Medical and economic impact of
autoimmune hepatitis
Jayant A. Talwalkar, MD, MPH*, W. Ray Kim, MD, MBADivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Mayo Clinic 200 First Street S.W. Rochester,
MN 55905, USA
Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis are recognized as entities that require
frequent involvement by health care delivery systems worldwide. Furthermore,
emerging evidence shows that these conditions incur a significant disease burden
and increased resource use. Although autoimmune liver disease constitutes just
one aspect of this resource demand, it has a major medical and economic impact.
Despite a growing number of studies on the health care outcomes of primary
biliary cirrhosis (PBC) and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), there is little
information about the health care outcome of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH). This
article proposes to review the terminology and concepts used in estimating
disease burden and economic assessment for chronic disease in general; sum-
marize the results from epidemiologic and economic investigations performed in
PBC and PSC; and outline the elements and strategies that are necessary to
develop similar information in AIH.
Epidemiologic principles of chronic disease
Measures of disease frequency
Chronic disease states can be characterized by their frequency of occurrence
and distribution within a population. The application of epidemiologic principles
allows for an estimation of magnitude within an exposure–disease relationship.
Measures of disease frequency include prevalence, incidence, and cumulative
incidence. Prevalence is defined as the proportion of individuals in a population
who have a given disease at a specific instant. This provides an estimate of
1089-3261/02/$ – see front matter D 2002, Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved.
PII: S1089 -3261 (02 )00030 -2
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: [email protected] (J.A. Talwalkar).
Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667
disease risk for an individual at some point in time. Incidence is defined as the
number of new cases of disease that develop in a population at risk during a
specified time interval. Cumulative incidence is defined as the proportion of
people who develop disease during a specified period of time. Determining
cumulative incidence assumes that an entire population has been followed for the
specified length of time [1]. Alterations in disease prevalence may be from
changes in its incidence, duration, or both [2]. For example, medical therapies
that prevent or delay liver-related death, such as immunosuppressive treatment in
AIH [3,4] and ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in PBC [5–11] will also increase
the prevalence rate of these conditions.
Study design and methods
Several strategies have been developed for conducting epidemiologic research
of chronic disease. Descriptive studies are important for estimating the distribution
of disease, and they serve as a basis for future investigations of disease etiology.
These investigations may involve populations or individuals reported in a case
series or cross-sectional format. Limitations with this approach include the
inability to establish a direct link between exposure and disease at an individual
level [1]. The use of analytic study designs, however, can facilitate the examina-
tion of a putative exposure’s relationship with disease. Two analytic methods have
been extensively used in the epidemiologic study of chronic disease: the case-
control and observational cohort study designs.
For rare conditions with protracted latency periods, the case-control study
design has been used to facilitate comparisons between affected individuals and
those without disease. The use of this study design established the link between
cigarette smoking and lung cancer among residents of the United Kingdom [12].
Individuals who are identified with a given disease or condition are termed cases.
The selection of cases has been primarily from hospital settings, tertiary referral
centers, or population-based catchment regions. Control subjects (individuals
without the disease or condition of interest) should ideally represent the
population of unaffected persons who would be considered cases if they
developed disease. The salient aspects of comparability between cases and
controls include strict definitions for case ascertainment, knowledge of the
baseline risk for disease development independent of exposure, and completeness
of available data [13,14]. In AIH, use of the International Autoimmune Hepatitis
Group (IAHG) scoring system would qualify as strict diagnostic criteria from
which a homogenous group of cases is assembled [15]. The use of limited
numbers of cases often requires an increasing number of controls to improve the
power for detecting relevant exposure–disease associations when present. Case
to control ratios beyond 1:4 (approximately 90% power) yield little in terms of
additional power. For larger numbers of cases (100 to 200), the optimal case to
control ratio is 1:1 [1,14,16].
The case-control study design has several advantages (Box 1) [1]. Data
collection is retrospective but rapid and inexpensive compared with prospective
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667650
investigations [17]. By identifying a large number of cases, an assessment of
multiple exposures can be performed as the illness has already occurred. This is
particularly true in rare conditions, such as PBC, PSC, and AIH. Conversely, the
case-control study design also has several disadvantages (Box 1). The primary
limitation is selection bias resulting from the differential ascertainment of both
cases and controls based on their exposure status. Although hospital-based cases
and controls are accessible and numerous, a potential concern is that control
individuals are also ill. Consequently, they may relate different histories of
exposure compared with healthy populations. Referral centers are also suscep-
tible to selection bias.
