MEETING
STATE OF CALIFORNIA
PUBLIC EMPLOYEES' RETIREMENT SYSTEM
BOARD OF ADMINISTRATION
INVESTMENT COMMITTEE
OPEN SESSION
ROBERT F. CARLSON AUDITORIUM
LINCOLN PLAZA NORTH
400 P STREET
SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA
TUESDAY, AUGUST 20, 2019
8:34 A.M.
JAMES F. PETERS, CSRCERTIFIED SHORTHAND REPORTER LICENSE NUMBER 10063
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A P P E A R A N C E S
COMMITTEE MEMBERS:
Mr. Rob Feckner, Chairperson
Ms. Theresa Taylor, Vice Chairperson
Ms. Margaret Brown
Mr. Henry Jones
Ms. Fiona Ma, represented by Mr. Matthew Saha
Ms. Lisa Middleton
Mr. David Miller
Ms. Stacie Olivares
Ms. Eraina Ortega
Ms. Mona Pasquil Rogers
Mr. Jason Perez
Mr. Ramon Rubalcava
Ms. Betty Yee
STAFF:
Ms. Marcie Frost, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Matt Jacobs, General Counsel
Dr. Yu (Ben) Meng, Chief Investment Officer
Mr. Dan Bienvenue, Interim Chief Operating Investment Officer
Ms. Caitlin Jensen, Committee Secretary
Ms. Anne Simpson, Investment Director
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A P P E A R A N C E S C O N T I N U E D
ALSO PRESENT:
Mr. Dave Elder
Mr. John Griswold, Chartered Financial Analysts Institute
Mr. Hiromichi Mizuno, Government Pension Investment Fund, Japan
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I N D E X PAGE
1. Call to Order and Roll Call 1
2. Approval of the August 20, 2019 Investment Committee Education Workshop Timed Agenda 2
3. Investment Education Workshop #3 a. Guest Keynote: “The GPIF Endeavor as a
Cross-Generation, Universal Investor: Aligning Interests for Long-Term Value Creation”, Hiromichi Mizuno, Executive Managing Director, Chief Investment Officer, Government Pension Investment Fund, Japan 2
b. Public Markets Part Two: Global Equity – Anne Simpson, John Griswold, Chartered Financial Analysts Institute 88
4. Public Comment 152
Adjournment 155
Reporter's Certificate 156
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P R O C E E D I N G S
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: If we could all please take
our seats, we'd like to call the workshop to order.
First order of business will be to call the roll.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Rob Feckner?
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Good morning.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Theresa Taylor?
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Margaret Brown?
COMMITTEE MEMBER BROWN: Present.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Henry Jones?
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Fiona Ma represented
by Matt Saha?
ACTING COMMITTEE MEMBER SAHA: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Lisa Middleton?
COMMITTEE MEMBER MIDDLETON: Present.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: David Miller?
COMMITTEE MEMBER MILLER: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Stacie Olivares?
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Eraina Ortega?
COMMITTEE MEMBER ORTEGA: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Jason Perez?
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Here.
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COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Mona Pasquil Rogers?
COMMITTEE MEMBER PASQUIL ROGERS: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Ramon Rubalcava?
COMMITTEE MEMBER RUBALCAVA: Here.
COMMITTEE SECRETARY JENSEN: Betty Yee?
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Here.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
The next order of business will be to approve the
Committee timed agenda. What's the pleasure of the
Committee?
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Move approval.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MILLER: Second.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Moved by Taylor, seconded
by Miller.
Any discussion on the motion?
Seeing none.
All in favor say aye?
(Ayes.)
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Opposed, no?
Motion carries. Thank you.
Item 3, the Investment Education Workshop.
Mr. Meng.
(Thereupon an overhead presentation was
presented as follows.)
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Thank you, Mr.
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Chair. Good morning, members of the Investment Committee.
So today, we continue with our Board education workshop.
And we are actually honored to have two distinguished
guest speakers with us today.
So first, we have -- I will introduce the first
speaker and then my colleague Dan Bienvenue will introduce
the second speaker.
So the first guest speaker we have is Mr. Hiro
Mizuno, the Chief Managing Director and Chief Investment
Officer of Japan -- the Government Pension Investment Fund
of Japan, the GPIF, the largest pension fund in the world
and one of the largest pool of assets in the world.
You have his bio in front of you. And I was
trying -- I was hoping to find an abridged version of his
bio on Google. And that was a mistake last night.
(Laughter.)
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: It goes on pages
after pages. It's sufficient to say that, you know, Mr.
Mizuno joined GPIF in January 2015. And since then he has
served as the Executive Managing Director and Chief
Investment Officer. And prior to joining GPIF he was a
partner of Coller Capital, a London-based private equity
firm.
Later you will see that in his presentation, his
experience working as a GP in the private equity industry
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has really benefited him and the GPIF in terms of
designing their program. And also as you will learn later
that GPIF managed almost all, if not all, the assets by
external managers.
So the relationship between GPIF and the GP
communities is of more critical importance to them. In
contrast, we manage about 80 percent asset in-house, but
still we have 20 percent asset manage externally so we can
really learn a lot from Hiro's creative thinking in terms
of designing long-term alignment in terms of economic
interest with the GPs, and also in terms of applying ESG
principles. And in the time horizon how to become a
long-term investor when we engage external partners.
Before he joined the private equity firm, he
worked at Sumitomo Trust Bank in Japan, Silicon Valley,
and in New York. He's also a member of the Board and
Asset Owner Advisory Committee of PRI, co-chair of the
Milken Institute of Global Capital Markets Advisory
Council. He's also the founding member of Climate Finance
Leadership Initiative, the Global Investors for
Sustainable Development, Alliance Member, and Global
Business Coalition for Education Advisory Board Member,
and also Asia Advisory Group Member of Climate Action
100+.
And as you see that these are the activities at
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CalPERS. We have been actively engaging, and Hiro and
GPIF has been a great partner with us on these important
global initiatives. So for that, we want to thank him and
GPIF for their great partnership working with us.
I could go on. You know there's a long list of
his -- also participation with Japanese government at
different levels, and also his involvement with the
academic community. So it's suffice to say that his -- in
addition to be one of the global leader, as a
practitioner, he's also a global leader in academic, the
thought leader as well.
So without further ado, I will turn over to Mr.
Mizuno who will share with us on how to design a long-term
relationship with GPs to align with the economic terms and
our value.
So with that, please put a round of applause
together.
(Applause.)
MR. MIZUNO: Good morning ladies and gentlemen.
And it's my real privilege to be able to present GPIF and
our strategy to world famous CalPERS Board. I cannot -- I
cannot help calling you judges, because you are appear to
be like judges to me. So it's a bit intimidating, but I
try not to be intimidated and try to be open to share with
you what we are trying to achieve at GPIF. And also as
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Ben mentioned, we regard CalPERS as our most important
strategic partner. And we also think we are most alike
with each other, because they are -- when we talk about
the business model of the public pension fund global asset
owners, a lot of people try to compare GPIF with the other
CPPIB, Canadian, or like Norges and some Scandinavians.
But they're working in very different regulatory framework
or environment.
So I always feel like CalPERS -- and also the --
I saw the other -- my friend from CalSTRS in the audience,
but we -- I always feel like CalPERS and CalSTRS are our
closest allies in terms of the environment we operating,
and the -- sort of the significance in their and our
capital markets. So I, first of all, want to express my
gratitude for a continuous relationship and a partnership
between GPIF and CalPERS.
So today, I really don't know exactly what
interest the Board -- the CalPERS Board about what we have
been doing. So let me start with the introduction of GPIF
to you, who we are and how we operate. And I think there
maybe interest -- is of interest of CalPERS Board how the
Board should or would work with the investment team to
optimize our performance.
--o0o--
MR. MIZUNO: So let me start with a quick
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snapshot of us. We at the moment managing the 1.5 or 1.6
trillion U.S. dollar - we're also public - pension reserve
fund. And our performance since we started our market
investment has been like annualized return 3 percent. And
we made, you know, roughly 621 billion U.S. dollar gain
since we started.
And as you see the graph accumulating --
accumulated the gain, you can see there's a huge pick up
over the last five years, which is because we changed our
policy asset mix when I arrived at GPIF from 75 percent in
the fixed income, and mostly in Japanese government bond,
to 50 percent in global equities and 50 percent in global
fixed income.
And we got approval to invest into the
alternative assets up to 5 percent when we revised the
policy asset mix. But unfortunately, at the moment, we
are still -- have only less than 1 percent exposure to
alternative asset classes. And I was actually on the
other side when the GPIF decided and approved the -- our
current policy asset mix.
And there's a big argument that the GPIF should
have like a 20 percent exposure to private equity and real
assets. And, you know, I spent 20 years of my
professional career managing private equity. And before I
was called back by Prime Minister to run this fund, I was
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a partner of the -- one of the private equity funds which
CalPERS used to maybe still invest in. And then I knew
how difficult to deploy a huge amount of money in a
private market. That's why we agreed to have a -- not
even have a 5 percent allocation, but a 5 percent cap.
And at the moment, we haven't even reached 1
percent, which is -- for us is not a small amount of
money.
--o0o--
MR. MIZUNO: So this has been what we have been
operating. And as I just described, our policy asset mix
now 50 percent in global equity, and 50 percent in global
fixed income, and 35 percent we have to invest in Japanese
domestic bond, which is mostly Japanese government bonds.
--o0o--
MR. MIZUNO: And given this allocation and the --
our fund size, we usually say we own about 8 percent to 10
percent of Japanese listed companies, and we own about 1
percent of the major U.S. companies. So our exposure to
U.S. economy is quite significant.
And in this context, I think CalPERS and GPIF are
one of the biggest owner of the U.S. public equities,
meaning we are owner of the U.S. economy. So it's very
important for us that the U.S. economy continue to have
the healthy growth. And I'm going to talk about it later,
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but our universal ownership approach meaning we are the
biggest beneficiary of economic growth or healthy
commercial activities. So that's why we need to
contribute to make the whole system more sustainable.
And that's the concept that came from this asset
allocation, which we ended up owning whole capital market.
--o0o--
MR. MIZUNO: So just to give you a snapshot of
who we are from different angle. We are the manager of
the Japanese Public Pension Reserve Fund. Why we need a
reserve? Japanese pension scheme -- public pension scheme
that's actually -- actually designed as a pay-as-you-go
scheme. But the problem is for the pay-as-you-go scheme
pension scheme to be sustainable, we need to have younger
generation to support retirees. But as you know, Japan is
going through the huge aging, you know, transformation.
And for the next, you know, 100 years, we're probably
going to suffer from the other reverse age pyramid.
So we don't have enough young people to support
the pay as you go system. So, you know, 15 years ago, I
guess, like Japanese government came up with a very
audacious experimental, the idea of, you know, the hybrid
mechanism, which is -- basically is pay-as-you-go system.
But for the next 100 years, until the age pyramid
go back to normal, they make the best use of the fund, all
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of the -- you know, the saved or contributed from the
other -- the previous generation. So that's the fund GPIF
is managing. So always make a return from this reserved
fund to fill the gap, so that the -- our younger
generation is not going to suffer from too much burden to
support the older generation.
--o0o--
MR. MIZUNO: So this is actually the graph trying
to illustrate how important GPIF fund is. You can say
that it's not as important or it's still very important.
For the next 100 years, this -- the chart describes the --
how much money the public pension scheme have to pay out
to retirees. And GPIF's fund is going to account -- be
responsible about 10 percent of future liability of
Japanese public pension scheme.
As you can imagine from our -- you know, the
aging society, even last year, our public pension scheme
paid out about $600 billion. And we are still at the
entrance of aging society. So you can see the magnitude
of the problem caused by aging society. And so the GPIF
is meant to, you know, bridge the gap, so pay out the
other 10 percent of the future liability. And we are
designed to disappear in 100 year's time.
--o0o--
MR. MIZUNO: So coming to back to the -- our
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governance structure, which I think may be interesting to
the CalPERS Board. GPIF is under supervision of Ministry
of Health Care, Labour and Welfare. Because historically,
the pension was regarded as the labor welfare. So we are
under supervision of Ministry of Health Care and Labour --
Labour and Welfare.
And we have a board of governors, which consists
of 10 representatives, and which all appointed by the
Minister of that -- the Ministry. And now we have 10
members. And today, I was impressed to see like, you
know, gender diversity on the CalPERS Board. We only have
the 20 percent of the female represented out of 10. But
the -- naturally, women tend to live longer in Japan, so
there probably is some time that we will lose one men
representative, so...
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: But I think that the -- we are the
supporting member of the Thirty Percent Coalition. I feel
embarrassed every time we have only -- like I tell them,
we have only 20 percent female representative on our
board. But we have a board of governors, who make all the
strategic and high level decisions, namely, policy asset
mix. And we also need to get their approval when we start
new investment style or new invest -- new asset class.
And we have a clear, you know, separation of governance of
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execution. And I'm Executive Managing Director and the
CIO responsible for the Investment Office.
And then we started this new governance structure
about two years ago. Before, there's a huge criticism,
like, you know, the GPIF is operating under political
pressure, which was not really the case, because I never
felt political pressure when I make an investment
decision.
But there's a perception among Japanese -- the
public that, you know, the GPIF is under political
pressure to make some particular investment. So because
of those concerned, the Government came up with a new
governance structure, which was put in place about two
years ago and we are operating in that -- the governance
framework.
I'd like to talk about the philosophy and, you
know, strategy how to promote the long-termism. But I'm
happy to take questions, if you want to ask me about our
governance structure or, you know, about the GPIF, so that
you'd probably be able to understand the -- my you, you
know, remaining presentation better.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Very good. Thank you.
Ms. Taylor.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Thank you. See, I told
you, we ask questions.
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I was curious you said the -- you had some
political pressure, the government --
MR. MIZUNO: No, I didn't.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Not you, but I mean,
the pension system. What was the structure as opposed to
the new structure that was put in place?
MR. MIZUNO: Well, we used to have the -- what
they called Investment Advisory Committee as the other --
the counsel to GPIF.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Okay.
MR. MIZUNO: The other Board of Governors meant
to divide us from the political leadership.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Oh, I see. Okay.
MR. MIZUNO: That's the whole purpose of this,
the new governance structure, so --
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Okay.
MR. MIZUNO: And I forgot to mention, but the ten
representatives, two came from like, you know, finance or
investment professional or academics, and two from the --
two are former central bankers, and one representing the
other business federation, or like a Chamber of Commerce
kind of things, and the one representing biggest labor
union, and one representing -- I mean, one is a lawyer,
the other is a CPA. So that's the sort of composition of
our Board of Governors.
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VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: And they're all
appointed?
MR. MIZUNO: They are all appointed by Minister.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: By the Minister.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Okay. And then I
was -- what I'm seeing here is it looks like you -- what's
your rate of return, is that the 3.3 percent?
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Yeah. Well, we are
required to make 1.7 percent plus real wage increase with
minimal risk. And I really don't think that's the best
way to describe -- that is the best instruction to give to
the investment team, but that's what the -- we are
operating with.
So if we make the 1.7 percent over real wage
increase, that should satisfy that 10 percent, you know,
the responsible, you know, the 10 percent of the benefits.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: The reserve fund that
you're talking about, that's what --
MR. MIZUNO Hmm?
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: You're saying that
should satisfy the reserve fund?
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah, that's right.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Okay. So you guys are
fully funded, is that what I'm assuming?
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MR. MIZUNO: Yeah. Well, it's tricky to say
fully funded, because it's a pay-as-you-go scheme.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Right.
MR. MIZUNO: And as you see, the -- this graph --
you know, this government contribution is -- basically,
it's a tax. So it's very difficult to describe whether we
are fully funded or not, because the -- that actually take
it into account, they will get a subsidy from the tax --
you know, the account. And then also the other annual
pension premium paid by the other working generation, and
then reserve fund.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: And we have -- and you
have that discrepancy now between aging population and a
much smaller population contributing into the fund.
That's what I was curious about, because it
sounds to me like we have a similar -- kind of similar
situation with our aging population. We don't have a
pay-as-you-go scheme necessarily, because we have to hit a
certain rate of return to make sure, and be fully funded
to make sure that we pay our benefits.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah, I think the -- I think the --
for the next 25 years, we have net inflow of the capital.
And after that, we will be getting to the real serious
like distribution more. And so I think that compared to
Ben, one of very few privileges I have is I probably don't
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need to worry about the payout for the next 25 years, so
we can just focus on more long-term investment.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yeah. So as Hiro
said, there are a few key differences between us and GPIF.
One is the current liability, as Hiro just said, at least
for the next 25 years, they don't have projected current
liability payout. Currently, we pay out more than $20
billion a year.
And the other thing that as Hiro just mentioned,
GPIF is designed to go away in 100 years. So there's a
termination date. CalPERS, our fund, we don't have a
termination date. It's a perpetual. Supposed to be a
perpetual fund. So these are the key differences.
And also, as you point out, our required rate of
return is 7. It's much higher than their required rate of
return. But that difference aside, there's still a lot of
things we can learn and benefit from there.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Oh, yeah. Yeah. I'm
just trying act -- trying to help -- figure out the
similarities, as well as I didn't realize -- I think I
took it differently when you said there was 100-year date.
So why would the pension system go away in 100 years.
Have you guys --
MR. MIZUNO: No, the GPIF will go away, but the
pension scheme will continue obviously.
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CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So the whole --
MR. MIZUNO: You know, the other -- now, we have
the age pyramid, which is almost like a pillar.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Oh, yeah.
MR. MIZUNO: And then going into the other
eight -- the reverse age pyramid. And that then those
generations will die and it go back into normal pyramid,
right?
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Okay.
MR. MIZUNO: The Japanese government project
it -- that transformation will take another probably next
100 years. And during that period, the burden on the
younger generation is going to be unbearably heavy.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Right.
MR. MIZUNO: So that's why they came up is the
idea of the other -- using this reserve fund, which I'm
managing to fill the gap --
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Got it.
MR. MIZUNO: -- so that the other younger
generation wouldn't suffer outrageously the other pension
burden to pay to the retired people.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Okay.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So basically the
hope is that within 100 years, Japan will be able to
reverse the aging trend.
