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© 2015 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel.Mintel may repurpose or distribute any content derived from syndicated Mintel resources, even if originally compiled per customer request, always subject to preserving the confidentiality of the customer.
The Basics of Market Research Brian O’Connor – March 2017
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Overview of Mintel Ireland
Why do market research?
Secondary and Primary research
Things to avoid when designing questionnaires
Sampling and respondent breakdown
How Mintel do it
Some recent Mintel findings
Summary
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Mintel Systems
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Where does Mintel fit in?
• Issue: Difficult to resource local sectoral market research reports for Ireland
Resource Issue
• Solution: Our Mintel research reports will provide you with Irish (ROI & NI) market size, forecasts, innovations and trends data.
Mintel Research Reports • Benefit: Ready made
material to help support the public with projects, research papers, business plans or preparing for interviews – Ensures the public are up to speed with latest market trends.
Provide reliable, unbiased overview of the market place
Helping you save time researching – provides quick overview of a market!!
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Irish Report Home Page – Layout
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2016 Irish Report Titles
Sector Title
Food Consumer Snacking HabitsFood Fruit & Vegetables Food BreadFood CheeseFood Artisan FoodFood Deil and Hot Foods Counters
Food Yogurt
Food Meat & Meat SubstitutesFood Chocolate ConfectionaryFood Ready MealsFood Healthy Eating
Drink Whiskey and Dark RumDrink BeerDrink Soft Drinks
Leisure Hotels
Leisure Technology and Irish TourismLeisure Events TourismLeisure TV Viewing Habits Leisure The Night Out – Entertaining Out-of-Home
Sector Titles
Retail Beauty Retailing
Retail Automotive Retailing
Retail Discounters
Retail Mobile and Broadband Providers
Retail Clothing Retailing
Retail Grocery Retailing - Brand vs. Own-label
Finance Savings
Finance Mortgages
Finance Car Insurance
Finance Payment methods – Online vs. Offline
Finance Current Accounts
Technology Apps and Applications
Technology Online & Mobile Retailing
Technology Social Networking
Special Attitudes to Advertising
Special Exercise and Fitness
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2017 Irish Report Titles
Sector Title
Food Children’s Eating Habits
Food Chilled vs. frozen - Consumer Preferences
Food Sports Nutrition
Food Cheese
Food Menu and ingredient insights
Food Quick service restaurants & takeaways
Food Free-from foods
Food Milk & Cream
Food Poultry & Poultry Substitutes
Food Ice-cream & Desserts
Food Artisan Food – Attitudes to Provenance
Drink Wine
Drink Beer & Cider
Drink Soft Drinks
Leisure The Night In
Leisure Gaming (consoles, mobiles, etc)
Leisure Domestic vs. Overseas Tourism
Sector Titles
Retail Beauty & Personal Care
Retail Automotive Retailing
Retail Convenience Store Retailing
Retail Coffee & sandwich shops
Retail Supermarket Retailing
Finance Savings & Retirement Planning
Finance Current Accounts & Brand Loyalty
Finance Personal Loans
Finance Mortgages
Finance Car Insurance
Finance Online & Mobile Banking
Special Brexit - One year later
Special Healthy Lifestyles (Sugar & smoking focus)
Special Pets
Technology Online and Mobile Retailing
Technology Social Networking
Technology Mobile Phones
Technology Attitudes to Advertising
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Analyst Insights – Across 13 different Sectors
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EVERY DAY AT MINTELEveryday at Mintel
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© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
Why conduct market research?
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Why conduct market research?
“There is nothing so terrible as activity without insight.”
- Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
“People who ignore research are as dangerous as generals who ignore decodes of enemy signals”
- David Ogilvy
“When the customer comes first, the customer will last.”
- Robert Half
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© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
How can we sell to customers if we don’t understand who they are, what they want or
why they want it?
13
Understanding customers is paramount!
Who are your customers? What age are they? Gender? Affluence? Martial status? Who do we target our product at?WhoWhat do they want? What need/ desire will your product/ service fulfil? Why do they need it? How can we adopt our approach to best fit what they need? WhatWhere do our customers live? Where is the best place to position ourselves for them to buy? When will the buy? How can we position ourselves to be in the ideal place/ time to target them?
Where/ When
Why would customers choose us over our rivals? What features or qualities would make us more desirable? Why do we stand out? What can we do to make ourselves the first choice to customers?