Although it will improve the level of comparability between cases and
controls, the use of population-based investigations may be affected by recall
bias. This bias reflects the discrepancy between the exposures recalled by the
controls and those recalled by the cases whose responses may be influenced by
recognition of their disease. Missing data from medical records at the time of
initial evaluation also hampers case-control studies. Therefore, the temporal
relationship between exposure and disease will be difficult to establish resulting
in exposure misclassification. This results in a bias that dilutes or underestimates
the effect of a relevant exposure when identified [1,14].
In contrast to case-control methods, the observational cohort study design
involves collecting information prospectively among individuals yet to develop a
disease or condition of interest. Individuals are classified as exposed or non-
Box 1. Strengths and limitations of the case-control study design
Strengths
Rapid and inexpensive compared with other designsApplicable for studying disease with long latency periodsOptimal for study of rare diseasesCan examine multiple exposures for a single disease
Limitations
Cannot generally evaluate rare exposuresIncidence rates of disease unknown unless subjects are fromdefined population
Temporal relationship between exposure and disease difficultto establish
Selection and recall bias
Adapted from Hennekens CH, Buring JE. Epidemiology in medi-cine. Boston: Little, Brown and Co.; 1999. p. 173; with permission
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667 651
exposed while monitoring for disease over time. Changes in exposure levels can
also be accounted for before disease occurrence to accurately estimate its
magnitude of effect. With this approach, a direct measurement of disease
incidence can be performed [1].
The observational cohort study design has allowed for an improved under-
standing of the impact that multiple exposures have on the development of
coronary heart disease [18] and cancer [19–21]. Observational cohort studies
may be retrospective or prospective in nature. A general example of a retrospec-
tive design would be the use of serum samples obtained before disease
development to assess disease-related factors after the prospective study of
exposures and disease development [1].
A unique study design that emerges from an observational cohort is the nested
case-control study. In this format, controls from within the observational cohort
are individuals who have not developed disease but have prospective information
collected on their exposure histories in a similar fashion to cases. The problems
with selection bias associated with hospital and referral-based studies are
minimized in this format [1,14]. For autoimmune liver diseases, the choice of
a case-control study design format remains appropriate based on the rarity of this
condition and its long latency period before presentation. The selection of
appropriate controls from a nested case-control or population-based setting to
examine the numerous potential exposures, which may be associated with
autoimmune liver diseases may be difficult to perform.
Although appearing more favorable than case-control methods, several
limitations associated with observational cohort studies do exist (Box 2) [1].
These limitations include an increased time and expense requirement for
prospective investigations, the possibility of individuals who are asked and
refuse to participate (nonparticipation bias), the availability of complete data, and
the invalidity of results if significant loss to follow-up is identified. Length of
follow-up related to the latency period for disease development may also take
decades to establish.
For analytic epidemiologic study methods, two specific measures of asso-
ciation are commonly reported. The term relative risk (RR) is used to describe the
likelihood of disease among exposed individuals relative to those not exposed. In
an observational cohort study, this is the ratio of cumulative incidences between
exposed and nonexposed persons (Table 1). When the existence of disease among
individuals is already known, a rate of disease development cannot be deter-
mined. In case-control studies, use of an odds ratio (OR) for measuring disease
risk based on exposure status is performed [1,14,22]. OR is considered to be
a close estimate of the RR when magnitudes of association are less than three-
fold [23].
Estimating disease burden
Databases produced by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS)
and Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) have been used to
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667652
develop estimates for prevalence, health care use, and costs of medical condi-
tions including chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. Types of databases include
(1) household surveys, which estimate disease prevalence and healthcare expen-
ditures [24]; (2) nonfederal hospital data on inpatients [25]; and (3) ambulatory
care in office-based, hospital, and emergency department settings [26,27]. The
primary shortcomings of these data sets are that disease occurrences are self-
reported and can result in underestimates of prevalence. Another limitation
pertains to data coding using different versions of the International Classification
of Disease (ICD) system [28]. This method presents a possibility for introducing
Table 1
Sibling relative risks (RR) of autoimmune conditions including primary biliary cirrhosis
Autoimmune condition Sibling RR
Rheumatoid arthritis 8
Primary biliary cirrhosis 10.5
Ulcerative colitis 12
Graves’ disease 15
Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus 15
Crohn’s disease 20
Systemic lupus erythematosus 20
Adapted from Jones DE, Watt FE, Metcalf JV, et al. Familial primary biliary cirrhosis reassessed:
a geographically-based population study. J Hepatol 1999;30:402–407; with permission.
