+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology...

Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology...

Date post: 17-Oct-2018
Category:
Upload: vankhuong
View: 213 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
54
Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical Outcomes Gregory T. Everson, MD Professor of Medicine Director of Hepatology University of Colorado Denver
Transcript
Page 1: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Measuring the Liver’s Health

Linking Function to Clinical Outcomes

Gregory T. Everson, MD

Professor of MedicineDirector of Hepatology

University of Colorado Denver

Page 2: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Function-”omics”

Page 3: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Disclosures

• Intellectual property filings with University of Colorado Denver – 6 patents have been issued from 12/2013 to 7/2015; others pending.

• Founder, Manager and Equity Member of HepQuant LLC

The Dual Cholate tests discussed in this presentation are NOT FDA APPROVED. They arecurrently for investigational use only.

Page 4: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Functional Assessment as anAlternative to Fibrosis Measurement

4

FatVirusEtOHetc

Liver-Related Clinical Outcome

Hepatic Functional Impairment

CirrhosisPre-CirrhoticFibrosis

X

XXX

Functional impairment, not fibrosis, is the direct link to clinical outcome.

Page 5: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Ideal Traits for a Test of Liver’s Health• Minimally invasive, well tolerated• Reproducible• Plausibly linked to pathogenesis of the disease• Assess the whole organ• Measure effectively all stages of disease –

including early stages• Intended for use in relevant populations (HCV,

NASH, PSC, Chronic Liver Disease)• Standardized test administration and lab analysis• Applied across multiple centers• Detect Treatment Effects• High Value

5

Page 6: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Minimally Invasive

Page 7: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Paradigm shift toward Noninvasive Alternatives

7

Fibrosis Stage on liver biopsy as theInvasive “Gold Standard”

0

1

2

3

4

5

0 30 60 90 120 150 180

Seru

m C

once

ntra

tion

(uM

)

Time (minutes)

IV and Oral Clearance Curves

IV Clearance Curve Oral Clearance Curve

Breath Tests

Dual Cholate SHUNT

Metabolism

EstimatingFibrosis

Biomarkers

Liver Stiffness

Measuring Function and Physiology

SPECT scan

Page 8: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

8

Quantitative Liver Function Tests Improve the Prediction of Clinical Outcomes in Chronic Hepatitis C: Results From the Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment Against Cirrhosis Trial. Gregory T. Everson, Mitchell L. Shiffman, John C. Hoefs, et. al.; HEPATOLOGY 2012; volume 55: pages 1019-1029.

The spectrum of hepatic functional impairment in compensated chronic hepatitis C: results from the Hepatitis C Anti-viral Long-term Treatment against Cirrhosis Trial. G. T. Everson, M. L. Shiffman, T. R. Morgan, J. C. Hoefs, et. al. ALIMENTARY PHARMACOLOGY & THERAPEUTICS, volume 27, pages 798–809.

Our HEPATIQ™ software provides a precise index of liver disease severity. The HEPATIQ™ technology automates the Quantitative Liver Spleen Scan (QLSS™) that has been proven to be an accurate predictor of clinical outcomes in the recently concluded HALT-C trial.

The HEPATIQ Software has been cleared by the Food and Drug Administration for sale in the U.S.A.

Hepatiq

Page 9: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

13C-Methacetin BT (Breath ID)

9

Poster available for viewing –NASH Biomarker Workshop

Alexandria VA

Page 10: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

10

Use of the methacetin breath test to classify the risk of cirrhotic complications and mortality in patients evaluated/listed for liver transplantation. R. Todd Stravitz, Adrian Reuben, Meir Mizrahi, Gadi Lalazar, Kim Brown,

Stuart C. Gordon, Yaron Ilan, Arun Sanyal. Journal of Hepatology 2015 vol. 63 : 1345–1351

MELD 13C- Methacetin BT

Page 11: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

HepQuant SHUNT (DSI)

11

• Peripheral venous indwelling catheter• Oral (D4-cholate, 40 mg) and IV (13C-cholate, 20 mg)• Timed blood draws at t = 5, 20, 45, 60 and 90 minutes• Quantifies HFRs, SHUNT, and DSI

0

1

2

3

4

5

0 30 60 90 120 150 180

Seru

m C

once

ntra

tion

(uM

)

Time (minutes)

IV and Oral Clearance Curves

IV Clearance Curve Oral Clearance Curve

Page 12: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Model for Decline in Dual Cholate Clearanceswith Disease Severity

0

20

40

60

80

100

F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F4 F4

Portal HFR SHUNT Systemic HFR

Disease Progression (from Healthy (F0) to Severe Decomp (C5)

20%

1.5

33 >90%

1.5

6.6

C1,C2 C3,4 C5--- Early-Stage HCV Study -- ----------- HALT-C --------------- --- Late-Stage Studies ---

% of Baseline

From Helmke S, Colmenero J, Everson GT. Curr Opin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2015.

