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Mass Production Cost Estimation for Direct H2 PEM Fuel ... · Total 2Pt‐Group Catalyst Loading mg...

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page 1 This presentation does not contain any proprietary, confidential, or otherwise restricted information Directed Technologies, Inc. 3601 Wilson Blvd., Suite 650 Arlington, VA 22201 (703) 2433383 voice (703) 2432724 fax Project ID #:FC7
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Page 1: Mass Production Cost Estimation for Direct H2 PEM Fuel ... · Total 2Pt‐Group Catalyst Loading mg 0.29PGM/cm 0.65 0.35 0.30 0.19 0.20 System Gross Electric Power (Output) kW 90.6

page 1

This presentation does not contain any proprietary, confidential, or otherwise restricted information

Directed Technologies, Inc.3601 Wilson Blvd., Suite 650

Arlington, VA 22201(703) 243‐3383 voice(703) 243‐2724 fax

Project ID #:FC7

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page 2

Overview

• Base Period: – 100% complete

– Feb 17, 2006 to  Feb. 16, 2008

• Option year 1 of 3: – 25% complete

– Started Feb 16, 2008

• Total project funding– $325K (2 year base period)

– $182k (opt. yr. 1)

– Contractor share: $0

• Funding for FY 2007– $175k

• Funding for FY 2008– $182k

• Manufacturing costs 

• Materials costs (particularly precious metal catalysts)

Timeline

• Extensive interaction with industry/researchers to solicit design & manufacturing metrics as input to cost analysis.

Barriers

Budget

DOE Cost Targets

Collaborations

Characteristic Units 2007 2010 2015Stack Cost $/kWe (net) - $25 $15

System Cost $/kWe (net) - $45 $30

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Project Timeline

page 3

• Focus since last year’s AMR has been documenting, reporting and refining analysis

• Preliminary analysis conducted on nitrided bipolar plate coatings & alternative gasketing methods

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page 4

Objectives1. Identify the lowest cost system design and 

manufacturing methods for an 80 kWe direct‐H2automotive PEMFC system based on 3 technology levels:

• 2007 status technology• 2010 projected technology• 2015 projected technology

2. Determine costs for these 3 tech level systems at 5 production rates:

• 1,000 vehicles/year• 30,000 vehicles/year• 80,000 vehicles/year• 130,000 vehicles/year• 500,000 vehicles/year

3. Analyze, quantify & document impact of system performance on cost

• Use cost results to guide future component development

Project covers complete FC system(specifically excluding battery, traction

motor/inverter, and storage)

Fuel CellSystem

BatterySystem

TIMTraction

Elec. Motor

FuelStorage

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• 80kW net system (91 kW gross for 2007 system)

• 1k to 500k annual system production

• U.S. labor rates: $60/hr (fully loaded)

• 10% capital cost contingency is NOT included

• $1100/troy oz. Pt cost used (currently ~$2,000/troy oz.)

• Some costs NOT included:

• Warranty

• Building costs (equipment cost included but not building in which equipment is housed)

• Sales Tax• Non‐Recurring Engineering Costs

General Rules

page 5

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page 6

DTI’s DFMA®‐Style Costing MethodologyWhat is DFMA ?• DFMA® (Design for Manufacturing and Assembly) is a registered 

trademark of Boothroyd‐Dewhurst, Inc.• Used by hundreds of companies world‐wide• Basis of Ford Motor Co. design/costing method for past 20+ years

• DTI practices are a blend of:• “Textbook” DFMA®, industry standards & practices, DFMA® software, 

innovation and practicality

Manufacturing rate cost factors:1. Material Costs 

2. Manufacturing Method 

3. Machine Rate 

4. Tooling Amortization

Estimated Cost = (Material Cost + Processing Cost + Assembly Cost) x Markup Factor

Capital CostInstallation

Maint./Spare PartsUtilitiesMiscellaneous

InitialExpenses

OperatingExpenses

Used to calculate annual Capital Recovery Factor 

based on:• Equipment Life• Interest Rate• Corporate Tax Rate

Annual Capital 

RepaymentAnnual Minutes of

Equipment Operation

Annual Operating Payments Machine

Rate, $/min=+

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1Mac

hine

Rat

e, $

/min

Machine Utilization (of 14 hr day)

