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Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015
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Page 1: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Mayson Aburaya

Hepatitis-2015Orlando, USA

July 20 - 22 2015

Page 2: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Dr. Maison Abu Raya Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.

Page 3: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Histomorphometric Findings May Help Predict Response To Antiviral Therapy At An Early Fibrosis Grade In Patients With

Chronic HCV Infection

Presenter: Mayson Abu Raya, MD Coauthors: Amir Klein ,MD

Tarek Saadi, MD Edmond Sabo, MD

Mentor: Prof. Yaacov Baruch, MD

Liver Unit, Department of Gastroenterology, Department of Pathology, Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.

Page 4: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Overview

Background

Objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 5: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 6: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction

Background HCV

Worldwide, an estimated 180 million people have a chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV).

HCV is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and is the leading indication for liver transplantation in the United States (1).

In the United States, genotype 1 is the most predominant, especially in HIV-HCV co-infected and the African-American population (2).

The current treatment for HCV infection is peginterferon alpha (PEG-IFN) combined with ribavirin (with/without protease inhibitors).

Several viral and host factors related to viral response have been reported.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 7: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction

Background HCV

Worldwide, an estimated 180 million people have a chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV).

HCV is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and is the leading indication for liver transplantation in the United States (1).

In the United States, genotype 1 is the most predominant, especially in HIV-HCV co-infected and the African-American population (2).

The current treatment for HCV infection is peginterferon alpha (PEG-IFN) combined with ribavirin (with/without protease inhibitors).

Several viral and host factors related to viral response have been reported.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 8: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction

Background HCV

Worldwide, an estimated 180 million people have a chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV).

HCV is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and is the leading indication for liver transplantation in the United States (1).

In the United States, genotype 1 is the most predominant, especially in HIV-HCV co-infected and the African-American population (2).

The current treatment for HCV infection is peginterferon alpha (PEG-IFN) combined with ribavirin (with/without protease inhibitors).

Several viral and host factors related to viral response have been reported.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 9: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction

Background HCV

Worldwide, an estimated 180 million people have a chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV).

HCV is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and is the leading indication for liver transplantation in the United States (1).

In the United States, genotype 1 is the most predominant, especially in HIV-HCV co-infected and the African-American population (2).

The current treatment for HCV infection is peginterferon alpha (PEG-IFN) combined with ribavirin (with/without protease inhibitors).

Several viral and host factors related to viral response have been reported.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 10: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction

Background HCV

Worldwide, an estimated 180 million people have a chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV).

HCV is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and is the leading indication for liver transplantation in the United States (1).

In the United States, genotype 1 is the most predominant, especially in HIV-HCV co-infected and the African-American population (2).

The current treatment for HCV infection is peginterferon alpha (PEG-IFN) combined with ribavirin (with/without protease inhibitors).

Several viral and host factors related to viral response have been reported.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 11: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction BackgroundMorphometry

Morphometry is a field that investigates changes in shape, size and orientation of objects.

Several methods exist for the extraction of morphological parameters of an object.

These include length, angles, perimeter shape and distribution in the space.

Morphometry allows for the quantification of these parameters, which can highlight areas with significant differences.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 12: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction BackgroundMorphometry

Morphometry is a field that investigates changes in shape, size and orientation of objects.

Several methods exist for the extraction of morphological parameters of an object.

These include length, angles, perimeter shape and distribution in the space.

Morphometry allows for the quantification of these parameters, which can highlight areas with significant differences.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 13: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction BackgroundMorphometry

Morphometry is a field that investigates changes in shape, size and orientation of objects.

Several methods exist for the extraction of morphological parameters of an object.

These include length, angles, perimeter shape and distribution in the space.

Morphometry allows for the quantification of these parameters, which can highlight areas with significant differences.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 14: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Introduction BackgroundMorphometry

Morphometry is a field that investigates changes in shape, size and orientation of objects.

Several methods exist for the extraction of morphological parameters of an object.

These include length, angles, perimeter shape and distribution in the space.

Morphometry allows for the quantification of these parameters, which can highlight areas with significant differences.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 15: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

BackgroundMorphometry

In recent years, morphometry has been used to better predict disease phenotype and prognosis in several fields.