Page 13: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Reproducibility

Page 14: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

VariablesStudy 1 Study 2

Controls HCV NASH PSCN, %, or Mean (± Standard Deviation)

N, Patients 16 16 16 46Age (yr) 32.7±11.6 55.1±6.6 49.6±11.2 48.8±12.9Gender (M:F) 8:8 13:3 7:9 36:10BMI (kg/m2) 22.9±2.0 28.3±4.1 33.0±5.7 26.2±3.9Race (W:B:3:4:other) 11:2:1:1:1 14:1:1:0:0 13:2:0:1:0 42:3:1Fibrosis Stage, N Pts (F0:F1:F2:F3:F4)1 NA 3:2:3:4:4 0:4:4:5:3 ND2

Fibrosis Score1 NA 2.3±1.4 2.4±1.1 ND2

MELD score NA 7.6±1.5 6.9±0.8 9.5±4.2CTP score NA 5.2±0.5 5.0±0.0 6.0±1.5Varices NA 0 0 31.9%Ascites NA 0 0 10.6%Encephalopathy NA 0 0 17.0%Bilirubin (mg/dL) 0.7±0.2 1.1±0.4 0.8±0.3 1.9±2.1Albumin (g/dL) 4.0±0.3 3.9±0.4 4.0±0.3 3.6±0.5INR 1.0±0.1 1.1±0.1 1.0±0.0 1.1±0.6Creatinine (mg/dL) 1.0±0.1 0.9±0.1 0.8±0.2 0.9±0.2Platelet Count (µL-1) 243±46 152±66 193±70 184±90Hemoglobin (g/dL) 14.3±1.4 15.1±1.8 14.6±1.7 14.3±1.8

Reproducibility Studies: Subject Characteristics

Page 15: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Disease Severity Index (DSI)

R² = 0,9500

0

10

20

30

40

0 10 20 30 40

Repe

ated

Mea

sure

s of D

SI

Mean DSI

Page 16: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

HepQuant STAT

16

• Oral dose only – D4 cholate 40 mg• One blood draw at 60 minutes• Serum separated and shipped to HQ lab• STAT, estimated DSI, reported

Page 17: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Relationship of STAT to DSI

0,00

10,00

20,00

30,00

40,00

50,00

0,00 1,00 2,00 3,00 4,00 5,00 6,00 7,00 8,00 9,00 10,00

DSI

v3.

3

STAT (µM)

N = 1010 Tests in ~500 patientsHCVPSC

NAFLD

Page 18: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Test Outputs

• Systemic Hepatic Filtration Rate (HFR)• Portal HFR• SHUNT• Disease Severity Index (DSI)• STAT

* DSI is a function of HFRs and SHUNT

18

Page 19: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Why Cholate?

Why Dual Label in the case ofHepQuant SHUNT?

19

Page 20: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Cholate is Stable

20

Page 21: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

21

Page 22: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

22

Can J Biochem. 1978 Dec;56(12):1141-8.Bile acids of a 3200-year-old Egyptian mummy.Kuksis A, Child P, Myher JJ, Marai L, Yousef IM, Lewin PK.

AbstractThe bile acids of the gall bladder and hepatic tissue of a 3200-year-old Egyptian mummy were isolated by thin-layer chromatography and identified by combined gas-liquid chromatrography and mass spectrometry. Except for complete deconjugation and extensive dehydration, the bile acids were found to correspond in their qualitative and quantitative composition to the gall bladder bile acids of modern man. The secondary bile acids constituted about 50% of the total and were identified as the normal bacterial oxidoreduction products of the primary bile acids and their dehydration products. In addition a series of unsaturated bile acids were identified, which corresponded to the dehydration products of cholic and chenodeoxycholic acids. It is suggested that both bile acid deconjugation and the limited oxidoreduction were probably brought about by the Clostridium organisms identified in the tissue. On the basis of the bile acid composition it is concluded that the ancient man metabolized cholesterol along the same pathways as modern man.

