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Materi 210312

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Page 1: Materi 210312
Page 2: Materi 210312

Chapter Outline

• Project Cash Flows: A First Look• Incremental Cash Flows• Pro Forma Financial Statements and Project

Cash Flows• More on Project Cash Flow• Alternative Definitions of Operating Cash Flow• Some Special Cases of Cash Flow Analysis

Page 3: Materi 210312

Relevant Cash Flows

• The cash flows that should be included in a capital budgeting analysis are those that will only occur if the project is accepted

• These cash flows are called incremental cash flows

• The stand-alone principle allows us to analyze each project in isolation from the firm simply by focusing on incremental cash flows

Page 4: Materi 210312

Asking the Right Question

• You should always ask yourself “Will this cash flow occur ONLY if we accept the project?”– If the answer is “yes”, it should be included in

the analysis because it is incremental– If the answer is “no”, it should not be included in

the analysis because it will occur anyway– If the answer is “part of it”, then we should

include the part that occurs because of the project

Page 5: Materi 210312

Common Types of Cash Flows

• Sunk costs – costs that have accrued in the past, any Sunk costs – costs that have accrued in the past, any recoverable cost for which the firm is already liable.recoverable cost for which the firm is already liable.

• Opportunity costs – costs of lost optionsOpportunity costs – costs of lost options• Side effectsSide effects

– Positive side effects – benefits to other projectsPositive side effects – benefits to other projects– Negative side effects – costs to other projectsNegative side effects – costs to other projects

• Changes in net working capitalChanges in net working capital• Financing costsFinancing costs• TaxesTaxes

Page 6: Materi 210312

Pro Forma Statements and Cash Flow

• Capital budgeting relies heavily on pro forma accounting statements, particularly income statements

• Computing cash flows – refresher– Operating Cash Flow (OCF) = EBIT + depreciation Operating Cash Flow (OCF) = EBIT + depreciation

– taxes– taxes– OCF = Net income + depreciation when there is OCF = Net income + depreciation when there is

no interest expenseno interest expense– Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA) = OCF – net capital Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA) = OCF – net capital

spending (NCS) – changes in NWCspending (NCS) – changes in NWC

Page 7: Materi 210312

Table 10.1 Pro Forma Income Statement

Sales (50,000 units at $4.00/unit) $200,000

Variable Costs ($2.50/unit) 125,000

Gross profit $ 75,000

Fixed costs 12,000

Depreciation ($90,000 / 3) 30,000

EBIT $ 33,000

Taxes (34%) 11,220

Net Income $ 21,780

Page 8: Materi 210312

Table 10.2 Projected Capital Requirements

Year

0 1 2 3

NWC $20,000 $20,000 $20,000 $20,000

NFA 90,000 60,000 30,000 0

Total $110,000 $80,000 $50,000 $20,000

Page 9: Materi 210312

Table 10.5 Projected Total Cash Flows

Year

0 1 2 3

OCF $51,780 $51,780 $51,780

Change in NWC

-$20,000 20,000

NCS -$90,000

CFFA -$110,00 $51,780 $51,780 $71,780

Page 10: Materi 210312

Making The Decision

• Now that we have the cash flows, we can apply the techniques that we learned in Investment Decision Rules

• Enter the cash flows into the calculator and compute NPV and IRR– CF0 = -110,000; C01 = 51,780; F01 = 2; C02 = 71,780– NPV; I = 20; CPT NPV = 10,648– CPT IRR = 25.8%

• Should we accept or reject the project?

Page 11: Materi 210312

Depreciation

• The depreciation expense used for capital budgeting should be the depreciation schedule required by the IRS for tax purposes

• Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense; consequently, it is only relevant because it affects taxes

• Depreciation tax shield = DT– D = depreciation expense– T = marginal tax rate

Page 12: Materi 210312

Computing Depreciation

• Straight-line depreciation– D = (Initial cost – salvage) / number of yearsD = (Initial cost – salvage) / number of years– Very few assets are depreciated straight-line for tax

purposes• MACRS

– Need to know which asset class is appropriate for tax purposes

– Multiply percentage given in table by the initial cost– Depreciate to zero– Mid-year convention

Page 13: Materi 210312

After-tax Salvage

• If the salvage value is different from the book value of the asset, then there is a tax effect

• Book value = initial cost – accumulated depreciation

• After-tax salvage = salvage – T(salvage – book value)

Page 14: Materi 210312

Example: Depreciation and After-tax Salvage

• You purchase equipment for $100,000 and it costs $10,000 to have it delivered and installed. Based on past information, you believe that you can sellsell the equipment for $17,000 $17,000 when you are done with it in 6 years. The company’s marginal tax rate is 40%. What is the depreciation expense each year and the after-tax salvage in year 6 for each of the following situations?

