Share updates to 2012-2013 release plans, resulting

from stakeholders inputs

• Provide information on specific initiatives

– to support Market Participants in budget and resource

planning

• Focus on implementation planning; not on policy

• Clarify implementation timelines

• Discuss external impacts of implementation plans

• Launch joint implementation planning process

Slide 2

Page 3: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Agenda

Slide 3

TIME TOPIC LEAD

10:00 – 10:10 Introduction, Agenda Mercy Parker Helget

10:10 – 11:00 Market Analysis Shucheng Liu, Guillermo Bautista-

Alderete, Nan Liu

11:00 – 11:30 Policy Update Brad Cooper

11:30 – 12:00 2012-2013 Transmission

Planning Cycle Update

Jeff Billinton

12:00 – 1:00 Lunch

1:00 – 2:00 Technical Updates Khaled Abdul-Rahman, Li Zhou

2:00 – 2:30 Release Updates Janet Morris, June Xie

Page 4: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Market Performance and Quality Update

Market Analysis & Development

Shucheng Liu

Guillermo Bautista-Alderete

Nan Liu

Slide 4

Page 5: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Slide 5

1. Market Metrics

• Price volatility and market convergence

• RT energy imbalance offset

• Convergence bidding

• Exceptional dispatch trends

• Bid cost recovery

• MIP gap

2. Price Corrections

3. Recent Market Events

4. 2011 AS Scarcity Report

Page 6: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

DLAP LMP Monthly Average:

Increase price divergence observed in April

Page 6

$0$5

$10$15$20$25$30$35$40$45$50

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r2011 2012

PG&E

IFM

HASP

RTD

$0$5

$10$15$20$25$30$35$40$45$50

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

2011 2012

SCE

IFM

HASP

RTD

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r2011 2012

SDGE

IFM

HASP

RTD

Page 7: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

DLAP LMP Monthly Average (On Peak)

Page 7

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

2011 2012

PG&E

IFM

HASP

RTD

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

2011 2012

SCE

IFM

HASP

RTD

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

2011 2012

SDGE

IFM

HASP

RTD

Page 8: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

DLAP LMP Monthly Average (Off Peak)

Page 8

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

2011 2012

IFM

HASP

RTD

PG&E

$0$5

$10$15$20$25$30$35$40$45

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

2011 2012

IFM

HASP

RTD

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

2011 2012

IFM

HASP

RTD

SDG&E

SCE

Page 9: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

DLAP LMP Hourly Average in April

Page 9

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324

Hour

IFM

HASP

RTD

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

$45

$50

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324

Hour

IFM

HASP

RTD

SCE

$0$5

$10$15$20$25$30$35$40$45$50

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Hour

IFM

HASP

RTD

SDG&E

PG&E

Page 10: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Monthly price distributions: price volatility increased in

March/April 2012.

Page 10

-10.0%

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR

2011 2012

Perc

en

t o

f R

eal

Tim

e In

terv

als

-$30 to -$5 -$100 to -$30 -$300 to -$100 < -300 $250 to < $500 $500 to < $750 $750 to $1000 > $1000

Page 11: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Monthly average of RTD intervals with insufficient up

ramping capacity also increased in March/April.

Page 11

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

1.00%

1.20%

1.40%

1.60%

1.80%

2.00%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180JA

N

FEB

MA

R

AP

R

MA

Y

JUN

JUL

AU

G

SEP

OC

T

NO

V

DEC

JAN

FEB

MA

R

AP

R

2011 2012

Pe

rce

nt

of

Inte

rval

s

Co

un

t o

f In

terv

als

5-minute intervals with insufficient upward ramping capability

percent of intervals with insufficient upward ramping capability

Page 12: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Monthly average of RTD Intervals with insufficient

down ramping capacity increased too.

Page 12

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

4.00%

4.50%

5.00%

0

100

200

300

400

500

JAN

FEB

MA

R

AP

R

MA

Y

JUN

JUL

AU

G

SEP

OC

T

NO

V

DEC

JAN

FEB

MA

R

AP

R

2011 2012

Nu

mb

er

of

Inte

rval

s

5-minute intervals with insufficient downward ramping capability

percent of intervals with insufficient downward ramping capability

Page 13: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

The real-time imbalance energy offset (RTIEO) moved

up in March/April.