Page 23: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Cholates as Stable Probes

• Endogenous – primary bile acid of man• Transport, disposition, metabolism well characterized• No DDIs• 13C, D – stable, cold – ideal for multiple test admin• No pharmacologic effect in the doses administered in

any of the HepQuant tests (mg doses)• 13C-cholate and 4D-cholate are molecular probes

that can track cholate within the human body safely and noninvasively (nM accuracy)

• Blood test – no need for special equipment

23

Page 24: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Plausibly Linked to Pathogenesis

Page 25: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Viruses

EtOH

Auto-Immune

Biliary

Other

Elements of Functional Impairment

Page 26: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Cholic Acid (CA) Transporters

Stomach Small Intestine Colon

HEPATOCYTES

ENTEROCYTESPortal Vein

Oral 4D-CHOLATE

Intravenous 13C-CHOLATE

OATP1B1

Portal-Systemic Shunting

Hepatic Artery

13C-CHOLATE

OATP1B3 OATP1A2 NTCP

ASBT OATP1A2

OST-α/β MRP3 IBABP

BAAT

Page 27: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Assesses the Whole OrganAnd

All Stages of Disease

Page 28: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Model for Decline in Dual Cholate Clearanceswith Disease Severity

0

20

40

60

80

100

F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F4 F4

Portal HFR SHUNT Systemic HFR

Disease Progression (from Healthy (F0) to Severe Decomp (C5)

20%

1.5

33 >90%

1.5

6.6

C1,C2 C3,4 C5--- Early-Stage HCV Study -- ----------- HALT-C --------------- --- Late-Stage Studies ---

% of Baseline

From Helmke S, Colmenero J, Everson GT. Curr Opin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2015.

Page 29: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

HCVHALT-C Trial

Page 30: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Healthy Controls

1CirrhosisFibrosis

Without WithClinical Outcomes

N = 30 168 52 220 HCV Patients

HQ

-STA

T(µ

M)

Low

Ris

k of

Out

com

es

Hig

h R

isk

R2 = 0.42

A B

42 3 5 6Healthy Controls

N = 30 6 42 85 57 51 58

Ishak Fibrosis Stage

1

299 HCV Patients

2

5

0.5

0.2

0.1 0

10

20

30

40

Healthy Controls

1CirrhosisFibrosis

Without WithClinical Outcomes

N = 30 168 52 220 HCV Patients

Low

Ris

k of

Out

com

es

Hig

h R

isk

R2 = 0.40

A B

42 3 5 6Healthy Controls

N = 30 6 42 85 57 51 58

Ishak Fibrosis Stage

299 HCV Patients

HQ

-SH

UN

T D

SI

Both STAT and SHUNT DSI Correlate with Fibrosis and Predict Risk of Outcomes

R = 0.64 R = 0.63

Pearson Correlations are using all data points.Symbols are the mean ± SD.

Optimum Cutoffs for High Risk of Outcomes are STAT ≥ 1.12 µM and DSI ≥ 18.63

Page 31: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

DSI v3.4

1- Specificity

Sens

itivi

ty AUC 0.84

-0,100,000,100,200,300,400,500,600,70

0 10 20 30 40Yo

uden

Inde

xDSI

Selecting Optimum Cutoff -Youden Index

DSI cutoff 18.6

Sensitivity 87%Specificity 72%PPV 49%NPV 95%

DSI in HALT-C Cohort: Baseline DSI Predicts Risk for Clinical OutcomeMean Period of Followup 5.5 years, up to 8.3 years. N = 220 patients, clinically compensated, with Ishak F2 to F6.