Various studies used morphometry in liver diseases.One study found that the evaluation of the amount of liver fibrosis by computer-assisted digital image analysis (DIA) was better correlated to the amount of pressure differentials of the hepatic veins (HVPG) (15).

Another study showed that morphometry is a good method to follow the progress of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV (16).

Introduction

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 16: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

BackgroundMorphometry

In recent years, morphometry has been used to better predict disease phenotype and prognosis in several fields.

Various studies used morphometry in liver diseases.One study found that the evaluation of the amount of liver fibrosis by computer-assisted digital image analysis (DIA) was better correlated to the amount of pressure differentials of the hepatic veins (HVPG) (15).

Another study showed that morphometry is a good method to follow the progress of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV (16).

Introduction

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 17: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

BackgroundMorphometry

In recent years, morphometry has been used to better predict disease phenotype and prognosis in several fields.

Various studies used morphometry in liver diseases.One study found that the evaluation of the amount of liver fibrosis by computer-assisted digital image analysis (DIA) was better correlated to the amount of pressure differentials of the hepatic veins (HVPG) (15).

Another study showed that morphometry is a good method to follow the progress of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV (16).

Introduction

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 18: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

BackgroundMorphometry

Morphometric analysis in other fields:

In a recent study, morphometric analysis of biopsies taken from the colon of patients with colitis due to Crohn's Disease was used to classify and predict the clinical phenotype by retrospective (20).

Morphometric analysis of cancerous cells from squamous carcinoma of the vulva and kidney carcinoma allowed the prediction of lymph node involvement and illness prognosis (12, 13).

Introduction

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 19: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Hypothesis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

At the same level of inflammation or fibrosis according to the METAVIR method, there are morphometric differences in regard to inflammation and fibrosis and differences in the texture of liver tissue in different patients.

These differences maybe related to the response to anti-viral treatment.

It is possible that these data would be early predictive factors to the response of HCV virus to anti-viral treatment.

Page 20: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Hypothesis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

At the same level of inflammation or fibrosis according to the METAVIR method, there are morphometric differences in regard to inflammation and fibrosis and differences in the texture of liver tissue in different patients.

These differences maybe related to the response to anti-viral treatment.

It is possible that these data would be early predictive factors to the response of HCV virus to anti-viral treatment.

Page 21: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Hypothesis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

At the same level of inflammation or fibrosis according to the METAVIR method, there are morphometric differences in regard to inflammation and fibrosis and differences in the texture of liver tissue in different patients.

These differences maybe related to the response to anti-viral treatment.

It is possible that these data would be early predictive factors to the response of HCV virus to anti-viral treatment.

Page 22: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Aims

1. Quantification of histological findings from patients with chronic HCV using computerized morphometrics.

2. Prediction of response to medical treatment of chronic HCV using baseline histomorphometric findings.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 23: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Methods

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 24: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Methods- Study design

A Retrospective study

All clinical data was blinded to patient identification.

Histolomorphometric analysis has been blinded to patient identification or previous histological information.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 25: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Inclusion criteria

Chronic infection with HCV genotype 1.

Patients naïve to anti-viral treatment,

Viremia level above 400,000 IU/ml prior to the treatment.Treatment of HCV was by combination of Peg-INF and RBV.Liver biopsy at most a year before treatment with fibrosis level of F1 or F2 based on the Metavir Score.

Exclusion criteria

Patients under 18 years of age or above 65 years of age.

Non-naïve patients (patients given anti-viral treatment in the past).Patients who stopped the anti-viral treatment due to side effects.If the liver biopsy was performed over a year before treatment.Fibrosis level according to Metavir score below F1 or above F2.

Viremia level below 400,000 IU/ml.

HCV genotype other than 1.

Patients with background of another liver disease,

Alcoholic patients or patients with HBV or HIV.

Methods-Study Population

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 26: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

60 chronic HCV patients with genotype 1

30 patients SVR

Clinical data

Pre treatment histologic biopsy -

Histolomorphometric analysis

Textural analysis

30 patients – NON SVR

Clinical data

Pre treatment histologic biopsy-

Histolomorphometric analysis

Textural analysis

Methods- Study design

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 27: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Slides were scanned using the dot slide virtual microscopy (Olympus) system.