Page 15: Materi 210312

Example: Straight-line Depreciation

• Suppose the appropriate depreciation schedule is straight-line– D = (110,000 – 17,000) / 6 = 15,500 every year

for 6 years– BV in year 6 = 110,000 – 6(15,500) = 17,000– After-tax salvage = 17,000 - .4(17,000 – 17,000) =

17,000

Page 16: Materi 210312

Example: Three-year MACRS

Year MACRS percent

D

1 .3333 .3333(110,000) = 36,663

2 .4444 .4444(110,000) = 48,884

3 .1482 .1482(110,000) = 16,302

4 .0741 .0741(110,000) = 8,151

Page 17: Materi 210312

Example: Replacement Problem

• Original MachineOriginal Machine– Initial cost = 100,000Initial cost = 100,000– Annual depreciation = 9000Annual depreciation = 9000– Purchased 5 years agoPurchased 5 years ago– Book Value = 55,000Book Value = 55,000– Salvage today = 65,000Salvage today = 65,000– Salvage in 5 years = 10,000Salvage in 5 years = 10,000

• New MachineNew Machine– Initial cost = 150,000Initial cost = 150,000– 5-year life5-year life– Salvage in 5 years = 0Salvage in 5 years = 0– Cost savings = 50,000 per Cost savings = 50,000 per

yearyear– 3-year MACRS depreciation3-year MACRS depreciation

• Required return = 10%Required return = 10%• Tax rate = 40%Tax rate = 40%

Page 18: Materi 210312

Replacement Problem – Pro Forma Income Statements

Year 1 2 3 4 5

Cost Savings

50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000

Depr.

New 49,500 67,500 22,500 10,500 0

Old 9,000 9,000 9,000 9,000 9,000

Increm. 40,500 58,500 13,500 1,500 (9,000)

EBIT 9,500 (8,500) 36,500 48,500 59,000

Taxes 3,800 (3,400) 14,600 19,400 23,600

NI 5,700 (5,100) 21,900 29,100 35,400

Page 19: Materi 210312

Replacement Problem – Incremental Net Capital Spending

• Year 0– Cost of new machine = 150,000 (outflow)– After-tax salvage on old machine = 65,000

- .4(65,000 – 55,000) = 61,000 (inflow)– Incremental net capital spending = 150,000 –

61,000 = 89,000 (outflow)• Year 5

– After-tax salvage on old machine = 10,000 - .4(10,000 – 10,000) = 10,000 (outflow because we no longer receive this)

Page 20: Materi 210312

Replacement Problem – Cash Flow From Assets

Year 0 1 2 3 4 5

OCF 46,200 53,400 35,400 30,600 26,400

NCS -89,000 -10,000

In NWC

0 0

CFFA -89,000 46,200 53,400 35,400 30,600 16,400

Page 21: Materi 210312

Replacement Problem – Analyzing the Cash Flows

• Now that we have the cash flows, we can compute the NPV and IRR– Enter the cash flows– Compute NPV = 54,812.10– Compute IRR = 36.28%

• Should the company replace the equipment?

Page 22: Materi 210312

Other Methods for Computing OCF

Bottom-Up Approach Works only when there is no interest expense OCF = NI + depreciation

Top-Down Approach OCF = Sales – Costs – Taxes Don’t subtract non-cash deductions

Tax Shield Approach OCF = (Sales – Costs)(1 – T) + Depreciation*T

Page 23: Materi 210312

Example: Cost Cutting

• Your company is considering a new computer system that will initially cost $1 million. It will save $300,000 a year in inventory and receivables management costs. The system is expected to last for five years and will be depreciated using 3-year MACRS. The system is expected to have a salvage value of $50,000 at the end of year 5. There is no impact on net working capital. The marginal tax rate is 40%. The required return is 8%.

