Date post: | 10-Jan-2017 |
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Technology |
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RoadtotheRenewableEnergyTargetHowQueenslandistrackingandopportunitiesonthejourneytothe2020target
Mary-AnneWilson,A/gExecutiveGeneralManager
Agenda• Schemeoverview
• Small-scaleRenewableEnergyScheme
• Large-scaleRenewableEnergyTarget
• OpportunitiesintheLarge-scaleRenewableEnergyTarget
• Marketoutlook
• Questions
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 2
RenewableEnergyTarget
• encouragessmall-scalerenewableenergysysteminstallations
• uncapped
• certificatescreatedonexpectedgeneration
• doesnotcontribute tothe2020target
Small-scale Large-scale• encouragesnewinvestmentin
large-scalerenewableenergy
• 33millionmegawatthoursofadditionalelectricityfromrenewablesourcesby2020
• certificatescreatedonactualgeneration
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 5
Achievementsin2015
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 7
In 2015, total generation capacity of large-scale solar almost tripled from capacity in 2014.
Legislativechange
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 8
• Newtargetof33000GWhhasprovidedpolicycertainty
• Newannualstatementreportsonprogresstowardthe2020target
Small-scaleRenewableEnergyScheme
2016LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane 10
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Australia QLD
QLDcontributiontolarge-scalegeneration
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 12
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
18000000
20000000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Eligiblegeneration(M
Wh)
Total
QLD
CurrentinstalledcapacitybyfuelsourceinQLD
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 13
* Includes co-fired landfill gas and natural gas power stations
Fuelsource Installedcapacity(MW)
Wind 12Agriculturewaste,foodwaste,wastefromagricultureproducts 4
Bagasse 465
Hydro 166
Landfillgas 513*
Solar 12Sewagegasandbiomassbasedcomponents ofsewage,municipalsolidwaste 1
Total 1173
Commercialandindustrialsolar
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 15
84
963
2,6622,913
5,789
6,834 6,967
1,512
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Australia
Progressin2016
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• 2015AnnualStatementfoundadequateprogresstowardsthe2020targetattheendof2015
• 3000MWneedstobecommittedin2016• Asof15Julyweareconfident that1140MWcapacityisorsoonwillbe
committed
• 6000MWofnewbuildrequiredtosupplytomeetbothstatutoryandvoluntarysourcesofdemand
Renewableprojects
Solarcapacity (MW) Windcapacity(MW)
Committed 76 298
Likelytobecommitted 100 669
Planning approval >4500 >7000
Queensland
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 20
Solarcapacity (MW) Windcapacity(MW)
Committed 50 -
Likelytobecommitted 100 170
Planning approval 3700 300
National
Conclusion
• QLDcurrentlyleading thecountryfornationwide installs
• SolarPVmarketinQLDstartingtoshift tomorecommercialandindustrialsizedsystems
Small-scale Large-scale• Opportunity withastrongLGC
pricesignaland4000MWofprojectswithplanningapprovalinQLD
• 3700MWofsolarprojectsinthepipelineshowsagrowingpreferenceforlarge-scalesolar
LargeScaleSolarConference – Brisbane2016 21