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VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Right. Right. Okay.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah. That's a bold assumption of
them.
(Laughter.)
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Let's hope so.
MR. MIZUNO: I hope so, too.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
Ms. Yee.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
And welcome, Hiro. It's really wonderful that
you're here. I had a question. Since you're a national
fund and you talked a little bit earlier in your
introductory remarks about our -- the differences in our
regulatory framework. So who regulates you?
MR. MIZUNO: The Ministry of Health, Labour, and
Welfare.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Okay. And so -- and part
of why I'm asking is that I know you really did some great
work in terms of corporate governance improvements and
reforms. And so are those policies advisory that come
down from the government of Japan or are you self
regulating? I'm just trying to get a sense of where
those -- how you treat advice and mandates?
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah. Well, that's the -- that's a
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very good question, Betty. And I try to answer the
question as effectively as possible.
When -- let's take the ESG as an example.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Yeah.
MR. MIZUNO: Four years ago, we started a
campaign to integrate ESG into our investment strategy.
And we started calling for the corporates to align their
business with the -- all those ESG requirements. At that
time, we received the criticism from some media, like I'm
under pressure by the Abe administration, if we are trying
to promote the corporate governance reform, and that's why
I'm doing it.
And I keep refusing that argument, saying like,
you know, I think taking ESG into the investment analysis
make 100 percent financial sense and nothing to do with
the Abe administration want to promote the corporate
governance reform.
But, you know, that's the kind of the general
perception which we struggle with. So to address that
kind of misperception, government came up with that
governance structure trying to make us look like as
distant as possible from the other -- the policymakers.
But in reality, I never brought the policy agenda
into my investment decision whatsoever. And ESG
integration, ESG campaign for me, it just really makes
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sense for -- as a universal owner to protect our fund from
the capital market volatility, or like a system risk, we
are facing like climate change.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Yeah.
MR. MIZUNO: I think the story -- I couldn't
sharply answer your question, but the -- it's nothing to
do with the other Abe administration's policy that GPIF
promote corporate governance reform of Japanese
corporates.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Okay. Yeah, that's a good
example.
And then with respect to your assets, how much of
it is internally and externally managed?
MR. MIZUNO: We are regulated not to take any
equity investment in-house. So the 100 percent of equity
portfolio is managed by external money managers. And for
the fixed income, we actually can manage all the fixed
income in-house. But as -- we made a strategic decision
to only manage domestic fixed income in-house. So 100
percent of the fixed income and 100 percent of global
equity portfolio are managed by our external managers.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Okay. All right. Thank
you.
MR. MIZUNO: Okay.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
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Mr. Perez.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Mr. Mizuno, thank you
for coming.
On one of your slides, I show three tiers for
employees. Can you walk me through, please --
MR. MIZUNO: This one?
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Yes, sir.
So if I'm a new employee, where does --
MR. MIZUNO: Okay. We are like the U.S.
Social -- you know, Social Security. So it's a national
pension, whether they are student, or whether they are
working for the company, or they are self-employed, or
they are -- they make -- you, know they are homemakers,
regardless of their -- you know, their jobs, they are part
of this national pension scheme. So literally every
single Japanese are beneficiaries for this national
pension scheme.
And on the top of national pension scheme, we
have employee's pension, but this is mandatory. And GPIF
manage the fund contributed by those national pension, as
well as the mandatory employee's pension or corporate
pension. And the big corporates, like Toyota and Nissan,
those guys, they have their own -- the pension on the top.
So they're -- that third layer is up to the person or the
company you work for.
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So not everybody has the luxury of having that
start -- that layer. But every single Japanese has the
other -- the first tier -- or first layer. And the people
who work for the corporates also entitled for the
mandatory. That's the second tier pension scheme.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: And the national
pension, that's the tax you referred to?
MR. MIZUNO: Hmm?
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: The national pension for
everybody, the basic -- the basic pension --
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah, this is basic pension. This
is Social Security.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: The tax you referred to
earlier?
MR. MIZUNO: Attach?
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: The tax.
MR. MIZUNO: Well, this is not tax, but they are
collected together with tax. So, you know, those -- like
that graph I showed that the subsidy came from -- the
government came from the general tax account. And the
middle layer, it was like directly contributed by the
other taxpayers, but it's collected together with tax. So
a lot of Japanese people think that the pension
contributions is also money like a tax. Yeah.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: And the employee's
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pension, is that the employee paid or is that --
MR. MIZUNO: It's half-half. Yeah. So the
other -- basically, the corporate have to match the
contribution but their employees.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Thank you.
And then what's your staff size and your
operating budget?
MR. MIZUNO: That's a good question. We have
only 135 people working. We don't have the administration
side of CalPERS. So basically it's Investment Office we
have 135. And our cost of operation is very low, but we
paid about $500 million to the asset manager to manage our
portfolios. So it's just -- you know, it's just a
strategic decision and also regulatory preference for GPIF
not to manage the equity in house. Because if you think
about it, we own about 10 percent of Japanese corporates.
And now our relationship with the Japanese corporate
community is very, very, very positive.
But four years ago, when I was called by, you
know, Japanese government to leave London private equity
shop to run this fund, Japanese corporate was very
skept -- very concerned about GPIF becomes like, you know,
the private equity fund manager.
So the regulator made it clear GPIF is not going
to manage the equity portfolio themselves. So that we're
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not going to be sort of like a dominant shareholder in a
Japanese -- in the public -- private sector. So that's a
background why we don't take any investment in-house.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Thank you very much.
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
Mr. Jones.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Yeah. Thank you, Mr.
Chair. Good to see you again, Hiro.
MR. MIZUNO: Good to see you.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Yeah. As you know,
CalPERS has substantial investments in Japan. And maybe
right before you came, I was with a group that had went to
Japan to talk about corporate governance, because we were
concerned about our investments in Japan.
So I know that you've implemented a strategy on
the corporate governance now. So could you kind of give
us an update where you are in that strategy?
MR. MIZUNO: Sure. It's probably -- it's
probably makes sense for me to go through our ESG
initiatives to address your question more clearly, because
we never separate like a corporate governance issue from
like the other issues, like social, and environmental
issue, because we promote ESG investment altogether.
So for us, corporate governance is one of ESG
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issues, rather than a one specific issue. So let me -- if
you run out of questions on the who GPIF is, I probably
wanted to just move on to the other slide to address the
Henry's question better.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Right. Okay. That's
fine. That's fine. Okay.
MR. MIZUNO: Mr. Chair.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: You done, Mr. Jones?
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Yeah. Oh, no, I do have
another one. Go back to the chart that shows the
governance structure. The audit committee, it says that
the -- it's the same body of members that are part of the
Board of Governors that's part of the audit committee. So
what's your relationship to the audit committee and do you
have an internal audit committee.
MR. MIZUNO: We do have an internal auditor as
well, so -- but this is -- this is only one committee like
board has. Like CalPERS gets, they have Investment
Committee as well as the -- what's other one?
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Health.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Pension and Health.
MR. MIZUNO: Pension and Health, the committee.
For GPIF it's only one committee the Board has is the
audit committee, who works as sort of semi-external
auditing board. And also one permanent board member is
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stationed in our office to report to that audit committee.
So it's very rare for me to work directly with audit
committee, but audit committee works as a bridge between
investment team and board.
So I don't -- you know, GPIF meet with our board
every month, but only for two hours. So it's not like
CalPERS. I don't know how many days you meet every month,
but we meet like --
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Three.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah, three days. Our case, two
hours or three hours. So this like audit committee
function as the sort of liaison between the investment
team and a board, so that we don't need to, you know,
report everything in detail to our board.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Thank you.
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Mr. Miller.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MILLER: Yeah. Thank you for
taking the time to spend with us, sir. Really appreciate
it.
I'm kind of curious, you know, for us having kind
of direct engagement with our beneficiaries and the
members we serve is a big part of kind of the
transparency, and accountability, and results equation for
us, and things like this generational equity issues that
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are really important to them. So for you in your system,
what's that relationship with the members, the
beneficiaries like? Is that through the Board of
Governors or through the voice of the customer via the
government, or do you interact directly with them in some
ways? Like you can see in our audience, we always have
very active members and organizations to communicate with
us.
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you. That's a very good
question and very important question for us. And when we
have been discussing -- we were discussing about this new
governance structure, that was one of the topic this being
discussed very heavily, because now it used to be GPIF
investment team was also responsible policy asset mix. So
the other investment team before this new governance
structure felt full-heartedly responsible for the
performance.
But now -- actually, they picked the -- pick up
the CalPERS motto and the Governor -- Board of Governors
decided policy asset mix. So to be fair, 80, 90 percent
of performance was actually dictated by the Board
decision.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Yes.
MR. MIZUNO: But in reality and in real world,
nobody hold that board accountable for the performance.
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It's going to be investment executive. So nobody want to
listen directly from our board about our investment, so
it's got to be us who try to communicate with general
public how we manage.
That's something I always feel unfair to be
honest. But --
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: You're not alone.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah, we're not alone.
But the -- basically, board make those kind of
very, very critical investment decision. But when GPIF
tried to communicate with our stakeholder beneficiary,
which is Japanese general public or -- and also, usually,
we reach out to general public through media. Media only
interested in our explanation how we are managing it. So
we take the responsibility.
Given we don't have a target audience, it's
always really difficult to communicate and/or convey the
very clear message, because we have no idea who's
listening. And at least the CalPERS beneficiary, in my
opinion -- in my -- you know, the understanding, at least
served for the public -- you know, the -- you know, for
the local government. So the people seems to have the
public mindset, I guess.
But we are serving every single Japanese person
who has a totally different opinion from each other. So
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the communicating well with the general public is such an
impossible job for us. So we created a lot of like a
reports and we put everything on the Internet. We don't
broadcast the board meeting like you guys do, but we put a
lot of information on the -- on the homepage. But we
always get criticized we are not transparent enough, which
I think is impossible task to achieve.
And if you don't mind, I just wanted to just talk
about the transparency. Over the last four years, we
continue to increase our transparency. But as a result,
we haven't been able to affect the people's perception or
expectation of GPIF. So I concluded transparency itself
wouldn't solve the problem.
Okay. And I always feel like, you know, the
Board and the people, particularly people from the
investment industry or finance industry is expect the
investment team to outperform the market. But in reality,
if you take the analogy of NBA, like, you know, the
basketball team. CEO is like, you know, the head coach
and all of our conversation of our game plan with our
owner or executive has to be broadcasted.
Beating the market, managing a public pension
fund is almost impossible job. That's one thing I wanted
to just convey to the Board of CalPERS. You know,
transparency sounds good, but in reality, it, you know,
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really make investment team play handicapped game.
So we started discussing which area we should be
strategically transparent and which area which actually
information we should be trans -- you know, strategically
less transparent. I'm sure that the -- I understand that
at the CalPERS Board now the private equity is one of the
hot topic. I used to manage one of the biggest private
equity fund.
And private equity fund delivers better return.
Nobody argue about it. The reason why, because we are
playing the game of not transparency, you know, with a lot
of private information, right?
So on one hand, I think GPIF and CalPERS has to
continue to make effort to have better communication with
the stakeholders, but I would like to ask the -- our board
as well as the CalPERS Board to be empathetic to the
investment team who have to operate in that kind of
handicapped environment. It's really hard.
You know, we need to tell them our asset
allocation start. When we start discussing the new policy
asset mix, we under pressure from general public we need
to disclose it. It's very difficult to manage the fund in
that kind of circumstances.
If you don't request us to outperform the market,
it's fine. But all the board expect the investment team
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to outperform the market. And without, you know, the
operating with that kind of transparency requirement, it's
just impossible.
So I think the Board side -- Board and the
investment team need to work together to improve the
communication with the stakeholders. But increasing the
transparency doesn't seem to deliver what we are talking
about. So that's another reason I feel always empathetic
to the CalPERS, because we are under very similar pressure
by general public and also the media about what we are
doing.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MILLER: Thank you for your
insight, sir.
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Very refreshing to hear
those comments, so thank you.
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Ms. Middleton.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MIDDLETON: Okay. Thank you,
Mr. Chairman. And thank you, sir. It's a pleasure to
hear your insight.
I'd like to shift gears a bit. You've got
incredible experience in the global economy. As you look
forward over the next few years, in the next 25 years,
that what are the most significant concerns that you have
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that would cause major disruption to the global market
economy?
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you. That's a very good
question. And several issues I'm very concerned about.
You know, I think that -- Ben probably the same, but every
time I'm the panel at the conference, the moderator try to
ask me what may -- you know keeps me up at night? And I
always answer that it's Netflix --
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: -- and YouTube, but --
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: I watch the CalPERS Board media on
my way into the conference. It totally kept me awake 11
hours.
But the one is the aging society in a developed
market -- developed economy. You know, Japan has been
trying everything to get out of deflation over the last
two decades. We still haven't been successful. You know,
how much money Japan has got -- you know Bank of Japan
printed and how much stimulus Japanese government
implemented still we cannot get out of the deflation. And
it has to do -- it obviously has to do with the aging
society.
And the globalization of the economy and the
basically just made the other manufacturer's job
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impossible to -- you know, transfer the cost into the
final -- you know, the final, you know, consumer pricing.
So there's a huge pressure to keep the other -- you know,
the price down and inflation down.
And GPIF is now allocated 50 percent of our
portfolio to fixed income hoping fixed income portfolio
provide hedge for the other -- you know, the drawdown on
the equity portfolio. But last 4th quarter of 2018, GPIF
reported the -- it's only mark to market -- it's not real
loss. But the mark to market loss of $150 billion just
over three months.
You know why? I have been in this industry for
throughout my career. I look young, but I'm 53, so I have
significant experience in investment, okay? I have a
young looking gene.
(Laughter.)
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Keep working at
GPIF and you'll --
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: I never had gray hair before I
joined GPIF.
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: But working for the public pension
fund, started growing -- I started growing gray hair.
(Laughter.)
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CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Very try with me.
My mom just came to visit me a couple weeks ago. She
noticed you got white hair now.
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: I know. I know.
So what was I going to say?
Oh, the reason that we had to report the $150
billion loss over three months, I lost -- we lost as much
as the -- not as big as CalPERS, but the major U.S. public
pension fund has only $100 billion. So we lost as much as
major U.S. pension fund over three months.
The reason why was I never seen in my whole
career, as an investment professional, every single asset
class we lost money. Okay. Because conventional wisdom
of the portfolio diversification is like when we lose
money in equity, we make profit in fixed income, right?
But we lost in every single asset classes. And we also
lost in currency translation as well. It never happened
in the past.
So I think it has something to do with the
mandatory easing, all those kind of things, which we
actually created over the last decade and we are now, you
know, facing the situation global market is so linked.
You know, when we woke -- wake up and find out the New
York Stock Market, the -- you know, the plant, we --
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everybody expect the Tokyo market will go down as well,
right?
It used to create a global diversification. So
when the New York goes down, the Tokyo used to go up. But
now, every market move in the same direction. So this is
actually it's really concerning to me. You know, the --
whether the conventional wisdom of the portfolio
diversification really save us? And no wonder why
everybody trying to increase the private -- you know, the
asset or like a private investment, because obviously,
it's not correlated to the public market. But that's
another thing.
And the third one is I still don't know whether
it's going to be a, you know, net positive or negative.
But the AI going to replace a lot of jobs, you know. But
when the car replaced the horses, I think a lot of horse
owners very concerned about it. But in the end, we
benefited from the car.
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: So I don't know, we may benefit
from -- like from AI. But for the time being we will see
the difference in some people win it -- you know, win with
that, and the other people will lose with it.
And -- but this impact of AI in the business is
going to be more significant than people think. So that's
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why one of the initiatives we are making is that work with
the Sony computer science laboratory to use AI to monitor
our asset management behavior.
So there's a lot of room for the -- our industry
to use AI. But, you know, if you think about it, this is
an industry where there are, you know, thousand of million
dollar bonus paid people. I really don't think that all
of them will managed to keep that kind of high
remuneration.
But to conclude my answer to your question, I
think the other -- how the AI will affect the industry
landscape is going to be the big topic, whether it's going
to be negative or positive. At the moment, I cannot
judge.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MIDDLETON: Okay. Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you. And I feel your
pain, Ben. When I started here, I had hair and this
wasn't white, so...
(Laughter.)
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Ms. Olivares.
MR. MIZUNO: Okay. So --
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: There's one more.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Wait just a second.
Ms. Olivares.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Hi. Thank you, Mr.
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Chair.
I wanted to understand better your performance
based fee structure. It's a little different. I find it
quite interesting.
MR. MIZUNO: You mean for the asset managers?
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Yes.
MR. MIZUNO: Okay.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: So if I understand
correctly, if an invest -- or an asset manager doesn't
perform in terms of reaching alpha, then they're paid
based on a passive index, is that correct?
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah. I think the -- our new fee
structure is -- has been very controversial, because
basically we challenge the industry saying like, you know,
active manager seems to be remunerated much better than
they should be. Not about the absolute level, but also
the fee structure is not really, you know, the -- align
our interest with asset managers.
So as you know, the active manager's performance
is conventionally measured their performance relative to
benchmark.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Um-hmm.
MR. MIZUNO: And there is also the big debate in
the finance academics that the -- whether active
management will deliver any value or not. Because on
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average, you know, the -- as you know, the active
management has never beaten the other -- you know, passive
management, while they charge much higher fees.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Right.
MR. MIZUNO: So through our GPIF's own
experience, you know, 80 percent of our investment team
resource was used to select the asset managers and monitor
them, et cetera. I mean, active managers. But in
reality, net of fees, historically our alpha net of fee
was zero. So that means we wasted our resource spending
energy on selecting active managers.
So -- but the conventional reaction to that was
you are not good at selecting good managers, right? So
it's your fault you selected bad ones. But in reality, if
you look at the statistic, active never, you know, beat
the market net of fees. So that's why we thought we need
to change the game, rule of the game, to make it possible
for us to win.
And the game -- the new rule of the game we
implemented was active managers should be only paid as
much as passive manager being paid, if they don't deliver
extra return. It's very simple.
(Applause.)