The entire slide was manually scanned, 3-4 representative images were recorded from each slide.

Each biopsy contained 6-8 representative portal spaces in average.

The Imagepro plus 7.0 (Mediacybernetics USA) program has been used to analyze and quantify collagen fibers, inflammatory cells and liver architecture.

MATLAB (Mathworks USA) program has been used to analyze fractal and lacunar dimension, giving an indication of the architectural distortion in the liver parenchyma.

Methods- Histomorphometric analysis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Histomorphometric analysis

Page 28: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

BA

Figure 1 – Quantification of inflammatory cells in the hepatic portal space: A – image of hepatic portal space magnified x10 scanned in light microscope with TRICHROME staining. B- red marking of inflammatory cells within the hepatic portal space (border in green).

Methods- Histomorphometric analysis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 29: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

BA

Figure 2 – fibrosis measurement in the hepatic portal space compared to the area: image of hepatic portal space magnified x10 scanned in light microscope. A – collagen fibers in the liver tissue are stained with TRICHROME staining and appear in blue. B – the hepatic portal space border is shown in green and the collagen fibers in red.

Methods- Histomorphometric analysis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 30: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

• Figure 3 – convolution MASK: A – parenchymal tissue magnified x10 scanned in light microscope. B- MASK image, C – image processed by MATLAB software.

BA C

Methods- Textural analysis analysis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 31: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Figure 4 – image processed by the GLCM method: A- parenchymal tissue magnified x10 scanned in light microscope

B- Grey white scale image C- image processing by GLCM (Parameters: homogeneity; contrast; correlation and

entropy)

A B C

Methods- Textural analysis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 32: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Dependent variable

Independent variables

Demographic and clinical variables•Age, sex, ethnicity, height, weight, BMI, background illnesses, habits – alcohol, smoking

•type of interferon given to the patient: PEG-INF-alpha 2a or PEG-INF-alpha 2b and duration of treatment,

Laboratory variables: •Liver enzyme level,

•blood count•albumin•INR levels

Histomorphometric variables: * Amount of inflammation and fibrosis in the hepatic portal space * parenchyma texture in liver biopsy

Textural analysis variables:

Lacunarity; Fractal

analysis GLCM

analysis- Entropy Correlation

Hemogeneity; Contrast

Response to anti-viral treatment (SVR) Or

NON Response to treatment (NON SVR).

Methods- Variables

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 33: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Kolmogorov Smirnov test

Pearson’s Chi Square test

Spearman’s test

Chi-Square test

Discriminant Analysis

Neural network (NNET)

ROC Analysis Curves

Methods- Statistical methods

Data distribution

Correlation between continuous variables

Categorical variables

Relations between binary variables

Prediction level

A model to discriminate and predict a response to treatment based on non-parametric data.To reach the cut-off points showing the best prediction for response to treatment. A P-value of 5% or less was considered to be statistically significant.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 34: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Results

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 35: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

TABLE-1 DESCRIPTIVE TABLE

Group 1 -SVR (n=29) % or mean (SD)

Group 2 -non SVR ( n=29) % or mean (SD)

Sociodemographic characteristics

Gender

Male 60% 53%

Female 40% 47%Age (yr) 42 (11) 47 (8.9)BMI Kg\m2 25 (3.38) 26 (3.7)ORIGIN

UKRAINE 20% 16%

RUSSIA 67% 70%

ISREAL 7% 7%

RUMANIA 7% 0%

KAZAHISTAN 0% 7%Habits * Alcohol 50% 13% Smoking 43% 40%

Most participants in the study are of Russian origin: 67% in the SVR group and 70% in the NON SVR group

Results- Descriptive Data

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 36: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Metavir Fibrosis score

Group 1 -SVR (n=29) % or mean (SD)

Group 2 -non SVR ( n=29) % or mean

(SD)

F1 67% 53% F2 27% 30% F1-2 6% 17%Inflammation A1 20% 20% A2 44% 36% A3 6% 6% A1-2 20% 14% A2-3 10% 24%Treatment COPEGUS+ PEGSYS 24w 3% 12%COPEGUS+ PEGSYS 48w 70% 46%COPEGUS+ PEGSYS 72w 10% 3%PEGINTERON + RIBAVIRIN 24w