Page 32: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

With Number of Subjects at Risk and 95% Confidence Limits

SHUNT (DSI) Predicts Risk for Clinical Outcome

Page 33: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

With Number of Subjects at Risk and 95% Confidence Limits

STAT Predicts Risk for Clinical Outcome

Page 34: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Variable Hazard

Ratio

Lower 95%

CI

Upper 95%

CI p-value Fibrosis ISHAK 5,6 vs 2,3,4 4.00 2.15 7.44 <0.001

Variable Hazard

Ratio

Lower 95%

CI

Upper 95%

CI p-value Fibrosis ISHAK 5,6 vs 2,3,4 2.21 1.08 4.52 0.030

Platelets per unit 0.99 0.98 1.00 0.002

Age per year 0.98 0.94 1.01 0.192

Gender Male vs Female 0.87 0.46 1.64 0.669

Race Black vs Non-Hispanic, White 0.76 0.29 1.99 0.578

Race Hispanic/other vs Non-Hispanic, White 1.37 0.68 2.77 0.373

Function vs Fibrosis in Predicting OutcomesIshak Fibrosis Stage

STAT

Variable Hazard

Ratio

Lower 95%

CI

Upper 95%

CI p-value STAT tertile 0.73-1.19 2.59 0.70 9.56 0.154

STAT tertile >1.19 9.82 2.82 34.22 <0.001

Fibrosis ISHAK 5,6 vs 2,3,4 1.58 0.79 3.17 0.199

Platelets per unit 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.059

Age per year 0.98 0.94 1.02 0.263

Gender Male vs Female 1.10 0.58 2.08 0.771

Race Black vs Non-Hispanic, White 0.69 0.26 1.81 0.451

Race Hispanic/other vs Non-Hispanic, White 1.01 0.49 2.05 0.987

Variable Hazard

Ratio

Lower 95%

CI

Upper 95%

CI p-value DSI tertile 15.395-19.898 2.40 0.64 9.04 0.196

DSI tertile >19.898 14.01 3.84 51.08 <0.001

Fibrosis ISHAK 5,6 vs 2,3,4 1.15 0.52 2.54 0.730

Platelets per unit 0.99 0.99 1.00 0.117

Age per year 0.98 0.94 1.02 0.300

Gender Male vs Female 1.23 0.64 2.38 0.538

Race Black vs Non-Hispanic, White 0.48 0.18 1.26 0.136

Race Hispanic/other vs Non-Hispanic, White 0.97 0.47 2.00 0.940

DSI

Page 35: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

y = -5,9065x + 99,431R² = 0,9842

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16

% H

epat

ic R

eser

ve

Stage of Disease

Decline of Hepatic Functional ReserveHealthy Persons

F0-F1

F2F3 F3-F4

F3-F4 F4F5

F6F5-F6

Post-LT mix of CTP A B C

Decompensated CTP B C

Decompensated Waiting List Pts

Theoretical Limit

Page 36: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

All Etiologies of Disease

36

Page 37: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Application in NAFLD

37

Page 38: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical
Page 39: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical
Page 40: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

DSI is Not Influenced by Steatosis in HCV Patients

5

10

15

20

25

C 1 3 64 52Ishak Fibrosis

Dis

ease

Sev

erity

Inde

x (D

SI)

r2 = 0.40

N=24

6

4283

57

51

58

5

10

15

20

25r2 = 0.02

0 1 3,42Biopsy Fat Score

Dis

ease

Sev

erity

Inde

x (D

SI)

44

111 9527

Page 41: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

NASH Patient Demographics31 Patients included in NASH pilot data set Biopsy Diagnosis:

27 NASH4 Cryptogenic Cirrhosis

(concurrent obesity, presumed NASH) Age: 54 ± 11 (mean ± SD), 26 – 71 (range) Gender: 65% male Brunt/Kleiner Fibrosis Stage

4 at F14 at F25 at F3

18 at F4 (cirrhosis) D’Amico/Zipprich Cirrhosis Stage

4 at C1 (compensated, no varices)5 at C2 (compensated, with varices)4 at C3 (decompensated, no ascites)5 at C4 (decompensated, with ascites)

Page 42: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

HepQuant® Function Map

Portal HFR (mL/min/kg)

Syst

emic

HFR

(mL/

min

/kg)

10

2

5

1102 51 20 30 40

20%

10%

50

DSI = 0

DSI = 50

SHUNT: 100% 80% 60% 40%

DSI = 40 DSI = 30

DSI = 20

DSI = 10

Page 43: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Liver Function in Controls and NASH Patients

Portal HFR (mL/min/kg)

Syst

emic

HFR

(mL/

min

/kg)