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Yeah.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah, it's very simple. And then
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unfortunately, last year, GPIF managed to save $200
million in active management fee, because majority of
active managers failed to deliver target alpha, but it
will give us much better chance. When the market is
better, right, the -- we'll probably be able to get the
alpha out of the active management. And then when you
look at the long-term performance of our active portfolio,
we pay very little when the performance is low and we pay
higher when they make the other actual returns.
So the probability of GPIF winning from active
portfolio is now much better and also it makes a lot of
sense as you give me some, like applause, they shouldn't
be paid if they don't deliver something, which they
promised, right?
(Applause.)
COMMITTEE MEMBER BROWN: I agree.
MR. MIZUNO: Because unfortunately, I'm -- you
know, I would recommend you to read some of the white
paper about the fee proposal on our website. And it
illustrate what the discussion we had with the asset
managers, because at the beginning, all the asset managers
are trying to refuse it. They argued it's not fair. And
GPIF now is again trying to use our power to hammer the
fees.
But what we said was, first of all, if you don't
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deliver alpha, you are just as good as passive, right, so
you should be paid as -- you know, as good as passive.
And we designed the participation ratio to break even at
their target alpha, right? So if they deliver the alpha
what they proposed us, they should be paid as well, right?
So they are -- I told the asset managers it
doesn't make any sense you complain that we are trying to
hammer the fee, because if you deliver what you're
proposing, you're receiving exactly the same amount of
fees.
But throughout the GPIF's, you know, the history,
only 18 percent of our active managers ever deliver target
alpha. You know, when you select asset managers, and you
saw -- when you agree with your investment team, you ask
them, you know, how much alpha you are trying to achieve
by taking this risk, right? So that's called the target
alpha.
And suddenly throughout the GPIF's experience,
only 18 percent of our active manager ever deliver the
target alpha. So I said, this industry should be gone,
because, you know, the -- if this industry, only less than
20 percent of product performs as, you know, what it says
on the product box. That industry should be either
eliminated or underperformers should get out of the
competition.
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But we manage to -- you know, they manage to keep
the industry intact, while academics argue active
management don't deliver anything. I still believe human
can add value and active management can still add value,
but we needed to change the game -- the rule of the game,
so that we have better chance of winning and delivering
alpha. So that's the whole basic idea behind the other
fee structure.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Can you show slide
28, which illustrates your point?
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So if I may add
something to Ms. Olivares question. So this is just one
of the many examples Hiro and GPIF has been the thought
leader in the industry. So this creative fee structure.
Once GPIF designed it, not only they use it to their own
benefit, they also put it out on their website as a white
paper.
And at that time, I was still working at SAFE.
So my senior emitted for me a copy of the paper, asked me
and the team to study. So that's go to say again that,
you know, Hiro and GPIF's commitment to the entire
industry, not to GPIF, to get better alignment for
long-term investors, such as GPIF and CalPERS.
Yeah. So the paper -- all the detail methodology
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is on its website.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Thank you.
MR. MIZUNO: So this is the slide you want to put
on?
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Yes.
MR. MIZUNO: So actually this is the one of
very -- you know, the many initiative I -- we started.
And -- but the fee structure, which has been quite
controversial, but now -- actually, 43 out of 46 are asset
managers in the end agree to this. And three manager who
walked away, I directly discussed with their executive why
they don't accept this.
And one manager says, they have -- they don't
believe that they can ever deliver target alpha. And I
said why didn't you tell us two years ago, okay?
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: And then the other asset manager
says, you know, we agree with this concept, but we have
much easier money, right? Some of the other customers
willing to pay fixed fee. Why would they have to take the
GPIF?
So I think this type of initiative, as Ben
mentioned, I really call for the collaboration among asset
owner to make it as a -- like a more industry like a
practice.
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Another good example -- sorry, I just sort of
jump onto other issues, which is again transparency. When
I was a GP, we used to hate CalPERS, because CalPERS
disclosed everything.
And, you know, we used to say the private equity
market, like CalPERS is not the other -- you know, the
ideal customer, because once we partner -- we get the
CalPERS money, all the information will be disclosed. And
now, I mean, GPIF, I'm telling our GP, we are going to
disclose everything, because the point is when CalPERS is
only one, it will work against you guys. But if we join,
and if other people will join, it will become market
standard.
So some of those things, as I mentioned, we have
to be more strategic about the transparency argument. But
the -- there is something if GPIF, and CalPERS, and some
big asset owner decide to work together, we can affect the
market. That's the reason we posted this in a public
domain. Because when I started negotiating with the asset
manager, first thing they told me was -- ask me was are
you going to disclose this fee to the public?
And I knew my job would have been much easier if
we -- I had told them we are going to keep it secret to
negotiate a fee. But we told them, we are going to
disclose this, because we have a very strong, you know,
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the commitment to change the market practice.
So, you know, if the one party does it, it goes
against -- it works against them, but it will become the
industry practice -- you know, it will change the things
for the better -- for the better of everybody.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yeah. So this is
one example where Hiro mentioned early on strategic
transparency. So what we should be more transparent,
what -- where we should be less transparent, how to best
serve our fiduciary duty. So this is one example of
strategic transparency to the benefit of our
beneficiaries.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah. So CalPERS is not going to be
alone to disclose the fee on the private equity, because
we are joining. But fee is okay, but the other things, I
mean, some transparency requirement which I used to hear
from some of the public pension fund including CalPERS,
which really affect the private equity money's ability to
deliver, you know, the outperformance.
And so in some of those areas, I think the
other -- the public pension fund board, I know, executive
team has to be more strategic.
But, you know, it's not about hiding, but some
other things that we probably be able to just come up with
more strategic approaches.
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So can I just go through some of the other -- you
know, the other initiatives we have been implementing, so
that I can -- you know, the -- invite some other
questions?
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Sure.
--o0o--
MR. MIZUNO: So this is a snapshot of our ESG
investment. You know, the first thing I did when I came
into this position is to analyze who we are? And we are
trying to find the best role model of the -- you know, the
asset owner business model. And after three or four month
search -- or research, I concluded we need to come up with
a new theory or like a new business model, because nobody
actually, you know, give me the impression that, yeah,
this is going to be role model for us to mimic.
So the first thing we did was we're actually
trying to characterize who we are. And we concluded those
two key words should describe GPIF the best. One is
universal owner. The other is cross-generational
investor.
Universal owner is actually, you know, appeared
in classic finance textbook many years ago. But I was
told by Harvard Business School professor, GPIF probably
the first one to take that out into the -- out of textbook
into practice.
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So we basically own the wide universe of the
capital market. So, you know, the conventional wisdom of
the asset management we did how to beat the benchmark, how
to beat the market is not suitable for our -- you know,
for GPIF or CalPERS. We are a universal owner. Because
given our size, we won't be able to select, you know, only
the good performer or when we look at the ESG, you know, E
is a good example, climate. I'm against the idea of
divestment. The reason why is when we divest, ownership
of those programmatic company will be shift from the
responsible owner to irresponsible owner.
So it doesn't make any difference, because even
that business is outside of our portfolio. If they
continue to pollute the environment, we need to suffer,
right? So the universal owner should pay more attention
how to make the whole capital market a whole business, or
whole society more sustainable. That's going to --
because that's going to affect our portfolio somehow, some
day.
So that's the one the characteristics of the
universal ownership. And when I spoke at the Harvard
Business School, some student asked me, well, GPIF, it's
easy to understand you are universal owner given your
size. But what if I'm a CIO of like a small -- you know,
the endowment of pension fund, should we act like other
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universal owner or not?
My argument was, as a community, we are universal
owner, regardless of your size, because you may be able to
outperform the market for the short period of time, but
the long period of time, you are basically owning the
global economy. So the universal ownership is a really,
really important key characteristic of GPIF. And also, I
think it should be suitable for the other asset owners.
And CalPERS, no doubt you are universal owner.
And the other one is a cross-generational
investor. We used to call ourselves long-term investor.
But when I was making a speech at the CFA Institute annual
meeting in Hong Kong, I asked the other panelists and also
audience what's your definition of long-term investment?
Yeah, well, the most common one is three years.
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: And the one young guy told me, I was
told by my boss that anything longer three days you should
take it as a long term.
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: Right? Because they are like hedge
fund. Okay. So I came to realize long term is so
subjective. And everybody seems to have a totally
different time frame when we say -- we say long term.
And then I started using super long term. And
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one person said, oh, for me super long time is three
months. Okay. I gave up on the long term.
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: So that's why -- and then we started
using a cross-generational investment, because are
managing money not for the first people who already
retired. We are managing money for the people who are not
born yet, right?
So that we are cross-generational investors. And
when we ae cross generational investors toss, everybody is
started thinking we are talking about a third 20, 30 years
minimum time frame.
And GPIF's poly asset mix designed to optimize
our performance over 25 years. And we are definitely at a
cross-generational investors so
So for the universal ownership characteristics
and for the cross-generational investor characteristics,
we concluded GPIF should pay much more attention to how to
make the capital -- whole capital market more sustainable.
So that's the other sort of backdrop of the --
all of our ESG initiative. And we have been asked whether
taking ESG into account is against a fiduciary duty? And
I said fiduciary duty meaning, you should be loyal to your
beneficiaries.
And if we think we are universal owner,
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cross-generational investor, I cannot think of like, you
know, taking ESG information into our investment decisions
against our fiduciary duty. So we actually made that
statement very clear to our asset managers.
And funny thing is when I discussed with the
asset manager individually, everybody tells me ESG is
going to be -- it probably is already, but is going to be
the most important critical financial investment
information for their portfolio management.
And then argument is then practice it, because if
they think that transformation is going to happen over the
time, we want to be the first one to do that, right?
That's how we can make the better return.
So the GPIF is really committed to become the
ultimate ESG investor to make sure our whole capital
market is going to be sustainable. And the inconvenient
truth of the asset management is, you know, as I said, we
spend 80 percent of our resource trying to select the
active managers. And we made a huge effort to build
the -- you know, the alpha, or accumulate extra return.
But I don't know about the CalPERS, but my study is
showing all the asset owners effort to make extra return
every 10 years wiped out by financial crisis. That means
the beta is so important.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Thanks very much,
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Hiro. I just wanted to flag a really practical example of
how GPIF and CalPERS are putting these ideas into
practice. And it's through tackling climate change, which
is systemic risk, also presents opportunity. But what
we've done is team up together and form a network of
what's now $34 trillion in investors that stretch from
Asia, Europe, North America. And what we're doing is
focusing on just over 100 companies where - again, we love
data just like you - when we did the analysis, Divya
Mankikar did this important work, we found that these 100
companies are responsible for the vast majority of the
emissions.
So in other words, we can focus our attention and
start to work with these companies. And our goal is a
transition to get to 2050, to get to net zero globally.
But we are confident that we can do this as long as we
work in partnership, as long as we're focused, as long as
we're long term. And we're already getting some big
results at huge oil companies like Shell, which has a
written agreement with us, and many others as well.
So I think what we're finding is that we can take
this idea that GPIF has, that we fix the market through
partnership and through engagement. If we walk away, we
don't get the chance to change things. You know, we just
have to go and hide in a corner and hope it all works out,
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but actually we need to fix it. And that's really what
fiduciary duty is it's getting things fixed.
So I just want to thank Hiro for his personal
commitment, because his role through our Asia Advisory
Group, which Hiro and I both sit on, is actually now
leading us to start looking at strategy for China based on
the success that you've led in Japan. I think it's a
very, very practical and a very, very fruitful way of
working together.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: And on the note
of ESG investing, as Hiro just mentioned, that it's
critical for us to catch the moment. But also with the
invention, we have to be mindful that in the Investment
Office is shared with a team and we're actively
researching this topic, when it's right. So I use the
surfing analogy, right? We definitely would like to catch
the wave, but you don't want to be too early in terms of
deploying capital.
If you're too early, you'll be, as Howard Marx
once said famously that, you know, if you're too much
ahead of your it's distinguishable from being wrong. But
we need to capture the wave. And if you're too early --
if too late, we miss the wave. We may be crushed by the
wave. If we're too early, we have to take on too much
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risk -- tracking error risk and sometimes cost getting the
market ready.
But what we can do together -- and also ESG topic
is so broad. Some strategies may be ready for deploying
capital. Some strategies probably stay -- still warrants
monitoring, and research, and getting data. But we should
closely monitor when the wave is forming. And if the wave
is forming, we want to surf on top of that wave. And that
what we can do form together at the partnership
continue -- continue to be the advocates of these topics.
Educate the market the risk, so that we can create the
wave together. And so also we can surf together to
benefit from the moment and the benefits of our members.
So we just be a little bit cautious. ESG topic
is so broad and they're so different. So we had to apply,
depending on which topic we are talking about, which
stage? Are we in the stage of research, in the stage of
monitoring, or in the stage of actually deploying small
amount of capital. But regardless, we need to join
together to advocate these key long-term initiatives.
MR. MIZUNO: Can I say one thing about ESG
investment? I think the -- when I started advocating
internally about the ESG investment, there are a lot of
skeptics inside of my team. And I analyzed why they are
concerned or skeptical about ESG investment.
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And one reason I wound out was a lot of people
think delivering extra return is only way to satisfy
fiduciary duty. So the other -- whenever they discuss
about ESG, they try to, you know, address whether taking
ESG into the investment decision will deliver extra return
over the market.
All right. So we now pay a lot of attention to
index provider and quality of index, because, you know, we
use a lot of passive management like the CalPERS. Passive
management -- if you discompose the passive management,
it's -- basically, it's the index tracking and engagement
with a company, because they are actually the bigger owner
of the company, right? So that we demand over passive
management that actively engage with their portfolio
companies.
But basically, the passive management is a
composition of their index tracking and engagement. We
now urge our passive managers to engage more proactively
with the asset -- the portfolio companies, which CalPERS
do directly.
But this index tracking, I think historically, we
paid too little attention to index selection, because we
basic -- used to pick the -- whatever is the most popular
index as the policy index. But in reality, index provider
dictate what we ended up holding. So we started engaging
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directly with the index providers. And we tested several
ESG-themed weighted indices. And again, some people are
skeptical whether this will fix -- satisfy fiduciary duty
if we underperform the benchmark.
So we designed the benchmark to carry the same
return and the same risk level trying to, you know, prove
we are making the -- bringing all our financial expertise
to select the index, which is not going to lose to the
market, but obviously some index, as I show -- showed in a
slide underperform and the other overperformed.
But we keep sending a message to Japanese public,
GPIF, the ultimate goal of ESG index investment is to make
Japanese capital market more sustainable.
And because index has much more powerful effect
over the industry -- because active manager has a dilemma,
if they think this company is good because of the -- for
their ESG the qualification, and when the price goes up,
they need to sell it to realize the extra return. But the
passive manager, they tend to hold almost perpetually. So
they should be the biggest beneficiary of their long-term
sustainability of the businesses.
So that's why we have been very successful
communicating with Japanese general public. And last
year, there more than 4,000 newspaper article talking
about the GPIF ESG investment.
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CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: 4,000?
MR. MIZUNO: 400. 400. And almost every single
article were very supportive, because they like the idea
of GPIF trying to contribute to make the capital market
and Japanese -- the business as a whole more sustainable.
Okay. So that's the reason why we have to show some
negative performance relative to benchmark with the FTSE
Blossom Japan ESG Index. But that we didn't get much
criticism.
And the other thing I want to mention is like
fiduciary duty is one thing, but these days, as an
investor and a shareholder, we expect the corporate
executive to deliver a lot of different things. When I
faced the other asset managers who are skeptical about the
ESG 4 years ago, I asked them the question, what if your
portfolio company CEO tells you my job is pay you the
dividend, anything else I don't care? I'm a CEO of this
business. My job is to give you the shareholder return.
I don't care about the corporate -- the worker's welfare.
I don't care about the environmental impact. I don't care
about the gender diversity or social impact. How would
you react?
Every single asset managers of GPIF told me, they
cannot accept it. And if they cannot accept it, why they
think it's acceptable to ourselves?
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So I think the investor has a responsibility, but
it's not going to be mutually exclusive. We deliver
financial return, but we pay attention to those risks. We
achieve both. And we now expect the corporate executive
to achieve both. Of course, we should expect ourself to
achieve both.
So that's the other different way to take a look
at the ESG. But it makes 100 percent financial sense.
But I think beyond the financial, you know, justification,
we are demanding corporate executive do the same. And we
are going to demand ourself to deliver both. So that's
the other -- the highest level concept we're actually
trying to convey.
And sorry, Henry, I just forgot your question,
the corporate governance.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Yeah.
MR. MIZUNO: So the corporate governance we
regard as one of the major topics in the ESG. Every year,
we ask our asset managers which ESG topic you think are
critical and you are going to discuss or engage with their
portfolio company on those issues. So they give us a list
of the different like ESG issues.
And generally speaking, the list of the tops are
usually climate and gender diversity, those kind of
things. But as far as the our Japanese equity managers
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are concerned, the top lists are made of all the corporate
governance issues. So I think the -- a lot of the -- for
a lot of investors, one of the biggest weakness of
Japanese businesses are the weak corporate governance. So
that's actually where the Abe administration decided to
make a reform. But also the investor thinks that the
Japanese corporate governance is not as -- not very
strong.
So I think all our asset managers promise with
us, because we made -- make it very explicit in our
strategy principle, our asset managers should engage with
the portfolio company on critical ESG issues of their
choosing, right?
So if they choose for the Japanese companies,
corporate governance is the critical issue, they are
required to engage with that Japanese company on that
issue.
And one good observation to share with you was we
actually disclose this as well, but the -- now, we use
three different index provider of ESG indices FTSE and
MSCI and S&P. And we monitor the correlation between the
other -- the ESG rating by different index provider on the
same company. And for Japanese corporate, you know,
they -- well, you can see that on our website, we actually
disclose a scatter map. And the correlation between the
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different -- the ESG rating agency on the change up in
these companies are very little, meaning the ESG rating
has not been converged yet.
And there are two possible explanations why.
One, the sophistication of rating agencies still not
there --
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Yeah.
MR. MIZUNO: -- or data is not comprehensive.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Both.
MR. MIZUNO: You know -- both. Probably both.