Methodology Reflects Cost of Under‐utilization:

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page 7

Key Technical Targets Define System

• A few key DOE Technical Target values are used to anchor system definition

• All other system parameters flow from DTI calculations & judgment

AMR 2007 AMR 2008 AMR 2007 AMR 2008 AMR 2007 AMR 2008

       Stack Efficiency @ Rated Power % 55% 55% 55% 55% 55% 55%

       MEA Areal Power Density @ Peak Power mW/cm2700 583 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000

       Total Pt‐Group Catalyst Loading mg PGM/cm20.65 0.35 0.29 0.30 0.19 0.20

       System Gross Electric Power (Output) kW 90.6 90.3 87.6 86.8 87.1 87.1

       Active Area cm2348 417 235 233 234 234

       Cell Voltage @ Peak Power V/cell 0.677 0.677 0.677 0.677 0.677 0.677

       Operating Pressure (Peak) atm 2.3 2.3 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5

2010 2015Current(2006, 2007)DOE Tech. Targets that drive analysis:

Key Derived Performance Parameters:

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page 8

System Comparison2007 Technology 2010 Technology 2015 Technology

Power Density 583 (was 700) 1,000 1,000Total Pt loading 0.35 (was 0.65) 0.3 (was 0.29) 0.2 (was 0.19)Operating Pressure 2.3 2 1.5Peak Stack Temp. (°C) 70-90 99 120Membrane Material Nafion on ePTFE Advanced High-Temperature Membrane Advanced High-Temperature Membrane

Radiator/Cooling System

Aluminum Radiator,Water/Glycol coolant,

DI filter

Smaller Aluminum Radiator,Water/Glycol coolant,

DI filter

Smaller Aluminum Radiator,Water/Glycol coolant,

DI filter

Bipolar PlatesStamped Stainless Steel (uncoated) or

Injection Molded Carbon/PolymerStamped Stainless Steel (uncoated) or

Injection Molded Carbon/PolymerStamped Stainless Steel (uncoated) or

Injection Molded Carbon/Polymer

Air Compression Twin Lobe Compressor,Twin Lobe Expander

Centifugal Compressor,Radial Inflow Expander

Centifugal Compressor,No Expander

Gas Diffusion Layers Carbon Paper Macroporous Layer with

Microporous layer applied on top Carbon Paper Macroporous Layer with

Microporous layer applied on top Carbon Paper Macroporous Layer with

Microporous layer applied on top

Catalyst Application Double-sided vertical die-slot coating of membrane

Double-sided vertical die-slot coating of membrane

Double-sided vertical die-slot coating of membrane

Hot Pressing Hot pressing of MEA Hot pressing of MEA Hot pressing of MEAAir Humidification Water spray injection Polyamide Membrane NoneH2 Humidification None None NoneExhaust Water SS Condenser (Liquid/Gas HX) SS Condenser (Liquid/Gas HX) NoneMEA Containment MEA Frame with Hot Pressing MEA Frame with Hot Pressing MEA Frame with Hot Pressing

GasketsSilicone injection molding of gasket around

MEASilicone injection molding of gasket around

MEASilicone injection molding of gasket around

MEAFreeze Protection Drain water at shutdown Drain water at shutdown Drain water at shutdown

H2 Sensors2 for FC system

1 for passenger cabin (not in cost estimate)1 for fuel system (not in cost estimate)

1 for FC system1 for passenger cabin (not in cost estimate)