Page 24: Materi 210312

Initial CostInitial Cost                   

SavingsSavings                   

Tax RateTax Rate                   

Expected SalvageExpected Salvage                   

Discount RateDiscount Rate                   

                     

MACRS Depreciation ScheduleMACRS Depreciation Schedule                   

YearYear   11 22 33 44    Book value year 5Book value year 5     

PercentagePercentage   33.33%33.33% 44.44%44.44% 14.82%14.82% 7.41%7.41%           

Depreciation ExpenseDepreciation Expense                         

                           

YearYear   11 22 33 44           

Operating Cash FlowOperating Cash Flow                         

Net Capital SpendingNet Capital Spending                         

Changes in NWCChanges in NWC                         

Cash Flow from AssetsCash Flow from Assets                         

                           

Net Present ValueNet Present Value                         

Internal Rate of ReturnInternal Rate of Return                         

                           

Depreciation ExpenseDepreciation Expense   initial cost * percentageinitial cost * percentage                    

Operating Cash FlowOperating Cash Flow  

=(sales - costs)*(1 - tax rate) =(sales - costs)*(1 - tax rate) + depreciation*tax rate+ depreciation*tax rate                    

    

note that sales = 0 and a cost note that sales = 0 and a cost savings is -costssavings is -costs                    

After-tax SalvageAfter-tax Salvage  

=salvage - tax rate(salvage - =salvage - tax rate(salvage - book value)book value)                    

Page 25: Materi 210312
Page 26: Materi 210312

Chapter Outline

• Bonds and Bond Valuation• More on Bond Features• Bond Ratings• Some Different Types of Bonds• Bond Markets• Inflation and Interest Rates• Determinants of Bond Yields

Page 27: Materi 210312

Bond Definitions

• Bond• Par value (face value)• Coupon rate• Coupon payment• Maturity date• Yield or Yield to maturity

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Why Consider Bonds?

• Bonds reduce risk through diversification.• Bonds produce steady current income.• Bonds can be a safe investment if held to

maturity.

Page 29: Materi 210312

Present Value of Cash Flows as Rates Change

• Bond Value = PV of coupons + PV of parBond Value = PV of coupons + PV of par• Bond Value = PV of annuity + PV of lump sumBond Value = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum• Remember, as interest rates increase present Remember, as interest rates increase present

values decreasevalues decrease• So, as interest rates increase, bond prices So, as interest rates increase, bond prices

decrease and vice versadecrease and vice versa

Page 30: Materi 210312

Valuing a Discount Bond with Annual Coupons

• Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10% and annual Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10% and annual coupons. The par value is $1,000 and the bond has 5 coupons. The par value is $1,000 and the bond has 5 years to maturity. The yield to maturity is 11%. What is years to maturity. The yield to maturity is 11%. What is the value of the bond?the value of the bond?– Using the formula:Using the formula:

• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sumB = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum• B = 100[1 – 1/(1.11)B = 100[1 – 1/(1.11)55] / .11 + 1,000 / (1.11)] / .11 + 1,000 / (1.11)55

• B = 369.59 + 593.45 = 963.04B = 369.59 + 593.45 = 963.04

– Using the calculator:Using the calculator:• N = 5; I/Y = 11; PMT = 100; FV = 1,000N = 5; I/Y = 11; PMT = 100; FV = 1,000• CPT PV = -963.04CPT PV = -963.04

Page 31: Materi 210312

Valuing a Premium Bond with Annual Coupons

• Suppose you are looking at a bond that has a 10% Suppose you are looking at a bond that has a 10% annual coupon and a face value of $1000. There are 20 annual coupon and a face value of $1000. There are 20 years to maturity and the yield to maturity is 8%. What years to maturity and the yield to maturity is 8%. What is the price of this bond?is the price of this bond?– Using the formula:Using the formula:

• B = PV of annuity + PV of lump sumB = PV of annuity + PV of lump sum• B = 100[1 – 1/(1.08)B = 100[1 – 1/(1.08)2020] / .08 + 1000 / (1.08)] / .08 + 1000 / (1.08)2020