Slide 13

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

$0.00

$2.00

$4.00

$6.00

$8.00

$10.00

$12.00

$14.00

$16.00

$18.00

$20.00

Rea

l-Ti

me

Imb

alan

ce E

ner

gy O

ffse

t C

ost

s ($

mill

ion

s)

Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12

Contributions from Other than Offsetting Convergence Bids $9.8 $1.7 $6.3 $6.5 $6.5 $9.9 $7.0 $6.2 $2.5 $5.7 $2.3 $2.3 $2.6 $3.4 $7.1

Contribution from Offsetting Convergence Bids across SCs $3.1 $3.6 $3.8 $2.1 $3.2 $0.5 $1.9 $2.1 $0.7 $0.9 $- $- $- $- $-

Contribution from Balanced convergence bids within SC $5.8 $9.6 $8.5 $0.5 $6.5 $2.4 $1.6 $1.0 $0.4 $0.4 $- $- $- $- $-

Percentage of total due to offsetting Convergence Bids 48% 89% 66% 28% 60% 23% 33% 33% 31% 18% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Real-Time Imbalance Offset Total Monthly Impact from Offseting Convergence Bids

Page 14: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Exceptional dispatch volume was abnormally high at

approximately 1.1% in April vs. 0.5% historically.

Page 14

Page 15: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Daily exceptional dispatches in MWh – by reason

Page 15

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

351-M

ar

3-M

ar

5-M

ar

7-M

ar

9-M

ar

11-M

ar

13-M

ar

15-M

ar

17

-Ma

r

19-M

ar

21-M

ar

23-M

ar

25-M

ar

27-M

ar

29-M

ar

31-M

ar

2-A

pr

4-A

pr

6-A

pr

8-A

pr

10

-Apr

12

-Apr

14

-Apr

16

-Apr

18

-Apr

20

-Apr

22

-Apr

24

-Apr

26

-Apr

28

-Apr

Th

ou

sa

nd

s M

Wh

Pe

r D

ay

T Procedure Transmission Outage SP26 Capacity Voltage Support COI Mitigation Load Forecast Uncertainty Ramp Rate Path 15 Other

Page 16: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

DA Bid cost recovery (BCR) costs trended up. ISO is

reviewing sources of increase.

Page 16

Page 17: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Good MIP Gap performance in March/April.

Page 17

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

$50,000

Mip

Gap

($)

Daily Dollar 30 Day Moving Average

Page 18: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Price correction events increased in April.

Page 18

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr

2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge o

f N

od

es

Co

rre

cte

d

Data Input Software Tariff Process Model

Page 19: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Price correction events increased in April.

Page 19

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr

2011 2012

Pe

rce

nta

ge o

f In

terv

als

Co

rre

cte

d

Data Input Software Tariff Process Model AS

Page 20: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Slide 20

• The ISO market has observed price/dispatch inconsistencies.

• This may affect both physical and convergence bids, in both

DAM and HASP.

• There are market features that lead to such outcomes.

• Market participants have expressed their concerns.

• This may create uncertainty in the market.

• The ISO is moving forward with a stakeholders initiative to

address price/dispatch inconsistencies.

• An Issues Paper will be provided in the first half of June.

Price/Dispatch Consistency

Page 21: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Slide 21

SONGS outages continue to impact grid/market operations:

• Have taken steps to use market mechanisms to model

constraints needed for reliability, local nomograms and Minimum

online capacity (MOC).

• Exceptional dispatches volume increased in March and April.

Summer operations:

• SDG&E import limit (SOL) increased to 2900 MW after 230 kV

Barre-Lewis upgrade and 500 kV Sunrise Powerlink.

• Plan to dispatch internal generation to prepare for largest

generation contingency following SWPL outage for added

reliability. Effective import limit 2450 MW modeled in the market.

Recent system/market events

Page 22: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Slide 22

Recent system/market events (Cont.)