Why
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© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
Secondary & Primary research
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Secondary Research is the first port of call
The first thing you should do is check to see if someone has collected the information you need before hand.
Time & Cost effective.
Extensive data already exists.
Basis of future primary research.
16
© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
Some key sources of secondary research
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Some drawbacks of secondary research
While secondary research is a fine foundation for discovering what direction to take your business in, there are drawbacks
Time lag of data.
How specific the data is to your needs.
Accuracy of data/ potential for bias.
Data definitions.
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Primary research has many advantages
After consulting as much secondary are as possible it is then time to consider primary research
Specific to your needs.
Greater control over the direction of the research.
Can be as wide ranging as you need it to be.
Your competitors do not have access to the information.
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… but also has pitfalls
While primary research offers greater control and level of specification it does present some issues to SMEs
Cost.
Time cost.
Issues with bias.
Inexperience in collecting data.
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Types of primary research
Observational
Postal survey
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Types of primary research
Telephone
Face-to-face
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Types of primary research
Focus group
Online survey
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Mintel conduct all consumer research for Ireland online
As of January 2012 all commissioned consumer research for Mintel Ireland reports have been conducted online.
Toluna in partnership with other providers provide Mintel with qualitative bulletin board software.
This allows the creation of Internet-based, ‘virtual’ venues where participants recruited from Mintel’s online surveys gather and engage in interactive, text-based discussions lead by Mintel.
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© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
There are a few online survey providers that can be used for free (or cheaply).
25
Bias is something researchers must ALWAYS be mindful of
A person or a company can have bias that can influence the outcomes of research – many times without even
knowing it.
Confirmation - researcher forms a hypothesis or belief and uses respondents’ information to confirm that belief, filtering out data that might not support their view.
Cultural bias - judging another culture solely by the values and standards of one's own culture.
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Bias is something researchers must ALWAYS be mindful of
A person or a company can have bias that can influence the outcomes of research – many times without even
knowing it.
Question-order - One question can influence answers to subsequent questions.
Leading questions and wording – Wording questions in a way to evoke a certain response – either positively or negatively
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Even we sometimes can fall victim to bias….
In a 2011 survey we asked consumers a question using the phrase ‘junk mail’.
‘Junk mail’ is a loaded phrase with negative connotations.
‘Direct mail’ is a more neutral term that does not evoke the same negativity. This is the term used in all subsequent surveys.
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© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
Some things to avoid when designing a questionnaire
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Question wording to avoid misinterpretation or bias
“On a scale of 1-10 just how bad do you think the Brexit will be for the Irish economy?”
Assumes the respondent feels negatively about the Brexit. Assumes the respondent understands what the Brexit is.
“On a scale of 1-10 (1 being very negative, 10 being very positive) how do you feel the UK leaving the European Union will effect the Irish economy?”
30
Be weary of time scales
“Have you ever had a barbeque?”
Respondents could answer ‘yes’ even if they have only ever being to one BBQ and that was 10 years ago. You would want the opinions of someone who had recent experience. Also are we seeking people who have hosted or attended a BBQ? Or Both?
“Have you hosted a barbeque in the last 12 months?”
31
Also in some circumstances be weary of the time of year you are doing your research
“Which of the following types of wine have you bought in the last 3 months? Please select all that apply”-Still red wine-Still white wine-Sparkling wine (eg cava, prosecco, etc)
Sales of sparkling wine in the UK increased 500% the Friday before Christmas in 2016, and increased again before Valentines days 2017. Results may vary depending on the survey being conducted in February 2017 and May 2017.
32
Do not make assumptions about ownership or usage. Always give respondents a ‘none’ or ‘don’t know’ option
“Which of the following types of mortgage do you currently have on your house?”
Assumes the respondent has a mortgage, and they may not. Assumes they have a house rather than a flat or other type of living accommodationIdeally a question like this would follow an initial question establishing ownership of a mortgage first.
“Q1. Do you or your partner currently have a mortgage on any property?Q2. You have indicated you currently have a mortgage. Please select which type.”
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Avoid industry terms or complex acronyms.
“Have you bought any ready meals in the last month with the following types of packaging?-Rigid box-Skinpack-Blister Card”
The average joe may not understand industry terms. Use simple terms in questions and provide examples when possible (eg familiar brand names, etc). Sometimes it may actually be best (when possible) to present respondents with pictures of products.