3% 3%

PEGINTERON + RIBAVIRIN 48w

14% 23%

PEGINTERON + RIBAVIRIN 72w 0% 3%

Results- Descriptive Data

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Laboratory data Group 1 -SVR (n=29) % or mean

(SD)

Group 2 -non SVR ( n=29) % or mean

(SD)

*ALT (UNL=60 U\L) 75.3(61) 71( 33)

*ALK. PHOS. (UNL=120 U\L) 73 (18) 66.7 (24)

Albumin (LNL=3.2 gr\dl) 4.38 (0.46) 4.27 (0.3)

Billirubin (UNL=1.2 mg\dl) 0.73 (0.25) 0.68 (0.23)

White blood count (LNL=4000\ µ L)

6968( 1912) 5790 ( 1693)

Hemoglobin (LNL=11.5 g\dl) 14.6 (1.49) 13.6 (1.49)

*INR (UNL=1.1) 1.07 (0.18) 0.98 (0.05)

Platelets count (LNL=150000/µ L)

221655 (57000) 213439 (61000)

Genotype

1A 20% 0%

1B 80% 100%Viral Load ( before treatment) IU\ml

2887520 3874280

Page 37: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Results- Univariate analysis

Table 2- Influence of demographic and laboratory data on patients' response to medication according to Univariate analysisThis table shows the correlation between patients' demographic and laboratory characteristics and belonging to the NON-SVR group compared to the SVR group.

TABLE 2- UNIVARIATE ANALYSIS DEMOGRAPHIC AND LABORATORY CHARECTERISTICS P-valueSocio - demographic characteristics

Gender

Male 0.635

Female 0.225

Age (yr) 0.05

BMI Kg\m2 0.63

Laboratory data

ALT (UNL=60 U\L) 0.7

ALK. PHOS. (UNL=120 U\L) 0.1

Albumin (LNL=3.2 gr\dl) 0.1

Billirubin (UNL=1.2 mg\dl) 0.7

White blood count (LNL=4000\ µ L) 0.026

Hemoglobin (LNL=11.5 g\dl) 0.048

INR (UNL=1.1) 0.7

Platelets count (LNL=150000/µ L) 0.968

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 38: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Figure 3 – Average age in the two study groups (P-Value= 0.05)average age of patients in the SVR group was lower compared to the non-SVR group (42 years vs. 47 years).

Figure 4 – Leukocyte average in the two study groups prior to treatment (P-Value= 0.026)

Figure 5 – Average Hemoglobin level in the two study groups (P-Value 0.048)

The leukocyte and hemoglobin levels in peripheral blood in the SVR group patients were higher compared to the NON-SVR group as seen in figures 4 and 5.

Results- Univariate analysis

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 39: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Table 3 - Univariate Analysis of Histomorphometric parameters

Histomorphometric parameters

P-value

Fibrosis analysis parameters STD of Density of collagen fibers in portal space

<0.001

Maximal Density of collagen fibers in portal space

0.04

Inflammation parameter Absolute number of inflammation cells in portal space

0.05

Portal space Area 0.14 Number of inflammation Cells\mm² <0.001 Architectural parameters Entropy 0.04 Contrast 0.02 Homogeniety 0.04 Correlation 0.15 Architectural parameters ( matlab analysis)

Lacunarity 0.001 Slope Average 0.15 Slope SD 0.11

Table 3- Univariate Analysis of Histomorphometric parameters:

Results

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 40: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Table 4- DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS

P-value

Demographic and clinical parameters

Hemoglobin <0.001 Fibrosis analysis parameters

STD of Density of collagen fibers in portal space

<0.001

Inflammation parameter

Number of inflammation Cells\mm²

<0.001

Architectural parameters

Contrast- max <0.001

Correlation- avg <0.001

Lacunarity (avg) <0.001

Results- Discriminant Analysis

Table 4 – Clinical and histomorphometric variables distinguishing between the two treatment groups:

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 41: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Regression coefficients provided by the model (B=slope, Constant=intercept) were used to calculate Discriminant scores in both groups based on Fisher's linear discriminant functions equation.