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

4/11-4/14 4/15-4/21 4/21-4/26 4/27-5/2 5/3-5/9 5/10-5/15

2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012

IFM HASP

4/11-4/14 SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG

4/15-4/21 SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG SCE_PCT_IMP_BG 34112_EXCHEQUR_34116_LE GRAND

IFM 4/21-4/26 SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG 34112_EXCHEQUR_34116_LE GRAND_BR 32990_MARTINEZ_33016_ALHAMTP2_BR

4/27-5/2 34112_EXCHEQUR_34116_LE GRAND_BR SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG SDGE_CFEIMP_BG

5/3-5/9 34112_EXCHEQUR_34116_LE GRAND_BR SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG SDGE_CFEIMP_BG

5/10-5/15 32990_MARTINEZ_33016_ALHAMTP2_BR 32754_OLEUM _32778_MRTNZJCT_BR SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG

4/11-4/14 PATH26_N-S LBN_S-N 32314_SMRTSVLE_32316_YUBAGOLD

4/15-4/21 SCE_PCT_IMP_BG IVALLYBANK_XFBG 32990_MARTINEZ_33016_ALHAMTP2

HASP 4/21-4/26 7820_TL 230S_OVERLOAD_NG SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG 32990_MARTINEZ_33016_ALHAMTP2_BR

4/27-5/2 SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG SCE_PCT_IMP_BG 7680 Sylmar_1_NG

5/3-5/9 SCE_PCT_IMP_BG 7680 Sylmar_1_NG SDGE_CFEIMP_BG

5/10-5/15 SCE_PCT_IMP_BG SLIC 1883001_SDGE_OC_NG PATH15_N-S

Average number of units

(including MSG

configurations) subject to

local market power

mitigation per hour

Top 3 constraints that

triggered mitigation

Page 23: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Slide 23

Flexi-ramp constraint cost jumped in April and early May.

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

Dat

e

12

/16

/20

11

12

/20

/20

11

12

/24

/20

11

12

/28

/20

11

1/1

/20

12

1/5

/20

12

1/9

/20

12

1/1

3/2

01

2

1/1

7/2

01

2

1/2

1/2

01

2

1/2

5/2

01

2

1/2

9/2

01

2

2/2

/20

12

2/6

/20

12

2/1

0/2

01

2

2/1

4/2

01

2

2/1

8/2

01

2

2/2

2/2

01

2

2/2

6/2

01

2

3/1

/20

12

3/5

/20

12

3/9

/20

12

3/1

3/2

01

2

3/1

7/2

01

2

3/2

1/2

01

2

3/2

5/2

01

2

3/2

9/2

01

2

4/2

/20

12

4/6

/20

12

4/1

0/2

01

2

4/1

4/2

01

2

4/1

8/2

01

2

4/2

2/2

01

2

4/2

6/2

01

2

4/3

0/2

01

2

5/4

/20

12

5/8

/20

12

Daily Flexi-Ramp Costs

Page 24: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

2011 Ancillary Service Scarcity

Event Report

Page 25: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

There were 24 ancillary service scarcity events

occurred in 2011.

Month Market Sub-region

Sum CAISO SP26 SP26_EXP

4 RTUC 1 1

5 RTUC 1 2 3

6 RTUC 8 8

7 HASP 9 9

11 RTUC 3 3

Sum 9 5 10 24

Page 25

• All in ancillary service sub-regions

• All in real-time markets (9 in HASP and 15 in RTUC)

• Incremental procurement cost $53,226

Frequency of 2011 Scarcity Events by Market and Sub-region

Page 26: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

The 2011 ancillary service scarcity events were

caused by:

• Inconsistent ramp rates used to award ancillary services

• Forbidden operating region

• Multi-stage generating resource

• De-rate and outage of generation resources

• Manual load forecast adjustment

• Insufficient real-time ancillary service bids

• Inability to swap through buy-back of ancillary services

Page 26

Page 27: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Existing resources were sufficient in 2011 to meet

energy demand and ancillary service requirements.

• There was no system-wide scarcity event

• All scarcity events (except the ones in HASP) were

cured within an hour

• Scarcity pricing mechanism is functioning properly

• Further improvements in market design and system

operation are needed

Page 27

Page 28: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Policy Update

Brad Cooper, Manager

Market Design and Regulatory Policy

Slide 28

Page 29: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Market initiatives going to the Board for approval in

July, Sep 2012

Initiative Board Presentation

Flexible Ramping Product July

RA Replacement Requirement July

2012 CRR Tariff Clean Up July

Ancillary Services Buy Back July

Exempting Inter-SC Trades from CFTC July

Intertie Pricing and Settlement July

BCR Mitigation Meas. (RIMPR 1) Sep

Flex Capacity Procurement Phase 1

(Risk of Retirement)

Sep

FERC Order 1000 Sep

Generator Project Downsizing Sep

Page 29

Page 30: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Market design initiatives coming soon (slide 1 of 2)