So we decided to promote and actually disclose
those -- the other, you know, discrepancy to promote the
more convergence. And over the last 3 years, we see much
more convergence in the E rating. So I think the asset
manager's view be on the environmental climate impact on
their portfolio has started merging.
S it seems impossible, because they -- we -- when
we ask them what kind of the topic they are actually
evaluating in the S area, you know, they actually evaluate
different things. It's actually more difficult to
converge.
G is -- also is not converging, because I think
the -- even if they have the same governance structure,
the effect of the governance is very different from one
company to another or one market to another market. So
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it's much more requires the other, you know, tailor made,
you know, approaches on the corporate governance.
So corporate governance is not only about the
formality, but also requires the other real reflection of
the corporate culture, and also the other sort of market
they are operating. But we think the corporate governance
is a very critical issue for Japanese company. That's
what the -- our manager tend to agree.
Okay. Thank you.
Any other questions?
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: We do have a few others.
Mr. Perez.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Thank you, again.
This is probably more for Ben. Can we migrate to
something similar to them as far as the fee structure for
our managers?
(Laughter.)
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Not only if --
can we, we have been. We have been benefiting from our
team, as you know, that -- even before I came, CalPERS has
been always driving the alignment fee interest with our
external managers and trying to cut down fees, improve
transparency. So we are very proud to say that we are one
of the global leaders together with GPIF and a few other
asset owners.
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But also, we need also the balance -- to balance.
Current, the market -- as Hiro will tell you, the market
is really hot. And Hiro already shared with you that the
GP community quote/unquote hate CalPERS, because of our
drive for lower fees, better align of interests, and
transparency.
And we keep on saying that, you know, we conduct
ourselves very professionally, respectfully, but with the
GP community, you know, we're also friendly, but not
really friends, because underlying we are still not on the
same side of the table.
So again, back to your question, not only can we,
we have been. And we have been very positive and we have
been a global leader in this field.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: And I think, yes, we ask
for more transparency, but I think we're painted into a
box because of the law here.
Sir, there's been a lot of mention of fiduciary
duty, but we're painted in even a stricter sense in that.
We're in even in a smaller box than fiduciary duty,
according to the California Constitution. So how would
you -- I'll read you a brief sentence of what the law says
and then how would you reconcile that with the idea of
accepted fiduciary duty?
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So Hiro may or
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may not know the law you're referring to. I assume the
open meeting law?
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: No.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: No. Okay. You
may want to tell Hiro -- give Hiro a little bit of
background what law you're referring to, the context.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Yes, sir.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Thank you.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: It says the members of
the retirement board shall discharge their duties with
respect to the system solely, in the interest of, and for
the exclusive purposes of providing benefits to
participants and the beneficiary.
MR. MIZUNO: That's the same as we have the --
what we have. The fiduciary duty is very interesting
concept. That started in the UK and spread globally. But
no constitution really has a very specific definition,
anything better than what's the -- you just described.
And then my interpretation is, basically, what
they are saying is we will work solely for the benefit of
our beneficiaries, right? And on the other hand -- if you
look it from different perspective, that fiduciary duty
concept started in the UK, because it used to be a lot of
political intervention into asset management. And also
there are a lot of the investment professional who try to
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make money for himself with ourselves at the expense of
beneficiary. That's why they came up with the concept of
fiduciary duty. Okay.
Now, we have more than enough transparency that
the -- our investment team has no way to benefit their
own -- you know, the purse, or their own -- you know, make
an investment for their own benefit. And also, I
understand CalPERS and GPIF operating under the most
stringent policy in terms of the sort of corporate entity,
et cetera. So basically, I have no concern that the other
investment team will get some personal benefit.
So the first one, political intervention over
some non-financial information get into the investment,
right? That's actually usually came through board, not
from the investment team, to be very honest with you,
because board is representing a lot of different
stakeholders. It's usually non-financial discussions
comes from our board, too.
Okay. Because investment team is very busy
trying to make money. And we believe -- you know, I
believe that all the ESG factor has become a relevant
factor for the investment. When I spoke on the Milken
Board -- Milken Institute conference, Henry Fernandez, CEO
of MSCI told me in 10 year's time there will be no
difference between ESG index and a market-weighted index,
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meaning -- because every single asset manager we hire
tells me they integrate ESG information into their
investment decision, meaning over the time, the market
will price that in. And so the other ESG index will
become the same as the market index.
But that thing I think is really necessary for us
to satisfy fiduciary duty, knowing those information will
be priced in over the next 10 years, we should take that
into account now.
So, sorry, if I sound like, you know, the --
offensive to the Board. But I think the Board represent a
lot of different stakeholders and different interest. But
investment team usually only concerned about how to make
investment. So the older sort of the input, which I think
is against my fiduciary duty, usually come either through
or government or through our board. And I think it is the
whole reason why CalPERS, I think -- and GPIF is a
multi-stakeholder board. California case, their board is
all investment financial professional. So they are --
they are technician or the expert board. So they actually
discuss investment like the investment team, you know,
discuss.
But our board, and CalPERS, I guess -- sorry, I'm
talking with very limited knowledge, but you are
representing all the stakeholders. So sometimes even if
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we think it makes sense financially, I don't mind our
board tells me it doesn't make sense from their -- you
know, their -- the stakeholder perspective.
But the investment team only focusing on
what's -- how to make the best investment. And I feel
very upset when our board -- our regulator tells me when I
talk about ESG, I actually did not, you know, bring in
some non-financial information into my job. No. I'm okay
actually using it, because we think it's irrelevant
financially. So I actually see no conflict between the
other -- you know, how to satisfy fiduciary duty and how
to take these into analysis.
And thank you for the talking about the fee
structure. I mean, that's actually -- you know, no asset
owner pays enough attention to. Although, I think, it was
against our fiduciary duty to keep paying the fixed fee
knowing their active manager never performed as they
promised, right?
So I think the -- I actually, you know, asked the
CalPERS Board -- and I actually, you know, hope that our
Board is listening to the presentation. You know, you
have to be a little bit creative and flexible, because I
think conventional wisdom of the other portfolio
management is no longer perfect. And we need to think
about other things.
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And you are representing younger generation
started working at the police office. And they really
care about the global environment. Of course, they
should. And I'll be very embarrassed -- you know, two
days ago, we released our new ESG activity report, where
we disclosed our current portfolio aligned with like a 3d
plus, so it's not meeting Paris Agreement.
And an easier solution for us is if we divest
some of the other, you know, the fossil fuel industry, we
can improve the portfolio analysis. But, you know, I
think as a universal owner, we only should be satisfied --
we should sleep well when the whole market becomes
sustainable. Because it doesn't make any sense. Even if
we sell some shares, somebody own the share at the lower
valuation. So they actually make financial benefit as
well as the -- they will continue to affect whole our
system.
So, sorry, it takes too long for me to address
your question, but this is very, very center of our work.
You need to have a clear understanding what the fiduciary
duty means. And it should be creative, because now we
need to take a lot of more information into that
discussion.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: As you said, I'm a
police officer, so I read the law, and that's the way I
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interpret it. And the way I interpret this specifically
when it says, "for the exclusive purposes of providing
benefits". It's not their well-being. It's not anything
else. It's just -- so, to me, that means making money for
the benefits.
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah. But we need to make money for
long term. That's the point. It's very easy to make
short-term performance, if we don't care about those kind
of things. But if we're talking about like a 30 year's
time, you know, 30 year's time, the people who are born
here, born today will start working as a police officer.
And we cannot leave a society which is not, you know,
feasible for those generations.
And I'm not philanthropist. I'm not the
environmental activist. But, you know, I actually show
that the GPIF was featured in Harvard Business School case
study. And I was surprised when I was invited to speak to
these students, 400 students attended the classes. They
want to discuss how we should make the capital market more
sustainable and more inclusive.
You know, there are -- those 25 year's old
Harvard Business School students think, they don't want --
they don't think the other -- the conventional capital
market or like, you know, the capitalism will not -- will
survive. So I think if you are running the business, you
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have to concern about how to recruit from those kind of
students body. And everybody is asking questions, like,
whether working for this business is going to contribute
to make the society better or actually damaging the
society.
You know, I definitely recommend everybody to
talk to younger generation. My daughter just graduated
from UK college and finally found a job. But she always
asked the question in the interview how can I contribute
to the world by working -- you know, working here?
That's the question I never thought of when we
were young. And, you know, the employer has to address
that now. And the reason why we call it this kind of
thing holistic approach is it's very difficult to prove
our ESG initiative is adding value to our portfolio over
the next month or so. Maybe over the next 3 years is
going to be difficult. But I believe in 30 year's time,
these kind of thing will make a huge impact.
And, you know, GPIF, CalPERS, what -- regardless
of what we do with our portfolio, we are going to -- we
are going to have exposure to the general economy. And if
the general economy failed to be sustainable, we will fail
to be sustainable.
So I actually think that's going to address your
question. You know, the -- by incorporating ESG, we are
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going to secure the future benefit. And how long is it
going to take to materialize? Probably 10 years as the
MSCI CEO tell us. But I won't be surprised if it actually
started materially in 5 year's time.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yeah. And if I
may add, additional challenge we face at CalPERS than GPIF
in terms of being a long-term investor, as Hiro just
mentioned that at least in the next 25 years, there are no
forecasted payout. But we pay out more than $20 billion a
year. So why to ensure that we can survive the
short-term, so that we can thrive in the long term. So
that's an additional challenge we have to face.
And the other one is again, as you mentioned,
that the plan is for the fund to run down in 100 years.
So the period, you're tl sell off the asset to pay the
benefit, then you're done. You've served the mission --
the historical mission.
But CalPERS is perpetual. We don't have a
timeline or plan to sell down asset and terminate the
program. So there's another additional layer of challenge
that we have to face at CalPERS.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: And I think another --
another aspect is that we're hovering at 70 percent
funded.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Correct.
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INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Right.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: So I mean, I'd have a
little less heartburn, if we were over 100 percent. But
since we're struggling to -- not struggling. Since we're
trying to get that -- hit that discount rate and raise our
funded status, I think we need to make money today.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So there will be
a balancing act. So it's a little bit different that
GPIF.
MR. MIZUNO: They're our chief boss, of course.
I mean, if we don't deliver the performance, we should be
out of our job anyway, right?
So that's what I always struggle. Like, you
know, taking these into investment decision making, I
think it makes 100 percent of the investment financial
sense. But even the people who are argue, it doesn't,
we'll have to achieve both. Like, what we -- that's
exactly what we demand from corporate executive, right?
We expect the corporate executive to deliver a lot of
different things. And we should be -- we should be
required or, you know, we should be expected to deliver a
lot of things together.
So that's why we spend 1 year designing those ESG
indices to perform in line with the other -- you know, the
original benchmark, still achieving better ESG
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performance. So that's where those like prudent expertise
should kick in. You know, we are financial expert. We
know how to design index. And we spend hours and hours to
design ESG index to satisfy the goal you mentioned. So
all our index is designed very carefully not to
underperform. Of course, sometimes up underperform, but
still that achieve the other goals at the same time.
So unfortunately, we are living in the world.
You know, there are several like surveys the Baby Boomer
they think during the other working, they only focus on
making money. And after retirement, they should make some
donation.
But the younger generation think they should do
them both at the same time. And that's not only
generation, but I think the world is changing. And that's
exactly what we expect from our portfolio -- you know,
portfolio company executives, and we should try to deliver
the same.
So if me or, you know, Ben don't deliver the
other -- the financial performance, I have no question we
should be fired, but --
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: I'm proud of the work
the investment team has done. I want to make that clear.
And Beth does a fantastic job in this area also. The only
glaring example that comes to mind is our divestment from
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tobacco.
MR. MIZUNO: We actually don't divest from
tobacco. I mean, I don't want to create the controversy
here, but --
(Laughter.)
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Too late.
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: It's supposed to be
education and dialogue, right?
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: Okay. Well -- Okay. I tell you.
GPIF's ESG index is only one index in the world which
include the tobacco industry, because generally speaking,
ESG investor don't like tobacco. So the older existing
already available ESG indices exclude tobacco as the first
negative screening.
And GPIF made it clear at the beginning of our,
you know, selection of ESG indices that we don't accept
any industry-by-industry divestment. So we demanded MSCI
to actually score Japan tobacco using same the ESG, like,
you know, their scoring model. And we told them if they
turn out to be very high ESG score company, we include it.
And as a matter of fact, it was included.
So we are very popular with the Japan tobacco and
tobacco industry, so -- but again, I think it's the --
also, the Board decision, because as I said, Board is
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making decision not only financially, because that's the
reason why the Board has the multi-stakeholders. So if
you decided to -- you know, if the GPIF board decided we
should divest from tobacco, I would divest.
But simply, we are -- when we ask to make a
financial decision, we keep it. And also, I feel
uncomfortable, because I don't know about California, but
in Japan JTI is owned by Japanese government. So I just
thought it's a little bit of self-contradictory. Like,
you know, the government pension fund divest from the
company who owns by Japanese government. So this another
sensitively.
But I think this should be the clear distinction.
Like, investment team make a financial decision, but
sometimes board make non-financial decision. And if you
ask us to make a financial decision, tobacco, you know,
performed very well. But, you know, I have no objection,
if our board tells me to divest from tobacco for the
different purposes or different reasons.
You know, that's a difference between the board
which representing the -- you know, the other multiple
interests -- stakeholder interest or general interest.
Our job is just to make the good investment, so...
COMMITTEE MEMBER PEREZ: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Ms. Olivares.
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COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Thank you. This is
fascinating to me. I'd like to go back to page 20 of your
deck and take a look at the alpha, particularly under your
MSCI Japan Empowering Women Index --
MR. MIZUNO: Yeah.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: -- 0.65 percent,
right? Can you explain to me what that index holds? I
don't want to get into individual investments too much,
but I find that alpha intriguing.
MR. MIZUNO: Well, I'm very happy to see like,
you know, this women empowerment index overperformed,
because I was most concerned about this index, which
may -- you know, is likely to underperform. And it was
actually recommended by some of our team member like, you
know, it's safer -- reputationally safer for us to go for
the general ESG indices, because it's not very clear where
we underperform or, you know, they overperform.
But when we selected the -- this women
empowerment index, everybody knows that we are kind of
betting on gender diversity's effect on the other stock
performance, right?
And there are several academic researches that
the company a has better -- you know, gender diversity
seems to overperform. But to be honest, I'm not sure,
because it may be like, you know, the company who has the
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more gender diversity meaning, that company's culture
itself is better, right? So it's kind of like which is
cause and which is result, which is not very clear.
So we actually made a strategic judgment. You
know, when people talk about Japanese corporations, there
are two obvious weaknesses the global investor always
criticize about what. One is corporate governance, which
Henry mentioned. The second is gender diversity of women
participating in the workplace.
So that's why we decided to address it. By GPIF,
the biggest owner of Japanese equity market, shows our
belief in gender diversity. We'll promote the more gender
diversity across Japanese industry. And that's again
the -- our concept is we will contribute to make the --
our economy more sustainable.
So if you think that gender diversity contribute
to the sustainability of the business, I think CalPERS
should invest into these indices. And our index is open
for everybody, so I welcome CalPERS to join.
But I think, you know, the -- for the U.S., you
already have the much better gender diversity. But in
Japan, we are catching up. So probably, while we are
catching up, we probably easier to make the other -- the
shorter improvement. And you may if -- even if you may
create the same index using the U.S. companies, you may
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struggle to overperform.
But again, you know, it's not about
overperform -- overperformance, these ESG index trying to
send a signal throughout the system. You know, the active
managers, as I mentioned -- because from the company's
perspective, this guy may sell my stock tomorrow, right,
but the index, they know -- they invest -- they will
continue to hold the stock for ages, right? So that's why
it has much stronger impact on the whole industry.
So it is a strategic decision. I'm very glad I
saw the overperformance, because I was concerned about if
it didn't, I mean, it would actually send a negative
signal to the market that gender diversity does not
contribute to the corporate performance. So I'm really
glad at the moment.
And when I presented to -- this to Japanese
Business Roundtable at their Gender Diversity Committee,
they ask me whether I think this index will overperform or
not? And I responded saying if you -- women work well, it
should over perform. Because we only believe -- we -- all
we can do is we believe in the company has the better
gender diversity will have a robust performance, but it's
not us to prove it. It's them to prove.
So please ask the other -- your investment to
join us to support those kind of gender diversity index,
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because this is not where the biggest gender diversity
index in the world.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
Ms. Middleton.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MIDDLETON: Okay. I think some
of what I was going to ask has already been asked. But to
put it in very simple terms, it seems to me the case you
are making is that ESG contributes to the long-term
stability and sustainability of our markets, and that all
of us have a vital vested interest in achieving that.
MR. MIZUNO: Um-hmm.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MIDDLETON: And I think that is
in part the answer to the question of should we be making
short-term decisions that may have greater profitability
for -- in the very short-term.
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you. That's the sort of
fundamental and the question we have to address. And
again, you know, I always tell my team, like, we need to
achieve both, right? Because that's exactly what we
expect from the corporate executives. You know, they
never ask investors do you want the short-term performance
or do you want the long-term performance. They never ask,
because investor demand them to deliver both, right.
And I don't -- I think I would say why we are
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different. So the other -- we have to deliver both. But
there are certain cases we find is a bit conflicting,
short-term return and long-term sustainable performance.
And I think it should be reflected in your investment
belief and the other characteristics of your fund. GPIF
is that we are literally a universal owner and
cross-generational investors. I think when we face that
kind of conflict, we should prioritize longer term
sustainable performance.
But, you know, again, coming back to fiduciary
duty debate, I always find it's very strange, because when
you dis -- you know, people discuss this is against or
for -- pro fiduciary duty, they don't talk about the --
what kind of the customer they are serving, right?
Because if my customer ask me to give them --
give their money back next month, of course, I don't take
the ESG into my account, my investment. It totally
irrelevant, right?
But if we are talking about 20, 30 years, I'm
convinced all those ESG issues are relevant, the factors.
And the other thing I want to mention is like, I'm on the
board of PRI, where they are -- they try to, you know,
make advocacy of the ESG. And there's some difference in
the opinion. Some people think ESG should be a source of
return. The other people think ESGs are potential risks.