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Keep question options and layouts simple
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© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
Sampling and demographics
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Choosing sample and size of sample
When surveying consumers with a quantitative study, there needs to be a reasonable sample size.
It is impossible to interview everyone in a country/ region, so researchers will select a representative sample of the population.
Unless specifically required most surveys will use a random sample. For example, if you are seeking only to survey parents, consumers without children will be exempt.
The smaller the sample size the less representative it becomes.
Mintel samples 2,000 for All-Ireland in its surveys.
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Quotas can be used to insure fairness and representation
Age & Gender % Social Grade %
All Adults 100.0 AB 0.22All Men 50.9 C1 0.29All Women 49.1 C2 0.1916-19 Men 3.9 DE 0.2416-19 Women 3.7 F 0.0620-24 Men 4.1
20-24 Women 3.9
25-34 Men 10.8 Region %
25-34 Women 11.7 City of Dublin 2835-44 Men 11.9 Munster 26
35-44 Women 12.3 Leinster (e xcluding city of Dublin) 24
45-54 Men 8.8 Connacht 16
45-54 Women 8.9 Ulster (excluding Northern Ireland counties) 6
55-64 Men 5.555-64 Women 5.665+ Men 4.165+ Women 4.8
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What demographic data do you want to collect?
Gender LocationAge
Work status Marital status
Social class Household income
No. of children Internet usage
Device ownership
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Cross-tabs
Collecting demographic data allows for meaningful interpretation of survey data.
Bought for drinking at home (including at someone
else's)
Bought in pubs/bars/ restaurants etc
Have not bought
% % %
All 38 17 57
Gender:
Men 43 18 53
Women 34 17 61
Age group:
18-24 35 19 57
25-34 35 20 59
35-44 30 16 65
45-54 46 16 53
55+ 41 15 56
Base: 650 NI internet users aged 18+Source: Toluna/Mintel
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© 2013 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel
Mintel Ireland – Methodology
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Structure of a Mintel Ireland Report
Report StructureOverview
Executive SummaryIssues and Insights
The Market – What you need to knowMarket Drivers
Market Size and ForecastCompanies and Innovations – What you need to know
Company AnalysisInnovations
The Consumer – What you need to knowThe Consumer – Usage
The Consumer – Behaviour The Consumer – Attitudes
Appendix
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Putting Together a BriefNeed to outline what shall be covered in a report.
Sales Manager / writer contact clients and ask for input on key reports themes, suggestions for questions to be asked on surveys.
Consult with wider Irish production team and UK counterparts for ideas to examine in reports.
Listing sources that will be used for completion of market size estimates, consumer data used.
A key focus at this stage is defining what exactly shall be measured in the report and how this shall be done.
mintel.com43
First things first: Deciding on the report schedule for the year ahead.
Client Input is Key
Consulting clients:
“A TV habits reports would be quite useful. What types of programmes are consumers watching?”
-Agency Client
“We want to know more about consumer usage of offline and online payment methods.”
-Financial Client
“We need something that looks at snacking habits. What types of food consumers snack on and how often.”
-Food Client
Consulting market specialists and trade sources for ideas on growth/ important areas.
Some reports are annual, repeated each year.
Some requests aren’t feasible.
Alignment with other Mintel markets.
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Example of Key Themes
Who are the key retailers operating in the NI and RoI clothing market? – What retailers are excelling in the market? Which types of outlets do consumers prefer to shop with?How is online shopping faring in IoI? – Is there much of a market for clothes shopping online? Are consumers still wary of shopping online? Is the online market taking off? Is the process of returning clothes bought online deterring consumers from shopping online?What behaviour do consumers exhibit when returning clothing? – What are the key motivations for returning clothing? How can online retailers reach out to consumers more?What is the consumer satisfaction with clothes purchased? Are consumers returning the clothes they have bought? What are the key reasons that consumers are returning their clothes for?What impacts how consumers dress? – Are consumers influenced to dress a certain way? Are magazines or in-store models impacting style? Do consumers look to friends or family for fashion advice?