• PIRP Decremental Bidding

– Targeted to start June 2012

• Cost-Allocation Guiding Principles - Phase 2: Apply

Principles Across Market Design

– Targeted to start August 2012

• Reliability Demand Response Product – Order 745

Compliance Modifications

– Targeted to start August 2012

Page 30

Page 31: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Market design initiatives coming soon (slide 2 of 2)

• Flexible Capacity Requirements/Procurement - Phase II

– Targeted to start Sep 2012

• Standard Capacity Product Phase III

– FERC order to apply SCP to all RA resources

• Phase III will evaluate SCP for DR

– Targeted to start Sep 2012

• Marginal Loss Surplus Allocation

– Targeted to start Sep 2012

Page 31

Page 32: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Transmission Planning Update

Jeff Billinton, Manager

Regional Transmission - North

Slide 32

Page 33: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

2012/2013 Transmission Planning Cycle

Slide 33

Phase 1

Development of ISO unified

planning assumptions and

study plan

• Incorporates State and

Federal policy

requirements and

directives

• Demand forecasts, energy

efficiency, demand

response

• Renewable and

conventional generation

additions and retirements

• Input from stakeholders

• Ongoing stakeholder

meetings

Phase 3

Receive proposals to build

identified reliability, policy

and economic transmission

projects.

Technical Studies and Board Approval

• Reliability analysis

• Renewable delivery analysis

• Economic analysis

• Central California Study

• Publish comprehensive transmission plan

• ISO Board approval

Continued regional and sub-regional coordination

October 2013

Coordination of Conceptual

Statewide Plan

April 2012

Phase 2

March 2013

ISO Board Approval

of Transmission Plan

Page 34: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

2012/2013 Transmission Planning Cycle Update

• Study Plan

– Stakeholder session February 28, 2012

– Finalized with responses to comments March 30,

2012

• Addendum to Study Plan for Central California study

– Draft of study plan presented April 26, 2012

– Target to finalize addendum and responses to

comments on May 24, 2012

Page 34

Page 35: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Central California Study Objective

• Central California

transmission system integral

part of the bulk electric

system to facilitate power

transfers throughout ISO-

controlled grid.

– In addition to supply to

overall Fresno area.

• System performance needs

to be assessed under

variety of scenarios to:

– Ensure reliability

requirements met;

– Facilitate policy objectives;

and

– Assess economic

opportunities.

Page 35

Page 36: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

2012/2013 Transmission Planning Cycle Update

(continued)

• Renewable Generation Portfolios from CPUC and CEC

– Held stakeholder session on April 2, 2012

– Stakeholder comments received April 16, 2012

– Received revised portfolios from CPUC and CEC on

May 16 and posted on ISO website May 18, 2012

– ISO will use base scenario and sensitivities as

provided by CPUC and CEC with following:

• Addition of further 200 to 250 MW in Valley Electric

area to reflect difference in permitting

• Sensitivity case modeling high out of state import

scenario, for information purpose only

Page 36

Page 37: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

2012/2013 Transmission Planning Cycle Update

(continued)

• Special Protection System (SPS) Review

– The ISO will be reviewing performance, operation and

design of the existing SPS on the system to

determine if needs to modified, removed or replaced

due to:

• planned transmission developments

• changes in transmission utilization

– As a part of developing the corrective action plans to

address the reliability performance issue identified in

the studies, the ISO will assess if new SPS are

appropriate and will bring forward projects as needed

if we see concerns that warrant it.

Page 37

Page 38: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

2012/2013 Transmission Planning Cycle Update

(continued)

• Schedule

– Post Reliability study results – August 15, 2012

– Request Window open August 15 – October 15, 2012

– Stakeholder session – September 26-27, 2012

• Reliability study results

– Stakeholder session – December 11-12, 2012

• Policy and Economic study results

– Post draft Transmission Plan – January 2013

– Present draft plan to stakeholders and comments

period – February 2013

– Present to ISO Board for Approval – March 2013 Page 38

Page 39: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Technical Updates

Khaled Abdul-Rahman, Director

Li Zhou, Senior Advisor

Power Systems Technology Development

Page 39

Page 40: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Spring 2012 Market Simulation – REM

• EMS/AGC 50% Rule

– EMS/AGC has a rule to maintain the SOC at 50% of the

energy limit if system condition is normal and it is not

impacting the grid reliability;

– The 50% Rule was NOT on as part of Spring market

simulation.