Box 2. Strengths and limitations of the observational cohort design
Strengths
Direct measurement of incidence in exposed andunexposed persons
Minimizes bias in exposure ascertainmentOptimal for study of rare exposuresCan examine multiple effects from a single exposureCan evaluate temporal relationship between exposureand disease
Limitations
Cannot generally evaluate rare exposuresExpensive and time-consuming if prospectiveRequires availability of adequate recordsValidity of results affected by losses to follow-up
Adapted from Hennekens CH, Buring JE. Epidemiology in medi-cine. Boston: Little, Brown and Co.; 1999. p. 173; with permission.
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667 653
error with respect to disease identification. The use of three-digit (cirrhosis) rather
than four-digit level coding (chronic hepatitis C) may result in a loss of accuracy
in determining prevalence or costs of care [29].
Direct costs have been associated with physician services, ambulatory and
inpatient hospital care, outpatient hospital care, pharmaceutical therapy, and
equipment. Indirect costs have been estimated by lost wages from employment as
a consequence of work loss while consuming health care. Other segments of
indirect cost requiring measurement include reduced productivity while working,
lost unpaid labor, and lost leisure time. It is likely then that overall costs of
health care have a significant proportion stemming from indirect costs [29,30].
The estimated total cost of disease includes both direct and indirect costs.
Conservative estimates for both cost sectors occur for several reasons. For many
diseases, the scope of direct costs does not include long-term care. Many existing
datasets have excluded information from federal facilities (e.g., Armed Forces,
Veterans Administration). There are insufficient data for productivity losses
caused by mortality, by illness other than time lost in receiving health care, and
by family members and caretakers. The lack of health insurance coverage or access
to services is likely correlated with the under-reporting of disease as well [30].
Based on data estimates from the 1995 National Health Interview Survey
adjusted to 1998, there were more than 5.5 million prevalent cases of chronic
liver disease and cirrhosis in the United States for a rate of 2030 cases per
100,000 population (excluding chronic hepatitis C). There appears to be little
variation in prevalence by race. However, an estimated 60% of chronic liver
disease and cirrhosis patients are male, and more than 80% of patients are
between the ages of 25 and 64 years. Twenty-five thousand deaths from chronic
liver disease and cirrhosis (9.3 deaths per 100,000 population) occurred in 1998.
The total direct cost of treating chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis in 1998 was
estimated in excess of $1.4 billion, of which more than 90% arose in the hospital
inpatient setting ($1.2 billion). The remaining costs of care were from physician
office visits ($64.8 million), hospital outpatient departments ($57.1 million),
emergency departments ($7.0 million), and prescription drug costs ($16.9 million).
The estimated total work-loss was estimated in 1998 at $185.9 million in the
value of lost wages resulting from hospital stays for persons of working age. By
including the time associated with visits to physician offices, hospital emergency
departments, and outpatient departments, total indirect costs were estimated at
$221.5 million annually. Adjusting for inflation, this comes to $234.0 million in
year 2000 dollars. For the medical care of chronic hepatitis C in 1998 alone, a
total of $693 million and $51 million in direct and indirect costs was estimated,
respectively [30].
Economic evaluation of health care programs
Based on the recognition of limited resources, an increasing emphasis has
been placed on identifying strategies that are associated with optimal health care
delivery [31,32]. For economic evaluations of health care programs, a compar-
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667654
ative analysis between alternate courses of action is required to determine if
decision making at a policy level is appropriately performed. The evaluation of a
single program, which often results in a description of cost or outcome, is useful
to estimate disease burden but is not considered an economic evaluation based on
the absence of a comparator program [33].
Several methods have been developed for the economic evaluation of two or
more competing strategies. Common to these designs is the determination of a
ratio between consequences of health (outcomes) and the cost required to execute
the program or strategy. The term cost-minimization analysis is used when
outcomes of two or more alternative strategies are considered equivalent. Cost-
effectiveness analysis is used when the consequences of health are not valued by
monetary indices but by metrics, such as ‘‘per correct diagnosis’’ or ‘‘quality of
life years (QALY) gained.’’ Cost-utility analysis evaluates program outcomes
adjusted by preferences for particular health states or utilities. These three methods
have been successfully used for therapies that attempt to extend life at the expense
of side effects. Cost–benefit analysis, however, values both costs and outcomes
using monetary indices, which allows for comparisons between health care and
other commodities and services. Health outcomes in a cost–benefit analysis are
measured by an individual’s willingness to pay for a desired health outcome [34].