1 for fuel system (not in cost estimate)None

End Plates/Compression

Composite molded endplates with compression bands

Composite molded endplates with compression bands

Composite molded endplates with compression bands

Stack/System Conditioning

5 hours of power conditioning - from UTC's US Patent #7,078,118

4 hours of power conditioning - from UTC's US Patent #7,078,118

3 hours of power conditioning - from UTC's US Patent #7,078,118

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page 9

Different Technology SchematicsCompressed

Hydrogen Tank

WaterReservoir

WaterPump

Water DIFilter

Air Filter

Motor

Water SprayAir Humidifier

CheckValve

CondensorWaterSumpPump

CathodeExhaust

AnodeExhaust

ExhaustGas to

TailPipe

CoolantPump

High TempRadiator System

Thermostat& Valve

PRD

Air MassFlow

Sensor

T

Thermocouple

CoolantDI Filter

PressureRegulator

ProportionalValve

T

StackThermocouples

FC Stacks

P

CoolantReservoir

WaterPurge

L LevelSensor

Not Included inCost Analysis

H2 Purge ValveHigh Flow Hydrogen Ejector

Low Flow Hydrogen Ejector

PressureTransducer

Low TemperatureRadiator

WaterPump

De-mister

Expander

Reactant Air

Coolant Bypass

CompressedHydrogen Tank

Air Filter

MotorMembraneHumidifier

CathodeExhaust

AnodeExhaust

Exhaust Gasto Tail Pipe

CoolantPump

RadiatorSystem

Coolant 3-way valve

PRD

Air MassFlow

Sensor

CoolantThermostat

PneumaticControl Valve

FC Stacks

CoolantReservoir

Not Included inCost Analysis

H2 Purge Valve

High Flow Hydrogen Ejector

Low Flow Hydrogen Ejector

PressureTransducer

Coolant Bypass

Reactant Air

CompressedHydrogen Tank

Air Filter

Motor

CathodeExhaust

AnodeExhaust

CoolantPump

RadiatorSystem

Coolant 3-way valve

PRD

Air MassFlow

Sensor

CoolantThermostat

PneumaticControl Valve

FC Stacks

CoolantReservoir

Not Included inCost Analysis

H2 Purge ValveHigh Flow Hydrogen Ejector

Low Flow Hydrogen Ejector

PressureTransducer

Reactant Air

Coolant Bypass

2007 2010

2015Changes from 2007 to 2010:• Higher temperature, smaller radiator• Use of membrane humidifier (instead of water spray)• Lower pressure• Centrifugal compressor/expander (instead of twin 

lobe compressor)

Changes from 2010 to 2015:• Higher temperature, smaller radiator• No humidification• Lower pressure• Smaller compressor• No expander

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page 10

• Abridged to 2 cells (from 186) for clarity• 1:1 ratio of cooling to active cells

PEM Fuel Cell Stack

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page 11

Stamped Stainless Steel Bipolar Plates• Stamped using a 4‐stage Progressive Die setup

• Greater tooling costs offset significantly by reduced labor & energy costs over individual die setup

• Rapid plate production (up to 80 plates/minute)

Stamped vs. other methods:• Less brittle than composites • Lower tooling cost than Injection Molding• Lower gas permeation• Borderline corrosion resistance• High contact resistance

Page 12: Mass Production Cost Estimation for Direct H2 PEM Fuel ... · Total 2Pt‐Group Catalyst Loading mg 0.29PGM/cm 0.65 0.35 0.30 0.19 0.20 System Gross Electric Power (Output) kW 90.6

Nitrided Coatings for Stamped Bipolar Plates

• Oak Ridge National Lab (Mike Brady) is investigating nitrided coatings for bipolar plate corrosion resistance with low surface contact resistance

• Conventional nitriding currently conducted in large automated facilities: anticipated process for bipolar plates is similar but simpler & faster

• Batch processing and automated “lights out” facilities analyzed

• Automated, step‐continuous conventional nitriding system at 500,000 systems/year• Markup not included• Keys are short nitriding cycle and high furnace plate stacking density

• $0.75/kW potentially feasible

• Nitriding by pulsed plasma arc lamp in range of $0.16 ‐ 0.44/kW• Feasibility to nitride Ti in “seconds” previously demonstrated

page 12

Page 13: Mass Production Cost Estimation for Direct H2 PEM Fuel ... · Total 2Pt‐Group Catalyst Loading mg 0.29PGM/cm 0.65 0.35 0.30 0.19 0.20 System Gross Electric Power (Output) kW 90.6

Noteworthy Changes Since Last Year

page 13

Item NotesStacks/System Halved stacks/system, doubled cells/stack 4 2 ($1.23)Power Density Updated value (from DOE) 700 mW/cm2 583 mW/cm2 $8.58 Total Catalyst Loading Updated value (from DOE) 0.65 mgPt/cm2 0.35 mgPt/cm2 ($19.56)Platinum Cost Switched from avg. of last 6‐mo. of 2006 to DOE‐provided number $1,175/oz. $1,100/oz. ($2.73)Ionomer Cost Updated industry projection $195/kg $92/kg ($1.10)GDL Cost Implied markup removed from Macroporous  GDL cost $12/m2 $9/m2 ($1.05)Bipolar Plates Stamping Machinery Capital Cost