– The 50% Rule will be ON in Fall 2012 market simulation.

Page 40

Page 41: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Spring 2012 Market Simulation – REM …continue

• ISO plans the following changes for NGR AS No Pay

– Eliminate the No Pay evaluation based on PI SOC;

– No Pay on Day-Ahead AS forced buy-back including

reason due to insufficient SOC (if the general day-

ahead AS buy back policy initiative passes);

– All other AS No Pay rules shall remain applicable to

NGR resources.

Page 41

Page 42: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Spring 2012 Market Simulation – REM …continue

• SIBR Rules for NGR (REM and non REM) posted on

05/21/12;

• External Business Requirement posted on 05/18/12;

• BPM for NGR expected energy algorithm will be posted

by the end of May 2012;

• Technical explanations for the SIBR rules and expected

energy algorithm will be given in July MAPP meeting.

Page 42

Page 43: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Fall 2012 Release – Real-Time MPM

• Pre-HASP mitigation

• RTPD can mitigate units on 15-minute base

– RTPD mitigated bids posted in CMRI;

– RTPD mitigated bids will be used in RTD for dispatch

in applicable 5-minute intervals;

– RTPD mitigated bids will be used in expected energy

allocation for applicable intervals and thus for BCR.

Page 43

Page 44: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

MSG Group Constraint (MSG Dec Market Sim)

• Model Minimum Up Time (MUT) and Down Time (MDT)

on a group of configurations

– A group of configurations can contain a sub-group of

configurations;

– Configuration level MUT and MDT stays. For

example, a unit can have MUT(2X1, 2X1 Duct) as 6

hours And MUT(2X1 Duct) as 30 minutes;

Page 44

Page 45: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

MSG Group Constraint (MSG Dec Market Sim) …continue

• With two groups A and B, assuming that configurations in

group B is a subset of configurations in group A

– MUT(A) >= MUT (B); MDT(A) <= MDT (B).

• For any group A

– MUT(Plant) >= MUT(A); MDT(Plant) <= MDT(A).

• If registered values fail those rules, ISO will contact the

market participant for justification.

Page 45

Page 46: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Release Plan Updates

Janet Morris, Director

June Xie, Lead Business Analyst

Program Office

Page 46

Page 47: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Release Plan – 2012

• Pre Summer 2012

– Settlements quarterly release

• Fall 2012

– Non-Generator Resources / Regulation Energy Management - Phase 2

– LMPM Enhancements Phase 2

– Data Release Phase 3

– 72 Hour RUC

– Transmission Reliability Margin

– Commitment Costs Refinements - Greenhouse Gas Regulation only

– FERC 745 Net Benefits Test

– Contingency Dispatch Upgrade

– Replacement Requirement for Scheduled Generation Outages

– Regulatory Must Take Generation

– IRR enhancement

• TBD

– MSG Enhancements Phase 3 (market simulation to occur in December 2012)

Page 47

Page 48: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Release Plan – 2013

• Spring 2013

– Dynamic Transfers

– FERC Order 755 – Pay for Performance

– Mandatory MSG

– Post Emergency Filing BCR changes

• Fall 2013

• RIMPR-Phase 1

• Circular Scheduling

• Commitment Cost Refinements (remaining scope)

• Flexible Ramping Product

• Subject to further release planning:

– Enhanced Operating Reserve Management

– Enterprise Model Management System

– Outage Management System

• BRS to be posted for review by end of May 2012

– Reliability Demand Response Product

• Need a Policy Stakeholder process and then present the recommendation to the Board

– Subset of Hours

Page 48

Page 49: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

2012 Release Plan

http://www.caiso.com/Documents/Plans%20and%20schedule/2012ReleasePlan.pdf

Page 50: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

SIBR: NGR as a generation resource

DAM/RTM: Model NGR with an negative to positive power

injection Settlements - Settle the NGR energy and AS similar as

generator;