Several elements are required for performing economic analyses. These include
(1) a complete description of both costs and health outcomes; (2) the inclusion and
complete description of a competing alternative strategy; (3) the identification of
evidence to support previously established effectiveness; and (4) the appropriate
valuation and inclusion of relevant costs. The importance of conducting evalua-
tions with standardized methods is to allow for relevant comparisons between
different programs to determine resource allocation priorities. Differences in re-
source availability, clinical practice patterns, and availability of alternate strategies
may affect the results of economic evaluations. The prevalence of disease may
also affect the cost-effectiveness of interventions, which can vary by geographic
location and population. Areas of uncertainty regarding the natural history of a
given disease can further be addressed by mathematical models (known as
Markov state transition models). These models are valuable for applying results
of economic evaluations in different settings to determine if results remain ap-
plicable [33].
Health-related quality of life assessment
Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is a multidimensional concept that
describes the physical, mental, and social function of an individual as it relates to
their overall health [35,36]. As an emerging outcome in the management of
chronic medical disease, numerous health status instruments or questionnaires
have been developed to facilitate HRQoL measurement [37]. To achieve psycho-
metric integrity, health status instruments require acceptable measures of reliabil-
ity and validity. Reliability is defined as the dependability of a scale or instrument
independent of its construction or assessment method. Measures of reliability
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667 655
include internal consistency and test-retest reliability. Internal consistency is
defined as how well items in a questionnaire are measuring HRQoL without
excessive redundancy. Test-retest reliability is defined as the stability of an
instrument in measuring HRQoL when administered at different times. Validity
is defined as the degree of fit between a construct (HRQoL) and the features which
comprise it (items from a questionnaire). Four types of measurement validity are
generally required to determine an instrument’s acceptability. Face validity is
defined as a qualitative consensus that an instrument can measure HRQoL.
Content validity measures the completeness of an instrument’s ability to capture
important features of HRQoL. Concurrent validity is the association of a newly
developed instrument with a pre-existing tool that has been accepted as a method
for measuring HRQoL. Construct validity is defined as the extent of convergence
or discrimination of a specific instrument between the multiple domains (physical,
mental, etc.) of HRQoL. Construct validity is often the most difficult and time-
consuming to achieve [38].
Most health status instruments allow respondents to rate their perceived
HRQoL where a quantitative value can be derived for comparisons between other
groups or diseases. Changes in an individual patient’s health status can also be
measured in terms of effects (i.e., life years gained from an intervention) [39] or
the values placed on health status (preferences or utilities or willingness to pay)
[40]. Health state preferences or utilities are determined by asking respondents
about their threshold for risk in obtaining a desired outcome (e.g., the number of
days given up for a current state of health to achieve 1 day of improved or perfect
health state). The elicited threshold is equivalent to the utility or preference placed
on an individual’s current health state [40,41]. Willingness to pay (or contingent
valuation) is defined as the monetary threshold required for obtaining a product or
service (such as health care) based on varying levels of perceived need. It is used
as a measure of consequence in cost–benefit analyses. This measure allows for the
determination of how important health-related outcomes are to an individual or
population [42,43]. Thus, cost–benefit analysis is more global in scope than cost-
minimization or cost-effectiveness analyses, which assume that the goal (delivery
of health care) is already of importance [33].
Medical and economic assessment in cholestatic liver disease
PBC and PSC are chronic liver diseases that share features with AIH based on
the presence of immune system dysregulation. In contrast to AIH, several
investigations have been performed to date that examine disease burden and
the economic impact from cholestatic liver disease.
Population-based epidemiologic investigations
Several epidemiologic investigations of PBC have been reported. Because
significant variation exists, however, in the design of these studies, relevant
comparisons between them are difficult. While providing incidence and preva-
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667656
lence rates of disease, there are studies that lack appropriate criteria for case
definition and date of diagnosis, which results in variations in time periods for
determining incidence and prevalence. For example, several studies report the
point prevalence of PBC, whereas others report prevalence over a time period. The
use of traditional endpoints, such as mortality, is limited by the absence of death
certificate verification and the fact that PBC is a chronic disease that is not
uniformly fatal. The chronicity of disease allows for competing risks of mortality,
such as cancer and heart disease, to play important roles in determining survival
among these patients. Thus, death from liver disease may not always be accurately
recorded. Cases provided from undefined populations have limited the usefulness
of referral-based studies as the denominator required to characterize prevalence
rates will be uncertain. Population-based investigations, therefore, have been
performed to address this inadequacy and provided more accurate estimates from
different geographic regions. The use of multiple strategies in case finding has also
allowed for more accurate estimations of disease occurrence [44].