10

2

5

1102 51 20 30 40

20%

10%

50

DSI = 0

DSI = 50

SHUNT: 100% 80% 60% 40%

DSI = 28

DSI = 16

Controls (BMI 18.5-25; n = 30)Controls (BMI > 25; n = 20)NASH Fibrosis (Brunt 1-3; n = 13)NASH Cirrhosis Comp (n = 9)NASH Cirrhosis Decomp (n = 9)

Page 44: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Medium/Large Varices in NASH Patients

Portal HFR (mL/min/kg)

Syst

emic

HFR

(mL/

min

/kg)

10

2

5

1102 51 20 30 40

20%

10%

50

DSI = 0

DSI = 50

SHUNT: 100% 80% 60% 40%

DSI = 28

DSI = 16

Controls (BMI 18.5-25; n = 30)Controls (BMI > 25; n = 20)NASH w/o Med/Lg Varices (n = 22)NASH w Med/Lg Varices (n = 9)

Page 45: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

DSI Outperforms Brunt/Kleiner Fibrosis Stage in Identifying NASH Patients

with Decompensation orwith Medium/Large Varices

ROC c-statistic

optimum cut-off Sens. Spec. PPV NPV Youden

Index (J)

HepQuant-SHUNT 0.92 DSI > 28 89% 91% 80% 95% 0.80Brunt/Kleiner 0.80 Cirrhosis 100% 59% 50% 100% 0.59

ROC c-statistic

optimum cut-off Sens. Spec. PPV NPV Youden

Index (J)

HepQuant-SHUNT 0.98 DSI > 28 100% 95% 90% 100% 0.95Brunt/Kleiner 0.80 Cirrhosis 100% 59% 50% 100% 0.59

Identifying NASH Patients with Decompensation

Identifying NASH Patients with Medium/Large Varices

Page 46: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Measuring Treatment Effect

46

Page 47: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Measuring Change in DSI

47

Page 48: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Measuring Change in DSI

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

F0 -F3 LTx Cirrh Decomp HALT C SVR HALT CCntrl

HALT C NR PSC

Δ DSI v3.3

------SOLAR 1 On-Rx Wk 4 ------ ---------------- HALT C ------------------

p <0.002 p <0.02 p = NS p <0.001 p = NS

Page 49: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Mean ΔDSI

Placebo group

Mean ΔDSI

Treatment group

SD of ΔDSIN per Arm

80% Power

N per Arm

90% Power

A 0 2 3 20 26

B 0 2 4 34 44

C 0 4 3 7 9

D 0 4 4 10 13

Using ΔDSI to Select Sample Size

Page 50: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Use in Clinical Trials

Page 51: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

HepQuant STAT

51

• Oral dose only – D4 cholate 40 mg• One blood draw at 60 minutes• Serum separated and shipped to HQ lab• STAT, estimated DSI, reported

Page 52: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

0.1

0.2

0.5

1

2

5

1

CirrhosisFibrosis

42 3 5 6Healthy Controls

Ishak Fibrosis Stage

N = 30 6 42 85 57 51 58 299 HCV Patients

Without With

Clinical Outcomes

168 52 220 HCV Patients

0.80

1.60

3.00

R = 0.64

Sing

le(µ

M)

STAT Correlates with Fibrosis and Predicts Risk of Outcomes

Higher Risk for Outcomes

Lower Risk for Outcomes

Proposed Cohorts for the Study

% with Outcomes

58 %

25 %

6 %<0.80

Outcomes n=52

CTP +2 18Var Bleed 4Ascites 8 Enceph 3Asc+Enc 3Death 16

Page 53: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

53

STAT to Select; SHUNT to Monitor

Test Patient Procedures

Results

STAT Oral only, 1 draw

Estimates DSI

SHUNT IV and Oral dosing, 5 draws

Portal Hepatic Filtration Rate (HFR), Systemic HFR, Portal-Systemic Shunt, DSI

Interval DSI Assessments

Screening aPopulation

STAT

MonitoringEfficacy

SHUNT

General Clinical Patient Population

Selecting Patients by Disease Severity

Page 54: Measuring the Liver’s Health - Virology Educationregist2.virology-education.com/2016/1nashbiomarkers/25_Everson.pdf · Measuring the Liver’s Health Linking Function to Clinical

Concluding Remarks

• Clinical outcomes are determined by the severity of functional impairment

• Early stages of disease may best be defined by functional tests

• Functional tests measure the state of liver disease in “real time”

• Functional tests can measure treatment effects – dose/response, time/action

54


Recommended