Master File: Define NGR resource characteristics and REM flag

SLIC: Support NGR register outage or de-rate ramp rates

OASIS: Include NGR for publishing T+90 bids,

EMS: Model NGR with supply range of negative to positive

BPM Changes Manage Full Network Model Market Operations

Market Instruments Outage Management

Settlements & Billing Compliance Monitoring

Business Process Changes May 31, 2012 - Expected Energy Calculations

External Business Requirements Update May 21, 2012

Configuration Guides July 31, 2012

Technical specifications July 23, 2012

Market Simulation registration July 27, 2012

Updated BPM Sep 2012

Market Simulation Sep 4 – 21, 2012

Production Activation Dec 1, 2012

Fall 2012 Release – NGR Phase 2: Non-Rem

Page 50

Page 51: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

Day Ahead and Real-Time Market: MPM for 15 min. RT, DCPA

for HASP and 15 min. RT

OASIS: Display LMPM-related components for nomogram &

intertie shadow prices, and competitive paths for real-time

CMRI : Display real-time mitigated bid curve

BPM Changes Market Operations

Market Instruments

Business Process Changes

Manage Market Setup & Execution

Manage Day Ahead Market

Real Time Market & Grid

Manage Real Time Market- After Close of Market

Manage Real Time Operations- Generation Dispatch

Board Approval July 14, 2011

External Business Requirements May 2012 (update for phase 2 requirements)

OASIS/ CMRI Technical Specifications July 27, 2012

Updated BPMs August 17, 2012

Market Simulation September 10 - 21, 2012

Tariff Filing / Approved Filing in June, FERC Approval TBD

Production Activation Trade Date December 11, 2012

Fall 2012 – LMPM Enhancements (Phase 2)

Page 51

Page 52: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

CMRI: Release of Day – Ahead Load Distribution Factors

Release of Shift Factors, Transmission Limits, & Nomogram

Constraint Limits and Enforcements for Day-Ahead and

Real-Time

OASIS: Release of Aggregated Generation Outages, Wind

and Solar Forecasts, & CRR Public Bids

BPM Changes Market Operations; Market Instruments

Business Process Changes None

Board Approval May 17, 2011

External Business Requirements March 19, 2012

NDAs 6/1/2012 – posted, 8/1/2012 - due for Market Simulation

OASIS/ CMRI Technical Specifications July 20, 2012

Updated BPMs August 13, 2012

Market Simulation September 4 – 14, 2012

Tariff Filing / Approved Filing TBD

Production Activation Trade Date December 11, 2012

Fall 2012 – Data Release (Phase 3)

Page 52

Page 53: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes CMRI : Existing reports will publish extra long start unit

binding startup instructions / initial condition

BPM Changes Market Operations

Market Instruments

Business Process Changes Not Applicable

External Business Requirements September 23, 2010 and September 1, 2011

(BPM synch revision)

Technical Specifications Not Applicable

Updated BPMs October 28, 2011

Market Simulation Plan to include Implementation Plan July 30, 2012

Market Simulation September 10-14

Production Activation Trade Date December 1, 2012

Fall 2012 – 72 Hour RUC

Page 53

Page 54: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes OASIS – CBM line item replaced, three TRM component

line items added.

BPM Changes Market Instruments, Market Operations, Full Network Model

(TBD), Reliability Requirements (TBD), Congestion Revenue

Rights (TBD)

Business Process Changes Manage Real-Time Interchange Scheduling

Board Approval March 22, 2012

External Business Requirements April 9, 2012

Technical Specifications July 31, 2012

Updated BPMs July 31, 2012

Market Simulation September 11, 2012- September 17, 2012

Tariff Filing / Approved June 2012 / September 2012

Production Activation Trade Date December 1, 2012

Fall 2012 – Transmission Reliability Margin

Page 54

Page 55: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

SIBR: SIBR must consume calculations performed by POTOMAC for proxy

bid use.

Master File: Registration of units that did not emit more than 25,000

mtCO2 in the previous year (to be exempt from greenhouse gas allowance

costs in its calculation of variable costs). System must also store the

greenhouse gas allowance price and make it available to downstream

systems for consumption.

BPM Changes Market Operations

Business Process Changes • Manage Day Ahead Market

• Manage Reliability Requirements

Board Approval May 16, 2012

External Business Requirements June 2012

Market Simulation Fall 2012

Technical Specifications TBD

Tariff Filing July 2012

Production Activation Trade Date January 1, 2013

Fall 2012 – Commitment Cost Refinements (Green

House Gas Emissions Costs)

Page 55

Page 56: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Fall 2012 Release - FERC Order 745 DR Compensation in Wholesale Electricity Markets

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

Demand Response System (DRS): Changes needed to support the

settlement of DRs in compliance with the FERC order 745

Settlements

• Automation of the calculation of the Monthly Demand Response DR

Net Benefits test (NBT) Threshold Prices.