The questions that need answered
Setting about answering
them
Determining how they will be answered
mintel.com45
Irish Survey Quotas
RoI NITotal 1,350 650
Gender:
Male 594 286
Female 756 364
Age group:
18 - 24 176 85
25 - 34 243 117
35 - 44 311 150
45 - 54 284 137
55 - 64 230 111
65+ 108 52
RoI NITotal 1,350 650
Location:
Urban 891 429
Rural 459 221
Work status:
Employee full time 513 325
Employee part time
257 111
Self-employed 189 59
In full time education
176 46
Retired 216 111
Statistical confidence levels of + or – 2% or 3% can be applied to the data
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DAILY USAGE OF THE INTERNET, RoI, 2012-16
Internet usage grows year-on-year
2012 2015 2016 % Point change
Base: internet users aged 16+
1,313 1,350 1,350
% % %
Up to one hour 8 5 5 -3
1-3 hours 49 43 38 -11
4-6 hours 28 32 35 7
7+ hours 13 19 21 8
I use the internet, but not every day
1 1 1 -
Source: Toluna/Mintel
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Real-time Analytics
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CONSUMERS WHO OWN, OR HAVE ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGY SERVICES, RoI, SEPTEMBER 2015-AUGUST 2016
Smartphone ownership continues to grow
Base: 1,350 RoI internet users aged 16+Source: Toluna/Mintel
92 90 90
87 88 88
61 61 59
4339 40
29 27 25
0 0 00
20
40
60
80
100
Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16
%
PC/laptop Smartphone Tablet
Games console Basic mobile phone None of these*
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Average monthly data usage, RoI and UK (including NI), 2013-15
Data usage increases by leaps and bounds
Source: Ofcom/ComgregMintel
mintel.com50
Mintel has an internal team of desk researchers who monitor: government statistics, consumer and trade association statistics, manufacturer sponsored reports, annual company reports and accounts, press articles,and online databases.
These are extracted from 100’s of publications and websites, from both RoI and NI, and overseas.
Extensive library of Mintel’s reports produced since 1972 and added to each year by the 500+ reports which are produced annually.
Mintel ’s Market Size and Economic Database – a database containing all areas of consumer spend and retail sales as well as macroeconomic and demographic factors which impinge on consumer spending patterns, going back some 20 years.
Government sources are also vital to providing statistics and data to help in the production of reports, such as the CSO or Bord Bia.
Desk Research – Key to Understanding Markets and Consumers
mintel.com51
Check, Check Again … and Keep on Checking
Before Mintel publish anything it must be thoroughly checked in five steps:
FormattingFirst editQCProofSign off
Key to eliminating any mistakes, tightening up grammar and spelling and insuring that data is presented in the best possible way; being unbiased, accurate and as up-to-date as possible.
Once a report is published, it is available via our website to all clients.
A healthy sense of scepticism is important for market research!
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A little context
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Work and life pressures continue to squeeze the amount of time each day consumers can relax and eat.
Fast food needs to be faster
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More than ever, time-pressure is effecting how we eat and drink globally
of US consumers say they don’t often have the time to prepare/eat
healthy meals
30%of UK adults sometimes struggle to find time to eat as healthily as they
would like to
51%
Base: 1,148 UK internet users aged 16+ who are employed / 24,219 US adults aged 18+/ 1,350 RoI internet users aged 16+Source: The Working Life - UK - December 2015 / American Lifestyles 2014: Looking Forward - US - April 2014/ Healthy Eating – Ireland, December 2016
22%of RoI adults claim their busy lifestyle makes it hard to eat healthily.
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Mexico
Canada
United States
IrelandNorway
United Kingdom*
Australia
Sweden
PolandKorea
Germany
SpainBelgium
ItalyJapan
New Zealand
France
66 69 74 76 82 85 89 94 94 96105 106 109 114 117
130 135
Eatin
g (M
inut
es p
er d
ay)
There is a 1 hour and 9 minutes difference between daily mealtimes between Mexico and France
A cultural difference in what eating and drinking represents: refuelling and individualistic versus enjoyment and socialising
There is a big difference in average eating time around the world
Source: Secretariat estimates based on national and multinational time-use surveys (2006 where available) / OECD
Eating time on an average day in minutes (2006)
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of UK consumers say they would cook more if it were less time-consuming
Time pressure frustrates scratch cooking intentions
Base: 1,340 UK internet users aged 16+ who have/share responsibility for cooking in the home / 1,165 US internet users 18+ who are trying to lose/maintain weightSource: Consumer Attitudes Towards Cooking in the Home - UK - February 2014 / Dieting Trends - US, November 2014/ SuperValu Home Truths Report II - 2015
26%
20%of US consumers agree that planning and making healthy meals is too time consuming
37%of RoI consumers under-34 claim they don’t cook from scratch out of laziness.