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And my observation is it's almost unanimously
agreed within the investment community, ESGs are
contingent risks to portfolio. So if you have a trouble
to justify or convince yourself that ESG is a contributor
to performance, just use that as risk factors. Because if
you reduce the risk factors, your risk-adjusted return
will improve anyway, right?
So I think the other -- you have to decide. As
far as GPIF is concerned, so far, we have been using ESG
as risks rather than opportunity. We use SDGs when we are
trying to convey some future opportunities for the -- when
we talk with the business -- you know, the business
executives. But ESG we basically use as a risk, rather
than opportunities.
But even if it's risks, it will improve the
performance, because risk-adjusted return is actually the
real return you should get from the investment.
Did I answer your question?
COMMITTEE MEMBER MIDDLETON: Very well. Thank
you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
Mr. Miller.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MILLER: Thank you. One of the
things that kind of struck me and it's very refreshing is
this idea of challenging the conventional wisdom that is
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widely held not just by the public, but especially by the
financial services industry, and people in this business.
And it kind of struck me, yesterday, we were talking a
little bit about the new normal when it comes to thinking
about buydowns and recessions that the conventional wisdom
of 30 years ago just doesn't seem to apply.
And the conventional wisdom of, you know, modern
investment management theory from 80 years ago, ideas
about market knowledge, and valuation, and efficient
frontiers, and all this and that, a lot of it doesn't seem
to work anymore.
And when you would talk about the fees, this
concept of, you know, pay and performance seems to leave
out kind of the concept of Deming's Bed Beads experiment,
that you've got this big circle of luck or chance, and
this smaller circle of skill or competence, the minimum --
and this little intersection that you're trying to reward,
and we so often end up rewarding or punishing chance and
basically wasting our money. That whole active/passive
thing.
So my question to you is are there other areas
kind of the conventional wisdom, which often seems to
really serve the interests of the financial services
industry more than us that you see there's a new normal?
That the conventional wisdom just doesn't really work
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anymore and we need to kind of break out of those kind of
mental models or mindsets?
MR. MIZUNO: That's a -- that's a tough question,
because -- to answer, because it's a really good question?
(Laughter.)
MR. MIZUNO: For example, the benchmarking -- the
concept of benchmarking is created because customer didn't
want to pay for luck, right? And also, the asset managers
don't want to be penalized for -- possible for something
out of their control. And the Board's priorities is like
a needs much and it created the conventional system of
active managers evaluated relative to benchmark.
But if you are running a business as a corporate
executive, you cannot tell your shareholders like, you
know, we lost money, because the market shrunk last year.
It's not my fault. They wouldn't accept it, right?
So in real life, the people are evaluated both
for their skills as well as lucks. And, you know, our --
recently, our core research program with the Sony Computer
Science Laboratory, AI came up with what they called
distiller to actually judge when the performance delivered
by active manager, whether it was their intentional
success or luck. And we came to realize some people has
been consistently lucky.
(Laughter.)
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MR. MIZUNO: But, you know, it may change our
perception. Because, you know, we used to think we need
to segregate the luck from the skill. And we only should
back the manager who has skills. But if we realize, some
person has been consistently lucky and being able to
deliver the performance to us, we maybe should pick that
one, right?
So there's a lot of, you know, new perspective we
are bringing to our business. So even for the area of the
asset management of the way we analyze their performance,
I think the conventional wisdom probably being destroyed
or being challenged.
But more broadly to answer your question, I think
we are facing the situation like nobody knows when this
mandatory easing contract, you know, the close --
finishes. You probably don't remember, but it was
Japan -- Bank of Japan who started -- who did the first
quantitative easing in history of mankind. And most of
U.S. prominent economists criticized the Bank of Japan
saying they are some -- doing something really stupid.
But when a demand crisis hit the market,
everybody actually copied what the Bank of Japan did. And
so, you know, that was totally unconventional 20 years
ago. Japan had the guts to experiment it, and now
everybody copied. The problem is nobody has the guts to
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experiment -- experiment how to get out of it.
And I was hopeful Fed will do it, but now is
going into different direction. So we are now operating
in a very, very sort of uncharted like environment, where
every single major -- you know, the central banks printed
tons of money over the last 10 years and nobody knows how
to close that.
And I've been very surprised the market has
been -- not now, but if you remember one year ago,
everybody thought the Fed will be able to maneuver or
navigate the other -- how to exit from quantitative easing
well. I was skeptical, because nobody tried it. First
trial is going to be bumpy all the time.
So I really cannot specifically answer your
question. But there's a lot of things which never
happened in the past, and when we do it for the first
time, it's going to be very bumpy. Yeah.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MILLER: Thank you.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yeah. That's
something mentioned a couple times your colleagues about
as well, the new normal. So what is the new normal? But
definitely this is the conventional wisdom doesn't work in
today's environment anymore.
As a recent example, a few weeks ago, PIMCO put
out a paper they called the negative nominal interest rate
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will become the new normal. And that's what we talk about
yesterday, I highlighted. That's one of the scenarios we
stress test our portfolio, what if that became reality?
Are we ready for that? And also I talk about how would
capitalism work when capital is free or when capital is --
carry a negative interest rate?
So that is uncharted territory. And if you
extend that line of argument, one of the scenarios could
be when people say, what's the future of Europe? Look at
Japan. What's the future of Europe? What's the future of
us? Look at Europe. That's the future of us, right?
So in Europe now, again, the 30-year German bond
nominal yield is negative already. And Japan's like the
deflation and then disinflation. And Europe and we are in
kind of a disinflation environment. So that can be one of
the potential scenarios in the future.
So back to your question you mentioned the new
normal, the convectional wisdom does -- may not work in
today's market environment. So we all have to very
mindful and keep on -- keep thinking outside the box,
instead of limit ourself to the conventional wisdom. And
that's why dialogue like this is very helpful.
COMMITTEE MEMBER MILLER: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
Ms. Yee.
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COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
A couple thoughts. One, I need to just add my
thanks to you, Hiro, for your leadership, particularly
through your participation and involvement in Climate
Action 100+, which really I think just brought about the
entire Asian community -- the continent of Asia to the
table, which is so key, in terms of where we need to move.
And perhaps this is a bit of synergy, but I'd
like to think without as much skepticism as I currently
have, but our own business roundtable just yesterday has
also kind of declared a different way of thinking about
how to bring about value, and, you know, made declarations
that generating shareholder value is not going to be their
main objective and understanding now.
And I believe a lot of this is because of the
engagement that we've had with them globally and
understanding that the world is changing around them. But
that value really needs to be about how they value their
employees, their suppliers, the communities in which they
have a presence. And, you know, I think all of this is
just really additive in terms of how we're going to look
at all these issues in the long term, but I think it's
additive with respect to how we're going to sustain our
markets going forward as well.
So I just wanted to make that statement, because
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obviously this is top of mind for just -- not just the
pension funds, but just in terms of how we just kind of do
business in this, you know, kind of commonplace now around
the world. I think there's a lot of thought that's
evolving, which seems to me at least going in the right
direction, similar direction.
MR. MIZUNO: Thank you. I think the --
yesterday's like the Business Roundtable like Jamie
Dimon's like statement about the shareholder's values no
longer the primary purpose of the business, which we
should argue that he should have said like the shareholder
value is not only primary goal of the corporate
businesses, right?
I mean, this is again -- like, it's not going to
be ESG or financial return argument. They should achieve
both. So I think the other -- as we are steward of our
beneficiaries. We need to make it clear they cannot use
it as excuse not to deliver shareholder value, but --
which I think is important.
But I think that's another evidence, you know,
the people like him started thinking differently. And now
they feel the pressure that they need -- it need to serve
the other stakeholder to remain a business.
And one other things we -- that he -- they talked
about was like the pay gap -- gender pay gap or the income
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inequality. That's the S issue. But it's going to create
a lot of social issues. And, you know, we are not safe --
or we are not distant from what's happening in society.
You know, the other -- what your democracy of
United States brought up to the world actually affecting a
lot of our investment, right? So the political decision
affect the performance of our portfolio as well.
So I think that conventionally industry --
investment professional you spend the day looking into
Bloomberg chart. Now, I think we should pay more
attention to what's happening in the world from the broad
perspective, and what happening to the society, how angry
the young people and several, like some working classes is
going to affect our portfolio. It's only affecting.
I was involved in a G20 meeting, and, you know,
the -- some of the sustainability agenda was vetoed by
American -- U.S. federal government. And so there's no
discussion on those topics. And that's actually the
consequence of the other -- your democratic choices.
So, sorry, I have no personal opinion on that.
But, you know, I'm just trying to convey, you know, the
time the investment professional use to spend the whole
day watching the Bloomberg TV screen has ended.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Thank you.
No other requests to speak.
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Anything else, Mr. Meng?
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: I think just in
conclusion, I really want to thank Hiro for this
thought-provoking talk with the dialogue with you. And I
want to thank him for making this special effort to come
to us. He flew in from Tokyo last night just to give
us -- to talk to us. And then he will be on his way to
London to seek his daughter. So he's really making this a
very special trip for us. So thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: We're very honored to have
you be here. Thank you.
(Applause.)
MR. MIZUNO: Well, just to give you my last word,
thanks again for inviting me. It's my honor to present,
you know, the GPIF initiative and also my own thought to
the CalPERS Board.
And as I put in my final slide, I think asset
owner should work together to achieve a lot of things.
And even just the fee for the asset managers, we can work
together and to make our business more sustainable and
more aligned for the benefit of fiduciary.
And thank you very much. We always regard
CalPERS our closest -- the sister or like the partner. So
thank you very much for inviting me today. Thank you.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Thank you.
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CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Well, it's been our
pleasure and honor to have you here, so thank you.
(Applause.).
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: With that, we're going to
take a 10-minute break -- make it 11. We'll reconvene at
10:45.
(Off record: 10:34 a.m.)
(Thereupon a recess was taken.)
(On record: 10:45 a.m.)
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Can we please take our
seats. We'd like to begin again. We still have quite a
bit on our agenda.
Mr. Meng.
Not yet. Not yet.
There you go.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Thank you, Mr.
Chair. So now we continue the second half of the Board
education program this morning. This is on global
equities. With that, I will turn it over to Dan
Bienvenue, the Managing Investment Director of Global
Equity to introduce our distinguished guest.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Thanks, Ben. Dan Bienvenue, MID of Global
Equity.
This morning, we're moving on to our second asset
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class overview. If you recall, this is part of your
series -- you know, the educational series as part of the
Board workstreams. This is the second asset class we're
covering. We covered fixed income in June, after covering
in May, I believe it was, asset classes, risk and return.
This recall is work in partnership with the CFA Institute
and the Council of Institutional Investors to build this
curriculum over the past couple and the next several
months.
Today, it's my pleasure to introduce John
Griswold who is part of the CFA Institute senior faculty,
and has extensive experience teaching investment programs
to pension fund boards around the country. So he has the
unenviable task of following Hiro. But believe me that
John is here to really walk us through global equity and
take a deep dive. And we are really fortunate to have him
here as well.
(Thereupon an overhead presentation was
Presented as follows.)
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: You have his full bio alongside with his
slides, so I won't repeat what have you there. But
needless to say, John is a highly respected leader in the
field of Board education on investments. We're very
grateful for him making the time also to come out and
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spend time with us and dig into the global equity asset
class.
Once again, we're hoping for a good lively
discussion. We think that, you know, it works better when
it's done that way. So John and I also will be looking
forward to questions and comments as we go through.
And with that, I'll turn it over to Anne to kick
us off.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Thank you very
much, Dan, and Ben, and, of course, John for being here
with us. My job is quite simple. It's just to recap
where we are in this series of board education.
Your recall when the Board went through its
self-evaluation last year, improving education for each of
the committees was one of the findings. And as Dan said,
we are delighted to be working in partnership with the CFA
Institute and with the Council of Institutional Investors.
And we're working our way through the key topics
in investment. And following Hiro, I think has given us a
case study, an example from a sister fund looking at these
issues from a global point of view, we'll be looking at
specific asset classes this morning.
The other thing I want to just recap is what is
the role of the Investment Committee? It's a Committee of
the Board in relation to investments. This is the day job
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of management. It's the role of consultants. But the
Board has a very particular responsibility.
As Dan said, this is workshop number 3, part 2.
We've covered risk and return basics. We then covered
global fixed income. And today, we're going to be looking
at global equity.
--o0o--
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: So this is our
favorite slide to show, whenever we're talking about
investment. It's the one thing that keeps us all
absolutely focused on the job of generating sustainable
returns for the pension fund. We pay pensions in dollars.
And this is the CalPERS Pension Buck. And it reminds us
that for every dollar for the, as Ben said, more than $20
billion that are paid out every year, $0.59 come from
investments.
So getting it as right as we can, getting as much
luck on our side as well as skill is going to be vitally
important. And the role of the Board in that is critical.
And that's really what this education program is intended
to do, help you fulfill your responsibilities more
effectively.
--o0o--
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: And so what are
those? So in the formalities of the CalPERS system, of
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course, the Board divides up the job of overseeing the
organization through a series of committees. And the way
these responsibilities are set out is through what's
called a delegation.
And for the Investment Committee, there are
important responsibilities. Conducting strategic asset
allocation. As Hiro said earlier, this is where the vast
majority of returns come from getting those decisions
right. And the Board also has responsibility for
selecting and overseeing performance of the Board
consultants.
So what is the Investment Committee charged with
overseeing? This is really the monitoring function that
the Investment Committee has. Of course, investment
performance, that goes without saying. But also a
component of this is find liquidity; the selection and
performance of partners, managers, and consultants; cost
effectiveness; risk assessment; Environmental, Social, and
Governance Program; and the management of risks.
So the critical word here is oversee. This is
actually work that's done by management. And the role of
the Board is to oversee and hold accountable.
So with that in mind, just as background, let me
now turn over to John who's going to take you through how
to think about global equity and the role that it plays in
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our portfolio.
So, John. Thank you.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: Thank you, Anne. And thank you
for allowing me to come and talk with you this morning.
As Dan said, I've been doing work in helping investors do
a better job for their institutions for a very long time.
I've worked for -- I've been a trustee of many boards
going back longer than I would care to admit, and on many
of investment committees, when I came early -- early on
fascinated with how the process of governance and of also
managing funds affected the sustainability of the
organizations and really increased their ability to
achieve their missions.
I've worked in the nonprofit arena for most of my
career of investing. I worked for 25 years plus at
Commonfund, which was started by the Ford Foundation in
1971 as a nonprofit investment management company for
endowments in the education field, mostly higher ed
independent schools. We did a lot of research over the
years. We wrote a lot of white papers and even some
books, and did a lot of investor education.
Along the way, of course, meeting a lot of folks
who were leaders in the industry, nonprofit industry,
including pension funds, has been a real education for me.
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That continues. A lot of my friends who have been friends
for many, many years are still engaged in this work and
there is sort of a calling to it. It is hard to follow --
follow a guy like Hiro, because, in fact, he embodies so
much of what is being done today to continue the mission
of these organizations that are vital to the future of
their beneficiaries, whether they be the student health
care patient, a pensioner, or any other charitable
recipient of any service or financial benefit.
So it's a remarkable industry, if you will.
There's some wonderful statistics the Urban Institute puts
out that non-profits actually contribute a bit over 10
percent of the wages and salaries in this country,
accommodate -- it's responsible for over 5 percent of GDP.
The assets are 3 plus trillion dollars at last count,
probably a bit more than that. But Americans give well
over -- almost -- I think over $400 billion to charities
every year. So it's a very large industry. It's a very
large -- it's a large activity providing the safety net in
this country.
So clearly, congratulations to you for the time
you spend, the dedication you show to helping CalPERS do
its part in benefiting its pension -- pension recipients,
its beneficiaries.
Let me start with a few things -- by the way, I'd
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like, with Dan and Ben's permission, to ask that you ask
questions along the way. I started as a teacher actually
in Connecticut right out of college. And I always -- I
learned very early that I wanted to know what the -- what
my audience was thinking. And the only way you do that is
to get them to ask questions. So please ask questions.
We can try to answer them. I've got some extraordinary
depth of knowledge here about CalPERS. I'll try to add a
little overview as Dan and Ben know on the principles
involved in global equity.
Global equity, of course, is the largest single
asset allocation within your policy portfolio.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: And we might as well go back to
real basics and ask what is equity? Equity is actually a
piece of the corporate financial structure in companies.
It is -- they are -- it is common stock or different kinds
of stock. It could be preferred. It could be warrants.
It could be depository receipts for those foreign
investors.
But it is really issued to raise capital for the
operation of the company, so that they can grow their
business, expand their share.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: There is -- as I say, there are
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many types of shares, but they do allow the holder to
vote, unlike the holders of debt. Some of you may
remember my colleague from CFA Institute, Jeff Bailey who
was here I think a month ago approximately talking about
fixed income. And we'll make some comparisons between
equity and fixed again to remind you of that.
But, in fact, common stock is one the lowest in
the ranking of the capital structure, but it's a very
important piece, because it raises the most money, in most
cases. Issuing stock is obviously ownership in the
company. You are participating in the growth of the
company, unlike fixed income holders, and you're, by
extension participating in the growth of the economy. As
the company grows, it's part of a growing economy.
And that's true globally. That's why there is
an -- there is an allocation to global equity in most
large institutional funds, because they wish to
participate in the growth of the global economy. And that
has happened over many, many years. There will be some
other slides where I'll talk a little bit more about that.
One of the things that, of course, you get to do
as a common stockholder, other stockholders to some
extent, is to participate in the voting about corporate
issues, corporate concerns.
And that's when it comes to ESG or any other
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issues, compensation - you can think of a lot of them -
there are tremendous opportunities for shareholders to
influence that. And in this country, of course, we've
seen a continual concern. When I work with the CFA
institute, which I think most of you are familiar with.
If your're not, please ask a question about it.
But I am not a CFA charter holder myself. I'm a
member of a committee, which is called the U.S. Advocacy
Advisory Committee, USAAC. And it's one of several
committees around the world that the CFA Institute has
developed and has put in place to pick up issues from the
local countries/regions and bubble them up to the senior
staff and to other important people working with CFA
Institute to do advocacy to the regulatory authorities,
SEC, FINRA, et cetera, Labor Department, and to promote
best practice, and ethical behaviors, and good behaviors
basically for the investment industry and for generally
asset owners as well.