The formula included parameters of: Histophotometric analysis Textural analysis Lacunar analysis Clinical parameters

Results

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 42: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Results- Predictive Formula

• DS= discriminant score DS= discriminant score DS= discriminant score

DS= 205.370+(Hemoglobin*-19.079)+ ( Density\intensity (STD) max *-5.396)+( Cells\mm² -avg *0.003)+ ( Correlation- avg *-86812.696)+( Contrast- max *0.001)+( Lacunarity (avg)mn *-94.506)

This formula could be used to predict response to anti-viral treatment.

Page 43: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Results- Roc Analysis

Figure 6 - Receiver operating characteristics curves (ROC) of morphometry and clinical parameters on differentiating between SVR and NON SVR groups

We use ROC curves to find the best cutoff points in these DS which will be able to distinguish between response and non-response to treatment.

We also calculated the relative weight and sensitivity for each cutoff point based on the figure below.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Area= accuracyArea under the curve (AUC)= 0.773Specificity: 100%

Sensitivity:93% cut off- -15.7

Page 44: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Results

Based on ROC ANALYSIS:

DS equation >- 15.7 predicts response to anti-viral treatment while DS equation < -15.7 predicts the failure of anti-viral treatment

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 45: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Statistically significant parameters: Clinical parameters including: age, white blood cell count and hemoglobin concentration Histomorphometric variables including: the density of collagen fibers the number of inflammatory cells in the portal space Textural parameters

They were used together as a formula in order to predict response to treatment in HCV patients

with sensitivity of 93%, and 100% specificity.

Results- Summary

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 46: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Conclusion

Page 47: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Apart from predicting treatment success, this study showed that histological parameters of liver tissue have prognostic significance.

Histomorphometric and texture analysis using the histomorphomertic method is promising

Morphometry may contribute to developing an expert guided automatic system predicting response to treatment in chronic HCV patients

This method may be used at an early stage when histological changes are minimal, which may affect choosing suitable treatment for each patient.

Conclusion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Our study indicates that:

Page 48: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Apart from predicting treatment success, this study showed that histological parameters of liver tissue have prognostic significance.

Histomorphometric and texture analysis using the histomorphomertic method is promising

Morphometry may contribute to developing an expert guided automatic system predicting response to treatment in chronic HCV patients

This method may be used at an early stage when histological changes are minimal, which may affect choosing suitable treatment for each patient.

Conclusion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Our study indicates that:

Page 49: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Apart from predicting treatment success, this study showed that histological parameters of liver tissue have prognostic significance.

Histomorphometric and texture analysis using the histomorphomertic method is promising

Morphometry may contribute to developing an expert guided automatic system predicting response to treatment in chronic HCV patients

This method may be used at an early stage when histological changes are minimal, which may affect choosing suitable treatment for each patient.

Conclusion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Our study indicates that:

Page 50: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Apart from predicting treatment success, this study showed that histological parameters of liver tissue have prognostic significance.

Histomorphometric and texture analysis using the histomorphomertic method is promising

Morphometry may contribute to developing an expert guided automatic system predicting response to treatment in chronic HCV patients

This method may be used at an early stage when histological changes are minimal, which may affect choosing suitable treatment for each patient.

Conclusion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Our study indicates that:

Page 51: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

As far as we know, this is the first study of its kind in the world which tested the relation between morphometric parameters and the chance for treatment

Further research is needed in the future both in patients with HCV and in patients with other liver diseases in order to check if there is a relation with prognosis and treatment response

Conclusion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 52: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

As far as we know, this is the first study of its kind in the world which tested the relation between morphometric parameters and the chance for treatment

Further research is needed in the future both in patients with HCV and in patients with other liver diseases in order to check if there is a relation with prognosis and treatment response

Conclusion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 53: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

We have hypothesized that the same level of inflammation or fibrosis according to the METAVIR method, there are morphometric differences in regard to inflammation and fibrosis.

Our study findings is promising and fortifying our hypothesis

These differences maybe related to the response to anti-viral treatment.