57
The interactivity of media such as social media and virtual reality offers consumers and brands new ways to connect.
…CONNECT
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Statistics
CLICK AND CONNECT
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Introduction: Social networking is becoming a bigger part of consumers’ online experiences
81%of British consumers have used a social network in the last three months
Social and Media Networks - UK, May 2016
83%of RoI consumers log on to Facebook regularly
Social Networking - Ireland, May 2016
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Statistics
CLICK AND CONNECT
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22%of Brazilian consumers have used social media websites to arrange activities with their friends
Brazilian Lifestyles 2015: Living Online - Brazil, April 2015
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VR offers new ways to explore the world
Source: Technology in Irish Tourism – Ireland, July 2016
16%Of Irish consumers would be keen to a virtual reality experience in a travel agent’s shop.
61
Samsung has released a series of interactive virtual reality bedtime stories for kids and parents who are apart.
12 May 2016 - UK
Virtual Reality Stories “
”
of UK consumers are interested in using wearable technology for
virtual cultural experiences, such as a virtual museum
Wearable Technology - UK, December 2015
50%
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Aided in part by the rise in popularity of geo-location technology, we expect brands to increasingly help consumers decide what to buy, watch, do or eat, based upon pending timeframes from the next 30 minutes to the next 48 hours.
Right here, right now
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Openness to sharing location
29%Of UK Millennials would be happy to share their real time location with brands they like in exchange in order to receive nearby offers.
SOURCE: MINTEL DIGITAL ADVERTISING UK MARCH 2016
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SOURCE: MINTEL VISITOR ATTRACTIONS UK DECEMBER 2015, TECHNOLOGY AND IRISH TOURISM – IRELAND, JULY 2015
Off-peak offers
42%Of UK of consumers would be interested in visiting an historical or cultural attraction off-peak (e.g. weekdays, early mornings) if they got a discount.
16%Of RoI consumers not that deal sites such as Groupon are their first port of call when booking a holiday or short trip.
65
SOURCE: MINTEL THE RESTAURANT DECISION-MAKING PROCESS US JULY 2015, FOODSERVICE – IRELAND, MAY 2014
Off-peak offers
39%Of US diners would be interested in trying a new restaurant if it lowered its prices during off-peak hours (eg 2-4pm).
32%Of RoI consumers select a foodservice outlet for meals because of a price promotion, money-off voucher or discount.
66
Thanks to the simplicity and convenience they offer, people are set to embrace new payment methods such as contactless cards, smartphones and wearables in record numbers.
Seamless Spending
67
Autumn 2016: Apple Pay’s one-click payment services made available on any device using the Safari browser.
67
Financial connectivity grows
68
68
Financial connectivity grows
Autumn 2016: Vodafone Pay now allows users to make contactless payments from their Paypal account even when the phone is switched off or out of battery
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69
Financial connectivity grows
Fitbit will launch a wearable device with NFC payment capabilities in 2017.
70
SOURCE: VISA EUROPE, PAYMENT METHODS: ONLINE VS. OFFLINE - IRELAND - JULY 2016
Digital payments growth
3 billionContactless payments were recorded by Visa between 1 May 2015 and 30 April 2016.
42% of RoI consumers
note they are using
contactless payments
more in 2016 compared to
2015
71SOURCE: VISA EUROPE
In 2015 Visa Europe claimed that 2 million contactless transactions are carried out in Ireland each month.
One contactless transaction every second.
Contactless crazy
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SOURCE: MINTEL CONSUMER PAYMENT PREFERENCES UK OCTOBER 2015, PAYMENT METHODS: ONLINE VS. OFFLINE - IRELAND - JULY 2016
Appetite for digital payments
39%Of UK consumers believe that a cashless society is inevitable in the future.
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51%Of RoI consumers believe that a cashless society is inevitable in the future.
mintel.com73
Thank you for your attention.
Any questions?
mintel.com
© 2015 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel.Mintel may repurpose or distribute any content derived from syndicated Mintel resources, even if originally compiled per customer request, always subject to preserving the confidentiality of the customer.
Brian O’ConnorSenior Consumer Analyst, Mintel IrelandTel: 028 90 241849Fax: 028 90 242597Email: [email protected]: @mintelnews