Fourteen population-based epidemiologic investigations involving 2207 cases
of PBC have been reported since 1980 [45–58]. Most investigations are based in
Europe and Great Britain with no information available from Asia, South
America, or the African subcontinent. Methods of case finding shared by most
investigations include physician surveys, medical records review, and screening
of laboratory data. Case definitions include the existence of antimitochondrial
antibody positivity and liver histology compatible or diagnostic of PBC. The use
of serum hepatic biochemical tests as criteria for case definition was reported in
9 of 14 (64%) studies [47,49–52,54,56,57,59]. Incidence rates from all 14 investi-
gations ranged from 2.2 to 27 cases per million population with prevalence rates
from 19 to 402 cases per million population. The vast majority of cases are of
female gender (female/male ratios between 3:1 and 22:1). Asymptomatic patients
were reported in frequencies ranging from 0% to 80%. The rising incidence (10 to
22 cases per million) and prevalence (180 to 240 cases per million) of PBC in
northern England has been partly attributed to longer survival from liver
transplantation and earlier diagnosis [51].
Population-based investigations have also examined the risk for complications
in PBC, including the development of cancer. Among 559 Swedish patients exam-
ined from 1958 to 1988 with a mean follow-up time from diagnosis of 9.0 ±
5.4 years [60], there was an overall excess risk for cancer compared to expected
rates for the entire population (standardized incidence ratio 1.6; 95% confidence
interval [CI], 1.1 to 2.2). No excess risk for breast cancer (standardized incidence
ratio, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.3 to 2.1) or hepatocellular carcinoma (standardized incidence
ratio, 2.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.4 to 10.5), however, was observed in the
PBC cohort. In contrast, an increased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma was
observed in the north of England among PBC patients compared with the general
population in conjunction with an excess frequency of cancer overall [61].
An increased prevalence of PBC among family members of affected patients
using population-based methodologies has been observed [62–64]. Prospective
interviews to estimate familial risk among 157 patients with definite or probable
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667 657
PBC from northern England have identified a prevalence rate of 6.4% [63]. All
familial cases were identified among women with PBC. A prevalence of 0.72%
occurred among first-degree relatives (primarily siblings) and was predominantly
based on several mother/daughter relationships. The overall prevalence rate among
offspring of PBC patients was 1.2% (2.3% among female children). Given a
population-based prevalence rate of 0.039%, the RR for PBC among siblings was
estimated at 10.5 and similar to other autoimmune conditions (see Table 1). Other
RR for PBC that have been described include: 18.4 among first-degree relatives,
30.6 among offspring, and 58.7 among daughters of all women with PBC. Among
the six identified mother/daughter pairs, an earlier age of disease presentation for
daughters (39.2 years) versus mothers (53.6 years) was observed (P < 0.05).
The selection of appropriate controls in determining the significance of etio-
logic factors associated with PBC has been recently addressed as well [62].
Among 100 PBC cases and 223 controls identified from population-based re-
gistries in the United Kingdom and returning completed questionnaires, no signifi-
cant associations were found among various medical, surgical, and lifestyle factors
and PBC other than tobacco use (odds ratio [OR] = 2.4-3.5) and a history of pso-
riasis (OR = 4.6) or eczema (OR = 0.13). The risk of other autoimmune diseases
(rheumatoid arthritis, thyroid disease, and celiac sprue) in first-degree relatives of
PBC cases was twice as great compared with controls but not statistically sig-
nificant. Among 241 subjects with PBC residing in the United States [64], the
presence of Sjogren’s syndrome (17.4%), Raynaud’s phenomenon (12.5%), and
autoimmune thyroid disease (11.5%) among subjects with PBC were in excess of
frequencies among 261 siblings (1.2%, 4.6%, and 1.8%) and 225 friends (0%,
2.9%, and 1.5%) acting as controls. Compared with siblings, patients with PBC
were more often female (OR = 4.2; 95% CI = 2.2, 8.3). They also had one or more
autoimmune diseases (OR = 2.3; 95% CI = 1.2, 4.4), a history of shingles (OR =
2.7; 95% CI = 1.1, 6.7), history of tonsillectomy (OR = 2.5; 95% CI = 1.5, 4.1),
and previous cholecystectomy (OR = 2.3; 95% CI = 1.2, 4.6) more commonly.
Despite the large number of cases and controls from this investigation, the in-
complete verification of all PBC cases by multiple criteria and the use of controls
from undefined populations limit the ability to generalize these results.