• B = 981.81 + 214.55 = 1196.36B = 981.81 + 214.55 = 1196.36

– Using the calculator:Using the calculator:• N = 20; I/Y = 8; PMT = 100; FV = 1000N = 20; I/Y = 8; PMT = 100; FV = 1000• CPT PV = -1,196.36CPT PV = -1,196.36

Page 32: Materi 210312

Graphical Relationship Between Price and Yield-to-maturity (YTM)

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400

1500

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%

Bond

Pric

e

Yield-to-maturity (YTM)

Page 33: Materi 210312

Bond Prices: Relationship Between Coupon and Yield

• If YTM = coupon rate, then par value = bond priceIf YTM = coupon rate, then par value = bond price• If YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond priceIf YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond price

– Why? The discount provides yield above coupon rateWhy? The discount provides yield above coupon rate– Price below par value, called a discount bondPrice below par value, called a discount bond

• If YTM < coupon rate, then par value < bond priceIf YTM < coupon rate, then par value < bond price– Why? Higher coupon rate causes value above parWhy? Higher coupon rate causes value above par– Price above par value, called a premium bondPrice above par value, called a premium bond

Page 34: Materi 210312

The Bond Pricing Equation

t

t

r)(1

F

rr)(1

1-1

C Value Bond

Page 35: Materi 210312

0 104321

kupon kupon kupon kupon

sekarang Obligasi Jatuh tempo

Nilai Obligasi

Par Value

Page 36: Materi 210312

Interest Rate Risk• Price RiskPrice Risk

– Change in price due to changes in interest ratesChange in price due to changes in interest rates– Long-term bonds have more price risk than short-term Long-term bonds have more price risk than short-term

bondsbonds– Low coupon rate bonds have more price risk than high Low coupon rate bonds have more price risk than high

coupon rate bondscoupon rate bonds

• Reinvestment Rate RiskReinvestment Rate Risk– Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows can be Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows can be

reinvestedreinvested– Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than long-Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than long-

term bondsterm bonds– High coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment rate risk High coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment rate risk

than low coupon rate bondsthan low coupon rate bonds

Page 37: Materi 210312
Page 38: Materi 210312

Computing Yield-to-maturity

• Yield-to-maturity is the rate implied by the current bond price

• Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you do not have a financial calculator and is similar to the process for finding r with an annuity

• If you have a financial calculator, enter N, PV, PMT, and FV, remembering the sign convention (PMT and FV need to have the same sign, PV the opposite sign)

Page 39: Materi 210312

YTM with Annual CouponsYTM with Annual Coupons

• Consider a bond with a 10% annual coupon rate, 15 Consider a bond with a 10% annual coupon rate, 15 years to maturity and a par value of $1,000. The years to maturity and a par value of $1,000. The current price is $928.09.current price is $928.09.

– Will the yield be more or less than 10%?Will the yield be more or less than 10%?– N = 15; PV = -928.09; FV = 1,000; PMT = 100N = 15; PV = -928.09; FV = 1,000; PMT = 100– CPT I/Y = 11CPT I/Y = 11%

Page 40: Materi 210312

928.09 = 100 PVIFA….%, 15 + 1,000 PVIF….%, 15

Trial and errorKarena Bond price dibawah par value, bond at discount. Jadi YTM > coupon ( YTM >10% )

Misalkan YTM = 12%928.09 = 100 ( PVIFA12%,15) + 1,000 PVIF12%,15928.09 = 100 ( 6.8109 ) + 1,000 ( 0.1827 )928.09 > 863.79

Misalkan YTM = 10%928.09 = 100 ( PVIFA 10%,15 ) + 1,000( PVIF10%,15 )928.09 = 100 (7.6061) + 1,000 (0.2394)928.09 < 1,000

Dengan matematika jarak mutlak dapat di cari YTM nya.