So a lot of the work we do -- we have meetings
and discussions during the year. We meet once a year for
sort of a plenary retreat meeting in Washington. And a
lot of the members, most of them are CFAs, except for me.
I do feel honored to be a part of that. But in fact,
those society -- local society members bring their issues
to the table at those retreat meetings. And then the
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senior staff and other important advocates for changing
some of the regulations, some of the laws, some of the
practices do their work on the Hill or with the SEC. We
have the SEC come in and talk to us about what they're
doing.
And, in fact, I think it's an opportunity for --
as Hiro said in the earlier session, there is an
opportunity to be heard. And particularly if you're a
large asset owner, of course, there is, because people
tend to listen to those. But even as a local CFA person
who is working in a local advisory form, or a bank, any
number of different types of jobs, they could be heard
through the work of the Advocacy Committee. Very
important, I think, for the benefit of the asset
recipients, eventually the beneficiaries.
A lot of the work we do has to do with things --
with issues such as --
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: I think we should
move on.
MR. GRISWOLD: Move on. Yeah.
Well, a lot of the work we do is talking about
the very things that Hiro was talking about earlier, how
to integrate ESG into portfolios and how to get -- how to
get more value out of the management of funds. And he's a
good -- as I say, he's a good embodiment of some of the
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things that we talk about in that meeting.
Let me move on, as suggested. I get a little
windy sometimes.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: This is a chart that shows the
U.S. share of GDP. And really what we're talking about
here is the rationale for going global in your equity
allocation. U.S. share in the 80s was over 35 percent.
Now, it's under 25 percent.
What does that suggest?
Well, clearly, if you're only invested in your
home market -- and there's a feature in most portfolios
called home bias. Investors traditionally, going back
many, many decades, have invested traditionally mostly in
their home market, because they felt more comfortable and
they understood the co-market, but also because they were
little -- perhaps a little risk averse, they may have been
a little fearful of going abroad.
And, in fact, up until just the last few decades,
really starting in the 50s and 60s, investing abroad was
difficult. It was much more expensive. And the results
were sometimes uncertain, partly because the regulations
in the company -- in the countries abroad were not clearly
understood, where they averse to investors from outside
their own countries. So that has changed enormously.
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CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yeah. I would
like to add one comment here. So in addition to the
percentage of GDP -- global GDP, there's another layer to
it. It is also the -- how deep the capital market is,
because the depths of capital market is not always
correlated -- positively correlated with the GDP share.
So, for example, China's GDP is second largest
economy. But the capital market adapts -- capital market
is not the second deepest in global capital market. So
just -- we always have to keep that in mind.
MR. GRISWOLD: Yes. The U.S. share of the
capital markets actually is 55 percent now approximately.
So our market is very deep. It's very large relative to
any other market in the world. And in a way, you almost
hope that shrinks over time, because, in fact, then you
will -- it will be a by-product of those markets that are
large, now getting large. But perhaps the depth and
breadth of those markets will cause those markets to be
more acceptable to investors around the world, and
including Hiro's fund and, of course, funds across Europe
and others in Asia that are beginning to really grow
enormously, sovereign wealth funds included.
So let's move on here.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: Global equity allocation is really
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the ability to invest anywhere in the world. It isn't
that you're in your home market and then you add an
international component. A global investor is able to go
anywhere, invest anywhere. And typically, they are broken
down into three components, U.S. investment of course for
a U.S. investors, plus international developed market
stocks, and emerging market stocks.
This is a sort of the three-legged stool of
global investing. And, of course, those categories will
change over time as markets develop, countries become
larger because of their own internal business development,
and the size of their capital markets.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: This is a chart that was developed
by actually a friend of mine Elroy Dimson when he was at
London Business School with two other academics. And it
was a book that called Triumph of the Optimists. It was
published in 2000. It was a fascinating book.
But basically, the idea was that the optimists
who invested in equities won over investors in other asset
classes, basically over fixed income, or anything, real
estate, what have you. And that was because of the growth
of the economies, the growth of these stock markets, the
growth of the companies they invested in.
And so over a period from 1900 until 2000 when
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the book was published, they looked at I believe it was 19
markets originally. Now, it's, I think, 23. And they
scoured the world for markets where you had a very long
history, a very long data set of equity returns that they
could produce these numbers from.
So this shows you going back in many countries,
most of them developed countries. There's most of Europe
there. Some outside, New Zealand, Canada, and obviously
the United States. But this is 100 now -- almost 120
years of data on how equities have beaten fixed income.
And, in fact, it is a great example of what we're talking
about and why you invest in global equities.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: So the traditional rationale is
several-fold for investing in this asset class.
Obviously, we all probably know that diversification,
multiple asset classes, low correlations hopefully between
the various asset classes and strategies does provide a
lower portfolio risk overall.
If you think to the traditional rationale for
investing in private equity or private capital generally,
venture capital, other things, is that you're lowering
your portfolio risk, even though you're putting
individually risky asset classes or strategies together.
So global equity is the same thing, but in a
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slightly different way. Diversification regionally,
geographically is really lowering your portfolio risk.
You're capitalizing, as I said, on global economic growth.
You're increasing your breadth of opportunities for the
portfolio manager, including looking for market
inefficiencies. The Holy Grail is to find dislocations
and inefficiencies. That's Ben and his staff's job. And
they are -- they -- that consumes them all the time, where
can we find inefficiencies that we can exploit?
And, of course, you're taking advantage of market
cycles. You can vary your portfolio weights depending on
the region, or the individual country, or even a sector of
the industries that you're looking at from the investment
standpoint.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: This, on the other hand, shows you
a long-term look at when the U.S. has beaten
international. So if you take the global equity universe,
you break it down between U.S. and non-U.S., this is what
you see over a long period of time. This goes back to the
1970s. It shows you those cycles. And more recently, of
course, the U.S. has outperformed international for the
last 10 years. We heard that from Hiro and from others.
But you've had times when valuation of a
particular -- of like either the U.S. or the international
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got up to a point where it was apparently too high, people
felt there was not much value to be gained in continuing.
So they shifted back to the other group of investment
markets, and, in fact, so you have a swing.
We're wondering right now, because the U.S., by
many measures, is fully valued or even overvalued,
depending on which measure you're looking at. The
cyclical Case-Shiller measure -- index being one, where
the ratio being one measure. A lot of people saying the
U.S. is overvalued versus international, and international
thus is undervalued versus the U.S. So will there be a
shift? We don't know. Nobody has a crystal ball. It's
existed longer than we know.
I was fascinated by Hiro's statement that the end
of last year was the first time in his experience that
everything went down. So perhaps something has changed
and we aren't going to see quite the rational shift that
most of these changes between the U.S. and international
would illustrate. That people see overvalue, they get out
that asset class, and they go into a different one.
Questions on any of this so far? This is fairly
basic stuff, I know. But I think it's good to take a step
back sometimes and look at your allocations and what are
the qualities of what you're looking for. And you as a
Committee, as a Board, as Anne said, have the
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responsibility for monitoring your staff, but also just
asking good questions, tough questions of anybody who's
talking about this.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: No requests so -- oh, just
as I say that.
Ms. Yee.
MR. GRISWOLD: You knew that when you said that
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Every time.
(Laughter.)
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
So I wanted to just get your perspective about
whether there may be an opportunity for like this
heightened on emerging markets, given obviously the
volatility that we're seeing with respect to the other
buckets and -- or has it just -- has there just not been
enough progress with respect to, you know, those
countries, and certainly those opportunities with respect
to expecting that we could get outperformance in the near
term?
MR. GRISWOLD: I think as a group, emerging
markets is very varied, first of all --
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Yes.
MR. GRISWOLD: -- so there's no one answer.
Emerging markets contains China, which a lot of
people find quite odd, because China is now the second
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largest economy in the world. Some think it on a
purchasing power probably it's the largest. But, in fact,
it is -- in general, emerging markets have always been
more volatile, partly because they go through a much more,
if you will, dramatic economic cycle. And that affects
their security prices.
They're also subject, in many cases, to the trade
imbalances or trade hiccups that go on. The old
expression, the -- you know, the U.S. sneezes and
everybody gets a cold in the rest of the world, but that's
particularly true -- been true of the emerging markets
that are very dependent on trade, and partly because
they're very dependent on the commodities that they
produce.
They are -- they're smaller markets in many
cases, so they don't have the clout to -- or the
consistency. And many of their markets are very thin from
an equity standpoint.
Ben, do you want to comment further on that? I'm
sure you have some good insight.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yes. So exactly
like John has said that the definition of emerging markets
is very broad. As John mentioned, China is considered an
emerging market, so is Singapore and South Korea, and then
compared to other emerging market countries. And then in
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emerging market investment, we deal with additional layer
of risks such as the instability of the political system,
regulatory bodies, currency. As you know, the currency
has been very volatile market.
So these we all have to take into account when we
look emerging market investment opportunities in emerging
markets.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: And I think the only thing that I would add to
that is just that when you look at this cycle of
outperformance, if you put up your international X -- or I
should -- like emerging markets, so international X
emerging markets, the outperformance of the U.S. is even
more pronounced. And largely, that's due to the dollar.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Yeah.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Now, the other side of that, and remember that
we're not looking in the rear-view mirror, we're looking
forward and trying to think about our allocation, the
reality is that emerging markets are cheap.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Yes.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Now, are they cheap and getting cheaper from
valuation standpoint? That's -- you know, as John said,
if we had a crystal ball, that would be really helpful,
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but we don't. But it is the case from an valuation
standpoint, their valuations are relatively low and
certainly they are a portion of our benchmark.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Right.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: And also, when we
look at emerging market, we also had to be mindful, some
people can break down emerging markets by commodity,
either importer -- net importer or net exporter, then
the -- or the super commodity cycle plays a bigger role.
For example, Brazil is a commodity exporter.
India and China mainly a commodity importer.
COMMITTEE MEMBER YEE: Importer, right.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So depending on
which part of the commodity -- so commodity is one way.
And overall, are you net importer or exporter. So
emerging markets tend to be net exporter. So they are
exposed to the global economy, the volatility of the
currency, economic -- the commodity cycles, the
instability of the political system. So there's a number
of additional layers we need to consider. And that's why,
as John mentioned, tend to be more volatile than developed
countries.
MR. GRISWOLD: Very often, you're looking at the
risk side rather than the return side, when you're looking
at emerging markets, because the risks, as Ben said, can
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be multi-faceted, much more so than a much more developed
settled market. And so that contributes to the
volatility, because those people -- there's a bit more
emotion in there, if there's any fear -- fear and greed
will work against each more violently. If any worldwide
event happens, like '08, '09, and so you see tremendous
volatility.
Just an anecdote, when we were starting an
emerging markets fund many years ago at the firm I worked
for, we weren't investors that -- while the return over
many -- will volatile, you have to be a long-term
investor, really long term. I'm talking 15, 20 years to
really realize the steady growth of the economic
improvement in those -- in that sector. And indeed, that
has proven to be true.
So you're seeing this tremendous variation in
volatility, standard deviation, or what have you. And,
you know, hopefully it doesn't -- doesn't panic an
investment committee and pull out of that just at the
wrong time. And that's one of the things that we teach
university boards or the longest investors -- longest
horizon investors, use your long-term horizon to your
benefit. And that gives people a little thought --
something to think about particularly.
And pension funds are some of the longest
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invention -- longest years -- your's is a perpetual fund
too. It is a huge advantage when you can ignore the
volatility and the panic of other investors, because you
will -- you could benefit from that occurrence.
Let's move on here quickly. Let me make sure I
State the -- what this is -- what this chart is.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: It is a U.S. versus international
equity. So if you put them again together, they make the
whole global equity pie. But it shows you the difference
in volatility is these are rolling standard deviations of
monthly returns from 1970 on your far left. That says '74
there, so I'll say it's '74, to the end of 2018.
And what it shows you is the -- that individually
the international and the U.S., the volatility is quite
high. But if you put them together, that's the green
line, that shows you that together it makes my point that
I made earlier, your volatility is actually reduced most
of the time. Not always, but most of the time.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: We have another question.
Mr. Jones.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Yeah. Thank you, Mr.
Chair.
Yeah. Back to the general statement about global
equities. And I don't know recall what that number is,
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but over some period of time the number of public
companies where we have access to global equities have
been decreased by some 40 percent as I think I remember a
number.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Yes.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: And so my question is,
is that looking at our long-term philosophy, do you think
that that decrease in number of public companies where we
have access to global equities will continue to decrease,
and if so, what kind of thought you have about new
strategies to deal with the ever-decreasing number of
public companies in the marketplace?
MR. GRISWOLD: It's interesting. I appreciate
your question. I think Anne might be able to shed some
light on that too, because I think you've thought a good
deal about that as well. But let me just say from a --
it's one of the -- it's one of the issues that this U.S.
Advisory Committee that I'm on at the CFA Institute has
been wrestling with.
There are various theories about why that's
occurring and what the ultimate result will be, if you
will, for investors. Clearly, it is disturbing to see
that. But what seems to be happening, at least in the
U.S., which is really more easily seen, but it's probably,
to some extent true, in all developed markets, is that
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companies feel it is more profitable to be private, to go
private, or the -- given the activity of private equity of
taking firms -- taking companies private has produced this
over time.
And, in fact, it has reduced the breadth of the
market. There's no question. The option are not easily
taken on, because you don't want to be regulating
something where you -- there would be lots of unintended
consequences potentially.
So, Anne, what's your thought about that too?
I'm not sure I've answered your question.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Yeah. No. Thank
you very much. It's an excellent question. CalPERS
sits -- I represent CalPERS sitting on the SEC's Investor
Advisory Committee and we had hearings on this topic last
year. It's a global phenomenon. I think that's one thing
to note. And I think there were two lessons that came out
of the hearings. One is that the abundance, the supply of
finance in private markets means that companies don't need
to go to an IPO as soon as they might have done before.
So they're staying private longer and more of their growth
is happening in private markets.
And for many companies going public is a way to
monetize incentives, in other words, options for the
inside team for the management, and also to give an exit
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for the first and second round funders in the private
markets. Because the venture capital and the private
equity industry, they need the public markets, because
they need a place to go. They can have trade sales
through private market deals, but the public markets
really matter for the private markets. So that whole
issue of what are the public markets there for was really
center stage in the discussion.
Another issue was about the rising costs of
listings, which have gone from, you know, modest amounts
to several million dollars. And that's felt to be a
burden. And then there was also --
MR. GRISWOLD: Extra regulation as well.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Well, there was
a --
are --
MR. GRISWOLD: That's part of the cost.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: The listing costs
MR. GRISWOLD: Considerable.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: -- an item in their
own right. And you'll recall that there was some efforts
to lift the regulatory burden by giving exemptions to, you
know, certain rules and regulations to have a lighter
touch. But that doesn't seem to have been followed by a
surge in IPOs. So there's a real interest in say, okay,
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what's really going on in the wider economy, taking the
United States as the example. So the need for finance is
diminished. The type of industry, there's been a huge
transformation. And that in itself means that financial
capital is playing less of a role in company value.
I'll give you one data point that we were very
struck by. Thirty years ago, the S&P 500, which is, you
know, a very important index on the balance sheet, which
is a way -- one way to value a company, 85 percent was
fixed assets. So fixed assets 30 years ago were really
important. Fixed assets are expensive. You've got
equipment, and land, and inputs, and all the physical
things that could be valued on a balance sheet.
Fast forward to now, 85 percent of the S&P 500
balance sheet is what's called intangible. That means
brand. That means goodwill. That means human capital.
And so one of the projects that's come out of this SEC
work is actually looking at what is the reporting regime
that we need now to start capturing the value that's on
the balance sheet. And that includes the human capital
reporting initiative that CalPERS has played an important
role in.
So I think the question -- I think another thing
that came out at the hearings was a recognition that the
private markets do not have the same regulatory
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requirements, but there is a case -- some argued to the
hearing there is a case that the SEC's remit needs to be
extended further.
And you'll see that in the last round of
regulatory expansion, private equity firms, hedge funds
came under the umbrella of SEC regulation, which is one
step in that direction. But right now, there is, as John
said, a quiet life if you're in the private markets. But
there is also some concern to ensure that private markets
get better regulated, because, you know, a growing part of
the economy is growing that.
MR. GRISWOLD: And just to follow up on your
point about the reluctance or the delay in going through
an IPO process, that may be encouraged by the ease of
getting financing because of the easy money we referred to
earlier when Hiro was here. There's an enormous amount of
money sloshing around the world. And it is -- if you
don't have to go public and you can get financing from
private sources, the question is why would you bother
going public? It exposes you to all kinds of things that
you may not want to deal with.
And, in fact, that could be a serious issue that
might be -- I don't know how you solve that without --
without going through the trauma that we started to go
through last year, that Hiro referred to, and I'm sure
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has, you know, happened, too.
Dan, you had a question -- you had a point too.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Yeah. I think it's a terrific question, Mr.
Jones. And the only comments that I would underscore is
that it is a global phenomenon, but it's especially
pronounced in the United States. And I would say less so
developed international, and even less so emerging
markets, where even you're not seeing the level of --
nearly the level of shrinkage. It's also worth mentioning
that there are fewer companies public, but they are larger
companies. So the capitalization of the markets has
actually grown significantly, but it's just concentrated
in fewer companies.
That said, the growth of the private markets
relative to public markets is really where we're talking
about. You know, in some of your -- you know, I think it
was Andrew that mentioned yesterday just how much dry
powder is on the --
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Right.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: -- is on the sidelines around private markets.
This is one of the reasons why we're so focused on finding
a way to deploy more capital into the private markets is
that, you know, historically the Apples, and the Oracles,
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and the Genentechs went public as very small companies.
Now, these companies are staying. And so as an investor,
you could -- as a public markets investor, you've got
exposure to really early growth of those companies.
Much of that growth is now happening while it
stays in the private markets, which again is a rationale
for our desire to really deploy more capital, but in a
thoughtful way in the private markets.
MR. GRISWOLD: All right. Let's move on here.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: So, yeah --
MR. GRISWOLD: Oh, sorry. I'm sorry. Henry,
another question.
COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Yeah. No. So the
bottom line is, is that using Ben's analogy is that where
are we on the wave? You know, have we -- are we at the
crest where we -- it's time to get on and start moving
from global equities in a more strategic and advanced way,
or do we kind of wave -- the wave hasn't reached a crest
yet and just kind of stand back and monitor?
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: I think our thought on that really is thinking
more -- first of all more creatively about not thinking so
much on the asset class and thinking more about the
exposure that we're trying to get. So for us, this is a
lot of the work that Ben has been talking about around
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harvesting equity, public-private. It's -- when you think
about the exposure you're trying to get, you're exposing
yourself to earnings growth. You're exposing yourself to
economic growth.
So really, we want to be thinking about equity
and then thinking about if we believe the growth will be
more on the private markets, it's thinking about how we,
you know, position the public markets to kind of be a
liquidity source in some sense, which again is a lot of
Ben's focus around -- around the -- you know, this
liquidity dashboard and really thinking about how we
generate liquidity.
So I think the wave that we're looking at is that
we think there is more to come from a migration of capital
from public to private, and that's why we really want to
position ourselves to -- you know, to get more in private.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Just on that
note, we are privileged CalPERS, because who we are. Our
size and brand, brand name really help us get access to
the top private equity managers. So not everyone equally
shared that privilege as we do.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: Right. So this chart shows you a
very long -- this is again from Triumph of the Optimists
originally, but the data is updated yearly by Credit
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Suisse, who's their publishing sponsor. But it's an
interesting chart, because it basically shows you the
gross return on equities versus other asset classes.
Bills, bonds, and inflation are the other measures against
the equities.
The equities in the left-hand chart over that
period of 1900 to 2018, I believe, or '17, is, in fact,
9.4 percent. If you look to the right, you see it minus
inflation, and it's actually 6.4 percent.
So it's really quite astonish -- it's a somewhat
sobering chart in my mind. Because, in fact, over very
long periods of time, if you really want to talk to
somebody about being a long-term investor, 120 years isn't
a bad place to look at.
And in fact, in those numbers are some markets
that collapsed and disappeared for periods of time,
including Germany and Japan, of course, during the war,
and other -- in some other markets as well.
But, in fact, there is a huge gap because of
inflation. And inflation is sort of an insidious risk
that you have to take account of in any investment
strategy long term. This chart to me shows you that. So
it's a -- it is somewhat sobering statistic. It goes from
44,000 to 1,500 from -- nominal to real.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
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BIENVENUE: John, can I make one more comment?
MR. GRISWOLD: Sure, absolutely.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Just go back to slide 9 really quickly. It's
just worth mentioning really quickly.
MR. GRISWOLD: Nine?
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Yes, please.
And if you --
MR. GRISWOLD: Here you go.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: John said a couple of times, and I think it's
worth underscoring thinking as a long-term investor, note
that if you look at the United States and the endpoint of
this chart is from 1900 to 2010, so that 2010 endpoint is
after a 30-year bull run in the bond market, right, where
interest rates went from the mid-teens down into the low
single digits, and right after the financial crisis where
the equity market was at low, and still you can see that
with the United States with all the other countries also,
that equities still vastly outperformed bonds.
Now, bonds are a really important part of a
diversified portfolio. Jeff talked about that last week,
but it's also important that we continue to expose ourself
to equity, because that's where -- that's where the larger
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returns can be gained, though, with the volatility.
So I just thought I would mention that even with
that endpoint, thinking like a long-term investor is one
of the real advantages that CalPERS has.
But again, long term is -- here, is 110-year
perspective.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: And the challenge
with equity in the long run, if you can stick to it, the
history proves that it does deliver the premium over bond.
The challenge is the volatility and the drawdown
risk. And that's why the Investment Office so focused on
managing the drawdown risk with the next crisis comes, so
that we can continue to benefit from the equity premium --
the return in equity premium.
So this all ties together why, as Dan mentioned,
that we're so fixated on having a plan, liquidity
dashboard, to protect ourselves against from the next
drawdown. In the meantime, we try to explore all the ways
that we can benefit -- we can expose to the equity
exposure, that be public equity or private equity.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: All good points.
Other questions?
Okay. So this is from your own statement about
global equity. It's worth repeating. The primary role of
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equities is, “Total return oriented and to capture the
equity risk premium, defined as the excess return over
risk-free government bonds, by means of ownership risk in
companies and exposure to corporate earnings growth. The
major driver is appreciation, with some cash yield (growth
and liquidity)”. And that's from your website.
A very good statement. Probably more technical
than most people would understand, because the equity risk
premium is a calculated number that basically looks at
the -- at the advantage of equities over a risk-free rate,
which is usually use -- the one we use is -- normally is
treasury bills, basically, which is considered risk free
because the collapse of the United States would have to
happen before they would -- before they would be not able
to pay it off.
So they, yes, are very low right now, and, in
fact, could go negative at some point I suppose. So then,
you know, the -- but the fact is that there is almost
always a advantage gap, the risk premium that you take to
go into equities. And that's what you're trying to
harvest when you're going into global equities as well.
You're looking for those premia across the globe.
When you're a global investor, you can look at them in the
U.S. and look at them internationally.
But I want to go back to Henry's question,
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looking at global. One of the answers might be why you
stay with it is because you don't know which ones are
going to be moving in and out of the advantageous cycles,
but also you're looking -- it gives you the chance to look
for those premia where they exist.
And you may see different ways of taking
advantage of those available risk premia that occur and
even prevent -- trying to produce better returns through
either leverage or arbitrage strategies. You use
alternative beta in your portfolio to some extent to do
that.
So it's an -- it's an opportunity set that is not
available when you stick with your home market. You want
to stay well positioned to take advantage of opportunities
wherever they occur in the world.
This is a good statement -- as good a statement
as I've seen anywhere actually in the institutional
market.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: So why? Again, you're looking for
price appreciation, cash yield, dividends. But primarily
it's the capital gain, the price appreciation that you're
really after in most cases in equity.
Risks. Clearly, economic risks, high sensitivity
to global economic growth and also anti-growth. If you
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have '08, '09 again, it was tough to stay with your equity
allocation. And a lot of people didn't, much to their
chagrin later on particularly if they were quote,
"long-term investors".
You clearly have to worry about liquidity. The
portfolio has got to remain highly liquid, particularly
when you're paying out the size of payouts that you do.
So clearly, you've got to figure that out. But that's
also another reason why you have fixed income and other
liquid sources.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: I have a question from Ms.
Taylor.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Yes. Thank you very
much, Mr. Chair. Thank you very much.
When we get to risks, you have high sensitivity
to global economic growth variability. What do you --
what does that entail? Does that entail the global
outlook in terms of geopolitics? Does that include our
ESG sustainable development goals? What does that
include? Is that just a very narrow it's only about
economic growth.
MR. GRISWOLD: No, it does include all of the
above. It -- what affects global economic growth, and
that's happening now, can be any manner of geopolitical
events, and statements, and, you know, this -- the
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tariffs, the trade controversies that we're going through
now are affecting -- are really affecting economic growth
globally. You're seeing growth slow down.
People are worried that if this battle continues
between U.S. and China over that, that it will further
affect growth globally.
So you can't separate that entirely. There are
obvious ones. There are less obvious once. Clearly,
there are industries which are growing, sort of
organically and others that are declining organically for
other -- for reasons that they don't have the economic
reason to be any longer. It's kind of the old buggy whip
argument. And, you know --
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Right.
MR. GRISWOLD: -- as AI takes over, you know,
information sources are going to change and the generation
of information will change.
It's extraordinary, you see that actually in the
investment business. That business is changing because
big data comes in, AI machine learning are applied to that
data, and the decisions made by the portfolio managers are
made in a different manner than they were 20 years ago.
It is changing. It's changing the environment.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: So in --
MR. GRISWOLD: And the skill sets that you're
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looking for in your new employees are different than the
skill sets you were looking for even 10 or 15 years ago.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: And so then consider
that in the financial market. And I noticed -- it was
spoken before in our previous class with AI and everybody
taking account of this, and I don't know that our job as
pension investors is particularly -- but we need to be
concerned about this gig economy kicking up, AI replacing
workers. What -- or displacing workers. What are we --
are we helping the capital markets face this, you know,
though our own investments or are we sort of sitting by
and watching it happen, and hoping the capital markets
take account of our possibly very soon displaced workers
that -- you know, in consumer America that makes up a lot
of what our GDP is, so...
MR. GRISWOLD: Well, all I can tell you is I do a
lot of work with universities. They're facing the same
question, because they're seeing a demographic drift --
drip in their student population now. And they're saying
how can we -- how can we train and educate the next
generation of students to become part of the workforce?
That is a big question, and it's a very good
question. No one has a clear answer to it yet. A lot of
optimists are saying, even with the growth of robotics,
AI, machine learning, et cetera, there will be plenty of
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jobs, because --
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: I'm not sure about
that.
MR. GRISWOLD: But the jobs will be different.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Yeah.
MR. GRISWOLD: I mean kids now are being trained
by universities in code -- coding.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Yeah, but not everybody
can be a coder.
MR. GRISWOLD: Not everybody can be a coder.
That's right. But there will always be need for
communication, for clear thought, common sense, all those
good things that liberal arts teaches you.
And I speak to a lot of university boards and do
some consulting with them. And that's always an
interesting question to get into is how is that university
or how is that college or school adapting to the new
realities, and how do they incorporate that into their
curriculum? You know, there's no easy answer.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: It just seems to me
that it is something we need to be forward-thinking on --
MR. GRISWOLD: I agree.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: -- as an institutional
investor that does invest in the entire index. I think
it's very important that we -- we find out a way that we
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can help folks look at this. I don't know. I think it's
really important.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Can I -- I'll just make a -- I think it's a
great point. I'll make a couple of comments.
First to your most recent question and then also
to your previous one, because they're both great
questions. With regard to AI, Beth and her team -- and
she did a collective process around the Investment Office,
but she did a whole project recently. One of the two main
research projects she did in this most recent fiscal year
was on disruptive technology, and AI was certainly a
portion of that.
So it is something we're spending a lot of time
thinking about. There aren't clear answers. But it is
something that is -- that is critical and it will have an
impact.
On your previous questions around economic
growth, this is one of the reasons why we spend so much
time on thinking about the economy and having John
Rothfield here and otherwise. When you think about
equities, ultimately the way that equities make money is
off of earnings. And earnings, right -- I mean, an
equity, as John said earlier, is a pro rata ownership in a
company. Earnings are what drives the value of that
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ownership, right, that company's ability to earn money.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Right.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Those earnings are based on economic growth.
So this is all these things that you're talking about,
whether people have money to spend, what -- you know,
consumers, whether -- whether there are new productivity
things, things that drive the economy, and all of these
things, whether it's ESG and otherwise.
And I couldn't agree more with what Hiro was
saying earlier that this is why for us ESG is an important
factor. We look at it through the lens of an investor.
It's about how is it going to drive earnings growth and
otherwise. But it will result in impacts on our
investment return, and that's why we need to be thoughtful
in this space.
VICE CHAIRPERSON TAYLOR: Thank you.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: So let's take a quick look at your
total fund allocation. You can see global equities 50.2
percent. Fixed income on the left, 28.7 percent. Private
equity 7.2. So, in effect, equity -- and you have real
assets, 11 percent. So a good portion of that you could
consider equity, but it may be both. So, in fact, you are
heavily allocated to the equity side of the fence. And
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that's really what you see in most large institutional
investment portfolios. Because they have been trained to
look for the opportunities for growth. And you need to do
that if you're going to keep the contribution of the
investment fund to the income you need to -- liquidity et
cetera that you need to pay your beneficiaries.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yeah. I'll add
one comment to it. You often hear the term 60/40. So our
portfolio refers to 60 percent equity, 40 percent fixed
income. So if you look at our portfolio allocation now,
it's not that different from 60/40. So we have global
equity -- if you put global equity and private equity
together, it's close to 60 percent of equity exposure.
And if you think of our real assets, our objective mandate
of the Real Assets Program is core -- U.S. core.
So that acts similar to a fixed income. So if
you add our fixed income and real asset allocation plus
liquidity together, it's about 40 percent. So our
portfolio is quite similar to 60/40 that what you often
here in the media and in the context in our conversation
with other peers.
MR. GRISWOLD: Right.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: So the global investment -- global
equity investment philosophy of CalPERS is really a --
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they are very difficult to predict. We talked about
that. The alpha opportunities are multi-faceted and time
varying. They do change, so you have to be very nimble.
If you're going to invest globally, particularly in
emerging markets where you are -- you do see more
volatility and more cyclical shifts.
But you can take advantage of that as well.
There is -- there is a good portion of the job of global
allocation, of global equity investing, which is looking
for opportunities in terms of cyclical changes which
occur. Focus finally on holistic portfolio net of costs.
I just mentioned 80 percent of the portfolio invest in
costs-efficient internally-managed strategies.
Now, I'll let Ben and Dan talk a little bit about
that, why that's the case.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: Yeah. So I leave
the cost to Dan. But I'd actually like to comment a
little bit on the alpha opportunities. So if you look at
the four major asset class we invest in, global equity,
global fixed income, private -- excuse me -- private
equity and the real assets, one can argue the most
efficient market is global equity.
So the alpha opportunity -- in the most efficient
market, the alpha opportunity I would say not just time
varying is, you know, being -- to a certain extent is
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illusive. So capturing the alpha in the most efficient
market segment is very challenging.
So instead, we focus on what -- at least our plan
in the most efficient market -- markets, we tried to focus
on the -- controlling the risk with tracking error and
then reducing operation cost. So it's -- on the cost
part, I will leave it to Dan.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Yeah. So this speaks to Ms. Olivares question
previously around some of the questions on fees. For an
organization that's largely externally managed, that cost
structure is more difficult. As we said, you know, with
80 percent internal managed, it gives us a real advantage.
And the whole global equity portfolio runs at about 8
basis points. And that's been on a downward trend from
maybe mid-teens. Actually, maybe in the 20s when I got
here to down to -- you know, into the mid-teens, and now,
as I say, into 8. And I think we're on the path to -- I
don't want to set myself up. But my goal would be in the
next few years to be down into the -- into the mid to low
single digits for global equity.
And that's -- and that's what we've -- that's
what we've seen from a standpoint of our trajectory,
because, I mean, Investment Belief 8, which is one of our
ten Investment Beliefs, we know that the opportunity for
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alpha, and markets will bounce around, but costs are
always a headwind. They're always negative, and so we
manage those very closely.
MR. GRISWOLD: And you've been very successful
from what I've heard and seen -- or read and seen in your
literature that -- in being able to reduce those costs.
In general, by the way, the investment business, because
of the growth of passive investment, index-based
investment, whether it be index funds or ETFs are highly
cost-efficient vehicles. Those have been aided by the
bull market we've been in for 10 years. No question.
And investors are saying why should I pay 30, 40,
50 basis points or more for active investment when, in
fact, they've been losing to passive investments.
They're really talking about equities because
that's the most efficient market. In fact, though, that
trend has been affecting everything in the investment
business. It's been shrinking the business to some
extent, because you -- it is no longer -- on long-only
strategies like U.S. equities, no longer a viable business
to be an active manager unless you're -- you've got some
edge. You've got some distinctive way of making money so
that you're attracting new business.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So on the note
the cost, I just would like to compliment our Investment
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Office. Close to 80 percent of our assets are managed
internally. And we have been running one of the most
efficient asset management from that perspective, cost
efficient.
As Dan said, the Global Equity Program is only
about 8 bps. And we are still -- we're not stopping
there. We're still finding ways to reduce that cost. And
in real assets, Paul Mouchakkaa can tell you, we're trying
to bring -- changing -- we have changed our business model
for better control and lower cost. And then again, the
innovative ways we're trying to explore -- explore in
private equity the Pillar 3 and Pillar 4. One of the
goals is to reduce cost, and more transparency, and reduce
cost.
So we're very proud of the efficiency the
Investment Office is operating now, but we continue to
look for other ways to reduce cost.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Yeah. And I'm sorry. Ben, I'm really glad
you mentioned that, not to just single out global equity,
because it is the case that some of the -- you that have
been on the board for a while remember that our cost
structure was north of 1 and half -- you know, approaching
$2 billion dollars years ago. Now, we're down in the sort
of $1 billion range on total fees. And again, that's on
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an AUM that's much higher. Part of that is this focus on
costs.
The fixed income portfolio is over 90 percent
internal managed. And I think that runs at -- you know,
Arnie will have an update next month, but it's -- it's
lower than global equity. I think it's down in the sort
of 5 basis point range. Private equity has done a ton of
work this. Real assets, like Paul -- you know, Ben
mentioned, you know, we're a lower cost than our peers and
what the benchmark computes. So lots of work on cost.
It's been a critical focus across the asset classes.
MR. GRISWOLD: Yeah. I think the private markets
are an area where you'll see -- as Hiro said, you'll see
more work being done with innovation to get those fees
down, so that you're aligning the manager -- the GP's
interests with the -- with the investors, with the asset
owners more and more.
That may be -- we may be seeing the last of the
sort of the great halcyon days of private equity in some
respects. But they're still -- still able to make a lot
of money staying shoulder to shoulder and resisting a lot
of the changes that have been proposed.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: A quick question from Ms.
Olivares.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Thank you, Mr. Chair.
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So as we talk about the basis points that are
paid out to manage some of these funds - 8 bps is
relatively know - when I think of how we would apply that
fee externally -- so if I was to go buy an index for the
S&P 500 and pay 8 bps, that covers all of their
operational expenses, right?
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: (Nods head.)
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: So if we say that our
cost is about 8 bps, does that cover operational and
investment expenses as well, like personal costs, real
estate, everything?
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Yes. So there's a whole cost allocation
structure. But we get a set of costs that -- from the
enterprise that includes the -- you know, all the work of
the rest of the enterprise. Then there's the cost of our
own fees, which we do have some active management that
includes fees. We also have some sort of model provision
strategies, where we're actually managing against a
factor, but we do pay for that sort of factor provision.
And then also our own headcount and everything else,
technology, all of the above. So, yes, that 8 basis
points is a fully loaded number.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Great. Thank you.