To date, only one population-based investigation of PSC epidemiology has
been reported from Norway [65]. Using accepted criteria including cholangi-
ography for the diagnosis of PSC, 17 new cases were identified from a defined
catchment area over a 10-year period. The mean annual incidence rate for PSC was
1.3 per 100,000 population with a point prevalence of 8.5 per 100,000 persons.
Other estimates of disease burden from PSC are derived from heterogeneous
populations and probability calculations based on the epidemiologic character-
istics of ulcerative colitis.
Population-based natural history investigations
The natural history of PBC has been described most commonly among
referral-based cases using mathematical models developed from clinical informa-
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667658
tion. The Mayo natural history model for PBC is the most extensively validated
among several independent populations and is recognized as a valuable tool in
clinical practice [66,67]. Questions regarding the model’s ability to function
effectively given the spectrum of disease among community-based PBC patients
have recently been addressed. Among 46 patients with PBC identified from the
only reported population-based investigation from the United States [49],
17 deaths were recorded during a follow-up period of 378 person-years. In
comparison to the expected survival of age- and gender-matched Caucasian
individuals from Minnesota (81% at 10 years), a significant decrease was
observed among PBC cases (59% at 10 years, P < 0.01). When actual survival
among community-based PBC cases was compared with predicted survival based
on the Mayo natural history model, the 7-year survival of PBC patients was 65%
compared with the 61% predicted by the Mayo model (P = 0.69). Although a
number of survival models have been developed for PSC, there have been no
examinations to date among community-based populations with the disease.
Health-related quality of life assessment
For patients with PBC and PSC, the presence of greater impairments in health-
related quality of life has been reported using generic and liver disease-specific
health status instruments [68–71]. No assessment in a population-based setting
has been performed to date, however, among persons with chronic liver disease.
One hundred fifty-seven adult patients with PBC or PSC completed the
NIDDK-QA questionnaire before and 1 year after liver transplantation at the
Mayo Clinic (n = 95) or Baylor University Medical Center (n = 62) [72]. All
domains of HRQoL measured by the NIDDK-QA showed statistically significant
improvement at 1 year after liver transplantation. No pretransplant differences,
however, were observed between patients with PBC or PSC.
To assess the psychometric properties of the NIDDK-QA in the nontransplant
setting [70], 96 ambulatory subjects (82% female gender) with cholestatic liver
disease were assessed. Seventy-nine (82%) subjects with PBC and 17 subjects
(18%) with PSC were included. In all domains, the ambulatory patients had
improved HRQoL scores compared to subjects with end-stage liver disease
awaiting transplantation. Correlation between domain scores of the NIDDK-QA
and the Short-Form 36 (SF-36) health survey was significant for both physical
and mental function domains. Among individuals with PBC, a significant
correlation between Mayo risk score and overall well-being was observed. No
significant correlation between Mayo risk score and SF-36 physical and mental
function scores, however, was reported. Similar analyses among PSC patients
were not performed because of a reduced sample size.
Similar observations among ambulatory patients with cholestatic liver disease
have been observed with use of the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire (CLDQ)
[73]. One hundred four patients with PBC (n = 75) and PSC (n = 29) underwent
HRQoL assessment using the SF-36 Health Survey and CLDQ. A mean age of
55 ± 12 years and female gender distribution of 72% characterized the study
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667 659
population. For patients with PBC and PSC, the observation of greater impair-
ments in HRQoL compared with healthy populations was observed with CLDQ
and SF-36 instruments (P < 0.001 for both). Impairments in HRQoL among
PBC patients were associated with increasing disease severity measured by
Child-Pugh classification (CP) and Mayo PBC risk score. No association with
disease severity measured by CP and Mayo risk score was observed among PSC
patients. Greater impairments in mental function (measured by the SF-36) were
observed for PBC and PSC patients compared to other chronic disease states
(i.e., congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and diabe-
tes mellitus).
Economic evaluation of health care delivery
Practice analysis
To determine the practice patterns of gastroenterologists in the United
Kingdom in managing patients with PBC [74], a questionnaire was administered
by mail and returned by 379 of 454 (83%) physicians. Ninety-one percent of
gastroenterologists reported caring for patients with PBC (median number of
patients, 10; range, 1 to 500 patients). The estimated total number of PBC patients
cared for by all physicians surveyed was 4337. Of these, only 1376 patients (32%)
were followed specifically in designated liver units. Ninety-five percent of
gastroenterologists prescribed UDCA for the medical treatment of PBC with a
wide range in dosing (median dose, 11.5 mg/kg/d; range, 1.5 to 23.1 mg/kg/d).