Page 41: Materi 210312

12% 863.79

2%

136.21 …?.... 928.09

x 71.91

10% 1,000

x = ( 71.91 / 136.21 ) x 2% = 1.05 % YTM = 10 % + 1.05 % = 11.05 %

Page 42: Materi 210312

YTM with Semiannual Coupons

• Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate and semiannual coupons, has a face value of $1,000, 20 years to maturity and is selling for $1,197.93.– Is the YTM more or less than 10%?– What is the semiannual coupon payment?– How many periods are there?– N = 40; PV = -1,197.93; PMT = 50; FV = 1,000;

CPT I/Y = 4% (Is this the YTM?)– YTM = 4%*2 = 8%

Page 43: Materi 210312

Differences Between Debt and Equity

• DebtDebt– Not an ownership interestNot an ownership interest– Creditors do not have Creditors do not have

voting rightsvoting rights– Interest is considered a cost Interest is considered a cost

of doing business and is tax of doing business and is tax deductibledeductible

– Creditors have legal Creditors have legal recourse if interest or recourse if interest or principal payments are principal payments are missedmissed

– Excess debt can lead to Excess debt can lead to financial distress and financial distress and bankruptcybankruptcy

• EquityEquity– Ownership interestOwnership interest– Common stockholders vote Common stockholders vote

for the board of directors for the board of directors and other issuesand other issues

– Dividends are not Dividends are not considered a cost of doing considered a cost of doing business and are not tax business and are not tax deductibledeductible

– Dividends are not a liability Dividends are not a liability of the firm and stockholders of the firm and stockholders have no legal recourse if have no legal recourse if dividends are not paiddividends are not paid

– An all equity firm can not go An all equity firm can not go bankrupt merely due to debt bankrupt merely due to debt since it has no debtsince it has no debt

Page 44: Materi 210312

The Bond Indenture

• Contract between the company and the bondholders that includes– The basic terms of the bonds– The total amount of bonds issued– A description of property used as security, if

applicable– Sinking fund provisions– Call provisions– Details of protective covenants

Page 45: Materi 210312

Bond Classifications

• Registered vs. Bearer Forms• Security

– Collateral – secured by financial securities– Mortgage – secured by real property, normally

land or buildings– Debentures – unsecured long term bond– Notes – unsecured debt with original maturity

less than 10 years

• Seniority

Page 46: Materi 210312

Bond Characteristics and Required Returns

• The coupon rate depends on the risk characteristics of the bond when issued

• Which bonds will have the higher coupon, all else equal?– Secured debt versus a debenture– Subordinated debenture versus senior debt– A bond with a sinking fund versus one without– A callable bond versus a non-callable bond

Page 47: Materi 210312

Bond Ratings – Investment Quality

• High Grade– Moody’s Aaa and S&P AAA – capacity to pay is

extremely strong– Moody’s Aa and S&P AA – capacity to pay is very

strong• Medium Grade

– Moody’s A and S&P A – capacity to pay is strong, but more susceptible to changes in circumstances

– Moody’s Baa and S&P BBB – capacity to pay is adequate, adverse conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability to pay

Page 48: Materi 210312

Bond Ratings - Speculative

• Low Grade– Moody’s Ba, B, Caa and Ca– S&P BB, B, CCC, CC– Considered speculative with respect to capacity to

pay. The “B” ratings are the lowest degree of speculation.

• Very Low Grade– Moody’s C and S&P C – income bonds with no

interest being paid– Moody’s D and S&P D – in default with principal and

interest in arrears

Page 49: Materi 210312

Government Bonds• Treasury SecuritiesTreasury Securities

– Federal government debtFederal government debt– T-bills – pure discount bonds with original maturity of one T-bills – pure discount bonds with original maturity of one

year or lessyear or less– T-notes – coupon debt with original maturity between one T-notes – coupon debt with original maturity between one

and ten yearsand ten years– T-bonds coupon debt with original maturity greaterT-bonds coupon debt with original maturity greater than than

ten yearsten years• Municipal SecuritiesMunicipal Securities

– Debt of state and local governmentsDebt of state and local governments– Varying degrees of default risk, rated similar to corporate Varying degrees of default risk, rated similar to corporate

debtdebt– Interest received is tax-exempt at the federal levelInterest received is tax-exempt at the federal level