Capital  cost increased after industry consultation $103,098 $515,488 $0.21

Bipolar Plate Design Improved die designs, made anode plate different from cathodeCommon plate 

designDual designs $0.00

O2 Stoichiometry Lowered Oxygen Stoichiometry from 2.0 to 1.8 2.0 1.8 ($0.59)Compressor Efficiency Corrected estimate, changed gross  power 70% 65% $0.70Motor/Controller Efficiency Revised based on industry input, changed gross  power 80% 85% ($0.32)System Assembly Improved logic for object handling & process  efficiency Good Better ($0.03)Air Mass Flow Sensor Left out of summation for last year's  estimate None Included $0.81Belly Pan Added a belly pan to the BOP under miscellaneous.  None Included $0.26Other Misc. Changes A variety of other changes  were made, but net effect is  small $0.01

Total $109.62 $93.58 ($16.04)

Effect on System Cost

($/kWnet)

Current Technology, 500,000 Systems/Year AMR2007

AMR2008

Page 14: Mass Production Cost Estimation for Direct H2 PEM Fuel ... · Total 2Pt‐Group Catalyst Loading mg 0.29PGM/cm 0.65 0.35 0.30 0.19 0.20 System Gross Electric Power (Output) kW 90.6

10%

7%

56%

0%

10%

8%

4%

1%

4%

500,000 systems (2007)

13%

9%

48%

0%

10%

7%

6%

1%

6%

500,000 systems (2010)

15%

11%

38%0%

12%

9%

7%

2%

6%

500,000 systems (2015)

4%

45%

18%

3%

21%

3%2% 1%

3%

1,000 systems (2007)

5%

48%

13%

4%

19%

3%2% 1%

5%

1,000 systems (2010)

5%

50%

9%

4%

20%

3%3%

1%

5%

1,000 systems (2015)Bipolar Plates (Stamping)

Membranes

Catalyst Ink

Catalyst Application

GDLs

MEA Frame/Gaskets

Coolant & End Gaskets

Endplates

Other

page 14

Stack Component Cost Distribution

• Membrane dominates cost at low production

• Catalyst Ink dominates cost at high production

• Top 3 costs:

• Membrane

• Catalyst Ink

• GDL

GDL

CatalystInk

Membranes

GDL

Catalyst Ink

Membranes

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page 15

Balance of Plant

• Increases in manufacturing rate leads to largest savings.

• Air Compressors and Sensors are the two categories that have the largest $ decline, together yielding 70% of the BOP cost decline from low production to high production.

• Technology changes yields lesser BOP savings and comes in form of reduced/eliminated components.

• Simplifications of Air, Humidifier, & Coolant Loops yield majority of technology improvement savings.

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000

Systems/Year

BO

P C

ost

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

$5,000

$6,000

$7,000

$8,000

$9,000 Miscellaneous

System Controller/Sensors

Fuel Loop

Coolant Loop (High Temp Loop & Low Temp Loop)

Humidifier & Water Recovery Loop

Air Loop

Mounting FramesSystems/Year

BO

P C

ost

2007 Technology 2015 Technology

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page 16

Stack & System Costs vs. Annual Production Rate

$49.75

$27.02

$22.62

$0

$1,600

$3,200

$4,800

$6,400

$8,000

$9,600

$11,200

$12,800

$14,400

$16,000

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000

Total Cost for All Stacks ($)

Stack Co

st ($/kW

net)

Annual Production Rate (systems/year)

2007 2010 2015 junk

$93.58

$65.50

$53.16

$0

$2,400

$4,800

$7,200

$9,600

$12,000

$14,400

$16,800

$19,200

$21,600

$24,000

$0

$30

$60

$90

$120

$150

$180

$210

$240

$270

$300

0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000

System Cost ($)

System

 Cost ($/kW

net)

Annual Production Rate (systems/year)