Notably, the prescription of alternate disease modifying therapies unproven in
previous clinical trials (including colchicine, D-penicillamine, and immunosup-
pressants) occurred among 14% of physicians. The treatment of symptoms and
complications of PBC including micronutrient deficiency, metabolic bone disease,
and pruritus was reported by only 17% of individuals. Although UDCA is being
prescribed for PBC by most practicing gastroenterologists, there continues to be
significant variations in dosing including a substantial portion of patients
receiving less than the recommended amount.
Cost-effectiveness analysis
The cost-effectiveness of UDCA in PBC compared to placebo was determined
by comparing the annual reduction in complication rates from portal hyperten-
sion, liver transplantation, and death between treatment groups using a decision
analysis model [75]. Average annual costs for each of these events were estimated
based on literature and institutional data. Approximately twice as many major
events occurred in the placebo group compared with the UDCA group. The RR
of liver transplantation (1.95; 95% CI, 1.14 to 3.68) and development of
esophageal varices (3.11; 95% CI, 1.57 to 10.65) were significantly higher in
the placebo group compared with the UDCA group. No significant increases
were noted in the RR of ascites, variceal bleeding, encephalopathy, or death
between groups. Based on the estimated annual cost of managing these events
and the price of UDCA ($2500), there was an annual cost savings per patient of
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667660
$1372, compared to the placebo group. Although a reduction in cost was
observed, the absence of information on health state preferences or utilities to
assess the impact of UDCA on quality of life was not determined in line with
current recommendations [34].
Resource utilization
To determine the optimal timing for liver transplantation in PBC, 143 patients
were followed prospectively to determine the influence of disease severity
(measured by the Mayo risk score) on survival after transplantation and overall
resource utilization [76]. Although liver transplantation was performed at an
earlier stage of disease compared to earlier studies (e.g., median risk score, 7.5 vs.
8.3; P < 0.01), patient survival probabilities at 1, 2, and 5 years were 93%, 90%,
and 88%, respectively. The risk of death after transplantation remained low until a
risk score of 7.8 was achieved. Resource utilization measured by intensive care
unit (ICU) days and intraoperative blood transfusion requirements was signifi-
cantly greater in recipients who had higher risk scores before transplantation. A
similar analysis among 436 patients with PBC or PSC who underwent orthotopic
liver transplantation identified patient age, renal failure, CP, and United Network
for Organ Sharing score as variables which predicted similar resource utilization
indices [77].
Hepatic retransplantation in cholestatic liver disease has also been associated
with a 3.8-fold increase in the risk of death compared to individuals without
retransplantation (P < 0.01) [78]. Retransplantation after 30 days from initial
transplantation was associated with a 6.7-fold increase in the risk of death
(P < 0.01). Resource utilization was also higher in patients who underwent
multiple consecutive transplantations, even after adjustment for the number of
grafts during the hospitalization.
Among 128 PSC patients with calculated Mayo PSC model and CP scores
before transplantation [79], the CP score was found to be a significantly
(P < 0.05) better predictor of death 4 months or less after liver transplantation.
Furthermore, the length of hospital stay of more than 21 days (or death before
discharge) and resource utilization of more than 200,000 U (measured by area
under the receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve) was also more accu-
rately predicted by the CP score. Cox proportional hazards modeling identified
statistically significant (P < 0.05) associations between the CP score and clinical
and economic outcomes adjusting for the Mayo PSC risk score. Similar results,
however, were not observed for the Mayo PSC model when adjusted for
CP score.
Medical and economic assessments in AIH
Investigations of the medical and economic impact from AIH have been
primarily epidemiologic in nature to determine the distribution of disease.
Despite the recognition of two effective treatment regimens for AIH (cortico-
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667 661
steroids alone or in combination with azathioprine), there has been no economic
analysis to date examining which strategy is most cost-effective among patients
eligible for either option. There have also been no investigations of the resource
utilization from complications of end-stage liver disease and liver transplantation
related to AIH.
The epidemiology of AIH has been primarily described within the spectrum
comprising patients with chronic active hepatitis (CAH). The term ‘‘idiopathic
CAH’’ has been used to recognize these patients with clinical features similar to
AIH. Initial studies in the early 1980s have provided estimates of annual inci-
dence for idiopathic CAH ranging from 1.19 to 3 cases per 100,000 population
[53,80–83]. Despite the population-based nature of these investigations, the
presence of differences in study design makes relevant comparisons difficult. The
use of multiple case-finding methods including questionnaires, histologic exam-
ination reports, and hospital discharge summaries is not observed in all studies.