Page 50: Materi 210312

Zero Coupon Bonds

• Make no periodic interest payments (coupon rate = 0%)• The entire yield-to-maturity comes from the difference

between the purchase price and the par value• Cannot sell for more than par value• Sometimes called zeroes, deep discount bonds, or

original issue discount bonds (OIDs)• Treasury Bills and principal-only Treasury strips are

good examples of zeroes

Page 51: Materi 210312

Floating-Rate Bonds

• Coupon rate floats depending on some index value• Examples – adjustable rate mortgages and inflation-

linked Treasuries• There is less price risk with floating rate bonds

– The coupon floats, so it is less likely to differ substantially from the yield-to-maturity

• Coupons may have a “collar” – the rate cannot go above a specified “ceiling” or below a specified “floor”

Page 52: Materi 210312

Other Bond Types• Disaster bondsDisaster bonds the bonds cover natural disasters the bonds cover natural disasters

• Income bonds Income bonds the coupon payment depend on company income the coupon payment depend on company income

• Convertible bondsConvertible bonds can be swapped for a fixed number of shares of stock can be swapped for a fixed number of shares of stock

• Put bondsPut bonds allows the holder to force the issuer to buyback the bond at stated price. allows the holder to force the issuer to buyback the bond at stated price.

• There are many other types of provisions There are many other types of provisions that can be added to a bond and many bonds that can be added to a bond and many bonds have several provisions – it is important to have several provisions – it is important to recognize how these provisions affect recognize how these provisions affect required returnsrequired returns

Page 53: Materi 210312

Bond Markets

• Primarily over-the-counter transactions with dealers connected electronically

• Extremely large number of bond issues, but generally low daily volume in single issues

• Makes getting up-to-date prices difficult, particularly on small company or municipal issues

• Treasury securities are an exception

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Chapter Outline

• Leases and Lease Types• Accounting and Leasing• Taxes, the IRS, and Leases• The Cash Flows from Leasing• Lease or Buy?• A Leasing Paradox• Reasons for Leasing

Page 56: Materi 210312

Lease Terminology

• Lease – contractual agreement for use of an asset in return for a series of payments

• Lessee – user of an asset; makes payments• Lessor – owner of the asset; receives payments• Direct lease – lessor is the manufacturer• Captive finance company – subsidiaries that lease

products for the manufacturer

Page 57: Materi 210312

Types of Leases• Operating leaseOperating lease

– Shorter-term leaseShorter-term lease– Lessor is responsible for insurance, taxes, and Lessor is responsible for insurance, taxes, and

maintenancemaintenance– Often cancelableOften cancelable

• Financial lease (capital lease)Financial lease (capital lease)– Longer-term leaseLonger-term lease– Lessee is responsible for insurance, taxes, and Lessee is responsible for insurance, taxes, and

maintenancemaintenance– Generally not cancelableGenerally not cancelable– Specific capital leasesSpecific capital leases

• Tax-orientedTax-oriented• LeveragedLeveraged• Sale and leasebackSale and leaseback

Page 58: Materi 210312

Lease Accounting

• Leases are governed primarily by FASB 13• Financial leases are essentially treated as

debt financing– Present value of lease payments must be

included on the balance sheet as a liability– Same amount shown on the asset as the

“capitalized value of leased assets”• Operating leases are still “off-balance-sheet”

and do not have any impact on the balance sheet itself

Page 59: Materi 210312

Criteria for a Capital Lease

• If one of the following criteria is met, then the lease is considered a capital lease and must be shown on the balance sheet– Lease transfers ownership by the end of the

lease term– Lessee can purchase asset at below market price– Lease term is for 75 percent or more of the life

of the asset– Present value of lease payments is at least 90

percent of the fair market value at the start of the lease

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Taxes• Lessee can deduct lease payments for income tax Lessee can deduct lease payments for income tax

purposespurposes– Must be used for business purposes and not to avoid Must be used for business purposes and not to avoid

taxestaxes– Term of lease is less than 80 percent of the economic life Term of lease is less than 80 percent of the economic life

of the assetof the asset– Should not include an option to acquire the asset at the Should not include an option to acquire the asset at the

end of the lease at a below market priceend of the lease at a below market price– Lease payments should not start high and then drop Lease payments should not start high and then drop

dramaticallydramatically– Must survive a profits test – lessor should earn a fair Must survive a profits test – lessor should earn a fair

returnreturn– Renewal options must be reasonable and consider fair Renewal options must be reasonable and consider fair

market value at the time of the renewalmarket value at the time of the renewal

Page 61: Materi 210312

Incremental Cash Flows

• Cash Flows from the Lessee’s point of viewCash Flows from the Lessee’s point of view– After-tax lease payment (outflow)After-tax lease payment (outflow)