2007 2010 2015 junk

AMR 2007

AMR 2008

AMR 2007

AMR 2008

AMR 2007

AMR 2008

DOE Target: Stack Cost $/kWe (net) - - $25 $25 $15 $15Study Estimate: Stack Cost $/kWe (net) $67 $50 $30 $27 $25 $23

DOE Target: System Cost $/kWe (net) - - $45 $45 $30 $30Study Estimate: System Cost $/kWe (net) $110 $94 $70 $66 $59 $53

Current(2006, 2007)

2010 2015

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Sensitivity Analysis

$25 $35 $45 $55 $65 $75 $85 $95 $105 $115 $125 $135

Bipolar Plate Stamping Capital Cost ($)

Stack Conditioning (hrs)

Membrane Cost ($/m2)

Labor Rate ($/hr)

Ionomer Cost ($/kg)

Macroporous GDL Cost ($/m2)

Gasket Injection Cycle Time (sec)

Bipolar Plate Coatings ($/kW)

Platinum Cost ($/tr.oz.)

Power Density (mW/cm2)

Platinum Loading (mg/cm2)

System Cost ($/kWnet)

2007 Technology, 500,000 systems/year

$25 $35 $45 $55 $65 $75 $85 $95 $105 $115 $125 $135

Bipolar Plate Stamping Capital Cost ($)

Stack Conditioning (hrs)

Membrane Cost ($/m2)

Labor Rate ($/hr)

Ionomer Cost ($/kg)

Macroporous GDL Cost ($/m2)

Gasket Injection Cycle Time (sec)

Bipolar Plate Coatings ($/kW)

Platinum Cost ($/tr.oz.)

Power Density (mW/cm2)

Platinum Loading (mg/cm2)

System Cost ($/kWnet)

2015 Technology, 500,000 systems/year

• Power Density, Platinum Loading, and Platinum Cost are by far the three biggest elements of cost uncertainty

• In the 2015 system, the platinum doesn’t have as much effect due to the higher assumed power density

• Uncertainties in Stack Conditioning and Bipolar Plate Stamping Cost have negligible effect on the total system cost

0.1 mg/cm2 0.8 mg/cm2

1,500 mW/cm2 525 mW/cm2

$868/tr.oz. $2,978/tr.oz.

+$0.75 +$8

40 seconds 200 seconds

$3/m2 $11/m2

$30/kg $250/kg

$25/hr $70/hr

$5/m2 $25/m2

0 hrs 13 hrs

$100,000 $1,000,000

0.1 mg/cm2 0.8 mg/cm2

1,500 mW/cm2 525 mW/cm2

$868/tr.oz. $2,978/tr.oz.

+$0.75 +$8

40 seconds 200 seconds

$3/m2 $11/m2

$30/kg $250/kg

$25/hr $70/hr

$5/m2 $25/m2

0 hrs 13 hrs

$100,000 $1,000,000

page 17

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• Power density is single most important stack cost driver• Affects entire stack

• Pt loading is key cost driver at high production rates• Non‐Pt catalyst would be breakthrough• Lower Pt‐loadings are needed BUT

• Must not sacrifice power density

• Must not sacrifice DURABILITY

• Membrane is key cost driver at low production rates• Mass manufacturing of Nafion®‐like ionomer leads to low cost

• Path to low membrane cost at LOW production volume is needed

• BOP of plant costs are significant• Mass manufacturing improves a factor of 2‐3

• BOP simplification is needed

• Tradeoff between simplification & performance needs to be better understood

• Need to be open to radically different approaches to stack/configuration

Cost Reduction Observations

page 18

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page 19

Future Work• Year 3 (Option Year 1): Due February 2009

– Annual Update• Expanded sensitivity analysis

– Use results to drive the rest of the analysis

• Refine BOP cost estimates– BOP currently comprises 45‐57% of stack cost– Analyze cost savings potential for components identified in sensitivity analysis

• Re‐evaluation of technology and cost to reflect 2008 progress• Investigate platinum alloys & alternate catalyst deposition techniques• Examine gasketing alternatives

– Optional Task 3.3:• Optimization analysis

– Analyze trade‐offs between power density & catalyst loading for minimized cost

• Year 4 (Option Year 2): Due February 2010– Annual Update

• Year 5 (Option Year 3): Due February 2011– Annual Update

Focus for this year


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