• Change Settlement Charge Codes (RT Energy Pre-Calc, CC6806,

CC6475, CC6477) to comply with guidance issued in FERC order

745

BPM Changes Market Operations, Settlement Configuration Guides, Definitions and

Acronyms

External Business Requirement Specification May 2, 2012

Technical Specifications Not Applicable

Configuration Guides Aug 27, 2012 – CC6806, CC6475, CC6477, RT Energy Pre-Calculation

Market Simulation Sep 25-26, 2012

Production Deployment Nov 5, 2012

Production Activation Trade Date December 1, 2012

Retroactive settlement dating back to effective trade date Dec 15, 2011

Page 56

Page 57: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

RTM: Prioritize Operating reserves dispatch over energy-only during

Disturbance Control Standard (DCS) event

ADS:

• Always broadcast the Dispatch when it is coming from Real-Time

Contingency Dispatch (RTCD).

• Three new Yes/No flags to Indicate

RTCD was a Disturbance Dispatch (Prioritized Operating

Reserves over energy-only bids)

Incrementing the Northern Ties was skipped

Incrementing Southern Ties was skipped

BPM Changes Market Operations

Business Process Changes Manage Real-Time Contingency Dispatch

Board Approval May 16, 2012

External Business Requirements May 8, 2012

Updated BPMs RTCD-6/15/12, RTDD-8/17/12

Tariff Filing / Approved Filing July 2012 requesting FERC approval by Oct 2012

ADS Technical Specifications July 23, 2012

Market Simulation September 17 – September 21, 2012

Production Activation December 11, 2012

Fall 2012 – Contingency Dispatch Upgrade

Page 57

Page 58: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes RAAM: Unit substitution has to be expanded for Planned Outages.

BPM Changes Outage Management; Reliability Requirements

Business Process Changes Manage Generation Outages:

Annual Monthly RA Process (new)

RA Outage Management Process (new)

Board Approval July 12, 2012

External Business Requirements June 29, 2012

Technical Specifications TBD

Market Simulation Fall 2012

Tariff Filing TBD

Production Activation Trade Date January 1, 2013

Fall 2012 – Replacement Requirements for Scheduled

Generation Outages

Page 58

Page 59: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Description/Date

Application Software Changes

Master File: Allow SCs of Combined Heat and Power (CHP) resources to

submit on-peak and off-peak RMTmax values via Resource Data Template

(RDT). RMTMax values must be within Pmin and Pmax.

SIBR: Add validation rules to enforce on-peak and off-peak RMTmax

capacities

BPM Changes

Market Operations and Market Instruments

Business Process Changes

Potential new business process to • Manage 180-day exemption between contract expiration and ISO tariff

compliance (metering) • Manage contracts and approval of a CHP resource for RMT

External Business Requirements April 30, 2012

Board Approval May 16, 2012

Technical Specifications July 23, 2012

Market Simulation September 11, 2012- September 17, 2012

Production Activation Trade date December 11, 2012

Fall 2012 – Regulatory Must Take Generation

Page 59

Page 60: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes IRR: Modifications to enable annual automated cross validation and

loading of supply and RA plans

BPM Changes Reliability Requirements

Business Process Changes No business process impacts

Board Approval Not Applicable

IRR Users Guide August 20, 2012

Market Simulation September 18 - 20

Technical Specifications TBD

Tariff Filing Not Applicable

Production Activation Trade Date Oct,1 2012

Fall 2012 – IRR (ISO Reliability Requirements) Annual

Page 60

Page 61: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

Master File: System must be extended to allow the registration of minimum

up time (MUT) or minimum down time (MDT) on a group of MSG

configurations. Registrations would be submitted to the ISO via a separate

registration form.

DAM/RTM: System must be able to recognize the MUT and MDT constraints

on a group of configurations (as registered in the Master File) during the

optimization.