I'd love to get more information on that.
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INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: We'll have more next month with the global
equity program review and happy to -- happy to dig in as
you -- as you see fit.
COMMITTEE MEMBER OLIVARES: Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Go ahead.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: Did I miss a space?
No. Okay. No, we're -- I think we're good.
This is just some of the -- we threw in some
charts that are more sobering than others. But, in fact,
you have -- over a long period of time here, you've seen
the U.S. clearly outperform non-U.S. stocks. It doesn't
diminish the fact that the diversification benefit and the
ability to find inefficient markets outside of the U.S. is
very valuable to the global investor. But you have had a
long period where the U.S. has outperformed.
That has obviously benefited some people more
than others. But, in fact, you could -- as you do see
there, you do see periods where international stocks do
better, or at least relatively. And then you -- this, of
course, is looking -- looking back in the past. So you
don't know what the future is going to hold. But clearly,
you have benefited from being in this market where the
economic growth has been extraordinary and the equity
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returns have been extraordinary as well over a long period
of time.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: The other side of that is that you
do have more correlation between the two, you know, U.S.
and international markets. This chart shows you that.
This is the top -- the blue line is the U.S. versus
non-U.S. stocks. The red line is U.S. stocks versus U.S.
bonds. So there's a lot less correlation. I go back to
Dan's point, Ben's point that the -- that's why you have
fixed income, because there is that lack of correlation
that you want to count on, particularly when things get
rough like they did in '08, '09 when the bonds literally
saved a lot of people's bacon and provided the liquidity
they needed to get through that.
I can remember Harvard University having to go
out into the public debt markets to be able to pay their
staff during that period. It was very painful, because
they were subject to capital calls with their enormous
percentage of I private equity and venture capital. And
they were really squeezed. There were in a liquidity
squeeze.
So good to have fixed income, good to have
liquidity in different vehicles that you can count on if
you do get into problems. But this shows you the change
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that's quite dramatic in both cases of the correlations.
Okay. Did you have a point there?
Okay.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: So let's talk about benchmarks
briefly. I think Hiro covered benchmarks extraordinarily
well in his remarks, so I'm not going to delve too deeply.
But clearly, you heard this from Jeff Bailey a month ago.
He talked about the types of things that you want to see
in a benchmark.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: You use a benchmark which is a
customized benchmark from FTSE Russell. And I'll let Ben
and Dan talk about any details here -- in detail, if you
have questions on it.
But fundamentally, these -- these characteristics
of benchmarks should be present. They are -- everybody
has to be understanding of what the benchmark is. And in
principle, I just want to talk about that. We can talk a
little bit about -- by the way, that list of
characteristics is in the Primer for Trustees that you all
received - and if you didn't we'll make sure you do - from
the CFA Institute library. It's published by CFA
Institute Foundation.
But it's a terrific book for trustees of
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institutional funds. But all of these characteristics
should be present in an index that you choose -- benchmark
you choose.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: The custom benchmark, Ben or Dan,
do you have any comments on this or are there any
questions on this? You've seen this before, so I don't
want to dwell on it too long.
But, in fact, you've got a customized benchmark.
Benchmarks are developed by really three primary
producers, MSCI, FTSE Russell, and -- what's the third I'm
thinking of? Not Bloomberg, but they have one too now.
There's another large -- I'll think of it in a minute.
I'm having a brain freeze.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: FTSE Russell
combined. Maybe that's what --
MR. GRISWOLD: No, there's actually a third one,
but I have to think of it.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Are you talking about the old S&P IC?
MR. GRISWOLD: Yeah. Yeah S&P. Thank you.
I think the interesting thing here is the size of
the United States allocation, if you will, in the
benchmark reflects its capital -- world capital market
share.
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And, in fact, if you'd looked at this, and I
think you can, on the FTSE Russell website, they have a
PAR chart of the original FTSE all-world. It was called
something different then in 1987. And in that one, U.S.
was 27 percent not 54 percent. And guess which market was
35 percent in 1987?
Japan.
And those of you who remember the automobile
industry in the late eighties being taken over by
Japanese, Toyotas and Datsuns, and Suzukis and so forth,
they were ascendant at that time. But this does change.
And, of course, the benchmark that you use to judge
whether you're succeeding or failing versus a previous
regime has to be thought of in terms of the economic
shifts that are going on around the world.
These numbers change and your benchmark has to
change. And it's -- you want to make sure that you, as a
Committee, are looking at the right benchmark.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So just on the
left chart, back to your earlier point John I made, the
United States percent of global GDP is about 25 percent.
But the percent of the market cap share is 54 percent.
And China is the second largest economy called --
depending on which measure you use. Some are between 15
to 20 percent of global GDP. It does not even command its
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own category on this capital market. So that just shows
the share we invest in capital market. And when we look
at benchmark, we have to mindful both of the GDP, the
economic growth and other depths -- the depths of the
capital market.
MR. GRISWOLD: That's true.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: The one other thing I would add to that is
also demographics, which is another important point. And,
you know, we referred to it earlier.
MR. GRISWOLD: Yeah, we've got one chart on that,
but I'll comment on it, a little bit, but that's
absolutely right.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: It just -- it's another lens.
MR. GRISWOLD: Right. But if you -- if you're
interested in China itself, then -- and vis-à-vis this
chart, there was an article in the journal I think
yesterday on China opening up its markets through the A
shares primarily, which have been around for a long time
for foreign investors.
But clearly, you have to be very aware of how to
do due diligence in China versus other markets, because
there's a whole layer of different control from obviously
a political and economic standpoint than really almost any
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other market that you're looking at, certainly any other
large market.
And it's astonishing that you don't see -- I was
going to make a comment on that, but thank you, Ben.
Astonishing you don't see China in that capital market
list. But that's the fact today and you probably will see
it soon, I would imagine.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: So looking ahead. We've just sort
of summarized some of the -- some of the things that we've
been talking about. We are seeing changes in the world
economy, which are going to change the opportunities and
the challenges in global equity investing. You're seeing
slowing growth in the world's economies now for a lot of
reasons. We talked about some of them.
Flatter lower returns for global equities, that
has been predicted for some time. In fact, the U.S. has
been a surprise in how good our returns have been on
average. Yes, you've had bumps like last year. But
overall, this bull market is now the longest expansion in
our history. And, in fact, can continue now as far as we
know, but with clearly increasing risks in certain areas
that you have to be aware of.
And we refer -- Hiro referred to it earlier. One
of the big ones is how long can they central banks
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continue this easy money rate suppression policy that
we've been living under for 10 years now? And what is the
ultimate risk of trying to normalize interest rates,
discount rates in the world economic and monetary system?
There are probably unintended consequences that
we still haven't seen out of that whole regime. The
future inflation interest rates are uncertain. We don't
have a way of predicting those particularly well, even
though the central banks can forecast or can hint as to
what their policies are going to do. You still don't know
where exactly those are going to go.
Central bank intervention may distort cyclical
market cycles. It already has. It is certainly affected
a lot of consumer rates and commercial rates of borrowing
and lending that are both stimulative, but also a little
scary, because you -- there is a shadow banking
unregulated pool of funds floating around that can be --
can be really opportunistic for companies to borrow or
individuals, but also can be somewhat scary because you're
not share whether those are going to be withdrawn at any
point or what the lenders will do if there is some sort of
a break in the markets.
Increasing geopolitical tensions. Clearly, we've
seen that in the headlines. They may impact returns,
obviously due to trade threat and tariffs. And, of
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course, Dan mentioned demographic shifts.
--o0o--
MR. GRISWOLD: Let me just show you one chart
that's a demographic chart. This shows you a projection
out to 2100 of the demographics of the U.S. workforce.
And, in fact, you're going to see a steady increase, slow
but steady increase, protected for that by experts in the
U.S. government, basically. It's the Population
Division -- Population Projection Division.
If you looked at most of the major developed
countries in the world, Japan, most of Europe, China too,
you see that line from 2000 say 20 begin to go down in
varying amounts very rapidly.
So the aging -- and Hiro talked about that
extensively, so I won't go into it in detail. But when
you see that around the world in the developed markets, it
is a little alarming. Because, in fact, the birth rates
in those markets are dropped -- they've dropped to the
point where they're not replacing the workforce. These
are ages -- by the way, workforce is defined as age 20 to
64.
So in many countries that are -- where the
biggest economic activity is going on, their demographics
are not favorable to continuing long term to maintaining
their workforces. It's a major concern on a long-term
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basis. And as long-term investors, I think it's one of
the issues -- one of the risks that you have to take into
account, where are you seeing those shifts more rapid --
occur more rapidly than you were anticipating, or where
can you take advantage of that?
It was interesting. I went to a conference in
Tokyo a years ago. And one of the presentations was by a
professor who had developed exoskeleton. I don't know if
you know what an exoskeleton is. But if you think of a
beetle, a beetle has an exoskeleton. It's an external
shell. In this case, it was a motorized very
sophisticated piece of equipment that an individual could
put on. And it was almost like the Avengers. You could
do a lot of things that you couldn't do. It had
extraordinary, et cetera, because you had these little
motors helping you move, and picking things up, and so
forth.
He developed that in anticipation of Japan's
demographic projection, because it would allow older
workers to work. Now, that's extraordinary. But it's a
good small little example of what the innovation to try to
deal with the aging population Japan might look like or
anywhere else for that matter.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: We have a question from Mr.
Jones.
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COMMITTEE MEMBER JONES: Yeah. Thank you, Mr.
Chair.
Yeah. Going back to your comment about shadow
banking. Is that prevalent in the U.S.? I understood
that to be a problem in foreign countries. But is that a
major issue in the U.S.?
MR. GRISWOLD: I don't think so, but it's
certainly -- based on the number of emails all of us get
from lending institutions we've never heard of before,
there's a lot of lending going on outside of banks. And
we all know the trouble banks have been through coming out
of the 08-09 period. I don't want to be alarmist, but in
fact there is a lot of money being lent by off-radar
institutions and private individuals.
A lot of the funding of start-up companies done
by angel investors now are very small private syndicates.
And I think that -- I don't know the size of that, because
it's not measured. But, in fact, there is a lot of money.
We know that, because the central banks have been printing
it for a long time. And where is it going?
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Yeah. The only -- the only thing I would add
is that it's a -- there's a -- there's a definitional
question there how you define shadow banking, right?
I will say that a lot of the risk we think has
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come out since the financial crisis, where so much more
regulation came into place around, you know, lending and
things like that.
But depending on how define shadow banking, you
can include even like hedge funds and things like that.
MR. GRISWOLD: Dodd-Frank covered a lot of those
areas clearly. And, you know, so it -- as I say, I don't
want to be alarmist at all. But, in fact, there are --
it's one of those things that you think about and you
don't really know how to quantify, so it's difficult to
tell. But there are -- there's evidence of lending going
on and borrowing, and how much leverage is in the mix that
we can't measure. And so you can't -- what you can't
measure, you can't regulate. Don't know. But, in fact,
don't want to end on a down note, because we are out of
time.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Oh, well, you can
end with the glossary.
MR. GRISWOLD: Oh, the glossary.
(Laughter.)
MR. GRISWOLD: Yeah, actually --
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Knowledge is power.
MR. GRISWOLD: I don't think we need to go
through it page by page.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: Not, but I though
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you could have a nice cheerful slide up for your final
remarks.
All of the mumbo jumbo that goes into talking
about investment, we decided it was time to start breaking
it down. We made this promise in another governance
workstream to put things into plain english. So we've had
a first crack at the back of this presentation. And you
can tell us where we've got it right and where we've got
it wrong.
But it's part of a new practice. We want to
start explaining everything. And if we can't explain it,
we shouldn't have it on a slide. So that's -- that was
the thinking --
MR. GRISWOLD: Um-hmm, that's true.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: -- behind having a
glossary.
MR. GRISWOLD: Yeah. One of the jobs that I had
at the Commonfund was to try to make the complex simple
and explicit in plain english. I was actually an english
major in college. And how I ended up in the investment
businesses was quite -- was another story. But, in fact,
Peter Bernstein was one of my heroes in this business was
also an english major. I find out -- I found out. We
were talking at lunch one day.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: So he's the
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author of the book When Genuius Failed, so -- and he's
author for a number of books. But I think the most famous
one is When Genius Failed.
MR. GRISWOLD: The Story of Risk.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: The Story of Risk
and When Genius Failed.
MR. GRISWOLD: Capital Ideas, a whole bunch of
books. There are a number of people that I think define
great thinkers in this business. I may be sitting next to
one or two here. But, in fact, Charlie Ellis who wrote --
I don't know if any of you ever read any of his books, but
me wrote the famous book called Winning the Loser's Game.
And, in fact, it talks about -- Charlie is one of
my good friends, but he drives me a little crazy, because
he ran the investment committee at Yale University for 17
years.
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: You know you're
on record on YouTube, right?
MR. GRISWOLD: I know. Yes, I do.
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: He's been to speak
to the Board.
MR. GRISWOLD: He has been -- he's been -- he is
one of -- he's one of the great figures in investing, and,
in fact, has talked about indexing probably ahead of
anyone else in this country, and for all the good reasons
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you're hearing now, but he was doing this 10 years ago,
more.
But he ran the -- he ran one of the most
successful active management groups, which was the Yale
Investment Office as head of their committee for many,
many years, more than 15 years. I think it was 17 years.
And during that period, you know, was the top -- I think
the top institutional investor globally for a long time.
But he is fan of indexing, which just shows you
the change in how the environment in investing has changed
over that period. But Charlie was one of the people who
was predicting it in his book, Winning the Looser's Game
was -- which has come out in various editions, was
predicting that or talking about that. It was based on a
tennis game, playing defense.
I think we've -- I think we've exhausted
everybody, but...
INVESTMENT DIRECTOR SIMPSON: It might be time
for some questions.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Are there further questions, Mr. Chair?
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: There are no questions
right now, no.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Okay. Then I think we can conclude it there.
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But definitely, John, thank you very much for joining us.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: All right. Thank you very
much for being here.
INTERIM CHIEF OPERATING INVESTMENT OFFICER
BIENVENUE: Thank you for your time.
(Applause.)
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: We appreciate that.
Anything else, Mr. Meng?
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER MENG: No. No.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: All right. We do have one
request to speak from the audience, Dave Elder, but I
notice he's not in the room.
Here he comes.
Hurry on down, Mr. Elder. It's your turn.
It's your turn, Mr. Elder. We have your handout
already, by the way. Please identify yourself for the
record and you'll have up to three minutes to make your
comments.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: They're on.
MR. ELDER: Good afternoon, everyone.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: Good afternoon.
MR. ELDER: My name is Dave Elder. I'm a former
State Assemblyman. I served 10 years as the Chairman of
the PERS Committee. I carried legislation setting up the
prefunding account for health benefits. And I carried a
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number of the bills, 2 percent at 55 retirement formula,
and 2.5 at 55 for correctional officers, so I had about
200 bills signed.
I served as Chairman of the PERS Committee for
larger than anybody in history. And I'm just saying this
because there are a lot of new faces here for me. And I
don't have any speech to make or anything. I just wanted
to bring your attention to this. It's been handed to you.
Harry Markopolos prepared this report. It's 165
pages. This is simply a summary. And I would have
provided the whole thing, but it would have cost me about
$300 to have it copied, so I didn't do that.
But in any event, I just wanted to bring it to
your attention. I think if you have your professional
Investment staff look at it, and analyze it, and then
maybe you want to put it on the agenda for a future
meeting -- in the near future, I would suggest, because
G.E. went down in your portfolio by almost $7 million
today.
And so, at some point, that turns out to be some
real money. In any event, I just would suggest that
perhaps this would be a good thing for your staff to
analyze and be aware of. And I just think if you -- you
might want to get off the railroad tracks before this
thing hits, because he's talking about the possibility of
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bankruptcy with respect to G.E.
And you have a lot of the bonds. Although I
couldn't figure out how much you have in bonds. I know
it's a lot, because it's pretty much gilded high-grade
corporate, so you probably have a lot of it. But that
will all -- and it's probably -- when you bought it, it
was somewhere above par. And it may not be there now. I
couldn't find any quotations on recent quotes on G.E.
debt. Although, there are pages and pages of -- or
columns and columns of them in the financial things like
Barrons. I just didn't happen to have a copy of it to
review where they are in relation to par.
So I just wanted to just make you aware of this,
you know. At least, you know, if anybody asked you about
it, the press or whatever, you can see yeah, we're well
aware of it, we're analyzing it, and we're keeping an eye
on it.
And that's basically all you can do. You might
want to invite Mr. Markopolos to come out here and defend
his report, which I would be -- hell of a public service,
because I think in person -- and he's the fellow who outed
Madoff. And he wrote a book No One Would Listen. You may
have heard of that book. And it took him -- and Harvey
Pitt who -- he referred all this stuff to Harvey Pitt who
was one of the critics of his report saying, you know, he
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could have come to me. Well, it took four years the last
time, so maybe we don't want to do it again.
That's all I got. I'd be happy to respond to
questions if you have any, but thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: No questions, but we thank
you for the information and staff will look at it. So
thank you.
MR. ELDER: All right. Thank you.
CHAIRPERSON FECKNER: So before we close, I just
wanted to thank staff for bringing some great speakers to
us today for our educational workshop. Very good time.
Well spent. And thank you all very much and thank both
speakers for some great information.
This meeting is going to adjourn.
(Thereupon California Public Employees'
Retirement System, Investment Committee
meeting open session adjourned at 12:12 p.m.)
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C E R T I F I C A T E OF R E P O R T E R
I, JAMES F. PETERS, a Certified Shorthand
Reporter of the State of California, do hereby certify:
That I am a disinterested person herein; that the
foregoing California Public Employees' Retirement System,
Board of Administration, Investment Committee open session
meeting was reported in shorthand by me, James F. Peters,
a Certified Shorthand Reporter of the State of California,
and was thereafter transcribed, under my direction, by
computer-assisted transcription;
I further certify that I am not of counsel or
attorney for any of the parties to said meeting nor in any
way interested in the outcome of said meeting.
IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand
this 24th day of August, 2019.
JAMES F. PETERS, CSR
Certified Shorthand Reporter
License No. 10063
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