The mean age of new AIH cases from two studies was between 51 and 56 years
of age with a third of patients older than 65 years [80,82]. In contrast, the mean
age at presentation was 32 years in another study of patients residing in a similar
geographic region [53]. The severity of hepatic disease estimated by significant
elevations in serum aminotransferase levels is also variably reported [53,82,83],
suggesting that that only severe cases of AIH were subjected to liver biopsy
assessment (selection bias). The results of immunosuppressive treatment using
corticosteroids with or without azathioprine have not been universally observed
as well. One study reported that immunosuppressive therapy could be withdrawn
in 25% to 60% of cases based on clinical and biochemical improvement only to
be reinstituted because of relapsing disease in most patients [83]. Long-term
follow-up data suggesting an increased proportion of deaths from liver-related
causes, such as portal hypertension [53], have also included patients with
identifiable etiologies of CAH such as viral hepatitis and alcoholic liver disease.
A more recent population-based epidemiologic study used strict criteria to
identify patients fulfilling diagnostic criteria for AIH [65]. Adult patients who
were admitted to four hospitals serving a defined catchment area of 130,000
population between 1986 and 1995 were examined. The exclusion of chronic
viral hepatitis was also performed. A total of 25 patients with AIH were identified
in this time frame. Furthermore, similar case ascertainment methods were applied
to identify patients with PBC (n = 21) and PSC (n = 17) for comparisons. A mean
annual incidence of 1.9 cases per 100,000 population for AIH was observed (95%
CI, 1.3 to 2.8). The point prevalence was 16.9 cases per 100,000 population (95%
CI, 8.8 to 24.9), and it was greater than that observed among patients with PBC
(14.6/100,000). AIH and PBC were diagnosed more commonly than PSC
(incidence, 1.3 cases /100,000; prevalence, 8.5 cases/100,000). Patients with
AIH were older in age at diagnosis (median age, 68 years) compared with PBC
(median age, 60 years) and PSC (median age, 37 years). Female predominance
(4:1), autoantibody positivity (antinuclear antibodies and/or smooth muscle
antibodies), and elevated serum immunoglobulin G concentrations were found
in the vast majority of cases with AIH. The median Knodell score of the
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667662
histologic features for AIH was 10.5 (range, 5 to 18), and 28% of patients with
AIH had cirrhosis at initial diagnosis. Among Norwegian patients, the incidence
and prevalence of AIH was higher than among patients from other geographic
regions including Iceland, Sweden, and Great Britain. Despite a significant
proportion of histologic cirrhosis at diagnosis, no patients were referred for liver
transplantation. The outcomes from medical therapy were not reported, and the
status of ambulatory cases was not mentioned.
Gaps in knowledge
At present, specific deficiencies exist in the knowledge base for AIH which
limit the ability to estimate disease burden and associated resource utilization.
They are as follows:
1. The absence of population-based epidemiologic investigations examining
the potential role of environmental, genetic, and reproductive/endocrino-
logic exposures which may be associated with disease development.
Adequate sample size, consistent case definitions, and appropriate control
group inclusion are required.
2. The absence of information regarding optimal clinical disease management
strategies of complications related to hepatic disease and/or treatment of
AIH (including portal hypertension and metabolic bone disease).
3. The absence of information on HRQoL, including health state preferences
among persons with AIH in the presence or absence of medical therapy or
advanced liver disease.
4. The absence of information on economic evaluations for management
strategies, including medical therapy and complications of portal hyper-
tension from end-stage liver disease.
5. The absence of prognostic model development to simulate the natural
history of AIH for improvements in predicted survival, determining optimal
timing of liver transplantation, and resource utilization.
6. The failure to recognize AIH in national and proprietary databases as a
distinct chronic liver disease. Accurate coding would allow for estimating
disease burden to facilitate health planning initiatives.
Summary
AIH is a chronic liver disease that has been associated with hepatic failure and
death in the absence of liver transplantation. As a result, AIH imparts significant
medical and economic burdens on affected patients and health care delivery
systems, respectively. The use of accepted methodologies for outcomes and
health services research has identified emerging information on the epidemiology
and natural history, HRQoL, and resource utilization for similar autoimmune
J.A. Talwalkar, W.R. Kim / Clin Liver Dis 6 (2002) 649–667 663
chronic liver diseases such as PBC and PSC. Similar efforts are needed in AIH,
and they are supported on the basis of existing data which suggest similar levels
of disease burden compared to PBC and PSC. As a result, the ability to plan for
disease management strategies in AIH that require the allocation of scarce
resources will be feasible.
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