• Lease payment*(1 – T)Lease payment*(1 – T)

– Lost depreciation tax shield (outflow)Lost depreciation tax shield (outflow)• Depreciation * tax rate for each yearDepreciation * tax rate for each year

– Initial cost of machine (inflow)Initial cost of machine (inflow)• Inflow because we save the cost of purchasing the asset nowInflow because we save the cost of purchasing the asset now

– May have incremental maintenance, taxes, or May have incremental maintenance, taxes, or insuranceinsurance

Page 62: Materi 210312

Example: Lease Cash Flows

• ABC, Inc. needs some new equipment. The equipment ABC, Inc. needs some new equipment. The equipment would cost $100,000 if purchased, and would be would cost $100,000 if purchased, and would be depreciated straight-line over 5 years. No salvage is depreciated straight-line over 5 years. No salvage is expected. Alternatively, the company can lease the expected. Alternatively, the company can lease the equipment for $25,000 per year. The marginal tax rate equipment for $25,000 per year. The marginal tax rate is 40%.is 40%.– What are the incremental cash flows?What are the incremental cash flows?

• After-tax lease payment = 25,000(1 - .4) = 15,000 (outflow years 1 - 5)After-tax lease payment = 25,000(1 - .4) = 15,000 (outflow years 1 - 5)• Lost depreciation tax shield = (100,000/5)*.4 = 8,000 (outflow years 1 – 5)Lost depreciation tax shield = (100,000/5)*.4 = 8,000 (outflow years 1 – 5)• Cost of machine = 100,000 (inflow year 0)Cost of machine = 100,000 (inflow year 0)

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Nelson's Interiors is trying to decide whether to lease or buy some new equipment. The equipment costs $64,000, has a 5-year life, and will be worthless after the 5 years. The equipment will be replaced. The cost of borrowed funds is 10.5 percent and the tax rate is 35 percent. The equipment can be leased for $13,200 a year. What is the amount of the after tax lease payment?

After tax lease payment = $13,200 X (1 - .35) = $8,580

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Lease or Buy?

• The company needs to determine whether it is better off borrowing the money and buying the asset, or leasing

• Compute the NPV of the incremental cash flows

• Appropriate discount rate is the after-tax cost of debt since a lease is essentially the same risk as a company’s debt

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Net Advantage to Leasing

• The net advantage to leasing (NAL) is the same thing as the NPV of the incremental cash flows– If NAL > 0, the firm should lease– If NAL < 0, the firm should buy

• Consider the previous example. Assume the firm’s cost of debt is 10%.– After-tax cost of debt = 10(1 - .4) = 6%– NAL = 3,116

• Should the firm buy or lease?

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Smith Meats is trying to decide whether to lease or buy some new equipment. The equipment costs $62,000, has a 3-year life, and will be worthless after the 3 years. The pre-tax cost of borrowed funds is 9 percent and the tax rate is 35 percent. The equipment can be leased for $22,500 a year. What is the net advantage to leasing?

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• After tax lease payment = $22,500 x (1 - .35) = $14,625

• Annual depreciation tax shield = $62,000 / 3 x .35 = $7,233

• After-tax discount rate = .09 x (1 - .35) = .0585

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Good Reasons for Leasing

• Taxes may be reduced• May reduce some uncertainty• May have lower transaction costs• May require fewer restrictive covenants• May encumber fewer assets than secured

borrowing

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Dubious Reasons for Leasing

• Balance sheet, especially leverage ratios, may look better if the lease does not have to be accounted for on the balance sheet

• 100% financing – except that leases normally do require either a down-payment or security deposit

• Low cost – some may try to compare the “implied” rate of interest to other market rates, but this is not directly comparable

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