It may be hypothesized that interferon may accelerate the immune response of the body in different ways and in different patients, and that the morphometric test may be able to identify the patients in which the activity of interferon will be maximal.

It is possible that these data would be early predictive factors to the response of HCV virus to anti-viral treatment.

Discussion

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

Page 54: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Discussion

Importance of our study:

The accepted treatment in Israel combination of PEG-INF, Ribavarin and a protease inhibitor

(Telaprevir or Boceprevir).

HCV genotype 1 naïve to treatment with fibrosis level F2 or higher

Naïve patients who cannot be treated with protease

inhibitor

Peg- INF and RBV

Patients given anti-viral

medication in the past

Patients who cannot be treated with protease inhibitors due to

ineligibility for government subsidy ( F1 or genotype other

than 1)

Morphometry may be used to predict the response to the anti-viral treatment( Peg- INF and RBV) in patients before treatment beginningThat may reduce the side effects and monetary of other treatments.

Page 55: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Study limitations

It is a retrospective study.

Recently there are new HCV treatments which are highly effective and not based on the treatment with PEG-INF. Recent studies show that the success rate in these treatments is very high (31).

These methods include fibrotest and fibroscan (32), and thus for some of the patients we lack an available liver biopsy for performing the morphometric tests.

Additionally, recently there is preference for non-invasive methods for evaluating the severity of liver damage which replace liver biopsy in some of the patients.

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

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References 

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11. Sugiyama M, Tanaka Y, Nakanishi M, Mizokami M. Novel Findings for the Development of Drug Therapy for Various Liver Diseases: Genetic Variation in IL-28B Is Associated With Response to the Therapy for Chronic Hepatitis C, J Pharm Sci, 2011; 115:263-269.

12. Lavie O, Maini I, Pilip A, Comerci G, Sabo E, Cross PA, Dawlatly B, Lopes A, Auslender R. Computerized nuclear morphometry for the prediction of inguinal lymph nodes metastases in squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva. Int J Gynecol Cancer, 2006; 16: 556-561.

13. Nativ O, Sabo E, Raviv G, Halachmi S, Moskovitz B. Value of nuclear morphometry for differentiating localized from metastatic renal cell carcinoma. Eur Urol, 1998; 33:186-189.

14. Manousou P, Dhillon AP, Isgro G, Calvaruso V, Luong TV, Tsochatzis E, Xirouchakis E, Kalambokis G, Cross TJ, Rolando N, O'Beirne J, Patch D, Thornburn D, Burroughs AK. Digital Image Analysis of Liver Collagen Predicts Clinical Outcome of Recurrent Hepatitis C Virus 1 Year After Liver Transplantation, Liver Transpl, 2011 ;17:178-188.

15. Calvaruso V, Burroughs AK, Standish R, Manousou P, Grillo F, Leandro G, Maimone S, Pleguezuelo M, Xirouchakis I, Guerrini GP, Patch D, Yu D, O'Beirne J, Dhillon AP. Computer-Assisted Image Analysis of Liver Collagen:Relationship to Ishak Scoring and Hepatic VenousPressure Gradient. Hepatology, 2009 ;49:1236-1244

16. Goodman ZD, Becker RL Jr, Pockros PJ, Afdhal NH. Progression of Fibrosis in Advanced Chronic Hepatitis C: Evaluation by Morphometric Image Analysis. Hepatology, 2007;45:886-894

17. Sabo E, Boltenko A, Sova Y, Stein A, Kleinhaus S, Resnick MB. Microscopic analysis and significance of vascular architectural complexity in renal cell carcinoma . Clin Cancer Res, 2001; 7:533-537.

18. Sabo E, Gibrat M, Sova Y, Stein A, Resnick MB. Validation of the novel indices of nuclear pleomorphism, polarity and spatial distribution in the grading of urothelial carcinoma . Anal Quant Cytol Histol, 2003. 25:53-62.

19. Sabo E, Beck AH, Montgomery EA, Bhattacharya B, Meitner P, Wang JY, Resnick MB. Computerized morphometry as an aid in determining the grade of dysplasia and progression to adenocarcinoma in Barrett's esophagus . Lab Invest, 2006; 86:1261-1271.