BPM Changes Market Instruments, Market Operations

Business Process Changes Not Applicable

Board Approval Not Applicable

External Business Requirements May 7, 2012

Technical Specifications Not applicable

Market Simulation December 17-21, 2012

Tariff Filing Not Applicable

Production Activation TBD

TBD – MSG Enhancements (Phase 3)

Page 61

Page 62: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Description/Date

Application Software Changes

SIBR: Pass the 5-min-2-hour rolling forward forecast to Real-Time Market;

Include bidding capability and relevant validation rules for the TRC

ALFS : Create the ISO forecast for the intermittent DT

CAS: e-tag DS/PTG that mapped to multi-ITGs

CMRI : Report Transmission Reservation (TRC)

DAM/RTM: Include TRC, incorporate forecast value, model multi-tie services ,

model primary/alternative tie under open tie

Master File: Define TRC, multi-tie group

OASIS: Show aggregated TRC

Settlements: Settle TRC as shadow price of Intertie constraint in market

Exclude congestion cost in RTD for the resources that have TRC.

BPM Changes

Market Operations; Market Instruments;

Settlements & Billing; Definitions & Acronyms

Business Process Changes Maintain Master File, Day Ahead Process, Real Time Process, Manage Billing

and Settlements, Manage Interchange Scheduling

External Business Requirements May 31, 2012

Technical Specifications TBD

Board Approval May 19, 2011

Market Simulation Spring 2013

Production Activation Spring 2013 Release

Spring 2013 – Dynamic Transfers

Page 62

Page 63: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Description/Date

Application Software Changes

ADS: provide DA regulation up/down mileage awards

CMRI : provide DA and RT regulation up/down mileage price and awards

DAM/RTM: include mileage bids and requirements into the optimization and

generate mileage price and awards

Master File: regulation certification based on 10 min ramping capability

OASIS: provide DA regulation up/down mileage price, system mileage

multipliers, system mileage requirement, actual system mileage, historical

mileage bids, historical resource mileage multipliers

Settlements : calculate mileage payment, mileage cost allocation and GMC

for mileage bids

SIBR: receive and validate regulation up/down mileage bid

SLIC: Allow for regulation outage status to be submitted

BPM Changes Market Operations Market Instruments

Settlements & Billing Definitions & Acronyms

Business Process Changes

Maintain Master File, Day Ahead Process

Manage Billing and Settlements, Manage Analysis Dispute and Resolution,

Market Performance (MAD),Market Performance (DMM)

Manage AS Certification and Testing

Board Approval March 23, 2012

External Business Requirements May 25, 2012

Technical Specifications TBD

Compliance Filing April 2012

Product Activation Spring 2013 Release

Spring 2013 – FERC Order 755

Page 63

Page 64: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Date

Application Software Changes

Master File: Additional MSG Configurations need to completed by Spring

Release 2013.

Reporting: A Breakdown of BCR Components will be added to the Monthly

Market Report.

SAMC: Requires a tune-up on formulas to determine the ON criteria for

resources, and the eligibility for Bid Cost Recovery.

BPM Changes Market Instruments; Market Operations; Settlements & Billing

Business Process Changes N/A

Board Approval Feb 16, 2012

External Business Requirements N/A

Technical Specifications N/A

Market Simulation TBD

Tariff Filing TBD

Production Activation Spring 2013 Release

Spring 2013 – Post Emergency Filing BCR changes

Page 64

Page 65: Market Performance and Planning Forum · 2018-02-10 · Objective: Enable dialogue on implementation planning and market performance issues • Review key market performance topics

Milestone Description/Date

Application Software Changes

ADS: Send Flexible Ramping Up/Down Awards to Market Participants.

CMRI : Report Flex Ramp Up/Down Awards to Market Participants.

DAM/RTM: Co-optimize Energy Ancillary Services and Flexible Ramping

up/down. This optimization is subject to Flexible Ramping requirements and

existing constraints.

OASIS: Show aggregated Flexible Ramping capacity awards, requirements and

marginal prices.

Settlements: Settle Flexible Ramping payment at marginal price in Day Ahead

and Real Time markets Add no pay and cost allocation for Flexible Ramping.

SIBR: Include Flexible Ramping bidding capability and relevant validation rules

of bid cap, self provision.

BPM Changes Market Operations; Market Instruments; Settlements & Billing; Definitions &

Acronyms.

Business Process Changes Maintain Day Ahead Process, Real Time Process, Manage Billing and

Settlements

External Business Requirements TBD

Technical Specifications TBD

Board Approval TBD

Market Simulation TBD

Production Activation Fall 2013 Release - tentative

Fall 2013 – Flexible Ramping Product

Page 65


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