20. Klein A, Eliakim R, Karban A, Mazor Y, Ben-Izhak O, Chowers Y, Sabo E. Early histological findings quantified by histomorphometry allow prediction of clinical phenotypes in Crohn's colitis patients. Anal Quant Cytol Histol, 2013; 35: 95-104.

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References 21. William He, Nailon Yo, Mao Ed. Texture Analysis Methods for Medical Image Characterization, Biomedical Imaging, 2010; 1:978-953.22. Geoffrey a, Geoffrey M. Henebry, Fractal signature and lacunarity in the measurement of the texture of trabecular bone in clinical CT images. Med Eng Phys,2001; 23:369–380.23. Qureshi S, Batool U, Mussarat I, Farooq U, Burki, Khan N.Pre-treatment Predictors of Response for Assessing Outcomes to Standard Treatment in Infection with HCV Genotype 3, Journal of the College of Physicians and Surgeons Pakistan, 2011; 21: 64-6824. Udayakumar N, Nyingi K, Guy Ne. Predicting the probable outcome of treatment in HCV patients. Therapuetic Advances in Gastroenterology, 2009; 2: 287-30225. Davis GL, Esteban R, Rustgi V, Hoefs J, Gordon SC, Trepo C. Interferon alfa-2b alone or in combination with ribavirin for the treatment of relapse of chronic hepatitis C. N Engl J Med,1998; 9: 339–343. 26. Invonete S, Roberto F, Feldner AN, Zarros T, Silva ED, Lucia MA. Poor response to Hepatitis C in elderly patients, Annals of Hepatology, 2013;12 : 392-398. 27. Michael JO,Norris MK,Elderiny SA, Cerda SA, Keaveny AN, Afdhal NE, Nunes D. An Assessment of Digital Image Analysis to Measure Fibrosis in Liver Biopsy Specimens of Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C. Am J Clin Pathol, 2000; 114:712-718. 28. Mirza M, Siddiqui A, Hamid S, Umar M, Shaheena B. Extent of liver inflammation in predicting response to interferon α & Ribavirin in chronic hepatitis C patients: a cohort study.Gastroenterology, 2012; 12:71. 29. Hui AY, Liew CT, Go MY, Chim AM, Chan HL, Leung NW, Sung JJ. Quantitative assessment of fibrosis in liver biopsies from patients with chronic hepatitis B. Liver International, 2004; 24: 611-8.30. Makoto Ar, Hideo Te, Kenji Ka, Tsuyoshi A, Masaru N, Akira N. Regression of Liver Fibrosis in Cases of Chronic Liver Disease Type C: Quantitative Evaluation by Using Computed Image Analysis. Intern Med, 2004; 43:902-910.40. Paul YK, Eric JL, McCone JO, Eugene R, Vierling J, Pound D, Davis M, Galati J, Stuart CG, Natarajan R, Lorenzo Ro,Frank H , Ira M , Rubin R, Kenneth Ko, Pedicone L, Clifford A, Eirum Ch, Janice A, on behalf of the SPRINT-1 investigators. Efficacy of boceprevir, an NS3 protease inhibitor, in combination with peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin in treatment-naive patients with genotype 1 hepatitis C infection (SPRINT-1): an open-label, randomised, multicentre phase 2 trial. Lancet, 2010; 376: 705–71641. Poynard TH, Ledinghen V, Zarski J, Stanciu C, Munteanu M, Vergniol J, France J, Trifan A, Gilles , Jean N, Vaillant Ch, Ratziu V, Charlotte F,The Fibrosis-TAGS group . Relative performances of FibroTest, Fibroscan, and biopsy for the assessment of the stage of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C: A step toward the truth in the absence of a gold standard. J Hepatol, 2012; 56:541-548.

Page 58: Mayson Aburaya Hepatitis-2015 Orlando, USA July 20 - 22 2015.

Thank you Dr. Maison Abu Raya

MD.Rappaport faculty of medicine

Technion institute of technology

Haifa; Israel

• Mobile: +(972) 504281470

• Email: [email protected]

The Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology

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Hepatitis– 2016 Website:

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Meet the eminent gathering once again at

Hepatitis-2016Dubai, UAE

October 17 - 19, 2016


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